#  @hcapinvesting H Capital
H Capital posts on X about $asts, in the, $vtyl, growth the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1777033850880749568/interactions)

- [--] Week [-----] +169%
- [--] Month [------] -36%
- [--] Months [-------] -75%
- [--] Year [-------] -65%
### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1777033850880749568/posts_active)

- [--] Week [--] no change
- [--] Month [--] -9.70%
- [--] Months [---] +0.97%
- [--] Year [---] -12%
### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1777033850880749568/followers)

- [--] Week [-----] +0.07%
- [--] Month [-----] -0.37%
- [--] Months [-----] -0.37%
- [--] Year [-----] +13%
### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1777033850880749568/influencer_rank)

### Social Influence
**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [countries](/list/countries) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [currencies](/list/currencies) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)
**Social topic influence**
[$asts](/topic/$asts), [in the](/topic/in-the), [$vtyl](/topic/$vtyl), [growth](/topic/growth), [to the](/topic/to-the), [if you](/topic/if-you), [buying](/topic/buying), [$vty](/topic/$vty), [$seiv](/topic/$seiv), [stocks](/topic/stocks)
**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@uzocapital](/creator/undefined) [@ragingbullcap](/creator/undefined) [@nestbetter](/creator/undefined) [@paulandreola](/creator/undefined) [@tidefallcapital](/creator/undefined) [@toffcap](/creator/undefined) [@adamwyden](/creator/undefined) [@astspacemobile](/creator/undefined) [@hcapinvesting](/creator/undefined) [@aboveavgodds](/creator/undefined) [@hycorps](/creator/undefined) [@onlyborrowed](/creator/undefined) [@leevalueroach](/creator/undefined) [@spacanpanman](/creator/undefined) [@jamesiebabie1](/creator/undefined) [@valuations](/creator/undefined) [@billbrewstertbb](/creator/undefined) [@jerrycap](/creator/undefined) [@bentern](/creator/undefined) [@originalbraila](/creator/undefined)
**Top assets mentioned**
[AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ASTS)](/topic/$asts) [Tidewater, Inc. (TDW)](/topic/$tdw) [Noble Corporation (NE)](/topic/$ne) [Validity (VAL)](/topic/$val) [Seadrill Limited (SDRL)](/topic/$sdrl) [Transocean LTD. (RIG)](/topic/$rig) [Metrix Coin (MRX)](/topic/$mrx) [DRX Token (DRX)](/topic/$drx) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Sei (SEI)](/topic/$sei) [Arvinas, Inc (ARVN)](/topic/$arvn)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"If you combined Warren Buffets temperament and investment acumen with Jeff Bezos vision and guts you would probably get the best investor of all time. Both extremely smart long-term thinkers with focus on cash flow"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1788508972246303124) 2024-05-09T09:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Will soon share a write up/summary of my [--] largest and highest conviction holdings why I believe they are long-term winners with a high IRR outlook and why I probably will continue adding to the positions over the next year"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1788579917631799462) 2024-05-09T14:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"(1/2) Quick microcap check-list to filter out 90%: [--]. The company is unique with no clear competitors [--]. If rule nr. [--] doesnt apply the product needs to be atleast 10x better than incumbents [--]. The company is focusing on dominating a niche market"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1788582734362783813) 2024-05-09T14:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"(2/2) [--]. Inflecting revenue growth (proven product-market-fit) [--]. Low debt/low dillution while profitable (proves cap allocation skills and/or high perceived product value for customers)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1788584161290162235) 2024-05-09T14:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FBF.V looks like a very interesting company to me. Unique tackling a niche proftable low capital intensity visionary CEO housing shortage as a tailwind. However difficult to assess demand for their products i.e. predictability of revenues. Has anyone looked into it"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1789366230530273327) 2024-05-11T18:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Microsoft never received any external funding before its IPO and was profitable from the start. Low debt low dilution and profitability is possible for smaller companies only when they are amazing businesses which is why these are smart characteristics to look for"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1789756429601042759) 2024-05-12T20:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"One of my favourite podcast episodes of all time. Tons of wisdom on business investing and life. Highly recommend. @patrick_oshag @jeremygiffon https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Vdv5i250hF6EfzOTML9REsi=vdpDB01zTUSLUlDKHhnT1Q https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Vdv5i250hF6EfzOTML9REsi=vdpDB01zTUSLUlDKHhnT1Q"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1793402355213357536) 2024-05-22T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"A friend of mine calls this trickonomy - Unnecessary consumption goods you get lured into by society once your income increases. No wonder why so few compound to meaningful wealth my most controversial take might be that i think traveling is overrated my most controversial take might be that i think traveling is overrated"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1794111819553886491) 2024-05-24T21:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I echo this. Most explosive gains are from bad companies going less bad. This is also a fairly risky strategy which warrants more diversification. I might spice my portfolio with some of this but prefer staying concetrated in undervalued quality. I like finding cheap quality companies. But Ive learned that the best returns are found when crappy companies go to less crappy I like finding cheap quality companies. But Ive learned that the best returns are found when crappy companies go to less crappy"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1794807563273503085) 2024-05-26T19:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ChanisLament You wouldve been an amazing venture capitalist Dakota"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1795463976362336374) 2024-05-28T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Have been aggressively trimming my position in $SPY over the last month. Valuations and expectations for Mag7 led by Nvidia are just getting too crazy for me. I cannot predict the future but I believe there are better R/R opportunities out there over the next 12-24 months"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1795522125337669642) 2024-05-28T18:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TidefallCapital Oh yeah shouldve done that. But I try to stay away from buying on margin. If you bought the dip when I wrote the tweet you would have made 14% in [--] minutes. Huge spread and tight flow so not guaranteed but still"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1796435465131983043) 2024-05-31T06:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"You should go follow @Uzo_Investor. Very underfollowed experienced equity analyst/investor (and a Metallica fan as a nice kicker)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1796626396778729825) 2024-05-31T19:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Its my firm belief that if you own an equally-weighted basket of $IWG.L $VTY.L $BQE.V $TVK.TO $LMN.V and $CPH.TO at todays prices you will absolutely dominate over the next 3-5 years. See you in Monaco in [----]. 1) I've published my first write up on Substack where I dive into IWG ( $IWG $IWG.L). Laying out why even without re-rating this should morph into a 40%+ TSR compounder.and why i see 200% (base case) to 500% (bull case) upside over 3-4 years Link: https://t.co/01PfPEd9TR 1) I've published my first write up on Substack where I dive into IWG ( $IWG $IWG.L). Laying out why even without"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1797591559673950640) 2024-06-03T11:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@sharpeshark I would argue it's need to have even for people who strive to look good at the beach/in sandals (esp girls). My girlfriend spent $60 on a pedicure yesterday (no foot fungus but still.)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1798317992247529974) 2024-06-05T11:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BillBrewsterTBB According to S&P global private equity dry powder was $2.6 trillion in December [----]. Highest recorded. I work with PE in my job and deal activity is most def picking up after a slow 2023"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1800489236598268014) 2024-06-11T11:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Another great piece and DD work on $BQE.V by @ragingbullcap. The magnitude and *relative* certainty of cash flow growth and the durability of these cash flows is what makes this so compelling. The patient investor will get rewarded on this one. $BQE.V just published at link in bio: a brief pt II piece uncovering a specific "company-maker" project and some thoughts on how to think about the growth ahead. https://t.co/I9rx11Bibf $BQE.V just published at link in bio: a brief pt II piece uncovering a specific "company-maker" project and some thoughts on how to think about the growth ahead."
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1800769094012301693) 2024-06-12T05:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@JerryCap Market is not comfortable with grey market Asia risk + Georgia risk (I think the latter atleast is overblown). Will probably crush next Q. Might need to see full online casino legalization in the US or similar for this to rerate to fair value @Uzocapital"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1801307598232199239) 2024-06-13T17:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MatasBaliukonis @TrentBlair19 This is way too optimistic. Anyone can lose money on any stock if the holding period is only a year. Growth will also slow down for any big company when it reaches a certain scale even CSU which is currently trading at [---] PE"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1802379409711636972) 2024-06-16T16:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The best ones often tick two of the boxes. I.e selling pressure by one of the largest shareholders resulting in a 15% FCF/EV yield for a company with a huge order book and growth prospects in a cyclical upturn $DRX.TO"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1806086068787204213) 2024-06-26T22:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Coming from a native Scandinavian there is something about Sweden that I can't explain. IKEA H&M Volvo nicotine pouches Abba Max Martin Spotify. 1/4 the population of California. They have an entrepreneurial innovative and commercial mindset which few other countries have"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1808412440268337477) 2024-07-03T08:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My home country isn't too bad either. Most winter olympic golds of any nation best chess player of all time 2nd best soccer player top [--] golfer and tennis player with 1/8th the population of California. Limited entrepreneurial quality however. Probably because of oil"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1808413806944464988) 2024-07-03T08:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@WaltKowalsk1 @NestBetter @ragingbullcap @Atrium_Research They will probably need more people to scale up. Hence buying a smaller consultancy or the likes might be a necessity"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1809302938679955839) 2024-07-05T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$DRX $DRX.TO "Why ADF Group still has an 1-2x upside over the next year despite growing 300% over the last year." Wrote a summary on how you don't have to believe too much to see solid upside in ADF and how it also could pay back it's market cap within next [--] years. Link in bio"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1811330852300751072) 2024-07-11T09:25Z [----] followers, 18.2K engagements
"@JerryCap $MCD"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1811817821451518220) 2024-07-12T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"How many years it would conservatively take mgmt to pay back its market cap (FCFE yield + growth + reinvestment need essentially) is becoming one of my favourite metrics for margin of safety. Provided of course mgmt is shareholder friendly and understands cap allocation"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1812187437097242832) 2024-07-13T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I think Peter Thiel is right: If you believe $NVDA has a durable competitive advantage its probably very cheap. If you think the other big tech firms will make their own chips in the future to avoid a 10x markup to Nvidia its probably fairly priced. I dont know the answer"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1812603881869734078) 2024-07-14T21:43Z [----] followers, 16K engagements
"@ben_tern All I know is that there are some crazy average perceived likelihood scenario going on with Tesla. Its basically priced for some extreme right tail scenario. Nvidia is not"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1812612528666538090) 2024-07-14T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Rebrand_As_Y I am not long $NVDA. I consider myself a value investor (my port is public) and am generally bearish big tech valuations. I have written many tweets on the obscene valuation of $TSLA. I am on your team. Claiming that every big tech is obnoxiously overvalued is probably not right"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1812975399238005058) 2024-07-15T22:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Its impossible for me to envision holding a growth stock like $TSLA during a drawdown knowing that it would take something like [---] years (not an exaggeration) to pay back its current market cap. I would lose faith and think that the market had finally seen through it"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1813700942560424427) 2024-07-17T22:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@voltino_cro I do not disagree. Like I write: Not every company is $AMZN. There are very valid reasons to sell a company you were planning to hold long term. Still does not take away the fact that you often have to endure volatility to build"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1814020507114582363) 2024-07-18T19:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"People who diversify across a wide range of index funds and strategies like trying to sound smart but what many are doing is diversifying based on lack of real conviction with no vision for the future. Diversification should come naturally from having too many good opportunities"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1815078485083189551) 2024-07-21T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ben_tern To be clear: Diversifying isnt bad. Diversifying just to diversify is bad"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1815112959217348752) 2024-07-21T19:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If I were buying CSU today I would seriously think through that one day the company will mature growth will deaccelerate and the multiple will detract (from todays 30x book). I dont know when but surely there must be better r/r out there over the next [--] years"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1815811221561434401) 2024-07-23T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MoS_Investing Randomly chosen. Buffett refers to book value for his conglomerate. Pick whatever metric you like. Serial acquirers (esp. the highly active ones restructuring consolidation) are always tricky to value accurately anyway. I know you are a CSU bull and I love ML too btw"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1816237879649350118) 2024-07-24T22:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett I see people posting about things that went well. For me honestly buying $SAVE Jan24 calls with $28 strike when the underlying was $8 in November last year. Didnt size big but wouldve 10xed in two months if deal went through and I wouldve done it again 10/10 times"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1816244144370532497) 2024-07-24T22:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"When I bought $TVK.TO shares at C37$ i remember thinking that I came in late and missed it. Shortly after I bought more at C55$ thinking that I probably should have waited for a pullback. Now I conclude that timing the market is a fools errand. If it is attractive buy it"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1816893449141952787) 2024-07-26T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Ive been trimming $LMN.V lately as it became too big and I see better opportunities in the market med term. Aggressively increased my $SEI.V position as I think it will push a lot higher by year-end. My intuition served me well on $CPH.TO lets see if it does this time as well"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1818339517348131248) 2024-07-30T17:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"While I agree tariffs and counter-tariffs are risks to $DRX.TO I dont think it has caused the recent sell-off: 1) Tariff risk is not specific to ADF 2) Tariff overhang has always been there as long as a Trump presidency has been likely not much has changed recently"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1818347977456382081) 2024-07-30T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$TNZ.TO announced a transformational acquisition two weeks ago increasing boe/d with 390% without issuing equity in what has been described as a masterclass in deal-making. After-tax 1P (proven) NPV10 is $22.50 per share. Current share price is $7 or 14x EV/FCF"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1820238933294203337) 2024-08-04T23:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As of the end of July [----] we have retired [---] million shares at an average cost of $2.81 per share (7.3% of basic common shares) through the NCIB. Right before announcing an acquisition which increased the stock price 100%. This is how shareholder return is created $TNZ.TO"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1821811379935863242) 2024-08-09T07:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The comment section is absolutely insane What do you think is currently the #1 most undervalued stock in the market What do you think is currently the #1 most undervalued stock in the market"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1822380383574638942) 2024-08-10T21:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"90% of the answers are Tesla Palantir MicroStrategy or Nvidia. The average P/S for these companies are like [--]. Maybe this isnt a surprise to anyone but its just perplexing how hopes and dreams drive the entire narrative and how deeply out of favor value investing is"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1822521182349910507) 2024-08-11T06:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Crew Energy acquired for something close to $43000 per flowing bbl per day. If Tenaz was acquired for the same multuple it would imply a 180% premium to current trading. And one could argue it deserves more. Gas prices at all time low. Crazy asymmetry. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/tourmaline-oil-acquire-crew-energy-947-million-2024-08-12/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/tourmaline-oil-acquire-crew-energy-947-million-2024-08-12/"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1823310221684490573) 2024-08-13T10:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Little talk of this lately. Lets summarize: At 4-5x EBITDA the market says its dying mgmt says the opposite manifested through capacity increase and aggressive hiring. @ToffCap who looks at more ideas than most has said he struggles to find better opps. @PaulAndreola buying $DRX $DRX.TO "Why ADF Group still has an 1-2x upside over the next year despite growing 300% over the last year." Wrote a summary on how you don't have to believe too much to see solid upside in ADF and how it also could pay back it's market cap within next [--] years. Link in bio https://t.co/CTOVMs20IR $DRX $DRX.TO "Why ADF"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1825189109381345676) 2024-08-18T15:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Barry59700119 @ToffCap @PaulAndreola EBITDA margin in Q1 is likely not sustainable and who knows whether they can keep up the same growth rate. But we are expecting growth and we are expecting an EBITDA margin in the realm of 19-22%"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1825208184404844620) 2024-08-18T16:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This guy is new for me. Absolutely mental portfolio. I had to check him out and its actually really interesting to hear him speak. Doesnt seem to think his portfolio is risky at all. Hes either on the far left or the far right of that bell curve meme. I think to the right Clifford Sosin - CAS Investment Partners https://t.co/zHgkIK57mh Clifford Sosin - CAS Investment Partners https://t.co/zHgkIK57mh"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1825622453613375715) 2024-08-19T19:54Z [----] followers, 90.3K engagements
"@TidefallCapital His average buy price is $65 since [----]. Imagine that ride when this is 65% of your portfolio. Up to [---] down to [--] back to 155"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1825633790879756359) 2024-08-19T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I used to be a buy-and-hold high ROIC companies forever type of guy and enjoyed good returns from that last year. The space however feels increasingly overbought with too high expectations. I have pivoted hard towards fundamental value this year and loving the opportunity set"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1827042294161145939) 2024-08-23T17:56Z [----] followers, 11.6K engagements
"If we exclude shorter-term special situation/catalyst-driven stuff I am struggling very hard to find names with a similar combination of value + growth + quality (the @Uzocapital formula) as $CPH.TO $VTY.L and $IWG.L. Favourite plays and 50% of my portfolio soon I believe @hcapinvesting What are your favorite value picks @hcapinvesting What are your favorite value picks"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1827360597765202230) 2024-08-24T15:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Heres a random thought for you: Everyones heard about going A-Z to find new ideas Buffett recommending starting with the As and so on. Ive noticed a significant amount of FinTwit favs coming early in the alphabet. If I were doing this full time I would go Z-A"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1828256963072868846) 2024-08-27T02:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Some honorable mentions to illustrate: $ALAR $CREX $CNO.V $COV.V $CPH.TO $BRM.TO $DR.TO $DRXTO $BQE.V $CLPT $AEP.V and so on and so on"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1828257654327615594) 2024-08-27T02:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$BQE.V Yesterday's Q2 report disappointed me and the market due to the large drop in tech services. Lumpiness is expected and I still believe this is a high-quality business worth holding but growth needs to pick up over the next Qs as Mgmt projects to justify current valuation"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1829086635868278844) 2024-08-29T09:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Adam_Wyden Thats true and very important actually. Forgot about that factor. Its the same in Norway. Im only taxed when I take money out of the brokerage account not when selling positions. On the flip side we have wealth tax"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1829488802559393807) 2024-08-30T11:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Adam_Wyden If your net worth is above USD 170k you have to pay 1% wealth tax. And then there is an additional 04% on top for net worths above USD 2m. Not a problem for most but it is very problematic if your net worth is high and intangible/illiquid (e.g your start-up takes off)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1829496648436945252) 2024-08-30T12:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Adam_Wyden There is not. You dont pay taxes until money is withdrawn in a holdco (similar to my private brokerage account) but you pay on your wealth. To illustrate: A large number of the wealthiest Norwegians have moved to Switzerland"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1829499109541040615) 2024-08-30T12:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My port strategy and how I view diversification: [--] stocks/69% aloc: Value + quality + growth and 40%+ exp. 3-5y IRR [--] stocks/20% aloc: Undervalued microcaps with wide return distributions and fat right tails [--] stocks/11% aloc: Value w/ significant near-term catalyst"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1829902878657691953) 2024-08-31T15:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@sammccolgan @HimmyJTheGoat He was running more concentrated than most not 30+ stocks (3-5 sign bets not sure how many stocks in total). What is considered diversified is subjective in a way. And I agree with you. I however still think the point is valid as a general framework"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1830172248302391333) 2024-09-01T09:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ChrisMozach Like my original tweet states: and that will perserve their earnings power going forward"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1831236917578399871) 2024-09-04T07:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$SEI $SEI.V getting violently dragged down by the oil price. At CAD [----] its trading way below the most conservative estimate you could come up with. Its probably worth way above CAD [--] and I think that will become apparent within the not too distant future"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1833575707349315989) 2024-09-10T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@capitaloptimism Yeah down 33% myself"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1834286515696054512) 2024-09-12T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital Thinking about the same. Expectations regarding US/CA is obv priced in with Cipher so there will be a drop. I have however been surprised in the past about how Moberg/Cipher have traded fairly uncorrelated so not sure how much is priced in. 5% 10% 20% drop. I don't know"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1834518276619034726) 2024-09-13T09:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is true. I also think its fine to have some speculative bets in your portfolio as long as you manage risk and acknowledge that a portion of your portfolio is like a VC fund. Things can go parabolic things can go to zero. Average across should be decent + Sheep guy (who knows bio) warned the fungus mafia and is validated. A classic case of generalists investing outside their CoC rather than probabilistic thinking gone wrong. If you dont have the scientific background to assess the probabilities in your thesis its speculation Sheep guy (who knows bio) warned the fungus mafia and is"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1835052836797006206) 2024-09-14T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ArneUlland I find this to be the best mental test. It really exposes whether you lack true conviction and have not done enough work. I find it easier to hold if I know the company is spitting stable cash and buying back shares. Given that your thesis still holds of course"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1835322194525602212) 2024-09-15T14:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I have a confession to make. It's not a secret that my holdings and investment philosophy overlap with @ragingbullcap. I have however never bought into the cannabis theme. But now that the brand power is showing through in the numbers I am starting to really like $CRON here"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1836513467785973952) 2024-09-18T21:11Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements
"@ragingbullcap It's one of those industries that has just been left for dead by most investors (with the exception of some small hyper growers on the venture exchange many of which have died after similar runs). Not unlike coal in late [----]. Someone will take this space let's see who it is"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1836522929154294021) 2024-09-18T21:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@LongOnlyLarry EQT (Swedish company Norwegian CEO) is the 4th largest PE in the world"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1836724792726020468) 2024-09-19T11:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Good news. Its not a huge uplift and not sure how to interpret The Corporation's order backlog stood at $ [-----] million as at July [--] [----] including some of the new orders announced today. but with a completely broken sentiment maybe this can help $55M added to orderbook today at ADF Group $DRX. Will this see start of a revaluation At less than [--] EBITDA the price is currently unmoored and adrift from where any anchor bias would put it nevermind objective valuation. https://t.co/GjmHjyPaqW $55M added to orderbook today at ADF Group $DRX. Will this see start of a revaluation At less than 4"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1838548157048762524) 2024-09-24T11:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@TidefallCapital But $PLTR is taking over the world man. Dont feed me with this"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1840111447252013537) 2024-09-28T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@illyquid Build cost have been understated by c. 10% for 3% of developments. This is not an extreme number. The projects in question were large hence the significant total impact on group's financials. This can happen to project based/construction businesses. It's not a SaaS business"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1843580867643334677) 2024-10-08T09:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@OriginalBraila Whats your typical portfolio concentration and holding period"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1844675530760565156) 2024-10-11T09:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ragingbullcap Good for you. Some theses require you to take a multi-decade view. Even if valuation contracts 50% ++ over that period the best businesses will still have outperformed 99% of stocks. For $TPL the PE ratio has contracted 73% from [----] to today all while the stock has 10-bagged"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1845887330336317511) 2024-10-14T18:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"So everything #uranium is flying on all this nuclear reactor newsflow coming from Google Amazon and the likes. Dont see why this would stop anytime soon super bullish cycle imo $URNJ $ASPI Been busy and stressed trying to sell a distressed asset at work but Ive added uranium and cannabis-driven plays (the cornerstone of every society) totalling just above 10% of my portfolio going into Q4. Looking to add more but I like my other names too well to sell Been busy and stressed trying to sell a distressed asset at work but Ive added uranium and cannabis-driven plays (the cornerstone of every"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1846564341820137544) 2024-10-16T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"1/2 โ
$SEI.V is up next I think $CLMT and $SEI.V are my two favourite value with a near-term catalyst situations at the moment. Very excited for both over the next 2-4 months. And once we talk about favourites: @AboveAvgOdds is the GOAT. $VTY.L and $CLMT are some of the best pitches Ive read I think $CLMT and $SEI.V are my two favourite value with a near-term catalyst situations at the moment. Very excited for both over the next 2-4 months. And once we talk about favourites: @AboveAvgOdds is the GOAT. $VTY.L and $CLMT are some of the best pitches Ive read"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1846669742209486920) 2024-10-16T21:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Retail dumping $CLMT on the news yesterday created enough selling pressure for it to end red which is insane. Once all the tourists are out the real buying should start and grind the stock higher. Up 5% pre-market. I haven't sold a single one of my deeply OTM Jan calls"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1847193792652230861) 2024-10-18T08:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"None zero of the wealthiest people in the world are daytraders gamblers or technical analysis wizards. Heck none of the richest people in your town are. The odds for these people are clearly stacked against them. The wealthiest people are owners of businesses who never sold"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1850243185043484695) 2024-10-26T18:28Z [----] followers, 23.4K engagements
"@o_li_vi_err More customers Better pricing More customers"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1851347931502350508) 2024-10-29T19:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"These three cases exemplify how selective opportunities can emerge even in periods of sector-wide pessimism. Fishing in commodities can feel like playing with fire but it can also be where the greatest opportunities emerge. Great read by @_NameValue_ @_NameValue_ Do you mean this abour Seplat Valeura and Sintana #SEPL $SEPL.L $VLE.TO $VLE $SEI $SEI.v https://t.co/ZPGwLwZIH5 https://t.co/p0jQKPiXZx @_NameValue_ Do you mean this abour Seplat Valeura and Sintana #SEPL $SEPL.L $VLE.TO $VLE $SEI $SEI.v https://t.co/ZPGwLwZIH5 https://t.co/p0jQKPiXZx"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1851383055291711550) 2024-10-29T21:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CVNA is a 26x over the past two years and -24% over the past three. That is one of the wildest charts youll ever see. I guess there is something to getting the entry point right"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1852420709475135908) 2024-11-01T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If you invested $10 [---] in MicroStrategy at the peak of the dot-com bubble and held your returns would finally be positive"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1856079348958113930) 2024-11-11T20:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"PEL [--] seismic data soon ready first exploration well in PEL [--] about to start both with immediate proximity to the monster license PEL [--]. With all these imminent and potentially significant catalysts soon coming its shocking to see $SEI.V down -20% over the last month Pancontinental Energy almost done analysing and interpreting PEL [--] seismic dataset #oil #oott $pcl $sei.v $wds https://t.co/LLdDb0xCFF Pancontinental Energy almost done analysing and interpreting PEL [--] seismic dataset #oil #oott $pcl $sei.v $wds https://t.co/LLdDb0xCFF"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1856406779347005804) 2024-11-12T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital Investing in and sticking with the winners has definitely been the "winning" strategy this year. $APP $TSSI $ASTS $HIMS $ASPI"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1856764952436248989) 2024-11-13T18:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@NomadLowk Currently stands like this: $CPH.TO $TNZ.TO $VLE.TO $CLMT $ASPI $TVK.TO $ZOMD.V $CRON $OGI $BQE.V $SEPL.L $IWG.L $KNT.TO $VZLA and $SEI.V"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1856767078063030712) 2024-11-13T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"TTF prices going up and positive newsflow/updated price targets together with increased discovery keeps grinding $TNZ.TO higher which has now become my largest position together with $CPH.TO. Just wait until they announce yet another acquisition. Huge faith in this mgmt team"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1857129413709570505) 2024-11-14T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$HIMS down -25% today and $TSSI down -28% AH. Could it be that my frustrations yesterday about how momentum slaughtered value actually marked the top of the disprecpency @Uzocapital Investing in and sticking with the winners has definitely been the "winning" strategy this year. $APP $TSSI $ASTS $HIMS $ASPI. @Uzocapital Investing in and sticking with the winners has definitely been the "winning" strategy this year. $APP $TSSI $ASTS $HIMS $ASPI"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1857175912300618172) 2024-11-14T21:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FriendlyCapMgmt Shorting pubicly traded consultancies with large exposure to US government contracts (governments waste a ton of money on consultancies). I don't have any top of mind but checking out Accenture could be a first step"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1857401439359775137) 2024-11-15T12:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Sad story. I saw and still see the Jan $SAVE call options I bought on the $8 dip in early Nov last year as one of the fattest pitches Mr. Market has thrown at me $save As a result of the chapter [--] filing.The Company expects that its common stock will continue to trade in the over-the-counter marketplace through the chapter [--] process. The shares are expected to be cancelled and have no value as part of Spirit's restructuring. $save As a result of the chapter [--] filing.The Company expects that its common stock will continue to trade in the over-the-counter marketplace through the chapter 11"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1858625834799534400) 2024-11-18T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It is incredible to think about. Wonder how the math works out if Tesla halves If $TSLA Does a 50X some of my friends who have $1m or more in stock now will be worth $50m. Let that sink in. If $TSLA Does a 50X some of my friends who have $1m or more in stock now will be worth $50m. Let that sink in"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1858798269624701030) 2024-11-19T09:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im going to be bold and say that this was the last time we saw the share price below [--] CAD ever again. Lets hope this tweet ages well ๐ค๐ป PEL [--] seismic data soon ready first exploration well in PEL [--] about to start both with immediate proximity to the monster license PEL [--]. With all these imminent and potentially significant catalysts soon coming its shocking to see $SEI.V down -20% over the last month PEL [--] seismic data soon ready first exploration well in PEL [--] about to start both with immediate proximity to the monster license PEL [--]. With all these imminent and potentially"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1859700294017483230) 2024-11-21T20:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"So I own companies across oil gas pharma homebuilding real estate offshore cannabis biofuels software mobility space gold/silver mining and practically everything is red today. Appears to be a "sell everything" day"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1867227849780035770) 2024-12-12T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$TNK practically trades at their asset scrap value + cash despite having no debt ships that will be operational for [--] more years and a 20% FCF yield at historically low day rates. Not the worst downside protection I have seen $TNK - Teekay Tankers: Valuation Secured By Scrap Value And Huge Cash Pile. https://t.co/jOXRxNkIgQ #finance #trading #stockmarket $TNK - Teekay Tankers: Valuation Secured By Scrap Value And Huge Cash Pile. https://t.co/jOXRxNkIgQ #finance #trading #stockmarket"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1868754173661253749) 2024-12-16T20:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Refinedman2 Havent analysed $TK from a price perspective. Shipping and offshore sentiment is generally bad e.g analyst downgrades and shorting. Not huge selling volume just no buyers. $TNK has one of the oldest fleets and currently pay a low dividend due to future CAPEX (new ships) needs"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1868773980762685859) 2024-12-16T21:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapitals stock ideas have been killing it and many of them have gained quick popularity such as $TALK and $GRAB. $TBLA have however gotten more unnoticed which I find interesting. I like the idea and think [----] could be big $TBLA: The more work I do on this name the more I like it. If you're an advertiser there's only two choices for performance advertising today. It's either walled gardens like Google Meta and Amazon or it's the open web where Taboola reaches [---] million daily active users https://t.co/7zVkl0rqv9 $TBLA: The more work I do on this name the more I like it. If you're an"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1869130109258756189) 2024-12-17T21:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ragingbullcap Congrats on this find buddy. Awesome idea and fundamentals AND macro tailwinds (re yesterdays excise tax reform news). Man good luck finding something similar at this valuation ever again"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1869366812393275461) 2024-12-18T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@joanM34277661 @MatthijsS6 Its likely due to the three small words thin net pay. Which is crazy and does not warrant a 5% drop for a EUR 11bn company"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1874030895470186857) 2024-12-31T09:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"My biggest historical winners often share one of two traits: 1) Quality management + a massive cash balance which the market incorrectly prescribes [--] value or 2) Announced value accretive M&A deal which is underappreciated by the market. Trait 1) today is $CRON and $VLE.TO"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1875838931087859858) 2025-01-05T09:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital @HYcorps I think their strategic positioning (international expansions emerging brand power) and operational improvement is worth noting. The few investments they have done appear accretive (e.g. GrowCo). Mike understands the sector really well and also has a background in investments"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1876012463524876541) 2025-01-05T21:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TApocalyt @ragingbullcap @Uzocapital @HYcorps Annual cannabis IPOs in Canada are practically down to [--] bankruptcy rates are around [--] co's per year and if you look at e.g. Canopy Tilray and Aurora they are all bleeding cash and issuing stock like crazy at depressed valuations to stay afloat"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1876239004926103949) 2025-01-06T12:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TApocalyt @ragingbullcap @Uzocapital @HYcorps Meanwhile $CRON is expanding their business improving operations while turning cash flow positive largely due to interest income from their cash. Consolidations will accelerate in this market"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1876239327048716561) 2025-01-06T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As investors were always looking for the next big thing. It usually happens quietly right before our eyes before it becomes obvious in hindsight. This might be it folks $ASTS Sometimes disruptive technology comes along and changes the way natural resources are managed. Railways toppled canals in the UK industrial revolution freight system. Recent examples like EVs telemedecine streaming. SatCom is seeing three such shifts converge on $ASTS 1/n https://t.co/uTY1cXOVxf Sometimes disruptive technology comes along and changes the way natural resources are managed. Railways toppled canals in the"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1876727295064355146) 2025-01-07T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(1/2) During Q4 last year I decided to add a basket of precious metals mining stocks ($VZLA $KNT.TO $GGD.TO) into my portfolio which OB alluded me to. They seemed materially undervalued and I liked the idea of having an inflation hedge/low beta correlation https://t.co/ZceIkbuRjl https://t.co/zdUQzU0GaK https://t.co/ZceIkbuRjl https://t.co/zdUQzU0GaK"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1876963478700753185) 2025-01-08T12:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(2/2) With recent inflation concerns rising bond yields positive news from $VZLA earlier this week and now this from $KNT.TO that looks be an excellent decision (albeit price weakness over the last month). Several catalysts ahead firmly holding onto these over the medium term"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1876964252042273118) 2025-01-08T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@FredKosters Its actually a company called Texas Pacific Land (Just kidding). Wont reveal before the write-up is posted :)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1877431613765677223) 2025-01-09T19:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Disclaimer: I own shares in $VROY.V. This is not financial advice. I'm not a mining expert and generally don't know what I'm talking about. Thanks to @OriginalBraila for alluding me to Vizsla. And creds to @FredKosters for guessing the company. Don't know how you did that (10/10)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1877727422033928400) 2025-01-10T14:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Like Ive alluded to lately precious metals and commodities exposure seem like a no-brainer going into what could be a very shaky [----] for equities. Cheap silver plays could be especially interesting The last time we saw this degree of relative strength in silver & silver miners was in the [----] & [----] melt-ups. This isn't an opinion - The charts confirm it. $SLV $SIL $SILJ #SILVERSQUEEZE The last time we saw this degree of relative strength in silver & silver miners was in the [----] & [----] melt-ups. This isn't an opinion - The charts confirm it. $SLV $SIL $SILJ #SILVERSQUEEZE"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1878215025770271052) 2025-01-11T22:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Trump Administration seems suprisingly pro biotech. It is also a sector which hasn't yet benefited from the AI boom despite perhaps being the sector with the highest potential. Meanwhile biotech sentiment at an all time low. Wonder if this is a good time to long some $XBI President Trumps new administration could have a huge impact on sectors in which deals have been held back by regulators - such as Pharma & BioTech. If @BillAckman is correct - we could witness an unprecedented increase in M&A deals in these sectors and others. Godspeed $XBI https://t.co/SPQBpyjurO President Trumps new"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1881970588757135667) 2025-01-22T07:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@jaysyoon Same. But I also think about that guy out there who lost his life savings doing something similar"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1882155273147855327) 2025-01-22T19:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Ive been trading in and out of stocks lately. More than I would like but momentum has worked. I like leaning big into things that I can hold long term. Ive added one company to that basket lately: I think there is a decent chance $OSCR is a long term compounder on sale atm"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1882353023684624694) 2025-01-23T09:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$OSCR is a very stable business and a very volatile stock which tends to get killed on earnings (blue dots below both positive and negative surprises) before bouncing back. Weird Oscar [----] Guidance: Members: 1.8MM Revenue: $11.2BN-$11.3BN Adjusted EBITDA: $365MM-$415MM Earnings from Operations: $225MM-$275MM https://t.co/XUrg4wE2pv Oscar [----] Guidance: Members: 1.8MM Revenue: $11.2BN-$11.3BN Adjusted EBITDA: $365MM-$415MM Earnings from Operations: $225MM-$275MM https://t.co/XUrg4wE2pv"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1887035774945628278) 2025-02-05T07:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$NBIS This train is about to leave Oh boy $NBIS https://t.co/Wt4FnymVar Oh boy $NBIS https://t.co/Wt4FnymVar"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1889213909447385261) 2025-02-11T07:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@pernasresearch I think $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST fits this description"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1893546968812564688) 2025-02-23T06:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There are some absolutely wild price actions in the market atm. I dont know why but it seems as if stocks with negative momentum is violently accelerating downward. Look at $TDW $VAL $NE $SDRL. News about increased oil output was the last thing this sector needed"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1896635238153130388) 2025-03-03T18:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im going absolutely berserk on the buy button across offshore today. The inverted explanation: I will hate myself in three years if not. Be a contrarian or be a victim. LFG $TDW $VAL $SDRL $NE"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1897004041068273722) 2025-03-04T19:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$XPOF is up and not puking (earnings AH) and $OGI is flat on very low volume. It might be that the sellers are done and that the bottom is in. I hate predicting these things but looking good"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1900243534512279634) 2025-03-13T17:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Almost one month later and the results are in: $LODE: -9% $SSP: +65% I don't hold a position in Lode but I am very long SSP Yeah hard to not think that this will be a tough year for stocks. Wonder if special situations such as $SSP and $LODE is the way to get a little bit ahead this year as almost everything else just seems like high beta Yeah hard to not think that this will be a tough year for stocks. Wonder if special situations such as $SSP and $LODE is the way to get a little bit ahead this year as almost everything else just seems like high beta"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1902265217037562046) 2025-03-19T07:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"How much of a discount to cash should $ARVN trade at 50% not enough 60% 70% Ludacris So if $ARVN $7.02 stopped Every program they are working on and liquidated the Co forgoing ANY Multi hundred million $ paydays for milestones the share price would rip to $13 because they will distribute the $14.50 or so in cash they have https://t.co/25ykbpJpT7 So if $ARVN $7.02 stopped Every program they are working on and liquidated the Co forgoing ANY Multi hundred million $ paydays for milestones the share price would rip to $13 because they will distribute the $14.50 or so in cash they have"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1906802582896685096) 2025-03-31T20:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ARVN is the most hated name in the most hated sector. If you love deep value and going against the grain this should be interesting Updated Biotech Sentiment Check: 47.3% of biotech's 1B & under have a negative EV.๐ฎ Median name is down -24% YTD in just [--] months. Biotech's between 300M & 3B market cap that are near 52W lows. Graphed based off last 1yr return & EV (Updated) https://t.co/ym3qTKwcV1 Updated Biotech Sentiment Check: 47.3% of biotech's 1B & under have a negative EV.๐ฎ Median name is down -24% YTD in just [--] months. Biotech's between 300M & 3B market cap that are near 52W lows."
