# ![@dwarkesh_sp Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1209960539390201864.png) @dwarkesh_sp Dwarkesh Patel

Dwarkesh Patel posts on X about ai, agi, china, the most the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1209960539390201864/interactions)
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- [--] Week [---------] -65%
- [--] Month [---------] +33%
- [--] Months [----------] +15%
- [--] Year [-----------] +53%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1209960539390201864/posts_active)
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- [--] Week [--] +6.70%
- [--] Month [--] -56%
- [--] Months [---] +40%
- [--] Year [---] +77%

### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1209960539390201864/followers)
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- [--] Week [-------] +1.70%
- [--] Month [-------] +8.60%
- [--] Months [-------] +50%
- [--] Year [-------] +107%

### CreatorRank: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1209960539390201864/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1209960539390201864/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  16.07% [countries](/list/countries)  #717 [stocks](/list/stocks)  8.04% [finance](/list/finance)  7.14% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  6.25% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  6.25% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1.79% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  1.79% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  0.89% [events](/list/events)  0.89%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) #148, [agi](/topic/agi) #1, [china](/topic/china) #18, [the most](/topic/the-most) 9.82%, [the world](/topic/the-world) 6.25%, [elon musk](/topic/elon-musk) #370, [what is](/topic/what-is) 5.36%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 5.36%, [llms](/topic/llms) #136, [the first](/topic/the-first) 4.46%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@grok](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@collision](/creator/undefined) [@teortaxestex](/creator/undefined) [@ramez](/creator/undefined) [@nydgdon43](/creator/undefined) [@robotbeat](/creator/undefined) [@lofillamaguy](/creator/undefined) [@lewisbollard](/creator/undefined) [@gwern](/creator/undefined) [@firstadopter](/creator/undefined) [@aiktp_com](/creator/undefined) [@xiz25](/creator/undefined) [@steveguest](/creator/undefined) [@a_andreiii](/creator/undefined) [@ilyasut](/creator/undefined) [@satyanadella](/creator/undefined) [@richardssutton](/creator/undefined) [@dwarkeshsp](/creator/undefined) [@dylan522p](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Spotify Technology (SPOT)](/topic/$spot)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Ive seen a lot of people misunderstand what were saying. Our claim is that in a world of full automation inequality will skyrocket (in favor of capital holders). People aren't thinking about the galaxies. The relative wealth differences in a thousand yearsor a millionwill be downstream of who owns the first dyson swarms and space ships. And space colonization isn't bottlenecked by peoples preference for human nannies and waiters. So even if you can make [--] million dollars a year as a nanny in the post-abundance future or get a [--] million dollar charity handout Larry Pages million cyborg heirs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2006505366423745004)  2025-12-31T23:18Z 189.3K followers, 1.2M engagements


"The thing that happened with AGI and pretraining is that in some sense they overshot the target. You will realize that a human being is not an AGI. Because a human being lacks a huge amount of knowledge. Instead we rely on continual learning. If I produce a super intelligent [--] -year -old they don't know very much at all. A great student very eager. You can say You go and be a programmer. You go and be a doctor. Go and learn. So you could imagine that the deployment itself will involve some kind of a learning trial and error period. It's a process as opposed to you drop the finished thing."  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1993382930480279631)  2025-11-25T18:15Z 186.1K followers, 594.5K engagements


"New post: Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025) [--]. What are we scaling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1995975387797749887)  2025-12-02T21:56Z 185.4K followers, 579.4K engagements


"And it's up This was a really fun format - you get the back-and-forth energy of a conversation but you can actually think through an idea in writing. Thanks to @substack for hosting and to @patio11 @michaeljburry and @jackclarkSF for a great discussion Tomorrow am. https://t.co/wOni6ztBIl Tomorrow am. https://t.co/wOni6ztBIl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2009701316013281766)  2026-01-09T18:58Z 185.3K followers, 114.3K engagements


"https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/hiring-scouts-to-help-me-find-guests https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/hiring-scouts-to-help-me-find-guests"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2011838882778923353)  2026-01-15T16:32Z 186.2K followers, 20.8K engagements


"@Cyb0rgTheocracy @elonmusk https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-on-space-gpus https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-on-space-gpus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019507934829637740)  2026-02-05T20:26Z 186K followers, [----] engagements


"@ajeya_cotra Good post I'd be curious which side *you* come out on and what the main main intuition pump for your take is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2022099586144436235)  2026-02-13T00:04Z 189.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The @DarioAmodei interview. 0:00:00 - What exactly are we scaling 0:12:36 - Is diffusion cope 0:29:42 - Is continual learning necessary 0:46:20 - If AGI is imminent why not buy more compute 0:58:49 - How will AI labs actually make profit 1:31:19 - Will regulations destroy the boons of AGI 1:47:41 - Why cant China and America both have a country of geniuses in a datacenter Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on Youtube Spotify Apple Podcasts etc. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022357801276690455 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022357801276690455"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2022357801276690455)  2026-02-13T17:10Z 189.4K followers, 1.4M engagements


"Before I interviewed @Lewis_Bollard I had assumed that factory farming was on its way out (especially given new tech like cultivated meat around the corner). Unfortunately this is far from inevitable: factory farms are already incredibly efficient machines for making meat (the most efficient broiler chickens convert [----] kg of grain into an astonishing [--] kg of flesh). I'd previously assumed that cultivated meat will soon trounce factory farming just on raw economics. Growing meat around a whole creature and mind cannot be the most efficient way to produce tasty flesh right Lewis thinks we may"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1953144785088462970)  2025-08-06T17:22Z 187.9K followers, 528.4K engagements


"the pitch is that we create the most interesting slack channel in the world My main bottleneck is finding excellent guests. So Im hiring a couple scouts to help me find the next David Reich/Sarah Paine/Adam Brown. $100/hour remote I expect itll be 5-10 hours a week. Ideal candidate is maybe a grad student/post doc/or working in one of the fields https://t.co/FcjzUSFbRy My main bottleneck is finding excellent guests. So Im hiring a couple scouts to help me find the next David Reich/Sarah Paine/Adam Brown. $100/hour remote I expect itll be 5-10 hours a week. Ideal candidate is maybe a grad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2011928775718564144)  2026-01-15T22:29Z 186.2K followers, 60.7K engagements


