Dark | Light
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

# ![@TheRealPlanC Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1301215504686694400.png) @TheRealPlanC PlanC

PlanC posts on X about bitcoin, longterm, build a, all the the most. They currently have XXXXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1301215504686694400/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXXXX +357%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +5.80%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXX +563%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1301215504686694400/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX +50%
- X Month XXX +89%
- X Months XXX -XX%
- X Year XXX +305%

### Followers: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1301215504686694400/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX +0.84%
- X Month XXXXXXX +0.84%
- X Months XXXXXXX +3.10%
- X Year XXXXXXX +15%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1301215504686694400/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #73 [finance](/list/finance)  #917 [currencies](/list/currencies)  #1113 [countries](/list/countries)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #37, [longterm](/topic/longterm) #14, [build a](/topic/build-a) #748, [all the](/topic/all-the) 1.35%, [bitcoin gold](/topic/bitcoin-gold) #12, [investment](/topic/investment) #48, [sentiment](/topic/sentiment) #782, [$1m](/topic/$1m) 0.68%, [currency](/topic/currency) 0.68%, [1m](/topic/1m) XXXX%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@giovann35084111](/creator/undefined) [@bitc_minimalist](/creator/undefined) [@dotkrueger](/creator/undefined) [@thebtcfrontierx](/creator/undefined) [@dogwalker2019](/creator/undefined) [@sminstonwith](/creator/undefined) [@1basemoney](/creator/undefined) [@myfanforce](/creator/undefined) [@apsk32](/creator/undefined) [@decodejar](/creator/undefined) [@aversetomedia](/creator/undefined) [@sina21st](/creator/undefined) [@btcoptioneer](/creator/undefined) [@leomathheart](/creator/undefined) [@22_cosmos_22](/creator/undefined) [@drew_vish](/creator/undefined) [@broccolimaxi](/creator/undefined) [@burakkesmeci](/creator/undefined) [@axeladlerjr](/creator/undefined) [@joaowedson](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Bitcoin Gold (BTG)](/topic/bitcoin-gold)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1301215504686694400/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Its a purely math-based chartno hopium. Your statements are false. Its not overfit; I validated that with multiple tests. $1M before the next halving is pure hopium unless the USD becomes a third-world currency and enters massive hyperinflationwhich is extremely unlikely in the next few years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978461494787678363) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:02Z 204.7K followers, 8768 engagements


"@BitConnor_ Focusing on the 50th quantile makes senseits essentially Bitcoins fair value. Youre thinking about it the right way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978653844021084347) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T02:46Z 204.7K followers, XX engagements


"Wild results"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977245404380201428) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T05:30Z 204.7K followers, 9887 engagements


"Tomorrow Im posting the most important Bitcoin post Ive ever done. Yes this post is a post about a post; however tomorrows post will deliver. Make sure youre following and have notifications on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977376848687284596) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T14:12Z 204.7K followers, 129.4K engagements


"Sminston and I discussed a piecewise quantile idea at least six months before your article and this new version upgrades multiple elementsnot just the nonlinear decay component. Now youre trying to take credit for the Quantile Modelhilarious. Youre allergic to giving anyone else credit; youve got to take credit for everything somehow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978626357157581184) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T00:57Z 204.7K followers, 1942 engagements


"@Giovann35084111 @dotkrueger Sminston and I discussed a piecewise quantile idea at least six months before your article and this new version upgrades multiple thingsnot just the nonlinear decay element"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978625409492111720) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T00:53Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements


"P.S. Ill be doing multiple interviews in the coming weeks to explain and dive into the model. I already have a few lined up; if youd like to interview me just DM me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978464686510149794) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:15Z 204.7K followers, 29.1K engagements


"365-Day SMA = $100000"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978906896816812430) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T19:32Z 204.7K followers, 12.5K engagements


"@apsk32 @sminston_with @Snz_BTC @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 @1basemoney Thanks AP 🤝"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978675373131837895) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T04:12Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements


"@decodejar Thanks brother"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978465283707728353) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:17Z 204.7K followers, 2716 engagements


"Great list of some of the very best Bitcoin analystsIve been following them all for a while"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1950725070877307378) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-07-31T01:07Z 204.6K followers, 28.9K engagements


"Trading Bitcoin is a terrible idea compared to long-term investing and shorting Bitcoin during a bull market is even worse. 🤦♂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1974203660470034885) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-03T20:03Z 204.7K followers, 52.4K engagements


