# ![@TiltFolio Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1920128936010244096.png) @TiltFolio TiltFolio

TiltFolio posts on X about stocks, gold, bitcoin, inflation the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1920128936010244096/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1920128936010244096/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +175%
- [--] Month [-------] -32%
- [--] Months [-------] +62%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1920128936010244096/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1920128936010244096/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +169%
- [--] Month [---] -34%
- [--] Months [---] +114%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1920128936010244096/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1920128936010244096/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +4%
- [--] Month [-----] +6.20%
- [--] Months [-----] +77%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1920128936010244096/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1920128936010244096/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  76.12% [stocks](/list/stocks)  19.4% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  15.67% [countries](/list/countries)  13.43% [currencies](/list/currencies)  5.22% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  5.22% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  2.99% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  2.24%

**Social topic influence**
[stocks](/topic/stocks) #2533, [gold](/topic/gold) 35.82%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 11.94%, [inflation](/topic/inflation) #1812, [future](/topic/future) 11.19%, [breakout](/topic/breakout) #484, [red](/topic/red) 8.96%, [alltime](/topic/alltime) #597, [$tlt](/topic/$tlt) #33, [in the](/topic/in-the) 7.46%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@mrderivatives](/creator/undefined) [@deitaone](/creator/undefined) [@barchart](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@robinjbrooks](/creator/undefined) [@investingcom](/creator/undefined) [@aahanprometheus](/creator/undefined) [@jbulltard1](/creator/undefined) [@vkmacro](/creator/undefined) [@akanoego](/creator/undefined) [@marketsleuth](/creator/undefined) [@zerohedge](/creator/undefined) [@spencerhakimian](/creator/undefined) [@tmtlongshort](/creator/undefined) [@tihobrkan](/creator/undefined) [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@jessecoheninv](/creator/undefined) [@margincall4](/creator/undefined) [@jaguaranalytics](/creator/undefined) [@hajiyevrashad](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO)](/topic/$csco) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/$wmt)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@donnelly_brent Crypto bros did a great job of convincing many that Bitcoin is gold [---]. And yet only gold trades like the "future of money" (i.e. it hedges against currency debasement) while crypto is a proxy for speculative excess. Let's see if stocks now follow crypto lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021932478131581347)  2026-02-12T13:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Zero points for originality: The 200-week moving average ($60000 for Bitcoin) is likely to serve as short-term support - at least. After that we'll see. If Bitcoin is still behaving like a leading indicator for liquidity stocks have some catching up (down) to do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021933825950179428)  2026-02-12T13:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JohnDoss1 While true the quant call buyers aren't making money. The ratio of $QQQ to $QYLD (systematic call-selling ETF that also holds the index) shows you the balance of power between call buyers vs. sellers. For now sellers are winning as this ratio makes 20W lows (red candles):"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021934445520171456)  2026-02-12T13:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TradingThomas3 The opposite of how the index was trading in October [----] when (mostly) Israeli investors panicked and sold both equities and the local currency in size. A clear sign that locals now believe Israel is winning this war and that Iran is set to lose"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1936733309951721981)  2025-06-22T10:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@NickTimiraos Checking in with the bond market looks like the Fed is poised to cut rates as jobs decline. As you know 2-year Treasuries have historically front-run the Fed. The indicator below shows 2-year bond yields making 20-week lows (we publish it free on TradingView):"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1940388319994798344)  2025-07-02T12:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@StealthQE4 Yes. Every time that gold has meaningfully outperformed stocks significant wealth destruction followed. Now happening for the third time in history. As you can see (we publish this indicator free on TradingView) gold/stocks is making 20-month highs (= green candles)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1940399517209333828)  2025-07-02T13:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@SpencerHakimian Couldn't tell you but some reasons not to buy coffee today: [--]. Per our buying/selling indicator (bottom panel) sellers are dominating. [--]. Coffee is making 20-day lows (red candles) a sign the overall trend remains bearish. We publish both indicators free on TradingView"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1947293607834034323)  2025-07-21T13:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter There's another way of seeing it: Japanese stocks have outperformed the US this year and today this ratio is up a whopping 4%. If the trade deal did not benefit Japan it's hard to see why their stocks would be doing so well - especially as compared to the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1948016728618787092)  2025-07-23T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@SpencerHakimian This would explain the relative optimism for Chinese stocks relative to US stocks. Without knowing the details of the tariff negotiations it seems the market is betting on China being the relative winner. Given how much "winning" is going on in the US it makes sense 😉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1949487728610914568)  2025-07-27T15:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@robin_j_brooks As a resident of Switzerland: Spot the odd one out 😉 Glad one European country has lower yields because its not a basket case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1957773735689085052)  2025-08-19T11:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@robin_j_brooks Seems this deflationary shock has yet to arrive although I have little doubt it's ultimately coming. Looking at $EUFN or the European bank ETF it is rising parabolically. This is usually a sign of growing inflation and not deflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2003370161785680075)  2025-12-23T07:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@VKMacro @AahanPrometheus Thanks was curious as to why there is such a strong bid in energy/commodities myself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019148323782012989)  