# ![@_Checkmatey_ Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::951920334831173632.png) @_Checkmatey_ _Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️

Some Bitcoin investors and analysts are discussing the recent market trends and the impact of large-scale Bitcoin sales by certain firms. These firms may struggle to restart their operations if they don't have access to capital markets and instead have to sell their Bitcoin holdings. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's adoption and market structure continue to evolve, with milestones like its realized capitalization hitting $1 trillion.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::951920334831173632/interactions)
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### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::951920334831173632/posts_active)
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### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::951920334831173632/followers)
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- [--] Week [-------] +0.52%
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### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::951920334831173632/influencer_rank)
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### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #1248 [finance](/list/finance)  28.16% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  5.83% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  3.88% [stocks](/list/stocks)  1.94% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.97% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  0.97% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  0.97% [countries](/list/countries)  0.97% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  0.97%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #556, [silver](/topic/silver) 9.71%, [gold](/topic/gold) 8.74%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 5.83%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 4.85%, [what is](/topic/what-is) 3.88%, [market](/topic/market) 3.88%, [on chain data](/topic/on-chain-data) 3.88%, [twitter](/topic/twitter) 2.91%, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 2.91%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@caprioleio](/creator/undefined) [@_checkonchain](/creator/undefined) [@bitc_minimalist](/creator/undefined) [@jnxx37nowak](/creator/undefined) [@checkonchain](/creator/undefined) [@browniebrewbit](/creator/undefined) [@btcjvs](/creator/undefined) [@tftc21](/creator/undefined) [@julysownj](/creator/undefined) [@adam3us](/creator/undefined) [@checkmatey](/creator/undefined) [@fuzzygreysocks](/creator/undefined) [@ovihood](/creator/undefined) [@btcmaxirh](/creator/undefined) [@plebmate](/creator/undefined) [@nic_carter](/creator/undefined) [@beckerbitcoin](/creator/undefined) [@intocryptoverse](/creator/undefined) [@gaudeamus7](/creator/undefined) [@donnellybrent](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Caught in 4K (4K)](/topic/$4k)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Headlines you don't see at market tops. Bitcoin is still about $69000 too high https://t.co/CNrgxl2vEE opinion Bitcoin is still about $69000 too high https://t.co/CNrgxl2vEE opinion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020418779734491475)  2026-02-08T08:45Z 127K followers, 48.5K engagements


"Net profit and loss broken down by year of coin acquisition. Class of [----] and [----] collectively puked out $1.5B/day in losses on the move lower equivalent to the June [----] low at $17.6k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020615030023352774)  2026-02-08T21:45Z 127K followers, 40.4K engagements


"This. QC keeps some capital away but this argument that gold is up and Bitcoin is down because of it just isn't it. Gold has a bid because sovereigns are buying it in place of treasuries. The trend has been in place since [----] and accelerates after Feb-22. Bitcoin saw sell-side from HODLers in [----] which would have killed every prior bull thrice over and then once more. Yes we should have QC plans in place. But attributing price being down to it as a primary factor is akin to blaming market manipulation for red candles and declining exchange balances for green ones. @nic_carter While I agree"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2013888547162628369)  2026-01-21T08:17Z 126.9K followers, 75.7K engagements


"There are Bitcoiners out there who couldn't handle six months of gold going up. Their conviction melted as they watched gold have what is a normal positive year for the corn (after Bitcoin had two of them back to back btw). Peter Schiff has felt like this for 17-years and will be back to feeling like that soon enough. He literally grew silver hair waiting for silver to go up. If you're feeling particularly salty go buy a gold coin you'll put the top in and then we can get back to regular programming. Both coins are going considerably higher own them both. Fiat has no bottom."  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2014290888999178721)  2026-01-22T10:55Z 126.3K followers, 114.7K engagements


"Sold silver at the dealer this morning for a 3x over [--] months. Sell thesis was simple silver chart is now parabolic I received three messages in two weeks asking how to buy it and gold/silver ratio has hit lows where it historically peaks out. Every twitter sub-community is now a silver community. Topping stuff. Some notes on the experience: - I couldn't sell it yesterday because of public holiday in Australia and I lost a few % points waiting for the dealer to open 9am this morning. I also had to bus to the city pain in the ass. - Lines out the door all retail all very excited to buy. -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2015962145536802972)  2026-01-27T01:36Z 126.5K followers, 183.3K engagements


