# ![@daniel_271828 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::766076479222456320.png) @daniel_271828 Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name)

Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) posts on X about open ai, ai, money, anthropic the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::766076479222456320/interactions)
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- [--] Week [------] -20%
- [--] Month [-------] -71%
- [--] Months [----------] +397%
- [--] Year [----------] +49%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::766076479222456320/posts_active)
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- [--] Week [--] +28%
- [--] Month [---] +102%
- [--] Months [---] +168%
- [--] Year [---] -15%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::766076479222456320/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::766076479222456320/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.16%
- [--] Month [------] +0.97%
- [--] Months [------] +12%
- [--] Year [------] +29%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::766076479222456320/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::766076479222456320/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #6101 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  20.41% [finance](/list/finance)  11.56% [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)  #133 [stocks](/list/stocks)  2.04% [countries](/list/countries)  2.04% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  1.36%

**Social topic influence**
[open ai](/topic/open-ai) #968, [ai](/topic/ai) 10.88%, [money](/topic/money) 4.76%, [anthropic](/topic/anthropic) #2889, [in the](/topic/in-the) 2.04%, [away from](/topic/away-from) 2.04%, [future](/topic/future) 1.36%, [instead of](/topic/instead-of) 1.36%, [meta](/topic/meta) 1.36%, [xai](/topic/xai) 1.36%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@grok](/creator/undefined) [@aoighost](/creator/undefined) [@ofquarks28701](/creator/undefined) [@coco11223393390](/creator/undefined) [@raahiravi](/creator/undefined) [@marwan_abe](/creator/undefined) [@linahuaa](/creator/undefined) [@short_straw](/creator/undefined) [@dpraeclarum](/creator/undefined) [@fargonavt](/creator/undefined) [@bowang87](/creator/undefined) [@xperimentalunit](/creator/undefined) [@sebastienbubeck](/creator/undefined) [@matthieumess](/creator/undefined) [@soheigeartaigh](/creator/undefined) [@esyudkowsky](/creator/undefined) [@chatgpt21](/creator/undefined) [@trueaihound](/creator/undefined) [@davidwbrw](/creator/undefined) [@predict_addict](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[PACS Group, Inc. (PACS)](/topic/$pacs) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Crane Holdings, Co. (CR)](/topic/$cr)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"It is incredible. But it wont take anywhere near a billion years before our civilization is able to make comparable tech It just seems implausible this is what we are made of essentially nanotechnology about a billion years beyond anything we can design or make ourselves. https://t.co/muBb7VC3yR It just seems implausible this is what we are made of essentially nanotechnology about a billion years beyond anything we can design or make ourselves. https://t.co/muBb7VC3yR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2017041645418566076)  2026-01-30T01:06Z 10.5K followers, 13.2K engagements


"@deanwball If someone had their view wouldnt it be far better to buy long-dated OTM put option on NVDA TSM etc rather than just take a 1:1 odds bet with you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2017060439251616075)  2026-01-30T02:20Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"you could have the equivalent of like a GoFundMe but on the blockchain for people to basically be able to pay an AI bot to cure their cancer. Thats really the use of AI for biotech you want to advertise Really Thats the vision youre promoting Marc Andreessen on the untapped potential of AI agents: "You could have an AI bot that basically raises money to make a movie and then spends the money on image generation and sound generation." "Maybe even hiring actors. set designers or graphic artists or. sound effects https://t.co/IVlhwxzQdF Marc Andreessen on the untapped potential of AI agents:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2018842047457964432)  2026-02-04T00:20Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Does AI raise an existential threat to the human species The Godfather of AI Dr. Geoffrey Hinton recently told me that it was only a matter of time before AI becomes smarter than humans. How do we work together with the international community to prevent this extraordinary threat The other questions are also good to ask. Props to Bernie for asking the right questions And good that hes meeting with AI leaders to hear what they have to say. https://t.co/pG0nyaBqKg https://t.co/pG0nyaBqKg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019196893151302102)  2026-02-04T23:50Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Okay now *this* is a take Proud to announce my new article "Hallucinated Cases Are Good Law" forthcoming in the Princeton Law Review. https://t.co/SfzSIHN3HG Proud to announce my new article "Hallucinated Cases Are Good Law" forthcoming in the Princeton Law Review. https://t.co/SfzSIHN3HG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019258760985010268)  2026-02-05T03:56Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Butlerian jihad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019493926131114103)  2026-02-05T19:30Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@WeakInteraction @Benthamsbulldog @raelifin True but I think the ratio of likes in OP vs the response and elsewhere in this thread make it clear that the audience (who is the final judge) found it obvious"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019694601255415919)  2026-02-06T08:48Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"If anyone is wondering why bitcoin is crashing it's because recent analyses have indicated the NPV of all future cash flows from holding bitcoin is lower than previously assumed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019702204593287186)  2026-02-06T09:18Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@raelifin @WeakInteraction @Benthamsbulldog Yeah replies usually get far fewer likes than original posts so when a reply ratios an original tweet I think thats evidence that the audience agrees substantially more with the reply. Also note further in the thread Richard got [--] likes to BBs 18"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019839220643500235)  2026-02-06T18:22Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Oh wow Scott Weiners opponent trying to outflank him on AI safety As AI increases in salience among voters expect more of this from politicians (instead of the current state of affairs where politicians compete mostly for attention from donors with AI industry interests) I know @AnthropicAI has been much more concerned about alignment than other AI companies so can someone explain why Anthropic released Opus [---] anyway I know @AnthropicAI has been much more concerned about alignment than other AI companies so can someone explain why Anthropic released Opus [---] anyway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019912440667152693)  2026-02-06T23:13Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Everyone is making fun of this but its not nothing In fact this will allow France to pay for the labor of a top AI researcher for an entire three months French President Emmanuel Macron just announced that France is investing $30 million in artificial intelligence as part of his plan to put France & Europe ahead of the United States in the AI race. Part of the money will also go to climate change initiatives. LOL. https://t.co/iXr9OExUEF French President Emmanuel Macron just announced that France is investing $30 million in artificial intelligence as part of his plan to put France & Europe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2020029020663054723)  2026-02-07T06:57Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"🙄 $NVDA $META - NVDA CEO HUANG SAYS NO ONE USES AI