#  @TheRealPlanC PlanC PlanC posts on X about bitcoin, longterm, business, if you the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/interactions)  - [--] Week [---------] -43% - [--] Month [---------] -23% - [--] Months [----------] +724% - [--] Year [----------] +92% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/posts_active)  - [--] Week [---] -36% - [--] Month [---] -6.90% - [--] Months [-----] +1,181% - [--] Year [-----] +98% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/followers)  - [--] Week [-------] +0.07% - [--] Month [-------] +0.35% - [--] Months [-------] +6.80% - [--] Year [-------] +9.90% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [currencies](/list/currencies) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [us election](/list/us-election) **Social topic influence** [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #3239, [longterm](/topic/longterm), [business](/topic/business), [if you](/topic/if-you), [mstr](/topic/mstr), [swan](/topic/swan), [money](/topic/money), [plan c](/topic/plan-c) #7, [investment](/topic/investment), [math](/topic/math) #2050 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@sminstonwith](/creator/undefined) [@dotkrueger](/creator/undefined) [@giovann35084111](/creator/undefined) [@snzbtc](/creator/undefined) [@jesseolson](/creator/undefined) [@apsk32](/creator/undefined) [@sina21st](/creator/undefined) [@thebtctherapist](/creator/undefined) [@quintenfrancois](/creator/undefined) [@moneyordebt](/creator/undefined) [@btcarchive](/creator/undefined) [@tonyseverinocmt](/creator/undefined) [@mrmpodcast](/creator/undefined) [@researchbtcnow](/creator/undefined) [@lukebroyles](/creator/undefined) [@chartsbtc](/creator/undefined) [@garycardone](/creator/undefined) [@paulewaulpaul](/creator/undefined) [@techdev52](/creator/undefined) [@vailshirecap](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Kaspa (KAS)](/topic/kaspa) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Probably a coincidence. #Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1636420427726635031) 2023-03-16T17:33Z 183.4K followers, 73K engagements "The percent of #Bitcoin circulating supply not moved in at least [--] years has gone parabolic If you have held #BTC for 2+ years and are not the government you are most likely not interested in selling at these levels" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1642274159097937920) 2023-04-01T21:14Z 183.1K followers, 80.4K engagements "#Bitcoin is battling to stay above the 2-Year EMA; historically when it does this is a bullish sign. All previous cycle lows occurred when #BTC was 45% to 55% below the 2-year EMA which has already happened" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1676756616652234755) 2023-07-06T00:55Z 170.3K followers, 25.5K engagements "I have made many mistakes over the last several years BUT my BEST decisions in order have been. [--]. NOT doing something the majority of society did. [--]. Putting my entire life savings (including retirement accounts) into #Bitcoin during the covid crash. [--]. DCAing #BTC 16-20k" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1683901404048392192) 2023-07-25T18:05Z 170.3K followers, [---] engagements "Imagine #DeFi without the rug pulls π $HAVOC dApp just launched An innovative project in the #DEX landscape. - Snipe with multiple wallets - Anti-rug & MEV protection - Automated profit-taking/stop-loss Continues upgrades from @havoc_rip β‘" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1687932694116655104) 2023-08-05T21:04Z 171K followers, 12.4K engagements "The percent of #Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders continues to climb. I don't see this trend reversing until we see significant price volatility. Long-term holders are very comfortable with an aggregate cost basis of $20309. #BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1689508110711316480) 2023-08-10T05:24Z 171K followers, 23.3K engagements "#Bitcoin β The black swan event required to cause a lower cycle low would be insane an event that even those that missed buying near the cycle low would not want. #btc #crypto" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1689862788598878209) 2023-08-11T04:54Z 170.3K followers, 50.6K engagements "Almost [--] million #Bitcoin have not moved in 7+ years. π Almost [--] million #Bitcoin have not moved in 10+ years. π€― No one knows what percent of these #BTC are lost. How many #BTC do you think are actually in circulation" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1689885974967238657) 2023-08-11T06:26Z 171K followers, [----] engagements "Tried the $HAVOC DApp yet β‘ My Review -Love that they focus on user #DeFi protection: token contract security scanner anti-rug & EVM protection. -Devs KYCd by @AssureDefi -Active team innovative #DEX project. -Easy to use great features & fast" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1691833876836966772) 2023-08-16T15:26Z 170.3K followers, [--] engagements "Interested in learning why there is so much excitement within #Crypto around Real-World Asset Tokenization Join the LIVE call hosted by @PropChainGlobal a leading #RWA project π When: Aug [--] [----] (07:00 PM CET) Join: β‘ #PropchainAmbassador" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1692013489194209691) 2023-08-17T03:20Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements "Quick Tip Use the desktop interface and NOT the app stores for your subscription sign-ups to save 20-30%. This also applies to premium sign-ups. The creator gets the same amount" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1694426571610677486) 2023-08-23T19:09Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements "At a crossroads will this time be different Before the last [--] major bull markets the blue and red lines came together similar to now π Can #Bitcoin turn the red line into support Average purchase price aka cost basis. Last [--] Years π₯ $29323 2-5 Years Ago π¦ $26800" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1697363157398737140) 2023-08-31T21:38Z 170.3K followers, 12.3K engagements "The Battle to get above the "True Market Mean." The TMM removes supply acquired through mining and dampens the effect of deeply dormant/lost coins to better approximate an active investor supply cost basis. Can #Bitcoin recover the true market mean at $29756" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1697383227013427563) 2023-08-31T22:57Z 171K followers, [----] engagements "@TheSkallywag I think you meant the inflation rate but yes" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1697438113386188967) 2023-09-01T02:35Z 170.3K followers, [--] engagements "Are you following @CryptoCon_ yet You should be. He provides excellent cycle analysis. Examples π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1697649483805339779) 2023-09-01T16:35Z 183.1K followers, 30.2K engagements "Pay attention to projects that continue to build and deliver regardless of market conditions. The tokenization of real-world assets will be the driving force and foundation of the next phase of substantive crypto development. First mover @PropChainGlobal is laser-focused on creating an ecosystem to solve the numerous issues within the largest asset class on earth. Milestones Achieved: $5M Resources Secured 17k+ waiting list Private MVP Tokenized 1.5M First rental payout Partnership deals closed 50M+ impressions Revamped staking pools #PropchainAmbassador" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1698052162557772190) 2023-09-02T19:15Z 170.3K followers, 13.8K engagements "@BTC_Archive Gradually then suddenly. #Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1699185434796986585) 2023-09-05T22:19Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements "@TechDev_52 I hope you and the family are doing well. Excellent insights as always" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1700187457071808898) 2023-09-08T16:40Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements "@CryptoCon_ Great breakdown and explanation of an interesting theory by Steve. I greatly respect Steve; however I don't see this theory playing out. You said it yourself: Bitcoin has never not hit a Fibonacci extension level at a cycle top" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1700546010068451589) 2023-09-09T16:25Z 171K followers, 13.5K engagements "@thescalpingpro Great find and visuals π I believe this pattern will hold. I don't see a new cycle low; however I could see one last major capitulation or black swan causing a brief dip to 18-20k. It's not my base case but I can't rule it out completely. Keep up the excellent content" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1700964599690932414) 2023-09-10T20:08Z 170.3K followers, 16.3K engagements "Agree with your analysis and commentary. The first early top is in; we may get one of [--] possible bottom point scenarios. [--]. $25k (June support) holding so far; bottom plays out for the rest of Sept. [--]. $20k (March support) bottom plays out over Oct-Dec. [--]. Black Swan (Crypto or Tradfi) between now and the end of the year brings us down to $17-18k for a slightly higher cycle low similar to the [----] crash scenario and then we bounce right back in Q1 [----] with excitement around the havening and or an ETF approval" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1702012947898220708) 2023-09-13T17:34Z 170.3K followers, 14.5K engagements "@PropChainGlobal It is fantastic to see the community growing π This market cycle real-world-assets will be one of the top narratives for sure" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1709256721888325751) 2023-10-03T17:18Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements "Is @MELD_Defi on your radar yet If not here's why it should be. You probably already know about Aave but a project is poised to blow Aave out of the water. Meet MELD a non-custodial platform where you retain complete control over your assets without the need for intermediaries but still have a user-centric experience that gives you access to a range of services features and benefits that are light-years ahead of Aave. One of the most impressive things about MELD is its cross-chain capabilities. You can easily switch between crypto Real World Assets NFTs and fiat currencies. But MELD isn't" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1730477678581690761) 2023-12-01T06:43Z 170.3K followers, 10.5K engagements "@InsiderFinTech @MELD_Defi The potential is there no question. Time will tell if they can execute on their vision" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1730481919236980811) 2023-12-01T07:00Z 170.4K followers, [---] engagements "@qbp @MELD_Defi Thanks for sharing π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1730745465304498293) 2023-12-02T00:27Z 170.3K followers, [--] engagements "@kenblaue @MELD_Defi Great space. I loved the @kenblaue / @MELD_Defi background story and how some of the less talked about arms of the global financial system operate" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1732460593347457303) 2023-12-06T18:02Z 170.3K followers, [---] engagements "@PropChainGlobal @propchainmaster @PropGlobal If you are unaware of what is happening in the real-world asset space recommend joining or checking out the recording" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1737875288833355883) 2023-12-21T16:38Z 169.3K followers, [---] engagements "Native Staking is Live on Mainnet MELD a non-custodial layer [--] banking protocol ended [----] with the launch of its mainnet native staking I will share my opinions at the end but first here are some highlights. Staking smart contracts are Tested/Audited by @HalbornSecurity and open source. 8% base APR for Liquid staking and 8-28% APR for optional lockups: (6m 1yr 5yr). APR is dynamic based on the behaviour of the rest of the ecosystem. Dynamic NFTs represent staked positions offering the option to sell a locked position for liquidity if needed. Switch pools even during lockups and claim rewards" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1741890039812940000) 2024-01-01T18:32Z 170.3K followers, 13.1K engagements "@PropChainGlobal Great to see you live @propchainmaster π€ Interested in learning more about the ongoing work and the overall roadmap" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1786049457294881202) 2024-05-02T15:05Z 168.6K followers, [----] engagements "@Kellykellam @dotkrueger Hey brother I'm not sure. Overall I prefer Price vs. Block Height but Non-Zero wallets are interesting and still have a 95% R-squared even with the ETFs; time will tell" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1790430173495472419) 2024-05-14T17:13Z 168.8K followers, [---] engagements "Zoom out in log-log. The trend is your friend. 64x over the next [--] years. Research the #Bitcoin Power Law" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1790960867191788003) 2024-05-16T04:21Z 169.3K followers, 24.4K engagements "The first known Bitcoin transaction was on Oct [--] [----] at $0.001. $10M #BTC would be 10-magnitudes of growth. According to the #Bitcoin Power Law this would occur between [----] and [----]. Bitcoin has already done 8-magnitudes of growth over the last [--] years. Can it do [--] more magnitudes of growth over the next [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1790978851805253745) 2024-05-16T05:33Z 168.8K followers, [----] engagements "@Paul08113166 I've spent the last few weeks investigating this subject verifying it from every angle and discussing it extensively with mathematicians and physicists. Bitcoin follows a power law and in this cycle the crypto space will awaken to that fact. The math is irrefutable" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791097944575262926) 2024-05-16T13:26Z 168.9K followers, [---] engagements "An exponential fit explains 99% of the data for the M2 money supply since [----] π€― A power law fit explains 96% of the data for the Bitcoin price since [----]. In nature exponential growth systems tend to break down and are unsustainable compared to power law growth systems. Thus it is likely that if the power law theory breaks it will be on the upside rather than the downside. The USD system is more likely to break down than the Bitcoin system making it more probable that Bitcoin's power law will break to the upside rather than the downside if it does break one day. HT @dotkrueger @PrestonPysh" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791147693886030017) 2024-05-16T16:44Z 169.3K followers, 85.2K engagements "@sage_crpto Exactly. You feel that way because it's physics" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791153107516219392) 2024-05-16T17:05Z 169.2K followers, [----] engagements "So based on the exact mathematical slope of the M2 money supply's exponential growth curve with a 99% fit I asked GPT to calculate when the USD will become hyperinflationary if the 65-year trend continues. This was the exact response: Estimate: Mid-2030s for severe risks [----] as critical turning (hyperinflation inevitable if unchecked). It is officially time to put AI in charge of our monetary policy. P.S. Your window to switch to a #Bitcoin standard is closing" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791173221993050266) 2024-05-16T18:25Z 171.2K followers, 67.8K engagements "The M2 money supply is at its most significant deviation below the 65-year growth trendline. Given the model's 99% fit there's a high probability of a "catch up to trend" expansion soon. Notably the last time we were this far below the trendline was just before the previous bull run and significant liquidity increase. Buckle up #Bitcoin π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791847054047953373) 2024-05-18T15:03Z 171.2K followers, 51.7K engagements "@CEEJAY_xs It's coming. The full-on bull market will start sometime between mid-Q3 and early Q4" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791857079692722615) 2024-05-18T15:43Z 169.4K followers, [---] engagements "Forget all the short-term price action. The math behind the #Bitcoin Power Law Theory is irrefutable. It has been verified by numerous mathematicians and physicists. No one can deny it is by far the best theory to explain the growth of #BTC to date. With [--] years of data and a 96% fit the onus is on whoever thinks it will not follow the theory to explain why and back it up with data. If you researched the Power Law you would know