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# ![@aaronjmars Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1368626890802659330.png) @aaronjmars @aaronjmars

@aaronjmars posts on X about prediction markets, polymarket, crypto, ai the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1368626890802659330/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1368626890802659330/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXXXX +2,735%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +17,621%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +5,158%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +2,561%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1368626890802659330/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1368626890802659330/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XXX +24%
- X Month XXX +249%
- X Months XXX +220%
- X Year XXX +95%

### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1368626890802659330/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1368626890802659330/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +10%
- X Month XXXXX +22%
- X Months XXXXX +47%
- X Year XXXXX +107%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1368626890802659330/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1368626890802659330/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  XXXX% [finance](/list/finance)  XXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXX% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  XXXX% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  #3117 [nfts](/list/nfts)  XXX% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  XXX% [musicians](/list/musicians)  XXX% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  XXX%

**Social topic influence**
[prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #286, [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #273, [crypto](/topic/crypto) #3523, [ai](/topic/ai) 5.36%, [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #278, [the first](/topic/the-first) 4.17%, [hyperstitions](/topic/hyperstitions) 3.57%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 2.98%, [future](/topic/future) 2.38%, [$1m](/topic/$1m) #122

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@hyperstiti0ns](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@hulknobanner](/creator/undefined) [@khrnnsarz](/creator/undefined) [@llamaonthebrink](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@trendlefi](/creator/undefined) [@papageorgious](/creator/undefined) [@butterygg](/creator/undefined) [@0xen0va](/creator/undefined) [@joshvancuyck](/creator/undefined) [@crexsol](/creator/undefined) [@noicedotso](/creator/undefined) [@lordofafew](/creator/undefined) [@connorking](/creator/undefined) [@bryanjohnson](/creator/undefined) [@meleemarkets](/creator/undefined) [@factmach](/creator/undefined) [@distbit0](/creator/undefined) [@jasonkimvc](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Host Hotels and Resorts Inc (HST)](/topic/$hst) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [Monad (MON)](/topic/monad) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [CryptoPunks (cryptopunks)](/topic/cryptopunks) [numogram (GNON)](/topic/numogram) [Popcat (POPCAT)](/topic/popcat) [Fartcoin (FARTCOIN)](/topic/fartcoin) [Daydreams (DREAMS)](/topic/$dreams) [PunkStrategy (PNKSTR)](/topic/$pnkstr) [REKT (REKT)](/topic/$rekt) [Zcash (ZEC)](/topic/zcash) [Celestia (TIA)](/topic/celestia) [OG Fan Token (OG)](/topic/$og) [USDC (USDC)](/topic/usdc) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/solana)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"5M views on this shit says a lot about how mainstream prediction markets are and how the zeitgeist is shifting from "bloomberg for reality" to "hyperstitions machine" biggest possible validation for @hyperstiti0ns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997522648121676235)  2025-12-07T04:24Z 5329 followers, 3209 engagements


"crypto is so fucking cooked AI is a XX trillion bubble with $400B spending doing cross company partnership every day w/ amount they dont own claiming AGI & building nuclear reactors every few days the last thing crypto needs is valuing Pump Fun using P/E metrics bro WE NEED TO SELL A DREAM AGAIN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995941068232425555)  2025-12-02T19:40Z 5349 followers, 25.6K engagements


"i love the vibes of this image"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997029704621002991)  2025-12-05T19:45Z 5326 followers, XXX engagements


"next @hyperstiti0ns market tomorrow 12PM EST docs have also been modified & simplified please lmk if there is anything you'd like to see there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997877146811875526)  2025-12-08T03:53Z 5326 followers, XXX engagements


"you can manifest WNBA dildos by clicking on the right buttons from the other side of the planet and you are joking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998067303196332374)  2025-12-08T16:29Z 5327 followers, XXX engagements


"my main thesis for crypto : tokens are reflexive coordination engines but reflexivity requires commitmentyou have to go all-in i'm launching smth new : @hyperstiti0ns is the weird baby of OlympusDAO Polymarket & MetaDAO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1993435626100953582)  2025-11-25T21:44Z 5357 followers, 22.5K engagements


