# ![@jaykaeppel Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::159122284.png) @jaykaeppel Jay Kaeppel

Jay Kaeppel posts on X about stocks, sentiment, vix, money the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::159122284/interactions)
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- [--] Week [------] -38%
- [--] Month [------] -36%
- [--] Months [-------] -13%
- [--] Year [---------] -34%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::159122284/posts_active)
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- [--] Months [---] +17%
- [--] Year [---] -27%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::159122284/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::159122284/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.08%
- [--] Month [------] +0.42%
- [--] Months [------] +4.60%
- [--] Year [------] +21%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::159122284/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::159122284/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  50% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  9.48% [stocks](/list/stocks)  5.17% [currencies](/list/currencies)  2.59% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  1.72% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  0.86%

**Social topic influence**
[stocks](/topic/stocks) 15.52%, [sentiment](/topic/sentiment) 6.03%, [vix](/topic/vix) 4.31%, [money](/topic/money) 4.31%, [commodities](/topic/commodities) 2.59%, [$smh](/topic/$smh) 2.59%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 2.59%, [imo](/topic/imo) 2.59%, [inflation](/topic/inflation) 2.59%, [longterm](/topic/longterm) 2.59%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@sentimentrader](/creator/undefined) [@callumthomas](/creator/undefined) [@lindaraschke](/creator/undefined) [@kapitalizzum](/creator/undefined) [@jasongoepfert](/creator/undefined) [@dualityresearch](/creator/undefined) [@renmacllc](/creator/undefined) [@senitmentrader](/creator/undefined) [@whalewilliams](/creator/undefined) [@annapurnafundlp](/creator/undefined) [@ryandetrick](/creator/undefined) [@dkellercmt](/creator/undefined) [@bsheetsmatter](/creator/undefined) [@itmrandy](/creator/undefined) [@fleshystarfish](/creator/undefined) [@catskillfishing](/creator/undefined) [@ced1106](/creator/undefined) [@scottmeeuwsen](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [DeepBrain Chain (DBC)](/topic/$dbc) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [Gloom (GLOOM)](/topic/gloom) [Planet Labs PBC (PL)](/topic/$pl) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)](/topic/$cl) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Corteva Inc (CTVA)](/topic/$ctva) [FAME AI (FMC)](/topic/$fmc) [Mosaic Co (MOS)](/topic/$mos) [CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)](/topic/$cf) [iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA)](/topic/$etha) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"As a market trend follower I view commodities asset class favorably. BUT this is an interesting contrary take. IF the commodity ETFs I trade turn unfavorable Ill happily head for the exit. Jay's Trading Maxim #18: Follow the trend but DO NOT fall in love with the trend. $DBC: Commodities Crash Coming to a Continent Near You Edition: This chart is clearly conveying that the entire commodity complex appears to have a reckoning coming (and is already here for those paying close attention) which means that virtually nothing in this list of the $DBC https://t.co/stLXZpIXuB $DBC: Commodities Crash"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2022414941140193325)  2026-02-13T20:57Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"$SMH vs. $XLU. Not a trading signal per se. But a useful trend confirmation tool: *Ratio 50wk MA *50wk MA rising *PPO [--] Late to the party in this case. But better late than never. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1942913629067862116)  2025-07-09T11:48Z 22.5K followers, 14.8K engagements


"Don't go to sleep on commodities. #commodities $DBC @sentimentrader Commodities $DBC 3yr high https://t.co/f4MyL2KWxZ Commodities $DBC 3yr high https://t.co/f4MyL2KWxZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1996977221630570953)  2025-12-05T16:17Z 22.5K followers, 12.4K engagements


