# ![@WaterportCap Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1892196556650287104.png) @WaterportCap Waterport

Waterport posts on X about $fico, $four, $ice, growth the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1892196556650287104/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1892196556650287104/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---] -56%
- [--] Month [-----] +231%
- [--] Months [------] -97%
- [--] Year [---------] -49%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1892196556650287104/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1892196556650287104/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +25%
- [--] Month [--] -88%
- [--] Months [---] +164%
- [--] Year [---] +3,240%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1892196556650287104/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1892196556650287104/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +0.56%
- [--] Month [---] +4.60%
- [--] Months [---] +247%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1892196556650287104/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1892196556650287104/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  [finance](/list/finance)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)  [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 

**Social topic influence**
[$fico](/topic/$fico), [$four](/topic/$four), [$ice](/topic/$ice), [growth](/topic/growth), [$gpn](/topic/$gpn) #7, [eps](/topic/eps), [$cwan](/topic/$cwan), [market](/topic/market), [asml](/topic/asml), [$wday](/topic/$wday)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@durablegrowth5](/creator/undefined) [@jerrycap](/creator/undefined) [@pythiar](/creator/undefined) [@invest091](/creator/undefined) [@pvoffcf](/creator/undefined) [@akramsrazor](/creator/undefined) [@marcslans](/creator/undefined) [@daveyjuice](/creator/undefined) [@mrmojorisinx](/creator/undefined) [@waterworldcapi1](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Fair Isaac, Corp. (FICO)](/topic/$fico) [4 (FOUR)](/topic/$four) [Decentral Games ICE (ICE)](/topic/$ice) [Global Payments Inc (GPN)](/topic/$gpn) [Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. (CWAN)](/topic/$cwan) [Workday Inc (WDAY)](/topic/$wday) [CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP)](/topic/$csgp) [CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. (CCCS)](/topic/$cccs) [ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA)](/topic/$acva) [Danaher Corporation (DHR)](/topic/$dhr) [Synopsys, Inc. (SNPS)](/topic/$snps) [Fiserv, Inc. (FI)](/topic/$fi) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG)](/topic/$isrg) [Roper Technologies Inc (ROP)](/topic/$rop) [Verisign, Inc. (VRSN)](/topic/$vrsn) [GoDaddy, Inc. (GDDY)](/topic/$gddy) [Paycom Software Inc (PAYC)](/topic/$payc) [Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)](/topic/$vrsk) [StaFi (FIS)](/topic/$fis) [SPS Commerce, Inc. (SPSC)](/topic/$spsc) [Now Coin (NOW)](/topic/$now) [Msci Inc (MSCI)](/topic/$msci) [Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)](/topic/$tmo) [TrueBit (TRU)](/topic/$tru) [Effect.AI (EFX)](/topic/$efx) [Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR)](/topic/$pcor) [Tradeweb Markets Inc. Class A Common Stock (TW)](/topic/$tw) [Agilysys, Inc. Common Stock (DE) (AGYS)](/topic/$agys) [Oracle Corporation (ORCL)](/topic/$orcl) [CME Group Inc (CME)](/topic/$cme) [MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX)](/topic/$mktx) [Mastercard, Inc. (MA)](/topic/$ma) [Cadence Design Systems Inc (CDNS)](/topic/$cdns) [Cognex, Corp. (CGNX)](/topic/$cgnx) [Autodesk Inc (ADSK)](/topic/$adsk) [Workiva Inc. (WK)](/topic/$wk) [Salesforce Inc (CRM)](/topic/$crm) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [AppFolio, Inc. Class A (APPF)](/topic/$appf) [Block, Inc. (XYZ)](/topic/$xyz) [Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH)](/topic/$manh) [Bridge Mutual (BMI)](/topic/$bmi) [Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN)](/topic/$wcn)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$COO at 12x EBITDA is the cheapest it has been in like [--] years. Probably an interesting pair trade somewhere in eyecare land here but haven't been following closely last couple yrs. $BLCO $ALC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1961111349691605042)  2025-08-28T16:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ICE is actively targeting customers of Black Knights Empower platform which the FTC required Black Knight to divest in advance of the acquisition by ICE. Empower has historically had around 10% to 15% market share comprised of [--] mostly large customers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1927775410244186453)  2025-05-28T17:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"These enterprise clients are exactly the sort of customers that 1) $ICE has solid relationships with across other dimensions of its business and 2) benefit most from the combined ecosystem of offerings ICE has to offer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1927775411879960663)  2025-05-28T17:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Further Constellation Software Empowers new owner has a reputation for starving its acquisitions of investment dollars to maximize free cash flow. $ICE by contrast has committed to investing significant resources to modernize and integrate MSP and Encompass." cc $CSU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1927775413448691811)  2025-05-28T17:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$FOUR financing done in under a week $20B of interest for $3B of loans per Lauber commentary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1928504150737764513)  2025-05-30T17:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Vertical SaaS investors are about to get introduced to terminal value risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1935480623336145228)  2025-06-18T23:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Give me a 10% drawdown in $V and $MA and I will add. Don't care stable coins don't care high entry multiple"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1935703988566962421)  2025-06-19T14:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Drawdown watch: $DHR 32.3% $ASML 30.6% $6861 26.4% $FOUR 26.6% $SNPS 24.3% $FICO 24.2% $CSGP 20.1% $NOW 17.0% $ISRG 16.6% $MSCI 16.2% $MCO 10.6% $MA 9.8% $CDNS 9.5% $V 9.3% $RACE 9.0%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1936280830370083245)  2025-06-21T04:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$DHR under [---] and $TMO under [---] feels really left for dead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1937187649804218536)  2025-06-23T16:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Beach baskets: Rate cuts $FICO $ICE AI bottlenecks $ASML $TSM Life sciences T&E $DHR $TMO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1938286088662962263)  2025-06-26T17:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"GB deal $2.6B for $240M FY26 (Mar) EBITDA. 