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# ![@cointradernik Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2372712211.png) @cointradernik Nik

Nik posts on X about bitcoin, $btc, gold, bear the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::2372712211/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2372712211/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +8.30%
- [--] Month [-------] +236%
- [--] Months [---------] +85%
- [--] Year [---------] -14%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2372712211/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2372712211/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] no change
- [--] Month [---] +45%
- [--] Months [---] +76%
- [--] Year [---] -40%

### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::2372712211/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2372712211/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +0.05%
- [--] Month [-------] +0.12%
- [--] Months [-------] +2%
- [--] Year [-------] +4.60%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2372712211/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2372712211/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  36.8% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  36% [stocks](/list/stocks)  10.4% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  4.8% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  4.8% [currencies](/list/currencies)  3.2% [countries](/list/countries)  1.6% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  0.8%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #4892, [$btc](/topic/$btc) #1540, [gold](/topic/gold) 7.2%, [bear](/topic/bear) 5.6%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) #2252, [the most](/topic/the-most) 4.8%, [altcoin](/topic/altcoin) 4.8%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 4%, [copper](/topic/copper) #683, [alltime](/topic/alltime) #708

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@ostiumlabs](/creator/undefined) [@kobe9616](/creator/undefined) [@comfyleverage](/creator/undefined) [@viophl](/creator/undefined) [@dalio777](/creator/undefined) [@chain_alphax](/creator/undefined) [@crypto_condom](/creator/undefined) [@bowtiedlobster](/creator/undefined) [@vegman08](/creator/undefined) [@thecavemenclub](/creator/undefined) [@deitaone](/creator/undefined) [@biden8888](/creator/undefined) [@1980raghavan](/creator/undefined) [@nakamotolisk](/creator/undefined) [@vanderatelier](/creator/undefined) [@rex_btc1](/creator/undefined) [@kevihaiceth](/creator/undefined) [@nicolas74143825](/creator/undefined) [@veg_man08](/creator/undefined) [@bluekurtic](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)](/topic/$cl) [Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY)](/topic/$glxy) [Mario Coin (COIN)](/topic/$coin) [Caught in 4K (4K)](/topic/$4k) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG)](/topic/$hg) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD)](/topic/$gold) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [Monad (MON)](/topic/monad) [Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB)](/topic/$db)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Part Two of the [----] Outlook is now live: If you dont want to know how the Dollar Index SPX Gold Copper and Oil are likely to trade in [----] this aint for you Everyone else I promise itll be worth your time (linked below along with a TLDR on $DXY) 🤝 Okay Part One of my 3-part [----] Outlook series is now available (link below). Have published this to Substack and put a poll at the end to see if you prefer reading on there vs X vs @OstiumLabs native blog This focuses on monthly and quarterly timeframes for $BTC $ETH and https://t.co/ndKI6UWyl3 Okay Part One of my 3-part [----] Outlook series is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2011433867119374750)  2026-01-14T13:42Z 112.7K followers, 66K engagements


"This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 After last weeks historic volatility and upcoming crypto-related earnings Ive focused on price-action in $BTC $MSTR $GLXY $COIN & $HOOD with a couple of these looking potentially atrocious and a couple much more promising 👀 Enjoy the read 🫡 https://t.co/L8weMYGWOT https://t.co/L8weMYGWOT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2020908766410027377)  2026-02-09T17:12Z 112.7K followers, 31.9K engagements


"The fact that the forever top narrative has only just emerged after a 50% drawdown into some of the most overextended downside conditions weve seen on Bitcoin is evidence of the fact that narrative really does just follow price Weve conjured up new and terrifying reasons why its all over precisely where we should expect such narratives to emerge the more violent the drawdown (2.5 standard deviations below the 365d rolling VWAP) the more existential the narrative And when Bitcoin makes new all-time highs again New narratives will emerge and old narratives will re-emerge and well be talking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021244627618083051)  2026-02-10T15:27Z 112.7K followers, 25.5K engagements


"All Im looking for is anchored VWAP from all-time highs and I think we get it in H1 [--] days away from the first 2-week close above 365d rolling VWAP for OTHERS/BTC since March [----] (and if were only counting closes above from below then Nov 2023) A stones throw away from a monthly structure shift for OTHERS/(BTC+ETH) $OTHERS more extended to the downside last week than June [----] I said in my [----] Outlook that the Short Alts / Long BTC & Get Rich in [----] trade is likely too consensus coming into H1 and price-action + momentum so far look to be validating this Dont overstay your welcome if we do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021965712785289241)  2026-02-12T15:12Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This is perhaps the most divided Ive ever seen smart people on the direction of travel for [----] Half think higher for longer into [----] Half think generational top on equities at [----] and a major bear market into 2027"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021980710777803159)  2026-02-12T16:12Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Enjoy the read: Will be live on X shortly 🤝 https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-72---crypto-reckoning Gm ☕ Been off the grid for a few days and did not leave any Thursday overnight limits on XAG at [--] or BTC at [--] as intended because I was going to have unreliable access Classically BTC puked through 2.5std devs towards 3std devs below that 365d rolling VWAP whilst silver https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-72---crypto-reckoning Gm ☕ Been off the grid for a few days and did not leave any Thursday overnight limits on XAG at [--] or BTC at [--] as intended because I was going to have"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2020827281493774615)  2026-02-09T11:49Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"For alts (as they are most sensitive to the below dynamics) arguably we are only now entering the kind of environment that has historically been favourable [--] years on from the Jan [----] peak Global M2 - Global GDP YoY CB Liquidity YoY flat but appears to be bottoming out USDCNH USM2/DXY consolidating under Covid highs: weaker Dollar + more credit creation will send this beyond prior cycle highs Business Cycle Composite still in a grinding choppy uptrend but well off prior cycle highs with a view towards inflecting higher in [----] into [----] vs peaking early and entering contraction (higher for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2013547922135134264)  2026-01-20T09:43Z 112.7K followers, 14.7K engagements


"This weeks Market Outlook is now available👇 In this weeks edition Ive covered recent price-action in some of the tickers related to Powering Hyperscalers including the latest @OstiumLabs labs listing: $URA Ive also covered $HG $CL $MSFT & $NVDA and there was a lot to discuss. Big. Week. Ahead. Enjoy the read 🤝 https://t.co/3r3pncQZZJ https://t.co/3r3pncQZZJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2015881007216402767)  2026-01-26T20:14Z 112.7K followers, 33.9K engagements


"Which trades first $XAU $GOLD $5000 $5800 🤷 $5000 $5800 🤷"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2016975240769757311)  2026-01-29T20:42Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Ok bought a lil bit of Gold at [----] to hedge short GDX exposure before cash open"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2017168038844400099)  2026-01-30T09:28Z 112.6K followers, [----] engagements


"You should be long af copper looking at this metals bloodbath"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2017293511553360297)  2026-01-30T17:47Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Voila: Will be up on X shortly 🫡 https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-71---macro-mukbang Gm ☕ If last week was a big week this week is yet another big week as they all appear to be these days Huge overnight moves across the board are but a taste of the vol we could see this week with [--] rate decisions + key growth and labour market data culminating in https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-71---macro-mukbang Gm ☕ If last week was a big week this week is yet another big week as they all appear to be these days Huge overnight moves across the board are but a taste of the vol we could"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018316001633251790)  2026-02-02T13:30Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an FX special this week on the back of last weeks volatility and the three interest rate decisions ahead Ive covered recent price-action in $EUR $JPY $GBP $AUD & $CL with several of these showing promising setups for the rest of Q1 into Q2 and the latter perhaps finally showing a htf momentum shift as short positioning has grown stretched Hope you find some value in the read & pls share etc. if you do 🤝 https://t.co/VB9roh41Qn https://t.co/VB9roh41Qn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018346966023819275)  2026-02-02T15:33Z 112.7K followers, 38.8K engagements


"Got a nice sweep and reversal off the key support level outlined in this weeks Outlook for $CL Trying the long here for continuation and retest of trendline resistance Also started to nibble $EUR at [------] but gonna ladder bids below as Im not convinced we dont take yesterdays low This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an FX special this week on the back of last weeks volatility and the three interest rate decisions ahead Ive covered recent price-action in $EUR $JPY $GBP $AUD & $CL with several of these showing promising setups for the This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018658167329083574)  2026-02-03T12:09Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Big three days ahead on the data front and so far stuff playing out as anticipated but no doubt much will change before Fridays close Hoping I get another opportunity to add to $EUR on a dump and hoping to offload the rest of my $CL position above [--] Brush up if you havent had a chance to read yet and theres double points + half fees on all the tickers covered at @OstiumLabs so if you took the Oil long youre having a good start to the week 🤝 This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an FX special this week on the back of last weeks volatility and the three interest rate decisions ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018957876295761980)  2026-02-04T08:00Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Which trades first $SPX [----] [----] 🤷 [----] [----] 🤷"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2019378619932643626)  2026-02-05T11:52Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Coinbase @ [-----] 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2019385239530009025)  2026-02-05T12:18Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"$EUR now [---] pips back above refill 🤷 Makes up for missing my silver long lol Hope a few of you are following these DXY swings 🫡 https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018658167329083574s=46 $EUR now [--] pips below avg exit looking to reload swing longs around [-----] for the original H1 target of [----] Probably get filled early this week https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018658167329083574s=46 $EUR now [--] pips below avg exit looking to reload swing longs around [-----] for the original H1 target of [----] Probably get filled early this week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2020866465021218969)  2026-02-09T14:24Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Gm ☕ Yesterdays $DXY sell-off was likely precipitating further weakness in (backward-looking) labour market data that will force more cuts to be priced in than at present (which is a very low bar in the first place) this has been my base case for H1 This is compounded by the clear & continued coordination between Japan & the US to keep a lid on UJ headwinds for the dollar persist for the coming months in spite of short positioning imo Net-net this is still a tailwind to risk and a tailwind to forward inflation expectations (which itself is a tailwind to the reflation narrative for H2 into"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021148511195091141)  2026-02-10T09:05Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"I see many finally jumping on the energy train and getting v bearish tech Would be a shame if (In all seriousness though whilst this trade may have legs this specifically is a terrible place to turn bullish energy vs tech)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021155109502165277)  2026-02-10T09:31Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"As someone who said $PLTR looks awful at $178 and that we would retest $123 and now we have bearish structure with a momentum breakdown as anticipated the fact that Burry is posting H&S patterns is making me rethink whether this actually trends lower or acts as a very nasty bear trap Flip $148 back into support & reclaim anchored VWAP from the tariff lows and this becomes a massive failed breakdown Reject $148 and we continue to $104 but bearish PLTR suddenly seems consensus This is from my mid-Jan Outlook on US tech at @OstiumLabs found below👇 https://t.co/tYjZcTAibK https://t.co/tYjZcTAibK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021233072339882247)  2026-02-10T14:41Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@kobe9616 Who said Im bearish energy I said right here is a bad spot to pivot from tech *to* energy You can be long both"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021233192510878144)  2026-02-10T14:42Z 112.7K followers, [--] engagements


