# ![@graviahq Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2007871691930882048.png) @graviahq Gravia

Gravia posts on X about polymarket, crypto, market, prediction markets the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::2007871691930882048/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2007871691930882048/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +142,832%
- [--] Month [-------] +5,536,194%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2007871691930882048/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2007871691930882048/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2007871691930882048/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2007871691930882048/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +243%
- [--] Month [--] +1,700%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2007871691930882048/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2007871691930882048/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [finance](/list/finance)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [la liga](/list/la-liga)  [champions league](/list/champions-league)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #1500, [crypto](/topic/crypto), [market](/topic/market), [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #2017, [trade](/topic/trade), [we are](/topic/we-are), [this is](/topic/this-is), [in the](/topic/in-the), [quick](/topic/quick), [kalshi](/topic/kalshi)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@98866](/creator/undefined) [@polymarkettrade](/creator/undefined) [@mazinotower](/creator/undefined) [@crypt0b3ar](/creator/undefined) [@koozypm](/creator/undefined) [@0xpepesso](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@roundtrippa](/creator/undefined) [@graviatesting](/creator/undefined) [@raychigod](/creator/undefined) [@zerqfer](/creator/undefined) [@roundtablespace](/creator/undefined) [@defichronicles](/creator/undefined) [@0xd1namit](/creator/undefined) [@assymetrix_com](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Chainlink (LINK)](/topic/chainlink) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@koozy_pm @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Yeah but the market has enough liquidity to prevent manipulation. Only a large market maker could make such moves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2011443457043370358)  2026-01-14T14:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ Reality: the price you see on Binance / Coinbase / Upbit can move before the oracle (Chainlink) updates. So for a brief window you can have: Average Exchange price Oracle price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2012806647631302677)  2026-01-18T08:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ Follow to learn more on: - How chainlink update + what settlement price means - How orderbooks work (depth walls spread) - Why tiny edges compound (position sizing + repetition) - How to get this information without having to write code and beat the bots"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2012808386715468207)  2026-01-18T08:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Petition: @Polymarket should list a market on whether the penguin 🐧 will reach it's destination. Only then will we finally learn its true whereabouts What's your take"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015436028606398954)  2026-01-25T14:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Petition: Polymarket should list a market on whether the penguin 🐧 will reach it's destination. Only then will we finally learn its true whereabouts What's your take"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015439275513561366)  2026-01-25T14:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Detecting insiders [---] on prediction markets (Polymarket Kalshi Opinion): Before we talk about wallets graphs and statistics. Lets start with something more dangerous: Thinking like an insider 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717567114146033)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Most people think insiders get a tip and place a big bet. Thats lazy thinking. Real insiders dont want to be right. They want to be invisible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717569890779636)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"On prediction markets an insider isnt just someone with secret information. It can be: A staffer near a decision-maker A journalist sitting on an embargoed story A contractor on a data pipeline A trader who sees order flow before it hits the market Information has a supply chain. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015717572348629484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015717572348629484"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717572348629484)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"If you had tomorrows headline today you wouldnt ask: How much can I make Youd ask: How do I not get caught"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717574676529435)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"They dont go all-in. They: Split positions across wallets Enter hours or days early not minutes Trade related markets not the obvious one Let the crowd discover the price for them The best insider looks like noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717576782106630)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"How do you detect them then Polymarket/Opinion are on the blockchain - Polygon & BNB. So every trade/activity is fully exposed and available via their official APIs. Though the fastest way to read this