11x EBITDA. Like 8-9x if you include synergies (I wouldn't). Growing 20% and under-earning. Nice deal. $FOUR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1939856687285796956)  2025-07-01T01:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"we caution against turning broadly bullish on FA/machinery companies even though the current situation may appear to represent a major trough $6861 $CGNX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1940045018980360555)  2025-07-01T13:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The MBA projects a +12% CAGR in originations through [----] fueled by +7% purchase volume and +27% refi growth as rates stabilize. Mortgage inquiries are still 50% below pre-COVID peaksplenty of runway for a snapback. $TRU $FICO $EFX $ICE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1940054176773677352)  2025-07-01T14:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$TRU trading at 0.7x $EFX. Kind of troughy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1940222785990926492)  2025-07-02T01:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Management has yet to find religion wrt capital allocation but is beginning to walk the path $TRU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1940224831120941143)  2025-07-02T01:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$CWAN looking kind of reasonable here Or is it a levered spaghetti monster now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1940423202817323326)  2025-07-02T14:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$CWAN set up is interesting $CWAN looking kind of reasonable here Or is it a levered spaghetti monster now $CWAN looking kind of reasonable here Or is it a levered spaghetti monster now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1942580365589135696)  2025-07-08T13:43Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Another chance to get on the $FICO train. Under [----] feels like the new under [----]. Effective today to increase competition to the Credit Score Ecosystem and consistent with President Trumps landslide mandate to lower costs Fannie and Freddie will ALLOW lenders to use Vantage [---] Score with no current requirement to build new infrastructure (stays Tri Merge). Effective today to increase competition to the Credit Score Ecosystem and consistent with President Trumps landslide mandate to lower costs Fannie and Freddie will ALLOW lenders to use Vantage [---] Score with no current requirement to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1942607990110003319)  2025-07-08T15:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO $ICE From NAR's July [----] Residential Real Estate Market Snapshot Report https://t.co/BYXeMTBT8C From NAR's July [----] Residential Real Estate Market Snapshot Report https://t.co/BYXeMTBT8C"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1942620131554705513)  2025-07-08T16:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Thoughts on $FICO: - Elite must-own compounder rated 9/10 by my 🤖 - Optically expensive but under-earning - Current drawdown 30% (seen only [--] times L10Y) - Competitive position may be fine - who can really say - Bear case business is now "only" an oligopoly Think you swing at that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1942942122123878476)  2025-07-09T13:41Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Hell yeah let it rip $ADSK Autodesk is weighing an acquisition of rival engineering-software provider PTC https://t.co/pWjtLzyFlU Autodesk is weighing an acquisition of rival engineering-software provider PTC https://t.co/pWjtLzyFlU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1943050175397924874)  2025-07-09T20:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Nice timing lol let's go $FICO "BMO Capital Initiates Fair Isaac at Outperform With $2000 Price Target""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1943330438342144044)  2025-07-10T15:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO Seiberg added that the revised policy might actually help FICO in the long run by sidestepping the forced dual-score structure that could have increased familiarity with its rival. FHFA Director Pulte may end up safeguarding FICOs dominant position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1943629157486711072)  2025-07-11T11:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$TTD highest quality name in adtech yet still has terminal value question mark. Lesson is just take adtech off the board. Afuera"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1944878627952451650)  2025-07-14T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Real ones will know this is a fat pitch $FICO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1944916991992606833)  2025-07-15T00:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@DurableGrowth5 Yep and with MSCI you can typically take comfort knowing they will be buying back shares in size as well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1947804476233916734)  2025-07-22T23:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Wait $CSGP green in AH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1947841744982179988)  2025-07-23T02:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CSGP at [--] and quietly approaching 20% [--] yr gain if this move holds. Where is the CSGP bear gang that has been gravedancing earnings move every quarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1948025169647222797)  2025-07-23T14:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$TMO $DHR $DHR under [---] and $TMO under [---] feels really left for dead $DHR under [---] and $TMO under [---] feels really left for dead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1948026188955324642)  2025-07-23T14:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Drawdown watch - names Im thinking about sizing up in: $ASML -33% $ISRG -19% $MSCI -14%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1948399797817217063)  2025-07-24T15:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$ASML relative NTM P/E vs S&P [---]. Wow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1948845323134144566)  2025-07-25T20:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@akramsrazor $CWAN $WK $BRZE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1948905800703115476)  2025-07-26T00:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"20% sub revenue growth 110% nrr 97% grr 80% GM. Feels like a 6-7x ntm revenue business imo. $WK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1949531167218348345)  2025-07-27T18:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO 35% drawdown here. Rare air"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1949534389982966251)  2025-07-27T18:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Used to find the $CWAN team a bit promotional for my taste but maybe this guy is a hitter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1949551285176242319)  2025-07-27T19:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Woah Berkshire selling $VRSN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1949936497999708515)  2025-07-28T20:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Man $FI puking makes you think twice about buying $GPN. Like what are you even playing for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1949947451537871099)  2025-07-28T21:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@marc_slans 6861.T"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1950156018001867022)  2025-07-29T11:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Completely insane that $SNPS one of the best businesses in the world is up 50% from where I bought it exactly [--] months ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1950203046295650467)  2025-07-29T14:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$CSGP is a sneeze away from closing out an epic [--] year drawdown. After years of wandering in the dessert you had to wonder if we had a busted chart. But now approaching ATH which is almost poetically right at $100 and management has engineered years of beat + raise runway $CSGP at [--] and quietly approaching 20% [--] yr gain if this move holds. Where is the CSGP bear gang that has been gravedancing earnings move every quarter $CSGP at [--] and quietly approaching 20% [--] yr gain if this move holds. Where is the CSGP bear gang that has been gravedancing earnings move every quarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1950357076250644829)  2025-07-30T00:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FOUR trading at 6x [----] EBITDA is obviously not the right price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1953294498735296656)  2025-08-07T03:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$FOUR 2Q24 Earnings Call "Volume grew 25% year-over-year to $50 billion.