"Are you a longer-term investor starting to feel a little nervous about stocks Keep an eye on these two key relationships for any sign of impending trouble: $RSPD:$RSPS $SMH:$XLU Listen to the market not the headlines. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2007442276872552652)  2026-01-03T13:21Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Trend-Following [---]. Hold stocks when: *S&P [---] 200d EMA is rising AND *NYSE A/D Line 200d EMA is rising Jays Trading Maxim #7: Investing doesnt have to be rocket science. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2018687534541189500)  2026-02-03T14:06Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"The Four Horsemen of Market Trend (IMO): RSPD:RSPS SMH:XLU SPMO:SPLV HYG:IEI What are they saying right now (NOT what do you want them to say BUT what are they actually saying) Draw your own conclusions. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2019051094593118359)  2026-02-04T14:11Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Two important reminders: 1) Not every index fund is created equal. 2) Jays Trading Maxim #40c: No style sector index or asset EVER holds a permanent advantage (EVEN within a given style or sector). ex. Ticker VLU versus VLUE. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2019436556986249639)  2026-02-05T15:42Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"PSA: Pay attention to which index fund you own. There are no permanent leaders. Case in point: Commodities. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2019823688716284271)  2026-02-06T17:21Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Terrific (and timeless) advice from the one and only @LindaRaschke. #1: Buy The First Pullback After A New High. Sell The First Rally After A New Low: https://t.co/VZY11EBE2F #1: Buy The First Pullback After A New High. Sell The First Rally After A New Low: https://t.co/VZY11EBE2F"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2020504720285299015)  2026-02-08T14:27Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"NOT a "table-pounding Buy signal." BUT a solid weight of the evidence item for trend-followers. % of S&P [---] sectors w/50dma 200dma crossed above [--]. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2021242277427904549)  2026-02-10T15:18Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"I don't play the short side of Bitcoin and I don't pick bottoms. So its simple: Standing aside. #Bitcoin is a tough chart right about now. Potential V-bottom but the momentum remains incredibly weak. Has lost over 50% of its value since Oct [----] peak which means we all now have a 50% off coupon for Bitcoin but the chart remains in a primary downtrend of lower highs and https://t.co/21zPxxZ46Y #Bitcoin is a tough chart right about now. Potential V-bottom but the momentum remains incredibly weak. Has lost over 50% of its value since Oct [----] peak which means we all now have a 50% off coupon for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2021355334842056904)  2026-02-10T22:47Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Unleaded Gas futures UP 14+% since late-December. Just for the record not everyone is surprised. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2021591778319548621)  2026-02-11T14:26Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Jays Trading Maxim #13: Theres always a bull market somewhere. Our job as investors is to find it. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2022006304295072067)  2026-02-12T17:54Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Until proven otherwise this trend change favoring international vs. U.S. looks legit (but um dont bet the ranch just yet). @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2016936467767931272)  2026-01-29T18:08Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"This is NOT a "Sell" signal IMO. However it IS a "Be prepared to sell" signal. Never panic. But DO pay attention to an accumulation of warning signs. @sentimentrader Correlation among S&P [---] stocks has broken down. Many stocks are pushing to new highs while others are sinking to new lows. The last time correlations were this low was September [----]. This doesnt imply an imminent crash but it is a warning ⚠ h/t @sentimentrader https://t.co/s6bnc9Gnfy Correlation among S&P [---] stocks has broken down. Many stocks are pushing to new highs while others are sinking to new lows. The last time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2020504513271177470)  2026-02-08T14:26Z 22.5K followers, 15.4K engagements


"$XHB up 23% since November. Am I buying here No. Why not Seasonality. Am I shorting it here because of seasonality Also No. Why not Positive price action. I look for opportunities when Price AND Seasonality align. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2022678492010193323)  2026-02-14T14:25Z 22.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Agreed. I have no prediction on how [----] will unfold (would it matter if I did). Still anyone expecting another "easy 20+%" in [----] is likely to experience some significant angst in the year ahead. @sentimentrader Thinking about [----] we have had two years of 20%+ returns with below average drawdowns intra-year of 10% and 8.5% respectively. Given the long-term average intra-year drawdown is 14% maybe we should consider the possibility of increased #volatility in [----]. https://t.co/V9g9jHpHfi Thinking about [----] we have had two years of 20%+ returns with below average drawdowns intra-year of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1874090067830202599)  2024-12-31T13:47Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements


"FWIW as [----] dawns the @Sentimentrader Aggregate Signal Model remains firmly in favorable territory. Could this change or could the market decline anyway Of course. But and stop me if youve this before generally speaking the trend is your friend. Happy New Year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1874118959961956738)  2024-12-31T15:42Z 18.4K followers, 17.5K engagements


"@Kapitalizzum @sentimentrader Just curious how do you define "trend" Cheers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1874158343637577996)  2024-12-31T18:19Z 18.4K followers, [---] engagements


"The VIX Index 10-day % ROC crossed above [---] on Dec [--]. A Buy signal Not necessarily. Bullish weight of the evidence Maybe so. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1875210266688025064)  2025-01-03T15:59Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@Sentimentrader proprietary Corporate Insider Velocity XLV indicator has spiked. Is this a Buy signal for the sector Not necessarily. It's better used as weight of the evidence. That said it does suggest that recent weakness may ultimately prove to be a buying opportunity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1876615914126479646)  2025-01-07T13:04Z 20.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Precious metals continue to lead industrial metals. Will this trend last forever No. Am I one to fight this trend Also no. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1877032892452253908)  2025-01-08T16:41Z 18.5K followers, 13.8K engagements


"12-mo. Inflation has waned and in fact my own inflation model has been favorable for stocks since December [----] and remains so. Still the inflation hedge trade keeps ticking higher. Watching closely. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1877034880246186123)  2025-01-08T16:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Many factors influence the stock market. Whats ailing the market right now Despite the endless rates are due to fall talk in the last 6-12 months rates have been um uncooperative. The market hates surprises and uncertainty. Watching #TYX closely. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1877733906608230609)  2025-01-10T15:07Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Crude oil is presently trending higher. Will it continue I wouldnt fight it at the moment. But at least one generally reliable indicator (Crude oil futures term structure crossed above [----] 1st time in six months) suggests that the clock is ticking. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1878125101377360002)  2025-01-11T17:01Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Attention bargain shoppers. IMO they are giving away Consumer Staples. However as a trend-follower Id need to see some actual signs of (relative) life before committing. On watch though. h/t: @jasongoepfert @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1880266000085684356)  2025-01-17T14:48Z 18.5K followers, 14.3K engagements


