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# ![@invest091 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1653564935782400000.png) @invest091 Michael | Stock Spotlight ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ

Michael | Stock Spotlight ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ posts on X about $bmi, $tost, $mtn, meter the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1653564935782400000/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1653564935782400000/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +78%
- X Month XXXXXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXXXX +48%
- X Year XXXXXXX +455%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1653564935782400000/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1653564935782400000/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXX +5.60%
- X Year XXXXX +129%

### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1653564935782400000/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1653564935782400000/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +0.84%
- X Month XXXXX +3.50%
- X Months XXXXX +89%
- X Year XXXXX +471%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1653564935782400000/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1653564935782400000/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #5161 [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXXX% [finance](/list/finance)  XXXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXXX% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[$bmi](/topic/$bmi) #1, [$tost](/topic/$tost) #1, [$mtn](/topic/$mtn) #7, [meter](/topic/meter) #514, [$four](/topic/$four) #5, [stocks](/topic/stocks) 3.8%, [debt](/topic/debt) #1695, [strong](/topic/strong) 3.8%, [$xyz](/topic/$xyz) #2, [$adyen](/topic/$adyen) #2

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@shivamkashan](/creator/undefined) [@saynototrading](/creator/undefined) [@dimitrynakhla](/creator/undefined) [@business](/creator/undefined) [@lloydjamesross](/creator/undefined) [@bobspaysubstack](/creator/undefined) [@investsmart94](/creator/undefined) [@bushwoodcap](/creator/undefined) [@cvxbets](/creator/undefined) [@fiscorainvest](/creator/undefined) [@griffonomics](/creator/undefined) [@investinassets](/creator/undefined) [@kyleadamsstocks](/creator/undefined) [@latticeinvestor](/creator/undefined) [@themattharbaugh](/creator/undefined) [@ashton1nvests](/creator/undefined) [@bourboncap](/creator/undefined) [@mindset4moneyx](/creator/undefined) [@jimmyinvesting](/creator/undefined) [@myersbradley](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bridge Mutual (BMI)](/topic/$bmi) [Toast, Inc. (TOST)](/topic/$tost) [Medicalchain (MTN)](/topic/$mtn) [4 (FOUR)](/topic/$four) [Block, Inc. (XYZ)](/topic/$xyz) [Cross The Ages (CTA)](/topic/$cta) [Oracle Corporation (ORCL)](/topic/$orcl) [Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)](/topic/eli-lilly) [Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX)](/topic/$fcx) [JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES plc. (JHX)](/topic/$jhx) [Universal Display Corp (OLED)](/topic/$oled) [Centric Swap (CNS)](/topic/$cns) [Streamity (STM)](/topic/$stm) [Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. (HALO)](/topic/$halo) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [SAP SE (SAP)](/topic/$sap) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [UNIPOLY (UNP)](/topic/$unp) [Canadian National Railway (CNI)](/topic/$cni) [Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)](/topic/$nsc) [Xylem Inc (XYL)](/topic/$xyl) [Itron Inc (ITRI)](/topic/$itri) [Roper Technologies Inc (ROP)](/topic/$rop) [Fiserv Inc (FISV)](/topic/$fisv) [Fortinet Inc (FTNT)](/topic/$ftnt) [Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL)](/topic/$tyl) [Now Coin (NOW)](/topic/$now) [Mastercard, Inc. (MA)](/topic/$ma)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Me trying to explain to my Boomer retired Dad why my alt sleeve is XX% of my portfolio. $BTAL $CTA $DBMF $KMLM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1903147096733274613)  2025-03-21T18:10Z 2150 followers, 1352 engagements


"My alternative sleeve now makes up XX% of my portfolio: $BTAL - An anti-beta play that hedges against equity downturns. Defensive & uncorrelated. $CTA - Trend following mean reversion and carry in bonds & commodities $DBMF - Aims to replicate top hedge fund strategies $KMLM - Long-term trend following across bonds commodities and currencies Should I do a podcast episode on the alternatives asset class #Investing #Alternatives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1903816506602897677)  2025-03-23T14:30Z 2150 followers, 1486 engagements