"Google Books on steroids Search through the contents of 1000s of books AI semantic search finds the most relevant passages & GPT writes a summary Textbooks classics histories science economics tech philosophy - you name it Much much more to come 👀 Link below enjoy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1615431698887630849)  2023-01-17T19:31Z 188.4K followers, 330.7K engagements


"Amazon's new 1000MW nuclear powered datacenter campus. Dario was right lol From our Aug [----] interview: "Dario Amodei01:14:36: There was a running joke that the way building AGI would look is there would be a data center next to a nuclear power plant next to a bunker. We'd all live in the bunker and everything would be local so it wouldn't get on the Internet.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1768329450939388178)  2024-03-14T17:32Z 188.9K followers, 339.8K engagements


"How @_sholtodouglas got scouted by Google DeepMind: Every night from [--] PM till [--] AM I would do my own research. @jekbradbury saw some of my questions online and was like I thought I knew all the people in the world who were asking these questions. Who on Earth are you A good example is @_sholtodouglas at @GoogleDeepMind. He's quiet on Twitter doesn't have any flashy first-author publications and has only been in the field for [---] years but people in AI know he was one of the most important people behind Gemini's success A good example is @_sholtodouglas at @GoogleDeepMind. He's quiet on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1774846075523977670)  2024-04-01T17:07Z 188.9K followers, 571.9K engagements


"Will Zuck open source the $10 billion model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1781397949538603071)  2024-04-19T19:02Z 188.9K followers, 229.7K engagements


".@leopoldasch on: - the trillion dollar cluster - unhobblings + scaling = [----] AGI - CCP espionage at AI labs - leaving OpenAI and starting an AGI investment firm - dangers of outsourcing clusters to the Middle East - The Project Full episode (including the last [--] minutes cut by Twitter) available at links below. Enjoy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1798024306573848851)  2024-06-04T16:09Z 188.9K followers, 3.2M engagements


"Tony Blair explains the [--] key decisions Lee Kuan Yew took that made Singapore rich. Each one of them now seems obvious. Each one at the time was deeply contested"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1806003543075426308)  2024-06-26T16:36Z 188.9K followers, 2.2M engagements


"My family moved to the US when I was [--] but by the time I turned [--] my dad was still on an H1B (waiting to get processed for a green card). Once I turned [--] I would age out as his dependent despite the fact that I basically grew up in the US. I thought I'd have to become a code monkey after college and even that only if I was lucky enough to win the H1B lottery. Otherwise back to India. I had become a huge fan of @paulg's essays in college. I was actually depressed that my desire to start a startup or do something entrepreneurial was basically hopeless. Working on the promising podcast I was"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1816276856120959025)  2024-07-25T00:58Z 188.9K followers, 1.6M engagements


"Curtis Yarvin is mistaken when he says that Apple can produce iPhones because it's a monarchy. There are millions of firms ("monarchies") in the world that can't produce anything nearly as impressive as iPhones from the laundromat down the street to Boeing. Apple is the result of a decades long evolutionary process facilitated by the market which uplifts the very best culture talent processes and ideas in the entire world. And the moment Apple slips it'll get replaced (the average lifespan of a Fortune [---] is [--] years). Governments just don't work this way. Xi Jinping isn't competing again a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1881776987322376435)  2025-01-21T18:52Z 188.9K followers, 935.2K engagements


"New post Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have which have nothing to do with raw IQ - they can be copied distilled merged scaled and evolved in ways humans simply can't. I talk about how a firm of AGIs might work. [--]. Copy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1885357384866160762)  2025-01-31T16:00Z 188.9K followers, 891.8K engagements


"The @JeffDean & @NoamShazeer episode. We talk about [--] years at Google from PageRank to MapReduce to the Transformer to MoEs to AlphaChip and soon to ASI. My favorite part was Jeff's vision for AGI as one giant MoE that is grown in bits and pieces over time like a forest rather than trained all at once. Specialization distillation inference time scaling all emerge organically rather than by design. Noam bites every bullet: 100x world GDP soon; lets get a million automated researchers running in the Google datacenter; living to see the year [----]. Links below. Enjoy Timestamps 0:00:00 - Intro"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1889770108949577768)  2025-02-12T20:14Z 188.9K followers, 547.7K engagements


".@satyanadella on: - why he doesnt believe in AGI but does believe in 10% economic growth - Microsofts new topological qubit breakthrough and gaming world models - whether Office commoditizes LLMs or the other way around Links below. Enjoy Timestamps 0:00:00 - Intro 0:05:48 - AI won't be winner-take-all 0:16:02 - World economy growing by 10% 0:22:23 - Decreasing price of intelligence 0:31:03 - Microsoft's Quantum breakthrough 0:43:35 - Microsoft's gaming world model 0:50:35 - Legal barriers to AI 0:56:30 - Getting AGI safety right 1:05:43 - [--] years at Microsoft 1:11:31 - Does Satya Nadella"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1892245713452741059)  2025-02-19T16:11Z 189.1K followers, 2.3M engagements


".@satyanadella shows me the first (and currently only) Majorana [--] quantum computing chip A couple reflections on the quantum computing breakthrough we just announced. Most of us grew up learning there are three main types of matter that matter: solid liquid and gas. Today that changed. After a nearly [--] year pursuit weve created an entirely new state of https://t.co/Vp4sxMHNjc A couple reflections on the quantum computing breakthrough we just announced. Most of us grew up learning there are three main types of matter that matter: solid liquid and gas. Today that changed. After a nearly 20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1892270901376291172)  2025-02-19T17:51Z 188.9K followers, 528.1K engagements


"Do we have a satisfying answer for why we dont have access to memories from infancy Do we have a satisfying answer for why we dont have access to memories from infancy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1894593084870283659)  2025-02-26T03:39Z 188.9K followers, 224.1K engagements