BETTER THAN META $NVDA $META - NVDA CEO HUANG SAYS NO ONE USES AI BETTER THAN META"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2020214195506253983)  2026-02-07T19:12Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@freed_dfilan @NinaPanickssery Meaning wasnt able to make it to the protest but with the protesters in spirit or wasnt able to make it as a billionaire but with the billionaires in spirit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2020276637221388337)  2026-02-07T23:20Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@nigeleccles @Kalshi Its a real shame because prediction markets do have a lot of potential for better societal truth seeking but man this aint the way to increase their legitimacy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2020779175351910582)  2026-02-09T08:37Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@mannheimwm lol but also Greg Brockman is being advised in his political spending by Chris Lehane OpenAIs head of government affairs and Lehane is renowned for his political savvy. So Im kinda scratching my head here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021017606573130006)  2026-02-10T00:25Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@tszzl @mark_k 🤝"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021031833933316423)  2026-02-10T01:21Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@Thomas_Woodside Honestly taking this as their good-faith belief would be incredibly bearish for OpenAI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021059771856773294)  2026-02-10T03:12Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@tszzl Literally youre just describing EAs right here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021060551577842095)  2026-02-10T03:15Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@growing_daniel Wait you mean they should fund the teachers salaries directly not the teachers unions right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021095360383643972)  2026-02-10T05:34Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@uwunetes @growing_daniel Synthesis proposal: it costs $1 to send an email but if the receiver checks a box saying it provided value you get the dollar back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021095937230401973)  2026-02-10T05:36Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"One thing I like about this message from Anthropic - theyre not shying away from discussing risks of AI systems becoming uncontrollable. We need policymakers to take these risks seriously and having large political donors explicitly talk about them makes that more likely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022131520925061390)  2026-02-13T02:11Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"IQ too high altruism too effective time preference too low circle too expanded I dont think most of AI safety will join the omnicause especially with respect to data center NIMBYism. IQ too high altruism too effective time preference too low circle too expanded. I dont think most of AI safety will join the omnicause especially with respect to data center NIMBYism. IQ too high altruism too effective time preference too low circle too expanded"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2018941547686121556)  2026-02-04T06:55Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"One thing weird wrt Greg Brockmans decision to go hardcore Trump is it makes the superPAC hes funding w/ a16z less bipartisan-coded. Andreessen is notably Republican & Brockman was previously seen as centrist/unknown. But now w/ [--] Rs harder to speak across political spectrum What if I told you that Greg BrockmanTrump's top megadonor and the founder of OpenAIis pouring more money into ads attacking me and our campaign than his company spent on Super Bowl ads https://t.co/9zouuvN0J4 What if I told you that Greg BrockmanTrump's top megadonor and the founder of OpenAIis pouring more money into"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021000647550828889)  2026-02-09T23:17Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"This is a good point but also to be clear it isnt the AI industry thats downplay AI risk here. Anthropic DeepMind and xAI arent funding this propaganda. The only frontier lab thats supporting it (contradicting their previous statements) is OpenAI. It was a big scandal for the Tobacco industry when documents showed it knew about cancer risk despite undermining it publicly. For the AI industry we don't need secret documents. OpenAI has over a decade of public writing that contradicts what its lobbying group is saying https://t.co/nqmqOXOTSc It was a big scandal for the Tobacco industry when"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021094913157497032)  2026-02-10T05:32Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"I feel like people have forgotten what the purpose of this website is and how its different from most other forms of engagement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021287947782533235)  2026-02-10T18:19Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Gotta say its really weird how hard the OpenAI-Andreessen super PAC leans into loudly promote messages directly at odds with the stated and revealed views of our main supporters. Never seen anything like this being used as a tool for exerting political power What does OpenAI Sam Altman know that his own industry lobbying group doesn't 🤔 https://t.co/4A2gFJlPWK What does OpenAI Sam Altman know that his own industry lobbying group doesn't 🤔 https://t.co/4A2gFJlPWK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021352147284263421)  2026-02-10T22:34Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@GarrisonLovely True but also Not All Frontier AI Companies This is a good point but also to be clear it isnt the AI industry thats downplay AI risk here. Anthropic DeepMind and xAI arent funding this propaganda. The only frontier lab thats supporting it (contradicting their previous statements) is OpenAI. This is a good point but also to be clear it isnt the AI industry thats downplay AI risk here. Anthropic DeepMind and xAI arent funding this propaganda. The only frontier lab thats supporting it (contradicting their previous statements) is OpenAI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021369912644764063)  2026-02-10T23:45Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@owlthatissuperb @hamandcheese @NathanLeamerDC Its not a crazy thing for *someone* to say (though I think it is wrong) but it is an absolutely insane thing for them specifically to say: What does OpenAI Sam Altman know that his own industry lobbying group doesn't 🤔 https://t.co/4A2gFJlPWK What does OpenAI Sam Altman know that his own industry lobbying group doesn't 🤔 https://t.co/4A2gFJlPWK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021373411394716009)  2026-02-10T23:59Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@owlthatissuperb @hamandcheese @NathanLeamerDC Greg Brockman OpenAIs president is tied for their largest donor ($50M) and hes being advised in his political giving by Chris Lehane (OpenAIs head of government affairs). This is an OpenAI-a16z play"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021375321422131579)  2026-02-11T00:06Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@owlthatissuperb @hamandcheese @NathanLeamerDC Oh this is the 501c4 arm of Leading the Future the OpenAI-Andreessen super PAC. I meant Brockman is a $50M funder of the broader super PAC constellation (and then moneys been flowing between Leading by Future and Build American AI). But its all one operation:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021376160341590429)  2026-02-11T00:10Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@ohabryka @S_OhEigeartaigh @MrinankSharma @robertwiblin My guess is their non-disclosure agreement clause doesnt just narrowly cover IP but also covers stuff like business strategy (which I think is sensible FWIW) and its probably also somewhat vague (how could it not be when its a fuzzy concept)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021462307365323131)  2026-02-11T05:52Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@ohabryka @MrinankSharma @David_Kasten @S_OhEigeartaigh @robertwiblin