"As long as price action and seasonality agree I try to give the trend the benefit of the doubt. Sometimes it works great other times I am reminded the purpose of a trailing stop. Process not predictions. @sentimentrader #Dollar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1880609930832724019)  2025-01-18T13:35Z 18.5K followers, 16K engagements


"Never stick your head in the sand. BUT when all the major indexes and market bellwethers are in uptrends try to ignore the gloom and doom stuff. Youll be happier AND in the long run youll make more money. Um but don't get complacent. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1880612613631226323)  2025-01-18T13:46Z 18.5K followers, 17.4K engagements


"Commodities are NOT necessarily one big monolith. Various opportunities emerge within. A good time to invoke: Jays Trading Maxim #13: Theres always a bull market somewhere. Our job as investors is to find it. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1882412192785731989)  2025-01-23T12:56Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements


"YES Keep a close eye on semiconductors. They are an important market bellwether. Upside breakout = GOOD Breakdown = BAD Simple. Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @DualityResearch Click here to read more https://t.co/4r2F6qrlwM $XSD $SOX $SMH https://t.co/4XWD1UiDFp Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @DualityResearch Click here to read more https://t.co/4r2F6qrlwM $XSD $SOX $SMH https://t.co/4XWD1UiDFp"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1882419721569775892)  2025-01-23T13:26Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Tech breaking down relative to the broader market is not a Sell signal IMO. Its also not nothing. The longer tech fails to outperform - and IF PPO goes negative the brighter the warning sign. BUT DONT try to predict the future just pay attention to trend. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1884256957164667075)  2025-01-28T15:07Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Heres some fear porn for the Bears. Our NASDAQ Titanicburg Indicator 200-day MA just crossed above [--]. (HINT: Never trust one indicator and always be wary of miniscule sample sizes. Still a shout worthy data point for bears.) @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1886441709414105330)  2025-02-03T15:48Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements


"This is neither a Sell signal nor a reason to panic IMO. BUT SMH closing below its 200-day MA falls squarely on the Unfavorable side of the Weight of the Evidence ledger. The longer it stays there the more significant the warning. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1886573639266369735)  2025-02-04T00:33Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements


"I am not one to try to pick bottoms. That said I will be keeping a close eye on the Canadian Dollar IF it holds and/or strengthens in the months ahead. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1887144258949271567)  2025-02-05T14:20Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Look whos warming up to healthcare stocks. Wonder if they know something we dont @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1890038316864802915)  2025-02-13T14:00Z 19.2K followers, 25.7K engagements


"Will soybeans track their historical seasonality and trend higher in the months ahead It beats me. BUT as long as price trend and seasonality align Ill give the bullish case the benefit of the doubt (but price is on a tight leash). @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1894756159032049870)  2025-02-26T14:27Z 18.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Everyone's "predictions" aside the question for investors to seriously ponder: "IF the market goes sideways for the next 10+ years HOW will you make money" (HINT: Simply holding an index fund IS NOT the correct answer). During my actual lifetime there have been three periods -- each lasting about two decades -- during which the S&Ps were in a broad trading range without a new ATH You think you know about trading ranges Think again. $SPX $ES_F https://t.co/mLdKni81Ig During my actual lifetime there have been three periods -- each lasting about two decades -- during which the S&Ps were in a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1899417634711408860)  2025-03-11T11:10Z 19.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Stock market selling off again and $VIX is asleep. Someone wake me up when VIX hits at least [--]. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1900216722491068841)  2025-03-13T16:05Z 19.2K followers, [----] engagements


"A little perspective. Could 30yr. treasuries rally from here Absolutely. But just a reminder interest rate cycles tend to last for decades at a time. FWIW I may trade the long side of TLT from time to time. But no long-term investments in 30yr. treasuries for me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1903437241612898321)  2025-03-22T13:22Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Consumer confidence in stocks has plummeted in the last three months. Another gentle reminder about the nature of investor sentiment. BAD (ultimately) = GOOD h/t: @RenMacLLC @sentimentrader Quite a bit of downside priced into the equity market In the latest Conference Board data more consumers now see stock prices decreasing six months hence. This "bull-bear" spread has plunged by a record amount over the last three months to its lowest since November [----]. https://t.co/jUWpKPrjRb Quite a bit of downside priced into the equity market In the latest Conference Board data more consumers now see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1904866332648124434)  2025-03-26T12:01Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Nobody WANTS to invest in utilities (We want growth and excitement). BUT sometimes it pays to Listen to the market. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1904884500590379244)  2025-03-26T13:13Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Long-term cycles are NOT trading signals nor are they inviolate and yes there can be significant countertrend moves along the way. That said this interest rate cycle points higher and suggests avoiding long-term commitments to 30-yr bonds. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1905268879955292493)  2025-03-27T14:41Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements


"The Copper/Gold Ratio IS kind of an obscure thing to apply to bonds. Still as a proud graduate of The School of Whatever Works (good ole SWW) - and as a trend-follower - not investing in long-term treasuries until they establish an actual positive trend. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1906023402315399498)  2025-03-29T16:39Z 20.3K followers, 17.2K engagements


"Accurate and agreed. That said this configuration also tells us that we may have to work a little harder than just buying and holding an index fund. There's always a bull market somewhere. our job as investors is to find it. S&P [---] - LEADERSHIP Currently Utilities and Energy sectors are leading the S&P [---] on a 1-yr and 1-qtr basis respectively. Historically this is not healthy leadership for the market. To get back into "gear" mkt needs Tech Financials or Industrials to take leadership. https://t.co/clJKmz3RI9 S&P [---] - LEADERSHIP Currently Utilities and Energy sectors are leading the S&P"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1906056870722404685)  2025-03-29T18:52Z 20K followers, [----] engagements


"I am neither a bull nor a bear on Platinum. BUT I am watching this consolidation closely for potential breakout (or breakdown) opportunity. $PPLT Platinum is a generational buy opportunity. $PL $PLTM $PPLT https://t.co/ICdmT3WwTM Platinum is a generational buy opportunity. $PL $PLTM $PPLT https://t.co/ICdmT3WwTM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1906781316793688245)  2025-03-31T18:51Z 21.6K followers, [----] engagements


"U of M Consumer Confidence has fallen to [--]. No it is NOT a buy signal. Yes the June [----] signal was painfully early. Still another gentle reminder about the nature of investor sentimentBAD (ultimately) = GOOD. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1907072100809973863)  2025-04-01T14:06Z 20.4K followers, 11.1K engagements


"Pssst: When Consumer Confidence declines it's not stocks you need to worry about. @sentimentrader U of M Consumer Confidence has fallen to [--]. No it is NOT a buy signal. Yes the June [----] signal was painfully early. Still another gentle reminder about the nature of investor sentimentBAD (ultimately) = GOOD. @sentimentrader https://t.co/wmafJj99Ek U of M Consumer Confidence has fallen to [--]. No it is NOT a buy signal. Yes the June [----] signal was painfully early. Still another gentle reminder about the nature of investor sentimentBAD (ultimately) = GOOD. @sentimentrader https://t.co/wmafJj99Ek"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1907407687991599227)  2025-04-02T12:20Z 20.4K followers, [----] engagements


"For investors the relevant question is not "How high will tariffs go" It's "How high will the VIX go" Repeating now someone wake me up when VIX hits at least [--]. Stock market selling off again and $VIX is asleep. Someone wake me up when VIX hits at least [--]. @sentimentrader https://t.co/Kn1YXPKiir Stock market selling off again and $VIX is asleep. Someone wake me up when VIX hits at least [--]. @sentimentrader https://t.co/Kn1YXPKiir"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1907766613119533155)  2025-04-03T12:06Z 20K followers, [----] engagements


"SPX performance after VIX "closes" above [--] for the first time in three months. Touched [--] today BUT needs a daily close to trigger. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1908193565135495602)  2025-04-04T16:22Z 20.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Really meant to post the chart with the table. VIX closes above [--] first time in three months. NOT THERE YET this time. Also NOT necessarily an "All Clear" signal. Still worth watching for IMO. @senitmentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1908196876941160608)  2025-04-04T16:36Z 20.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Random thought: We may be close to a bottom EITHER in price OR time BUT NOT BOTH. i.e. we could be days away from a bottom that is another 10-15% lower. OR we could be 5% from a bottom that will takes months to form. Either way dont hope for easy." Gird your loins instead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1908529556320907745)  2025-04-05T14:37Z 20.4K followers, 14.6K engagements


"In the interest of balance.Ouch. This is why a stop-loss is essential for trading positions. A manageable loss is a manageable loss (no matter how quickly it hits). Still ouch. Are energies about to rally It beats me. But don't go to sleep. #Energy $XLE @sentimentrader https://t.co/ewSOIgO3KY Are energies about to rally It beats me. But don't go to sleep. #Energy $XLE @sentimentrader https://t.co/ewSOIgO3KY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1908868988253184088)  2025-04-06T13:06Z 20.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Green = @sentimentrader Optix 10% Red = Optix 90% OPTIX is a contrary indicator (Green means traders overwhelming bearish red overwhelmingly bullish). This amount of green is NOT a Buy signal per se. Still it DOES appear to be trying to tell us something"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1909583308813464059)  2025-04-08T12:25Z 20.8K followers, 29.8K engagements