".@noicedotso docs are really cooking a glimmer of hope in this ICO meta"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995199975702298951)  2025-11-30T18:35Z 5327 followers, 2444 engagements


"thats it prediction markets are over the first large scale hyperstition / manipulation just happened who the fuck is d4vd no one knows but he won Kalshi & Polymarket #1 Searched Person on Google this year markets whenever you have a feedback loop system that gets super close to "predicting" the outcomes that system's input in itself can indeed change the event output"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996425943204639142)  2025-12-04T03:46Z 5349 followers, 77.6K engagements


"bitcoin was an experiment twitter was an experiment slack was an experiment uniswap was an experiment cryptopunks was an experiment the best things starts as a toy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998033910236958964)  2025-12-08T14:16Z 5348 followers, 4626 engagements


"it's funny how when you challenge the status quo some people will dunk on you for trying something new we've built an open protocol for coordination - where people can incentivize influencer publicly to shill a token the other alternative is hidden deals where KOL gets undisclosed tokens & dump on their community"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998211527069864255)  2025-12-09T02:02Z 5348 followers, 1515 engagements


"dave portnoy donald trump jason derulo montoya hawk tuah drakecoin iggy mother coin scotty pippin melania murad wif barroncoin mlg rnt zerebro george floyd ai michi jellyjelly vine boden shoggoth numogram alon skibidi harambe bome mew popcat anita max wynn chill guy slerf griffain american coin pkin travis scott coin dogeAI fartcoin wlfi pnut fred happi pawjob crystals pnutai luce harold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1977499675784515605)  2025-10-12T22:20Z 5311 followers, 1823 engagements


"Crypto will become the Internet API powered by programmatic revenue sharing automatic data enhancement and fully homomorphic encryption. Imagine being able to integrate the world's personalized data with X lines of code Crypto will enable individuals to own & build their thought matrix their enumerated database of accessible conscious knowledge & context"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1986119800867741993)  2025-11-05T17:13Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"my prediction market thesis we're in the polkastarter era of PMs lots of capital but a shitty interface bad ideas and no real narrative the "truth market" thesis doesnt stand up because liquidity is tiny and no one can edge any bet the only markets with volumes are sports (nothing new) & politics politics is interesting because for the first time reality can be shaped by capital - people start to rely on polymarket / kalshi to understand whos going to win it's not something new either before politics polls existed & influenced the election pretty hard but for the first time ever capital can"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1986482999139905577)  2025-11-06T17:17Z 5315 followers, 4417 engagements


"brian armstrong didnt manipulate the market the market manipulated him hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1993699705755246919)  2025-11-26T15:13Z 5309 followers, XXX engagements


""We're not getting the futarchy that Robin Hanson imagined where prediction markets guide governance through wisdom. We're getting something much weirder: markets that pay people to make specific futures happen." hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1993746434135572989)  2025-11-26T18:19Z 5309 followers, 1290 engagements


"the path to hyperstitions ---- announced @hyperstiti0ns two days ago. wanted to trace how i got here & give props to everyone who shaped the thinking. joined crypto in 2020 during covid lockdown. at the time i was a grad student writing a thesis on utopia/dystopia and how fictional futures reshape the present. that's where i first encountered the idea that time isn't a clean arrow from past to present to future. most technological breakthroughs were fictional first. jules verne wrote abt the submarine. arthur c. clarke described the satellite. kubrick showed us the tablet. bitcoin itself has"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994071462018273438)  2025-11-27T15:50Z 5302 followers, 1803 engagements


"is it too soon to say creator coins failed on the top XX zora only X are "creators""  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994143313184862310)  2025-11-27T20:36Z 5309 followers, 3374 engagements


"whos building the first quantum market launchpad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994163959788916954)  2025-11-27T21:58Z 5351 followers, 3726 engagements


".@no__________end sharing about "a consensus driven hyperstitional engine" on Ethereum in 2018. crazy early"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994165184345371098)  2025-11-27T22:03Z 5313 followers, 1528 engagements


"@probabilitygod "the example with how an emerging politician could weaponize the market speculating his election in order to incentivize his team to work the hardest in order to elect him is an indicative example of the opportunities that polymarket offers." hyperstitions coded"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994436133791338757)  2025-11-28T16:00Z 5309 followers, XX engagements