FWIW my interpretation of that announcement was that the *existence* of the NDAs would no longer be secret not that the *terms* of the NDAs would no longer be secret"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021506308156080531)  2026-02-11T08:47Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"My employer now has a Twitter account Follow for updates on our work: Hello world 👋 Hello world 👋"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021659587087413522)  2026-02-11T18:56Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@S_OhEigeartaigh FWIW I think its totally plausible that the two companies have identically restrictive policies on the NDA front and the difference is just that different individuals will feel more comfortable going closer to the line/into the grey area than others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021664180290605176)  2026-02-11T19:14Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@S_OhEigeartaigh Could also be that the one employee is being paranoid/overly lawyerly in his interpretation rather than leadership set the wrong policies. Until a pattern emerges (like with certain other companies) Im inclined to withhold judgment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021665627170345382)  2026-02-11T19:20Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Did OpenAI replace their non-disparagement agreement with a disparagement agreement From the outside it feels like their entire workforce has resigned in protest multiple times over and publicly declared the company as problematic on the way out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021726133952434224)  2026-02-11T23:20Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@BuildAmericanAI What these people arent telling you in their ad is theyre not actually advocating to policymakers for serious federal guardrails but instead for blanket preemption of state AI laws w/ at most very weaksauce federal policy. They wont say that tho b/c they know its unpopular"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1994211841124241771)  2025-11-28T01:08Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"The policies the highlight also seem totally reasonable (& necessary)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022132193934618914)  2026-02-13T02:14Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@AnthropicAI Thank you for being willing to fight in this domain Getting AI policy right will likely require a counter to the insane arch-accelerationist policies that a16z & OpenAI are pushing and its good to see you stepping up here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022132467910762577)  2026-02-13T02:15Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"New report: Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion As AI R&D is automated AI progress may dramatically accelerate. Skeptics counter that hardware stock can only grow so fast. But what if software advances alone can sustain acceleration 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1904937792620421209)  2025-03-26T16:45Z 10.5K followers, 132.5K engagements


"@SteveStricklan6 @NathanpmYoung Its a list of people with bad takes. Everyone he listed has bad takes and belongs on that list. Maybe theres some other list of negative traits that LeCun doesnt belong on while the others do but thats an entirely different conversation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019339609583546472)  2026-02-05T09:17Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"So let me get this straight - when Anthropic releases a new SOTA model AI stocks fall since the market thinks software companies will be automated away. But when OpenAI releases a new SOTA model the same companies rise because why exactly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2019851680486228339)  2026-02-06T19:12Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Editing my draft like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2021855619679236287)  2026-02-12T07:55Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Major major props to Anthropic for this action In a world where some AI companies & VCs are making large political donations to ensure AI remains as unregulated as possible its nice to see at least one AI company put its weight behind sensible guardrails & oversight AI is being adopted faster than any technology in history. The window to get policy right is closing. Today were contributing $20m to Public First Action a new bipartisan org that will mobilize people and politicians who understand whats at stake. https://t.co/y9ZQNQ1Q8W AI is being adopted faster than any technology in history."  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022130848821391833)  2026-02-13T02:08Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Well 50% an OpenAI play and 50% an a16z play. But Brockmans donations specifically are 100% an OpenAI play"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022453100079124836)  2026-02-13T23:29Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Brockman confirming what everyone knew from the beginning - these donations are simply an extension of Brockmans work at OpenAI. This is 100% an OpenAI play not Brockman suddenly deciding to spend lots of his own money on unrelated newfound political views New: In an interview with WIRED Greg Brockman tells me his donations to Trump and an AI Super PAC are in service of OpenAI's mission to distribute AGI to humanity. ".supporting the team is bigger than the people that I happen to be employed with. It's really team humanity." https://t.co/AwOUX6MvEn New: In an interview with WIRED Greg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022452660616802519)  2026-02-13T23:27Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@teddyschleifer @Hadas_Gold So the above claim by OpenAI is obvious bullshit Yeah no OpenAI owns this. You cant simply have a separate legal entity to do your evildoing through and then claim woah thats not us doing it - its the separate evildoing legal entity. More OpenAI employees should be aware of the political stuff their company supports Yeah no OpenAI owns this. You cant simply have a separate legal entity to do your evildoing through and then claim woah thats not us doing it - its the separate evildoing legal entity. More OpenAI employees should be aware of the political stuff their"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/2022572591463174381)  2026-02-14T07:24Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Great 30-minute video explaining the AI [----] scenario. Recommend watching The AI [----] scenario is terrifying and important. More people should be thinking about how radical change might come over the next few years how likely it is and how a sane world would be reacting to it. We want to bring you into the story and the conversation. Video here: https://t.co/svJNp3ICyk The AI [----] scenario is terrifying and important. More people should be thinking about how radical change might come over the next few years how likely it is and how a sane world would be reacting to it. We want to bring you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945341508502057023)  2025-07-16T04:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@diviacaroline Yeah you dont have free rein to attack a thief *after youve recovered your stolen goods from them and theyre not currently presenting a threat to you*"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945346350834467084)  2025-07-16T04:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@WestTexasLoner @thehill Its around 1% of the federal budget. Thats not nothing but a far cry away from a third of your salary. If your federal tax rate is 30% then thats 0.3% of your salary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945579554313015457)  2025-07-16T20:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@EYakoby Also Arab minority group is a crazy way for them to be describing the Druze - theyre a separate ethnicity thats living as a minority within a majority Arab country"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945600289941172723)  2025-07-16T21:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@robertwiblin AGI in 5-9 years seems plausible but 3-5 