# ![@bechhof Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2578553016.png) @bechhof Nathaniel Bechhofer

Nathaniel Bechhofer posts on X about in the, this is, if you, countries the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::2578553016/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2578553016/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +1,322%
- [--] Month [------] +311%
- [--] Months [------] -68%
- [--] Year [-------] -79%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2578553016/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2578553016/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::2578553016/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2578553016/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +0.11%
- [--] Month [-----] +0.80%
- [--] Months [-----] +4.80%
- [--] Year [-----] +11%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2578553016/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2578553016/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  3.81% [countries](/list/countries)  1.9% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  0.95% [stocks](/list/stocks)  0.95%

**Social topic influence**
[in the](/topic/in-the) 10.48%, [this is](/topic/this-is) 5.71%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 4.76%, [countries](/topic/countries) 3.81%, [wrong](/topic/wrong) 2.86%, [science](/topic/science) 2.86%, [out of](/topic/out-of) 2.86%, [silver](/topic/silver) 2.86%, [what is](/topic/what-is) 1.9%, [history](/topic/history) 1.9%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@robinhanson](/creator/undefined) [@bryancaplan](/creator/undefined) [@atabarrok](/creator/undefined) [@aellagirl](/creator/undefined) [@jessesingal](/creator/undefined) [@rexdouglass](/creator/undefined) [@natesilver538](/creator/undefined) [@alecstapp](/creator/undefined) [@jmhorp](/creator/undefined) [@yhdistyminen](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@familyunequal](/creator/undefined) [@olivertraldi](/creator/undefined) [@goodmanl](/creator/undefined) [@aeadata](/creator/undefined) [@juliagalef](/creator/undefined) [@eigenrobot](/creator/undefined) [@hamandcheese](/creator/undefined) [@ne0liberal](/creator/undefined) [@salonium](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Cloudflare, Inc. (NET)](/topic/cloudflare)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"What is it with social conservatives whether the @FamStudies people generally @BradWilcoxIFS specifically or @TPCarney and their commitment to using misleading denominators to push their narrative All a big distraction from increased birth rates for women 35+ Yes more children are being born to women over [--]. But at the same time way more women are childless in their 30s. As a fraction of all childless women first births are going down. That's true even among women in their early 30s. Late 30s first birth rates are lower than https://t.co/WM84h4uBFL Yes more children are being born to women"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2022347144846594066)  2026-02-13T16:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@calebwatney Voxtral Transcribe [--] beats this now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2020370886751309896)  2026-02-08T05:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@besttrousers @cojobrien @grok which BLS or DOL dataset is likely being used for this mapping of degree fields to occupation codes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2021324579038245312)  2026-02-10T20:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@grok be more explicit: Name the statistic as first births per [----] currently childless women = a period hazard conditional on being childless at that age. Show the algebraic mechanism. textrate=fracB_1(30-34t)N_textchildless(30-34t) If N_textchildless rises faster than B_1 the rate falls automatically. Construct a one-line numerical toy example to demonstrate. Make sure you state the correct target estimands for the claim being argued Ensure you don't conflate the two issues: denominator trick vs real decline in hazard. Clearly separate: [--]. Why the metric can mislead even with unchanged"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2022362106545463382)  2026-02-13T17:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@familyunequal @inclusionist @bryan_caplan @GabrielRossman @ModeledBehavior @graykimbrough @pegobry @WilcoxNMP @tylercowen @SashaKillewald https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.13.3.193 https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.13.3.193"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1012516802520215552)  2018-06-29T02:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The typical methodology in the stereotype accuracy literature would view these data as evidence *for* accuracy; after all there is a strong positive correlation between perception and reality https://x.com/PsychRabble/status/1015058984414281728 https://x.com/PsychRabble/status/1015058984414281728"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1015495106097340417)  2018-07-07T07:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@jakevdp please tell me you made this in matplotlib"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1058906761795592193)  2018-11-04T02:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@robinhanson http://www.overcomingbias.com/2014/06/you-cant-handle-the-truth.html http://www.overcomingbias.com/2014/06/you-cant-handle-the-truth.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1085714193586638848)  2019-01-17T01:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Some of @tylercowens good content; be careful about making recommendations from a model that misses important mechanisms: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/02/do-tax-cuts-produce-more-einsteins.html https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/02/do-tax-cuts-produce-more-einsteins.