# ![@faultorfiction Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1579515543459184640.png) @faultorfiction Fault or Fiction

Fault or Fiction posts on X about atp, tier, model, advice the most. They currently have [---------] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1579515543459184640/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1579515543459184640/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +1,427%
- [--] Month [------] +642%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1579515543459184640/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1579515543459184640/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1579515543459184640/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1579515543459184640/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +65%
- [--] Month [--] +136%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1579515543459184640/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1579515543459184640/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands)  [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  [finance](/list/finance)  [countries](/list/countries) 

**Social topic influence**
[atp](/topic/atp) #168, [tier](/topic/tier), [model](/topic/model) #3258, [advice](/topic/advice), [fit](/topic/fit), [not for](/topic/not-for), [elo](/topic/elo), [celo](/topic/celo) #65, [final](/topic/final), [buenos aires](/topic/buenos-aires)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@abnamroopen](/creator/undefined) [@alexdeminaur](/creator/undefined) [@australianopen](/creator/undefined) [@felixtennis](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Celo (CELO)](/topic/celo)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Rolex Shanghai Masters [----] Recap #tennis #ATP #ATPTour https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/rolex-shanghai-masters-1000-recapr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/rolex-shanghai-masters-1000-recapr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/1977838682271809692)  2025-10-13T20:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"A little late but here is my preview for the ATP 250s in Almaty Brussels and Stockholm #tennis #ATP #atptour https://faultorfiction.substack.com/p/almaty-brussels-and-stockholm-previewr=3k3cys https://faultorfiction.substack.com/p/almaty-brussels-and-stockholm-previewr=3k3cys"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/1978224775806808351)  2025-10-14T22:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Most Balanced Players of [----] ⚖ Highest combined performance above top [---] average on both hold% AND break% Tier 1: Jannik Sinner Tier 2: Carlos Alcaraz Tier 3: Novak Djokovic Alex de Minaur Jack Draper #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1996959874006372394)  2025-12-05T15:08Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"The "Aggressive" Servers 🔴 29% of Top [---] Above average Ace% above average DF% Opelka: [----] ace% [---] DF% Mpetshi Perricard: [----] ace% [---] DF% Mensik: [----] ace% [---] DF% Bublik: [----] ace% [---] DF% Swing for aces accept the DFs #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/1998050938276429916)  2025-12-08T15:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2025 Top [--] ATP players by serving style Solid (5)🟢 High ace% low DF% Sinner Zverev Djokovic Fritz Draper Aggressive (2)🔴 High ace% high DF% FAA Shelton Safe (3)🔵 Low ace% low DF% Alcaraz Musetti De Minaur Multiple paths to the top📈 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/1998414332489576484)  2025-12-09T15:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2025 Tiebreak Win % - ATP Top [--] Players Average based on Top [---] players with 20+ TBs played Above Average🟢 FAA Zverev Alcaraz de Minaur Shelton Fritz Below Average🔴 Musetti Djokovic Under [--] TBs Played⚪ Sinner (84.2% is insane) Draper #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/1998771687454654787)  2025-12-10T15:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"#10 Jack Draper: [----] Path to Success Issue: [--] matches in [----] [--] less than the top [--] average (T10A) Injuries limited his year Strengths: ✅Tiebreaks: [----] win% (+5.4 vs T10A) ✅Returns: 25.6% break% (+1.1 vs T10A) Stay healthy volume matters #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/1999135081932239322)  2025-12-11T15:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"#2 Jannik Sinner: [----] Path to Success Beat Alcaraz Issue: 1st serve% 1st Serve In%: 62.0% (-2.5 vs Top [--] avg) Strengths: ✅Hold%: 92.0% (+4.4 vs Alcaraz) ✅Break%: 32.6% (+0.7 vs Alcaraz) [----] Goal: Figure out Alcaraz and the sky is the limit #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2002033933270339886)  2025-12-19T15:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Adelaide and Auckland Court Speed🎾🔥 Both slightly below average for outdoor hard courts Rankings made using a combination of nine serve/return/match metrics from available data since [----] normalized on a 0-100 scale #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2010389490117038274)  2026-01-11T16:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Tsitsipas 76.03%❌ Machac 65.47✅ Fucsovics 62.72%✅ Halys 55.45%✅ Surprising 7-6 7-6 loss from Stefanos after a promising United Cup Draw opens up for winner of Paul/Opelka now #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP AdelaideR32 Predictions🎾🧵 