Dark | Light
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

# ![@burgwx Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::4800364455.png) @burgwx Tomer Burg

Tomer Burg posts on X about storm, strong, canada, new england the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::4800364455/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4800364455/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX -XX%

### Mentions: X [#](/creator/twitter::4800364455/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4800364455/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XX -XXXX%
- X Months XXX +73%
- X Year XXX -XX%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::4800364455/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4800364455/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +0.14%
- X Month XXXXXX +0.45%
- X Months XXXXXX +7.60%
- X Year XXXXXX +12%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::4800364455/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4800364455/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[countries](/list/countries)  XXXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[storm](/topic/storm) #579, [strong](/topic/strong) #634, [canada](/topic/canada) #1413, [new england](/topic/new-england) #427, [in the](/topic/in-the) 10.53%, [flow](/topic/flow) #1379, [the north](/topic/the-north) #148, [based](/topic/based) #40, [map](/topic/map) 5.26%, [public](/topic/public) XXXX%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@judah47](/creator/undefined) [@aaronsworld411](/creator/undefined) [@bronxwx](/creator/undefined) [@mattdevittwx](/creator/undefined) [@daywalker378](/creator/undefined) [@garrityv_t](/creator/undefined) [@migidy_dagleesh](/creator/undefined) [@cperruna](/creator/undefined)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Adding some more context since I realized the above post was a bit vague: 1) This isn't the same as saying "I expect an ice storm or rain event". Merely pointing out that there's just enough uncertainty that we can't yet say a major NYC snowstorm is a guaranteed outcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003623861523513411)  2025-12-24T00:28Z 51.9K followers, XXX engagements


"Keeping in mind snow is still ongoing across SE New England here's a preliminary verification based on public storm reports. The fun challenge in forecasting is knowing your forecast will never be XXX% right - and analyzing *why* you were wrong & right where you were"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2000361019026341960)  2025-12-15T00:23Z 51.9K followers, 33.9K engagements


"This is not the kind of look that gets you above average temperatures in the Northeast. NE Atlantic ridging looks to reinforce a SE Canada trough locking New England into a NW flow regime. Perhaps a few brief mild breaks here and there otherwise not a mild pattern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2000727119312167049)  2025-12-16T00:38Z 51.9K followers, 9942 engagements


"This shift in the forecast is also very much tied to models losing the once-warm signal they had for the Northeast. Most of CONUS will have an exceptionally warm Christmas - that is except for the Northeast. But that was not the case in earlier forecasts:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003250853558518029)  2025-12-22T23:46Z 51.9K followers, 2997 engagements


"Looking at the corresponding 500-hPa height trend it's easy to see what changed: - Alaskan trough was modeled too far east - Accordingly modeled waveguide over Canada wasn't amplified enough - SE Canada trough was modeled too progressive/not amplified enough"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003251242768957624)  2025-12-22T23:48Z 51.9K followers, 2663 engagements


"Briefly popping back in to note my thinking here has not changed as of today. I still have a strong suspicion the GFS (and by extension the AI-GFS) are too far south - I would not lock in an all snow (or even mostly snow) event for NYC *just yet*"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003607065013719072)  2025-12-23T23:22Z 51.9K followers, 22.3K engagements


"2) SE Canada troughing locking in a strong confluent flow acts to prevent a storm passing by well to the north - but the exact magnitude of the trough & confluence determine just how far south the storm gets shunted. If it trends weaker the snow swath trends north & vice versa"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003624223412228313)  2025-12-24T00:30Z 51.9K followers, 2356 engagements


"Unlike today & last week the urban heat island doesn't look to significantly affect snow totals. The strong confluence preventing a track to our north is also associated with strong antecedent cold air advection with temps sufficiently below freezing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003635464209908003)  2025-12-24T01:14Z 51.9K followers, 5273 engagements


"Great question - the high to the north reinforces cold air damming at the surface & is directly tied to how strong mid-upper level confluence is. How far north precip expands depends on how strong confluence is which affects how far south the high pushes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/burgwx/status/2003637859568283805)  2025-12-24T01:24Z 51.9K followers, 4282 engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@burgwx Avatar @burgwx Tomer Burg

Tomer Burg posts on X about storm, strong, canada, new england the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX -XX%
  • X Month XXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXX -XX%

Mentions: X #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX -XX%
  • X Month XX -XXXX%
  • X Months XXX +73%
  • X Year XXX -XX%

Followers: XXXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +0.14%
  • X Month XXXXXX +0.45%
  • X Months XXXXXX +7.60%
  • X Year XXXXXX +12%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence countries XXXXX%

Social topic influence storm #579, strong #634, canada #1413, new england #427, in the 10.53%, flow #1379, the north #148, based #40, map 5.26%, public XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @judah47 @aaronsworld411 @bronxwx @mattdevittwx @daywalker378 @garrityv_t @migidy_dagleesh @cperruna

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Adding some more context since I realized the above post was a bit vague: 1) This isn't the same as saying "I expect an ice storm or rain event". Merely pointing out that there's just enough uncertainty that we can't yet say a major NYC snowstorm is a guaranteed outcome"
X Link 2025-12-24T00:28Z 51.9K followers, XXX engagements

"Keeping in mind snow is still ongoing across SE New England here's a preliminary verification based on public storm reports. The fun challenge in forecasting is knowing your forecast will never be XXX% right - and analyzing why you were wrong & right where you were"
X Link 2025-12-15T00:23Z 51.9K followers, 33.9K engagements

"This is not the kind of look that gets you above average temperatures in the Northeast. NE Atlantic ridging looks to reinforce a SE Canada trough locking New England into a NW flow regime. Perhaps a few brief mild breaks here and there otherwise not a mild pattern"
X Link 2025-12-16T00:38Z 51.9K followers, 9942 engagements

"This shift in the forecast is also very much tied to models losing the once-warm signal they had for the Northeast. Most of CONUS will have an exceptionally warm Christmas - that is except for the Northeast. But that was not the case in earlier forecasts:"
X Link 2025-12-22T23:46Z 51.9K followers, 2997 engagements

"Looking at the corresponding 500-hPa height trend it's easy to see what changed: - Alaskan trough was modeled too far east - Accordingly modeled waveguide over Canada wasn't amplified enough - SE Canada trough was modeled too progressive/not amplified enough"
X Link 2025-12-22T23:48Z 51.9K followers, 2663 engagements

"Briefly popping back in to note my thinking here has not changed as of today. I still have a strong suspicion the GFS (and by extension the AI-GFS) are too far south - I would not lock in an all snow (or even mostly snow) event for NYC just yet"
X Link 2025-12-23T23:22Z 51.9K followers, 22.3K engagements

"2) SE Canada troughing locking in a strong confluent flow acts to prevent a storm passing by well to the north - but the exact magnitude of the trough & confluence determine just how far south the storm gets shunted. If it trends weaker the snow swath trends north & vice versa"
X Link 2025-12-24T00:30Z 51.9K followers, 2356 engagements

"Unlike today & last week the urban heat island doesn't look to significantly affect snow totals. The strong confluence preventing a track to our north is also associated with strong antecedent cold air advection with temps sufficiently below freezing"
X Link 2025-12-24T01:14Z 51.9K followers, 5273 engagements

"Great question - the high to the north reinforces cold air damming at the surface & is directly tied to how strong mid-upper level confluence is. How far north precip expands depends on how strong confluence is which affects how far south the high pushes"
X Link 2025-12-24T01:24Z 51.9K followers, 4282 engagements

@burgwx
/creator/twitter::burgwx