# ![@ces921 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::22149757.png) @ces921 Craig Shapiro

Craig Shapiro's recent activity seems to be related to discussions about the US economy, AI, and its impact on the job market and government finances. The current focus appears to be on the effects of AI on the economy, with some commentators suggesting that it may lead to significant job displacement and increased pressure on the government. Shapiro may be engaging with others on this topic through live discussions and social media posts.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::22149757/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::22149757/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -7.80%
- [--] Month [---------] +189%
- [--] Months [---------] -72%
- [--] Year [----------] +139%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::22149757/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::22149757/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Month [--] -43%
- [--] Months [---] -23%
- [--] Year [---] -30%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::22149757/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::22149757/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +5.40%
- [--] Month [------] +15%
- [--] Months [------] +42%
- [--] Year [------] +66%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::22149757/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::22149757/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  53% [countries](/list/countries)  13% [currencies](/list/currencies)  #3975 [stocks](/list/stocks)  6% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  5% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  2% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  1% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1% [financial services](/list/financial-services)  1% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[we are](/topic/we-are) #3531, [ai](/topic/ai) 8%, [market](/topic/market) #4453, [inflation](/topic/inflation) 6%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 6%, [fed](/topic/fed) #218, [carry](/topic/carry) #195, [sunday](/topic/sunday) 5%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 5%, [gold](/topic/gold) 5%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@pharmdks](/creator/undefined) [@paxtrader777](/creator/undefined) [@anthonycrudele](/creator/undefined) [@pipczar](/creator/undefined) [@tradesnipersara](/creator/undefined) [@ninjatrader_jim](/creator/undefined) [@ninjatrader](/creator/undefined) [@thesteveerdman](/creator/undefined) [@lukegromen](/creator/undefined) [@northstarcharts](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@batman10023](/creator/undefined) [@yuriwerewolf](/creator/undefined) [@secscottbessent](/creator/undefined) [@gfunk019](/creator/undefined) [@pharmd_ks](/creator/undefined) [@bitcoindayio](/creator/undefined) [@nicktimiraos](/creator/undefined) [@steveliesman](/creator/undefined) [@kevinmuir](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [BlackRock Inc (BLK)](/topic/blackrock)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"NINJA TRADER - MORNING MARKET BRIEF Tuesday February [--] [----] KEY THEMES Equity markets face severe structural headwinds as mechanical selling from volatility-control funds ($31B estimated requirement) compounds existing pressure from CTAs and negative dealer positioning while hedge funds recorded their largest-ever notional short sales and rotated aggressively out of technologyparticularly software which hit record-low exposureinto defensive healthcare positioning. This technical deterioration contrasts sharply with resilient corporate fundamentals as TSMC posted 37% January sales growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021203816587116709)  2026-02-10T12:45Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Someone has an advanced look at Wednesday's NFP print HASSETT: LOWER JOBS NUMBERS SHOULDN'T TRIGGER PANIC HASSETT: LOWER JOBS NUMBERS SHOULDN'T TRIGGER PANIC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020854124443500818)  2026-02-09T13:35Z 42.7K followers, 119K engagements


"The Private Education and Health Services sector was a major beneficiary of the birth-death model. While the birth-death model added a massive +145000 jobs to the unadjusted total across all sectors its specific impact on Healthcare and Education is unique because of how the BLS models "business births" in sectors that are structurally growing versus those that are cyclical. [--]. Healthcare: The Structural "Safe Haven" Healthcare added [-----] jobs this morning. The birth-death model has a highly positive bias in this sector because the model is based on a 5-year rolling average. The Lag Effect:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021600815518044669)  2026-02-11T15:02Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Another day of JPY strength vs carry currencies. AUDJPY/MXNJPY And now I would add bear flattener to the list of positions now that threaten to unwind some folks. Keep that head of a swivel after the "great" NFP print Finally getting a little reversal trading in yen carry trade crosses. day one stuff. audjpy brljpy mxnjpy And day curve flattener is a little more of a pain trade than not. Lets see if this materializes into something broader Finally getting a little reversal trading in yen carry trade crosses. day one stuff. audjpy brljpy mxnjpy And day curve flattener is a little more of a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021631149966320126)  2026-02-11T17:03Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Summer 2025: When the Narrative Snapped China isnt catching up. Its surpassing the U.S. BYD outsold Tesla. DeepSeek overtook ChatGPT. Alibaba cracked Nvidias moat. Beijing weaponized rare earths. 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1962872415245025287)  2025-09-02T13:37Z 42.1K followers, 66K engagements


"*BLACKROCK PRIVATE DEBT FUND EXPECTS 19% NET ASSET VALUE CUT Nice casual headline for Friday after the close"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2014825839926362424)  2026-01-23T22:21Z 42.3K followers, 772.5K engagements