Tsitsipas 76.03% vs Vukic (High) Machac 65.47% vs Duckworth (Med) Model: 65% hELO 35% Adelaide fit Record: 72.28% (133-51) +2.17% vs ELO Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP AdelaideR32 Predictions🎾🧵 Tsitsipas 76.03% vs Vukic (High) Machac 65.47% vs Duckworth (Med) Model: 65% hELO 35% Adelaide"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2011076439546732839)  2026-01-13T14:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP AdelaideR16 Predictions🎾🧵 Machac 69.70% vs Halys (Med) Humbert 65.13% vs Griekspoor (Med) Model: 65% hELO 35% Adelaide fit Record: 72.68% (141-53) +2.58% vs ELO Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2011080767955484805)  2026-01-13T14:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Pretty similar radar plots for last week's champions Brisbane🏆 = Medvedev Hong Kong🏆 = Bublik Small jumps in hold% + larger increases in break% #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2011852882342203402)  2026-01-15T17:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"ATP [---] Hong Kong Recap is live🔥 Great tournament for the model which went 13-2 (86.67) on live in-tournament picks Pre-tournament selections had Musetti winning the title but his runner-up performance was close #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/bank-of-china-hong-kong-tennis-openr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/bank-of-china-hong-kong-tennis-openr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2011884752945770886)  2026-01-15T19:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP AucklandSF Prediction🎾 Mensik 60.00% vs Marozsan (Med) Model: 65% hELO 35% Auckland fit Record: 72.04% (152-59) +2.37% vs ELO Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2011951028267008327)  2026-01-15T23:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Paul❌ Humbert✅ Unfortunately Tommy couldn't get it done after winning the 1st set💔Very high level from Machac in sets [--] Humbert (our pre-tournament pick to win it all) advances to the finals with a tight 3-set win🔥 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP AdelaideSF Predictions🎾 Paul 53.05% vs Machac (Low) Humbert 51.13% vs Davidovich Fokina (Low) Model: 65% hELO 35% Adelaide fit Record: 71.77% (150-59) +2.39% vs ELO Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP AdelaideSF Predictions🎾 Paul 53.05% vs Machac (Low) Humbert 51.13% vs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2012303350608314606)  2026-01-16T23:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP AdelaideFinal Prediction🎾 Humbert 57.71% vs Machac (Low) Model: 65% hELO 35% Adelaide fit Record: 71.96% (154-60) +1.87% vs ELO Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2012309390205010416)  2026-01-16T23:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenDay [--] R128 Model Picks🎾 Alcaraz d. Walton (Very High) Moutet d. Schoolkate (High) Zverev d. Diallo (High) Fucsovics d. Ugo Carabelli (High) Bublik d. Brooksby (Med) Etcheverry d. Kecmanovic (Low) Model Record: 154-61 (71.63%) #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2012629723076079876)  2026-01-17T20:54Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenDay [--] R64 Model Picks🎾🧵 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Very High Sinner d. Duckworth Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit Record: 73.26% (189-69) +1.55% vs Elo Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2014107084892098621)  2026-01-21T22:45Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenDay [--] R32 Model Picks🎾🧵 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Very High Alcaraz d. Moutet Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit Record: 72.83% (193-72) +1.51% vs Elo Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2014473220045275211)  2026-01-22T23:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenDay [--] R32 Model Picks🎾🧵 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Medium Medvedev d. Marozsan de Minaur d. Tiafoe Zverev d. Norrie Tien d. Borges Bublik d. Etcheverry Low Davidovich Fokina d. Paul (models split) Rublev d. F. Cerundolo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2014474362624082140)  2026-01-22T23:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenDay [--] R16 Model Picks🎾🧵 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% High Alcaraz d. Paul Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit Record: 73.21% (205-75) +1.43% vs Elo Building a model to explore tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2015206605890134226)  2026-01-24T23:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Between the Lines🎾📊 Ben was locked in and produced a monster serving day - into the QFs🔥 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2015790994906575170)  2026-01-26T14:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@AustralianOpen Ben was locked in and produced a monster serving day - into the QFs🔥"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2015791598315938003)  2026-01-26T14:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 5-5 (50.00%) Medium Tier Record: 94-33 (74.02%) F. Cerundolo d. Etcheverry Darderi d. Baez Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.56% (256-92) +1.44% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022710579215860061 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022710579215860061"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022710579215860061)  