#  @amadeu_rosario whatdotradersdo whatdotradersdo posts on X about $btc, ai, inflation, $spy the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1626674173664796672/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] -91% - [--] Month [-------] +5,117% - [--] Months [-------] +159,296% - [--] Year [-------] +118,533% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1626674173664796672/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -88% - [--] Month [---] +792% - [--] Months [---] +35,100% - [--] Year [---] +5,783% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1626674173664796672/followers)  - [--] Week [---] +4.10% - [--] Month [---] +171% - [--] Months [---] +411% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1626674173664796672/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [currencies](/list/currencies) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [countries](/list/countries) [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) **Social topic influence** [$btc](/topic/$btc), [ai](/topic/ai), [inflation](/topic/inflation) #1609, [$spy](/topic/$spy), [market](/topic/market), [$tlt](/topic/$tlt) #36, [in the](/topic/in-the), [longterm](/topic/longterm) #925, [$nvo](/topic/$nvo) #198, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@mrderivatives](/creator/undefined) [@peterschiff](/creator/undefined) [@jessecoheninv](/creator/undefined) [@zerohedge](/creator/undefined) [@intocryptoverse](/creator/undefined) [@oguzerkan](/creator/undefined) [@mrjjb](/creator/undefined) [@truflation](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@aureracapital](/creator/undefined) [@jlmarintrading](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@jameswynnreal](/creator/undefined) [@tacticzh](/creator/undefined) [@ba1297947dr](/creator/undefined) [@libertariomex1](/creator/undefined) [@gabrielmakk](/creator/undefined) [@jkeynesalpha](/creator/undefined) [@cycleswithbach](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Novo-Nordisk (NVO)](/topic/$nvo) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [S&P Global Inc (SPGI)](/topic/$spgi) [Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)](/topic/$lly) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)](/topic/$cmg) [Ferrari N.V. (RACE)](/topic/$race) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/$wmt) [DIA (DIA)](/topic/$dia) [PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)](/topic/$pep) [General Mills, Inc. (GIS)](/topic/$gis) [Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD)](/topic/$gold) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Pessoas ricas sabem que faz parte do processo de enriquecimento material o enriquecimento espiritual pelo que doam parte dos seus rendimentos para solidariedade E ja doavam tempo antes As pessoas de mentalidade pobre no so capazes de doar seu tempo afastando a riqueza delas" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1785254868359246326) 2024-04-30T10:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "8 weeks #meta #proposito" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1787427713671700970) 2024-05-06T10:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "D 1500eur a uma pessoa de mentalidade pobre e ele compra um iPhone. Ao fim de [--] anos s vale 500eur D 1500eur a uma pessoa de mentalidade rica e ele ao fim de [--] anos tem 4000eur compra um iPhone por [----] e ainda fica com [----] para continuar a investir. #investir" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1811332891730747448) 2024-07-11T09:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "O #jpy tem vindo a desvalorizar devido realizao de carry trade por parte dos investidores. No entanto perante as expectativas de cortes de taxas de juro por parte do #FED e a possibilidade de subida por parte do #Boj os investidores comeam a vender #dolar e comprar #yen" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1818023633014378814) 2024-07-29T20:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Apesar do corte agressivo da #FED o #DXY tal como tinha falado subiu. No tem lgica certo Bem vindo aos mercados financeiros onde nem a AF nem a AT para mim so rentveis. Aqui vale unicamente a gesto da carteira. Agora acredito que o DXY corrige. Feeling. #viverdotrading" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1846440918364168204) 2024-10-16T06:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Semana de movimentos na carteira a longo prazo. Venda de parte do Etf de #Bitcoin e compras em #LVMH. #Loreal #Moncler #Samsung e Elevance Health. Atualizao das maiores posies: [--] - LVMH [--] - #ASML [--] - ETF Bitcin [--] - #OR [--] - #SSU" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1857541943682806057) 2024-11-15T21:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "#April #stockmarkets #SP500 #trader #DXY #EURUSD #trading -2.27% m/m #ytd trading 7.32% ytd #carteira 7.80%" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/1917623581959413855) 2025-04-30T16:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Buying the VIX Index: Why Am I Accumulating Volatility Now In this article I will explain why I believe the "Fear Index" is about to awaken and what indicators of capitulation and euphoria led me to this decision. #vix #bullandbear #spy #spx https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Buy-the-VIX-index./ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Buy-the-VIX-index./" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2003400730955362524) 2025-12-23T09:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Investing in Constellation Software: Why Did I Add This "Swiss Army Knife" to My Portfolio To understand why I decided Investing in Constellation SoftwareTo do this we need to go back to [----]. #csu #spx https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Investing-in-Constellation-Software-Analysis/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Investing-in-Constellation-Software-Analysis/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2003401462890852534) 2025-12-23T09:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Market Correction 2026: Is the Mirror of [----] Coming to Life S&P [---] at record highs Bitcoin experiencing critical divergences and history rhyming in a dangerous way. #spx #spy #btc #bitcoin #crash https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/market-correction-2026/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/market-correction-2026/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2004204085210501189) 2025-12-25T14:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "CME Increases Margins: The Warning Sign That Could Trigger a Correction in Gold and Silver What Advisory 25-393 reveals about the risk of an imminent correction in precious metals and how you should protect yourself. ๐ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/cme-increases-margins/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/cme-increases-margins/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2004711194461102286) 2025-12-27T00:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "China imposes controls on silver exports: The Supply Shock that Redefines [----] China imposes controls on silver exports. Effective January [--] [----] this sent shockwaves through trading desks from Shanghai to New York. ๐ #silver #XAGUSD https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/China-imposes-controls-on-silver-exports./ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/China-imposes-controls-on-silver-exports./" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2005399358427255202) 2025-12-28T22:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "After reaching record highs silver corrects: The Anatomy of Volatility and the Reality Check in the Market Driven by breaking news and a feeling of physical scarcity the Silver surged more than 5% in the first few minutes. ๐ #silver #xagusd #gold https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/after-reaching-maximum-silver-corrects/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/after-reaching-maximum-silver-corrects/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2005582105087234057) 2025-12-29T10:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Great Reversal of 2026: Why the Euro Could "Melt Down" Against the AUD and NZD If we analyze the data since [----] we discover an overwhelming statistical pattern: these pairs rarely sustain more than three consecutive years of gains. ๐ #eurnzd https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/the-great-reversal-of-2026/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/the-great-reversal-of-2026/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2005801328015204355) 2025-12-30T00:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "My Interactive Brokers Portfolio: How I Beat the NASDAQ with Just [--] Stocks and a Contrary Strategy In this article I invite you to go behind the scenes of my wallet. ๐ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-Interactive-Brokers-portfolio/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-Interactive-Brokers-portfolio/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2006141086331256912) 2025-12-30T23:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Silver/Gold Ratio on High Alert: Does the Weekly RSI suggest an imminent correction before the [----] Super-Cycle I'm going to analyze in detail what the silver chart is telling us. For me the The silver/gold ratio is on high alert. ๐ #silver #gold https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/gold-silver-ratio-is-at-maximum-alert/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/gold-silver-ratio-is-at-maximum-alert/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2006141609348301135) 2025-12-30T23:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "My Analysis of General Mills: Why I'm Considering Buying This Stock The financial market in [----] continues to present significant challenges for those seeking to balance growth and capital protection. ๐ #gis #generalmills https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-analysis-of-General-Mills/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-analysis-of-General-Mills/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2007214083570008457) 2026-01-02T22:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Oil Signs of Recession The Role of Global Production Venezuela Deflation and the Impact of AI on the Economy The price of oil is a global economic barometer. ๐ #USOIL #Venezuela #recession #oil #petroleo https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/oil%3A-signs-of-recession/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/oil%3A-signs-of-recession/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2007596861906129286) 2026-01-03T23:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Analysis of the coming weeks: Trading Strategies In this article I detail my analysis of the financial markets for the coming weeks. ๐ #silver #usoil #dxy #nasdaq #vix #bitcoin https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/analysis-of-the-coming-weeks/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/analysis-of-the-coming-weeks/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2007940631918985279) 2026-01-04T22:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Why I'm buying USDCAD and the reversal signal on the Weekly Chart: Update I am buying USDCAD with the goal of capturing a macro movement using the 4-hour chart solely for tactical exit management via the 30-period moving average. ๐ #usdcad #dxy https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Why-am-I-buying-USDCAD/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Why-am-I-buying-USDCAD/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2009040283028119568) 2026-01-07T23:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Japanese Carry Trade and its Impact on the Dollar: Why the Rise in Japanese Bonds Could Shake the Markets Japanese carry trade has once again become one of the most critical issues for global financial markets. ๐ #usdjpy #jpy #eurjpy #Carrytrade https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Japanese-carry-trade-and-impact-on-the-dollar/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Japanese-carry-trade-and-impact-on-the-dollar/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2009040908939886616) 2026-01-07T23:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "TLT in 2026: Is it an investment opportunity This article explores the reasons why I believe falling yields and a strengthening dollar will be the dominant themes contradicting the popular narrative of persistent inflation. ๐ #tlt #spy #inflation https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/tlt-in-2026/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/tlt-in-2026/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2009730712119750890) 2026-01-09T20:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Selling Insiders and the Technological Paradox: What Are the Powerful Hands Hiding in [----] While US indices continue to test historical highs driven by the euphoria surrounding Artificial Intelligence. ๐ #insiders #spy #vix #nvidia #avgo https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/insider-trading/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/insider-trading/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2009731532974366838) 2026-01-09T20:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Jim Simons and Quantitative Strategy vs. My Forex Strategy: When Rules Rule the Markets How does this approach compare and interact with my strategy in the foreign exchange market ๐ #forex #dxy #strategy https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Jim-Simons-and-quantitative-strategy/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Jim-Simons-and-quantitative-strategy/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2009732535937327530) 2026-01-09T21:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Civil War at the Federal Reserve: Is Jerome Powells Resistance the Last Stand for Economic Stability The financial world woke up in a state of absolute shock following the explosive press conference held by Jerome Powell on January [--] [----]. As someone who has scrutinized these markets for decades I can tell you that we have rarely seen such a defiant and assertive tone from the leader of the most powerful central bank on the planet: the Federal Reserve. ๐ #fed #JeromePowell https://workmarketsfinance.com/the-civil-war-at-the-federal-reserve/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2010853465480642577) 2026-01-12T23:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Bitcoin DCA Strategy with Heikin Ashi: My Blueprint to Defeat Fiat Currency Devaluation In todays global economic landscape where relentless money printing and skyrocketing inflation erode the purchasing power of millions every single day I have decided that I cannot simply sit idle and watch my savings melt away in a bank account. This is why today I am sharing my personal technical and extremely disciplined approach to investing in Bitcoin intelligently. ๐ #btc #bitcoin #dca https://workmarketsfinance.com/bitcoin-dca-strategy/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/bitcoin-dca-strategy/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2010870079966109753) 2026-01-13T00:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Jamie Dimon Paradox and Trumps Populism: Why JPMs Profits Dont Convince Me in [----] In January [----] JPMorgan Chase reported an adjusted net income of $14.7 billion beating expectations with an EPS of $5.23. However the sector faces instability following Donald Trumps proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. With U.S. public debt hitting $38.4 trillion and market valuations (S&P 500) at historically stretched levels consumer resilience appears fragile amid an expansionary but uncertain fiscal policy. ๐ #jpm #trump #jamiedimon" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011235180376096966) 2026-01-14T00:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Twilight of the Yen and the Japanese Debt Trap: Why Japan is the Canary in the Coal Mine for Global Liquidity In January [----] Japanese 10-year Treasury Bonds (JGBs) reached a 27-year high of 2.16% forcing the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to hike interest rates to 0.75%. With a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 260% the Yens devaluation (USD/JPY at 157) has decimated the purchasing power of the middle class. Meanwhile Bitcoin in Yen has surged over 300% in five years. The reversal of the yen carry trade now threatens global financial liquidity. ๐ #usdjpy #jpy #Yen #boj #debt" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011254460287254840) 2026-01-14T01:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "My [----] Bet on General Mills (GIS): Why Defensive Stocks Are My Sanctuary in an Overheated Market As of January [----] investing in General Mills (GIS) stands out as a high-value defensive strategy. With a monthly RSI at [-----] (historic oversold levels) and a 50% drawdown from its peaks the company currently trades at a 9.5x P/E with a 5.47% Dividend Yield. While the S&P [---] faces stretched valuations (22x forward P/E) GIS along with CSU and NVO offers a rare entry window following severe corrections in the consumer staples and healthcare sectors. ๐ #gis #nvo #csu #Investment" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011382844560425461) 2026-01-14T10:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Dollar Paradox of 2026: Why Falling Rates Will Skyrocket the DXY (And How Im Positioned) In [----] DXY analysis suggests an atypical appreciation. Contrary to the consensus the Feds rate cuts are actually bolstering the dollar as falling yields attract foreign capital looking to capture capital gains in US10Y Treasuries. Within a sideways-bearish market extreme pessimism surrounding the USD and contrarian sentiment are creating a prime technical buying opportunity at the long-term channel support (98-99 range). ๐ #dxy #Dollar #eurusd #audnzd #audusd #gbpusd #USD" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011394113472483595) 2026-01-14T11:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Silver ($XAG) is catching fire today surging over 3% and ripping through fresh all-time highs. ๐ While Gold has been the primary headline grabber the "White Metal" is now taking center stage fueled by a structural supply deficit and massive industrial demand from the Green Energy and AI sectors. For traders the momentum is undeniable; for long-term investors the breakout confirms a major regime shift. We are looking at a classic squeeze meeting fundamental scarcity. With volatility spiking the path toward triple digits is no longer just a "permabull" fantasyits a technical reality. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011423001913225535) 2026-01-14T12:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Dollar Cost Averaging: The Secret to Financial Freedom In [----] wealth preservation requires a strategic shift from fiat currencies to hard assets. The SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) has surged approximately 1500% since [----] while the US Dollars purchasing power has plummeted by over 50%. Utilizing Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) into broad-market indices Gold and Bitcoin is the most effective strategy to hedge against systemic inflation and currency debasement ensuring long-term capital appreciation through exposure to global value drivers. ๐ #dca #spy #FinancialLiteracy" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011449742111158666) 2026-01-14T14:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Is the Stop Loss Obsolete Why in [----] I Use Hedging as My Antifragile Shield In [----] the rise of predatory HFT algorithms has turned the traditional stop loss into a liability by facilitating institutional liquidity sweeps. Drawing from Nassim Talebs principles of antifragility this analysis argues that fixed exits make portfolios fragile to market noise. Conversely hedging serves as a robust alternative capping losses without realizing them prematurely thus allowing positions to recover during mean-reversion cycles. Data indicates that strategic hedging offers superior risk-adjusted returns" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011581441411584048) 2026-01-14T23:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Here is the translation into English optimized for the American financial community (FinTwit) with the appropriate technical terminology: A historic shift is unfolding in global macro. Japanese 10-year yields (JGBs) have surged past the 2.185% mark hitting levels not seen in over two decades. The definitive end of Japans ultra-easy monetary era is more than just a domestic pivot; it is the awakening of a "sleeping giant" that recalibrates the global risk-reward landscape for all investors. This breakout signals a significant tightening of global liquidity and directly threatens the yen carry" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012075228445208917) 2026-01-16T08:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Here is the translation and adaptation for a professional English-speaking trading audience: Silver continues its meteoric rise poised to close yet another week with gains exceeding 10%. This vertical rally has pushed year-to-date (YTD) performance to a staggering 35% in just over two weeks breaking through key psychological levels with massive momentum. However from a disciplined trading perspective caution is warranted. These parabolic moves are historically unsustainable and often lead to "blow-off tops" or aggressive mean reversion. While the trend is exceptionally strong remaining" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012077112379752453) 2026-01-16T08:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "History shows markets can push higher despite lofty valuations but the equity risk premium is becoming increasingly thin. While strong earnings and low debt levels push back against "bubble" narratives current multiples are demanding and leave very little margin for error. At these levels savvy investors shouldn't rule out a short-term technical correction to cool off overstretched sentiment. In this environment strict risk management and discipline are essential for those navigating near all-time highs. #SP500 #spx #Trading #vix https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012218643275284622" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012218643275284622) 2026-01-16T17:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Kevin Warsh moving into the pole position for Fed Chair is sending a clear signal to the markets. For investors his potential appointment acts as a safeguard for central bank independence alleviating concerns over political interference and reinforcing institutional credibility. From a trading perspective this move is a bullish catalyst for the US Dollar ($USD). The market views Warsh as a defender of sound monetary policy likely providing tailwinds for the greenback as traders price in a more disciplined and autonomous Federal Reserve. #Fed #USD #Markets #Macro #sp500" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012228921211703742) 2026-01-16T18:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Death of the Stop Loss My Forex Trading Strategy Based on Cyclicality and Proportional Volume This article outlines a disruptive [----] Forex trading strategy that replaces traditional stop losses with institutional-grade hedging and proportional position sizing. Grounded in the philosophy that markets are inherently random yet historically cyclical the methodology synchronizes weekly directional bias with 4-hour execution. By leveraging EUR/USD mean reversion and RSI filters I demonstrate how to manage floating drawdowns mathematically rather than emotionally providing a blueprint for" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012278856414040162) 2026-01-16T21:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Institutional positioning has reached an extreme that the market rarely ignores. Currently Asset Managers net short exposure to the VIX is mirroring the exact levels that preceded the major volatility spikes of [----]. This is another high-conviction indicator supporting my thesis: I remain long. When complacency reaches these heights and "smart money" is this overextended the subsequent move is usually violent and swift. The charts dont lie; history at the very least rhymes. #VIX #Trading #dollar #Sp500 COT Report update: Asset Managers again increased their near-record short $VIX positions" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012280667095118182) 2026-01-16T21:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The chart doesnt lie: real-time inflation is in a freefall. The [---] bps spread between @Truflation (1.55%) and the official CPI (2.70%) proves were still steering the economy by looking through the rearview mirror. A deflationary regime is taking hold likely forcing the Feds hand into a more aggressive easing cycle than the market currently anticipates. ๐ My thesis: [--] rate cuts in [----]. Those still clinging to the "sticky inflation" narrative risk being caught on the wrong side of the trade as the macro landscape shifts. Are we looking at a policy pivot soon or is the Fed already too far" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012283722494534091) 2026-01-16T22:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Based on the chart the #DXY is currently testing the support level of a long-term ascending channel. With equity sentiment reaching extreme euphoria (signaling a potential correction) and falling $US10Y yields sparking capital rotation the dollar is positioning for a classic "flight to quality." https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012457244990833082 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012457244990833082" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012457244990833082) 2026-01-17T09:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "According to Seeking Alpha data at the current price of [----] the forward P/E for December [----] stands at [----]. This valuation is underpinned by an estimated EPS of [------] representing a robust 20.95% YoY growth. At these levels the current valuation offers a clear margin of safety relative to the company's projected earnings trajectory. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012460232044138796 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012460232044138796" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012460232044138796) 2026-01-17T09:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$NVO is finally validating the thesis. I locked in my position at an average cost basis of $48.26 a level where the market offered a rare opportunity: high-quality assets at deeply discounted prices. Even with the recent rally the upside potentialdriven by record-breaking sales of their new weight-loss drugsuggests the stock is still attractively priced for the long term. The Pharmaceuticals sector (shown in grey) represents the largest slice of my current allocation reflecting my high conviction in this growth story. The market can be slow to react but strong operational results and global" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012473690374488499) 2026-01-17T10:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The $VIX hovering at multi-month lows while indices hit ATHs (All-Time Highs) is a textbook case of market complacency. Current euphoria overlooks the fact that seasonality isnt a guaranteeits a risk signal. With hedging this cheap ignoring these historical patterns could prove to be a costly mistake once volatility finally wakes up. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012475462589583520 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012475462589583520" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012475462589583520) 2026-01-17T10:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@CyclesWithBach The rarity of this setup in $NVO is exactly what most investors are overlooking right now. Being positioned myself I see a clear convergence between historical technicals and long-term upside. History doesn't always repeat but it often rhymes" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012517452425416746) 2026-01-17T13:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The rarity of this setup in $NVO is exactly what most investors are overlooking right now. Being positioned myself I see a clear convergence between historical technicals and long-term upside. History doesn't always repeat but it often rhymes. #Healthcare #Stocks $NVO ๐ I don't think people truly understand this We have only had such a technically bullish setup two times previously and now we have a third 1984/1985โ 2002/2003 โ Monthly TMO has flipped positive - Previously if you bought the monthly TMO flip you would be rewarded https://t.co/3KlIZ6y9Vs $NVO ๐ I don't think people truly" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012518416133800220) 2026-01-17T13:32Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Spot on Lance. To add to that asset managers are currently sitting on record short positions in $VIX. This extreme positioning confirms the massive complacency we're seeing. The 'wall of worry' is being completely ignored which usually fuels the melt-up until the exit gets crowded. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012520947551555769 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012520947551555769" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012520947551555769) 2026-01-17T13:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Markets are currently trading in a state of extreme euphoria with the $VIX crushed and volatility short positions reaching overextended levels. However these aggressive tariff announcements on European nations could be the "Black Swan" event that hasn't been priced in potentially triggering a massive deleveraging wave. The pressure on the Euro and global supply chains will be immediate. With geopolitical uncertainty spiking current market complacency is the greatest risk to investors. All eyes on the futures open to see how the tape reacts. $EURUSD $dxy #Trading #MacroEconomy #GlobalMarkets" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012650274582659170) 2026-01-17T22:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@TheValueTrade Great charts. $LLY is trading at a massive premium to $NVO across the board. Does the execution really justify such a stretched gap or is $NVO the better risk/reward play right now Looks like Novo has much more valuation cushion" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012842448460947950) 2026-01-18T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Great comparison. The charts don't lie: $LLY is trading at a massive premium relative to $NVO across nearly every metric. Do you believe Lilly's execution justifies such a stretched valuation gap or does $NVO offer a more compelling risk/reward profile for this half On paper Novo appears to have much more valuation cushion. Just a reminder of what I shared in December. $NVO vs $LLY $NVO will be one of the strongest positions in the first half of [----]. https://t.co/sIU33vTzub Just a reminder of what I shared in December. $NVO vs $LLY $NVO will be one of the strongest positions in the first" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012842609274700018) 2026-01-18T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@Quality_stocksA Currently leaning towards #1. However if #2 faces a major correction its a no-brainer" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012844586029248933) 2026-01-18T11:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Keeping a close eye on $NFLX $JNJ and $PG. These are the ultimate consumer health barometerscovering everything from discretionary streaming to essential household staples. #earnings for the week of January [--] [----] https://t.co/hLn2sKQhEY $NFLX $INTC $ISRG $PG $UAL $JNJ $MMM $IBKR $FITB $HAL $GE $DHI $FCX $COF $PRGS $ALLY $KMI $USB $SCHW $AA $FAST $KEY $HBAN $TCBI $SLB $PEBO $PLD $TEL $FNB $EWBC $CSX $ABT $KARO $HWC $OZK $TDY $TRV $ZION $PNFP https://t.co/dhyCv8aHDv #earnings for the week of January [--] [----] https://t.co/hLn2sKQhEY $NFLX $INTC $ISRG $PG $UAL $JNJ $MMM $IBKR $FITB $HAL $GE $DHI" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012846063858704652) 2026-01-18T11:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The momentum divergence in the Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples ratio is a red flag that can't be ignored: the $SPX is flashing clear signs of exhaustion and the risk of a sharp correction is mounting. While the crowd continues to chase the top Im prioritizing capital preservation through defensive rotation staying long giants like General Mills $GIS. $VIX Check out these potential momentum divergences in the chart known as The Greatest Fundamental Analyst on Wall Street. If these are what they appear to be buy and hold investors in the major U.S. Stock Indexes are about to get smoked." [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012871587108729209) 2026-01-18T12:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@ProK196582 Answer here https://workmarketsfinance.com/constellation-software-is-my-only-choice/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/constellation-software-is-my-only-choice/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013014738905477307) 2026-01-18T22:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Weakness printing on $AUDUSD. Following this red candle Im scaling into more short positions as I anticipate a $USD strength cycle. This is the systematic application of my method: identifying the opportunity and building exposure with discipline. ๐ #Forex #Trading" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013023509656551649) 2026-01-18T22:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Discipline outweighs volatility. Im entering my third week of consistently scaling into the $BTC ETF. While the technicals suggest we might see a deeper pullbacklikely testing the $70000 support zone as a result of an $SPX correctionthe long-term thesis remains sovereign. In trading charts dictate the entry but in investing strategy dictates the outcome. I am viewing any short-term weakness as a window of opportunity to build a generational position. Stay focused on the horizon. $ETF #Bitcoin #Investing #Trading #Crypto https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013194613264199823" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013194613264199823) 2026-01-19T10:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "US equity valuations are reaching historical extremes with the S&P [---] trading at 22x and the Nasdaq [---] at 27x forward earnings. These stretched multiples leave virtually no margin for error and several technical and fundamental signals are now pointing toward a market correction this year as the gap between price and reality widens. $QQQ $VIX $SPY #StockMarket #Investing #Trading https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013250422136291398 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013250422136291398" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013250422136291398) 2026-01-19T14:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "In [----] the "universal strategy" is the ultimate portfolio killer. ๐ซ Applying the same framework to Forex and the S&P [---] is a fatal mechanical error. Currencies are mean-reverting "elastic bands" while indices are engineered engines of structural growth. True market mastery requires strategic compartmentalization. In my latest deep dive I break down why I ignore the noise in FX why Im strictly long-only on equities and how staged entries define my [----] playbook. Read the full analysis here: $SPY $EURUSD #FOREX #Trading #Investing #MarketAnalysis" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013360587347001545) 2026-01-19T21:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Greenland Factor" has evolved from a meme into the primary detonator for Trade War [---]. With the $SPY sitting at all-time highs and asset managers holding record net short positions in the $VIX market complacency has reached a breaking point. The proposed 10-25% tariffs on NATO allies are the "black swan" that current risk models are dangerously ignoring. Survival is the priority. As AI-driven euphoria masks deep fractures in global supply chains rotating into defensive staples like $GIS and hedging against a volatility spike is no longer optional. The market is overextended and Arctic" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013409182221758482) 2026-01-20T00:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Time to lock in partial profits on $AUDNZD. With RSI deep in extreme oversold territory this vertical move is due for a technical breather. Ive decided to trim some short positions to protect capital though the macro bias remains decisively bearish. Im staying patient and waiting for a strategic retracement to reload and scale back into shorts at more attractive price levels. $AUD $NZD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis Weakness printing on $AUDUSD. Following this red candle Im scaling into more short positions as I anticipate a $USD strength cycle. This is the systematic application of my" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013556038176272553) 2026-01-20T10:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Trade War 2.0" takes center stage. This pivot toward aggressive resource controlfrom Greenland to South Americasignals a radical shift in foreign policy that will redefine global trade and commodity pricing. For investors navigating the resulting volatility in $USD $SPX and $XME is now the primary challenge of this new cycle. Read the full analysis: #Macro #Geopolitics #TradeWar https://workmarketsfinance.com/trade-war-2-0-greenland/ BREAKING: President Trump posts a picture of map with Canada Greenland and Venezuela all part of the United States. https://t.co/4yDc5vcDp3" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013611714940432518) 2026-01-20T13:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Greenland Shock" just reconfigured the global financial map. As Trumps new tariffs hit Europe we are witnessing a brutal paradox: $NVDA trading at an attractive 23x forward P/E while institutional panic hammers the Nasdaq. This isnt just a diplomatic spatits a violent recalibration of the global order that many failed to price in. With $US10Y yields spiking and $GOLD hitting $4700 the big question remains: Is this a generational buying opportunity or the start of a geopolitical bear market Im breaking down the fundamentals behind this rout and what to expect from Netflix earnings today." [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013699515455267051) 2026-01-20T19:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "While official BLS data remains lagging at 2.70% real-time metrics from Truflation are already signaling a sharp cooling at 1.48%. This significant divergence suggests that the "inflation monster" might not just be tamed but that we could be staring down the barrel of a deflationary trend faster than the Fedor the marketanticipates. $SPY $TLT $QQQ #Inflation #Macro #Trading "We had essentially no inflation. in fact the last month we had almost no inflation." Could @realDonaldTrump be using Truflation price data to get his inflation updates ๐ค US inflation is 1.48% today below the 2% target." [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013728692657180817) 2026-01-20T21:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The narrative of "American Exceptionalism" coming to an end is everywhere but the market usually rewards those who fade the consensus. Im currently short $EURUSD betting on a major $USD resurgence this year. While the sentiment is bearish the fundamentals of global capital flow suggest otherwise. I expect a massive dollar rally fueled by investors piling into the $US10Y and an impending major correction in the $SPX. When the "risk-off" sentiment hits the dollar will reclaim its throne as the ultimate safe haven. #Forex #Macro #Investing https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013925822948680112" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013925822948680112) 2026-01-21T10:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Is $TTD finally a value play after a 76% drawdown Even after the crash The Trade Desk trades at a 30x P/Ea steep premium compared to $CSU at 18x despite similar EPS growth forecasts. The critical divergence lies in the "moat": horizontal software is increasingly vulnerable to AI disruption while Constellation Softwares vertical niche-focused model remains insulated. The market continues to bucket $TTD and $ADBE together overlooking the fundamental gap between companies facing major technological headwinds and those with mission-critical pricing power. There is a world of difference between a" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013976691371089968) 2026-01-21T14:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Market structure is fundamentally bullish and 100k is the inevitable destination for a secular trend that cuts through short-term noise. Sustained momentum in $DIA $SPY and $QQQ proves that structural growth remains intact rewarding investors who prioritize a long-term horizon over temporary volatility. #Markets #Investing #Finance PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Our stock market dip is peanuts that stock market is going to be doubled." Trump says the Dow is "going to hit 50000" and double to [------] "in a relatively short period of time." https://t.co/GOryTirh1q PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Our stock market dip is" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014018485492318317) 2026-01-21T16:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Real-time inflation has already crashed through the 2% floor (sitting at 1.42% via Truflation) leaving the Fed with zero excuses to maintain a restrictive stance. The US10Y is flashing a major technical breakdown which should catalyze a massive "flight to quality" providing structural support for the $DXY even as rates normalize. ๐ For those looking to capitalize on this macro pivot $TLT is the prime vehicle to capture the inevitable yield compression. We are shifting from "higher for longer" to a race for durationmake sure your portfolio is positioned for the move. #Macro #FixedIncome" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014035651553833139) 2026-01-21T18:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$TSLA is the only Mag7 stock in a confirmed bubble. Trading at a 200x forward P/E is a total disconnect from fundamental reality. Elon Musk is a visionary but this valuation prices in a "winner-takes-all" future that completely ignores global competition. ๐ The market is betting the farm on Robotaxis and Optimus assuming zero friction and mass adoption. Id love to own this business but Im not a buyer until we see the $100 level. Discipline over hypeI won't pay a premium for a narrative priced for perfection. $TSLA $SPY $ARKK #Tesla #ElonMusk #Trading" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014042504216051868) 2026-01-21T18:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The era of "slow money" is officially over. In [----] the GENIUS Act has weaponized the USD into a programmable global protocol. This isn't just digital currencyits a liquidity vacuum siphoning capital from emerging markets and fragile fiats directly into the U.S. ecosystem via Tokenized Treasuries (RWAs). By bypassing the friction of the legacy SWIFT system the Dollar has become the worlds 24/7 financial operating system. While critics anticipated a decline in American hegemony the digitalization of the Greenback has proven to be the ultimate masterstroke of network dominance. Don't bet" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014335876738764907) 2026-01-22T13:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The accumulation in $TLT is the market's worst-kept secret: after months of basing and record institutional volume the reversal setup is finally primed. My thesis defies the standard consensus: Im positioning for a sustained breakdown in $US10Y yields even as the $DXY gains traction in a relative strength play that most are missing. Its the perfect storm for long-duration Treasuries to rip off the floor while sentiment remains stuck in deep skepticismthe bottom is being carved out in plain sight but fear is still blinding the crowd. #Macro #Trading #FixedIncome $TLT - Accumulation with Macro" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014704094665978117) 2026-01-23T14:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Hello deflation ๐ While official government data remains laggy real-time metrics show inflation is cratering well below the Feds target. We are looking at a scenario where the Fed will likely be forced to cut rates far more aggressively than the market is currently pricing in. This macro backdrop sets the stage for a massive rally in $TLT while the $USD is poised to remain surprisingly resilient amid a global liquidity shift. The market is sleeping on this imminent pivot. ๐๐ $TLT $USD $SPX #Deflation #Macro #Trading Many of you may not know this but we have multiple different metrics for" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014757235998462257) 2026-01-23T17:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Euro COT Index is flashing a major warning sign: sentiment has reached levels of extreme euphoria with net long positions sitting at historic highs. In the trading world when a trade becomes this crowded a reversal is often right around the corner. This is exactly why Im using this Euro overextension to dollarize my portfolio shifting capital into high-quality assets currently trading at a discount. By building positions in names like $GIS $NVO and $CSU the thesis is a "double-play." Im not just looking for the intrinsic appreciation of these industry leaders but also the strategic" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014760920849805802) 2026-01-23T18:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "With Gold at $5000 and Silver at $100 marking the peak of 2026s macro uncertainty the Greenland Agreement deadlock and a staggering [-----] RSI suggest silver has hit a critical ceiling risking an imminent 30-40% correction. Rather than chasing this parabolic move the disciplined play is taking partial profits and holding USD for liquidity protecting capital from the mathematical volatility ahead before looking for any new accumulation. Full analysis: $XAU $XAG $USD #Investing #Trading #Gold #Silver https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-at-100-and-gold-at-5000/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2014777730328371233) 2026-01-23T19:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Despite the skepticism the chart remains clear: the long-term trendline is holding firm as support. I remain conviction-heavy on a strong dollar rally backed by solid fundamentals. The U.S. continues to be the primary hub for the companies shaping the futureif you want exposure to world-changing innovation converting to USD isnt just a strategy; its a necessity. Capital flows toward quality. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015051531444510795 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015051531444510795" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015051531444510795) 2026-01-24T13:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The warning signals are flashing on the daily chart. After snapping the structural trendline of this bull cycle $BTC is now hanging by a thread at the support of its current consolidation channel. A definitive breakdown here could trigger a fast flush toward the $70000 zone likely dragging broader markets into a synchronized correction. Liquidity is shifting and the technical setup suggests that blind optimism may be a liability at these levels. Are we witnessing the start of a major capitulation or is this simply a painful retest before the next leg ๐ โก ๐ $ETH $SPY #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015382678170964138) 2026-01-25T11:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Everything the light touches Larry bought it. ๐คฃ๐คฃ๐คฃ $BLK $BTC #BlackRock #WallStreet - Algn da hijo mo todo esto ser de. BlackRock. Humor de domingo ๐. https://t.co/aBbuiQffMd - Algn da hijo mo todo esto ser de. BlackRock. Humor de domingo ๐. https://t.co/aBbuiQffMd" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015383989503103475) 2026-01-25T11:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Technical confirmation: support has officially snapped. We just saw the first daily candle close below the lower bound of the consolidation channel validating the breakdown weve been tracking. The current setup points toward a retest of the breakdown levelpotentially the final "dead cat bounce" before a deeper capitulation. If the retest fails to reclaim the channel the path toward $70000 shifts from a remote possibility to the primary technical target. Liquidity is rotating and the bull cycles structural integrity is under serious pressure. Are we witnessing the start of a synchronized" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015734893997654492) 2026-01-26T10:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "No surprises expected for this week's FOMC meeting as the FedWatch Tool prices in a 97.2% probability of a hold. The market has effectively pushed the easing cycle out to June leaving Jerome Powells press conference as the sole catalyst for near-term volatility. My thesis Expect a dovish shift. With real inflation trending well below the 2% target the current restrictive stance is losing its fundamental footing. I anticipate Powell will signal more flexibility likely triggering a sharp re-pricing of rate cut odds for the upcoming spring meetings. #FOMC #Macro #Trading $SPX $QQQ $TLT" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015740665771037152) 2026-01-26T10:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "US growth momentum remains resilient. With S&P [---] EPS projected to climb 15% and Small Caps eyeing a massive 67% surge in [----] the fundamental backdrop for equities stays exceptionally robust. #Earnings $SPX $RUT" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015741645568819549) 2026-01-26T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Silver is vertical up +5% today and over 50% YTD. We are seeing a classic tug-of-war between social media "dollar collapse" FOMO and silver's dual role as a monetary hedge and industrial input. However current price action suggests weve moved past fundamental hedging into the realm of parabolic speculation. The long-term risk for this "non-productive rock" is technological substitution. While silver is currently vital for AI and green tech high prices are the ultimate incentive for innovation. History shows that when costs become prohibitive human ingenuity finds a workaround. If the" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015744914240208976) 2026-01-26T11:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Safe haven or historys biggest bull trap Dive into the full analysis on silvers parabolic move here: https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-could-be-historys-biggest-trap/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-could-be-historys-biggest-trap/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015745310283194649) 2026-01-26T11:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Earnings season is hitting a fever pitch. With four of the "Magnificent 7" ($MSFT $META $TSLA and $AAPL) reporting this week alongside Wednesday's Fed decision volatility is the only guarantee. The market is looking for more than just a "beat"investors are hunting for clear signs of AI ROI and solid guidance for the rest of [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015776516005581162 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015776516005581162" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015776516005581162) 2026-01-26T13:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator has hit [---] flashing the kind of extreme euphoria rarely seen in technical data. Its a fascinating paradox: while hard metrics suggest an overheated market social media discourse feels increasingly apocalyptic with constant "doom-posting" about the greatest crisis in human history. This massive disconnect between data and digital sentiment is where the real story lies. I am bullish by nature and believe in the structural long-term trend but we can't ignore that the needle is pinned deep in the red. A short-term correction wouldn't just be likelyit would be" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015823545343844522) 2026-01-26T16:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The healthcare sector is currently facing significant headwinds. UnitedHealth Group shares plummeted nearly 9% in after-hours trading following a government proposal for a meager 0.09% increase in Medicare Advantage rates for the coming year. This figure came as a major shock to Wall Street which had been pricing in an adjustment between 4% and 6%. This decision signals intense margin compression for a sector already struggling with rising medical costs and increased service utilization. $UNH $CVS $HUM #Medicare #StockMarket #Investing https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015966305967341574" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2015966305967341574) 2026-01-27T01:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The key to the $USD recovery might be more counterintuitive than most think. For the Dollar to regain its strength I believe we need to see the start of the Feds rate cut cycle and a drop in yields. This would relieve systemic pressure and rotate capital back into U.S. growth assets where real investment demand for Dollars outweighs short-term speculation. At the end of the day the macro thesis remains: if you want to invest in the future and global innovation you have no choice but to be positioned in the worlds reserve currency. What some call "uncharted territory" is actually a prime" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016277701586260243) 2026-01-27T22:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "3. The Treasury Thesis ๐ I will continue to add to US Treasuries $TLT weekly. Im positioning for upcoming rate cuts and a stronger Greenback $USD. Its about catching the yield and the potential capital appreciation" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2020618554677322103) 2026-02-08T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/Official Data vs. Real-Time Reality: The BLS says 2.4% but @truflationtracking 30M+ data pointsis showing 0.68%. The Fed hasn't just hit the target; theyve overshot it. Deflation is the new tail risk that nobody is pricing in. yet. $TLT #CPI" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2022622543442776325) 2026-02-14T10:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/The Deflationary Trifecta: [--] AI Productivity: A massive supply-side shock lowering service costs. [--] Consumer Fatigue: Credit card delinquencies are hitting a wall. [--] Pricing Power: Companies like PepsiCo and Chipotle are signaling "price investments" (aka cuts) to keep traffic. ๐ #CPI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022622547007680840 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022622547007680840" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2022622547007680840) 2026-02-14T10:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Is $IGV just MSFT with "dead weight" ๐ Looking at the charts the correlation is undeniable: the Software ETF (IGV) mimics Microsofts trajectory but with massive underperformance. With Microsoft commanding nearly 10% of the weight it raises a critical question: why diversify into a basket where AI is set to disrupt legacy players This "diversification" might actually be dragging down your alpha by including firms losing the competitive race. When AI is the primary growth engine diluting your exposure with incumbents struggling to adapt is a risky move. In