"Is Elon buying up all the Silver He goes to Davos and pumps AI data centers in space powered by solar which needs a lot of silver and price goes vertical Maybe it is just about s/d tightening rather than the world ending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015842692379316520)  2026-01-26T17:42Z 41.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Financial conditions are about as loose as they've been since Trump took office. And these will keep loosening as thr $ continues to weaken post Trump's embrace of weaker $. Does the Fed still care about financial conditions when setting monetary policy With inflation still above target and the labor market stable and financial conditions remarkably loose why is the Fed still so dovish Let's ask them today. @NickTimiraos @steveliesman https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016457375729741887 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016457375729741887"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016457375729741887)  2026-01-28T10:24Z 41.7K followers, 25.9K engagements


"U.S. TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT ON U.S. DOLLAR: U.S. ALWAYS HAS A STRONG DOLLAR POLICY -CNBC INTERVIEW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016530191795822688)  2026-01-28T15:13Z 41.9K followers, [----] engagements


"No football No problem Come watch The Best Damn "Sunday Open" Show Period at 6pm est on @NinjaTrader Live. Join @paxtrader777 @TradeSniperSara @PipCzar and me break down the insane action from Friday's precious metals bloodbath and get you ready for the upcoming crazy week ahead. https://www.youtube.com/live/hrw8Qx3VoBYsi=oRkXMsvathGIADt1 https://www.youtube.com/live/hrw8Qx3VoBYsi=oRkXMsvathGIADt1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017660158256812060)  2026-01-31T18:04Z 42.1K followers, 53.1K engagements


"Thaks @kevinmuir for having me on The Market Huddle on Friday. We chatted briefly about my career and then got into my current views about precious metals the US$ equity market internals deteriorating and how oil prices could start to act as a volatility accelerator. Let me know what you think. This week @kevinmuir & @PatrickCeresna welcome Craig Shapiro @ces921 They discuss the state of macro markets where the opportunities lie and what it was like working with Steve Cohen. https://t.co/j8OCtktgP7 https://t.co/JwKr1vGBM4 This week @kevinmuir & @PatrickCeresna welcome Craig Shapiro @ces921"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017940115910262927)  2026-02-01T12:36Z 42.4K followers, [----] engagements


"NINJA TRADER - MARKET BRIEF Monday February [--] [----] KEY THEMES Global markets face a critical inflection point as multiple stress signals converge: China's unexpected economic deterioration in Januarywith both manufacturing and services PMIs falling into contractionchallenges hopes for stabilization in the world's second-largest economy and raises questions about global growth momentum. Extreme volatility has erupted across commodity markets particularly in precious metals where gold suffered its largest decline in four decades and silver plunged a record 36% suggesting either a dramatic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2018304039239197011)  2026-02-02T12:42Z 41.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Big ISM beat means $ up yields up runs counter to consensus positioning to start the year for the end of US exceptionalism trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2018339590096974145)  2026-02-02T15:03Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Update to the Factor Baskets: Algos Gone Wild Correlations are picking up VVIX is rising. We are getting closer to the Beta move Another quant unwind day in factor land. This is now [--] days in a row. I think we are getting closer and closer to having a larger episodic volatility event similar to August [----] and February [----] as this de-grossing and alpha unwind ultimately begets a beta faceplant https://t.co/wDMdXoHmHg Another quant unwind day in factor land. This is now [--] days in a row. I think we are getting closer and closer to having a larger episodic volatility event similar to August"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019109382525706648)  2026-02-04T18:02Z 42.5K followers, 41.9K engagements


"@batman10023 sorted by MTD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019136380828541217)  2026-02-04T19:50Z 42K followers, [---] engagements


"Reminder: Alpha Unwind Begets Beta Face Plant Another quant unwind day in factor land. This is now [--] days in a row. I think we are getting closer and closer to having a larger episodic volatility event similar to August [----] and February [----] as this de-grossing and alpha unwind ultimately begets a beta faceplant https://t.co/wDMdXoHmHg Another quant unwind day in factor land. This is now [--] days in a row. I think we are getting closer and closer to having a larger episodic volatility event similar to August [----] and February [----] as this de-grossing and alpha unwind ultimately begets a beta"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019392307292959006)  2026-02-05T12:46Z 42.1K followers, [----] engagements