2026-02-14T16:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"de Minaur escapes a strong performance from Humbert Notable stats from this match📊 Humbert 0/10 on break points 2nd lowest dominance ratio in a win in de Minaur's career (0.89) 5th highest dominance ratio in a loss in Humbert's career (1.13) #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics His love affair with Rotterdam continues 🌹 @alexdeminaur becomes the first man to reach the @abnamroopen final in three consecutive years #abnamroopen https://t.co/FF03pdXC6X His love affair with Rotterdam continues 🌹 @alexdeminaur becomes the first man to reach the @abnamroopen final in three consecutive years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022744432617943051)  2026-02-14T18:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenQF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% High Alcaraz d. de Minaur Low Zverev d. Tien (models split) Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.17% (210-77) +1.39% vs Elo Exploring tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2015927153150361746)  2026-01-26T23:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenQF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Very High Sinner d. Shelton Medium Djokovic d. Musetti Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.36% (212-77) +1.38% vs Elo Exploring tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2016292378034712709)  2026-01-27T23:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Another 2-0 day after a heartbreaking retirement from Musetti💔 Very High Sinner✅ Medium Djokovic✅ (Musetti RET up [--] sets) #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Australian OpenQF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Very High Sinner d. Shelton Medium Djokovic d. Musetti Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.36% (212-77) +1.38% vs Elo Exploring tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Australian OpenQF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Very High Sinner d. Shelton Medium Djokovic d. Musetti Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.36% (212-77) +1.38% vs Elo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2016652005259837665)  2026-01-28T23:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenSF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% High Alcaraz d. Zverev Sinner d. Djokovic Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.54% (214-77) +1.37% vs Elo Exploring tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2017014896274395556)  2026-01-29T23:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@AustralianOpen Djokovic turns back the clock in an epic win🔥 Sinner went a shocking 2/18 on break points🧊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2017248463671447851)  2026-01-30T14:48Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Absolutely epic SF matches📽 Carlos wins a thriller and Novak's defense prevails🔥 Going to be a great final🏆 High Alcaraz✅ Sinner❌ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Australian OpenSF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% High Alcaraz d. Zverev Sinner d. Djokovic Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.54% (214-77) +1.37% vs Elo Exploring tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Australian OpenSF Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% High Alcaraz d. Zverev Sinner d. Djokovic Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.54% (214-77) +1.37% vs Elo Exploring tennis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2017249337558893013)  2026-01-30T14:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"In his SF loss to Djokovic Sinner set the following career highs in a loss: Dominance Ratio (% return pts won / % serve pts lost): [----] Ace Rate: 19.5% 1st Serve In: 75.2% Total Points Won: 52.1% Incredible win for Novak🐐 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2017374264073044456)  2026-01-30T23:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Australian OpenFinal Model Pick🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by Win% Medium Alcaraz d. Djokovic🏆 Model: 65% hElo 35% AO fit 73.38% (215-78) +1.37% vs Elo Exploring tennis through data not for gambling📊 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2017731618862206998)  2026-01-31T22:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Model Recap and Update🚨 Model: 65% surface Elo 35% tournament fit📊 Australian Open: 62-17 (78.48%)🔥 Update: Expanding tournament fit win probability range from 10%-90% to 2%-98%✅ New Overall Record: 217-77 (73.81%) #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2018454884563960313)  2026-02-02T22:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Solid win for Felix and great to have Fils back from injury🎾 Medium Auger-Aliassime✅ 3rd highest Dominance Ratio (4.18) and 2nd highest % of 2nd serve points won (84.6%) for Felix in his career (excluding matches with retirements)🔥 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP MontpellierQF Model Pick🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by win% Medium Tier Record: 77-30 (71.96%) Auger-Aliassime d. Fils Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 74.00% (222-78) +1.67% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP MontpellierQF Model Pick🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by win% Medium Tier Record: 77-30 (71.96%) Auger-Aliassime d."  