we are at the "fair value" trendline. So sit back and enjoy the ride. Focus on the long-term trend. It's coming. The full-on bull market will start sometime between" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791875978379366755) 2024-05-18T16:58Z 169.3K followers, 110.4K engagements "Interesting perspective. I can see an argument on both sides. But I don't think we can cherry-pick the data or rewrite history. If we are trying to predict the next move or trend we need to factor in all the data especially the last [--] years as its impact will have lasting ripple effects" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791877850347544758) 2024-05-18T17:05Z 173K followers, [----] engagements "@Jeremyybtc I think the full-on bull market will begin closer to Q4" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791878709039014251) 2024-05-18T17:09Z 169.4K followers, [---] engagements "Many people think it is too late to buy #Bitcoin but based on the power law it should 100x over the next [--] to [--] years. What other trillion-dollar proven asset will do that Ill wait" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791882618633617610) 2024-05-18T17:24Z 169.3K followers, 17.3K engagements "@BombayNoise Disagree. The coefficient has not moved much in the last [--] years. The slope has stabilized. I do agree that it is always easier to predict on a shorter time frame but these ballpark numbers should hold" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791974394798989566) 2024-05-18T23:29Z 169.4K followers, [----] engagements "@tjventurini In my opinion yes but I would do it as soon as possible. Q4's full-on bull market should begin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1791993068545065013) 2024-05-19T00:43Z 169.4K followers, [---] engagements "@CredibleCrypto You're one of the real ones brother. Just when I'm finally back from my long break you're taking one. Just make sure it isn't too long; we need you during the bull run. Much respect to you and I hope you come back refreshed. HT π€" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1792017885336068562) 2024-05-19T02:22Z 169.3K followers, [----] engagements "There is no such thing as a floor price or floor model. In an extreme event the #Bitcoin price can always temporarily go lower. However there is a concept of probability and historical deviations below a trendline. The Power Law Support line has the same formula and slope as the Power Law Trendline; it is shifted down to the 3rd percentile of the regression residuals from the trendline. This would be a strong candidate if there were such a thing as a floor price. Power Law Support: $28103" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1792044762289012903) 2024-05-19T04:09Z 172K followers, 30.2K engagements "There has been a breakthrough in using the power law to time market tops and bottoms Hint: Two-dimensional deviation π€― The result The ultimate #Bitcoin cycle navigation tool. Stay tuned for a detailed post about this exciting development" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1797378511906455829) 2024-06-02T21:23Z 170.1K followers, 58.5K engagements "The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. We are currently comfortably positioned between the lower and upper bounds. Upper Jan [--] 2025: $213473 Dec [--] 2025: $281224 Lower Jan [--] 2026: $51446 Dec [--] 2026: $71572 If the channel breaks it will be to the upside due to extreme USD debasement. P.S. The later we reach the upper bounds line in the cycle the better. So be patient relax and enjoy the bull run. Please share if you found this helpful :)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1798396455398277302) 2024-06-05T16:48Z 171.2K followers, 229.4K engagements "Stocks trade [---] hr/month. Stocks trade [---] hr/month (extended). #Bitcoin trades [---] hr/month. In stock market trading time #BTC has been trading for. [--] to [--] years not [--] years (since July [--] 2010)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1799214871403225189) 2024-06-07T23:00Z 170K followers, [----] engagements "Want $100k to $100M by [----] Your depth of understanding matters. Study the #Bitcoin Power Law. Your level of conviction matters. Your position size matters. [---] BTC = $100M [--] BTC = $10M [--] BTC = $1M [---] BTC = $100K How much conviction do you have How patient are you" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1800356104469430764) 2024-06-11T02:35Z 170.1K followers, 25.6K engagements "According to the power law trendline Bitcoin's compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to gradually decrease from 45% to 25% over the next ten years. Offering an impressive risk-adjusted return for a trillion-dollar asset someone could get a 10x to 25x just by holding for ten years" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1801653366025498944) 2024-06-14T16:30Z 170.1K followers, [----] engagements "I have never had more conviction in #Bitcoin and the long-term market structure remains very healthy. Daily price movements are merely noise. Are you a short-term trader or a long-term investor If you consider yourself a long-term investor it's crucial to deeply understand the value of what you are holding. Scale-invariant growth (power law growth) inherently involves volatility which is a feature not a bug. We could drop to $30k tomorrow (extremely unlikely and would require a black swan event similar to [----] or worse) and as long as there is nothing fundamentally wrong with the network I" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1801668578346684898) 2024-06-14T17:30Z 170.2K followers, [----] engagements "#Bitcoin Nothing to see here. π€¦β Probably just random noise. π€¦β Opinions are more valid than math anyway. π€¦β" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1802530907561112048) 2024-06-17T02:37Z 170K followers, [--] engagements "#Bitcoin Bitcoin's trajectory is right on schedule when viewed through the correct lens. Here are a few interesting observations: By the end of [----] the Power Law Support (historical floor) will surpass MicroStrategy's current cost basis per BTC. By the end of [----] it will be above the current #BTC price. If the 4-year cycle holds the next bear market bottom based on the Power Law Support could be between $67000 and $74000 around September [----] to January [----]. Recent range-bound price action may have been essential for reinforcing the bottom support for the next bear market aligning with" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804279758143852711) 2024-06-21T22:26Z 171.2K followers, 89.8K engagements "@Kluckies_ @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ The pattern could break and perhaps we might not go all the way back to the support" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804348296527319367) 2024-06-22T02:58Z 170K followers, [---] engagements "@Anthony20295 @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ If the power law breaks to the upside in USD it reflects more on the USD than on Bitcoin. Bitcoin is also growing as a power law against gold and real estate which in the end is the best measuring stick" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804357683950076087) 2024-06-22T03:36Z 170.7K followers, [----] engagements "@btc_bryan_21 @dotkrueger @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Is she still holding Legendary if she holds for the 1000x" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804362000228638839) 2024-06-22T03:53Z 170.7K followers, [---] engagements "@btc_bryan_21 @dotkrueger @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Perfect" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804365805145977042) 2024-06-22T04:08Z 170.6K followers, [---] engagements "@Stumitchell60 @billiamBTC @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Awesome love it π€" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804366691326960098) 2024-06-22T04:11Z 170.6K followers, [--] engagements "@Zed18978371 @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Sure that works too :)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804366901822328939) 2024-06-22T04:12Z 170.6K followers, [--] engagements "@LukeDavisgrey @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ It's good to plan for all possible outcomes. There seems to be a lot of kookoo in the air these days" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804367462764249291) 2024-06-22T04:15Z 170.6K followers, [---] engagements "@Stumitchell60 @LibertyBusServ @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Yes the pattern so far indicates diminishing upsides and downsides. However wildcards could still disrupt this trend" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804377821965422647) 2024-06-22T04:56Z 170.6K followers, [--] engagements "@altcoinaardvark @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur It held strong during the [----] crash and weathered FTX and Luna. It would take an exceptionally extreme black swan event to break it. In my opinion it's time-tested by now" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804379715693621627) 2024-06-22T05:03Z 170.7K followers, [----] engagements "@roadvampire @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur Increased awareness of the power law only increases its probability of holding" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804408512237212067) 2024-06-22T06:58Z 170.7K followers, [---] engagements "When will #Bitcoin surpass $100000" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804549684020568555) 2024-06-22T16:19Z 170.9K followers, 10.4K engagements "@InNumerisSat @dotkrueger Increased awareness of the power law only increases its probability of holding" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804603583750422973) 2024-06-22T19:53Z 170.8K followers, [---] engagements "@MojorisinUK @dotkrueger During a bull market we expect to be above the trendline which is projected to reach $112k by the end of [----]. This suggests a range of $112k to $533k. Based on a multiple I am working on my base case estimate is $220k to $250k" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804604542006317499) 2024-06-22T19:57Z 170.8K followers, [---] engagements "@dotkrueger During a bull market we expect to be above the trendline which is projected to reach $112k by the end of [----]. This suggests a range of $112k to $533k. Based on a multiple I am working on my base case estimate is $220k to $250k" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804604959381680544) 2024-06-22T19:58Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements "#Bitcoin Power Law Support has held strong πͺ for the last [--] years. It has weathered the [----] crash the Luna collapse the FTX scandal and more. Assuming it continues to hold these would be the lowest prices we could expect. Power Law Support = [----] Quantile Regression" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804660694404461022) 2024-06-22T23:40Z 171K followers, 61.8K engagements "Post-2037 the power law support is projected to be over $1000000 π€―" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804663055411712351) 2024-06-22T23:49Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements "@rlo818 When and if Kaspa is more proven I am open to making similar models for it provided it continues to follow a power law" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804668088526532665) 2024-06-23T00:09Z 170.8K followers, [---] engagements "@apsk32 The Power Law Support may never fail which would be quite remarkable. It's definitely my favourite bear market bottom model. Big fan of your content" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804674476858020087) 2024-06-23T00:34Z 200.7K followers, [----] engagements "When will #Bitcoin surpass $100000 Poll results. [----] Voted. A normal distribution following the [--------] rule. [--] Sigma Q4 [----] = 39% Q1 [----] = 28% [--] and [--] Sigma Q3 [----] = 18% None of the above = 15%" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804919823190614523) 2024-06-23T16:49Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements "#Bitcoin The truth doesn't need to run and hide. Many people are unaware that after the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model failed in the last cycle PlanB blocked over [-----] people and then "adjusted" his model. If you want to understand a genuine #BTC model look into the Power Law Theory" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804947809118105990) 2024-06-23T18:41Z 171.1K followers, 83K engagements "Ironically what I really do like is PlanB's non-Bitcoin content. He actually is right about a lot of things outside of Bitcoin and I think he has used his platform to bring a lot of awareness to those things which I commend and respect him for" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804949971076047063) 2024-06-23T18:49Z 170.8K followers, 13.7K engagements "@gin_jerrell @dotkrueger @100trillionUSD @Giovann35084111 Why would he He has everything to lose and nothing to gain" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1804971740138738038) 2024-06-23T20:16Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements "@BitcoinGent By the end of [----] it will become evident that it is invalid" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1805000551870103886) 2024-06-23T22:10Z 170.8K followers, [----] engagements "#Bitcoin If you are a long-term holder Mt. Gox is noise. It will be great to put this narrative behind us" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1805280462459257130) 2024-06-24T16:42Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements "5 things that I am more concerned about today than Mt. Gox and this #Bitcoin dip. [--]. Bill Gates solving life extension but only chooses to use it on himself. [--]. My dog trading all my Bitcoin for Dogecoin. [--]. Inanimate objects gossiping about me. [--]. Trees taking over the world. [--]. All the cutlery and utensils in my house disappearing mysteriously" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1805284091379544480) 2024-06-24T16:57Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements "@LeaderInvests Hope it works out great for you brother" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1805287263703576897) 2024-06-24T17:09Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements "I'm going to read the write-up right now. From here #Bitcoin will easily outperform NVIDIA over the next decade. It's simple: Bitcoin's market cap is 40% of NVIDIA's. NVIDIA is in more of a bubble right now than #BTC. Bitcoin's power law growth is more sustainable than NVIDIA's exponential growth. Also #Bitcoin has no competition while NVIDIA will face more competition over time" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1806713245375303899) 2024-06-28T15:36Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements "@whits23 @moneyordebt @Sina_21st @apsk32 @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 It survived. -Silk Road Shutdown (2013) -Mt. Gox Hack (2014) -Bitfinex Hack (2016) [-----] Crash (2020) -China's Mining Ban (2021) -Fall of Terra Luna (2022) -FTX Collapse (2022) All before being anointed by TradFi with an ETF" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1806787595088663018) 2024-06-28T20:31Z 171K followers, [---] engagements "#Bitcoin When will you take some lifestyle chips off the table This means converting Bitcoin to real estate or another long-term lifestyle investment not selling to USD to play the market cycles. $100k to $250k $250k to $500k None of the above $500k to $1 Million $100k to $250k $250k to $500k None of the above $500k to $1 Million" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1806810820296503587) 2024-06-28T22:04Z 171.3K followers, 15.9K engagements "@Samittin7 Completely reasonable perspective. π€" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1806813058255278325) 2024-06-28T22:12Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements "@CryptoTalksPod This borrowing option is feasible for many individuals. However there is a limit to how much one can safely borrow today without risking liquidation. This borrowing strategy will become increasingly appealing as Bitcoin's volatility decreases over the coming decade" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1807057178622038084) 2024-06-29T14:22Z 171K followers, [--] engagements "The time ahead of power