"๐Ÿšจ New Stock Spotlight drops Wed 8/27 ๐Ÿšจ I usually do deep dives on individual stocks but this time Im breaking down factor investing and why XX% of my portfolio is in ETFs like $AVUV $QMOM & $AVDV. Well cover: ๐Ÿ“ˆ X major factors โš– Core vs. Extended ๐Ÿ›  How to actually tilt your portfolio Dont miss it. #StockSpotlight #Investing #Podcast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1959971526322586070)  2025-08-25T13:30Z 2152 followers, XXX engagements


"Stocks with 30%+ Gross Margin 10%+ 5-YR ROIC XX% Rev Growth Next Year and trading at 2030x Forward PE (with XX% price target upside): X. Eli Lilly $LLY X. Freeport-McMoRan $FCX X. STMicroelectronics $STM X. James Hardie $JHX X. Universal Display $OLED X. Cohen & Steers $CNS X. Himax Technologies $HIMX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1972667672828731667)  2025-09-29T14:19Z 2151 followers, XXX engagements


"๐Ÿšจ $MTN Q4 '25: Deeper Seasonal Loss Flat FY26 Guide Eyes on FY27 Reacceleration ๐ŸŽฟ Q4 '25 Results: ๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue: $271.29M vs. $273.69M est. (2.2% YOY XXXX% miss) ๐Ÿ’ฐ EPS (GAAP): -$5.08 vs. -$4.74 est. (8.1% deeper loss YOY XXX% miss) Key Metrics: โ›ท North American Skier Visits (FY25): -X% YOY ๐ŸŽซ Non-Pass Effective Ticket Price: +5.1% YOY Balance Sheet: ๐Ÿ’ฐ Net Cash (Debt): -$2.75B ๐Ÿ“‰ Net Debt / EBITDA: 3.2x FY26 Guide: ๐Ÿ“Š Net Income: $201M$276M (vs. $280M FY25 midpoint implies decline) ๐Ÿ“Š Resort EBITDA: $842M$898M (flat to modest growth) Q4 results highlight the seasonal loss pattern and a slight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1972764671674556652)  2025-09-29T20:45Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements


"Fantastic overview of Balance Sheets in general with a focus on Vail Resorts $MTN. Worth a read ๐Ÿ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1974490109841178680)  2025-10-04T15:01Z 2148 followers, XXX engagements


"๐Ÿ“Š 20-YR ROIC Trend for $BMI (Badger Meter) At first glance: consistency. Look deeper: cycles every 5-10 yrs. Cycle snapshots: 2008 2011: XXXXX% XXXXX% 2012 2015: XXXXX% XXXX% 2015 2024: XXXX% XXXXX% However recent uptrend feels less cyclical perhaps a structural shift Either way impressive ROIC numbers. #QualityGrowth #Investing #ROIC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1984596785441226766)  2025-11-01T12:22Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"Just ran $HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics) through my 33-question research checklist and they scored well: โœ… XX% Quality Score ๐Ÿ… Top Quartile Benchmark (70%) ๐Ÿ“Š 78th percentile overall 69th in Health Care sector Halozyme isnt your typical biotech. They monetize their drug delivery tech via royalty + licensing deals with big pharma creating a high-margin asset-light model that scales beautifully. Strengths: - High FCF margins - ROIC substantially WACC - Top quartile revenue per employee - 3/3 on profitability vs. industry (GM OM NPM) Worth keeping an eye on. ๐Ÿ‘€"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1984984590939799609)  2025-11-02T14:03Z 2151 followers, XXX engagements


"Badger Meter $BMI reports a single Selling Engineering & Administration (SEA) line item but also discloses R&D separately within the 10-K. Over the last five years SEA has declined from XX% of gross profits to now XX% as of FY XX. R&D has been stable at XX% of gross profit (23% of revenue) reflecting steady reinvestment in new meters sensors and SaaS. ๐Ÿ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1985452423956091202)  2025-11-03T21:02Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"Water Utility Metering Penetration by Technology (2024) North America: ๐Ÿ”น Manual: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMR: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMI: XX% Europe: ๐Ÿ”น Manual: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMR: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMI: XX% Clear runway for $BMI as utilities modernize toward AMI. If they can capture more of Europe in the future watch out. Sources: Berg Insight & ResearchAndMarkets Smart Water Metering in Europe and North America 2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1986184247799922812)  2025-11-05T21:30Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"Moat: Switching Costs ๐Ÿ”„ If its painful to leave customers stay. $ADBE Creative Cloud $SAP / $ORCL ERP $MSFT Azure Why it matters: Predictable revenue + pricing power. The sneakiest moat = switching costs. Its not love its lock-in. Ever tried moving an entire company off SAP or Adobe Exactly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1986478692256948514)  2025-11-06T17:00Z 2145 followers, XXX engagements