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1906809264573722656) 2025-03-31T20:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If $PFE were to buy $ARVN for its cash tomorrow (essentially paying zero) they would be able to advance ARV-471 alone get ARV-766 (licensed to $NVS) ARV-110 ARV-393 ARV-102 KRAS G12D Degrader and several preclinical programs for free. And you would double your money"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1907159565671842052) 2025-04-01T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@prosperousguy Tough to pin down an exact fair value but somewhere just north of [--] is probably reasonable. Unless you assume that only ARV-471 has value and the all of rest will burn 100s of millions of cash which is a drastic assumption. [--] would be awesome if you enter down here"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1907169534974332954) 2025-04-01T20:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Can anyone find a more extreme sell-off than offshore currently 25% off in two days following a 50% decline over the last six months Really Are we never going to drill again Shale oil can barely operate at these oil prices. $NE even pays a 10% yield $VAL $SDRL $RIG $TDW"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1908204650148352312) 2025-04-04T17:06Z [----] followers, 21.5K engagements
"@HazeyThinking We need oil and if shale cant keep up supply prices will have to increase. Should offshore drilling contractors share prices decline Yeah naturally. But should $NE be -64% in a year down to below where it emerged from bankruptcy Not sure about that"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1908215541694603730) 2025-04-04T17:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Nice then maybe $NE declines by less than 5% today Petrobras just exercised a priced option (from Dec 2023) to extend the 6G semi Noble Discoverer for a further [---] days for continued work offshore Colombia. It's not all doom and gloom out there. $NE $VAL $RIG $SDRL $TDW https://t.co/lO9vN2cjUz Petrobras just exercised a priced option (from Dec 2023) to extend the 6G semi Noble Discoverer for a further [---] days for continued work offshore Colombia. It's not all doom and gloom out there. $NE $VAL $RIG $SDRL $TDW https://t.co/lO9vN2cjUz"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1910590186892767598) 2025-04-11T07:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is one of the highest quality and cheapest companies I have ever come across. High consistent growth and returns on capital practically [--] reinvestment needs large runway for growth. For something like 28x LTM EV/FCF. I think its largely just undiscovered $MRX Buying more $MRX. Still think it's one of the best opportunities in the market today Buying more $MRX. Still think it's one of the best opportunities in the market today"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1912149331647307976) 2025-04-15T14:21Z [----] followers, 69.8K engagements
"@Gudvangen4 Only been fueled by rising short term rates NII increased like 200m in a period where revenues increased 13bn. And the increase in NII is partly increase in funds not only rising rates. -1% decline in interest rates hits MRX with -20m in PBT"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1912452192633561123) 2025-04-16T10:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"(1/2) Correction: LTM P/FCF is 25x (not EV/FCF). LTM EV/FCF is 6x. Now using FCF to value financials is not straight forward due to e.g regulatory capital and other liquidity requirements. NTM P/E of [--] has less pitfalls and also highlights the cheapness (imo) $MRX This is one of the highest quality and cheapest companies I have ever come across. High consistent growth and returns on capital practically [--] reinvestment needs large runway for growth. For something like 28x LTM EV/FCF. I think its largely just undiscovered $MRX This is one of the highest quality and cheapest companies I have"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1912553227129696449) 2025-04-16T17:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What is likely however is that the market will move higher perhaps substantially so well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins spring will be over. $ARVN If $PFE were to buy $ARVN for its cash tomorrow (essentially paying zero) they would be able to advance ARV-471 alone get ARV-766 (licensed to $NVS) ARV-110 ARV-393 ARV-102 KRAS G12D Degrader and several preclinical programs for free. And you would double your money. If $PFE were to buy $ARVN for its cash tomorrow (essentially paying zero) they would be able to advance ARV-471 alone get ARV-766"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1912907026524500064) 2025-04-17T16:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One day in the not too distant future $ASTS shorts will get absolutely nuked"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1914000324899098691) 2025-04-20T16:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Todays observation is that the offshore complex is holding up relatively well in a weak day for both markets and oil. $TDW slightly up $VAL and $NE down approx. the same as the S&P. Could be random but these are positive signs when comparing to the last six months of trading"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1916894678646952350) 2025-04-28T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is what the chart of a company that is consistently executing and able to accretively deploy incremental capital across market cycles looks like. $SNEX is one of $MRX's closest competitors and my bet is that the next [--] years will look similar for both $SNEX and $MRX"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1917141508936937589) 2025-04-29T08:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can you imagine being short $ASTS here Its like playing musical chairs with a nuclear bomb. If an increased investment from $GOOG sends this 18% just imagine what will happen once the real news starts being announced Why aren't you long here History is unfolding in front of your eyes. The other side of this trade which soon will be nuked into oblivion sees a pre-revenue space stock that is up 10x over [--] year and buckets it together with meme stocks and the analysis ends there $ASTS Why aren't you long here History is unfolding in front of your eyes. The other side of this trade which soon"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1918315560426766425) 2025-05-02T14:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A month later: $NE with a 30% backlog increase $VAL increases backlog and just announced sale of jack-up for 43% of market cap day rates increasing $TDW up 7% after market on solid print in addition to buying 5% of shares outstanding during last Q insider buying Can anyone find a more extreme sell-off than offshore currently 25% off in two days following a 50% decline over the last six months Really Are we never going to drill again Shale oil can barely operate at these oil prices. $NE even pays a 10% yield $VAL $SDRL $RIG $TDW Can anyone find a more extreme sell-off than offshore currently"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1919496617465356678) 2025-05-05T20:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Been researching this company for a while. I feel fairly confident that if you just buy $JOE leave it for a decade + and wait for the value to be realized you will find yourself very wealthy. Time arbitrage at its finest Looks like $JOE had their cash flowing assets appraised by Jones Lang LaSalle. $1.5 - $1.7b in value for 1% of their acres putting no value on the remaining 166k acres. That's 65% of their market cap covered by 1% of their land. https://t.co/fj6ky32EX7 Looks like $JOE had their cash flowing assets appraised by Jones Lang LaSalle. $1.5 - $1.7b in value for 1% of their acres"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1922269379678339157) 2025-05-13T12:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WB has an unmatched understanding of brands. Some of his biggest winners have come from correctly assessing their value and durability. The value of solid brands feels underappreciated and hardly mentioned in todays market. $PLBY at an EV of 260m feels very low @Uzocapital Warren Buffett: "If I had my choice of betting on who is going to have a special place in the minds of kids and their parents 10-20 years from now I think I would probably bet on Disney." "They call it share of market but it starts with share of mind." https://t.co/b3uVSkBXhQ Warren Buffett: "If I had my choice of betting"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1926333863443198178) 2025-05-24T17:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Vizsla Silver $VZLA $VZLA.TO is up 31% and Tenaz $TNZ.TO is up 86% since my short pitches on the forbidden site in late October. Both will probably continue to do well but Im aiming for 5-10x on Vizsla Silver and Vizsla Royalties Corp $VROY.V (pitched in latest post) I did some rambling around diversification and value while also presenting two (relatively new) high conviction ideas from my portfolio: One predictable and cash generative hyper grower trading for less than 2x EV/FCF and one hunting for silver in Sinaloa $VZLA $VZLA.TO $TNZ.TO https://t.co/Y7J9KgWAmv I did some rambling around"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1927061305745162622) 2025-05-26T17:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Only_Borrowed Vizsla Roaylties Corp (VROY) is a subsidiary of Vizsla Silver which was spun off in June last year. VROY has a net smelter royalty on Vizsla Silver's Panuco Project in Mexico meaning they get a % of revenues from future silver production"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1927259981172146590) 2025-05-27T07:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Only_Borrowed Consequently VROY is not as exposed to operational risk financing risk nor regulatory risk which miners are notoriously known for. As such: VROY is less risk less reward. I have sized them both equally toalling 45% of my port after the run-up"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1927260922885677563) 2025-05-27T07:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Only_Borrowed With that being said I think VROY is less efficiently priced. It's small illiquid and you see 10% moves up and down which make zero sense"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1927261473132220660) 2025-05-27T07:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"It's time. Fasten your seatbelts $VZLA $VROY.V"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1930596490625351716) 2025-06-05T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"FX is volatile and most of us are over exposed to our local currencies anyway but its been real tough to be a foreign investor in US equities this year"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1934928284145353164) 2025-06-17T10:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As promised. I guess I am a cult member now. Lets ride ๐ $ASTS #spacemob $ASTS Fuck it. At $50 Im adding the to my name. Lets have some fun $ASTS Fuck it. At $50 Im adding the to my name. Lets have some fun"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1937239908860535200) 2025-06-23T20:02Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"@ArneLutsch You updated your LinkedIn That's rd"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1937434797518774670) 2025-06-24T08:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital @leevalueroach Works if you are able to distill why that is the case and are very confident in your variant view. Many get fooled by optically cheap growth stocks when there often is a legitimate reason for the valuation. Guess the same goes for investing in general anyway"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1937777091493204025) 2025-06-25T07:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital @leevalueroach Yes and you are doing that with success. I find it difficult to develop a variant view on cheap growth stocks/underwrite the sustainability of that growth. E.g. $PDD. There are other areas where I am more comfortable"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1937781719270326332) 2025-06-25T07:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"People are sleeping on $TDW. One of the more compelling setups over the next decade if you like cheap valuations strong market tailwinds scarce assets difficult-to-replicate scale and aggressive capital returns (Disclaimer: I do). I added today $TDW Tidewater Unsecured 2030s done at 9.125% inside of IPT at 9.25-9.5% Moodys B3 rating overestimates the cyclicality. Was a lender to TDW in 2011-2015. I saw the pain. The offshore space is a lot healthier today. TDW is 0.6x net leverage with EBITDA bias higher for [----] https://t.co/5M0XYWRaAe $TDW Tidewater Unsecured 2030s done at 9.125% inside of"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1937978666937418021) 2025-06-25T20:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Over the next [--] years you will find a thousand reasons to sell: Valuation is getting stretched Uptake isnt happening as fast as expected Launch cadence is delayed. Remember when Buffett sold stocks for those reason The real money is made in the holding being an owner I sold half of my $ASTS (to be executed Monday about [---] shares) as launch cadence concerns and other reasons are likely to bring the stock down short term. If the stock goes back to sub-40$ levels I might start buying again. I'd rather buy $RKLB and $NBIS right now. Thoughts I sold half of my $ASTS (to be executed Monday about"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1939327410786418723) 2025-06-29T14:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@cupofcoffeecap I think viewing $CRON as safer due to their cash balance is a correct assessment. You could throw in more reasons such as a prudent capital allocator CEO who is considering buybacks improving profitability or GrowCo expansion. More cash = Safer is more often than not correct"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1942857425679217080) 2025-07-09T08:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mike10947310 $HAYPP It has had a solid run already this year but I dont think people fully understand how fast nicotine pouches are growing how addictive they are and how difficult it is to compete with Haypp. Decades-long mega tailwinds imo"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1946644359853547780) 2025-07-19T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEW Lets put it like this: I would not want to be crowded short a bombed out online gun retailer De-SPAC trading at cash with Donnie jr and Peter Thiel friend Blake Masters on the board which soon might accept crypto for payment in todays environment Big news for freedom lovers and the future of finance: @grabagun will SOON accept cryptobecause your 2A rights shouldnt depend on woke banks or anti-gun payment processors. Aligning our values with the assets that stand for freedom. DeFi meets the right to bear arms. Lets GO Big news for freedom lovers and the future of finance: @grabagun will"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1947792889896997222) 2025-07-22T22:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"27% of my portfolio is reporting tonight/tomorrow. Either I die or I go to heaven. In descending order (by position size): $CRON $HAYPP.ST $SDRL Wish me luck"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1953169432970444852) 2025-08-06T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital I tend to agree that they might have sold it too early/at a too low price. At the same time I think it's a realization that they wouldn't be able to profitably scale and saw more potential in medical not appreciated by the market. Which is good for shareholders"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1953728494514373069) 2025-08-08T08:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@nim_chef @ragingbullcap 1: The fact that Mike at $CRON hasn't spent the capital IS the bull case. It has been the absolute correct move by him. And what happened this year when operating biz starting to inflect to prof He started buying back stock. There will be plenty of opportunities going forward"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1955243783655698832) 2025-08-12T12:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I have a smaller speculative position in $MFI. Thanks to @Mike10947310 and @kingtutcap for flagging and leading me down the rabbit hole. I have no idea where we are headed but its certainly one of the more explosive setups I have ever seen https://t.co/K1wXrBF26h Good timing - $MFI https://t.co/K1wXrBF26h Good timing - $MFI"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1958224689899405420) 2025-08-20T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Just1nMKE Why are you sure about that"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1960678108979249655) 2025-08-27T12:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Just1nMKE Yes that is the point. I did not assume that AT&T spent $23bn to be kind to AST"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1960680022194176096) 2025-08-27T12:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This looks very promising $ASTS $ASTS The President has invited "Air & Space Forces Magazine". https://t.co/Tu3bUgG1tw $ASTS The President has invited "Air & Space Forces Magazine". https://t.co/Tu3bUgG1tw"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1962862604440789072) 2025-09-02T12:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@DheerajNam Agreed Down huge on practically zero volume possibly in connection to Nasdaq tightening scrutiny of companies raising cash to buy crypto (although sell off came a little bit later in the day) which should have de minimis relevance for $MFI"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1963696139808764060) 2025-09-04T20:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I have initiated a position in ASOS $ASC.L. I think it's primed for a $DDS/ $NELLY type turnaround. 65% of MC in cash inventory decline sign. improvement in AEBITDA and GM driven by new commercial model activist on the board and radical leadership and biz restructuring ongoing"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1964959481340833983) 2025-09-08T07:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"You don't need revenue growth for this to become a multibagger you only need earnings and multiple normalization. Nelly has [--] bagged from it's low in the summer of [--] starting from a similar valuation as ASOS while revenues have declined 15% over that period"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1964960728215122255) 2025-09-08T07:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@KarstResearch Craigslist is high up there. Has to be one of the most capital efficient businesses in existence (maybe shared with the studio that created Minecraft - they were about [--] people when Microsoft bought them). Also zero reinvestment needs (just look at UI.)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1965098057969901887) 2025-09-08T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Some things I really like atm: $ASTS (of course) $SPCB (eletronic monitoring microcap) $ASC.L (retail turnaround) $MFI (shellco special sits) $DBO.TO (immersive entertainment microcap) $CRON (Canadian cannabis)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1966205378670243990) 2025-09-11T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$SRTA: I sized this way too small. Saw the opportunity didnt swing hard. Lesson learned. I believe todays puke in $BLDE represent a great opportunity for long term oriented investors as old investors exit the name and algos go crazy. I think todays call was great and see a lot of potential in becoming a focused M&A machine in a growing fragmented market. Added I believe todays puke in $BLDE represent a great opportunity for long term oriented investors as old investors exit the name and algos go crazy. I think todays call was great and see a lot of potential in becoming a focused M&A machine"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1968335738216612331) 2025-09-17T15:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@spacanpanman Ey greetings from Norway"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1973488179354411102) 2025-10-01T20:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@cupofcoffeecap Imagine the posts on X if X was around back then. Shitco The ponzi is over No EBITDA"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1977446249432244380) 2025-10-12T18:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@allcapallstrat Velo3D's partnership with SpaceX is important enough for SpaceX to save them from bankruptcy. That sounds pretty valuable and defendable to me. But it's not a risk free investment/still not a fully mature technology so I have not sized this one big"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1978018973212962954) 2025-10-14T08:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Small caps large caps Asia Europe cyclicals non-cyclicals momentum GARP. While I have preferences I dont care about the label. All I care about is where I see value and potential for realizing that value. And at the moment small caps and Canada keep popping up"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1809722156047040778) 2024-07-06T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@RTelford_invest Indeed the last two months have been volatile which is never easy. But a lot of cheap things have become cheaper as far as I can see"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1809723705733333349) 2024-07-06T22:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm not sure who needs to hear this but a stock can be cheaper even after jumping [---] [---] or 300%. In fact microcaps often are. Listen to the goat @PaulAndreola: Averaging up in microcaps has a tendency to work better than averaging down. Think I need to write a post on this"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1810947024121958454) 2024-07-10T07:59Z [----] followers, 14.2K engagements