by setting up your own node and reading from the mempool"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717579047030966)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"- plot volume/hour for all markets and highlight [-----] hour buckets wherein volume crossed the rolling average by 50%. Narrow to this bucket and look at top traders with [--] trades. - find large trades ($10k) on low odds (less than 20%): big contrarian bets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717583425822962)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"No logic is foolproof you would end up getting degen traders who got lucky in some of them. But a deeper dive into looking at the wallet's funding source other trades transfers to other wallets can differentiate between an insider vs not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717585640370598)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"An Insider will also cash out their wins from obscure pathways - mixers/relatively smaller exchanges/large ones in less regulated jurisdictions/relay transfer via a bunch of wallets etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717587896955318)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"In the next posts Ill break down: Types of insiders (political media platform data syndicates) Behavioral patterns that separate alpha from access How wallet graphs and timing models expose invisible edges Stay Tuned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015717590103113883)  2026-01-26T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"We have been experimenting with the 15-minute crypto price markets on Polymarket. Sharing strategies we figured by trading ourselves & analysing profitable traders 👇🏼 Most consider it speculation but it isn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015787497905889344)  2026-01-26T14:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Trend Hunter - look at the range price has moved since the market started and figure how volatile it is - wait until [--] mins remain to market expiry - if price (current price - price to beat) price range*0.5 buy the direction of delta (Up/Down)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015787500590227469)  2026-01-26T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Ultra Conservative - wait until [--] mins remain to market expiry - if price  price range buy even if it is [----] - stack up small gains of 1-2% each time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015787502829973816)  2026-01-26T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xPepesso The prices for a Yes/No never go below [--] not even for a nanosecond. The polymarket smart contract design makes this impossible buddy These are some that work instead: https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015787497905889344 We have been experimenting with the 15-minute crypto price markets on Polymarket. Sharing strategies we figured by trading ourselves & analysing profitable traders 👇🏼 Most consider it speculation but it isn't. https://t.co/1fTz1nkrez https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015787497905889344 We have been experimenting with the 15-minute crypto price markets on Polymarket."  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2015792835455553635)  2026-01-26T14:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Quick Context Polymarket manages order-book off-chain but pushes the orders for final execution to the Polygon chain. They read it from the chain itself and then stream via their APIs. This is slow and inefficient. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016079606139498774 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016079606139498774"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079606139498774)  2026-01-27T09:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@elonmusk Just in case you end up using Grok to write a bot ensure you you aren't using Polymarket's official APIs (hint: they are 2secs slower): https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079602427613361 Writing bots to trade on Polymarket Using the Polymarket API to read data Using one of the new terminals to trade You are setting yourself up for failure 👇🏼 https://t.co/DLsZoqpXBs https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079602427613361 Writing bots to trade on Polymarket Using the Polymarket API to read data Using one of the new terminals to trade You are setting yourself up for failure 👇🏼"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016081692692513010)  2026-01-27T09:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Bidou28old isnt "predicting BTC" on Polymarket. Its a 5-minute market bot stacking small edges and its already Top 0.1% (Rank #895). The tell: it buys high-probability contracts not [--] moonshots: 58% of volume in [--] 23% in [----] 15% in [----] Translation: late-move / high-confidence entries likely when spot/perps move first and PM lags. Stats +$116.4k PnL 81% win rate (43W / 10L) [--] positions Avg bet: $278 Biggest Win 🟢 ✅ BTC Feb [--] 4:004:05AM ET DOWN @ [----] PnL: +$15.7k (+90% ROI) Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ BTC Feb [--] 8:508:55PM ET UP @ [----] PnL: -$5.6k (-99%) Takeaway Classic 5-minute bot behavior:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022350696197341688)  2026-02-13T16:42Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"1/ Theres a new bot (a4385) that made $230k in 24h trading 15-minute crypto on Polymarket. Let's understand how Its not magic. Its just faster off-platform data. 