"NINJA TRADER - MORNING MARKET BRIEF Thursday February [--] [----] KEY THEMES Markets are experiencing a violent regime shift as the "every tech stock wins" consensus trades unwind amid mounting AI skepticism and capital rotation with momentum strategies suffering their worst drawdown in three years while cyclical sectors surge. Central banks are diverging sharplyJapan's LDP landslide prospects are triggering a dual selloff in JGBs and the yen as markets price consumption tax cuts and massive spending while the BOE's narrower-than-expected 5-4 hold and the ECB's steady stance reflect concern over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019393046240989307)  2026-02-05T12:49Z 42.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Comparing the setup today to the July/August [----] yen carry trade unwind is interesting to me This is the VIX and 1m Implied Correlation look. Episodic vol event coming to a theater near you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019435614882656349)  2026-02-05T15:39Z 42.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Ninja Trader Live - Afternoon Market Update February [--] [----] The primary narrative dominating the tape today is a structural shift in the assessment of the United States labor market. For several months the prevailing consensus has operated under the assumption of a "low-hire low-fire" environmenta steady-state equilibrium where decelerating hiring was offset by historically low layoffs. This balance served as the foundation for the "soft landing" thesis. However the data released this morning suggests that the "low-fire" pillar of that thesis is fracturing forcing an immediate re-evaluation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019495547199967373)  2026-02-05T19:37Z 42.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Factor Update: The unwind continues"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019505733092638851)  2026-02-05T20:17Z 42.3K followers, 13.6K engagements


"Next week Treasury is auctioning $58bn [--] year notes $42bn [--] year notes and $25bn of [--] year bonds Google capex just raised to $175-185bn Amazon capex just raised to $200bn Figure both will tap the debt markets next week to help finance a chunk of that. That's a lot of paper coming to bond market https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019524009323282606 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019524009323282606"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019524009323282606)  2026-02-05T21:30Z 42.4K followers, 20.5K engagements


"Ninja Trader Live: Next Week Look Ahead The Labor Pivot Meets the Liquidity Test The transition from a "benign cooling" to "structural deterioration" in the labor narrative has potentially altered the market's psychological floor. Heading into next week we are moving past theoretical debates about the Fed's dual mandate and into a high-stakes collision between deteriorating macro data massive supply pressure and accelerating technical unwinds. The Primary Friction: Labor vs. Supply The market is entering a "Policy Arithmetic Trap" just as the Treasury prepares to dump significant duration"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019855046452654354)  2026-02-06T19:25Z 42.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Super Bowl Sunday Join us for "The Sunday Open" at special early time of 545pm. @paxtrader777 @PharmD_KS @PipCzar and I will get you ready for a busy macro week ahead catch the first 30min of trading and then get you out just in time for Kickoff. https://www.youtube.com/live/uBl0gO3ZAc4si=X3P4TVd2Glm-ZAiF https://www.youtube.com/live/uBl0gO3ZAc4si=X3P4TVd2Glm-ZAiF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020167042750390748)  2026-02-07T16:05Z 42.6K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Looking to start a new rally here Bitcoin can use all the help it can get @SteaknShake"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020180377877311809)  2026-02-07T16:58Z 42.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Plenty of bond supply likely coming next potentially getting a little more expensive after the LDP steamrolls to big majority in snap elections in Japan this weekend. Number (yields) go up Next week Treasury is auctioning $58bn [--] year notes $42bn [--] year notes and $25bn of [--] year bonds Google capex just raised to $175-185bn Amazon capex just raised to $200bn Figure both will tap the debt markets next week to help finance a chunk of that. That's a lot of paper Next week Treasury is auctioning $58bn [--] year notes $42bn [--] year notes and $25bn of [--] year bonds Google capex just raised to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020508624548704265)  2026-02-08T14:42Z 42.6K followers, 16.6K engagements


""The Super Sunday Open" Early start tonight at 545pm and only [--] minutes long with @paxtrader777 @PharmD_KS @PipCzar and me to get you ready for big macro week ahead catch the opening prints for the week and then get you back on the couch for the Big Game. via @YouTube https://www.youtube.com/live/uBl0gO3ZAc4si=rugQiC6BNlN6mdJ_ https://www.youtube.com/live/uBl0gO3ZAc4si=rugQiC6BNlN6mdJ_"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020594804728758340)  2026-02-08T20:25Z 42.6K followers, 30K engagements


"@TheSteveErdman @paxtrader777 @PharmD_KS @PipCzar @PharmD_KS has the color commentary on his chart work that would have Tom Brady remembering "deflategate" again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020597963316404733)  2026-02-08T20:37Z 42.6K followers, [---] engagements


"@chigrl They are borrowing in GBP because most likely GBP wont be around in [---] years so great idea to borrow in a currency that will go away easy to pay back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2020884421285400993)  2026-02-09T15:36Z 42.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@YuriWerewolf GS and MS and UBS baskets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021642631420453045)  2026-02-11T17:48Z 42.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Another quant unwind day in factor land. This is now [--] days in a row. I think we are getting closer and closer to having a larger episodic volatility event similar to August [----] and February [----] as this de-grossing and alpha unwind ultimately begets a beta faceplant"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2019071817411883303)  2026-02-04T15:33Z 42.7K followers, 314.9K engagements


