#  @cole_barcia ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฆ ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฆ posts on X about $roku, $ttd, $pubm, $tmdx the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::881508272024555520/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] +1,796% - [--] Month [-----] +1,471% - [--] Months [------] -9.20% - [--] Year [------] -43% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::881508272024555520/posts_active)  - [--] Month [--] -86% - [--] Months [--] -26% - [--] Year [--] -26% ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::881508272024555520/followers)  - [--] Week [---] +2.10% - [--] Month [---] +1.50% - [--] Months [---] +4.30% - [--] Year [---] +33% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::881508272024555520/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [stocks](/list/stocks) [finance](/list/finance) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [countries](/list/countries) [currencies](/list/currencies) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) **Social topic influence** [$roku](/topic/$roku) #34, [$ttd](/topic/$ttd) #41, [$pubm](/topic/$pubm), [$tmdx](/topic/$tmdx), [investment](/topic/investment), [$googl](/topic/$googl), [cash flow](/topic/cash-flow), [$amzn](/topic/$amzn), [$xyz](/topic/$xyz), [$spot](/topic/$spot) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@logicalthesis](/creator/undefined) [@ccmbrett](/creator/undefined) [@tmfjaguar](/creator/undefined) [@jrogrow](/creator/undefined) [@rahulsetty](/creator/undefined) [@travishoium](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@ccmryan](/creator/undefined) [@lukewolgram](/creator/undefined) [@billfour](/creator/undefined) [@plantmath1](/creator/undefined) [@bethkindig](/creator/undefined) [@fatbabyfunds](/creator/undefined) [@stockmarketnerd](/creator/undefined) [@lastevens](/creator/undefined) [@pedrolamento](/creator/undefined) [@hiddensmallcaps](/creator/undefined) [@nachunja](/creator/undefined) [@scorpionfund](/creator/undefined) [@foolsgd](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Roku, Inc. (ROKU)](/topic/$roku) [Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD)](/topic/$ttd) [PubMatic, Inc. (PUBM)](/topic/$pubm) [TransMedics Group, Inc. Common Stock (TMDX)](/topic/$tmdx) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Block, Inc. (XYZ)](/topic/$xyz) [Spotify Technology (SPOT)](/topic/$spot) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Celsius (CEL)](/topic/celsius) [Cloudflare, Inc. (NET)](/topic/cloudflare) [Snowflake Inc. (SNOW)](/topic/$snow) [Crocs, Inc. (CROX)](/topic/$crox) [Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (CELH)](/topic/$celh) [Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)](/topic/$sbux) [GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY (GHC)](/topic/$ghc) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Match Group Inc (MTCH)](/topic/$mtch) [Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH)](/topic/$enph) [RAI Finance (SOFI)](/topic/$sofi) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/$wmt) [DisChain (DIS)](/topic/$dis) [Maplebear Inc. (CART)](/topic/$cart) [Magnite, Inc. Common Stock (MGNI)](/topic/$mgni) [MongoDB, Inc. (MDB)](/topic/$mdb) [Alien Base (ALB)](/topic/$alb) [Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX)](/topic/$lpx) [Coupang, Inc. (CPNG)](/topic/$cpng) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [AppLovin Corporation (APP)](/topic/$app) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/uber) [RAMP (RAMP)](/topic/$ramp) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [Marqeta, Inc. (MQ)](/topic/$mq) [Flex Ltd. Ordinary Shares (FLEX)](/topic/$flex) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Pubmatic Q2 Results: -Q2'21 revenue :: $49.7million +88% YoY :: Net income $9.9M -CTV/OTT Q2'21 revenues grew by 108% year-over-year -Q2 [----] YoY comp was weak for ๐marketing spend across ad-tech Keep ๐ on this one. $PUBM Earnings presentation: https://investors.pubmatic.com/static-files/13064862-087c-4412-969c-333eb45305cb https://investors.pubmatic.com/static-files/13064862-087c-4412-969c-333eb45305cb" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1425639687507615747) 2021-08-12T02:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "PubMatic ( $PUBM ) case study from app based games company Veraxen: Great to see the various forms of OTT success in addition to the more prominent CTV opportunity. https://pubmatic.com/case-studies/pubmatic-drives-revenue-growth-for-veraxen/ https://pubmatic.com/case-studies/pubmatic-drives-revenue-growth-for-veraxen/" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1627832368827432965) 2023-02-21T00:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Interesting visuals covering the European Programmatic Advertising Ecosystem - shared by Publica on LinkedIn: $ADBE $TTD $RAMP $ROKU $PUBM $MGNI" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1627833660744339456) 2023-02-21T00:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Portfolio Holdings 2% allocation*: 28% PubMatic : $PUBM 15% Alphabet : $GOOGL 10% Cloudflare : $NET 9% Roku : $ROKU 8% The Trade Desk : $TTD 4% Match Group : $MTCH 4% Marqeta : $MQ 3% MongoDB : $MDB 3% Enphase : $ENPH 3% SoFi : $SOFI 2% Snowflake : $SNOW *Rounded to nearest %" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1644421974842568711) 2023-04-07T19:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@TMFJaguar To me iRobot shines as an alternative to cash. Up to 50% upside and maybe 25% downside over the short term. $IRBT was structurally profitable prior to [----]. Hard to go bankrupt w no net debt & a profitable business model. $AMZN owes $94M break up fee if ๐ฉ hits the Roomba" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1668967083974045699) 2023-06-14T13:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$FLEX $ENPH" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1678177277970903043) 2023-07-09T23:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ALB Albemarle: As a secular bet on lithium-ion battery demand we could do worse than the industry leader in lithium & lithium derivatives at a single digit Market Cap/Operating Income ratio. Great coverage from @nrossolillo over at Chip Stock Investing" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1687516682590310402) 2023-08-04T17:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TMFJaguar Long $SNOW Wouldn't touch $NVDA with a ten foot pole. Maybe I just don't get the fundamental drivers of this business but I struggled to justify the valuation at $750 Billion. ๐ฟ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1694107855190626375) 2023-08-22T22:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ProShopGuyMF1 @JRogrow In the meantime you can create & pin "lists" to your default feed. I use this to quickly catch up on the latest news - filtering out the 'Signal' from the noise. ๐ญ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1697016351141789854) 2023-08-30T22:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@tclaugus2 Could be closer to $160 - $200mm based on recent earnings (minus discontinued operations) Am I missing something/are these earnings not sustainable" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1701395688162992345) 2023-09-12T00:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "๐ Metrics that Matter ๐ Key Indicators ๐ Signals of Success Wonderful threads uncovering the KPIs powering profitable companies - courtesy of @TMFJaguar & @TravisHoium Would love to see an Alphabet $GOOGL thread next I hear it's magnificent-er @SmatteringShow" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1701729530937819160) 2023-09-12T22:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JRogrow $LPX has a solid track record over the past few years. $PUBM + $MTCH have executed on buyback authorizations growing core businesses & generate normalized FCF yield 5%. Agree with @MattFrankelCFP on $PYPL - company can retire mid single digit % of shares outstanding annually" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1703973658417308002) 2023-09-19T03:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$SPOT I love this business. User growth is amazing. +27% YoY (550M) But valuation is detached from today's financials (0% ad-supported gross margin) At $28B Enterprise Value when does $SPOT reach 1.4B in annual free cash flow (5% FCF/EV yield) [--] Years [--] Years Wen FCF" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1707857657208459664) 2023-09-29T20:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CCM_Brett @CCM_Ryan Diving back into this episode in the mean time - Thank you for sharing your detailed thoughts on the CCM podcast love the show" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1707862483220767007) 2023-09-29T20:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Made it through the materials & appreciate the great work The answers I land on (revised down GM): "Will we get $1.4B in FCF in FY'26" Maybe "Will we get $1.4B in FCF run rate by end of FY'26" Yes "What could return over [--] years be" 15-25% CAGR" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1707878282937409601) 2023-09-29T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Napkin math assumptions by 2030: Premium GM: low 30s Ad supported GM: mid to high 30s Premium revenue growth: 10-13% Ad supported Rev growth: 25% Shares: flat (hopefully down) Operating expenses: $5.0-6.0B Premium GP: $6.5-9B Ads GP: $2.5-4.0B FCF: $3-7B Exit FCF Yield: 5%" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1707886626863497678) 2023-09-29T22:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I guess that's 11-26% CAGR. Apologies for the rough math and wide ranges. My 'model' is currently powered by the calculator app on my phone. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1707890530846154810) 2023-09-29T22:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Audiobooks are coming to Spotify ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1709315058029732229) 2023-10-03T21:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "*For free (up to [--] hours per month - as a part of Spotify Premium. Released in the UK & Australia - coming to the US this winter" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1709315364104847389) 2023-10-03T21:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Beth_Kindig Snowflake $SNOW: 42.7%" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1710126133935542353) 2023-10-06T02:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@LogicalThesis @fatbabyfunds Interesting discussion. Just a note Alphabet is at 17x TTM EV/FCF currently. FCF is on the rise and seems to have sustainable growth engines. ๐ I don't mind being a HODL'r at these valuations. That being said DYODD and wishing y'all a wonderful weekend" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1710446510544990545) 2023-10-07T00:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@fatbabyfunds @LogicalThesis It's worth considering. Stripping out SBC: Alphabet is 21.1x Apple is 27.4x Microsoft is 30.5x Amazon is 35.8x Note: Amazon is growing FCF at the fastest clip Apple at the slowest" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1710457040525496766) 2023-10-07T00:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Energy storage investment on deck for the next decade Lithium Ion Zinc flow batteries & which other battery chemistry will help fill this critical need $TSLA $ALB $EOSE" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1710722278109904929) 2023-10-07T18:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In the US - Retail Media Digital Ad Spend is expected to have the highest growth rate as compared to other larger digital ad categories such as CTV. eMarketer expects this rapidly expanding ad category to diversify beyond the walls of the Amazon platform. $AMZN $WMT $EBAY $ETSY" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1711873687954104655) 2023-10-10T22:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Todd Combs' on longevity: Novak Djokovic interview after winning his 24th Grand Slam "He really just loves hitting a tennis ball. Like he just doesn't want to stop the fundamental act of hitting a fuzzy yellow ball because it brings him too much joy"" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1712648903269482847) 2023-10-13T01:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In Q2 PubMatic repurchased $27.5M of shares at $15.28/share. Q3 Earnings in [--] weeks: - Market Cap of $625M ($12.08/sh) - Remaining authorization = $47.5M - Cash on balance sheet = $105M - Cash From Operations (estimate) generated in Q3 = $15M Q3 Buybacks for $PUBM will be _๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1716946119949963692) 2023-10-24T22:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Once the repurchase authorization has been exercised PubMatic's shares outstanding will be LOWER than when the company IPO'd in Dec [----] Operating Cash Flow is UP 200% from FY [----] while share price is DOWN 40%. An amazing time to research individual public companies.๐ค $PUBM" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1716966559682314367) 2023-10-24T23:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "- Channel normalization expected starting in 2Q'24 & to be back at normal levels by second half of [----]. Long term demand is viewed by leadership as a function of payback period (energy prices from utilities government incentives & cost of system). (4/n)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1717671958043648028) 2023-10-26T22:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "- Energy grid pricing is trending up specific call outs include California & Europe which is an overall tailwind due to the payback equation mentioned above. Appreciative for the lively discussion leading into earnings - DCA incoming for me ๐ฃ (5/n)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1717671959780118675) 2023-10-26T22:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Enphase Energy's 'Comprehensive solution maximizes customer ROI under net billing tariff (NEM 3.0)' White Paper - with payback calcs: They assume cash buyers model each scenario over a [--] year period & include a battery replacement in year 15.๐ค $ENPH" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1718031375188553964) 2023-10-27T22:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Fool School is in session Wonderful episode by @RicksSoSlick & McCombs School of Business's Patrick Badolato. Love the point of tracking multiple financial metrics to get a full picture of a company. For me it's free cash flow AND cash from operations" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1721376517513454073) 2023-11-06T03:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$IRBT 60% M&A spread with a [--] month catalyst window. A-peeling enough for you yet ๐ To me this seems like a pretty benign deal that wouldn't harm consumers. ๐ญ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1721714208994181468) 2023-11-07T02:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Ugly earnings report - Silver lining is that iRobot still sits with enough cash to sustain operations for at least one more year. Spread now above 70%. Market:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1722409502983520430) 2023-11-09T00:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Simonkhalaf Does Marqeta have channel partners to help w/ customer acquisition If not which channels would sustainably drive customer adoption (i.e. would developers be most receptive to adopt embedded finance solutions if they were integrated into hyperscaler marketplaces/sales channels)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1727490357858861525) 2023-11-23T00:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$IRBT Why did iRobot shares jump 30+% today TL;DR EU antitrust committee grants approval without conditions for the proposed Amazon acquisition:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1728136747194937549) 2023-11-24T19:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PUBM Developed a hybrid (reverse) discounted cash flow model. Happy new year y'all ๐ I rewrote and condensed my investment thesis on PubMatic Inc $PUBM and am sharing prior to earnings this week. Link provided in the comment below. Feedback welcome & encouraged I rewrote and condensed my investment thesis on PubMatic Inc $PUBM and am sharing prior to earnings this week. Link provided in the comment below. Feedback welcome & encouraged" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1741289827482443903) 2023-12-31T02:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JRogrow Anthony Noto has been fairly strategic increasing his ownership of SoFi: I suspect his past experiences as an analyst at Lehman (dot com era) & in equity research at Goldman Sachs (dot com - banking crisis) may enhance his purchasing process ๐จ Insider Buying Update: Pulled $SOFI CEO Anthony Notos direct buys back to 3/4/22 to see the performance. His last buy was 22.5K shares at $6.50 on 11/21.๐ฅ๐ฐ As of todays close Noto has a +$13.7M gain or +101.8% ROI beating a cost basis weight adj. S&P [---] by [----] bps https://t.co/UAZhZ4BtQk ๐จ Insider Buying Update: Pulled $SOFI CEO Anthony" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1741879167740674210) 2024-01-01T17:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@LogicalThesis @LukeWolgram They also have such brand/character (IP) affinity that they can licence to theme parks. TBD on the success of movies. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1745680385864856020) 2024-01-12T05:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$GOOGL Reducing the friction to develop ad copy while simultaneously improving its efficacy - on the largest ad platform in the world. "The previously announced experience for is the first integration of Gemini AI in Google Ads."" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1751254134651531278) 2024-01-27T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TravisHoium Operating Income was +$70M after one time layoff charges. Expected to be $160M next quarter. I would say a lot more than current Market Cap but do think that milestone is *at least* a few years away. ๐ญ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1755016909462835342) 2024-02-06T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@LogicalThesis Alphabet and NVIDIA are close in market cap & nearly equivalent in enterprise value. Alphabet will generate $110B in OCF NTM. We may already be a few years ahead at this valuation When do we think $NVDA reaches this milestone" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1755453902575612376) 2024-02-08T04:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LogicalThesis Assuming the 30x multiple is always appropriate (long runway of consistent cash flow growth) it looks to forecast a flat share price for [--] years. Great company tough valuation" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1755455726321868964) 2024-02-08T04:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "These intrinsic valuations closely align with my own perception of fair value for the Magnificent [--] companies. I do expect a higher IRR on Alphabet. Sure it's confirmation bias but that bias feels especially nice given the wide experience gap between us in valuing companies Intrinsic valuations require assumptions that will be always wrong in hindsight and your best estimates for the future. That said they represent a tool that I use to convert my perceptions of a company into value. https://t.co/iqd3GqHy5o https://t.co/cNVnVPS8c9 Intrinsic valuations require assumptions that will be always" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1755943661408326040) 2024-02-09T13:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Started a DCA into Spotify this past month currently less than 1/3 position. Been dragging my feet having anchored on '22 valuation. Feels like I'm overpaying but elite business quality + unique opportunity. I sold near the low raising cash in [----] - An expensive mistake.