"I'm so pleased to present a new book with @stripepress: "The Scaling Era: An Oral History of AI 2019-2025." Over the last few years I interviewed the key people thinking about AI: scientists CEOs economists philosophers. This book curates and organizes the highlights across all these conversations. You get to see thinkers across many many fields address the same gnarly questions: What is the true nature of intelligence What will change from the millions of machine intelligences running around What exactly will it take to get there Settled answers are unavailable; were all running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1904551410219524218)  2025-03-25T15:10Z 188.9K followers, 543.9K engagements


"tfw @gwern casually articulates a more insightful framework for thinking about your life's work than you've ever sketched out yourself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1907095640330649782)  2025-04-01T15:40Z 188.9K followers, 427.7K engagements


"The @slatestarcodex & @DKokotajlo episode. Scott and Daniel break down every month from now until the [----] intelligence explosion. Misaligned hive minds Xi and Trump waking up automated Ilyas accelerating AI progress. I went in quite skeptical. But I learned a tremendous amount by bouncing different objections against them. Links below. Enjoy Timestamps: 00:00:00 - AI [----] 00:07:45 - Forecasting [----] and [----] 00:15:30 - Why LLMs aren't making discoveries 00:25:22 - Debating intelligence explosion 00:50:34 - Can superintelligence actually transform science 01:17:43 - Cultural evolution vs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1907825876332323022)  2025-04-03T16:01Z 188.9K followers, 361K engagements


"Unreasonably effective writing advice: "What are you trying to say here Okay just write that.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1914063267196256765)  2025-04-20T21:06Z 188.4K followers, 657.5K engagements


"New blog post: Questions about the future of AI A 6000-word clusterfuck of considerations about economics history training investmentand more. Thread of select questions below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1914364629448581631)  2025-04-21T17:04Z 188.9K followers, 225.6K engagements


"People underrate how big a bottleneck inference compute will be. Especially if you have short timelines. There's currently about [--] million H100 equivalents in the world. By some estimates human brain has the same FLOPS as an H100. So even if we could train an AGI that is as inference efficient as humans we couldn't sustain a very large population of AIs. Not to mention that a large fraction of AI compute will continue to be used for training not inference. And while AI compute has been growing 2.25x so far by [----] you'd be push against TSMC's overall wafer production limits which grows 1.25x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1923785187701424341)  2025-05-17T16:58Z 188.9K followers, 306.5K engagements


""Even if AI progress totally stalls it's sufficiently easy to collect data on all these different white collar job tasks that we should expect to see them automated within the next [--] years.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1925673798277243279)  2025-05-22T22:03Z 188.8K followers, 556.8K engagements


"I asked Victor Shih this question - why has the Chinese stock market been flat for so long despite the economy growing so fast This puzzle is explained via China's system of financial repression. If you save money in China banks are not giving you the true competitive interest rate. Rather they'll give you the government capped 1.3% (lower than inflation meaning you're earning a negative return). The net interest (which is basically a tax on all Chinese savers) is shoveled into politically favored state owned enterprises that survive only on subsidized credit. But here's what I didn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1928245129133052066)  2025-05-30T00:20Z 188.9K followers, 509.3K engagements


"New blog post where I explain why I disagree with this and why I have slightly longer timelines to AGI than many of my guests. I think continual learning is a huge bottleneck to the usefulness of these models and extended computer use may take years to sort out. L-nk below. "Even if AI progress totally stalls it's sufficiently easy to collect data on all these different white collar job tasks that we should expect to see them automated within the next [--] years." https://t.co/DNtxIwd46R "Even if AI progress totally stalls it's sufficiently easy to collect data on all these different white"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1929598755508310090)  2025-06-02T17:59Z 188.9K followers, 912.5K engagements


"Japan was richer per capita than the US in the late 1980s. Today it sits at the bottom among developed countries. How does an economic superpower fall this far and never recover Kenneth Rogoff (former Chief Economist of IMF) walked me through what he believes was a catastrophic mistake. In [----] the US pressured Japan to rapidly strengthen the yen and liberalize its financial markets through the Plaza Accord. The yen doubled in value in just [--] years. To offset the economic shock Japan slashed interest rates and flooded the economy with cheap credit. Japanese banks suddenly freed from decades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1932837084513120313)  2025-06-11T16:27Z 188.9K followers, 431.8K engagements


"On a viewer-minute adjusted basis I host the Sarah Paine podcast where I sometimes also talk about AI. I'm very excited to announce a new 6-part in-person lecture series with her in San Francisco in July. We're giving the tickets away for free. Links below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1940073860684292358)  2025-07-01T15:43Z 188.9K followers, 810.8K engagements


"Wikipedia is fucking incredible. Concise so well organized and easy to read frictionless rabbit holing filled with concrete details (unlike many books which are largely vacuous monologues). People often ask me for book recs. Most books suck. Read Wikipedia instead lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1950280792367910929)  2025-07-29T19:42Z 188.9K followers, 115.3K engagements


"New episode w @Lewis_Bollard - a deep dive on the surprising economics of the meat industry. 0:00:00 The astonishing efficiency of factory farming 0:07:18 It was a mistake making this about diet 0:09:54 Tech thats sparing 100s of millions of animals/year 0:16:16 Brainless chickens and higher welfare breeds 0:28:21 $1 can prevent [--] years of animal suffering 0:37:26 The situation in China and the developing world 0:41:41 How the meat lobby got a lock on Congress 0:53:23 Business structure of the meat industry 0:57:42 Corporate campaigns are underrated Available on YouTube Apple Podcasts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1953489802751578412)  2025-08-07T16:13Z 188.4K followers, 239.8K engagements


"Just $1 can help avert [--] years of farmed animal suffering. I decided to give $250000 as a donation match to @farmkind_giving after learning about the outsized opportunities to help. FarmKind directs your contributions to the most effective charities in this area. Please consider contributing even if its a small amount. Together we can double each other's impact and give a total of $500000. Use the link below to donate with my match. Bluntly there are some listeners who are in a position to give much more. Given how neglected this topic is one such person could singlehandedly change the game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1953494719637660144)  2025-08-07T16:33Z 188.9K followers, 588.9K engagements