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534524521426959)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""We are well on track to meeting our goal of [-----] SkyTab systems installed globally in 2025.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534526555762737)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""Inclusive of the capital deployed to acquire Global Blue we've invested about $5.4 billion of capital since our IPO back into the business across [--] major categories: customer acquisition product investment and acquisitions.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534528430624999)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""Ongoing deprecation of legacy revenue from recent acquisitions will continue to influence year-over-year growth rates for the remainder of the year.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534536970215433)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""Of note our non-GAAP share count now contains an additional [--] million shares related to the mandatory convertible preferred issued in the quarter bringing our total share count for the quarter to [----] million shares." [----] x $82.44 PPS = $8.2B. Koyfin showing $7.2B $FOUR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534538668917184)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""During the second quarter we opportunistically repurchased $85 million of common stock at an average of $74 per share.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534540212363310)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""First we continue to expect organic gross revenue less network fees for the full year to grow north of 20%.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534541948837927)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""We are modestly raising our gross revenue less network fee guidance by $5 million to a range of $1.665 billion to $1.735 billion representing 23% to 28% growth before considering the impact of Global Blue."""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954534543521673474)  2025-08-10T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$GPN 2Q25 Earnings Call: "We recently announced the sale of our payroll business for a total consideration of $1.1 billion allowing for $500 million of additional shareholder returns through the accelerated share repurchase program we announced today.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954544003283558694)  2025-08-10T14:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""For the quarter we reported 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth excluding dispositions [---] basis points of margin expansion and 11% constant currency adjusted EPS growth compared to the same period in 2024.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954544004776739070)  2025-08-10T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""The launch of Genius marks an important milestone in our journey to streamline our solutions unifying all the global payments point-of-sale products into an intuitive and highly configurable new platform while establishing a stronger and more recognizable brand in the market.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954544006379053536)  2025-08-10T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"🤖 [--] Pro downgraded $CSGP to an 8.9/10. Feels warranted to me. Hard to put the Apartments/Homes ad businesses in the same tier as the GOATs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954975189197799470)  2025-08-11T18:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CWAN 2Q25 Earnings: Core printed 22% org growth 114% NRR 80% GM. Consolidated GRR/NRR 98/110. Adj EBITDA margins 32%+70 bps despite M&A drag. Platform proof point w/ major win at VKB. Actually integrating the assets. AI story. Delevering. 7x revs. I like it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082313559138411)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


""This was achieved in large part because gross margin of the core accounting and analytics business exceeded 80% for the quarter""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082319221420422)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""Looking ahead we see a clear path to continued margin expansion as we realize additional operational efficiencies and perhaps more importantly as generative AI initiatives continue to scale the platform.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082320815251537)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""We integrated the GTM teams and restructured the business to serve [--] markets; insurance asset managers hedge funds and asset owners. We then took the product and engineering teams from all [--] organizations and combine them to build integrated capabilities.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082322400682244)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""The core tenets of the platform will be number one it will have a single-instance multi-tenant architecture. This is the last upgrade our clients will ever need.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082324074172477)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""Number two the platform will share a security master across the entire investment life cycle. When an event happens anywhere in the trade life cycle a trade a corporate action or a regulatory change it will be reflected everywhere in the platform in near real time.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082325676474546)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""Number three managing cross-asset class risk risk across geographies understanding cash flows at a comprehensive level will all be possible in near real time vastly enhancing decision-making capability.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082327261954208)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""We continue to be committed to repaying our debt quickly and fully expect our leverage ratio to be very comfortably below 4x by the end of this year.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082334148939948)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Investor Day on September 3"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955082335847600156)  2025-08-12T01:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""The transportation team had another quarter of strong execution setting records for both quarterly revenue and transports delivery. AI optimized pricing continues to drive strong growth and operating efficiency. Revenue margin expanded [---] basis points year-over-year.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263162695012357)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""The ACV Capital team also delivered very strong results with over 60% revenue growth in Q2. This was the third quarter in a row of accelerated growth which supports our confidence that we continue to scale ACV Capital while managing risk""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263164246900868)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The ACV MAX team delivered another strong quarter reflecting the investment we've made to advance its features. Through Q2 bookings were up 50% compared to [----] driven by a number of large competitive displacements.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263167279354340)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""A great example is ACV guarantee one of the fastest-growing channels in our marketplace accounting for over 15% of units sold exiting Q2. Our guaranteed sales accelerate better engagement remove market risk for our sellers and deliver a 100% conversion rate.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263168776696040)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""Commercial capabilities to receive assignments from AutoIMS conduct commercial inspections create work orders and repair estimates and receive consignor approvals. We will leverage our tech by opening up additional greenfield locations to address the large commercial TAM.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263176758468857)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""For the third quarter we are expecting revenue in the range of $198 million to $203 million growth of 16% to 18% year-over-year against a tough comparison in Q3 '24 which had revenue growth of 44%""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263178503233689)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""On commercial listen we're still very early. I mean we -- our wins of the quarter is we just got our software done for our new platform. But we sold our first car at our greenfield location at Houston""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263188368306528)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