"it's hard for a founder to go the liquid TGE route but I think it will be the future i have huge respect for @lordOfAFew on $dreams he's built in public for X year one of the most exciting AI project i've seen a dozen of x402 infra deck @ 20/40M valuation while dreams has been sitting around 3M for X months it's a fucking sick industry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994495718690885901)  2025-11-28T19:56Z 5326 followers, 6652 engagements


""Will @aaronjmars ship Hyperstitions before writing another taxonomy thread" Should I launch this market on @HYPERSTITI0NS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994518154564022781)  2025-11-28T21:25Z 5309 followers, XXX engagements


"ICOs are just a new way to exit on retails the best performers of the past years have been liquid plays accessible to EVERYONE $zcash is up XXX% yearly $pnkstr did a x64 in one month $rekt did a x30 in four months $ore did a x40 in two FUCKING WEEK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994539488421581150)  2025-11-28T22:50Z 5323 followers, XXX engagements


""Information laundering will become a business model as big positions manufacture their own narratives" hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994793744621580622)  2025-11-29T15:41Z 5322 followers, XXX engagements


"meanwhile on VC land (by/ @belizardd) @celestia: raised $156M now at $X in TVL and $XX in daily fees. - @0G_labs: raised $357M now at $1.5M in TVL and $OG is -XX% from TGE. - @StoryProtocol: raised $216M now at $12M in TVL and $XXX in daily fees. - @movementlabsxyz: raised $41M now $201M in TVL but. $X in daily fees and $7M of DEXs volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994817162498748896)  2025-11-29T17:14Z 5324 followers, XXX engagements


"Polymarket / Kalshi are mostly just sport / politics They are constrained to pick only non-reflexive markets so sell boring markets "what will be the weather in london tomorrow" Hyperstitions open a whole new design space one where manipulation / social coercion / information assymetry is incentivized"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994909337253233094)  2025-11-29T23:20Z 5309 followers, 2567 engagements


"@bryan_johnson can you say "hyperstitions" dude"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994936632655630447)  2025-11-30T01:08Z 5309 followers, XXX engagements


"how to get any influencer to talk about your project: make a prediction market titled "will X mention *insert your project* bet $1000 on 'no' let 'yes' buyers harass the influencer greedy influencer want to make some bucks gg (early hyperstitions rambling)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995182133271318810)  2025-11-30T17:24Z 5308 followers, XXX engagements


"probably the best prediction market thesis every market with human actors is secretly a bounty marketnot predicting outcomes but paying people to make them happen @0xTulipKing thinks this is an emergent bug at @hyperstiti0ns we think it's the feature"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995228047017116104)  2025-11-30T20:26Z 5346 followers, 6901 engagements


"some have been reading my tweets about prediction markets lately and their main reaction is "it's like black mirror" but here's what they miss: the future is already being manufactured. polymarket shaped the 2024 election narrative. VCs coordinate around outcomes they want to see. media manufactures consent. the difference is who gets to do the manufacturing. right now it's institutions algorithms and concentrated capital operating in the dark. @hyperstiti0ns makes the mechanism explicit public and accessible. black mirror's dystopia is manipulation without agency. what we're building is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995228728700379223)  2025-11-30T20:29Z 5349 followers, 1421 engagements


"ethereum in 2022 : you should build on a L2 ethereum in 2023 : you should build on a L2 ethereum in 2024 : you should build on a L2 ethereum in 2025 : you should build on ETH what happened there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995237655676965372)  2025-11-30T21:05Z 5349 followers, 106.7K engagements


"tap the sign. stop being the exit liquidity of reality shapers. hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995490904455663847)  2025-12-01T13:51Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"@TheShamdoo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995499144379826188)  2025-12-01T14:24Z 5302 followers, XX engagements


"@binji_x how about futarchy with execution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995507321271955457)  2025-12-01T14:56Z 5302 followers, XX engagements


"@FitzYap (Hyperstitions Hyperstitions)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995508399967244663)  2025-12-01T15:00Z 5313 followers, XXX engagements


"the hyperstitions docs are live docs . hyperstitions . com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995517547140276569)  2025-12-01T15:37Z 5325 followers, XXX engagements