"Honestly the thing that motivated me to do this episode was learning that there's less than $200M/year of smart philanthropy on factory farming - GLOBALLY. Just to explain how fucking crazy that is: [--]. It's insane how cheap the interventions that will spare BILLIONS of animals from gruesome painful fates have been. Less than $200M has been spent getting corporate commitments that have already spared more than 400M hens from battery cages and securing pledges that will spare billions more over the years to come. Thats $1 per [--] years of animal well-being improved. Another example: In-ovo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1953890048056996272)  2025-08-08T18:44Z 188.4K followers, 308.1K engagements


".@CJHandmer on how to feed the AIs. 0:00:00 Why doesnt China win by default 0:08:28 Why hyperscalers choose natural gas over solar 0:18:01 Solar's astonishing learning rates 0:27:02 How to build [-----] acre solar-powered data centers 0:40:24 Environmental regulations blocking clean energy 0:44:04 Batteries replacing the grid 0:49:14 GDP is broken AGI's true value must be measured in total energy use 0:58:45 Silicon wafers in space with one mind each Available on Apple Podcasts Spotify YouTube etc. Enjoy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1956376984126407089)  2025-08-15T15:26Z 188.9K followers, 1.4M engagements


"I find it wild that @physical_int robotics models can work at all given that they only have a [--] second context length. As the robot is moving around a room and cleaning up a table it only sees the current timestamp of images from the cameras (plus the text description of its task). I asked @svlevine was how this model can work at all. If a human had to execute a many minutes long plan in order to accomplish a physical task but had her memory reset every second there's no way she could pull it off But somehow just knowing what state the world is literally in this moment is all you need to know"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1966310915038675304)  2025-09-12T01:20Z 189.1K followers, 113.5K engagements


"I sometimes help my friends rewrite their announcements/launches/blog posts for Twitter. Sharing what ends up commonly helpful. 90% of my value ends up being just getting them to say what they're trying to say. Literally the first thing I do is discard their current draft turn on Whisper narration and just ask them to explain their idea to me like I was hearing about it for the first time. Every single time it's immediately so much better than what they'd written before. What commonly changes: The first thing they say is closer to the material in the original draft's paragraph [--]. Something"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1968012981016608934)  2025-09-16T18:03Z 188.9K followers, 427K engagements


"Read CH [--] [--] and [--] of this book. Go into debt if you have to. I sometimes help my friends rewrite their announcements/launches/blog posts for Twitter. Sharing what ends up commonly helpful. 90% of my value ends up being just getting them to say what they're trying to say. Literally the first thing I do is discard their current draft I sometimes help my friends rewrite their announcements/launches/blog posts for Twitter. Sharing what ends up commonly helpful. 90% of my value ends up being just getting them to say what they're trying to say. Literally the first thing I do is discard their"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1971296063006048563)  2025-09-25T19:29Z 188.9K followers, 254.3K engagements


".@RichardSSutton father of reinforcement learning doesnt think LLMs are bitter-lesson-pilled. My steel man of Richards position: we need some new architecture to enable continual (on-the-job) learning. And if we have continual learning we don't need a special training phase - the agent just learns on-the-fly - like all humans and indeed like all animals. This new paradigm will render our current approach with LLMs obsolete. I did my best to represent the view that LLMs will function as the foundation on which this experiential learning can happen. Some sparks flew. 0:00:00 Are LLMs a dead-end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1971606180553183379)  2025-09-26T16:01Z 189.2K followers, 3.1M engagements


"This was really interesting. The goal was to try and predict prices a minute out from an order book of previous bids and asks. Of course my very simple linear model obviously would not successfully predict the trajectory of mid price in a real market. But the exercise helped me get some intuition for the kind of feature engineering that's necessary to start making sense of the terabytes of market data. We invited @dwarkesh_sp to tackle a foundational question in quant trading: What does it take to build a predictive signal from market data We loved showing him what makes work at HRT so fun"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1973152671235448836)  2025-09-30T22:27Z 188.9K followers, 344.7K engagements


"Boy do you guys have a lot of thoughts about the @RichardSSutton interview. Ive been thinking about it myself. I have a better understanding of Suttons perspective now than I did during the interview itself. So I want to reflect on it a bit. Richard apologies for any errors or misunderstandings. Its been very productive to learn from your thoughts. The steelman What is the bitter lesson about It is not saying that you just want to throw as much compute away as possible. The bitter lesson says that you want to come up with techniques which most effectively and scalably leverage compute. Most"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1973843323279569291)  2025-10-02T20:11Z 188.9K followers, 416.8K engagements


"Does everyone secretly feel that if you went back you to college now you could learn so much faster better and deeper And that your [--] year old self kinda wasted the opportunity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1977834805397197199)  2025-10-13T20:32Z 188.8K followers, 2.3M engagements


"16th in nation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1977885432341012775)  2025-10-13T23:53Z 188.9K followers, 301.4K engagements


"16th in nation https://t.co/kYSVykNmLc 16th in nation https://t.co/kYSVykNmLc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1978123884659450056)  2025-10-14T15:41Z 188.9K followers, 314.4K engagements


"The @karpathy interview 0:00:00 AGI is still a decade away 0:30:33 LLM cognitive deficits 0:40:53 RL is terrible 0:50:26 How do humans learn 1:07:13 AGI will blend into 2% GDP growth 1:18:24 ASI 1:33:38 Evolution of intelligence & culture 1:43:43 - Why self driving took so long 1:57:08 - Future of education Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on YouTube Apple Podcasts Spotify etc. Enjoy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1979234976777539987)  2025-10-17T17:16Z 189.3K followers, 10.7M engagements


"The most interesting part for me is where @karpathy describes why LLMs aren't able to learn like humans. As you would expect he comes up with a wonderfully evocative phrase to describe RL: sucking supervision bits through a straw. A single end reward gets broadcast across every token in a successful trajectory upweighting even wrong or irrelevant turns that lead to the right answer. Humans don't use reinforcement learning as I've said before. I think they do something different. Reinforcement learning is a lot worse than the average person thinks. Reinforcement learning is terrible. It just"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1979259041013731752)  2025-10-17T18:51Z 188.9K followers, 1.1M engagements