law support (horizontal deviation) you developed is a groundbreaking metric. I am also open to 300k. However based on the oscillators and models I am building 300k will be near the ceiling of expected outcomes for this market cycle assuming the cycle ends at some point during the second half of next year. Of course if we break the 4-year cycle and peak sometime in [----] or [----] the prices can go much higher" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1807613096506065031) 2024-07-01T03:12Z 170.9K followers, 23.2K engagements "@CryptoinfosTA This is Power Law Support. It is generated using the 3rd quantile regression" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1810704352165986419) 2024-07-09T15:55Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements "@FiatIsEvil In my opinion a sustained and significant break of power law support or a equality significant break to the upside" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1810713701433159968) 2024-07-09T16:32Z 171.3K followers, [---] engagements "My #Bitcoin market edge is based on those that refuse to accept math and data because of X opinion or belief. Below is a Power Law Oscillator based on the deviation from Power Law Support" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1810718986621067663) 2024-07-09T16:53Z 171.3K followers, 34.6K engagements "I have never claimed it is infallible. I am just saying that statistically speaking it is the best model we have that has been put forward and saying it is nothing more then drawing lines is just as harmful to the space as someone that is claiming the power law is infallible. Two extremes and just as harmful. I know you have PTSD from S2F but the Power Law is a real theory backed by real data and analysis that has been validated by PHD statisticians. It is important to give credit where credit is due. It was useful and successful in predicting the last [--] years of Bitcoins growth patterns as" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1810853443839611318) 2024-07-10T01:47Z 171.3K followers, [----] engagements "I have had the same name for [--] years. I know it's silly and a vanity thing but which do you prefer Thanks in advance for taking the time to vote π and I am expecting some troll comments for sure :) PlanC PlanCπ‘ PlanC π§ PlanC π‘ PlanC PlanCπ‘ PlanC π§ PlanC π‘" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1811509768646983980) 2024-07-11T21:15Z 171.2K followers, 16.9K engagements "@apsk32 Great concept and visuals as always" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1812335517461368865) 2024-07-14T03:57Z 171.2K followers, [----] engagements "https://x.com/i/spaces/1OdKrXPMpDzJX https://x.com/i/spaces/1OdKrXPMpDzJX" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1813740628658041237) 2024-07-18T01:00Z 171.2K followers, 22.3K engagements "Bitcoin will become the dominant network worldwide within the next [--] to [--] years. It will: [--]. Serve as the primary global settlement layer for large-scale payments and real-world assets. [--]. Be the principal currency for autonomous AI networks. [--]. Solidify its position as the premier store of value" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1815864391767838774) 2024-07-23T21:39Z 171K followers, [----] engagements "@Sina_21st Great chart π Another higher high post-election" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1816626500013294050) 2024-07-26T00:08Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements "#Bitcoin I like how @saylor says "All your models will be destroyed" yet his model shows an average annual return range of 21% to 37% over the next [--] years. Meanwhile the Power Law predicts a compound annual growth rate decreasing from 45% to 18% over the same period. Saylor's model is a simplified ballpark Power Law" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817217603317702790) 2024-07-27T15:16Z 171.2K followers, 49.8K engagements "π₯ Breaking: Michael Saylor is a closeted #Bitcoin Power Law supporter" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817220875600461951) 2024-07-27T15:29Z 171.1K followers, [----] engagements "@KrispyDremes He is. π―" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817222966062563343) 2024-07-27T15:38Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements "@Nick17350031933 @PepaBlack @saylor @Giovann35084111 True. But that is social media. If you are a professional you need to act that way no matter what and not take things personally or get emotional. Just a bad look and will turn people off of investigating the power law" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817254748283904197) 2024-07-27T17:44Z 171.1K followers, [---] engagements "In order to Trump RFK I predict Trump will prove he is Satoshi Nakamoto by moving Satoshi's coins in real-time while on stage. Then he will announce that he is moving all of his coins formerly Satoshi's coins plus the USA's seized coins to the U.S. strategic reserves. Additionally he will declare that the USA will 'buy ALL THE #BITCOIN'S before the end of his speech" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817266085009166351) 2024-07-27T18:29Z 171.2K followers, 19.7K engagements "@thealtcoinchief RFK set quite the bar. It will be interesting to see what Trump does" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817268287522189573) 2024-07-27T18:38Z 171.1K followers, [---] engagements "#Bitcoin2024Conference #Bitcoin Will Trump and Elon's speech live up to the hype Yes No Yes No" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817287602715664429) 2024-07-27T19:55Z 171.2K followers, 13.1K engagements "@dotkrueger I would be happy with 50% of JFK from Trump" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817289370862313843) 2024-07-27T20:02Z 171.2K followers, [----] engagements "Did Trump's speech live up to the hype #Bitcoin Yes No Yes No" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817301792809439406) 2024-07-27T20:51Z 171.2K followers, 20.4K engagements "ChatGPT-40 thinks that @RealRossU should be freed today. #FreeRoss" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817709196022030352) 2024-07-28T23:50Z 171.1K followers, [----] engagements "@RealRossU Great to see you pinned it Whoever is running this account should also repost this after [--] hours to maintain the algorithm momentum" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817722572689059853) 2024-07-29T00:43Z 171.1K followers, [----] engagements "@Adrian_R_Morris @ryQuant @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @sminston_with What he said was not a flaw. What is your supposed flaw" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1820932557778591918) 2024-08-06T21:18Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements "Respectfully I disagree. The model is based on price and time and has accounted for every known and unknown event to date. It has worked despite all the black swans we've encountered so far. It accurately predicted the low during COVID-19 a black swan event as well as the FTX low which was also a black swan eventthese were unknown unknowns. The R-squared continues to trend higher and the power law fit is only improving over time. You are suggesting that this line will break but it is based on the physical energy input into Bitcoin via the miners. Therefore to cheer for the power law to fail" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1820939179158647230) 2024-08-06T21:45Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements "@dotkrueger Great format Looking forward to the next one. It warrants a regular show with updates as we all had a lot more to share" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1820975327528775865) 2024-08-07T00:08Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements "If and when someone wants to take some lifestyle chips off the table it makes sense to do so when the models are overheated. I don't believe in selling Bitcoin to buy back in at lower prices. However the power law is useful as a DCA model a long-term conviction model and for identifying when to take some lifestyle chips off the table. Everything is about probabilities and nothing is certain but the power law is the best model there is for Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1821554821150716185) 2024-08-08T14:31Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "@theJAXES @studybitcoin21 @w_s_bitcoin You clearly don't understand the power law and your price range is very inaccurate. You don't find this useful" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1821575792700346786) 2024-08-08T15:54Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "@dotkrueger PlanG will win the debate but HODL will win the popular vote because he has a larger following on X and on YouTube" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1821942900898304379) 2024-08-09T16:13Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "The more confident you are the quieter you become. Confidence whispers insecurity roars. Confident people are not attention seekers. Their mere presence is loud enough for the world to see. Contrarily the insecure ones are the loudest drawing most attention to themselves" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1822158956673806676) 2024-08-10T06:32Z 183K followers, 18.2K engagements "It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math represents objective truth. If you want to debate it you need to use mathematical arguments. The "price range" of the #Bitcoin power law is not as wide as some people think or claim. The range is essentially power law support with the potential for temporary deviation to varying degrees above support but in a way that seems to be diminishing over time" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823411291937026165) 2024-08-13T17:28Z 191.3K followers, 870.8K engagements "@jvs_btc https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823411291937026165 It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math represents objective truth. If you want to debate it you need to use mathematical arguments. The https://t.co/AmZ4JHQLrF https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823411291937026165 It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823413123799244812) 2024-08-13T17:35Z 183.1K followers, [----] engagements "A larger market cap and deeper order books lead to diminishing volatility over time. This pattern is objectively observable. However if the denominator loses its stability which is probable there is potential for the illusion of increased volatility in the future. When denominated in terms of purchasing power (such as real estate gold or stocks) the volatility could still be decreasing" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823415741334409684) 2024-08-13T17:46Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "@Adrian_R_Morris I am speaking specifically and only about the p-value (chance of randomness) of the power law support fit. I am not involved in your specific arguments or drama with PlanG. Dont try to pull me into it to bring more attention to yourself; it won't work" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823417217318338867) 2024-08-13T17:51Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "What would invalidate the #Bitcoin power law For me there are two ways and either would suffice: [--]. The R-squared (regression fit) drops below [----]. Currently it is trending higher at [-----]. [--]. A clear and sustained deviation below #BTC power law support. Chart - @sminston_with (Great follow) P.S. The power law coefficients (slope) have been stable for the past eight years and have shown no change over the last four years" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823427854199349701) 2024-08-13T18:34Z 192.8K followers, 65.7K engagements "@BritishHodl Hello fellow Bitcoin enthusiast. I think the power law will likely hold for at least the next ten years. However how to invalidate it is a common question that deserves an answer. Everything is probability. I'm not married to the power law I already have a wife" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823443237551460688) 2024-08-13T19:35Z 183K followers, [----] engagements ""The #Bitcoin power law price range is too wide." If you would like to file a formal complaint let me put you on hold for 1-4 years while I transfer you to the Bitcoin power law support line. π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823448525977337954) 2024-08-13T19:56Z 183K followers, 24.9K engagements "Which #Bitcoin model do you use Stock-to-Flow π«£ π€¦β Power Law Power Law + NGU because X Number Go Up because X Stock-to-Flow π«£ π€¦β Power Law Power Law + NGU because X Number Go Up because X" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823468103117729934) 2024-08-13T21:14Z 183.1K followers, 12K engagements "@thehl5 Recommend follow @BrainTrustBTC We will also be doing weekly live-stream shows on this topic on the @dotkrueger channel" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823475574209151049) 2024-08-13T21:43Z 183.1K followers, [----] engagements "@FiatIsEvil Power law support is very useful in my opinion but I respect your perspective. π€" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823477418797228039) 2024-08-13T21:51Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "@x_X_77_X_x Explain" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823480093186166970) 2024-08-13T22:01Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "@AristotleValli1 That's not my prediction. This is just what power law support will be based on this method of modelling support. During a bull market we deviate significantly above power law support" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823492809044976010) 2024-08-13T22:52Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "@SkitchPatt The regression models Price versus Time capturing the growth of a scale-invariant physical system that is being adopted. Demand is factored in" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823493554414538957) 2024-08-13T22:55Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "@jt4thwall @BritishHodl No but I do remember watching a short clip about it in the past. Something like this. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=lIF8-jPA1VI https://www.youtube.com/watchv=lIF8-jPA1VI" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823498219805872535) 2024-08-13T23:13Z 183K followers, [--] engagements "@lukebelmar USD - Federal Reserve: Scamming since December [--] 1913" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823504354055197003) 2024-08-13T23:38Z 183.8K followers, [----] engagements "I can't tell you what the Bitcoin price will do but I can tell you what the Bitcoin power law support growth rate is. The Bitcoin power law support line is currently increasing at 45% per year and its compound annual growth rate is expected to drop from 45% to 25% over the next [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823609476403912861) 2024-08-14T06:35Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "@maxkeiser Yeah I think so. Elon hates inefficient systems and there's nothing more inefficient than the government" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823740614619574513) 2024-08-14T15:17Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "@seth_fin You identified the power law relatively early. Almost no one was talking about it two years ago. I completely agree with your take on Bitcoin being very mathematical at its core" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823744892859744320) 2024-08-14T15:34Z 183.1K followers, [----] engagements "@jvs_btc @LaserEyesLeah I think we agree on most things related to analyzing Bitcoin and you will eventually come around to the power law" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823765039397953623) 2024-08-14T16:54Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "Imagine being interested in Bitcoin analysis or even being a Bitcoin analyst yourself and not finding that pattern fascinating. Such patterns are uncommon in financial assets. We need more intellectual curiosity and honesty in the Bitcoin space and less tribalism. Too many people are more concerned with being 'right' than with simply observing the objectively true patterns right in front of them that they can observe with their own eyes" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823776542389895568) 2024-08-14T17:39Z 183.6K followers, [----] engagements "I respectfully disagree. A [----] R-squared power law fit is essentially unheard of in the financial asset space. Try doing a log-log regression fit for any other cryptocurrency or financial asset and see if you can get over [----]. The only exception Im aware of is Kaspa but it doesnt have enough historical data to be compared to Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823781494348779564) 2024-08-14T17:59Z 183.7K followers, [----] engagements "To be clear the values on the chart are NOT my price predictions for Bitcoin. They represent what power law support would be based on this modeling method. We tend to deviate significantly above power law support during a bull market" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823801165278273908) 2024-08-14T19:17Z 199.8K followers, 18.5K engagements "@MouseThatHODLs @LucasBazemore @dotkrueger @sminston_with True however Bitcoin denominated in residential real estate is relevant for a significant percentage of people" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823808995565740175) 2024-08-14T19:48Z 183.7K followers, [---] engagements "@btc_flowartist What I care about is purchasing power. Credit @sminston_with (Great follow)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823809191943029129) 2024-08-14T19:49Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "@Fordson88 Saylor's model is a simplified ballpark Power Law. https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817217603317702790 #Bitcoin I like how @saylor says "All your models will be destroyed" yet his model shows an average annual return range of 21% to 37% over the next [--] years. Meanwhile the Power Law predicts a compound annual growth rate decreasing from 45% to 18% over the same period. https://t.co/52uTJgqHlS https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817217603317702790 #Bitcoin I like how @saylor says "All your models will be destroyed" yet his model shows an average annual return range of 21% to 37%" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823809818949509567) 2024-08-14T19:52Z 188.7K followers, [---] engagements "But could it be more that Bitcoin and Nasdaq are both just highly correlated to the liquidity cycles which would cause them to naturally appear to be very correlated. We all know if the stock market really starts to burn down the Fed will put out the fire with an equally proportional liquidity injection" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823838505975603427) 2024-08-14T21:45Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "@Halabi4Adham What I care about is purchasing power. It works against any stable denominator and FYI it works against all the major stable currencies as well as the major asset classes below. Credit @sminston_with (Great follow)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823887669891400147) 2024-08-15T01:01Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "@StockRetail I appreciate and respect the discourse and of course everything is only probabilities. I would say that what we currently perceive as the 'new reality' is simply the next magnitude of adoption needed to maintain the power law growth rate. But yes time will tell :)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823904882320916915) 2024-08-15T02:09Z 183K followers, [--] engagements "Glassnode Hourly Data [----] Quantile Regression Date starts Oct [--] [----] There are different variations. Using the Full Date Set PL Support = $38k (0.05 Quantile) PL Support = $37k (0.03 Quantile) Starting Oct 25th [----] PL Support = $35.5k (0.05 Quantile) PL Support = $32.5k (0.03 Quantile)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823907162059313490) 2024-08-15T02:18Z 183.7K followers, [--] engagements "@ErwinLitsenburg There are tools to assess the degree of deviation from power law support normalized and relative to previous cycle peaks. https://x.com/sminston_with/status/1823034206857134383 I wanted to highlight a study looking at the decaying peaks of the #BTC price residuals from each cycle (this is what is used to build the Decay Channel and also the Oscillator). Here I simply did an exponential decay fit of the max residuals (price / .05 quantile power law https://t.co/dKv60ajL1j https://x.com/sminston_with/status/1823034206857134383 I wanted to highlight a study looking at the" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1824089865920577887) 2024-08-15T14:24Z 183K followers, [--] engagements "@TheBTCTherapist Day 31: [----] Bitcoin Day 30: [----] Bitcoin Day 29: [---] Bitcoin Day 28: [---] Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1824673662139531743) 2024-08-17T05:04Z 183K followers, 19.4K engagements "Fantastic clip from Ph.D. in Business Administration @Sina_21st excellent follow π Must watch Why Price Controls are one of the most dangerous economic ideas. https://x.com/Sina_21st/status/1825338420677181684/video/1 https://x.com/Sina_21st/status/1825338420677181684/video/1" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1825349342997447146) 2024-08-19T01:49Z 183.7K followers, 14.4K engagements "Fantastic chart and visual as always π€ It's insane how cyclical Bitcoin has been to date. Clearly there is a pattern even though we don't have a ton of data. I am fascinated to see if this pattern continues to hold. I remain agnostic on the timing given our limited data but I have a slight bias towards the 4-year cycle continuing to play out as human emotions and liquidity cycles seem to be very cyclical. However each cycle usually throws some kind of curveball like the double peak in the last cycle" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827005577744044318) 2024-08-23T15:30Z 183.6K followers, [----] engagements "I am definitely not an Elliott Wave analyst and personally I don't place as much weight on EW as I do on power law and on-chain data indicators. However I do follow some great EW analysts and I understand what you're referring to and what you're suggesting is a reasonable theory and a possible outcome" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827006937369547029) 2024-08-23T15:36Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "Do you think your job will be replaced by AI Yes (0-10 years) Yes (10-20 years) Yes (50-100 years) Yes (20-50 years) Yes (0-10 years) Yes (10-20 years) Yes (50-100 years) Yes (20-50 years)" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827026030596592084) 2024-08-23T16:52Z 183.6K followers, 10.3K engagements "@InNumerisSat Look at how shitty computers and the Internet was in the early days. Also some of the robots are getting pretty good. [--] to [---] years from now I am very confident you won't be doing those things unless you want to" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827030180441026945) 2024-08-23T17:08Z 183K followers, [--] engagements "@jureraza What is yours" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827032274011091353) 2024-08-23T17:16Z 183K followers, [--] engagements "If Trump wins #Bitcoin will be $100000+ by end of 2024" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827050584060654064) 2024-08-23T18:29Z 183.4K followers, 18.1K engagements "To be clear I'm NOT saying Bitcoin needs Trump to win. Nothing stops it but it could affect the short-term price targets" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827061692771037494) 2024-08-23T19:13Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "@jvs_btc You will come around π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1827127059036172755) 2024-08-23T23:33Z 183.6K followers, [---] engagements "@BITVOLT @YouTube @TeamYouTube Let's go Awesome news π€" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1828534315543621909) 2024-08-27T20:45Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "The chances of any #Crypto especially Ethereum ever flipping #Bitcoin are 0%" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1829176439742312570) 2024-08-29T15:17Z 194.1K followers, 28.9K engagements "Nothing is ever truly 0% but in all practical sense it's closer to 0% than 1% so I rounded down" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1829178303103815890) 2024-08-29T15:24Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements "@Psycholog_ist_ Better chance than Ethereum but still 0%" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1829179702860493143) 2024-08-29T15:30Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "Kaspa doesn't need to flip Bitcoin to outperform it in returns. It has already done a 3.2x versus Bitcoin over the last [---] days. However the probability of Kaspa failing or not reaching its potential is magnitudes higher than Bitcoin's. There is a logical argument for holding a percentage in it if the power law continues to hold and it keeps gaining adoption with Bitcoin miners. At this point I would hold some of it before I would hold some Ethereum. But it's not and will never be Bitcoinnor does it need to be to be a success" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1829184100772512024) 2024-08-29T15:47Z 183K followers, [---] engagements "Were the moderators/questions neutral Yes No pro-Trump No pro-Kamala Yes No pro-Trump No pro-Kamala" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1833688558743282106) 2024-09-11T02:06Z 183.3K followers, 21.6K engagements "Who won the debate ABC Host #1 ABC Host #2 Donald Trump Kamala Harris ABC Host #1 ABC Host #2 Donald Trump Kamala Harris" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1833694911809429539) 2024-09-11T02:31Z 183.6K followers, 28.6K engagements "@dotkrueger Winner-takes-most. The winner is already evident" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1834086788735828156) 2024-09-12T04:29Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements "@dotkrueger Hard pill to swallow but the alternative is worse" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1834415512572362888) 2024-09-13T02:15Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements "@Sina_21st Phenomenal tool. I have been researching Bitcoin cycle tools for years and this is one of the best I have ever encountered. π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1834417845586760030) 2024-09-13T02:24Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "@dotkrueger Kamala Harris is running a campaign to get Trump elected while Trump is running a campaign to try not to get elected. _()_/" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1834435763276034551) 2024-09-13T03:35Z 182.9K followers, [----] engagements "#Bitcoin is on track; only your understanding of its growth patterns is lacking" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1834712237115629652) 2024-09-13T21:54Z 183K followers, 19.5K engagements "@btcmoderate Not sure what point you think you're making. I simply said that if Trump gets elected Bitcoin should break $100k this year. I didnt mention its long-term growth patterns. My point was that short-term targets for this year would likely be higher if Trump wins" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1834718632355475570) 2024-09-13T22:19Z 182.9K followers, [--] engagements "The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839818174306411002) 2024-09-28T00:03Z 182.4K followers, 337.9K engagements "**Quantile Regression model using hourly Bitcoin price data from July [--] [----] to today incorporating [------] price data points" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839820392615006242) 2024-09-28T00:12Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements "@RyanMMcGrath The model is a quantile regression model accounting for the full spectrum of probabilities moving forward using all hourly price data points to date. All narratives are reflected in the price vs. time data" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839825407782072435) 2024-09-28T00:32Z 183.3K followers, [---] engagements "The vast majority of Bitcoin trading pairs and price data are displayed in USD; however I will most likely create a version denominated in gold as well. The 99k refers to the [----] quantile regression representing the top 0.1% of the probability distribution at the end of [----] or the upper limit of what was possible based on the regression model. Quantile regression is intrinsically linked to the distribution of cumulative probabilities" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839836359286251972) 2024-09-28T01:15Z 183.4K followers, [---] engagements "You are correct that they are derived from the cumulative distribution of probabilities and have always existed; they are adjusted as we go along. However as we accumulate more data they become more 'hardened' over time. They're not traditional technical analysis lines; rather they are based on all the hourly price data points available to date" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839838261260497016) 2024-09-28T01:23Z 183.4K followers, [---] engagements "@tachyonluxor In a bull market ;) Just kiddingyes I can definitely do that and will in future charts. Thank you for the message and for appreciating my efforts" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839839237203484964) 2024-09-28T01:27Z 183.6K followers, [---] engagements "@PowerLawInvest @whits23 [----] quantile (red line): $240698 [----] quantile (blue line): $34919" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839843551032594437) 2024-09-28T01:44Z 183.4K followers, [---] engagements "Big things coming. ππ" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839846752339296400) 2024-09-28T01:57Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "@dotkrueger @dotkrueger the time and effort you put into covering Bitcoin is impressive. If this is you retired I can only imagine how hard-working and dedicated you were when launching businesses and trading. Insane" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839851770928906733) 2024-09-28T02:16Z 183.2K followers, [----] engagements "For long-term investing I find models like this one the Volatility-Adjusted Power Law Index and the Decay Channel Oscillator very useful. Ive looked into all the on-chain and long-term TA models and oscillators and while some are interesting I dont personally weigh them as highly. As for derivatives Im not an expert and still need to learn more. I also want to explore and better understand the liquidity side of things along with models related to liquidity. Just my take though and Im always learning" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839877773621383360) 2024-09-28T04:00Z 182.3K followers, [---] engagements "@FieldNas @dotkrueger Yes I agree. I do care about other things but specifically for Bitcoin liquidity matters more than elections" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839885985254957371) 2024-09-28T04:32Z 183.4K followers, [--] engagements "@BlockMo33856998 @apsk32 Come on if you are going to shill Kaspa in my comment section at least follow me π€£" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839903744877834365) 2024-09-28T05:43Z 182.4K followers, [---] engagements "@joemanbitcoin Yes and no. 99k was simply on the very outer range of the model that is based on a cumulative probability range" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1839950803265827044) 2024-09-28T08:50Z 183.7K followers, [---] engagements "@exist270 @RyanMMcGrath Perhaps or perhaps not the quote you're referencing is from Michael Saylor but it was taken out of context. Even he has a model now" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840037973804364164) 2024-09-28T14:36Z 182.4K followers, [--] engagements "The first episode of. π₯ The Best Bitcoin Data show A weekly show dedicated to delivering the most insightful and rigorously vetted #Bitcoin data curated by top analysts. Well showcase our in-house models and explore the best of power laws on-chain data derivatives liquidity technical analysis and more. Join us as we dive deeper into the world of Bitcoinone chart at a time" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840080584468770991) 2024-09-28T17:26Z 182.3K followers, 24.6K engagements "@tiflos20 Interestingly MSTR does appear to follow a power law in relation to Bitcoin though the data is quite limited at this point. However in theory a quantile regression channel could be created" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840091934083232229) 2024-09-28T18:11Z 