"@kobe9616 Again quite literally not what I said Two parts: bullish energy and bearish tech If youre bullish energy outright thats obviously working The R/R to be long energy and short tech here is awful hence the chart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021245006200107343)  2026-02-10T15:28Z 112.7K followers, [--] engagements


"Feels like Monad might finally have run out of sellers Momentum exhaustion into both bottoms at $0.016 Daily close above $0.023 = daily structure bullish = retest of anchored VWAP from ATH + 365d rolling VWAP at $0.0315 Daily close above $0.0315 = higher timeframe bottom is in = highest probability environment to jump on the trend for continuation https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021260884954259957 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021260884954259957"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021260884954259957)  2026-02-10T16:32Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@comfyleverage Yeah All outlined here equal weight outperforming early this year - leg higher with bear capitulation into Q2 - 10-12% correction around new Fed chair - run it back turbo into Q4 & early [----] V loose with specific timings but that is my expectation on trajectory Here it is: [--] Calls for [----] - Part Three of my [----] Outlook [----] words of hopefully some of the most valuable stuff Ive ever written this is how Im seeing the year ahead across all markets. Enjoy the read (link below) 🫡 https://t.co/1T1b9643h5 Here it is: [--] Calls for [----] - Part Three of my [----] Outlook [----] words"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021653414313435361)  2026-02-11T18:31Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Bottom Bitcoin is "no longer digital gold" Deutsche Bank strategist Marion Laboure says. "Gold outperformed by 65% in [----]. Bitcoin declined by 6.5%." https://t.co/eBCYp4cxMt Bitcoin is "no longer digital gold" Deutsche Bank strategist Marion Laboure says. "Gold outperformed by 65% in [----]. Bitcoin declined by 6.5%." https://t.co/eBCYp4cxMt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021661763666948432)  2026-02-11T19:04Z 112.7K followers, 39K engagements


"Claude run maximum adverse excursion and forward returns on Bitcoin when price is [---] std devs below the 365d rolling VWAP More thoughts on $BTC in this weeks Outlook but being directionally short here is historically poor R/R This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 After last weeks historic volatility and upcoming crypto-related earnings Ive focused on price-action in $BTC $MSTR $GLXY $COIN & $HOOD with a couple of these looking potentially atrocious and a couple much more promising 👀 Enjoy This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 After last weeks historic volatility and upcoming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021884998895198631)  2026-02-12T09:52Z 112.7K followers, 13.7K engagements


"Maybe someone can fact check but seems like were trading [--] std devs below 365d rolling VWAP for only the 5th time in history for $BTC All occasions: - Jan [----] - Dec [----] - March [----] - June [----] - Today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018690378669380019)  2026-02-03T14:17Z 112.7K followers, 107.4K engagements


"Think were pretty close to a local top in PMs Palladium outperforming Gold on this upswing today as Id expect & Gold stalling as Silver pushes into anchored VWAP from all-time highs I like tactical Silver shorts between 94-97 for maybe a retest of the lows and expecting Copper & Palladium to now outperform Gold & Silver from here into June (and likely much longer into 2027)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2019049527014015366)  2026-02-04T14:04Z 112.7K followers, 12.2K engagements


"Excellent work Short update on the current Bitcoin setup vs global liquidity. Bitcoin is down over 20% in the past [--] weeks while the 3M RoC remains above the 12M RoC and continues rising. This creates a rare divergence in Bitcoin's history. This exact combination - BTC dropping more than 20% https://t.co/Cr4BnjmqPj Short update on the current Bitcoin setup vs global liquidity. Bitcoin is down over 20% in the past [--] weeks while the 3M RoC remains above the 12M RoC and continues rising. This creates a rare divergence in Bitcoin's history. This exact combination - BTC dropping more than 20%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021160959264358712)  2026-02-10T09:54Z 112.7K followers, 11.1K engagements


"Update: We are firmly in prior bear market trough territory now with regards to overextension to the downside Another -12% from here ($59k) would take us to the prior [--] bear market cycle lows of -50% from the 200dMA This would also take us right to [--] std devs from the 365d rolling VWAP which has not been tested in the past decade - do not misunderstand quite how violently we've corrected Maybe someone can fact check but seems like were trading [--] std devs below 365d rolling VWAP for only the 5th time in history for $BTC All occasions: - Jan [----] - Dec [----] - March [----] - June [----] - Today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2019445331793240311)  2026-02-05T16:17Z 112.7K followers, 70.6K engagements


"Here it is: [--] Calls for [----] - Part Three of my [----] Outlook [----] words of hopefully some of the most valuable stuff Ive ever written this is how Im seeing the year ahead across all markets. Enjoy the read (link below) 🫡 Part Two of the [----] Outlook is now live: If you dont want to know how the Dollar Index SPX Gold Copper and Oil are likely to trade in [----] this aint for you Everyone else I promise itll be worth your time (linked below along with a TLDR on $DXY) 🤝 https://t.co/0KTp2B4NUT Part Two of the [----] Outlook is now live: If you dont want to know how the Dollar Index SPX Gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2014068384875327956)  2026-01-21T20:11Z 112.7K followers, 115.8K engagements


"Equities breaking up from this range and not crashing 20% in Q1 is gonna infuriate many"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021651470144442655)  2026-02-11T18:24Z 112.7K followers, 24.3K engagements


"And again This is going to 10% before people realise the trade is even happening and then itll be very late indeed Altcoin dominance at yearly highs amidst the blood lmao https://t.co/pTh5HiOlSw Altcoin dominance at yearly highs amidst the blood lmao https://t.co/pTh5HiOlSw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2021880989383848387)  2026-02-12T09:36Z 112.7K followers, 22.5K engagements


"Been using ChatGPT + Claude to talk to one another with me functioning as the non-technical emissary Built (and now refining) a daily BTC market environment dashboard + a growth inflation & liquidity momentum macro dashboard (with my favoured inputs) For the BTC model I input [--] numbers every morning on trend volatility positioning liquidity and sentiment and it spits out a comprehensive overview of the environment we are in / how to size / what to expect not alpha by any stretch but v useful & concise framing for the day ahead filtered through my subjective read on each input Will publish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2022258009066320197)  2026-02-13T10:34Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"People calling for $40k BTC here just FYI this would be [--] standard deviations below 365d rolling VWAP This has never happened in BTCs 17-year existence (nor got close to happening) Obviously can happen much later if we continue to chop here for months but expecting it near-term is v improbable https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022262876233224248 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022262876233224248"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2022262876233224248)  2026-02-13T10:53Z 112.7K followers, 29.3K engagements


