# ![@TheShortBear Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::3229256723.png) @TheShortBear THE SHORT BEAR

THE SHORT BEAR posts on X about ai, crypto, market, breakout the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::3229256723/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::3229256723/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---------] -13%
- [--] Month [---------] +90%
- [--] Months [----------] +35%
- [--] Year [----------] +100%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::3229256723/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::3229256723/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [---] -3.40%
- [--] Month [---] +69%
- [--] Months [---] +25%
- [--] Year [-----] +56%

### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::3229256723/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::3229256723/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +0.32%
- [--] Month [-------] +2.50%
- [--] Months [-------] +16%
- [--] Year [-------] +41%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::3229256723/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::3229256723/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  29.73% [stocks](/list/stocks)  20.95% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #1244 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  8.78% [countries](/list/countries)  3.38% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  2.03% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  2.03% [musicians](/list/musicians)  2.03% [currencies](/list/currencies)  1.35% [financial services](/list/financial-services)  0.68%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) #5312, [crypto](/topic/crypto) #791, [market](/topic/market) #846, [breakout](/topic/breakout) #173, [strong](/topic/strong) 4.73%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 4.73%, [the most](/topic/the-most) 4.73%, [trade](/topic/trade) 4.05%, [$slv](/topic/$slv) 4.05%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #586

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@nascardiva4](/creator/undefined) [@realsimpleariel](/creator/undefined) [@theonelanceb](/creator/undefined) [@tonitrades_](/creator/undefined) [@evan_ss6](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@sosakayser666](/creator/undefined) [@talantfund](/creator/undefined) [@charliedotts](/creator/undefined) [@tedhzhang](/creator/undefined) [@hughdefi](/creator/undefined) [@kyleczapski](/creator/undefined) [@qullamaggie](/creator/undefined) [@jackschwager](/creator/undefined) [@theflowhorse](/creator/undefined) [@frc_headoffice](/creator/undefined) [@runzki](/creator/undefined) [@jsterz](/creator/undefined) [@tryharderinvest](/creator/undefined) [@ptrendj](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [MercadoLibre Inc (MELI)](/topic/$meli) [Sandisk Corporation (SNDK)](/topic/$sndk) [NuCypher (NU)](/topic/$nu) [GameStop, Corp. (GME)](/topic/$gme) [Rigetti Computing, Inc. Common Stock (RGTI)](/topic/$rgti) [D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS)](/topic/$qbts) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [IonQ, Inc. (IONQ)](/topic/$ionq) [Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT)](/topic/$qubt) [Sea Limited (SE)](/topic/$se) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/morgan-stanley) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Stanley Druckenmiller The Soros 'Successor' who managed [--] funds at once and returned 30% for [--] years Here are the key lessons I learned from Stanley Druckenmiller to achieve success:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1655962144607809539)  2023-05-09T15:45Z 190.3K followers, 623K engagements


"First slide from the global equities paper by Schroeder. Unprofitable companies have been the one of the best performing group this year. Even wilder companies with no revenue have outperform all groups by a minimum factor of 2x Its all about AI or fluff this year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1980409233482133552)  2025-10-20T23:02Z 190.3K followers, 73.4K engagements


"The end of year selling effect and last options expiry are real phenomenons. Add some luck through macro news in the form of the Venezuelan operation and you have an explosive cocktail. It is not random that the beginning of my years have been explosive [--] out of the last [--] years. The end of year starts the same way for me. What is the best buy/trade into the next 1-3y what will the future look like what are people not seeing where are they massively exposed and under-exposed what do they love and hate The higher the amount of asset classes that are up on the year the bigger the performance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2008299480274100315)  2026-01-05T22:08Z 190.3K followers, 35K engagements


"$SNDK Top [--] trade. Let us go through it you'll get to understand why this was partially responsible for a strong start this year. It started from a clean base with [--] clear lines in the sand a pattern I like do to its pyramiding ability first through an inside breakout and then a full breakout. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010744906474553433 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010744906474553433"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2010744906474553433)  2026-01-12T16:05Z 190.2K followers, 55.7K engagements


"$ETH All I see is a 5y range in a 30-35% CAGR normalized trend. Long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2011238114434723914)  2026-01-14T00:45Z 190.3K followers, 40.5K engagements


"All out. -13% on Silver that's it took it off. Short from mid 93s out 102s equivalent. Still think overall the trade is valid and data backed simply did not work and big size did the rest. Prior $GLD and $SLV gains along the way account for 55-60% of this loss so effectively lost 6.5% across the trades. (or gave back around $SNDK trade equivalent alternatively depending if you want to go by year or by asset class) Historical times as extended as in [----] 50y ago backed by ema extension data time spent over ema volume and more. Still no dice. If I had to take it again I'd be a bit smaller to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2014814814619726184)  2026-01-23T21:37Z 190.2K followers, 597.1K engagements


"Crypto as the Next Safe Haven By the end of this decade crypto could emerge as the ultimate safe-haven asset. Historically 8090% of crypto ownership has been retail-driven with institutional participation remaining marginal. Even today despite ETFs and regulatory progress long-term institutional ownership of Bitcoin is estimated at only 1525% with Ethereum even lower at 1015%. Pension funds sovereign wealth funds insurers and endowments remain structurally under-allocated. As ownership shifts behavior follows. We are already seeing early signals of this transition. The recent surge in bond"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2015196148995158302)  2026-01-24T22:52Z 190.3K followers, 57K engagements


"$NU -3y+ post-IPO base breakout. -LatAm compounding tailwinds (Brazil Mexico Colombia). -Operating leverage kicking in (Efficiency ratio 35%). -50%+ Revenue growth. -ROE north of 30% and scaling. Clear leader with $MELI in Latin American banking and thus railway for digitalization with 100mil customers allowing for network effects and cross sell as they expand. This is in my top [--] largest position in Latin America. The main overarching idea remains building out Web2 and Web3 infrastructure in the fastest growing economies. Diversified between Web3 and Web2 as well as geographically."  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2016220673161769002)  2026-01-27T18:44Z 190.3K followers, 27K engagements


"$MELI $NU somewhat $SE A lot of the EM indices are older more mature businesses I dont really want to own. Thinking old banks old infrastructure and alike. That said I wouldnt mind an index on top eventually if I see a good enough opportunity in terms of panic or alike to buy. Similar to my prior $KWEB bet https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016303125842292858 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016303125842292858"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2016303125842292858)  2026-01-28T00:11Z 190.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@PronkDaniel Very hard to have what it takes for 1T but I will say if there is one company that can do it in ex-US America then its $MELI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2016303355396501892)  2026-01-28T00:12Z 190.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Gold $GLD About to do it I would think. Short term and mid term data strongly tilted downward. Position on would like more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2016615307104665941)  2026-01-28T20:52Z 190.2K followers, 104.5K engagements


"Covered. [-------] avg NEXT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2016896553030447521)  2026-01-29T15:29Z 190.2K followers, 21.1K engagements


"RIP crypto market. We went from a breakout and reclaim of the range to a breakdown. Even worse we cracked on what many believed would be the catalyst for the bottom metals topping. That said we have the Monday Crypto meeting at the white house and I would highly caution that it takes a few days and weeks before flows settled. In the past metals topping was a positive catalyst but it took a bit of time for the trend to establish itself. The funniest outcome now would be a bad crypto bill being accepted. I see this as stable coin yields not being passed through to customers as a major win for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017002727256314005)  2026-01-29T22:31Z 190.3K followers, 122.9K engagements


"Chart of covers today. $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017006296172487061)  2026-01-29T22:45Z 190.2K followers, 20K engagements