2026-02-04T20:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Agreed The power of the 200-week moving average is always incredible to see. As I'm sure you know Charlie Munger believed one should accumulate "good" stocks near that level. As trend-followers ourselves it's something we look at as well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019742823755464947)  2026-02-06T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@CalebFranzen Agreed Bitcoin came close to its 200-week moving average where prices usually bounce except in the most extreme circumstances. Bitcoin has been very weak since early November when it made 20-week lows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019743677304758616)  2026-02-06T12:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart What's clear after [----] and recently is that Bitcoin is not an inflation or currency debasement hedge - gold serves that function. Instead crypto is more closely related to the desire to gamble and speculative fervor. A 70% or higher correction should not be surprising"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019746444563841313)  2026-02-06T12:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@PeterLBrandt Richard Donchian's simple rules are valuable here: silver made 20-day lows yesterday. To enter into another bull market (per his rules) it would have to make new all-time highs/20-day highs. Not that likely. Accordingly silver isn't so interesting in the short-term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019756013323186215)  2026-02-06T12:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@DeItaone Further centralization is the exact opposite of what Europe needs. Look no further than Switzerland the ultimate decentralized European nation. No surprise Switzerland is also the richest country on earth roughly 2-3x richer than Europe on a per-capita basis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019756425312890930)  2026-02-06T12:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@DeItaone Good news for those in gold (like us) This being said following a meteoric rise in recent months it's hard to imagine that gold keeps rising at this pace. As per our own trend-following system we appear to be transitioning towards stagflation (long commodities) today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019759215053529238)  2026-02-06T13:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@epictrades1 Nice trade Always interesting to see the power of the 200-week MA serving as support for major asset classes. $MSTR wasn't so lucky and there's a chance the 200W ends up becoming resistance. Definitely worth watching"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019763432845697220)  2026-02-06T13:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter As always a simple trend-following system was enough to get out of the way. After $MSTR made 20-week lows (= red candles) the stock went straight down and is now below its 200-week MA. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) shown below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019763962456277140)  2026-02-06T13:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Bingo and this relative risk can be seen comparing $MSTR (the leading DAT) versus Bitcoin. While Bitcoin found support above it's 200-week moving average $MSTR did not and sold through it. Going forward a strong chance this area becomes resistance for the stock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019765879181840681)  2026-02-06T13:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Clear that China still takes capital flight very seriously despite recent outperformance of the Chinese yuan and Chinese stocks. Even if China outperforms going forward the weakness of its domestic economy (sky-high debt) remains a big concern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019770087528427896)  2026-02-06T13:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Agreed This is why TiltFolio looks at volatility in individual stocks (by comparing baskets of safer versus riskier stocks) instead of looking at volatility at the index level. Our method is highly predictive and moves ahead of VIX. Check out our free system: @TiltFolio"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019776939074941236)  2026-02-06T14:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Investingcom Nice to see gold rallying after yesterday's liquidation-driven sell-off. We've been long since July. Despite gold moving higher being good news it's hard to get too optimistic on gold today. Going forward our trend-following system is likely to rotate into commodities"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019777322555977731)  2026-02-06T14:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Note significant strength in $XLE after breaking out to new all-time highs (with dividends reinvested). Commodity producer stocks tend to move ahead of the underlying commodity itself (crude oil in this case). Another sign that stagflation may return"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019791886769119593)  2026-02-06T15:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Despite this epic move $MSTR is still below its 200-week moving average - unlike Bitcoin. There is a good chance the 200W now becomes resistance going forward given the liquidation pressure on the company's stock. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) applied below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019795687752298998)  2026-02-06T15:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Remarkable how the 200-week moving average serves as long-term support. Something the late Charlie Munger once said. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) is applied on the chart below. As can be seen Bitcoin has been making 20-week lows (red candles) recently:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019806356375810232)  2026-02-06T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Like other major assets Bitcoin found support near its 200-week moving average. Whether that's a short-term or a long-term bottom remains to be seen. Our leading indicators (volatility-based) suggest more pain is coming following this bounce"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019808293322215876)  2026-02-06T16:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Unlike recent history "Magnificent 7" stocks remain weak. Consider the ratio of $MAGS to $SPY shown below. For now other sectors like value stocks and semiconductors are making up for this relative weakness. https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019744190389751844s=20 Unlike the recent past "Magnificent 7" stocks are underperforming the index. As shown below the ratio of $MAGS to $SPY closed below its 200-day moving average yesterday. Given high concentration it's difficult for the index to move up when $MAGS isn't leading. https://t.co/x1J5MHoyCE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019812499508621650)  2026-02-06T16:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Investingcom While new all-time highs are generally a bullish sign what if the Dow is outperforming the S&P [---] and the Nasdaq Not so clear. As gold (we are long) international stocks and the now the Dow outperform - the case for US stocks weakens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020082354321027237)  2026-02-07T10:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"As usual the trend will dictate how long TiltFolio remains long gold. But this is one fact in favor of continuing to hold gold. Despite some excitement over the next Fed chair (Warsh) currency debasement is likely to continue. Gold Vol spike has been off the charts extreme. Usually a good entry point https://t.co/CjejIGbXwl Gold Vol spike has been off the charts extreme. Usually a good entry point https://t.co/CjejIGbXwl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020085560413471218)  2026-02-07T10:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart What happened in small-caps: close at 20-day lows (red candles) which is then immediately rejected is typical in failed breakdowns. While small-caps look good the same is not true for the Nasdaq or the S&P [---]. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) applied below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020108740330996073)  2026-02-07T12:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TMTLongShort Looking at the charts: both $EEM and $EFA are breaking out above $SPY today - see below. Gold has left the S&P [---] in the dust. You may be right in which case we should see a significant reversal. From our perspective commodities/energy is becoming a lot more interesting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020109863569789250)  2026-02-07T12:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@robin_j_brooks One has to wonder if that strategy has mathematical limits. Beyond the Euro area (itself relatively mercantilist) what other economic area is large enough to replace exports to the US At some point export-oriented growth will simply fail as importers put their hands up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020123898801521004)  2026-02-07T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@TihoBrkan Also agreed. Simple math or accounting principles as you say would suggest that there is no positive ROI. An extreme version of what we saw with the telecom/fiber-optic buildout in the 90s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020126622603530463)  2026-02-07T13:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Callum_Thomas Great stuff Callum you've been on fire recently. Your chart comparing gold versus commodities was particularly great. I shared it with TiltFolio subscribers recently and there were many positive comments. Thanks again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020203335672901871)  2026-02-07T18:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@TMTLongShort On this we agree can't argue with the trend. There is simply no other way to "read" this chart. Anyone worth their salt should have been hedging or selling after $IGV made 20-week lows (= red candles). Our free indicator shown below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020232109122859010)  2026-02-07T20:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@akanoego @buccocapital I'd rather not continue this discussion. As you know music shifted to live events as the recorded industry suffered. It transformed. Yes software and professional services are in for an upheaval but AI also means a lot of new opportunity. Transformation will happen here too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020601043302879657)  2026-02-08T20:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Given its desire to maintain a trade surplus China has no choice but to accumulate US assets. If not the yuan will appreciate to the point where China no longer enjoys a trade surplus. Stocks may have outperformed bonds recently but they are also volatile"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020797553415999696)  2026-02-09T09:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Capital wars are already well underway. The clear winner is gold a sign that investors are losing confidence in the fiat money system. And comparing nations the US is the clear loser with both emerging markets and other developed markets now outperforming the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020835255490634170)  2026-02-09T12:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@robin_j_brooks Given the big move up in bond yields this morning it would appear Japan is set to repeat the UK's mistakes. While the yen is admittedly higher (likely due to intervention as you have said) it continues to weaken against gold. We remain long gold ourselves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020836635257229636)  2026-02-09T12:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Why is gold different from other precious metals Because it is seen as the only alternative to paper money. Unlike gold every other major precious metal (silver platinum palladium) closed at 20-day lows (red candles) last week. Silver chart shown below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020869871936966867)  2026-02-09T14:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart Japanese bonds and the currency are selling off simultaneously. This is a classic signal for falling confidence in a country and is typically associated with emerging markets. Japan has few choices but to raise rates. We remain long gold as a debasement hedge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020880182697927026)  2026-02-09T15:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart Not only is the US dollar suffering from currency debasement it is also in a steep decline compared to other major currencies like the euro. And recent history suggests gold is the one true hedge against debasement having outperformed everything else. We remain long gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020885663369834753)  2026-02-09T15:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@JesseCohenInv Not only are Americans suffering from currency debasement more broadly the dollar is even selling off against other major currencies such as the euro. Gold's recent performance proves its the one true hedge against this risk. As trend-followers we remain long gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020886171002318958)  2026-02-09T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@market_sleuth And gold continues to outperform $SPY looking back 12-months year-to-date and month-to-date. While the bull market in stocks continues gold is clearly signaling that currency debasement remains an issue. You can guess how we are positioned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020892817015341199)  2026-02-09T16:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@unusual_whales For a nation that wants a large trade surplus what choice does China have It has to hold US dollar assets to maintain its surplus. Otherwise the yuan will appreciate to the point where no surplus exists. US stocks are an alternative but are also volatile"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020895564850696493)  2026-02-09T16:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@jbulltard1 Worth considering the scenario that the Nasdaq has a mediocre year at best. Looking at asset class momentum among major asset classes US stocks are #3 behind