"$IWG $IWG.L continues to execute on their business model shift and growing EBITDA with strong underlying cash flow. Thesis tracking along nicely and stock is up +6% after todays report. Look out for buybacks next year. $LMN.V reports after close. Lets see whats in stores I just posted a concise write-up of my full portfolio and why I believe it will (hopefully) outperform over the next [--] years. Thanks to all the amazing analysts out there for publishing your work. Many of these insights are yours. https://t.co/CCqVyOp035 I just posted a concise write-up of my full portfolio and why I believe"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1820903526819852557) 2024-08-06T19:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@david_katunaric Anthony Marino at Tenaz Energy (yes it's o&g). Baytex Energy 38x'ed during his tenure focus on cash flow and shareholder returns last acquisition described as 'masterclass in deal making' where the company multiplied in size without issuing equity. More deals communicated"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1829421137660416033) 2024-08-30T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you own companies trading at low EV/FCF that are buying back a ton of stock and that will perserve their earnings power going forward you will win either way"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1831230351928152185) 2024-09-04T07:18Z [----] followers, 24.3K engagements
"I did some rambling around diversification and value while also presenting two (relatively new) high conviction ideas from my portfolio: One predictable and cash generative hyper grower trading for less than 2x EV/FCF and one hunting for silver in Sinaloa $VZLA $VZLA.TO $TNZ.TO"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1851622096444543216) 2024-10-30T13:48Z [----] followers, 14.4K engagements
"Is $GALP speeding up exploration to gain leverage and pressure Petrobras to increase their bid If so some real game theory/chess tactics going on here. Meanwhile $SEI.V is sitting in the passenger seat and enjoying the ride. I am at 10% Galps 4th Namibia PEL [--] well was supposed to be in summer [----] although the Santorini drillship has been in this location for [--] hours Opinion: Its location adds credibility to the speculation it may have already started the 4th well $GALP.PT $SEI.V H/T @Jamesiebabie1 https://t.co/p3jHMndrAL Galps 4th Namibia PEL [--] well was supposed to be in summer 2025"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1864276792615268626) 2024-12-04T11:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FriendlyCapMgmt I am a $TNZ bull but the easy short term money has been made. Next catalysts would be cash flow from NOBV acq starting to flow through the BS + new acq (could be 05-3 years out). The big optionality is if gas prices starts to pump higher which they could but who knows"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1870126786211721510) 2024-12-20T15:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Can someone explain to me like Im five why $ASTS isnt up more on this news The benefits and potential unlocked seem obvious. Is it as simple as short selling pressure or is there another explanation Wait until the market digests this and understands what this all means for AST SpaceMobile $ASTS. The market definitely hasnt caught on to the magnitude of this deal yet. Let me break it down for you: ๐งต๐ Wait until the market digests this and understands what this all means for AST SpaceMobile $ASTS. The market definitely hasnt caught on to the magnitude of this deal yet. Let me break it down"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1876348930713161856) 2025-01-06T19:23Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements
"Vizsla Royalties Corp. is an opportunity to own inflation-protected royalties on the world's largest undeveloped high-grade silver primary resource with what I believe to be a reasonable 140% upside to intrinsic value with multiple upside scenarios $VROY.V $VROYF (1/10)"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1877725936008753368) 2025-01-10T14:35Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"Vizsla Royalties Corp ( $VROY.V $VROYF ) is a royalty company which principal asset is a Net Smelter Royalty on Vizsla Silver Corp.'s ( $VZLA $VZLA.TO ) flagship Panuco Project located in Mexico. Vizsla Royalties Corp was spun off form Vizsla Silver in June last year (2/10)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1877727107939172588) 2025-01-10T14:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite this the market prescribes almost zero value to future discoveries (CAD 8m to be precise). I believe a resonable PV for this to be around CAD 75m meaning that I believe the intrinsic value of the company today is CAD 115m vs the current market cap of CAD 48m (7/10)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1877727301330256042) 2025-01-10T14:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital $VZLA $VROY.V $GGD :)"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1886690155110564080) 2025-02-04T08:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I've had both hits and misses this year. Luckily this is still my largest position by a wide margin. 245% reserve replacement ratio and one of the main bear thesis is being absolutely slaughtered. I don't want to dream but expecting a violent SP move form $VLE.TO today ๐ #Valeura announces record #reserves and #resources at year-end [----]. Replaced more than double the #oil produced (245% reserves replacement ratio) further extended field lives increased value and reduced decommissioining costs. $VLE $VLERF #Thailand https://t.co/v0gAhvPpjP https://t.co/tDwcWG7Pdy #Valeura announces record"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1889938763427794984) 2025-02-13T07:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NAV C$13 vs SP of C$732. I mean what can we expect the share price to do @_NameValue_ has been pounding the table on this being a C$10 stock for a while. Not unlikely we will see that soon"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1889939843054223573) 2025-02-13T07:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@MadsCapital "Quality is structurally undervalued" LOL. If anything the complete opposite is true"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1891804215724368025) 2025-02-18T10:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@zoomyzoomm @MadsCapital Which flag would you give to having no CFO"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1892111029728915499) 2025-02-19T07:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The value disconnect widens $VLE $VLE.TO. This is not a SOTP disconnect this is a current and future cash flow disconnect. We don't have to wait for assets to be monetized. Management will and is returning the capital back as we speak. Tanking of brent is the only real concern #Valeura Energy announces successful infill #drilling campaign at the #Manora field in #Thailand. Drilling has both increased #oil production and successfully appraised additional targets. $VLE $VLERF https://t.co/Bk88TsDpX8 https://t.co/0DJgBfbDPR #Valeura Energy announces successful infill #drilling campaign at the"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1896465412365382029) 2025-03-03T07:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aaand brent is tanking ๐ซก 'Lower for longer' oil prices is now consensus. I am not convinced. @NuggetCapital latest article on the forbidden site is a good primer for the opposite argument. I added today $VLE $VLE.TO The value disconnect widens $VLE $VLE.TO. This is not a SOTP disconnect this is a current and future cash flow disconnect. We don't have to wait for assets to be monetized. Management will and is returning the capital back as we speak. Tanking of brent is the only real concern The value disconnect widens $VLE $VLE.TO. This is not a SOTP disconnect this is a current and future"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1897343744875331653) 2025-03-05T17:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$OGI a company which likely soon turns cash flow positive in an improving industry coming out of a cyclical low is currently trading way below NCAV and very soon at net cash. Truly remarkable"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1899522721463070806) 2025-03-11T18:08Z [----] followers, 14.7K engagements
"$GGD not $GGF*"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1900227636678340824) 2025-03-13T16:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$VLE $VLE.TO The gift that keeps on giving. 2P reserves replacement ratio of 245% after production increase of 12% reduced ARO by 54% cash position of US$259 million NAV is more than $1bn equating to over C$13/share Every metric is hugely bullish https://www.valeuraenergy.com/another-year-of-record-results-in-2024/ https://www.valeuraenergy.com/another-year-of-record-results-in-2024/"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1904460154587783178) 2025-03-25T09:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If anyone cares $VLE $VLE.TO. I added on both 15% drops at the open on Friday and Monday Good update by Valeura https://t.co/3AZdtsBTvL Good update by Valeura https://t.co/3AZdtsBTvL"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1909871751460159664) 2025-04-09T07:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It might actually be that nicotine pouches are the real store of value $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1909881899486507362) 2025-04-09T08:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Crazy price action for $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST lately. As a user of snus and nicotine pouches for [--] years I have a good understanding of the business and the market. Albeit not without risk its an absolutely mind-blowing business. Never sell. DMs open if you want to discuss"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1939945843009765630) 2025-07-01T07:15Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"Wow. - Midwit take โ
$HAYPP $HAYPP.ST Brilliant: - subject matter expert (dude rips pouches) โ
- never sell โ
- no price target โ
- "mind-blowing business" โ
- chart of price go up to prove point โ
I can't believe my time machine actually worked and it's really [----] again. Brilliant: - subject matter expert (dude rips pouches) โ
- never sell โ
- no price target โ
- "mind-blowing business" โ
- chart of price go up to prove point โ
I can't believe my time machine actually worked and it's really [----] again"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1943709322678055194) 2025-07-11T16:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Have to agree with @KarstResearch here. Very difficult for me to disprove or confirm the allegations without doing deeper research $MRX My belief is when something like this happens the response should be to recalibrate. Take a step back take some off and reassess at a later date when you get clarification. Thats what Im doing here My belief is when something like this happens the response should be to recalibrate. Take a step back take some off and reassess at a later date when you get clarification. Thats what Im doing here"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1952751467233681442) 2025-08-05T15:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I believe todays puke in $BLDE represent a great opportunity for long term oriented investors as old investors exit the name and algos go crazy. I think todays call was great and see a lot of potential in becoming a focused M&A machine in a growing fragmented market. Added"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1952752388751691851) 2025-08-05T15:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Love seeing the expanding gross margins. Shows the scalability inherent in the model. Gross margin expansion is generally something you look for in growth companies. Revenues will be bumpy short-term long-term trend is clear. Added this morning $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST Heres a summary of the $Haypp Q2 webcast and the big questions answered: Still no exact clarity on when ZYN returns; just H2 with updates promised as soon as anything changes. Prilla has had it in stock for weeks so it likely isnt far off. Theyll invest heavily in the US Heres a summary of the $Haypp Q2 webcast and the big questions"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1953421339814941074) 2025-08-07T11:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Very good quarter by $CRON. With all these YoY improvements in both topline and prof. margins and completion of GrowCo setting the stage for accelerated growth in the coming quarters it's simply asinine that the stock is 5.4% lower than [--] year ago. I will die on this hill $CRON continuing its incredible transformation: - Net Sales +21% to $33.5m (+13% ex GrowCo) - Gross margin low 40s for consecutive periods (was in the 20s just a year ago); - Adj. EBITDA +ve (vs. -$11m YoY) and CFO +ve - Major opex reductions despite topline growth. $CRON continuing its incredible transformation: - Net Sales"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1953444566377394499) 2025-08-07T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$BLDE This sums up the appeal in a very clean way. Meanwhile you have shareholders hating the deal and selling because they owned it for the passenger eVTOL business. Did someone say You Can Be A Stock Market Genius Call Greenblatt Some thoughts on $JOBY $BLDE Strata deal: The deal will leave Strata (Blade's remaining medical business) with $200m in cash and zero debt implying an enterprise value of $100m. If they can do $170m revenue this year (reasonable) that implies a 0.6x EV/sales very similar to Some thoughts on $JOBY $BLDE Strata deal: The deal will leave Strata (Blade's remaining"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1953714402072400227) 2025-08-08T07:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital I guess the bet here is that I think both $BLDE and $CRON will be able to accretively deploy the capital. Albeit might take time and it's a drag on the equity until that happens. $BLDE market is fragmented and I think Mike at $CRON gets the capital cycle. Limited downside"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1953729081788297564) 2025-08-08T08:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CRON https://t.co/UGZa0KN3fx https://t.co/UGZa0KN3fx"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1954900273635221625) 2025-08-11T13:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The motivation behind this $23bn deal by AT&T seems blatantly obvious. It's all coming together $ASTS AT&T currently have no presence in the low [---] MHz. Deploying ot through $ASTS @AST_SpaceMobile is a no-brainer. AT&T currently have no presence in the low [---] MHz. Deploying ot through $ASTS @AST_SpaceMobile is a no-brainer"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1960324928361603548) 2025-08-26T12:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(1/2) $HAYPP: Just listened to the latest @BillBrewsterTBB pod with @SpencerCibelli who I think did an awesome job walking through the risks and how wonderful Haypps business model is"
[X Link](https://x.com/hcapinvesting/status/1964660832970879158) 2025-09-07T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
### Topic Creators
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/:topic/creators/v1
Get the top creators for a social topic
input parameters:
+ **topic**: _Provide the topic to get details for. A topic must be all lower case and can only include letters, numbers, spaces, # and $._ **required**
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/bitcoin/creators/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": [
{
"creator_id": "twitter::1605310254085980161",
"creator_name": "Bitcoin_Teddy",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1739753415134138368/FrWHMAnb_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 74293,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [-------]
}
]
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
---
### Creators List
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
Get a list of trending social creators over all of social based on interactions. To get lists of creators by category or topic see the topics and categories endpoints.
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": [
{
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_id": "44196397",
"creator_network": "twitter",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234295750,
"creator_posts": 3649,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [---------]
}
]
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_display_name**: The chosen display name for the influencer if available
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_network**: The social network for the post or influencer. We still refer to x as twitter out of developer preference.