".@satyanadella gave me and @dylan522p an exclusive tour of Fairwater [--] the most powerful AI datacenter in the world. We then chatted through Satya's vision for Microsoft in a world with AGI. 0:00:00 - Fairwater [--] 0:04:15 - Business models for AGI 0:13:42 - Copilot 0:20:56 - Whose margins will expand most 0:37:12 - MAI 0:48:42 - The hyperscale business 1:03:39 - In-house chip & OpenAI partnership 1:10:30 - The CAPEX explosion 1:16:01 - Will the world trust US companies to lead AI Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on Youtube Apple Podcasts or Spotify to tune in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1988656226989699138)  2025-11-12T17:12Z 189.1K followers, 1.9M engagements


"Sam Altman suggested that OpenAI could reach $100B in revenue by [----]. Anthropic reportedly forecasted $70 billion in revenue by [----]. Satya reacts to these projections"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1989111299637440720)  2025-11-13T23:21Z 188.9K followers, 504.7K engagements


"The @ilyasut episode 0:00:00 Explaining model jaggedness 0:09:39 - Emotions and value functions 0:18:49 What are we scaling 0:25:13 Why humans generalize better than models 0:35:45 Straight-shotting superintelligence 0:46:47 SSIs model will learn from deployment 0:55:07 Alignment 1:18:13 We are squarely an age of research company 1:29:23 Self-play and multi-agent 1:32:42 Research taste Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on YouTube Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Enjoy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1993371363026125147)  2025-11-25T17:29Z 189.2K followers, 4.1M engagements


"Hiring a writer for the podcast. Fundamentally Im looking for a clear thinker who has great taste. $100-225k full time open to remote. The reason our podcast has grown is not just the quality of the interviews; its the story we tell (through titles clips tweets etc) about why an episode is the most interesting piece of content someone could be watching right now. You'll work closely with me and @maxwellfarrens to figure out this story. Weve actually found it to be a really difficult and rare skill - to identify the crux of an episode/clip/idea and communicate it in a clear compelling way."  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1993708939985518929)  2025-11-26T15:50Z 189.1K followers, 1.1M engagements


"New blog post w @pawtrammell: Capital in the 22nd Century Where we argue that while Piketty was wrong about the past hes probably right about the future. Piketty argued that without strong redistribution of wealth inequality will indefinitely increase. Historically however income inequality from capital accumulation has actually been self-correcting. Labor and capital are complements so if you build up lots of capital youll lower its returns and raise wages (since labor now becomes the bottleneck). But once AI/robotics fully substitute for labor this correction mechanism breaks. For centuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2005709923062092038)  2025-12-29T18:38Z 189.1K followers, 1.5M engagements


"New episode w @AdamMarblestone on what the brain's secret sauce is: how do we learn so much from so little Also the answer to Ilyas question: how does the genome encode desires for high level concepts that are only seen during lifetime Turns out theyre deeply connected questions. Timestamps 0:00:00 The brains secret sauce is the reward functions not the architecture 0:22:20 What the genome actually encodes 0:42:42 What kind of RL is the brain doing 0:50:31 Is biological hardware a limitation or an advantage 1:03:59 Why we need to map the human brain 1:23:28 What value will automating math"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2006057863119265914)  2025-12-30T17:40Z 189.2K followers, 717.4K engagements


"What I've been reading recently - Jan [--] [----] Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos Machines of Loving Grace Max Hodaks theory of consciousness Neural network training makes beautiful fractals. https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-jan-10-2026 https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-jan-10-2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2010087342942659053)  2026-01-10T20:32Z 189K followers, 69K engagements


"Seems like a great opportunity for technical talent to come into government and help the USG make sound technically informed decisions on AI CAISI is hiring for a bunch of exciting new roles from partnerships to technical experts in AI x bio / chem and more. They're serious about bringing in strong researchers & engineers and letting them do good work. Based in DC or SF: https://t.co/GsooeO3IxK CAISI is hiring for a bunch of exciting new roles from partnerships to technical experts in AI x bio / chem and more. They're serious about bringing in strong researchers & engineers and letting them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019106812277166205)  2026-02-04T17:52Z 189.3K followers, 45.2K engagements


".@collision and I interviewed @elonmusk. 0:00:00 - Orbital data centers 0:36:46 - Grok and alignment 0:59:56 - xAIs business plan 1:17:21 - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing 1:30:22 - Does China win by default 1:44:16 - Lessons from running SpaceX 2:20:08 - DOGE 2:38:28 - TeraFab https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019458363495456894 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019458363495456894"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019458363495456894)  2026-02-05T17:09Z 189.4K followers, 3.4M engagements


".@collision and I interviewed @elonmusk. 0:00:00 - Orbital data centers 0:36:46 - Grok and alignment 0:59:56 - xAIs business plan 1:17:21 - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing 1:30:22 - Does China win by default 1:44:16 - Lessons from running SpaceX 2:20:08 - DOGE 2:38:28 - https://t.co/543uQjv6ZT .@collision and I interviewed @elonmusk. 0:00:00 - Orbital data centers 0:36:46 - Grok and alignment 0:59:56 - xAIs business plan 1:17:21 - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing 1:30:22 - Does China win by default 1:44:16 - Lessons from running SpaceX 2:20:08 - DOGE 2:38:28 - https://t.co/543uQjv6ZT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019470965051187543)  2026-02-05T17:59Z 189.2K followers, 56.8K engagements


"As I was preparing to interview Elon I put together some notes to help me think through orbital datacenters. Turned them into a blog post. Please take them with grains of salt so big you might confuse them for rocks. https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/notes-on-space-gpus .@collision and I interviewed @elonmusk. 0:00:00 - Orbital data centers 0:36:46 - Grok and alignment 0:59:56 - xAIs business plan 1:17:21 - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing 1:30:22 - Does China win by default 1:44:16 - Lessons from running SpaceX 2:20:08 - DOGE 2:38:28 - https://t.co/543uQjv6ZT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019479454054248815)  2026-02-05T18:33Z 189.3K followers, 120.4K engagements


"The first question I asked @elonmusk: Whats the point of sending GPUs into space The whole idea behind orbital data centers is that if the launch costs continue to drop it will become cheaper to put GPUs in orbit than to build power plants on Earth. The problem with this argument is that energy is only about 15% of a datacenters lifetime cost. The chips themselves are around 70%. And you still have to launch those to space Elon kept returning to one point over and over again: It will simply not be physically possible to scale power production to the scale needed for AI on Earth. He kept"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019499174384005458)  2026-02-05T19:51Z 189.2K followers, 381.6K engagements