๐ค ๐NEW EPISODE๐ @CCM_Brett of @chitchatstocks talks Spotify Why investors like $SPOT so much How does their music biz keep growing Why they got into podcasts; how The Ringer fit Implications of Rogan's new deal Prediction of Bill's next move https://t.co/VdCZn8L85w ๐NEW EPISODE๐ @CCM_Brett of @chitchatstocks talks" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756138701527150609) 2024-02-10T02:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "For those interested this was a phenomenal episode covering the opportunity ahead for Spotify:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756142341348319675) 2024-02-10T02:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Here's my valuation math only a few months prior: I stated that I wanted to pay 50% of current valuation. What changed Since then my FCF expectations for Spotify have risen & my base case now estimates a 10% IRR. When the facts change what do you do $SPOT I love this business. User growth is amazing. +27% YoY (550M) But valuation is detached from today's financials (0% ad-supported gross margin) At $28B Enterprise Value when does $SPOT reach 1.4B in annual free cash flow (5% FCF/EV yield) [--] Years [--] Years Wen FCF https://t.co/PE1v1QR1K5 $SPOT I love this business. User growth is amazing. +27%" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756319038282641656) 2024-02-10T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Portfolio update: Top [--] by weighting - rounded to nearest %: PubMatic $PUBM - 29% Alphabet $GOOGL - 14% Roku $ROKU - 9% Match Group $MTCH - 8% Staar Surgical $STAA - 5% Cloudflare $NET - 4% Crocs $CROX- 4% TransMedics $TMDX - 4% SoFi $SOFI- 4% Tesla $TSLA - 4% What's missing" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756348799671271579) 2024-02-10T16:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@RahulSetty_ Probably too much concentration. Ads for content is the quid pro quo of the internet - Only becomes more true over time. ๐ค e-commerce exposure could be a smart way to diversify into another tailwind. Maybe one of the following juggernauts: $AMZN $SHOP $MELI $CPNG $WMT" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756371480646984109) 2024-02-10T17:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@RahulSetty_ Semis have a great durable tailwind. Highly cyclical - there will be more chances For me the infrastructure level in software is interesting ( $NET $MDB hyperscaler clouds). I agree valuations are getting expensive for my favorite companies. What companies are you watching" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756380825732407462) 2024-02-10T18:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@themotleyfool If Zoom is involved in an acquisition I suspect they would be the acquirers. And the target of the acquisition would be Twilio. They could largely finance the deal with cash on their balance sheet with minimal dilution for such a large acquisition. Eric continues to lead Zoom" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1756766675834139055) 2024-02-11T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Walmart entering the TV market will be a long forgotten headline in the not-too-distant future. $ROKU accomplished its 1st milestone of profitability (excl. restructuring + SBC). This operating leverage story will accelerate as AVOD services hit the mainstream. $NFLX $AMZN $DIS Investors have been worrying about $ROKU and disintermediation from big tech players and cable incumbents since the company went public in September [----]. 63.3M active accounts later. https://t.co/Fd3sw65Dsd Investors have been worrying about $ROKU and disintermediation from big tech players and cable incumbents since" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1758589711247970307) 2024-02-16T20:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "#BerkshireLetter2023" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1761517172617097427) 2024-02-24T22:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If capital becomes scarce and Berkshire could negotiate a set of attractive terms the US energy infrastructure build out could have a long runway as the next capital intensive infrastructure project. Berkshire has the balance sheet & time horizon to pursue such an opportunity" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1761522864178495967) 2024-02-24T22:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PUBM: Quarterly Impressions Processed (Since IPO)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1762249624805322782) 2024-02-26T22:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PUBM: Cost of Revenue per Impression Processed (Since 2018)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1762250424986313210) 2024-02-26T22:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Full Year [----] Highlights: - Generated $81.1 million in cash from operations in [----] - Generated $52.8 million in free cash flow in [----] a 38% increase YoY - An additional $100M buyback authorization approved - [----] Revenue growth forecast of 10-12% w/ EBITDA margin of 30%" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1762261711560507580) 2024-02-26T23:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "- SPO partners who have worked with us for three years or more had an average net spend retention rate of 120% in [----] - Emerging revenue streams which expand beyond ad monetization services contributed three percentage points of YoY revenue growth in the fourth quarter 2023."" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1762261904070787375) 2024-02-26T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$SNOW: Ramaswamy followed a similar path to becoming the CEO of a major data platform (Snowflake) compared to that of Ittycheria (MongoDB). - Partner at Greylock โ - Co-Founder of a data company โ - Extensive history @ Google To me Sridhar has a more impressive background" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1765502724357918995) 2024-03-06T22:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Tim_X94 @Francis29413576 @7investing I hear your concern regarding the title & I appreciate your intent. While it's not my work I am grateful for the time @7investing invests to develop these models. They're good people and have really enhanced my understanding of the industry. Looking forward to Neutron's debut๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1772566693220368773) 2024-03-26T10:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ROKU: The most important thing See the article in the comments to find out 'what's the deal' with Roku's Cost of Revenue ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1782528408611676655) 2024-04-22T21:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@CCM_Brett $ROKU" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1790114656301855113) 2024-05-13T20:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements ""Amy Reinhard Netflixs President of Advertising walked advertisers through the continued growth and momentum of Netflixs ad-supported plan which now has [--] million global monthly active users up from [--] million a year ago." $NFLX $TTD $MGNI $PUBM" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1792737093929562494) 2024-05-21T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "An investment in $ROKU or $PUBM outperforms $NVDA over the next decade. And imo it's not close at current valuations. Thoughts" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1794051899538158054) 2024-05-24T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Might need to tone down my assumptions supporting these 10-year DCFs. Oh well.๐คท*post* $PUBM $ROKU $MTCH $MELI" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1798846092257489322) 2024-06-06T22:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@StockMarketNerd Below is a draft DCF for Celsius Holdings: Lmk what assumptions should be refined & your thoughts on this Monster adjacent company Kudos on going paid - I've seen the consistent work you've put in since [----] Disclosure: Established a starter in CELH https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1581409709&single=true https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1581409709&single=true" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801686048650498501) 2024-06-14T18:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$CELH: An investment in Celsius Holdings looks attractive today with an IRR 14% over [--] yrs. An initial model can be found in the comments What assumptions should be refined Lmk your thoughts on the company that is briskly propelling down the path paved by Monster Beverage" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801697498362175552) 2024-06-14T19:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Disclosure: Starter position established in $CELH this week ๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801699318174245215) 2024-06-14T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Additional assumptions๐: - Revenue growth penciled in at 17.5% CAGR - Free Cash Flow growth is 24% CAGR - Operating Expense & Cost of Revenue growth is 15% CAGR - Discount rate of 10% - Terminal growth of 4% - 2.5% share buyback per year shares outstanding down 22% over [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801700157093789935) 2024-06-14T19:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JonahLupton Interested in hearing your thoughts on the model as you recently exited your position & have followed the company for a number of years. Kudos on your successful investment in Celsius Holdings ๐ช" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801700996969553983) 2024-06-14T19:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LA_stevens_ The buybacks would fuel better returns. If they don't buyback then the thought is they are getting better returns through sales & marketing. It's more of a placeholder assuming growth has an upper limit. I agree with you that buybacks at unattractive multiples destroys capital" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801800883161673883) 2024-06-15T02:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@LA_stevens_ Caffeine ( $SBUX $MNST $CELH) seems much closer to investable than popular quick service restaurants ( $CMG $CAVA $SG) from a valuation lens. Have always wanted to own the latter but find myself more attracted to the former lately. โ Interested to learn what you discover" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1802071054334259443) 2024-06-15T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A core tenant of Miller Value Partners' investment process is incentive alignment. PubMatic's leadership team is tightly aligned with shareholders given the 25% ownership held by the C Suite. Regarding capital allocation shares outstanding will soon submerge below IPO levels: Great thread.we focus on partnering with aligned owners/managers allocating capital accordingly @millervalue $PUBM $CPNG $CNC $MSTR $CTO $CART $CROX Great thread.we focus on partnering with aligned owners/managers allocating capital accordingly @millervalue $PUBM $CPNG $CNC $MSTR $CTO $CART $CROX" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1803159329165447378) 2024-06-18T20:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@billfour The companies improving KPIs paired with stellar allocators at the helm make me believe PubMatic is poised to remain a cash flow machine in the years ahead: https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/pubmatic-investment-thesis-revised https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/pubmatic-investment-thesis-revised" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1803171577795600810) 2024-06-18T21:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@billfour PubMatic Model (with KPIs): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1772676905&single=true https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1772676905&single=true" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1803174999307571327) 2024-06-18T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@billfour KPIs (since IPO):" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1803180813963460717) 2024-06-18T21:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ROKU The most important thing:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1803991638101852176) 2024-06-21T03:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Full $ROKU investment thesis (with model): https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/roku-financial-model https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/roku-financial-model" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1803992215531803132) 2024-06-21T03:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Companies with a shrinking intrinsic value and companies with slow growth are galaxies apart. ๐ญ We MUST get @JRogrow on the interviewee end of the podcast mic more often @bogumil_nyc does a great job of staying present in the discussion & comes prepared with ๐ฅ questions: John Rotonti gave an Ultimate Stockpicking Master Class on Talking Billions this week and here is one of many golden nuggets. Please find the full episode on YouTube Spotify or Apple Podcast. Agree or disagree -- but this conversation will definitely make you think ๐คThank https://t.co/7N2SX166pt John Rotonti gave an" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1804684319312449652) 2024-06-23T01:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Spotify Link ๐: https://open.spotify.com/episode/2AxrvXsGICEF5qs6DVkSk2si=GhrhbR2KStymWLDlYg3Kvw https://open.spotify.com/episode/2AxrvXsGICEF5qs6DVkSk2si=GhrhbR2KStymWLDlYg3Kvw" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1804684658304594308) 2024-06-23T01:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Friendly reminder: Supply Path Optimization (SPO) is a tailwind for consolidating Ad-Tech's supply side. $PUBM $MGNI https://t.co/zyRnyh7OU3 https://t.co/zyRnyh7OU3" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1812822967014900155) 2024-07-15T12:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CCM_Brett What is your IRR threshold I'm underwriting double digit returns at these levels. Anecdotally I like the product and believe it has a great shot to contend with Monster for top dog in the energy drink category (within the US and eventually globally)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1812903383466189275) 2024-07-15T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Elliott with the $SBUX stake. ๐๐ Iconic brand meets the need for better execution. Enter this activist. Love it. Elliott with the $SBUX stake. ๐๐ Iconic brand meets the need for better execution. Enter this activist. Love it" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1814375269064753502) 2024-07-19T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Live $SBUX DCF can be found below: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=519545934&single=true https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=519545934&single=true" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1814376707337420815) 2024-07-19T19:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "To me the caffeine investment thesis is strong (14% IRR) at today's valuations $CELH $SBUX โ: Live $SBUX DCF below: Live $CELH DCF below: Please read the assumptions think critically & feel empowered to invest in your future. https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801698175608307764t=boUohR2lwyl7ifGtFZ6aqA&s=19 https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1814376707337420815t=afhNVKaEK-Ot9G1VFSvp_g&s=19 $CELH Initial model: https://t.co/TI8REsoGC1 https://t.co/V2wyLmfRxk https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801698175608307764t=boUohR2lwyl7ifGtFZ6aqA&s=19" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1814392515715538952) 2024-07-19T20:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@PedroLamento @hiddensmallcaps What would you pay for Hinge growing @ 48% YoY & $600M run rate The cash flow fueling buybacks is a MoS while we wait for Hinge to become "the main thing". Indirect (Ad) revenue is a lever I wish leadership would pull across the Evergreen portfolio. Cue the activist pressure" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1818464617930408294) 2024-07-31T01:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@PedroLamento @hiddensmallcaps $MTCH CEO within his first [--] years. Tinders' lead is new as well. Acquired Hinge a few years back - on fast track to be #1 dating app globally. Hinge is founder led & operated independently. Not a slam dunk but If Tinder isn't dead it feels comparable to when FB bought Insta" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1818473564955083207) 2024-07-31T02:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LogicalThesis PubMatic allocation seems light my friend. ๐ May come close to your TransMedics [----] earnings estimate at 1/4 the market cap (ofc w/ slower growth). Doesn't have to be 'either or' - a viable candidate for the raised funds. Buybacks market share growth 20% insider ownership" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1818478238391271444) 2024-07-31T02:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""During Q2 [----] we continued to make great strides with our brands advertising and commerce initiatives. We launched our video ads product and continue to make progress with our self-serve Ads Manager product and our third party integrations with IAS and PubMatic". $RBLX $PUBM This morning we announced our Q2 [----] financial results. Check out our full earnings report including our Letter to Shareholders: https://t.co/vjtvoPIXv6 https://t.co/gkSsZ5L9U7 This morning we announced our Q2 [----] financial results. Check out our full earnings report including our Letter to Shareholders:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1819016616819995083) 2024-08-01T14:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Might be unpublished put behind a paywall etc at some point - but below is a live link to my battle station for assessing opportunity cost in the market today. As I update assumptions on the company DCFs it will impact the IRR found in the **opportunity cost** tab:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1820448837531574421) 2024-08-05T13:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PUBM PubMatic IRR soars above 24% after the company revises FY24 guidance down from 12% to 9% growth The valuation dropped 24%. PubMatic is the top opportunity out of [--] discounted cash flow models stack-ranked by IRR: Greedy when others are fearful. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtml https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtml" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1821769793306874214) 2024-08-09T04:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$PUBM 2Q24 highlights: 100% growth in monetized CTV impressions YoY [---] commerce media companies in pipeline 20% growth in mobile app revenue - New Partnerships w $DIS HotStar & $ROKU Exchange - $RBLX ad partnership now live - Klarna Partnership & $CART integration live by EoY" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1822337482056175770) 2024-08-10T18:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@7LukeHallard $TTD is the best positioned ad-tech company. The journey should be more enjoyable investing behind this secular winner. I encourage a deeper dive beneath the 6% YoY growth from $PUBM. Risk/reward ratio is phenomenal on the supply-side of the transaction: https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1822337482056175770t=H68yYG05wv2xJlKiWHEF1g&s=19 $PUBM 2Q24 highlights: 100% growth in monetized CTV impressions YoY [---] commerce media companies in pipeline 20% growth in mobile app revenue - New Partnerships w $DIS HotStar & $ROKU Exchange - $RBLX ad partnership now live - Klarna Partnership &" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1822340191647875506) 2024-08-10T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PUBM With a strong and growing employee base in Pune Maharashtra (India) - PubMatic is poised to continue winning marquee Ad-Tech deals in the country: https://ppc.land/disney-hotstar-partners-with-pubmatic-to-enhance-ad-reach-in-india/#google_vignette $META's bull thesis (India has banned TT and WhatsApp is a Superapp in the country) https://t.co/1YFvPBMoeK https://ppc.land/disney-hotstar-partners-with-pubmatic-to-enhance-ad-reach-in-india/#google_vignette $META's bull thesis (India has banned TT and WhatsApp is a Superapp in the country) https://t.co/1YFvPBMoeK" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1823535632112595125) 2024-08-14T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JRogrow You previously described the concept of "overlapping moats". I see Amazon as having overlapping moats within seller services. Notably O&O logistics network & on site monetization (Sponsored Listings) on the dominant platform. +AWS Amazon Video (advertising) & Prime memberships" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1826232379322831276) 2024-08-21T12:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GHC has a fascinating history as it: - Was founded in [----] as the Washington Post Company - Enjoyed a wildly successful [--] year stretch as public company under the stewardship of the late Kay Graham (+3315%) - Had Warren Buffett serving on its board of directors until 2011" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1826376658041053362) 2024-08-21T21:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GHC appears to leverage industry knowledge from wholly owned companies within their investing process. They happen to own car dealerships & previously held $UPST. $GHC also owns digital publishing co Slate - you'll never guess who they partner w/ $PUBM https://slate.com/third-party-partners https://slate.com/third-party-partners" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1826815701899764211) 2024-08-23T02:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LogicalThesis As a user current thoughts on the product from $SNOW How difficult would it be to replace the ecosystem Have any new product releases impressed you personally" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1827422238468984882) 2024-08-24T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Desktop OS: Windows/Mac Mobile OS: Android/iOS TV OS: Roku/Fire/Chromecast $ROKU: The TV Operating System $ROKU The most important thing: https://t.co/2rt35Y8Re7 $ROKU The most important thing: https://t.co/2rt35Y8Re7" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1829930187942686830) 2024-08-31T17:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ROKU Of course I'm late to the game with this observation. Anthony Wood communicated this clearly back in 2017: Desktop OS: Windows/Mac Mobile OS: Android/iOS TV OS: Roku/Fire/Chromecast $ROKU: The TV Operating System https://t.co/zFwsNsASvT Desktop OS: Windows/Mac Mobile OS: Android/iOS TV OS: Roku/Fire/Chromecast $ROKU: The TV Operating System https://t.co/zFwsNsASvT" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1830303953902297533) 2024-09-01T17:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BradAT https://x.com/DaveWeLike/status/1834342759538508146t=Ti4CDk1uMixs0oSToaSang&s=19 OMG $Sono $TTD teaming up to kill $Roku https://t.co/l3dVCgZ6Pd https://x.com/DaveWeLike/status/1834342759538508146t=Ti4CDk1uMixs0oSToaSang&s=19 OMG $Sono $TTD teaming up to kill $Roku https://t.co/l3dVCgZ6Pd" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1834357776887259349) 2024-09-12T22:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ronjonbSaaS Why Palantir Snowflake" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1836619307842756774) 2024-09-19T04:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TMFJaguar Thinking with a Rule Breaking framework: Sell iRobot to add to Roku Block or Airbnb. Based solely on IRR: PubMatic looks great. Not confident iRobot has the optionality I once believed it to have. I liked the merger arb opportunity moving forward it faces stiff competition" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1841332903973650661) 2024-10-02T04:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TMFJaguar Imo Celsius IRR appears attractive as well - worth watching their international adoption and growth rates beyond this upcoming earnings call. Hoping Q4 guidance will be refreshing and can confirm that Pepsi pulled in the rightsizing of their inventory in Q3:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1841343292396462190) 2024-10-02T05:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "My live dashboard of IRR ranked investment opportunities. Updates in real-time based on current market prices All [--] Discounted Cash Flow Models found at the link below: Feel free to check out the assumptions behind each DCF. Feedback appreciated ๐ฉต https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlurp=gmail_link&gxid=-8203366 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlurp=gmail_link&gxid=-8203366" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1841664568080105853) 2024-10-03T02:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements ""Streaming climbed 11% on a YoY basis & most of the gain has been driven by platforms w/ 30% YoY growth including Disney+ Peacock & Tubi. The $Roku Channel was the biggest mover of the year however as viewership on the FAST platform has grown 42% compared w/ last September."" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1846334671887495219) 2024-10-15T23:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ROKU: As a TV Operating System 47% market share of CTV hours streamed within the United States seems like valuable real estate to me:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1849973910948729108) 2024-10-26T00:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LogicalThesis In Q3 only 61% of case volumes used their owned and operated fleet (up from 59% in Q2). TransMedics Group's revenue growth will outpace their case volume growth until that number approaches 100%. ๐ฃ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1851446863012000004) 2024-10-30T02:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Coinbase $COIN isn't the only company supporting Bitcoin adoption Block $SQ has a thriving core (Cash App Square AfterPay) + has been focused on developing Bitcoin infrastructure for years With a hiring cap in place $SQ's operating leverage is scaling - trades at 5.5x EV/GP:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1854360607052468338) 2024-11-07T03:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Share count decreasing Ew. https://x.com/nachunja/status/1854735378357395612t=37L258akqQlPzKm-CRGWMw&s=19 $SQ - No more dilution Share count has flipped negative With less employees and $2.7B in buyback left share count likely continues to decrease https://t.co/sdWNlTyHND https://x.com/nachunja/status/1854735378357395612t=37L258akqQlPzKm-CRGWMw&s=19 $SQ - No more dilution Share count has flipped negative With less employees and $2.7B in buyback left share count likely continues to decrease https://t.co/sdWNlTyHND" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1855000444302405866) 2024-11-08T21:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$SQ headed to zero" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1855002948679397542) 2024-11-08T21:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In this episode of 'In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen' Vinod Khosla co-founder of Sun Microsystems and Khosla Ventures discusses future advances of technology in society investing across improbable bets & characteristics of successful entrepreneurs: https://open.spotify.com/episode/5oGtC2mXVZADBog33Ez8S6si=eZBjAAWfSvq2YHEJrzZoxQ&t=2033 https://open.spotify.com/episode/5oGtC2mXVZADBog33Ez8S6si=eZBjAAWfSvq2YHEJrzZoxQ&t=2033" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1855766707240923482) 2024-11-11T00:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PUBM :: $TWTR I too am particularly excited about PubMatic launching this partnership:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1856457371813368224) 2024-11-12T22:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$PUBM $PUBM :: $TWTR I too am particularly excited about PubMatic launching this partnership: https://t.co/5R7u20KVRb $PUBM :: $TWTR I too am particularly excited about PubMatic launching this partnership: https://t.co/5R7u20KVRb" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1856530848922640415) 2024-11-13T02:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$PUBM: KPIs over the last year $PUBM https://t.co/Vd4wXriXI4 $PUBM https://t.co/Vd4wXriXI4" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1856577514799304714) 2024-11-13T05:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "- Q3 normalized revenue growth from the core business was 17% YoY (excluding political bump and one time DSP step down in spend - comps ease in 3Q25) - Emerging revenue will be at least 4% of revenue in Q4. The emerging revenue segment is higher margin revenue - KPIs trending ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1856678616412680691) 2024-11-13T12:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "CTV is going swimmingly. Innovations in automated sentiment recognition of video ad creative enabled streaming publishers (who would have excluded political ads) to feel comfortable allowing *some* political ads. This capability was developed during an internal hackathon in 2024:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1856679610735300686) 2024-11-13T12:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Mobile App revenue growth of 20% YoY. 4th straight quarter over this hurdle:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1856680039670005878) 2024-11-13T12:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Top [--] publicly traded DSPs by market cap: $APP - $96B $TTD - $59B Top [--] publicly traded SSPs by market cap: $MGNI - $2.3B $PUBM - $0.72B Will DSPs capture 50x more value than SSPs SSP market is consolidating and increasingly activating publisher data to increase yield" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1857466118685835663) 2024-11-15T16:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Invesquotes @CCM_Brett Added some TransMedics here ๐ฃ Investor day today laid out some ambitious goals which seems achievable: @LogicalThesis has crushed it in [----] optimizing for short term moves but over the next [--] years this feels like a slam dunk: https://x.com/LogicalThesis/status/1866584627395301875t=9XeO0wnfZ9REl2UyQMgRVQ&s=19 https://web.quartr.com/companies/5618/events/266663targetTime=null @ManthanTweets1 I'm not gonna waste too much time on analyzing $TMDX until it shows up in the numbers I have a feeling I know mostly what they discussed. Nothing new in my view Plenty other names" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1866596256950235180) 2024-12-10T21:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CCM_Brett Based on recent history it seems like a winner-take-most market for demand aggregation. Q: Do these networks integrate onto Uber or compete directly Having deleted Lyft over a year ago I wonder if power users would be willing to check Uber Waymo & Tesla apps for ride hail" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1867381588503277620) 2024-12-13T01:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CCM_Brett ".intends to return at least 100% of free cash flow to its shareholders over the next three years through a combination of payment of a quarterly cash dividend & by continuing its share repurchase program" Value shelter buyback machine dividend payer https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1867781560344158554) 2024-12-14T04:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CCM_Brett Weird situation at $MTCH. Tinder is stable but not growing. Hinge is now operating income positive + is the reason SBC is rising. Hinge Operating income should outpace SBC growth moving forward. Decent structural returns if valuations melt up. Buyers will come for the dividend ๐ธ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1867783396698861623) 2024-12-14T04:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$MTCH: Interesting to see Hinge at 600M ARR continuing to scale at 25% topline growth w 29% operating income margins. Tinder stabilizing global leader in dating apps at 12% FCF yield. 100% of FCF over the next [--] years returned to shareholders through buybacks + dividend" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1868016108328104426) 2024-12-14T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "As of 3Q'2024:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1868016258475589669) 2024-12-14T19:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "" $MTCH has consistently prioritized returning capital to its shareholders . Intends to return at least 100% of FCF to its shareholders over the next [--] years through a combination of new quarterly dividend & continuing its share repurchase program." https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1868016979543785850) 2024-12-14T19:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ROKU: - Roku OS has 50% market share of streaming hours for TV Operating systems across United States households - Roku Exchange is onboarding demand from independent DSPs and built self serve as buying tools - Sustainable profitability inflection occurring as soon as 4Q24" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1868150548693991430) 2024-12-15T04:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$UBER: Global Mobility Platform ๐ - Gap between OpEx and Gross Profit continuing to expand (FCF ๐) - SBC starting to be offset by share repurchase program - @StockMarketNerd shared great insights into Waymo's autonomous vehicle network (aggregation on Uber v. competition)๐ Highlights from a recent $UBER CFO Interview -- topics include Waymo San Fran data Waymo Miami Launch & [----] Expectations: https://t.co/b4dTLx0vkt Highlights from a recent $UBER CFO Interview -- topics include Waymo San Fran data Waymo Miami Launch & [----] Expectations: https://t.co/b4dTLx0vkt" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1868793209385796058) 2024-12-16T22:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "'"Investors who buy 'undervalued' small stocks have been punished for their prudence. People are wondering. How can the S&P [---] be up 20% and my stocks are down The answer is that a few stocks in the S&P [---] are propping up the averages." This quote is from Peter Lynch in 2000' I spent some time reflecting on an important topic for any stock picker. Hope you enjoy this new article. https://t.co/c3ms5C8XMy I spent some time reflecting on an important topic for any stock picker. Hope you enjoy this new article. https://t.co/c3ms5C8XMy" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1872889626756829572) 2024-12-28T06:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Full Article (3 min read): https://microcapclub.com/no-one-to-blame/ https://microcapclub.com/no-one-to-blame/" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1872890004097384909) 2024-12-28T06:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If you follow $SQ but not @nachunja you are missing out on incredible insights. Appreciate the analysis & consistent coverage๐ $SQ - Great listen on @protomining $SQ - Great listen on @protomining" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1873791332621443190) 2024-12-30T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Valuation regresses to a companies expected future cash flow potential In [----] this could be a tailwind for some portfolios and a headwind to others' portfolios Financial Gravity ๐ง๐ Jan [--] and I'm already exceeding last year's PnL lets get it. Jan [--] and I'm already exceeding last year's PnL lets get it" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1875303344388145176) 2025-01-03T22:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@LukeWolgram @yetundiscovered Companies growing their cash flow potential while valuation contracts - sounds like a great set up for [----] ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1875304203247317041) 2025-01-03T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements ""have no merits & were primarily intended to manipulate the market for financial gains. Fails to accurately represent$TMDXbusiness technology diverse culture & steadfast focus on delivering exceptional products + services to meet the needs of the global transplant community." Scorpion is short $TMDX (possibly along with or through its principals members partners affiliates employees consultants clients investors and/or related party entities/vehicles) & therefore stands to realize significant gains in the event that its stock/options decline. Scorpion is short $TMDX (possibly along with or" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1878796116302704940) 2025-01-13T13:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Source: https://investors.transmedics.com/news-releases/news-release-details/transmedics-responds-inaccurate-and-misleading-claims-recent https://investors.transmedics.com/news-releases/news-release-details/transmedics-responds-inaccurate-and-misleading-claims-recent" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1878796234045129177) 2025-01-13T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""We remain laser focused on executing our growth plans including the launch of our next-gen OCS Heart & OCS Lung programs as well as several other strategic initiatives in 2025." $TMDX is speaking at the JP Morgan Healthcare conference today 5:15pm EST: https://investors.transmedics.com/events/event-details/43rd-annual-jp-morgan-healthcare-conference https://investors.transmedics.com/events/event-details/43rd-annual-jp-morgan-healthcare-conference" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1878797620388446612) 2025-01-13T13:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "๐คค Love me some BBQ $TMDX We are short $TMDX TransMedics. Report now live at https://t.co/Osxq0mAPTd. We plan to shortly file a Citizen Petition with the FDA as well. Walk Like An Egyptian: A Mafia-Style Extortion Racketeering And Organ Trafficking Scheme Masquerading As A Medical Device Company We are short $TMDX TransMedics. Report now live at https://t.co/Osxq0mAPTd. We plan to shortly file a Citizen Petition with the FDA as well. Walk Like An Egyptian: A Mafia-Style Extortion Racketeering And Organ Trafficking Scheme Masquerading As A Medical Device Company" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1878943409869914421) 2025-01-13T23:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "๐ฆ headline claimed a "customer exodus". @Transmedics reassured investors by releasing [----] organ transplant data. At a data disadvantage & on the to lower share price ๐ฆ will: - the data - Point to expert opinion - Distract w anecdotal FUD Let them. Debate w data. $TMDX @LoganD27 @ScorpionFund *Clicks submit* on the citizen petition https://t.co/YpRigt2FEx @LoganD27 @ScorpionFund *Clicks submit* on the citizen petition https://t.co/YpRigt2FEx" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1879887551768731784) 2025-01-16T13:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "TransMedics $TMDX Napkin Thesis: - The technology leader in a mission critical industry๐ฅ - Built logistics infrastructure๐ซ - Winning Market Shareโ - Growing overall US market๐ฑ - International Market๐ - Founder Led๐ฉบ - Profitable๐ Large enough opportunity to 10x @ $2B MC ๐งโ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880044524866793852) 2025-01-17T00:08Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements "$TMDX Organ Transplant Distribution:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880051910641873164) 2025-01-17T00:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$TMDX Operating Results:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880054116514427392) 2025-01-17T00:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "TransMedics