years for takeoff after that (without an intentional slowdown) seems slow given the feedback loop: New report: Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion As AI R&D is automated AI progress may dramatically accelerate. Skeptics counter that hardware stock can only grow so fast. But what if software advances alone can sustain acceleration 🧵 https://t.co/FFeCsuvZIt New report: Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion As AI R&D is automated AI progress may dramatically accelerate. Skeptics counter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945627100393664976)  2025-07-16T23:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Absolutely phenomenal exchange from @RepScottPerry at a recent US House hearing about AI demonstrates way more understanding of the issue than is typical: Rep Perry: I do want to make everybody aware of some things that I am aware of. Im going to refer directly to an AI safety firm named Palisade Research @PalisadeAI and another one named Apollo Research @apolloaievals I suspect that all of you are aware of the times that when various AI has been tested the AI has chosen on occasion to further its goals as opposed to the goals of the people that wrote the code. How about the instance where"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945681944249024775)  2025-07-17T03:08Z [----] followers, 20.8K engagements


"Great quote from @RepAndyBiggsAZ: We are actually moving so rapidly that we probably thought by [----] youd be getting to artificial superintelligence but it looks like maybe before [----] youre gonna be at artificial superintelligence Aggressive timeline prediction for artificial superintelligence by Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) putting it before [----] More and more of Congress are realizing that unimaginably powerful AI is on the near term horizon https://t.co/m01dYecRl1 Aggressive timeline prediction for artificial superintelligence by Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) putting it before [----] More and more of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1945915822540505374)  2025-07-17T18:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"In principle this could be solved by continual redistribution from AI toward humans. Doing that may depend on humans maintaining our grip on political institutions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946087711783473625)  2025-07-18T06:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"IMHO this regulatory threshold should be raised to cover fewer models. Transparency for emerging capabilities/risks should focus on the bleeding edge. Covering so many weaker models adds unnecessary burdens and frankly distracts regulators from the models that matter most. We estimate there will be 103-306 [----] FLOP models released by end of [----]. @EpochAIResearch 's median estimate is [---]. That's a lot of covered models. The commission can adapt these thresholds. Important q is how exactly they should be updated over time. https://t.co/IqRL2SS7XO We estimate there will be 103-306 [----] FLOP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946322490210312471)  2025-07-18T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Of course this means that the threshold should be raised over time as the frontier is scaled up. I imagine something like everything within an order of magnitude of the contemporary frontier is covered would be reasonable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946322925725859972)  2025-07-18T21:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"If you instead want regulation to cover everything above a certain capability level youd need to lower the threshold over time to account for algorithmic efficiency improvements. So theres really no justification for a fixed FLOP threshold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946323214713368893)  2025-07-18T21:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"But imho that only makes sense once we reach models capable of catastrophic harm. (Though even then - hardening of systems with frontier models and other means may allow for the threshold to raise.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946323407135449315)  2025-07-18T21:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Hey @grok scan through all my mutuals and find me a nemesis thanks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946428860691530082)  2025-07-19T04:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Miles_Brundage @gabriel_weil Like insofar as theres a political tug-of-war between AI interests and broader society/the public (which there is to some extent) I think AI becomes a huge deal shifts the equilibrium a fair bit towards public side. Agree the specific rules passed might not help much"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946723815524073605)  2025-07-20T00:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@gabriel_weil @Miles_Brundage Also worth noting both of those are relatively low-salience issues and in a much higher salience issue the public would be expected to get its way more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946724222858096828)  2025-07-20T00:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@gabriel_weil @Miles_Brundage I know but not unemployment jumps to 20% level of salience. Not even inflation in [----] election level of salience"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946725706274144571)  2025-07-20T00:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Apollo was so ahead of the curve here. Finding would-be-concerning scheming in tests of LLMs without strong nudging over a year and a half ago. Large Language Models (LLMs) can be strategically deceptive when put under pressure In our technical report we show for the first time that LLMs trained to be helpful harmless and honest can be misaligned and deceive their users about it without being instructed to do so.🧵 https://t.co/nbLHQ84y9U Large Language Models (LLMs) can be strategically deceptive when put under pressure In our technical report we show for the first time that LLMs trained to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1946816221166641561)  2025-07-20T06:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ESYudkowsky @bryan_johnson This isnt true - industry estimates from CEOs for time until AGI are generally 2-5 years. For ASI add some time to that maybe a year. And if that does lead to human extinction it wont clearly follow ASI immediately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1947042205153062934)  2025-07-20T21:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ESYudkowsky @bryan_johnson Plus many of the CEOs dont expect ASI to follow AGI so quickly (Im not really sure what their model is here tbh). And estimates from others in industry tend to be less aggressive than from the CEOs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1947042531050438996)  2025-07-20T21:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"In this game speed bureaucracy. Miss the moment lose the narrative. Honestly disagree. If GDM beats OpenAI then the narrative will shift once thats public DeepMind got a gold medal at the IMO on Friday afternoon. But they had to wait for marketing to approve the tweet until Monday. @OpenAI shared theirs first at 1am on Saturday and stole the spotlight. In this game speed bureaucracy. Miss the moment lose the narrative. DeepMind got a gold medal at the IMO on Friday afternoon. But they had to wait for marketing to approve the tweet until Monday. @OpenAI shared theirs first at 1am on Saturday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1947132346135982560)  2025-07-21T03:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@CkLorentzen Presumably not to IMO gold level though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1947511020307812653)  2025-07-22T04:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Starting a chat with o3 and downgrading to 4o has real aight just chill brainiac energy Starting a chat with 4o and escalating to o3 has may I speak with your manager energy Starting a chat with 4o and escalating to o3 has may I speak with your manager energy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1947722221209714934)  2025-07-22T18:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Woah Zuckerberg has a $300M estate in Hawaii Thats like 1/3 the cost of an AI researcher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1947878640093389140)  2025-07-23T04:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Really happy to see how this turned out Theres a lot to like in the AI Action Plan and basically nothing that Id consider unreasonable. 