#  @abcdefmlzy Flyu Flyu posts on X about polymarket, token, prediction markets, alpha the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1426605991471235072/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] -57% - [--] Month [------] +712% - [--] Months [---------] -87% - [--] Year [----------] +9.30% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1426605991471235072/posts_active)  - [--] Months [---] +358% - [--] Year [---] +300% ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1426605991471235072/followers)  - [--] Week [---] +0.50% - [--] Month [---] +5.80% - [--] Months [---] +119% - [--] Year [---] +128% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1426605991471235072/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 23% [finance](/list/finance) 21% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #3347 [nfts](/list/nfts) 7% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 5% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 4% [stocks](/list/stocks) 3% [gaming](/list/gaming) 1% **Social topic influence** [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #551, [token](/topic/token) #992, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #842, [alpha](/topic/alpha) 6%, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 5%, [zoomer](/topic/zoomer) #76, [$poly](/topic/$poly) #24, [if you](/topic/if-you) 4%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 4%, [money](/topic/money) 4% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@publicequities](/creator/undefined) [@moonbirds](/creator/undefined) [@hivelive](/creator/undefined) [@caronpolymarket](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@cryptoparadyme](/creator/undefined) [@cirrusnft](/creator/undefined) [@solana](/creator/undefined) [@tradingaxe](/creator/undefined) [@diditrading](/creator/undefined) [@frosen](/creator/undefined) [@strategy](/creator/undefined) [@ikaxbt](/creator/undefined) [@retentionjunkie](/creator/undefined) [@fundstrat](/creator/undefined) [@marknewtoncmt](/creator/undefined) [@fsinsight](/creator/undefined) [@fundstratcap](/creator/undefined) [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@blknoiz06](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Alpha Technology Group Limited (ATGL)](/topic/alpha) [Polymath (POLY)](/topic/$poly) [Moonbirds (moonbirds)](/topic/moonbirds) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Litentry (LIT)](/topic/$lit) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/solana) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Axion (AXN)](/topic/axion) [APED (APED)](/topic/$aped) [KAITO (KAITO)](/topic/$kaito) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Opinion $OPN TGE must be soon. IMO the metrics for Opinion seem fairly inflated will be curious to see how volume and DAU perform post TGE. Was it real usage or not This will be the first semi-serious prediction market to TGE. Will be following and posting more thoughts post TGE. Assets added to the roadmap today: OPINION (OPN) https://t.co/lyEugQo7Cv Assets added to the roadmap today: OPINION (OPN) https://t.co/lyEugQo7Cv" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2021651244356649426) 2026-02-11T18:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "How do you actually farm for $POLY Recently there's been a big push from the Polymarket team talking about the $POLY token. IMO most of it are just fun jokes like the vibecoding one but the reality is the token has been increasingly talked about recently. The first genuine mention was about [--] months ago when the CMO went on a podcast and talked about the airdrop and how it's confirmed and they want to make sure it's good. Snapshot not taken is also confirmed. So what can you do as a user to set yourself up well for the upcoming airdrop Simply put - the best way to farm is to NOT farm it at" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2022370789161361835) 2026-02-13T18:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Saylor is going to be grasping at straws to try and save BTC during this MSTR earnings call. ๐ I do think Strategy will survive the bear but will be tuning in to see what he has to say" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019532246055792782) 2026-02-05T22:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Very interesting day to pick for yield calculations @Strategy ๐ญ" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019533748195455379) 2026-02-05T22:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "So Bitcoins recent local bottom was a -50% ATH. Alts have been slammed even harder. ICOs immediately open under the sale price. Airdrops start at lower valuations than the pre markets priced in. http://x.com/i/article/2020587976690958336 http://x.com/i/article/2020587976690958336" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2020589391513584032) 2026-02-08T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This can be potentially useful to evaluate bearish/bullish sentiments on a variety of asset classes. There is definitely a real edge to those who spend exorbitant amounts of time online especially in specific sectors like crypto. Consensus opinions can form faster. I wonder how things will change if information becomes that much more efficient. Will there really be non consensus opinions on popular topics anymore ZOOMER POLYMARKET TO VENTURE INTO ATTENTION MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO BET ON TRENDS AND PUBLIC OPINION: FORBES ZOOMER POLYMARKET TO VENTURE INTO ATTENTION MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2021296911118958726) 2026-02-10T18:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Ultra based. Everyone trading PMs was stabled up during this whole crash and now they might be in for a surprise too. ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019575288154497457) 2026-02-06T00:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CarOnPolymarket Are you sure you spent any time digging You just basically word for word copied my post. Not that it took that much research but kind of shameless just to rip it. Wouldve appreciated if you at least tagged me or anything. Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks if anyone's curious to learn more. Several filings done for "Polymarket" "The World's Greatest Prediction Market" etc were filled last week or so but at around [--] PM ET today the words "$POLY" and "POLY" were filed. What's Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks if anyone's curious to learn more." [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019647624157040910) 2026-02-06T05:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Whats interesting about Polymarket is that visits may be active users but they can also be people just purely interested in the odds of world events. Similar to people checking stock prices on Robinhood or crypto prices on Coinbase. Very few companies can solidify themselves as being the place to check for information while also providing the service to trade on them too. That in it of itself is immensely valuable. Serious business. https://t.co/RcF4leTZ2x Serious business. https://t.co/RcF4leTZ2x" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2020860871828819979) 2026-02-09T14:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Liquidity provision is very valuable. Lighter did something similar with market makers and the $LIT token. Equity is not the same thing as a token but it's important to understand how valuable liquidity is. ZOOMER JUMP TRADING TO ACQUIRE A STAKE IN POLYMARKET IN EXCHANGE FOR PROVIDING LIQUIDITY: BBG ZOOMER JUMP TRADING TO ACQUIRE A STAKE IN POLYMARKET IN EXCHANGE FOR PROVIDING LIQUIDITY: BBG" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2020943645030089095) 2026-02-09T19:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Incredible too that all the BTC [--] minute markets have great liquidity too. The natural next step is [--] minute markets. Great leaps towards general price efficiency are being done. Fees are healthy for Polymarket in general as well. ZOOMER POLYMARKET EXPANDS CRYPTO PRICE MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO BET WHETHER COINS WILL TRADE UP OR DOWN IN THE NEXT [--] MINUTES: PRESS RELEASE ZOOMER POLYMARKET EXPANDS CRYPTO PRICE MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO BET WHETHER COINS WILL TRADE UP OR DOWN IN THE NEXT [--] MINUTES: PRESS RELEASE" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2022059098456698940) 2026-02-12T21:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket is the only dapp worth focusing on farming or not. Perps trading will only get more and more difficult into the bear market as volume dies and prices just chop for longer. There will always be another event to predict and have an edge on. Learning to genuinely trade prediction markets is one of the most productive things you can do during the bear. Day 437: Current airdrop farming list Stick to these [--] and you'll outperform 99% https://t.co/ENKmTthtTz Day 437: Current airdrop farming list Stick to these [--] and you'll outperform 99% https://t.co/ENKmTthtTz" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2023059590619840819) 2026-02-15T15:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks if anyone's curious to learn more. Several filings done for "Polymarket" "The World's Greatest Prediction Market" etc were filled last week or so but at around [--] PM ET today the words "$POLY" and "POLY" were filed. What's notable is that under the goods and services it was filed for "Cryptocurrency services namely providing a digital currency or digital token for use by members of an on-line community via a global computer network; cryptocurrency services namely providing a digital currency or digital token incorporating cryptographic protocols" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019617151888318850) 2026-02-06T03:40Z [---] followers, 11.2K engagements "Super interesting data some comments: 1.) I believe HYPE has way more delta neutral/arb farmers. It is significantly easier to arb funding rates on leveraged positions than it is to arb books on prediction markets (which naturally have slightly different resolution rules). A lot of wallets farming funding would make the win rate higher. Generally people would short on hyperliquid and long/buy spot on other exchanges which has been performing pretty well the last few months. 2.) The data shows that Polymarket is significantly more friendly to use and understand but Hyperliquid is not. Hence" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2022711195661152347) 2026-02-14T16:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ika_xbt @retentionjunkie @Polymarket This is because the stock market closes on the weekends and theres far less up or down markets to LP on. Also generally most new reward markets are added during the weekday" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2023169938177806699) 2026-02-15T22:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@fundstrat @MarkNewtonCMT @fs_insight @FundstratCap Not to fud but your quant changed the trendline. The original one he sent started in Late June which if it taps that line would put ETH at about $4.15k The new one you just posted started its trendline in August because the older one had a lower "bottom"๐โ" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1960149688356950372) 2025-08-26T01:17Z [---] followers, 19K engagements "@public_equities Bro is singlehandedly tryna take this company down. W mans" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1960400814591369620) 2025-08-26T17:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CryptoParadyme There are definitely a lot of signs here but also you've said in other tweets that you plan to long the pullback in Sept and ride into Q4 Just curious why you'd think that'd still play out given a lot of your charts are possibly hinting at a cycle top" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1961509103148421299) 2025-08-29T19:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@unusual_whales Peter Thiel is definitely planning something right now. @public_equities we need to stop this" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1961619144933023764) 2025-08-30T02:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoParadyme @blknoiz06 Same imma wait tbh ๐ญ am not forgiving myself if I buy the fucking top" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1962743958125072732) 2025-09-02T05:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Hyperliquid_In It may in fact be over" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1962889229211443378) 2025-09-02T14:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@public_equities Only to deleverage. Direction should remain the same" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1962984974531100684) 2025-09-02T21:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "What if Gainzy actually misclicked but it was a misclick because he was trying to fullstack the $gnzystrm holdings on a smaller bundled wallet but the Pumpswap UI didn't change his wallet so he accidentally fullstacked his main ๐ค๐ค๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1963365230458679483) 2025-09-03T22:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TPointUK I hope Charlie Kirk can pull through but why are there conflicting headlines about his status" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1965866357897216192) 2025-09-10T19:53Z [---] followers, 145.9K engagements "@ReetikaTrades Previous bull market CT feed: why I got a declined a [---] WETH offer on my NFT and will only accept 7500+ WETH This bull market CT feed: ๐งต๐ heres how I managed to make $5000 in [--] hours with devving memecoins *axion PnL with edit" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1966173792696414520) 2025-09-11T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If you weren't there at drop time and missed the first minute to pledge for $LIMITLESS please stop and instead use that money to ape it on TGE. Thanks" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1971252448548487561) 2025-09-25T16:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "What the actual fuck. You are losing 70% if you hold through the staked kato hedge position + getting it unstaked and back in your wallet. $LIMITLESS $LMNT can NOT be this worth it bro ๐ญโ WTF ARE YOU SUPPOSED TO DO (talking to myself)" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1972019537932669013) 2025-09-27T19:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@0xY10_ [--] reaction for the first [--] days on KAITO suddenly just started liquidating people and now its more worth being naked than hedging actually insane fraud happening rn" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1972029598381887743) 2025-09-27T20:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I am a top [--] staker (definitely way over but cba to check) completely unhedged have allo aped into $LIMITLESS was top 15th fastest to enter and now I cannot even hedge my staked allo because otherwise you have to pay nearly 9% of your position size every [--] hours to keep it open What the actual fuck am I supposed to do ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ What the actual fuck. You are losing 70% if you hold through the staked kato hedge position + getting it unstaked and back in your wallet. $LIMITLESS $LMNT can NOT be this worth it bro ๐ญโ WTF ARE YOU SUPPOSED TO DO (talking to myself)" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1972145711933210787) 2025-09-28T03:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CirrusNFT @moonbirds @solana Real. The boxes can be revealed to be socks but with $BIRB and Id still be happy โ" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1973772863384748203) 2025-10-02T15:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "THIS IS SO FUCKING ASS ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ I'VE STAKED NEARLY [--] FIGS IN KAITO ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ I PUSHED A TON OF VOLUME ON LIMITLESS ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅI'VE MADE MORE OFF KAITO AND THE NFT MOONSHOTTING THAN I WILL OFF THIS PRESALE ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1975898100444340687) 2025-10-08T12:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@shady_oak1 @trylimitless There is they have [--] "markets" One is like what you expect polymarket to look like One is like their own weird thing with no orderbooks just infinite buyable shares It's weird those markets only appear for hourly markets on crypto that are NOT BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1976825028827398357) 2025-10-11T01:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@trading_axe was not lying about the dark magic. Pings voice changer sounds like a demon from The Exorcist. This was done intentionally make no mistake. Hes also literally talking to a weird fox thing. All of this is demonic. Before I watch any more interviews I will need video proof of @DegenPing being exorcised. โฆ" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1978921505234059358) 2025-10-16T20:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This entire tweet is verifiably false and full of lies super dishonest. The value of the grand prize was only about 12.5% of the pool size. 0x1ebff5bf472ecce64304aefe223ade96f55926c5 0x5605a022ae51691260b83592243545f7dbcc0b74 0xa2fc44e298d3db96773085cf51baeeaa50298f69 Steel chests and below (2.2M of fees) were not given anything. I assume this was instead pocketed into your guys's personal wallets instead of redistributed to the higher tiers. The math doesn't lie. The average user should receive 60%+ of their fees paid back in prizes even accounting for token price drops. The real average is" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1978967475644412371) 2025-10-16T23:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@FourVork @AzFlin This is omega obvious then no 100M of MET being offered at $0.5 launch price undoubtedly snipers buying and insta selling will be over $28M vol" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1978981851336180186) 2025-10-17T00:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@hesh3skr @trading_axe UAE announced first. but did Saudi's buy first ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1890457709561995611) 2025-02-14T17:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Am I tripping or is this just not great Disclaimer Im assuming youre recommending fullport generating yield off your cash and talking as if the post tax net worth is $1M. $50K a year should cover your expenses but keep in mind there will be variance with treasury bonds rates you give up the opportunity cost of being able to enter anything in those years (unless you send your bond before maturity). I myself am struggling on planning what exactly to do with my money definitely not entering back into memecoins but also long term cash yield just seems very low in comparison to how many great" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1891003248795926607) 2025-02-16T05:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Yeahhh see thats what Im thinking too. Great to park while you wait for major dips but long term Not a very great strategy to rely on (unless your net worth is that high where entering asset classes is a pain) Also lets just be honest here. Everyones attention span is cooked. Nobodys leaving money for [--] years and not moving it and collecting yield. Degens gonna degen" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1891005208668373431) 2025-02-16T06:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Buffett is diff. His NW is large enough where entering asset classes can be a hassle. Also theres tons of way to generate passive income without treasury bonds (of course it will require work and it will introduce of varying amounts of risk) but honestly in a bear market theres definitely enough time to really set something up thats relatively low risk and outperforms the rate you get from money market funds" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1891006522869567747) 2025-02-16T06:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@NigmaEra The milady because thats the one I saw when I followed you and the other anime ones just blend in with literally the other [--] thousand anime pfps on CT" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1891035012574671181) 2025-02-16T08:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I dumped my $KAITO genesis box for [--] (in the block right after the one that confirmed at 4AM UTC) but I decided to rebuy at 3s. Why Purely the wording on the tweet. "Both Yaps and the NFTs will have lasting roles in the Kaito ecosystem. Think long term - more details throughout the week" 75% dump on fp from [--] Even more from ATHs Team telling us to hold them (Maybe multiple snapshots) Anyway it's not that bad if it goes to [--] at least I still get the airdrop. The $KAITO Yaps snapshot (yapshot) has been taken as of 4AM UTC We will also be taking a snapshot for Kaito Genesis NFTs at 4AM UTC" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1891701420317082006) 2025-02-18T04:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@zackvoell This the worst shit I be reading rn because Im act pulling an all nighter rn so I can be awake during the Kaito launch" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1892485473521610996) 2025-02-20T08:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "They really started a perp dex meta and got everyone to farm points making them go delta neutral on some low OI alt coin dogshit just to liquidate them ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ Some updates from @HyperliquidX killers: Paradex Lighter Extended Aster Aster just doesnt bother making any announcements but there are hundreds of people in Discord having issues right now. https://t.co/i4LgfDRM4g Some updates from @HyperliquidX killers: Paradex Lighter Extended Aster Aster just doesnt bother making any announcements but there are hundreds of people in Discord having issues right now. https://t.co/i4LgfDRM4g" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1977014055744553104) 2025-10-11T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "BRO BEEN IN $SNX FOR [--] YEARS. HE WILL USE ANY MEANS OF DARK MAGIC TO GREEN CANDLE HIS HEAVIEST UNDERWATER BAG. THIS IS A TRADE YOU TAKE BASED ON DEGENPING'S VOODOO MAGIC ABILITIES. I rode it all the way up all the way back down and by [----] added more to my stack. Full on Bitcoin maximalist. Missed out on ETH simply because I didn't even know altcoins existed at the time. I got around to in [----] with SNX and that was the birth of my DeFi spirit. I rode it all the way up all the way back down and by [----] added more to my stack. Full on Bitcoin maximalist. Missed out on ETH simply because I" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1977441735836917955) 2025-10-12T18:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ventuals Can you share the contract address" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1978557840198435120) 2025-10-15T20:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@palis That's not what it's about lil bro they seeded the rewards pool $1M out of pocket + 87% of wallets got nothing so I expect the EV to be 60%+ of the fees paid not half of that at 30%" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1978973727846007003) 2025-10-16T23:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #8: Recurring Markets This is a bit of a more skill based trade and less obvious but once you get the hang of it you should be consistently profitting I've found another potential strategy you can consider on recurring markets especially with consistent results. A good example would be # of Musk tweets per week: Looking at the past: Oct 3rd market resolved at 240-259 Oct 7th market resolved at 300-319 Oct 10th market resolved at 280-299 Oct 14th market resolved at 240-259 Oct 17th market resolved at 180-199 Oct 21st market resolved at 260-279 The pattern Musk weekly" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1981130835995885919) 2025-10-22T22:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #9: Missile Launches Plenty of opportunity browsing new Polymarkets. The one that caught my attention was North Korean missile launches. Let's go over the data: - [--] qualifying missile launches occurred this year so far [--] right before the market launched. - NK averages launching 20-25 resolution qualifying missiles every year for the past [--] years. - The longest amount of days in a week they've launched missiles on was [--] they launched [--] missiles over the course of [--] days Nov 2nd 3rd 5th and 8th [----]. Months were NK launches high medium and low volumes of missiles: High:" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1981458041401713028) 2025-10-23T20:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #10: $MEGA MegaETH MegaETH is doing a raise soon and there is a Polymarket about it. The [--] conditions are that it must TGE and launch an airdrop before the date. Is an airdrop for MegaETH confirmed Sort of. From what I know there will be opportunities for sale participators to get additional tokens for free (airdrop). This isn't too important as the alpha here IMO is betting no so we don't need to learn what resolves to yes because we are doing a date. "No" for December 31st seems free to me. The MICA whitepaper for MegaETH (I'm pretty sure this is real) directly states" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1981856177857163714) 2025-10-24T22:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #11: More $MEGA Markets. MegaETH is starting it's raise on the 27th and more markets are opening up about it. Let's look at the facts. - Raising $50M - Max cap for the auction $999M FDV $4B FDV at the moment on Hyperliquid. - Min bid is $2650 max bid is $186282 For this market to resolve the MegaETH sale needs