Organ Care System is a reliable & cost competitive" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880068184096796848) 2025-01-17T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TMDX Organ Care System delivers better clinical outcomes:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880069467214082251) 2025-01-17T01:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Next Gen OCS (NG OCS) clinical programs for Heart & Lungs launch in [----]. NG OCS delivers better outcomes AND Quadruples the available window for organ perfusion (up to [--] hours ๐ up to [--] hours) *Control in Lung study is considered the gold standard" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880073185523077319) 2025-01-17T02:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "OCS Kidney: Coming Soon" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880075412711289086) 2025-01-17T02:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TMDX Mission: "We are focused on transforming the standard of care increasing organ utilization improving patient outcomes and reducing transplant costs." โป" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880076078280286330) 2025-01-17T02:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Conscious capitalism in motion ๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880080028895178977) 2025-01-17T02:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "While leadership expects to achieve 30% long term operating margins even reaching 25% margins results in $300M of [----] Operating Profit. Slap a 20x multiple on this figure and we have ourselves a multi bagger DCF available in pinned post ๐ https://x.com/ClarkSquareCap/status/1880014189407924253t=G_c6WRFfhJu1ToJarKEnKA&s=19 How to value a stock. https://t.co/LP4TRd1kHT https://x.com/ClarkSquareCap/status/1880014189407924253t=G_c6WRFfhJu1ToJarKEnKA&s=19 How to value a stock. https://t.co/LP4TRd1kHT" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880084129842360366) 2025-01-17T02:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TMDX TransMedics Infrastructure https://x.com/EventuallyWLTHY/status/1866512383780295017t=R-dmPhsAZvjM_xgNTEjqCg&s=19 $TMDX just released a video showcasing how NOP works at their Investor Day Event. If youre still unsure about the business model of $TMDX then watch this. OCS is the product NOP is the entire operation on how $TMDX moves OCS efficiently. https://t.co/DEm9bsbOEG https://x.com/EventuallyWLTHY/status/1866512383780295017t=R-dmPhsAZvjM_xgNTEjqCg&s=19 $TMDX just released a video showcasing how NOP works at their Investor Day Event. If youre still unsure about the business model of" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880231372285178098) 2025-01-17T12:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Best type of moat ".Overlapping and reinforcing moats. Combine that with a management team that invests constantly to fortify & possibly widen those moats over time". $TMDX Technology Logistics & *potential* for Policy moat as the standard of care https://x.com/chitchatstocks/status/1818337429700722810t=axekMldOnBi9eIoiZYd6hg&s=19 What are the best types of moats @JRogrow explains the idea of overlapping moats with $ASML and $V https://t.co/QQrOQ5Yuzx https://x.com/chitchatstocks/status/1818337429700722810t=axekMldOnBi9eIoiZYd6hg&s=19 What are the best types of moats @JRogrow explains the" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1880235904306180511) 2025-01-17T12:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@TomSmith839 @jevgenijs Time will tell if this was a diet or a lifestyle change $XYZ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1881345563129758183) 2025-01-20T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ABNB "Co-Host Network connects hosts with [-----] co-hosts 73% are Superhosts in [--] countries ready to take the work out of hosting with help for one thingor everything." "In the [--] weeks since launch weve received tremendous interest from [-----] potential new co-hosts."" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1885469484703486024) 2025-01-31T23:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$ABNB Profit Growth - Organic Gross Profit growth of 10% - Cash + Float earn interest yield Capital Allocation - Buybacks with remaining cash (after organic + inorganic investments) - Share Buyback Yield 2% *after* SBC" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1885478441249595728) 2025-02-01T00:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ABNB: Global Expansion and Geographic Distribution - Global ADR of $164 Flat to up 1% - All markets growing with LatAm & APAC outpacing the larger EMEA & North America segments" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1885494387112542683) 2025-02-01T01:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ABNB "And what I expect is every year now for the coming years we will launch [--] to [--] new businesses that will generate $1 billion+ of revenue incrementally a year." "I'm [--] years old. I started this company when I was [--]. & I feel like I have a couple of decades ahead of me"" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1885519110802444654) 2025-02-01T02:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Block $XYZ has the chance to build an ecosystem of solutions for mining infrastructure through Proto: https://www.mining.build/blog/introducing-proto-building-the-future-of-bitcoin-mining-hardware-2/ https://www.mining.build/blog/introducing-proto-building-the-future-of-bitcoin-mining-hardware-2/" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1888405339927642624) 2025-02-09T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Block's $XYZ core of Square Cash App & Afterpay becoming leaner + maintaining double digit gross profit growth" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1888407497523736999) 2025-02-09T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PUBM PubMatic reports Q4 earnings after market close. SSPs will eventually re-rate higher. Hoping we continue to aggressively buyback shares. My prediction for FY2025: - Revenue growth rates 10% - Slight gross profit margin expansion - Aggressive Buybacks slight chance of M&A $PUBM PubMatic Inc Investment Thesis Revised (link in comments) https://t.co/bvrCKxfr77 $PUBM PubMatic Inc Investment Thesis Revised (link in comments) https://t.co/bvrCKxfr77" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1894986277377769908) 2025-02-27T05:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Mugsley @kiwicarrotcake Leadership must continue to be prudent capital allocators during peak pessimism. Imo $PUBM PubMatic should deploy remaining authorized buyback. Shareholders would benefit. YoY Revenue growth is structurally set to accelerate from down low single digits to up nearly 10% by EOY๐ฃ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1895524444283744677) 2025-02-28T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TTD: The Decade of The Trade Desk (49% CAGR)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897439635669676496) 2025-03-06T00:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$TTD: The Trade Desk's Operating Leverage Era" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897624632137556430) 2025-03-06T12:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@OptionWell The Trade Desk is trusted a growth engine accelerating the migration of demand towards premium publishers in secular growth areas (Commerce CTV Audio). $TTD Assuming steady operating leverage + mid-teens growth: A fair price for a wonderful business๐ https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897439635669676496t=BAp_dkLMno1R9iVe61ocqQ&s=19 $TTD: The Decade of The Trade Desk (49% CAGR) https://t.co/p8OwwvEZFF https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897439635669676496t=BAp_dkLMno1R9iVe61ocqQ&s=19 $TTD: The Decade of The Trade Desk (49% CAGR) https://t.co/p8OwwvEZFF" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897820364303986846) 2025-03-07T01:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""That sentiment has only grown louder over the past two years as media agencies have taken more control over programmatic ad buying. Once content to let ad tech players like The Trade Desk handle it agencies have been pushed by advertisers to step up building out their own tech and services to optimize ad buying. Naturally that shift pulled them away from The Trade Desk $TTD and closer to the other power players in the auction: supply-side platforms which hold the data and tech agencies need to secure the best ad impressions. In addition theres concerns among some media buyers over rising" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1898485097256681686) 2025-03-08T21:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Source: https://digiday.com/media-buying/ties-between-the-trade-desk-and-key-media-agencies-are-weakening/ https://digiday.com/media-buying/ties-between-the-trade-desk-and-key-media-agencies-are-weakening/" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1898485215321788632) 2025-03-08T21:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "To be clear I expect $TTD will be wildly successful in accelerating direct deal revenue towards emerging premium publishers (Netflix Walmart Spotify etc.) Competition is heating up to steward the migration of direct deal spend through the programmatic supply chain (DSPs+SSPs)" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1898488458408063063) 2025-03-08T21:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TTD: Visio powered by Ventura could make a lot of sense given the companies' existing partnership (Walmart Connect). I don't think any $TTD investors took this seriously either (besides maybe some Wall St bulls) I'm no M&A expert but if I were in TTD management why not consider a merger with $Roku Both of them together can compete better than being separate when you consider: - Amazon DSP I don't think any $TTD investors took this seriously either (besides maybe some Wall St bulls) I'm no M&A expert but if I were in TTD management why not consider a merger with $Roku Both of them together" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1900001824452546866) 2025-03-13T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@fools_gd Agree with the sector continuing to grow in importance over time Admittedly I don't yet have a deep understanding of the ecosystem. From the cheap seats it seems like $CRWD $NET $ZS have been leaders & are positioned to continue winning ๐ก" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1902868368555753485) 2025-03-20T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TMFJaguar Roku went straight to Q&A on the last earnings call. Anthony Wood dropping the shareholder letter & opening the floor for analyst questions:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1905663539722817731) 2025-03-28T16:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Low bar for success here - i.e. extending $WMT partnership to let Visio run on Ventura $TTD benefits from data - similar to how $APP trains on data from O&O mobile apps. $ROKU sees the shows users watch frames they hover on & more. CTV ad spend is finally @ its ๐ inflection" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1909685281172996134) 2025-04-08T19:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@plantmath1 "We saw a hole in the market that we can deliver on" - Goal is to acquire Bitcoin similar to MicroStrategy Let's call it "New MicroStrategy"" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1915173744823148813) 2025-04-23T22:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-judge-sets-may-2-191725679.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-judge-sets-may-2-191725679.html" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1915859146425143768) 2025-04-25T20:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Shareholder Letter: https://image.roku.com/bWFya2V0aW5n/1Q25-Shareholder-Letter.pdf https://image.roku.com/bWFya2V0aW5n/1Q25-Shareholder-Letter.pdf" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1918447399275839580) 2025-05-02T23:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Exact quote from Founder & CEO Anthony Wood in the 1Q25 earnings call" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1918449061662720263) 2025-05-02T23:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$ROKU leadership has an impressive command of the levers required to deliver on its promise of profitability. Platform gross profit peaked briefly above OpEx in the seasonally strong fourth quarter trending towards a structural inversion by [----]. Roku is a CTV battleship - cruising full steam ahead through a storm of macro uncertainty: Exact quote from Founder & CEO Anthony Wood in the 1Q25 earnings call https://t.co/6VYzNiUKYN Exact quote from Founder & CEO Anthony Wood in the 1Q25 earnings call https://t.co/6VYzNiUKYN" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1918461563834445873) 2025-05-03T00:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@CCM_Ryan Founder-Led AdTech sampler from my portfolio: - The Trade Desk - Roku - PubMatic I would second TransMedics as one of those Rule Breaker-y types of founder-led companies who are changing the world for the better" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1927189704505479595) 2025-05-27T02:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Yes and Billions of dollars in incremental ad spend are migrating to The Trade Desk each year. $TTD processed over $12 Billion in global ad spend in [----] - an incremental increase of $2 BILLION from the year ago period. Nothing stops this train. ๐ Adweek reports brands are moving millions from The Trade Desk $TTD to Amazons DSP. One global auto brand alone moved $80M by Q1. $AMZN's lower fees broader reach (including Thursday Night Football) and growing Prime Video inventory are drawing buyers. https://t.co/yvw0n2xsvC Adweek reports brands are moving millions from The Trade Desk $TTD to" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1930680257171853786) 2025-06-05T17:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@LogicalThesis @RahulSetty_ Its a valid point. Celsius went the other route by announcing debt with the Alani acquisition. I dont know why they would choose to proceed in this order" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1932294136331166047) 2025-06-10T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@plantmath1 Lmao +1 With recent AI investment + CapEx spend makes me wonder why big tech (cloud) companies wouldnt also take $5-10B for a 9.9% stake in Cloudflare or Crowdstrike. Higher probability bet that both contribute meaningfully to AI infrastructure @ a more reasonable valuation" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1932608564947738656) 2025-06-11T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Cloudflare continues to be one of the most impressive companies at expanding their addressable market. End of the month they will be launching a service to prevent LLM scrapers from collecting web content. This could be the start of a programmatic marketplace for data access ๐ค I did in fact say this: I go to war every single day with the Chinese government the Russian government the Iranians the North Koreans probably Americans the Israelis all of them who are trying to hack into our customer sites. And you're telling me I can't stop some nerd I did in fact say this: I go to war every single" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1936799187007406159) 2025-06-22T14:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ROKU: The future home for streaming sports Not only can you find all of the live TV streaming services you need to watch every game available on linear television on Roku but practically every subscription streamer that carries live sports is also available via the platform" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1937291518315819473) 2025-06-23T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CCM_Brett Round table episode with [--] bull [--] bear & [--] objective party familiar with the Hims & Hers business model For the sharp objective analyst I would highly recommend @RahulSetty_ Plenty of bulls and bears to choose from across Twitter ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1937538733386936333) 2025-06-24T15:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$AMZN x $ROKU Amazon DSP brings major fire power both in terms of first party data & $12B in annual open internet ad spend up 40% YoY. In [----] Roku shifted its strategy from walled to hedged garden opening its inventory to leading independent DSPs including The Trade Desk: Amazon Ads and Roku Announce Partnership Creating the Largest Authenticated CTV Footprint $AMZN x $ROKU As the most addressable platform for Rokus CTV activation Amazon DSP now offers advertisers new exclusive advantages: - Reach with more precision: Authenticated reach Amazon Ads and Roku Announce Partnership Creating the" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1937690149413924883) 2025-06-25T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Roku: Why Now Roku signing deals with both The Trade Desk and Amazon DSP over the past [--] months is a major strategic pivot that will benefit the leading TV Operating System across Canada the United States & Mexico. In [----] Roku shifted its strategy from walled to hedged garden opening its inventory to leading independent DSPs including The Trade Desk and Amazons open internet facing segment: Amazon DSP. Amazon DSP brings major fire power both in terms of first party data & $12B in annual open internet ad spend up 40% YoY. The Trade Desk similarly commands $12B in annual ad spend (all open" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1941259726563504197) 2025-07-04T22:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Platform Gross Profit Margin Inflection Platform Gross Profit Margins have stabilized and slightly increased YoY for each of the past [--] quarters. With leadership finding religion in cost discipline I suspect twin engines of platform gross profit margin normalization paired with strong platform revenue growth will drive extraordinary FCF growth over the decade ahead. $ROKU 3/N" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1941259737317720409) 2025-07-04T22:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Financial Forecasting & Models I forecast FCF to grow from $300M over the trailing twelve months to $750M in [----]. Applying a 30x free cash flow multiple equates to a $22.5B Market Capitalization or a [--] year IRR of 22% While I choose an elevated multiple it is to reflect the above market-average rate of Free Cash Flow. The path to achieving this growth is user acquisition and subsequent monetization of those new cohorts of users. To obtain new users Roku has a proven playbook which enables its international expansion. The company acquires rights to content to onboard to The Roku Channel and" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1941264949289885845) 2025-07-04T22:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Phase II: Operating Leverage Operating Expense growth has been controlled enabling gross profit to structurally improve upon the operating margin profile of the business. Sustained operating leverage & operating income Inflection points are often associated with multiple re-ratings and narrative shifts. $ROKU 6/N" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1941264965215650236) 2025-07-04T22:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Parsing out Device Segment from the Platform Segment While Devices are a loss leader (negative gross margin) platform revenue growth is structurally being structurally lifted by the influx of demand flowing in through TTD Amazon DSP & the long tail of independent DSPs $ROKU 7/N" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1941264970869531042) 2025-07-04T22:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TravisHoium @7Innovator Mom it was never a phase Crocs Investors x All Time Low: https://youtu.be/kNnEzYXBps8si=EzsEwXxxoc_whusi https://youtu.be/kNnEzYXBps8si=EzsEwXxxoc_whusi" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1943414358609973534) 2025-07-10T20:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Rokus Platform Revenue business model works similar to mobile OS app stores. Primary revenue is generated from taking a cut of revenue generated from most ad supported streaming applications on the platform a cut of revenue generated from ad supported content on the Roku Channel & all revenue from monetizing ad placement on the Home Screen: TV OS App Store: Subscriptions & A-La-Carte Content. Secondarily they take a cut of most paid subscriptions which users sign up for within the OS (billed and managed by Roku Pay). Conclusion: More users. More streaming hours. More platform revenue." [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1943451991910252718) 2025-07-10T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Tab to autocomplete. Tab to import dependencies. Tab to glory. $GOOGL https://youtu.be/aww-BUzL9Lcsi=hLjIOxRDYg4RBOqm https://youtu.be/aww-BUzL9Lcsi=hLjIOxRDYg4RBOqm" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1943904790422958091) 2025-07-12T05:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Agentic coding - distributed by Google โจ Windsurf - Cascade (JetBrains): https://docs.windsurf.com/plugins/cascade/cascade-overview https://docs.windsurf.com/plugins/cascade/cascade-overview" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1943906979480555737) 2025-07-12T05:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@plantmath1 Alphabet is actively diversifying its revenue streams๐ [--] segments are meaningful contributors with revenue growth outpacing Search - their corresponding margins are expanding & earnings will follow. Despite new modalities of search emerging I believe Search growth is durable" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1944395271548350904) 2025-07-13T13:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The Trade Desk set to join the S&P [---] at the end of this week ๐ซ A major milestone for the AdTech juggernaut ๐ฆพ To the ocean of index investors who are about to become $TTD shareholders:" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1944883692691673283) 2025-07-14T22:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Source (Yahoo Finance): https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trade-desk-set-join-p-213900069.