gold and international stocks. And as you know tech is lagging significantly here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020901608301748340)  2026-02-09T16:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Hard to celebrate today's rebound in stocks when gold is outperforming stocks: - Today - Month-to-date - Year-to-date - Last [--] months i.e. on every reasonable timeframe/lookback. You can guess how we are positioned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020914048087339010)  2026-02-09T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Now that product development has become mostly commoditized via AI what remains valuable is having an audience (or marketing). $HOOD and $SOFI will have to respond with celebrity tie-ups of their own"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020914778470805903)  2026-02-09T17:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Worth nothing: the ratio of long-term US Treasury bonds $TLT compared to US energy stocks $XLE made a fresh all-time low today. This is a good proxy for inflation and the current move suggests the market is pricing in more inflation in the near future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020917296944890239)  2026-02-09T17:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge Here's a good way to visualize it: the ratio of long-term US Treasury bonds $TLT to gold $GLD. Since the pandemic this ratio has formed a giant parabola. It won't continue forever. Using our free indicator (Breakout Trend) you can see when the parabola breaks:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020921321845387695)  2026-02-09T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Great charts as usual. From TiltFolio's perspective looking for overall volatility to rise before commodities overtake gold in momentum. So far gold continues to lead but this could change in the future. Commodities Supercycle -strong thematic drivers -hard supply constraints -cyclical upturn underway We shouldnt underestimate the opportunity in commodities as multiple bullish forces set in motion. (nor the upside risks this will present to inflation) https://t.co/3IP12k448m Commodities Supercycle -strong thematic drivers -hard supply constraints -cyclical upturn underway We shouldnt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020930230001803637)  2026-02-09T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@MarginCall4 Most of the exits in TiltFolio happen because another asset class is mostly likely to dominate in the future (and not hitting a stop) This is based on both a regime indicator as well as momentum. If I had to guess (gun to my head) long commodities is the next allocation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021137627496239106)  2026-02-10T08:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@zerohedge While Europe may be the subject of many jokes consider that German stocks $EWG are now outperforming $SPY - rising above the 200-week MA after many years. The US remains weighed down by dollar weakness. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) shown on the chart below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021146856714018895)  2026-02-10T08:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@jsblokland The majority of family offices underperform a simple buy/hold allocation with bonds stocks and gold weighted by volatility. Since [----] (end of the gold standard) this portfolio has generated 9%/year with 20% in drawdowns. It ended up 20% last year. Equity curve below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021147389566849237)  2026-02-10T09:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@dailychartbook @RenMacLLC And yet other market-based indicators suggest the opposite. In particular the ratio of long-term US Treasury bonds compared to energy or commodity producer stocks. See the chart below no signs of falling inflation here: https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020917296944890239s=20 Worth nothing: the ratio of long-term US Treasury bonds $TLT compared to US energy stocks $XLE made a fresh all-time low today. This is a good proxy for inflation and the current move suggests the market is pricing in more inflation in the near future. https://t.co/ZmbjRevnuB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021153735808839865)  2026-02-10T09:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@WhaleInsider While that would suit us just fine (we remain long) one reason to be cautious is the distance between today's price and the 200-week moving average. Sounds simplistic but we are historically stretched here - and not just in gold but across financial assets more broadly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021154078663835909)  2026-02-10T09:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TihoBrkan Agreed Tiho. The combination of qualitative insights as we discussed last year combined with simple quantitative insights (the trend) was enough to know that one should avoid Adobe. https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1935004977853825334s=20 @TihoBrkan As the former founder of a PDF business I think that AI is an existential threat to Adobe. The value of Acrobat and Photoshop was that there was no way to edit PDF files or images without software. Now ChatGPT eliminates this layer entirely - just ask ChatGPT to make edits. https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1935004977853825334s=20 @TihoBrkan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021161753371980042)  2026-02-10T09:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Investingcom While there's nothing bearish about new all-time highs markets being led by the Dow isn't all that bullish either. The same is true when looking at asset class momentum leaders. #1 is gold (we are long) followed by international stocks and only then US stocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021242220246966418)  2026-02-10T15:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) makes this easy to see. After cocoa made 20-week lows (= red candles) the commodity has sold off continuously and is now trading below its 200-week MA. Previously it enjoyed parabolic growth after making 20-week highs in early 2023"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021242638024794474)  2026-02-10T15:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter While the yuan is strengthening in the short term it's worth zooming out and considering the long term. Since [----] USDCNH has made a series of higher-highs and higher-lows. Odd for a country that is enjoying much higher growth rates relative to the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021249293777039569)  2026-02-10T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone The ratio of gold to long-term US Treasury bonds $TLT is a good proxy for faith in fiat currencies. That faith has been harmed greatly since the pandemic but parabolas don't continue forever. At some point the Fed will be forced to shore up confidence in the dollar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021249682479910965)  2026-02-10T15:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mayhem4Markets @GOLDCOUNCIL And as you know stablecoins are significant buyers of US Treasury bonds (as well as