"@veg_man08 Then itll gap down Sunday night below [----] and close Tuesday above [----] Something something funniest outcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2022339470176170392)  2026-02-13T15:57Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"I personally think were nowhere near peak alt euphoria. Sure scams with no liquidity are going 50x from $0.002 to $0.10 on Uniswap but its literally not even moving the needle on altcoin dominance; all relevant search trends remain at multi-year lows (though look to be /1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1289144466499133444)  2020-07-31T10:22Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Search trends for 'bitcoin' and 'buy bitcoin' right now:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1321147026785095680)  2020-10-27T17:49Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"2021 is going to be absolutely mental isnt it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1328439610096168961)  2020-11-16T20:47Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"I suspect by this time next week Ill be effectively all in altcoins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1328792536417251332)  2020-11-17T20:10Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"lol just realised the BTC I sold in December [----] for $11k to help pay for uni would be over a mil now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1347930463709618176)  2021-01-09T15:37Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Everything getting sent and dominance is still at 67% lol so much upside"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1350461469922643968)  2021-01-16T15:14Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Imagine if people sold alts into support to buy BTC at resistance would be weird right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1358090009232998400)  2021-02-06T16:27Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Just gonna pretend I didnt long BNB at $40 and close it at $60"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1362678650966061059)  2021-02-19T08:21Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Don't sleep on $ZIL. Once that [---] level gives way I wouldn't be surprised to see a repeat of its first bull cycle. At the beginning of the year I wouldn't even have dreamed of this being possible but these market conditions are effectively identical to [----] at this point"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1369337190141079554)  2021-03-09T17:20Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"So fucking bullish on ZIL after seeing how theyre positioning themselves among real-world influence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1387531344608104448)  2021-04-28T22:17Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"There are such mixed signals regarding whether we have another 4-6 months left of this cycle or 4-6 weeks lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1392124487429132302)  2021-05-11T14:28Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Saylor 15% underwater in less than a week on $489mn of buys lmao"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1406946809013059584)  2021-06-21T12:07Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"People selling their newly minted nfts at a 70% loss not including gas costs because eth is up 11% lmfao"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1433184814061006854)  2021-09-01T21:47Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Just made my first NFT purchase on Solana. Pretty smooth tbf. Used Phantom with FTX as the bridge. Bought @TheCavemenClub"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1445454526924746758)  2021-10-05T18:23Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"same same but [----] years apart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1449355890449129473)  2021-10-16T12:45Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"It's been [--] years since my book - An Altcoin Trader's Handbook - was published. So it's now free for anyone who still hasn't read it / can't afford a hard copy. Enjoy. https://www.altcointradershandbook.com/product/an-altcoin-traders-handbook-pdf/ https://www.altcointradershandbook.com/product/an-altcoin-traders-handbook-pdf/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1665772226640052226)  2023-06-05T17:27Z 112.7K followers, 120K engagements


"this is actual alpha every cycle starts with those who bought the lows feeling euphoric mid-cycle and later forgetting or dismissing their own euphoria at the peaks hence 95% drawdowns from ath net worth being commonplace At the top people are no longer asking about when the cycle ends and where the top is I promise you that At the top people are no longer asking about when the cycle ends and where the top is I promise you that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1766889671273939068)  2024-03-10T18:11Z 112.7K followers, 48.9K engagements


"What happens is usually that people in their 2nd cycles start with a larger capital base than in their 1st having realised at least some uPnL from the 1st This in turn leads to difficulty in accepting the same stages within a 2nd market cycle that felt familiar in the 1st because each move higher and through the stages brings your portfolio balance to previously unanticipated levels This cant really be happening to me - it must be the top soon This gets worse in the 3rd cycle but hopefully youre able to recognise these emotions more clearly Truth is the market doesnt know you exist - your"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1766897963433910547)  2024-03-10T18:44Z 112.7K followers, 369.3K engagements


"I think were at most a few weeks away from 4-6 months of up only"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1816113145179516983)  2024-07-24T14:08Z 112.7K followers, 34.1K engagements


"Honestly with how the actual drivers of crypto prices moved this week this feels like *the* shakeout Dollar looks like its about to begin a multi-month downtrend USDCNH likewise in its usual cyclicality for a bottom in late [--] / early [--] (crypto front runs this) global liq looks to have pico-bottomed for the cycle GDP/M2 is finally breaking down & Oct-Apr seasonality is favourable in election cycles: Thats the precise recipe for risk on I posted a short while back that my view is that the first half of the cycle was driven by ETF flows and preceding speculation around the BTC ETF (hence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1820043213324898683)  2024-08-04T10:24Z 112.7K followers, 79.7K engagements


"Largest long liquidation day since Aug 5th Almost half a billion in longs liquidated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1841369462437544001)  2024-10-02T06:47Z 112.7K followers, 56K engagements


"I suspect by this time next week Ill be effectively all in altcoins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1859946727081750820)  2024-11-22T13:07Z 112.7K followers, 134.8K engagements


"The higher $TOTAL goes before the final rotation into lowcaps the higher your targets need to be Thats why you should be happy about XRP and any other dino coin that adds $125bn in market cap in a few weeks TOTAL at $3.5trn OTHERS is going to $550bn+ before the end TOTAL at $5trn OTHERS is going to $800bn+ TOTAL at $8trn OTHERS is going to $1.3trn+ (But probably higher in reality because this is assuming a conservative 16% dominance for OTHERS at the peak)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1863668779596595455)  2024-12-02T19:37Z 112.7K followers, 89.1K engagements


"Alts rallying on that BTC flash crash is a really fucking clear signal team March 2017"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1864801432844603548)  2024-12-05T22:38Z 112.7K followers, 184.8K engagements


"Merry Christmas - my post on exit indicators and cycle top signals is now out This has taken ages to put together but I think its likely a very valuable read for the coming months especially if youre new: Bookmark share - all that shit - but mostly just enjoy the read 🫡 https://t.co/pz0eqjF7Wb https://t.co/pz0eqjF7Wb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1867618477919367355)  2024-12-13T17:11Z 112.7K followers, 78.8K engagements


"So it begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1880977778226741712)  2025-01-19T13:57Z 112.7K followers, 176K engagements


"Melania might have saved Ethereum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1881103725265400113)  2025-01-19T22:17Z 112.7K followers, 22.8K engagements


"Here it is: Schrdingers Cycle Top from were so back to its so over to were so back again My detailed take on where we are in the broader market cycle underpinned by the business & liquidity cycles and how that filters through to crypto. (Oh and Elon cut off some of the images so youll find a bunch of charts in the replies) Enjoy the read and pls share bookmark etc. you know the drill 🫡 https://t.co/YztWoNPnlQ https://t.co/YztWoNPnlQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1884277956971020324)  2025-01-28T16:30Z 112.7K followers, 122.6K engagements


"Cant really make it clearer than this: DXY - Global M2 / Global GDP - Central Bank Balance Sheets excl. Big [--] (Fed BoJ PBoC & ECB) - Bitcoin Most of my current view hinges on the dollar playing ball here but if it does play ball were at the point historically where you see Global M2 / Global GDP cycle higher the smaller central banks in aggregate expand their balance sheets and Bitcoin enter its late stage run All of this just as market participants have either been liquidated or exhausted to the point of giving up Ill change my tune if DXY accepts above [---] but I think youre missing the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1887055514309177358)  2025-02-05T08:27Z 112.7K followers, 143.4K engagements


"Guys its broadly all just one trade My expectation from here is that the dollar weakens - USDCNH cycles lower - financial conditions continue to ease - central banks ex. Big [--] begin expanding their balance sheets after [--] years of contraction - manufacturing cycle continues its recovery - copper outperforms gold - emerging markets (risk) outperform the FTSE (safety) - and yes shitcoins (risk) outperform BTC (safety) Will be rotating more BTC into alts over the next week or so and only rotating back out / going risk-off if DXY reclaims 110"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1887809132754821129)  2025-02-07T10:22Z 112.7K followers, 163.9K engagements


"Gm ☕ Ok Im calling it in no uncertain terms I think balance sheet contraction ex. Big [--] has now ended Global M2 / Global GDP has bottomed and therefore altcoins will now after a 3-year bear market outperform BTC (i.e. OTHERS/BTC ) Feels extremely anti-consensus now to hold this view but it makes sense to me will be rotating a final chunk of BTC into alts over the next few days and thatll be it for my alt positioning The market can then make it clear whether Im right or wrong over the coming weeks & months and Im sure Ill be clowned for thinking its even possible for alts to broadly outperform"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1890686604206809599)  2025-02-15T08:56Z 112.7K followers, 39.3K engagements


"February closes green. $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1891914171127591157)  2025-02-18T18:14Z 112.7K followers, 79.7K engagements


"Buy early April weakness - sell early June strength"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1904454959686352919)  2025-03-25T08:47Z 112.7K followers, 194.3K engagements


"@DeItaone Dunno if we believe you any more walt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1909662329635020827)  2025-04-08T17:39Z 112.7K followers, 32.5K engagements


"Buy early May weakness - sell late June strength Buy early April weakness - sell early June strength Buy early April weakness - sell early June strength"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1915861539912876285)  2025-04-25T20:12Z 112.7K followers, 69.7K engagements


"Idk who needs to hear this but there is zero trend exhaustion across timeframes and BTC closed the week at all-time highs with zero derivatives froth Illiquid holiday weekends are noise It is however nice to see how fragile the optimism is even at new highs supports the view that we continue higher into July and that when that fragile optimism becomes more concrete we sell into it If we get a short-term pullback into early June and youre sidelined you buy it just like early April and just like early May"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1926637149677301779)  2025-05-25T13:51Z 112.7K followers, 32.5K engagements


"$OTHERS should start running higher from nowish until early July or else I stick to macro equities and BTC and delete coin from my username"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1929895647102079380)  2025-06-03T13:39Z 112.7K followers, 26.7K engagements


"Galaxy sold $9bn without a Saylor bid and were at $119k lmfao $MSTR - STRATEGY: NO BITCOIN BUYS MADE DURING JULY 21-JULY [--] $MSTR - STRATEGY: NO BITCOIN BUYS MADE DURING JULY 21-JULY 27"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1949802582492205275)  2025-07-28T12:02Z 112.7K followers, 179K engagements


"Bitlord Valhalla video gonna hit like crack when ETH breaks $4k Bitlord Valhalla video gonna hit like crack when ETH breaks $4k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1953818648826499080)  2025-08-08T14:00Z 112.7K followers, 133.2K engagements


"I think September will be better than most expect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1961017091173019838)  2025-08-28T10:44Z 112.7K followers, 100.2K engagements


"Bottom in (or almost) If youre still ultra bullish here congrats. Youre exit liquidity. Cycle top is in (or almost). $BTC https://t.co/ckBwgZX3UV If youre still ultra bullish here congrats. Youre exit liquidity. Cycle top is in (or almost). $BTC https://t.co/ckBwgZX3UV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1961431957348180339)  2025-08-29T14:13Z 112.7K followers, 52.4K engagements