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trade-desk-set-join-p-213900069.html" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1944890114322174111) 2025-07-14T22:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "An autonomous vehicle with a comprehensive sensor suite (Radar Lidar & Cameras) the track record of Waymo (150 Million km of safe autonomous taxi rides) for the price of a Tesla ($30k) Only in China. Coming soon to Hong Kong Dubai & Abu Dhabi - The global race for autonomous taxi dominance is underway๐ Tesla $TSLA Waymo $GOOGL Apollo Go $BIDU. ๐จ๐ The latest episode of @driverlessguy_ podcast is live with Helen K. Pan General Manager of @BaiduApollo Autonomous Driving USA Baidu's Self-Driving Division. We discussed a bunch of different topics: Background on Baidu and Apollo Go Chinas" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1945626465019859165) 2025-07-16T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Block $XYZ is set to join the S&P [---] $SPY after market close on July 22ndโก The payments & financial services provider has sharpened its focus on fiscal responsibility while accelerating innovation โป A disruptive company at a fair price for investors DCAing into the index ๐ The Trade Desk set to join the S&P [---] at the end of this week ๐ซ A major milestone for the AdTech juggernaut ๐ฆพ To the ocean of index investors who are about to become $TTD shareholders: https://t.co/f1vY7uoBSm The Trade Desk set to join the S&P [---] at the end of this week ๐ซ A major milestone for the AdTech juggernaut" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1946331126215082101) 2025-07-18T22:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Source (SP Global): https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20250718-1478910/1478910_hes5.pdf https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20250718-1478910/1478910_hes5.pdf" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1946334692698890476) 2025-07-18T22:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ROKU: Operating leverage remains resilient despite slippage in platform gross profit margins. ๐ Platform Revenue +18% YoY ๐ Platform Gross Profit +13% YoY ๐ OpEx +5% YoY Significant profitability milestones forecasted for 2H [----]. Ads business is firing on all cylinders ๐ฃโ" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1951053485845389623) 2025-07-31T22:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PUBM: That is the LTM of SBC bought back in the last quarter. With $96M left on the buyback authorization and over $100M net cash - I would guess we buy back somewhere around 2M shares this quarter. Thats like 5% of the company lol: August [----] AdTech Commentary: Lots of dynamism occurring in the programmatic space this year. Sector tailwinds of note are that the ecosystem is trending more towards wholly owned transactions (TTD OpenPath Magnite Clearline PubMatic Activate). So while majority of August [----] AdTech Commentary: Lots of dynamism occurring in the programmatic space this year." [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1956827901640282285) 2025-08-16T21:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BIDU: [---] Million autonomous driverless rides in 2Q2025. $GOOGL: Latest Waymo reported comparable metric is [------] rides per week in April25 (3 Million rides per quarter). $TSLA: The trajectory of deep-pocketed tech giant subsidiaries are worth watching v Tesla Robotaxi" [X Link](https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1958360205470679176) 2025-08-21T02:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@cole_barcia ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฆ
๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฆ posts on X about $roku, $ttd, $pubm, $tmdx the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---] #
- [--] Week [-----] +1,796%
- [--] Month [-----] +1,471%
- [--] Months [------] -9.20%
- [--] Year [------] -43%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Month [--] -86%
- [--] Months [--] -26%
- [--] Year [--] -26%
Followers: [---] #
- [--] Week [---] +2.10%
- [--] Month [---] +1.50%
- [--] Months [---] +4.30%
- [--] Year [---] +33%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence stocks finance technology brands countries currencies cryptocurrencies automotive brands social networks travel destinations
Social topic influence $roku #34, $ttd #41, $pubm, $tmdx, investment, $googl, cash flow, $amzn, $xyz, $spot
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @logicalthesis @ccmbrett @tmfjaguar @jrogrow @rahulsetty @travishoium @grok @ccmryan @lukewolgram @billfour @plantmath1 @bethkindig @fatbabyfunds @stockmarketnerd @lastevens @pedrolamento @hiddensmallcaps @nachunja @scorpionfund @foolsgd
Top assets mentioned Roku, Inc. (ROKU) Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) PubMatic, Inc. (PUBM) TransMedics Group, Inc. Common Stock (TMDX) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Block, Inc. (XYZ) Spotify Technology (SPOT) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Celsius (CEL) Cloudflare, Inc. (NET) Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) Crocs, Inc. (CROX) Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (CELH) Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY (GHC) Bitcoin (BTC) Match Group Inc (MTCH) Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) RAI Finance (SOFI) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Walmart, Inc. (WMT) DisChain (DIS) Maplebear Inc. (CART) Magnite, Inc. Common Stock (MGNI) MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) Alien Base (ALB) Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX) Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) Netflix Inc (NFLX) AppLovin Corporation (APP) Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) RAMP (RAMP) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) Marqeta, Inc. (MQ) Flex Ltd. Ordinary Shares (FLEX) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Pubmatic Q2 Results: -Q2'21 revenue :: $49.7million +88% YoY :: Net income $9.9M -CTV/OTT Q2'21 revenues grew by 108% year-over-year -Q2 [----] YoY comp was weak for ๐marketing spend across ad-tech Keep ๐ on this one. $PUBM Earnings presentation: https://investors.pubmatic.com/static-files/13064862-087c-4412-969c-333eb45305cb https://investors.pubmatic.com/static-files/13064862-087c-4412-969c-333eb45305cb"
X Link 2021-08-12T02:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PubMatic ( $PUBM ) case study from app based games company Veraxen: Great to see the various forms of OTT success in addition to the more prominent CTV opportunity. https://pubmatic.com/case-studies/pubmatic-drives-revenue-growth-for-veraxen/ https://pubmatic.com/case-studies/pubmatic-drives-revenue-growth-for-veraxen/"
X Link 2023-02-21T00:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Interesting visuals covering the European Programmatic Advertising Ecosystem - shared by Publica on LinkedIn: $ADBE $TTD $RAMP $ROKU $PUBM $MGNI"
X Link 2023-02-21T00:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Portfolio Holdings 2% allocation*: 28% PubMatic : $PUBM 15% Alphabet : $GOOGL 10% Cloudflare : $NET 9% Roku : $ROKU 8% The Trade Desk : $TTD 4% Match Group : $MTCH 4% Marqeta : $MQ 3% MongoDB : $MDB 3% Enphase : $ENPH 3% SoFi : $SOFI 2% Snowflake : $SNOW *Rounded to nearest %"
X Link 2023-04-07T19:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TMFJaguar To me iRobot shines as an alternative to cash. Up to 50% upside and maybe 25% downside over the short term. $IRBT was structurally profitable prior to [----]. Hard to go bankrupt w no net debt & a profitable business model. $AMZN owes $94M break up fee if ๐ฉ hits the Roomba"
X Link 2023-06-14T13:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$FLEX $ENPH"
X Link 2023-07-09T23:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ALB Albemarle: As a secular bet on lithium-ion battery demand we could do worse than the industry leader in lithium & lithium derivatives at a single digit Market Cap/Operating Income ratio. Great coverage from @nrossolillo over at Chip Stock Investing"
X Link 2023-08-04T17:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TMFJaguar Long $SNOW Wouldn't touch $NVDA with a ten foot pole. Maybe I just don't get the fundamental drivers of this business but I struggled to justify the valuation at $750 Billion. ๐ฟ"
X Link 2023-08-22T22:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ProShopGuyMF1 @JRogrow In the meantime you can create & pin "lists" to your default feed. I use this to quickly catch up on the latest news - filtering out the 'Signal' from the noise. ๐ญ"
X Link 2023-08-30T22:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@tclaugus2 Could be closer to $160 - $200mm based on recent earnings (minus discontinued operations) Am I missing something/are these earnings not sustainable"
X Link 2023-09-12T00:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"๐ Metrics that Matter ๐ Key Indicators ๐ Signals of Success Wonderful threads uncovering the KPIs powering profitable companies - courtesy of @TMFJaguar & @TravisHoium Would love to see an Alphabet $GOOGL thread next I hear it's magnificent-er @SmatteringShow"
X Link 2023-09-12T22:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JRogrow $LPX has a solid track record over the past few years. $PUBM + $MTCH have executed on buyback authorizations growing core businesses & generate normalized FCF yield 5%. Agree with @MattFrankelCFP on $PYPL - company can retire mid single digit % of shares outstanding annually"
X Link 2023-09-19T03:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$SPOT I love this business. User growth is amazing. +27% YoY (550M) But valuation is detached from today's financials (0% ad-supported gross margin) At $28B Enterprise Value when does $SPOT reach 1.4B in annual free cash flow (5% FCF/EV yield) [--] Years [--] Years Wen FCF"
X Link 2023-09-29T20:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett @CCM_Ryan Diving back into this episode in the mean time - Thank you for sharing your detailed thoughts on the CCM podcast love the show"
X Link 2023-09-29T20:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Made it through the materials & appreciate the great work The answers I land on (revised down GM): "Will we get $1.4B in FCF in FY'26" Maybe "Will we get $1.4B in FCF run rate by end of FY'26" Yes "What could return over [--] years be" 15-25% CAGR"
X Link 2023-09-29T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Napkin math assumptions by 2030: Premium GM: low 30s Ad supported GM: mid to high 30s Premium revenue growth: 10-13% Ad supported Rev growth: 25% Shares: flat (hopefully down) Operating expenses: $5.0-6.0B Premium GP: $6.5-9B Ads GP: $2.5-4.0B FCF: $3-7B Exit FCF Yield: 5%"
X Link 2023-09-29T22:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I guess that's 11-26% CAGR. Apologies for the rough math and wide ranges. My 'model' is currently powered by the calculator app on my phone. ๐"
X Link 2023-09-29T22:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Audiobooks are coming to Spotify ๐"
X Link 2023-10-03T21:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"*For free (up to [--] hours per month - as a part of Spotify Premium. Released in the UK & Australia - coming to the US this winter"
X Link 2023-10-03T21:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Beth_Kindig Snowflake $SNOW: 42.7%"
X Link 2023-10-06T02:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@LogicalThesis @fatbabyfunds Interesting discussion. Just a note Alphabet is at 17x TTM EV/FCF currently. FCF is on the rise and seems to have sustainable growth engines. ๐ I don't mind being a HODL'r at these valuations. That being said DYODD and wishing y'all a wonderful weekend"
X Link 2023-10-07T00:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@fatbabyfunds @LogicalThesis It's worth considering. Stripping out SBC: Alphabet is 21.1x Apple is 27.4x Microsoft is 30.5x Amazon is 35.8x Note: Amazon is growing FCF at the fastest clip Apple at the slowest"
X Link 2023-10-07T00:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Energy storage investment on deck for the next decade Lithium Ion Zinc flow batteries & which other battery chemistry will help fill this critical need $TSLA $ALB $EOSE"
X Link 2023-10-07T18:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In the US - Retail Media Digital Ad Spend is expected to have the highest growth rate as compared to other larger digital ad categories such as CTV. eMarketer expects this rapidly expanding ad category to diversify beyond the walls of the Amazon platform. $AMZN $WMT $EBAY $ETSY"
X Link 2023-10-10T22:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Todd Combs' on longevity: Novak Djokovic interview after winning his 24th Grand Slam "He really just loves hitting a tennis ball. Like he just doesn't want to stop the fundamental act of hitting a fuzzy yellow ball because it brings him too much joy""
X Link 2023-10-13T01:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In Q2 PubMatic repurchased $27.5M of shares at $15.28/share. Q3 Earnings in [--] weeks: - Market Cap of $625M ($12.08/sh) - Remaining authorization = $47.5M - Cash on balance sheet = $105M - Cash From Operations (estimate) generated in Q3 = $15M Q3 Buybacks for $PUBM will be _๐"
X Link 2023-10-24T22:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Once the repurchase authorization has been exercised PubMatic's shares outstanding will be LOWER than when the company IPO'd in Dec [----] Operating Cash Flow is UP 200% from FY [----] while share price is DOWN 40%. An amazing time to research individual public companies.๐ค $PUBM"
X Link 2023-10-24T23:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"- Channel normalization expected starting in 2Q'24 & to be back at normal levels by second half of [----]. Long term demand is viewed by leadership as a function of payback period (energy prices from utilities government incentives & cost of system). (4/n)"
X Link 2023-10-26T22:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"- Energy grid pricing is trending up specific call outs include California & Europe which is an overall tailwind due to the payback equation mentioned above. Appreciative for the lively discussion leading into earnings - DCA incoming for me ๐ฃ (5/n)"
X Link 2023-10-26T22:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Enphase Energy's 'Comprehensive solution maximizes customer ROI under net billing tariff (NEM 3.0)' White Paper - with payback calcs: They assume cash buyers model each scenario over a [--] year period & include a battery replacement in year 15.๐ค $ENPH"
X Link 2023-10-27T22:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Fool School is in session Wonderful episode by @RicksSoSlick & McCombs School of Business's Patrick Badolato. Love the point of tracking multiple financial metrics to get a full picture of a company. For me it's free cash flow AND cash from operations"
X Link 2023-11-06T03:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$IRBT 60% M&A spread with a [--] month catalyst window. A-peeling enough for you yet ๐ To me this seems like a pretty benign deal that wouldn't harm consumers. ๐ญ"
X Link 2023-11-07T02:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Ugly earnings report - Silver lining is that iRobot still sits with enough cash to sustain operations for at least one more year. Spread now above 70%. Market:"
X Link 2023-11-09T00:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Simonkhalaf Does Marqeta have channel partners to help w/ customer acquisition If not which channels would sustainably drive customer adoption (i.e. would developers be most receptive to adopt embedded finance solutions if they were integrated into hyperscaler marketplaces/sales channels)"
X Link 2023-11-23T00:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$IRBT Why did iRobot shares jump 30+% today TL;DR EU antitrust committee grants approval without conditions for the proposed Amazon acquisition:"
X Link 2023-11-24T19:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PUBM Developed a hybrid (reverse) discounted cash flow model. Happy new year y'all ๐ I rewrote and condensed my investment thesis on PubMatic Inc $PUBM and am sharing prior to earnings this week. Link provided in the comment below. Feedback welcome & encouraged I rewrote and condensed my investment thesis on PubMatic Inc $PUBM and am sharing prior to earnings this week. Link provided in the comment below. Feedback welcome & encouraged"
X Link 2023-12-31T02:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JRogrow Anthony Noto has been fairly strategic increasing his ownership of SoFi: I suspect his past experiences as an analyst at Lehman (dot com era) & in equity research at Goldman Sachs (dot com - banking crisis) may enhance his purchasing process ๐จ Insider Buying Update: Pulled $SOFI CEO Anthony Notos direct buys back to 3/4/22 to see the performance. His last buy was 22.5K shares at $6.50 on 11/21.๐ฅ๐ฐ As of todays close Noto has a +$13.7M gain or +101.8% ROI beating a cost basis weight adj. S&P [---] by [----] bps https://t.co/UAZhZ4BtQk ๐จ Insider Buying Update: Pulled $SOFI CEO Anthony"
X Link 2024-01-01T17:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@LogicalThesis @LukeWolgram They also have such brand/character (IP) affinity that they can licence to theme parks. TBD on the success of movies. ๐"
X Link 2024-01-12T05:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$GOOGL Reducing the friction to develop ad copy while simultaneously improving its efficacy - on the largest ad platform in the world. "The previously announced experience for is the first integration of Gemini AI in Google Ads.""