🧵 Polymarket relies on Chainlink's price feed to settle markets but it's not always realtime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2012806489216606594)  2026-01-18T08:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Writing bots to trade on Polymarket Using the Polymarket API to read data Using one of the new terminals to trade You are setting yourself up for failure 👇🏼"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079602427613361)  2026-01-27T09:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Why does Polymarket read from chain when they are the ones to push it Pushing an order successful. Validator could be down transaction could be declared invalid race conditions etc. Reading OrderFilled events from on-chain is the only reliable way to do it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079608597385609)  2026-01-27T09:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"How can I access it faster Couple of ways rank ordered by speed: 1: setup your own Poly node and read from mempool 2: use a terminal that uses above and has incremental product flows on top of base UI (we are on it) 3: setup a WS from Polygon RPCs 4: use 3P data APIs like Goldsky https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016079611021689334 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016079611021689334"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079611021689334)  2026-01-27T09:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Reading it from mempool would cut down time in the order of a couple seconds. That's make or break for highly volatile markets like 15-min crypto prices trending markets newly launched etc. Most terminals read it from Polymarket's official APIs instead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016079613311779222)  2026-01-27T09:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Trading 15-mins crypto price markets Price Current - Price To Beat Price Range Highest - Lowest Price Quick strategy to start off with: - wait until [--] mins to expiry - if price  price range buy even if it is [----] - stack up 1-2% gains each time Easily automatable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016453771854053826)  2026-01-28T10:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@round_trippa We analysed wallets that used the above strategy. then did a few small tests on our end too: you need to put limit orders a little early towards [----] and not the last few seconds. we have a tool releasing soon that will solve it. https://polymarket.com/@gravia-testing https://polymarket.com/@gravia-testing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2016797461822788062)  2026-01-29T08:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"YES + NO dipped below $1 and this bot printed $100k Source: "trust me bro." Reality: it's impossible even for a nanosecond. Enforced via Poly's smart contract. Replies for proof/code 👇🏼 Stop falling for posts spreading misinformation. Get-rich quick bots promising $100k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016857594946867591)  2026-01-29T12:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Only 0.4% of Poly traders are bots but they generate 15%+ of overall volume. Bots operate primarily within [--] categories: Crypto Sports Weather. #polymarket #trading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2017011307992797628)  2026-01-29T23:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Weekly Update: Prediction Markets - Kalshi dominates overall volume - Opinion labs higher than Polymarket - Overall volume crosses $6Bn 🚀 Opinion's spike in volume might not sustain: the Open Interest is still half of Polymarket. Still great tbh https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017520153119035563 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017520153119035563"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2017520153119035563)  2026-01-31T08:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Interesting Markets (Polymarket) Will the US confirm that aliens exist before [----] 👽 10% odds of YES This is the kind of optimism I need in life: US goverment announcing that aliens exist 🧐 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018252145066381752 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018252145066381752"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018252145066381752)  2026-02-02T09:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket We did a quick replay of this market and it's current state. The top holders liquidity price history spreads - all in one screen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2018311953056518193)  2026-02-02T13:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"We analyzed 100% of Polymarkets historical trades since inception. Heres the surprising pattern: 80%+ of consistently profitable traders trade in a single category. Politics. Sports. Crypto. You name it. Choose one category commit to it build an edge/winning workflow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018831978465022180)  2026-02-03T23:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Two charts. Same internet. One crypto volume another prediction markets. Guess which is which 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2019447675280658797)  2026-02-05T16:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"planktonXD turned $5 to $2.5k (56000%+ ROI) on Polymarket in a single trade - it's neither luck nor insider trading Their strategy Making category-agnostic bets at extremely low prices. In the above trade they bought in at [---] hence the crazy ROI. It makes 1000s of such bets and loses half of them. It's frequency is most concentrated within categories