"Sometimes declining crude oil does signal recession - BUT not always. On the other hand in the words of Larry Williams (@whale_williams): "Crude oil IS inflation." What do you see @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1909622542316241191)  2025-04-08T15:01Z 20.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Under the category of Correlation is not causation.but still: @sentimentrader LIT Optix (LIT traders sentiment) 10-day average is below [--]. Previous instances and subsequent $SPX performance in graphic. Does it matter Arguably notbut still"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1910328160740319238)  2025-04-10T13:45Z 20.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Commodities vs. Stocks. NOT a trend change yet. BUT FWIW this relationship is back on the radar. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1911817562565857687)  2025-04-14T16:23Z 21.9K followers, [----] engagements


"A decision point for US stocks versus Bonds @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1912195477245759836)  2025-04-15T17:25Z 20.6K followers, [----] engagements


"The @sentimentrader Risk Appetite Index: 1) Crosses below [----] 2) First time in [--] months Latest signal off to a lousy start. But make of it what you will"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1913596209807175968)  2025-04-19T14:11Z 20.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Everyone is hating on the Mag [--] right now (and not without good reason). Still here is an interesting alternative perspective re $MSFT. $MSFT from the Munger 200-Week Spotter Scan: Fundamentals strong. Price near the 200-week. These opportunities dont show up often. https://t.co/O28VXSatMU $MSFT from the Munger 200-Week Spotter Scan: Fundamentals strong. Price near the 200-week. These opportunities dont show up often. https://t.co/O28VXSatMU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1913744415224373254)  2025-04-19T23:59Z 20.6K followers, [----] engagements


"The correct question is NOT Which is the better dividend ETF The correct question IS Which is the better dividend ETF right now At any given point in time there is usually a leader and a laggard. So choose wisely. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1915032607328178568)  2025-04-23T13:18Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Does wildly bearish sentiment guarantee higher stock prices No. Still the historical impliction is clear i.e. do NOT give into fear. @Callum_Thomas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1916566791343464591)  2025-04-27T18:55Z 20.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Random opinion: WAY too many people (on BOTH sides) are injecting their personal political beliefs into their market analysis. (HINT: The market DOESN'T CARE a wit about your personal politics) "Listen to the market.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1917909159712051392)  2025-05-01T11:49Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Keeping a close eye on June $CL. BELOW [-----] = BAD ABOVE [-----] = Not necessarily good but definitely better than below [-----] @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1917940511609934244)  2025-05-01T13:53Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Crude oil versus Gold. Will this trend favoring gold last forever No. Am I foolish enough to try to pick the bottom in this relationship Also no. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1919390316928335897)  2025-05-05T13:54Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"When Consumer Confidence plunges investors typically start worrying about their stock portfolios. Ironically what they really should be worried about is their bond portfolio. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1919457324583772554)  2025-05-05T18:21Z 20.8K followers, 19.1K engagements


"A tough time to be a home buyer for sure. BUT keep saving your money and your day WILL come. To say that the housing market is cyclical might be the single greatest understatement I could make. When I started in this business mortgage rates peaked north of 18% The market is coming up on two years where mortgage rates have generally been higher than junk bond yields. Since [----] the median mortgage rate was equal to the junk bond yield MINUS 1%. Today mortgage rates are equal to the junk bond yield of 6.24% PLUS 0.64% or 6.88%. Until https://t.co/Mqn9TI5iEw The market is coming up on two years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1920079914818027963)  2025-05-07T11:34Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Looking for a decent trend-following indicator Cut out the middleman (SPY) and compare semiconductors directly to utilities. NOT a trading system BUT a very useful objective filter IMO. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1920467921572114903)  2025-05-08T13:16Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Seasonality is merely a summation of the past NOT a roadmap to the future. It is climate not weather. Am I "predicting" a crypto rally Not all all Do I have exposure in $IBIT calls just in case No comment Dont go to sleep on $BTCUSD $IBIT @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1920472334588121469)  2025-05-08T13:34Z 20.8K followers, 21.3K engagements