"@caprioleio US miners doing demand response given the cold snap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2016785763195871588)  2026-01-29T08:09Z 126.4K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Ok own up which of you bought a gold coin There are Bitcoiners out there who couldn't handle six months of gold going up. Their conviction melted as they watched gold have what is a normal positive year for the corn (after Bitcoin had two of them back to back btw). Peter Schiff has felt like this for 17-years and will There are Bitcoiners out there who couldn't handle six months of gold going up. Their conviction melted as they watched gold have what is a normal positive year for the corn (after Bitcoin had two of them back to back btw). Peter Schiff has felt like this for 17-years and will"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017177042773750169)  2026-01-30T10:04Z 126.7K followers, 25K engagements


"Fun fact: None of the buyers will be able to sell their metals until 9am Monday morning. Forced HODL. Welcome to the silver community. Sold silver at the dealer this morning for a 3x over [--] months. Sell thesis was simple silver chart is now parabolic I received three messages in two weeks asking how to buy it and gold/silver ratio has hit lows where it historically peaks out. Every twitter sub-community is Sold silver at the dealer this morning for a 3x over [--] months. Sell thesis was simple silver chart is now parabolic I received three messages in two weeks asking how to buy it and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017180693928001823)  2026-01-30T10:18Z 126.5K followers, 39.9K engagements


"@DennisMFlowers Is the question why doesn't Strategy manipulate the market lower to get a better fill My core view is they just need to audit their fills for the last 5yrs and hire a better analysis and execution team because the track record isn't great. Buy supply air-pockets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017368985105580332)  2026-01-30T22:47Z 126.6K followers, [---] engagements


"@intocryptoverse $65k currently. However that will shift as top buyers capitulate and lower the cost basis of the buyer which makes $70k very interesting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017400974701408268)  2026-01-31T00:54Z 126.6K followers, 27.1K engagements


"If you assume a cost basis of inflows on the day they occurred 62% of ETF inflows are now underwater. BTC is trading below the U.S. ETFs avg cost basis after the 2nd & 3rd biggest outflow weeks ever (last week and week before) (and last weeks outflow will increase after IBIT reports fridays numbers tomorrow) this means the average bitcoin ETF purchase is underwater https://t.co/XowzrnBaSM BTC is trading below the U.S. ETFs avg cost basis after the 2nd & 3rd biggest outflow weeks ever (last week and week before) (and last weeks outflow will increase after IBIT reports fridays numbers tomorrow)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018140241367011336)  2026-02-02T01:51Z 126.3K followers, 37.3K engagements


"Sit back turn the daily DCA on and enjoy the ride folks. Bear markets transfer assets from the impatient to the patient. Bear markets end and the trick is not to lose interest right when the market presents the period of maximum opportunity We're closing in on that period"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018172493656441300)  2026-02-02T03:59Z 126.9K followers, 41.4K engagements


"@jordanpdupont Rough time == period of maximum opportunity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018181755644358700)  2026-02-02T04:36Z 126.7K followers, [---] engagements


"It's a bear market. We're much closer to the bottom than the top. It probably takes a while to form the low. Markets likely want to flush some excess. Be a patient buyer not a panic seller. Don't use leverage. Use probabilities to your advantage. https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/leaking-lower https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/leaking-lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018197877294854361)  2026-02-02T05:40Z 126.7K followers, 119.9K engagements


"The fear is becoming palpable. The excuse narratives are in full form. Closer than you think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018810509722816584)  2026-02-03T22:15Z 126.7K followers, 63.1K engagements


"@Frans185 Correct. The sell-side from profit taking has collapsed to near zero and not we're in top buyer capitulation territory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018979633568583684)  2026-02-04T09:27Z 126.3K followers, 12.4K engagements


"We're near the bottom of hope. That usually comes before the actual price bottom and then the forming of a resilient base which has a history of taking anywhere from [--] months to [--] months to [--] day. All that is to say we cannot know and any guess is just a guess (and thus worth very little). Like a herd of bison turn into the storm and run through it. We don't know how big the storm is only that there is a back-side to it. Keep pushing through it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019145248019214604)  2026-02-04T20:25Z 126.6K followers, 23.4K engagements


"Analysts getting bearish AFTER we have sold off significantly. Love to see it. If you stop paying attention now you're doing it wrong. Push through the storm. Every Bitcoin analyst is now bearish. https://t.co/eGjQqMkiqW Every Bitcoin analyst is now bearish. https://t.co/eGjQqMkiqW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019194136889557461)  2026-02-04T23:39Z 126.7K followers, 52.9K engagements