"Citi Surprise Index and the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker starting to roll over. It seemed last week when we had the stronger than expected ISM manufacturing print that perhaps markets were getting incredibly complacent about an accelerating economic outlook. Fast forward a week later and labor data has shown signs of struggling while today's retail sales print suggests the momentum for the consumer to end the year wasn't as strong as originally anticipated. Maybe we have hit peak growth expectations for now Big NFP print tomorrow will help drive the next move"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021323082648924560)  2026-02-10T20:39Z 42.7K followers, 14.8K engagements


"@dailydirtnap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021408943306834039)  2026-02-11T02:20Z 42.7K followers, [---] engagements


"NINJA TRADER - MORNING MARKET BRIEF Wednesday February [--] [----] KEY THEMES Consumer stress signals are intensifying with household delinquencies reaching 4.8% - the highest since [----] - while credit card delinquencies at 12.7% now sit at their second-highest level in history underscoring a bifurcated economy where lower-income cohorts are buckling under pressure even as headline employment metrics hold steady. This fragility is manifesting in consumption data with retail sales disappointing sharply and prompting concerns the consumer "brick wall" has been hit after six months of near-zero real"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021565320360509501)  2026-02-11T12:41Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Gemini's view on the NFP strength The Birth-Death adjustment played a outsized role in the January [----] beat acting as a massive statistical "plug" that accounted for nearly all of the headline strength. In January the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) traditionally applies a significant negative "unadjusted" number because of post-holiday layoffs. The Birth-Death model is used to estimate the net change in jobs from business openings and closings that the standard survey misses. The Impact on the January Print For the January [----] report the Birth-Death model added an estimated [------] jobs to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021586829485449688)  2026-02-11T14:07Z 42.7K followers, 28.1K engagements


"@RevelioLabs Curious if you could help us understand why your data for January was so much weaker than what today's non-farm payroll release showed. You were at [------] vs 172k non-farm payroll in release"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021589567048974517)  2026-02-11T14:18Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"*SCHMID: CRITICAL TO REDUCE FED'S FOOTPRINT IN FINANCIAL MARKETS *SCHMID: LARGE BALANCE SHEET RISKS INTERTWINING FED AND TREASURY Not surprisingly looks like Schmid on team Warsh/Miran to reduce the size of the Fed's balance sheet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021603859211198820)  2026-02-11T15:14Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Another algos gone wild day in factor land. More evidence of de-grossing going on Add to that beginning of JPY carry unwinds (AUD/MXN/BRL etc) and a bear flattener alongside a pickup in fixed income volatility over the last few days and perhaps we are looking at something a little more sinister developing here after the "Yuge" payroll number which pushes back the timeline to Fed rate cuts again. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021633448452948010 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021633448452948010"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021633448452948010)  2026-02-11T17:12Z 42.7K followers, 18.6K engagements


"@SecScottBessent @POTUS https://x.com/ces921/status/2021586829485449688s=20 Gemini's view on the NFP strength The Birth-Death adjustment played a outsized role in the January [----] beat acting as a massive statistical "plug" that accounted for nearly all of the headline strength. In January the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) traditionally applies a https://x.com/ces921/status/2021586829485449688s=20 Gemini's view on the NFP strength The Birth-Death adjustment played a outsized role in the January [----] beat acting as a massive statistical "plug" that accounted for nearly all of the headline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021637406341169562)  2026-02-11T17:28Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"NINJA TRADER - MORNING MARKET BRIEF Thursday February [--] [----] KEY THEMES Markets are navigating a treacherous confluence of fiscal deterioration structural inflation risks and mounting corporate stress beneath an artificially calm surface. The CBO's $1.4 trillion deficit revision underscores an unsustainable fiscal trajectory while aggregate weekly payrolls surged 0.83% in Januarythe strongest since February 2024reinforcing persistent income growth that supports Citigroup's warning that markets are dangerously complacent on inflation expectations. Critically large corporate bankruptcies have"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021929963998286121)  2026-02-12T12:50Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Fixed income ripper again yen carry trades unwinding again against carry currencies rotation into defensives with XLP making new highs profitless tech/realized value/meme stock factors getting rinsed. Smells like deleveraging to me again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021975468585759177)  2026-02-12T15:51Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@LukeGromen Transact in US$ Store Value and Wealth in Gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021978912486822148)  2026-02-12T16:05Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Add the pickup in implied correlation and VVIX rise to the scene Recall my favorite saying: Alpha Unwind Begets Beta Faceplant Fixed income ripper again yen carry trades unwinding again against carry currencies rotation into defensives with XLP making new highs profitless tech/realized value/meme stock factors getting rinsed. Smells like deleveraging to me again Fixed income ripper again yen carry trades unwinding again against carry currencies rotation into defensives with XLP making new highs profitless tech/realized value/meme stock factors getting rinsed. Smells like deleveraging to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2021985012737093867)  2026-02-12T16:29Z 42.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@OneOutx2 Yeah. USDJPY having a day. AUD as well. If the bond market starts to notice (higher yields) then equities will wake up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2014764973696721035)  2026-01-23T18:19Z 38.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@LOGOinvestor @SKmacro TCPC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2014895429297594790)  2026-01-24T02:57Z 38.8K followers, 17.7K engagements