to be 38x overallo'd. How likely is this We don't have much data but one example would be the PumpFun raise at 4B FDV filled $1B extremely quickly despite no "guarantee" of profit (MegaETH is safer due to the fact there is a pre-market giving more information to" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1982247217604772015) 2025-10-26T00:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I just max bid $186282 into the MegaETH $MEGA sale. Why Alpha Drop: MegaETH - I believe bid size matters - I believe the earlier you get in the better - I want an allocation because MegaETH stands out to me as an L2 and want to be apart of the growth - I want to participate in the farming incentives and I'm pretty sure you need to have an allocation or at least have participated in the sale to be eligible for them Good luck to everyone bidding" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1982803841792762233) 2025-10-27T13:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop: $MEGA Update Probably my last alpha drop regarding $MEGA but I think the markets are severely mispriced especially the $1B market. Let's crunch the numbers here after almost [--] hours: - [-----] wallets have deposited thus far - $406M has been raised - [----] wallets chose to max deposit I get that the raise amount has slowed significantly but wasn't this common knowledge that most people were going to send on the last day The reality is that there are very few wallets on MegaETH right now and if it stays like this (it won't) MegaETH will likely be a giga cook. MegaETH can" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1982973546176377140) 2025-10-28T00:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #13: Polymarket US This is another yield play I feel. Somebody needs to just place a single trade on a Polymarket DCM. If you watch the interview with the Polymarket CMO on "against the odds" he states that depiste the government shutdown the sports version of Polymarket on US is pretty much guaranteed to launch this year. You make around 13% profit betting "Yes" and this can resolve earlier than the final day of the year it'll likely resolve late November/early December. Great yield play. https://x.com/farokh/status/1981426512260977094" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1983260561518334090) 2025-10-28T19:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop Update: Woke up to a pleasant surprise when I opened my account and found the shares I gamble bought resolved to "Yes". When I initially made the article I showed how North Korea can so multiple launches often very close to each other and also mentioned it was a decent gamble to take the end of Oct (main play was end of Nov which a market still hasn't opened for yet). The initial tweet came out when it was around 20% for "Yes". Of course 20% is a horrible gamble so I waited around until it reached the mid 2c range and just threw a little bit in. Main thing to be watching" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1983684453558788250) 2025-10-29T23:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@DidiTrading Unlimited opportunities on Polymarket" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1983953533839012272) 2025-10-30T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #14: Synthetix There's some opportunities here on the Synthetix trading competition and it will continue to provide opportunities as the competition goes on (ends in roughly [--] days). Example here: Both Kaleo and Eyearea "No" shares give some good yield. They both have basically zero'd their account and I couldn't find any rules about re-depositing so I'm assuming you cannot. Assuming you can't re-deposit there is no way they'll end up winning the competition. This will give you about 2% profit for holding shares for a single month giving around 24% APY and you get the" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1984317100375101604) 2025-10-31T17:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #15: Technicalities Lighter farming has been going on since the start of [----] and there's a market about when it's going to TGE. However the resolution rules are very interesting: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Ligher launches a token and performs an airdrop by December [--] [----] 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to 'No'." Lighter has stated many times that they are aiming for December [----] TGE. Worst case you will get around 8% profit in about [--] months. BUT. Nowhere in the rules states that it has to be the official Lighter governance coin. Lighter" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1985064904097702264) 2025-11-02T19:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #16: Perpswick EdgeX Another trading competition market was just launched. This one is notably shorter the latest the market is set to resolve is only a little over [--] days from now. You could play this market the same way I detailed for Synthetix but due to how short it is there's probably a better trading strategy. In my optinion due to the short trading time length of this competition and the lower grand prize every participant here is basically very inclined to hypergamble. But there only could be one winner. I imagine whoever strikes the first big PnL will have crazy" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1986129660699418715) 2025-11-05T17:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Personally going to fade. the redemption token is NOT cbstableUSDT doubt the overpeg will be the same phase [--] clearly is going to cook way more its way less depositors and a lot of insiders/team arguably 5k wallets is the minimum compared to the super low amount for phase [--] also generally hesitant towards new teams. I get that they rebranded and are backed but still https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1986328430825046496 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1986328430825046496" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1986328430825046496) 2025-11-06T07:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #17: 50/50 Plays This isn't your typical GTA market resolves 50-50 post. Everyone understands how the market resolves at this point. This is not a "clear" play or a buy it's just to show the opportunity that you can hedge yourself AGAINST disasters on these markets this isn't a typical play where you stand to make money but it's an opportunity to limit your own downside in case some crisis happens. GTA [--] was basically confirmed to be delayed until after the resolution date of this market July 31st [----]. However what many people don't realize is this provides a unique" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1986869144654934516) 2025-11-07T18:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I'm registered for the @Hivelive_ Polymarket Trading contest Registration ends in a few hours. Right now I'm the 2nd lowest on the leaderboard lol probably because of the slippage from my deposit. Perhaps I will be the biggest comeback story We'll see starting tomorrow" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1987321151979180255) 2025-11-09T00:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Hey sorry you got drained it sucks but perhaps we can figure out some more details to prevent this in the future. Would you mind sharing the drain transaction hash And also could you detail the exact flow of what happened after going on the website Did it auto download something Did it pop up a transaction Did you sign a gasless signature" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1987591497596985561) 2025-11-09T18:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Started low had a rough start but I'm currently 27th place in the @Hivelive_ Genesis Cup hosted by @betmoardotfun Here's my general thoughts and how I'm going to approach this competition: I've traded the Synthetix and EdgeX perp dex Polymarkets so I've seen how people approach risk for these competitions and formed a plan: - Don't compete with others compete with yourself. The reality is many people on the profitable leaderboards won't end up as profitable by the end of the week. In fact I believe that a majority of people will end up in a loss. Do not hypergamble trying to battle for first" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1987624084017119695) 2025-11-09T20:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@luishXYZ @Hivelive_ @_decap @frostnova0x @sigma_nft @VerrissimusPM @akafish00 @keni_degen @ProThonker The competition lasts an entire month luck always evens out in the end day [--] LB will look very different from the day [--] LB and the eventual final LB. Smart traders will win in the end so don't fret" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1987627033216926013) 2025-11-09T21:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Update #4: I placed one trade last night with about 20% of my challenge port and will DCA further if it keeps nuking. I bet "No" on the Government Shutdown ending November 12th. House meeting starts at [--] PM ET. Several of them with other administrations have bled the time to over midnight. Trump's previous house meeting in [----] took several hours about [--]. I also believe this house meeting will be relatively controversial compared to the other ones so that could cause further delays in the process. I was aware the price pumped last night to around 20% of my entry because Polymarket whale Ken" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1988641474141974638) 2025-11-12T16:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I contributed on writing this article some good general insights on stablecoins if anybody is new to DeFi and I do my best to explain why each stablecoin is priced accordingly on the @Polymarket and simplify the explanations so that anyone can understand. Thanks to @wasabiboat for help on the article Perhaps this will also be an interesting read for @blockworksres and @0xResearch Would be cool if you guys check it out as well. ๐ฎ STABLE Here are the [--] riskiest stablecoins according to Polymarket traders By @abcdefmlzy https://t.co/8DZqbLYDSO ๐ฎ STABLE Here are the [--] riskiest stablecoins" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1990842968370991299) 2025-11-18T18:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I've been working on this for quite awhile now It's a Discord server there's a Gitbook explaining all things Polymarket news monitors and a custom Musk tweet counter live right now for free. Let me know any bugs or suggestions. Musk tweet tracking is underrated. Notably @rakshitbv made over $1000 recently on manually counting the tweets. Our bot now displays that information to you instantly. PolySymmetry is launching today Information deserves to be shared to everyone. Multiple news monitors Musk tweet counters and more are live in our Discord server for free. https://t.co/mCA4IO5Lzs" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1991151046014411234) 2025-11-19T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #18: Mention Markets Brian is going to be speaking soon on December 17th for the Coinbase Product Showcase. There are some very obvious bonds here "Prediction Market" for example. Assuming this event occurs and isn't delayed Coinbase HAS been working on their own prediction market and will inevitably say that word during their showcase. Stuff like "Base Token" are worth to gamble 50/50 on I personally don't think he will mention the Base token Jesse is the one bringing that up and it's not something they're looking to actively discuss. "Echo" would be something they will" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1992686867872117105) 2025-11-23T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #19: Lighter Arbitrage. Lighter is likely to airdrop this year but what if you don't want to take a directional position The "Lighter airdrop by December 31st" Polymarket sells "No" shares for 41c each while the "Lighter FDV above 1B one day after launch" Polymarket is selling "Yes" for 52c although I'm confident you can fill both for lower. Because the FDV market also requires Lighter to airdrop this year your bids filled would put that approximately 7% return in a little over a month the only caveat being that Lighter will actually end over $1B FDV. However it is" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1993047413301379230) 2025-11-24T20:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #20: Resolution Rules I'm writing this tweet out extremely fast. Am I crazy or the market didn't read the rules The sale never started this should resolve 50-50 but they're dumping the Yes shares. DYOR please this is time sensitive so didn't have much time here GL" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1993322266298593778) 2025-11-25T14:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #21: Makina Sale I'm not quite sure traders are pricing this market in well. There's around [--] days left and it's a 3x