"The most stark thing about roos is when you spot a family of them and the lead male sees you he will stand up and puff out his shredded chest in protection. It's like the most jacked dude you have ever seen in your life staring you down. I'm sure there is some equivalent symbology there. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019201047877857367 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019201047877857367"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019201047877857367)  2026-02-05T00:06Z 126.5K followers, [---] engagements


"A thought to ponder. 2023-26 shares more in common with 2019-20 than it does with 2021-22. Enjoy. Some hopium or random thoughts. Still think this was the first bear cycle for crypto. Even though BTC made new highs. Thats why it also is different from a topping perspective. We just had a tonne of positive developments and a flood of capital that offset it somewhat. Some hopium or random thoughts. Still think this was the first bear cycle for crypto. Even though BTC made new highs. Thats why it also is different from a topping perspective. We just had a tonne of positive developments and a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019236832593211715)  2026-02-05T02:29Z 126.7K followers, 38.6K engagements


"One thing I have not seen enough of in the quantum debate are reference pieces where Quantum Computers are demonstrably solving more complex problems. I see a lot of 'it's coming and it's dangerous' concern but not enough evidence to substantiate the claims. I understand the 'this agency and this smart dude are worried' arguments. I'd love to see more debate around the 'this is the actual measured progress being made' side of the equation. It is surely out there right Very interested to see references describing the state of the art and this is why it is a growing risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019240979442844075)  2026-02-05T02:45Z 126.7K followers, 20.1K engagements


"@julysownj Yes it was I listened to his other episode with @GwartyGwart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019243239598166104)  2026-02-05T02:54Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@Jnxx37Nowak Ok have you used your precious metals to survive a power outage Did you barter for cows and bottled water"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019243467285922059)  2026-02-05T02:55Z 126.5K followers, 14.5K engagements


"@Jnxx37Nowak Did you buy groceries with a silver coin Did they accept it at $1 face value or spot How did they check the spot price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019245298284130729)  2026-02-05T03:02Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@interwebanalyti Understood but this falls under the 'this quantum firm firm and these 'experts' from the industry said it was close' set of evidence. Are there demonstrations of improvements in the complexity of problems solved"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019251275012169789)  2026-02-05T03:26Z 126.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@wmstrn Ok is there evidence that goes beyond the theorising"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019286365331239330)  2026-02-05T05:46Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Thanks. I watched your talks and I do value your bringing it to the light. However I still feel like a lot of this evidence rests on: - Quantum company says quantum is coming - Government committee says quantum is coming - Quantum expert who researches quantum for a living says quantum is coming - Moar Qubits -- but not moar real world solutions - Factored a number but was kinda given the answer beforehand A challenge I have right now is a lot of the quantum is coming and a lot of 'evidence' resting on 'this other entity said it was likely'. What I have not seen are case studies of actual"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019289326148808714)  2026-02-05T05:57Z 126.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@Gaudeamus7 @PortfolioXpert If this logic held assets would only ever go down. NVDA has no options Gold has no futures SPX has no leverage markets Margin and derivatives isn't a thing in capital markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019294942091424138)  2026-02-05T06:20Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Folks are back to blaming manipulation because a bear flag broke lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019355722014945425)  2026-02-05T10:21Z 126.7K followers, 16.7K engagements


"Has a quantum computer ever successfully run Shor's algorithm Is there an example where the specific algorithm that breaks ECDSA has been successfully run on a lower security obsolete cryptographic scheme"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019358325322969191)  2026-02-05T10:31Z 126.9K followers, 60.1K engagements


"I've spent the afternoon asking questions and testing assumptions with Gemini. No matter which way I try being optimistic as I can It's giving me middle of next decade as a best case scenario. It just seems like there is a lot of 'changes to the goalposts' with endless new quantum metrics to benchmark but no measurable progress. This isn't about writing useful code. It's about running the algorithm AT ALL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019363109249642978)  2026-02-05T10:50Z 126.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Gemini tells me that you are technically correct if we were in [----]. Something (literally) called magic state. ___ Magic State Distillation: This is the industry-standard way to create high-fidelity T-gates and Toffoli gates. You take many "dirty" qubits and "distill" them into one "pure" gate. The Progress: In late [----] Microsoft and Quantinuum demonstrated the ability to perform logical gate operations that are significantly more reliable than the physical hardware beneath them. We are no longer limited by the "unreliability" of a single physical gate; we are limited by how many physical"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019368366411288938)  2026-02-05T11:11Z 126.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@caprioleio Ok so the argument is a zero to one moment. Right now there is too much noise and error such that Shor's algo cannot be run AT ALL. But at some future state with enough L-Qubits Shor's is possible being a [--] to [--] event"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019368888371470406)  2026-02-05T11:13Z 126.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Remember when everyone became a silverbug for a week That was fun"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019370675857973613)  2026-02-05T11:21Z 126.7K followers, 25.6K engagements