""First and foremost we always protect in our annual budget a pretty significant product and technology spend.5 years from now [--] years from now we're going to talk about ACV being the global way cars are priced and sold.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263190578729308)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Really focused on capital allocation How can you not be long $FOUR what's jared up to now https://t.co/h0wsCGIiQa what's jared up to now https://t.co/h0wsCGIiQa"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955375996732911870)  2025-08-12T21:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@PythiaR You have to treat M&A spend as maintenance capex"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1956093988311851059)  2025-08-14T20:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@PythiaR Agree in concept but the assets Ive looked at in private markets that CSU ended up buying were much worse than -1% organic growth. They were terminal value traps the rest of the market passed on. You can buy these things and raise prices to print organic growth in the short term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1956168114074190151)  2025-08-15T01:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Nice spread $SNPS $CDNS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1956831348532084955)  2025-08-16T21:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$WDAY at 4% FCF yield and LDD growth looks pretty good relative to $DAY takeout"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1958522448367796578)  2025-08-21T13:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$ISRG is the GOAT business in healthcare. Currently in a 23% drawdown which is historically peak pain outside of the [----] selloff. Multiple still super sporty but whole sector has underperformed and is due for a rotation. Think ISRG is a nice place to be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1958598773883773183)  2025-08-21T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"AI wave is actually just extending the reinvestment runway for enterprise SaaS by stocking the pond with acquisition targets $WDAY $NOW $CRM $ADBE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1958657428561551731)  2025-08-21T22:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$WDAY low double digit revenue CAGR + 4% FCF yield = mid teens IRR floor and FCF margins inflecting higher. Could be 20% IRR here Share count dilution from sbc has been my biggest pet peeve on this name historically but seems like that is finally under control"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1958684843362988228)  2025-08-22T00:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Jackson hole meeting feels set up to disappoint. Market is pricing in cuts but macro data not supporting it. Powell will want to defend his legacy / Fed independence. Think he holds the line or even leaves door open for hikes. Note: I am almost always wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1958870297852977557)  2025-08-22T12:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$DSY at 14x EBITDA and 4% FCF yield seems cheap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1959728873010082124)  2025-08-24T21:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JerryCap ASML owns 25% of Zeiss semi segment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1959932591697531120)  2025-08-25T10:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO climbing out - drawdown is now inside 40%. It is not too late to board this train"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1961074389249654860)  2025-08-28T14:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Long $NOW $ADBE $WDAY $CRM. Party like its [----] look good doing it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1961506136617595373)  2025-08-29T19:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO drawdown now 36% bottom's in. It's a walk off. $FICO climbing out - drawdown is now inside 40%. It is not too late to board this train. https://t.co/lqAKpZGQxS $FICO climbing out - drawdown is now inside 40%. It is not too late to board this train. https://t.co/lqAKpZGQxS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1961521898228957428)  2025-08-29T20:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$GDDY in a 30% drawdown and sporting an 8.5% FCF yield. Looking like it wants to tango again. Spread w/ VRSN has blown back out so nice pair trade. Huge buybacks will support share price here at some point. Plus Goggins catalyst. Tempting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1963242144266658237)  2025-09-03T14:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FIG short has been free money and is still at 30x revenuewhat are we doing here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1963379084160880726)  2025-09-03T23:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO drawdown now inside 35%. You don't need a big brained take on normalized mortgage volumes to get long here. In some respects you can say risk/reward is actually better here because it looks like bottom is in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1963966736543232151)  2025-09-05T14:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The $ICE mortgage complex is insane. Covers 85% of mortgages in US across origination and servicing. Leveraging these assets to digitize the $12T MBS market. This is a one of a kind business assembled over the past [--] yrs that the FTC probably should not have let exist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1964327494414180393)  2025-09-06T13:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Sprecher tried to launch a mortgage clearinghouse in [----] but regulators shot it down. Now he's assembled critical software/data infrastructure to digitize the secondaries market. Real prize is clearinghouse economics just talking that down rn to avoid regulatory scrutiny $ICE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1964332487678841246)  2025-09-06T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The thing you need to remember when hunting drawdowns in high quality businesses like $SNPS today is that the risks/concerns driving the selloff always seem credible in the moment. But this too shall pass"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1965795953107218859)  2025-09-10T15:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$FICO continuing to climb out. Drawdown now down to 33%. Getting back up from here would be 50% upside. Midwits will cite the 47x p/e but this is one of the world's GOAT businesses mortgage volumes are at historical lows and JPow is about to cut. Think about it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1966226739417460794)  2025-09-11T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$WDAY mgmt just guided in line with my bull case here and 20% fcf/sh cagr This is what we in the biz call