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_posts**: total number of posts with interactions in the last [--] hours
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
---
### Creator
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/:network/:id/v1
Get detail information on a specific creator
input parameters:
+ **network**: _Provide the network for the creator. One of twitter, youtube, instagram, reddit, or tiktok_ **required**
+ **id**: _Provide the unique ID or screen name of the creator_ **required**
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/twitter/elonmusk/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": {
"creator_id": "twitter::44196397",
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234296337,
"creator_rank": 2,
"interactions_24h": 318539577,
"topic_influence": [
{
"topic": "in the",
"count": 294,
"percent": 5.88,
"rank": [--]
}
],
"top_community": [
{
"creator_name": "grok",
"creator_display_name": "Grok",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1893219113717342208/Vgg2hEPa_200x200.jpg",
"count": [---]
}
]
}
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_display_name**: The chosen display name for the influencer if available
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
+ **topic_influence**: an array of social topics and the creators ranking on each topic
+ **topic**: LunarCrush social topic. Can only includes letters, numbers, spaces, #, and $
+ **top_community**: an array of the top accounts that have recently mentioned this creator or that this creator has mentioned
---
### Creator Time Series
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/:network/:id/time-series/v1
Get time series data on a creator.
input parameters:
+ **network**: _Influencer social network_ **required**
+ **id**: _The unique id or screen name of the creator_ **required**
+ **bucket**: _bucket time series data into hours or days. default is hours._
+ **interval**: _Use interval to specify the start and end time automatically for convenience. If "start" or "end" parameters are provided this parameter is ignored._
+ **start**: _The start time (unix timestamp) to go back to._
+ **end**: _The end time (unix timestamp) to stop at._
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/twitter/lunarcrush/time-series/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"config": {
"network": "twitter",
"influencer_id": "twitter::988992203568562176",
"interval": "1w",
"start": 1769990400,
"end": 1770681600,
"bucket": "hour",
"name": "lunarcrush",
"remote_api": "danode1-13",
"generated": [----------]
},
"data": [
{
"time": 1769990400,
"followers": 305326,
"interactions": 717,
"posts_active": 14,
"creator_rank": [------]
}
]
}
```
Schema:
+ **config**: This includes the inputs for the request processed by the server and may include additional hints about the request and response information.
+ **network**: The social network for the post or influencer. We still refer to x as twitter out of developer preference.
+ **interval**: Typically used for specifying time intervals like 1w = [--] week, 1m = [--] month etc
+ **start**: Start/from unix timestamp (in seconds)
+ **end**: End/to unix timestamp (in seconds)
+ **bucket**: Data is generally bucketed into hours or days
+ **name**: The full name of the asset
+ **generated**: A unix timestamp (in seconds) when the data was generated to understand possibly stale data
+ **time**: A unix timestamp (in seconds)
+ **followers**: The number of publicly displayed followers the creator has
+ **interactions**: number of all publicly measurable interactions on a social post (views, likes, comments, thumbs up, upvote, share etc)
+ **posts_active**: number of unique social posts with interactions
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
---
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@hcapinvesting H CapitalH Capital posts on X about $asts, in the, $vtyl, growth the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance stocks technology brands cryptocurrencies countries social networks currencies automotive brands travel destinations fashion brands
Social topic influence $asts, in the, $vtyl, growth, to the, if you, buying, $vty, $seiv, stocks
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @uzocapital @ragingbullcap @nestbetter @paulandreola @tidefallcapital @toffcap @adamwyden @astspacemobile @hcapinvesting @aboveavgodds @hycorps @onlyborrowed @leevalueroach @spacanpanman @jamesiebabie1 @valuations @billbrewstertbb @jerrycap @bentern @originalbraila
Top assets mentioned AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ASTS) Tidewater, Inc. (TDW) Noble Corporation (NE) Validity (VAL) Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Transocean LTD. (RIG) Metrix Coin (MRX) DRX Token (DRX) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Sei (SEI) Arvinas, Inc (ARVN)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"If you combined Warren Buffets temperament and investment acumen with Jeff Bezos vision and guts you would probably get the best investor of all time. Both extremely smart long-term thinkers with focus on cash flow"
X Link 2024-05-09T09:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Will soon share a write up/summary of my [--] largest and highest conviction holdings why I believe they are long-term winners with a high IRR outlook and why I probably will continue adding to the positions over the next year"
X Link 2024-05-09T14:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"(1/2) Quick microcap check-list to filter out 90%: [--]. The company is unique with no clear competitors [--]. If rule nr. [--] doesnt apply the product needs to be atleast 10x better than incumbents [--]. The company is focusing on dominating a niche market"
X Link 2024-05-09T14:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"(2/2) [--]. Inflecting revenue growth (proven product-market-fit) [--]. Low debt/low dillution while profitable (proves cap allocation skills and/or high perceived product value for customers)"
X Link 2024-05-09T14:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FBF.V looks like a very interesting company to me. Unique tackling a niche proftable low capital intensity visionary CEO housing shortage as a tailwind. However difficult to assess demand for their products i.e. predictability of revenues. Has anyone looked into it"
X Link 2024-05-11T18:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Microsoft never received any external funding before its IPO and was profitable from the start. Low debt low dilution and profitability is possible for smaller companies only when they are amazing businesses which is why these are smart characteristics to look for"
X Link 2024-05-12T20:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"One of my favourite podcast episodes of all time. Tons of wisdom on business investing and life. Highly recommend. @patrick_oshag @jeremygiffon https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Vdv5i250hF6EfzOTML9REsi=vdpDB01zTUSLUlDKHhnT1Q https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Vdv5i250hF6EfzOTML9REsi=vdpDB01zTUSLUlDKHhnT1Q"
X Link 2024-05-22T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"A friend of mine calls this trickonomy - Unnecessary consumption goods you get lured into by society once your income increases. No wonder why so few compound to meaningful wealth my most controversial take might be that i think traveling is overrated my most controversial take might be that i think traveling is overrated"
X Link 2024-05-24T21:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I echo this. Most explosive gains are from bad companies going less bad. This is also a fairly risky strategy which warrants more diversification. I might spice my portfolio with some of this but prefer staying concetrated in undervalued quality. I like finding cheap quality companies. But Ive learned that the best returns are found when crappy companies go to less crappy I like finding cheap quality companies. But Ive learned that the best returns are found when crappy companies go to less crappy"
X Link 2024-05-26T19:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ChanisLament You wouldve been an amazing venture capitalist Dakota"
X Link 2024-05-28T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Have been aggressively trimming my position in $SPY over the last month. Valuations and expectations for Mag7 led by Nvidia are just getting too crazy for me. I cannot predict the future but I believe there are better R/R opportunities out there over the next 12-24 months"
X Link 2024-05-28T18:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TidefallCapital Oh yeah shouldve done that. But I try to stay away from buying on margin. If you bought the dip when I wrote the tweet you would have made 14% in [--] minutes. Huge spread and tight flow so not guaranteed but still"
X Link 2024-05-31T06:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"You should go follow @Uzo_Investor. Very underfollowed experienced equity analyst/investor (and a Metallica fan as a nice kicker)"
X Link 2024-05-31T19:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Its my firm belief that if you own an equally-weighted basket of $IWG.L $VTY.L $BQE.V $TVK.TO $LMN.V and $CPH.TO at todays prices you will absolutely dominate over the next 3-5 years. See you in Monaco in [----]. 1) I've published my first write up on Substack where I dive into IWG ( $IWG $IWG.L). Laying out why even without re-rating this should morph into a 40%+ TSR compounder.and why i see 200% (base case) to 500% (bull case) upside over 3-4 years Link: https://t.co/01PfPEd9TR 1) I've published my first write up on Substack where I dive into IWG ( $IWG $IWG.L). Laying out why even without"
X Link 2024-06-03T11:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@sharpeshark I would argue it's need to have even for people who strive to look good at the beach/in sandals (esp girls). My girlfriend spent $60 on a pedicure yesterday (no foot fungus but still.)"
X Link 2024-06-05T11:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BillBrewsterTBB According to S&P global private equity dry powder was $2.6 trillion in December [----]. Highest recorded. I work with PE in my job and deal activity is most def picking up after a slow 2023"
X Link 2024-06-11T11:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Another great piece and DD work on $BQE.V by @ragingbullcap. The magnitude and relative certainty of cash flow growth and the durability of these cash flows is what makes this so compelling. The patient investor will get rewarded on this one. $BQE.V just published at link in bio: a brief pt II piece uncovering a specific "company-maker" project and some thoughts on how to think about the growth ahead. https://t.co/I9rx11Bibf $BQE.V just published at link in bio: a brief pt II piece uncovering a specific "company-maker" project and some thoughts on how to think about the growth ahead."
X Link 2024-06-12T05:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@JerryCap Market is not comfortable with grey market Asia risk + Georgia risk (I think the latter atleast is overblown). Will probably crush next Q. Might need to see full online casino legalization in the US or similar for this to rerate to fair value @Uzocapital"
X Link 2024-06-13T17:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MatasBaliukonis @TrentBlair19 This is way too optimistic. Anyone can lose money on any stock if the holding period is only a year. Growth will also slow down for any big company when it reaches a certain scale even CSU which is currently trading at [---] PE"
X Link 2024-06-16T16:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The best ones often tick two of the boxes. I.e selling pressure by one of the largest shareholders resulting in a 15% FCF/EV yield for a company with a huge order book and growth prospects in a cyclical upturn $DRX.TO"
X Link 2024-06-26T22:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Coming from a native Scandinavian there is something about Sweden that I can't explain. IKEA H&M Volvo nicotine pouches Abba Max Martin Spotify. 1/4 the population of California. They have an entrepreneurial innovative and commercial mindset which few other countries have"
X Link 2024-07-03T08:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My home country isn't too bad either. Most winter olympic golds of any nation best chess player of all time 2nd best soccer player top [--] golfer and tennis player with 1/8th the population of California. Limited entrepreneurial quality however. Probably because of oil"
X Link 2024-07-03T08:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@WaltKowalsk1 @NestBetter @ragingbullcap @Atrium_Research They will probably need more people to scale up. Hence buying a smaller consultancy or the likes might be a necessity"
X Link 2024-07-05T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$DRX $DRX.TO "Why ADF Group still has an 1-2x upside over the next year despite growing 300% over the last year." Wrote a summary on how you don't have to believe too much to see solid upside in ADF and how it also could pay back it's market cap within next [--] years. Link in bio"
X Link 2024-07-11T09:25Z [----] followers, 18.2K engagements
"@JerryCap $MCD"
X Link 2024-07-12T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"How many years it would conservatively take mgmt to pay back its market cap (FCFE yield + growth + reinvestment need essentially) is becoming one of my favourite metrics for margin of safety. Provided of course mgmt is shareholder friendly and understands cap allocation"
X Link 2024-07-13T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I think Peter Thiel is right: If you believe $NVDA has a durable competitive advantage its probably very cheap. If you think the other big tech firms will make their own chips in the future to avoid a 10x markup to Nvidia its probably fairly priced. I dont know the answer"
X Link 2024-07-14T21:43Z [----] followers, 16K engagements
"@ben_tern All I know is that there are some crazy average perceived likelihood scenario going on with Tesla. Its basically priced for some extreme right tail scenario. Nvidia is not"
X Link 2024-07-14T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Rebrand_As_Y I am not long $NVDA. I consider myself a value investor (my port is public) and am generally bearish big tech valuations. I have written many tweets on the obscene valuation of $TSLA. I am on your team. Claiming that every big tech is obnoxiously overvalued is probably not right"
X Link 2024-07-15T22:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Its impossible for me to envision holding a growth stock like $TSLA during a drawdown knowing that it would take something like [---] years (not an exaggeration) to pay back its current market cap. I would lose faith and think that the market had finally seen through it"
X Link 2024-07-17T22:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@voltino_cro I do not disagree. Like I write: Not every company is $AMZN. There are very valid reasons to sell a company you were planning to hold long term. Still does not take away the fact that you often have to endure volatility to build"
X Link 2024-07-18T19:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"People who diversify across a wide range of index funds and strategies like trying to sound smart but what many are doing is diversifying based on lack of real conviction with no vision for the future. Diversification should come naturally from having too many good opportunities"
X Link 2024-07-21T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ben_tern To be clear: Diversifying isnt bad. Diversifying just to diversify is bad"
X Link 2024-07-21T19:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If I were buying CSU today I would seriously think through that one day the company will mature growth will deaccelerate and the multiple will detract (from todays 30x book). I dont know when but surely there must be better r/r out there over the next [--] years"
X Link 2024-07-23T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MoS_Investing Randomly chosen. Buffett refers to book value for his conglomerate. Pick whatever metric you like. Serial acquirers (esp. the highly active ones restructuring consolidation) are always tricky to value accurately anyway. I know you are a CSU bull and I love ML too btw"
X Link 2024-07-24T22:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett I see people posting about things that went well. For me honestly buying $SAVE Jan24 calls with $28 strike when the underlying was $8 in November last year. Didnt size big but wouldve 10xed in two months if deal went through and I wouldve done it again 10/10 times"
X Link 2024-07-24T22:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"When I bought $TVK.TO shares at C37$ i remember thinking that I came in late and missed it. Shortly after I bought more at C55$ thinking that I probably should have waited for a pullback. Now I conclude that timing the market is a fools errand. If it is attractive buy it"
X Link 2024-07-26T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Ive been trimming $LMN.V lately as it became too big and I see better opportunities in the market med term. Aggressively increased my $SEI.V position as I think it will push a lot higher by year-end. My intuition served me well on $CPH.TO lets see if it does this time as well"
X Link 2024-07-30T17:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"While I agree tariffs and counter-tariffs are risks to $DRX.TO I dont think it has caused the recent sell-off: 1) Tariff risk is not specific to ADF 2) Tariff overhang has always been there as long as a Trump presidency has been likely not much has changed recently"
X Link 2024-07-30T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$TNZ.TO announced a transformational acquisition two weeks ago increasing boe/d with 390% without issuing equity in what has been described as a masterclass in deal-making. After-tax 1P (proven) NPV10 is $22.50 per share. Current share price is $7 or 14x EV/FCF"
X Link 2024-08-04T23:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As of the end of July [----] we have retired [---] million shares at an average cost of $2.81 per share (7.3% of basic common shares) through the NCIB. Right before announcing an acquisition which increased the stock price 100%. This is how shareholder return is created $TNZ.TO"
X Link 2024-08-09T07:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The comment section is absolutely insane What do you think is currently the #1 most undervalued stock in the market What do you think is currently the #1 most undervalued stock in the market"
X Link 2024-08-10T21:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"90% of the answers are Tesla Palantir MicroStrategy or Nvidia. The average P/S for these companies are like [--]. Maybe this isnt a surprise to anyone but its just perplexing how hopes and dreams drive the entire narrative and how deeply out of favor value investing is"
X Link 2024-08-11T06:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Crew Energy acquired for something close to $43000 per flowing bbl per day. If Tenaz was acquired for the same multuple it would imply a 180% premium to current trading. And one could argue it deserves more. Gas prices at all time low. Crazy asymmetry. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/tourmaline-oil-acquire-crew-energy-947-million-2024-08-12/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/tourmaline-oil-acquire-crew-energy-947-million-2024-08-12/"
X Link 2024-08-13T10:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Little talk of this lately. Lets summarize: At 4-5x EBITDA the market says its dying mgmt says the opposite manifested through capacity increase and aggressive hiring. @ToffCap who looks at more ideas than most has said he struggles to find better opps. @PaulAndreola buying $DRX $DRX.TO "Why ADF Group still has an 1-2x upside over the next year despite growing 300% over the last year." Wrote a summary on how you don't have to believe too much to see solid upside in ADF and how it also could pay back it's market cap within next [--] years. Link in bio https://t.co/CTOVMs20IR $DRX $DRX.TO "Why ADF"
X Link 2024-08-18T15:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Barry59700119 @ToffCap @PaulAndreola EBITDA margin in Q1 is likely not sustainable and who knows whether they can keep up the same growth rate. But we are expecting growth and we are expecting an EBITDA margin in the realm of 19-22%"
X Link 2024-08-18T16:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This guy is new for me. Absolutely mental portfolio. I had to check him out and its actually really interesting to hear him speak. Doesnt seem to think his portfolio is risky at all. Hes either on the far left or the far right of that bell curve meme. I think to the right Clifford Sosin - CAS Investment Partners https://t.co/zHgkIK57mh Clifford Sosin - CAS Investment Partners https://t.co/zHgkIK57mh"
X Link 2024-08-19T19:54Z [----] followers, 90.3K engagements
"@TidefallCapital His average buy price is $65 since [----]. Imagine that ride when this is 65% of your portfolio. Up to [---] down to [--] back to 155"
X Link 2024-08-19T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I used to be a buy-and-hold high ROIC companies forever type of guy and enjoyed good returns from that last year. The space however feels increasingly overbought with too high expectations. I have pivoted hard towards fundamental value this year and loving the opportunity set"
X Link 2024-08-23T17:56Z [----] followers, 11.6K engagements
"If we exclude shorter-term special situation/catalyst-driven stuff I am struggling very hard to find names with a similar combination of value + growth + quality (the @Uzocapital formula) as $CPH.TO $VTY.L and $IWG.L. Favourite plays and 50% of my portfolio soon I believe @hcapinvesting What are your favorite value picks @hcapinvesting What are your favorite value picks"
X Link 2024-08-24T15:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Heres a random thought for you: Everyones heard about going A-Z to find new ideas Buffett recommending starting with the As and so on. Ive noticed a significant amount of FinTwit favs coming early in the alphabet. If I were doing this full time I would go Z-A"
X Link 2024-08-27T02:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Some honorable mentions to illustrate: $ALAR $CREX $CNO.V $COV.V $CPH.TO $BRM.TO $DR.TO $DRXTO $BQE.V $CLPT $AEP.V and so on and so on"
X Link 2024-08-27T02:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$BQE.V Yesterday's Q2 report disappointed me and the market due to the large drop in tech services. Lumpiness is expected and I still believe this is a high-quality business worth holding but growth needs to pick up over the next Qs as Mgmt projects to justify current valuation"
X Link 2024-08-29T09:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Adam_Wyden Thats true and very important actually. Forgot about that factor. Its the same in Norway. Im only taxed when I take money out of the brokerage account not when selling positions. On the flip side we have wealth tax"
X Link 2024-08-30T11:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Adam_Wyden If your net worth is above USD 170k you have to pay 1% wealth tax. And then there is an additional 04% on top for net worths above USD 2m. Not a problem for most but it is very problematic if your net worth is high and intangible/illiquid (e.g your start-up takes off)"
X Link 2024-08-30T12:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Adam_Wyden There is not. You dont pay taxes until money is withdrawn in a holdco (similar to my private brokerage account) but you pay on your wealth. To illustrate: A large number of the wealthiest Norwegians have moved to Switzerland"