"If you are willing to buy beaten-down stocks and hold them with a longer-term horizon IMO they are giving away PEP MRK and UPS. I am not a great stock-picker this is NOT advice the charts look awful and theres no guarantee they wont go lower. Just a random opinion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1921951271747006524)  2025-05-12T15:31Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"The US Dollar was beaten down and due for a bounce and so it has. The stuff I follow is still unfavorable for the buck. My approach: Dollar [---] (press the short side) Dollar [---] (stand aside) Not advice just the ramblings of a market-addled mind. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1921959763274801310)  2025-05-12T16:04Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"PPI 12-mo % change = 0.7%. Could inflation pick up in the future Absolutely. As an investor should inflation be something you are worried about now Absolutely not. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1923012837263261764)  2025-05-15T13:49Z 20.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Sentiment. Right in the middle wrong at the extremes. Same as it ever was. @sentimentrader If this #market keeps rallying the need to play #catchup on performance by #fund managers could provide a decent tailwind to stocks. https://t.co/fdQWPPE61V If this #market keeps rallying the need to play #catchup on performance by #fund managers could provide a decent tailwind to stocks. https://t.co/fdQWPPE61V"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1923356054118613168)  2025-05-16T12:33Z 20.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Will the Post Tariff Tantrum rally follow through If SMH overtakes XLU probably Yes. If SMH fails to overtake XLU probably No. Jays Trading Maxim #7: Trading doesnt have to be rocket science. In fact it doesnt even necessarily have to be sophisticated. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1924448195477721369)  2025-05-19T12:52Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Boring can be beautiful. Momentum traders will favor $CTVA. Value investors might consider $FMC (which they are seemingly giving away at the moment IMO). Manure jokes aside fertilizer names appear to be turning. $CTVA $CF $FMC $MOS https://t.co/9DFMz2MUH8 Manure jokes aside fertilizer names appear to be turning. $CTVA $CF $FMC $MOS https://t.co/9DFMz2MUH8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1925877425180704976)  2025-05-23T11:32Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Want a clue as to whether the rally will follow through Keep an eye on this ratio. Yes Discretionary versus Staples is presently in Risk On mode. But not by much so pay close attention. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1927700629629145156)  2025-05-28T12:16Z 20.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Our @Sentimentrader Sentiment Cycle Composite did NOT issue a Sell signal during the Tariff Tantrum and is turning back up. Watching closely to see where it goes from here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1932807119222317471)  2025-06-11T14:28Z 21K followers, [----] engagements


"Just a reminder: The Two Worst Investment Strategies: "I like the current administration so I think the market will do great." "I dislike the current administration so I think the market will do awful." (HINT: The market doesn't care about your politics one way or the other)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1937136491328618970)  2025-06-23T13:11Z 21.1K followers, 15.6K engagements


"I am NOT bearish on platinum. That said I am also aware that nothing moves in a straight line forever. Red dots = 10-day average of @Sentimentrader PPLT Optix crossed above 83.7%. Miniscule sample size AND PPLT is screaming higher again today. So make of it what you will"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1938282981937860787)  2025-06-26T17:07Z 21.2K followers, 15.1K engagements


"Futures trading is NOT for the faint of heart and definitely not for the under-capitalized. That said it sure does offer some big opportunities. @sentimentrader On the other hand a double top could also provide an opportunity from the short side (but again a stop-loss is essential). https://t.co/Ihn2reYSGP On the other hand a double top could also provide an opportunity from the short side (but again a stop-loss is essential). https://t.co/Ihn2reYSGP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1938608486306226221)  2025-06-27T14:40Z 21.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Attention investors more interested in objective analysis than the latest headline: FWIW our Risk On/Risk Off Model has been Risk On since 2025-06-02. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1942246236125286496)  2025-07-07T15:36Z 21.2K followers, 21K engagements


"Low consumer confidence is not an automatic Buy signal for stocks. That said and contrary to what you may have been told - low consumer confidence IS NOT bearish for stocks. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1942602195465089512)  2025-07-08T15:10Z 21.3K followers, 17.5K engagements


"BTW below is a complete list of all the changes I have made to my portfolio in response to tariff uncertainty and the passage of recent legislation:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1943750127518154974)  2025-07-11T19:11Z 21.2K followers, [----] engagements


"An opportunity to invoke: Jay's Trading Maxim #13: There's always a bull market somewhere. Our job as investors is to find it. Chart of the Week - Commodities vs Gold The "great rotation" no one is talking about yet. Something is going on in Commodities that only comes along once every few years and when it does big shifts happen new bulls begin and select investors make a lot of money. Were https://t.co/esNQdBtksA Chart of the Week - Commodities vs Gold The "great rotation" no one is talking about yet. Something is going on in Commodities that only comes along once every few years and when"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1944146112341782541)  2025-07-12T21:25Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"The US Dollar has been awful. Could it bounce Sure. Could it get worse instead Um absolutely. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1944753334402859470)  2025-07-14T13:38Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"The trend in silver is strong. BUT bullish sentiment is getting overdone. The 20-day average of our Silver Optix indicator is above 80%. It doesnt happen often and does NOT guarantee lower prices. Still the historical results are what they are. @sentimentrader $SLV #Silver"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1945589412949012555)  2025-07-16T21:00Z 21.3K followers, 20.7K engagements