"Hope that could save a few late longs. I am more than just irritated at the fact I did not perform as well as I could have so far this year. $SNDK could have trailed better long $SLV put on the risk too soon and didn't give myself the chance $GLD ended up trading somewhat scared and BP restricted. Alone those three should have been a 50% start this year. Lots of work to fix this and never let it happen again. Creating a new personal alert system backed by a 25y database including expectancy win rate targets live alert for the parabolic short. Creating a new trail system I should have put in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017249317556244660)  2026-01-30T14:51Z 190.3K followers, 88K engagements


"$SLV panic. head spinning bounce.Head at 10k RPM Taking an extended sabbatical time to level up once more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017329443438551202)  2026-01-30T20:09Z 190.3K followers, 32.8K engagements


"@KyleCzapski under the prospectus. https://www.proshares.com/our-etfs/leveraged-and-inverse/agq https://www.proshares.com/our-etfs/leveraged-and-inverse/agq"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017348626717057236)  2026-01-30T21:26Z 190.3K followers, [----] engagements


"$SLV puts: $80 $0.03 to [--] - 360x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017358110432632986)  2026-01-30T22:03Z 190.1K followers, 30.5K engagements


"This makes me feel like [----] will be about breadth recovery under the hood. Perhaps we see the top weights rest while the rest gets rotation back from these and other commodities. Picture: Energy Software Healthcare consumer staples Things that have lagged behind and are under allocated. Semi's positioning $SOXX $SMH 100th percentile per Morgan Stanley prime brokerage data. Who is left to buy https://t.co/UAJAJDfiHg Semi's positioning $SOXX $SMH 100th percentile per Morgan Stanley prime brokerage data. Who is left to buy https://t.co/UAJAJDfiHg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2018137954959462407)  2026-02-02T01:42Z 190.3K followers, 99.8K engagements


"@ConnorJBates_ Yes its the exact playbook. Many charts like energy breaking out too. Just looks rotational under the hood and the [--] percentile allocation on semis just adds to it. Lets see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2018140125809844502)  2026-02-02T01:51Z 190.2K followers, [----] engagements


"$BTC [--] year support about to fail. Stops got taken liquidations are adding up with more shorts to be liquidated above than longs below. Is this the end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019109892355760621)  2026-02-04T18:04Z 190.3K followers, 57.4K engagements


"Agreed. I think this trajectory is correct https://t.co/csB0Ak6SvQ I think this trajectory is correct https://t.co/csB0Ak6SvQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019171749443584013)  2026-02-04T22:10Z 190.3K followers, 29.1K engagements


"@SosaKayser666 None trade is gone. No skew now. As to what I think though it seems like supply is way too low to match demand. But if I have learned one thing on commodities its that leverage creates large fake demand/supply and that high prices truly incentivizes supply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019199246382297310)  2026-02-04T23:59Z 190.1K followers, [----] engagements


"While most feel panic the truth is the economy as of recent incoming data is actually reaccelerating. For all the doom and gloom of software the truth is new more efficient technology is replacing it as a fast pace. Google just announce $180b of capex for [----] vs $120b. The Capex invested by these AI giants more than offset the impact of software on GDP. No factor in lower rates and general easing and you have something most probably dont expect. The main question remains what happens to employment numbers as AI scales faster than industries can adjust. BREAKING: The US economic surprise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019208121801937132)  2026-02-05T00:35Z 190.3K followers, 54.4K engagements


"@JamesEastonUK Not to mention the prior behavior. Last fib level retest and bounce holding prior low in terms of duration IWM took [---] days vs current [---] days for ETH. Would be interesting to adjust based on volatility in terms of % moves and alike"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019216685367251285)  2026-02-05T01:09Z 190.2K followers, [----] engagements


"People are too pessimistic about both private credit in regards the discount given based on software and also are too pessimistic about Warsch which will likely rereun the 90s. He is a big fan of Greenspan. Lets also remember we saw a balance sheet shrink over the past period and still rose. People just see one headline and assume imo. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019232737421348878 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019232737421348878"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019232737421348878)  2026-02-05T02:12Z 190.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The U.S. non-residential construction sector is currently defined by a divergence between localized AI infrastructure growth and a broader cyclical contraction. The Post-CHIPS Downturn Manufacturing construction has declined approximately 10% YoY as semiconductor megaprojects peak. Combined with 10Y yields near 4.5% and office vacancies hitting 19.5% the sector faces a real decline through [----]. AIA forecasts total non-residential spending at -2% for [----] and -2.6% for [----]. The Data Center Anomaly While data centers are surging 1823% YoY they represent only 1015% of total non-residential"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019258998080348337)  2026-02-05T03:57Z 190.3K followers, [----] engagements


"JPMORGAN: BITCOIN NOW MORE ATTRACTIVE THAN GOLD LONG TERM JPMorgan says Bitcoins long-term appeal versus gold has improved after golds strong outperformance and rising volatility. Despite recent crypto weakness liquidations have been modest though spot Bitcoin ETFs continue JPMORGAN: BITCOIN NOW MORE ATTRACTIVE THAN GOLD LONG TERM JPMorgan says Bitcoins long-term appeal versus gold has improved after golds strong outperformance and rising volatility. Despite recent crypto weakness liquidations have been modest though spot Bitcoin ETFs continue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019464905829621765)  2026-02-05T17:35Z 190.3K followers, 33.9K engagements


"Update. Full meltdown and -30% move within the past [--] weeks. The Crypto market is being consolidated with no space for Alts. Now under the [----] lows and stopping out everyone with it. RIP crypto market. We went from a breakout and reclaim of the range to a breakdown. Even worse we cracked on what many believed would be the catalyst for the bottom metals topping. That said we have the Monday Crypto meeting at the white house and I would highly caution that https://t.co/DOdwQSuRO9 RIP crypto market. We went from a breakout and reclaim of the range to a breakdown. Even worse we cracked on what"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019488318140928281)  2026-02-05T19:08Z 190.3K followers, 47.1K engagements


"@TheDemocrats Are we happy about citizens losing their entire net worth now Lets keep in mind youve been pushing back on the crypto bill to bring clarity to institutions and retail on top partly creating this mess. Instead larger players and exchanges play against retail. Sad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019552913773764712)  2026-02-05T23:25Z 190.3K followers, 24K engagements


"The time leading to the end 80s were his prime. Influenced by Charlie Munger Buffett shifted from "cigar-butt" value investing (buying cheap mediocre companies) to buying wonderful companies at fair prices. He also partook in merger deals. Towards the end of the 80s he leveraged the [----] crash to build massive positions in dominant brands most notably a $1 billion investment in Coca-Cola (1988). He focused on capital-efficient businesses with immense pricing power such as Sees Candies and Capital Cities/ABC. In the 80s Berkshires smaller capital base allowed home run stocks to move the needle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019776730714579213)  2026-02-06T14:14Z 190.2K followers, 11.9K engagements


"@RealSimpleAriel Very well possible with roststion under the hood. Trend is going that way and historically this is the most complicated year of the presidential cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020128407875375429)  2026-02-07T13:31Z 190.2K followers, [----] engagements


"True. So differentiation shifts closer to where value is locked away from the public/through barriers of entry. Not toward better models alone but toward access to what others cannot see. Intelligence becomes cheap information becomes scarce. The edge moves toward data ownership access and positioning within real economic flows. This should naturally benefits businesses and networks that control proprietary or continuously generated data thinking: Market and financial data networks Healthcare and insurance data ecosystems Logistics and supply-chain platforms Industrial sensor and IoT networks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020555724514877687)  2026-02-08T17:49Z 190.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Becomes worth is when you realize that all those outcomes are co-dependent/correlated. You can not have all of them perform so if some get to peform others won't. Hence the idea of a Parley to boost odds. Basically betting that the insider has accurate info and minimizing the error rate of the strategy itself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020562547452076042)  2026-02-08T18:17Z 190.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Kevin Warsh out of the picture"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021023261262229580)  2026-02-10T00:47Z 190.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Some thoughts on AI The market is increasingly splitting between those who own real infrastructure and those whose primary economic contribution is their intelligence or labor. As AI systems scale intelligence itself becomes abundant cheap and reproducible while the truly scarce assets remain the infrastructure that deploys coordinates and monetizes that intelligence. This includes physical infrastructure like energy and robotics as well as digital infrastructure such as compute data networks settlement layers and AI systems themselves. As intelligence and robotics symbiosis evolves and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021346189782941834)  2026-02-10T22:11Z 190.6K followers, 31.6K engagements