the current software landscape" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023161817082523846) 2026-02-15T22:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Constellation Software (CSU): Why I Am Aggressively Doubling Down on This Generational Opportunity Amidst Extreme Market Fear As of January [----] Constellation Software (CSU) is experiencing a historic 40% drawdown driven by market fears that Generative AI will disrupt Vertical Market Software (VMS). However CSUs fundamentals remain record-breaking with a Forward PER of 19x and Price-to-FCF of 18xvaluation levels not seen since [----]. With the weekly RSI at extreme oversold levels the bull case rests on the moat of domain expertise and AI-driven operational efficiencies. ๐ #csu #gis #nvo" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011811838581768415) 2026-01-15T14:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Software sector is facing a massive bloodbath. With drawdowns ranging from -35% to -80% from their all-time highs (ATH) industry titans like Adobe Salesforce and Constellation Software are under heavy scrutiny. The trillion-dollar question: Is AI an existential threat to these business models or are we witnessing a generational buying opportunity Weve performed a deep dive into the fundamentals behind this aggressive correction focusing on Constellation Software ($CSU). Is the bottom finally in or is there more pain ahead Read our full analysis here: ๐ #SoftwareStocks #AI #Trading #CSU" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011908176560734675) 2026-01-15T21:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "TLT: Why Deflation and the Greatest Short Squeeze in History Could Create the Opportunity of a Lifetime in U.S. Treasuries In January [----] the TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) represents the most significant asymmetric opportunity in the global market. With real-time inflation (Truflation) at 1.70%well below the Feds targetand record-breaking short interest a transition into a deflationary era is inevitable. Falling yields will aggressively drive up long-term bond prices. Coupled with equity market volatility and a risk-off rotation the stage is set for a massive short squeeze and a" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011921981659078673) 2026-01-15T22:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The [----] Oracle: How the Benner Cycle Predicted [----] and What to Do Now to Protect Your Wealth The Benner Cycle is a predictive model created in [----] by Samuel Benner based on price cycles of pig iron and agricultural products. The chart identifies three phases: Panic Years (A) Years of Good Times/High Prices (B) and Years of Hard Times/Low Prices (C). For [----] the cycle signals a Type B period indicating a market top and the necessity to take profits before a projected recessionary trend leading toward [----]. ๐ #spx #dca https://workmarketsfinance.com/benner-cycle-predicted-2026/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2011935838200893730) 2026-01-15T22:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Blood in the streets or a once-in-a-decade opportunity ๐ Added to my position in Constellation Software ($CSU) following this week's 14%+ drawdown. Its a rare sight to see one of the worlds premier serial compounders trading at a forward P/E (2026) below 20x. The fundamentals tell the story: projections point to EPS growth exceeding 20% for [----]. For those seeking high-quality assets at a discount this short-term noise has created a historic entry point. ๐ #CSU #ValueInvesting #Stocks #Compounders #ConstellationSoftware https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012255302767227317" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2012255302767227317) 2026-01-16T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Why Constellation Software is My Only Choice: The Death of Horizontal Software and the Resilience of VMS In my journey through the global financial markets I have learned that true wealth is built not by chasing the latest trend but by concentrating capital into high-conviction high-quality assets. As we navigate the complexities of [----] the technology sector has reached a critical tipping point. We are witnessing a clear divergence: the erosion of the Horizontal Software moat and the absolute dominance of Vertical Market Software. I want to be categorical: I have zero interest in holding" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013016197843792285) 2026-01-18T22:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$AUDNZD is in the crosshairs with my short strategy now in full execution. The game plan is simple and disciplined: scaling into shorts and hitting take profit targets as the market confirms the move. ๐ Cutting through the noise Im focused solely on the rigorous execution of my trading methodology. When the system dictates the path consistency is the only rule. ๐ฏ $AUD $NZD #Trading #Forex #Investing https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013022458941464936 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013022458941464936" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013022458941464936) 2026-01-18T22:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Time to lock in partial profits on $AUDNZD. With RSI deep in extreme oversold territory this vertical move is due for a technical breather. Ive decided to trim some short positions to protect capital though the macro bias remains decisively bearish. Im staying patient and waiting for a strategic retracement to reload and scale back into shorts at more attractive price levels. $AUD $NZD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis $AUDNZD is in the crosshairs with my short strategy now in full execution. The game plan is simple and disciplined: scaling into shorts and hitting take profit targets as the" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013558382448279637) 2026-01-20T10:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "End of an era or a seamless handoff Mark Miller takes the helm at Constellation Software with a definitive message: the capital deployment engine remains unchanged. As the architect of Volaris and a 30-year CSI veteran Miller is doubling down on the decentralized model and rigorous hurdle rates that defined the Mark Leonard era. For investors this transition isn't a pivotits a reinforcement of the most disciplined compounding machine in the software sector ensuring the "business as usual" philosophy stays intact. The core thesis remains robust: "buy and hold forever" is the non-negotiable" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013733714379825590) 2026-01-20T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "While the prevailing narrative suggests these companies are in decline the financial data tells a completely different story. In my long-term portfolio I am holding $CSU $GIS and $NVO assets that continue to print all-time highs in Revenue and EPS completely ignoring the bearish noise surrounding the $SPY. At this stage of the cycle rotating into defensive sectors is a calculated strategy not just a hedge. Doubling down on resilient cash-flow-heavy business models is the best way to navigate macro uncertainty. Sentiment is fleeting; balance sheets are final. #Investing #Stocks #Equity" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2013929576309665929) 2026-01-21T11:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In the [----] market business quality is a given but entry price is what dictates your alpha. Ive dissected [--] "Wide-Moat" titansfrom tech powerhouses to ultra-luxury iconsto separate intrinsic value from AI-driven hype. In an era of algorithmic noise surgical discipline is the ultimate edge. ๐ While Im "keeping my powder dry" on overextended premiums like $MSFT the current setup has flashed clear accumulation signals for $META and $MA. We arent positioning for next week; were compounding for [----]. Dive into my full [----] Strategy and the specific multiples Im targeting: ๐ #Investing" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016110588431155359) 2026-01-27T11:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "๐จ $UNH in freefall: Shares are down 16% in pre-market after a massive collapse in operating margins to 0.3% (vs. 2.9% expected). While adjusted EPS slightly beat estimates at $2.11 its a drop in the ocean compared to the revenue miss and the extraordinary charges crushing the bottom line. ๐ The real panic stems from the FY [----] Guidance: projected revenue ($439B) and cash flow are significantly below consensus. When a defensive bellwether loses its predictability and margin profile the market re-prices it instantly. Watching for key support levels as the $XLV digests the contagion risk. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016130683941298473) 2026-01-27T12:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Current volatility might spook short-term traders but for those focused on fundamentals the noise is purely opportunity. I still maintain that this is a prime entry point to dollarize capital. The U.S. remains the epicenter of global innovation; if you want to invest in the future you have to believe in the currency that powers it. While the market reacts to shifting political narratives strategic investors look at where the long-term value resides. The global financial system still runs on the Greenback. Don't get left behind by short-term fluctuationsposition yourself where the growth is." [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016262053816668671) 2026-01-27T21:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The 40% drawdown in $RACE has opened a generational entry point for investors seeking "quality at a reasonable price." Ferrari isn't a mere automaker; its a master of scarcity with 38%+ EBITDA margins and revenue visibility stretching into [----]. In the current landscape it operates as the $RMS of the automotive world providing a fortress balance sheet that remains largely indifferent to macroeconomic headwinds. Im capitalizing on this multiple compression to scale into a high-conviction position. While the market panics over the luxury sector's rotation Maranello remains the ultimate Veblen" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016469252740362305) 2026-01-28T11:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Eurozone is walking a macro tightrope. With EUR/USD hitting the [----] handle the ECB is already signaling discomfort but the underlying issue is structural: a strong currency paired with stagnant growth and a fading industrial export base is a recipe for disaster. This isn't a position of strength; its a direct hit to competitiveness that the blocs fragile economy simply cannot absorb. #Dollar $Dxy There you go With the euro hitting [----] against the dollar ECB officials are already coming out stating they are watching the recent appreciation AND that it is "one element that will guide" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016512784125526115) 2026-01-28T14:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Positive for the markets. $Spx $QQQ A $1000 Trump Account will help millions of kids get a head start on building their savingsand growing wealth. President Trump is paving the way for Americas children to achieve prosperity like never before https://t.co/OrJOjGrHZH A $1000 Trump Account will help millions of kids get a head start on building their savingsand growing wealth. President Trump is paving the way for Americas children to achieve prosperity like never before https://t.co/OrJOjGrHZH" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016606718617141651) 2026-01-28T20:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "FOMC Analysis Less "dovish" than expected as tariffs weigh on inflation ๐งต #FOMC #MacroEconomy #Fed $USD $Rates $Markets" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609340149342302) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "1/ Analysis of the latest FOMC meeting: The prevailing tone is one of caution. Contrary to some market expectations the stance was not "dovish." The Fed is maintaining its restrictive posture and does not appear ready to signal rate cuts for the upcoming meetings" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609343945261155) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "2/ On interest rates: The consensus within the committee is that rates are currently positioned appropriately. With GDP remaining robust and inflation still trending above the 2% target the majority supports holding steady. No decisions have been made for the next meeting; the outlook remains strictly "data-dependent." https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609346445087163 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609346445087163" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609346445087163) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "3/ A significant shift was noted in the communiqu regarding the labor market. The Fed now perceives a more stable landscape with more consistent data points. The message is clear: even with a resilient labor market if inflation does not continue to cool there will be no movement on rates. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609349293027731 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609349293027731" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609349293027731) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "4/ The "Tariff Factor": This was a standout point of discussion. The consensus is that current price increases are being directly driven by tariffs. The assessment is stark: were it not for these tariffs inflation would likely already be at the 2% objective. This remains a critical factor for trade policy monitoring. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609351604035729 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609351604035729" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609351604035729) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "5/ Regarding economic structure the mention of a "K-shaped economy" is particularly relevant. There is a visible divergence: one segment with high purchasing power sustaining consumption while others face mounting financial strain. This duality complicates the calibration of monetary policy" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609354162544833) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "6/ On productivity AI was highlighted as a major driver. The Fed emphasized that the productivity gains from Artificial Intelligence are tangible potentially acting as a significant long-term tailwind even as the trajectory of the national debt is viewed as unsustainable" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609356893114486) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "7/ On political and currency issues the Fed remained tight-lipped. Regarding potential politicization they referred back to the official statement. On the dollar's recent decline the response was the standard: "Ask the Treasury."" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609359929676050) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "8/ Bottom line: The conference offered no major surprises but confirmed the Fed's intent not to fuel early expectations. While inflation is expected to remain stable through the year the timing of a potential pivot remains the "million-dollar question." #FOMC #MacroEconomy #Fed $USD $Rates $Markets https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609362937327918 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609362937327918" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016609362937327918) 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "How does a titan the size of Microsoft still find the gear to accelerate like a high-growth startup The Q2 FY26 results are a masterclass in scaling: $81.3B in revenue (+17% YoY) driven by an explosive 39% surge in Azure. With Commercial Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) skyrocketing 110% to a staggering $625B Microsofts Cloud and AI dominance is no longer just a narrativeits an ironclad financial reality. Yet the market remains a harsh critic. Despite returning $12.7B to shareholders and delivering a clean sweep on growth $MSFT is sliding 5% in post-market trading. Were likely seeing a" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016626178887417940) 2026-01-28T21:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The divergence is glaring: while official prints remain lagged Truflation is already cratering toward 1.16%. The Fed looks like its sleeping at the wheel again risking being "behind the curve" by keeping rates way too restrictive for this reality. At this point AI productivity is the only thing keeping the wheels on the busit's our true tech-driven life raft. #FOMC #FED #Inflation $SPY $QQQ $MSFT $META FOMC Analysis Less "dovish" than expected as tariffs weigh on inflation ๐งต #FOMC #MacroEconomy #Fed $USD $Rates $Markets https://t.co/r5AXujuu8e FOMC Analysis Less "dovish" than expected as" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016655273126219934) 2026-01-28T23:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "๐งต Microsoft ($MSFT): Why Im Starting a Position in the Worlds Most Critical Company 1/ Microsoft $MSFT isn't just a software company; it's the operating system of the global digital economy. Following a 20% correction from all-time highs I believe this is a strategic entry point for a high-conviction compounding play. Here is my thesis. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016851115787137396 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016851115787137396" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016851115787137396) 2026-01-29T12:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "2/ The Revenue Engine: Microsoft is a constantly accelerating organism. We saw FY2025 revenue hit $281.7B a massive leap from $85.3B in [----]. The "Intelligent Cloud" remains the primary driver with Azure growing 34% in 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016851119582982656) 2026-01-29T12:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "3/ Financial Fortress: Efficiency is king under Satya Nadella. Operating margins have expanded from 23.7% in [----] to an incredible 45.6% in [----]. These are margins that would be the envy of the luxury sector maintained at a massive scale" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016851123819225479) 2026-01-29T12:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/ Earnings Per Share (EPS): This is my ultimate health metric. $MSFT has the "magic" ability to grow earnings faster than revenuea clear sign of operating leverage. Diluted EPS jumped from $2.10 in [----] to $13.62 in 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016851128407732299) 2026-01-29T12:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "7/ The AI Moat: With over [---] data centers and a strategic 49% profit stake in OpenAI Microsoft has built a nearly insurmountable competitive moat. If $MSFT ceased to exist tomorrow global digital infrastructure would collapse. It is the definition of "critical."" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016851587692454400) 2026-01-29T12:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "8/ Valuation & Execution: Im looking past the 27.5x P/E ratio noise. For a company with 17% growth and dominant AI positioning the quality premium is justified. My strategy: I am buying now and adding regularly below $450" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016851710463885313) 2026-01-29T12:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The charts dont lie: the channel breakdown is confirmed and Bitcoin is officially entering a technical correction phase. With support lost the $70000 - $72000 range is now acting as a major price magnet and a critical liquidity pocket for the near term. The market rarely gives second chances to those who ignore the signals. It is time to tighten strategies and monitor how price action reacts to this new level of volatility. ๐๐ฏ๐จ #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto Technical confirmation: support has officially snapped. We just saw the first daily candle close below the lower bound of the" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016982703875215717) 2026-01-29T21:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Its incredible how the market refuses to break; at the slightest sign of a pullback buyers rush in to defend the trend. This relentless "buy the dip" behavior at the [--] WMA shows massive institutional support but it leaves us with one burning question: how much longer can this strength last before exhaustion finally kicks in ๐๐๐ค #SP500 #StockMarket $SPX $SPY $ES $VIX https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016983893644366154 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016983893644366154" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016983893644366154) 2026-01-29T21:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "As prices continue to defy gravity sentiment is following suit: the Fear & Greed Index is now at [--] signaling that "Greed" has officially reclaimed the driver's seat. Weve pivoted from Neutral levels just a month ago to this renewed optimism where every dip is met with aggressive buying. The momentum is undeniable but history reminds us that euphoria is often the prelude to exhaustion. โ ๐ค #MarketSentiment #Investing #SP500 $SPX $SPY $ES Its incredible how the market refuses to break; at the slightest sign of a pullback buyers rush in to defend the trend. This relentless "buy the dip"" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2016988098576470053) 2026-01-29T21:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed The former Governor is a notorious inflation hawk and a vocal critic of prolonged Quantitative Easing. His potential appointment signals a major pivot toward a stronger USD and a more disciplined monetary framework. Is the era of "easy money" officially over #Fed #Trading $DXY $SPY $UST President Trump is reportedly set to announce Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman tomorrow morning https://t.co/HoUCfvk4Mc President Trump is reportedly set to announce Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman tomorrow morning https://t.co/HoUCfvk4Mc" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017101925695578578) 2026-01-30T05:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "๐งต The Thread: The Warsh Era Begins at the Fed 1/The game has changed. ๐จ Donald Trump has officially nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Ive been analyzing the latest reports from CNBC and Forbes and this isn't just a leadership swapits a seismic shift in the global financial architecture. Here is why the "Warsh Pivot" matters for your portfolio. ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271934694670799 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271934694670799" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017271934694670799) 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "2/ The Lauder Connection & The Power Base: ๐ Forbes highlights a crucial detail: Warsh is married to Jane Lauder granddaughter of Este Lauder. This puts him at the heart of one of America's most influential dynasties. His ties to the GOP elite and the billionaire class give him a political shield that Jerome Powell never truly possessed" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017271937936855192) 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "3/ The Wall Street "Plumbing" Specialist: ๐ At [--] he was the youngest Fed Governor in history (20062011). While academics were staring at lagging models I remember Warsh was on the phone with Morgan Stanley and the Treasury managing the actual "plumbing" of the [----] crisis. He doesn't just read the tape; he knows how the machine is built. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271940440809960 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271940440809960" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017271940440809960) 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "4/ From Hawk to AI Productivity Bull: ๐ค CNBC points out a fascinating evolution. Warsh was a long-time "Hawk" on inflation but my take is that hes now betting on an AI-driven productivity boom. He believes technology allows for aggressive growth without triggering the classic wage-price spiral. This is the "high-growth/low-inflation" thesis Trump wants to see" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017271943045468373) 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "5/ Ending "Mission Creep": ๐ซ Warsh has been a vocal critic of the Feds recent expansion into non-monetary issues. Expect him to gut what he calls "Mission Creep." For Warsh the Fed shouldn't be an arbiter of Climate Change or DEI. I expect a laser focus on one thing: Price Stability. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271946610647192 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271946610647192" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017271946610647192) 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "6/ The "Bank of England" Blueprint: Hes a reformer at heart. The UK Parliament adopted the transparency reforms he designed for the Bank of England. Im anticipating a Fed that kills "Fedspeak" in favor of direct market-pragmatic communication. Less mystery more clarity" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017271948854583356) 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "7/ The Confirmation Battle: โ It won't be a cakewalk. Im seeing reports of GOP resistance specifically from Sen. Thom Tillis while Elizabeth Warren is already branding him "Wall Streets man." This will be a massive test of Trumps leverage over the Senate" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017272220330910064) 2026-01-30T16:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "8/ Market Reaction: The "Sound Money" Trade: ๐๐ The initial reaction was telling. Gold plunged nearly 5% and Silver tumbled 13% as the "Warsh nomination" gained steam. The market is front-running a leaner Fed balance sheet and a more efficient Dollar. $DXY is catching a bid while $GOLD and $SPX recalibrate for a "Real Money" era. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272332809617683 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272332809617683" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017272332809617683) 2026-01-30T16:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "9/ My Bottom Line: ๐๐ฆ Kevin Warsh represents the return of technical competence and "Sound Money" orthodoxy. If he successfully navigates the AI productivity wave we are looking at the reaffirmation of USD hegemony for the next decade. The smart money has already started moving. Are you ๐ธ #Fed #KevinWarsh #Macro $DXY $GOLD $SPX https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272424471880071 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272424471880071" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017272424471880071) 2026-01-30T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Market euphoria is reaching a fever pitch. The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator just hit 9.4its highest level since Feb 18triggering a textbook "contrarian sell signal." History warns that when positioning becomes this lopsided a sharp correction is often lurking just around the corner to flush out the over-optimism. Don't let complacency blind you. In this environment the deepest drops usually happen right when the "weak hands" least expect them. Trade safe. #StockMarket $SPY $QQQ $VIX The revamped BofA Bull & Bear Indicator back up to [---] for the second time in three weeks the highest since Feb" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017276034161258871) 2026-01-30T16:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Silvers 20% plunge today is a textbook case of mass liquidations following an overextended parabolic move. Ive warned this was coming: markets eventually break under their own weight when the "blow-off top" hits. As we pivot toward the era of Supreme AI the fundamental question remains: does holding "heavy metal" still offer value or should we rotate into the assets actually building the future Check out my full thesis below. ๐ Full analysis: #Silver #Commodities #Macro $XAG $SLV $PAAS https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-at-100-and-gold-at-5000/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017286402950533518) 2026-01-30T17:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Kevin Warsh is taking the helm at the Federal Reserve and the Street is already scrambling to price in the "Warsh Doctrine." Known for his pragmatic approach and willingness to challenge monetary orthodoxy his tenure marks a definitive shift in the macro landscape. Ive put together a thread breaking down his track record and what his policy stance means for market volatility and interest rate trajectories. Dive into the full profile here to stay ahead of the curve. #Fed #Macro #Dollar $SPY $QQQ $DXY #KevinWarsh https://workmarketsfinance.com/who-is-kevin-warsh-the-new-fed-chair/ ๐งต The" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017297333784809894) 2026-01-30T18:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Silver is witnessing a brutal 35% flush triggering a textbook liquidity squeeze. As margin calls start hitting were seeing forced deleveraging across the board; traders are dumping winners in equities and BTC just to keep their heads above water. This isn't just a commodity correction; it's a scramble for collateral. If this downside momentum persists expect the contagion to hit major indices harder as the hunt for liquidity intensifies. #Silver #Macro #Liquidation $XAG $SPY $BTC $Xau https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017303729477668946 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017303729477668946" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017303729477668946) 2026-01-30T18:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/ The [----] Midterm Roadmap: Trumps Dry Powder & The Warsh Shockwave ๐งต We are staring at the most complex macro chessboard of the decade. Between Kevin Warshs Fed nomination and Trumps "Dry Powder" strategy markets are being steered into extreme volatility for H1 [----]. #KevinWarsh $spx $qqq" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606839236514038) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ The "Warsh Factor" & The Hawkish Headfake Why nominate Kevin Warsha known hawkto lead the Fed ๐ Trump is playing the long game. By putting Warsh in the seat now he forces a pre-emptive market correction. He wants a "stern" Fed to flush out excesses by May. The goal Creating political cover for aggressive cuts right before November. #Fed #Macro https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606843607003485 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606843607003485" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606843607003485) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/ The Metals Crash & Margin Call Dominoes ๐ The 13% plunge in Silver and 5% drop in Gold isn't just a dip; it's a systemic warning. As precious metals crater hedge funds face massive liquidations. Expect a wave of Margin Calls hitting Tech and Crypto as collateral value evaporates. Cash is king in Q1. $Gold $Silver $BTC https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606847423725582 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606847423725582" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606847423725582) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/ Political Survival: The 42.1% Threshold With Trumps approval at 42.1% and disapproval at 55.2% the [----] Midterms are a fight for survival. Losing Congress means legislative gridlock or impeachment. The Play: Let the market bleed now so he can play "Hero" in October. #Midterms2026" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606851672555629) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5/ Seasonality: The Midterm Script Midterm years are historically painful until Q4. Q1/Q2: Bearish/Range-bound (Warsh fear) Q3: Capitulation (Pre-election panic) Q4: Explosive Rally (Stimulus cavalry arrives) Dont get shaken out in the July lows. The "Melt-up" is programmed. $spx $qqq #KevinWarsh #Seasonality https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606855275504077 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606855275504077" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606855275504077) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "6/ The "Dry Powder" Arsenal ๐ The administration is hoarding stimulus for the August-October window: $2000 Stimulus Checks bypassing Congress. Trump Accounts: $1000 seed money for every child to hit the index funds. Massive Tax Cut extensions. This is the setup for the mother of all Short Squeezes. $SPY $DIA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606858555408853 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606858555408853" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606858555408853) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7/ AI & Energy: The Industrial Reset The synergy between Big Tech and Nuclear/Gas deregulation is set to collapse electricity costs. Lower energy costs = Deflationary tailwinds. This gives Warsh the "technical" excuse for a massive Pivot (50bps clips). #AI #Energy" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606861671862315) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "8/ Final Take: Steel Nerves Only ๐ง We are witnessing an "engineered technical recession." This choppy-bearish environment is a generational entry point for those with liquidity. Keep your Dry Powder ready. The Dow 100k target is still on the table but the road is paved with the blood of the impatient. ๐ $spx $qqq $dia https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606864087753081 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606864087753081" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017606864087753081) 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@intocryptoverse Spot on. The liquidity sweep suggests we haven't seen the floor yet. Im keeping my powder dry waiting for $BTC in the $60k - $70k range to start heavy accumulation. Patience is the ultimate edge" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017640397674082471) 2026-01-31T16:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Great insight on market micro-structure. The record low short interest on $QQQ removes the natural floor provided by short covering during flushes. Without that "squeeze fuel" for rallies or a safety net during selloffs we are looking at a dangerously one-sided market. If the "buy the dip" crowd blinks the liquidity vacuum could lead to a much deeper correction. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017642588413509790 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017642588413509790" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017642588413509790) 2026-01-31T16:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@intocryptoverse This is a prime window to dollarize capital at a discount fading the noise to hedge your portfolio before the structural reversal kicks in" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017659585545359619) 2026-01-31T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@biancoresearch The liquidation cascade continues: gold and silver led the way and now BTC is trading sub-$80k. Tomorrows futures open will be the ultimate litmus test for market sentiment. $BTC $GOLD $SILVER" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017667411307335833) 2026-01-31T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ColinTCrypto Agreed. The bear market has been in play since the $100k breakdown. Strategy is clear: patience and accumulation in the $70k-$60k range. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017668598454751709) 2026-01-31T18:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@rektcapital Agreed. The bear market has been in play since the $100k breakdown. Strategy is clear: patience and accumulation in the $70k-$60k range. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017668998339453288) 2026-01-31T18:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The ultimate retail capitulation mood. ๐ "Revenge trading"desperately jumping from one massive drawdown straight into another high-risk assetis the classic psychological trap of the moment. Laughing through the pain but remember: emotional rotation isn't a strategy. Stay disciplined and trade the levels not the panic. #Trading #Markets #Crypto $BTC $XAG $SILVER https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017671795780841959 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017671795780841959" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017671795780841959) 2026-01-31T18:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@KobeissiLetter A slide into the $70k-$60k range looks inevitable as liquidity dries up and "air pockets" dominate the price action. I am targeting the $60k handle as the primary zone for aggressive long-term accumulation. #Bitcoin $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017673420138234301) 2026-01-31T18:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@RayDalio Kevin Warsh at the Fed is a major win. Gold silver and the dollar are already pricing in restored credibility and technical predictability. Policy clarity is back on the table. #Fed $XAU $XAG $USD" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017710544724136273) 2026-01-31T21:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JLMarin_Trading BTC broke key support but Im staying patient. Eyeing the $60k - $70k range for heavy accumulation" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017712795026890977) 2026-01-31T21:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi BTC at $60k is a prime long-term accumulation level. Expecting a sweep of these lows and a recovery ahead of the midterm elections. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017715160627220933) 2026-01-31T21:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@intocryptoverse $BTC at $60k is a prime long-term accumulation level. Expecting a sweep of these lows and a recovery ahead of the midterm elections" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017719184168243678) 2026-01-31T21:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Roman_Trading While $50k is the ultimate long-term entry zone its uncertain if price will actually reach those levels. I expect to see $60k ahead of the midterms acting as the key pivot point for a trend reversal. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017720630175797526) 2026-01-31T22:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@HenrikZeberg Were heading head-first into deflation. Debt levels and AI efficiency leave no choice: Kevin Warsh will be forced into aggressive rate cuts. The deflationary bust is unfolding" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017893762320523751) 2026-02-01T09:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TechCharts No BTC bottom without an equity flush. Bitcoin leads the move but Wall Street is still in denial. The correction is coming. $BTC $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017895398434627740) 2026-02-01T09:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The high inflation narrative is dead. We are staring at a structural deflationary cycle fueled by record household debt and AI-driven productivity gains. With Truflation sitting at 0.86%well below BLS reportingKevin Warsh has the perfect cover to pivot and cut rates mid-year just in time for the midterms. This is the ultimate macro alignment that the broader market is still missing. The setup for $TLT is becoming impossible to ignore as the gap between real-time data and lagging indicators closes. Position accordingly. #Deflation #MacroTrading #Midterms2026 $TLT $FED Real-time inflation has" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017906925321572487) 2026-02-01T10:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@0xAralez Spot on. Cycles don't lie and were likely looking at a mid-year bottom. If $BTC hits that 60k range its the ultimate accumulation zone before the next leg up. Patience is the name of the game right now" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017915807959760935) 2026-02-01T10:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@intocryptoverse Spot on. Trading without a plan is just gambling. Id rather stay disciplined and focus on the big pictureIm waiting for those weekly Heikin Ashi candles to flip green before resuming my DCA. Less noise more execution. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017950972689920145) 2026-02-01T13:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@PeterSchiff Exactly. With deflation looming those rate cuts are going to be massive to keep things afloat. Setting the stage for it all to hit right before the midterms is the ultimate political playbook to pump the markets. Perfect plan. $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017952490608525697) 2026-02-01T13:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "1. The "Great Crypto Reset" is here and frankly It was inevitable. This weekends Bitcoin crash wasn't a black swan; it was a technical certainty. Breaking the [----] primary trendline marks a fundamental regime shift. ๐งต #Bitcoin $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964834705347022) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2. The weekly charts were screaming. We saw a massive triple bearish divergence on the RSI while price desperately chased new highs. Smart money was distributing to exit while retail bought the hype. Now the daily bear flag is pointing to lower liquidity clusters. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964837502955968) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3. Where am I placing my buy orders Im eyeing the "Golden Zone" between $60000 and $70000. This is the high-probability area for final capitulation. Im not here to catch falling knives; Im here to buy value. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964840891961422) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4. My execution plan: Im waiting for green Heikin Ashi candles on the weekly timeframe to confirm trend exhaustion. Entering before a reversal print is gambling; entering after is a validated trade. Discipline over desperation. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964843500789822) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5. Macro is the ultimate driver. Truflation at 0.86% signals imminent systemic deflation. While AI-led productivity is slashing costs consumer deleveraging is hitting a breaking point. This setup will force a Fed pivot sooner than the consensus expects. #inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964847204319588) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "6. The Roadmap: Bitcoin will front-run the equity indices recovery. Expect a reversal by mid-2026 as liquidity seeks the scarcest asset in an AI-driven deflating world. $BTC isn't just a trade; it's an insurance policy" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964851478307141) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7. Bottom line: Markets reward the patient and punish the impulsive. Stick to the levels monitor the Truflation data and check out my full breakdown on why this crash was inevitable: ๐ #Bitcoin $BTC https://workmarketsfinance.com/why-the-bitcoin-crash-was-inevitable/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/why-the-bitcoin-crash-was-inevitable/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2017964853567029483) 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If these Truflation numbers are legit Kevin Warsh is going to cut rates way deeper than the market is currently discounting. Everyone is still staring at lagging BLS data while real-time inflation is cratering. Get ready the pivot is going to be much more aggressive than expected. $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018008902890107064 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018008902890107064" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018008902890107064) 2026-02-01T17:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Exactly but he wont have to act alonethe data will force their hand. When real-time inflation hits 0.86% the entire FOMC loses its room to maneuver. Deflationary pressure makes those cuts mandatory not optional. Hes just front-running a reality that the numbers have already locked in. #FOMC $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018032797974175833 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018032797974175833" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018032797974175833) 2026-02-01T18:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives Not yet. In my view real accumulation interest won't kick back in until we hit the $70k or even $60k range. Buying now feels like catching falling knives. Waiting for better liquidity. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018064958509236370) 2026-02-01T20:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A textbook rejection wick on the EUR/USD right at the major descending trendline. While the "death of the dollar" narrative dominates headlines the price action suggests a massive bull trap for the Euro. This is the perfect contrarian setup for a USD comeback catching the crowd leaning the wrong way. Im staying the course and continuing to dollarize capitalnever trade the story trade the chart. #Investing #Forex #Dollar $EURUSD $USD $DXY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018076284161556796 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018076284161556796" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018076284161556796) 2026-02-01T21:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@dlacalle_IA @truflation Truflation hitting 0.86% is a massive wake-up call. Between AI-driven efficiency gains and debt-strapped consumers were sprinting toward a deflationary period. Official data is lagging but the real-time trend is clear: prices are melting down" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018081877014282614) 2026-02-01T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bitcoin just broke down from the channel and the bearish momentum is picking up steam. Now the million-dollar question: how will the S&P [---] and Nasdaq futures open As risk-off sentiment hits the crypto space well see if US equities are next in line for a correction or if Wall Street can weather the storm. Watching the opening bell closely. #Markets $BTC $SPY $QQQ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018092194100363377 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018092194100363377" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018092194100363377) 2026-02-01T22:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@shahh Short answer: nothing. Markets don't owe us support and levels are meant to be tested. While I doubt well see $50k if we do its no longer a correctionits the ultimate accumulation zone. One persons panic is anothers liquidity. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018094627899744725) 2026-02-01T22:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Peter Schiff is still waiting for a collapse but the reality is tokenization. The dollar isnt disappearing; its evolving. With the "Genius Act" on the horizon were going to see massive demand for the digital dollar cementing it as the global reserve on the blockchain. While some stay tethered to physical gold the smart money pivots to where liquidity and tech efficiency meet. Harold knows that the "opportunity cost" of ignoring digitalization is the real collapse. #Dollar $USD https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018102688676761781 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018102688676761781" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018102688676761781) 2026-02-01T23:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@steve_hanke Exactly. At the end of the day whos actually betting on pounds or euros The future is priced in dollars period. If you want a seat at the table you have to convert your cash to where the action is. Everything else is just noise. $USD" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018105288092459434) 2026-02-01T23:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@KobeissiLetter This $5 billion liquidation flush is exactly whats needed to shake out the weak hands and toxic leverage. The real bull market doesn't start until everyone loses interest and the panic turns into silence. We flush the trash first then $BTC finally has a clear path to the moon" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018118350677696520) 2026-02-02T00:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Polymarket ๐คฃ๐คฃ $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018118701619319212) 2026-02-02T00:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@JesseOlson Agreed. That 60k blue line looks like the most likely spot for the retest. Perfect bounce zone before the next leg up. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018240076124135587) 2026-02-02T08:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@sixers0321 @Mr_Derivatives I know enough: To be honest it doesnt really matter who the Fed Chair is. Hell just end up doing whatever the market forces him to do anywayand I know the market inside out. $SPX #Fed https://workmarketsfinance.com/who-is-kevin-warsh-the-new-fed-chair/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/who-is-kevin-warsh-the-new-fed-chair/" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018243779161919580) 2026-02-02T08:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@JamesWynnReal Still needs more downside. Too many people are still screaming "bull market" with way too much confidence. A flush down to 60k is mandatory to wipe out the remaining hopium and finally reset the sentiment. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018246655787598303) 2026-02-02T08:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/8 Im putting my money where my conviction is. For February [----] my high-conviction play is $DJAD $TLT. As a European-based investor this is the most efficient way to capture the global macro shift with a massive currency tailwind. ๐งต๐ #Investing #Macro #Treasuries $USD $DXY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281868571881561 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281868571881561" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281868571881561) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "2/8 Real inflation is already dead. While BLS claims 2.7% @truflation shows real-time CPI at 0.95%. AI is the ultimate deflationary force displacing jobs and slashing costs. With US consumer debt at breaking points a hard slowdown is baked in. #FED #BLS" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281872631923074) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/8 The yield curve is talking. The 10Y-2Y inversion is finally unwinding. Historically this re-steepening is the definitive precursor to a recession. When the flight to safety begins long-term Treasuries will see a massive bid. $TLT #recession" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281876960502049) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4/8 Monetary policy will be forced to pivot. I expect Kevin Warsh to cut rates as economic gravity takes hold. The consensus is skeptical about deep cuts but thats exactly where the alpha lies: front-running the inevitable. #KevinWarsh #Fed $TLT" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281880072679555) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "6/8 The strategic advantage: The Dollar ($USD). Since Im investing from Europe $DJADs USD denomination is key. The $DXY is bouncing off a long-term ascending channel support. A stronger Dollar against the Euro adds an extra layer of profit to my position. #Dollar $USD" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281886238343277) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7/8 US growth has been propped up by AI Capex but equities are looking overextended. My strategy is to use the safety of $DJAD to hedge against the market correction I expect by mid-year. $TLT" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281889631506637) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "8/8 The Goal: Capture gains from both falling yields and $USD strength then rotate that capital back into high-quality equities once the market reset provides a better entry point later in [----]. Are you hedging with the #Dollar or still betting on the Euros resilience Lets talk below ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281892114489466 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281892114489466" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018281892114489466) 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "MicroStrategy is playing the long game and their position is looking rock solid right now. I still expect a quick dip to the $60k zone to flush things out before the actual bull market takes off though. Given how much supply theyve locked up the next leg up is going to be absolutely massive. $BTC $MSTR https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018316330437320822 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018316330437320822" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018316330437320822) 2026-02-02T13:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy weather the upcoming volatility it will be an incredibly bullish signal for Bitcoin in the long run. Institutional conviction at this scale acts as a massive market validator proving that long-term thesis outweighs short-term price action. This level of resilience from major players provides the psychological floor the market needs. If the "diamond hands" strategy holds through the next wave of turbulence we are looking at a new era of maturity for digital assets as a global reserve. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro $BTC $MSTR $Nasdaq More Orange." [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018319580121137162) 2026-02-02T13:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Mrcryptoxwhale Huge news but the tape never lies. Usually these "world-changing" bills are the perfect "sell the news" setup to flush the market and grab liquidity. $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018333766146572454) 2026-02-02T14:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The market is getting way too complacent and has zero protection right now. With short interest at these lows theres no "fuel" from short covering to cushion a dip. When the correction hits its going to be a violent liquidation of long positions because nobody is hedged. Total glass floor. $QQQ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018342530056962231 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018342530056962231" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018342530056962231) 2026-02-02T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This looks like a textbook dead cat bounce. We might see $BTC squeeze up to 80k or 85k just to trap late buyers before the real flush begins. With short interest at these lows theres no safety net underneath when things turn south. Don't mistake a relief rally for a trend reversal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018345409119146324 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018345409119146324" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018345409119146324) 2026-02-02T15:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Only 25% Real-time inflation is cooling way faster than the lagging prints suggest and with midterms around the corner the pressure on the Fed will be massive. Were getting way more than just two cuts. $SPY #Fed" [X Link](https://x.com/amadeu_rosario/status/2018353891117593025) 2026-02-02T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@amadeu_rosario whatdotradersdowhatdotradersdo posts on X about $btc, ai, inflation, $spy the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance stocks cryptocurrencies technology brands currencies automotive brands countries luxury brands exchanges celebrities
Social topic influence $btc, ai, inflation #1609, $spy, market, $tlt #36, in the, longterm #925, $nvo #198, bitcoin