"Despite making a decent amount of bolt-on acquisitions it's impressive how consistent (and below industry avg/my benchmark) $BMI's goodwill has been over the last XX years as a % of total assets. Impressive. ๐Ÿ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1988782617106563206)  2025-11-13T01:35Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements


"$UNP generates $6B FCF. $NSC adds $2.3B. Combined thats $8.3B+ in annual FCF before efficiency gains. Even a 5-10% synergy lift pushes that toward $9B which would be XXX the FCF of $CNI. ๐Ÿš‚ #RailStocks #UNP #NSC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1990503203998175335)  2025-11-17T19:32Z 2151 followers, XXX engagements


"$BMI Capital allocation priorities. Do you think this matches well with their business life cycle stage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1990792611167408463)  2025-11-18T14:42Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements


"๐Ÿ’งWhy are utilities moving from AMR AMI $BMI highlights a key reason: reducing costly truck rolls. AMI adoption rates are much higher in the U.S. than Europe an area where Badger Meter is still working to earn more share"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1993494917180518543)  2025-11-26T01:40Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements


"๐Ÿ“ˆ $BMI SBC-Adjusted FCF Linearity Over the last decade Badger Meters SBC-adjusted Free Cash Flow has climbed from $15M (2015) to $135M (2024) with a strong R of XXXX. Thats rare consistency for an industrial (tech) name showing FCF growth thats steady enough to model and plan around. #FCF #QualityStocks #Investing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1993690959276867998)  2025-11-26T14:39Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements


"Took a closer look at Badger Meters $BMI Adjusted ROIC: ๐Ÿงฎ NOPAT Invested Capital ๐Ÿ— IC = (Assets Goodwill Excess Cash) + Debt (AP + Accruals) ๐Ÿ’ฐ Excess Cash = Cash XX% of Current Liabilities The result ROIC climbed steadily from X% XX% in XX years. Thats world-class capital efficiency. Listen to Stock Spotlight podcast episode XX for a deep dive into this high quality company.๐ŸŽง"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1996212827145548098)  2025-12-03T13:40Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"$TOST EV/GP multiple has reset sharply to 12x TTM now below its 4-YR median of 16.3x and slightly above peers $XYZ 7.6x $FOUR 3.6x. But theres an important context check inherent in multiples: Toasts revenue growth has decelerated from XXX% XX% XX% XX% 26%. Historical averages get pulled up by periods of explosive growth and competitor comps can mislead because each player sits at a different stage of scale margin structure and reinvestment intensity. For Toast I'm using the following "normalized" EV/GP multiples moving forward: Conservative: 7-10x Base: 11-14x Bull: 15-18x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1996361431722389758)  2025-12-03T23:30Z 2150 followers, 1078 engagements


"@Ashton_1nvests Probably ROE. It is often overrated because it can look strong even when the business is using high leverage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1997700515053089275)  2025-12-07T16:11Z 2150 followers, XX engagements


"๐Ÿ“Š Smart Water Metering: $BMI vs $XYL vs $ITRI vs $ROP Badger Meter shows why investors treat it as a "quality compounder." With gross margins near XX% and FCF margins of XX% it outpaces water peers like Xylem and Itron and its ROIC (18% 5-yr avg) is best-in-class. Efficiency is also a strength generating $70K of free cash flow per employee nearly double Xylem and Itron. Growth outlook is steadier: revenue is projected to rise X% annually but free cash flow growth lags peers at XX% versus Itrons 17%+. That maturity explains its premium valuation 38x forward earnings and 41x EV/FCF investors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1964427133213954561)  2025-09-06T20:35Z 2150 followers, 3753 engagements