"If you are a retail trader your assignment is to not scoff at or by insulted by this but to make sure you DO NOT fall into this trap (because I think he's right). The experience a bunch of retail traders are about to encounter -Ride a bull market higher and make quick cash -Accumulate high beta names into the local market top -Broad market pulls back 5-10%. The stocks you are in correct 15-30% -You freeze up and hold on in an attempt The experience a bunch of retail traders are about to encounter -Ride a bull market higher and make quick cash -Accumulate high beta names into the local market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1946255752420634780)  2025-07-18T17:08Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Take a minute and forget all about trading systems setups indicators oscillators news earnings the Fed blah blah blah. And memorize this. You won't regret it. No one likes to lose but with trading the key is to like losing small. No one likes to lose but with trading the key is to like losing small"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1946550309876027440)  2025-07-19T12:38Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Valuation only matters: A) If you are a value investor B) or AFTER the bull market ends Otherwise focus on bullish opportunities as long as the trend is your friend (Psst: It doesn't have to be rocket science). imagine missing this entire rally because of something called "valuations" weirdos. https://t.co/7Amlfraqoo imagine missing this entire rally because of something called "valuations" weirdos. https://t.co/7Amlfraqoo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1946554159232078128)  2025-07-19T12:54Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"I have concerns about silver. BUT as a trend-follower I am clinging to $SLV (until it hits my trailing stop). Sometimes the "hard thing" in investing is "doing nothing." Silver has indeed rocketed upwards after confirming that breakout. Yes chart analysis works it helps uncover skewed reward-to-risk setups most miss. Ignore it at your own risk. https://t.co/yYvMWNPwrD Silver has indeed rocketed upwards after confirming that breakout. Yes chart analysis works it helps uncover skewed reward-to-risk setups most miss. Ignore it at your own risk. https://t.co/yYvMWNPwrD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1946555546829512931)  2025-07-19T12:59Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Rocket fuel for ETH Betting the ranch Not a chance. Allocating a reasonable amount of risk capital Isn't that what risk capital is for Short positions on Ethereum have hit RECORD levels This wont end well for the bears. https://t.co/XVYriZfjeK Short positions on Ethereum have hit RECORD levels This wont end well for the bears. https://t.co/XVYriZfjeK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1947082297515098577)  2025-07-20T23:52Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AnnapurnaFundLP For me it's historical dividend yield range price to book and swctor relative to other sectors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1947479234043158718)  2025-07-22T02:10Z 21.3K followers, [--] engagements


"In the immortal words of Ted Nugent "Dog dog dog eat dog." Granted "every dog has its day" but these have been horrible laggards. I do monitor these but haven't owned them for along time. $IWC vs. $IWM https://t.co/2s7Bn7qJhR $IWC vs. $IWM https://t.co/2s7Bn7qJhR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1948058209010295202)  2025-07-23T16:30Z 21.3K followers, [----] engagements


"My daily routine for monitoring market trends sentiment seasonal opportunities strong stocks in strong sectors and some favorite mechanical strategies. @sentimentrader https://tinyurl.com/yt6dzyy3 https://tinyurl.com/yt6dzyy3"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1949842243914744105)  2025-07-28T14:39Z 21.3K followers, 15.5K engagements


"There are never any guarantees with seasonality. That said it's soon or never for TLT. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1950959505795064270)  2025-07-31T16:39Z 21.4K followers, 11.9K engagements


"Where is Ethereum headed next Keep an eye on this line in the sand." ABOVE = GOOD BELOW = NOT SO GOOD (and potentially bad) Jays Trading Maxim #7: Trading doesnt have to be rocket science. @sentimentrader $ETHA Ethereum approaching a potential resistance area on the weekly. $ETH https://t.co/fWB3f7i6Ka Ethereum approaching a potential resistance area on the weekly. $ETH https://t.co/fWB3f7i6Ka"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1953783494456258947)  2025-08-08T11:40Z 21.5K followers, [----] engagements


"The stuff I follow is still net bullish on stocks so I am still bullish on stocks. That said valuation suggests its a good time to invoke Jay's Trading Maxim #18: Follow the trend but DO NOT fall in love with the trend. h/t: @Callum_Thomas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1954864380828361192)  2025-08-11T11:16Z 21.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Repeating now. @sentimentrader The line in the sand is STILL [-------] on Sep S&P [---] futures (now its support instead of resistance). ABOVE = GOOD BELOW = NOT SO GOOD (and potentially bad) @sentimentrader https://t.co/8OagQYq0EO The line in the sand is STILL [-------] on Sep S&P [---] futures (now its support instead of resistance). ABOVE = GOOD BELOW = NOT SO GOOD (and potentially bad) @sentimentrader https://t.co/8OagQYq0EO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1958564961040351274)  2025-08-21T16:20Z 21.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Gold is trying again to hit a new ATH Is the 6th time the charm @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1961520303080956210)  2025-08-29T20:04Z 21.6K followers, [----] engagements


"I prefer a lot of insider buying. BUT in a pinch I will settle for a dearth of insider selling. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1965808206523048141)  2025-09-10T16:02Z 21.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Chinese stocks are trying to accelerate relative to U.S. stocks. Worth keeping a close eye on this relationship. @sentimentrader $FXI $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1966170671471583477)  2025-09-11T16:03Z 21.8K followers, 15K engagements