"To be clear I think youre significantly closer to a broad altszn akin to Q1 [----] than you are to a 50% drawdown on $TOTAL I think youre all retarded for talking cycle tops every day for [--] months straight tbh af I think youre all retarded for talking cycle tops every day for [--] months straight tbh af"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1964573005209883113)  2025-09-07T06:14Z 112.7K followers, 43.7K engagements


"Some thoughts going into Q4: If we close green today on risk across the board after the intraday whipsaw yesterday I think that helps carry momentum through to FOMC next week (and likely a little bit beyond) Theres little Powell can say that would be more dovish than the curve is already pricing without it veering into panicky territory imo Unlike other recent meetings where Ive noted the asymmetry was in anticipating dovishness relative to consensus expectations I think there is asymmetry here in the other direction (neutral data dependent etc. = hawkish relative to consensus precisely the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965753498999427330)  2025-09-10T12:25Z 112.7K followers, 175.2K engagements


"seeing $70k targets on the timeline again lol lmao even"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971585080431911413)  2025-09-26T14:38Z 112.7K followers, 52.8K engagements


"Gold is now up the market cap of Bitcoin since Oct 1st $2.5trn added in less than [--] weeks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977783809665073191)  2025-10-13T17:09Z 112.7K followers, 34.6K engagements


"The most devastating outcome is a 4-year bear market for alts vs BTC in which market participants progressively added leverage risk on the way down only to get zeroed out in the worst liquidation event for alts in history at the pico-bottom of said 4-year downtrend And then alts as a % of BTC bottom at the precise level they bottomed at in Dec [--] Aug [--] and Dec [--] Would be brutal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977816864828047414)  2025-10-13T19:21Z 112.7K followers, 161.5K engagements


"For anyone asking wen crypto because everything else is running I already gave you the TL;DR on what Im expecting time-wise BTC $125k next week and $133k end of month ETH $5k end of month November altszn / uponly / froth Dec shakeout / profit-taking Its all in the Outlook and I cannot be clearer about my view Its v fucking hard to make directional calls with both precise timings and prices if Im even half right it should be a very good rest of Q4 If Im wrong I will suffer with you all 🫡 Some TL;DRs for those who cba to wait for the article on X / have the attention spans of a goldfish 🫡 And"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1978479543884116283)  2025-10-15T15:14Z 112.7K followers, 190.9K engagements


"You know what would be great A nice blow-off top to 14k a 38% retrace back to just above 10k and then sideways at 10k for [--] months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/935809868807725058)  2017-11-29T09:57Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Every large exchange is closing sign-ups. The potential magnitude of this altseason is becoming incalculable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/949778150535385089)  2018-01-06T23:02Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Giancarlo my g"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/960904791688929280)  2018-02-06T15:55Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"This is pretty much the optimal point at which to enter alts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/969260504505094144)  2018-03-01T17:18Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Nice altseason that was fun guys see u next year for more 20% gains"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/989102838881181696)  2018-04-25T11:24Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"When one of the world's largest banks announces it is going to be using its own money to trade Bitcoin futures that tells you all you need to know"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/991976046181351431)  2018-05-03T09:41Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"If BTC was a shitcoin you'd be buying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/992118864011055107)  2018-05-03T19:09Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Christ number one best-selling book in the Investing category on Amazon. And 114th on the whole of Amazon. I'm absolutely speechless. Thank you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1005196151543525376)  2018-06-08T21:13Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"People can deny it all they want but the signs of an incoming altseason are evident in the charts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1094564448495378432)  2019-02-10T11:51Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Thread (long af): I think its important to give context on what youre seeing in alts atm; why its happening now; and what to expect. Whilst no one can time markets perfectly theres a number of reasons why many of us have been anticipating a cyclical shift since 2019"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1105426760492036096)  2019-03-12T11:14Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"When books about altcoins start making their way back onto the bestseller lists you know interest is renewed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1130025162886307840)  2019-05-19T08:19Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Bitcoin dominance looks about ready to fall off a cliff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1163081636734521345)  2019-08-18T13:34Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"How the fuck did we hit $3800 and bounce 45% in the [--] hours I was asleep"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1238376800629252097)  2020-03-13T08:10Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Going to shill my book in the midst of this simply because I know it'll be useful to any newbies in the space wanting to take advantage of this environment. If you can't afford it just DM me and I'll send you the PDF. https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/198617011X https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/198617011X"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1293564981091475457)  2020-08-12T15:08Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"$50k will be arguably the most important level for $BTC in a future cycle as it aligns with a $1trn market cap. Wouldnt be surprised if thats the next cycle peak or just shy of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1325456073713721345)  2020-11-08T15:12Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Bitcoin Dominance going down whilst BTC/USD going up is as close to Valhalla as life can ever get"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1333369175608266753)  2020-11-30T11:15Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"This is eerily similar to late [----] going into early [----] for alts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1346839231763767298)  2021-01-06T15:21Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Alts that are either holding firm or slightly rallying here vs BTC despite the breakdown are the ones you want to be buying. There's quite a few"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1352182019715985408)  2021-01-21T09:11Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Robinhood users about to leave en masse for crypto exchanges"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1355139437974478849)  2021-01-29T13:03Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements


"mania incoming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1356171116537110528)  2021-02-01T09:22Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"$FTM vs $COTI Don't be surprised"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1370008019027775491)  2021-03-11T13:45Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Clean double top at $58300 + Binance FUD is the perfect recipe for new all-time highs tbh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1370363911455789073)  2021-03-12T13:19Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Think were going to see altcoin market cap grow by like 50% in the next 4-6 weeks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1379183864271224833)  2021-04-05T21:27Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"The fact that everything has effectively played out almost identically to [----] thus far is still throwing me lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1379386765501460483)  2021-04-06T10:53Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Presented without comment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1878083472075423801)  2025-01-11T14:16Z 112.7K followers, 91.5K engagements


"business cycle says higher on-chain says higher price-action says higher fuck you higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1882068874365124739)  2025-01-22T14:12Z 112.7K followers, 45.5K engagements


"Right longer post: On alts specifically since thats whats causing everyone so much concern the leader of the cycle (SOL/BTC) has been pretty tightly following the business cycle composite since [----] my view on the business cycle has not changed and we are not late cycle therefore either the correlation breaks and SOL/BTC been distributing for 12+ months or this has been reaccumulation and it continues to follow the business cycle higher into its crescendo The rest of the shitcoins would benefit from a slightly different dynamic Ive been banging this drum since last year that the thing that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1882389456331616276)  2025-01-23T11:26Z 112.7K followers, 70.8K engagements


"Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle but tbh I think Im gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just cant really be expecting significant further downside when were coming into [----] support for OTHERS as a % of TOTAL3 seeing momentum exhaustion on altcoin dominance at cyclical lows 200wMA in USD and pre-election support vs QQQ between 360wMA and 200wMA which have been historically rewarding areas to allocate Obviously my view on alts is that in order to see *sustained and broad-based* outperformance (PvE) you need both the business cycle recovery & global M2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1886424512121455061)  2025-02-03T14:40Z 112.7K followers, 135K engagements


"Ok selling some BTC now to rotate into alts pretty much exclusively RWAs / Made In USA / AI / HYPE Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle but tbh I think Im gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just cant really be expecting significant further downside when were coming into [----] support for OTHERS as a % of TOTAL3 seeing momentum https://t.co/KpHuRxnubz Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle but tbh I think Im gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just cant really be expecting significant further downside when were coming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1887490057503707435)  2025-02-06T13:14Z 112.7K followers, 121.3K engagements


"SOL has given you [---] days to sell $200 after first tagging it this cycle When has an altcoin ever given you the opportunity to sell within 25% of the generational top for almost an entire year In September [----] [---] days after we first tagged $200 we were down 88% Same prices this cycle with *more* supply yet price not following suit Makes you think maybe it isnt a generational top after all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/1889057984455553441)  2025-02-10T21:04Z 112.7K followers, 158.8K engagements


"Everyone gets horny about M2 because they think rising M2 = liquidity = uponly.exe So they must be confounded by the fact that Global M2 is pushing new all-time highs but their shitcoins continue to underperform Whilst rising M2 does appear to support things of actual value (equities Bitcoin gold etc.) your shitcoins are purely a phenomenon of speculative excess If you want to see speculative excess you need surplus dollars to those being spent in the real economy now look at this chart and tell me what you notice If you need some help Global M2 (blue) has been growing at roughly the same"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1889297973554577713)  2025-02-11T12:58Z 112.7K followers, 129K engagements


"Bitlord Valhalla video gonna hit like crack when ETH breaks $4k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1943585229710528914)  2025-07-11T08:16Z 112.7K followers, 136.2K engagements


"I think youre all retarded for talking cycle tops every day for [--] months straight tbh af"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1964433743122485557)  2025-09-06T21:01Z 112.7K followers, 96.3K engagements


"Some TL;DRs for those who cba to wait for the article on X / have the attention spans of a goldfish 🫡 And maybe Im wrong and we chop for months or maybe Im wrong and weve just started a bear market with the 4-year cycle now complete I dont think I am though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977797503148843233)  2025-10-13T18:04Z 112.7K followers, 180.7K engagements


"First naked swing long on $BTC since Sept 20th Punish me swiftly if I am wrong reward me greatly if I am right 🫡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1978001383006630274)  2025-10-14T07:34Z 112.7K followers, 59.8K engagements