"@MrBlonde_macro @rev_cap Good call This is the chart of short quality. Garbage has been ripping lately Interesting reversal Friday though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015061005684838790)  2026-01-24T13:55Z 38.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Tariff threat on Canada TRUMP ON TRUTH SOCIAL: If Governor Carney thinks he is going to make Canada a Drop Off Port for China to send goods and products into the United States he is sorely mistaken. China will eat Canada alive completely devour it including the destruction of their businesses TRUMP ON TRUTH SOCIAL: If Governor Carney thinks he is going to make Canada a Drop Off Port for China to send goods and products into the United States he is sorely mistaken. China will eat Canada alive completely devour it including the destruction of their businesses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015086350916039032)  2026-01-24T15:36Z 39K followers, [----] engagements


"Tariffs Tacos Iran Greenland $/yen big tech earnings and the Fed. Huge week coming up Join us live Sunday at 6pm EST for The Best Damn "Sunday Open" Show Period on @NinjaTrader Live. Get set up for the week with me @paxtrader777 @PipCzar @TradeSniperSara https://www.youtube.com/live/C7DHi7EcVEMsi=R4oMjMIbRxqLvG-T https://www.youtube.com/live/C7DHi7EcVEMsi=R4oMjMIbRxqLvG-T"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015110858641113425)  2026-01-24T17:14Z 38.9K followers, 16.3K engagements


"@SpecialSitsNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015578702919114914)  2026-01-26T00:13Z 38.8K followers, [----] engagements


"@GregorPepe @NorthstarCharts But it doesnt impact the demand for US Treasuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015858458923307240)  2026-01-26T18:44Z 38.9K followers, [---] engagements


"🔴 Trump: I am hereby increasing South Korean tariffs on autos lumber pharma and all other reciprocal tariffs from 15% to 25%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015908750716977603)  2026-01-26T22:04Z 38.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Congratulations to the US Govt for posting a $509bn deficit in the first quarter of FY24 with December deficit coming in at -$128bn according to the CBO (early street estimates for December deficit were $60-65bn). That's up $87bn yoy with revenues up 8% but expenses up 12%. If we account for the shifts in revenues and expenses based on timing the deficit would have been $553bn up $94bn yoy. Net outlays for interest on public debt were up 49% yoy given the move in interest rates. Nothing like a $2trn+ annualized deficit in an economy at full employment. Janet gonna need to do some more issuing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1744799339262660838)  2024-01-09T19:12Z 39K followers, 25.7K engagements


"Bitcoin vs IWM - Moonshot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1925203618124181611)  2025-05-21T14:54Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements


"200bps outperformance RTY vs NQ Growth basket underperforming Value by near 500bps High short interest names ripping while AI winners getting smacked Seems like algos gone wild. Quant quake brewing as VVIX starts to move higher along with implied correlations finally coming off the mat https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011527774830293049 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011527774830293049"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2011527774830293049)  2026-01-14T19:56Z 39K followers, [----] engagements


"MARKET BRIEF Wednesday January [--] [----] KEY THEMES Markets are navigating a volatile confluence of geopolitical tensions elevated positioning risks and mixed corporate signals as investors grapple with peak optimism levels not seen since mid-2021. The dramatic surge in safe-haven assetsgold hitting records amid Greenland tensions and natural gas spiking 50% on weather-driven demandcontrasts sharply with BofA's Bull & Bear Indicator flashing "hyper-bull" at [---] and negative gamma conditions amplifying volatility potential suggesting markets are priced for perfection just as tariff impacts begin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2013959493755760868)  2026-01-21T12:58Z 39.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Incredible Technical Analysis from @PharmD_KS on the Gold market from "The Sunday Open" on @NinjaTrader Live which aired Monday night given the Holiday Weekend. Come for the great analysis and setups for the week. Stay for the jokes. The legendary "P" shaped pattern had @paxtrader777 in stitches. Join us Sunday Nights at 6pm EST. #mindtheshaft #jamitin @TradeSniperSara @AnthonyCrudele https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014074581976277411 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014074581976277411"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2014074581976277411)  2026-01-21T20:36Z 39.1K followers, 42.4K engagements