a "fat pitch" (academic term) https://t.co/23UKGuzeFV This is what we in the biz call a "fat pitch" (academic term) https://t.co/23UKGuzeFV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1968134698196201476)  2025-09-17T02:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@davey_juice Has been a nice funding short against four and adyen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1968354915069333923)  2025-09-17T16:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$WDAY cfo calling $15 fcf / share in FY28. That is basically ntm2 at this point. At 4% fcf yield = $375 PPS 60% upside. Wouldn't surprise me to see it revisit 3.5% fcf yield as the AI / enterprise SaaS narrative rotates back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1968647501730271314)  2025-09-18T12:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ASML closing out its 52W drawdown. Still 20% down from Jul-24 highs. Easy money. And you didn't need a big-brained hot take on litho intensity at the next node to own this thing. It's a *monopoly* on critical semiconductor manufacturing equipment lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1968651425560326255)  2025-09-18T12:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Picked up some more $SPGI here. 10% drawdown"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1968754106979246326)  2025-09-18T19:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"My guess is a secular decline in claims frequency due to AV's my guess would look something like a LSD decline over multiple decades. And the 9% y/y decline right now is only a 1% drag on overall CCCS rev growth because only 20% of rev is transactional. So pretty muted impact"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971934087507222586)  2025-09-27T13:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"(2) Other key thing I'm focused on is M&A strategy / diversification into other insurance lines. The core business in collission auto claims is so dominant that it feels like this inevitably "di-worsifes" the business. Strategic fit of recent Evolution IQ deal isnt clear to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971934089499628032)  2025-09-27T13:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$FICO drawdown now 25%. Still +33% upside from here to close this out. What's changed - Mortgage refi volumes showing signs of life - Jpow cuts rates - FICO raises prices (shocker) - Pulte showing support (got long) - Sellside upgrades / estimates revisions UP $FICO drawdown now 36% bottom's in. It's a walk off. https://t.co/vQcirvpVXx $FICO drawdown now 36% bottom's in. It's a walk off. https://t.co/vQcirvpVXx"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1974085823403630714)  2025-10-03T12:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Some more baskets - vertical software getting smoked and semicap absolutely ripping. Didn't need these charts to know that but helpful to contextualize. These are [--] sigma moves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1974949173968720365)  2025-10-05T21:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$SNPS drawdown vs $SOXX - woah"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1975562665973141778)  2025-10-07T14:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JerryCap Nicely tuned 🤖ask it what it thinks of Keyence 6861"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1950323542928638241)  2025-07-29T22:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Any followers of my previous account (Camber) will remember this one. Amazing re-ratings at $VRSN and $GDDY over the last few years now completely roundtripping. I've stopped following GDDY as closely since blowing out at $200 but this might be getting interesting again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1953581597808374265)  2025-08-07T22:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DurableGrowth5 If a name rated 9/10 has a major drawdown then buy and hold forever. For names rated 8-9 selling when they rerate. Eventually will fill up the book with only elite names as buying opportunities permit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1953588733128929433)  2025-08-07T22:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DurableGrowth5 Until then still trading a sleeve of lower quality stuff like $FOUR and $GDDY bc its fun and old habits die hard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1953588853430010050)  2025-08-07T22:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Tactical views for caching software drawdowns: - Vertical ERP's - deeper IP standards/protocols - Distrbution - potential rails to market for AI - Network effects - integrations exchange data model Watching $ADSK $PCOR $CWAN $CCCS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954226195035263167)  2025-08-09T17:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Havent been following this one as closely past couple quarters but at 2x [----] revenue might be time to dust off $ACVA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955045868463153361)  2025-08-11T23:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I guess I am going to get long $PCOR again. I mean MLNK just sold for 6x revs. Come on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955061027567018288)  2025-08-12T00:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ACVA 2Q25 Earnings: Guiding mid teens growth in 3Q on tough comps + macro (not share losses) but maintaining 20% for FY. Managing to EBITDA despite softness. Lot of product momentum / LT growth vectors. Taking MSD price. Prioritizing greenfield reinvestment opps M&A"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955263156202176847)  2025-08-12T13:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Looking for mid cap names rating 7-8 / [--] that have the potential to rerate into 8-9s over medium term. Looking at $CWAN $PCOR $ACVA right now. Hit me with ideas if you have em"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1957095300595667158)  2025-08-17T15:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Pretty crazy spread closing here between $CPRT and $RBA. Feels like too late to the party here but maybe this still has legs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1957987241126715655)  2025-08-20T02:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$TW getting interesting at 35x pe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1957991596198170726)  2025-08-20T02:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$AGYS is like a $60 stock imo. Trading at 9x rev / 44x EBITDA / 55x FCF Organic growth deceleraing into LDD territory no valuation support diluted share count growing MSD. Plus a hedge on $FOUR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1958160469996269806)  2025-08-20T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"180 bps spread between $WDAY ntm fcf yield and $PAYC. Easy money here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1959241344095838462)  2025-08-23T13:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$WDAY: $10B rev (5x larger) 15% growth 4% logo growth (est) 98% GRR enterprise hcm/fins ERP competing vs SAP ORCL $PAYC: $2B rev 10% growth 2% logo growth 90% rev retention total knife fight in mid market payroll/hcm with too many peers to name This is what we in the biz call a "fat pitch" (academic term) https://t.co/23UKGuzeFV This is what we in the biz call a "fat pitch" (academic term) https://t.co/23UKGuzeFV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1959264105547681891)  2025-08-23T14:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ADYEN multiple looking increasingly at risk of derating to me given rest of sector trading at single digit EBITDA multiples. Especially if growth dips to 20% over next [--] - [--] years which sudenly feels like could be more likely than not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1960028814156693890)  