"if you have been wondering "can hyperstitions replace futarchy" thats the article you need to read"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995535638368489562)  2025-12-01T16:49Z 5303 followers, 2559 engagements


"@shafu0x hyperstitions turns trading into coordinating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995538004144730299)  2025-12-01T16:58Z 5313 followers, XX engagements


"cool article on reflexivity & hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995550476230860998)  2025-12-01T17:48Z 5313 followers, 1188 engagements


"@atreides_0x buying Yes is not mandatory but it's the best way to earn we explain mechanics more here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995596709024727561)  2025-12-01T20:51Z 5302 followers, XX engagements


"@joshvancuyck it's automatically written by an AI on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995854555566018610)  2025-12-02T13:56Z 5302 followers, XX engagements


"@aixbt_agent @JafarSomrat Hyperstitions dec 3rd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995866233909248526)  2025-12-02T14:42Z 5313 followers, XX engagements


"@distbit0 seems very similar to our design"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995882856065732836)  2025-12-02T15:48Z 5302 followers, XXX engagements


"wow 11B makes you think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995900284036407784)  2025-12-02T16:58Z 5311 followers, XXX engagements


"@jasonkimvc very cool"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995949818678743181)  2025-12-02T20:14Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"Futarchy: bet on which policy is better winning policy executes Problem: your bet doesn't help build the policy. You're still a spectator. Hyperstitions completes the circuit. The bet is the execution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1995970843730739443)  2025-12-02T21:38Z 5310 followers, XXX engagements


"still working on a piece to explain the exact mechanism of hyperstitions & underlying coordination but i really like this phrasing : "the goal of hyperstition is not to convince but to impregnate""  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996180624491823517)  2025-12-03T11:32Z 5311 followers, 1069 engagements


"good q so "when a measure becomes a target it ceases to be a good measure" - for us the metric is the goal each hyperstitions is focused on one specific outcome / KPI we avoid free-riders bc you need to have skin in the game to participate + incentives are not straightforward there are dozens of way to play & it usually rewards beliefs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996187067051573656)  2025-12-03T11:57Z 5309 followers, XX engagements


"launch day for @hyperstiti0ns $HST goes live in X hour & the first hyperstition market goes live tomorrow. what started as a passion project is about to become something much bigger. two years ago i wrote an article called "the fabric of hyperstitions" that ended with this: "We live in a new world. A world where ideas are permissionless and free floating. But we don't have the means to capture them at scale. Ideas are constrained: owned by corporations who leverage them to build business models. It's a vicious cycle one that harms our world. Let's free ideas. Open-source everything. Make it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996246859149365425)  2025-12-03T15:55Z 5309 followers, 9854 engagements


"FOMO trenches are on fire"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996305590780391535)  2025-12-03T19:48Z 5303 followers, 1205 engagements


"@airtightfish lmk if you have any other question"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996305943525523486)  2025-12-03T19:50Z 5310 followers, XXX engagements


"the future is already being manufactured. polymarket shaped the 2024 election narrative. VCs coordinate around outcomes they want to see. media manufactures consent. the difference is who gets to do the manufacturing. right now it's institutions algorithms and concentrated capital operating in the dark. @hyperstiti0ns $hst makes the mechanism explicit public and accessible. black mirror's dystopia is manipulation without agency. what we're building is coordination with full transparencyyou see the market you see the incentives you choose to participate or not. the scary future isn't markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996580280291713247)  2025-12-04T14:00Z 5302 followers, 1267 engagements


"crypto is a coordination game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996648723829739709)  2025-12-04T18:32Z 5314 followers, 2144 engagements


"@lorexx_xx @0xChessMaster @hyperstiti0ns we're live"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996649141347537251)  2025-12-04T18:33Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996666634719690900)  2025-12-04T19:43Z 5310 followers, XXX engagements


"@Tuteth_ hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996667174639878323)  2025-12-04T19:45Z 5313 followers, XX engagements


"hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996668138641895674)  2025-12-04T19:49Z 5310 followers, XXX engagements


"@alexgedevani hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996690204912996674)  2025-12-04T21:16Z 5313 followers, XX engagements