"This is not what the beginning of a bear market looks like Sorry guys higher 🫡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1978163597923508506)  2025-10-14T18:18Z 112.7K followers, 24.8K engagements


"This remains my big picture view everything else is noise tbh [--] possible scenarios: 1) BTC is no longer correlated to macro and will experience a secular downturn whilst the business cycle inflects higher 2) Were headed into an imminent recession 3) There is still plenty of runway for macro and therefore plenty of runway for BTC going into [----] higher for longer Subjective weighted probabilities of each scenario: 1) 5% 2) 15% 3) 80% Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979493535414968330)  2025-10-18T10:23Z 112.7K followers, 179.5K engagements


"$188k in Jan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980985002361077849)  2025-10-22T13:10Z 112.7K followers, 45K engagements


"So Philakone got hacked. Im blocked so I cant see his tweets but getting hacked is awful regardless of how much of a douchebag youve been in the past. Sucks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/967319989995868160)  2018-02-24T08:47Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements


"My proof has arrived. Going to start my final read-through and edit now. At first glance theres a few stylistic changes I want to make but I cant believe Ive got an actual book"  
[X Link](https://x.com/cointradernik/status/999307765825921025)  2018-05-23T15:15Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@cointradernik Avatar @cointradernik Nik

Nik posts on X about bitcoin, $btc, gold, bear the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-------] +8.30%
  • [--] Month [-------] +236%
  • [--] Months [---------] +85%
  • [--] Year [---------] -14%

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  • [--] Week [--] no change
  • [--] Month [---] +45%
  • [--] Months [---] +76%
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  • [--] Week [-------] +0.05%
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CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance 36.8% cryptocurrencies 36% stocks 10.4% exchanges 4.8% technology brands 4.8% currencies 3.2% countries 1.6% celebrities 0.8%

Social topic influence bitcoin #4892, $btc #1540, gold 7.2%, bear 5.6%, liquidity #2252, the most 4.8%, altcoin 4.8%, if you 4%, copper #683, alltime #708

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ostiumlabs @kobe9616 @comfyleverage @viophl @dalio777 @chain_alphax @crypto_condom @bowtiedlobster @vegman08 @thecavemenclub @deitaone @biden8888 @1980raghavan @nakamotolisk @vanderatelier @rex_btc1 @kevihaiceth @nicolas74143825 @veg_man08 @bluekurtic

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Strategy (MSTR) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) Mario Coin (COIN) Caught in 4K (4K) Ethereum (ETH) Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD) SPX6900 (SPX) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Monad (MON) Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Part Two of the [----] Outlook is now live: If you dont want to know how the Dollar Index SPX Gold Copper and Oil are likely to trade in [----] this aint for you Everyone else I promise itll be worth your time (linked below along with a TLDR on $DXY) 🤝 Okay Part One of my 3-part [----] Outlook series is now available (link below). Have published this to Substack and put a poll at the end to see if you prefer reading on there vs X vs @OstiumLabs native blog This focuses on monthly and quarterly timeframes for $BTC $ETH and https://t.co/ndKI6UWyl3 Okay Part One of my 3-part [----] Outlook series is"
X Link 2026-01-14T13:42Z 112.7K followers, 66K engagements

"This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 After last weeks historic volatility and upcoming crypto-related earnings Ive focused on price-action in $BTC $MSTR $GLXY $COIN & $HOOD with a couple of these looking potentially atrocious and a couple much more promising 👀 Enjoy the read 🫡 https://t.co/L8weMYGWOT https://t.co/L8weMYGWOT"
X Link 2026-02-09T17:12Z 112.7K followers, 31.9K engagements

"The fact that the forever top narrative has only just emerged after a 50% drawdown into some of the most overextended downside conditions weve seen on Bitcoin is evidence of the fact that narrative really does just follow price Weve conjured up new and terrifying reasons why its all over precisely where we should expect such narratives to emerge the more violent the drawdown (2.5 standard deviations below the 365d rolling VWAP) the more existential the narrative And when Bitcoin makes new all-time highs again New narratives will emerge and old narratives will re-emerge and well be talking"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:27Z 112.7K followers, 25.5K engagements

"All Im looking for is anchored VWAP from all-time highs and I think we get it in H1 [--] days away from the first 2-week close above 365d rolling VWAP for OTHERS/BTC since March [----] (and if were only counting closes above from below then Nov 2023) A stones throw away from a monthly structure shift for OTHERS/(BTC+ETH) $OTHERS more extended to the downside last week than June [----] I said in my [----] Outlook that the Short Alts / Long BTC & Get Rich in [----] trade is likely too consensus coming into H1 and price-action + momentum so far look to be validating this Dont overstay your welcome if we do"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:12Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"This is perhaps the most divided Ive ever seen smart people on the direction of travel for [----] Half think higher for longer into [----] Half think generational top on equities at [----] and a major bear market into 2027"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:12Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Enjoy the read: Will be live on X shortly 🤝 https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-72---crypto-reckoning Gm ☕ Been off the grid for a few days and did not leave any Thursday overnight limits on XAG at [--] or BTC at [--] as intended because I was going to have unreliable access Classically BTC puked through 2.5std devs towards 3std devs below that 365d rolling VWAP whilst silver https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-72---crypto-reckoning Gm ☕ Been off the grid for a few days and did not leave any Thursday overnight limits on XAG at [--] or BTC at [--] as intended because I was going to have"
X Link 2026-02-09T11:49Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"For alts (as they are most sensitive to the below dynamics) arguably we are only now entering the kind of environment that has historically been favourable [--] years on from the Jan [----] peak Global M2 - Global GDP YoY CB Liquidity YoY flat but appears to be bottoming out USDCNH USM2/DXY consolidating under Covid highs: weaker Dollar + more credit creation will send this beyond prior cycle highs Business Cycle Composite still in a grinding choppy uptrend but well off prior cycle highs with a view towards inflecting higher in [----] into [----] vs peaking early and entering contraction (higher for"
X Link 2026-01-20T09:43Z 112.7K followers, 14.7K engagements

"This weeks Market Outlook is now available👇 In this weeks edition Ive covered recent price-action in some of the tickers related to Powering Hyperscalers including the latest @OstiumLabs labs listing: $URA Ive also covered $HG $CL $MSFT & $NVDA and there was a lot to discuss. Big. Week. Ahead. Enjoy the read 🤝 https://t.co/3r3pncQZZJ https://t.co/3r3pncQZZJ"
X Link 2026-01-26T20:14Z 112.7K followers, 33.9K engagements

"Which trades first $XAU $GOLD $5000 $5800 🤷 $5000 $5800 🤷"
X Link 2026-01-29T20:42Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Ok bought a lil bit of Gold at [----] to hedge short GDX exposure before cash open"
X Link 2026-01-30T09:28Z 112.6K followers, [----] engagements

"You should be long af copper looking at this metals bloodbath"
X Link 2026-01-30T17:47Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Voila: Will be up on X shortly 🫡 https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-71---macro-mukbang Gm ☕ If last week was a big week this week is yet another big week as they all appear to be these days Huge overnight moves across the board are but a taste of the vol we could see this week with [--] rate decisions + key growth and labour market data culminating in https://www.ostium.com/blog/market-outlook-71---macro-mukbang Gm ☕ If last week was a big week this week is yet another big week as they all appear to be these days Huge overnight moves across the board are but a taste of the vol we could"
X Link 2026-02-02T13:30Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an FX special this week on the back of last weeks volatility and the three interest rate decisions ahead Ive covered recent price-action in $EUR $JPY $GBP $AUD & $CL with several of these showing promising setups for the rest of Q1 into Q2 and the latter perhaps finally showing a htf momentum shift as short positioning has grown stretched Hope you find some value in the read & pls share etc. if you do 🤝 https://t.co/VB9roh41Qn https://t.co/VB9roh41Qn"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:33Z 112.7K followers, 38.8K engagements

"Got a nice sweep and reversal off the key support level outlined in this weeks Outlook for $CL Trying the long here for continuation and retest of trendline resistance Also started to nibble $EUR at [------] but gonna ladder bids below as Im not convinced we dont take yesterdays low This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an FX special this week on the back of last weeks volatility and the three interest rate decisions ahead Ive covered recent price-action in $EUR $JPY $GBP $AUD & $CL with several of these showing promising setups for the This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an"
X Link 2026-02-03T12:09Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Big three days ahead on the data front and so far stuff playing out as anticipated but no doubt much will change before Fridays close Hoping I get another opportunity to add to $EUR on a dump and hoping to offload the rest of my $CL position above [--] Brush up if you havent had a chance to read yet and theres double points + half fees on all the tickers covered at @OstiumLabs so if you took the Oil long youre having a good start to the week 🤝 This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 Bit of an FX special this week on the back of last weeks volatility and the three interest rate decisions ahead"
X Link 2026-02-04T08:00Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Which trades first $SPX [----] [----] 🤷 [----] [----] 🤷"
X Link 2026-02-05T11:52Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Coinbase @ [-----] 👀"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:18Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"$EUR now [---] pips back above refill 🤷 Makes up for missing my silver long lol Hope a few of you are following these DXY swings 🫡 https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018658167329083574s=46 $EUR now [--] pips below avg exit looking to reload swing longs around [-----] for the original H1 target of [----] Probably get filled early this week https://x.com/cointradernik/status/2018658167329083574s=46 $EUR now [--] pips below avg exit looking to reload swing longs around [-----] for the original H1 target of [----] Probably get filled early this week"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:24Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Gm ☕ Yesterdays $DXY sell-off was likely precipitating further weakness in (backward-looking) labour market data that will force more cuts to be priced in than at present (which is a very low bar in the first place) this has been my base case for H1 This is compounded by the clear & continued coordination between Japan & the US to keep a lid on UJ headwinds for the dollar persist for the coming months in spite of short positioning imo Net-net this is still a tailwind to risk and a tailwind to forward inflation expectations (which itself is a tailwind to the reflation narrative for H2 into"
X Link 2026-02-10T09:05Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"I see many finally jumping on the energy train and getting v bearish tech Would be a shame if (In all seriousness though whilst this trade may have legs this specifically is a terrible place to turn bullish energy vs tech)"
X Link 2026-02-10T09:31Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"As someone who said $PLTR looks awful at $178 and that we would retest $123 and now we have bearish structure with a momentum breakdown as anticipated the fact that Burry is posting H&S patterns is making me rethink whether this actually trends lower or acts as a very nasty bear trap Flip $148 back into support & reclaim anchored VWAP from the tariff lows and this becomes a massive failed breakdown Reject $148 and we continue to $104 but bearish PLTR suddenly seems consensus This is from my mid-Jan Outlook on US tech at @OstiumLabs found below👇 https://t.co/tYjZcTAibK https://t.co/tYjZcTAibK"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:41Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"@kobe9616 Who said Im bearish energy I said right here is a bad spot to pivot from tech to energy You can be long both"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:42Z 112.7K followers, [--] engagements