2025-08-25T17:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$NCNO +18% today on earnings. Think you fade this move. 7x sales for 10% organic subs growth and no fcf No thanks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1960713941828383145)  2025-08-27T14:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"From latest $ZG pich on VIC:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1961475836831215697)  2025-08-29T17:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Upside for $ICE would be enormous. Crazy optionality embedded here in what is literally the **lowest vol GOAT** with all-weather through-cycle earnings power and crticial infrastructure monopoly network/data assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1964332490895630796)  2025-09-06T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@MrMojoRisinX $HRB - digitization demographics $VRSN - volume erosion capped pricing Memory - cap intensity cyclicality commoditization Telecom - saturation cord cutting cap intensity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1964388171950805062)  2025-09-06T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$DSY / $PTC spread looking super blown out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1964406431571935397)  2025-09-06T19:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$TYL now in a 15% drawdown. Welcome back my friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1965799032628142327)  2025-09-10T15:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ROP at 19x EBITDA almost 15% drawdown. Welcome back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1965800177132081556)  2025-09-10T15:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Valuations in payments are pretty mystifying. NTM FCF yield for $FOUR at 11% and $GPN at 15%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1965959733594169581)  2025-09-11T02:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


""For those of you who don't know Project Viper it's these [--] towers that don't take up a lot of real estate and that underneath it is Virtual Lift [---] which is a scanning device. It takes us within a few hours of showing up at a dealership to have this set up." $ACVA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1966479394693611557)  2025-09-12T12:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ICE and $CME are both sniffing around $100B market cap. Kind of a neck and neck race. Love both of these but only holding ICE right now - cheaper and more dynamic growth story levered to rate cuts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1968354129211961682)  2025-09-17T16:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$TW vs $MKTX - comparing asset class exposures and remaining electronification runway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1970209548054208749)  2025-09-22T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"All of the companies that $ROP has acquired which I had the benefit of looking at on the private equity side were quality businesses that I would have liked to own. $CSU on the other hand has bought the shitcos that I wouldnt touch. They should not trade for the same multiple"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1970474076641567075)  2025-09-23T13:03Z [---] followers, 11.4K engagements


"$MKTX trading at same market cap as [----]. Kind of crazy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1970479461574508671)  2025-09-23T13:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CCCS key debates: (1) Claims volume declining HSD y/y - is this a secular trend (driverless cars lower accident frequency) or cyclical consumer behavior Market pricing in the former mgmt is dug in that it is the latter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971934082222456880)  2025-09-27T13:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"And management is signaling that more of this is coming as they diversify away from auto claims exposure. So now you have terminal value question mark on core biz and have to underwrite expansion into new biz lines with capital allocation risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971934093375127690)  2025-09-27T13:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"This kind of rhymes with what has played out at $VRSK and I think lesson there is that $CCCS may be better off focusing on the core biz and cranking up buybacks here instead of M&A. Staying on the sidelines here for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971934095145160732)  2025-09-27T13:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Catching up on $VRSK - 25% drawdown 20x ntm EBITDA. Sold off following AccuLynx deal. No doubt a strategic deal and I don't necessarily think this signals a return to the "verisk of old" that would buy anything. But price seems enormous at $2.35B is 16x rev / 28x EBITDA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971942093498331573)  2025-09-27T14:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"VRSK will have major market share in roofing / field services software but that category feels crowded and JobNimbus is still a major player so doesn't seem like they will be as dominant here as say CCCS is in auto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971942096065212442)  2025-09-27T14:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"🤖 thinks auto is the bigger prize roofing $CCCS $VRSK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971942098665693271)  2025-09-27T14:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Brutal [--] year run in payments market caps since the watermarks set during [----] merger mania: $FI: $71B at Jul-19 close of FD -- $70B today -1% $FIS: $81B at Jul-19 close of WP -- $34B today -59% $GPN $28B at Sep-19 close of TSYS -- $20B today -58%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971981876610191563)  2025-09-27T16:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Seen a lot thoughtful and nuanced takes on the $FICO pricing changes and Equifax counter positioning. I have nothing to add to the discourse. My take is that nobody knows including and most importantly me. But as a student of markets I love the volatility. Pure cinema"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1975982417094770711)  2025-10-08T17:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CME and $ICE are both great businesses but I am puzzled by how this valuation spread has played out last couple years. More torque in the ICE story imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1978852361624867262)  2025-10-16T15:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Keyence is an outlier $6861"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1980613933925802420)  2025-10-21T12:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$DHR NTM price target 30x p/e on $9 eps = $270"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1980627473017471449)  2025-10-21T13:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Mortgage hard credit inquiries were down about 7% but better than our expectations of down over 12%.in September we saw modest mortgage activity inquiries increase $EFX $FICO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1980637728888017354)  2025-10-21T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Can't wait to have my browser integrated with agent + memory. Think traditional internet listing site / online travel agency business models are terminal value risks $ABNB $BKNG $CSGP $EXPE $Z"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1980690760677880091)  2025-10-21T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ISRG drawdown hit 30% and is now at -24%. Earnings today after close. Think we climb out from here. Let's see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1980696407809097804)  2025-10-21T18:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@invest091 $CME is near peak cycle volumes