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1092296602230747137)  2019-02-04T05:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@olivertraldi I think theres a reading of this which is that STEM is being excessively prioritized in education over history etc which has some sort of huge social value because people will recognize historical precedent (or maybe not but at least theres a tradeoff)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1347434491606810624)  2021-01-08T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@goodmanl @AeaData Everything should be using relative paths. For R the here package (generally combined with project files) is best practice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1495935564335493124)  2022-02-22T01:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@RyanRadia @jesseltaylor So many issues with this study one of which is that they dont provide any evidence that these laws are actually obeyed much differentially across states despite the survey data that exist to check that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1561777865284169728)  2022-08-22T18:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@AlecStapp Micro expressions are fake and this undermines the credibility of all this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1600272013947736065)  2022-12-06T23:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@juliagalef"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/837502572273483776)  2017-03-03T03:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@lakens @JoeHilgard This is your wrongest opinion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/879002665258233856)  2017-06-25T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@eigenrobot Im disappointed you havent given any of my tweets an extraordinary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/967830445336363009)  2018-02-25T18:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@robinhanson Not generally and the resentment as a function of inequality is much smoother in the income case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/990287551347937281)  2018-04-28T17:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Standard examples used to justify the claim of stereotype accuracy have impressive correlation coefficients but thats because they merely test whether people rank "correctly". Why doesnt Jussim report cases where people accurately guess effect sizes Wise Bayesians will update https://x.com/primalpoly/status/993139651085942785 https://x.com/primalpoly/status/993139651085942785"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/993152620675174406)  2018-05-06T15:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@gmiller @EricRWeinstein A lot of serious libertarians advocate totally free reproduction. But then if you ask whether they'd be happy with an extra [---] million kids born in the US in the next decade they say 'but that would never happen' as if they know it would be a disaster if it did. Interesting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1029825274790080512)  2018-08-15T20:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"the association between diversity and self-reported trust is a compositional artifact attributable to residential sorting: nonwhites report lower trust and are overrepresented in heterogeneous communities https://x.com/m_clem/status/1046728275140251648 https://x.com/m_clem/status/1046728275140251648"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1046887633459109888)  2018-10-01T22:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Scientific_Bird @bryan_caplan it certainly seems that about every study being thrown back and forth here has some nasty flaws eg sample sizes or use of IAT so it seems a wise approach is 1) wait for better research 2) take uncertainty seriously 3) recognize the unidimensional question isn't of much use"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1095567556507623424)  2019-02-13T06:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@hamandcheese The answer is in a great book written in 1776"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1098095079950934017)  2019-02-20T05:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@hamandcheese First sentence seems wrong; second sentence is almost definitely wrong and not well supported by behavioral genetics research; third sentence assumes both no economies of scale and perfect labor markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1098096440398639104)  2019-02-20T05:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"From the endnotes in Chapter [--] of Charles Murrays new book. I am dumbfounded by this level of confident ignorance about how random variables work from someone who has been a supposed statistical professional for decades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1409376620368990212)  2021-06-28T05:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Aella_Girl It isnt true that you control your own risk; vaccine effectiveness is a ratio so if unvaccinated people are out there keeping infection rates high then they are still increasing the chance of every bad outcome for vaccinated people"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1477393037479145472)  2022-01-01T21:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@goodmanl @AeaData For Stata one reference is here and discusses the alternative in the second bullet point of the coding tips section. As for the explanation I cant improve on the @JennyBryan classic If you are a Stata user (or you know one) you really should check out @JulianReif's fantastic reproducibility and coding guide. Lots of good advice and it even comes with an @AeaData-compliant sample replication package. https://t.co/BlkRZlVHsa If you are a Stata user (or you know one) you really should check out @JulianReif's fantastic reproducibility and coding guide. Lots of good advice and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1495937669708271629)  2022-02-22T01:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@metakuna You say that yet hes going to win a second term which hasnt been done by in quite a while"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1512883268848291840)  