if they get over $2M and it was sitting around 20c a few hours ago. The sale raised 1.35M so far but the resolution source the etherscan only raised about 1.1M. People don't like locking up capital. If the market stays ranging people WILL apply last second. And it should be enough to nearly double the public sale total commitments. I'd say the real odds are closer to 60-70% chance of happening not 34%. It's a good bet risk reward wise and the commits are" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1994843212205494691) 2025-11-29T18:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #22: Aztec Sale Apologies for the lack of posts recently I've been extremely busy travelling What has caught my attention was the Aztec sale though. It's about [----] ETH off at the moment with about [--] hours left. The spread is INSANE. There's bids at 45c and asks at 77c. Lot of volatility as people are unsure. I think this is a good play to bid low at the 50c range and catch a 2x. Based on the PREVIOUS sales: People ALWAYS deposit last moment People who want this market will win WILL ape (the max deposit is [---] ETH I think) Only [--] people need to max ape to win this bet." [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1997130253647405313) 2025-12-06T02:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #33: Kabuto 1st Edition Cards Been seeing lots of people on the TL saying this is a "free" lock for a manipulation play (Yes) where somebody can sweep until the daily average is $100+ but it's not so simple. Firstly this isn't like NFTs where the supply is easily seen. Truthfully there's not much data to show how much are actually circulating and ready to be sold. The original cost to sweep until $100 was $3k yesterday but has since doubled. Keep in mind the daily AVERAGE sale price needs to be $100 so this initial sweep would not even qualify. Also the fact is there are" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1997785909161574737) 2025-12-07T21:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Badge opinion coming ๐ I've been following the Polymarket data for awhile and would like to explain why I think the notional vol (aka shares traded on the platform effectively) is a fine metric maybe not for Dune but for users. Gonna quickly establish some stuff: I think it's important to realize the negative risk orderbook Poly has. If you bid for 0.1c shares you are also putting an ask at 99.9c. If somebody buys 99.9c shares your bid for 0.1c shares will get filled. Secondly upside is capped on Prediction markets. A share can ONLY be worth $1 50c or [--] at resolution. Unlike casinos slots" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1998454822547370079) 2025-12-09T18:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@DidiTrading This is decent and Im thinking similar not quite the same % allos but Id suggest that your real estate allocation not only be the down payment but also cover a years or twos rent too. You can put that extra money in fixed income/money market funds if you want" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1998804401667060191) 2025-12-10T17:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #24: Fogo FDV Fogo FDV markets are super interesting to me now that they JUST cancelled the $1B FDV presale and are airdropping instead. Honestly the fact that they cancelled the presale shows me there's not enough interest at $1B ICO. That could be worth trying to bond "No" here. Sentiment improving could (ironically) send it over $1B though if briefly. Would be more worth looking into this closer at launch so there's a better context with the market. If Fogo TGEs and is higher than 1B the "No" shares would crash and would be worth picking some up at the 60-70c range" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1999578679890923709) 2025-12-12T20:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MuddyRC Seems like theyve been working towards this for awhile now Super interesting looks like Polymarket is working towards launching their own L2 Saw this in the user support channel in the Discord. A separate L2 would mean less downtimes faster execution and just much more freedom to operate in general. Excited for this development https://t.co/yTHnLAjQUy Super interesting looks like Polymarket is working towards launching their own L2 Saw this in the user support channel in the Discord. A separate L2 would mean less downtimes faster execution and just much more freedom to operate in" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2001395578400326098) 2025-12-17T20:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop: Year In Review I figured as the year's wrapping up I would look back at my [--] alpha posts and see how they've aged/held up TL;DR for people trying to skim: I have about a 77.8% win rate for markets I have posted about that have resolved in the bet I outlined in the post. Here's the breakdown: Out of my [--] alpha posts [--] of them ended up resolving correctly to what I've personally said I bet on in the post. It might not sound like a lot but keep in mind a lot of them have yet to be resolved. A notably scary one was: Will Polymarket US launch this year I said it was" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2002793834724630761) 2025-12-21T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Merry Christmas everyone โค" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2004281963503608296) 2025-12-25T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Apologies for the inactivity I've been off for the holidays but I will say I have been following the Lighter markets and it's super interesting. There are arbs possible with the [--] "equivalent" markets IMO these all are essentially betting on the same thing but more so I've been watching how the December 29th market has been going as well as looking at what people discovered to try and see when they're airdropping. I have points for Lighter (not a lot but enough to care about when it drops) so just super interesting seeing stuff like LIT/USDC markets get pushed out and I'm genuinely curious if" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2005779514820026830) 2025-12-29T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #27: Fatigue Apologies for the inactivity was on break during the holidays. I'll be back and be posting more actively again Stumbled across this while scrolling. Surely this is fatigue from sellers unwilling to hold no Original rumored TGE date was January but I heard rumors now that it's March Even if there's a delay that's a far cry from June 30th [----]. I mean the team has to TGE at some point they're all vested raised money had people lock up for a year why would they delay it to Q3 [----] or later I mean if you believe that they're somehow gonna take longer than June" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2007540261279224134) 2026-01-03T19:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #28: New Markets The orderbook is thin but just want to make people more aware of why I think the FT odds are mispriced here. Firstly the timeline was supposed to be: sale first which has multiple phases then they're supposed to deposit the sale proceeds into Aave to generate yield and then eventually airdrop you NFTs which you can burn for a "refund" or you can claim for the token. They haven't even announced a presale date yet. (To my knowledge) First of all these guys will juice the yield I mean it's part of their "revenue" for that year that they use for the buybacks" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2008212610613653803) 2026-01-05T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This seems to outline the standard bulge bracket IB path but makes a lot of assumptioms here: Firstly why wouldnt the net worth compound Are IB analysts never going to invest Secondly what about EBs that pay significantly more PJT Evercore Turnover rate in banking is immensely high its unlikely theyll stay at that comp without trying to upgrade. Thirdly [--] is such an arbitrary age what if they transition to MF PE Their carry would amount to significant amounts by mid-late 30s. Lastly what if they do quant Quants who stay all that time will easily outperform IB/PE at ages 22-30 comp wise." [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2008768828725936630) 2026-01-07T05:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #29: USDai I swear I've written about USDai before but double checked and I haven't. I have an okay amount of USDai points (top [---] on the LB) and have been farming for a bit so I've kind of always been watching these markets. TLDR for non farmers USDai is probably going to TGE in Feb/March and you can align your points to be ICO or Airdrop (I'm leaning towards airdrop personally math just lines up better at lower FDVs). The ICO sale price itself has been set at $300M. While that technically can change unless disastrous market conditions happen I don't see why USDai will" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2009324236330906026) 2026-01-08T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #30: Ventuals If anyone else has farmed Ventuals here it might sound ridiculous but it's worth it to try and get some good fills for "No" in [----]. It's an interesting project but the truth is that the revenue generated is not great right now and they're going to need to build a while and increase metrics before they even consider TGE. Frankly I'm surprised the FDV market (which has an expiration of Dec 31st 2026) has shares selling for 31c at any FDV let alone being above $100M. If they do end up TGEing your points will be worth something although I don't think it's a" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2010029121892671725) 2026-01-10T16:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@moonbirds @xiavvy @solana @Collector_Crypt Do I need to redeem it physically to get the SBT Shipping here is extremely expensive" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2011172213278589090) 2026-01-13T20:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #31: MetaMask MetaMask just announced their points program and it's only SEASON [--]. They aren't even rewarding points to historical users more than 250k vol which most people easily washed essentially resetting everyone's historical work if they hard farmed. Given the fact it's Season [--] and how they're seemingly following the Opensea route I'm not confident that they will airdrop by the end of Q2 at all. Honestly am not confident they will even airdrop at the end of Q3 either. Opensea announced their token over a year ago and their points system and it's still not here" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2011853584455893012) 2026-01-15T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #32: Lighter Alright let's talk about $LIT. I think it has a very very high chance of hitting under $1.5 this year. First off think of that timeframe. Crypto routinely goes through disastrously low volumes sometimes multiple times in a year. How will the MMs hired to keep fees free react with absurdly low volumes How will metrics keep up after TGE There's a ton of unknowns here. Not saying Lighter is going to $0 but the fact that it only has to basically tap under $1.5 is a very convincing bet. I think the perp dex meta is giving ever more diminishing returns and a lot" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2012577421627715936) 2026-01-17T17:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #33: Theo Okay gonna be fudding Theo a bit here but I just don't think these FDV targets are realistic. 