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2019868769129279786)  2026-02-06T20:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Huge debut win for Ethan Quinn🎾 Saved multiple match points to put USA up 2-0 against Hungary🔥 Continuing the momentum from his R3 finish at the Australian Open #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics Davis Cup debut DUB for Ethan 👏 https://t.co/EAuU1oz9BK Davis Cup debut DUB for Ethan 👏 https://t.co/EAuU1oz9BK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2020204689279840407)  2026-02-07T18:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Australian Open Recap is live📊 In-tournament predictions went 62-17 (78.48%)🔥 Pre-tournament predictions were chalky but had 11/16 R16 players✅ 6/8 quarterfinalists✅ 4/4 semifinalists✅ Sinner champion❌ Read here: #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/australian-open-recapr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/australian-open-recapr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2020608513991700660)  2026-02-08T21:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"RotterdamPreview is live🎾 Pre-tournament model predictions have Alex de Minaur defeating Felix Auger-Aliassime in a closely contested final🏆 Read here: #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/abn-amro-open-atp-500-previewr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/faultorfiction/p/abn-amro-open-atp-500-previewr=3k3cys&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2020994617190101501)  2026-02-09T22:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"1-1 day in Buenos Aires Impressive win from Juan Manuel Cerundolo Low Ugo Carabelli✅ Altmaier❌ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Buenos AiresR32 Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by win% Low Tier Record: 68-38 (64.15%) Ugo Carabelli d. Comesana (components disagree) Altmaier d. J. Cerundolo (components disagree) Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 74.18% (227-79) +1.63% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP ATP Buenos AiresR32 Model Picks🎾 Confidence tiers sorted by win% Low Tier Record: 68-38 (64.15%) Ugo Carabelli d. Comesana (components disagree) Altmaier d. J. Cerundolo (components disagree) Model: 65%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2021411162785718733)  2026-02-11T02:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% High Tier Record: 54-10 (84.38%) Spizzirri d. Duckworth Medium Tier Record: 83-31 (72.81%) Davidovich Fokina d. Michelsen Fritz d. Nakashima Paul d. Brooksby Mannarino d. Walton Low Tier Record: 69-41 (62.73%) Korda d. Tiafoe Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.57% (231-83) +1.59% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021593655731949888 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021593655731949888"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2021593655731949888)  2026-02-11T14:34Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"1-1 in Buenos Aires as defending champ Fonseca goes down in three sets Fonseca moves to 0-2 on the year and will lose [---] points High Fonseca❌ Medium Navone✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% High Tier Record: 54-10 (84.38%) Fonseca d. Tabilo Medium Tier Record: 83-31 (72.81%) Navone d. Nava Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.57% (231-83) +1.59% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% High Tier Record: 54-10 (84.38%) Fonseca d. Tabilo Medium Tier"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2021751496321237252)  2026-02-12T01:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"6-0 sweep in Dallas🔥🧹 High Spizzirri✅ Medium Davidovich Fokina✅ Fritz✅ Paul✅ Mannarino✅ Low Korda✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% High Tier Record: 54-10 (84.38%) Spizzirri d. Duckworth Medium Tier Record: 83-31 (72.81%) Davidovich Fokina d. Michelsen Fritz d. Nakashima Paul d. Brooksby Mannarino d. Walton Low Tier Record: ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% High Tier Record: 54-10 (84.38%) Spizzirri d. Duckworth Medium Tier Record: 83-31 (72.81%) Davidovich Fokina d."  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2021937266843939296)  2026-02-12T13:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Very High Tier Record: 25-1 (96.15%) Shapovalov d. Kovacevic High Tier Record: 57-11 (83.82%) Shelton d. Mannarino Paul d. Kecmanovic Low Tier Record: 70-43 (61.95%) Cilic d. Quinn Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.78% (242-86) +1.22% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021951560507408386 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021951560507408386"  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2021951560507408386)  2026-02-12T14:16Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"3-1 day in Dallas after a surprising loss from Tommy Paul Very High Shapovalov✅ High Shelton✅ Paul❌ Low Cilic✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Very High Tier Record: 25-1 (96.15%) Shapovalov d. Kovacevic High Tier Record: 57-11 (83.82%) Shelton d. Mannarino Paul d. Kecmanovic Low Tier Record: 70-43 (61.95%) Cilic d. Quinn Model: 65% ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Very High Tier Record: 25-1 (96.15%) Shapovalov d. Kovacevic High Tier Record: 57-11 (83.82%) Shelton d."  