X Link 2024-08-30T12:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My port strategy and how I view diversification: [--] stocks/69% aloc: Value + quality + growth and 40%+ exp. 3-5y IRR [--] stocks/20% aloc: Undervalued microcaps with wide return distributions and fat right tails [--] stocks/11% aloc: Value w/ significant near-term catalyst"
X Link 2024-08-31T15:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@sammccolgan @HimmyJTheGoat He was running more concentrated than most not 30+ stocks (3-5 sign bets not sure how many stocks in total). What is considered diversified is subjective in a way. And I agree with you. I however still think the point is valid as a general framework"
X Link 2024-09-01T09:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ChrisMozach Like my original tweet states: and that will perserve their earnings power going forward"
X Link 2024-09-04T07:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$SEI $SEI.V getting violently dragged down by the oil price. At CAD [----] its trading way below the most conservative estimate you could come up with. Its probably worth way above CAD [--] and I think that will become apparent within the not too distant future"
X Link 2024-09-10T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@capitaloptimism Yeah down 33% myself"
X Link 2024-09-12T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital Thinking about the same. Expectations regarding US/CA is obv priced in with Cipher so there will be a drop. I have however been surprised in the past about how Moberg/Cipher have traded fairly uncorrelated so not sure how much is priced in. 5% 10% 20% drop. I don't know"
X Link 2024-09-13T09:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is true. I also think its fine to have some speculative bets in your portfolio as long as you manage risk and acknowledge that a portion of your portfolio is like a VC fund. Things can go parabolic things can go to zero. Average across should be decent + Sheep guy (who knows bio) warned the fungus mafia and is validated. A classic case of generalists investing outside their CoC rather than probabilistic thinking gone wrong. If you dont have the scientific background to assess the probabilities in your thesis its speculation Sheep guy (who knows bio) warned the fungus mafia and is"
X Link 2024-09-14T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ArneUlland I find this to be the best mental test. It really exposes whether you lack true conviction and have not done enough work. I find it easier to hold if I know the company is spitting stable cash and buying back shares. Given that your thesis still holds of course"
X Link 2024-09-15T14:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I have a confession to make. It's not a secret that my holdings and investment philosophy overlap with @ragingbullcap. I have however never bought into the cannabis theme. But now that the brand power is showing through in the numbers I am starting to really like $CRON here"
X Link 2024-09-18T21:11Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements
"@ragingbullcap It's one of those industries that has just been left for dead by most investors (with the exception of some small hyper growers on the venture exchange many of which have died after similar runs). Not unlike coal in late [----]. Someone will take this space let's see who it is"
X Link 2024-09-18T21:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@LongOnlyLarry EQT (Swedish company Norwegian CEO) is the 4th largest PE in the world"
X Link 2024-09-19T11:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Good news. Its not a huge uplift and not sure how to interpret The Corporation's order backlog stood at $ [-----] million as at July [--] [----] including some of the new orders announced today. but with a completely broken sentiment maybe this can help $55M added to orderbook today at ADF Group $DRX. Will this see start of a revaluation At less than [--] EBITDA the price is currently unmoored and adrift from where any anchor bias would put it nevermind objective valuation. https://t.co/GjmHjyPaqW $55M added to orderbook today at ADF Group $DRX. Will this see start of a revaluation At less than 4"
X Link 2024-09-24T11:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@TidefallCapital But $PLTR is taking over the world man. Dont feed me with this"
X Link 2024-09-28T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@illyquid Build cost have been understated by c. 10% for 3% of developments. This is not an extreme number. The projects in question were large hence the significant total impact on group's financials. This can happen to project based/construction businesses. It's not a SaaS business"
X Link 2024-10-08T09:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@OriginalBraila Whats your typical portfolio concentration and holding period"
X Link 2024-10-11T09:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ragingbullcap Good for you. Some theses require you to take a multi-decade view. Even if valuation contracts 50% ++ over that period the best businesses will still have outperformed 99% of stocks. For $TPL the PE ratio has contracted 73% from [----] to today all while the stock has 10-bagged"
X Link 2024-10-14T18:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"So everything #uranium is flying on all this nuclear reactor newsflow coming from Google Amazon and the likes. Dont see why this would stop anytime soon super bullish cycle imo $URNJ $ASPI Been busy and stressed trying to sell a distressed asset at work but Ive added uranium and cannabis-driven plays (the cornerstone of every society) totalling just above 10% of my portfolio going into Q4. Looking to add more but I like my other names too well to sell Been busy and stressed trying to sell a distressed asset at work but Ive added uranium and cannabis-driven plays (the cornerstone of every"
X Link 2024-10-16T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"1/2 โ
$SEI.V is up next I think $CLMT and $SEI.V are my two favourite value with a near-term catalyst situations at the moment. Very excited for both over the next 2-4 months. And once we talk about favourites: @AboveAvgOdds is the GOAT. $VTY.L and $CLMT are some of the best pitches Ive read I think $CLMT and $SEI.V are my two favourite value with a near-term catalyst situations at the moment. Very excited for both over the next 2-4 months. And once we talk about favourites: @AboveAvgOdds is the GOAT. $VTY.L and $CLMT are some of the best pitches Ive read"
X Link 2024-10-16T21:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Retail dumping $CLMT on the news yesterday created enough selling pressure for it to end red which is insane. Once all the tourists are out the real buying should start and grind the stock higher. Up 5% pre-market. I haven't sold a single one of my deeply OTM Jan calls"
X Link 2024-10-18T08:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"None zero of the wealthiest people in the world are daytraders gamblers or technical analysis wizards. Heck none of the richest people in your town are. The odds for these people are clearly stacked against them. The wealthiest people are owners of businesses who never sold"
X Link 2024-10-26T18:28Z [----] followers, 23.4K engagements
"@o_li_vi_err More customers Better pricing More customers"
X Link 2024-10-29T19:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"These three cases exemplify how selective opportunities can emerge even in periods of sector-wide pessimism. Fishing in commodities can feel like playing with fire but it can also be where the greatest opportunities emerge. Great read by @NameValue @NameValue Do you mean this abour Seplat Valeura and Sintana #SEPL $SEPL.L $VLE.TO $VLE $SEI $SEI.v https://t.co/ZPGwLwZIH5 https://t.co/p0jQKPiXZx @NameValue Do you mean this abour Seplat Valeura and Sintana #SEPL $SEPL.L $VLE.TO $VLE $SEI $SEI.v https://t.co/ZPGwLwZIH5 https://t.co/p0jQKPiXZx"
X Link 2024-10-29T21:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CVNA is a 26x over the past two years and -24% over the past three. That is one of the wildest charts youll ever see. I guess there is something to getting the entry point right"
X Link 2024-11-01T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If you invested $10 [---] in MicroStrategy at the peak of the dot-com bubble and held your returns would finally be positive"
X Link 2024-11-11T20:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"PEL [--] seismic data soon ready first exploration well in PEL [--] about to start both with immediate proximity to the monster license PEL [--]. With all these imminent and potentially significant catalysts soon coming its shocking to see $SEI.V down -20% over the last month Pancontinental Energy almost done analysing and interpreting PEL [--] seismic dataset #oil #oott $pcl $sei.v $wds https://t.co/LLdDb0xCFF Pancontinental Energy almost done analysing and interpreting PEL [--] seismic dataset #oil #oott $pcl $sei.v $wds https://t.co/LLdDb0xCFF"
X Link 2024-11-12T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital Investing in and sticking with the winners has definitely been the "winning" strategy this year. $APP $TSSI $ASTS $HIMS $ASPI"
X Link 2024-11-13T18:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@NomadLowk Currently stands like this: $CPH.TO $TNZ.TO $VLE.TO $CLMT $ASPI $TVK.TO $ZOMD.V $CRON $OGI $BQE.V $SEPL.L $IWG.L $KNT.TO $VZLA and $SEI.V"
X Link 2024-11-13T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"TTF prices going up and positive newsflow/updated price targets together with increased discovery keeps grinding $TNZ.TO higher which has now become my largest position together with $CPH.TO. Just wait until they announce yet another acquisition. Huge faith in this mgmt team"
X Link 2024-11-14T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$HIMS down -25% today and $TSSI down -28% AH. Could it be that my frustrations yesterday about how momentum slaughtered value actually marked the top of the disprecpency @Uzocapital Investing in and sticking with the winners has definitely been the "winning" strategy this year. $APP $TSSI $ASTS $HIMS $ASPI. @Uzocapital Investing in and sticking with the winners has definitely been the "winning" strategy this year. $APP $TSSI $ASTS $HIMS $ASPI"
X Link 2024-11-14T21:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FriendlyCapMgmt Shorting pubicly traded consultancies with large exposure to US government contracts (governments waste a ton of money on consultancies). I don't have any top of mind but checking out Accenture could be a first step"
X Link 2024-11-15T12:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Sad story. I saw and still see the Jan $SAVE call options I bought on the $8 dip in early Nov last year as one of the fattest pitches Mr. Market has thrown at me $save As a result of the chapter [--] filing.The Company expects that its common stock will continue to trade in the over-the-counter marketplace through the chapter [--] process. The shares are expected to be cancelled and have no value as part of Spirit's restructuring. $save As a result of the chapter [--] filing.The Company expects that its common stock will continue to trade in the over-the-counter marketplace through the chapter 11"
X Link 2024-11-18T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It is incredible to think about. Wonder how the math works out if Tesla halves If $TSLA Does a 50X some of my friends who have $1m or more in stock now will be worth $50m. Let that sink in. If $TSLA Does a 50X some of my friends who have $1m or more in stock now will be worth $50m. Let that sink in"
X Link 2024-11-19T09:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im going to be bold and say that this was the last time we saw the share price below [--] CAD ever again. Lets hope this tweet ages well ๐ค๐ป PEL [--] seismic data soon ready first exploration well in PEL [--] about to start both with immediate proximity to the monster license PEL [--]. With all these imminent and potentially significant catalysts soon coming its shocking to see $SEI.V down -20% over the last month PEL [--] seismic data soon ready first exploration well in PEL [--] about to start both with immediate proximity to the monster license PEL [--]. With all these imminent and potentially"
X Link 2024-11-21T20:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"So I own companies across oil gas pharma homebuilding real estate offshore cannabis biofuels software mobility space gold/silver mining and practically everything is red today. Appears to be a "sell everything" day"
X Link 2024-12-12T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$TNK practically trades at their asset scrap value + cash despite having no debt ships that will be operational for [--] more years and a 20% FCF yield at historically low day rates. Not the worst downside protection I have seen $TNK - Teekay Tankers: Valuation Secured By Scrap Value And Huge Cash Pile. https://t.co/jOXRxNkIgQ #finance #trading #stockmarket $TNK - Teekay Tankers: Valuation Secured By Scrap Value And Huge Cash Pile. https://t.co/jOXRxNkIgQ #finance #trading #stockmarket"
X Link 2024-12-16T20:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Refinedman2 Havent analysed $TK from a price perspective. Shipping and offshore sentiment is generally bad e.g analyst downgrades and shorting. Not huge selling volume just no buyers. $TNK has one of the oldest fleets and currently pay a low dividend due to future CAPEX (new ships) needs"
X Link 2024-12-16T21:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapitals stock ideas have been killing it and many of them have gained quick popularity such as $TALK and $GRAB. $TBLA have however gotten more unnoticed which I find interesting. I like the idea and think [----] could be big $TBLA: The more work I do on this name the more I like it. If you're an advertiser there's only two choices for performance advertising today. It's either walled gardens like Google Meta and Amazon or it's the open web where Taboola reaches [---] million daily active users https://t.co/7zVkl0rqv9 $TBLA: The more work I do on this name the more I like it. If you're an"
X Link 2024-12-17T21:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ragingbullcap Congrats on this find buddy. Awesome idea and fundamentals AND macro tailwinds (re yesterdays excise tax reform news). Man good luck finding something similar at this valuation ever again"
X Link 2024-12-18T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@joanM34277661 @MatthijsS6 Its likely due to the three small words thin net pay. Which is crazy and does not warrant a 5% drop for a EUR 11bn company"
X Link 2024-12-31T09:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"My biggest historical winners often share one of two traits: 1) Quality management + a massive cash balance which the market incorrectly prescribes [--] value or 2) Announced value accretive M&A deal which is underappreciated by the market. Trait 1) today is $CRON and $VLE.TO"
X Link 2025-01-05T09:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital @HYcorps I think their strategic positioning (international expansions emerging brand power) and operational improvement is worth noting. The few investments they have done appear accretive (e.g. GrowCo). Mike understands the sector really well and also has a background in investments"
X Link 2025-01-05T21:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TApocalyt @ragingbullcap @Uzocapital @HYcorps Annual cannabis IPOs in Canada are practically down to [--] bankruptcy rates are around [--] co's per year and if you look at e.g. Canopy Tilray and Aurora they are all bleeding cash and issuing stock like crazy at depressed valuations to stay afloat"
X Link 2025-01-06T12:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TApocalyt @ragingbullcap @Uzocapital @HYcorps Meanwhile $CRON is expanding their business improving operations while turning cash flow positive largely due to interest income from their cash. Consolidations will accelerate in this market"
X Link 2025-01-06T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As investors were always looking for the next big thing. It usually happens quietly right before our eyes before it becomes obvious in hindsight. This might be it folks $ASTS Sometimes disruptive technology comes along and changes the way natural resources are managed. Railways toppled canals in the UK industrial revolution freight system. Recent examples like EVs telemedecine streaming. SatCom is seeing three such shifts converge on $ASTS 1/n https://t.co/uTY1cXOVxf Sometimes disruptive technology comes along and changes the way natural resources are managed. Railways toppled canals in the"
X Link 2025-01-07T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(1/2) During Q4 last year I decided to add a basket of precious metals mining stocks ($VZLA $KNT.TO $GGD.TO) into my portfolio which OB alluded me to. They seemed materially undervalued and I liked the idea of having an inflation hedge/low beta correlation https://t.co/ZceIkbuRjl https://t.co/zdUQzU0GaK https://t.co/ZceIkbuRjl https://t.co/zdUQzU0GaK"
X Link 2025-01-08T12:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(2/2) With recent inflation concerns rising bond yields positive news from $VZLA earlier this week and now this from $KNT.TO that looks be an excellent decision (albeit price weakness over the last month). Several catalysts ahead firmly holding onto these over the medium term"
X Link 2025-01-08T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@FredKosters Its actually a company called Texas Pacific Land (Just kidding). Wont reveal before the write-up is posted :)"
X Link 2025-01-09T19:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Disclaimer: I own shares in $VROY.V. This is not financial advice. I'm not a mining expert and generally don't know what I'm talking about. Thanks to @OriginalBraila for alluding me to Vizsla. And creds to @FredKosters for guessing the company. Don't know how you did that (10/10)"
X Link 2025-01-10T14:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Like Ive alluded to lately precious metals and commodities exposure seem like a no-brainer going into what could be a very shaky [----] for equities. Cheap silver plays could be especially interesting The last time we saw this degree of relative strength in silver & silver miners was in the [----] & [----] melt-ups. This isn't an opinion - The charts confirm it. $SLV $SIL $SILJ #SILVERSQUEEZE The last time we saw this degree of relative strength in silver & silver miners was in the [----] & [----] melt-ups. This isn't an opinion - The charts confirm it. $SLV $SIL $SILJ #SILVERSQUEEZE"
X Link 2025-01-11T22:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Trump Administration seems suprisingly pro biotech. It is also a sector which hasn't yet benefited from the AI boom despite perhaps being the sector with the highest potential. Meanwhile biotech sentiment at an all time low. Wonder if this is a good time to long some $XBI President Trumps new administration could have a huge impact on sectors in which deals have been held back by regulators - such as Pharma & BioTech. If @BillAckman is correct - we could witness an unprecedented increase in M&A deals in these sectors and others. Godspeed $XBI https://t.co/SPQBpyjurO President Trumps new"
X Link 2025-01-22T07:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@jaysyoon Same. But I also think about that guy out there who lost his life savings doing something similar"
X Link 2025-01-22T19:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Ive been trading in and out of stocks lately. More than I would like but momentum has worked. I like leaning big into things that I can hold long term. Ive added one company to that basket lately: I think there is a decent chance $OSCR is a long term compounder on sale atm"
X Link 2025-01-23T09:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$OSCR is a very stable business and a very volatile stock which tends to get killed on earnings (blue dots below both positive and negative surprises) before bouncing back. Weird Oscar [----] Guidance: Members: 1.8MM Revenue: $11.2BN-$11.3BN Adjusted EBITDA: $365MM-$415MM Earnings from Operations: $225MM-$275MM https://t.co/XUrg4wE2pv Oscar [----] Guidance: Members: 1.8MM Revenue: $11.2BN-$11.3BN Adjusted EBITDA: $365MM-$415MM Earnings from Operations: $225MM-$275MM https://t.co/XUrg4wE2pv"
X Link 2025-02-05T07:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$NBIS This train is about to leave Oh boy $NBIS https://t.co/Wt4FnymVar Oh boy $NBIS https://t.co/Wt4FnymVar"
X Link 2025-02-11T07:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@pernasresearch I think $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST fits this description"
X Link 2025-02-23T06:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There are some absolutely wild price actions in the market atm. I dont know why but it seems as if stocks with negative momentum is violently accelerating downward. Look at $TDW $VAL $NE $SDRL. News about increased oil output was the last thing this sector needed"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im going absolutely berserk on the buy button across offshore today. The inverted explanation: I will hate myself in three years if not. Be a contrarian or be a victim. LFG $TDW $VAL $SDRL $NE"
X Link 2025-03-04T19:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$XPOF is up and not puking (earnings AH) and $OGI is flat on very low volume. It might be that the sellers are done and that the bottom is in. I hate predicting these things but looking good"
X Link 2025-03-13T17:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Almost one month later and the results are in: $LODE: -9% $SSP: +65% I don't hold a position in Lode but I am very long SSP Yeah hard to not think that this will be a tough year for stocks. Wonder if special situations such as $SSP and $LODE is the way to get a little bit ahead this year as almost everything else just seems like high beta Yeah hard to not think that this will be a tough year for stocks. Wonder if special situations such as $SSP and $LODE is the way to get a little bit ahead this year as almost everything else just seems like high beta"
X Link 2025-03-19T07:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"How much of a discount to cash should $ARVN trade at 50% not enough 60% 70% Ludacris So if $ARVN $7.02 stopped Every program they are working on and liquidated the Co forgoing ANY Multi hundred million $ paydays for milestones the share price would rip to $13 because they will distribute the $14.50 or so in cash they have https://t.co/25ykbpJpT7 So if $ARVN $7.02 stopped Every program they are working on and liquidated the Co forgoing ANY Multi hundred million $ paydays for milestones the share price would rip to $13 because they will distribute the $14.50 or so in cash they have"
X Link 2025-03-31T20:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ARVN is the most hated name in the most hated sector. If you love deep value and going against the grain this should be interesting Updated Biotech Sentiment Check: 47.3% of biotech's 1B & under have a negative EV.๐ฎ Median name is down -24% YTD in just [--] months. Biotech's between 300M & 3B market cap that are near 52W lows. Graphed based off last 1yr return & EV (Updated) https://t.co/ym3qTKwcV1 Updated Biotech Sentiment Check: 47.3% of biotech's 1B & under have a negative EV.๐ฎ Median name is down -24% YTD in just [--] months. Biotech's between 300M & 3B market cap that are near 52W lows."