in rates derivatives following the most aggressive Fed hiking cycle since Volcker while mortgage volumes are in multi decade cyclical lows $ICE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1980813342819381620)  2025-10-22T01:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Feel like $TW is good from here. Troughed at -30% and up now to -26%. Maybe too early to call but I like it. Could easily go back to [--] - 40x p/e which is $136 - $152 / sh on [----] numbers. Downside here is what - 10% down to $100 Nice risk/reward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981099366904713427)  2025-10-22T20:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@PVofFCF I don't think of buybacks as 4% roic because the fcf yield grows over time. I think of roic on buybacks how I think of IRR on the stock which I would say is probably mid teens from here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981461981799301313)  2025-10-23T20:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"If $INTC is going to rip can it at least take my $SNPS with it please"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981465276857110791)  2025-10-23T20:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JerryCap @PVofFCF Yes or even FCF yield + growth + multiple rerate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981477257244749964)  2025-10-23T21:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$GDDY now trading at 9% fcf yield. Estimates have been marching higher and $VRSN just guided 2% domain base growth which is staggering. Need mgmt to fire the buyback bazooka again and think this could run $GDDY in a 30% drawdown and sporting an 8.5% FCF yield. Looking like it wants to tango again. Spread w/ VRSN has blown back out so nice pair trade. Huge buybacks will support share price here at some point. Plus Goggins catalyst. Tempting. https://t.co/uz7Rr9LFuZ $GDDY in a 30% drawdown and sporting an 8.5% FCF yield. Looking like it wants to tango again. Spread w/ VRSN has blown back out so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981539518504124696)  2025-10-24T01:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$DXCM and $PODD market caps pretty similar at $28B and $23B. DXCM growing mid teens with $750M fcf doubling to $1.6B in [----]. PODD growing mid 20s with half the fcf ($375M) and cons $630M fcf in [----] with growth decel to DXCM level. Seems off.are PODD cons numbers too low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981684618748441064)  2025-10-24T11:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Ramping up on electrical names but wonder if these are not peak on peak set ups right now.e.g. here are $APH consensus estimates. You need to underwrite a revenue cagr 20% (vs ldd historically) and sustained margin profile several points higher than its history"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1982788334821749063)  2025-10-27T12:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$MSCI with $1.25B of buybacks in the quarter.is that a lot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1983141885943136277)  2025-10-28T12:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Holy smokes $FI down almost 30% pre market. 1% revenue growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1983494418024816890)  2025-10-29T11:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$VRSK acculynx deal feels even more suspect after this organic growth print"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1983498475984584885)  2025-10-29T11:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"For several years $CSGP has found support at 8x ntm revenue and 12x ltm gross profit based on look through earnings power but it fell through those floors this morning. You have to wonder where it finds true valuation support now still trading at 39x EBITDA and 55x earnings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1983543621749198887)  2025-10-29T14:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Checking back in on [----] payments merger mania now that Fiserv has reunited with the bunch. Amazing how badly these have all played out. Remind me why I cover payments again $FI $FIS $GPN Brutal [--] year run in payments market caps since the watermarks set during [----] merger mania: $FI: $71B at Jul-19 close of FD -- $70B today -1% $FIS: $81B at Jul-19 close of WP -- $34B today -59% $GPN $28B at Sep-19 close of TSYS -- $20B today -58% https://t.co/3mPud5kk6i Brutal [--] year run in payments market caps since the watermarks set during [----] merger mania: $FI: $71B at Jul-19 close of FD -- $70B today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983579776951738811)  2025-10-29T17:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Would be intersting to see $CSU organic growth rates by cohorts of acquisitions grouped by vintage. My intuition is that 'organic growth' is propped up by recent cohorts where value extraction is still early days which only sustains as long as cohorts are succesively larger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983592566907138518)  2025-10-29T17:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"By pure coincidence I was listening to Gavin baker on a16z podcast this morning talking about declining saas gross margins being a positive signal of ai adoption when I read $CCCS earnings release which printed like [---] bps decline y/y in gross margin. Bullish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983915911070241009)  2025-10-30T15:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Year to date revisions to consensus EPS estimates across payments names. One of these is not like the others. $FOUR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984682271094251902)  2025-11-01T18:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$NVDA data center revenue growth and consensus estimates. Kind of suspicious"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987206221661659369)  2025-11-08T17:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Need to believe $60B of incremental data center gpu spend per year which implies $160 - 220B incremental AI capex. And stable market share vs google tpus amd custom asics. Also no energy/grid bottlenecks which are already a bottleneck. $NVDA data center revenue growth and consensus estimates. Kind of suspicious. https://t.co/dTAGG9WF6c $NVDA data center revenue growth and consensus estimates. Kind of suspicious. https://t.co/dTAGG9WF6c"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987227387600183714)  2025-11-08T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"30 year reverse dcf analysis of $NVDA implying fcf grows to $900B in [----]. Say 50% fcf margins to keep it simple = $1.8T of revenue. Assume compute is 50% of total data center capex spend and NVDA captures 50% of compute market share = $7T of implied annual dc capex"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987244894268617044)  2025-11-08T19:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"How much lower until the $CSU crowd starts doing a sum of the parts and realizes the parts are worth 6x ebitda"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988219956874654148)  2025-11-11T12:19Z [---] followers, 18.5K engagements