[X Link](https://x.com/faultorfiction/status/2022300136035037349)  2026-02-13T13:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 2-5 (28.57%) High Tier Record: 59-12 (83.10%) Darderi d. Martinez Medium Tier Record: 91-33 (73.39%) Etcheverry d. Tabilo (components split) Low Tier Record: 71-45 (61.21%) Baez d. Ugo Carabelli (components split) Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.08% (247-91) +0.89% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022302486745239656 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022302486745239656"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022302486745239656)  2026-02-13T13:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2-0 Buenos Aires sweep🔥🧹 Medium F. Cerundolo✅ Darderi✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 5-5 (50.00%) Medium Tier Record: 94-33 (74.02%) F. Cerundolo d. Etcheverry Darderi d. Baez Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.56% (256-92) +1.44% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 5-5 (50.00%) Medium Tier Record: 94-33 (74.02%) F. Cerundolo d. Etcheverry Darderi d. Baez Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.56%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023027482895741261)  2026-02-15T13:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Buenos AiresModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 7-5 (58.33%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) F. Cerundolo d. Darderi (components split) Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) +1.42% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023030395596312735 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023030395596312735"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023030395596312735)  2026-02-15T13:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Most Balanced Players of [----] ⚖ Highest combined performance above top [---] average on both hold% AND break% Tier 1: Jannik Sinner Tier 2: Carlos Alcaraz Tier 3: Novak Djokovic Alex de Minaur Jack Draper #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1996959874006372394)  2025-12-05T15:08Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Fantastic win for hometown favorite Cerundolo🏆 Low F. Cerundolo✅ Pre-tournament predictions also had Cerundolo beating Darderi in the final🔥 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Buenos AiresModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 7-5 (58.33%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) F. Cerundolo d. Darderi (components split) Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) +1.42% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP ATP Buenos AiresModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 7-5 (58.33%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) F. Cerundolo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023195560446939510)  2026-02-16T00:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"ATP Buenos AiresModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 7-5 (58.33%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) F. Cerundolo d. Darderi (components split) Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) +1.42% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023030395596312735 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023030395596312735"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023030395596312735)  2026-02-15T13:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Awesome comeback from Shelton to secure the title🏆 Taylor had his chances but couldnt get it done Low Fritz❌ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP DallasModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 16-4 (80.00%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) Fritz d. Shelton We'll see how healthy Taylor is hopefully it's a good battle Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) ATP DallasModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 16-4 (80.00%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) Fritz d. Shelton We'll see how healthy Taylor is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023188734808601008)  2026-02-16T00:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"ATP DallasModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 16-4 (80.00%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) Fritz d. Shelton We'll see how healthy Taylor is hopefully it's a good battle Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) +1.42% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023028918333153763)  2026-02-15T13:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Third times the charm for de Minaur🏆 Low de Minaur✅ Pre-tournament predictions also had de Minaur beating Auger-Aliassime in the final🔥 #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP RotterdamModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 14-5 (73.68%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) de Minaur d. Auger-Aliassime Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) +1.42% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP RotterdamModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 14-5 (73.68%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) de Minaur d."