"@donnelly_brent @MarkYusko Yes I absolutely love how stablecoins buy me 50% less of the thing I am saving to buy since [----]. Really sucks that Bitcoin buys me 5x more of that thing over the same period. Cherry pick any time window suitable for a long duration savings asset and the point holds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019988252657352905)  2026-02-07T04:15Z 126.6K followers, [---] engagements


"@donnelly_brent @MarkYusko Is it You sure I can also check given brokerage fees are significantly higher for monthly DCA amounts into stonks that BTC. I've been a serious BTC accumulator since the [----] low and the facts are QQQs have underperformed over my investing window significantly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020280206632854015)  2026-02-07T23:35Z 126.6K followers, [---] engagements


"@knutsvanholm Not how Bitcoin soft forks work. The onus is on the ones proposing the change to obtain overwhelming consensus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020435919921422846)  2026-02-08T09:53Z 126.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@freddienew Truthfully I hope they keep adjusting it as we go higher. They will run out of space on the second line eventually"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020613091688591512)  2026-02-08T21:37Z 126.7K followers, [---] engagements


"@MisterLeeHODL Welcome aboard mate. Onchain data is perfectly valid. Like all tools the skill of the operator is what makes the difference between great and not-so-great construction. Never trust an analyst who blames their tools rather than their hands"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020614201186889945)  2026-02-08T21:42Z 126.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Serious question -- What threshold does Bitcoin need to reach (any metric you want) for you to reconsider your bias How large does the asset need to become How many ATH breaks need to be made How many years of existence What is the threshold at which you ask if you missed something https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020725109032616128 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020725109032616128"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020725109032616128)  2026-02-09T05:03Z 126.9K followers, 20.8K engagements


"@MEKowalski Imagine thinking that's a bear case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2021052323246797285)  2026-02-10T02:43Z 126.8K followers, [---] engagements


"@TailEdging Great to have you on the team. Truth is I actually don't consume any other analyst content with respect to Bitcoin. I find it clouds my judgement. I prefer to focus on what I see in front of me and trust my own PoW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2021092863053041840)  2026-02-10T05:24Z 126.8K followers, [---] engagements


"Have you ever tried to sell half a gold coin No you need silver coins for smaller payments. Right so I need to hold an industrial metal and trade in/out of the silver-gold exchange rate in order to save in smaller amounts Yes. .and I have to send it to you by mail or in person I can't use the internet to transfer it It's [----] . .so I ended up cutting my gold coin in half (dealer said they'd pay scrap 15% below spot) but only the outside was gold and the middle was grey. Why is that .aaaaand it's gone. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019212944035479747"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019212944035479747)  2026-02-05T00:54Z 126.9K followers, 35.6K engagements


"@adam3us The best I have been able to establish is the reason claimed is they need all of the qubits to calm the noise leaving none to run the computation. All about that nine nines fidelity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019364946073776191)  2026-02-05T10:58Z 126.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Markets like life are not fair. I recommend never assuming they ever will be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019375800127226362)  2026-02-05T11:41Z 126.9K followers, 48.6K engagements


"@caprioleio Imagine the workload costs and risks of acquiring and unwinding [--] defunct public companies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2021083849539866740)  2026-02-10T04:48Z 126.9K followers, 11.4K engagements


"If one believes Bitcoin isn't dead and headed to zero. And one also understands markets are mean reverting (Bitcoin especially). And one can select any number of technical trend onchain anchors around which the Bitcoin market oscillates. Then the statistics would show we're deep value. Note that deep value means we're trading in the deep left side of the probability distribution not a 'this is the bottom wick' observation. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021358562900136221 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021358562900136221"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2021358562900136221)  2026-02-10T23:00Z 126.9K followers, [---] engagements