183.6K followers, [---] engagements "@Yochana42437421 Good to be mentally prepared for potential downside so if a black swan did occur you are already mentally prepared" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840125342800859643) 2024-09-28T20:24Z 183.9K followers, [--] engagements "Easy as [--] [--] [--]. #Bitcoin [--]. The bull run has barely begun. [--]. The longer it takes to reach near the red line the higher we will go. [--]. So be patient relax and enjoy the bull run. Please share if you found this helpful :) The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points. https://t.co/JciRd4MFuY The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points. https://t.co/JciRd4MFuY" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840159876128907707) 2024-09-28T22:41Z 183K followers, 59.4K engagements "Important point: Despite this chart not looking like a power-law relationship the underlying data still follows one. The mathematical relationship or model between variables is independent of how the data is presented or plotted. The relationship remains a power law whether you use a linear log-linear or log-log plot. The choice of plot type only affects the visual appearance of the data not the actual relationship between the variables" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840386358319219094) 2024-09-29T13:41Z 182.2K followers, [----] engagements "@nice_investment It's literally within the realm of reasonable possibilities; however 200k to 250k is more probable" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840404535602229754) 2024-09-29T14:53Z 182.3K followers, [--] engagements "@dotkrueger Sorry @dotkrueger our return policy is only [--] years but we can offer you store credit. You can use it to buy some Cardano with the gift cardwell probably have a flash sale around that time. π€£" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840414484436771031) 2024-09-29T15:33Z 183.5K followers, [----] engagements "@NorthstarCharts @nomadJinvest Sure Bitcoin has gone from a bullet train to a race car but gold is still a horse and buggy" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840416669883146702) 2024-09-29T15:41Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements "There are ONLY two kinds of people. Optimists: Think #Bitcoin will break 200k this cycle. Pessimists: Those who don't. Which are you" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840453153961255227) 2024-09-29T18:06Z 182.2K followers, [--] engagements "To be clear the post is a bit of clickbait. Of course its best to be neither and just follow the data but I thought it would be a fun poll and I wanted to create a strong binary poll where the results would be close" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840454806139257198) 2024-09-29T18:13Z 183K followers, [----] engagements "Really appreciate everyone's comments and support. Tomorrow morning Ill be posting a chart you wont want to miss. It will be a more zoomed-in detailed version with a breakdown of quarterly times and quantiles" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840455347787456580) 2024-09-29T18:15Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements "@sminston_with Looking forward to having you co-host the Best Bitcoin Data Show. Were taking the data to the next level πͺ" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840469338090070358) 2024-09-29T19:10Z 183.8K followers, [---] engagements "@blockjock2017 You have Cardano in your handle so you have zero credibility by default. Just buy Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840469855213949383) 2024-09-29T19:13Z 183K followers, [--] engagements "@orion_kos I respect that. If you're planning on holding through this cycle regardless of the price it doesn't really matter. For the most part we're just entertaining ourselves as we hold long-term" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840540420402471329) 2024-09-29T23:53Z 183.6K followers, [--] engagements "@Nevermore1849_ On the nose π" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840540796879016365) 2024-09-29T23:54Z 183.2K followers, [--] engagements "@sminston_with @Sina_21st Phenomenal work We can discuss this in-depth at the Best Bitcoin Data Show. The Power Law Quantile Channel is still a work in progress but we are getting close to understanding its value. You me and @Sina_21st will need to co-author a deep-dive article with charts on it" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840820779279401139) 2024-09-30T18:27Z 183.2K followers, [----] engagements "Unfortunately the way the world is trending a UFO invasion or intervention seems probable. PlanG it's a funny statement but your point is taken and I agree. Based on the quantile regression anything over 300k in [----] seems highly improbable. The only way we get above 300k is if the cycle peak extends into [----]. That's just what the data shows so don't blame us for not being more bullish or selling hopium like others" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1840869507801158044) 2024-09-30T21:41Z 182.3K followers, [--] engagements "$1000000 Bitcoin is NOT a fantasy. according to the most advanced current statistical models it is a highly probable outcome. The most robust fair value model created utilizing [------] data points 10min price intervals. Remember BTC has been trading 24/7 since July [----]. Jan [--] [----] Fair Value = $1004538 Today Fair Value = $67748 Interesting Observation: The pump and subsequent consolidation from the cycle low to now brought us back to fair value. The real fun hasnt even started yet and if you look at the vertical time-based lines were precisely on track compared to the [----] cycle and ahead of" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1841987831238946982) 2024-10-03T23:44Z 177.6K followers, 143.7K engagements "@sminston_with Inspired by your great post today I'm sure we'll discuss this along with other recent discoveries on the next Best Bitcoin Data Show" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1841989774472777857) 2024-10-03T23:52Z 183.6K followers, [----] engagements "I've decided to cap my projections at a maximum of [--] years. Beyond that it's too difficult to forecast and analysts shouldn't venture too far. However this 10-year projection window will shift over time enabling us to see even further into the future without extrapolating too far out" [X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1841994414798893209) 2024-10-04T00:11Z 183.3K followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@TheRealPlanC PlanCPlanC posts on X about bitcoin, longterm, business, if you the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence cryptocurrencies finance stocks currencies technology brands exchanges automotive brands social networks celebrities us election
Social topic influence bitcoin #3239, longterm, business, if you, mstr, swan, money, plan c #7, investment, math #2050
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @sminstonwith @dotkrueger @giovann35084111 @snzbtc @jesseolson @apsk32 @sina21st @thebtctherapist @quintenfrancois @moneyordebt @btcarchive @tonyseverinocmt @mrmpodcast @researchbtcnow @lukebroyles @chartsbtc @garycardone @paulewaulpaul @techdev52 @vailshirecap
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Kaspa (KAS) Ethereum (ETH) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Probably a coincidence. #Bitcoin"
X Link 2023-03-16T17:33Z 183.4K followers, 73K engagements
"The percent of #Bitcoin circulating supply not moved in at least [--] years has gone parabolic If you have held #BTC for 2+ years and are not the government you are most likely not interested in selling at these levels"
X Link 2023-04-01T21:14Z 183.1K followers, 80.4K engagements
"#Bitcoin is battling to stay above the 2-Year EMA; historically when it does this is a bullish sign. All previous cycle lows occurred when #BTC was 45% to 55% below the 2-year EMA which has already happened"
X Link 2023-07-06T00:55Z 170.3K followers, 25.5K engagements
"I have made many mistakes over the last several years BUT my BEST decisions in order have been. [--]. NOT doing something the majority of society did. [--]. Putting my entire life savings (including retirement accounts) into #Bitcoin during the covid crash. [--]. DCAing #BTC 16-20k"
X Link 2023-07-25T18:05Z 170.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Imagine #DeFi without the rug pulls π $HAVOC dApp just launched An innovative project in the #DEX landscape. - Snipe with multiple wallets - Anti-rug & MEV protection - Automated profit-taking/stop-loss Continues upgrades from @havoc_rip β‘"
X Link 2023-08-05T21:04Z 171K followers, 12.4K engagements
"The percent of #Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders continues to climb. I don't see this trend reversing until we see significant price volatility. Long-term holders are very comfortable with an aggregate cost basis of $20309. #BTC"
X Link 2023-08-10T05:24Z 171K followers, 23.3K engagements
"#Bitcoin β The black swan event required to cause a lower cycle low would be insane an event that even those that missed buying near the cycle low would not want. #btc #crypto"
X Link 2023-08-11T04:54Z 170.3K followers, 50.6K engagements
"Almost [--] million #Bitcoin have not moved in 7+ years. π Almost [--] million #Bitcoin have not moved in 10+ years. π€― No one knows what percent of these #BTC are lost. How many #BTC do you think are actually in circulation"
X Link 2023-08-11T06:26Z 171K followers, [----] engagements
"Tried the $HAVOC DApp yet β‘ My Review -Love that they focus on user #DeFi protection: token contract security scanner anti-rug & EVM protection. -Devs KYCd by @AssureDefi -Active team innovative #DEX project. -Easy to use great features & fast"
X Link 2023-08-16T15:26Z 170.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Interested in learning why there is so much excitement within #Crypto around Real-World Asset Tokenization Join the LIVE call hosted by @PropChainGlobal a leading #RWA project π When: Aug [--] [----] (07:00 PM CET) Join: β‘ #PropchainAmbassador"
X Link 2023-08-17T03:20Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Quick Tip Use the desktop interface and NOT the app stores for your subscription sign-ups to save 20-30%. This also applies to premium sign-ups. The creator gets the same amount"
X Link 2023-08-23T19:09Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements
"At a crossroads will this time be different Before the last [--] major bull markets the blue and red lines came together similar to now π Can #Bitcoin turn the red line into support Average purchase price aka cost basis. Last [--] Years π₯ $29323 2-5 Years Ago π¦ $26800"
X Link 2023-08-31T21:38Z 170.3K followers, 12.3K engagements
"The Battle to get above the "True Market Mean." The TMM removes supply acquired through mining and dampens the effect of deeply dormant/lost coins to better approximate an active investor supply cost basis. Can #Bitcoin recover the true market mean at $29756"
X Link 2023-08-31T22:57Z 171K followers, [----] engagements
"@TheSkallywag I think you meant the inflation rate but yes"
X Link 2023-09-01T02:35Z 170.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Are you following @CryptoCon_ yet You should be. He provides excellent cycle analysis. Examples π"
X Link 2023-09-01T16:35Z 183.1K followers, 30.2K engagements
"Pay attention to projects that continue to build and deliver regardless of market conditions. The tokenization of real-world assets will be the driving force and foundation of the next phase of substantive crypto development. First mover @PropChainGlobal is laser-focused on creating an ecosystem to solve the numerous issues within the largest asset class on earth. Milestones Achieved: $5M Resources Secured 17k+ waiting list Private MVP Tokenized 1.5M First rental payout Partnership deals closed 50M+ impressions Revamped staking pools #PropchainAmbassador"
X Link 2023-09-02T19:15Z 170.3K followers, 13.8K engagements
"@BTC_Archive Gradually then suddenly. #Bitcoin"
X Link 2023-09-05T22:19Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@TechDev_52 I hope you and the family are doing well. Excellent insights as always"
X Link 2023-09-08T16:40Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@CryptoCon_ Great breakdown and explanation of an interesting theory by Steve. I greatly respect Steve; however I don't see this theory playing out. You said it yourself: Bitcoin has never not hit a Fibonacci extension level at a cycle top"
X Link 2023-09-09T16:25Z 171K followers, 13.5K engagements
"@thescalpingpro Great find and visuals π I believe this pattern will hold. I don't see a new cycle low; however I could see one last major capitulation or black swan causing a brief dip to 18-20k. It's not my base case but I can't rule it out completely. Keep up the excellent content"
X Link 2023-09-10T20:08Z 170.3K followers, 16.3K engagements
"Agree with your analysis and commentary. The first early top is in; we may get one of [--] possible bottom point scenarios. [--]. $25k (June support) holding so far; bottom plays out for the rest of Sept. [--]. $20k (March support) bottom plays out over Oct-Dec. [--]. Black Swan (Crypto or Tradfi) between now and the end of the year brings us down to $17-18k for a slightly higher cycle low similar to the [----] crash scenario and then we bounce right back in Q1 [----] with excitement around the havening and or an ETF approval"
X Link 2023-09-13T17:34Z 170.3K followers, 14.5K engagements
"@PropChainGlobal It is fantastic to see the community growing π This market cycle real-world-assets will be one of the top narratives for sure"
X Link 2023-10-03T17:18Z 170.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Is @MELD_Defi on your radar yet If not here's why it should be. You probably already know about Aave but a project is poised to blow Aave out of the water. Meet MELD a non-custodial platform where you retain complete control over your assets without the need for intermediaries but still have a user-centric experience that gives you access to a range of services features and benefits that are light-years ahead of Aave. One of the most impressive things about MELD is its cross-chain capabilities. You can easily switch between crypto Real World Assets NFTs and fiat currencies. But MELD isn't"
X Link 2023-12-01T06:43Z 170.3K followers, 10.5K engagements
"@InsiderFinTech @MELD_Defi The potential is there no question. Time will tell if they can execute on their vision"
X Link 2023-12-01T07:00Z 170.4K followers, [---] engagements
"@qbp @MELD_Defi Thanks for sharing π"
X Link 2023-12-02T00:27Z 170.3K followers, [--] engagements
"@kenblaue @MELD_Defi Great space. I loved the @kenblaue / @MELD_Defi background story and how some of the less talked about arms of the global financial system operate"
X Link 2023-12-06T18:02Z 170.3K followers, [---] engagements
"@PropChainGlobal @propchainmaster @PropGlobal If you are unaware of what is happening in the real-world asset space recommend joining or checking out the recording"
X Link 2023-12-21T16:38Z 169.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Native Staking is Live on Mainnet MELD a non-custodial layer [--] banking protocol ended [----] with the launch of its mainnet native staking I will share my opinions at the end but first here are some highlights. Staking smart contracts are Tested/Audited by @HalbornSecurity and open source. 8% base APR for Liquid staking and 8-28% APR for optional lockups: (6m 1yr 5yr). APR is dynamic based on the behaviour of the rest of the ecosystem. Dynamic NFTs represent staked positions offering the option to sell a locked position for liquidity if needed. Switch pools even during lockups and claim rewards"
X Link 2024-01-01T18:32Z 170.3K followers, 13.1K engagements
"@PropChainGlobal Great to see you live @propchainmaster π€ Interested in learning more about the ongoing work and the overall roadmap"
X Link 2024-05-02T15:05Z 168.6K followers, [----] engagements
"@Kellykellam @dotkrueger Hey brother I'm not sure. Overall I prefer Price vs. Block Height but Non-Zero wallets are interesting and still have a 95% R-squared even with the ETFs; time will tell"
X Link 2024-05-14T17:13Z 168.8K followers, [---] engagements
"Zoom out in log-log. The trend is your friend. 64x over the next [--] years. Research the #Bitcoin Power Law"
X Link 2024-05-16T04:21Z 169.3K followers, 24.4K engagements