"โš™ Stock Spotlight Watch List Valuation Trend I rebuilt my watch list tracker to merge valuation with technical context to find ideal entry prices for each stock on my watch list. Ideal Entry = (DCF Fair Value 0.5) + (Lower of 1-YR EMA and 5-YR EMA (1.05 if both trends are Up or Slightly Up otherwise 1.00) XXX ) Here's how the watch list ranks: ๐ŸŸขStrong X and 5-YR trends closer to ideal entry price: $VEEV $NSSC $CBOE ๐ŸŸก Strong X and 5-YR trends further from ideal entry price: $APP $CDNS $KLAC $MEDP $ROL ๐ŸŸกValue zones with 5-YR trend up: $DECK $SFM $TTD ๐ŸŸ Mixed trend and value signals: $ADP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1986071009255104899)  2025-11-05T14:00Z 2150 followers, 2532 engagements


"@BourbonCap Researching $TOST right now and $FOUR certainly looks like an intriguing alternative (similar growth better valuation). Both might be long-term winners though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1996700877160325249)  2025-12-04T21:59Z 2150 followers, 1162 engagements


"Fresh off Q4 XX earnings Vail Resorts $MTN shows a mixed fair value picture: ๐Ÿ“ŒDCF FV: $XXX (Undervalued) ๐Ÿ“ŒAdj DCF FV (net debt): $XXX (Overvalued) ๐Ÿ“ŒForward P/E: 21x vs 10Y avg 37x FV $XXX ๐Ÿ“ŒEV/EBITDA: 12x vs 10Y avg 15x FV $XXX ๐Ÿ“ŒP/FCF: 14x vs 10Y avg 17x FV $XXX Range of outcomes is wide ($74-$288) but multiples suggest some upside potential"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1977135370492948632)  2025-10-11T22:13Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"Skier visits in NA: 75M in FY14 78M in FY24. Thats XX years for 3m more skier days. $MTN wants to create loyalty in low growth industry. But can they actually make the pie bigger or just charge more for the same pie"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1978226815022879046)  2025-10-14T22:30Z 2150 followers, 1160 engagements


"$BMI TSR 2025-2029 Forecast ๐ŸŸข FCF per Share Growth: +10.2% Built off analyst estimates $231M FCF in 2029 assuming 30M diluted shares (0% buyback in line w/ 10-YR median) ๐Ÿ”ด Valuation Multiple: XXX% drag Current Forward EV/EBIT: XX modeled at XX in 2029 ๐Ÿ”ต Dividend Yield: +0.85% Disciplined XX% payout ratio small bump in yield as multiples compress ๐Ÿ‘‰ Net base case: 10%/yr over 5Y ๐Ÿ‘‰ Range: XXX% TSR Quiet compounder in water utilities with steady bolt-ons as hidden upside. #QualityStocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1995908319719161944)  2025-12-02T17:30Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"Researching $TOST for my next Stock Spotlight episode and pulled a quick comp set: - Historical growth winner: $TOST at XXXX% 5-YR revenue and XXXX% 5-YR gross profit CAGR - Fastest forward growth winner: $FOUR with XXXX% revenue and XXXX% EBITDA growth rates expected - Valuation range is huge: EV/GP spans from $XYZ at XXX to $ADYEN at XXXX - $FISV looks cheap for a reason Ha. Screenshot includes conditional formatting for context. Full breakdown in upcoming episode"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1996696010223931560)  2025-12-04T21:40Z 2150 followers, 1032 engagements


"How much SaaS is hiding inside the major payments players Using TTM data: $TOST XX% of revenue from SaaS but XX% of gross profit. Payments + SaaS hybrid. $FOUR XX% subscription revenue no GP breakout. Still payments-only economically. $XYZ XX% of revenue and XX% of gross profit from subscription/services. Another hybrid. $ADYEN X% SaaS. Pure global payments processor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1997401491594973342)  2025-12-06T20:23Z 2149 followers, 12.8K engagements


"@Jimmy_Investing recently broke down $FTNT on his Discord and these two slides stood out to me. Fortinet is still only about X% of total cybersecurity industry revenue despite being one of the most profitable vendors in the space. Given their mix of hardware SASE and platform consolidation tailwinds I believe they still have a long runway as security spending scales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1997448469481676899)  2025-12-06T23:30Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"Did some digging on $TYL comparables ๐Ÿ‘‡ Top X closest peers I found: X $IIIV smaller cap junior Tyler (justice public safety gov SaaS) X $ORCL big enterprise ERP sticky gov clients X $NOW SaaS workflows used in gov digital transformation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1997987520127410577)  2025-12-08T11:12Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"@bobspaysubstack Nice list I own $MA of the group. Why $ADYEN over $TOST in your mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1998074019107733946)  2025-12-08T16:55Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements


"@bobspaysubstack Very true Adyen is probably the safer bet with Toast having some intriguing international runway (should they so choose I think on of their latest IT decks has some details on their international TAM)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1998087615372009660)  2025-12-08T17:49Z 2150 followers, XX engagements


"@myersbradley @TwoCentsGal Actually surprised HI isnt below CA at least based on my personal experience in both"  
[X Link](https://x.com/invest091/status/1998151126705725681)  2025-12-08T22:02Z 2150 followers, XX engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@invest091 Avatar @invest091 Michael | Stock Spotlight ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ

Michael | Stock Spotlight ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ posts on X about $bmi, $tost, $mtn, meter the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +78%
  • X Month XXXXXX -XX%
  • X Months XXXXXXX +48%
  • X Year XXXXXXX +455%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX -XX%
  • X Month XXX -XX%
  • X Months XXXXX +5.60%
  • X Year XXXXX +129%

Followers: XXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXX +0.84%
  • X Month XXXXX +3.50%
  • X Months XXXXX +89%
  • X Year XXXXX +471%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies #5161 stocks XXXXX% finance XXXXX% technology brands XXXX% countries XXXX% social networks XXXX%

Social topic influence $bmi #1, $tost #1, $mtn #7, meter #514, $four #5, stocks 3.8%, debt #1695, strong 3.8%, $xyz #2, $adyen #2

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @shivamkashan @saynototrading @dimitrynakhla @business @lloydjamesross @bobspaysubstack @investsmart94 @bushwoodcap @cvxbets @fiscorainvest @griffonomics @investinassets @kyleadamsstocks @latticeinvestor @themattharbaugh @ashton1nvests @bourboncap @mindset4moneyx @jimmyinvesting @myersbradley

Top assets mentioned Bridge Mutual (BMI) Toast, Inc. (TOST) Medicalchain (MTN) 4 (FOUR) Block, Inc. (XYZ) Cross The Ages (CTA) Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX) JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES plc. (JHX) Universal Display Corp (OLED) Centric Swap (CNS) Streamity (STM) Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. (HALO) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) SAP SE (SAP) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) UNIPOLY (UNP) Canadian National Railway (CNI) Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Xylem Inc (XYL) Itron Inc (ITRI) Roper Technologies Inc (ROP) Fiserv Inc (FISV) Fortinet Inc (FTNT) Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) Now Coin (NOW) Mastercard, Inc. (MA)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Me trying to explain to my Boomer retired Dad why my alt sleeve is XX% of my portfolio. $BTAL $CTA $DBMF $KMLM"
X Link 2025-03-21T18:10Z 2150 followers, 1352 engagements

"My alternative sleeve now makes up XX% of my portfolio: $BTAL - An anti-beta play that hedges against equity downturns. Defensive & uncorrelated. $CTA - Trend following mean reversion and carry in bonds & commodities $DBMF - Aims to replicate top hedge fund strategies $KMLM - Long-term trend following across bonds commodities and currencies Should I do a podcast episode on the alternatives asset class #Investing #Alternatives"
X Link 2025-03-23T14:30Z 2150 followers, 1486 engagements

"๐Ÿšจ New Stock Spotlight drops Wed 8/27 ๐Ÿšจ I usually do deep dives on individual stocks but this time Im breaking down factor investing and why XX% of my portfolio is in ETFs like $AVUV $QMOM & $AVDV. Well cover: ๐Ÿ“ˆ X major factors โš– Core vs. Extended ๐Ÿ›  How to actually tilt your portfolio Dont miss it. #StockSpotlight #Investing #Podcast"
X Link 2025-08-25T13:30Z 2152 followers, XXX engagements