"This is the right energy. Bitcoin is going to come roaring back purely because Bitcoiners are so unbelievably high conviction (and stubborn) that we will driven prices higher purely to mine the salt of the critics. Which creates more critics. Endless cycle. Whether it ends up a good inv or not I can't not appreciate bitcoin's special ability to irk all the right people. The amount it pisses someone off is equal to the amount of high priest-ish-ness they carry themselves with. ETFs had a similar effect esp early on and the FT Whether it ends up a good inv or not I can't not appreciate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020802291314413760)  2026-02-09T10:09Z 127K followers, 41.5K engagements


"Bitcoin has become one of the most hated assets over the last 12-months. If you're concocting your bear thesis today you're doing it wrong. There has never been a more bullish setup for bitcoin. A market can only rise sharply when most expect it to be dead. Few understand this. There has never been a more bullish setup for bitcoin. A market can only rise sharply when most expect it to be dead. Few understand this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020802967419355526)  2026-02-09T10:12Z 127K followers, 46.9K engagements


"2023-24 = [----] 2025-26 = [----] Here's a wild crypto price action thought. What if Trump was all a red herring/mirage for Bitcoin Yes there have been some positives like regulatory improvements but there's also been tons of negatives like siphoning billions from the industry and extreme capital misallocation https://t.co/jyagaX1hqL Here's a wild crypto price action thought. What if Trump was all a red herring/mirage for Bitcoin Yes there have been some positives like regulatory improvements but there's also been tons of negatives like siphoning billions from the industry and extreme capital"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2022445751465595176)  2026-02-13T23:00Z 127K followers, 31.2K engagements


"Where is the bottom of this Bitcoin bear My latest analysis piece is out for @_checkonchain subscribers assessing this question from a probabilistic standpoint. We're looking for the price levels that represent maximum opportunity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2015885393376510444)  2026-01-26T20:31Z 127K followers, 14.4K engagements


"Personal Update: I am very proud to announce I'm launching the @_checkonchain Newsletter on Substack After [--] years studying and educating folks on the power of #Bitcoin onchain data it's time to put my skills to the test. Our first edition is live 🧵 https://checkonchain.substack.com/ https://checkonchain.substack.com/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1780351200656830662)  2024-04-16T21:42Z 127K followers, 471.4K engagements


"@NBA_ComputerMan @LynAldenContact @LukeGromen @jvisserlabs @timevalueofbtc This is just a recreation of the fiat system. Gold in the banks vault nobody comes to redeem it so we issue more credit than bars of gold we have. Bitcoin is the only monetary unit which relies on no single entity for auditing and distributing the supply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017839995307118773)  2026-02-01T05:58Z 127K followers, [----] engagements


"@browniebrewbit @bramk @_DannyKnowles Love to hear this mate. Markets are easier to navigate when you can visualise what's going on beneath the hood"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019140621810954690)  2026-02-04T20:06Z 127K followers, [---] engagements


"RT @MartyBent: If you're looking for some sober analysis of the bitcoin market right now there's no one more high signal than @_Checkmatey_"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020278446149235080)  2026-02-07T23:28Z 127K followers, [--] engagements


"RT @PeterBTCAdviser: A timely catch up w @_Checkmatey_ giving us all the insights and onchain analysis. A lot of great information if you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020327137497301451)  2026-02-08T02:41Z 127K followers, [--] engagements


"The correct reply to folks claiming Bitcoin isn't decentralised is to ask them to detail another system is more decentralised. They will find the list so very short it really shouldn't take all that long to write it. Bitcoin as a decentralized system: - 88K bitcoin nodes around the world. Of which 24K are 'reachable'. - 3M ASIC mining machines around the world - 100M-300M people globally have bitcoin - 17K lightning nodes Bitcoin as a decentralized system: - 88K bitcoin nodes around the world. Of which 24K are 'reachable'. - 3M ASIC mining machines around the world - 100M-300M people globally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2020806291334025358)  2026-02-09T10:25Z 127K followers, 26.9K engagements


"RT @BITC_minimalist: You want to read it if you have access"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022429854663377234)  2026-02-13T21:57Z 127K followers, [--] engagements


"You must not be a Bitcoiner Stay humble and stack sats. This is a common saying in our world. Idea is markets will be markets and having an ego about them tends to humble you (buying too much at high prices having unrealistic expectations etc). Sats are the smallest unit of Bitcoin (like cents to dollars). [---] million of them per 1BTC Stacked meaning accumulation. The point of my tweet is that accumulating Bitcoin within those red boxes historically has been a tremendously good decision. Despite the fact it was challenging to do so at the time and the whole world told us we were idiots for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2022441891221147795)  2026-02-13T22:44Z 127K followers, [---] engagements