300M is much more unlikely than 50/50 and 100M is not a "lock". Let's go into the metrics. First of all the TVL isn't even necessarily growing and it's never even had an ATH at 300M. Secondly the token is consistently under peg the team doesn't really look to do anything about it I heard they ghost redemption tickets and are generally extremely stingy about their TVL. Bad sign. Third when are they going to launch Middle of the depths of the bear market Probably not a" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2013616218369073671) 2026-01-20T14:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #34: Trove Trove basically rugged and some markets opened up about whether refunds will happen or if the founders will be arrested by end of Q1. I think it's pretty much guaranteed that neither will happen. Barring the already low chance of crypto rug crimes resulting in arrest the ones that DO take way longer than [--] months in every jurisdiction. For the Squiggles NFT project for example they got arrested in December [----] that is literal years after their rug. There is pretty much not an example of somebody getting arrested from a crypto crime very soon assuming it was" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2014736928784941349) 2026-01-23T16:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "These are the worst tokenomics I have ever seen in my life. Tired of these projects adding everything that's technically "non team" tokens but basically are into the "community" pile. Who in the community cares a bit about "innovation" "value chain expansion" or a bunch of other buzz words That's literally worthless to everyone except the team. 65% "community" lmfao more like 65% team. W exit scam though https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016263818515460105 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016263818515460105" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2016263818515460105) 2026-01-27T21:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "You guys have to be the most incompetent project I've ever seen. Even projects that end up rugging get more work done than you guys. First of all what project launches with a 3% airdrop then gives Binance Alpha 12% a bunch of other exchanges even more supply and let them dump with low float Then you let everyone else get supply except the people you're supposed to airdrop You said claim was January 28th but couldn't even follow that rule Who TGEs if claim wasn't even ready "Prepared for this for months" my ass. Then your excuse for a founder "Spencer" just goes to ego trip with a bunch of" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2016743824396042536) 2026-01-29T05:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@CirrusNFT @UN0l1f3 @moonbirds Gm cirrus I sent you a DM that you might find interesting lmk thanks" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2017010037453947256) 2026-01-29T23:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@nukeyr @SynezFN I don't think so only because there's a bunch of shitcoins with like 500k market cap in there like BonkersMemeToken and some other weird ones like TacoCat. Seems odd they'd add those those are not top coins" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1884329961596792861) 2025-01-28T19:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@gainzy222 It is possible for Kalshis case. 90% of their volume is sports related and they charge exorbitant fees. Its basically a sports book with insane fees not a prediction market. Scroll to any non front page non sports markets and they all have [--] figure volume and no liquidity" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019097233619116422) 2026-02-04T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #35: $BIRB Birb is finally airdropping and honestly I'm kind of interested to see how it plays out. The main NFT mcap is about 50M and there's stuff like oddities etc that'd drive the mcap of the eco to be right around 100M for reference. I personally wanted to use this to hedge the airdrop but the market launched AFTER the Moonbirds fp pumped and died unfortunately so that's kind of out of the question here. Personally I think I would bond "No" a lot of the higher ones $300M $400M etc because if it actually is that price then that would mean great news for the airdrop." [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2015478023953469721) 2026-01-25T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket Alpha Drop #36: SPY I actually think SPY is a decent pick up here. Personally don't have much thoughts regarding gold gold just rallies hard and takes backseats for years on end. I actually think Bitcoin will not perform well this year and we may see Saylor be underwater for a good amount of time this year. I think the SPY will dip the least out of all of these choices in [----] which would make it have the "best performance". I do think [----] will be a bear market and am prepared for that accordingly. Not much to say beyond that personally super interested and following this I think" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2017327988116017620) 2026-01-30T20:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Super interesting. While it's still on testnet I'm much more interested in how the options functionality performs and not necessarily their "prediction markets". "Canonical markets based on objective settlement sources will be deployed once technical development is complete." Seems like that's coming first. Objective settlement sources would probably be price oracles or something along those lines IMO. I believe this will be more financialized quite sure you're most people are NOT going to be betting on who's winning the Super Bowl on Hyperliquid etc. Those kinds of bets already have massive" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2018392252846862567) 2026-02-02T18:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "RT @abcdefmlzy: @CarOnPolymarket Are you sure you spent any time digging You just basically word for word copied my post. Not that it too" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/2019647697397928159) 2026-02-06T05:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I was just verified on @PolymarketTrade Super grateful. Ever since I've started posting about Polymarket there's been so many opportunites for creating content and making safe trades on Polymarket. I'm glad to see everyone's enjoying the alpha drops I'll surely post more" [X Link](https://x.com/abcdefmlzy/status/1980294742031417362) 2025-10-20T15:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@abcdefmlzy FlyuFlyu posts on X about polymarket, token, prediction markets, alpha the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence cryptocurrencies 23% finance 21% exchanges #3347 nfts 7% technology brands 5% social networks 4% stocks 3% gaming 1%
Social topic influence polymarket #551, token #992, prediction markets #842, alpha 6%, crypto 5%, zoomer #76, $poly #24, if you 4%, in the 4%, money 4%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @publicequities @moonbirds @hivelive @caronpolymarket @polymarket @cryptoparadyme @cirrusnft @solana @tradingaxe @diditrading @frosen @strategy @ikaxbt @retentionjunkie @fundstrat @marknewtoncmt @fsinsight @fundstratcap @unusualwhales @blknoiz06
Top assets mentioned Alpha Technology Group Limited (ATGL) Polymath (POLY) Moonbirds (moonbirds) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Litentry (LIT) Solana (SOL) Bitcoin (BTC) Strategy (MSTR) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Axion (AXN) APED (APED) KAITO (KAITO)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Opinion $OPN TGE must be soon. IMO the metrics for Opinion seem fairly inflated will be curious to see how volume and DAU perform post TGE. Was it real usage or not This will be the first semi-serious prediction market to TGE. Will be following and posting more thoughts post TGE. Assets added to the roadmap today: OPINION (OPN) https://t.co/lyEugQo7Cv Assets added to the roadmap today: OPINION (OPN) https://t.co/lyEugQo7Cv"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"How do you actually farm for $POLY Recently there's been a big push from the Polymarket team talking about the $POLY token. IMO most of it are just fun jokes like the vibecoding one but the reality is the token has been increasingly talked about recently. The first genuine mention was about [--] months ago when the CMO went on a podcast and talked about the airdrop and how it's confirmed and they want to make sure it's good. Snapshot not taken is also confirmed. So what can you do as a user to set yourself up well for the upcoming airdrop Simply put - the best way to farm is to NOT farm it at"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Saylor is going to be grasping at straws to try and save BTC during this MSTR earnings call. ๐ I do think Strategy will survive the bear but will be tuning in to see what he has to say"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Very interesting day to pick for yield calculations @Strategy ๐ญ"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"So Bitcoins recent local bottom was a -50% ATH. Alts have been slammed even harder. ICOs immediately open under the sale price. Airdrops start at lower valuations than the pre markets priced in. http://x.com/i/article/2020587976690958336 http://x.com/i/article/2020587976690958336"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This can be potentially useful to evaluate bearish/bullish sentiments on a variety of asset classes. There is definitely a real edge to those who spend exorbitant amounts of time online especially in specific sectors like crypto. Consensus opinions can form faster. I wonder how things will change if information becomes that much more efficient. Will there really be non consensus opinions on popular topics anymore ZOOMER POLYMARKET TO VENTURE INTO ATTENTION MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO BET ON TRENDS AND PUBLIC OPINION: FORBES ZOOMER POLYMARKET TO VENTURE INTO ATTENTION MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Ultra based. Everyone trading PMs was stabled up during this whole crash and now they might be in for a surprise too. ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC"
X Link 2026-02-06T00:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CarOnPolymarket Are you sure you spent any time digging You just basically word for word copied my post. Not that it took that much research but kind of shameless just to rip it. Wouldve appreciated if you at least tagged me or anything. Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks if anyone's curious to learn more. Several filings done for "Polymarket" "The World's Greatest Prediction Market" etc were filled last week or so but at around [--] PM ET today the words "$POLY" and "POLY" were filed. What's Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks if anyone's curious to learn more."
X Link 2026-02-06T05:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Whats interesting about Polymarket is that visits may be active users but they can also be people just purely interested in the odds of world events. Similar to people checking stock prices on Robinhood or crypto prices on Coinbase. Very few companies can solidify themselves as being the place to check for information while also providing the service to trade on them too. That in it of itself is immensely valuable. Serious business. https://t.co/RcF4leTZ2x Serious business. https://t.co/RcF4leTZ2x"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Liquidity provision is very valuable. Lighter did something similar with market makers and the $LIT token. Equity is not the same thing as a token but it's important to understand how valuable liquidity is. ZOOMER JUMP TRADING TO ACQUIRE A STAKE IN POLYMARKET IN EXCHANGE FOR PROVIDING LIQUIDITY: BBG ZOOMER JUMP TRADING TO ACQUIRE A STAKE IN POLYMARKET IN EXCHANGE FOR PROVIDING LIQUIDITY: BBG"
X Link 2026-02-09T19:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Incredible too that all the BTC [--] minute markets have great liquidity too. The natural next step is [--] minute markets. Great leaps towards general price efficiency are being done. Fees are healthy for Polymarket in general as well. ZOOMER POLYMARKET EXPANDS CRYPTO PRICE MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO BET WHETHER COINS WILL TRADE UP OR DOWN IN THE NEXT [--] MINUTES: PRESS RELEASE ZOOMER POLYMARKET EXPANDS CRYPTO PRICE MARKETS ALLOWING USERS TO BET WHETHER COINS WILL TRADE UP OR DOWN IN THE NEXT [--] MINUTES: PRESS RELEASE"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket is the only dapp worth focusing on farming or not. Perps trading will only get more and more difficult into the bear market as volume dies and prices just chop for longer. There will always be another event to predict and have an edge on. Learning to genuinely trade prediction markets is one of the most productive things you can do during the bear. Day 437: Current airdrop farming list Stick to these [--] and you'll outperform 99% https://t.co/ENKmTthtTz Day 437: Current airdrop farming list Stick to these [--] and you'll outperform 99% https://t.co/ENKmTthtTz"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Did some digging into the $POLY token trademarks if anyone's curious to learn more. Several filings done for "Polymarket" "The World's Greatest Prediction Market" etc were filled last week or so but at around [--] PM ET today the words "$POLY" and "POLY" were filed. What's notable is that under the goods and services it was filed for "Cryptocurrency services namely providing a digital currency or digital token for use by members of an on-line community via a global computer network; cryptocurrency services namely providing a digital currency or digital token incorporating cryptographic protocols"
X Link 2026-02-06T03:40Z [---] followers, 11.2K engagements
"Super interesting data some comments: 1.) I believe HYPE has way more delta neutral/arb farmers. It is significantly easier to arb funding rates on leveraged positions than it is to arb books on prediction markets (which naturally have slightly different resolution rules). A lot of wallets farming funding would make the win rate higher. Generally people would short on hyperliquid and long/buy spot on other exchanges which has been performing pretty well the last few months. 2.) The data shows that Polymarket is significantly more friendly to use and understand but Hyperliquid is not. Hence"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ika_xbt @retentionjunkie @Polymarket This is because the stock market closes on the weekends and theres far less up or down markets to LP on. Also generally most new reward markets are added during the weekday"