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @mrderivatives @peterschiff @jessecoheninv @zerohedge @intocryptoverse @oguzerkan @mrjjb @truflation @kobeissiletter @kalshi @aureracapital @jlmarintrading @polymarket @jameswynnreal @tacticzh @ba1297947dr @libertariomex1 @gabrielmakk @jkeynesalpha @cycleswithbach
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Novo-Nordisk (NVO) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Vixco (VIX) SPX6900 (SPX) Netflix Inc (NFLX) S&P Global Inc (SPGI) Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Walmart, Inc. (WMT) DIA (DIA) PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Strategy (MSTR) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Pessoas ricas sabem que faz parte do processo de enriquecimento material o enriquecimento espiritual pelo que doam parte dos seus rendimentos para solidariedade E ja doavam tempo antes As pessoas de mentalidade pobre no so capazes de doar seu tempo afastando a riqueza delas"
X Link 2024-04-30T10:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"8 weeks #meta #proposito"
X Link 2024-05-06T10:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"D 1500eur a uma pessoa de mentalidade pobre e ele compra um iPhone. Ao fim de [--] anos s vale 500eur D 1500eur a uma pessoa de mentalidade rica e ele ao fim de [--] anos tem 4000eur compra um iPhone por [----] e ainda fica com [----] para continuar a investir. #investir"
X Link 2024-07-11T09:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"O #jpy tem vindo a desvalorizar devido realizao de carry trade por parte dos investidores. No entanto perante as expectativas de cortes de taxas de juro por parte do #FED e a possibilidade de subida por parte do #Boj os investidores comeam a vender #dolar e comprar #yen"
X Link 2024-07-29T20:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Apesar do corte agressivo da #FED o #DXY tal como tinha falado subiu. No tem lgica certo Bem vindo aos mercados financeiros onde nem a AF nem a AT para mim so rentveis. Aqui vale unicamente a gesto da carteira. Agora acredito que o DXY corrige. Feeling. #viverdotrading"
X Link 2024-10-16T06:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Semana de movimentos na carteira a longo prazo. Venda de parte do Etf de #Bitcoin e compras em #LVMH. #Loreal #Moncler #Samsung e Elevance Health. Atualizao das maiores posies: [--] - LVMH [--] - #ASML [--] - ETF Bitcin [--] - #OR [--] - #SSU"
X Link 2024-11-15T21:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"#April #stockmarkets #SP500 #trader #DXY #EURUSD #trading -2.27% m/m #ytd trading 7.32% ytd #carteira 7.80%"
X Link 2025-04-30T16:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Buying the VIX Index: Why Am I Accumulating Volatility Now In this article I will explain why I believe the "Fear Index" is about to awaken and what indicators of capitulation and euphoria led me to this decision. #vix #bullandbear #spy #spx https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Buy-the-VIX-index./ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Buy-the-VIX-index./"
X Link 2025-12-23T09:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Investing in Constellation Software: Why Did I Add This "Swiss Army Knife" to My Portfolio To understand why I decided Investing in Constellation SoftwareTo do this we need to go back to [----]. #csu #spx https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Investing-in-Constellation-Software-Analysis/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Investing-in-Constellation-Software-Analysis/"
X Link 2025-12-23T09:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Market Correction 2026: Is the Mirror of [----] Coming to Life S&P [---] at record highs Bitcoin experiencing critical divergences and history rhyming in a dangerous way. #spx #spy #btc #bitcoin #crash https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/market-correction-2026/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/market-correction-2026/"
X Link 2025-12-25T14:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"CME Increases Margins: The Warning Sign That Could Trigger a Correction in Gold and Silver What Advisory 25-393 reveals about the risk of an imminent correction in precious metals and how you should protect yourself. ๐ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/cme-increases-margins/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/cme-increases-margins/"
X Link 2025-12-27T00:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"China imposes controls on silver exports: The Supply Shock that Redefines [----] China imposes controls on silver exports. Effective January [--] [----] this sent shockwaves through trading desks from Shanghai to New York. ๐ #silver #XAGUSD https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/China-imposes-controls-on-silver-exports./ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/China-imposes-controls-on-silver-exports./"
X Link 2025-12-28T22:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"After reaching record highs silver corrects: The Anatomy of Volatility and the Reality Check in the Market Driven by breaking news and a feeling of physical scarcity the Silver surged more than 5% in the first few minutes. ๐ #silver #xagusd #gold https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/after-reaching-maximum-silver-corrects/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/after-reaching-maximum-silver-corrects/"
X Link 2025-12-29T10:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Great Reversal of 2026: Why the Euro Could "Melt Down" Against the AUD and NZD If we analyze the data since [----] we discover an overwhelming statistical pattern: these pairs rarely sustain more than three consecutive years of gains. ๐ #eurnzd https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/the-great-reversal-of-2026/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/the-great-reversal-of-2026/"
X Link 2025-12-30T00:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"My Interactive Brokers Portfolio: How I Beat the NASDAQ with Just [--] Stocks and a Contrary Strategy In this article I invite you to go behind the scenes of my wallet. ๐ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-Interactive-Brokers-portfolio/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-Interactive-Brokers-portfolio/"
X Link 2025-12-30T23:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Silver/Gold Ratio on High Alert: Does the Weekly RSI suggest an imminent correction before the [----] Super-Cycle I'm going to analyze in detail what the silver chart is telling us. For me the The silver/gold ratio is on high alert. ๐ #silver #gold https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/gold-silver-ratio-is-at-maximum-alert/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/gold-silver-ratio-is-at-maximum-alert/"
X Link 2025-12-30T23:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"My Analysis of General Mills: Why I'm Considering Buying This Stock The financial market in [----] continues to present significant challenges for those seeking to balance growth and capital protection. ๐ #gis #generalmills https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-analysis-of-General-Mills/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/my-analysis-of-General-Mills/"
X Link 2026-01-02T22:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Oil Signs of Recession The Role of Global Production Venezuela Deflation and the Impact of AI on the Economy The price of oil is a global economic barometer. ๐ #USOIL #Venezuela #recession #oil #petroleo https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/oil%3A-signs-of-recession/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/oil%3A-signs-of-recession/"
X Link 2026-01-03T23:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Analysis of the coming weeks: Trading Strategies In this article I detail my analysis of the financial markets for the coming weeks. ๐ #silver #usoil #dxy #nasdaq #vix #bitcoin https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/analysis-of-the-coming-weeks/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/analysis-of-the-coming-weeks/"
X Link 2026-01-04T22:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Why I'm buying USDCAD and the reversal signal on the Weekly Chart: Update I am buying USDCAD with the goal of capturing a macro movement using the 4-hour chart solely for tactical exit management via the 30-period moving average. ๐ #usdcad #dxy https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Why-am-I-buying-USDCAD/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Why-am-I-buying-USDCAD/"
X Link 2026-01-07T23:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Japanese Carry Trade and its Impact on the Dollar: Why the Rise in Japanese Bonds Could Shake the Markets Japanese carry trade has once again become one of the most critical issues for global financial markets. ๐ #usdjpy #jpy #eurjpy #Carrytrade https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Japanese-carry-trade-and-impact-on-the-dollar/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Japanese-carry-trade-and-impact-on-the-dollar/"
X Link 2026-01-07T23:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"TLT in 2026: Is it an investment opportunity This article explores the reasons why I believe falling yields and a strengthening dollar will be the dominant themes contradicting the popular narrative of persistent inflation. ๐ #tlt #spy #inflation https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/tlt-in-2026/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/tlt-in-2026/"
X Link 2026-01-09T20:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Selling Insiders and the Technological Paradox: What Are the Powerful Hands Hiding in [----] While US indices continue to test historical highs driven by the euphoria surrounding Artificial Intelligence. ๐ #insiders #spy #vix #nvidia #avgo https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/insider-trading/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/insider-trading/"
X Link 2026-01-09T20:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Jim Simons and Quantitative Strategy vs. My Forex Strategy: When Rules Rule the Markets How does this approach compare and interact with my strategy in the foreign exchange market ๐ #forex #dxy #strategy https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Jim-Simons-and-quantitative-strategy/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/en/Jim-Simons-and-quantitative-strategy/"
X Link 2026-01-09T21:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Civil War at the Federal Reserve: Is Jerome Powells Resistance the Last Stand for Economic Stability The financial world woke up in a state of absolute shock following the explosive press conference held by Jerome Powell on January [--] [----]. As someone who has scrutinized these markets for decades I can tell you that we have rarely seen such a defiant and assertive tone from the leader of the most powerful central bank on the planet: the Federal Reserve. ๐ #fed #JeromePowell https://workmarketsfinance.com/the-civil-war-at-the-federal-reserve/"
X Link 2026-01-12T23:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Bitcoin DCA Strategy with Heikin Ashi: My Blueprint to Defeat Fiat Currency Devaluation In todays global economic landscape where relentless money printing and skyrocketing inflation erode the purchasing power of millions every single day I have decided that I cannot simply sit idle and watch my savings melt away in a bank account. This is why today I am sharing my personal technical and extremely disciplined approach to investing in Bitcoin intelligently. ๐ #btc #bitcoin #dca https://workmarketsfinance.com/bitcoin-dca-strategy/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/bitcoin-dca-strategy/"
X Link 2026-01-13T00:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Jamie Dimon Paradox and Trumps Populism: Why JPMs Profits Dont Convince Me in [----] In January [----] JPMorgan Chase reported an adjusted net income of $14.7 billion beating expectations with an EPS of $5.23. However the sector faces instability following Donald Trumps proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. With U.S. public debt hitting $38.4 trillion and market valuations (S&P 500) at historically stretched levels consumer resilience appears fragile amid an expansionary but uncertain fiscal policy. ๐ #jpm #trump #jamiedimon"
X Link 2026-01-14T00:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Twilight of the Yen and the Japanese Debt Trap: Why Japan is the Canary in the Coal Mine for Global Liquidity In January [----] Japanese 10-year Treasury Bonds (JGBs) reached a 27-year high of 2.16% forcing the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to hike interest rates to 0.75%. With a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 260% the Yens devaluation (USD/JPY at 157) has decimated the purchasing power of the middle class. Meanwhile Bitcoin in Yen has surged over 300% in five years. The reversal of the yen carry trade now threatens global financial liquidity. ๐ #usdjpy #jpy #Yen #boj #debt"
X Link 2026-01-14T01:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"My [----] Bet on General Mills (GIS): Why Defensive Stocks Are My Sanctuary in an Overheated Market As of January [----] investing in General Mills (GIS) stands out as a high-value defensive strategy. With a monthly RSI at [-----] (historic oversold levels) and a 50% drawdown from its peaks the company currently trades at a 9.5x P/E with a 5.47% Dividend Yield. While the S&P [---] faces stretched valuations (22x forward P/E) GIS along with CSU and NVO offers a rare entry window following severe corrections in the consumer staples and healthcare sectors. ๐ #gis #nvo #csu #Investment"
X Link 2026-01-14T10:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Dollar Paradox of 2026: Why Falling Rates Will Skyrocket the DXY (And How Im Positioned) In [----] DXY analysis suggests an atypical appreciation. Contrary to the consensus the Feds rate cuts are actually bolstering the dollar as falling yields attract foreign capital looking to capture capital gains in US10Y Treasuries. Within a sideways-bearish market extreme pessimism surrounding the USD and contrarian sentiment are creating a prime technical buying opportunity at the long-term channel support (98-99 range). ๐ #dxy #Dollar #eurusd #audnzd #audusd #gbpusd #USD"
X Link 2026-01-14T11:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Silver ($XAG) is catching fire today surging over 3% and ripping through fresh all-time highs. ๐ While Gold has been the primary headline grabber the "White Metal" is now taking center stage fueled by a structural supply deficit and massive industrial demand from the Green Energy and AI sectors. For traders the momentum is undeniable; for long-term investors the breakout confirms a major regime shift. We are looking at a classic squeeze meeting fundamental scarcity. With volatility spiking the path toward triple digits is no longer just a "permabull" fantasyits a technical reality. ๐"
X Link 2026-01-14T12:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Dollar Cost Averaging: The Secret to Financial Freedom In [----] wealth preservation requires a strategic shift from fiat currencies to hard assets. The SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) has surged approximately 1500% since [----] while the US Dollars purchasing power has plummeted by over 50%. Utilizing Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) into broad-market indices Gold and Bitcoin is the most effective strategy to hedge against systemic inflation and currency debasement ensuring long-term capital appreciation through exposure to global value drivers. ๐ #dca #spy #FinancialLiteracy"
X Link 2026-01-14T14:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Is the Stop Loss Obsolete Why in [----] I Use Hedging as My Antifragile Shield In [----] the rise of predatory HFT algorithms has turned the traditional stop loss into a liability by facilitating institutional liquidity sweeps. Drawing from Nassim Talebs principles of antifragility this analysis argues that fixed exits make portfolios fragile to market noise. Conversely hedging serves as a robust alternative capping losses without realizing them prematurely thus allowing positions to recover during mean-reversion cycles. Data indicates that strategic hedging offers superior risk-adjusted returns"
X Link 2026-01-14T23:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Here is the translation into English optimized for the American financial community (FinTwit) with the appropriate technical terminology: A historic shift is unfolding in global macro. Japanese 10-year yields (JGBs) have surged past the 2.185% mark hitting levels not seen in over two decades. The definitive end of Japans ultra-easy monetary era is more than just a domestic pivot; it is the awakening of a "sleeping giant" that recalibrates the global risk-reward landscape for all investors. This breakout signals a significant tightening of global liquidity and directly threatens the yen carry"
X Link 2026-01-16T08:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Here is the translation and adaptation for a professional English-speaking trading audience: Silver continues its meteoric rise poised to close yet another week with gains exceeding 10%. This vertical rally has pushed year-to-date (YTD) performance to a staggering 35% in just over two weeks breaking through key psychological levels with massive momentum. However from a disciplined trading perspective caution is warranted. These parabolic moves are historically unsustainable and often lead to "blow-off tops" or aggressive mean reversion. While the trend is exceptionally strong remaining"
X Link 2026-01-16T08:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"History shows markets can push higher despite lofty valuations but the equity risk premium is becoming increasingly thin. While strong earnings and low debt levels push back against "bubble" narratives current multiples are demanding and leave very little margin for error. At these levels savvy investors shouldn't rule out a short-term technical correction to cool off overstretched sentiment. In this environment strict risk management and discipline are essential for those navigating near all-time highs. #SP500 #spx #Trading #vix https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012218643275284622"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Kevin Warsh moving into the pole position for Fed Chair is sending a clear signal to the markets. For investors his potential appointment acts as a safeguard for central bank independence alleviating concerns over political interference and reinforcing institutional credibility. From a trading perspective this move is a bullish catalyst for the US Dollar ($USD). The market views Warsh as a defender of sound monetary policy likely providing tailwinds for the greenback as traders price in a more disciplined and autonomous Federal Reserve. #Fed #USD #Markets #Macro #sp500"
X Link 2026-01-16T18:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Death of the Stop Loss My Forex Trading Strategy Based on Cyclicality and Proportional Volume This article outlines a disruptive [----] Forex trading strategy that replaces traditional stop losses with institutional-grade hedging and proportional position sizing. Grounded in the philosophy that markets are inherently random yet historically cyclical the methodology synchronizes weekly directional bias with 4-hour execution. By leveraging EUR/USD mean reversion and RSI filters I demonstrate how to manage floating drawdowns mathematically rather than emotionally providing a blueprint for"
X Link 2026-01-16T21:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Institutional positioning has reached an extreme that the market rarely ignores. Currently Asset Managers net short exposure to the VIX is mirroring the exact levels that preceded the major volatility spikes of [----]. This is another high-conviction indicator supporting my thesis: I remain long. When complacency reaches these heights and "smart money" is this overextended the subsequent move is usually violent and swift. The charts dont lie; history at the very least rhymes. #VIX #Trading #dollar #Sp500 COT Report update: Asset Managers again increased their near-record short $VIX positions"
X Link 2026-01-16T21:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The chart doesnt lie: real-time inflation is in a freefall. The [---] bps spread between @Truflation (1.55%) and the official CPI (2.70%) proves were still steering the economy by looking through the rearview mirror. A deflationary regime is taking hold likely forcing the Feds hand into a more aggressive easing cycle than the market currently anticipates. ๐ My thesis: [--] rate cuts in [----]. Those still clinging to the "sticky inflation" narrative risk being caught on the wrong side of the trade as the macro landscape shifts. Are we looking at a policy pivot soon or is the Fed already too far"
X Link 2026-01-16T22:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Based on the chart the #DXY is currently testing the support level of a long-term ascending channel. With equity sentiment reaching extreme euphoria (signaling a potential correction) and falling $US10Y yields sparking capital rotation the dollar is positioning for a classic "flight to quality." https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012457244990833082 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012457244990833082"
X Link 2026-01-17T09:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"According to Seeking Alpha data at the current price of [----] the forward P/E for December [----] stands at [----]. This valuation is underpinned by an estimated EPS of [------] representing a robust 20.95% YoY growth. At these levels the current valuation offers a clear margin of safety relative to the company's projected earnings trajectory. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012460232044138796 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012460232044138796"
X Link 2026-01-17T09:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$NVO is finally validating the thesis. I locked in my position at an average cost basis of $48.26 a level where the market offered a rare opportunity: high-quality assets at deeply discounted prices. Even with the recent rally the upside potentialdriven by record-breaking sales of their new weight-loss drugsuggests the stock is still attractively priced for the long term. The Pharmaceuticals sector (shown in grey) represents the largest slice of my current allocation reflecting my high conviction in this growth story. The market can be slow to react but strong operational results and global"
X Link 2026-01-17T10:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The $VIX hovering at multi-month lows while indices hit ATHs (All-Time Highs) is a textbook case of market complacency. Current euphoria overlooks the fact that seasonality isnt a guaranteeits a risk signal. With hedging this cheap ignoring these historical patterns could prove to be a costly mistake once volatility finally wakes up. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012475462589583520 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012475462589583520"
X Link 2026-01-17T10:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@CyclesWithBach The rarity of this setup in $NVO is exactly what most investors are overlooking right now. Being positioned myself I see a clear convergence between historical technicals and long-term upside. History doesn't always repeat but it often rhymes"
X Link 2026-01-17T13:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The rarity of this setup in $NVO is exactly what most investors are overlooking right now. Being positioned myself I see a clear convergence between historical technicals and long-term upside. History doesn't always repeat but it often rhymes. #Healthcare #Stocks $NVO ๐ I don't think people truly understand this We have only had such a technically bullish setup two times previously and now we have a third 1984/1985โ
2002/2003 โ
Monthly TMO has flipped positive - Previously if you bought the monthly TMO flip you would be rewarded https://t.co/3KlIZ6y9Vs $NVO ๐ I don't think people truly"
X Link 2026-01-17T13:32Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Spot on Lance. To add to that asset managers are currently sitting on record short positions in $VIX. This extreme positioning confirms the massive complacency we're seeing. The 'wall of worry' is being completely ignored which usually fuels the melt-up until the exit gets crowded. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012520947551555769 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012520947551555769"
X Link 2026-01-17T13:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Markets are currently trading in a state of extreme euphoria with the $VIX crushed and volatility short positions reaching overextended levels. However these aggressive tariff announcements on European nations could be the "Black Swan" event that hasn't been priced in potentially triggering a massive deleveraging wave. The pressure on the Euro and global supply chains will be immediate. With geopolitical uncertainty spiking current market complacency is the greatest risk to investors. All eyes on the futures open to see how the tape reacts. $EURUSD $dxy #Trading #MacroEconomy #GlobalMarkets"
X Link 2026-01-17T22:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheValueTrade Great charts. $LLY is trading at a massive premium to $NVO across the board. Does the execution really justify such a stretched gap or is $NVO the better risk/reward play right now Looks like Novo has much more valuation cushion"
X Link 2026-01-18T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Great comparison. The charts don't lie: $LLY is trading at a massive premium relative to $NVO across nearly every metric. Do you believe Lilly's execution justifies such a stretched valuation gap or does $NVO offer a more compelling risk/reward profile for this half On paper Novo appears to have much more valuation cushion. Just a reminder of what I shared in December. $NVO vs $LLY $NVO will be one of the strongest positions in the first half of [----]. https://t.co/sIU33vTzub Just a reminder of what I shared in December. $NVO vs $LLY $NVO will be one of the strongest positions in the first"
X Link 2026-01-18T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@Quality_stocksA Currently leaning towards #1. However if #2 faces a major correction its a no-brainer"
X Link 2026-01-18T11:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Keeping a close eye on $NFLX $JNJ and $PG. These are the ultimate consumer health barometerscovering everything from discretionary streaming to essential household staples. #earnings for the week of January [--] [----] https://t.co/hLn2sKQhEY $NFLX $INTC $ISRG $PG $UAL $JNJ $MMM $IBKR $FITB $HAL $GE $DHI $FCX $COF $PRGS $ALLY $KMI $USB $SCHW $AA $FAST $KEY $HBAN $TCBI $SLB $PEBO $PLD $TEL $FNB $EWBC $CSX $ABT $KARO $HWC $OZK $TDY $TRV $ZION $PNFP https://t.co/dhyCv8aHDv #earnings for the week of January [--] [----] https://t.co/hLn2sKQhEY $NFLX $INTC $ISRG $PG $UAL $JNJ $MMM $IBKR $FITB $HAL $GE $DHI"
X Link 2026-01-18T11:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The momentum divergence in the Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples ratio is a red flag that can't be ignored: the $SPX is flashing clear signs of exhaustion and the risk of a sharp correction is mounting. While the crowd continues to chase the top Im prioritizing capital preservation through defensive rotation staying long giants like General Mills $GIS. $VIX Check out these potential momentum divergences in the chart known as The Greatest Fundamental Analyst on Wall Street. If these are what they appear to be buy and hold investors in the major U.S. Stock Indexes are about to get smoked."