"This was indeed a very good read.  .   . .  .     . https://t.co/zueiI2wbBI  .   . .  .     . https://t.co/zueiI2wbBI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2021784450376552688)  2026-02-12T03:12Z 127K followers, 46.4K engagements


"Based on the 200DMA it's actually only been this cheap 6% of all trading days. At $60k that was 3.6% of days. Only been this cheap 10% of the time. Act accordingly. https://t.co/LNm6iwg7RS Only been this cheap 10% of the time. Act accordingly. https://t.co/LNm6iwg7RS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2022255575590203788)  2026-02-13T10:24Z 127K followers, 56.7K engagements


"Time Pain. My latest analysis is out for @_checkonchain subscribers presenting a methodology for estimating how much longer our bear market sentence may be. https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/time-pain https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/time-pain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2022239797063082305)  2026-02-13T09:21Z 127K followers, 20.4K engagements


"The zones you circled represent Bitcoin prices of $6k $4k $3k (in 2018-19) and $22k $20k $15k $17k (in 2022). The price is currently $67k coming off a high of $126k. If you had of accumulated coins at the highlighted prices in the past you would be up tremendously. That is the point. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022439345517662544 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022439345517662544"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2022439345517662544)  2026-02-13T22:34Z 127K followers, [---] engagements


"@caprioleio Great to see purge the bad ideas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2022579860556910627)  2026-02-14T07:53Z 127K followers, [----] engagements


"Where is the bottom of this Bitcoin bear https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/where-is-the-bottom-of-this-bear https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/where-is-the-bottom-of-this-bear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2015885475081552266)  2026-01-26T20:32Z 126K followers, [----] engagements


"@ND555555555555 @DarioCpx I didn't miss out on anything mate I bought some metal doorstops and made a 3x on them in short time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2016009701859983843)  2026-01-27T04:45Z 126K followers, [---] engagements


"This app is a mess. The comments are AI slop or angry triggered clowns from some other clan. Have been checking in only a few times a week.but increasingly less and less. Whatever Elon did to the algorithm it's done and cooked all that will remain is bot on bot slop. gg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2016077076508606935)  2026-01-27T09:13Z 126K followers, 34.3K engagements


"The silverbug comments have been enlightening. First every word above is true I get absolutely nothing out of making up some nonsense fake story (also very out of character for me to do something like that). That this was the go-to claim they made shows a degree of not wanting to hear it. Plenty of claims telling me I am a moron who just missed out on big guaranteed gainz ahead. I sold a third of my silver I'm now on house money riding the rest and I reallocated the proceeds into my long-term holds (gold/BTC). Nothing is guaranteed in markets bulletproof thinking is always a warning sign of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2016423804009119978)  2026-01-28T08:11Z 126K followers, [----] engagements


"Leaking Lower. My latest Bitcoin analysis piece hitting the inboxes of @_checkonchain subscribers. We continue our analysis of the probabilities of the bear bottoming within the [----] chopsolidation zone and introduce a new floor model to visualise it. https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/leaking-lower https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/leaking-lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017170463374577970)  2026-01-30T09:38Z 126.3K followers, 12.8K engagements


"sToRe oF vAlUe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017174645125067070)  2026-01-30T09:54Z 126.3K followers, 21.2K engagements


"You know what I wish I had. Onchain data for precious metals. What we'd see right now is a massive volume of recently bought coins at the top and a tonne of short-term holders who are about to start panic selling. Revived supply by old money ramped up hard since January and we now have a top heavy market. Probably not a 20yr bear market but silver will be in a bear market by the time the tennis is finished. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017175435755577705 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017175435755577705"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017175435755577705)  2026-01-30T09:57Z 126.2K followers, 16.8K engagements


"Correction by the time we get the first serve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017175732838125923)  2026-01-30T09:59Z 126.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Metals have hit a ceiling. Now put the damn floor in for corn folks. Then we can get back to the regularly scheduled programming of shipping endless mounds of salt to Schiff's house. Restore balance in the force"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017179920313848169)  2026-01-30T10:15Z 126.3K followers, 31.1K engagements