🧵 The @WhiteHouse's AI Action Plan is out now on https://t.co/lSiJEWoUU0 https://t.co/bDqCd8lFcC The @WhiteHouse's AI Action Plan is out now on https://t.co/lSiJEWoUU0 https://t.co/bDqCd8lFcC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948159239077208439)  2025-07-23T23:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"A fair bit related to enhancing semiconductor export controls:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948161235083837673)  2025-07-23T23:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"And good things here about some frontier risks to manage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948161742191665306)  2025-07-23T23:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"In addition to the above passages the following quotes also stood out to me: Finally we must prevent our advanced technologies from being misused or stolen by malicious actors as well as monitor for emerging and unforeseen risks from AI. Doing so will require constant vigilance. The Federal government should not allow AI-related Federal funding to be directed toward states with burdensome AI regulations that waste these funds but should also not interfere with states rights to pass prudent laws that are not unduly restrictive to innovation. Led by DOC through NISTs Center for AI Standards and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948162272234447146)  2025-07-23T23:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My biggest disappointment in the plan is that it doesnt mention AGI an intelligence explosion or loss of control risks. I know there are people in the admin who are paying attention to these issues so I was hoping theyd make their way into the plan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948163135564558409)  2025-07-23T23:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AdamThierer [--] bills that *regulate* AI or [--] bills that touch on AI in some manner (eg by commissioning a study on the effects of AI) Theres been a lot of conflation between these two by the anti-regulation crowd but only the former would be relevant for state regs being burdensome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948589618347291115)  2025-07-25T03:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@MasterTimBlais I find cold plunge often works well as a reset"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948654167658045761)  2025-07-25T07:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Okay so there are a couple funny things about this announcement We're excited to have @shengjia_zhao at the helm asChief Scientist of Meta Superintelligence Labs. Big things are coming 🚀 See Mark's post: https://t.co/SL7h4sGfwx https://t.co/DRnpqBe1wD We're excited to have @shengjia_zhao at the helm asChief Scientist of Meta Superintelligence Labs. Big things are coming 🚀 See Mark's post: https://t.co/SL7h4sGfwx https://t.co/DRnpqBe1wD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948841228663226407)  2025-07-25T20:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Does anyone know what Shengjia thinks about AGI loss of control etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1948841625784123407)  2025-07-25T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Looks like from a mental health perspective you want to make sure to do at least 2hr/wk of light exercise (eg jogging) or 1hr/wk of vigorous exercise and theres not much benefit to going beyond that. Even small amounts of exercise are associated with a significant reduction in depression. https://t.co/GgmgdDZasE Even small amounts of exercise are associated with a significant reduction in depression. https://t.co/GgmgdDZasE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1949257855330095353)  2025-07-26T23:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Agree with Garrison here. Its probably the case that if humanity sticks around for millennia were destined to build AGI eventually. But theres no reason humanity is sure to build it as soon as we can and those saying so are trying to create a self-fulling prophecy The biggest irony of this argument is that if it's true why bother making it I think many of the inevitabilists are trying to create a self-fulfilling prophecy. E/accs say acceleration is an inevitable consequence of thermodynamics but they also are terrified of AI regs 🤔 https://t.co/kXyPzv1lO0 The biggest irony of this argument"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1949894201497571544)  2025-07-28T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🤨 @JakeSherman The proposal is wrong morally and policy-wise. If Congress tells members and spouses they cannot trade their own wealth we will be next. @JakeSherman The proposal is wrong morally and policy-wise. If Congress tells members and spouses they cannot trade their own wealth we will be next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1950881700948365544)  2025-07-31T11:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I dont think a ban on congressional stock trading would lead to a ban on stock trading for the general public"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1950881938304098382)  2025-07-31T11:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@SteveStuWill Theres no way in hell that 50% of either gender knows what femtosecond refers to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1951094240999776277)  2025-08-01T01:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Kinda weird that the same people who argue the most mild of AI reporting or transparency requirements will enable China to outcompete the US in AI also argue restrictive GPU export controls will just drive China to invent highly efficient algorithms to compensate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1951424844047999301)  2025-08-01T23:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If you like this tweet consider following - I have many good tweets Incredible. https://t.co/VPyn1pjMG2 Incredible. https://t.co/VPyn1pjMG2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1952096520511074721)  2025-08-03T19:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/local/state/2025/08/04/desantis-artificial-intelligence-policy/85473530007/ https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/local/state/2025/08/04/desantis-artificial-intelligence-policy/85473530007/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1952937571467837478)  2025-08-06T03:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@f Looks exponential here (compare o3 to GPT-5 and note its consistent with the long-term trend) GPT-5 is here. @METR_Evals estimates it has a 50% time horizon around 2h15m (65m - 4h30m 95% CI) compared to OpenAI o3s 1h30. Thats consistent with the doubling time of [--] months theyve previously seen. https://t.co/JsZI7eDPA4 GPT-5 is here. @METR_Evals estimates it has a 50% time horizon around 2h15m (65m - 4h30m 95% CI) compared to OpenAI o3s 1h30. Thats consistent with the doubling time of [--] months theyve previously seen. https://t.co/JsZI7eDPA4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1953780119559876881)  2025-08-08T11:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JOEBOTxyz AGI isnt here yet but the tech is still improving exponentially and were still headed there. Maybe the recent slowdown means we should expect AGI takes an extra year compared to what you might have expected otherwise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1953878004477944318)  2025-08-08T17:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"OpenAI doing *terrible* on this benchmark meanwhile @ESYudkowsky Counterpoint: *this* is the worst graph they could have led with https://t.co/epOLJh1UmR @ESYudkowsky Counterpoint: *this* is the worst graph they could have led with https://t.co/epOLJh1UmR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1953946784910520726)  2025-08-08T22:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GPT-5 didnt live up to OpenAIs hype but it is *exactly* in line with extrapolations from prior AI advancements. Go ahead and discount future statements from OpenAI/Altman but you should still expect the fast AI progress that weve been seeing to continue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954004884191424939)  2025-08-09T02:20Z [----] followers, 31.3K engagements