gold). Makes me think the ratio of Bitcoin to long-term US treasury bonds $TLT will be an increasingly valuable signal going forward. As well as Bitcoin/gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021249990744564127)  2026-02-10T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@market_sleuth Going out for pizza myself in a few hours Prices in the US are the point where Switzerland is starting to feel "cheap." And that's including a dramatic increase in the value of the Swiss franc recently"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021251594122072319)  2026-02-10T15:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart Gold is in a long-term bull market against stocks why our trend-following system has been long since last July. This being said it's worth being cautious. Gold and financial assets broadly are very extended relative to their respective 200-week MAs. A sign of excess"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021273360290742765)  2026-02-10T17:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I'd like to introduce you to TiltFolio the best way to grow your wealth without guessing or gambling. Its a rules-based model portfolio that outperforms the S&P 500: 💥 With less than half the losses 💥 With zero leverage 💥 With no predictions And it's free forever. A 🧵:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1938131766990033184)  2025-06-26T07:06Z [----] followers, 21.4K engagements


"Here's the other side of the inflation debate: Long-term US Treasury bonds $TLT at the cusp of rising above its 200-week moving average after closing above 20-week highs (green candles). Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) applied on the chart below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021985929955881386)  2026-02-12T16:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart Ha talk about a dj vu In late [----] $CSCO breaking 20-week lows led to a sharp decline - coinciding with the end of the "dot com" bubble. $NVDA is the closest comparable today and has yet to make 20-week lows. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) shown below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022293943904358619)  2026-02-13T12:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@TimmerFidelity While there are many contenders for "fiat alternatives" only gold trades like one. This is clear looking at the historical volatility of gold when compared to silver or Bitcoin. Why our trend-following system does not allocate to the others and remains long gold for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022325385505960073)  2026-02-13T15:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Crypto is the worst-performing asset class over the past [--] months underperforming even bonds. As crypto is historically a good barometer for the desire to speculate it is also a warning sign for what may be coming for markets more broadly. We remain long gold for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021927433658597522)  2026-02-12T12:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JaguarAnalytics This is a tough one - due to very high index concentration the overall index will struggle as $MAGS continues to underperform. Right now everything ex-MAGS is performing (both safety stocks and semis). Hard to say this is a healthy set-up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022331579012612097)  2026-02-13T15:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"How bad is the US job market Robert Half the world's largest staffing agency is trading at its COVID-era lows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2001275466770997321)  2025-12-17T12:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AahanPrometheus @VKMacro From this week's newsletter:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019120717301010802)  2026-02-04T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"A visual representation of the power of trend-following: As software stocks collapsed this year where did they find support At the 200-week moving average exactly where TiltFolio Balanced (a multi-asset portfolio) has found support over 50+ years. Trend-following works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019754557232791671)  2026-02-06T12:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone For all the recent strength of the Chinese yuan and talk of China becoming the future global leader the country's behavior suggests otherwise. Capital flight is clearly an issue as is a domestic debt bomb following years of excess infrastructure spending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019764538040529372)  2026-02-06T13:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@TechCharts What's abundantly clear is that everyone is "all-in" on financial assets - driven by a fear of currency debasement. This can be seen via a simple portfolio of stocks bonds and gold. We have seldom been this stretched above the 200-week MA over 50+ years of history:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019766983105913087)  2026-02-06T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Something we haven't seen in a long time: Following emerging markets $EEM ex-US developed markets (mostly Europe and Japan) $EFA now outperforming the S&P [---] $SPY That's a weekly candle closing below the 200-week moving average. Gold + international stocks the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020110632834535883)  2026-02-07T12:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter A simple portfolio made up stocks gold and bonds is a great barometer for the desire for financial assets (vs. cash). We have seldom been this stretched above the 200-week moving average over 50+ years of data. See below. Expected returns from assets are low accordingly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020195708641382591)  2026-02-07T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Yes the Chinese yuan has been strengthening recently but consider the longer-term perspective. The US dollar has been making higher-highs and higher-lows against the yuan for over a decade. Hardly a sign of confidence in the Chinese economy. CHINA TELLS BANKS TO CUT US TREASURY EXPOSURE Chinese regulators have instructed major banks to limit new purchases of US Treasuries and reduce large existing positions citing concentration risk and market volatility according to people familiar with the matter. The CHINA TELLS BANKS TO CUT US TREASURY EXPOSURE Chinese regulators have instructed major"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020865149159006714)  2026-02-09T14:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Whether or not Warsh is appointed what is clear is that the US continues to suffer currency debasement - even compared to other countries. Yesterday $DXY fell by almost 1% and the euro (the main competitor) is hardly a good currency. We remain long gold as it outperforms"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021146278453772727)  2026-02-10T08:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Investingcom A simple glance at an ETF of global energy stocks $IXC suggests this will be a temporary dip. The ongoing rally in energy which has broken out to all-time highs (after dividends) is also a warning for future inflation. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) applied below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021167925416067563)  2026-02-10T10:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge The problem goes beyond the dollar - which is comparing the currency against other fiat currencies. The problem is against gold which (unlike fiat) is a stable benchmark. When gold rises at this pace it suggests debasement is happening - why we are long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021251209743544405)  2026-02-10T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"When will currency debasement end One good proxy is the ratio of gold $GLD to long-term US Treasury bonds $TLT. For now this ratio is failing to close at 20-day lows (red candles) let alone trade below the 200-day MA - something that last happened in [----]. Chart below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021253856919798132)  2026-02-10T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@i3_invest Very interesting and have the same view. Energy/commodities may take momentum leadership away from gold over the coming weeks. https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021148023309430959s=20 @Ole_S_Hansen Good update Ole. Agreed on more orderly trading in precious metals as volatility weakens. At some point crude oil will begin to outperform gold after months of underperformance. If not Iran there is likely to be another catalyst in the near future. Visually: https://t.co/izC7CeFaTn https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021148023309430959s=20 @Ole_S_Hansen Good update Ole. Agreed on more orderly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021269654606397761)  2026-02-10T17:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart Here's an easy way to see it: The ratio of $SPY to $EEM has broken down below its 200-week MA after making 20-week lows (red candles). International stocks are outperforming due to significant dollar weakness. Our free indicator (Breakout Trend) applied on the chart below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021499455179305030)  2026-02-11T08:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@hajiyev_rashad Despite fears that the next Fed chair (Warsh) will be hawkish the dollar continues to decline sharply against its main competitors. For now currency debasement remains a theme and why gold is outperforming all major asset classes. Accordingly we remain long gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021500402336923930)  2026-02-11T08:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"As time goes on it will become clear that Bitcoin is not "the future of money." $IBIT $BTC That's ok because it is a very good proxy for speculative excess. Which makes it a warning sign for what may be coming for markets more broadly in the near future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021505884803756422)  2026-02-11T08:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@EuroBriefing While Bitcoin and crypto more broadly are unlikely disappear entirely it's worth asking what exactly it represents. Given recent performance its neither an inflation hedge nor a currency debasement hedge. But something else entirely. https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021505884803756422s=20 As time goes on it will become clear that Bitcoin is not "the future of money." $IBIT $BTC That's ok because it is a very good proxy for speculative excess. Which makes it a warning sign for what may be coming for markets more broadly in the near future. https://t.co/EIMwBuZ1if"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021528576244482200)  2026-02-11T10:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Meanwhile Bitcoin is down 3.5%. When it comes to hedging currency debasement risk gold is king. Our trend-following system has been long since July [----] and ended [----] up 33% and is already up more than 10% this year. We remain long gold as it outperforms"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021539129062982023)  2026-02-11T10:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@SJosephBurns Richard Dennis applied many of Richard Donchian's principles when applying the Turtle Trader rules. You can visually see his system (20-day breakouts) via our free indicator (Breakout Trend) available from TradingView. Hope this helps https://www.tradingview.com/script/B05wXXV7-Breakout-Trend/ https://www.tradingview.com/script/B05wXXV7-Breakout-Trend/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021555400982880658)  2026-02-11T12:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Breakouts work well on crypto and a 20-day low (red candles) happening below the 200-day moving average is certainly not bullish. As Bitcoin is a good proxy for speculative excess it is a possible sign for what is coming in markets more broadly. Our free indicator below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021564354144116949)  2026-02-11T12:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@hajiyev_rashad Increasingly clear that only one of the coins is the "future of money." As trend-followers we've been long gold since July [----] and remain long as it outperforms all other major asset classes. Bitcoin on the other hand continues to *underperform* all major asset classes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021566489392771454)  2026-02-11T12:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Let's see how stocks end the day. While employment growth rising ahead of expectations is a good thing this is not necessarily the case if most jobs are social assistance and healthcare-related. Virtually all the employment growth in America once again can be explained by healthcare and social assistance https://t.co/A4PIRKMObP Virtually all the employment growth in America once again can be explained by healthcare and social assistance https://t.co/A4PIRKMObP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021580732989079620)  2026-02-11T13:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"As I wrote in last week's newsletter as well as earlier this morning leading indicators (which historically lead the index) are deteriorating quite quickly. While things looked good earlier today stocks are selling off. Note what is doing well here: $XLE and $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021605368409829854)  2026-02-11T15:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The ratio of long-term US treasury bonds $TLT vs. energy stocks $XLE tends to lead inflation and this backtests well. The ongoing sell-off suggests a dramatic rise in inflation is around the corner. Other commodity producer ETFs like $GNR or $GUNR vs. $TLT suggest the same"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021645172132696521)  2026-02-11T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@cantonmeow Nice catch Especially curious as the leading competitors to Bitcoin like ETH SOL and XRP have all shown recent weakness compared to BTC. The breakout is more likely to the upside but we shall see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021936002013782371)  2026-02-12T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"As semiconductors head for another all-time high today worth considering just how weak $NVDA