"@RealSimpleAriel Gets wrecked is my best guess. it does depend what does it though I would think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022101068159856879)  2026-02-13T00:10Z 190.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Huge opportunity for those that waited unlike me unfortunately. If you believe and wanted to own crypto at any point this is it. Not saying this should be the full portfolio but a piece is probably warranted. The major issue like always when panic spreads beta goes up to [--] and everything is down with no more capital to deploy through it. Bitcoin is in a bear market and its weekly RSI is extremely oversold (below 30) Bitcoin was this oversold only [--] times before. In every instance Bitcoin was higher [--] days later with an average gain of +16% $BTC https://t.co/HM7InewlJz Bitcoin is in a bear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019445221486964816)  2026-02-05T16:17Z 190.6K followers, 93.3K engagements


"The tight correlation between $BTC and $IGV makes me think this risk selloff is leverage-driven rather than fundamentally driven. Most likely some form of carry or funding unwind potentially tied to the yen carry trade which over time found its way into risk-on assets software crypto and even private credit in search of yield spreads. When funding conditions tighten or volatility spikes everything financed the same way ends up getting sold together. If you look at the timing the broader pressure since the yen carry trade started unwinding about a quarter ago and roughly lines up with the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019619742563143755)  2026-02-06T03:50Z 190.6K followers, 92.4K engagements


"All in all this is the best way to bet on people that might have insider info I would think. The game becomes spotting recently opened wallets and accounts betting an above average amount on a specific event via a maximum amount of individual bets. Spot the insider behavior and bet via a maximized return system here a parlay. The bet becomes 24/1 that someone has the information after pre-filtering for a behavior that should be accurate by a factor of at least 20% I would think. That gives you an EV in a sense of $4 per $1 risk. Market-implied probability of all legs hitting (parlay): p 4.12%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020560905134854473)  2026-02-08T18:10Z 190.6K followers, 15.7K engagements


"The main reason crypto hasnt gone anywhere is that its momentum engine was structurally altered by the introduction and scaling of options markets. Bitcoin stopped behaving like a pure momentum asset and started behaving like a financialized one. What changed wasnt demand. What changed was market structure. Before options price discovery was driven primarily by spot buying and perpetual futures. Large inflows created reflexive upside: price went up shorts got liquidated momentum compounded and you got vertical God candles. Once a deep options market developed that reflexivity was absorbed."  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022025052603011197)  2026-02-12T19:08Z 190.6K followers, 78.4K engagements


"I see AI as the biggest deflationary force we have ever seen especially combined with robotics If that is the future then combined with the current deficits we will likely see super low rates and stimulus for the next decade and more. If that is the case and intelligence and labor get commoditize then assets are the safe heavens not intangibles as seen in most software and tech. This to me means we have great backwind for the assets that are aligned with this future and provide an inflation hedge on top. Energy Computing power Payment systems Authentication and Security are the themes I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022103094192934934)  2026-02-13T00:18Z 190.6K followers, 59.8K engagements


"The tech revolution you are talking about has no chance to be real without Crypto rails. The goal isnt just to have a smart assistant to tell you facts or work a bit. The goal is full connection transacting negotiating and executing on all tasks and business. AI is stage [--] the next is AI agents the next is robots with AI together. AI needs a lot of moving parts that would t work as we have it in our human based economy where we enjoy sleep weekends chilling and alike. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022114495116509310 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022114495116509310"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022114495116509310)  2026-02-13T01:03Z 190.6K followers, [----] engagements


"$SIVB bank crisis in short: [--]. Bank grows from $60b to $189b in depositors from [----] to [----] [--]. Bank starts to invest $80b in MBS and bonds alike for which they get 1.5% [--]. Investors and clients start to bleed money as valuations come down. Depositors start to drift. [--]. As Rates go up bonds go down which would not be an issue of held until maturity. [--]. The bank starts protecting against lost deposits by selling their bonds at a loss. [--]. The bank announces an offering to try and raise $2.25 billion. [--]. The move to provide liquidity in this manner scares investors through the lack of liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1634382423998726144)  2023-03-11T02:35Z 190.6K followers, 473.1K engagements


"Burry made a good point. [----] was a solvency crisis what we witnessed over the past week is a liquidity crisis. While most compare this episode with [----] I believe that the best comparaison is actually [----]. -- Crisis of 1907: The Panic of [----] was a financial crisis set off by a series of bad banking decisions and a run on the bank caused by public distrust of the banking system. J.P. Morgan and other wealthy Wall Street bankers lent their own funds to save the country from a severe financial crisis. __ It took the biggest players support in order to support the banks. The stock market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1636024032536526849)  2023-03-15T15:18Z 190.6K followers, 925.7K engagements


"All time put buying record. Friday 37.4M Put option contracts traded. The 2nd biggest was 33.6M contracts on September [--] [----]. On Thursday 27.3M Put option contracts were bought this was the 8th largest ever. This comes at a time when we see record $SPY inflow. Something is brewing below the surface and huge bets are being met and hedged imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1637272215140835328)  2023-03-19T01:58Z 190.6K followers, 430.2K engagements


"Announcement 🚨 Over the next year I will be releasing [--] videos I made from [----] until [----]. It shows my progress and thought process as I went from a few thousands per day to 100k+ per day consistently. No hindsight day by day growth and my thoughts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1655318605788004358)  2023-05-07T21:08Z 190.6K followers, 110.1K engagements


"My first Interview 🚨 Executing Agenda Trading Strategy for Stratospheric Returns with @TheShortBear I know you all have been asking for it for a couple of years now and it was time. Enjoy and share it around https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-259-lukas-frohlich/ https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-259-lukas-frohlich/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1658472963589681156)  2023-05-16T14:02Z 190.6K followers, 211.6K engagements


""The world has $1 trillion of data center installed and it used to be 100% CPUs. In the next 5-10 years most of that $1 trillion.will be largely gen AI." -Jensen Huang ___ CPU - GPU This means more Capex but also more revenue stream for cloud host companies. It also means a restructuring or/and new infrastructure to be built. An incredible new revenue source for an already growing environment. Let us dissect the winners for this shift from central processing unit to graphics processing unit. ___ You are business XYZ looking to build a new GPU based cloud system what do you need and who do you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1662531431459856384)  2023-05-27T18:49Z 190.6K followers, 182.2K engagements


"The key to successful trading and investing is not stock picking. The key is maximizing the best hands through adaptive money management. The most significant is that its not whether youre right or wrong thats important but how much money you make when youre right and how much you lose when youre wrong. - Druckenmiller When you have tremendous conviction on a trade you have to go for the jugular - Soros This management feature is not talked about much. In the cases when it is discussed the importance of this feature is mostly missed. The most successful investors of our time have about a 50%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1671247099000680448)  2023-06-20T20:02Z 190.6K followers, 159.3K engagements


"I have no talent trading. I want to make sure it is clear. I only know a handful 'Talented' traders. What makes them talented -No data to trade -No fear and high objectivity -Talent in understanding flow -Talent in understanding panic -They can just 'show up' and trade Why do I bring this up Despite a handful of talented trader I know about 50x 7fig+ traders that have no specific talent. What makes them stand out -Visualization & deep belief: They see themselves successful they don't even consider another path no alternative. They believe in their identity as a future success they see a light"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1674439465580867588)  2023-06-29T15:27Z 190.6K followers, 253.1K engagements