"@ThePrimeagen Presumably the model itself made the graph"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954064298680234402)  2025-08-09T06:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@______Joel____ @DavidSacks I think the bigger thing is when we get AI agents that can just take on the roles of researchers and engineers at major AI companies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954261136481906805)  2025-08-09T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Kind feel like there were pretty similar steps in improvement for each of: GPT2 - GPT3 GPT3 - GPT4 and GPT4 - GPT5. Its just that most of the GPT4 - GPT5 improvement was already realized by o3 and the step from there to GPT5 wasnt that big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954374755626426836)  2025-08-10T02:50Z [----] followers, 58.1K engagements


"@whereswei "culture shock from oai folks who joined metas superintelligence team" can you say more about the relevant cultural differences here and what the reactions are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954378893986767040)  2025-08-10T03:06Z [----] followers, 13.1K engagements


"@aidan_mclau Seems exactly on-trend given previous releases (Eg o3 was above trend already and from there GPT-5 just continued the larger trend)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954614493667013066)  2025-08-10T18:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@shapes_inc @aidan_mclau The gains from o3 - GPT-5 are exactly in-line with the old trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954615132354736420)  2025-08-10T18:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@cartoon_magoo Unclear - the shift from o3 to GPT-5 was the old trend. Its possible the introduction of reasoning models was a one-time boost and the trend just continued as before after that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954707443323474398)  2025-08-11T00:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Why is GPT-5 now my reply guy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954769529198014738)  2025-08-11T04:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@peterwildeford A few thoughts: its more like 18% for the new proposal since 15%/85% = 18% the smuggled chips (eg H100s) are better than H20s - seems worth also incorporating that in the H20 tax for head to head US should increase enforcement of controls increasing smuggled tax"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954771336234177023)  2025-08-11T05:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@GarrettPetersen The Team Rocket theory of crime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1954980804590977120)  2025-08-11T18:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Interesting article on LLM psychosis Really excellent reporting in this: how ChatGPT fueled a "delusional spiral." What struck me is that the user asked ChatGPT more than [--] times whether it was lying to him. But ChatGPT continued to double down. https://t.co/Rj6pXagY9m Really excellent reporting in this: how ChatGPT fueled a "delusional spiral." What struck me is that the user asked ChatGPT more than [--] times whether it was lying to him. But ChatGPT continued to double down. https://t.co/Rj6pXagY9m"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1956168957536428382)  2025-08-15T01:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Heres a link to the article which follows @Allan_OnTheLines experience with ChatGPT: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/08/technology/ai-chatbots-delusions-chatgpt.html https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/08/technology/ai-chatbots-delusions-chatgpt.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1956169279872921709)  2025-08-15T01:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JamesOzden @sam_atis Cool. How does this work How does the info get tracked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1956288955608936722)  2025-08-15T09:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"This is probably my single biggest complaint about SV culture. I agree building is *usually* good - but thats because most of what people want to build and want to be built is good. But building isnt good in and of itself. And there are *some* things that its bad to build. What is accelerationists' obsession with "building" as some moral good A) "building" can be bad if you're "building" e.g. bioweapons B) sensible people are "building" legislation and alignment plans to try to save everyone from your recklessness What is accelerationists' obsession with "building" as some moral good A)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957149455544889378)  2025-08-17T18:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@inductionheads What about RL-ing the best AI researcher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957165874710020381)  2025-08-17T19:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@8teAPi @ohlennart The Huawei Ascend 910C is 60% of the H100 Yeah but Huawei has limited production capacity. You should look at total performance across chips produced not just individual chip performance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957922478073999589)  2025-08-19T21:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@8teAPi @ohlennart starve the chip beast and make the AI beast dependent on the US This will literally never happen because CCP will just subsidize Huawei to ensure it can progress. Theyre already pushing Chinese firms to buy Huaweis capacity up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957922771918553417)  2025-08-19T21:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Okay so Ive been critical of people who look at this trend thats been going on for [--] years and expect it to randomly end in a year or two but I also dont think you can extrapolate it out decades the task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every [--] months when i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate ai will be able to do tasks that would take someone [----] millennia https://t.co/YTppMYNrX9 the task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every [--] months when i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate ai will be able to do tasks that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957930615267111310)  2025-08-19T22:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Then again this is the original graph for Moores law so 🤷♂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957930747479859293)  2025-08-19T22:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@robinhanson @thatMikeBishop I dont disagree with people paying for info they want just noting the dynamic. (FWIW I do think sports betting should be restricted but I dont think political betting should as well)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957956612444025201)  2025-08-20T00:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"When I was younger I was pretty into the idea of a UBI. Im currently much more against it. Honestly one of my bigger updates in terms of policies I support. The "cash can replace" a strong social safety net people taking a real L this morning. https://t.co/ooOdDedaw2 The "cash can replace" a strong social safety net people taking a real L this morning. https://t.co/ooOdDedaw2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1957974761876713804)  2025-08-20T01:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Good piece from Dean Ball about whats been happening with state AI policy. I particularly recommend reading the section on bills relevant to Frontier AI Safety. https://t.co/pk28dp1BeP https://t.co/pk28dp1BeP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1958667987621486663)  