"Stocks with 30%+ Gross Margin 10%+ 5-YR ROIC XX% Rev Growth Next Year and trading at 2030x Forward PE (with XX% price target upside): X. Eli Lilly $LLY X. Freeport-McMoRan $FCX X. STMicroelectronics $STM X. James Hardie $JHX X. Universal Display $OLED X. Cohen & Steers $CNS X. Himax Technologies $HIMX"
X Link 2025-09-29T14:19Z 2151 followers, XXX engagements

"๐Ÿšจ $MTN Q4 '25: Deeper Seasonal Loss Flat FY26 Guide Eyes on FY27 Reacceleration ๐ŸŽฟ Q4 '25 Results: ๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue: $271.29M vs. $273.69M est. (2.2% YOY XXXX% miss) ๐Ÿ’ฐ EPS (GAAP): -$5.08 vs. -$4.74 est. (8.1% deeper loss YOY XXX% miss) Key Metrics: โ›ท North American Skier Visits (FY25): -X% YOY ๐ŸŽซ Non-Pass Effective Ticket Price: +5.1% YOY Balance Sheet: ๐Ÿ’ฐ Net Cash (Debt): -$2.75B ๐Ÿ“‰ Net Debt / EBITDA: 3.2x FY26 Guide: ๐Ÿ“Š Net Income: $201M$276M (vs. $280M FY25 midpoint implies decline) ๐Ÿ“Š Resort EBITDA: $842M$898M (flat to modest growth) Q4 results highlight the seasonal loss pattern and a slight"
X Link 2025-09-29T20:45Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements

"Fantastic overview of Balance Sheets in general with a focus on Vail Resorts $MTN. Worth a read ๐Ÿ‘‡"
X Link 2025-10-04T15:01Z 2148 followers, XXX engagements

"๐Ÿ“Š 20-YR ROIC Trend for $BMI (Badger Meter) At first glance: consistency. Look deeper: cycles every 5-10 yrs. Cycle snapshots: 2008 2011: XXXXX% XXXXX% 2012 2015: XXXXX% XXXX% 2015 2024: XXXX% XXXXX% However recent uptrend feels less cyclical perhaps a structural shift Either way impressive ROIC numbers. #QualityGrowth #Investing #ROIC"
X Link 2025-11-01T12:22Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"Just ran $HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics) through my 33-question research checklist and they scored well: โœ… XX% Quality Score ๐Ÿ… Top Quartile Benchmark (70%) ๐Ÿ“Š 78th percentile overall 69th in Health Care sector Halozyme isnt your typical biotech. They monetize their drug delivery tech via royalty + licensing deals with big pharma creating a high-margin asset-light model that scales beautifully. Strengths: - High FCF margins - ROIC substantially WACC - Top quartile revenue per employee - 3/3 on profitability vs. industry (GM OM NPM) Worth keeping an eye on. ๐Ÿ‘€"
X Link 2025-11-02T14:03Z 2151 followers, XXX engagements

"Badger Meter $BMI reports a single Selling Engineering & Administration (SEA) line item but also discloses R&D separately within the 10-K. Over the last five years SEA has declined from XX% of gross profits to now XX% as of FY XX. R&D has been stable at XX% of gross profit (23% of revenue) reflecting steady reinvestment in new meters sensors and SaaS. ๐Ÿ‘‡"
X Link 2025-11-03T21:02Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"Water Utility Metering Penetration by Technology (2024) North America: ๐Ÿ”น Manual: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMR: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMI: XX% Europe: ๐Ÿ”น Manual: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMR: XX% ๐Ÿ”น AMI: XX% Clear runway for $BMI as utilities modernize toward AMI. If they can capture more of Europe in the future watch out. Sources: Berg Insight & ResearchAndMarkets Smart Water Metering in Europe and North America 2025"
X Link 2025-11-05T21:30Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"Moat: Switching Costs ๐Ÿ”„ If its painful to leave customers stay. $ADBE Creative Cloud $SAP / $ORCL ERP $MSFT Azure Why it matters: Predictable revenue + pricing power. The sneakiest moat = switching costs. Its not love its lock-in. Ever tried moving an entire company off SAP or Adobe Exactly"
X Link 2025-11-06T17:00Z 2145 followers, XXX engagements

"Despite making a decent amount of bolt-on acquisitions it's impressive how consistent (and below industry avg/my benchmark) $BMI's goodwill has been over the last XX years as a % of total assets. Impressive. ๐Ÿ‘‡"
X Link 2025-11-13T01:35Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements

"$UNP generates $6B FCF. $NSC adds $2.3B. Combined thats $8.3B+ in annual FCF before efficiency gains. Even a 5-10% synergy lift pushes that toward $9B which would be XXX the FCF of $CNI. ๐Ÿš‚ #RailStocks #UNP #NSC"
X Link 2025-11-17T19:32Z 2151 followers, XXX engagements

"$BMI Capital allocation priorities. Do you think this matches well with their business life cycle stage"
X Link 2025-11-18T14:42Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements

"๐Ÿ’งWhy are utilities moving from AMR AMI $BMI highlights a key reason: reducing costly truck rolls. AMI adoption rates are much higher in the U.S. than Europe an area where Badger Meter is still working to earn more share"
X Link 2025-11-26T01:40Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements

"๐Ÿ“ˆ $BMI SBC-Adjusted FCF Linearity Over the last decade Badger Meters SBC-adjusted Free Cash Flow has climbed from $15M (2015) to $135M (2024) with a strong R of XXXX. Thats rare consistency for an industrial (tech) name showing FCF growth thats steady enough to model and plan around. #FCF #QualityStocks #Investing"
X Link 2025-11-26T14:39Z 2149 followers, XXX engagements

"Took a closer look at Badger Meters $BMI Adjusted ROIC: ๐Ÿงฎ NOPAT Invested Capital ๐Ÿ— IC = (Assets Goodwill Excess Cash) + Debt (AP + Accruals) ๐Ÿ’ฐ Excess Cash = Cash XX% of Current Liabilities The result ROIC climbed steadily from X% XX% in XX years. Thats world-class capital efficiency. Listen to Stock Spotlight podcast episode XX for a deep dive into this high quality company.๐ŸŽง"
X Link 2025-12-03T13:40Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"$TOST EV/GP multiple has reset sharply to 12x TTM now below its 4-YR median of 16.3x and slightly above peers $XYZ 7.6x $FOUR 3.6x. But theres an important context check inherent in multiples: Toasts revenue growth has decelerated from XXX% XX% XX% XX% 26%. Historical averages get pulled up by periods of explosive growth and competitor comps can mislead because each player sits at a different stage of scale margin structure and reinvestment intensity. For Toast I'm using the following "normalized" EV/GP multiples moving forward: Conservative: 7-10x Base: 11-14x Bull: 15-18x"
X Link 2025-12-03T23:30Z 2150 followers, 1078 engagements

"@Ashton_1nvests Probably ROE. It is often overrated because it can look strong even when the business is using high leverage"
X Link 2025-12-07T16:11Z 2150 followers, XX engagements

"๐Ÿ“Š Smart Water Metering: $BMI vs $XYL vs $ITRI vs $ROP Badger Meter shows why investors treat it as a "quality compounder." With gross margins near XX% and FCF margins of XX% it outpaces water peers like Xylem and Itron and its ROIC (18% 5-yr avg) is best-in-class. Efficiency is also a strength generating $70K of free cash flow per employee nearly double Xylem and Itron. Growth outlook is steadier: revenue is projected to rise X% annually but free cash flow growth lags peers at XX% versus Itrons 17%+. That maturity explains its premium valuation 38x forward earnings and 41x EV/FCF investors"
X Link 2025-09-06T20:35Z 2150 followers, 3753 engagements

"โš™ Stock Spotlight Watch List Valuation Trend I rebuilt my watch list tracker to merge valuation with technical context to find ideal entry prices for each stock on my watch list. Ideal Entry = (DCF Fair Value 0.5) + (Lower of 1-YR EMA and 5-YR EMA (1.05 if both trends are Up or Slightly Up otherwise 1.00) XXX ) Here's how the watch list ranks: ๐ŸŸขStrong X and 5-YR trends closer to ideal entry price: $VEEV $NSSC $CBOE ๐ŸŸก Strong X and 5-YR trends further from ideal entry price: $APP $CDNS $KLAC $MEDP $ROL ๐ŸŸกValue zones with 5-YR trend up: $DECK $SFM $TTD ๐ŸŸ Mixed trend and value signals: $ADP"
X Link 2025-11-05T14:00Z 2150 followers, 2532 engagements