"Trading is the art of saying NO No to random trade No to C or lower grade setups No to setups without large range No to trades without an agenda No to Fomo No to letting others get you into trades No to chasing No to keeping up with the jones The hardest aspect in trading is NOT DOING"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1684564316832530433)  2023-07-27T14:00Z 190.6K followers, 82.3K engagements


"One of my favorite talks by Li Lu. A role model to me and every aspired investor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1695647443117863336)  2023-08-27T04:00Z 190.6K followers, 211K engagements


"If [----] is to happen again next week should be it. Structurally its a different world but these types of events only rhyme. Scary proposition I see all over Twitter this weekend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1705973255897596142)  2023-09-24T15:51Z 190.6K followers, 950.1K engagements


"Charlie Munger [--] years old. You were an inspiration to all of us. One of the all time greatest to me. This one hits me hard. Rest in peace"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1729606704625521018)  2023-11-28T21:02Z 190.6K followers, 97.8K engagements


"A good source on @Qullamaggie. __ [----] setups here from @Hogtrades __ Years worth of charts __ How to make money in stocks (book) has a ton of charts and is a classic. __ @NewLowObserver has a ton of very old charts as well on his Twitter account. __ Thank @Qullamaggie for most of the above. https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1bDTVvBi1Ur83xkFPfw3T2W5x9y9yUAy8usp=sharing https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cymfgHXs4pozcfrdOcKxy34Q-Ood2C7g/viewusp=sharing https://drive.google.com/drive/mobile/folders/1BEOHVJvxHFLvHYoxEeR1v5WJNP5LAWaWusp=sharing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1782561307905966456)  2024-04-23T00:05Z 190.6K followers, 46.3K engagements


"Jim Simons performance is the best ever. 66% per year on average for [--] years. At this rhythm $100 would turn into $401090745 within that time frame. In other words the self imposed liquidity cap of $10billion would have been reached after [--] years if Jim started with $2.5k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1788972643443507402)  2024-05-10T16:41Z 190.6K followers, 245.3K engagements


"-$216254 $GME Posting for the sake of transparency and to move on. Todays gap up was a far bigger trade than Fridays. I started short about 60k first and stopped out most into the reclaim. (very happy I learned from the last ones and stayed conservative). As we rose into [--] I added back small and went for a ride. When these go halt to halt I have to switch into a worst-case management meaning no matter how bad it is I have to put a true stop in and get out if reached. That level for me was [--]. We went straight into the halt and gapped down (first red flag we didnt gap down massively like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1790122234922598413)  2024-05-13T20:49Z 190.6K followers, 179.5K engagements


"$GME $75mil ATM. The company just using all of retail for liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1799030289622319245)  2024-06-07T10:47Z 190.6K followers, 365.6K engagements


"Kitty now under water on his [------] 21st June $20 calls. [---] bid his average [----]. No liquidity. Good luck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1800197258060906967)  2024-06-10T16:04Z 190.6K followers, 643K engagements


"$IWM Druckenmiller nails it again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1811546757043544493)  2024-07-11T23:42Z 190.6K followers, 174.9K engagements


"Druckenmiller once again the best at vision. Early on AI now early on small caps. Beyond that the sizing is amazing. Every theme was played with conviction and trends were taken early $IWM Druckenmiller nails it again. https://t.co/zXhMexDNyy $IWM Druckenmiller nails it again. https://t.co/zXhMexDNyy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1813340436431532470)  2024-07-16T22:30Z 190.6K followers, 120.2K engagements


"$DRUG -230k Just posting this as a self-reminder I shouldn't be touching small caps. Came back to the main setup all excited to have the big screen again today. I saw it when we were up 1000% in a great spot. I was up near 100k and got stopped out within slippage for -80k. -Mistake 1: stop did not account for slippage enough & did not adjust stop lower after adds. (pyramid management vs just adding with bad RR at this point) We then proceeded to put in a 7$ sell candle right after and I FOMOed into it before getting stopped out again shortly after for another 70k loss. -Mistake 2: I was"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1846317496128676112)  2024-10-15T22:29Z 190.6K followers, 119.2K engagements


"$MSTR +$1001750 Good to see a 7fig opp again. I truly thought it might be over after yesterdays late afternoon drop however we got a massive gap in no proportion to BTC. Honestly after $SMCI earlier this year I have been laying off size and the same can be said about this one I should be bigger but I also do not want these trades to become my main gig vs the investments. Options were about 10x+ more expensive than $SMCI back then so for me the focus became the common. First short entry vs premarket highs followed by adds via the 5sec chart on the breakdown. Levels to cover and bounce were the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1859628933219508267)  2024-11-21T16:04Z 190.6K followers, 120.8K engagements


"Top hedge fund performers 2024"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1877116819862892983)  2025-01-08T22:14Z 190.6K followers, 110.6K engagements


"This last pullback truly scared people. We just witnessed the biggest deleveraging in a few years. We are talking about close to the deleveraging of [----] (by 2%)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1880359440416944614)  2025-01-17T21:00Z 190.6K followers, 145.1K engagements


"DeepSeek seems to have created a panic moment within the biggest companies and it should alarm investors. Costs: [----] Nvidia H800 GPUs: $40-50million Training: $5million If all it takes to beat OpenAI is a maximum of $55million the industry is becoming commoditized way faster than previously expected. US-based AI companies alone will have to generate about $600 billion a year in revenue to pay for their AI hardware according to Sequoia. The capex and R&D will likely be accepted to remain competitive given the risks of not being involved in the space however it is getting harder by the day to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1882783200998498542)  2025-01-24T13:31Z 190.6K followers, 1.6M engagements


"$META note circulating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1882790431051960381)  2025-01-24T13:59Z 190.4K followers, 116.7K engagements


"AI bubble popped If the DeepSeek results are truly real NVIDIA could find itself in a situation eerily similar to what Cisco faced after the dot-com bubble burst in the early 2000s. During the bubble Cisco was a dominant supplier of networking equipment riding a wave of massive demand as startups and tech companies scrambled to build internet infrastructure. When the bubble burst many of these companies went bankrupt and the market was flooded with second-hand Cisco equipment. Demand for new hardware evaporated and Ciscos meteoric growth stalled for years. In NVIDIAs case the booming AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1883248287077278129)  2025-01-25T20:19Z 190.6K followers, 1.2M engagements


"$UBER thesis by Bill Ackman Pershing Square. 1/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1889640154114986189)  2025-02-12T11:38Z 190.6K followers, 395.4K engagements


"The first cracks in the AI thesis are starting to emerge. $MSFT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1893672104173744339)  2025-02-23T14:39Z 190.6K followers, 529.5K engagements


"From full long to full short. This is one of the biggest derisking I have ever witnessed. [--] percentage points of positioning within [--] months simply unseen before"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1902207842137800759)  2025-03-19T03:57Z 190.6K followers, 164.4K engagements


"$QQQ 450$ calls. [----] to 17$ 10k into $17mil"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1910061271862345809)  2025-04-09T20:04Z 190.6K followers, 732.2K engagements


"Good overview of economics and tariffs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1913703366934290761)  2025-04-19T21:16Z 190.6K followers, 71.4K engagements


"Panic as Fund managers struggle to position themselves. If you are wondering why we cant seem to dip so far this is it. CTA recently pushed us higher and fund manager will likely be buying the dip or chase an all time high breakout. The institutional world relies on a never be the outlier model. The name of the game isnt to outperform but to never underperform the peer group. As long as you are as bad as your neighbor your AUM is safe. As the market recovers and exposure is low fund managers risk their AUM by not chasing. Also keep in mind they have to create the perception of managing so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1924586271038419072)  2025-05-19T22:01Z 190.6K followers, 94.4K engagements