".@elonmusk told me he plans to build Optimus Academy to train an army of humanoid robots. millions of simulated robots in the simulated world tens of thousands of robots in the real world to close the simulation to reality gap. Why Theres two big differences between the way Tesla will train humanoid robots and the way it built Full Self-Driving. - FSD only requires learning three degrees of freedom: turning accelerating braking and a humanoid robot has to learn how to coordinate 50+ joints. - You can sell a Tesla without FSD which allows you to collect the millions and millions of hours of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2019513611002007717)  2026-02-05T20:49Z 189.3K followers, 424.1K engagements


"@sashadem @ns123abc @DarioAmodei You know you're in the takeoff when episodes get dated the week between record and publish. (Elon too lol - was recorded before xAI / SpaceX merger)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2022366147635744888)  2026-02-13T17:43Z 189.4K followers, [----] engagements


"I still haven't heard a good answer to this question on or off the podcast. AI researchers often tell me "Don't worry bout it scale solves this." But what is the rebuttal to someone who argues that this indicates a fundamental limitation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1727004083113128327)  2023-11-21T16:40Z 188.4K followers, 3M engagements


"I havent had you on my podcast because your takes dont make much sense to me and dont seem well thought out. But Im happy to debate you. @ManifoldMarkets has been DMing you trying to setup a debate between us. Ive agreed. Given your statement here I assume youre in Latent agenda reveal. Dwarkesh has repeatedly turned down my offers to appear on his pod over the past year. I thought it could bring balance to his guest lineup. He's clearly positioning himself as a mouthpiece for the AI Safetyist agenda/spreading EA propaganda. Latent agenda reveal. Dwarkesh has repeatedly turned down my offers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1732141980459905489)  2023-12-05T20:56Z 188.9K followers, 1M engagements


""I wonder for people in their 20s if they shouldn't go to San Francisco. The entrepreneurs are held in excessively high regard in my view. I think that San Francisco doesn't really encourage the pursuit of really deep technical depth." - @patrickc Full episode out tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1759955799802294299)  2024-02-20T14:58Z 188.4K followers, 528.6K engagements


"Im grateful to have what is probably the smartest audience in the world for a show as big as mine. If you would like to advertise on my show please fill out the form in the link below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1774883600397389994)  2024-04-01T19:36Z 188.9K followers, 324.1K engagements


"Zuck on: - Llama [--] - open sourcing towards AGI - custom silicon synthetic data & energy constraints on scaling - Caeser Augustus intelligence explosion bioweapons $10b models & much more Enjoy Links below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1780990840179187715)  2024-04-18T16:04Z 188.9K followers, 876.6K engagements


"Every time I fail a spaced repetition review for a card which I remember thinking was almost too trivial to write down I become more convinced that everything I read without making cards for is a waste of time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1781730857683992875)  2024-04-20T17:05Z 188.9K followers, 230.6K engagements


"Tony Blair on: - What he tells the dozens of world leaders who come seek advice from him - How much of a PMs time is actually spent governing - What AIs July [----] moment will look like from inside the cabinet - What he learned from Lee Kuan Yew Links below. Enjoy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1805967717838540926)  2024-06-26T14:13Z 188.4K followers, 310.8K engagements


"Tony Blair's single biggest piece of advice to Labour once they win the election:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1809235000317133311)  2024-07-05T14:36Z 188.4K followers, 358.9K engagements


"I have been obsessed with what the geneticist David Reich told me in our interview together. The story of human evolution we're now learning from new evidence is so crazy. [-----] years ago half a dozen different species of humans (Neanderthals Denisovans 'Hobbits' etc) lived across Eurasia. And then some small group of modern humans (only [----] to [-----] people) drove all of them to extinction. Everyone native to Eurasia and America is descended from this one tribe. Here's the crazy part - modern humans with language and big brains have been around for hundreds of thousands of years. And we had"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1828464163796197765)  2024-08-27T16:06Z 188.4K followers, 422.5K engagements


"I had no idea how wild the story of human evolution was before chatting with the geneticist of ancient DNA David Reich. Human history has been again and again a story of one group figuring something out and then basically wiping everyone else out. From the tribe of 1k-10k modern humans [-----] years ago who killed off all the other human species; to the Yamnaya horse nomads [----] years ago who killed off 90+% of (then) Europeans and also destroyed the Indus Valley Civilization. So much of what we thought we knew about human history is turning out to be wrong from the Out of Africa theory to the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1829192295184482785)  2024-08-29T16:20Z 188.4K followers, 558.6K engagements


"Liang Mong Song was TSMC's renegade genius. He gets frustrated with the leadership so he defects to South Korea and single handedly pushes Samsung to overtake TSMC. Then SMIC China's main foundry poaches him. He becomes CEO and brings along a conga line of Samsung and TSMC's top talent. He is responsible for pushing China to 7nm (close to the leading edge). "That guy's a genius. He's like [--] and he's beyond brilliant. Does not care about people." Full episode with @asianometry and @dylan522p out Wednesday. [--] hour bonanza on the semiconductor industry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1840797317257154949)  2024-09-30T16:54Z 188.4K followers, 352.7K engagements


"The @gwern interview. 0:00:00 Anonymity 0:01:09 Automating Steve Jobs 0:04:38 Isaac Newton's theory of progress 0:06:36 Grand theory of intelligence 0:10:39 Seeing scaling early 0:21:04 AGI Timelines 0:22:54 What to do in remaining [--] years until AGI 0:26:29 Influencing the shoggoth with writing 0:30:50 Human vs artificial intelligence 0:33:52 Rabbit holes 0:38:48 Hearing impairment 0:43:00 Wikipedia editing 0:47:43 Gwern dot net 0:50:20 Counterfactual careers 0:54:30 Borges & literature 1:01:32 Gwern's process 1:19:17 - Gwern's finances 1:25:05 - Random"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1856806128329371751)  2024-11-13T21:07Z 188.9K followers, 533.1K engagements