"The first known Bitcoin transaction was on Oct [--] [----] at $0.001. $10M #BTC would be 10-magnitudes of growth. According to the #Bitcoin Power Law this would occur between [----] and [----]. Bitcoin has already done 8-magnitudes of growth over the last [--] years. Can it do [--] more magnitudes of growth over the next [--] years"
X Link 2024-05-16T05:33Z 168.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@Paul08113166 I've spent the last few weeks investigating this subject verifying it from every angle and discussing it extensively with mathematicians and physicists. Bitcoin follows a power law and in this cycle the crypto space will awaken to that fact. The math is irrefutable"
X Link 2024-05-16T13:26Z 168.9K followers, [---] engagements
"An exponential fit explains 99% of the data for the M2 money supply since [----] π€― A power law fit explains 96% of the data for the Bitcoin price since [----]. In nature exponential growth systems tend to break down and are unsustainable compared to power law growth systems. Thus it is likely that if the power law theory breaks it will be on the upside rather than the downside. The USD system is more likely to break down than the Bitcoin system making it more probable that Bitcoin's power law will break to the upside rather than the downside if it does break one day. HT @dotkrueger @PrestonPysh"
X Link 2024-05-16T16:44Z 169.3K followers, 85.2K engagements
"@sage_crpto Exactly. You feel that way because it's physics"
X Link 2024-05-16T17:05Z 169.2K followers, [----] engagements
"So based on the exact mathematical slope of the M2 money supply's exponential growth curve with a 99% fit I asked GPT to calculate when the USD will become hyperinflationary if the 65-year trend continues. This was the exact response: Estimate: Mid-2030s for severe risks [----] as critical turning (hyperinflation inevitable if unchecked). It is officially time to put AI in charge of our monetary policy. P.S. Your window to switch to a #Bitcoin standard is closing"
X Link 2024-05-16T18:25Z 171.2K followers, 67.8K engagements
"The M2 money supply is at its most significant deviation below the 65-year growth trendline. Given the model's 99% fit there's a high probability of a "catch up to trend" expansion soon. Notably the last time we were this far below the trendline was just before the previous bull run and significant liquidity increase. Buckle up #Bitcoin π"
X Link 2024-05-18T15:03Z 171.2K followers, 51.7K engagements
"@CEEJAY_xs It's coming. The full-on bull market will start sometime between mid-Q3 and early Q4"
X Link 2024-05-18T15:43Z 169.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Forget all the short-term price action. The math behind the #Bitcoin Power Law Theory is irrefutable. It has been verified by numerous mathematicians and physicists. No one can deny it is by far the best theory to explain the growth of #BTC to date. With [--] years of data and a 96% fit the onus is on whoever thinks it will not follow the theory to explain why and back it up with data. If you researched the Power Law you would know we are at the "fair value" trendline. So sit back and enjoy the ride. Focus on the long-term trend. It's coming. The full-on bull market will start sometime between"
X Link 2024-05-18T16:58Z 169.3K followers, 110.4K engagements
"Interesting perspective. I can see an argument on both sides. But I don't think we can cherry-pick the data or rewrite history. If we are trying to predict the next move or trend we need to factor in all the data especially the last [--] years as its impact will have lasting ripple effects"
X Link 2024-05-18T17:05Z 173K followers, [----] engagements
"@Jeremyybtc I think the full-on bull market will begin closer to Q4"
X Link 2024-05-18T17:09Z 169.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Many people think it is too late to buy #Bitcoin but based on the power law it should 100x over the next [--] to [--] years. What other trillion-dollar proven asset will do that Ill wait"
X Link 2024-05-18T17:24Z 169.3K followers, 17.3K engagements
"@BombayNoise Disagree. The coefficient has not moved much in the last [--] years. The slope has stabilized. I do agree that it is always easier to predict on a shorter time frame but these ballpark numbers should hold"
X Link 2024-05-18T23:29Z 169.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@tjventurini In my opinion yes but I would do it as soon as possible. Q4's full-on bull market should begin"
X Link 2024-05-19T00:43Z 169.4K followers, [---] engagements
"@CredibleCrypto You're one of the real ones brother. Just when I'm finally back from my long break you're taking one. Just make sure it isn't too long; we need you during the bull run. Much respect to you and I hope you come back refreshed. HT π€"
X Link 2024-05-19T02:22Z 169.3K followers, [----] engagements
"There is no such thing as a floor price or floor model. In an extreme event the #Bitcoin price can always temporarily go lower. However there is a concept of probability and historical deviations below a trendline. The Power Law Support line has the same formula and slope as the Power Law Trendline; it is shifted down to the 3rd percentile of the regression residuals from the trendline. This would be a strong candidate if there were such a thing as a floor price. Power Law Support: $28103"
X Link 2024-05-19T04:09Z 172K followers, 30.2K engagements
"There has been a breakthrough in using the power law to time market tops and bottoms Hint: Two-dimensional deviation π€― The result The ultimate #Bitcoin cycle navigation tool. Stay tuned for a detailed post about this exciting development"
X Link 2024-06-02T21:23Z 170.1K followers, 58.5K engagements
"The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. We are currently comfortably positioned between the lower and upper bounds. Upper Jan [--] 2025: $213473 Dec [--] 2025: $281224 Lower Jan [--] 2026: $51446 Dec [--] 2026: $71572 If the channel breaks it will be to the upside due to extreme USD debasement. P.S. The later we reach the upper bounds line in the cycle the better. So be patient relax and enjoy the bull run. Please share if you found this helpful :)"
X Link 2024-06-05T16:48Z 171.2K followers, 229.4K engagements
"Stocks trade [---] hr/month. Stocks trade [---] hr/month (extended). #Bitcoin trades [---] hr/month. In stock market trading time #BTC has been trading for. [--] to [--] years not [--] years (since July [--] 2010)"
X Link 2024-06-07T23:00Z 170K followers, [----] engagements
"Want $100k to $100M by [----] Your depth of understanding matters. Study the #Bitcoin Power Law. Your level of conviction matters. Your position size matters. [---] BTC = $100M [--] BTC = $10M [--] BTC = $1M [---] BTC = $100K How much conviction do you have How patient are you"
X Link 2024-06-11T02:35Z 170.1K followers, 25.6K engagements
"According to the power law trendline Bitcoin's compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to gradually decrease from 45% to 25% over the next ten years. Offering an impressive risk-adjusted return for a trillion-dollar asset someone could get a 10x to 25x just by holding for ten years"
X Link 2024-06-14T16:30Z 170.1K followers, [----] engagements
"I have never had more conviction in #Bitcoin and the long-term market structure remains very healthy. Daily price movements are merely noise. Are you a short-term trader or a long-term investor If you consider yourself a long-term investor it's crucial to deeply understand the value of what you are holding. Scale-invariant growth (power law growth) inherently involves volatility which is a feature not a bug. We could drop to $30k tomorrow (extremely unlikely and would require a black swan event similar to [----] or worse) and as long as there is nothing fundamentally wrong with the network I"
X Link 2024-06-14T17:30Z 170.2K followers, [----] engagements
"#Bitcoin Nothing to see here. π€¦β Probably just random noise. π€¦β Opinions are more valid than math anyway. π€¦β"
X Link 2024-06-17T02:37Z 170K followers, [--] engagements
"#Bitcoin Bitcoin's trajectory is right on schedule when viewed through the correct lens. Here are a few interesting observations: By the end of [----] the Power Law Support (historical floor) will surpass MicroStrategy's current cost basis per BTC. By the end of [----] it will be above the current #BTC price. If the 4-year cycle holds the next bear market bottom based on the Power Law Support could be between $67000 and $74000 around September [----] to January [----]. Recent range-bound price action may have been essential for reinforcing the bottom support for the next bear market aligning with"
X Link 2024-06-21T22:26Z 171.2K followers, 89.8K engagements
"@Kluckies_ @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ The pattern could break and perhaps we might not go all the way back to the support"
X Link 2024-06-22T02:58Z 170K followers, [---] engagements
"@Anthony20295 @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ If the power law breaks to the upside in USD it reflects more on the USD than on Bitcoin. Bitcoin is also growing as a power law against gold and real estate which in the end is the best measuring stick"
X Link 2024-06-22T03:36Z 170.7K followers, [----] engagements
"@btc_bryan_21 @dotkrueger @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Is she still holding Legendary if she holds for the 1000x"
X Link 2024-06-22T03:53Z 170.7K followers, [---] engagements
"@btc_bryan_21 @dotkrueger @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Perfect"
X Link 2024-06-22T04:08Z 170.6K followers, [---] engagements
"@Stumitchell60 @billiamBTC @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Awesome love it π€"
X Link 2024-06-22T04:11Z 170.6K followers, [--] engagements
"@Zed18978371 @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Sure that works too :)"
X Link 2024-06-22T04:12Z 170.6K followers, [--] engagements
"@LukeDavisgrey @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ It's good to plan for all possible outcomes. There seems to be a lot of kookoo in the air these days"
X Link 2024-06-22T04:15Z 170.6K followers, [---] engagements
"@Stumitchell60 @LibertyBusServ @apsk32 @Giovann35084111 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur @MatthewHyland_ Yes the pattern so far indicates diminishing upsides and downsides. However wildcards could still disrupt this trend"
X Link 2024-06-22T04:56Z 170.6K followers, [--] engagements
"@altcoinaardvark @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur It held strong during the [----] crash and weathered FTX and Luna. It would take an exceptionally extreme black swan event to break it. In my opinion it's time-tested by now"
X Link 2024-06-22T05:03Z 170.7K followers, [----] engagements
"@roadvampire @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @VailshireCap @Danny85732 @ResearchBTCNow @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur Increased awareness of the power law only increases its probability of holding"
X Link 2024-06-22T06:58Z 170.7K followers, [---] engagements
"When will #Bitcoin surpass $100000"
X Link 2024-06-22T16:19Z 170.9K followers, 10.4K engagements
"@InNumerisSat @dotkrueger Increased awareness of the power law only increases its probability of holding"
X Link 2024-06-22T19:53Z 170.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@MojorisinUK @dotkrueger During a bull market we expect to be above the trendline which is projected to reach $112k by the end of [----]. This suggests a range of $112k to $533k. Based on a multiple I am working on my base case estimate is $220k to $250k"
X Link 2024-06-22T19:57Z 170.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@dotkrueger During a bull market we expect to be above the trendline which is projected to reach $112k by the end of [----]. This suggests a range of $112k to $533k. Based on a multiple I am working on my base case estimate is $220k to $250k"
X Link 2024-06-22T19:58Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements
"#Bitcoin Power Law Support has held strong πͺ for the last [--] years. It has weathered the [----] crash the Luna collapse the FTX scandal and more. Assuming it continues to hold these would be the lowest prices we could expect. Power Law Support = [----] Quantile Regression"
X Link 2024-06-22T23:40Z 171K followers, 61.8K engagements
"Post-2037 the power law support is projected to be over $1000000 π€―"
X Link 2024-06-22T23:49Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements
"@rlo818 When and if Kaspa is more proven I am open to making similar models for it provided it continues to follow a power law"
X Link 2024-06-23T00:09Z 170.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@apsk32 The Power Law Support may never fail which would be quite remarkable. It's definitely my favourite bear market bottom model. Big fan of your content"
X Link 2024-06-23T00:34Z 200.7K followers, [----] engagements
"When will #Bitcoin surpass $100000 Poll results. [----] Voted. A normal distribution following the [--------] rule. [--] Sigma Q4 [----] = 39% Q1 [----] = 28% [--] and [--] Sigma Q3 [----] = 18% None of the above = 15%"
X Link 2024-06-23T16:49Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements
"#Bitcoin The truth doesn't need to run and hide. Many people are unaware that after the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model failed in the last cycle PlanB blocked over [-----] people and then "adjusted" his model. If you want to understand a genuine #BTC model look into the Power Law Theory"
X Link 2024-06-23T18:41Z 171.1K followers, 83K engagements
"Ironically what I really do like is PlanB's non-Bitcoin content. He actually is right about a lot of things outside of Bitcoin and I think he has used his platform to bring a lot of awareness to those things which I commend and respect him for"
X Link 2024-06-23T18:49Z 170.8K followers, 13.7K engagements
"@gin_jerrell @dotkrueger @100trillionUSD @Giovann35084111 Why would he He has everything to lose and nothing to gain"
X Link 2024-06-23T20:16Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@BitcoinGent By the end of [----] it will become evident that it is invalid"
X Link 2024-06-23T22:10Z 170.8K followers, [----] engagements
"#Bitcoin If you are a long-term holder Mt. Gox is noise. It will be great to put this narrative behind us"
X Link 2024-06-24T16:42Z 170.9K followers, [----] engagements
"5 things that I am more concerned about today than Mt. Gox and this #Bitcoin dip. [--]. Bill Gates solving life extension but only chooses to use it on himself. [--]. My dog trading all my Bitcoin for Dogecoin. [--]. Inanimate objects gossiping about me. [--]. Trees taking over the world. [--]. All the cutlery and utensils in my house disappearing mysteriously"
X Link 2024-06-24T16:57Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@LeaderInvests Hope it works out great for you brother"
X Link 2024-06-24T17:09Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements
"I'm going to read the write-up right now. From here #Bitcoin will easily outperform NVIDIA over the next decade. It's simple: Bitcoin's market cap is 40% of NVIDIA's. NVIDIA is in more of a bubble right now than #BTC. Bitcoin's power law growth is more sustainable than NVIDIA's exponential growth. Also #Bitcoin has no competition while NVIDIA will face more competition over time"
X Link 2024-06-28T15:36Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@whits23 @moneyordebt @Sina_21st @apsk32 @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 It survived. -Silk Road Shutdown (2013) -Mt. Gox Hack (2014) -Bitfinex Hack (2016) [-----] Crash (2020) -China's Mining Ban (2021) -Fall of Terra Luna (2022) -FTX Collapse (2022) All before being anointed by TradFi with an ETF"
X Link 2024-06-28T20:31Z 171K followers, [---] engagements
"#Bitcoin When will you take some lifestyle chips off the table This means converting Bitcoin to real estate or another long-term lifestyle investment not selling to USD to play the market cycles. $100k to $250k $250k to $500k None of the above $500k to $1 Million $100k to $250k $250k to $500k None of the above $500k to $1 Million"
X Link 2024-06-28T22:04Z 171.3K followers, 15.9K engagements
"@Samittin7 Completely reasonable perspective. π€"
X Link 2024-06-28T22:12Z 170.9K followers, [---] engagements
"@CryptoTalksPod This borrowing option is feasible for many individuals. However there is a limit to how much one can safely borrow today without risking liquidation. This borrowing strategy will become increasingly appealing as Bitcoin's volatility decreases over the coming decade"