"Ninja Trader Live: Overbought / Oversold Indicator Overview: We can see the strength in commodities and commodity related currencies as compared to the US$. On the flip side reasonable oversold conditions are being observed in some of the Mag [--] names (AAPL/MSFT) and software Markets have rotated aggressively to start the year but note that we are getting to some historically stretched conditions. These conditions can alleviate in time or price based on how the indicator is constructed. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014700499589562511 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014700499589562511"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2014700499589562511)  2026-01-23T14:03Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@NorthstarCharts What is the warning If this was really a get out of USD assets story why arent we seeing USTs weaker yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015837733441200476)  2026-01-26T17:22Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@NorthstarCharts Sure. Precious and industrial metals are firm on the AI capex buildout trajectory but oil doesnt appear to be scaring anyone. [--] year yields at 4.2% dont really appear to be too concerned yet about whatever gold and silver are saying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2015839624459927802)  2026-01-26T17:29Z 39K followers, [----] engagements


"NINJA TRADER - MARKET BRIEF Tuesday January [--] [----] KEY THEMES Markets are pushing toward all-time highs on broadening rally momentum but beneath the surface lie mounting fragilities: systematic positioning remains near five-year highs yet has grown acutely vulnerable to downside volatility with potential for over $200 billion in forced selling should markets decline even modestly. Mega-cap earnings this week will test stretched positioning and record-high risk appetite (98th percentile since 1991) with investors focused less on backward-looking beats than forward guidance on AI capex"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016132334676787235)  2026-01-27T12:53Z 39K followers, [----] engagements


"*TRUMP: DOLLAR IS DOING GREAT Gaslighter in Chief has spoken"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016251461177393510)  2026-01-27T20:46Z 39.1K followers, [----] engagements


"No questions about financial conditions. No acknowledgement from the Fed that they continue to loosen as the US$ is getting face planted. Powell dismissed the recent aggressive move higher in inflation expectations as well. When do we get to the part of the story where the Fed needs to start thinking about conditions necessary to raise rates to protect the $ I know we arent there yet but damn maybe we will get there quick Financial conditions are about as loose as they've been since Trump took office. And these will keep loosening as thr $ continues to weaken post Trump's embrace of weaker $."  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016611239091212435)  2026-01-28T20:36Z 39.6K followers, 13K engagements


"NINJA TRADER MARKET BRIEF Thursday January [--] [----] KEY THEMES Markets are caught between two powerful forces: an unprecedented AI infrastructure arms race driving historic capex commitments from Big Tech and growing macro fragility signaled by surging precious metals deteriorating dollar confidence and rising geopolitical tensions with Iran. The capex super-cyclewith Meta doubling spending to $135 billion and Tesla tripling to $20 billionis colliding with evidence of AI-driven labor displacement across [------] tech jobs and mounting concerns over software monetization creating a stark"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016855415313551695)  2026-01-29T12:46Z 39.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Jerome Too Late Powell again refused to cut interest rates even though he has absolutely no reason to keep them so high. He is hurting our Country and its National Security. We should have a substantially lower rate now that even this moron admits inflation is no longer a problem or threat. He is costing America Hundreds of Billions of Dollar a year in totally unnecessary and uncalled for INTEREST EXPENSE. Because of the vast amounts of money flowing into our Country because of Tariffs we should be paying the LOWEST INTEREST RATE OF ANY COUNTRY IN THE WORLD. Most of these countries are low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016858901115711653)  2026-01-29T13:00Z 39.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Looking back to this meeting in the White house three weeks ago with Oil company CEOs. They basically went in there and told Trump that they wont support drilling expansion in Venezuela if he is going to continue to talk about getting oil prices down to $50 or lower. Since then oil prices have largely been a one way trade higher. Obviously Iran news and cold weather are helping as well but if oil producers are not going to raise capex to increase drilling for oil (in Venz or in shale regions) if oil prices are not higher. Note the President has dialed down his talk of driving oil prices lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016880765401796861)  2026-01-29T14:27Z 39.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Overbought / Oversold Indicator $ rally now will destroy people who have chased EM and precious"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016898312759054729)  2026-01-29T15:36Z 39.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Drive prices up for current homeowners but drive them down for people who dont own a home but want one *TRUMP: WILL DRIVE HOME VALUES UP FOR CURRENT HOMEOWNERS *TRUMP: WILL DRIVE HOME VALUES UP FOR CURRENT HOMEOWNERS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016928273192612124)  2026-01-29T17:35Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@ethicalzac"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016931580371939711)  2026-01-29T17:48Z 39.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Housing trap. Homeowners want prices up. First-time buyers need prices down. Rate cuts lift prices. Affordability gets worse. Pick a side. Voters notice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933315131928780)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Energy bind. Cheap gas wins polls. Drilling needs higher prices. Pressure prices lower and supply slows. Let prices rise and approval drops. No free lunch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933317480796351)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Interest Rates problem. He wants lower rates. Signals pressure on the Fed. Markets price political risk. Long-end yields rise. Talk drives curves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933319749804254)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Stocks contradiction. Equities serve as a scoreboard. He targets margins in insurance pharma defense banks. Lower margins hit earnings. Multiples compress. You dont get both"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933321951846549)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [---] engagements