2022-04-09T20:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@jmhorp @ne0liberal Idk what kind of insane inflation adjustment is happening here though. Like no country in history has had GDPpc that low (and even PPP wont get you all the way to $90)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1523428841665941505)  2022-05-08T22:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@salonium Can gay men work with each other in the workplace Tough to say -alt JBP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/961814582753808384)  2018-02-09T04:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@robinhanson No. These claims are not in tension. Easy to reconcile: not having sex isnt a big deal; getting forced into sex is Try harder next time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/991860819917848576)  2018-05-03T02:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@jessesingal Palestinians are just ridiculously irrational unlike the citizens of civilized countries like the United States who carefully choose sensible representation likechecks notesDonald Trump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/996068767972012032)  2018-05-14T16:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@juliagalef @seanmcarroll @BoingBoing Then weve converged on agreement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1054928331504680960)  2018-10-24T02:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@bryan_caplan Great Tinder bio"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1065841307732594688)  2018-11-23T05:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Think of Steven Pinkers Blank Slate and Better Angels of Our Nature as analogous to the Old and New Testament"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1066927186828058624)  2018-11-26T05:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@bryan_caplan I propose the heuristic of downgrading the opinions of people who come up with heuristics without considering loss functions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1075811901970542598)  2018-12-20T17:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Sherlock Holmes stories are bad because they glorify overfitting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1083212927744671745)  2019-01-10T04:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@robinhanson Ill-posed question: https://www.geneticshumanagency.org/gha/origin-of-race-differences-in-intelligence-is-not-a-scientific-question/ https://www.geneticshumanagency.org/gha/origin-of-race-differences-in-intelligence-is-not-a-scientific-question/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1084598319144349697)  2019-01-13T23:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@page_eco @SylvainCF Strongly disagree. This encourages the bad practice of comparing effect sizes across unrelated research questions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1091070375956381697)  2019-01-31T20:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@ne0liberal @hyperplanes congratulations on your worst take"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1095098611015114752)  2019-02-11T23:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@bryan_caplan I laughed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1100588830149623808)  2019-02-27T02:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Aella_Girl This is how *many* religious people treat their kids"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1350883683960459264)  2021-01-17T19:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Im very pleased to be sharing this a @salonium and @bechhof expression of a radical vision for more effective scientific production Its time to rebuild scientific institutions for the 21st century complete with frontier tools and practices. https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-speed-of-science/ https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-speed-of-science/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1358844841208160256)  2021-02-08T18:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@phl43 @familyunequal http://benschmidt.org/jobs/ http://benschmidt.org/jobs/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1446541521189163013)  2021-10-08T18:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@bryan_caplan It doesnt seem to me like this dunk obtains if one thinks that the deaths arent actually the lions share of the pandemic costs which is the case youve attempted to make previously"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1448675217455394816)  2021-10-14T15:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@robinhanson Cloth masks have substantial effectiveness for preventing transmission *from* the wearer with reusability and comfort that are understandable motives for preferring them to the alternative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1454920185760993290)  2021-10-31T21:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@StefanFSchubert I suspect that time invested in make-up is underreported and time invested in exercise is over reported tho"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1509226670405816321)  2022-03-30T17:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@olivertraldi Its good because it means fewer smart people entering a rentier profession instead of contributing to society in other occupations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1522365768377110528)  2022-05-06T00:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@yhdistyminen @MarketUrbanism IMO not that well evidenced generally but particularly weird to apply to NYC which had very competitive in the 90s and 2000s and I dont see an obvious metric indicating that it was better governed then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1530039960182476800)  2022-05-27T04:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"As a birthday present to myself we are launching @TrovBase: a data management platform for researchers that makes best practices accessible and standardized. Im psyched