X Link 2025-03-31T20:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If $PFE were to buy $ARVN for its cash tomorrow (essentially paying zero) they would be able to advance ARV-471 alone get ARV-766 (licensed to $NVS) ARV-110 ARV-393 ARV-102 KRAS G12D Degrader and several preclinical programs for free. And you would double your money"
X Link 2025-04-01T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@prosperousguy Tough to pin down an exact fair value but somewhere just north of [--] is probably reasonable. Unless you assume that only ARV-471 has value and the all of rest will burn 100s of millions of cash which is a drastic assumption. [--] would be awesome if you enter down here"
X Link 2025-04-01T20:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Can anyone find a more extreme sell-off than offshore currently 25% off in two days following a 50% decline over the last six months Really Are we never going to drill again Shale oil can barely operate at these oil prices. $NE even pays a 10% yield $VAL $SDRL $RIG $TDW"
X Link 2025-04-04T17:06Z [----] followers, 21.5K engagements
"@HazeyThinking We need oil and if shale cant keep up supply prices will have to increase. Should offshore drilling contractors share prices decline Yeah naturally. But should $NE be -64% in a year down to below where it emerged from bankruptcy Not sure about that"
X Link 2025-04-04T17:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Nice then maybe $NE declines by less than 5% today Petrobras just exercised a priced option (from Dec 2023) to extend the 6G semi Noble Discoverer for a further [---] days for continued work offshore Colombia. It's not all doom and gloom out there. $NE $VAL $RIG $SDRL $TDW https://t.co/lO9vN2cjUz Petrobras just exercised a priced option (from Dec 2023) to extend the 6G semi Noble Discoverer for a further [---] days for continued work offshore Colombia. It's not all doom and gloom out there. $NE $VAL $RIG $SDRL $TDW https://t.co/lO9vN2cjUz"
X Link 2025-04-11T07:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is one of the highest quality and cheapest companies I have ever come across. High consistent growth and returns on capital practically [--] reinvestment needs large runway for growth. For something like 28x LTM EV/FCF. I think its largely just undiscovered $MRX Buying more $MRX. Still think it's one of the best opportunities in the market today Buying more $MRX. Still think it's one of the best opportunities in the market today"
X Link 2025-04-15T14:21Z [----] followers, 69.8K engagements
"@Gudvangen4 Only been fueled by rising short term rates NII increased like 200m in a period where revenues increased 13bn. And the increase in NII is partly increase in funds not only rising rates. -1% decline in interest rates hits MRX with -20m in PBT"
X Link 2025-04-16T10:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"(1/2) Correction: LTM P/FCF is 25x (not EV/FCF). LTM EV/FCF is 6x. Now using FCF to value financials is not straight forward due to e.g regulatory capital and other liquidity requirements. NTM P/E of [--] has less pitfalls and also highlights the cheapness (imo) $MRX This is one of the highest quality and cheapest companies I have ever come across. High consistent growth and returns on capital practically [--] reinvestment needs large runway for growth. For something like 28x LTM EV/FCF. I think its largely just undiscovered $MRX This is one of the highest quality and cheapest companies I have"
X Link 2025-04-16T17:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What is likely however is that the market will move higher perhaps substantially so well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins spring will be over. $ARVN If $PFE were to buy $ARVN for its cash tomorrow (essentially paying zero) they would be able to advance ARV-471 alone get ARV-766 (licensed to $NVS) ARV-110 ARV-393 ARV-102 KRAS G12D Degrader and several preclinical programs for free. And you would double your money. If $PFE were to buy $ARVN for its cash tomorrow (essentially paying zero) they would be able to advance ARV-471 alone get ARV-766"
X Link 2025-04-17T16:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One day in the not too distant future $ASTS shorts will get absolutely nuked"
X Link 2025-04-20T16:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Todays observation is that the offshore complex is holding up relatively well in a weak day for both markets and oil. $TDW slightly up $VAL and $NE down approx. the same as the S&P. Could be random but these are positive signs when comparing to the last six months of trading"
X Link 2025-04-28T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is what the chart of a company that is consistently executing and able to accretively deploy incremental capital across market cycles looks like. $SNEX is one of $MRX's closest competitors and my bet is that the next [--] years will look similar for both $SNEX and $MRX"
X Link 2025-04-29T08:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can you imagine being short $ASTS here Its like playing musical chairs with a nuclear bomb. If an increased investment from $GOOG sends this 18% just imagine what will happen once the real news starts being announced Why aren't you long here History is unfolding in front of your eyes. The other side of this trade which soon will be nuked into oblivion sees a pre-revenue space stock that is up 10x over [--] year and buckets it together with meme stocks and the analysis ends there $ASTS Why aren't you long here History is unfolding in front of your eyes. The other side of this trade which soon"
X Link 2025-05-02T14:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A month later: $NE with a 30% backlog increase $VAL increases backlog and just announced sale of jack-up for 43% of market cap day rates increasing $TDW up 7% after market on solid print in addition to buying 5% of shares outstanding during last Q insider buying Can anyone find a more extreme sell-off than offshore currently 25% off in two days following a 50% decline over the last six months Really Are we never going to drill again Shale oil can barely operate at these oil prices. $NE even pays a 10% yield $VAL $SDRL $RIG $TDW Can anyone find a more extreme sell-off than offshore currently"
X Link 2025-05-05T20:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Been researching this company for a while. I feel fairly confident that if you just buy $JOE leave it for a decade + and wait for the value to be realized you will find yourself very wealthy. Time arbitrage at its finest Looks like $JOE had their cash flowing assets appraised by Jones Lang LaSalle. $1.5 - $1.7b in value for 1% of their acres putting no value on the remaining 166k acres. That's 65% of their market cap covered by 1% of their land. https://t.co/fj6ky32EX7 Looks like $JOE had their cash flowing assets appraised by Jones Lang LaSalle. $1.5 - $1.7b in value for 1% of their acres"
X Link 2025-05-13T12:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WB has an unmatched understanding of brands. Some of his biggest winners have come from correctly assessing their value and durability. The value of solid brands feels underappreciated and hardly mentioned in todays market. $PLBY at an EV of 260m feels very low @Uzocapital Warren Buffett: "If I had my choice of betting on who is going to have a special place in the minds of kids and their parents 10-20 years from now I think I would probably bet on Disney." "They call it share of market but it starts with share of mind." https://t.co/b3uVSkBXhQ Warren Buffett: "If I had my choice of betting"
X Link 2025-05-24T17:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Vizsla Silver $VZLA $VZLA.TO is up 31% and Tenaz $TNZ.TO is up 86% since my short pitches on the forbidden site in late October. Both will probably continue to do well but Im aiming for 5-10x on Vizsla Silver and Vizsla Royalties Corp $VROY.V (pitched in latest post) I did some rambling around diversification and value while also presenting two (relatively new) high conviction ideas from my portfolio: One predictable and cash generative hyper grower trading for less than 2x EV/FCF and one hunting for silver in Sinaloa $VZLA $VZLA.TO $TNZ.TO https://t.co/Y7J9KgWAmv I did some rambling around"
X Link 2025-05-26T17:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Only_Borrowed Vizsla Roaylties Corp (VROY) is a subsidiary of Vizsla Silver which was spun off in June last year. VROY has a net smelter royalty on Vizsla Silver's Panuco Project in Mexico meaning they get a % of revenues from future silver production"
X Link 2025-05-27T07:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Only_Borrowed Consequently VROY is not as exposed to operational risk financing risk nor regulatory risk which miners are notoriously known for. As such: VROY is less risk less reward. I have sized them both equally toalling 45% of my port after the run-up"
X Link 2025-05-27T07:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Only_Borrowed With that being said I think VROY is less efficiently priced. It's small illiquid and you see 10% moves up and down which make zero sense"
X Link 2025-05-27T07:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"It's time. Fasten your seatbelts $VZLA $VROY.V"
X Link 2025-06-05T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"FX is volatile and most of us are over exposed to our local currencies anyway but its been real tough to be a foreign investor in US equities this year"
X Link 2025-06-17T10:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As promised. I guess I am a cult member now. Lets ride ๐ $ASTS #spacemob $ASTS Fuck it. At $50 Im adding the to my name. Lets have some fun $ASTS Fuck it. At $50 Im adding the to my name. Lets have some fun"
X Link 2025-06-23T20:02Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"@ArneLutsch You updated your LinkedIn That's rd"
X Link 2025-06-24T08:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital @leevalueroach Works if you are able to distill why that is the case and are very confident in your variant view. Many get fooled by optically cheap growth stocks when there often is a legitimate reason for the valuation. Guess the same goes for investing in general anyway"
X Link 2025-06-25T07:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital @leevalueroach Yes and you are doing that with success. I find it difficult to develop a variant view on cheap growth stocks/underwrite the sustainability of that growth. E.g. $PDD. There are other areas where I am more comfortable"
X Link 2025-06-25T07:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"People are sleeping on $TDW. One of the more compelling setups over the next decade if you like cheap valuations strong market tailwinds scarce assets difficult-to-replicate scale and aggressive capital returns (Disclaimer: I do). I added today $TDW Tidewater Unsecured 2030s done at 9.125% inside of IPT at 9.25-9.5% Moodys B3 rating overestimates the cyclicality. Was a lender to TDW in 2011-2015. I saw the pain. The offshore space is a lot healthier today. TDW is 0.6x net leverage with EBITDA bias higher for [----] https://t.co/5M0XYWRaAe $TDW Tidewater Unsecured 2030s done at 9.125% inside of"
X Link 2025-06-25T20:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Over the next [--] years you will find a thousand reasons to sell: Valuation is getting stretched Uptake isnt happening as fast as expected Launch cadence is delayed. Remember when Buffett sold stocks for those reason The real money is made in the holding being an owner I sold half of my $ASTS (to be executed Monday about [---] shares) as launch cadence concerns and other reasons are likely to bring the stock down short term. If the stock goes back to sub-40$ levels I might start buying again. I'd rather buy $RKLB and $NBIS right now. Thoughts I sold half of my $ASTS (to be executed Monday about"
X Link 2025-06-29T14:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@cupofcoffeecap I think viewing $CRON as safer due to their cash balance is a correct assessment. You could throw in more reasons such as a prudent capital allocator CEO who is considering buybacks improving profitability or GrowCo expansion. More cash = Safer is more often than not correct"
X Link 2025-07-09T08:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mike10947310 $HAYPP It has had a solid run already this year but I dont think people fully understand how fast nicotine pouches are growing how addictive they are and how difficult it is to compete with Haypp. Decades-long mega tailwinds imo"
X Link 2025-07-19T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEW Lets put it like this: I would not want to be crowded short a bombed out online gun retailer De-SPAC trading at cash with Donnie jr and Peter Thiel friend Blake Masters on the board which soon might accept crypto for payment in todays environment Big news for freedom lovers and the future of finance: @grabagun will SOON accept cryptobecause your 2A rights shouldnt depend on woke banks or anti-gun payment processors. Aligning our values with the assets that stand for freedom. DeFi meets the right to bear arms. Lets GO Big news for freedom lovers and the future of finance: @grabagun will"
X Link 2025-07-22T22:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"27% of my portfolio is reporting tonight/tomorrow. Either I die or I go to heaven. In descending order (by position size): $CRON $HAYPP.ST $SDRL Wish me luck"
X Link 2025-08-06T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital I tend to agree that they might have sold it too early/at a too low price. At the same time I think it's a realization that they wouldn't be able to profitably scale and saw more potential in medical not appreciated by the market. Which is good for shareholders"
X Link 2025-08-08T08:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@nim_chef @ragingbullcap 1: The fact that Mike at $CRON hasn't spent the capital IS the bull case. It has been the absolute correct move by him. And what happened this year when operating biz starting to inflect to prof He started buying back stock. There will be plenty of opportunities going forward"
X Link 2025-08-12T12:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I have a smaller speculative position in $MFI. Thanks to @Mike10947310 and @kingtutcap for flagging and leading me down the rabbit hole. I have no idea where we are headed but its certainly one of the more explosive setups I have ever seen https://t.co/K1wXrBF26h Good timing - $MFI https://t.co/K1wXrBF26h Good timing - $MFI"
X Link 2025-08-20T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Just1nMKE Why are you sure about that"
X Link 2025-08-27T12:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Just1nMKE Yes that is the point. I did not assume that AT&T spent $23bn to be kind to AST"
X Link 2025-08-27T12:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This looks very promising $ASTS $ASTS The President has invited "Air & Space Forces Magazine". https://t.co/Tu3bUgG1tw $ASTS The President has invited "Air & Space Forces Magazine". https://t.co/Tu3bUgG1tw"
X Link 2025-09-02T12:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@DheerajNam Agreed Down huge on practically zero volume possibly in connection to Nasdaq tightening scrutiny of companies raising cash to buy crypto (although sell off came a little bit later in the day) which should have de minimis relevance for $MFI"
X Link 2025-09-04T20:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I have initiated a position in ASOS $ASC.L. I think it's primed for a $DDS/ $NELLY type turnaround. 65% of MC in cash inventory decline sign. improvement in AEBITDA and GM driven by new commercial model activist on the board and radical leadership and biz restructuring ongoing"
X Link 2025-09-08T07:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"You don't need revenue growth for this to become a multibagger you only need earnings and multiple normalization. Nelly has [--] bagged from it's low in the summer of [--] starting from a similar valuation as ASOS while revenues have declined 15% over that period"
X Link 2025-09-08T07:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@KarstResearch Craigslist is high up there. Has to be one of the most capital efficient businesses in existence (maybe shared with the studio that created Minecraft - they were about [--] people when Microsoft bought them). Also zero reinvestment needs (just look at UI.)"