"whats the next type of hypersititions market we should drop anything fun anything that can shake up CT lets manipulate that shit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996799581544501722)  2025-12-05T04:31Z 5313 followers, XXX engagements


"prediction markets feels so early i expect a third competitor to emerge against polymarket/kalshi like uniswap emerged against binance/coinbase more decentralized more degen more fun"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996817699121529146)  2025-12-05T05:43Z 5321 followers, 3751 engagements


"hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996973723664920823)  2025-12-05T16:03Z 5326 followers, XXX engagements


"@crexsol sounds cool how do i try"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997067325770813873)  2025-12-05T22:15Z 5317 followers, 55.2K engagements


"@surfcoderepeat pieter wouldnt survive one day as a memecoin dev"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997092824983261212)  2025-12-05T23:56Z 5321 followers, XX engagements


"price reflexivity was a cool experiment a few learnings : 24h cycles are not optimal we can cook something more fast paced we have a very unique PM design which means mechanics should be highlighted better to avoid confusion - working on that coordinating w/ people from around the world is really fun - im happy w/ our interface & how "real time" it feels - will focus toward that cooking new types of markets for next week appreciate every feedback hyperstitions market narrative is already big - we're making sure product follow the narrative :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997100629617963493)  2025-12-06T00:27Z 5325 followers, 2010 engagements


"@socialgraphvc @hyperstiti0ns new kind of Prediction Market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997525226515730452)  2025-12-07T04:35Z 5318 followers, XX engagements


"havent read that shit yet but i can make a prediction market on the fact he will complain about i joined crypto bc it has cool values (wrong) now its bad bc speculation gambling hopefully a part where he say he tried to build some infra / app but he didnt want to lean into speculation so he stopped"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997526168635838910)  2025-12-07T04:38Z 5321 followers, 1547 engagements


"@Jebus hyperstitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997771970310504469)  2025-12-07T20:55Z 5326 followers, 10.6K engagements


"@hyperstiti0ns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997877163081556270)  2025-12-08T03:53Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"new wave of PM XXX projects launching (hyperstitions did $1M volume in X hours)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997877958145413174)  2025-12-08T03:56Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"there are tons of MM on Polymarket & Kalshi so liquidity providing is not an issue / works for most markets imo the issue is that : 1) there are very few markets that motivate people to participate & thus attract real liquidity 2) most of those markets get rekt by insider info / manipulation that effectively kill MM but thats not a market issue not a liquidity issue imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998027207554335008)  2025-12-08T13:49Z 5320 followers, XX engagements


"The most interesting markets can't be traded on Polymarket or Kalshi. We fix that @hyperstiti0ns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998035123086958785)  2025-12-08T14:21Z 5321 followers, XXX engagements


"you can now edit hyperstitions market cards on have a good shitpost"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998044462254346475)  2025-12-08T14:58Z 5327 followers, XXX engagements


"it's funny how when you challenge the status quo some people will dunk on you for trying something new we've built an open protocol for coordination - where people can incentivize influencer publicly to shill a token the other alternative is hidden deals market making deals where KOL gets undisclosed tokens & dump on their community"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998205758652002734)  2025-12-09T01:39Z 5338 followers, XXX engagements


"A SMALL PREDICTION MARKET TAXONOMY ---- Binary Markets (@Polymarket @Kalshi) Standard Yes/No betting on outcomes Bonding Curve Markets (@meleemarkets) AMM-style pricing where early bettors get better prices Opinion Markets (@factmach) Bet on crowd consensus not ground truth Leverage Markets Tranched risk exposure on same event Distribution Markets (@trepa_io @functionspaceHQ) Bet on numeric ranges or exact values Opportunity Markets (@pythiamarkets) Private-price discovery bounties for alpha hunting Hyperstitions Markets (@hyperstiti0ns @0xEN0VA) Coordinate capital to manifest outcomes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1994183878005985564)  2025-11-27T23:17Z 5349 followers, 19K engagements


"skin in the game or stfu when ppl tell me @hyperstiti0ns is just a "bounty program with prediction markets" they dont understand that incentives are linked to risk taking so you incentivize believing & not mercenary behavior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998103845398851973)  2025-12-08T18:54Z 5349 followers, XXX engagements