where masses rely on emotions/gut and hence drive the odds really low for a winning contrarian bet. Politics Culture Crypto mostly. How To Replicate - filters market with 99%+ odds in the above categories - pick a few you are familiar with and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021201587809767490)  2026-02-10T12:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@MazinoTower @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Rather than betting your bankroll on 99% odds do 100s of them at sub 1%: https://x.com/graviahq/status/2021201587809767490 planktonXD turned $5 to $2.5k (56000%+ ROI) on Polymarket in a single trade - it's neither luck nor insider trading Their strategy Making category-agnostic bets at extremely low prices. In the above trade they bought in at [---] hence the crazy ROI. It makes 1000s of such https://t.co/QB95iJXIo7 https://x.com/graviahq/status/2021201587809767490 planktonXD turned $5 to $2.5k (56000%+ ROI) on Polymarket in a single trade - it's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2021311538972266986)  2026-02-10T19:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Go Big or Go Bust 0x7e.022 (nickname: @98866) trades polymarket with the above philosophy. Gravia breaks down it's strategy. TL;DR +$172100 profit in [--] hours. 77% Win Rate. Top 0.1% Global Rank. Only trades the crypto prices market. Details First look at the Volume by Buy Price. This is the "Smoking Gun." 🔫 100% volume in the 40-60 range most of them at [--] Total Positions: [--] Avg Position Size: $27118 They enter BIG. They enter RARELY. When they pull the trigger they are dropping the value of a Honda Civic on a single binary outcome. How to Replicate Find 50/50 Markets: Wait when the Crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021995002784878662)  2026-02-12T17:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@crypt0b3ar @98866 In context of the above trader's strategy: Don't trade the last few minutes unless targeting 1% gains entering at [--]. The clean spot for hourly markets is [----] mins before cutoff when spot/perps have already moved but Polymarket hasnt fully repriced"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022005364913586186)  2026-02-12T17:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@raychi_god @zerqfer Only true if one's still using the Poly UI to do so - impossible there. But not with rule-based execution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022017414272282774)  2026-02-12T18:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@MazinoTower @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade They have already migrated this one's scored this biggest trade in the 5-min market: https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022013917342605608 15-min bots just migrated to the newly launched 5-min. And theyre already printing. Within hours the same wallets showed up; but now the game is even faster and books are thinner. Case study: 0x1d0034b031 (Gravia breakdown) TL;DR +$151.3k Total PnL Top 0.1% Rank (#714) https://t.co/ZY3iA6mY5t https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022013917342605608 15-min bots just migrated to the newly launched 5-min. And theyre already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022035489805734029)  2026-02-12T19:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@RoundtableSpace Humans can't compete with bots in these 5-minute markets. The current execution/analysis flows at Polymarket are broken. We are testing rule-based execution flows on our terminal internally. It's the only way to win against them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022581144378904825)  2026-02-14T07:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"We analysed the wallet you shared deandolorat isnt grinding hundreds of micro-trades on Polymarket. Its [--] large accurate entries enough for Rank #1153 (Top 0.2%). The tell: they ONLY buy at the 50/50 line: 100% of volume in 40-60 (basically [--] entries) Translation: fair-price entry + external edge (timing/dislocation) not longshot gambling. Stats +$90.4k PnL 86% win rate (6W / 1L) $93k volume [--] positions Avg bet: $6220 Biggest Win 🟢 ✅ BTC Feb [--] 8AM ET UP @ [----] +$46.4k (+100% ROI) Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ ETH Up or Down Feb [--] 1AM ET DOWN @ [----] -$1.4k (-100%) Takeaway This is the cleanest 50"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022584656445473060)  2026-02-14T08:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@DeFiChronicles They aren't the chainlink feed lags by [--] secs from their UI vs their API. If you overlay the times the prices will match. Source: we have access to the chainlink & poly price APIs within our terminal - they match"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022976895672094964)  2026-02-15T10:10Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"15-min bots just migrated to the newly launched 5-min. And theyre already printing. Within hours the same wallets showed up; but now the game is even faster and books are thinner. Case study: 0x1d0034b031 (Gravia breakdown) TL;DR +$151.3k Total PnL Top 0.1% Rank (#714) $117k Volume Avg bet: $39 51% win rate This is not predict BTC direction. It is high-frequency scalping with small sizes. Strategy Breakdown It's constantly probing mispricing across bands - whatever the book gives. 