"Hedge funds are in major trouble and are close to going on a major chase buying spree. Leverage stands at 74% on the prime book and the L/S book is at a mere 50% This is worst case for money managers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1927923432471028191)  2025-05-29T03:02Z 190.6K followers, 90.7K engagements


"A redo of the dotcom bubble"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1943790128201109710)  2025-07-11T21:50Z 190.6K followers, 300.8K engagements


"Healthcare is in pure panic territory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1946579992759923001)  2025-07-19T14:36Z 190.6K followers, 675.6K engagements


"$UNH I remain long and confident. My feed is packed with people stopping out and calling for the end of healthcare insurance. I am not sure what their plan was. Calling for a long term investment but cutting after a move from -50% to -60% from highs and all of this while we retest support. To me it just looks like people are getting lost in micro management trading the stock while calling it an investment. Long term $UNH has a simple trending pattern that can be represented by the following monthly chart since the 1980s: [--]. Uptrend with the 50ema [--]. Periodically build ranges holding the prior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1951052453673058328)  2025-07-31T22:48Z 190.6K followers, 136.6K engagements


"This is one of the most interesting portfolios out there. Pure moat compounders portfolio"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1956287506493604024)  2025-08-15T09:31Z 190.6K followers, 150.5K engagements


"Some thoughts after yesterdays job report and market reaction. Ahead of the [----] recession late-2000 NFP reports signaled labor market weakness. The November release showed just [-----] jobs added far below expectations during the dot-com bust. While markets briefly rallied on hopes of Fed action the emergency 50-basis-point cut in January [----] only confirmed recession fears driving the S&P [---] down nearly 12% in Q1 and into a prolonged bear market. A similar pattern emerged before the Great Recession. The August [----] NFP showed a surprise loss of [----] jobs versus expectations of +110000"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1964250970101047416)  2025-09-06T08:54Z 190.6K followers, 173K engagements


"I am going to start retrieving bull and bear statements for bubbles going forward to showcase the emotional state most are under. Hard to explain to someone how reinforcement works and an echo chamber. Reddit is. I don't even know if delusional is the right word"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1973821017924775965)  2025-10-02T18:42Z 190.6K followers, 245.6K engagements


"Themes that ended up being 0s. Dot-Com Bubble (1999-2000) TGLO WBVN PETS GCTY Solar & Alternative Energy (2006-2008) STP FSLR ESLR For-Profit Education (Late 2000s - Early 2010s) APOL DV COCO ESI Rare Earth Minerals Scarcity (2010-2011) MCP REE China Reverse Mergers (2010-2011) SINO RINO CCME 3D Printing Revolution (2013-2014) DDD SSYS ONE VJET Ebola Outbreak Bio-Stocks (2014) INO TKMR BCRX Post-Election Shipping Squeeze (Late 2016) $DRYS $TOPS $ESEA $SINO First Blockchain/Crypto Pivot (2017) $RIOT $LFIN $FTFT Cobalt & Lithium Rush (2017-2018) $SQM $ALB $LIT Cannabis Legalization (2018 2021)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1973827347070509239)  2025-10-02T19:08Z 190.6K followers, 212.5K engagements


"signs of exhaustion across the board and in leaders today. Take notice when leaders reject hard even engulfing recent bullish behavior. $PLTR & mag7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1974177119992492305)  2025-10-03T18:17Z 190.6K followers, 74.9K engagements


"Good luck holding these long term. All 0s. Absolute delusion. These are the 'headquarters' of the [--] quantum computing companies driving this insane speculative bubble. $IONQ; MC: $23.5Billion $RGTI: MC: $13 Billion $QBTS: MC: $11 Billion $QUBT: MC: $4.5Billion They are glorified research projects (as stated by the Rigetti CEO himself - https://t.co/uuQUChRw18 These are the 'headquarters' of the [--] quantum computing companies driving this insane speculative bubble. $IONQ; MC: $23.5Billion $RGTI: MC: $13 Billion $QBTS: MC: $11 Billion $QUBT: MC: $4.5Billion They are glorified research projects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1974567110056820834)  2025-10-04T20:07Z 190.6K followers, 236.7K engagements


"Quantum insider selling $QUBT $RGTI $QBTS $IONQ Do people realize the insiders sold their stakes at prices 50% lower than here Noone staying in this boat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1975199599783502223)  2025-10-06T14:00Z 190.6K followers, 98.7K engagements


"Nvidia is supplying the capital to buy its chips. Oracle is helping build the sites. AMD and Broadcom are stepping in as suppliers. OpenAl is anchoring the demand. ♾ This circle of capital is creating the biggest market cap jumps we have ever seen. This doesnt matter right now but in the end it will and [----] will look like a walk in the park"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1975307439281934574)  2025-10-06T21:09Z 190.6K followers, 130K engagements


"Selling into strength makes you look like an idiot in a strong bull market but it makes sure you actually are in the drivers seat. Especially when it comes to size that is put on through pyramiding and leveraged. Very easy to get lost in buying 10+ positions and feeling great about it as a mania goes into late stages. Same players calling for lower prices when the market was down 35%+ in [----] calling for a never ending bull market in unprofitable growth now. It always ends the same way. And the good old 'just ride it up and sell' might sound good but by design if we are going up there is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1976673250210886071)  2025-10-10T15:36Z 190.6K followers, 82.3K engagements


"On Bubbles. There are certain lessons in this profession that cannot be taught only endured. To understand the true nature of a mania I often wish one could have lived through the final days of Bitcoin in [----]. It remains the most clarifying portrait of what it means for "everyone" to finally be in. You could feel it. It was the day two different taxi drivers offered you unsolicited advice on digital gold. It was in the lecture halls where classmates who had never spoken of markets were suddenly experts their positions barely two weeks old. Every last soul who joined the chorus because they"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1978195410432020616)  2025-10-14T20:25Z 190.6K followers, 139.1K engagements


"Notice the shift over the past week really reflect if you could not see it. High beta started by stalling consolidating most sectors apart from a few started to stall too concentrating all fire power in a few themes (mainly quantum and Nuclear). Then we saw cracks Crypto crashed blowing up millions of accounts. Then we saw the themes put a local top. Regional banks cracked and put in their worst week since the panic last year. It started with larger flows smarter ones and stalled and worked off the 'dumbest' players at last which is by definition the one that can't see the fire in front of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1978917632712880593)  2025-10-16T20:15Z 190.6K followers, 182.6K engagements


"A good exercise to practice is symmetry. Stocks will rarely repeat moves because the perception over an event will shift based on recency bias. This means if a stock reclaims strongly into the close after a weak day the next day will likely not involve a strong close. This is true because the markets goal is to create liquidity by creating inflection points where supply meets demand and vis versa. This idea is derived through the idea of a markov chain type of event where the state of one day impacts the next. You will see this as played out on Quantum today. This is a constant exercise to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1978928346290344162)  2025-10-16T20:57Z 190.6K followers, 67.2K engagements


"I have a dedicated folder on Twitter traders on here. I track trades calls strong opinions and alike under a trade bets folder. I know who to pay attention to and who to fade. I know the odds. Too many people are shittalking others and throwing wild statements out there just know Im out here fading you. And so are others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1979657741317595285)  2025-10-18T21:16Z 190.6K followers, 72K engagements


"Covered $GLD Sold $DUST Sold $DUST Covered $RGTI Covered $QBTS Major $BYND dip buy sold too. New biggest day ever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1981060726400962709)  2025-10-22T18:10Z 190.6K followers, 56.6K engagements


"The bull market could be over. Could. Before the final blowoff phase during the dot-com bubble we had some wild shakeouts in markets that ended up trapping shorts which got blown up into the final few months. I see us as a spot that would put us in mid [----] when we had run considerably and chopped around with sharp moves. If thats the case we are likely in for a very strong December and would run for Q1. We could also be earlier than I expect towards the end of [----] which had a sharp 20-30% pullback and started the last 2y of major bullish action. Hard to know but given the focus on lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1985822407970734407)  2025-11-04T21:32Z 190.6K followers, 133.4K engagements