"@BourbonCap Researching $TOST right now and $FOUR certainly looks like an intriguing alternative (similar growth better valuation). Both might be long-term winners though"
X Link 2025-12-04T21:59Z 2150 followers, 1162 engagements

"Fresh off Q4 XX earnings Vail Resorts $MTN shows a mixed fair value picture: ๐Ÿ“ŒDCF FV: $XXX (Undervalued) ๐Ÿ“ŒAdj DCF FV (net debt): $XXX (Overvalued) ๐Ÿ“ŒForward P/E: 21x vs 10Y avg 37x FV $XXX ๐Ÿ“ŒEV/EBITDA: 12x vs 10Y avg 15x FV $XXX ๐Ÿ“ŒP/FCF: 14x vs 10Y avg 17x FV $XXX Range of outcomes is wide ($74-$288) but multiples suggest some upside potential"
X Link 2025-10-11T22:13Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"Skier visits in NA: 75M in FY14 78M in FY24. Thats XX years for 3m more skier days. $MTN wants to create loyalty in low growth industry. But can they actually make the pie bigger or just charge more for the same pie"
X Link 2025-10-14T22:30Z 2150 followers, 1160 engagements

"$BMI TSR 2025-2029 Forecast ๐ŸŸข FCF per Share Growth: +10.2% Built off analyst estimates $231M FCF in 2029 assuming 30M diluted shares (0% buyback in line w/ 10-YR median) ๐Ÿ”ด Valuation Multiple: XXX% drag Current Forward EV/EBIT: XX modeled at XX in 2029 ๐Ÿ”ต Dividend Yield: +0.85% Disciplined XX% payout ratio small bump in yield as multiples compress ๐Ÿ‘‰ Net base case: 10%/yr over 5Y ๐Ÿ‘‰ Range: XXX% TSR Quiet compounder in water utilities with steady bolt-ons as hidden upside. #QualityStocks"
X Link 2025-12-02T17:30Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"Researching $TOST for my next Stock Spotlight episode and pulled a quick comp set: - Historical growth winner: $TOST at XXXX% 5-YR revenue and XXXX% 5-YR gross profit CAGR - Fastest forward growth winner: $FOUR with XXXX% revenue and XXXX% EBITDA growth rates expected - Valuation range is huge: EV/GP spans from $XYZ at XXX to $ADYEN at XXXX - $FISV looks cheap for a reason Ha. Screenshot includes conditional formatting for context. Full breakdown in upcoming episode"
X Link 2025-12-04T21:40Z 2150 followers, 1032 engagements

"How much SaaS is hiding inside the major payments players Using TTM data: $TOST XX% of revenue from SaaS but XX% of gross profit. Payments + SaaS hybrid. $FOUR XX% subscription revenue no GP breakout. Still payments-only economically. $XYZ XX% of revenue and XX% of gross profit from subscription/services. Another hybrid. $ADYEN X% SaaS. Pure global payments processor"
X Link 2025-12-06T20:23Z 2149 followers, 12.8K engagements

"@Jimmy_Investing recently broke down $FTNT on his Discord and these two slides stood out to me. Fortinet is still only about X% of total cybersecurity industry revenue despite being one of the most profitable vendors in the space. Given their mix of hardware SASE and platform consolidation tailwinds I believe they still have a long runway as security spending scales"
X Link 2025-12-06T23:30Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"Did some digging on $TYL comparables ๐Ÿ‘‡ Top X closest peers I found: X $IIIV smaller cap junior Tyler (justice public safety gov SaaS) X $ORCL big enterprise ERP sticky gov clients X $NOW SaaS workflows used in gov digital transformation"
X Link 2025-12-08T11:12Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"@bobspaysubstack Nice list I own $MA of the group. Why $ADYEN over $TOST in your mind"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:55Z 2150 followers, XXX engagements

"@bobspaysubstack Very true Adyen is probably the safer bet with Toast having some intriguing international runway (should they so choose I think on of their latest IT decks has some details on their international TAM)"
X Link 2025-12-08T17:49Z 2150 followers, XX engagements

"@myersbradley @TwoCentsGal Actually surprised HI isnt below CA at least based on my personal experience in both"
X Link 2025-12-08T22:02Z 2150 followers, XX engagements

@invest091
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