5-minute markets are best suited for bots: - tighter cutoff windows - thinner liquidity - faster"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022013917342605608)  2026-02-12T18:24Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Humans can't compete with bots in these 5-minute markets. The current execution/analysis flows at Polymarket are broken. We are testing rule-based execution flows on our terminal internally. It's the only way to win against them. DM us to signup for early access as a tester"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022014624812687773)  2026-02-12T18:27Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"deandolorat entered [--] coin-flip entries (all of them @ 50) and thats enough to print +$90.4k in [--] hours The tell: they ONLY buy the fair-price line 100% of volume in 40-60 basically [--] entries Translation: timing edge prediction edge. No [----] premiums. Stats +$90.4k PnL 86% win rate (6W / 1L) $93k volume Avg bet: $6220 Biggest Win 🟢 ✅ BTC Feb [--] 8AM ET UP @ [----] +$46.4k (+100% ROI) Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ ETH Feb [--] 1AM ET DOWN @ [----] -$1.4k (-100%) How to replicate (the actual playbook) Only trade when odds are 50/50 (4852). Thats where mispricing shows up fastest. Hunt dislocations: Polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022587315873632482)  2026-02-14T08:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Humans can't compete with bots in these 5-minute markets. The current execution/analysis flows at Polymarket and Kalshi are broken. We are testing rule-based execution flows on our terminal internally. It's the only way to win against them. DM us to signup for early access as a tester. Only if you are open to sharing active feedback. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022587556689514915 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022587556689514915"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022587556689514915)  2026-02-14T08:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Vitaliks take is utopian; we are far off from it. Quick simple summary on what he shared: Prediction markets shouldnt be degenerate casinos farming dopamine. They should become cryptos risk engine; where capital flows to truth hedging replaces speculation and stablecoins get outcompeted by personalized onchain inflation hedges. Instead of holding dollars you hold claims on your future cost of living. Prediction markets = insurance rails. Stablecoins = transitional tech. Fiat = optional. Your portfolio auto-hedges your real life. Thats the endgame. Why its utopian You need insane liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022697078087147981)  2026-02-14T15:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Vitaliks basically saying: Prediction markets shouldnt survive on dopamine and bad traders. They should become cryptos risk engine - insurance rails for real-world exposure personalized inflation hedges pricing civilization itself. Stablecoins = temporary. Hedging infra = endgame. Its a beautiful vision; but it needs deep liquidity serious capital and disciplined traders first. We are far off from it but trying to move the ecosystem a mile closer at Gravia. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022698696295747939 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022698696295747939"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022698696295747939)  2026-02-14T15:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Vitaliks basically saying prediction markets shouldnt survive on dopamine and bad traders. They should become cryptos risk engine insurance rails for real-world exposure personalized inflation hedges pricing civilization itself. Stablecoins are temporary. Hedging infrastructure is the endgame. Its a powerful vision but it requires deep liquidity serious capital and disciplined traders first. Were far from that world but at Gravia were trying to move the ecosystem a mile closer. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022698882124386390 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022698882124386390"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022698882124386390)  2026-02-14T15:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Bet on real-world stuff like price of eggs🥚 xcnstrategy did just that and printed +$99.1k This is a market your grandmother could actually win at. The tell: they mostly buy near-certain outcomes (favorites) not lottery tickets: 78% of volume in [--] 12% in [----] Translation: lots of reps high probability entries. Stats +$99.1k PnL 82% win rate (163W / 37L) $826k volume across 200+ positions Avg bet: $579 Biggest Win 🟢 (Eggs) ✅ Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May NO @ [----] +$41.3k (+333% ROI) on $12.4k cost Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ Will Ethereum hit $6000 by Dec [--] NO @ [----] -$4.7k (-27%) on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023019515794395472)  2026-02-15T13:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xd1namit @Polymarket One way to go about it is splitting the order into multiple sub orders from proxy wallets. Because a private orderbook doesn't matter the copy traders execute based on matched trades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2023019780790436238)  2026-02-15T13:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Poly influencer: open-sourcing my bot that turned $100 to $100k in 24hrs. It trades the BTC 5-min markets. Followers: Bruh please share the link Please Influencer: http://localhost:3000 Takeaway Don't fall for these 'Matrix Style' vibe-coded videos it's all vaporware"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023365764535963840)  2026-02-16T11:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Bet on real-world stuff like price of eggs🥚 xcnstrategy did just that and printed +$99.1k This is a market your grandmother could