"Nobody talks about price suppression and manipulation when numba go up. Only when numba go down or sideways. The manipulators never manipulate the price higher.despite the upside potential being literally unlimited and downside is capped at [--]. 🚨THE SILVER MARKET IS BEING HEAVILY MANIPULATED RIGHT NOW. Silver is trading at two completely different prices at the same time. In the US (COMEX) silver is around $92. In Shanghai physical silver is around $130. Thats a 40%+ premium in Shanghai. Same metal. Two prices. https://t.co/UCEhxav6ey 🚨THE SILVER MARKET IS BEING HEAVILY MANIPULATED RIGHT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017360598343029224)  2026-01-30T22:13Z 126.3K followers, 27.4K engagements


"Gold and Silver monthly RSI is at [--] mate and the only time they have ever been more stretched above from the 200-week average was the [----] top. Note I specifically said 'a ceiling' not 'THE ceiling'. I'm very long PMs. But they need a rest. As for Bitcoin it's literally my job to analyse it. It's undervalued but probably not hit it's low yet. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017872354408358192 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017872354408358192"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017872354408358192)  2026-02-01T08:07Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@btcjvs Or.wait for it. .A lot of people sold a lot of Bitcoin over that exact same period of time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017905247247896785)  2026-02-01T10:17Z 126K followers, [----] engagements


"@btcjvs https://charts.checkonchain.com/btconchain/supply/lthnetposchange_0/lthnetposchange_0_light.html https://charts.checkonchain.com/btconchain/supply/lthnetposchange_0/lthnetposchange_0_light.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017909610485809548)  2026-02-01T10:35Z 126K followers, [----] engagements


"@german6martinez @btcjvs I figured Alcaraz would win but was hoping for Novak. Ripper of an opening set though. Nearly two decades age difference though and he's still in the final. THE goat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2017912007580930285)  2026-02-01T10:44Z 126K followers, [---] engagements


"@btcjvs The single source of truth is the chain unfiltered un-edited. It comes with blemishes but fart fewer than you think. A lot of noise gets cleaned up in the aggregates. Everything else is proprietary which means hard to verify"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018071516471312643)  2026-02-01T21:18Z 126.1K followers, [---] engagements


"The challenge is human psychology is geared towards avoiding risk. As a result we do not lever up until it feels safe to do so. Folks feel safe to lever up at the top when it is green sailing and everyone else is long. This is ironically the riskiest time to lever up. Just closed my last bitcoin backed loan. NEVER AGAIN Just closed my last bitcoin backed loan. NEVER AGAIN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018135020754674075)  2026-02-02T01:30Z 126.3K followers, 41.6K engagements


"By the way it being a bear market isn't a new insight. Has been my base case for several months now. There are folks who still don't believe it or are only just working this out. Accept it and the patiently accumulate accordingly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018198492334948437)  2026-02-02T05:43Z 126.3K followers, 49K engagements


"@JP_Technology Of course losing $110k back in Oct was the start. That's when we lost the STH cost basis after two failed ATH attempts. Check the bear first appeared 16-Oct. https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/on-the-cusp https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/on-the-cusp"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018208349553336487)  2026-02-02T06:22Z 126.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@21M1LL @LLFOURN You think eth will hold #2 spot I'm very confident Tether at a minimum will flip it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018264201039577388)  2026-02-02T10:04Z 126.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@MGHOTSAUCE Hard to know what to do with that chart. What is the insight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018429751162241451)  2026-02-02T21:02Z 126.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@21M1LL @MatthewJ21mil @LLFOURN I do think ETH is in a world of pain tbh. Can you show me any valuation framework that justifies it's current market cap (let alone growth into the future)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018430066557087825)  2026-02-02T21:03Z 126.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@gaiussolaris If you're this bearish why not actually just pivot and talk about equities mate. Why are you bothering to reply when the asset is dead and buried Move on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018430833707892989)  2026-02-02T21:06Z 126.1K followers, [---] engagements


"I think the thing you have missed here is there is ZERO intentional discrepancy between public and paid posts. I put 99.9% of my time and energy into the newsletter. I shitpost on twitter occasionally depending on whatever the current 'thing' is. You will not find any posts of mine recommending people go max long take leverage or be reckless. I'm bullish Bitcoin like all of us but there is no 'secret plan' to speak out of two sides of the mouth. Listen to any podcast I am on compare my private posts and compare my public tweets and you will see I am consistent throughout. My read here is you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018809535205634241)  2026-02-03T22:11Z 126.3K followers, [--] engagements