X Link 2026-01-18T12:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@ProK196582 Answer here https://workmarketsfinance.com/constellation-software-is-my-only-choice/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/constellation-software-is-my-only-choice/"
X Link 2026-01-18T22:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Weakness printing on $AUDUSD. Following this red candle Im scaling into more short positions as I anticipate a $USD strength cycle. This is the systematic application of my method: identifying the opportunity and building exposure with discipline. ๐ #Forex #Trading"
X Link 2026-01-18T22:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Discipline outweighs volatility. Im entering my third week of consistently scaling into the $BTC ETF. While the technicals suggest we might see a deeper pullbacklikely testing the $70000 support zone as a result of an $SPX correctionthe long-term thesis remains sovereign. In trading charts dictate the entry but in investing strategy dictates the outcome. I am viewing any short-term weakness as a window of opportunity to build a generational position. Stay focused on the horizon. $ETF #Bitcoin #Investing #Trading #Crypto https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013194613264199823"
X Link 2026-01-19T10:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"US equity valuations are reaching historical extremes with the S&P [---] trading at 22x and the Nasdaq [---] at 27x forward earnings. These stretched multiples leave virtually no margin for error and several technical and fundamental signals are now pointing toward a market correction this year as the gap between price and reality widens. $QQQ $VIX $SPY #StockMarket #Investing #Trading https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013250422136291398 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013250422136291398"
X Link 2026-01-19T14:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"In [----] the "universal strategy" is the ultimate portfolio killer. ๐ซ Applying the same framework to Forex and the S&P [---] is a fatal mechanical error. Currencies are mean-reverting "elastic bands" while indices are engineered engines of structural growth. True market mastery requires strategic compartmentalization. In my latest deep dive I break down why I ignore the noise in FX why Im strictly long-only on equities and how staged entries define my [----] playbook. Read the full analysis here: $SPY $EURUSD #FOREX #Trading #Investing #MarketAnalysis"
X Link 2026-01-19T21:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Greenland Factor" has evolved from a meme into the primary detonator for Trade War [---]. With the $SPY sitting at all-time highs and asset managers holding record net short positions in the $VIX market complacency has reached a breaking point. The proposed 10-25% tariffs on NATO allies are the "black swan" that current risk models are dangerously ignoring. Survival is the priority. As AI-driven euphoria masks deep fractures in global supply chains rotating into defensive staples like $GIS and hedging against a volatility spike is no longer optional. The market is overextended and Arctic"
X Link 2026-01-20T00:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Time to lock in partial profits on $AUDNZD. With RSI deep in extreme oversold territory this vertical move is due for a technical breather. Ive decided to trim some short positions to protect capital though the macro bias remains decisively bearish. Im staying patient and waiting for a strategic retracement to reload and scale back into shorts at more attractive price levels. $AUD $NZD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis Weakness printing on $AUDUSD. Following this red candle Im scaling into more short positions as I anticipate a $USD strength cycle. This is the systematic application of my"
X Link 2026-01-20T10:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Trade War 2.0" takes center stage. This pivot toward aggressive resource controlfrom Greenland to South Americasignals a radical shift in foreign policy that will redefine global trade and commodity pricing. For investors navigating the resulting volatility in $USD $SPX and $XME is now the primary challenge of this new cycle. Read the full analysis: #Macro #Geopolitics #TradeWar https://workmarketsfinance.com/trade-war-2-0-greenland/ BREAKING: President Trump posts a picture of map with Canada Greenland and Venezuela all part of the United States. https://t.co/4yDc5vcDp3"
X Link 2026-01-20T13:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Greenland Shock" just reconfigured the global financial map. As Trumps new tariffs hit Europe we are witnessing a brutal paradox: $NVDA trading at an attractive 23x forward P/E while institutional panic hammers the Nasdaq. This isnt just a diplomatic spatits a violent recalibration of the global order that many failed to price in. With $US10Y yields spiking and $GOLD hitting $4700 the big question remains: Is this a generational buying opportunity or the start of a geopolitical bear market Im breaking down the fundamentals behind this rout and what to expect from Netflix earnings today."
X Link 2026-01-20T19:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"While official BLS data remains lagging at 2.70% real-time metrics from Truflation are already signaling a sharp cooling at 1.48%. This significant divergence suggests that the "inflation monster" might not just be tamed but that we could be staring down the barrel of a deflationary trend faster than the Fedor the marketanticipates. $SPY $TLT $QQQ #Inflation #Macro #Trading "We had essentially no inflation. in fact the last month we had almost no inflation." Could @realDonaldTrump be using Truflation price data to get his inflation updates ๐ค US inflation is 1.48% today below the 2% target."
X Link 2026-01-20T21:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The narrative of "American Exceptionalism" coming to an end is everywhere but the market usually rewards those who fade the consensus. Im currently short $EURUSD betting on a major $USD resurgence this year. While the sentiment is bearish the fundamentals of global capital flow suggest otherwise. I expect a massive dollar rally fueled by investors piling into the $US10Y and an impending major correction in the $SPX. When the "risk-off" sentiment hits the dollar will reclaim its throne as the ultimate safe haven. #Forex #Macro #Investing https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013925822948680112"
X Link 2026-01-21T10:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Is $TTD finally a value play after a 76% drawdown Even after the crash The Trade Desk trades at a 30x P/Ea steep premium compared to $CSU at 18x despite similar EPS growth forecasts. The critical divergence lies in the "moat": horizontal software is increasingly vulnerable to AI disruption while Constellation Softwares vertical niche-focused model remains insulated. The market continues to bucket $TTD and $ADBE together overlooking the fundamental gap between companies facing major technological headwinds and those with mission-critical pricing power. There is a world of difference between a"
X Link 2026-01-21T14:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Market structure is fundamentally bullish and 100k is the inevitable destination for a secular trend that cuts through short-term noise. Sustained momentum in $DIA $SPY and $QQQ proves that structural growth remains intact rewarding investors who prioritize a long-term horizon over temporary volatility. #Markets #Investing #Finance PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Our stock market dip is peanuts that stock market is going to be doubled." Trump says the Dow is "going to hit 50000" and double to [------] "in a relatively short period of time." https://t.co/GOryTirh1q PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Our stock market dip is"
X Link 2026-01-21T16:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Real-time inflation has already crashed through the 2% floor (sitting at 1.42% via Truflation) leaving the Fed with zero excuses to maintain a restrictive stance. The US10Y is flashing a major technical breakdown which should catalyze a massive "flight to quality" providing structural support for the $DXY even as rates normalize. ๐ For those looking to capitalize on this macro pivot $TLT is the prime vehicle to capture the inevitable yield compression. We are shifting from "higher for longer" to a race for durationmake sure your portfolio is positioned for the move. #Macro #FixedIncome"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$TSLA is the only Mag7 stock in a confirmed bubble. Trading at a 200x forward P/E is a total disconnect from fundamental reality. Elon Musk is a visionary but this valuation prices in a "winner-takes-all" future that completely ignores global competition. ๐ The market is betting the farm on Robotaxis and Optimus assuming zero friction and mass adoption. Id love to own this business but Im not a buyer until we see the $100 level. Discipline over hypeI won't pay a premium for a narrative priced for perfection. $TSLA $SPY $ARKK #Tesla #ElonMusk #Trading"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The era of "slow money" is officially over. In [----] the GENIUS Act has weaponized the USD into a programmable global protocol. This isn't just digital currencyits a liquidity vacuum siphoning capital from emerging markets and fragile fiats directly into the U.S. ecosystem via Tokenized Treasuries (RWAs). By bypassing the friction of the legacy SWIFT system the Dollar has become the worlds 24/7 financial operating system. While critics anticipated a decline in American hegemony the digitalization of the Greenback has proven to be the ultimate masterstroke of network dominance. Don't bet"
X Link 2026-01-22T13:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The accumulation in $TLT is the market's worst-kept secret: after months of basing and record institutional volume the reversal setup is finally primed. My thesis defies the standard consensus: Im positioning for a sustained breakdown in $US10Y yields even as the $DXY gains traction in a relative strength play that most are missing. Its the perfect storm for long-duration Treasuries to rip off the floor while sentiment remains stuck in deep skepticismthe bottom is being carved out in plain sight but fear is still blinding the crowd. #Macro #Trading #FixedIncome $TLT - Accumulation with Macro"
X Link 2026-01-23T14:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Hello deflation ๐ While official government data remains laggy real-time metrics show inflation is cratering well below the Feds target. We are looking at a scenario where the Fed will likely be forced to cut rates far more aggressively than the market is currently pricing in. This macro backdrop sets the stage for a massive rally in $TLT while the $USD is poised to remain surprisingly resilient amid a global liquidity shift. The market is sleeping on this imminent pivot. ๐๐ $TLT $USD $SPX #Deflation #Macro #Trading Many of you may not know this but we have multiple different metrics for"
X Link 2026-01-23T17:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Euro COT Index is flashing a major warning sign: sentiment has reached levels of extreme euphoria with net long positions sitting at historic highs. In the trading world when a trade becomes this crowded a reversal is often right around the corner. This is exactly why Im using this Euro overextension to dollarize my portfolio shifting capital into high-quality assets currently trading at a discount. By building positions in names like $GIS $NVO and $CSU the thesis is a "double-play." Im not just looking for the intrinsic appreciation of these industry leaders but also the strategic"
X Link 2026-01-23T18:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"With Gold at $5000 and Silver at $100 marking the peak of 2026s macro uncertainty the Greenland Agreement deadlock and a staggering [-----] RSI suggest silver has hit a critical ceiling risking an imminent 30-40% correction. Rather than chasing this parabolic move the disciplined play is taking partial profits and holding USD for liquidity protecting capital from the mathematical volatility ahead before looking for any new accumulation. Full analysis: $XAU $XAG $USD #Investing #Trading #Gold #Silver https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-at-100-and-gold-at-5000/"
X Link 2026-01-23T19:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite the skepticism the chart remains clear: the long-term trendline is holding firm as support. I remain conviction-heavy on a strong dollar rally backed by solid fundamentals. The U.S. continues to be the primary hub for the companies shaping the futureif you want exposure to world-changing innovation converting to USD isnt just a strategy; its a necessity. Capital flows toward quality. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015051531444510795 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015051531444510795"
X Link 2026-01-24T13:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The warning signals are flashing on the daily chart. After snapping the structural trendline of this bull cycle $BTC is now hanging by a thread at the support of its current consolidation channel. A definitive breakdown here could trigger a fast flush toward the $70000 zone likely dragging broader markets into a synchronized correction. Liquidity is shifting and the technical setup suggests that blind optimism may be a liability at these levels. Are we witnessing the start of a major capitulation or is this simply a painful retest before the next leg ๐ โก ๐ $ETH $SPY #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading"
X Link 2026-01-25T11:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Everything the light touches Larry bought it. ๐คฃ๐คฃ๐คฃ $BLK $BTC #BlackRock #WallStreet - Algn da hijo mo todo esto ser de. BlackRock. Humor de domingo ๐. https://t.co/aBbuiQffMd - Algn da hijo mo todo esto ser de. BlackRock. Humor de domingo ๐. https://t.co/aBbuiQffMd"
X Link 2026-01-25T11:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Technical confirmation: support has officially snapped. We just saw the first daily candle close below the lower bound of the consolidation channel validating the breakdown weve been tracking. The current setup points toward a retest of the breakdown levelpotentially the final "dead cat bounce" before a deeper capitulation. If the retest fails to reclaim the channel the path toward $70000 shifts from a remote possibility to the primary technical target. Liquidity is rotating and the bull cycles structural integrity is under serious pressure. Are we witnessing the start of a synchronized"
X Link 2026-01-26T10:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"No surprises expected for this week's FOMC meeting as the FedWatch Tool prices in a 97.2% probability of a hold. The market has effectively pushed the easing cycle out to June leaving Jerome Powells press conference as the sole catalyst for near-term volatility. My thesis Expect a dovish shift. With real inflation trending well below the 2% target the current restrictive stance is losing its fundamental footing. I anticipate Powell will signal more flexibility likely triggering a sharp re-pricing of rate cut odds for the upcoming spring meetings. #FOMC #Macro #Trading $SPX $QQQ $TLT"
X Link 2026-01-26T10:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"US growth momentum remains resilient. With S&P [---] EPS projected to climb 15% and Small Caps eyeing a massive 67% surge in [----] the fundamental backdrop for equities stays exceptionally robust. #Earnings $SPX $RUT"
X Link 2026-01-26T11:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Silver is vertical up +5% today and over 50% YTD. We are seeing a classic tug-of-war between social media "dollar collapse" FOMO and silver's dual role as a monetary hedge and industrial input. However current price action suggests weve moved past fundamental hedging into the realm of parabolic speculation. The long-term risk for this "non-productive rock" is technological substitution. While silver is currently vital for AI and green tech high prices are the ultimate incentive for innovation. History shows that when costs become prohibitive human ingenuity finds a workaround. If the"
X Link 2026-01-26T11:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Safe haven or historys biggest bull trap Dive into the full analysis on silvers parabolic move here: https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-could-be-historys-biggest-trap/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-could-be-historys-biggest-trap/"
X Link 2026-01-26T11:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Earnings season is hitting a fever pitch. With four of the "Magnificent 7" ($MSFT $META $TSLA and $AAPL) reporting this week alongside Wednesday's Fed decision volatility is the only guarantee. The market is looking for more than just a "beat"investors are hunting for clear signs of AI ROI and solid guidance for the rest of [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015776516005581162 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015776516005581162"
X Link 2026-01-26T13:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator has hit [---] flashing the kind of extreme euphoria rarely seen in technical data. Its a fascinating paradox: while hard metrics suggest an overheated market social media discourse feels increasingly apocalyptic with constant "doom-posting" about the greatest crisis in human history. This massive disconnect between data and digital sentiment is where the real story lies. I am bullish by nature and believe in the structural long-term trend but we can't ignore that the needle is pinned deep in the red. A short-term correction wouldn't just be likelyit would be"
X Link 2026-01-26T16:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The healthcare sector is currently facing significant headwinds. UnitedHealth Group shares plummeted nearly 9% in after-hours trading following a government proposal for a meager 0.09% increase in Medicare Advantage rates for the coming year. This figure came as a major shock to Wall Street which had been pricing in an adjustment between 4% and 6%. This decision signals intense margin compression for a sector already struggling with rising medical costs and increased service utilization. $UNH $CVS $HUM #Medicare #StockMarket #Investing https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015966305967341574"