"Stablecoins took a big part away from Bitcoins use case. $ETH is the most undervalued asset in crypto with true business value in my view"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1987096467081675258)  2025-11-08T09:54Z 190.6K followers, 135.8K engagements


"The policies being put in place by Trump ressemble what we saw during the massive mania of [----]. We are easing We just saw the FED president talking expecting QE and QT stopped We are hearing about stimulus checks again bigger by 70% than [----] Keep in mind we had Covid back then and an actual economic threat and we still saw the steepest bull market in recent history. This time we are seeing growth and a theme. All actions are pointing towards massive easing and the deep commitment towards that goal with the pressure against Powell and the soon to come new chairman of the FED. Add the AI and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1987702014046847139)  2025-11-10T02:01Z 190.6K followers, 69.9K engagements


"I think PTJ nails it here. Part of my current positioning fits this view"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1987702802060321059)  2025-11-10T02:04Z 190.6K followers, 92.6K engagements


"No reason to avoid facing reality. We are breaking down. That said I wouldnt write off anything until we see metals top. We are talking about trillions of dollars that will likely rotate. It is not random that we see metal go parabolic with a monthly [--] RSI while crypto breaks down. If I had to guess metals top crypto cracks lows and flows make crypto reverse higher as metals take a few months to years breather. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015553007845568810 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015553007845568810"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2015553007845568810)  2026-01-25T22:30Z 190.4K followers, 114.1K engagements


"$MELI -5y+ range retest. -USD devaluation leading to FX-Gain (earnings boost 10%+) -Earnings metrics all improving -30% Growth -Multiples as cheap as ever Clear Emerging markets backwind and massive 5-10y+ range breakouts accross emerging market indices. $MELI remains uniquely positioned to win in digitalization e-commerce banking lending ads. This will be obvious eventually. One of the only companies where I see a clear path from $100b to $500b. Been adding to it over the past days including today. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016218677662597340"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2016218677662597340)  2026-01-27T18:36Z 190.5K followers, 36.5K engagements


"Canton Network $CCUSD Remember the news of official market structure using blockchain technology. 'DTCC Partners with Digital Asset to Tokenize U.S. Treasuries on Canton Network.' Tokenization remains a major theme going forward. Canton specifically is trading at $6.5 billion for now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017348122280698219 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017348122280698219"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017348122280698219)  2026-01-30T21:24Z 190.4K followers, 22.5K engagements


"Biggest volume on Ethereum since the October flash crash"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2018797362567864430)  2026-02-03T21:22Z 190.6K followers, 61.5K engagements


"Recent stock declines such as Aress -9.6% and Blue Owls -9.7% are attributed to AI disrupting software borrowers as per UBS. This disruption exposes private credit to a 25-35% risk raising concerns about potential defaults if AI negatively impacts software profits. The software panic is hitting private credit. Private Credit Oh the humanity: https://t.co/7qeX6zqC9C Private Credit Oh the humanity: https://t.co/7qeX6zqC9C"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2018826000138665994)  2026-02-03T23:16Z 190.5K followers, 50.4K engagements


"Bubble deflating via $PLTR. Major topping formation break of long term moving averages and large volume move lower. $ARKK gives the roadmap. This stock is so expensive it could continue beating all the way to -60%+ and still be expensive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019075850722021790)  2026-02-04T15:49Z 190.6K followers, 42.3K engagements


"Sick A great article detailing advanced quantitative strategies for arbitraging inefficiencies in prediction markets like Polymarket. He dives into bregman projections probability spaces and optimization techniques to identify mispricings across correlated events. https://t.co/JqaqOhNl6I https://t.co/JqaqOhNl6I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019179318329634820)  2026-02-04T22:40Z 190.6K followers, 52.8K engagements


"Just to add some further context: The results dont necessarily stem from strategy changes but rather from the sequence of events that unfolded. Over the past quarter many traders executed diversified playbooks intended to provide resilience. Instead market conditions created concentrated pain during a period of underperformance. First crypto sold off sharply around October [--] forcing losses for those exposed while those without positions often entered near the lows. Some traders then shifted back to shorting small caps which subsequently experienced some of the largest outlier rallies in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019196544101371948)  2026-02-04T23:49Z 190.6K followers, 24.4K engagements


"$SLV $SILVER down 50% from the top. Data and history never lie this time was indeed different and despite it all still behaved the same"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019574856841347476)  2026-02-06T00:52Z 190.5K followers, 39.6K engagements


"This bet hit Jackpot 🎰 ✅ I'm not even sure if it is possible currently but imagine a Parlay combining all of the below into one single Parlay betting on both Lady Gaga and Ricky martin to perform and all else do not. Insider info becomes incredibly lucrative with rules about insider trading vs truth I'm not even sure if it is possible currently but imagine a Parlay combining all of the below into one single Parlay betting on both Lady Gaga and Ricky martin to perform and all else do not. Insider info becomes incredibly lucrative with rules about insider trading vs truth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020683076901187927)  2026-02-09T02:16Z 190.6K followers, 61.9K engagements


"https://x.com/QuiverQuant/status/2020890499414966368s=20 JUST IN: Someone on Polymarket has bet $100K that the US will strike Iran today. They will win $4000000 if it happens. Insider or gambler https://t.co/p70QMgWPo1 https://x.com/QuiverQuant/status/2020890499414966368s=20 JUST IN: Someone on Polymarket has bet $100K that the US will strike Iran today. They will win $4000000 if it happens. Insider or gambler https://t.co/p70QMgWPo1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020904015010148393)  2026-02-09T16:53Z 190.6K followers, 93.7K engagements


"Saying the quiet part out loud. Hassett: "There's a chance that job creation lags productivity skyrockets profits skyrocket GDP skyrockets but then all of the sudden you're making [--] widgets and you can make [--] widgets with fewer persons and then that person has to find a new job. I think that kind of https://t.co/ZVT9VflWeh Hassett: "There's a chance that job creation lags productivity skyrockets profits skyrocket GDP skyrockets but then all of the sudden you're making [--] widgets and you can make [--] widgets with fewer persons and then that person has to find a new job. I think that kind of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021057334311797062)  2026-02-10T03:03Z 190.5K followers, 65.8K engagements


"I like hyperliquid a lot but its not a competitor to $ETH. Hyperliquid targets a fundamentally different use case. While Hyperliquid focuses on raw throughput and low-cost transactions Ethereum is a settlement coordination and security layer. Its value comes from economic finality composability and network effects not just TPS or fees. ETH secures trillions in assets hosts millions of active wallets tens of thousands of developers and hundreds of thousands of composable smart contracts across L1 and Layer-2 rollups. Hyperliquid may excel at moving transactions quickly but it lacks Ethereums"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021289270456221737)  2026-02-10T18:24Z 190.4K followers, [----] engagements


"So in essence distribution of your own self becomes the differentiator. Where free labour boosts an established person. Humanity becomes a industry where feelings and the ability to capture attention becomes the most precious commodity. Similar to painters getting paid to a large extend through their story which they demonstrate through a medium. You dont buy the painting for its technique necessarily but for the scarcity x storyline. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021357151118127309 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021357151118127309"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021357151118127309)  2026-02-10T22:54Z 190.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Just depends when a sufficient level of AGI is reached. AGI gives us the missing pieces for robotics I would think which then combines into a new labour force. Id think if you are 40y old or less you will easily feel the change over time. I think the hedges are the infrastructure. Where is the data housed where are the models built where is the consumer data stored where is the energy created how does AGI communicate and transact. Key players: Mag [--] Crypto communication rails(payments stablecoin smart contract.) Energy sector. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021361505321586818"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021361505321586818)  2026-02-10T23:11Z 190.5K followers, [---] engagements