to be working with @samcjordan_ and @AndrewHornstra to help build tooling for modern open science F it were building in public. Introducing: @TrovBase https://t.co/GKWl6ThFoh F it were building in public. Introducing: @TrovBase https://t.co/GKWl6ThFoh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1541432747696308225)  2022-06-27T14:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@rubenbmathisen It seems pretty misleading to condition on working more than 35hr/week to begin with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1555399721581256709)  2022-08-05T03:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@wwwojtekk If I were the government I would simply choose the most productive production technology"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1564108638293073920)  2022-08-29T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@MrGeorgeFrancis @whyvert @KirkegaardEmil Cranial size as instrumental variable is like a self parody"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1571023581987078144)  2022-09-17T06:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@vocalcry @LeporidaeHops Strange to go off like this about an article from Oster who was the main face of the keep schools open movement. Is this just imputing a view to everyone who writes for The Atlantic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1587145240967712768)  2022-10-31T18:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@yhdistyminen That would show up as higher real GDP though so it must be bad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1615063442389626880)  2023-01-16T19:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@jessesingal In a [----] CBS News poll with [---] men and [---] women 25% of men and 19% of women chose Seinfeld as the greatest sitcom; 12% of men and 21% of women chose Friends as the greatest sitcom. (The other choices were [--] Rock Mary TM Cheers Arrested Development and the Honeymooners.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1620618323980595203)  2023-02-01T03:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@AlecStapp @ATabarrok Clear simple and wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1729532514950086849)  2023-11-28T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@MattBruenig @tomer_stern @Andrew___Baker Thats going to be much more true for the kind of people who use IVF which is a group thats extremely unrepresentative of parents (or potential parents) even in Nordic countries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1731019414697341076)  2023-12-02T18:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I've never seen causes of death graphed quite this way before. It really illustrates how other causes "crowd out" these among older people. By request Here's an extended version of the chart that shows the breakdown of different external causes of death. This breaks down deaths from different external causes by age in the United States. Grey represents all other causes. https://t.co/23S6A0qfQA By request Here's an extended version of the chart that shows the breakdown of different external causes of death. This breaks down deaths from different external causes by age in the United States."  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1769364263372476556)  2024-03-17T14:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ATabarrok @jessesingal @PsychRabble According to the guy who made his career out of it using a BS rigged definition of "accuracy""  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1773796705843974344)  2024-03-29T19:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@yhdistyminen Maybe worth having the policy to address this be mandating that listings advertise the parking included price as the default price so people don't misperceive prices when shopping around"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1813789368152359197)  2024-07-18T04:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I just unfollowed [--] people who either endorsed this full set or indicated this is NBD. (3) is particularly ludicrous. (1) The concept of statistical significance should be banned. (2) Bayesians should be forced to scientifically (not mathematically) justify their priors. (3) Causal inference is the scam of the century. (1) The concept of statistical significance should be banned. (2) Bayesians should be forced to scientifically (not mathematically) justify their priors. (3) Causal inference is the scam of the century"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1817284233272164732)  2024-07-27T19:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Aella_Girl Just give people cash prizes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1830665607538450693)  2024-09-02T17:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@robinhanson I can guarantee this person has no IQ 175+ friends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1842950674683990476)  2024-10-06T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@joe_r_Odonnell Will Stancil had total control over all institutions Remarkable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1885539924201414853)  2025-02-01T04:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Aella_Girl @robinhanson "once you hit a certain level of general group intelligence openness and financial stability a lot (not all) of the gender differences kinda melt away""  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1895207431413846204)  2025-02-27T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ATabarrok Great Tabarrok post for illustrating why you can't just use multiple regression to pull the causal influence of different factors apart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1895904747720433670)  2025-03-01T18:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jmhorp Composition effects: population growth is a lot faster on average for SSA countries with low incomes so that offsets the growth from the countries that have done well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1906215153579782342)  2025-03-30T05:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jmhorp Not as pretty as I'd like but this illustrates how SSA has plenty of growth successes over this time period"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1906434977987739906)  2025-03-30T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@laurenbalik That's got to be selection bias explaining which H-1B workers you encounter; probably 60%+ of H1-B holders can find x=2 just fine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1910801585279476051)  2025-04-11T21:06Z [----] followers, 20.6K engagements