"US Dollar conflict. Manufacturing wants a weaker dollar. Reserve status needs strength. Fiscal expansion plus trade pressure spooks capital. Volatility replaces confidence. Hegemony carries rules"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933323910627823)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Labor tension. Voters want wage gains. Reshoring raises costs. Price pressure rhetoric blocks pass-through. Hiring slows. Growth stalls quietly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933325953261916)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Fiscal math bites. Tax cuts stay popular. Deficits already run hot. Bond buyers demand compensation. Higher yields undercut stimulus. Markets keep score"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933327924494702)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Tariff reality. Sounds tough. Acts like a consumption tax. Inflation hits with a lag. Retaliation hurts exporters later. Pain arrives delayed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933330013327422)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Fed credibility risk. Control talk shakes trust. Risk premia rise. Long rates move first. Equities follow. Institutions matter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016933332114628611)  2026-01-29T17:55Z 39.4K followers, [---] engagements


"*TREASURY SAYS YUAN 'SUBSTANTIALLY UNDERVALUED' *US CALLS ON CHINA TO ALLOW YUAN TO STRENGTHEN IN TIMELY MANNER No Rush on this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016983473957839166)  2026-01-29T21:15Z 39.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Trump picking Warsh should mean that Powell will step down when his chair seat is finished in May rather than stay on until the end of his term in [----]. Warsh was already on the Fed. It would be bad form / precedent for Powell now to stay on as a governor when the new incoming chair is clearly qualified. If that's the case expect Miran to stay on as well. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017072744790118434 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017072744790118434"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017072744790118434)  2026-01-30T03:09Z 39.6K followers, 18.6K engagements


"Every day this week we have seen evidence of deleveraging under the hood of indices with some of the worst performing factors being the things that had led to start the year. Profitless tech most short index meme stocks high beta momentum longs are all getting smoked with I think is commensurate with the pickup in volatility we are seeing in commodity and FX land. While it hasnt really shown up yet in FI or Equity Vol broadly speaking if we get more US$ strength in coming days as a counter trend move I think we could be setting up for a tougher equity trading environment from here."  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017266096479392122)  2026-01-30T15:58Z 39.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Question: How do end users of silver actually plan their purchasing needs when the intraday range today is higher than the actual price of silver was back a year ago Broadly speaking a pickup in commodity volatility like we have been seeing accelerate over the course of the last few weeks should make it more challenging for commodity buyers to plan purchasing decisions. So far the pickup in commodity volatility hasn't really translated into equity volatility but as uncertainty picks up I would expect to see equity vol start to notice even while fixed income volatility remains muted with a Fed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017335384703963263)  2026-01-30T20:33Z 39.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@sunchartist War this weekend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017366715735142665)  2026-01-30T22:38Z 39.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Another decent build in the RRP. Two day build now of $101bn. Treasury cash around $508bn puts the net liquidity indicator back to the lows except for the window dressing day on 12/31. With $ rallying (pink line inverted) only a matter of time until SPX catches down to liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1628821958061170690)  2023-02-23T18:19Z 41.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Post CPI bought some Gold well sold some IWM not so well. Still like this long gold short IWM construct into a slowing economy where the Fed isn't likely to stimulate rapidly. Join me at Slice to get real time updates on what I am doing Promo Code "Craig" to get discount thru end of day tomorrow. Find my trades at ces921 https://www.slice-app.io/en/ https://www.slice-app.io/en/ https://www.slice-app.io/en/ https://www.slice-app.io/en/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1790819779156054151)  2024-05-15T19:01Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Big liquidity drain coming for the last day of the quarter. Combination of a sizable TGA build from $117bn UST auction settlements along with typical quarter end RRP outflow from window dressing will lead to a very sizable drop in bank reserves tomorrow. Expect a bit of a funding squeeze and SOFR rip for 3/31 and 4/1 which is likely to add insult to injury on this risk off environment for the last day of March Fun times. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1906513077253931011 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1906513077253931011"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1906513077253931011)  2025-03-31T01:05Z 41.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Trump is running the American economy like a Mafia don. He wants the entire economy to run thru the White House. He has shut down the supply chain simply because he can seeking to rebuild it in his own vision where loyalists and his supporters run their businesses without interference. He is having all the largest companies in America come into his offices to beg him to support their efforts give them exemptions remove competitors etc. He doesn't care about small business owners because he likes big things not small things. If you run a small business you have no voice because you are too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1916501326831243511)  2025-04-27T14:34Z 41K followers, 80.1K engagements