"@kobe9616 Again quite literally not what I said Two parts: bullish energy and bearish tech If youre bullish energy outright thats obviously working The R/R to be long energy and short tech here is awful hence the chart"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:28Z 112.7K followers, [--] engagements

"Feels like Monad might finally have run out of sellers Momentum exhaustion into both bottoms at $0.016 Daily close above $0.023 = daily structure bullish = retest of anchored VWAP from ATH + 365d rolling VWAP at $0.0315 Daily close above $0.0315 = higher timeframe bottom is in = highest probability environment to jump on the trend for continuation https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021260884954259957 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021260884954259957"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:32Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"@comfyleverage Yeah All outlined here equal weight outperforming early this year - leg higher with bear capitulation into Q2 - 10-12% correction around new Fed chair - run it back turbo into Q4 & early [----] V loose with specific timings but that is my expectation on trajectory Here it is: [--] Calls for [----] - Part Three of my [----] Outlook [----] words of hopefully some of the most valuable stuff Ive ever written this is how Im seeing the year ahead across all markets. Enjoy the read (link below) 🫡 https://t.co/1T1b9643h5 Here it is: [--] Calls for [----] - Part Three of my [----] Outlook [----] words"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:31Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Bottom Bitcoin is "no longer digital gold" Deutsche Bank strategist Marion Laboure says. "Gold outperformed by 65% in [----]. Bitcoin declined by 6.5%." https://t.co/eBCYp4cxMt Bitcoin is "no longer digital gold" Deutsche Bank strategist Marion Laboure says. "Gold outperformed by 65% in [----]. Bitcoin declined by 6.5%." https://t.co/eBCYp4cxMt"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:04Z 112.7K followers, 39K engagements

"Claude run maximum adverse excursion and forward returns on Bitcoin when price is [---] std devs below the 365d rolling VWAP More thoughts on $BTC in this weeks Outlook but being directionally short here is historically poor R/R This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 After last weeks historic volatility and upcoming crypto-related earnings Ive focused on price-action in $BTC $MSTR $GLXY $COIN & $HOOD with a couple of these looking potentially atrocious and a couple much more promising 👀 Enjoy This weeks Market Outlook is now live👇 After last weeks historic volatility and upcoming"
X Link 2026-02-12T09:52Z 112.7K followers, 13.7K engagements

"Maybe someone can fact check but seems like were trading [--] std devs below 365d rolling VWAP for only the 5th time in history for $BTC All occasions: - Jan [----] - Dec [----] - March [----] - June [----] - Today"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:17Z 112.7K followers, 107.4K engagements

"Think were pretty close to a local top in PMs Palladium outperforming Gold on this upswing today as Id expect & Gold stalling as Silver pushes into anchored VWAP from all-time highs I like tactical Silver shorts between 94-97 for maybe a retest of the lows and expecting Copper & Palladium to now outperform Gold & Silver from here into June (and likely much longer into 2027)"
X Link 2026-02-04T14:04Z 112.7K followers, 12.2K engagements

"Excellent work Short update on the current Bitcoin setup vs global liquidity. Bitcoin is down over 20% in the past [--] weeks while the 3M RoC remains above the 12M RoC and continues rising. This creates a rare divergence in Bitcoin's history. This exact combination - BTC dropping more than 20% https://t.co/Cr4BnjmqPj Short update on the current Bitcoin setup vs global liquidity. Bitcoin is down over 20% in the past [--] weeks while the 3M RoC remains above the 12M RoC and continues rising. This creates a rare divergence in Bitcoin's history. This exact combination - BTC dropping more than 20%"
X Link 2026-02-10T09:54Z 112.7K followers, 11.1K engagements

"Update: We are firmly in prior bear market trough territory now with regards to overextension to the downside Another -12% from here ($59k) would take us to the prior [--] bear market cycle lows of -50% from the 200dMA This would also take us right to [--] std devs from the 365d rolling VWAP which has not been tested in the past decade - do not misunderstand quite how violently we've corrected Maybe someone can fact check but seems like were trading [--] std devs below 365d rolling VWAP for only the 5th time in history for $BTC All occasions: - Jan [----] - Dec [----] - March [----] - June [----] - Today"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:17Z 112.7K followers, 70.6K engagements

"Here it is: [--] Calls for [----] - Part Three of my [----] Outlook [----] words of hopefully some of the most valuable stuff Ive ever written this is how Im seeing the year ahead across all markets. Enjoy the read (link below) 🫡 Part Two of the [----] Outlook is now live: If you dont want to know how the Dollar Index SPX Gold Copper and Oil are likely to trade in [----] this aint for you Everyone else I promise itll be worth your time (linked below along with a TLDR on $DXY) 🤝 https://t.co/0KTp2B4NUT Part Two of the [----] Outlook is now live: If you dont want to know how the Dollar Index SPX Gold"
X Link 2026-01-21T20:11Z 112.7K followers, 115.8K engagements

"Equities breaking up from this range and not crashing 20% in Q1 is gonna infuriate many"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:24Z 112.7K followers, 24.3K engagements

"And again This is going to 10% before people realise the trade is even happening and then itll be very late indeed Altcoin dominance at yearly highs amidst the blood lmao https://t.co/pTh5HiOlSw Altcoin dominance at yearly highs amidst the blood lmao https://t.co/pTh5HiOlSw"
X Link 2026-02-12T09:36Z 112.7K followers, 22.5K engagements

"Been using ChatGPT + Claude to talk to one another with me functioning as the non-technical emissary Built (and now refining) a daily BTC market environment dashboard + a growth inflation & liquidity momentum macro dashboard (with my favoured inputs) For the BTC model I input [--] numbers every morning on trend volatility positioning liquidity and sentiment and it spits out a comprehensive overview of the environment we are in / how to size / what to expect not alpha by any stretch but v useful & concise framing for the day ahead filtered through my subjective read on each input Will publish"
X Link 2026-02-13T10:34Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"People calling for $40k BTC here just FYI this would be [--] standard deviations below 365d rolling VWAP This has never happened in BTCs 17-year existence (nor got close to happening) Obviously can happen much later if we continue to chop here for months but expecting it near-term is v improbable https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022262876233224248 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022262876233224248"
X Link 2026-02-13T10:53Z 112.7K followers, 29.3K engagements

"@veg_man08 Then itll gap down Sunday night below [----] and close Tuesday above [----] Something something funniest outcome"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:57Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"I personally think were nowhere near peak alt euphoria. Sure scams with no liquidity are going 50x from $0.002 to $0.10 on Uniswap but its literally not even moving the needle on altcoin dominance; all relevant search trends remain at multi-year lows (though look to be /1"
X Link 2020-07-31T10:22Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Search trends for 'bitcoin' and 'buy bitcoin' right now:"
X Link 2020-10-27T17:49Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"2021 is going to be absolutely mental isnt it"
X Link 2020-11-16T20:47Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"I suspect by this time next week Ill be effectively all in altcoins"
X Link 2020-11-17T20:10Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"lol just realised the BTC I sold in December [----] for $11k to help pay for uni would be over a mil now"
X Link 2021-01-09T15:37Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Everything getting sent and dominance is still at 67% lol so much upside"
X Link 2021-01-16T15:14Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Imagine if people sold alts into support to buy BTC at resistance would be weird right"
X Link 2021-02-06T16:27Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Just gonna pretend I didnt long BNB at $40 and close it at $60"
X Link 2021-02-19T08:21Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Don't sleep on $ZIL. Once that [---] level gives way I wouldn't be surprised to see a repeat of its first bull cycle. At the beginning of the year I wouldn't even have dreamed of this being possible but these market conditions are effectively identical to [----] at this point"
X Link 2021-03-09T17:20Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"So fucking bullish on ZIL after seeing how theyre positioning themselves among real-world influence"
X Link 2021-04-28T22:17Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"There are such mixed signals regarding whether we have another 4-6 months left of this cycle or 4-6 weeks lol"
X Link 2021-05-11T14:28Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Saylor 15% underwater in less than a week on $489mn of buys lmao"
X Link 2021-06-21T12:07Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"People selling their newly minted nfts at a 70% loss not including gas costs because eth is up 11% lmfao"
X Link 2021-09-01T21:47Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Just made my first NFT purchase on Solana. Pretty smooth tbf. Used Phantom with FTX as the bridge. Bought @TheCavemenClub"
X Link 2021-10-05T18:23Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"same same but [----] years apart"
X Link 2021-10-16T12:45Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"It's been [--] years since my book - An Altcoin Trader's Handbook - was published. So it's now free for anyone who still hasn't read it / can't afford a hard copy. Enjoy. https://www.altcointradershandbook.com/product/an-altcoin-traders-handbook-pdf/ https://www.altcointradershandbook.com/product/an-altcoin-traders-handbook-pdf/"
X Link 2023-06-05T17:27Z 112.7K followers, 120K engagements