"@jdcmedlock It's right by Boise so yeah you'll get plenty of Dem voters in the area"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1912210751487369509)  2025-04-15T18:25Z [----] followers, 36.1K engagements


"@bryan_caplan 1) we don't have AGI yet 2) AI relies very heavily on other advances that were produced outside of private industry 3) you're arguing against a strawman; the doubt is about *how much* basic science would be produced in a counterfactual where we relied entirely on private industry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1912917255400149409)  2025-04-17T17:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@arpitrage I think it's sensible as a price given the constraints. The bigger issue is how cheap the highway alternative is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1914407351529988102)  2025-04-21T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@arpitrage Cost of operation shouldn't be an all important input into the price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1914408109407342903)  2025-04-21T19:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@AlecStapp I had ChatGPT make this graph showing it wasn't just old people (and this is overall mortality to pre-empt nonsense about "with but not of COVID")"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1925307165851488621)  2025-05-21T21:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@fchollet Please I beg you to read @ATabarrok on this graph so you're not misled https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/08/are-health-administrators-to-blame.html https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/08/are-health-administrators-to-blame.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1926396424301715661)  2025-05-24T21:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@MTabarrok @catehall That's wrong. Turns out you can get much better information when you ditch polluting accounts like cremieux"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1927185445063942564)  2025-05-27T02:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This basically falls directly out of a model of ability being normally distributed combined with fixed cutoff. Winner's curse stuff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1927955735515722007)  2025-05-29T05:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"With demographic collapse catastrophizing going around again (this time prompted by @JesusFerna7026 slides) it's worth remembering that TFR drops are driven by change in birth timing. Birth rates are going *up* for women 35+ in OECD/EU countries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1931471786069327988)  2025-06-07T22:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ATabarrok That's. kind of awesome. All they needed to complete the system was a well designed matching mechanism and that would've been ideal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1947380945406836887)  2025-07-21T19:39Z [----] followers, 22.1K engagements


"@tatamitimon @ATabarrok Then factories are always open (so you don't have capital going idle) and people can decide they don't want to be part of the standard grind. In non-communist systems we have people who work on weekends to make the people with time off have a better life"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1947424739838071004)  2025-07-21T22:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ATabarrok That piece is so embarrassing for socialists. Like at least use one of the clever arguments like wastefulness of redundant logistics infrastructure rather than something that can't stay coherent within the length of a newspaper opinion piece"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1947683095899226121)  2025-07-22T15:40Z [----] followers, 16.8K engagements


"@dylanmatt @AndyMasley This genuinely reads as one or both of [--]. content for men into femdom to be aroused by [--]. putting a call out for men to try to prove themselves to the author by defying the pessimistic expectations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1948102970303823997)  2025-07-23T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@MTabarrok @jdcmedlock It turns out that yeah it isn't true even if you don't adjust for age stuff. Conditional on marriage chance that a woman had a child born in the last year is *higher* now not even adjusting for delays in when women have kids"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1948920097499660349)  2025-07-26T01:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@LevyAntoine Come on you know this is highly misleading. The Guardian does this as a best practice for all of their old articles regardless of whether the views expressed are outdated or not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1949159760491589659)  2025-07-26T17:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@CartoonsHateHer It is not close to half the country. There are only [--] states that do partisan registration (Idaho Oklahoma Utah and Wyoming) where 50%+ of registered voters (and that's generous because it's not counting other people eligible to vote in the denominator) are registered as R"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1952085134640910777)  2025-08-03T19:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@sebkrier Do you realize how many crazed manifestos are written using word processors Goes to show you how destructive the invention of the word processors has been. What's that you say They