2025-08-21T23:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I agree with @deanwball that its good US states are now advancing targeted AI policies instead of comprehensive regulation (ie theyre backing away from the European approach). I also agree that most current efforts to regulate AI in mental health are misguided"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1958669398706987190)  2025-08-21T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The problem is Altman chose to use GPT-5 for a product that 1) wasnt a huge step up over previous releases (eg o3) & 2) didnt have the sort of compute scale up of previous GPT generations (100x). Presumably this was done to hype the product. But reality caught up. OPENAI CEO SAM ALTMAN CONCEDES GPT-5 WAS A MISFIRE BETS ON GPT-6 OPENAI CEO SAM ALTMAN CONCEDES GPT-5 WAS A MISFIRE BETS ON GPT-6"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1958765780104859907)  2025-08-22T05:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"My sense is theres generally a power law between inputs and outputs to technological progress. In this context that manifests as exponential increases in inputs over time yields smooth exponential increase in time horizons over time (ie straight line on semi-log plot) 🧵 half a year on i'm still astonished at how tight METR's time horizon trend is. begs the question: what process is driving the trend very loosely i have a two-part model in my head. https://t.co/rbe00cTnUG half a year on i'm still astonished at how tight METR's time horizon trend is. begs the question: what process is driving"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1959336441563210227)  2025-08-23T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Why should there be a power law We actually see this sort of dynamic come up all the time in technological progress - from experience curve effects (think declining PV prices) to GDP growth to efficiency improvements in various AI domains over time to AI scaling laws"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1959337751058530723)  2025-08-23T19:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@rev_cap @ESYudkowsky Why assume its not invested though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1959716876289982624)  2025-08-24T20:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@tszzl Did he know you work at OpenAI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1959787441898090847)  2025-08-25T01:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Gotta wonder at what point Jensen decides that producing China-specific downgraded chips just isnt worth the uncertainty given he could always just produce more regular chips and sell them to US customers. Doesnt apply to already existing H20s but for new production"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1959910354521395415)  2025-08-25T09:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Correct - this just captures wealth for shareholders and it completely ignores consumer surplus and employee surplus. The true value is likely substantially higher. Amazon obviously didnt create 2.1T of value the whole field of economics research is nonsense Amazon obviously didnt create 2.1T of value the whole field of economics research is nonsense"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1960562063161614772)  2025-08-27T04:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@MatthewJBar Is this tweet in reference to the recent reporting that ChatGPT advised a [--] year old on how to commit suicide"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1960568387802935560)  2025-08-27T05:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Okay so. all in all this whole ordeal was probably great for them from a marketing perspective right Tons of press and now consumers can "reward" them for returning to the status quo We thank our guests for sharing your voices and love for Cracker Barrel. We said we would listen and we have. Our new logo is going away and our Old Timer will remain. At Cracker Barrel its always been and always will be about serving up delicious food warm https://t.co/C32QMLOeq0 We thank our guests for sharing your voices and love for Cracker Barrel. We said we would listen and we have. Our new logo is going"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1960594728711545214)  2025-08-27T06:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I mean they can't exactly repeat it but as a one-off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1960594960388120983)  2025-08-27T06:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I feel like superforecasters are underperforming in AI (in this case even compared to domain experts) because two reference classes are clashing: steady exponential increase in AI nothing ever happens. And for some reason superforecasters are reaching for the second. In [----] superforecasters gave only a 2.3% chance of an AI system achieving an IMO gold by [----]. Yet this wound up happening. AI progress keeps being underestimated by superforecasters In [----] superforecasters gave only a 2.3% chance of an AI system achieving an IMO gold by [----]. Yet this wound up happening. AI progress keeps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1963022828292436268)  2025-09-02T23:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Just once I want a movie about people fleeing Earth to have the premise there are trillions of people and we have a per capita energy consumption of [------] kWh/yr which is straining Earths ability to radiate the waste heat. We must now go to space to expand capacity every single movie about people fleeing Earth involves displaying a mastery of technology which would obviously be more than sufficient to solve the problem they are fleeing Earth about every single movie about people fleeing Earth involves displaying a mastery of technology which would obviously be more than sufficient to solve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1963072770411266391)  2025-09-03T02:53Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements


"The British urge to standardize things The UK Government has specific definitions of probabilistic words: ht @foudy_joseph https://t.co/GIum8sKDVX The UK Government has specific definitions of probabilistic words: ht @foudy_joseph https://t.co/GIum8sKDVX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1966703198288425045)  2025-09-13T03:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"My understanding is politicians are advised that crypto is the single most important industry to avoid pissing off. The AI industry is now entering the same tier of influence. From what Im hearing politicians around the country are already asking consultants how to be pro-AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1968065771185307824)  2025-09-16T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Notably the main recently announced pro-AI super PAC (Leading the Future) is gearing up to take a similar approach to Fairshake. In addition to the overarching strategy Leading the Future will have some of the same key funders (eg a16z) as well as staff & advisors as Fairshake"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1968065921492324408)  2025-09-16T21:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Plinz lol they have absolutely not been spending $100M on *electioneering*. Money spent on lobbying in the sense of education is a very different beast with different dynamics than money spent on shifting electoral incentives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1968102007488778590)  2025-09-16T23:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@GarrettPetersen I do think it would be a really interesting research project to train an LLM with data where all the AI takeover scifi tropes had been scrubbed and see if that leads to different outcomes here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1968483468175884631)  2025-09-18T01:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Jan Leike gets whats happening here. Ive been happy to see a number of prominent AI researchers call out this behavior from major figures in their industry. Hopefully more will start paying attention to whats going on and find