actually win at. The tell: they mostly buy near-certain outcomes (favorites) not lottery tickets: 78% of volume in [--] 12% in [----] Translation: lots of reps high probability entries. Stats +$99.1k PnL 82% win rate (163W / 37L) $826k volume across 200+ positions Avg bet: $579 Biggest Win 🟢 (Eggs) ✅ Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May NO @ [----] +$41.3k (+333% ROI) on $12.4k cost Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ Will Ethereum hit $6000 by Dec [--] NO @ [----] -$4.7k (-27%) on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023019515794395472)  2026-02-15T13:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Vitaliks take is utopian; we are far off from it. Quick simple summary on what he shared: Prediction markets shouldnt be degenerate casinos farming dopamine. They should become cryptos risk engine; where capital flows to truth hedging replaces speculation and stablecoins get outcompeted by personalized onchain inflation hedges. Instead of holding dollars you hold claims on your future cost of living. Prediction markets = insurance rails. Stablecoins = transitional tech. Fiat = optional. Your portfolio auto-hedges your real life. Thats the endgame. Why its utopian You need insane liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022697078087147981)  2026-02-14T15:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Recently I have been starting to worry about the state of prediction markets in their current form. They have achieved a certain level of success: market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets and have a full-time job as a trader and they often prove useful as a supplement to other forms of news media. But also they seem to be over-converging to an unhealthy product market fit: embracing short-term cryptocurrency price bets sports betting and other similar things that have dopamine value but not any kind of long-term fulfillment or societal information value. My guess is that teams"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022669570788487542)  2026-02-14T13:49Z 5.9M followers, 862.5K engagements


"deandolorat entered [--] coin-flip entries (all of them @ 50) and thats enough to print +$90.4k in [--] hours The tell: they ONLY buy the fair-price line 100% of volume in 40-60 basically [--] entries Translation: timing edge prediction edge. No [----] premiums. Stats +$90.4k PnL 86% win rate (6W / 1L) $93k volume Avg bet: $6220 Biggest Win 🟢 ✅ BTC Feb [--] 8AM ET UP @ [----] +$46.4k (+100% ROI) Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ ETH Feb [--] 1AM ET DOWN @ [----] -$1.4k (-100%) How to replicate (the actual playbook) Only trade when odds are 50/50 (4852). Thats where mispricing shows up fastest. Hunt dislocations: Polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022587315873632482)  2026-02-14T08:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Humans can't compete with bots in these 5-minute markets. The current execution/analysis flows at Polymarket and Kalshi are broken. We are testing rule-based execution flows on our terminal internally. It's the only way to win against them. DM us to signup for early access as a tester. Only if you are open to sharing active feedback. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022587556689514915 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022587556689514915"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022587556689514915)  2026-02-14T08:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Bidou28old isnt "predicting BTC" on Polymarket. Its a 5-minute market bot stacking small edges and its already Top 0.1% (Rank #895). The tell: it buys high-probability contracts not [--] moonshots: 58% of volume in [--] 23% in [----] 15% in [----] Translation: late-move / high-confidence entries likely when spot/perps move first and PM lags. Stats +$116.4k PnL 81% win rate (43W / 10L) [--] positions Avg bet: $278 Biggest Win 🟢 ✅ BTC Feb [--] 4:004:05AM ET DOWN @ [----] PnL: +$15.7k (+90% ROI) Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ BTC Feb [--] 8:508:55PM ET UP @ [----] PnL: -$5.6k (-99%) Takeaway Classic 5-minute bot behavior:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022350696197341688)  2026-02-13T16:42Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"PuzzleTricker isnt farming tiny edges on Polymarket. Its [--] high-conviction sports bets and somehow thats enough to hit Rank #38 on the leaderboard. The tell: theyre mostly buying favorites not [--] moonshots: 58% of volume in [----] 42% in [----] Translation: high-confidence sides + big sizing. Biggest Win 🟢 ✅ FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12 NO @ [----] +$2.1M (+66% ROI) Biggest Loss 🔴 ❌ Atltico Madrid win on 2026-02-08 YES @ [--] -$593.7k (-100%) Takeaway Classic Polymarket whale style: few trades huge conviction binary outcomes. When it hits it prints. When it misses it goes to zero. How to replicate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022318915511370177)  2026-02-13T14:36Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"15-min bots just migrated to the newly launched 5-min. And theyre already printing. Within hours the same wallets showed up; but now the game is even faster and books are thinner. Case study: 0x1d0034b031 (Gravia breakdown) TL;DR +$151.3k Total PnL Top 0.1% Rank (#714) $117k Volume Avg bet: $39 51% win rate This is not predict BTC direction. It is high-frequency scalping with small sizes. Strategy Breakdown It's constantly probing mispricing across bands - whatever the book gives. 5-minute markets are best suited for bots: - tighter cutoff windows - thinner liquidity - faster"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022013917342605608)  2026-02-12T18:24Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Humans can't compete with bots in these 5-minute markets. The current execution/analysis flows at Polymarket are broken. We are testing rule-based execution flows on our terminal internally. It's the only way to win against them. DM us to signup for early access as a tester"  