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023104130261160185)  2026-02-15T18:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP RotterdamModel Pick🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 14-5 (73.68%) Low Tier Record: 75-46 (61.98%) de Minaur d. Auger-Aliassime Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.94% (261-92) +1.42% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022851527874875866)  2026-02-15T01:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2-0 Dallas sweep🔥🧹 High Fritz✅ Low Shelton✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 14-4 (77.78%) High Tier Record: 62-12 (83.78%) Fritz d. Cilic Low Tier Record: 73-46 (61.34%) Shelton d. Shapovalov (components disagree) Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 14-4 (77.78%) High Tier Record: 62-12 (83.78%) Fritz d. Cilic Low Tier Record: 73-46 (61.34%) Shelton d. Shapovalov (components disagree) Model: 65% hElo 35%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023027774269878618)  2026-02-15T13:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 14-4 (77.78%) High Tier Record: 62-12 (83.78%) Fritz d. Cilic Low Tier Record: 73-46 (61.34%) Shelton d. Shapovalov (components disagree) Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.56% (256-92) +1.44% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022712449321840710)  2026-02-14T16:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2-0 Buenos Aires sweep🔥🧹 Medium F. Cerundolo✅ Darderi✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 5-5 (50.00%) Medium Tier Record: 94-33 (74.02%) F. Cerundolo d. Etcheverry Darderi d. Baez Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.56% (256-92) +1.44% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 5-5 (50.00%) Medium Tier Record: 94-33 (74.02%) F. Cerundolo d. Etcheverry Darderi d. Baez Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.56%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023027482895741261)  2026-02-15T13:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 5-5 (50.00%) Medium Tier Record: 94-33 (74.02%) F. Cerundolo d. Etcheverry Darderi d. Baez Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.56% (256-92) +1.44% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022710579215860061 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022710579215860061"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022710579215860061)  2026-02-14T16:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"In his SF win over Bublik today Auger-Aliassime set the following career marks against top [--] players (excluding retirements) Highest dominance ratio (2.99) Highest % of 1st serve points won (96.4%) Highest % of total points won (66.7%) 3rd highest % of 1st serve return points won (46.7%) 5th highest % of 2nd serve return points won (64.3%) #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics The final is calling for FAA ☎ The red-hot @felixtennis advances to the championship match in Rotterdam for the third time @abnamroopen #abnamroopen https://t.co/sjj8mis4RH The final is calling for FAA ☎ The red-hot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022778390059930011)  2026-02-14T21:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"The final is calling for FAA ☎ The red-hot @felixtennis advances to the championship match in Rotterdam for the third time @abnamroopen #abnamroopen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022758399696420925)  2026-02-14T19:42Z 1.8M followers, 14K engagements


"Another Rotterdam sweep🔥🧹 Medium de Minaur✅ Low Auger-Aliassime✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP RotterdamModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 12-5 (70.59%) Medium Tier Record: 93-33 (73.81%) de Minaur d. Humbert Low Tier Record: 73-46 (61.34%) Auger-Aliassime d. Bublik Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.49% ATP RotterdamModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 12-5 (70.59%) Medium Tier Record: 93-33 (73.81%) de Minaur d. Humbert Low Tier Record: 73-46 (61.34%) Auger-Aliassime d. Bublik Model:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022763937423409170)  2026-02-14T20:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP RotterdamModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 12-5 (70.59%) Medium Tier Record: 93-33 (73.81%) de Minaur d. Humbert Low Tier Record: 73-46 (61.34%) Auger-Aliassime d. Bublik Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.49% (255-92) +1.44% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022660849341731082)  2026-02-14T13:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"de Minaur escapes a strong performance from Humbert Notable stats from this match📊 Humbert 0/10 on break points 2nd lowest dominance ratio in a win in de Minaur's career (0.89) 5th highest dominance ratio in a loss in Humbert's career (1.13) #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics His love affair with Rotterdam continues 🌹 @alexdeminaur becomes the first man to reach the @abnamroopen final in three consecutive years #abnamroopen https://t.co/FF03pdXC6X His love affair with Rotterdam continues 🌹 @alexdeminaur becomes the first man to reach the @abnamroopen final in three consecutive years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022744432617943051)  2026-02-14T18:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"His love affair with Rotterdam continues 🌹 @alexdeminaur becomes the first man to reach the @abnamroopen final in three consecutive years #abnamroopen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022698114738430121)  2026-02-14T15:43Z 1.8M followers, 11.1K engagements