X Link 2024-01-27T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TravisHoium Operating Income was +$70M after one time layoff charges. Expected to be $160M next quarter. I would say a lot more than current Market Cap but do think that milestone is at least a few years away. ๐ญ"
X Link 2024-02-06T23:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@LogicalThesis Alphabet and NVIDIA are close in market cap & nearly equivalent in enterprise value. Alphabet will generate $110B in OCF NTM. We may already be a few years ahead at this valuation When do we think $NVDA reaches this milestone"
X Link 2024-02-08T04:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LogicalThesis Assuming the 30x multiple is always appropriate (long runway of consistent cash flow growth) it looks to forecast a flat share price for [--] years. Great company tough valuation"
X Link 2024-02-08T04:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"These intrinsic valuations closely align with my own perception of fair value for the Magnificent [--] companies. I do expect a higher IRR on Alphabet. Sure it's confirmation bias but that bias feels especially nice given the wide experience gap between us in valuing companies Intrinsic valuations require assumptions that will be always wrong in hindsight and your best estimates for the future. That said they represent a tool that I use to convert my perceptions of a company into value. https://t.co/iqd3GqHy5o https://t.co/cNVnVPS8c9 Intrinsic valuations require assumptions that will be always"
X Link 2024-02-09T13:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Started a DCA into Spotify this past month currently less than 1/3 position. Been dragging my feet having anchored on '22 valuation. Feels like I'm overpaying but elite business quality + unique opportunity. I sold near the low raising cash in [----] - An expensive mistake.๐ค ๐NEW EPISODE๐ @CCM_Brett of @chitchatstocks talks Spotify Why investors like $SPOT so much How does their music biz keep growing Why they got into podcasts; how The Ringer fit Implications of Rogan's new deal Prediction of Bill's next move https://t.co/VdCZn8L85w ๐NEW EPISODE๐ @CCM_Brett of @chitchatstocks talks"
X Link 2024-02-10T02:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"For those interested this was a phenomenal episode covering the opportunity ahead for Spotify:"
X Link 2024-02-10T02:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Here's my valuation math only a few months prior: I stated that I wanted to pay 50% of current valuation. What changed Since then my FCF expectations for Spotify have risen & my base case now estimates a 10% IRR. When the facts change what do you do $SPOT I love this business. User growth is amazing. +27% YoY (550M) But valuation is detached from today's financials (0% ad-supported gross margin) At $28B Enterprise Value when does $SPOT reach 1.4B in annual free cash flow (5% FCF/EV yield) [--] Years [--] Years Wen FCF https://t.co/PE1v1QR1K5 $SPOT I love this business. User growth is amazing. +27%"
X Link 2024-02-10T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Portfolio update: Top [--] by weighting - rounded to nearest %: PubMatic $PUBM - 29% Alphabet $GOOGL - 14% Roku $ROKU - 9% Match Group $MTCH - 8% Staar Surgical $STAA - 5% Cloudflare $NET - 4% Crocs $CROX- 4% TransMedics $TMDX - 4% SoFi $SOFI- 4% Tesla $TSLA - 4% What's missing"
X Link 2024-02-10T16:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@RahulSetty_ Probably too much concentration. Ads for content is the quid pro quo of the internet - Only becomes more true over time. ๐ค e-commerce exposure could be a smart way to diversify into another tailwind. Maybe one of the following juggernauts: $AMZN $SHOP $MELI $CPNG $WMT"
X Link 2024-02-10T17:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@RahulSetty_ Semis have a great durable tailwind. Highly cyclical - there will be more chances For me the infrastructure level in software is interesting ( $NET $MDB hyperscaler clouds). I agree valuations are getting expensive for my favorite companies. What companies are you watching"
X Link 2024-02-10T18:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@themotleyfool If Zoom is involved in an acquisition I suspect they would be the acquirers. And the target of the acquisition would be Twilio. They could largely finance the deal with cash on their balance sheet with minimal dilution for such a large acquisition. Eric continues to lead Zoom"
X Link 2024-02-11T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Walmart entering the TV market will be a long forgotten headline in the not-too-distant future. $ROKU accomplished its 1st milestone of profitability (excl. restructuring + SBC). This operating leverage story will accelerate as AVOD services hit the mainstream. $NFLX $AMZN $DIS Investors have been worrying about $ROKU and disintermediation from big tech players and cable incumbents since the company went public in September [----]. 63.3M active accounts later. https://t.co/Fd3sw65Dsd Investors have been worrying about $ROKU and disintermediation from big tech players and cable incumbents since"
X Link 2024-02-16T20:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"#BerkshireLetter2023"
X Link 2024-02-24T22:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If capital becomes scarce and Berkshire could negotiate a set of attractive terms the US energy infrastructure build out could have a long runway as the next capital intensive infrastructure project. Berkshire has the balance sheet & time horizon to pursue such an opportunity"
X Link 2024-02-24T22:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PUBM: Quarterly Impressions Processed (Since IPO)"
X Link 2024-02-26T22:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PUBM: Cost of Revenue per Impression Processed (Since 2018)"
X Link 2024-02-26T22:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Full Year [----] Highlights: - Generated $81.1 million in cash from operations in [----] - Generated $52.8 million in free cash flow in [----] a 38% increase YoY - An additional $100M buyback authorization approved - [----] Revenue growth forecast of 10-12% w/ EBITDA margin of 30%"
X Link 2024-02-26T23:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"- SPO partners who have worked with us for three years or more had an average net spend retention rate of 120% in [----] - Emerging revenue streams which expand beyond ad monetization services contributed three percentage points of YoY revenue growth in the fourth quarter 2023.""
X Link 2024-02-26T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$SNOW: Ramaswamy followed a similar path to becoming the CEO of a major data platform (Snowflake) compared to that of Ittycheria (MongoDB). - Partner at Greylock โ
- Co-Founder of a data company โ
- Extensive history @ Google To me Sridhar has a more impressive background"
X Link 2024-03-06T22:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Tim_X94 @Francis29413576 @7investing I hear your concern regarding the title & I appreciate your intent. While it's not my work I am grateful for the time @7investing invests to develop these models. They're good people and have really enhanced my understanding of the industry. Looking forward to Neutron's debut๐"
X Link 2024-03-26T10:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ROKU: The most important thing See the article in the comments to find out 'what's the deal' with Roku's Cost of Revenue ๐"
X Link 2024-04-22T21:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@CCM_Brett $ROKU"
X Link 2024-05-13T20:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
""Amy Reinhard Netflixs President of Advertising walked advertisers through the continued growth and momentum of Netflixs ad-supported plan which now has [--] million global monthly active users up from [--] million a year ago." $NFLX $TTD $MGNI $PUBM"
X Link 2024-05-21T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"An investment in $ROKU or $PUBM outperforms $NVDA over the next decade. And imo it's not close at current valuations. Thoughts"
X Link 2024-05-24T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Might need to tone down my assumptions supporting these 10-year DCFs. Oh well.๐คทpost $PUBM $ROKU $MTCH $MELI"
X Link 2024-06-06T22:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@StockMarketNerd Below is a draft DCF for Celsius Holdings: Lmk what assumptions should be refined & your thoughts on this Monster adjacent company Kudos on going paid - I've seen the consistent work you've put in since [----] Disclosure: Established a starter in CELH https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1581409709&single=true https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1581409709&single=true"
X Link 2024-06-14T18:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$CELH: An investment in Celsius Holdings looks attractive today with an IRR 14% over [--] yrs. An initial model can be found in the comments What assumptions should be refined Lmk your thoughts on the company that is briskly propelling down the path paved by Monster Beverage"
X Link 2024-06-14T19:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Disclosure: Starter position established in $CELH this week ๐ค"
X Link 2024-06-14T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Additional assumptions๐: - Revenue growth penciled in at 17.5% CAGR - Free Cash Flow growth is 24% CAGR - Operating Expense & Cost of Revenue growth is 15% CAGR - Discount rate of 10% - Terminal growth of 4% - 2.5% share buyback per year shares outstanding down 22% over [--] years"
X Link 2024-06-14T19:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JonahLupton Interested in hearing your thoughts on the model as you recently exited your position & have followed the company for a number of years. Kudos on your successful investment in Celsius Holdings ๐ช"
X Link 2024-06-14T19:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LA_stevens_ The buybacks would fuel better returns. If they don't buyback then the thought is they are getting better returns through sales & marketing. It's more of a placeholder assuming growth has an upper limit. I agree with you that buybacks at unattractive multiples destroys capital"
X Link 2024-06-15T02:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@LA_stevens_ Caffeine ( $SBUX $MNST $CELH) seems much closer to investable than popular quick service restaurants ( $CMG $CAVA $SG) from a valuation lens. Have always wanted to own the latter but find myself more attracted to the former lately. โ Interested to learn what you discover"
X Link 2024-06-15T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A core tenant of Miller Value Partners' investment process is incentive alignment. PubMatic's leadership team is tightly aligned with shareholders given the 25% ownership held by the C Suite. Regarding capital allocation shares outstanding will soon submerge below IPO levels: Great thread.we focus on partnering with aligned owners/managers allocating capital accordingly @millervalue $PUBM $CPNG $CNC $MSTR $CTO $CART $CROX Great thread.we focus on partnering with aligned owners/managers allocating capital accordingly @millervalue $PUBM $CPNG $CNC $MSTR $CTO $CART $CROX"
X Link 2024-06-18T20:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@billfour The companies improving KPIs paired with stellar allocators at the helm make me believe PubMatic is poised to remain a cash flow machine in the years ahead: https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/pubmatic-investment-thesis-revised https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/pubmatic-investment-thesis-revised"
X Link 2024-06-18T21:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@billfour PubMatic Model (with KPIs): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1772676905&single=true https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=1772676905&single=true"
X Link 2024-06-18T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@billfour KPIs (since IPO):"
X Link 2024-06-18T21:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ROKU The most important thing:"
X Link 2024-06-21T03:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Full $ROKU investment thesis (with model): https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/roku-financial-model https://open.substack.com/pub/humaninvesting/p/roku-financial-model"
X Link 2024-06-21T03:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Companies with a shrinking intrinsic value and companies with slow growth are galaxies apart. ๐ญ We MUST get @JRogrow on the interviewee end of the podcast mic more often @bogumil_nyc does a great job of staying present in the discussion & comes prepared with ๐ฅ questions: John Rotonti gave an Ultimate Stockpicking Master Class on Talking Billions this week and here is one of many golden nuggets. Please find the full episode on YouTube Spotify or Apple Podcast. Agree or disagree -- but this conversation will definitely make you think ๐คThank https://t.co/7N2SX166pt John Rotonti gave an"
X Link 2024-06-23T01:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Spotify Link ๐: https://open.spotify.com/episode/2AxrvXsGICEF5qs6DVkSk2si=GhrhbR2KStymWLDlYg3Kvw https://open.spotify.com/episode/2AxrvXsGICEF5qs6DVkSk2si=GhrhbR2KStymWLDlYg3Kvw"
X Link 2024-06-23T01:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Friendly reminder: Supply Path Optimization (SPO) is a tailwind for consolidating Ad-Tech's supply side. $PUBM $MGNI https://t.co/zyRnyh7OU3 https://t.co/zyRnyh7OU3"
X Link 2024-07-15T12:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett What is your IRR threshold I'm underwriting double digit returns at these levels. Anecdotally I like the product and believe it has a great shot to contend with Monster for top dog in the energy drink category (within the US and eventually globally)"
X Link 2024-07-15T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Elliott with the $SBUX stake. ๐๐ Iconic brand meets the need for better execution. Enter this activist. Love it. Elliott with the $SBUX stake. ๐๐ Iconic brand meets the need for better execution. Enter this activist. Love it"
X Link 2024-07-19T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Live $SBUX DCF can be found below: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=519545934&single=true https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlgid=519545934&single=true"
X Link 2024-07-19T19:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"To me the caffeine investment thesis is strong (14% IRR) at today's valuations $CELH $SBUX โ: Live $SBUX DCF below: Live $CELH DCF below: Please read the assumptions think critically & feel empowered to invest in your future. https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801698175608307764t=boUohR2lwyl7ifGtFZ6aqA&s=19 https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1814376707337420815t=afhNVKaEK-Ot9G1VFSvp_g&s=19 $CELH Initial model: https://t.co/TI8REsoGC1 https://t.co/V2wyLmfRxk https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1801698175608307764t=boUohR2lwyl7ifGtFZ6aqA&s=19"
X Link 2024-07-19T20:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@PedroLamento @hiddensmallcaps What would you pay for Hinge growing @ 48% YoY & $600M run rate The cash flow fueling buybacks is a MoS while we wait for Hinge to become "the main thing". Indirect (Ad) revenue is a lever I wish leadership would pull across the Evergreen portfolio. Cue the activist pressure"
X Link 2024-07-31T01:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@PedroLamento @hiddensmallcaps $MTCH CEO within his first [--] years. Tinders' lead is new as well. Acquired Hinge a few years back - on fast track to be #1 dating app globally. Hinge is founder led & operated independently. Not a slam dunk but If Tinder isn't dead it feels comparable to when FB bought Insta"
X Link 2024-07-31T02:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LogicalThesis PubMatic allocation seems light my friend. ๐ May come close to your TransMedics [----] earnings estimate at 1/4 the market cap (ofc w/ slower growth). Doesn't have to be 'either or' - a viable candidate for the raised funds. Buybacks market share growth 20% insider ownership"
X Link 2024-07-31T02:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""During Q2 [----] we continued to make great strides with our brands advertising and commerce initiatives. We launched our video ads product and continue to make progress with our self-serve Ads Manager product and our third party integrations with IAS and PubMatic". $RBLX $PUBM This morning we announced our Q2 [----] financial results. Check out our full earnings report including our Letter to Shareholders: https://t.co/vjtvoPIXv6 https://t.co/gkSsZ5L9U7 This morning we announced our Q2 [----] financial results. Check out our full earnings report including our Letter to Shareholders:"
X Link 2024-08-01T14:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Might be unpublished put behind a paywall etc at some point - but below is a live link to my battle station for assessing opportunity cost in the market today. As I update assumptions on the company DCFs it will impact the IRR found in the opportunity cost tab:"
X Link 2024-08-05T13:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PUBM PubMatic IRR soars above 24% after the company revises FY24 guidance down from 12% to 9% growth The valuation dropped 24%. PubMatic is the top opportunity out of [--] discounted cash flow models stack-ranked by IRR: Greedy when others are fearful. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtml https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtml"
X Link 2024-08-09T04:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$PUBM 2Q24 highlights: 100% growth in monetized CTV impressions YoY [---] commerce media companies in pipeline 20% growth in mobile app revenue - New Partnerships w $DIS HotStar & $ROKU Exchange - $RBLX ad partnership now live - Klarna Partnership & $CART integration live by EoY"
X Link 2024-08-10T18:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@7LukeHallard $TTD is the best positioned ad-tech company. The journey should be more enjoyable investing behind this secular winner. I encourage a deeper dive beneath the 6% YoY growth from $PUBM. Risk/reward ratio is phenomenal on the supply-side of the transaction: https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1822337482056175770t=H68yYG05wv2xJlKiWHEF1g&s=19 $PUBM 2Q24 highlights: 100% growth in monetized CTV impressions YoY [---] commerce media companies in pipeline 20% growth in mobile app revenue - New Partnerships w $DIS HotStar & $ROKU Exchange - $RBLX ad partnership now live - Klarna Partnership &"
X Link 2024-08-10T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PUBM With a strong and growing employee base in Pune Maharashtra (India) - PubMatic is poised to continue winning marquee Ad-Tech deals in the country: https://ppc.land/disney-hotstar-partners-with-pubmatic-to-enhance-ad-reach-in-india/#google_vignette $META's bull thesis (India has banned TT and WhatsApp is a Superapp in the country) https://t.co/1YFvPBMoeK https://ppc.land/disney-hotstar-partners-with-pubmatic-to-enhance-ad-reach-in-india/#google_vignette $META's bull thesis (India has banned TT and WhatsApp is a Superapp in the country) https://t.co/1YFvPBMoeK"
X Link 2024-08-14T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JRogrow You previously described the concept of "overlapping moats". I see Amazon as having overlapping moats within seller services. Notably O&O logistics network & on site monetization (Sponsored Listings) on the dominant platform. +AWS Amazon Video (advertising) & Prime memberships"
X Link 2024-08-21T12:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GHC has a fascinating history as it: - Was founded in [----] as the Washington Post Company - Enjoyed a wildly successful [--] year stretch as public company under the stewardship of the late Kay Graham (+3315%) - Had Warren Buffett serving on its board of directors until 2011"
X Link 2024-08-21T21:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GHC appears to leverage industry knowledge from wholly owned companies within their investing process. They happen to own car dealerships & previously held $UPST. $GHC also owns digital publishing co Slate - you'll never guess who they partner w/ $PUBM https://slate.com/third-party-partners https://slate.com/third-party-partners"
X Link 2024-08-23T02:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LogicalThesis As a user current thoughts on the product from $SNOW How difficult would it be to replace the ecosystem Have any new product releases impressed you personally"
X Link 2024-08-24T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Desktop OS: Windows/Mac Mobile OS: Android/iOS TV OS: Roku/Fire/Chromecast $ROKU: The TV Operating System $ROKU The most important thing: https://t.co/2rt35Y8Re7 $ROKU The most important thing: https://t.co/2rt35Y8Re7"
X Link 2024-08-31T17:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ROKU Of course I'm late to the game with this observation. Anthony Wood communicated this clearly back in 2017: Desktop OS: Windows/Mac Mobile OS: Android/iOS TV OS: Roku/Fire/Chromecast $ROKU: The TV Operating System https://t.co/zFwsNsASvT Desktop OS: Windows/Mac Mobile OS: Android/iOS TV OS: Roku/Fire/Chromecast $ROKU: The TV Operating System https://t.co/zFwsNsASvT"
X Link 2024-09-01T17:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BradAT https://x.com/DaveWeLike/status/1834342759538508146t=Ti4CDk1uMixs0oSToaSang&s=19 OMG $Sono $TTD teaming up to kill $Roku https://t.co/l3dVCgZ6Pd https://x.com/DaveWeLike/status/1834342759538508146t=Ti4CDk1uMixs0oSToaSang&s=19 OMG $Sono $TTD teaming up to kill $Roku https://t.co/l3dVCgZ6Pd"
X Link 2024-09-12T22:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ronjonbSaaS Why Palantir Snowflake"
X Link 2024-09-19T04:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TMFJaguar Thinking with a Rule Breaking framework: Sell iRobot to add to Roku Block or Airbnb. Based solely on IRR: PubMatic looks great. Not confident iRobot has the optionality I once believed it to have. I liked the merger arb opportunity moving forward it faces stiff competition"
X Link 2024-10-02T04:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TMFJaguar Imo Celsius IRR appears attractive as well - worth watching their international adoption and growth rates beyond this upcoming earnings call. Hoping Q4 guidance will be refreshing and can confirm that Pepsi pulled in the rightsizing of their inventory in Q3:"
X Link 2024-10-02T05:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"My live dashboard of IRR ranked investment opportunities. Updates in real-time based on current market prices All [--] Discounted Cash Flow Models found at the link below: Feel free to check out the assumptions behind each DCF. Feedback appreciated ๐ฉต https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlurp=gmail_link&gxid=-8203366 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxo60RtocYREFK07zI4XedOWbcvBkx2TZK5QFOOujf_EO-hKYJOGvwo6gkgh0WVruSenF2kglax7RE/pubhtmlurp=gmail_link&gxid=-8203366"
X Link 2024-10-03T02:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""Streaming climbed 11% on a YoY basis & most of the gain has been driven by platforms w/ 30% YoY growth including Disney+ Peacock & Tubi. The $Roku Channel was the biggest mover of the year however as viewership on the FAST platform has grown 42% compared w/ last September.""