"Bitcoin will recover. Your altcoin might not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977018226233278840) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T14:27Z 204.7K followers, 196.4K engagements


"Pure Math Zero Hopium"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978825618742530397) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T14:09Z 204.7K followers, 54.6K engagements


"Bitcoin: Elevator down elevator back up. Still a bull marketjust deleveraged. Leveraged traders have PTSD. P.S. The Trump-China stuff is pre-negotiation; expect a softer outcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977401691545698515) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T15:51Z 204.7K followers, 16.5K engagements


"Everything you need to know about the space: Bitcoin: math-driven. Altcoins: hopium-driven"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978829452441231529) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T14:24Z 204.3K followers, XXX engagements


"Bitcoin: Im NOT saying this is my base case but as a thought experiment: what if Bitcoin bounces around between $110K and $130K for the next XX months What would you do Would you sell get shaken out and start thinking were not going any higher this cycle Have a plan for every scenario"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1975731608939282629) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-08T01:14Z 204.5K followers, 58.4K engagements


"@CoastCaptures What do you mean I am telling the truth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977383506117308466) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T14:39Z 202.2K followers, 1227 engagements


"@Dogwalker2019 You are very welcome as always. 🤝"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978871709802406187) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T17:12Z 204.7K followers, 1289 engagements


"Ive been researching and working on the Quantile Model for XX monthsfrom the first version to this most recent iteration. Sminston and I discussed a piecewise quantile idea at least six months before your article and this new version upgrades multiple thingsnot just the nonlinear decay element. Stop trying to take credit for other people's work. Also are you hitting on me bro Is it because he has a cute anonymous face What if I told you that was my real face"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978827134547427380) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T14:15Z 204.7K followers, 14.5K engagements


"To be very clear this is not the announcement I was talking about. That is still coming today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977814732590788760) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-13T19:12Z 204.7K followers, 14.6K engagements


"Bitcoin Important Point: The idea that Bitcoin must enter a deep bear market every four years based on three data points is nonsensical. Id rather use a cycle-length-agnostic quantile model built on 133000+ data points and focus on our current quantilenot sell on a three-data-point timing narrative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977434428747198779) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T18:01Z 204.7K followers, 35.5K engagements


"When I say real bull run Im talking about the euphoric phasemagnitude over time. And if you price Bitcoin in gold (BTC/XAU) you could argue weve been in a bear market this entire time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1976859034591592449) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T03:54Z 204.4K followers, 12.8K engagements


"Special thanks to some of the very best minds in the Bitcoin space who contributed to this models development. 🙏 @sminston_with @Snz_BTC @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @1basemoney"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978471588719702404) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:42Z 204.7K followers, 19.3K engagements


"@Drednaught0moto The dataset captures the extremes of human psychology. Humans have been trading Bitcoin 24/7 for XX years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978820606318522575) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T13:49Z 204.7K followers, XX engagements


"Happy to finally share this. Sorry for the waitIm a bit of a perfectionist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978505190010409291) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T16:56Z 204.7K followers, 100.2K engagements


"At Quantile XXXX we are in the yellow Premium band (50 to 80) and Quantile XX is fair value; thus the model says Bitcoin is currently trading at a slight premium above fair value but nowhere near the Speculative and Historical Peaks bands"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978665062635012512) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T03:31Z 204.7K followers, 7019 engagements


"Bitcoin: A XX% pullback in a bull market is nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977090271159714193) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T19:13Z 204.4K followers, 32.5K engagements


"Tomorrow 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977441896151568694) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T18:31Z 204.7K followers, 49.6K engagements


"Okay thats cool Is anyone else seeing this on their X account or is it just me Never happened before"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978683036729258467) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T04:42Z 204.7K followers, 43.3K engagements


"@odanovich Good point. Feedback noted; Ill use the current date next time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978601219128954971) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T23:17Z 204.7K followers, 2989 engagements


"This is essentially what I was trying to say Joe said it better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977015983262023759) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T14:18Z 204.7K followers, 11.8K engagements


"@JoeCarlasare 💪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977411374792978784) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T16:29Z 203.1K followers, 2744 engagements


"Happy to finally share this. Sorry for the waitIm a bit of a perfectionist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978469317327872284) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:33Z 204.7K followers, 18.6K engagements