"Awesome first-round matchups here🔥 F. Cerundolo vs Navone Sonego vs Berrettini Etcheverry vs Comesana J. Cerundolo vs Darderi #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics Rio de Janeiro ATP [---] Main Draw Singles https://t.co/Zdix6NLOrU Rio de Janeiro ATP [---] Main Draw Singles https://t.co/Zdix6NLOrU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022728762618732639)  2026-02-14T17:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Rio de Janeiro ATP [---] Main Draw Singles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022720033005223949)  2026-02-14T17:10Z 15K followers, 253.9K engagements


"2-1 day in Dallas with a tough loss for Davidovich Fokina after winning the first set Big win for Shapovalov in his title defense High Shelton✅ Medium Fritz✅ Low Davidovich Fokina❌ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 12-3 (80.00%) High Tier Record: 59-12 (83.10%) Shelton d. Kecmanovic Medium Tier Record: 91-33 (73.39%) Fritz d. Korda Low Tier Record: 71-45 (61.21%) Davidovich Fokina d. ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 12-3 (80.00%) High Tier"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022707338264613082)  2026-02-14T16:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP DallasModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 12-3 (80.00%) High Tier Record: 59-12 (83.10%) Shelton d. Kecmanovic Medium Tier Record: 91-33 (73.39%) Fritz d. Korda Low Tier Record: 71-45 (61.21%) Davidovich Fokina d. Shapovalov (components disagree) Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.08% (247-91) +0.89% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022304467811533309)  2026-02-13T13:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Much needed 3-0 sweep in Buenos Aires🔥🧹 High Darderi✅ Medium Etcheverry✅ Low Baez✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 2-5 (28.57%) High Tier Record: 59-12 (83.10%) Darderi d. Martinez Medium Tier Record: 91-33 (73.39%) Etcheverry d. Tabilo (components split) Low Tier Record: 71-45 ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 2-5 (28.57%) High Tier Record: 59-12 (83.10%) Darderi d. Martinez Medium Tier Record: 91-33 (73.39%) Etcheverry d."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022704897779495202)  2026-02-14T16:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP Buenos AiresModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Tournament Record: 2-5 (28.57%) High Tier Record: 59-12 (83.10%) Darderi d. Martinez Medium Tier Record: 91-33 (73.39%) Etcheverry d. Tabilo (components split) Low Tier Record: 71-45 (61.21%) Baez d. Ugo Carabelli (components split) Model: 65% cElo 35% tournament fit 73.08% (247-91) +0.89% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022302486745239656 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022302486745239656"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022302486745239656)  2026-02-13T13:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Montpellier Recap is live🔥 Felix Auger-Alaissime defends his title🏆 Montpellier model results: 7-1 record on in-tournament predictions✅ Correctly predicted Felix to win the title✅ Read here: #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics https://faultorfiction.substack.com/p/open-occitanie-atp-250-recapr=3k3cys https://faultorfiction.substack.com/p/open-occitanie-atp-250-recapr=3k3cys"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022692186886934928)  2026-02-14T15:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3-0 sweep in Rotterdam🔥🧹 Very High Auger-Aliassime✅ High de Minaur✅ Low Bublik✅ #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics ATP RotterdamModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Very High Tier Record: 26-1 (96.30%) Auger-Aliassime d. Griekspoor High Tier Record: 58-11 (84.06%) de Minaur d. van de Zandschulp Low Tier Record: 71-44 (61.74%) Bublik d. Munar (components ATP RotterdamModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Very High Tier Record: 26-1 (96.30%) Auger-Aliassime d. Griekspoor High Tier Record: 58-11 (84.06%) de Minaur d. van de Zandschulp Low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022658481644540202)  2026-02-14T13:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"ATP RotterdamModel Picks🎾 (not betting advice) Confidence tiers sorted by win% Very High Tier Record: 26-1 (96.30%) Auger-Aliassime d. Griekspoor High Tier Record: 58-11 (84.06%) de Minaur d. van de Zandschulp Low Tier Record: 71-44 (61.74%) Bublik d. Munar (components split) Model: 65% hElo 35% tournament fit 73.43% (246-89) +1.19% vs Elo #Tennis #ATP #TennisAnalytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022092551713386869)  2026-02-12T23:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

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