looks relative to the sector. This year the index has managed to rally despite weakness from large-cap technology and "Magnificent 7" stocks. Will this continue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021943196725686517)  2026-02-12T13:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@jbulltard1 My guess is that professional services will become far more tailored and less factory-like. So less "Accenture" and more "helping fashion companies use AI" for example. Wrote about this here: https://tiltfolio.com/insights/back-to-the-future-how-ai-will-reshape-work-forever/ https://tiltfolio.com/insights/back-to-the-future-how-ai-will-reshape-work-forever/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021954280241181029)  2026-02-12T14:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@WalterDeemer Sadly true Walter. While we think our own indicators are very good they don't work all the time. E.g. we see stocks as too rich here and more likely to decline into month-end. And yet they remain firmly in a range"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021958516236501497)  2026-02-12T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Bonds Not only is $TLT bright green it is at the cusp of rising above its 200-week moving average after many years. While I have previously suggested markets are pricing in future inflation things are fluid and can easily change"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021988486363197568)  2026-02-12T16:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The stocks of US securities firms $IAI are a good proxy for the desire to speculate. As I've written before so is crypto which was first to sell-off. Now the US broker-dealer ETF (chart below) is joining crypto and trading below the 200-day moving average:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021997350429081984)  2026-02-12T17:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Hard for $AAPL to avoid what is happening to large-cap technology stocks more broadly. Even as the "risk-off" or "low volatility" stock in that group it's a stock nonetheless. We are long gold for now but increasingly likely to sell at month-end as volatility rises"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022010835443626167)  2026-02-12T18:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@market_sleuth "Magnificent 7" stocks which make up around 35% of the index are close to their 200-day moving average here. The other much smaller sectors can only hold up the broader index for so long. Not entirely surprising to see us selling off now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022012457943019896)  2026-02-12T18:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JuanCGuerreroE @Barchart @grok If you use the free indicator (link below) and look at $CSCO in [----] making 20-week lows it heralded the end of the dot com bull market. If the same happens with $NVDA we could see that happening again. https://www.tradingview.com/script/B05wXXV7-Breakout-Trend/ https://www.tradingview.com/script/B05wXXV7-Breakout-Trend/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022300287478685781)  2026-02-13T13:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Convertbond While the Fed may choose to ignore its inflation mandate - its hard to fool markets. As you've been pointing out this is why hard assets have outperformed in recent years. As trend-followers we've been long gold since July [----] ourselves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022305935662711101)  2026-02-13T13:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Happy Friday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022327026154127756)  2026-02-13T15:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives As you already know some of this relates to how the VIX is calculated - it tends to rise on Monday and fall on Fridays. Looking at the futures - VX however shows you that today was indeed a vol-crush Friday ahead of the long weekend. Bears remain fearful for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022368078290452821)  2026-02-13T17:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AahanPrometheus @VKMacro To clarify: no idea myself. But many signs inflation/energy is re-accelerating. $RINF has yet to break out to all-time highs although most other commodity-related ETFs (e.g. $COPX $GDX $GNR $BCI etc.) are already there today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019121024378306755)  2026-02-04T18:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@BobEUnlimited @albertocavallo While commodities keep roaring ahead - looking at $XLE and $COPX (which tend to front-run the underlying commodities) the bond market remains somewhat undecided. A chart of $RINF (inflation expectations ETF) is shown below and has yet to break out to all-time highs:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2019806758068429214)  2026-02-06T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JesseCohenInv Even without any local knowledge MSCI Israel $EWY surging since the lows of October [----] tells you Israel is in a very different place today. More specifically that the future is likely to be more stable allowing Israel to generate more wealth in the future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021951179006378113)  2026-02-12T14:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Beyond rising bond volatility interesting to note rising inflation expectations - via $RINF as well as energy stocks - $XLE today. These are warning signs that inflation may be returning which is a net negative for bonds. SPX does not like rising bond volatility. https://t.co/aY2CwniGBI https://t.co/7GrkOe6Hlm SPX does not like rising bond volatility. https://t.co/aY2CwniGBI https://t.co/7GrkOe6Hlm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/1988283072874508517)  2025-11-11T16:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@BobEUnlimited Didn't think to check crypto-backed gold good insight. Looking forward to seeing how crude oil opens on Monday. On Friday the close suggested concerns relating to energy-led inflation (looking at $RINF and TLT/XLE) but perhaps this is incorrect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2007439759438708768)  2026-01-03T13:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"While FinX celebrates today's rebound in US stocks consider the following: - $EFA (ex-US developed countries) and $EEM (emerging markets) are outperforming - $GLD (gold) is outperforming $SPY month-to-date year-to-date and over the past [--] months Our long gold trade below:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2020912533968752738)  2026-02-09T17:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Thoughts on the market using TiltFolio's leading indicators: TiltFolio uses various proxies for volatility as a way to determine the market's direction. When volatility is compressing these are the best conditions for stocks. So what's happening now A 🧵👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021527706622677231)  2026-02-11T10:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Since mid-November call sellers have been outperforming call buyers. This is because call buyers rely heavily on short-term momentum to generate returns. As short-term momentum is waning call sellers