"No changes in coupon auction sizes and kept the TGA at $850bn for both 3q and 4q end. Small rise in quarter buybacks Kept guidance too "Based on current projected borrowing needs Treasury anticipates maintaining nominal coupon and FRN auction sizes for at least the next several quarters." He actually did the right thing. If @SecScottBessent plays the dove card this week with the Treasury Quartery refunding announcement screwing around with the TGA cash levels deficit assumptions and reducing the coupon amounts in order to keep the economy running hot with risk assets largely at record highs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1950535858286694794)  2025-07-30T12:36Z 42K followers, [----] engagements


"Earnings Reports today - from some more cyclical names NUE - Down 4.5% DRI - Down 9.5% CBRL - Down 3.3% FDS - Down 4.5% FDX and LEN - important names reports post-close At some point multiple expansion from lower interest rates can only take us so far. If earnings growth doesn't come through cyclical equities will be exposed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1968695784611725578)  2025-09-18T15:17Z 39.8K followers, [----] engagements


"The blow off top patterns and bubbles have been in peripheral AI capex buildout sectors. Nuclear reactors rare earths crypto miners quantum computing silver palladium platinum uranium. Maybe even gold. All the same chart pattern with classic blow off type structure. As liquidity recedes they are all popping together. H/t @dampedspring"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1982034833619476768)  2025-10-25T10:41Z 42.4K followers, 294.7K engagements


"AI demand collided with physical limits. The next moat is control of land power water and grid access. Firms with locked-in megawatts hold a stronger position than companies shipping GPUs. Cheap firm power sets the pace of the entire buildout. The players who already secured those electrons now sit on assets that matter more than their core businesses. A surprising mix of legacy industries hold this advantage. Aluminum smelters with subsidized hydropower. Crypto miners with long-term PPAs in Texas. Hydrogen producers with public power allocations. Old industrial campuses with behind-the-meter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1990114978154643464)  2025-11-16T17:49Z 42K followers, 85.8K engagements


"I guess the Fed decision by Trump will be a great study into whether or not he does what he wants or he caters to the donor class / Wall Street / etc Hassetts Fed chair candidacy received pushback from high-level people close to Trump - CNBC citing Sources. https://t.co/6w1HkCTs46 Hassetts Fed chair candidacy received pushback from high-level people close to Trump - CNBC citing Sources. https://t.co/6w1HkCTs46"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2000588536987210207)  2025-12-15T15:27Z 42K followers, [----] engagements


"I'm old enough to remember when the Trump admin said one of the major scorecards to judge their success was the growth in employment in manufacturing. [----] in the last ISM manufacturing employment reading is pretty bad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2008193700716020122)  2026-01-05T15:07Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Was there a Davos Accord on Fx Trump said we are either taking Greenland or taking the DXY to [--]. Europe got to choose and chose [--] How's that for conspiracy @LukeGromen @Kathleen_Tyson_ @ Dollar tumbles after Trump says he's not concerned with its decline Dollar tumbles after Trump says he's not concerned with its decline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2016267434773070290)  2026-01-27T21:49Z 39.8K followers, [----] engagements


"If Powell winds up leaving and Miran gets to take his seat then you will have both Warsh and Miran pushing for a balance sheet reduction while they push interest rates lower. That's your Main Street over Wall Street set up Let's see if it happens. Gonna take a minute Fed's Miran: I want to shrink the balance sheet by a lot more a smaller balance sheet is the right way. Fed's Miran: I want to shrink the balance sheet by a lot more a smaller balance sheet is the right way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2017272587579973932)  2026-01-30T16:23Z 39.7K followers, 29.6K engagements


"@DsrPrivate Who wants BDC debt when you can ape into ORCL bonds to fund AI capex"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2018423128746066179)  2026-02-02T20:35Z 40.8K followers, [---] engagements


"If Trump wants to get the oil companies to invest $100bn into Venezuela he probably should stop saying things like he wants oil to back down to $50 Trump: The largest oil companies in the world are coming to the White House at 2:30 PM ET. Today's oil major discussion to be about Venezuela - Truth Social Trump: The largest oil companies in the world are coming to the White House at 2:30 PM ET. Today's oil major discussion to be about Venezuela - Truth Social"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/2009700224189772238)  2026-01-09T18:54Z 42.6K followers, [----] engagements


"For those keeping track at home the Fed is selling $290bn of T-bills today. At some point we are going to be talking about a lot of money. lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1962897833398354248)  2025-09-02T15:18Z 42.7K followers, 10.7K engagements


"So they need to buy $160bn in t-bills over the next four months to prepare for basically the tightest liquidity day of every year when taxes are paid Seems a bit much but this Fed time and again has made it clear they don't understand how their management of the balance sheet actually impacts financial conditions inflation expectations and asset prices and makes their job returning inflation back to 2% that much more difficult. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998869269644283989 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998869269644283989"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ces921/status/1998869269644283989)  2025-12-10T21:35Z 42.7K followers, [---] engagements

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