"this is actual alpha every cycle starts with those who bought the lows feeling euphoric mid-cycle and later forgetting or dismissing their own euphoria at the peaks hence 95% drawdowns from ath net worth being commonplace At the top people are no longer asking about when the cycle ends and where the top is I promise you that At the top people are no longer asking about when the cycle ends and where the top is I promise you that"
X Link 2024-03-10T18:11Z 112.7K followers, 48.9K engagements

"What happens is usually that people in their 2nd cycles start with a larger capital base than in their 1st having realised at least some uPnL from the 1st This in turn leads to difficulty in accepting the same stages within a 2nd market cycle that felt familiar in the 1st because each move higher and through the stages brings your portfolio balance to previously unanticipated levels This cant really be happening to me - it must be the top soon This gets worse in the 3rd cycle but hopefully youre able to recognise these emotions more clearly Truth is the market doesnt know you exist - your"
X Link 2024-03-10T18:44Z 112.7K followers, 369.3K engagements

"I think were at most a few weeks away from 4-6 months of up only"
X Link 2024-07-24T14:08Z 112.7K followers, 34.1K engagements

"Honestly with how the actual drivers of crypto prices moved this week this feels like the shakeout Dollar looks like its about to begin a multi-month downtrend USDCNH likewise in its usual cyclicality for a bottom in late [--] / early [--] (crypto front runs this) global liq looks to have pico-bottomed for the cycle GDP/M2 is finally breaking down & Oct-Apr seasonality is favourable in election cycles: Thats the precise recipe for risk on I posted a short while back that my view is that the first half of the cycle was driven by ETF flows and preceding speculation around the BTC ETF (hence"
X Link 2024-08-04T10:24Z 112.7K followers, 79.7K engagements

"Largest long liquidation day since Aug 5th Almost half a billion in longs liquidated"
X Link 2024-10-02T06:47Z 112.7K followers, 56K engagements

"I suspect by this time next week Ill be effectively all in altcoins"
X Link 2024-11-22T13:07Z 112.7K followers, 134.8K engagements

"The higher $TOTAL goes before the final rotation into lowcaps the higher your targets need to be Thats why you should be happy about XRP and any other dino coin that adds $125bn in market cap in a few weeks TOTAL at $3.5trn OTHERS is going to $550bn+ before the end TOTAL at $5trn OTHERS is going to $800bn+ TOTAL at $8trn OTHERS is going to $1.3trn+ (But probably higher in reality because this is assuming a conservative 16% dominance for OTHERS at the peak)"
X Link 2024-12-02T19:37Z 112.7K followers, 89.1K engagements

"Alts rallying on that BTC flash crash is a really fucking clear signal team March 2017"
X Link 2024-12-05T22:38Z 112.7K followers, 184.8K engagements

"Merry Christmas - my post on exit indicators and cycle top signals is now out This has taken ages to put together but I think its likely a very valuable read for the coming months especially if youre new: Bookmark share - all that shit - but mostly just enjoy the read 🫡 https://t.co/pz0eqjF7Wb https://t.co/pz0eqjF7Wb"
X Link 2024-12-13T17:11Z 112.7K followers, 78.8K engagements

"So it begins"
X Link 2025-01-19T13:57Z 112.7K followers, 176K engagements

"Melania might have saved Ethereum"
X Link 2025-01-19T22:17Z 112.7K followers, 22.8K engagements

"Here it is: Schrdingers Cycle Top from were so back to its so over to were so back again My detailed take on where we are in the broader market cycle underpinned by the business & liquidity cycles and how that filters through to crypto. (Oh and Elon cut off some of the images so youll find a bunch of charts in the replies) Enjoy the read and pls share bookmark etc. you know the drill 🫡 https://t.co/YztWoNPnlQ https://t.co/YztWoNPnlQ"
X Link 2025-01-28T16:30Z 112.7K followers, 122.6K engagements

"Cant really make it clearer than this: DXY - Global M2 / Global GDP - Central Bank Balance Sheets excl. Big [--] (Fed BoJ PBoC & ECB) - Bitcoin Most of my current view hinges on the dollar playing ball here but if it does play ball were at the point historically where you see Global M2 / Global GDP cycle higher the smaller central banks in aggregate expand their balance sheets and Bitcoin enter its late stage run All of this just as market participants have either been liquidated or exhausted to the point of giving up Ill change my tune if DXY accepts above [---] but I think youre missing the"
X Link 2025-02-05T08:27Z 112.7K followers, 143.4K engagements

"Guys its broadly all just one trade My expectation from here is that the dollar weakens - USDCNH cycles lower - financial conditions continue to ease - central banks ex. Big [--] begin expanding their balance sheets after [--] years of contraction - manufacturing cycle continues its recovery - copper outperforms gold - emerging markets (risk) outperform the FTSE (safety) - and yes shitcoins (risk) outperform BTC (safety) Will be rotating more BTC into alts over the next week or so and only rotating back out / going risk-off if DXY reclaims 110"
X Link 2025-02-07T10:22Z 112.7K followers, 163.9K engagements

"Gm ☕ Ok Im calling it in no uncertain terms I think balance sheet contraction ex. Big [--] has now ended Global M2 / Global GDP has bottomed and therefore altcoins will now after a 3-year bear market outperform BTC (i.e. OTHERS/BTC ) Feels extremely anti-consensus now to hold this view but it makes sense to me will be rotating a final chunk of BTC into alts over the next few days and thatll be it for my alt positioning The market can then make it clear whether Im right or wrong over the coming weeks & months and Im sure Ill be clowned for thinking its even possible for alts to broadly outperform"
X Link 2025-02-15T08:56Z 112.7K followers, 39.3K engagements

"February closes green. $BTC"
X Link 2025-02-18T18:14Z 112.7K followers, 79.7K engagements

"Buy early April weakness - sell early June strength"
X Link 2025-03-25T08:47Z 112.7K followers, 194.3K engagements

"@DeItaone Dunno if we believe you any more walt"
X Link 2025-04-08T17:39Z 112.7K followers, 32.5K engagements

"Buy early May weakness - sell late June strength Buy early April weakness - sell early June strength Buy early April weakness - sell early June strength"
X Link 2025-04-25T20:12Z 112.7K followers, 69.7K engagements

"Idk who needs to hear this but there is zero trend exhaustion across timeframes and BTC closed the week at all-time highs with zero derivatives froth Illiquid holiday weekends are noise It is however nice to see how fragile the optimism is even at new highs supports the view that we continue higher into July and that when that fragile optimism becomes more concrete we sell into it If we get a short-term pullback into early June and youre sidelined you buy it just like early April and just like early May"
X Link 2025-05-25T13:51Z 112.7K followers, 32.5K engagements

"$OTHERS should start running higher from nowish until early July or else I stick to macro equities and BTC and delete coin from my username"
X Link 2025-06-03T13:39Z 112.7K followers, 26.7K engagements

"Galaxy sold $9bn without a Saylor bid and were at $119k lmfao $MSTR - STRATEGY: NO BITCOIN BUYS MADE DURING JULY 21-JULY [--] $MSTR - STRATEGY: NO BITCOIN BUYS MADE DURING JULY 21-JULY 27"
X Link 2025-07-28T12:02Z 112.7K followers, 179K engagements

"Bitlord Valhalla video gonna hit like crack when ETH breaks $4k Bitlord Valhalla video gonna hit like crack when ETH breaks $4k"
X Link 2025-08-08T14:00Z 112.7K followers, 133.2K engagements

"I think September will be better than most expect"
X Link 2025-08-28T10:44Z 112.7K followers, 100.2K engagements

"Bottom in (or almost) If youre still ultra bullish here congrats. Youre exit liquidity. Cycle top is in (or almost). $BTC https://t.co/ckBwgZX3UV If youre still ultra bullish here congrats. Youre exit liquidity. Cycle top is in (or almost). $BTC https://t.co/ckBwgZX3UV"
X Link 2025-08-29T14:13Z 112.7K followers, 52.4K engagements

"To be clear I think youre significantly closer to a broad altszn akin to Q1 [----] than you are to a 50% drawdown on $TOTAL I think youre all retarded for talking cycle tops every day for [--] months straight tbh af I think youre all retarded for talking cycle tops every day for [--] months straight tbh af"
X Link 2025-09-07T06:14Z 112.7K followers, 43.7K engagements

"Some thoughts going into Q4: If we close green today on risk across the board after the intraday whipsaw yesterday I think that helps carry momentum through to FOMC next week (and likely a little bit beyond) Theres little Powell can say that would be more dovish than the curve is already pricing without it veering into panicky territory imo Unlike other recent meetings where Ive noted the asymmetry was in anticipating dovishness relative to consensus expectations I think there is asymmetry here in the other direction (neutral data dependent etc. = hawkish relative to consensus precisely the"
X Link 2025-09-10T12:25Z 112.7K followers, 175.2K engagements