are now winning (red candles). $SPY vs. $XYLD shows this nicely: 1/n"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021527710603120809)  2026-02-11T10:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@StockMKTNewz Mr. Beast is right to focus on this niche. Demand for finance-focused content is enormous. While it's not great news for us as a competitor it validates the demand for finance-focused content"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2021974409112854884)  2026-02-12T15:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Looking at stocks within the broader market reveals a strange dynamic: The market is being led by both low-volatility "safety" stocks.as well as high-volatility "exciting" semiconductor stocks. But the index will struggle as the largest stocks underperform: "One corner of Tech has been quietly holding up." @AlfCharts https://t.co/pRxQUWACNS "One corner of Tech has been quietly holding up." @AlfCharts https://t.co/pRxQUWACNS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022296404505305282)  2026-02-13T13:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Investingcom Despite rising rate cut expectations stocks are not leading asset class returns today. Instead gold is up 1.7% while bonds $TLT are up 0.5% This shows you that currency debasement remains a concern. As trend-followers why we remain long gold for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022325066915053869)  2026-02-13T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Main problem with $SPX and US equities more broadly is the lack of positive momentum. Unlike last year US stocks are now #3 by momentum as compared to other major asset classes behind gold and international stocks. Not a great sign historically"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022367641684291928)  2026-02-13T17:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"And here's $TLT (with dividends reinvested) closing above the 200-week MA after a very long time. Short-term US Treasury bonds $SHY and intermediate-term bonds $IEF made this move quite a while ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022381913131143328)  2026-02-13T18:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Historically bull markets not led by "boring" stocks like $WMT. The market today is odd as both boring stocks and (exciting) semiconductor stocks are both leading the index. One of the two is likely to give in the near future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022383332185833698)  2026-02-13T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart The market is being weighed down by "Magnificent 7" stocks which are underperforming the broader index. While $AAPL is the "safest" Mag [--] stock it's still in the that group and was unlikely to keep rising. Our signals increasingly suggest stocks may run into trouble soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022288994441056754)  2026-02-13T12:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@stevehou That's obscenely cold for New York. Meanwhile in Switzerland:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022289461111914961)  2026-02-13T12:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Even before any signs of a recession software stocks $IGV are threatening to enter a long-term bear market - below the 200-week moving average. AI is disruptive for this industry and all those who argued against the trend (and tried to buy the dip).didn't fare so well:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022292391776907306)  2026-02-13T12:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AahanPrometheus The market is crying out for a simple trend-following ETF that allows someone to park their funds and (mostly) forget about it. Or a managed account. TiltFolio is not there yet given limited reach but it's obvious that this is the future beyond Substack/newsletters"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022367357662793806)  2026-02-13T17:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@MichaelMOTTCM Agreed Michael. Hard to get that bullish when "safety" stocks like $WMT are leading large-cap tech stocks like the "Mag 7." Our own leading indicators are deteriorating significantly today and a change in regime may be coming shortly - as soon as month-end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022371251910529418)  2026-02-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RonStoeferle Through trial-and-error (Isaac Newton put England on a gold standard by accident the rest of the world then followed) gold became the monetary yardstick by which wealth is measured. The value of gold comes from this social custom based on thousands of years of history"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022384192156582337)  2026-02-13T18:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@jbulltard1 Have another cool perspective for you Bulltard: The ratio of $QQQ to $QYLD (which systematically sells calls while holding the index) shows you whether call buyers or call sellers are winning. As this ratio declines.call sellers are winning. Not bullish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022298908433461424)  2026-02-13T13:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Agreed - squeezing $MAGS stocks seems to be the obvious play given how much they have underperformed recently. As I've been writing our trend-following system looks at the performance of stocks within the index as a leading indicator. Mag [--] stocks are a problem here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022374635296227578)  2026-02-13T18:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"After inflation slowed faster than expectations the leading major asset class is.gold. This strongly suggests that the fear of currency debasement remains a theme and why our trend-following system remains long gold for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022380430411075763)  2026-02-13T18:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@robin_j_brooks There is a significant gap between how commodities are behaving and US inflation data. For reference $BCI is at all-time highs as is $XLE. As gold tends to front-run inflation (currency debasement tends to cause inflation) it's hard to be too relaxed about the risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022649602051346593)  2026-02-14T12:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Even the staunchest bears have to admit that a retest of the 20-day EMA ($75000) is to be expected. BTC has not made contact with its 20D EMA since late January and this is a likely target. This being said still difficult to be optimistic longer-term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022650304068780136)  2026-02-14T12:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@robin_j_brooks @katie_martin_fx @FT It's clear that markets are re-rating the US with US institutions no longer being seen as reliable. As you've mentioned this explains the meteoric rise in gold and more recently the relative outperformance of commodities and international stocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TiltFolio/status/2022650897453437121)  2026-02-14T12:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

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