X Link 2026-02-15T22:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@fundstrat @MarkNewtonCMT @fs_insight @FundstratCap Not to fud but your quant changed the trendline. The original one he sent started in Late June which if it taps that line would put ETH at about $4.15k The new one you just posted started its trendline in August because the older one had a lower "bottom"๐โ"
X Link 2025-08-26T01:17Z [---] followers, 19K engagements
"@public_equities Bro is singlehandedly tryna take this company down. W mans"
X Link 2025-08-26T17:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CryptoParadyme There are definitely a lot of signs here but also you've said in other tweets that you plan to long the pullback in Sept and ride into Q4 Just curious why you'd think that'd still play out given a lot of your charts are possibly hinting at a cycle top"
X Link 2025-08-29T19:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@unusual_whales Peter Thiel is definitely planning something right now. @public_equities we need to stop this"
X Link 2025-08-30T02:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoParadyme @blknoiz06 Same imma wait tbh ๐ญ am not forgiving myself if I buy the fucking top"
X Link 2025-09-02T05:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Hyperliquid_In It may in fact be over"
X Link 2025-09-02T14:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@public_equities Only to deleverage. Direction should remain the same"
X Link 2025-09-02T21:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"What if Gainzy actually misclicked but it was a misclick because he was trying to fullstack the $gnzystrm holdings on a smaller bundled wallet but the Pumpswap UI didn't change his wallet so he accidentally fullstacked his main ๐ค๐ค๐ค"
X Link 2025-09-03T22:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TPointUK I hope Charlie Kirk can pull through but why are there conflicting headlines about his status"
X Link 2025-09-10T19:53Z [---] followers, 145.9K engagements
"@ReetikaTrades Previous bull market CT feed: why I got a declined a [---] WETH offer on my NFT and will only accept 7500+ WETH This bull market CT feed: ๐งต๐ heres how I managed to make $5000 in [--] hours with devving memecoins *axion PnL with edit"
X Link 2025-09-11T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If you weren't there at drop time and missed the first minute to pledge for $LIMITLESS please stop and instead use that money to ape it on TGE. Thanks"
X Link 2025-09-25T16:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"What the actual fuck. You are losing 70% if you hold through the staked kato hedge position + getting it unstaked and back in your wallet. $LIMITLESS $LMNT can NOT be this worth it bro ๐ญโ WTF ARE YOU SUPPOSED TO DO (talking to myself)"
X Link 2025-09-27T19:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@0xY10_ [--] reaction for the first [--] days on KAITO suddenly just started liquidating people and now its more worth being naked than hedging actually insane fraud happening rn"
X Link 2025-09-27T20:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I am a top [--] staker (definitely way over but cba to check) completely unhedged have allo aped into $LIMITLESS was top 15th fastest to enter and now I cannot even hedge my staked allo because otherwise you have to pay nearly 9% of your position size every [--] hours to keep it open What the actual fuck am I supposed to do ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ What the actual fuck. You are losing 70% if you hold through the staked kato hedge position + getting it unstaked and back in your wallet. $LIMITLESS $LMNT can NOT be this worth it bro ๐ญโ WTF ARE YOU SUPPOSED TO DO (talking to myself)"
X Link 2025-09-28T03:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CirrusNFT @moonbirds @solana Real. The boxes can be revealed to be socks but with $BIRB and Id still be happy โ"
X Link 2025-10-02T15:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"THIS IS SO FUCKING ASS ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ I'VE STAKED NEARLY [--] FIGS IN KAITO ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ I PUSHED A TON OF VOLUME ON LIMITLESS ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅI'VE MADE MORE OFF KAITO AND THE NFT MOONSHOTTING THAN I WILL OFF THIS PRESALE ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-10-08T12:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@shady_oak1 @trylimitless There is they have [--] "markets" One is like what you expect polymarket to look like One is like their own weird thing with no orderbooks just infinite buyable shares It's weird those markets only appear for hourly markets on crypto that are NOT BTC"
X Link 2025-10-11T01:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@trading_axe was not lying about the dark magic. Pings voice changer sounds like a demon from The Exorcist. This was done intentionally make no mistake. Hes also literally talking to a weird fox thing. All of this is demonic. Before I watch any more interviews I will need video proof of @DegenPing being exorcised. โฆ"
X Link 2025-10-16T20:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This entire tweet is verifiably false and full of lies super dishonest. The value of the grand prize was only about 12.5% of the pool size. 0x1ebff5bf472ecce64304aefe223ade96f55926c5 0x5605a022ae51691260b83592243545f7dbcc0b74 0xa2fc44e298d3db96773085cf51baeeaa50298f69 Steel chests and below (2.2M of fees) were not given anything. I assume this was instead pocketed into your guys's personal wallets instead of redistributed to the higher tiers. The math doesn't lie. The average user should receive 60%+ of their fees paid back in prizes even accounting for token price drops. The real average is"
X Link 2025-10-16T23:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@FourVork @AzFlin This is omega obvious then no 100M of MET being offered at $0.5 launch price undoubtedly snipers buying and insta selling will be over $28M vol"
X Link 2025-10-17T00:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@hesh3skr @trading_axe UAE announced first. but did Saudi's buy first ๐"
X Link 2025-02-14T17:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Am I tripping or is this just not great Disclaimer Im assuming youre recommending fullport generating yield off your cash and talking as if the post tax net worth is $1M. $50K a year should cover your expenses but keep in mind there will be variance with treasury bonds rates you give up the opportunity cost of being able to enter anything in those years (unless you send your bond before maturity). I myself am struggling on planning what exactly to do with my money definitely not entering back into memecoins but also long term cash yield just seems very low in comparison to how many great"
X Link 2025-02-16T05:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Yeahhh see thats what Im thinking too. Great to park while you wait for major dips but long term Not a very great strategy to rely on (unless your net worth is that high where entering asset classes is a pain) Also lets just be honest here. Everyones attention span is cooked. Nobodys leaving money for [--] years and not moving it and collecting yield. Degens gonna degen"
X Link 2025-02-16T06:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Buffett is diff. His NW is large enough where entering asset classes can be a hassle. Also theres tons of way to generate passive income without treasury bonds (of course it will require work and it will introduce of varying amounts of risk) but honestly in a bear market theres definitely enough time to really set something up thats relatively low risk and outperforms the rate you get from money market funds"
X Link 2025-02-16T06:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@NigmaEra The milady because thats the one I saw when I followed you and the other anime ones just blend in with literally the other [--] thousand anime pfps on CT"
X Link 2025-02-16T08:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I dumped my $KAITO genesis box for [--] (in the block right after the one that confirmed at 4AM UTC) but I decided to rebuy at 3s. Why Purely the wording on the tweet. "Both Yaps and the NFTs will have lasting roles in the Kaito ecosystem. Think long term - more details throughout the week" 75% dump on fp from [--] Even more from ATHs Team telling us to hold them (Maybe multiple snapshots) Anyway it's not that bad if it goes to [--] at least I still get the airdrop. The $KAITO Yaps snapshot (yapshot) has been taken as of 4AM UTC We will also be taking a snapshot for Kaito Genesis NFTs at 4AM UTC"
X Link 2025-02-18T04:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@zackvoell This the worst shit I be reading rn because Im act pulling an all nighter rn so I can be awake during the Kaito launch"
X Link 2025-02-20T08:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"They really started a perp dex meta and got everyone to farm points making them go delta neutral on some low OI alt coin dogshit just to liquidate them ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ Some updates from @HyperliquidX killers: Paradex Lighter Extended Aster Aster just doesnt bother making any announcements but there are hundreds of people in Discord having issues right now. https://t.co/i4LgfDRM4g Some updates from @HyperliquidX killers: Paradex Lighter Extended Aster Aster just doesnt bother making any announcements but there are hundreds of people in Discord having issues right now. https://t.co/i4LgfDRM4g"
X Link 2025-10-11T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"BRO BEEN IN $SNX FOR [--] YEARS. HE WILL USE ANY MEANS OF DARK MAGIC TO GREEN CANDLE HIS HEAVIEST UNDERWATER BAG. THIS IS A TRADE YOU TAKE BASED ON DEGENPING'S VOODOO MAGIC ABILITIES. I rode it all the way up all the way back down and by [----] added more to my stack. Full on Bitcoin maximalist. Missed out on ETH simply because I didn't even know altcoins existed at the time. I got around to in [----] with SNX and that was the birth of my DeFi spirit. I rode it all the way up all the way back down and by [----] added more to my stack. Full on Bitcoin maximalist. Missed out on ETH simply because I"
X Link 2025-10-12T18:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ventuals Can you share the contract address"
X Link 2025-10-15T20:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@palis That's not what it's about lil bro they seeded the rewards pool $1M out of pocket + 87% of wallets got nothing so I expect the EV to be 60%+ of the fees paid not half of that at 30%"
X Link 2025-10-16T23:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #8: Recurring Markets This is a bit of a more skill based trade and less obvious but once you get the hang of it you should be consistently profitting I've found another potential strategy you can consider on recurring markets especially with consistent results. A good example would be # of Musk tweets per week: Looking at the past: Oct 3rd market resolved at 240-259 Oct 7th market resolved at 300-319 Oct 10th market resolved at 280-299 Oct 14th market resolved at 240-259 Oct 17th market resolved at 180-199 Oct 21st market resolved at 260-279 The pattern Musk weekly"
X Link 2025-10-22T22:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #9: Missile Launches Plenty of opportunity browsing new Polymarkets. The one that caught my attention was North Korean missile launches. Let's go over the data: - [--] qualifying missile launches occurred this year so far [--] right before the market launched. - NK averages launching 20-25 resolution qualifying missiles every year for the past [--] years. - The longest amount of days in a week they've launched missiles on was [--] they launched [--] missiles over the course of [--] days Nov 2nd 3rd 5th and 8th [----]. Months were NK launches high medium and low volumes of missiles: High:"
X Link 2025-10-23T20:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #10: $MEGA MegaETH MegaETH is doing a raise soon and there is a Polymarket about it. The [--] conditions are that it must TGE and launch an airdrop before the date. Is an airdrop for MegaETH confirmed Sort of. From what I know there will be opportunities for sale participators to get additional tokens for free (airdrop). This isn't too important as the alpha here IMO is betting no so we don't need to learn what resolves to yes because we are doing a date. "No" for December 31st seems free to me. The MICA whitepaper for MegaETH (I'm pretty sure this is real) directly states"