"My roommate .@ChrisPainterYup did an amazing job voice & face acting @gwern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1857109313665581536)  2024-11-14T17:12Z 188.9K followers, 108.6K engagements


"Its funny how China has basically the inverse problem as America. We subsidize demand and restrict supply. They subsidize supply and restrict demand. We cant rebuild fallen bridges. They build bridges to nowhere. In the most desirable cities in this country every random Victorian house and park bench is a historic site that cant be disturbed. Theyll bulldoze a [---] year old temple to build a skyscraper complex that no one wants to live in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1861156704358146264)  2024-11-25T21:15Z 188.4K followers, 941.9K engagements


"Were way more patient in training human employees than AI employees. We will spend weeks onboarding a human employee and giving slow detailed feedback. But we wont spend just a couple of hours playing around with the prompt that might enable the LLM to do the exact same job but more reliably and quickly than any human"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1870919351286813055)  2024-12-22T19:48Z 188.4K followers, 170.3K engagements


"Notes on visiting China. On scale construction youngsters public opinion censorship tech and AI. Link below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1872723553998782740)  2024-12-27T19:17Z 188.9K followers, 420.5K engagements


"I hassled @tylercowen about why he doesn't expect explosive economic growth from AGI. How could we possibly add [---] billion extra workers and only get 0.5% more growth Also featuring Stalin's library EU decels and how Churchill was an underachiever. Hilarious and provocative throughout. My 4th interview with Tyler. He surprises me every time. Enjoy Timestamps 0:00:00 - Economic Growth and AI 0:15:45 - Founder Mode and increasing variance 0:30:19 - Effective Altruism and Progress Studies 0:33:53 - What AI changes for Tyler 0:45:45 - The slow diffusion of innovation 0:50:41 - Stalin's library"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1877399897382797541)  2025-01-09T16:59Z 188.9K followers, 1.3M engagements


".@dylan522p called it in Oct [----]. Announcing The Stargate Project The Stargate Project is a new company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States. We will begin deploying $100 billion immediately. This infrastructure will secure Announcing The Stargate Project The Stargate Project is a new company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States. We will begin deploying $100 billion immediately. This infrastructure will secure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1881844437346902297)  2025-01-21T23:20Z 188.9K followers, 254.8K engagements


"500k So much of the credit for the growth over the last year belongs to my wonderful editors Conor Aaron and Ishan. Conor was a farmer in Argentina Ishan a Freshman maths student in Sri Lanka and Aaron an editor for Mr Beast. I'm proud of them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1882970143011250185)  2025-01-25T01:54Z 188.9K followers, 68K engagements


"This question is even more puzzling and salient given the existence of Deep Research I still haven't heard a good answer to this question on or off the podcast. AI researchers often tell me "Don't worry bout it scale solves this." But what is the rebuttal to someone who argues that this indicates a fundamental limitation https://t.co/nl24bOCwM3 I still haven't heard a good answer to this question on or off the podcast. AI researchers often tell me "Don't worry bout it scale solves this." But what is the rebuttal to someone who argues that this indicates a fundamental limitation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1888164523984470055)  2025-02-08T09:54Z 188.4K followers, 1.2M engagements


"I studied computer science in college but I wised up after I graduated and transitioned to the more risk-averse conservative career of podcasting. Software developer job postings over the last five years Hard to find a crazier chart https://t.co/i0Q3Qk0sW6 Software developer job postings over the last five years Hard to find a crazier chart https://t.co/i0Q3Qk0sW6"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1889889755795742775)  2025-02-13T04:10Z 188.9K followers, 125.8K engagements


"Kids don't underestimate the power of a cold email. (From @Microsoft's YouTube channel - link below)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1892349104958951933)  2025-02-19T23:02Z 188.4K followers, 542.5K engagements


"On a Saturday @dwarkesh_sp @Microsoft insane that he responded in [--] mins https://t.co/NjB37soewX @dwarkesh_sp @Microsoft insane that he responded in [--] mins https://t.co/NjB37soewX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1892362905867170131)  2025-02-19T23:57Z 188.9K followers, 176.6K engagements


".@slatestarcodex's answer. I actually agree with this. But if making new connections and discoveries is intrinsically an NP-hard problem then it's also less likely that some super-intelligence will rapidly exhaust the tech tree and start making nanobots. I still haven't heard a good answer to this question on or off the podcast. AI researchers often tell me "Don't worry bout it scale solves this." But what is the rebuttal to someone who argues that this indicates a fundamental limitation https://t.co/nl24bOCwM3 I still haven't heard a good answer to this question on or off the podcast. AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1896412699753660770)  2025-03-03T04:09Z 188.9K followers, 228K engagements


"Made myself a research tool Claude makes flash cards from passages I highlight Reduces the friction of using spaced repetition. Sharing in case helpful to you generateflash dot cards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1901333112526876971)  2025-03-16T18:01Z 188.9K followers, 231.6K engagements


"Who is the best blogger in China Who is China's Scott Alexander or Gwern or Tyler"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1902795337233994003)  2025-03-20T18:52Z 188.4K followers, 219.9K engagements


"In [--] weeks Im going to be releasing an episode with [--] guests who have 2045+ timelines are skeptical of the whole alignment framework and dont think an intelligence explosion is plausible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1908215153658577310)  2025-04-04T17:48Z 188.9K followers, 252.9K engagements


".@EgeErdil2 and @tamaybes episode. - They have 2045+ timelines - think the whole "alignment" framing is wrong - don't think an intelligence explosion is plausible - but are convinced we'll see explosive economic growth (economy literally doubling every year or two). Enjoy Links below. Timestamps: 00:00:34 - AGI will take another [--] decades 00:23:01 - Even reasoning models lack animal intelligence 00:45:38 - Intelligence explosion 01:01:31 - Ege & Tamay's story 01:06:58 - Explosive economic growth 01:33:34 - Will there be a separate AI economy 01:47:42 - Can we predictably influence the future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1912903992989958592)  2025-04-17T16:20Z 188.4K followers, 161.8K engagements