"seeing $70k targets on the timeline again lol lmao even"
X Link 2025-09-26T14:38Z 112.7K followers, 52.8K engagements

"Gold is now up the market cap of Bitcoin since Oct 1st $2.5trn added in less than [--] weeks"
X Link 2025-10-13T17:09Z 112.7K followers, 34.6K engagements

"The most devastating outcome is a 4-year bear market for alts vs BTC in which market participants progressively added leverage risk on the way down only to get zeroed out in the worst liquidation event for alts in history at the pico-bottom of said 4-year downtrend And then alts as a % of BTC bottom at the precise level they bottomed at in Dec [--] Aug [--] and Dec [--] Would be brutal"
X Link 2025-10-13T19:21Z 112.7K followers, 161.5K engagements

"For anyone asking wen crypto because everything else is running I already gave you the TL;DR on what Im expecting time-wise BTC $125k next week and $133k end of month ETH $5k end of month November altszn / uponly / froth Dec shakeout / profit-taking Its all in the Outlook and I cannot be clearer about my view Its v fucking hard to make directional calls with both precise timings and prices if Im even half right it should be a very good rest of Q4 If Im wrong I will suffer with you all 🫡 Some TL;DRs for those who cba to wait for the article on X / have the attention spans of a goldfish 🫡 And"
X Link 2025-10-15T15:14Z 112.7K followers, 190.9K engagements

"You know what would be great A nice blow-off top to 14k a 38% retrace back to just above 10k and then sideways at 10k for [--] months"
X Link 2017-11-29T09:57Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Every large exchange is closing sign-ups. The potential magnitude of this altseason is becoming incalculable"
X Link 2018-01-06T23:02Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Giancarlo my g"
X Link 2018-02-06T15:55Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"This is pretty much the optimal point at which to enter alts"
X Link 2018-03-01T17:18Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Nice altseason that was fun guys see u next year for more 20% gains"
X Link 2018-04-25T11:24Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"When one of the world's largest banks announces it is going to be using its own money to trade Bitcoin futures that tells you all you need to know"
X Link 2018-05-03T09:41Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"If BTC was a shitcoin you'd be buying"
X Link 2018-05-03T19:09Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"Christ number one best-selling book in the Investing category on Amazon. And 114th on the whole of Amazon. I'm absolutely speechless. Thank you"
X Link 2018-06-08T21:13Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"People can deny it all they want but the signs of an incoming altseason are evident in the charts"
X Link 2019-02-10T11:51Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Thread (long af): I think its important to give context on what youre seeing in alts atm; why its happening now; and what to expect. Whilst no one can time markets perfectly theres a number of reasons why many of us have been anticipating a cyclical shift since 2019"
X Link 2019-03-12T11:14Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"When books about altcoins start making their way back onto the bestseller lists you know interest is renewed"
X Link 2019-05-19T08:19Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin dominance looks about ready to fall off a cliff"
X Link 2019-08-18T13:34Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"How the fuck did we hit $3800 and bounce 45% in the [--] hours I was asleep"
X Link 2020-03-13T08:10Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Going to shill my book in the midst of this simply because I know it'll be useful to any newbies in the space wanting to take advantage of this environment. If you can't afford it just DM me and I'll send you the PDF. https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/198617011X https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/198617011X"
X Link 2020-08-12T15:08Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"$50k will be arguably the most important level for $BTC in a future cycle as it aligns with a $1trn market cap. Wouldnt be surprised if thats the next cycle peak or just shy of"
X Link 2020-11-08T15:12Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin Dominance going down whilst BTC/USD going up is as close to Valhalla as life can ever get"
X Link 2020-11-30T11:15Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"This is eerily similar to late [----] going into early [----] for alts"
X Link 2021-01-06T15:21Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Alts that are either holding firm or slightly rallying here vs BTC despite the breakdown are the ones you want to be buying. There's quite a few"
X Link 2021-01-21T09:11Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Robinhood users about to leave en masse for crypto exchanges"
X Link 2021-01-29T13:03Z 112.7K followers, [----] engagements

"mania incoming"
X Link 2021-02-01T09:22Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"$FTM vs $COTI Don't be surprised"
X Link 2021-03-11T13:45Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Clean double top at $58300 + Binance FUD is the perfect recipe for new all-time highs tbh"
X Link 2021-03-12T13:19Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Think were going to see altcoin market cap grow by like 50% in the next 4-6 weeks"
X Link 2021-04-05T21:27Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"The fact that everything has effectively played out almost identically to [----] thus far is still throwing me lol"
X Link 2021-04-06T10:53Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"Presented without comment"
X Link 2025-01-11T14:16Z 112.7K followers, 91.5K engagements

"business cycle says higher on-chain says higher price-action says higher fuck you higher"
X Link 2025-01-22T14:12Z 112.7K followers, 45.5K engagements

"Right longer post: On alts specifically since thats whats causing everyone so much concern the leader of the cycle (SOL/BTC) has been pretty tightly following the business cycle composite since [----] my view on the business cycle has not changed and we are not late cycle therefore either the correlation breaks and SOL/BTC been distributing for 12+ months or this has been reaccumulation and it continues to follow the business cycle higher into its crescendo The rest of the shitcoins would benefit from a slightly different dynamic Ive been banging this drum since last year that the thing that"
X Link 2025-01-23T11:26Z 112.7K followers, 70.8K engagements

"Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle but tbh I think Im gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just cant really be expecting significant further downside when were coming into [----] support for OTHERS as a % of TOTAL3 seeing momentum exhaustion on altcoin dominance at cyclical lows 200wMA in USD and pre-election support vs QQQ between 360wMA and 200wMA which have been historically rewarding areas to allocate Obviously my view on alts is that in order to see sustained and broad-based outperformance (PvE) you need both the business cycle recovery & global M2"
X Link 2025-02-03T14:40Z 112.7K followers, 135K engagements

"Ok selling some BTC now to rotate into alts pretty much exclusively RWAs / Made In USA / AI / HYPE Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle but tbh I think Im gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just cant really be expecting significant further downside when were coming into [----] support for OTHERS as a % of TOTAL3 seeing momentum https://t.co/KpHuRxnubz Gonna give it a couple of days to let the dust settle but tbh I think Im gonna sell some BTC and buy some more alts here this week Just cant really be expecting significant further downside when were coming"
X Link 2025-02-06T13:14Z 112.7K followers, 121.3K engagements

"SOL has given you [---] days to sell $200 after first tagging it this cycle When has an altcoin ever given you the opportunity to sell within 25% of the generational top for almost an entire year In September [----] [---] days after we first tagged $200 we were down 88% Same prices this cycle with more supply yet price not following suit Makes you think maybe it isnt a generational top after all"
X Link 2025-02-10T21:04Z 112.7K followers, 158.8K engagements

"Everyone gets horny about M2 because they think rising M2 = liquidity = uponly.exe So they must be confounded by the fact that Global M2 is pushing new all-time highs but their shitcoins continue to underperform Whilst rising M2 does appear to support things of actual value (equities Bitcoin gold etc.) your shitcoins are purely a phenomenon of speculative excess If you want to see speculative excess you need surplus dollars to those being spent in the real economy now look at this chart and tell me what you notice If you need some help Global M2 (blue) has been growing at roughly the same"
X Link 2025-02-11T12:58Z 112.7K followers, 129K engagements

"Bitlord Valhalla video gonna hit like crack when ETH breaks $4k"
X Link 2025-07-11T08:16Z 112.7K followers, 136.2K engagements

"I think youre all retarded for talking cycle tops every day for [--] months straight tbh af"
X Link 2025-09-06T21:01Z 112.7K followers, 96.3K engagements

"Some TL;DRs for those who cba to wait for the article on X / have the attention spans of a goldfish 🫡 And maybe Im wrong and we chop for months or maybe Im wrong and weve just started a bear market with the 4-year cycle now complete I dont think I am though"
X Link 2025-10-13T18:04Z 112.7K followers, 180.7K engagements

"First naked swing long on $BTC since Sept 20th Punish me swiftly if I am wrong reward me greatly if I am right 🫡"
X Link 2025-10-14T07:34Z 112.7K followers, 59.8K engagements

"This is not what the beginning of a bear market looks like Sorry guys higher 🫡"
X Link 2025-10-14T18:18Z 112.7K followers, 24.8K engagements

"This remains my big picture view everything else is noise tbh [--] possible scenarios: 1) BTC is no longer correlated to macro and will experience a secular downturn whilst the business cycle inflects higher 2) Were headed into an imminent recession 3) There is still plenty of runway for macro and therefore plenty of runway for BTC going into [----] higher for longer Subjective weighted probabilities of each scenario: 1) 5% 2) 15% 3) 80% Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk"
X Link 2025-10-18T10:23Z 112.7K followers, 179.5K engagements

"$188k in Jan"
X Link 2025-10-22T13:10Z 112.7K followers, 45K engagements

"So Philakone got hacked. Im blocked so I cant see his tweets but getting hacked is awful regardless of how much of a douchebag youve been in the past. Sucks"
X Link 2018-02-24T08:47Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

"My proof has arrived. Going to start my final read-through and edit now. At first glance theres a few stylistic changes I want to make but I cant believe Ive got an actual book"
X Link 2018-05-23T15:15Z 112.7K followers, [---] engagements

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@cointradernik
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