"Bitcoin 💪 The largest liquidation in Bitcoin/crypto history just happened and Bitcoin is XXX% off its all-time high"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977421140931833954) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T17:08Z 204.7K followers, 25.1K engagements


"@mrldotsh 444k in the next 3-9 months would break the model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978949538212651196) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T22:21Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements


"Was the Bitcoin / Crypto flash crash the result of coordinated manipulationa planned liquidation cascadeand did some large players have advance knowledge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977239975599997022) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T05:08Z 204.4K followers, 21.8K engagements


"@AverseToMedia Back Where did I go Im doing a weekly show and posting all the time haha"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1976851536786632853) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T03:25Z 204.7K followers, 2000 engagements


"Which Quantile Model should I tackle next If other comment below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978932883340267549) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T21:15Z 204.7K followers, 11K engagements


"@jv_finance Interesting chart. I need to build a Gold/USD Quantile Model. I suspect its currently in the 90th Quantile or higher right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978681191134876001) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T04:35Z 204.7K followers, 4903 engagements


"Bitcoin: $108000 The great shakeout continues. Focus on your long-term conviction. If youre truly a Bitcoin investornot a traderwhat matters is whether Bitcoin will be worth more in X XX and 20+ years. You either have that conviction or you dont. There will be endless narratives and short-term price swings trying to shake you out. Dont let it happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978864711979737442) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T16:44Z 204.7K followers, 64.3K engagements


"Bitcoin: Everyone posting that $126k was the cycle top will delete their posts in the next week or two"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1975801943093284934) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-08T05:54Z 204.5K followers, 75.3K engagements


"Actually the top-50% and bottom-50% patterns are interdependent and the behavior in the top half has been just as impressive mathematically as in the bottom half. If one pattern breaks the other will most likely break as well because in a network that is stabilizing and gaining adoption over time power-law behavior and stretched-exponential decay / exponential decay commonly co-occur"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977456897759592838) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T19:30Z 202.7K followers, 1621 engagements


"Bitcoin: $113565 Why Im NOT worried. Were still in a bull market: price sits above the 200-day SMA ($106800) and slightly under the STH cost basis ($114000). Thats perfectly fine. The pattern has beenand still isthat Bitcoin chops in ranges builds a base then steps upno blow-off top just healthy steady slow progress. The longer this pattern continues the more likely the Bitcoin cycle is to extend well into next year. We were at these price levels just a few weeks ago. I dont subscribe to the idea that Bitcoin must follow a four-year cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1976844050977226955) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T02:55Z 204.6K followers, 53.7K engagements


"Thanks Fred. It means a lot coming from someone with your track record and brainpower. Its actually very simple and elegant. We should discuss it on your show sometime. You of all people would appreciate the math behind it and how I did it. Id be happy to walk through all the steps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978474064671916362) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:52Z 204.7K followers, 2918 engagements


"The wait is over Introducing. 🥁 Bitcoin Quantile Model v2. Youre going to want to bookmark this postand follow for regular model updates. After months of research and development Im very proud of this modelmy flagship quantile framework. Im confident its one of the bestif not the bestlong-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. As a full-time unpaid Bitcoin researcher Im often asked how people can best support my free content. Simply bookmark repost and comment on my posts :) Thanks for all your continued support PlanC Key Features & Improvements: X. Quantile lines never"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978449114179236198) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T13:13Z 204.7K followers, 932.5K engagements


"@Diminsmonk @Giovann35084111 The power law is an observation. The Bitcoin Quantile Model is a coherent useful Model and framework that models the entire distribution and via quantiles pinpoints exactly where you are in the dataset. For practical use its a night-and-day difference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978877998238433303) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T17:37Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements


"The new benchmark in Bitcoin modeling. Im confident its one of the bestif not the bestlong-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. Worth your time to see what the math shows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978605691423084567) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T23:35Z 204.7K followers, 85.7K engagements


"Gold investors need a Gold Quantile Model. Too many are FOMO-buying in what is most likely the top quantile band 9599.9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978937028466098308) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T21:32Z 204.7K followers, 37.3K engagements


"Its interesting how many people want a Bitcoingold version of this model. Thats coming next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978611532658556942) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T23:58Z 204.7K followers, 9836 engagements