"Insider activity is NOT precision market timing. That said here near new ATHs Nasdaq [---] index corporate insiders are putting money to work in their own stocks. Make of it what you will. @sentimentrader $NDX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1966881550563422697)  2025-09-13T15:07Z 21.7K followers, [----] engagements


"How will the market react today It beats me. BUT here is one reason for long-term investors to tune out and simply remain long-term investors. h/t: @RyanDetrick"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1968292888082833445)  2025-09-17T12:36Z 21.7K followers, 20.8K engagements


"Hedge Fund Exposure to Stocks crossing above 0% while SPX 200-day MA. This is NOT a trading system or even a buy signal. BUT is an item for the favorable side of the weight of the evidence ledger. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1968674723400732895)  2025-09-18T13:53Z 21.7K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Rampant bullishness among gold stock traders. A rocket ship blasting off into orbit Or due for a pullback Am riding the trend for now BUT have located the exit nearest to me.just in case. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1969389181802631352)  2025-09-20T13:12Z 21.8K followers, 17.5K engagements


"Looking for a clue regarding how long the gold rally will last Keep an eye on this chart. If the Dollar bounces from here gold bulls beware. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1970483322401738899)  2025-09-23T13:40Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Jays Trading Maxim #45: The only thing more dangerous than trying to time the exact top (or bottom) is believing that the current rally (or decline) will last forever. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1970558946428809262)  2025-09-23T18:40Z 21.8K followers, 12.6K engagements


"This is why trailing stops were invented. And also why trying to "pick the top" is such a bad idea. "Listen to the market." If it says "I want to run" then for the love of God let it run. @sentimentrader Silver soars to highest price in more than [--] years 📈📈 https://t.co/NO1Qm2TNV4 Silver soars to highest price in more than [--] years 📈📈 https://t.co/NO1Qm2TNV4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1971540937857011740)  2025-09-26T11:42Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements


"I have no reason to cut back on my stock or precious metals positions. BUT I will IF they give me a reason to. Remember Hope is NOT a strategy BUT disciplined trend-following IS. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1972672869839560953)  2025-09-29T14:40Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements


"True Confession Time: I still don't really understand what Bitcoin is. BUT I DO understand that if I follow the trend AND cut my losses there is opportunity there (HINT: That's good enough for me). Bitcoin returns since [----]. $BTC https://t.co/HMPxDawtnd Bitcoin returns since [----]. $BTC https://t.co/HMPxDawtnd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1973732055294021890)  2025-10-02T12:49Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements


"In Bitcoin we trust Bitcoin hit all time highs again. If you were expecting something different you were probably overthinking it. Remember crypto bull markets don't reward intelligence they reward gonads. $BTC https://t.co/X7H1r3n7hz Bitcoin hit all time highs again. If you were expecting something different you were probably overthinking it. Remember crypto bull markets don't reward intelligence they reward gonads. $BTC https://t.co/X7H1r3n7hz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1975386225667461385)  2025-10-07T02:22Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Another week another spike in health care insider bullishness. Ho hum. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1975598388076028336)  2025-10-07T16:25Z 21.9K followers, 15.8K engagements


"Precious metals have been in runaway train mode. Ill not stand in the way. However I also am not adding to positions at the moment (and am in Think profit-taking and tighten trailing stop mode). Sorry its just my nature. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1976247865065578954)  2025-10-09T11:26Z 21.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Gold is more expensive relative to the Bloomberg Commodity Index now than since well ever. Is it about time for some reversion to the mean regarding Gold vis a vis commodities in general It beats me. But history suggests Yes. @sentimentrader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1978796854432129331)  2025-10-16T12:15Z 21.9K followers, [----] engagements


"http://t.co/0w2ntqOw1C: A Simple Stock Market Hedge (Parts [--] and 2) Part 1: http://t.co/35o2FjRWpa Part 2: http://t.co/2XhDCzdZk9 http://tinyurl.com/pxan6sz http://tinyurl.com/odkegxn http://JayOnTheMarkets.com http://tinyurl.com/pxan6sz http://tinyurl.com/odkegxn http://JayOnTheMarkets.com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/593380685311844352)  2015-04-29T11:45Z 17.7K followers, [--] engagements


"The best sectors (typically) for May: Energy Gold Biotech Finance Banks. Fidelity Sector funds: FSESXFSAGXFBIOXFSVLXFSRBX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/65372474405158912)  2011-05-03T11:09Z 21.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Junk Bonds - History Says Go Chart Says No() https://tinyurl.com/y8uy79uz http://JayOnTheMarkets.com https://tinyurl.com/y8uy79uz http://JayOnTheMarkets.com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/943490030760316929)  2017-12-20T14:35Z 17.7K followers, [--] engagements

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