X Link 2024-10-15T23:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ROKU: As a TV Operating System 47% market share of CTV hours streamed within the United States seems like valuable real estate to me:"
X Link 2024-10-26T00:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LogicalThesis In Q3 only 61% of case volumes used their owned and operated fleet (up from 59% in Q2). TransMedics Group's revenue growth will outpace their case volume growth until that number approaches 100%. ๐ฃ"
X Link 2024-10-30T02:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Coinbase $COIN isn't the only company supporting Bitcoin adoption Block $SQ has a thriving core (Cash App Square AfterPay) + has been focused on developing Bitcoin infrastructure for years With a hiring cap in place $SQ's operating leverage is scaling - trades at 5.5x EV/GP:"
X Link 2024-11-07T03:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Share count decreasing Ew. https://x.com/nachunja/status/1854735378357395612t=37L258akqQlPzKm-CRGWMw&s=19 $SQ - No more dilution Share count has flipped negative With less employees and $2.7B in buyback left share count likely continues to decrease https://t.co/sdWNlTyHND https://x.com/nachunja/status/1854735378357395612t=37L258akqQlPzKm-CRGWMw&s=19 $SQ - No more dilution Share count has flipped negative With less employees and $2.7B in buyback left share count likely continues to decrease https://t.co/sdWNlTyHND"
X Link 2024-11-08T21:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$SQ headed to zero"
X Link 2024-11-08T21:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In this episode of 'In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen' Vinod Khosla co-founder of Sun Microsystems and Khosla Ventures discusses future advances of technology in society investing across improbable bets & characteristics of successful entrepreneurs: https://open.spotify.com/episode/5oGtC2mXVZADBog33Ez8S6si=eZBjAAWfSvq2YHEJrzZoxQ&t=2033 https://open.spotify.com/episode/5oGtC2mXVZADBog33Ez8S6si=eZBjAAWfSvq2YHEJrzZoxQ&t=2033"
X Link 2024-11-11T00:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PUBM :: $TWTR I too am particularly excited about PubMatic launching this partnership:"
X Link 2024-11-12T22:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$PUBM $PUBM :: $TWTR I too am particularly excited about PubMatic launching this partnership: https://t.co/5R7u20KVRb $PUBM :: $TWTR I too am particularly excited about PubMatic launching this partnership: https://t.co/5R7u20KVRb"
X Link 2024-11-13T02:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$PUBM: KPIs over the last year $PUBM https://t.co/Vd4wXriXI4 $PUBM https://t.co/Vd4wXriXI4"
X Link 2024-11-13T05:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"- Q3 normalized revenue growth from the core business was 17% YoY (excluding political bump and one time DSP step down in spend - comps ease in 3Q25) - Emerging revenue will be at least 4% of revenue in Q4. The emerging revenue segment is higher margin revenue - KPIs trending ๐"
X Link 2024-11-13T12:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"CTV is going swimmingly. Innovations in automated sentiment recognition of video ad creative enabled streaming publishers (who would have excluded political ads) to feel comfortable allowing some political ads. This capability was developed during an internal hackathon in 2024:"
X Link 2024-11-13T12:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Mobile App revenue growth of 20% YoY. 4th straight quarter over this hurdle:"
X Link 2024-11-13T12:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Top [--] publicly traded DSPs by market cap: $APP - $96B $TTD - $59B Top [--] publicly traded SSPs by market cap: $MGNI - $2.3B $PUBM - $0.72B Will DSPs capture 50x more value than SSPs SSP market is consolidating and increasingly activating publisher data to increase yield"
X Link 2024-11-15T16:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Invesquotes @CCM_Brett Added some TransMedics here ๐ฃ Investor day today laid out some ambitious goals which seems achievable: @LogicalThesis has crushed it in [----] optimizing for short term moves but over the next [--] years this feels like a slam dunk: https://x.com/LogicalThesis/status/1866584627395301875t=9XeO0wnfZ9REl2UyQMgRVQ&s=19 https://web.quartr.com/companies/5618/events/266663targetTime=null @ManthanTweets1 I'm not gonna waste too much time on analyzing $TMDX until it shows up in the numbers I have a feeling I know mostly what they discussed. Nothing new in my view Plenty other names"
X Link 2024-12-10T21:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett Based on recent history it seems like a winner-take-most market for demand aggregation. Q: Do these networks integrate onto Uber or compete directly Having deleted Lyft over a year ago I wonder if power users would be willing to check Uber Waymo & Tesla apps for ride hail"
X Link 2024-12-13T01:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett ".intends to return at least 100% of free cash flow to its shareholders over the next three years through a combination of payment of a quarterly cash dividend & by continuing its share repurchase program" Value shelter buyback machine dividend payer https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html"
X Link 2024-12-14T04:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett Weird situation at $MTCH. Tinder is stable but not growing. Hinge is now operating income positive + is the reason SBC is rising. Hinge Operating income should outpace SBC growth moving forward. Decent structural returns if valuations melt up. Buyers will come for the dividend ๐ธ"
X Link 2024-12-14T04:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$MTCH: Interesting to see Hinge at 600M ARR continuing to scale at 25% topline growth w 29% operating income margins. Tinder stabilizing global leader in dating apps at 12% FCF yield. 100% of FCF over the next [--] years returned to shareholders through buybacks + dividend"
X Link 2024-12-14T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"As of 3Q'2024:"
X Link 2024-12-14T19:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"" $MTCH has consistently prioritized returning capital to its shareholders . Intends to return at least 100% of FCF to its shareholders over the next [--] years through a combination of new quarterly dividend & continuing its share repurchase program." https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/match-group-hosts-first-investor-day-announces-initiation-of-dividend-new-share-buyback-authorization-302328975.html"
X Link 2024-12-14T19:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ROKU: - Roku OS has 50% market share of streaming hours for TV Operating systems across United States households - Roku Exchange is onboarding demand from independent DSPs and built self serve as buying tools - Sustainable profitability inflection occurring as soon as 4Q24"
X Link 2024-12-15T04:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$UBER: Global Mobility Platform ๐ - Gap between OpEx and Gross Profit continuing to expand (FCF ๐) - SBC starting to be offset by share repurchase program - @StockMarketNerd shared great insights into Waymo's autonomous vehicle network (aggregation on Uber v. competition)๐ Highlights from a recent $UBER CFO Interview -- topics include Waymo San Fran data Waymo Miami Launch & [----] Expectations: https://t.co/b4dTLx0vkt Highlights from a recent $UBER CFO Interview -- topics include Waymo San Fran data Waymo Miami Launch & [----] Expectations: https://t.co/b4dTLx0vkt"
X Link 2024-12-16T22:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"'"Investors who buy 'undervalued' small stocks have been punished for their prudence. People are wondering. How can the S&P [---] be up 20% and my stocks are down The answer is that a few stocks in the S&P [---] are propping up the averages." This quote is from Peter Lynch in 2000' I spent some time reflecting on an important topic for any stock picker. Hope you enjoy this new article. https://t.co/c3ms5C8XMy I spent some time reflecting on an important topic for any stock picker. Hope you enjoy this new article. https://t.co/c3ms5C8XMy"
X Link 2024-12-28T06:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Full Article (3 min read): https://microcapclub.com/no-one-to-blame/ https://microcapclub.com/no-one-to-blame/"
X Link 2024-12-28T06:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If you follow $SQ but not @nachunja you are missing out on incredible insights. Appreciate the analysis & consistent coverage๐ $SQ - Great listen on @protomining $SQ - Great listen on @protomining"
X Link 2024-12-30T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Valuation regresses to a companies expected future cash flow potential In [----] this could be a tailwind for some portfolios and a headwind to others' portfolios Financial Gravity ๐ง๐ Jan [--] and I'm already exceeding last year's PnL lets get it. Jan [--] and I'm already exceeding last year's PnL lets get it"
X Link 2025-01-03T22:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@LukeWolgram @yetundiscovered Companies growing their cash flow potential while valuation contracts - sounds like a great set up for [----] ๐"
X Link 2025-01-03T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
""have no merits & were primarily intended to manipulate the market for financial gains. Fails to accurately represent$TMDXbusiness technology diverse culture & steadfast focus on delivering exceptional products + services to meet the needs of the global transplant community." Scorpion is short $TMDX (possibly along with or through its principals members partners affiliates employees consultants clients investors and/or related party entities/vehicles) & therefore stands to realize significant gains in the event that its stock/options decline. Scorpion is short $TMDX (possibly along with or"
X Link 2025-01-13T13:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Source: https://investors.transmedics.com/news-releases/news-release-details/transmedics-responds-inaccurate-and-misleading-claims-recent https://investors.transmedics.com/news-releases/news-release-details/transmedics-responds-inaccurate-and-misleading-claims-recent"
X Link 2025-01-13T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""We remain laser focused on executing our growth plans including the launch of our next-gen OCS Heart & OCS Lung programs as well as several other strategic initiatives in 2025." $TMDX is speaking at the JP Morgan Healthcare conference today 5:15pm EST: https://investors.transmedics.com/events/event-details/43rd-annual-jp-morgan-healthcare-conference https://investors.transmedics.com/events/event-details/43rd-annual-jp-morgan-healthcare-conference"
X Link 2025-01-13T13:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"๐คค Love me some BBQ $TMDX We are short $TMDX TransMedics. Report now live at https://t.co/Osxq0mAPTd. We plan to shortly file a Citizen Petition with the FDA as well. Walk Like An Egyptian: A Mafia-Style Extortion Racketeering And Organ Trafficking Scheme Masquerading As A Medical Device Company We are short $TMDX TransMedics. Report now live at https://t.co/Osxq0mAPTd. We plan to shortly file a Citizen Petition with the FDA as well. Walk Like An Egyptian: A Mafia-Style Extortion Racketeering And Organ Trafficking Scheme Masquerading As A Medical Device Company"
X Link 2025-01-13T23:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"๐ฆ headline claimed a "customer exodus". @Transmedics reassured investors by releasing [----] organ transplant data. At a data disadvantage & on the to lower share price ๐ฆ will: - the data - Point to expert opinion - Distract w anecdotal FUD Let them. Debate w data. $TMDX @LoganD27 @ScorpionFund Clicks submit on the citizen petition https://t.co/YpRigt2FEx @LoganD27 @ScorpionFund Clicks submit on the citizen petition https://t.co/YpRigt2FEx"
X Link 2025-01-16T13:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"TransMedics $TMDX Napkin Thesis: - The technology leader in a mission critical industry๐ฅ - Built logistics infrastructure๐ซ - Winning Market Shareโ - Growing overall US market๐ฑ - International Market๐ - Founder Led๐ฉบ - Profitable๐ Large enough opportunity to 10x @ $2B MC ๐งโ"
X Link 2025-01-17T00:08Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements
"$TMDX Organ Transplant Distribution:"
X Link 2025-01-17T00:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$TMDX Operating Results:"
X Link 2025-01-17T00:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"TransMedics Organ Care System is a reliable & cost competitive"
X Link 2025-01-17T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TMDX Organ Care System delivers better clinical outcomes:"
X Link 2025-01-17T01:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Next Gen OCS (NG OCS) clinical programs for Heart & Lungs launch in [----]. NG OCS delivers better outcomes AND Quadruples the available window for organ perfusion (up to [--] hours ๐ up to [--] hours) *Control in Lung study is considered the gold standard"
X Link 2025-01-17T02:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"OCS Kidney: Coming Soon"
X Link 2025-01-17T02:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TMDX Mission: "We are focused on transforming the standard of care increasing organ utilization improving patient outcomes and reducing transplant costs." โป"
X Link 2025-01-17T02:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Conscious capitalism in motion ๐ค"
X Link 2025-01-17T02:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"While leadership expects to achieve 30% long term operating margins even reaching 25% margins results in $300M of [----] Operating Profit. Slap a 20x multiple on this figure and we have ourselves a multi bagger DCF available in pinned post ๐ https://x.com/ClarkSquareCap/status/1880014189407924253t=G_c6WRFfhJu1ToJarKEnKA&s=19 How to value a stock. https://t.co/LP4TRd1kHT https://x.com/ClarkSquareCap/status/1880014189407924253t=G_c6WRFfhJu1ToJarKEnKA&s=19 How to value a stock. https://t.co/LP4TRd1kHT"
X Link 2025-01-17T02:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TMDX TransMedics Infrastructure https://x.com/EventuallyWLTHY/status/1866512383780295017t=R-dmPhsAZvjM_xgNTEjqCg&s=19 $TMDX just released a video showcasing how NOP works at their Investor Day Event. If youre still unsure about the business model of $TMDX then watch this. OCS is the product NOP is the entire operation on how $TMDX moves OCS efficiently. https://t.co/DEm9bsbOEG https://x.com/EventuallyWLTHY/status/1866512383780295017t=R-dmPhsAZvjM_xgNTEjqCg&s=19 $TMDX just released a video showcasing how NOP works at their Investor Day Event. If youre still unsure about the business model of"
X Link 2025-01-17T12:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Best type of moat ".Overlapping and reinforcing moats. Combine that with a management team that invests constantly to fortify & possibly widen those moats over time". $TMDX Technology Logistics & potential for Policy moat as the standard of care https://x.com/chitchatstocks/status/1818337429700722810t=axekMldOnBi9eIoiZYd6hg&s=19 What are the best types of moats @JRogrow explains the idea of overlapping moats with $ASML and $V https://t.co/QQrOQ5Yuzx https://x.com/chitchatstocks/status/1818337429700722810t=axekMldOnBi9eIoiZYd6hg&s=19 What are the best types of moats @JRogrow explains the"
X Link 2025-01-17T12:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TomSmith839 @jevgenijs Time will tell if this was a diet or a lifestyle change $XYZ"
X Link 2025-01-20T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ABNB "Co-Host Network connects hosts with [-----] co-hosts 73% are Superhosts in [--] countries ready to take the work out of hosting with help for one thingor everything." "In the [--] weeks since launch weve received tremendous interest from [-----] potential new co-hosts.""