X Link 2025-09-08T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Some things I really like atm: $ASTS (of course) $SPCB (eletronic monitoring microcap) $ASC.L (retail turnaround) $MFI (shellco special sits) $DBO.TO (immersive entertainment microcap) $CRON (Canadian cannabis)"
X Link 2025-09-11T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$SRTA: I sized this way too small. Saw the opportunity didnt swing hard. Lesson learned. I believe todays puke in $BLDE represent a great opportunity for long term oriented investors as old investors exit the name and algos go crazy. I think todays call was great and see a lot of potential in becoming a focused M&A machine in a growing fragmented market. Added I believe todays puke in $BLDE represent a great opportunity for long term oriented investors as old investors exit the name and algos go crazy. I think todays call was great and see a lot of potential in becoming a focused M&A machine"
X Link 2025-09-17T15:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@spacanpanman Ey greetings from Norway"
X Link 2025-10-01T20:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@cupofcoffeecap Imagine the posts on X if X was around back then. Shitco The ponzi is over No EBITDA"
X Link 2025-10-12T18:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@allcapallstrat Velo3D's partnership with SpaceX is important enough for SpaceX to save them from bankruptcy. That sounds pretty valuable and defendable to me. But it's not a risk free investment/still not a fully mature technology so I have not sized this one big"
X Link 2025-10-14T08:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Small caps large caps Asia Europe cyclicals non-cyclicals momentum GARP. While I have preferences I dont care about the label. All I care about is where I see value and potential for realizing that value. And at the moment small caps and Canada keep popping up"
X Link 2024-07-06T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@RTelford_invest Indeed the last two months have been volatile which is never easy. But a lot of cheap things have become cheaper as far as I can see"
X Link 2024-07-06T22:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm not sure who needs to hear this but a stock can be cheaper even after jumping [---] [---] or 300%. In fact microcaps often are. Listen to the goat @PaulAndreola: Averaging up in microcaps has a tendency to work better than averaging down. Think I need to write a post on this"
X Link 2024-07-10T07:59Z [----] followers, 14.2K engagements
"$IWG $IWG.L continues to execute on their business model shift and growing EBITDA with strong underlying cash flow. Thesis tracking along nicely and stock is up +6% after todays report. Look out for buybacks next year. $LMN.V reports after close. Lets see whats in stores I just posted a concise write-up of my full portfolio and why I believe it will (hopefully) outperform over the next [--] years. Thanks to all the amazing analysts out there for publishing your work. Many of these insights are yours. https://t.co/CCqVyOp035 I just posted a concise write-up of my full portfolio and why I believe"
X Link 2024-08-06T19:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@david_katunaric Anthony Marino at Tenaz Energy (yes it's o&g). Baytex Energy 38x'ed during his tenure focus on cash flow and shareholder returns last acquisition described as 'masterclass in deal making' where the company multiplied in size without issuing equity. More deals communicated"
X Link 2024-08-30T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you own companies trading at low EV/FCF that are buying back a ton of stock and that will perserve their earnings power going forward you will win either way"
X Link 2024-09-04T07:18Z [----] followers, 24.3K engagements
"I did some rambling around diversification and value while also presenting two (relatively new) high conviction ideas from my portfolio: One predictable and cash generative hyper grower trading for less than 2x EV/FCF and one hunting for silver in Sinaloa $VZLA $VZLA.TO $TNZ.TO"
X Link 2024-10-30T13:48Z [----] followers, 14.4K engagements
"Is $GALP speeding up exploration to gain leverage and pressure Petrobras to increase their bid If so some real game theory/chess tactics going on here. Meanwhile $SEI.V is sitting in the passenger seat and enjoying the ride. I am at 10% Galps 4th Namibia PEL [--] well was supposed to be in summer [----] although the Santorini drillship has been in this location for [--] hours Opinion: Its location adds credibility to the speculation it may have already started the 4th well $GALP.PT $SEI.V H/T @Jamesiebabie1 https://t.co/p3jHMndrAL Galps 4th Namibia PEL [--] well was supposed to be in summer 2025"
X Link 2024-12-04T11:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FriendlyCapMgmt I am a $TNZ bull but the easy short term money has been made. Next catalysts would be cash flow from NOBV acq starting to flow through the BS + new acq (could be 05-3 years out). The big optionality is if gas prices starts to pump higher which they could but who knows"
X Link 2024-12-20T15:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Can someone explain to me like Im five why $ASTS isnt up more on this news The benefits and potential unlocked seem obvious. Is it as simple as short selling pressure or is there another explanation Wait until the market digests this and understands what this all means for AST SpaceMobile $ASTS. The market definitely hasnt caught on to the magnitude of this deal yet. Let me break it down for you: ๐งต๐ Wait until the market digests this and understands what this all means for AST SpaceMobile $ASTS. The market definitely hasnt caught on to the magnitude of this deal yet. Let me break it down"
X Link 2025-01-06T19:23Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements
"Vizsla Royalties Corp. is an opportunity to own inflation-protected royalties on the world's largest undeveloped high-grade silver primary resource with what I believe to be a reasonable 140% upside to intrinsic value with multiple upside scenarios $VROY.V $VROYF (1/10)"
X Link 2025-01-10T14:35Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"Vizsla Royalties Corp ( $VROY.V $VROYF ) is a royalty company which principal asset is a Net Smelter Royalty on Vizsla Silver Corp.'s ( $VZLA $VZLA.TO ) flagship Panuco Project located in Mexico. Vizsla Royalties Corp was spun off form Vizsla Silver in June last year (2/10)"
X Link 2025-01-10T14:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite this the market prescribes almost zero value to future discoveries (CAD 8m to be precise). I believe a resonable PV for this to be around CAD 75m meaning that I believe the intrinsic value of the company today is CAD 115m vs the current market cap of CAD 48m (7/10)"
X Link 2025-01-10T14:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Uzocapital $VZLA $VROY.V $GGD :)"
X Link 2025-02-04T08:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I've had both hits and misses this year. Luckily this is still my largest position by a wide margin. 245% reserve replacement ratio and one of the main bear thesis is being absolutely slaughtered. I don't want to dream but expecting a violent SP move form $VLE.TO today ๐ #Valeura announces record #reserves and #resources at year-end [----]. Replaced more than double the #oil produced (245% reserves replacement ratio) further extended field lives increased value and reduced decommissioining costs. $VLE $VLERF #Thailand https://t.co/v0gAhvPpjP https://t.co/tDwcWG7Pdy #Valeura announces record"
X Link 2025-02-13T07:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NAV C$13 vs SP of C$732. I mean what can we expect the share price to do @NameValue has been pounding the table on this being a C$10 stock for a while. Not unlikely we will see that soon"
X Link 2025-02-13T07:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@MadsCapital "Quality is structurally undervalued" LOL. If anything the complete opposite is true"
X Link 2025-02-18T10:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@zoomyzoomm @MadsCapital Which flag would you give to having no CFO"
X Link 2025-02-19T07:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The value disconnect widens $VLE $VLE.TO. This is not a SOTP disconnect this is a current and future cash flow disconnect. We don't have to wait for assets to be monetized. Management will and is returning the capital back as we speak. Tanking of brent is the only real concern #Valeura Energy announces successful infill #drilling campaign at the #Manora field in #Thailand. Drilling has both increased #oil production and successfully appraised additional targets. $VLE $VLERF https://t.co/Bk88TsDpX8 https://t.co/0DJgBfbDPR #Valeura Energy announces successful infill #drilling campaign at the"
X Link 2025-03-03T07:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aaand brent is tanking ๐ซก 'Lower for longer' oil prices is now consensus. I am not convinced. @NuggetCapital latest article on the forbidden site is a good primer for the opposite argument. I added today $VLE $VLE.TO The value disconnect widens $VLE $VLE.TO. This is not a SOTP disconnect this is a current and future cash flow disconnect. We don't have to wait for assets to be monetized. Management will and is returning the capital back as we speak. Tanking of brent is the only real concern The value disconnect widens $VLE $VLE.TO. This is not a SOTP disconnect this is a current and future"
X Link 2025-03-05T17:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$OGI a company which likely soon turns cash flow positive in an improving industry coming out of a cyclical low is currently trading way below NCAV and very soon at net cash. Truly remarkable"
X Link 2025-03-11T18:08Z [----] followers, 14.7K engagements
"$GGD not $GGF*"
X Link 2025-03-13T16:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$VLE $VLE.TO The gift that keeps on giving. 2P reserves replacement ratio of 245% after production increase of 12% reduced ARO by 54% cash position of US$259 million NAV is more than $1bn equating to over C$13/share Every metric is hugely bullish https://www.valeuraenergy.com/another-year-of-record-results-in-2024/ https://www.valeuraenergy.com/another-year-of-record-results-in-2024/"
X Link 2025-03-25T09:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If anyone cares $VLE $VLE.TO. I added on both 15% drops at the open on Friday and Monday Good update by Valeura https://t.co/3AZdtsBTvL Good update by Valeura https://t.co/3AZdtsBTvL"
X Link 2025-04-09T07:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It might actually be that nicotine pouches are the real store of value $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST"
X Link 2025-04-09T08:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Crazy price action for $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST lately. As a user of snus and nicotine pouches for [--] years I have a good understanding of the business and the market. Albeit not without risk its an absolutely mind-blowing business. Never sell. DMs open if you want to discuss"
X Link 2025-07-01T07:15Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"Wow. - Midwit take โ
$HAYPP $HAYPP.ST Brilliant: - subject matter expert (dude rips pouches) โ
- never sell โ
- no price target โ
- "mind-blowing business" โ
- chart of price go up to prove point โ
I can't believe my time machine actually worked and it's really [----] again. Brilliant: - subject matter expert (dude rips pouches) โ
- never sell โ
- no price target โ
- "mind-blowing business" โ
- chart of price go up to prove point โ
I can't believe my time machine actually worked and it's really [----] again"
X Link 2025-07-11T16:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Have to agree with @KarstResearch here. Very difficult for me to disprove or confirm the allegations without doing deeper research $MRX My belief is when something like this happens the response should be to recalibrate. Take a step back take some off and reassess at a later date when you get clarification. Thats what Im doing here My belief is when something like this happens the response should be to recalibrate. Take a step back take some off and reassess at a later date when you get clarification. Thats what Im doing here"
X Link 2025-08-05T15:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I believe todays puke in $BLDE represent a great opportunity for long term oriented investors as old investors exit the name and algos go crazy. I think todays call was great and see a lot of potential in becoming a focused M&A machine in a growing fragmented market. Added"
X Link 2025-08-05T15:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Love seeing the expanding gross margins. Shows the scalability inherent in the model. Gross margin expansion is generally something you look for in growth companies. Revenues will be bumpy short-term long-term trend is clear. Added this morning $HAYPP $HAYPP.ST Heres a summary of the $Haypp Q2 webcast and the big questions answered: Still no exact clarity on when ZYN returns; just H2 with updates promised as soon as anything changes. Prilla has had it in stock for weeks so it likely isnt far off. Theyll invest heavily in the US Heres a summary of the $Haypp Q2 webcast and the big questions"
X Link 2025-08-07T11:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Very good quarter by $CRON. With all these YoY improvements in both topline and prof. margins and completion of GrowCo setting the stage for accelerated growth in the coming quarters it's simply asinine that the stock is 5.4% lower than [--] year ago. I will die on this hill $CRON continuing its incredible transformation: - Net Sales +21% to $33.5m (+13% ex GrowCo) - Gross margin low 40s for consecutive periods (was in the 20s just a year ago); - Adj. EBITDA +ve (vs. -$11m YoY) and CFO +ve - Major opex reductions despite topline growth. $CRON continuing its incredible transformation: - Net Sales"
X Link 2025-08-07T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$BLDE This sums up the appeal in a very clean way. Meanwhile you have shareholders hating the deal and selling because they owned it for the passenger eVTOL business. Did someone say You Can Be A Stock Market Genius Call Greenblatt Some thoughts on $JOBY $BLDE Strata deal: The deal will leave Strata (Blade's remaining medical business) with $200m in cash and zero debt implying an enterprise value of $100m. If they can do $170m revenue this year (reasonable) that implies a 0.6x EV/sales very similar to Some thoughts on $JOBY $BLDE Strata deal: The deal will leave Strata (Blade's remaining"
X Link 2025-08-08T07:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Uzocapital I guess the bet here is that I think both $BLDE and $CRON will be able to accretively deploy the capital. Albeit might take time and it's a drag on the equity until that happens. $BLDE market is fragmented and I think Mike at $CRON gets the capital cycle. Limited downside"
X Link 2025-08-08T08:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CRON https://t.co/UGZa0KN3fx https://t.co/UGZa0KN3fx"
X Link 2025-08-11T13:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The motivation behind this $23bn deal by AT&T seems blatantly obvious. It's all coming together $ASTS AT&T currently have no presence in the low [---] MHz. Deploying ot through $ASTS @AST_SpaceMobile is a no-brainer. AT&T currently have no presence in the low [---] MHz. Deploying ot through $ASTS @AST_SpaceMobile is a no-brainer"
X Link 2025-08-26T12:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(1/2) $HAYPP: Just listened to the latest @BillBrewsterTBB pod with @SpencerCibelli who I think did an awesome job walking through the risks and how wonderful Haypps business model is"
X Link 2025-09-07T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/:topic/creators/v1
Get the top creators for a social topic
input parameters:
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/bitcoin/creators/v1
Example response:
{
"data": [
{
"creator_id": "twitter::1605310254085980161",
"creator_name": "Bitcoin_Teddy",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1739753415134138368/FrWHMAnb_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 74293,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [-------]
}
]
}
Schema:
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
Get a list of trending social creators over all of social based on interactions. To get lists of creators by category or topic see the topics and categories endpoints.
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
Example response:
{
"data": [
{
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_id": "44196397",
"creator_network": "twitter",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234295750,
"creator_posts": 3649,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [---------]
}
]
}
Schema:
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/:network/:id/v1
Get detail information on a specific creator
input parameters:
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/twitter/elonmusk/v1
Example response:
{
"data": {
"creator_id": "twitter::44196397",
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234296337,
"creator_rank": 2,
"interactions_24h": 318539577,
"topic_influence": [
{
"topic": "in the",
"count": 294,
"percent": 5.88,
"rank": [--]
}
],
"top_community": [
{
"creator_name": "grok",
"creator_display_name": "Grok",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1893219113717342208/Vgg2hEPa_200x200.jpg",
"count": [---]
}
]
}
}
Schema:
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/:network/:id/time-series/v1
Get time series data on a creator.
input parameters:
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/twitter/lunarcrush/time-series/v1
Example response:
{
"config": {
"network": "twitter",
"influencer_id": "twitter::988992203568562176",
"interval": "1w",
"start": 1769990400,
"end": 1770681600,
"bucket": "hour",
"name": "lunarcrush",
"remote_api": "danode1-13",
"generated": [----------]
},
"data": [
{
"time": 1769990400,
"followers": 305326,
"interactions": 717,
"posts_active": 14,
"creator_rank": [------]
}
]
}
Schema:
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
/creator/twitter::hcapinvesting