X Link 2025-10-24T22:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #11: More $MEGA Markets. MegaETH is starting it's raise on the 27th and more markets are opening up about it. Let's look at the facts. - Raising $50M - Max cap for the auction $999M FDV $4B FDV at the moment on Hyperliquid. - Min bid is $2650 max bid is $186282 For this market to resolve the MegaETH sale needs to be 38x overallo'd. How likely is this We don't have much data but one example would be the PumpFun raise at 4B FDV filled $1B extremely quickly despite no "guarantee" of profit (MegaETH is safer due to the fact there is a pre-market giving more information to"
X Link 2025-10-26T00:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I just max bid $186282 into the MegaETH $MEGA sale. Why Alpha Drop: MegaETH - I believe bid size matters - I believe the earlier you get in the better - I want an allocation because MegaETH stands out to me as an L2 and want to be apart of the growth - I want to participate in the farming incentives and I'm pretty sure you need to have an allocation or at least have participated in the sale to be eligible for them Good luck to everyone bidding"
X Link 2025-10-27T13:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop: $MEGA Update Probably my last alpha drop regarding $MEGA but I think the markets are severely mispriced especially the $1B market. Let's crunch the numbers here after almost [--] hours: - [-----] wallets have deposited thus far - $406M has been raised - [----] wallets chose to max deposit I get that the raise amount has slowed significantly but wasn't this common knowledge that most people were going to send on the last day The reality is that there are very few wallets on MegaETH right now and if it stays like this (it won't) MegaETH will likely be a giga cook. MegaETH can"
X Link 2025-10-28T00:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #13: Polymarket US This is another yield play I feel. Somebody needs to just place a single trade on a Polymarket DCM. If you watch the interview with the Polymarket CMO on "against the odds" he states that depiste the government shutdown the sports version of Polymarket on US is pretty much guaranteed to launch this year. You make around 13% profit betting "Yes" and this can resolve earlier than the final day of the year it'll likely resolve late November/early December. Great yield play. https://x.com/farokh/status/1981426512260977094"
X Link 2025-10-28T19:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop Update: Woke up to a pleasant surprise when I opened my account and found the shares I gamble bought resolved to "Yes". When I initially made the article I showed how North Korea can so multiple launches often very close to each other and also mentioned it was a decent gamble to take the end of Oct (main play was end of Nov which a market still hasn't opened for yet). The initial tweet came out when it was around 20% for "Yes". Of course 20% is a horrible gamble so I waited around until it reached the mid 2c range and just threw a little bit in. Main thing to be watching"
X Link 2025-10-29T23:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@DidiTrading Unlimited opportunities on Polymarket"
X Link 2025-10-30T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #14: Synthetix There's some opportunities here on the Synthetix trading competition and it will continue to provide opportunities as the competition goes on (ends in roughly [--] days). Example here: Both Kaleo and Eyearea "No" shares give some good yield. They both have basically zero'd their account and I couldn't find any rules about re-depositing so I'm assuming you cannot. Assuming you can't re-deposit there is no way they'll end up winning the competition. This will give you about 2% profit for holding shares for a single month giving around 24% APY and you get the"
X Link 2025-10-31T17:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #15: Technicalities Lighter farming has been going on since the start of [----] and there's a market about when it's going to TGE. However the resolution rules are very interesting: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Ligher launches a token and performs an airdrop by December [--] [----] 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to 'No'." Lighter has stated many times that they are aiming for December [----] TGE. Worst case you will get around 8% profit in about [--] months. BUT. Nowhere in the rules states that it has to be the official Lighter governance coin. Lighter"
X Link 2025-11-02T19:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #16: Perpswick EdgeX Another trading competition market was just launched. This one is notably shorter the latest the market is set to resolve is only a little over [--] days from now. You could play this market the same way I detailed for Synthetix but due to how short it is there's probably a better trading strategy. In my optinion due to the short trading time length of this competition and the lower grand prize every participant here is basically very inclined to hypergamble. But there only could be one winner. I imagine whoever strikes the first big PnL will have crazy"
X Link 2025-11-05T17:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Personally going to fade. the redemption token is NOT cbstableUSDT doubt the overpeg will be the same phase [--] clearly is going to cook way more its way less depositors and a lot of insiders/team arguably 5k wallets is the minimum compared to the super low amount for phase [--] also generally hesitant towards new teams. I get that they rebranded and are backed but still https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1986328430825046496 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1986328430825046496"
X Link 2025-11-06T07:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #17: 50/50 Plays This isn't your typical GTA market resolves 50-50 post. Everyone understands how the market resolves at this point. This is not a "clear" play or a buy it's just to show the opportunity that you can hedge yourself AGAINST disasters on these markets this isn't a typical play where you stand to make money but it's an opportunity to limit your own downside in case some crisis happens. GTA [--] was basically confirmed to be delayed until after the resolution date of this market July 31st [----]. However what many people don't realize is this provides a unique"
X Link 2025-11-07T18:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm registered for the @Hivelive_ Polymarket Trading contest Registration ends in a few hours. Right now I'm the 2nd lowest on the leaderboard lol probably because of the slippage from my deposit. Perhaps I will be the biggest comeback story We'll see starting tomorrow"
X Link 2025-11-09T00:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Hey sorry you got drained it sucks but perhaps we can figure out some more details to prevent this in the future. Would you mind sharing the drain transaction hash And also could you detail the exact flow of what happened after going on the website Did it auto download something Did it pop up a transaction Did you sign a gasless signature"
X Link 2025-11-09T18:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Started low had a rough start but I'm currently 27th place in the @Hivelive_ Genesis Cup hosted by @betmoardotfun Here's my general thoughts and how I'm going to approach this competition: I've traded the Synthetix and EdgeX perp dex Polymarkets so I've seen how people approach risk for these competitions and formed a plan: - Don't compete with others compete with yourself. The reality is many people on the profitable leaderboards won't end up as profitable by the end of the week. In fact I believe that a majority of people will end up in a loss. Do not hypergamble trying to battle for first"
X Link 2025-11-09T20:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@luishXYZ @Hivelive_ @_decap @frostnova0x @sigma_nft @VerrissimusPM @akafish00 @keni_degen @ProThonker The competition lasts an entire month luck always evens out in the end day [--] LB will look very different from the day [--] LB and the eventual final LB. Smart traders will win in the end so don't fret"
X Link 2025-11-09T21:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Update #4: I placed one trade last night with about 20% of my challenge port and will DCA further if it keeps nuking. I bet "No" on the Government Shutdown ending November 12th. House meeting starts at [--] PM ET. Several of them with other administrations have bled the time to over midnight. Trump's previous house meeting in [----] took several hours about [--]. I also believe this house meeting will be relatively controversial compared to the other ones so that could cause further delays in the process. I was aware the price pumped last night to around 20% of my entry because Polymarket whale Ken"
X Link 2025-11-12T16:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I contributed on writing this article some good general insights on stablecoins if anybody is new to DeFi and I do my best to explain why each stablecoin is priced accordingly on the @Polymarket and simplify the explanations so that anyone can understand. Thanks to @wasabiboat for help on the article Perhaps this will also be an interesting read for @blockworksres and @0xResearch Would be cool if you guys check it out as well. ๐ฎ STABLE Here are the [--] riskiest stablecoins according to Polymarket traders By @abcdefmlzy https://t.co/8DZqbLYDSO ๐ฎ STABLE Here are the [--] riskiest stablecoins"
X Link 2025-11-18T18:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I've been working on this for quite awhile now It's a Discord server there's a Gitbook explaining all things Polymarket news monitors and a custom Musk tweet counter live right now for free. Let me know any bugs or suggestions. Musk tweet tracking is underrated. Notably @rakshitbv made over $1000 recently on manually counting the tweets. Our bot now displays that information to you instantly. PolySymmetry is launching today Information deserves to be shared to everyone. Multiple news monitors Musk tweet counters and more are live in our Discord server for free. https://t.co/mCA4IO5Lzs"
X Link 2025-11-19T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #18: Mention Markets Brian is going to be speaking soon on December 17th for the Coinbase Product Showcase. There are some very obvious bonds here "Prediction Market" for example. Assuming this event occurs and isn't delayed Coinbase HAS been working on their own prediction market and will inevitably say that word during their showcase. Stuff like "Base Token" are worth to gamble 50/50 on I personally don't think he will mention the Base token Jesse is the one bringing that up and it's not something they're looking to actively discuss. "Echo" would be something they will"
X Link 2025-11-23T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #19: Lighter Arbitrage. Lighter is likely to airdrop this year but what if you don't want to take a directional position The "Lighter airdrop by December 31st" Polymarket sells "No" shares for 41c each while the "Lighter FDV above 1B one day after launch" Polymarket is selling "Yes" for 52c although I'm confident you can fill both for lower. Because the FDV market also requires Lighter to airdrop this year your bids filled would put that approximately 7% return in a little over a month the only caveat being that Lighter will actually end over $1B FDV. However it is"
X Link 2025-11-24T20:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #20: Resolution Rules I'm writing this tweet out extremely fast. Am I crazy or the market didn't read the rules The sale never started this should resolve 50-50 but they're dumping the Yes shares. DYOR please this is time sensitive so didn't have much time here GL"
X Link 2025-11-25T14:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #21: Makina Sale I'm not quite sure traders are pricing this market in well. There's around [--] days left and it's a 3x if they get over $2M and it was sitting around 20c a few hours ago. The sale raised 1.35M so far but the resolution source the etherscan only raised about 1.1M. People don't like locking up capital. If the market stays ranging people WILL apply last second. And it should be enough to nearly double the public sale total commitments. I'd say the real odds are closer to 60-70% chance of happening not 34%. It's a good bet risk reward wise and the commits are"
X Link 2025-11-29T18:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #22: Aztec Sale Apologies for the lack of posts recently I've been extremely busy travelling What has caught my attention was the Aztec sale though. It's about [----] ETH off at the moment with about [--] hours left. The spread is INSANE. There's bids at 45c and asks at 77c. Lot of volatility as people are unsure. I think this is a good play to bid low at the 50c range and catch a 2x. Based on the PREVIOUS sales: People ALWAYS deposit last moment People who want this market will win WILL ape (the max deposit is [---] ETH I think) Only [--] people need to max ape to win this bet."