X Link 2024-06-29T14:22Z 171K followers, [--] engagements
"The time ahead of power law support (horizontal deviation) you developed is a groundbreaking metric. I am also open to 300k. However based on the oscillators and models I am building 300k will be near the ceiling of expected outcomes for this market cycle assuming the cycle ends at some point during the second half of next year. Of course if we break the 4-year cycle and peak sometime in [----] or [----] the prices can go much higher"
X Link 2024-07-01T03:12Z 170.9K followers, 23.2K engagements
"@CryptoinfosTA This is Power Law Support. It is generated using the 3rd quantile regression"
X Link 2024-07-09T15:55Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@FiatIsEvil In my opinion a sustained and significant break of power law support or a equality significant break to the upside"
X Link 2024-07-09T16:32Z 171.3K followers, [---] engagements
"My #Bitcoin market edge is based on those that refuse to accept math and data because of X opinion or belief. Below is a Power Law Oscillator based on the deviation from Power Law Support"
X Link 2024-07-09T16:53Z 171.3K followers, 34.6K engagements
"I have never claimed it is infallible. I am just saying that statistically speaking it is the best model we have that has been put forward and saying it is nothing more then drawing lines is just as harmful to the space as someone that is claiming the power law is infallible. Two extremes and just as harmful. I know you have PTSD from S2F but the Power Law is a real theory backed by real data and analysis that has been validated by PHD statisticians. It is important to give credit where credit is due. It was useful and successful in predicting the last [--] years of Bitcoins growth patterns as"
X Link 2024-07-10T01:47Z 171.3K followers, [----] engagements
"I have had the same name for [--] years. I know it's silly and a vanity thing but which do you prefer Thanks in advance for taking the time to vote π and I am expecting some troll comments for sure :) PlanC PlanCπ‘ PlanC π§ PlanC π‘ PlanC PlanCπ‘ PlanC π§ PlanC π‘"
X Link 2024-07-11T21:15Z 171.2K followers, 16.9K engagements
"@apsk32 Great concept and visuals as always"
X Link 2024-07-14T03:57Z 171.2K followers, [----] engagements
"https://x.com/i/spaces/1OdKrXPMpDzJX https://x.com/i/spaces/1OdKrXPMpDzJX"
X Link 2024-07-18T01:00Z 171.2K followers, 22.3K engagements
"Bitcoin will become the dominant network worldwide within the next [--] to [--] years. It will: [--]. Serve as the primary global settlement layer for large-scale payments and real-world assets. [--]. Be the principal currency for autonomous AI networks. [--]. Solidify its position as the premier store of value"
X Link 2024-07-23T21:39Z 171K followers, [----] engagements
"@Sina_21st Great chart π Another higher high post-election"
X Link 2024-07-26T00:08Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements
"#Bitcoin I like how @saylor says "All your models will be destroyed" yet his model shows an average annual return range of 21% to 37% over the next [--] years. Meanwhile the Power Law predicts a compound annual growth rate decreasing from 45% to 18% over the same period. Saylor's model is a simplified ballpark Power Law"
X Link 2024-07-27T15:16Z 171.2K followers, 49.8K engagements
"π₯ Breaking: Michael Saylor is a closeted #Bitcoin Power Law supporter"
X Link 2024-07-27T15:29Z 171.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@KrispyDremes He is. π―"
X Link 2024-07-27T15:38Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@Nick17350031933 @PepaBlack @saylor @Giovann35084111 True. But that is social media. If you are a professional you need to act that way no matter what and not take things personally or get emotional. Just a bad look and will turn people off of investigating the power law"
X Link 2024-07-27T17:44Z 171.1K followers, [---] engagements
"In order to Trump RFK I predict Trump will prove he is Satoshi Nakamoto by moving Satoshi's coins in real-time while on stage. Then he will announce that he is moving all of his coins formerly Satoshi's coins plus the USA's seized coins to the U.S. strategic reserves. Additionally he will declare that the USA will 'buy ALL THE #BITCOIN'S before the end of his speech"
X Link 2024-07-27T18:29Z 171.2K followers, 19.7K engagements
"@thealtcoinchief RFK set quite the bar. It will be interesting to see what Trump does"
X Link 2024-07-27T18:38Z 171.1K followers, [---] engagements
"#Bitcoin2024Conference #Bitcoin Will Trump and Elon's speech live up to the hype Yes No Yes No"
X Link 2024-07-27T19:55Z 171.2K followers, 13.1K engagements
"@dotkrueger I would be happy with 50% of JFK from Trump"
X Link 2024-07-27T20:02Z 171.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Did Trump's speech live up to the hype #Bitcoin Yes No Yes No"
X Link 2024-07-27T20:51Z 171.2K followers, 20.4K engagements
"ChatGPT-40 thinks that @RealRossU should be freed today. #FreeRoss"
X Link 2024-07-28T23:50Z 171.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@RealRossU Great to see you pinned it Whoever is running this account should also repost this after [--] hours to maintain the algorithm momentum"
X Link 2024-07-29T00:43Z 171.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@Adrian_R_Morris @ryQuant @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @sminston_with What he said was not a flaw. What is your supposed flaw"
X Link 2024-08-06T21:18Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Respectfully I disagree. The model is based on price and time and has accounted for every known and unknown event to date. It has worked despite all the black swans we've encountered so far. It accurately predicted the low during COVID-19 a black swan event as well as the FTX low which was also a black swan eventthese were unknown unknowns. The R-squared continues to trend higher and the power law fit is only improving over time. You are suggesting that this line will break but it is based on the physical energy input into Bitcoin via the miners. Therefore to cheer for the power law to fail"
X Link 2024-08-06T21:45Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@dotkrueger Great format Looking forward to the next one. It warrants a regular show with updates as we all had a lot more to share"
X Link 2024-08-07T00:08Z 171.2K followers, [---] engagements
"If and when someone wants to take some lifestyle chips off the table it makes sense to do so when the models are overheated. I don't believe in selling Bitcoin to buy back in at lower prices. However the power law is useful as a DCA model a long-term conviction model and for identifying when to take some lifestyle chips off the table. Everything is about probabilities and nothing is certain but the power law is the best model there is for Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-08-08T14:31Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"@theJAXES @studybitcoin21 @w_s_bitcoin You clearly don't understand the power law and your price range is very inaccurate. You don't find this useful"
X Link 2024-08-08T15:54Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"@dotkrueger PlanG will win the debate but HODL will win the popular vote because he has a larger following on X and on YouTube"
X Link 2024-08-09T16:13Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"The more confident you are the quieter you become. Confidence whispers insecurity roars. Confident people are not attention seekers. Their mere presence is loud enough for the world to see. Contrarily the insecure ones are the loudest drawing most attention to themselves"
X Link 2024-08-10T06:32Z 183K followers, 18.2K engagements
"It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math represents objective truth. If you want to debate it you need to use mathematical arguments. The "price range" of the #Bitcoin power law is not as wide as some people think or claim. The range is essentially power law support with the potential for temporary deviation to varying degrees above support but in a way that seems to be diminishing over time"
X Link 2024-08-13T17:28Z 191.3K followers, 870.8K engagements
"@jvs_btc https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823411291937026165 It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math represents objective truth. If you want to debate it you need to use mathematical arguments. The https://t.co/AmZ4JHQLrF https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1823411291937026165 It's amusing that people argue this is random. The p-value is so low that it falls below computational limits indicating an "effectively 0%" probability of randomness. #BTC Math"
X Link 2024-08-13T17:35Z 183.1K followers, [----] engagements
"A larger market cap and deeper order books lead to diminishing volatility over time. This pattern is objectively observable. However if the denominator loses its stability which is probable there is potential for the illusion of increased volatility in the future. When denominated in terms of purchasing power (such as real estate gold or stocks) the volatility could still be decreasing"
X Link 2024-08-13T17:46Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"@Adrian_R_Morris I am speaking specifically and only about the p-value (chance of randomness) of the power law support fit. I am not involved in your specific arguments or drama with PlanG. Dont try to pull me into it to bring more attention to yourself; it won't work"
X Link 2024-08-13T17:51Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"What would invalidate the #Bitcoin power law For me there are two ways and either would suffice: [--]. The R-squared (regression fit) drops below [----]. Currently it is trending higher at [-----]. [--]. A clear and sustained deviation below #BTC power law support. Chart - @sminston_with (Great follow) P.S. The power law coefficients (slope) have been stable for the past eight years and have shown no change over the last four years"
X Link 2024-08-13T18:34Z 192.8K followers, 65.7K engagements
"@BritishHodl Hello fellow Bitcoin enthusiast. I think the power law will likely hold for at least the next ten years. However how to invalidate it is a common question that deserves an answer. Everything is probability. I'm not married to the power law I already have a wife"
X Link 2024-08-13T19:35Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
""The #Bitcoin power law price range is too wide." If you would like to file a formal complaint let me put you on hold for 1-4 years while I transfer you to the Bitcoin power law support line. π"
X Link 2024-08-13T19:56Z 183K followers, 24.9K engagements
"Which #Bitcoin model do you use Stock-to-Flow π«£ π€¦β Power Law Power Law + NGU because X Number Go Up because X Stock-to-Flow π«£ π€¦β Power Law Power Law + NGU because X Number Go Up because X"
X Link 2024-08-13T21:14Z 183.1K followers, 12K engagements
"@thehl5 Recommend follow @BrainTrustBTC We will also be doing weekly live-stream shows on this topic on the @dotkrueger channel"
X Link 2024-08-13T21:43Z 183.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@FiatIsEvil Power law support is very useful in my opinion but I respect your perspective. π€"
X Link 2024-08-13T21:51Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"@x_X_77_X_x Explain"
X Link 2024-08-13T22:01Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"@AristotleValli1 That's not my prediction. This is just what power law support will be based on this method of modelling support. During a bull market we deviate significantly above power law support"
X Link 2024-08-13T22:52Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"@SkitchPatt The regression models Price versus Time capturing the growth of a scale-invariant physical system that is being adopted. Demand is factored in"
X Link 2024-08-13T22:55Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"@jt4thwall @BritishHodl No but I do remember watching a short clip about it in the past. Something like this. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=lIF8-jPA1VI https://www.youtube.com/watchv=lIF8-jPA1VI"
X Link 2024-08-13T23:13Z 183K followers, [--] engagements
"@lukebelmar USD - Federal Reserve: Scamming since December [--] 1913"
X Link 2024-08-13T23:38Z 183.8K followers, [----] engagements
"I can't tell you what the Bitcoin price will do but I can tell you what the Bitcoin power law support growth rate is. The Bitcoin power law support line is currently increasing at 45% per year and its compound annual growth rate is expected to drop from 45% to 25% over the next [--] years"
X Link 2024-08-14T06:35Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"@maxkeiser Yeah I think so. Elon hates inefficient systems and there's nothing more inefficient than the government"
X Link 2024-08-14T15:17Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"@seth_fin You identified the power law relatively early. Almost no one was talking about it two years ago. I completely agree with your take on Bitcoin being very mathematical at its core"
X Link 2024-08-14T15:34Z 183.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@jvs_btc @LaserEyesLeah I think we agree on most things related to analyzing Bitcoin and you will eventually come around to the power law"
X Link 2024-08-14T16:54Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"Imagine being interested in Bitcoin analysis or even being a Bitcoin analyst yourself and not finding that pattern fascinating. Such patterns are uncommon in financial assets. We need more intellectual curiosity and honesty in the Bitcoin space and less tribalism. Too many people are more concerned with being 'right' than with simply observing the objectively true patterns right in front of them that they can observe with their own eyes"
X Link 2024-08-14T17:39Z 183.6K followers, [----] engagements
"I respectfully disagree. A [----] R-squared power law fit is essentially unheard of in the financial asset space. Try doing a log-log regression fit for any other cryptocurrency or financial asset and see if you can get over [----]. The only exception Im aware of is Kaspa but it doesnt have enough historical data to be compared to Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-08-14T17:59Z 183.7K followers, [----] engagements
"To be clear the values on the chart are NOT my price predictions for Bitcoin. They represent what power law support would be based on this modeling method. We tend to deviate significantly above power law support during a bull market"
X Link 2024-08-14T19:17Z 199.8K followers, 18.5K engagements
"@MouseThatHODLs @LucasBazemore @dotkrueger @sminston_with True however Bitcoin denominated in residential real estate is relevant for a significant percentage of people"
X Link 2024-08-14T19:48Z 183.7K followers, [---] engagements
"@btc_flowartist What I care about is purchasing power. Credit @sminston_with (Great follow)"
X Link 2024-08-14T19:49Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"@Fordson88 Saylor's model is a simplified ballpark Power Law. https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817217603317702790 #Bitcoin I like how @saylor says "All your models will be destroyed" yet his model shows an average annual return range of 21% to 37% over the next [--] years. Meanwhile the Power Law predicts a compound annual growth rate decreasing from 45% to 18% over the same period. https://t.co/52uTJgqHlS https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1817217603317702790 #Bitcoin I like how @saylor says "All your models will be destroyed" yet his model shows an average annual return range of 21% to 37%"
X Link 2024-08-14T19:52Z 188.7K followers, [---] engagements
"But could it be more that Bitcoin and Nasdaq are both just highly correlated to the liquidity cycles which would cause them to naturally appear to be very correlated. We all know if the stock market really starts to burn down the Fed will put out the fire with an equally proportional liquidity injection"
X Link 2024-08-14T21:45Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"@Halabi4Adham What I care about is purchasing power. It works against any stable denominator and FYI it works against all the major stable currencies as well as the major asset classes below. Credit @sminston_with (Great follow)"