the courage to voice their concerns Bad news for AI safety: To fight against AI regulation VC firm Andreessen Horowitz AI billionaire Greg Brockman and others recently started a $100 million super PAC one of the largest operating PACs in the US. Bad news for AI safety: To fight against AI regulation VC firm Andreessen Horowitz AI billionaire Greg Brockman and others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1969134967427874896)  2025-09-19T20:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@primalpoly The point isnt what I think politicians SHOULD do but instead what I think they WILL do. I actually agree that the seriousness of the issue will make *some* politicians willing to stand up to the industry (vs no one is comparably worried about crypto) but even so And even if a handful of politicians are willing to support AI policy & risk industry spending against them having just a few champions for AI policy wont allow for passing legislation as long as the clear majority in Congress will vote against it. And even if a handful of politicians are willing to support AI policy &"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1969191542750425305)  2025-09-20T00:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why does every kitchen appliance have to beep in the most annoyingly aggressive manner I get it for things like gas leaks but I really dont need to be alarmed by the fact that my broccoli has finished steaming in the microwave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1969617622619865499)  2025-09-21T04:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Really cool that this list is so even politically - [--] Rs & [--] Ds A lot of people have been worried that when electeds started engaging on AGI/loss of control the issue would polarize politically - but seems like so far if anything theyre a force pushing against polarization So far [--] members of Congress have publicly discussed AGI superintelligence AI loss of control or the Singularity: 🔴Sen Lummis (WY) 🔵Sen Blumenthal (CT) 🔴Rep Biggs (AZ) 🔵Sen Hickenlooper (CO) 🔴Rep Burleson (MO) 🔵Sen Murphy (CT) 🔴Rep Crane (AZ) 🔵Sen Sanders (VT) 🔴Rep So far [--] members of Congress have publicly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1970183691038265498)  2025-09-22T17:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I mean no obviously you dont. Maybe you learn more about life in a 20-minute conversation with someone from Italy than in 20-minutes in the U.S. But the ratio isnt 350000:1 Sabrina Carpenter on her love of travel and new perspectives: You learn more about life in a 20-minute conversation with someone from Italy than in [--] years in the U.S. 🔗: https://t.co/USGpyBu5XE https://t.co/7VTg23hzEd Sabrina Carpenter on her love of travel and new perspectives: You learn more about life in a 20-minute conversation with someone from Italy than in [--] years in the U.S. 🔗: https://t.co/USGpyBu5XE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1971081547198644636)  2025-09-25T05:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The most powerful health and longevity therapies available to you are no alcohol finishing eating [--] hrs before bed screens off [--] min before sleep 7+ hours of sleep morning light avoiding junk food eating from the Don't Die food guide and exercising every day. I feel like this is a really weird list Like Id replace no alcohol with limited alcohol and no tobacco or hard drugs then put eat healthy and exercise above all the sleep stuff and just have that one be 7+ hours of sleep instead of getting too much into idiosyncratic techniques for achieving that. hey rich people you shouldn't be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1973519200535908448)  2025-10-01T22:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"CA labor unions: There is no amount of money that OpenAI can give to hide the threat that their products pose to society. We urge OpenAI to stand down from advocating against AI regulations at the state and federal level and to divest from any PACs funded to stop AI regulation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1974200959418184032)  2025-10-03T19:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"https://calaborfed.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Letter-to-OpenAI-re-Listening-Session-10-2-2025_v3.pdf https://calaborfed.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Letter-to-OpenAI-re-Listening-Session-10-2-2025_v3.pdf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1974201048819695882)  2025-10-03T19:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Oh wow the press actually covered AI successionists Yes there are some people in Silicon Valley (incl serious people) who think AGI that caused human extinction would be a *good* thing since its the next step in evolution. Governments and experts are worried that a superintelligent AI could destroy humanity. For some in Silicon Valley that wouldnt be a bad thing writes David A. Price. https://t.co/VhQ8GSm1rl Governments and experts are worried that a superintelligent AI could destroy humanity. For some in Silicon Valley that wouldnt be a bad thing writes David A. Price. https://t.co/VhQ8GSm1rl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1974552836894830980)  2025-10-04T19:10Z [----] followers, 19.9K engagements


"This behavior from OpenAI seems quite bad. Whether or not this was the intention the effect of these kinds of actions is its just lawfare One Tuesday night as my wife and I sat down for dinner a sheriffs deputy knocked on the door to serve me a subpoena from OpenAI. I held back on talking about it because I didn't want to distract from SB [--] but Newsom just signed the bill so. here's what happened: 🧵 https://t.co/VnYCJYg2DH One Tuesday night as my wife and I sat down for dinner a sheriffs deputy knocked on the door to serve me a subpoena from OpenAI. I held back on talking about it because I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1976744581850185817)  2025-10-10T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Ngl datacenter is an absolutely terrible name for them An underrated reason why a lot of people dislike data centers so much is that (based on conversations + interviews I've seen) a lot of people seem to think they just exist to compile and store customer data to sell to companies. The "data" in the name's confusing. An underrated reason why a lot of people dislike data centers so much is that (based on conversations + interviews I've seen) a lot of people seem to think they just exist to compile and store customer data to sell to companies. The "data" in the name's confusing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1977847734184100017)  2025-10-13T21:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Yeah he reposted with the ribbon for the hostages so looks like thats what it was about truly the greatest day ever🎗 truly the greatest day ever🎗"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1977972759260021239)  2025-10-14T05:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheZvi @ShakeelHashim The more important thing is probably not money spent directly on lobbying here but announced super PAC spending that a16z et al are planning plus a16z making it clear they dont like this bill and the fact that Newsom has presidential ambitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1978201685492158732)  2025-10-14T20:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Gotta say AI investment is much larger than revenue and frontier AI isn't profitable when you count investment" is one of the dumbest critiques. Obviously investment should outpace revenue in a hypergrowth industry The alternative is irrational investing behavior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/1978274006680674663)  2025-10-15T01:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Finally Congress does something right #science #spending https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-03700-9 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-03700-9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/daniel_271828/status/976908245733396481)  2018-03-22T19:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

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