X Link 2026-01-27T01:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The key to the $USD recovery might be more counterintuitive than most think. For the Dollar to regain its strength I believe we need to see the start of the Feds rate cut cycle and a drop in yields. This would relieve systemic pressure and rotate capital back into U.S. growth assets where real investment demand for Dollars outweighs short-term speculation. At the end of the day the macro thesis remains: if you want to invest in the future and global innovation you have no choice but to be positioned in the worlds reserve currency. What some call "uncharted territory" is actually a prime"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"3. The Treasury Thesis ๐ I will continue to add to US Treasuries $TLT weekly. Im positioning for upcoming rate cuts and a stronger Greenback $USD. Its about catching the yield and the potential capital appreciation"
X Link 2026-02-08T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/Official Data vs. Real-Time Reality: The BLS says 2.4% but @truflationtracking 30M+ data pointsis showing 0.68%. The Fed hasn't just hit the target; theyve overshot it. Deflation is the new tail risk that nobody is pricing in. yet. $TLT #CPI"
X Link 2026-02-14T10:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/The Deflationary Trifecta: [--] AI Productivity: A massive supply-side shock lowering service costs. [--] Consumer Fatigue: Credit card delinquencies are hitting a wall. [--] Pricing Power: Companies like PepsiCo and Chipotle are signaling "price investments" (aka cuts) to keep traffic. ๐ #CPI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022622547007680840 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022622547007680840"
X Link 2026-02-14T10:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Is $IGV just MSFT with "dead weight" ๐ Looking at the charts the correlation is undeniable: the Software ETF (IGV) mimics Microsofts trajectory but with massive underperformance. With Microsoft commanding nearly 10% of the weight it raises a critical question: why diversify into a basket where AI is set to disrupt legacy players This "diversification" might actually be dragging down your alpha by including firms losing the competitive race. When AI is the primary growth engine diluting your exposure with incumbents struggling to adapt is a risky move. In the current software landscape"
X Link 2026-02-15T22:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Constellation Software (CSU): Why I Am Aggressively Doubling Down on This Generational Opportunity Amidst Extreme Market Fear As of January [----] Constellation Software (CSU) is experiencing a historic 40% drawdown driven by market fears that Generative AI will disrupt Vertical Market Software (VMS). However CSUs fundamentals remain record-breaking with a Forward PER of 19x and Price-to-FCF of 18xvaluation levels not seen since [----]. With the weekly RSI at extreme oversold levels the bull case rests on the moat of domain expertise and AI-driven operational efficiencies. ๐ #csu #gis #nvo"
X Link 2026-01-15T14:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Software sector is facing a massive bloodbath. With drawdowns ranging from -35% to -80% from their all-time highs (ATH) industry titans like Adobe Salesforce and Constellation Software are under heavy scrutiny. The trillion-dollar question: Is AI an existential threat to these business models or are we witnessing a generational buying opportunity Weve performed a deep dive into the fundamentals behind this aggressive correction focusing on Constellation Software ($CSU). Is the bottom finally in or is there more pain ahead Read our full analysis here: ๐ #SoftwareStocks #AI #Trading #CSU"
X Link 2026-01-15T21:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"TLT: Why Deflation and the Greatest Short Squeeze in History Could Create the Opportunity of a Lifetime in U.S. Treasuries In January [----] the TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) represents the most significant asymmetric opportunity in the global market. With real-time inflation (Truflation) at 1.70%well below the Feds targetand record-breaking short interest a transition into a deflationary era is inevitable. Falling yields will aggressively drive up long-term bond prices. Coupled with equity market volatility and a risk-off rotation the stage is set for a massive short squeeze and a"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The [----] Oracle: How the Benner Cycle Predicted [----] and What to Do Now to Protect Your Wealth The Benner Cycle is a predictive model created in [----] by Samuel Benner based on price cycles of pig iron and agricultural products. The chart identifies three phases: Panic Years (A) Years of Good Times/High Prices (B) and Years of Hard Times/Low Prices (C). For [----] the cycle signals a Type B period indicating a market top and the necessity to take profits before a projected recessionary trend leading toward [----]. ๐ #spx #dca https://workmarketsfinance.com/benner-cycle-predicted-2026/"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Blood in the streets or a once-in-a-decade opportunity ๐ Added to my position in Constellation Software ($CSU) following this week's 14%+ drawdown. Its a rare sight to see one of the worlds premier serial compounders trading at a forward P/E (2026) below 20x. The fundamentals tell the story: projections point to EPS growth exceeding 20% for [----]. For those seeking high-quality assets at a discount this short-term noise has created a historic entry point. ๐ #CSU #ValueInvesting #Stocks #Compounders #ConstellationSoftware https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012255302767227317"
X Link 2026-01-16T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Why Constellation Software is My Only Choice: The Death of Horizontal Software and the Resilience of VMS In my journey through the global financial markets I have learned that true wealth is built not by chasing the latest trend but by concentrating capital into high-conviction high-quality assets. As we navigate the complexities of [----] the technology sector has reached a critical tipping point. We are witnessing a clear divergence: the erosion of the Horizontal Software moat and the absolute dominance of Vertical Market Software. I want to be categorical: I have zero interest in holding"
X Link 2026-01-18T22:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$AUDNZD is in the crosshairs with my short strategy now in full execution. The game plan is simple and disciplined: scaling into shorts and hitting take profit targets as the market confirms the move. ๐ Cutting through the noise Im focused solely on the rigorous execution of my trading methodology. When the system dictates the path consistency is the only rule. ๐ฏ $AUD $NZD #Trading #Forex #Investing https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013022458941464936 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013022458941464936"
X Link 2026-01-18T22:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Time to lock in partial profits on $AUDNZD. With RSI deep in extreme oversold territory this vertical move is due for a technical breather. Ive decided to trim some short positions to protect capital though the macro bias remains decisively bearish. Im staying patient and waiting for a strategic retracement to reload and scale back into shorts at more attractive price levels. $AUD $NZD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis $AUDNZD is in the crosshairs with my short strategy now in full execution. The game plan is simple and disciplined: scaling into shorts and hitting take profit targets as the"
X Link 2026-01-20T10:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"End of an era or a seamless handoff Mark Miller takes the helm at Constellation Software with a definitive message: the capital deployment engine remains unchanged. As the architect of Volaris and a 30-year CSI veteran Miller is doubling down on the decentralized model and rigorous hurdle rates that defined the Mark Leonard era. For investors this transition isn't a pivotits a reinforcement of the most disciplined compounding machine in the software sector ensuring the "business as usual" philosophy stays intact. The core thesis remains robust: "buy and hold forever" is the non-negotiable"
X Link 2026-01-20T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"While the prevailing narrative suggests these companies are in decline the financial data tells a completely different story. In my long-term portfolio I am holding $CSU $GIS and $NVO assets that continue to print all-time highs in Revenue and EPS completely ignoring the bearish noise surrounding the $SPY. At this stage of the cycle rotating into defensive sectors is a calculated strategy not just a hedge. Doubling down on resilient cash-flow-heavy business models is the best way to navigate macro uncertainty. Sentiment is fleeting; balance sheets are final. #Investing #Stocks #Equity"
X Link 2026-01-21T11:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In the [----] market business quality is a given but entry price is what dictates your alpha. Ive dissected [--] "Wide-Moat" titansfrom tech powerhouses to ultra-luxury iconsto separate intrinsic value from AI-driven hype. In an era of algorithmic noise surgical discipline is the ultimate edge. ๐ While Im "keeping my powder dry" on overextended premiums like $MSFT the current setup has flashed clear accumulation signals for $META and $MA. We arent positioning for next week; were compounding for [----]. Dive into my full [----] Strategy and the specific multiples Im targeting: ๐ #Investing"
X Link 2026-01-27T11:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"๐จ $UNH in freefall: Shares are down 16% in pre-market after a massive collapse in operating margins to 0.3% (vs. 2.9% expected). While adjusted EPS slightly beat estimates at $2.11 its a drop in the ocean compared to the revenue miss and the extraordinary charges crushing the bottom line. ๐ The real panic stems from the FY [----] Guidance: projected revenue ($439B) and cash flow are significantly below consensus. When a defensive bellwether loses its predictability and margin profile the market re-prices it instantly. Watching for key support levels as the $XLV digests the contagion risk. ๐"
X Link 2026-01-27T12:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Current volatility might spook short-term traders but for those focused on fundamentals the noise is purely opportunity. I still maintain that this is a prime entry point to dollarize capital. The U.S. remains the epicenter of global innovation; if you want to invest in the future you have to believe in the currency that powers it. While the market reacts to shifting political narratives strategic investors look at where the long-term value resides. The global financial system still runs on the Greenback. Don't get left behind by short-term fluctuationsposition yourself where the growth is."
X Link 2026-01-27T21:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The 40% drawdown in $RACE has opened a generational entry point for investors seeking "quality at a reasonable price." Ferrari isn't a mere automaker; its a master of scarcity with 38%+ EBITDA margins and revenue visibility stretching into [----]. In the current landscape it operates as the $RMS of the automotive world providing a fortress balance sheet that remains largely indifferent to macroeconomic headwinds. Im capitalizing on this multiple compression to scale into a high-conviction position. While the market panics over the luxury sector's rotation Maranello remains the ultimate Veblen"
X Link 2026-01-28T11:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Eurozone is walking a macro tightrope. With EUR/USD hitting the [----] handle the ECB is already signaling discomfort but the underlying issue is structural: a strong currency paired with stagnant growth and a fading industrial export base is a recipe for disaster. This isn't a position of strength; its a direct hit to competitiveness that the blocs fragile economy simply cannot absorb. #Dollar $Dxy There you go With the euro hitting [----] against the dollar ECB officials are already coming out stating they are watching the recent appreciation AND that it is "one element that will guide"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Positive for the markets. $Spx $QQQ A $1000 Trump Account will help millions of kids get a head start on building their savingsand growing wealth. President Trump is paving the way for Americas children to achieve prosperity like never before https://t.co/OrJOjGrHZH A $1000 Trump Account will help millions of kids get a head start on building their savingsand growing wealth. President Trump is paving the way for Americas children to achieve prosperity like never before https://t.co/OrJOjGrHZH"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"FOMC Analysis Less "dovish" than expected as tariffs weigh on inflation ๐งต #FOMC #MacroEconomy #Fed $USD $Rates $Markets"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ Analysis of the latest FOMC meeting: The prevailing tone is one of caution. Contrary to some market expectations the stance was not "dovish." The Fed is maintaining its restrictive posture and does not appear ready to signal rate cuts for the upcoming meetings"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ On interest rates: The consensus within the committee is that rates are currently positioned appropriately. With GDP remaining robust and inflation still trending above the 2% target the majority supports holding steady. No decisions have been made for the next meeting; the outlook remains strictly "data-dependent." https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609346445087163 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609346445087163"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ A significant shift was noted in the communiqu regarding the labor market. The Fed now perceives a more stable landscape with more consistent data points. The message is clear: even with a resilient labor market if inflation does not continue to cool there will be no movement on rates. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609349293027731 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609349293027731"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ The "Tariff Factor": This was a standout point of discussion. The consensus is that current price increases are being directly driven by tariffs. The assessment is stark: were it not for these tariffs inflation would likely already be at the 2% objective. This remains a critical factor for trade policy monitoring. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609351604035729 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609351604035729"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ Regarding economic structure the mention of a "K-shaped economy" is particularly relevant. There is a visible divergence: one segment with high purchasing power sustaining consumption while others face mounting financial strain. This duality complicates the calibration of monetary policy"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"6/ On productivity AI was highlighted as a major driver. The Fed emphasized that the productivity gains from Artificial Intelligence are tangible potentially acting as a significant long-term tailwind even as the trajectory of the national debt is viewed as unsustainable"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ On political and currency issues the Fed remained tight-lipped. Regarding potential politicization they referred back to the official statement. On the dollar's recent decline the response was the standard: "Ask the Treasury.""
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ Bottom line: The conference offered no major surprises but confirmed the Fed's intent not to fuel early expectations. While inflation is expected to remain stable through the year the timing of a potential pivot remains the "million-dollar question." #FOMC #MacroEconomy #Fed $USD $Rates $Markets https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609362937327918 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016609362937327918"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"How does a titan the size of Microsoft still find the gear to accelerate like a high-growth startup The Q2 FY26 results are a masterclass in scaling: $81.3B in revenue (+17% YoY) driven by an explosive 39% surge in Azure. With Commercial Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) skyrocketing 110% to a staggering $625B Microsofts Cloud and AI dominance is no longer just a narrativeits an ironclad financial reality. Yet the market remains a harsh critic. Despite returning $12.7B to shareholders and delivering a clean sweep on growth $MSFT is sliding 5% in post-market trading. Were likely seeing a"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The divergence is glaring: while official prints remain lagged Truflation is already cratering toward 1.16%. The Fed looks like its sleeping at the wheel again risking being "behind the curve" by keeping rates way too restrictive for this reality. At this point AI productivity is the only thing keeping the wheels on the busit's our true tech-driven life raft. #FOMC #FED #Inflation $SPY $QQQ $MSFT $META FOMC Analysis Less "dovish" than expected as tariffs weigh on inflation ๐งต #FOMC #MacroEconomy #Fed $USD $Rates $Markets https://t.co/r5AXujuu8e FOMC Analysis Less "dovish" than expected as"
X Link 2026-01-28T23:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"๐งต Microsoft ($MSFT): Why Im Starting a Position in the Worlds Most Critical Company 1/ Microsoft $MSFT isn't just a software company; it's the operating system of the global digital economy. Following a 20% correction from all-time highs I believe this is a strategic entry point for a high-conviction compounding play. Here is my thesis. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016851115787137396 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016851115787137396"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"2/ The Revenue Engine: Microsoft is a constantly accelerating organism. We saw FY2025 revenue hit $281.7B a massive leap from $85.3B in [----]. The "Intelligent Cloud" remains the primary driver with Azure growing 34% in 2025"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ Financial Fortress: Efficiency is king under Satya Nadella. Operating margins have expanded from 23.7% in [----] to an incredible 45.6% in [----]. These are margins that would be the envy of the luxury sector maintained at a massive scale"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ Earnings Per Share (EPS): This is my ultimate health metric. $MSFT has the "magic" ability to grow earnings faster than revenuea clear sign of operating leverage. Diluted EPS jumped from $2.10 in [----] to $13.62 in 2025"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"7/ The AI Moat: With over [---] data centers and a strategic 49% profit stake in OpenAI Microsoft has built a nearly insurmountable competitive moat. If $MSFT ceased to exist tomorrow global digital infrastructure would collapse. It is the definition of "critical.""