"DAT stock prices are doing plenty of work there and most of them can just wait because the market never gave them access to real leverage. Furthermore outside the top couple of firms their aggregate holdings are small. RE quantum I think you and I price the immediacy of the risk quite differently. I believe we need a solution but I do not believe we need one tomorrow. I also believe the Bitcoin developers are not being given sufficient credit for their awareness and work already underway on the topic. I'm very confident Bitcoin will resolve any issues as they arise and I think a lot of a fear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018826041788354729)  2026-02-03T23:16Z 126.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@TheQuestionnn @caprioleio Where is the FUD in my post cobba"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018826431112110350)  2026-02-03T23:18Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@Value_Theory What a shame months of chop at the bottom. A truly terrible outcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2018827898124460508)  2026-02-03T23:24Z 126.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@Rogerr2Roger Need to remove stablecoins. Tradingview: CRYPTOCAP:BTC/CRYPTOCAP:TOTALES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019142204539953252)  2026-02-04T20:13Z 126.3K followers, [--] engagements


"I understand this. However I would think that as a result of this growth rate there would be measurable progress in actually cracking low security obsolete cryptographic schemes This is my question with all of these qubits and these lower error rates are they actually able to run Shor's algorithm successfully Is there evidence they are actually doing what we fear they can do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2019353188974092466)  2026-02-05T10:11Z 126.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@Frenchy_DCR @DannyKriptical Haha every time you get a 2day ticket.you know the gods have cursed you with a 140day ticket to pay for it Every so often make sure to do a wallet rescan (bottom left) just in case it doesn't pick it up. Happens on rare occasions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1275326368255885313)  2020-06-23T07:14Z 126.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Who has good resources to further explore the debt market implosion in China and possible implications Seems like the biggest story very few are talking about. Fascinating thread on a serious risk profile. Fascinating thread on a serious risk profile"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1438655768010452992)  2021-09-17T00:07Z 126.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@KamstraPaul Dude we can see profit taking by old coins. Wallets of all sizes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1838887378410250510)  2024-09-25T10:24Z 126.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Gold is the new Silver"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1865220233340030982)  2024-12-07T02:22Z 126.9K followers, 63.6K engagements


"Surprisingly unpopular opinion: Gold and silver do not need to slow down for Bitcoin to do well. Bitcoiners thinking that needs to happen are low T and don't understand any of these assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2005087834785677490)  2025-12-28T01:26Z 126.9K followers, 38.2K engagements


"@sttsfnd @CornHarvest_BTC Problem is I am most interested in finance. There are only Bitcoiners talking to Bitcoiners about Bitcoin on nostr. Zero network effects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2016090759066484774)  2026-01-27T10:07Z 126.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Thanks for having me on to talk Bitcoin and options @options_insight. I learned a lot and shipped a 25-Delta Skew chart for IBIT options the day after based on our conversation We've not seen the bullish reversal just yet. This week's special guest on Crypto Options Unplugged was the one and only @_Checkmatey_ who gave us some great insight into how he views the on-chain data and now options data to get a read on crypto markets. https://t.co/2zHQW0SQov This week's special guest on Crypto Options Unplugged was the one and only @_Checkmatey_ who gave us some great insight into how he views the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1999217209089159411)  2025-12-11T20:38Z 126.9K followers, 20.4K engagements


"Contrast this to total inflows into Coinbase (light blue) and Binance (yellow). Spot selling. Options are important but not that important (yet)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1999769576863842566)  2025-12-13T09:13Z 126.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@Gravity5ucks Ive been covering the growth of ibit options in detail since september. Have loads of charts analysing IBIT options on my site too. https://open.substack.com/pub/checkonchain/p/more-paper-bitcoin http://Charts.Checkonchain.com https://open.substack.com/pub/checkonchain/p/more-paper-bitcoin http://Charts.Checkonchain.com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1999800288417624430)  2025-12-13T11:15Z 126.9K followers, [----] engagements


"To add to this the 30-day sum of Deribit inflows is in yellow (hardly distinguishable from the zero-line). The purple line is 30-day sum of onchain Realised Profit by Long-Term Holders (just the profit not the total coin volume)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/1999768076112605601)  2025-12-13T09:07Z 127K followers, [----] engagements


"I've opened up the paywall for my article covering the Bitcoin quantum computing risk. It's an important topic to discuss. This reflects my current thinking about the QC risk how it impacts Bitcoiners and what I think happens to vulnerable coins. https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/one-day-satoshis-coins-will-move https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/p/one-day-satoshis-coins-will-move"  
[X Link](https://x.com/_Checkmatey_/status/2001737488822603980)  2025-12-18T19:33Z 127K followers, 48K engagements

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