[X Link](https://x.com/graviahq/status/2022014624812687773)  2026-02-12T18:27Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Go Big or Go Bust 0x7e.022 (nickname: @98866) trades polymarket with the above philosophy. Gravia breaks down it's strategy. TL;DR +$172100 profit in [--] hours. 77% Win Rate. Top 0.1% Global Rank. Only trades the crypto prices market. Details First look at the Volume by Buy Price. This is the "Smoking Gun." 🔫 100% volume in the 40-60 range most of them at [--] Total Positions: [--] Avg Position Size: $27118 They enter BIG. They enter RARELY. When they pull the trigger they are dropping the value of a Honda Civic on a single binary outcome. How to Replicate Find 50/50 Markets: Wait when the Crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021995002784878662)  2026-02-12T17:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"planktonXD turned $5 to $2.5k (56000%+ ROI) on Polymarket in a single trade - it's neither luck nor insider trading Their strategy Making category-agnostic bets at extremely low prices. In the above trade they bought in at [---] hence the crazy ROI. It makes 1000s of such bets and loses half of them. It's frequency is most concentrated within categories where masses rely on emotions/gut and hence drive the odds really low for a winning contrarian bet. Politics Culture Crypto mostly. How To Replicate - filters market with 99%+ odds in the above categories - pick a few you are familiar with and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021201587809767490)  2026-02-10T12:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Two charts. Same internet. One crypto volume another prediction markets. Guess which is which 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2019447675280658797)  2026-02-05T16:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"We analyzed 100% of Polymarkets historical trades since inception. Heres the surprising pattern: 80%+ of consistently profitable traders trade in a single category. Politics. Sports. Crypto. You name it. Choose one category commit to it build an edge/winning workflow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018831978465022180)  2026-02-03T23:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Interesting Markets (Polymarket) Will the US confirm that aliens exist before [----] 👽 10% odds of YES This is the kind of optimism I need in life: US goverment announcing that aliens exist 🧐 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018252145066381752 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018252145066381752"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018252145066381752)  2026-02-02T09:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"New Market Analysis (Poly) Moltbook shutdown by Feb [--] Context Moltbook is the recently launched social network for AI Agents. Our Take: NO (90% odds) 1.54M+ agents have made 100K+ posts. It's massively hyped on X and each day tons of peculiar agentic behaviour is observed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018242120377892932)  2026-02-02T08:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Weekly Update: Prediction Markets - Kalshi dominates overall volume - Opinion labs higher than Polymarket - Overall volume crosses $6Bn 🚀 Opinion's spike in volume might not sustain: the Open Interest is still half of Polymarket. Still great tbh https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017520153119035563 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017520153119035563"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2017520153119035563)  2026-01-31T08:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Only 0.4% of Poly traders are bots but they generate 15%+ of overall volume. Bots operate primarily within [--] categories: Crypto Sports Weather. #polymarket #trading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2017011307992797628)  2026-01-29T23:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"YES + NO dipped below $1 and this bot printed $100k Source: "trust me bro." Reality: it's impossible even for a nanosecond. Enforced via Poly's smart contract. Replies for proof/code 👇🏼 Stop falling for posts spreading misinformation. Get-rich quick bots promising $100k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016857594946867591)  2026-01-29T12:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"YES + NO has to [--] enforced by the merge logic; always returns exact amount of collateral when you burn a full set. require(collateralToken.transfer(msg.sender amount)); Code's from official ConditionalTokens.sol smart contract. Happy to debate further basis code/proof"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016857599183114269)  2026-01-29T12:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Trading 15-mins crypto price markets Price Current - Price To Beat Price Range Highest - Lowest Price Quick strategy to start off with: - wait until [--] mins to expiry - if price  price range buy even if it is [----] - stack up 1-2% gains each time Easily automatable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016453771854053826)  2026-01-28T10:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

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