X Link 2025-01-31T23:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$ABNB Profit Growth - Organic Gross Profit growth of 10% - Cash + Float earn interest yield Capital Allocation - Buybacks with remaining cash (after organic + inorganic investments) - Share Buyback Yield 2% after SBC"
X Link 2025-02-01T00:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ABNB: Global Expansion and Geographic Distribution - Global ADR of $164 Flat to up 1% - All markets growing with LatAm & APAC outpacing the larger EMEA & North America segments"
X Link 2025-02-01T01:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ABNB "And what I expect is every year now for the coming years we will launch [--] to [--] new businesses that will generate $1 billion+ of revenue incrementally a year." "I'm [--] years old. I started this company when I was [--]. & I feel like I have a couple of decades ahead of me""
X Link 2025-02-01T02:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Block $XYZ has the chance to build an ecosystem of solutions for mining infrastructure through Proto: https://www.mining.build/blog/introducing-proto-building-the-future-of-bitcoin-mining-hardware-2/ https://www.mining.build/blog/introducing-proto-building-the-future-of-bitcoin-mining-hardware-2/"
X Link 2025-02-09T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Block's $XYZ core of Square Cash App & Afterpay becoming leaner + maintaining double digit gross profit growth"
X Link 2025-02-09T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PUBM PubMatic reports Q4 earnings after market close. SSPs will eventually re-rate higher. Hoping we continue to aggressively buyback shares. My prediction for FY2025: - Revenue growth rates 10% - Slight gross profit margin expansion - Aggressive Buybacks slight chance of M&A $PUBM PubMatic Inc Investment Thesis Revised (link in comments) https://t.co/bvrCKxfr77 $PUBM PubMatic Inc Investment Thesis Revised (link in comments) https://t.co/bvrCKxfr77"
X Link 2025-02-27T05:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mugsley @kiwicarrotcake Leadership must continue to be prudent capital allocators during peak pessimism. Imo $PUBM PubMatic should deploy remaining authorized buyback. Shareholders would benefit. YoY Revenue growth is structurally set to accelerate from down low single digits to up nearly 10% by EOY๐ฃ"
X Link 2025-02-28T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TTD: The Decade of The Trade Desk (49% CAGR)"
X Link 2025-03-06T00:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$TTD: The Trade Desk's Operating Leverage Era"
X Link 2025-03-06T12:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@OptionWell The Trade Desk is trusted a growth engine accelerating the migration of demand towards premium publishers in secular growth areas (Commerce CTV Audio). $TTD Assuming steady operating leverage + mid-teens growth: A fair price for a wonderful business๐ https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897439635669676496t=BAp_dkLMno1R9iVe61ocqQ&s=19 $TTD: The Decade of The Trade Desk (49% CAGR) https://t.co/p8OwwvEZFF https://x.com/cole_barcia/status/1897439635669676496t=BAp_dkLMno1R9iVe61ocqQ&s=19 $TTD: The Decade of The Trade Desk (49% CAGR) https://t.co/p8OwwvEZFF"
X Link 2025-03-07T01:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""That sentiment has only grown louder over the past two years as media agencies have taken more control over programmatic ad buying. Once content to let ad tech players like The Trade Desk handle it agencies have been pushed by advertisers to step up building out their own tech and services to optimize ad buying. Naturally that shift pulled them away from The Trade Desk $TTD and closer to the other power players in the auction: supply-side platforms which hold the data and tech agencies need to secure the best ad impressions. In addition theres concerns among some media buyers over rising"
X Link 2025-03-08T21:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Source: https://digiday.com/media-buying/ties-between-the-trade-desk-and-key-media-agencies-are-weakening/ https://digiday.com/media-buying/ties-between-the-trade-desk-and-key-media-agencies-are-weakening/"
X Link 2025-03-08T21:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"To be clear I expect $TTD will be wildly successful in accelerating direct deal revenue towards emerging premium publishers (Netflix Walmart Spotify etc.) Competition is heating up to steward the migration of direct deal spend through the programmatic supply chain (DSPs+SSPs)"
X Link 2025-03-08T21:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TTD: Visio powered by Ventura could make a lot of sense given the companies' existing partnership (Walmart Connect). I don't think any $TTD investors took this seriously either (besides maybe some Wall St bulls) I'm no M&A expert but if I were in TTD management why not consider a merger with $Roku Both of them together can compete better than being separate when you consider: - Amazon DSP I don't think any $TTD investors took this seriously either (besides maybe some Wall St bulls) I'm no M&A expert but if I were in TTD management why not consider a merger with $Roku Both of them together"
X Link 2025-03-13T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@fools_gd Agree with the sector continuing to grow in importance over time Admittedly I don't yet have a deep understanding of the ecosystem. From the cheap seats it seems like $CRWD $NET $ZS have been leaders & are positioned to continue winning ๐ก"
X Link 2025-03-20T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TMFJaguar Roku went straight to Q&A on the last earnings call. Anthony Wood dropping the shareholder letter & opening the floor for analyst questions:"
X Link 2025-03-28T16:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Low bar for success here - i.e. extending $WMT partnership to let Visio run on Ventura $TTD benefits from data - similar to how $APP trains on data from O&O mobile apps. $ROKU sees the shows users watch frames they hover on & more. CTV ad spend is finally @ its ๐ inflection"
X Link 2025-04-08T19:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@plantmath1 "We saw a hole in the market that we can deliver on" - Goal is to acquire Bitcoin similar to MicroStrategy Let's call it "New MicroStrategy""
X Link 2025-04-23T22:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-judge-sets-may-2-191725679.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-judge-sets-may-2-191725679.html"
X Link 2025-04-25T20:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Shareholder Letter: https://image.roku.com/bWFya2V0aW5n/1Q25-Shareholder-Letter.pdf https://image.roku.com/bWFya2V0aW5n/1Q25-Shareholder-Letter.pdf"
X Link 2025-05-02T23:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Exact quote from Founder & CEO Anthony Wood in the 1Q25 earnings call"
X Link 2025-05-02T23:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$ROKU leadership has an impressive command of the levers required to deliver on its promise of profitability. Platform gross profit peaked briefly above OpEx in the seasonally strong fourth quarter trending towards a structural inversion by [----]. Roku is a CTV battleship - cruising full steam ahead through a storm of macro uncertainty: Exact quote from Founder & CEO Anthony Wood in the 1Q25 earnings call https://t.co/6VYzNiUKYN Exact quote from Founder & CEO Anthony Wood in the 1Q25 earnings call https://t.co/6VYzNiUKYN"
X Link 2025-05-03T00:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@CCM_Ryan Founder-Led AdTech sampler from my portfolio: - The Trade Desk - Roku - PubMatic I would second TransMedics as one of those Rule Breaker-y types of founder-led companies who are changing the world for the better"
X Link 2025-05-27T02:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Yes and Billions of dollars in incremental ad spend are migrating to The Trade Desk each year. $TTD processed over $12 Billion in global ad spend in [----] - an incremental increase of $2 BILLION from the year ago period. Nothing stops this train. ๐ Adweek reports brands are moving millions from The Trade Desk $TTD to Amazons DSP. One global auto brand alone moved $80M by Q1. $AMZN's lower fees broader reach (including Thursday Night Football) and growing Prime Video inventory are drawing buyers. https://t.co/yvw0n2xsvC Adweek reports brands are moving millions from The Trade Desk $TTD to"
X Link 2025-06-05T17:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@LogicalThesis @RahulSetty_ Its a valid point. Celsius went the other route by announcing debt with the Alani acquisition. I dont know why they would choose to proceed in this order"
X Link 2025-06-10T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@plantmath1 Lmao +1 With recent AI investment + CapEx spend makes me wonder why big tech (cloud) companies wouldnt also take $5-10B for a 9.9% stake in Cloudflare or Crowdstrike. Higher probability bet that both contribute meaningfully to AI infrastructure @ a more reasonable valuation"
X Link 2025-06-11T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Cloudflare continues to be one of the most impressive companies at expanding their addressable market. End of the month they will be launching a service to prevent LLM scrapers from collecting web content. This could be the start of a programmatic marketplace for data access ๐ค I did in fact say this: I go to war every single day with the Chinese government the Russian government the Iranians the North Koreans probably Americans the Israelis all of them who are trying to hack into our customer sites. And you're telling me I can't stop some nerd I did in fact say this: I go to war every single"
X Link 2025-06-22T14:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ROKU: The future home for streaming sports Not only can you find all of the live TV streaming services you need to watch every game available on linear television on Roku but practically every subscription streamer that carries live sports is also available via the platform"
X Link 2025-06-23T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CCM_Brett Round table episode with [--] bull [--] bear & [--] objective party familiar with the Hims & Hers business model For the sharp objective analyst I would highly recommend @RahulSetty_ Plenty of bulls and bears to choose from across Twitter ๐"
X Link 2025-06-24T15:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$AMZN x $ROKU Amazon DSP brings major fire power both in terms of first party data & $12B in annual open internet ad spend up 40% YoY. In [----] Roku shifted its strategy from walled to hedged garden opening its inventory to leading independent DSPs including The Trade Desk: Amazon Ads and Roku Announce Partnership Creating the Largest Authenticated CTV Footprint $AMZN x $ROKU As the most addressable platform for Rokus CTV activation Amazon DSP now offers advertisers new exclusive advantages: - Reach with more precision: Authenticated reach Amazon Ads and Roku Announce Partnership Creating the"
X Link 2025-06-25T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Roku: Why Now Roku signing deals with both The Trade Desk and Amazon DSP over the past [--] months is a major strategic pivot that will benefit the leading TV Operating System across Canada the United States & Mexico. In [----] Roku shifted its strategy from walled to hedged garden opening its inventory to leading independent DSPs including The Trade Desk and Amazons open internet facing segment: Amazon DSP. Amazon DSP brings major fire power both in terms of first party data & $12B in annual open internet ad spend up 40% YoY. The Trade Desk similarly commands $12B in annual ad spend (all open"
X Link 2025-07-04T22:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Platform Gross Profit Margin Inflection Platform Gross Profit Margins have stabilized and slightly increased YoY for each of the past [--] quarters. With leadership finding religion in cost discipline I suspect twin engines of platform gross profit margin normalization paired with strong platform revenue growth will drive extraordinary FCF growth over the decade ahead. $ROKU 3/N"
X Link 2025-07-04T22:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Financial Forecasting & Models I forecast FCF to grow from $300M over the trailing twelve months to $750M in [----]. Applying a 30x free cash flow multiple equates to a $22.5B Market Capitalization or a [--] year IRR of 22% While I choose an elevated multiple it is to reflect the above market-average rate of Free Cash Flow. The path to achieving this growth is user acquisition and subsequent monetization of those new cohorts of users. To obtain new users Roku has a proven playbook which enables its international expansion. The company acquires rights to content to onboard to The Roku Channel and"
X Link 2025-07-04T22:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Phase II: Operating Leverage Operating Expense growth has been controlled enabling gross profit to structurally improve upon the operating margin profile of the business. Sustained operating leverage & operating income Inflection points are often associated with multiple re-ratings and narrative shifts. $ROKU 6/N"
X Link 2025-07-04T22:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Parsing out Device Segment from the Platform Segment While Devices are a loss leader (negative gross margin) platform revenue growth is structurally being structurally lifted by the influx of demand flowing in through TTD Amazon DSP & the long tail of independent DSPs $ROKU 7/N"
X Link 2025-07-04T22:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TravisHoium @7Innovator Mom it was never a phase Crocs Investors x All Time Low: https://youtu.be/kNnEzYXBps8si=EzsEwXxxoc_whusi https://youtu.be/kNnEzYXBps8si=EzsEwXxxoc_whusi"
X Link 2025-07-10T20:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Rokus Platform Revenue business model works similar to mobile OS app stores. Primary revenue is generated from taking a cut of revenue generated from most ad supported streaming applications on the platform a cut of revenue generated from ad supported content on the Roku Channel & all revenue from monetizing ad placement on the Home Screen: TV OS App Store: Subscriptions & A-La-Carte Content. Secondarily they take a cut of most paid subscriptions which users sign up for within the OS (billed and managed by Roku Pay). Conclusion: More users. More streaming hours. More platform revenue."
X Link 2025-07-10T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Tab to autocomplete. Tab to import dependencies. Tab to glory. $GOOGL https://youtu.be/aww-BUzL9Lcsi=hLjIOxRDYg4RBOqm https://youtu.be/aww-BUzL9Lcsi=hLjIOxRDYg4RBOqm"
X Link 2025-07-12T05:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Agentic coding - distributed by Google โจ Windsurf - Cascade (JetBrains): https://docs.windsurf.com/plugins/cascade/cascade-overview https://docs.windsurf.com/plugins/cascade/cascade-overview"
X Link 2025-07-12T05:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@plantmath1 Alphabet is actively diversifying its revenue streams๐ [--] segments are meaningful contributors with revenue growth outpacing Search - their corresponding margins are expanding & earnings will follow. Despite new modalities of search emerging I believe Search growth is durable"
X Link 2025-07-13T13:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The Trade Desk set to join the S&P [---] at the end of this week ๐ซ A major milestone for the AdTech juggernaut ๐ฆพ To the ocean of index investors who are about to become $TTD shareholders:"
X Link 2025-07-14T22:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Source (Yahoo Finance): https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trade-desk-set-join-p-213900069.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trade-desk-set-join-p-213900069.html"
X Link 2025-07-14T22:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"An autonomous vehicle with a comprehensive sensor suite (Radar Lidar & Cameras) the track record of Waymo (150 Million km of safe autonomous taxi rides) for the price of a Tesla ($30k) Only in China. Coming soon to Hong Kong Dubai & Abu Dhabi - The global race for autonomous taxi dominance is underway๐ Tesla $TSLA Waymo $GOOGL Apollo Go $BIDU. ๐จ๐ The latest episode of @driverlessguy_ podcast is live with Helen K. Pan General Manager of @BaiduApollo Autonomous Driving USA Baidu's Self-Driving Division. We discussed a bunch of different topics: Background on Baidu and Apollo Go Chinas"
X Link 2025-07-16T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Block $XYZ is set to join the S&P [---] $SPY after market close on July 22ndโก The payments & financial services provider has sharpened its focus on fiscal responsibility while accelerating innovation โป A disruptive company at a fair price for investors DCAing into the index ๐ The Trade Desk set to join the S&P [---] at the end of this week ๐ซ A major milestone for the AdTech juggernaut ๐ฆพ To the ocean of index investors who are about to become $TTD shareholders: https://t.co/f1vY7uoBSm The Trade Desk set to join the S&P [---] at the end of this week ๐ซ A major milestone for the AdTech juggernaut"
X Link 2025-07-18T22:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Source (SP Global): https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20250718-1478910/1478910_hes5.pdf https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20250718-1478910/1478910_hes5.pdf"
X Link 2025-07-18T22:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ROKU: Operating leverage remains resilient despite slippage in platform gross profit margins. ๐ Platform Revenue +18% YoY ๐ Platform Gross Profit +13% YoY ๐ OpEx +5% YoY Significant profitability milestones forecasted for 2H [----]. Ads business is firing on all cylinders ๐ฃโ"
X Link 2025-07-31T22:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PUBM: That is the LTM of SBC bought back in the last quarter. With $96M left on the buyback authorization and over $100M net cash - I would guess we buy back somewhere around 2M shares this quarter. Thats like 5% of the company lol: August [----] AdTech Commentary: Lots of dynamism occurring in the programmatic space this year. Sector tailwinds of note are that the ecosystem is trending more towards wholly owned transactions (TTD OpenPath Magnite Clearline PubMatic Activate). So while majority of August [----] AdTech Commentary: Lots of dynamism occurring in the programmatic space this year."
X Link 2025-08-16T21:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BIDU: [---] Million autonomous driverless rides in 2Q2025. $GOOGL: Latest Waymo reported comparable metric is [------] rides per week in April25 (3 Million rides per quarter). $TSLA: The trajectory of deep-pocketed tech giant subsidiaries are worth watching v Tesla Robotaxi"
X Link 2025-08-21T02:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
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