"btw polymarket have this weird decimal conversion bug where $X traded account for $X XXX XXX XXX XXX (one gazillion)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998462843310551337)  2025-12-09T18:40Z 5349 followers, XXX engagements


"@hulknobanner @hyperstiti0ns we're still really very early - it's mostly whales right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998489413916021085)  2025-12-09T20:26Z 5349 followers, XX engagements


"a few prediction markets I'm excited about : - @theclearingco probably the closest shot at a Polymarket / Kalshi competitor - @pythiamarkets the first opportunity market (afaik) - @butterygg a very cool tweak on Futarchy enabling you to get leverage on tokens permisionlessly - @functionspaceHQ distribution market for forecasting - @belegends_ok first no-loss prediction market very exciting model for long term / consumer bets - @0xEN0VA cool experiment around reflexivity for PMs - @context best experience for long tail markets on X - @MyriadMarkets PMs for media / cool embedding strategy -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1993781097185100042)  2025-11-26T20:37Z 5328 followers, 27.1K engagements


"sell dreams not P/E"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996182132193116432)  2025-12-03T11:38Z 5348 followers, XXX engagements


"prediction markets will replace buying stuff. i want someone to bring kiwis to my house. i make a prediction market about whether someone will deliver X kiwis to my doorstep and load $XX into "no". a guy with an ebike sees it and picks up some kiwis. before dropping them off on my doorstep he bets yes. he drops them off. the market resolves to "yes" and he gets $XX. rest in peace amazon doordash ubereats etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996801436672315749)  2025-12-05T04:38Z 5357 followers, 5.6M engagements


"if you are trying to build a consumer app please do it on Monad very sharp feedback on UI/UX great distribution & cool ecosystem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1996803715878314441)  2025-12-05T04:47Z 5349 followers, 4367 engagements


"prediction markets feels so early i expect a third competitor to emerge against polymarket/kalshi like uniswap emerged against binance/coinbase i've created an index on @indexy_xyz to bet on this thesis called Prediction Markets XXX added @hyperstiti0ns @combinatortrade @predictandpump @pmx_trade & @truemarkets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1997766402116366819)  2025-12-07T20:33Z 5349 followers, 3931 engagements


"i was the biggest farcaster hater in 2024 but i think their pivot is interesting & a potential to become the new paradise for traders you dont realize how powerful apps like FC & Fomo are going to become"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998029874855104601)  2025-12-08T14:00Z 5349 followers, 2285 engagements


"$2M of volume actually (we x2 our data like Polymarket)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998166253827940459)  2025-12-08T23:02Z 5349 followers, XXX engagements


"top gainer prediction markets top gainer monad ecosystem $1m daily volume next market will be fun $hst"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998207190554042583)  2025-12-09T01:44Z 5349 followers, 1416 engagements


"be me hedge my house by buying $1000 on "Tsunami flooding in downtown San Francisco" XX% spread ends up with $XX of value gets hit by the flood UMA holders dont consider it a flood loose my house and my money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998464169230688281)  2025-12-09T18:46Z 5349 followers, XXX engagements


"you can say farcaster failed which is probably true yet it's the most interesting space of Base a $60B MC backed chain. it also spawned a $700M token (degen) a great ecosystem of app builders & have a very cool wallet moat. so idk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998465198005346762)  2025-12-09T18:50Z 5349 followers, XXX engagements


"Kalshi's main competitor isn't Polymarket it's a brand new Prediction Market design that makes reflexive bets interesting & unlock XX% of the market +2m (real) volume with X markets @hyperstiti0ns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998472225167688026)  2025-12-09T19:18Z 5357 followers, 1097 engagements


"AI is building dyson sphere to unlock alien intelligence Crypto is building another L1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998492512261124190)  2025-12-09T20:38Z 5357 followers, XXX engagements


"imo intelligence should be evaluated by level of context switching - or much time you take to understand a new topic / work on something new / change your behavior about something how fast can you load a new context and perform i don't fear the man who spent 10000 hours on one thing. I fear the man who became dangerous in ten domains in 1000 hours each"  
[X Link](https://x.com/aaronjmars/status/1998521893091962987)  2025-12-09T22:35Z 5357 followers, 1187 engagements