X Link 2024-08-15T01:01Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"@StockRetail I appreciate and respect the discourse and of course everything is only probabilities. I would say that what we currently perceive as the 'new reality' is simply the next magnitude of adoption needed to maintain the power law growth rate. But yes time will tell :)"
X Link 2024-08-15T02:09Z 183K followers, [--] engagements
"Glassnode Hourly Data [----] Quantile Regression Date starts Oct [--] [----] There are different variations. Using the Full Date Set PL Support = $38k (0.05 Quantile) PL Support = $37k (0.03 Quantile) Starting Oct 25th [----] PL Support = $35.5k (0.05 Quantile) PL Support = $32.5k (0.03 Quantile)"
X Link 2024-08-15T02:18Z 183.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@ErwinLitsenburg There are tools to assess the degree of deviation from power law support normalized and relative to previous cycle peaks. https://x.com/sminston_with/status/1823034206857134383 I wanted to highlight a study looking at the decaying peaks of the #BTC price residuals from each cycle (this is what is used to build the Decay Channel and also the Oscillator). Here I simply did an exponential decay fit of the max residuals (price / .05 quantile power law https://t.co/dKv60ajL1j https://x.com/sminston_with/status/1823034206857134383 I wanted to highlight a study looking at the"
X Link 2024-08-15T14:24Z 183K followers, [--] engagements
"@TheBTCTherapist Day 31: [----] Bitcoin Day 30: [----] Bitcoin Day 29: [---] Bitcoin Day 28: [---] Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-08-17T05:04Z 183K followers, 19.4K engagements
"Fantastic clip from Ph.D. in Business Administration @Sina_21st excellent follow π Must watch Why Price Controls are one of the most dangerous economic ideas. https://x.com/Sina_21st/status/1825338420677181684/video/1 https://x.com/Sina_21st/status/1825338420677181684/video/1"
X Link 2024-08-19T01:49Z 183.7K followers, 14.4K engagements
"Fantastic chart and visual as always π€ It's insane how cyclical Bitcoin has been to date. Clearly there is a pattern even though we don't have a ton of data. I am fascinated to see if this pattern continues to hold. I remain agnostic on the timing given our limited data but I have a slight bias towards the 4-year cycle continuing to play out as human emotions and liquidity cycles seem to be very cyclical. However each cycle usually throws some kind of curveball like the double peak in the last cycle"
X Link 2024-08-23T15:30Z 183.6K followers, [----] engagements
"I am definitely not an Elliott Wave analyst and personally I don't place as much weight on EW as I do on power law and on-chain data indicators. However I do follow some great EW analysts and I understand what you're referring to and what you're suggesting is a reasonable theory and a possible outcome"
X Link 2024-08-23T15:36Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"Do you think your job will be replaced by AI Yes (0-10 years) Yes (10-20 years) Yes (50-100 years) Yes (20-50 years) Yes (0-10 years) Yes (10-20 years) Yes (50-100 years) Yes (20-50 years)"
X Link 2024-08-23T16:52Z 183.6K followers, 10.3K engagements
"@InNumerisSat Look at how shitty computers and the Internet was in the early days. Also some of the robots are getting pretty good. [--] to [---] years from now I am very confident you won't be doing those things unless you want to"
X Link 2024-08-23T17:08Z 183K followers, [--] engagements
"@jureraza What is yours"
X Link 2024-08-23T17:16Z 183K followers, [--] engagements
"If Trump wins #Bitcoin will be $100000+ by end of 2024"
X Link 2024-08-23T18:29Z 183.4K followers, 18.1K engagements
"To be clear I'm NOT saying Bitcoin needs Trump to win. Nothing stops it but it could affect the short-term price targets"
X Link 2024-08-23T19:13Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"@jvs_btc You will come around π"
X Link 2024-08-23T23:33Z 183.6K followers, [---] engagements
"@BITVOLT @YouTube @TeamYouTube Let's go Awesome news π€"
X Link 2024-08-27T20:45Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"The chances of any #Crypto especially Ethereum ever flipping #Bitcoin are 0%"
X Link 2024-08-29T15:17Z 194.1K followers, 28.9K engagements
"Nothing is ever truly 0% but in all practical sense it's closer to 0% than 1% so I rounded down"
X Link 2024-08-29T15:24Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@Psycholog_ist_ Better chance than Ethereum but still 0%"
X Link 2024-08-29T15:30Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"Kaspa doesn't need to flip Bitcoin to outperform it in returns. It has already done a 3.2x versus Bitcoin over the last [---] days. However the probability of Kaspa failing or not reaching its potential is magnitudes higher than Bitcoin's. There is a logical argument for holding a percentage in it if the power law continues to hold and it keeps gaining adoption with Bitcoin miners. At this point I would hold some of it before I would hold some Ethereum. But it's not and will never be Bitcoinnor does it need to be to be a success"
X Link 2024-08-29T15:47Z 183K followers, [---] engagements
"Were the moderators/questions neutral Yes No pro-Trump No pro-Kamala Yes No pro-Trump No pro-Kamala"
X Link 2024-09-11T02:06Z 183.3K followers, 21.6K engagements
"Who won the debate ABC Host #1 ABC Host #2 Donald Trump Kamala Harris ABC Host #1 ABC Host #2 Donald Trump Kamala Harris"
X Link 2024-09-11T02:31Z 183.6K followers, 28.6K engagements
"@dotkrueger Winner-takes-most. The winner is already evident"
X Link 2024-09-12T04:29Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@dotkrueger Hard pill to swallow but the alternative is worse"
X Link 2024-09-13T02:15Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@Sina_21st Phenomenal tool. I have been researching Bitcoin cycle tools for years and this is one of the best I have ever encountered. π"
X Link 2024-09-13T02:24Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"@dotkrueger Kamala Harris is running a campaign to get Trump elected while Trump is running a campaign to try not to get elected. ()/"
X Link 2024-09-13T03:35Z 182.9K followers, [----] engagements
"#Bitcoin is on track; only your understanding of its growth patterns is lacking"
X Link 2024-09-13T21:54Z 183K followers, 19.5K engagements
"@btcmoderate Not sure what point you think you're making. I simply said that if Trump gets elected Bitcoin should break $100k this year. I didnt mention its long-term growth patterns. My point was that short-term targets for this year would likely be higher if Trump wins"
X Link 2024-09-13T22:19Z 182.9K followers, [--] engagements
"The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points"
X Link 2024-09-28T00:03Z 182.4K followers, 337.9K engagements
"**Quantile Regression model using hourly Bitcoin price data from July [--] [----] to today incorporating [------] price data points"
X Link 2024-09-28T00:12Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@RyanMMcGrath The model is a quantile regression model accounting for the full spectrum of probabilities moving forward using all hourly price data points to date. All narratives are reflected in the price vs. time data"
X Link 2024-09-28T00:32Z 183.3K followers, [---] engagements
"The vast majority of Bitcoin trading pairs and price data are displayed in USD; however I will most likely create a version denominated in gold as well. The 99k refers to the [----] quantile regression representing the top 0.1% of the probability distribution at the end of [----] or the upper limit of what was possible based on the regression model. Quantile regression is intrinsically linked to the distribution of cumulative probabilities"
X Link 2024-09-28T01:15Z 183.4K followers, [---] engagements
"You are correct that they are derived from the cumulative distribution of probabilities and have always existed; they are adjusted as we go along. However as we accumulate more data they become more 'hardened' over time. They're not traditional technical analysis lines; rather they are based on all the hourly price data points available to date"
X Link 2024-09-28T01:23Z 183.4K followers, [---] engagements
"@tachyonluxor In a bull market ;) Just kiddingyes I can definitely do that and will in future charts. Thank you for the message and for appreciating my efforts"
X Link 2024-09-28T01:27Z 183.6K followers, [---] engagements
"@PowerLawInvest @whits23 [----] quantile (red line): $240698 [----] quantile (blue line): $34919"
X Link 2024-09-28T01:44Z 183.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Big things coming. ππ"
X Link 2024-09-28T01:57Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"@dotkrueger @dotkrueger the time and effort you put into covering Bitcoin is impressive. If this is you retired I can only imagine how hard-working and dedicated you were when launching businesses and trading. Insane"
X Link 2024-09-28T02:16Z 183.2K followers, [----] engagements
"For long-term investing I find models like this one the Volatility-Adjusted Power Law Index and the Decay Channel Oscillator very useful. Ive looked into all the on-chain and long-term TA models and oscillators and while some are interesting I dont personally weigh them as highly. As for derivatives Im not an expert and still need to learn more. I also want to explore and better understand the liquidity side of things along with models related to liquidity. Just my take though and Im always learning"
X Link 2024-09-28T04:00Z 182.3K followers, [---] engagements
"@FieldNas @dotkrueger Yes I agree. I do care about other things but specifically for Bitcoin liquidity matters more than elections"
X Link 2024-09-28T04:32Z 183.4K followers, [--] engagements
"@BlockMo33856998 @apsk32 Come on if you are going to shill Kaspa in my comment section at least follow me π€£"
X Link 2024-09-28T05:43Z 182.4K followers, [---] engagements
"@joemanbitcoin Yes and no. 99k was simply on the very outer range of the model that is based on a cumulative probability range"
X Link 2024-09-28T08:50Z 183.7K followers, [---] engagements
"@exist270 @RyanMMcGrath Perhaps or perhaps not the quote you're referencing is from Michael Saylor but it was taken out of context. Even he has a model now"
X Link 2024-09-28T14:36Z 182.4K followers, [--] engagements
"The first episode of. π₯ The Best Bitcoin Data show A weekly show dedicated to delivering the most insightful and rigorously vetted #Bitcoin data curated by top analysts. Well showcase our in-house models and explore the best of power laws on-chain data derivatives liquidity technical analysis and more. Join us as we dive deeper into the world of Bitcoinone chart at a time"
X Link 2024-09-28T17:26Z 182.3K followers, 24.6K engagements
"@tiflos20 Interestingly MSTR does appear to follow a power law in relation to Bitcoin though the data is quite limited at this point. However in theory a quantile regression channel could be created"
X Link 2024-09-28T18:11Z 183.6K followers, [---] engagements
"@Yochana42437421 Good to be mentally prepared for potential downside so if a black swan did occur you are already mentally prepared"
X Link 2024-09-28T20:24Z 183.9K followers, [--] engagements
"Easy as [--] [--] [--]. #Bitcoin [--]. The bull run has barely begun. [--]. The longer it takes to reach near the red line the higher we will go. [--]. So be patient relax and enjoy the bull run. Please share if you found this helpful :) The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points. https://t.co/JciRd4MFuY The only #Bitcoin channel that matters for long-term investors. Chart covering hourly price data from July [--] [----] to today would involve around [------] data points. https://t.co/JciRd4MFuY"
X Link 2024-09-28T22:41Z 183K followers, 59.4K engagements
"Important point: Despite this chart not looking like a power-law relationship the underlying data still follows one. The mathematical relationship or model between variables is independent of how the data is presented or plotted. The relationship remains a power law whether you use a linear log-linear or log-log plot. The choice of plot type only affects the visual appearance of the data not the actual relationship between the variables"
X Link 2024-09-29T13:41Z 182.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@nice_investment It's literally within the realm of reasonable possibilities; however 200k to 250k is more probable"
X Link 2024-09-29T14:53Z 182.3K followers, [--] engagements
"@dotkrueger Sorry @dotkrueger our return policy is only [--] years but we can offer you store credit. You can use it to buy some Cardano with the gift cardwell probably have a flash sale around that time. π€£"
X Link 2024-09-29T15:33Z 183.5K followers, [----] engagements
"@NorthstarCharts @nomadJinvest Sure Bitcoin has gone from a bullet train to a race car but gold is still a horse and buggy"
X Link 2024-09-29T15:41Z 183.1K followers, [---] engagements
"There are ONLY two kinds of people. Optimists: Think #Bitcoin will break 200k this cycle. Pessimists: Those who don't. Which are you"
X Link 2024-09-29T18:06Z 182.2K followers, [--] engagements
"To be clear the post is a bit of clickbait. Of course its best to be neither and just follow the data but I thought it would be a fun poll and I wanted to create a strong binary poll where the results would be close"
X Link 2024-09-29T18:13Z 183K followers, [----] engagements
"Really appreciate everyone's comments and support. Tomorrow morning Ill be posting a chart you wont want to miss. It will be a more zoomed-in detailed version with a breakdown of quarterly times and quantiles"
X Link 2024-09-29T18:15Z 183.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@sminston_with Looking forward to having you co-host the Best Bitcoin Data Show. Were taking the data to the next level πͺ"
X Link 2024-09-29T19:10Z 183.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@blockjock2017 You have Cardano in your handle so you have zero credibility by default. Just buy Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-09-29T19:13Z 183K followers, [--] engagements
"@orion_kos I respect that. If you're planning on holding through this cycle regardless of the price it doesn't really matter. For the most part we're just entertaining ourselves as we hold long-term"
X Link 2024-09-29T23:53Z 183.6K followers, [--] engagements
"@Nevermore1849_ On the nose π"
X Link 2024-09-29T23:54Z 183.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@sminston_with @Sina_21st Phenomenal work We can discuss this in-depth at the Best Bitcoin Data Show. The Power Law Quantile Channel is still a work in progress but we are getting close to understanding its value. You me and @Sina_21st will need to co-author a deep-dive article with charts on it"
X Link 2024-09-30T18:27Z 183.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Unfortunately the way the world is trending a UFO invasion or intervention seems probable. PlanG it's a funny statement but your point is taken and I agree. Based on the quantile regression anything over 300k in [----] seems highly improbable. The only way we get above 300k is if the cycle peak extends into [----]. That's just what the data shows so don't blame us for not being more bullish or selling hopium like others"
X Link 2024-09-30T21:41Z 182.3K followers, [--] engagements
"$1000000 Bitcoin is NOT a fantasy. according to the most advanced current statistical models it is a highly probable outcome. The most robust fair value model created utilizing [------] data points 10min price intervals. Remember BTC has been trading 24/7 since July [----]. Jan [--] [----] Fair Value = $1004538 Today Fair Value = $67748 Interesting Observation: The pump and subsequent consolidation from the cycle low to now brought us back to fair value. The real fun hasnt even started yet and if you look at the vertical time-based lines were precisely on track compared to the [----] cycle and ahead of"
X Link 2024-10-03T23:44Z 177.6K followers, 143.7K engagements
"@sminston_with Inspired by your great post today I'm sure we'll discuss this along with other recent discoveries on the next Best Bitcoin Data Show"
X Link 2024-10-03T23:52Z 183.6K followers, [----] engagements
"I've decided to cap my projections at a maximum of [--] years. Beyond that it's too difficult to forecast and analysts shouldn't venture too far. However this 10-year projection window will shift over time enabling us to see even further into the future without extrapolating too far out"
X Link 2024-10-04T00:11Z 183.3K followers, [---] engagements
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