would've used something else to write their manifestos in the counterfactual Couldn't be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1952129435768922545)  2025-08-03T22:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Aella_Girl Ovulating correlates with not using contraception (since most methods reduce ovulation frequency) which correlates with religiosity which correlates with being raised religious which correlates with being abused in childhood"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1955450447059358083)  2025-08-13T02:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@JakeMGrumbach How many days are we on without someone making a "WAR what is it good for" joke"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1956384080582344927)  2025-08-15T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RuxandraTeslo Pro-natalist types are like "this is bad news because it will make women believe that it's plausible they can couple up and have kids after their 20s are over""  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1960450268354756875)  2025-08-26T21:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jxnlco First Jason post I completely disagree with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/1960752025815118318)  2025-08-27T17:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RexDouglass @NateSilver538 Oh come on that's such an unreasonable steelman of Silver's point. By that standard linear or logistic regression would qualify as blackboxy too and Silver would absolutely never ever in a million years go for that given he actually knows how to use those in Stata"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2018837077048340623)  2026-02-04T00:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@RexDouglass @NateSilver538 Why would you think Silver is any better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2018838337776218180)  2026-02-04T00:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@RexDouglass @NateSilver538 Most trashing is also trash and Silver isn't just doing trashing but also promoting a confident alternative view of the world. You're getting a whole lot of auxiliary garbage with the criticisms which don't have much to offer anyway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2018838931790352465)  2026-02-04T00:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@RexDouglass @NateSilver538 Literally Jake Grumbach is great"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2018843577745608911)  2026-02-04T00:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@teej_m At this point the setup to do is probably to have AI agents pull all web pages via the cloudflare website to markdown endpoint"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/2018888696179859582)  2026-02-04T03:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Another big break around 1973: http://t.co/MqDxZ3WWtr"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/506919298812891137)  2014-09-02T21:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Scientists can now produce functional 3-D human stomach tissue in a laboratory new piece out from @Nature http://t.co/jTPBnfV4fo http://go.nature.com/xaXJrK http://go.nature.com/xaXJrK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/527543494315737089)  2014-10-29T19:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Essential #longread from @slatestarcodex on comparative advantage how to think about innate talent differences http://t.co/mv2nSyb3iV http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/01/31/the-parable-of-the-talents/ http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/01/31/the-parable-of-the-talents/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/561690228784893952)  2015-02-01T00:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"If you read one thing about John Nash today read this amazing post from @Afinetheorem https://afinetheorem.wordpress.com/2015/05/24/the-economics-of-john-nash/utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter https://afinetheorem.wordpress.com/2015/05/24/the-economics-of-john-nash/utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/602529556386488320)  2015-05-24T17:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Remember this when you get excited about a new behavioral economics result"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/709145640941576193)  2016-03-13T22:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@SeanMcElwee the kids wouldnt have to be white"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/754525032613838849)  2016-07-17T03:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The definitive IAT #longread from @jessesingal one of the best social science reporters active today http://nymag.com/scienceofus/2017/01/psychologys-racism-measuring-tool-isnt-up-to-the-job.htmlmid=twitter-share-scienceofus http://nymag.com/scienceofus/2017/01/psychologys-racism-measuring-tool-isnt-up-to-the-job.htmlmid=twitter-share-scienceofus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/819239731301064705)  2017-01-11T17:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@eigenrobot Any moral system that cant turn any moral dilemma into a well-posed optimization problem should be laughed out of the discipline of moral philosophy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/967831367072464896)  2018-02-25T18:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Its much more fun watching Queer Eye if you imagine that theres a policy evaluation team behind the scenes. How much fadeout is there How scalable can this intervention be What kind of stratification did they use to choose the sample"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/978875875897864192)  2018-03-28T06:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@robinhanson Making sex inequality more salient makes its consequences worse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/bechhof/status/989570148037115904)  2018-04-26T18:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

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