X Link 2026-01-29T12:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"8/ Valuation & Execution: Im looking past the 27.5x P/E ratio noise. For a company with 17% growth and dominant AI positioning the quality premium is justified. My strategy: I am buying now and adding regularly below $450"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The charts dont lie: the channel breakdown is confirmed and Bitcoin is officially entering a technical correction phase. With support lost the $70000 - $72000 range is now acting as a major price magnet and a critical liquidity pocket for the near term. The market rarely gives second chances to those who ignore the signals. It is time to tighten strategies and monitor how price action reacts to this new level of volatility. ๐๐ฏ๐จ #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto Technical confirmation: support has officially snapped. We just saw the first daily candle close below the lower bound of the"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Its incredible how the market refuses to break; at the slightest sign of a pullback buyers rush in to defend the trend. This relentless "buy the dip" behavior at the [--] WMA shows massive institutional support but it leaves us with one burning question: how much longer can this strength last before exhaustion finally kicks in ๐๐๐ค #SP500 #StockMarket $SPX $SPY $ES $VIX https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016983893644366154 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016983893644366154"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"As prices continue to defy gravity sentiment is following suit: the Fear & Greed Index is now at [--] signaling that "Greed" has officially reclaimed the driver's seat. Weve pivoted from Neutral levels just a month ago to this renewed optimism where every dip is met with aggressive buying. The momentum is undeniable but history reminds us that euphoria is often the prelude to exhaustion. โ ๐ค #MarketSentiment #Investing #SP500 $SPX $SPY $ES Its incredible how the market refuses to break; at the slightest sign of a pullback buyers rush in to defend the trend. This relentless "buy the dip""
X Link 2026-01-29T21:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed The former Governor is a notorious inflation hawk and a vocal critic of prolonged Quantitative Easing. His potential appointment signals a major pivot toward a stronger USD and a more disciplined monetary framework. Is the era of "easy money" officially over #Fed #Trading $DXY $SPY $UST President Trump is reportedly set to announce Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman tomorrow morning https://t.co/HoUCfvk4Mc President Trump is reportedly set to announce Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman tomorrow morning https://t.co/HoUCfvk4Mc"
X Link 2026-01-30T05:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"๐งต The Thread: The Warsh Era Begins at the Fed 1/The game has changed. ๐จ Donald Trump has officially nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Ive been analyzing the latest reports from CNBC and Forbes and this isn't just a leadership swapits a seismic shift in the global financial architecture. Here is why the "Warsh Pivot" matters for your portfolio. ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271934694670799 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271934694670799"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ The Lauder Connection & The Power Base: ๐ Forbes highlights a crucial detail: Warsh is married to Jane Lauder granddaughter of Este Lauder. This puts him at the heart of one of America's most influential dynasties. His ties to the GOP elite and the billionaire class give him a political shield that Jerome Powell never truly possessed"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ The Wall Street "Plumbing" Specialist: ๐ At [--] he was the youngest Fed Governor in history (20062011). While academics were staring at lagging models I remember Warsh was on the phone with Morgan Stanley and the Treasury managing the actual "plumbing" of the [----] crisis. He doesn't just read the tape; he knows how the machine is built. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271940440809960 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271940440809960"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ From Hawk to AI Productivity Bull: ๐ค CNBC points out a fascinating evolution. Warsh was a long-time "Hawk" on inflation but my take is that hes now betting on an AI-driven productivity boom. He believes technology allows for aggressive growth without triggering the classic wage-price spiral. This is the "high-growth/low-inflation" thesis Trump wants to see"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ Ending "Mission Creep": ๐ซ Warsh has been a vocal critic of the Feds recent expansion into non-monetary issues. Expect him to gut what he calls "Mission Creep." For Warsh the Fed shouldn't be an arbiter of Climate Change or DEI. I expect a laser focus on one thing: Price Stability. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271946610647192 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017271946610647192"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"6/ The "Bank of England" Blueprint: Hes a reformer at heart. The UK Parliament adopted the transparency reforms he designed for the Bank of England. Im anticipating a Fed that kills "Fedspeak" in favor of direct market-pragmatic communication. Less mystery more clarity"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ The Confirmation Battle: โ It won't be a cakewalk. Im seeing reports of GOP resistance specifically from Sen. Thom Tillis while Elizabeth Warren is already branding him "Wall Streets man." This will be a massive test of Trumps leverage over the Senate"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ Market Reaction: The "Sound Money" Trade: ๐๐ The initial reaction was telling. Gold plunged nearly 5% and Silver tumbled 13% as the "Warsh nomination" gained steam. The market is front-running a leaner Fed balance sheet and a more efficient Dollar. $DXY is catching a bid while $GOLD and $SPX recalibrate for a "Real Money" era. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272332809617683 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272332809617683"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"9/ My Bottom Line: ๐๐ฆ Kevin Warsh represents the return of technical competence and "Sound Money" orthodoxy. If he successfully navigates the AI productivity wave we are looking at the reaffirmation of USD hegemony for the next decade. The smart money has already started moving. Are you ๐ธ #Fed #KevinWarsh #Macro $DXY $GOLD $SPX https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272424471880071 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017272424471880071"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Market euphoria is reaching a fever pitch. The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator just hit 9.4its highest level since Feb 18triggering a textbook "contrarian sell signal." History warns that when positioning becomes this lopsided a sharp correction is often lurking just around the corner to flush out the over-optimism. Don't let complacency blind you. In this environment the deepest drops usually happen right when the "weak hands" least expect them. Trade safe. #StockMarket $SPY $QQQ $VIX The revamped BofA Bull & Bear Indicator back up to [---] for the second time in three weeks the highest since Feb"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Silvers 20% plunge today is a textbook case of mass liquidations following an overextended parabolic move. Ive warned this was coming: markets eventually break under their own weight when the "blow-off top" hits. As we pivot toward the era of Supreme AI the fundamental question remains: does holding "heavy metal" still offer value or should we rotate into the assets actually building the future Check out my full thesis below. ๐ Full analysis: #Silver #Commodities #Macro $XAG $SLV $PAAS https://workmarketsfinance.com/silver-at-100-and-gold-at-5000/"
X Link 2026-01-30T17:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kevin Warsh is taking the helm at the Federal Reserve and the Street is already scrambling to price in the "Warsh Doctrine." Known for his pragmatic approach and willingness to challenge monetary orthodoxy his tenure marks a definitive shift in the macro landscape. Ive put together a thread breaking down his track record and what his policy stance means for market volatility and interest rate trajectories. Dive into the full profile here to stay ahead of the curve. #Fed #Macro #Dollar $SPY $QQQ $DXY #KevinWarsh https://workmarketsfinance.com/who-is-kevin-warsh-the-new-fed-chair/ ๐งต The"
X Link 2026-01-30T18:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Silver is witnessing a brutal 35% flush triggering a textbook liquidity squeeze. As margin calls start hitting were seeing forced deleveraging across the board; traders are dumping winners in equities and BTC just to keep their heads above water. This isn't just a commodity correction; it's a scramble for collateral. If this downside momentum persists expect the contagion to hit major indices harder as the hunt for liquidity intensifies. #Silver #Macro #Liquidation $XAG $SPY $BTC $Xau https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017303729477668946 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017303729477668946"
X Link 2026-01-30T18:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ The [----] Midterm Roadmap: Trumps Dry Powder & The Warsh Shockwave ๐งต We are staring at the most complex macro chessboard of the decade. Between Kevin Warshs Fed nomination and Trumps "Dry Powder" strategy markets are being steered into extreme volatility for H1 [----]. #KevinWarsh $spx $qqq"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ The "Warsh Factor" & The Hawkish Headfake Why nominate Kevin Warsha known hawkto lead the Fed ๐ Trump is playing the long game. By putting Warsh in the seat now he forces a pre-emptive market correction. He wants a "stern" Fed to flush out excesses by May. The goal Creating political cover for aggressive cuts right before November. #Fed #Macro https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606843607003485 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606843607003485"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ The Metals Crash & Margin Call Dominoes ๐ The 13% plunge in Silver and 5% drop in Gold isn't just a dip; it's a systemic warning. As precious metals crater hedge funds face massive liquidations. Expect a wave of Margin Calls hitting Tech and Crypto as collateral value evaporates. Cash is king in Q1. $Gold $Silver $BTC https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606847423725582 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606847423725582"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ Political Survival: The 42.1% Threshold With Trumps approval at 42.1% and disapproval at 55.2% the [----] Midterms are a fight for survival. Losing Congress means legislative gridlock or impeachment. The Play: Let the market bleed now so he can play "Hero" in October. #Midterms2026"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ Seasonality: The Midterm Script Midterm years are historically painful until Q4. Q1/Q2: Bearish/Range-bound (Warsh fear) Q3: Capitulation (Pre-election panic) Q4: Explosive Rally (Stimulus cavalry arrives) Dont get shaken out in the July lows. The "Melt-up" is programmed. $spx $qqq #KevinWarsh #Seasonality https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606855275504077 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606855275504077"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/ The "Dry Powder" Arsenal ๐ The administration is hoarding stimulus for the August-October window: $2000 Stimulus Checks bypassing Congress. Trump Accounts: $1000 seed money for every child to hit the index funds. Massive Tax Cut extensions. This is the setup for the mother of all Short Squeezes. $SPY $DIA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606858555408853 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606858555408853"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ AI & Energy: The Industrial Reset The synergy between Big Tech and Nuclear/Gas deregulation is set to collapse electricity costs. Lower energy costs = Deflationary tailwinds. This gives Warsh the "technical" excuse for a massive Pivot (50bps clips). #AI #Energy"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ Final Take: Steel Nerves Only ๐ง We are witnessing an "engineered technical recession." This choppy-bearish environment is a generational entry point for those with liquidity. Keep your Dry Powder ready. The Dow 100k target is still on the table but the road is paved with the blood of the impatient. ๐ $spx $qqq $dia https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606864087753081 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017606864087753081"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@intocryptoverse Spot on. The liquidity sweep suggests we haven't seen the floor yet. Im keeping my powder dry waiting for $BTC in the $60k - $70k range to start heavy accumulation. Patience is the ultimate edge"
X Link 2026-01-31T16:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Great insight on market micro-structure. The record low short interest on $QQQ removes the natural floor provided by short covering during flushes. Without that "squeeze fuel" for rallies or a safety net during selloffs we are looking at a dangerously one-sided market. If the "buy the dip" crowd blinks the liquidity vacuum could lead to a much deeper correction. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017642588413509790 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017642588413509790"
X Link 2026-01-31T16:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@intocryptoverse This is a prime window to dollarize capital at a discount fading the noise to hedge your portfolio before the structural reversal kicks in"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@biancoresearch The liquidation cascade continues: gold and silver led the way and now BTC is trading sub-$80k. Tomorrows futures open will be the ultimate litmus test for market sentiment. $BTC $GOLD $SILVER"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ColinTCrypto Agreed. The bear market has been in play since the $100k breakdown. Strategy is clear: patience and accumulation in the $70k-$60k range. $BTC"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@rektcapital Agreed. The bear market has been in play since the $100k breakdown. Strategy is clear: patience and accumulation in the $70k-$60k range. $BTC"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The ultimate retail capitulation mood. ๐
"Revenge trading"desperately jumping from one massive drawdown straight into another high-risk assetis the classic psychological trap of the moment. Laughing through the pain but remember: emotional rotation isn't a strategy. Stay disciplined and trade the levels not the panic. #Trading #Markets #Crypto $BTC $XAG $SILVER https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017671795780841959 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017671795780841959"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@KobeissiLetter A slide into the $70k-$60k range looks inevitable as liquidity dries up and "air pockets" dominate the price action. I am targeting the $60k handle as the primary zone for aggressive long-term accumulation. #Bitcoin $BTC"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@RayDalio Kevin Warsh at the Fed is a major win. Gold silver and the dollar are already pricing in restored credibility and technical predictability. Policy clarity is back on the table. #Fed $XAU $XAG $USD"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JLMarin_Trading BTC broke key support but Im staying patient. Eyeing the $60k - $70k range for heavy accumulation"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi BTC at $60k is a prime long-term accumulation level. Expecting a sweep of these lows and a recovery ahead of the midterm elections. $BTC"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@intocryptoverse $BTC at $60k is a prime long-term accumulation level. Expecting a sweep of these lows and a recovery ahead of the midterm elections"
X Link 2026-01-31T21:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Roman_Trading While $50k is the ultimate long-term entry zone its uncertain if price will actually reach those levels. I expect to see $60k ahead of the midterms acting as the key pivot point for a trend reversal. $BTC"
X Link 2026-01-31T22:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@HenrikZeberg Were heading head-first into deflation. Debt levels and AI efficiency leave no choice: Kevin Warsh will be forced into aggressive rate cuts. The deflationary bust is unfolding"
X Link 2026-02-01T09:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TechCharts No BTC bottom without an equity flush. Bitcoin leads the move but Wall Street is still in denial. The correction is coming. $BTC $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-01T09:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The high inflation narrative is dead. We are staring at a structural deflationary cycle fueled by record household debt and AI-driven productivity gains. With Truflation sitting at 0.86%well below BLS reportingKevin Warsh has the perfect cover to pivot and cut rates mid-year just in time for the midterms. This is the ultimate macro alignment that the broader market is still missing. The setup for $TLT is becoming impossible to ignore as the gap between real-time data and lagging indicators closes. Position accordingly. #Deflation #MacroTrading #Midterms2026 $TLT $FED Real-time inflation has"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@0xAralez Spot on. Cycles don't lie and were likely looking at a mid-year bottom. If $BTC hits that 60k range its the ultimate accumulation zone before the next leg up. Patience is the name of the game right now"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@intocryptoverse Spot on. Trading without a plan is just gambling. Id rather stay disciplined and focus on the big pictureIm waiting for those weekly Heikin Ashi candles to flip green before resuming my DCA. Less noise more execution. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T13:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@PeterSchiff Exactly. With deflation looming those rate cuts are going to be massive to keep things afloat. Setting the stage for it all to hit right before the midterms is the ultimate political playbook to pump the markets. Perfect plan. $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-01T13:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"1. The "Great Crypto Reset" is here and frankly It was inevitable. This weekends Bitcoin crash wasn't a black swan; it was a technical certainty. Breaking the [----] primary trendline marks a fundamental regime shift. ๐งต #Bitcoin $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2. The weekly charts were screaming. We saw a massive triple bearish divergence on the RSI while price desperately chased new highs. Smart money was distributing to exit while retail bought the hype. Now the daily bear flag is pointing to lower liquidity clusters. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3. Where am I placing my buy orders Im eyeing the "Golden Zone" between $60000 and $70000. This is the high-probability area for final capitulation. Im not here to catch falling knives; Im here to buy value. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4. My execution plan: Im waiting for green Heikin Ashi candles on the weekly timeframe to confirm trend exhaustion. Entering before a reversal print is gambling; entering after is a validated trade. Discipline over desperation. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5. Macro is the ultimate driver. Truflation at 0.86% signals imminent systemic deflation. While AI-led productivity is slashing costs consumer deleveraging is hitting a breaking point. This setup will force a Fed pivot sooner than the consensus expects. #inflation"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6. The Roadmap: Bitcoin will front-run the equity indices recovery. Expect a reversal by mid-2026 as liquidity seeks the scarcest asset in an AI-driven deflating world. $BTC isn't just a trade; it's an insurance policy"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7. Bottom line: Markets reward the patient and punish the impulsive. Stick to the levels monitor the Truflation data and check out my full breakdown on why this crash was inevitable: ๐ #Bitcoin $BTC https://workmarketsfinance.com/why-the-bitcoin-crash-was-inevitable/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/why-the-bitcoin-crash-was-inevitable/"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If these Truflation numbers are legit Kevin Warsh is going to cut rates way deeper than the market is currently discounting. Everyone is still staring at lagging BLS data while real-time inflation is cratering. Get ready the pivot is going to be much more aggressive than expected. $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018008902890107064 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018008902890107064"
X Link 2026-02-01T17:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Exactly but he wont have to act alonethe data will force their hand. When real-time inflation hits 0.86% the entire FOMC loses its room to maneuver. Deflationary pressure makes those cuts mandatory not optional. Hes just front-running a reality that the numbers have already locked in. #FOMC $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018032797974175833 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018032797974175833"
X Link 2026-02-01T18:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives Not yet. In my view real accumulation interest won't kick back in until we hit the $70k or even $60k range. Buying now feels like catching falling knives. Waiting for better liquidity. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T20:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A textbook rejection wick on the EUR/USD right at the major descending trendline. While the "death of the dollar" narrative dominates headlines the price action suggests a massive bull trap for the Euro. This is the perfect contrarian setup for a USD comeback catching the crowd leaning the wrong way. Im staying the course and continuing to dollarize capitalnever trade the story trade the chart. #Investing #Forex #Dollar $EURUSD $USD $DXY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018076284161556796 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018076284161556796"
X Link 2026-02-01T21:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@dlacalle_IA @truflation Truflation hitting 0.86% is a massive wake-up call. Between AI-driven efficiency gains and debt-strapped consumers were sprinting toward a deflationary period. Official data is lagging but the real-time trend is clear: prices are melting down"
X Link 2026-02-01T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bitcoin just broke down from the channel and the bearish momentum is picking up steam. Now the million-dollar question: how will the S&P [---] and Nasdaq futures open As risk-off sentiment hits the crypto space well see if US equities are next in line for a correction or if Wall Street can weather the storm. Watching the opening bell closely. #Markets $BTC $SPY $QQQ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018092194100363377 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018092194100363377"
X Link 2026-02-01T22:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@shahh Short answer: nothing. Markets don't owe us support and levels are meant to be tested. While I doubt well see $50k if we do its no longer a correctionits the ultimate accumulation zone. One persons panic is anothers liquidity. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-01T22:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Peter Schiff is still waiting for a collapse but the reality is tokenization. The dollar isnt disappearing; its evolving. With the "Genius Act" on the horizon were going to see massive demand for the digital dollar cementing it as the global reserve on the blockchain. While some stay tethered to physical gold the smart money pivots to where liquidity and tech efficiency meet. Harold knows that the "opportunity cost" of ignoring digitalization is the real collapse. #Dollar $USD https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018102688676761781 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018102688676761781"
X Link 2026-02-01T23:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@steve_hanke Exactly. At the end of the day whos actually betting on pounds or euros The future is priced in dollars period. If you want a seat at the table you have to convert your cash to where the action is. Everything else is just noise. $USD"
X Link 2026-02-01T23:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KobeissiLetter This $5 billion liquidation flush is exactly whats needed to shake out the weak hands and toxic leverage. The real bull market doesn't start until everyone loses interest and the panic turns into silence. We flush the trash first then $BTC finally has a clear path to the moon"
X Link 2026-02-02T00:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Polymarket ๐คฃ๐คฃ $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-02T00:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@JesseOlson Agreed. That 60k blue line looks like the most likely spot for the retest. Perfect bounce zone before the next leg up. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-02T08:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@sixers0321 @Mr_Derivatives I know enough: To be honest it doesnt really matter who the Fed Chair is. Hell just end up doing whatever the market forces him to do anywayand I know the market inside out. $SPX #Fed https://workmarketsfinance.com/who-is-kevin-warsh-the-new-fed-chair/ https://workmarketsfinance.com/who-is-kevin-warsh-the-new-fed-chair/"
X Link 2026-02-02T08:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@JamesWynnReal Still needs more downside. Too many people are still screaming "bull market" with way too much confidence. A flush down to 60k is mandatory to wipe out the remaining hopium and finally reset the sentiment. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-02T08:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/8 Im putting my money where my conviction is. For February [----] my high-conviction play is $DJAD $TLT. As a European-based investor this is the most efficient way to capture the global macro shift with a massive currency tailwind. ๐งต๐ #Investing #Macro #Treasuries $USD $DXY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281868571881561 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281868571881561"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/8 Real inflation is already dead. While BLS claims 2.7% @truflation shows real-time CPI at 0.95%. AI is the ultimate deflationary force displacing jobs and slashing costs. With US consumer debt at breaking points a hard slowdown is baked in. #FED #BLS"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/8 The yield curve is talking. The 10Y-2Y inversion is finally unwinding. Historically this re-steepening is the definitive precursor to a recession. When the flight to safety begins long-term Treasuries will see a massive bid. $TLT #recession"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4/8 Monetary policy will be forced to pivot. I expect Kevin Warsh to cut rates as economic gravity takes hold. The consensus is skeptical about deep cuts but thats exactly where the alpha lies: front-running the inevitable. #KevinWarsh #Fed $TLT"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"6/8 The strategic advantage: The Dollar ($USD). Since Im investing from Europe $DJADs USD denomination is key. The $DXY is bouncing off a long-term ascending channel support. A stronger Dollar against the Euro adds an extra layer of profit to my position. #Dollar $USD"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7/8 US growth has been propped up by AI Capex but equities are looking overextended. My strategy is to use the safety of $DJAD to hedge against the market correction I expect by mid-year. $TLT"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"8/8 The Goal: Capture gains from both falling yields and $USD strength then rotate that capital back into high-quality equities once the market reset provides a better entry point later in [----]. Are you hedging with the #Dollar or still betting on the Euros resilience Lets talk below ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281892114489466 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018281892114489466"
X Link 2026-02-02T11:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"MicroStrategy is playing the long game and their position is looking rock solid right now. I still expect a quick dip to the $60k zone to flush things out before the actual bull market takes off though. Given how much supply theyve locked up the next leg up is going to be absolutely massive. $BTC $MSTR https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018316330437320822 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018316330437320822"
X Link 2026-02-02T13:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy weather the upcoming volatility it will be an incredibly bullish signal for Bitcoin in the long run. Institutional conviction at this scale acts as a massive market validator proving that long-term thesis outweighs short-term price action. This level of resilience from major players provides the psychological floor the market needs. If the "diamond hands" strategy holds through the next wave of turbulence we are looking at a new era of maturity for digital assets as a global reserve. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro $BTC $MSTR $Nasdaq More Orange."
X Link 2026-02-02T13:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Mrcryptoxwhale Huge news but the tape never lies. Usually these "world-changing" bills are the perfect "sell the news" setup to flush the market and grab liquidity. $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-02T14:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The market is getting way too complacent and has zero protection right now. With short interest at these lows theres no "fuel" from short covering to cushion a dip. When the correction hits its going to be a violent liquidation of long positions because nobody is hedged. Total glass floor. $QQQ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018342530056962231 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018342530056962231"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This looks like a textbook dead cat bounce. We might see $BTC squeeze up to 80k or 85k just to trap late buyers before the real flush begins. With short interest at these lows theres no safety net underneath when things turn south. Don't mistake a relief rally for a trend reversal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018345409119146324 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018345409119146324"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Only 25% Real-time inflation is cooling way faster than the lagging prints suggest and with midterms around the corner the pressure on the Fed will be massive. Were getting way more than just two cuts. $SPY #Fed"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
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