"There is a future not far from now where local LLMs will understand a business inventory trade patterns and the dynamics and risks involved. The agent will interact with other business agents and transact at an ideal balance optimized for maximum long-term output (highest price highest output). Agents will dynamically adjust pricing sourcing logistics production and capital allocation while continuously minimizing inventory optimizing working capital and managing counterparty risk. They will autonomously negotiate contracts reroute supply chains predict maintenance needs and adapt to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022694150374613319)  2026-02-14T15:27Z 190.6K followers, [----] engagements


"+116.5% Trailing [--] year (smoothed 10days) Today I made the biggest change to my portfolio in over a year. I spent the entire morning selling off nearly all my assets. I went from long 200% to long 65%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1732513195527483760)  2023-12-06T21:31Z 190.6K followers, 272.8K engagements


"My Path This is the first hot market I have missed in [--] years I think. I was gone on vacation for [--] month and really thought about the way I want to approach trading and my life path going forward. __ The result: I do not want to be actively trading anymore. I do not want the stress the time involvement the volatility the toxic competition. I want to compound and work/live around people I respect and love. I want those around me to prosper and the cake to get bigger for all not for the piece to get bigger because I thought my friend for it (day trade vs investing/ finite vs infinite mindset)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1765124904154755304)  2024-03-05T21:19Z 190.6K followers, 1.3M engagements


"Let me get this straight. Kitty was long 120k contracts of the June 21st calls. He could have sold at about [--] or call it even VWAP or $12.7. That would have netted him +$84295200. Instead he now has to gamble for $GME to be over $25.67 by June 21st to even make money. Now on top of it keep in mind that it also means that the entire 12mil shares equivalent (120k contracts) still needs to be sold given Kitty probably does not have the cash to even exercise the calls. If he gets the cash it will likley be by selling his 5mil shares to offset it. meaning selling either way. (apart from if he"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1797733439094825127)  2024-06-03T20:53Z 190.6K followers, 1.3M engagements


"What are the most obvious longs into 2025/2026. Searching for companies. I will start: $ASML $BABA $MELI $NU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1866890210954580176)  2024-12-11T16:58Z 190.6K followers, 67.8K engagements


"Incredible amount of leverage insider buys on $BTC prior to the crypto reserve news. Highly criminal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1896242401548833249)  2025-03-02T16:53Z 190.6K followers, 401.8K engagements


"It is time. Time to give back to share the journey and to open the doors to a story years in the making. Im incredibly excited to announce a milestone moment the opportunity to finally lay out the principles lessons and work that have shaped my last decade as a trader and investor. My journey began with the inspiration of the original Market Wizards legends whose stories lit the path forward. It deepened with Hedge Fund Market Wizards where my focus evolved toward investing with a traders precision and mindset. And now its an immense honor to be part of this new chapter. The caliber of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1916004284182732887)  2025-04-26T05:39Z 190.6K followers, 189.8K engagements


"How do you fail at trading By ignoring the best opportunities laid out by @TheOneLanceB and more importantly by not reviewing the best setups in the market period. Lance breaks down each play in detail through Magnum Opus his charity initiative. If you want to both support a good cause and learn directly from him you can donate here: To be clear Lance did not ask me to do this we were simply talking about how to make the biggest impact for charity today in Norway and as Lance continues his great efforts to do good I wanted to proactively reach out to provide value while helping the cause."  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1957900430895386669)  2025-08-19T20:20Z 190.6K followers, 164.4K engagements


"Whenever a major investor and historical outperformer puts all his eggs in one basket its at least a good idea to explore the idea"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1968379946621112598)  2025-09-17T18:22Z 190.6K followers, 1M engagements


"Our Profession. You come to realize one of the markets great paradoxes: absorbing a loss under fire is an almost mechanical act a quiet surrender to the inevitable. The true crucible of character however is found in choosing to walk away from the table when the cards are falling in your favor especially as the bets grow wilder and the intoxicating pull of the final collective wager tempts everyone to go all in. And the truth much like in Poker is that the table is not designed for everyone to win. By its very nature the market funnels the winnings into the hands of a disciplined few. To find"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1976748178968822220)  2025-10-10T20:34Z 190.6K followers, 129K engagements


"Michael Burry 13F This is the wildest (and early by more than a week) 13F I have maybe ever seen. Pure bubble shorting Burry is going after the next [----]. I respect burry however lets remember it took 2-3 years from the moment he started shorting via CDS until [----] until the collapse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1985491019215835556)  2025-11-03T23:35Z 190.6K followers, 957.1K engagements


"What were the best opportunities today Want to cover it all in this weekends review"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/1989423755119276419)  2025-11-14T20:02Z 190.6K followers, 44.1K engagements


"Tariffs and the U.S. Position thoughts. The problem with 100% tariffs or else is that eventually a country will become so frustrated by constant pressure coercion and perceived disrespect that it will choose pain over submission. When that moment comes the entire world will be watching. If that transition proves anything short of an outright disaster it could trigger a broader domino effect. Others will realize that economic independence even at short-term cost is survivable. And once that realization sets in leverage shifts. The deeper issue is the United States reserve-currency privilege."  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2015161854159716855)  2026-01-24T20:36Z 190.6K followers, 92.2K engagements


"$SLV $AGQ $SILVER The morning opened with a clear regime shift. Trump nominated Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair. Warsh is widely viewed as a hard-money hawk. At the same time a U.S. government shutdown was averted at the last minute. Gold and silver had effectively been propping each other up over the past week. Silver looked vulnerable but golds parabolic move prevented a breakdown resulting instead in a double-top structure. This setup has historical precedent most notably in [----] and [----]. Quietly behind the scenes topping macro news added up: Greenland resolution Tariff step back FED chair"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2017344820113514612)  2026-01-30T21:11Z 190.6K followers, 163.5K engagements


"Not sure people realize just how many traders are in pain. In 13y I have never seen so many ultra-competent traders realize a massive drawdown. 1/3 minimum of my close network is in true pain. The mix of good news but opposite reactions the huge standard deviation moves on both ends (like metals up and then down by sigma 3+) the repeated small cap parabolic moves both premarket and during normal hours The list continues but its been feeling like quicksand for a bit now. I mentioned in October last year that I thought the crypto flash crash might have liquidated the risk appetite indeed I feel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2019143532498276785)  2026-02-04T20:18Z 190.6K followers, 282.4K engagements


"This past week saw the largest amount of shorting in [--] years. What"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020127096513745327)  2026-02-07T13:26Z 190.6K followers, 74.7K engagements


"Most of the outlier moves of the past weeks were linked to two things. Cheap funding evaporated Volatility selling suddenly broke The combination of fast unwinding leveraged as margin calls hit put options sellers in a spiral of selling/covering. Thats the reason why we saw [---] sigma moves which are almost impossible to see and especially impossible when combining all of them during the same few weeks. The combination of margin calls and record volatility selling is what likely broke the market. From $VIX $IBIT $IGV https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020295896013938867"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020295896013938867)  2026-02-08T00:37Z 190.6K followers, 37.1K engagements


"AI to commoditize work and focus capital to infrastructure AI might end up doing something few expected: commoditizing asset-light businesses the very segment that has crushed capital-intensive industries over the past decade. Software and service companies outperformed because they scaled with near-zero marginal cost strong pricing power and minimal capital requirements. But AI is changing the equation fast. Barriers to entry are collapsing: Software is cheaper and faster to build Content analytics and customer service are being automated Capabilities that once differentiated companies are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020522398773059674)  2026-02-08T15:37Z 190.6K followers, 29.3K engagements