X Link 2025-12-06T02:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #33: Kabuto 1st Edition Cards Been seeing lots of people on the TL saying this is a "free" lock for a manipulation play (Yes) where somebody can sweep until the daily average is $100+ but it's not so simple. Firstly this isn't like NFTs where the supply is easily seen. Truthfully there's not much data to show how much are actually circulating and ready to be sold. The original cost to sweep until $100 was $3k yesterday but has since doubled. Keep in mind the daily AVERAGE sale price needs to be $100 so this initial sweep would not even qualify. Also the fact is there are"
X Link 2025-12-07T21:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Badge opinion coming ๐ I've been following the Polymarket data for awhile and would like to explain why I think the notional vol (aka shares traded on the platform effectively) is a fine metric maybe not for Dune but for users. Gonna quickly establish some stuff: I think it's important to realize the negative risk orderbook Poly has. If you bid for 0.1c shares you are also putting an ask at 99.9c. If somebody buys 99.9c shares your bid for 0.1c shares will get filled. Secondly upside is capped on Prediction markets. A share can ONLY be worth $1 50c or [--] at resolution. Unlike casinos slots"
X Link 2025-12-09T18:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DidiTrading This is decent and Im thinking similar not quite the same % allos but Id suggest that your real estate allocation not only be the down payment but also cover a years or twos rent too. You can put that extra money in fixed income/money market funds if you want"
X Link 2025-12-10T17:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #24: Fogo FDV Fogo FDV markets are super interesting to me now that they JUST cancelled the $1B FDV presale and are airdropping instead. Honestly the fact that they cancelled the presale shows me there's not enough interest at $1B ICO. That could be worth trying to bond "No" here. Sentiment improving could (ironically) send it over $1B though if briefly. Would be more worth looking into this closer at launch so there's a better context with the market. If Fogo TGEs and is higher than 1B the "No" shares would crash and would be worth picking some up at the 60-70c range"
X Link 2025-12-12T20:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MuddyRC Seems like theyve been working towards this for awhile now Super interesting looks like Polymarket is working towards launching their own L2 Saw this in the user support channel in the Discord. A separate L2 would mean less downtimes faster execution and just much more freedom to operate in general. Excited for this development https://t.co/yTHnLAjQUy Super interesting looks like Polymarket is working towards launching their own L2 Saw this in the user support channel in the Discord. A separate L2 would mean less downtimes faster execution and just much more freedom to operate in"
X Link 2025-12-17T20:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop: Year In Review I figured as the year's wrapping up I would look back at my [--] alpha posts and see how they've aged/held up TL;DR for people trying to skim: I have about a 77.8% win rate for markets I have posted about that have resolved in the bet I outlined in the post. Here's the breakdown: Out of my [--] alpha posts [--] of them ended up resolving correctly to what I've personally said I bet on in the post. It might not sound like a lot but keep in mind a lot of them have yet to be resolved. A notably scary one was: Will Polymarket US launch this year I said it was"
X Link 2025-12-21T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Merry Christmas everyone โค"
X Link 2025-12-25T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Apologies for the inactivity I've been off for the holidays but I will say I have been following the Lighter markets and it's super interesting. There are arbs possible with the [--] "equivalent" markets IMO these all are essentially betting on the same thing but more so I've been watching how the December 29th market has been going as well as looking at what people discovered to try and see when they're airdropping. I have points for Lighter (not a lot but enough to care about when it drops) so just super interesting seeing stuff like LIT/USDC markets get pushed out and I'm genuinely curious if"
X Link 2025-12-29T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #27: Fatigue Apologies for the inactivity was on break during the holidays. I'll be back and be posting more actively again Stumbled across this while scrolling. Surely this is fatigue from sellers unwilling to hold no Original rumored TGE date was January but I heard rumors now that it's March Even if there's a delay that's a far cry from June 30th [----]. I mean the team has to TGE at some point they're all vested raised money had people lock up for a year why would they delay it to Q3 [----] or later I mean if you believe that they're somehow gonna take longer than June"
X Link 2026-01-03T19:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #28: New Markets The orderbook is thin but just want to make people more aware of why I think the FT odds are mispriced here. Firstly the timeline was supposed to be: sale first which has multiple phases then they're supposed to deposit the sale proceeds into Aave to generate yield and then eventually airdrop you NFTs which you can burn for a "refund" or you can claim for the token. They haven't even announced a presale date yet. (To my knowledge) First of all these guys will juice the yield I mean it's part of their "revenue" for that year that they use for the buybacks"
X Link 2026-01-05T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This seems to outline the standard bulge bracket IB path but makes a lot of assumptioms here: Firstly why wouldnt the net worth compound Are IB analysts never going to invest Secondly what about EBs that pay significantly more PJT Evercore Turnover rate in banking is immensely high its unlikely theyll stay at that comp without trying to upgrade. Thirdly [--] is such an arbitrary age what if they transition to MF PE Their carry would amount to significant amounts by mid-late 30s. Lastly what if they do quant Quants who stay all that time will easily outperform IB/PE at ages 22-30 comp wise."
X Link 2026-01-07T05:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #29: USDai I swear I've written about USDai before but double checked and I haven't. I have an okay amount of USDai points (top [---] on the LB) and have been farming for a bit so I've kind of always been watching these markets. TLDR for non farmers USDai is probably going to TGE in Feb/March and you can align your points to be ICO or Airdrop (I'm leaning towards airdrop personally math just lines up better at lower FDVs). The ICO sale price itself has been set at $300M. While that technically can change unless disastrous market conditions happen I don't see why USDai will"
X Link 2026-01-08T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #30: Ventuals If anyone else has farmed Ventuals here it might sound ridiculous but it's worth it to try and get some good fills for "No" in [----]. It's an interesting project but the truth is that the revenue generated is not great right now and they're going to need to build a while and increase metrics before they even consider TGE. Frankly I'm surprised the FDV market (which has an expiration of Dec 31st 2026) has shares selling for 31c at any FDV let alone being above $100M. If they do end up TGEing your points will be worth something although I don't think it's a"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@moonbirds @xiavvy @solana @Collector_Crypt Do I need to redeem it physically to get the SBT Shipping here is extremely expensive"
X Link 2026-01-13T20:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #31: MetaMask MetaMask just announced their points program and it's only SEASON [--]. They aren't even rewarding points to historical users more than 250k vol which most people easily washed essentially resetting everyone's historical work if they hard farmed. Given the fact it's Season [--] and how they're seemingly following the Opensea route I'm not confident that they will airdrop by the end of Q2 at all. Honestly am not confident they will even airdrop at the end of Q3 either. Opensea announced their token over a year ago and their points system and it's still not here"
X Link 2026-01-15T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #32: Lighter Alright let's talk about $LIT. I think it has a very very high chance of hitting under $1.5 this year. First off think of that timeframe. Crypto routinely goes through disastrously low volumes sometimes multiple times in a year. How will the MMs hired to keep fees free react with absurdly low volumes How will metrics keep up after TGE There's a ton of unknowns here. Not saying Lighter is going to $0 but the fact that it only has to basically tap under $1.5 is a very convincing bet. I think the perp dex meta is giving ever more diminishing returns and a lot"
X Link 2026-01-17T17:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #33: Theo Okay gonna be fudding Theo a bit here but I just don't think these FDV targets are realistic. 300M is much more unlikely than 50/50 and 100M is not a "lock". Let's go into the metrics. First of all the TVL isn't even necessarily growing and it's never even had an ATH at 300M. Secondly the token is consistently under peg the team doesn't really look to do anything about it I heard they ghost redemption tickets and are generally extremely stingy about their TVL. Bad sign. Third when are they going to launch Middle of the depths of the bear market Probably not a"
X Link 2026-01-20T14:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #34: Trove Trove basically rugged and some markets opened up about whether refunds will happen or if the founders will be arrested by end of Q1. I think it's pretty much guaranteed that neither will happen. Barring the already low chance of crypto rug crimes resulting in arrest the ones that DO take way longer than [--] months in every jurisdiction. For the Squiggles NFT project for example they got arrested in December [----] that is literal years after their rug. There is pretty much not an example of somebody getting arrested from a crypto crime very soon assuming it was"
X Link 2026-01-23T16:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"These are the worst tokenomics I have ever seen in my life. Tired of these projects adding everything that's technically "non team" tokens but basically are into the "community" pile. Who in the community cares a bit about "innovation" "value chain expansion" or a bunch of other buzz words That's literally worthless to everyone except the team. 65% "community" lmfao more like 65% team. W exit scam though https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016263818515460105 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016263818515460105"
X Link 2026-01-27T21:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"You guys have to be the most incompetent project I've ever seen. Even projects that end up rugging get more work done than you guys. First of all what project launches with a 3% airdrop then gives Binance Alpha 12% a bunch of other exchanges even more supply and let them dump with low float Then you let everyone else get supply except the people you're supposed to airdrop You said claim was January 28th but couldn't even follow that rule Who TGEs if claim wasn't even ready "Prepared for this for months" my ass. Then your excuse for a founder "Spencer" just goes to ego trip with a bunch of"
X Link 2026-01-29T05:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@CirrusNFT @UN0l1f3 @moonbirds Gm cirrus I sent you a DM that you might find interesting lmk thanks"
X Link 2026-01-29T23:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@nukeyr @SynezFN I don't think so only because there's a bunch of shitcoins with like 500k market cap in there like BonkersMemeToken and some other weird ones like TacoCat. Seems odd they'd add those those are not top coins"
X Link 2025-01-28T19:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@gainzy222 It is possible for Kalshis case. 90% of their volume is sports related and they charge exorbitant fees. Its basically a sports book with insane fees not a prediction market. Scroll to any non front page non sports markets and they all have [--] figure volume and no liquidity"
X Link 2026-02-04T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #35: $BIRB Birb is finally airdropping and honestly I'm kind of interested to see how it plays out. The main NFT mcap is about 50M and there's stuff like oddities etc that'd drive the mcap of the eco to be right around 100M for reference. I personally wanted to use this to hedge the airdrop but the market launched AFTER the Moonbirds fp pumped and died unfortunately so that's kind of out of the question here. Personally I think I would bond "No" a lot of the higher ones $300M $400M etc because if it actually is that price then that would mean great news for the airdrop."
X Link 2026-01-25T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket Alpha Drop #36: SPY I actually think SPY is a decent pick up here. Personally don't have much thoughts regarding gold gold just rallies hard and takes backseats for years on end. I actually think Bitcoin will not perform well this year and we may see Saylor be underwater for a good amount of time this year. I think the SPY will dip the least out of all of these choices in [----] which would make it have the "best performance". I do think [----] will be a bear market and am prepared for that accordingly. Not much to say beyond that personally super interested and following this I think"
X Link 2026-01-30T20:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Super interesting. While it's still on testnet I'm much more interested in how the options functionality performs and not necessarily their "prediction markets". "Canonical markets based on objective settlement sources will be deployed once technical development is complete." Seems like that's coming first. Objective settlement sources would probably be price oracles or something along those lines IMO. I believe this will be more financialized quite sure you're most people are NOT going to be betting on who's winning the Super Bowl on Hyperliquid etc. Those kinds of bets already have massive"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"RT @abcdefmlzy: @CarOnPolymarket Are you sure you spent any time digging You just basically word for word copied my post. Not that it too"
X Link 2026-02-06T05:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I was just verified on @PolymarketTrade Super grateful. Ever since I've started posting about Polymarket there's been so many opportunites for creating content and making safe trades on Polymarket. I'm glad to see everyone's enjoying the alpha drops I'll surely post more"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
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