"Join us to hear from @collision and @patrickc about trends that will shape the next decade of payments and global tradewith guest @dwarkesh_sp. Streaming live Tuesday May [--] at [--] pm PT. https://t.co/hypx7VZUUT Join us to hear from @collision and @patrickc about trends that will shape the next decade of payments and global tradewith guest @dwarkesh_sp. Streaming live Tuesday May [--] at [--] pm PT. https://t.co/hypx7VZUUT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1918022371769987516)  2025-05-01T19:19Z 188.9K followers, 101.4K engagements


"Has someone come up with a great prompt for socratic tutoring Such that the model keeps asking you probing questions which reveal how superficial your understanding is and then helps you fill in the blanks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1927769721081827544)  2025-05-28T16:51Z 188.9K followers, 433.4K engagements


"Sometimes people say that even if all AI progress totally stopped the systems of today would still be economically transformative. I disagree. The reason that the Fortune [---] arent using LLMs to transform their workflows isnt because the management is too stodgy. Rather its genuinely hard to get normal humanlike labor out of LLMs. And this has to do with some fundamental capabilities these models lack. New blog post where I explain why I disagree with this and why I have slightly longer timelines to AGI than many of my guests. I think continual learning is a huge bottleneck to the usefulness"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1929627744721310031)  2025-06-02T19:54Z 188.9K followers, 257.3K engagements


"LLMs are 5/10 writers. So the fact that you can reliably improve on the explanations in papers and books by asking an LLM to summarize them is a huge condemnation of academic writing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1931007320420426033)  2025-06-06T15:16Z 188.9K followers, 282.5K engagements


"the internet is an interesting place if i were an indian serf ekeing out a modest existence on the deccan plains [---] years ago the arrival of this man would compel me to hand over all my taxed grains. were i to find out that the raja's beautiful son had perished on the battlefield my tears would salt the rivers. https://t.co/pLMi2RO2Lf if i were an indian serf ekeing out a modest existence on the deccan plains [---] years ago the arrival of this man would compel me to hand over all my taxed grains. were i to find out that the raja's beautiful son had perished on the battlefield my tears would"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1933665623826890952)  2025-06-13T23:19Z 188.9K followers, 141.8K engagements


"China spent [--] years failing to build a globally competitive domestic car industry through hundreds of billions of dollars of subsidies and forced partnerships. Then they tried something radical. In [----] they invited Tesla to build a wholly-owned factory in Shanghai. No joint venture required. Chinese officials called it the "catfish effect" - Tesla would force domestic companies to compete or die. The impact was brutal. When Tesla's Model [--] launched in [----] it quickly became China's best-selling EV. BYD's total vehicle sales actually fell 7.7% that year to just [------] units. By competing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1935487025471438907)  2025-06-18T23:57Z 188.9K followers, 427.5K engagements


"It's funny how strong the causation is between time in SF and short timelines. I've been traveling for [--] weeks and I'm now up to median year [----] for AGI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1938280394958217473)  2025-06-26T16:57Z 188.4K followers, 219.3K engagements


"Really interesting new @gwern essay: LLM Daydreaming - Proposal of how default mode networks for LLMs are an example of missing capabilities for search and novelty Btw I know it's a bit cringe to delight in but if you had told [--] year old me that a Gwern essay would open like this I would have found it hard to believe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1944912044752560641)  2025-07-15T00:09Z 188.9K followers, 128K engagements


"Looking for an energy expert to interview on my podcast. I want to get in the weeds on what will happen the wild AI worlds. As AI actually becomes capable of substituting for human labor your country's GDP will be denominated by your AI population size which is downstream of energy. What does this mean for different countries Given how fast the US falling behind China in electricity generation what would it take for us to make up the ground What are the most plausible sources (natural gas nuclear solar) what are their supply curves the main physical or regulatory bottlenecks that would slow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1945958905005379632)  2025-07-17T21:28Z 188.4K followers, 151.1K engagements


"How exciting is my life Identify the most interesting questions. Hunt down the smartest people in the world to answer them. Build a shadow university for myself populated by some of the smartest mentors and friends one could be lucky enough to have. What would it look like to actually *really* try at this quest What would someone more capable ambitious and driven than me do And why I am not doing it already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1952177779921035313)  2025-08-04T01:20Z 188.9K followers, 142.9K engagements


"you either die a hero or live long enough to get cooked in a @slatestarcodex parody blog post"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1962935174007804064)  2025-09-02T17:46Z 188.4K followers, 63.1K engagements


"Whoah. Father of reinforcement learning and this year's Turing Award winner @RichardSSutton. I'm shy. Dwarkesh Patel is 100% right on this: AI's utility is very strongly dependent on continual learning. https://t.co/YR54QlaqZK Dwarkesh Patel is 100% right on this: AI's utility is very strongly dependent on continual learning. https://t.co/YR54QlaqZK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1963343926527742199)  2025-09-03T20:50Z 188.9K followers, 98.2K engagements


"I find it frustrating that almost every nonfiction book is basically just a history lesson even if it's nominally about some science/tech/policy topic. Nobody will just explain how something works. Books about the semiconductor industry will never actually explain the basic process flow inside a fab but you can bet that there will be a minute-by-minute recounting of a dramatic 1980s Intel boardroom battle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1964741359669309727)  2025-09-07T17:23Z 188.9K followers, 608.7K engagements


"Wanted to get better intuitions for how RL works on LLMs. So I wrote a simple script to teach Nanochat to add [--] digit numbers. I was surprised at how fast it learned. Until I looked at the model's generations and realized that it had just learned to always call the built-in Python interpreter 😂. The code I wrote is very remedial minimal and inefficient - I'm a professional podcaster alright But it might be helpful if you just want to see the basics of how REINFORCE or GRPO work. Link to gist below. Fundamentally it's not that complicated: generate multiple trajectories per prompt. Update"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1980427914639524278)  2025-10-21T00:16Z 188.9K followers, 411.9K engagements


"I'll be at the @mercury booth at TechCrunch Disrupt next week. I'm gonna chat with my good friend (& voice of Gwern) @ChrisPainterYup about building the podcast and other fun stuff. 10/27 at [--] AM. Hope you join us"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1981485576542179456)  2025-10-23T22:19Z 188.9K followers, 66.6K engagements

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