"I'm not even sure if it is possible currently but imagine a Parlay combining all of the below into one single Parlay betting on both Lady Gaga and Ricky martin to perform and all else do not. Insider info becomes incredibly lucrative with rules about insider trading vs truth trading being blurry. A potential Super Bowl halftime show insider has been spotted. This wallet was created yesterday and is exclusivly trading Super Bowl halftime show markets. It currently has $47K deployed and is the largest holder in the Lady Gaga market with 22K shares. Across every position: https://t.co/muVR5OzaVs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020557859281326484)  2026-02-08T17:58Z 190.6K followers, 120K engagements


"In terms of odds if combined: Lady Gaga - YES [----] Travis Scott - NO [----] Ricky Martin - YES [----] Cardi B - NO [----] Drake - NO [----] J Balvin - NO [----] Post Malone - NO [----] Rauw Alejandro - NO [----] Tainy - NO [----] Grupo Frontera - NO [----] Dua Lipa - NO [----] All-in parlay math (11 legs) [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] [----] = [------------] = 4.12138511% (about [--] in 24.26) 24/1 Parlay https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020559010458484774 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020559010458484774"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2020559010458484774)  2026-02-08T18:03Z 190.6K followers, 18.8K engagements


"Jus building new tools. Non stop coding this week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021021933928947743)  2026-02-10T00:42Z 190.6K followers, 27.7K engagements


"Railway stocks rounding out a bottom looks like after a few years of consolidation. $CNI $CP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021247742383649274)  2026-02-10T15:39Z 190.6K followers, 24.3K engagements


"Many Blockchains are being valued through a Throughput basis or Fee-Based Valuation. The focus seems to be the aggregate fees (the total transaction fees collected) or throughput capacity (TPS transactions per second). This is akin to valuing a marketplace solely on its gross processing fees and checkout speed. It reminds me a lot of the volatility and misunderstanding that economies of scale businesses like $AMZN or $COST would get. But this approach has limitations: [--]. Throughput Is a Capacity Not an Economic Driver Throughput (TPS) measures how much activity a network can handle but it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021265978022047819)  2026-02-10T16:52Z 190.6K followers, 28.2K engagements


"Using Anthropic to walk you through a project is the easiest way to save on AI and time costs. Describe your project and ask it to walk you through all mistakes and what is missing. At the end let it prepare a full document for cursor to work with and let Opus do the rest. Iterate from there over and over again. Also a good way to go is to describe exactly what vibe you want meaning what type of firm you want to imitate or alike. It works way better if it understand things we take for granted but it might not know. For example the newest project was described as a new age blockchain company x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2021672889326370868)  2026-02-11T19:49Z 190.6K followers, 29.6K engagements


"The US is testing out a narrative change. If such a USRussia economic partnership materializes likely impacts would be: China Russia becomes less economically dependent on China Weakens Chinas leverage over Russian energy and trade flows Undermines the de-dollarization narrative as Russia returns to USD settlement EU EU unity on Russia policy and sanctions gets strained Energy and competitiveness strategy becomes more complicated Risk of being sidelined in energy and critical raw material deals Ukraine Russias negotiating leverage improves Higher risk of pressure toward a frozen conflict"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022004732173115837)  2026-02-12T17:47Z 190.6K followers, 39.3K engagements


"RIP Dutch economy. NEW: Dutch Parliament Member Michel Hoogeveen explains how the 36% unrealized capital gains tax just passed by the House of Representatives will work. Here is a more detailed example: Step [--]. Starting position You own [---] shares. Value on Jan [--] 2028: [-----] Value on Jan https://t.co/GYeAN9jlJ6 NEW: Dutch Parliament Member Michel Hoogeveen explains how the 36% unrealized capital gains tax just passed by the House of Representatives will work. Here is a more detailed example: Step [--]. Starting position You own [---] shares. Value on Jan [--] 2028: [-----] Value on Jan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022005039431393778)  2026-02-12T17:49Z 190.6K followers, 91.4K engagements


"The current economy is built for human to human communication and commerce. The next era is one of robot to robot commerce and the rails we built won't allow for it to happen. Allocating capital toward such new infrastructure can be viewed as acquiring digital real estate in a machine-coordinated economy. Technology defined by the new rails the new vertical system of transaction becomes infrastructure rather than tech. [--]. Settlement Layer for Autonomous Agents AI systems and robotic entities lack legal personhood. Blockchain standards can provide programmable wallets and verifiable digital"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022015118192632053)  2026-02-12T18:29Z 190.6K followers, 21.9K engagements


"It feels like much of the world still views crypto as little more than gambling memecoins speculation and short-term trading. But that perception reflects the crypto cycle of one or two years ago. Whats actually unfolding now is a steady expansion in stablecoins tokenization on-chain settlement privacy infrastructure and real financial rails. The speculative layer may dominate headlines yet underneath it foundational infrastructure is quietly scaling. Ironically the volatility and beta from the more speculative segments have helped pull attention and liquidity into the broader ecosystem. But"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022020173595553907)  2026-02-12T18:49Z 190.6K followers, 37.9K engagements


"100% no doubt. If the global economy is going to run in a stable and secure way the only chain that currently offers the full stack of tools proven security resilience and reliability is Ethereum. Its honestly not even close in my view. Yes there are faster or cheaper chains. But speed and cost alone dont create global standards. To anchor AI robotics and machine-driven finance you need a network the world can coordinate around. Standards matter more than throughput. Its similar to SWIFT not perfect not the most elegant system but network effects and adoption made it the default global layer."  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022023059046023218)  2026-02-12T19:00Z 190.6K followers, [----] engagements


"There is a slight chance this was the final shakeout into what I believe could become a clear breakout. Very clear neckline 50% retracement now. Right into the weekly 200ema TOTAL3 represents the total crypto market cap ex- $BTC and $ETH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022095857370411176)  2026-02-12T23:49Z 190.6K followers, 45.3K engagements


"$TOTAL Full market cap is testing the neckline deep [---] weekly retest where we fund value in prior cycles. The maximum amount of time we spent under it was [--] months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022100882465370405)  2026-02-13T00:09Z 190.6K followers, 15.3K engagements


"To me there is one story that would lead to a massive breakout going forward. Its the AI gent using blockchain rails and basically forcing everyone to come on chain. Even if all business does not need to be full crypto native the payment system will happen via stablecoins which would force all players into the ecosystem. Then it becomes an allocation question. If you are already part of the ecosystem what are the odds you allocated less than 2% to it like current numbers Not high I would think. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022101597216747835"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022101597216747835)  2026-02-13T00:12Z 190.6K followers, 13.6K engagements


"@TheFlowHorse The mechanism above is not an if. Im not saying its the reason we cant go up Im saying Bitcoins historical movement pattern cant be the same based on how vol is being sold. That creates a shift in he way it will move. Its how markets work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022115109800489209)  2026-02-13T01:06Z 190.6K followers, 18.8K engagements


"Today the Trump Family via Truth Social filed for "Truth Social Cronos Yield Maximizer ETF" and the "Truth Social Bitcoin and Ether ETF". $ETH $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022395569038340467)  2026-02-13T19:40Z 190.6K followers, 20.1K engagements


"The trade has and will likely continue to be that you want to own part of the commodity house. If intelligence and eventually labour gets commoditized the only real benefactor will be those that have the compute and data. Robots have lower barriers to entry and will likely become as ubiquitous as any other current technology while the AI that powers them will likely remain distinct and hard to replicate. The mag [--] became insurance against the new probable future. Cant risk not being involved its the same reason CAPEX is so large for them all. Hedge fund "positioning across the Mag [--] trade is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022699655058911491)  2026-02-14T15:49Z 190.6K followers, 14.1K engagements


"@cryptic_catty I agree I just think the future is moving so fast that most dont fully understand the moving parts yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheShortBear/status/2022700270128410740)  2026-02-14T15:51Z 190.6K followers, [---] engagements

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