"$FICO EPS estimates moving higher again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989009936806740496)  2025-11-13T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@WaterworldCapi1 Mortgage volumes recover on rate cuts plus policy intervention Payment processors rerate on return of capital PMI [--] and rails/transports industrial gas waste mgmt rally Fixed income trading venues recover on fpm stabilization"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/2005746099060121899)  2025-12-29T21:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Quality drawdown watch: $FICO -35.1% $DHR -33.2% $ASML -30.8% $6861.T -27.7%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1945872210846978200)  2025-07-17T15:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ROP just announced a $3B buyback program (5-6% of mkt cap) which has not been part of the growth algo here. M&A pipeline seems strong so don't think this is signalling lack of reinvesmtent opps. Mgmt telling you the stock is cheap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1981323640432988328)  2025-10-23T11:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$APPF results look very solid. Acceleration in unit count growth revenue growth back 20% estimates moving higher. Also on the front foot rolling out AI functionality versus levered PE rollups unlikely to get their act together"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984349087932813404)  2025-10-31T19:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Crazy tape. Closed out shorts in $PAYC $SPSC $ORCL and $XYZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986843167610585358)  2025-11-07T17:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$AGYS short finally working. Still 40x earnings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016169339246854337)  2026-01-27T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Incredible divergence here b/w my favorite semicap monopolies $ASML + $VACN and tightly correlated $SOXX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1961145035946103262)  2025-08-28T19:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$GPN trading for 5x [----] EPS is blowing my mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011898972106080492)  2026-01-15T20:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$MANH guiding to msd revenue growth with eps flat/down and below consensus. Not sure how this hangs on to a mid 30s p/e multiple. More like 50x w/o sbc added back. Woof"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016266726854266957)  2026-01-27T21:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Trough on trough $6861.T we caution against turning broadly bullish on FA/machinery companies even though the current situation may appear to represent a major trough $6861 $CGNX we caution against turning broadly bullish on FA/machinery companies even though the current situation may appear to represent a major trough $6861 $CGNX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1940046147164270701)  2025-07-01T13:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$CWAN $ENFN pro forma P&L. G&A at ENFN high - 39% of revenue. Easy cost out job. I like it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1942624897043423430)  2025-07-08T16:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


""We cant emphasize enough how much website publishers are getting crushed by AI." - The Information Short basket: $BZFD $IAC $TBLA $CRTO $NRDS $ANGI $CHGG $SEMR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1943314734645748073)  2025-07-10T14:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Keyence the original forward deployed engineers $6861.T Chat [--] Pro re-underwrite 🤖"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1954239043476373698)  2025-08-09T17:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$BMI in a 27% drawdown trading at 24x EBITDA. Could be getting interesting here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1960155680632934476)  2025-08-26T01:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Man it feels like there's a lot to do in smid cap right now $FOUR $MKTX $BMI $CWAN $CCCS $GTLB $VACN $ACVA $RGEN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1970842577260732579)  2025-09-24T13:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$WCN at 16x ebitda is about as cheap as it gets and 15% drawdown is as deep as it gets. One of the low vol goats flashing buy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971402809418645904)  2025-09-26T02:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Been a bit surprised by the $ACVA slide to $10/share. Now $1.7B market cap. This is [--] months from being a $1B/yr revenue business with like 15-20% FCF margins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971758926539772280)  2025-09-27T02:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Kind of crazy to see $MLNK go. Been following this one since it was private before TB owned it. End of an era. RIP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1955053873132868092)  2025-08-11T23:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$ACVA commentary from Citi conference. Product initiatives in thread below sound pretty compelling imo. Plus positive commentary on conversion rate trends coming out of Q2 and margin expansion. Stock dropping like a stone though down 52% ytd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1966479393196290390)  2025-09-12T12:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ROP organic growth trending toward low single digits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016138711734321440)  2026-01-27T13:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Been adding low-vol ballast so I can run higher gross. Problem is the best low vol compounders are just correlated bets on quality / duration / infoserv factors. $WCN correlations are meaningfully lower which is why it's interesting. Not to mention a great biz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/WaterportCap/status/1971953751436243371)  2025-09-27T15:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$GPN now trading for 5x [----] eps and 4x [----] eps $GPN trading for 5x [----] EPS is blowing my mind $GPN trading for 5x [----] EPS is blowing my mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018773332758552697)  2026-02-03T19:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Codex 🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022322318987370662)  2026-02-13T14:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Codex 🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯🤯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022322318987370662)  2026-02-13T14:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Spent all night building my first web app and suddenly feel like we are in a race for our lives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022318925187350688)  2026-02-13T14:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$GPN now trading for 5x [----] eps and 4x [----] eps $GPN trading for 5x [----] EPS is blowing my mind $GPN trading for 5x [----] EPS is blowing my mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018773332758552697)  2026-02-03T19:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$GPN trading for 5x [----] EPS is blowing my mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011898972106080492)  2026-01-15T20:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$MANH guiding to msd revenue growth with eps flat/down and below consensus. Not sure how this hangs on to a mid 30s p/e multiple. More like 50x w/o sbc added back. Woof"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016266726854266957)  2026-01-27T21:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$AGYS short finally working. Still 40x earnings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016169339246854337)  2026-01-27T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$ROP organic growth trending toward low single digits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016138711734321440)  2026-01-27T13:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$FICO EPS estimates moving higher again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989009936806740496)  2025-11-13T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"How much lower until the $CSU crowd starts doing a sum of the parts and realizes the parts are worth 6x ebitda"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988219956874654148)  2025-11-11T12:19Z [---] followers, 18.5K engagements

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