"Bitcoin: Too many piled into longs expecting up-only so we got a leverage flush and deleveraging. Short-term BTC trading is a losing game for most; social media hides the losers and amplifies the winners. Over time long-term investors beat traders by a wide margin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1976850343490470343) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T03:20Z 204.4K followers, 24K engagements


"What do you think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1973912031213613333) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-03T00:44Z 204.5K followers, 30K engagements


"Just to be clear: I didnt draw these linesthe math did. Theyre generated by statistical regressions and this model is very different from any rainbow line model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978507106224374211) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T17:03Z 204.7K followers, 16.6K engagements


"@LeviteDaniel Building a website that updates live hourly with zoom in/out and a quantile search function where you can enter any quantile and any date to get the corresponding USD value"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978456706498568378) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T13:43Z 204.7K followers, 5677 engagements


"I dont know who needs to hear this but the Bitcoin Power Law is NOT a model; it is an observation. You still need to build a model using that observation and the Power Law is only useful for modeling the bottom XX% of the data. The top XX% of the data requires modeling the decay-function pattern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977452518054486103) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-12T19:13Z 204.7K followers, 34.1K engagements


"@Pladizow A power law is an observation; this is a complete model of the full distribution. What I said was accurate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978472313503773104) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:45Z 204.7K followers, 4262 engagements


"Largest-ever Bitcoin and crypto deleveraging. Now the real bull run begins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1976853308452319295) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-11T03:32Z 204.7K followers, 47K engagements


"Choose your Bitcoin Model wisely. Model's Fair Value as of today. Quantile Model = $110000 Stock-to-Flow = $500000 Which one is your go-to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978920016868184277) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T20:24Z 204.7K followers, 32.5K engagements


"@BTCGoldChart @SalubriousHODL Agree that is my next project. Bitcoin / Gold version"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978656171256062459) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T02:56Z 204.7K followers, XX engagements


"@decodejar Thanks brother Your content keeps getting better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978466648840392853) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-15T14:23Z 204.6K followers, XXX engagements


"@hacrazyloans Very few data points"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1975734019850686607) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-08T01:24Z 204.7K followers, 3519 engagements


"Bitcoin: I noticed a simple but telling TA observation. This cycle looks different from the last three bull markets. In 2013 2017 and 2021 Bitcoin never fell below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) except during the COVID-19 crash. In the current bull market weve dipped under the 200-day SMA multiple times but have not breached the 365-day SMA. That suggests the key line in the sand for support is the 365-day SMA rather than the 200-day. The structure is more gradual and less parabolic healthier more sustainable and indicative of an extended cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978903847444857084) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T19:20Z 204.7K followers, 51.9K engagements


"I really need customer support from Bank to the Future but I can't get any responses via email. What do you recommend I do @BankToTheFuture @SimonDixonTwitt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1977813129712243140) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-13T19:06Z 204.7K followers, 18.1K engagements


"Bitcoin: Will this pattern continue In the past X major pullbacks this bull market Bitcoin consistently stabilized below the 200-day SMA and above the 365-day SMA. 200-Day SMA = $107400 365-Day SMA = $99900"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978868304421814724) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T16:59Z 204.7K followers, 40.1K engagements


"Bitcoin: Looks like I was off by three days. Pretty solid prediction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1974153444652188129) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-03T16:43Z 204.7K followers, 26K engagements


"I need to build a Gold/USD Quantile Model as well. I suspect its currently in the 90th Quantile or higher right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1978677555008843987) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-16T04:21Z 204.7K followers, 6190 engagements


"Bitcoin: Sentiment check The highest price in 2025 will be closest to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TheRealPlanC/status/1973845586198884742) [@TheRealPlanC](/creator/x/TheRealPlanC) 2025-10-02T20:20Z 204.7K followers, 74.3K engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@TheRealPlanC Avatar @TheRealPlanC PlanC

PlanC posts on X about bitcoin, longterm, build a, all the the most. They currently have XXXXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXXXXX +357%
  • X Month XXXXXXXXX +5.80%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXXX +563%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX +50%
  • X Month XXX +89%
  • X Months XXX -XX%
  • X Year XXX +305%

Followers: XXXXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXXX +0.84%
  • X Month XXXXXXX +0.84%
  • X Months XXXXXXX +3.10%
  • X Year XXXXXXX +15%

CreatorRank: XXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence #


Social category influence cryptocurrencies #73 finance #917 currencies #1113 countries XXXX%

Social topic influence bitcoin #37, longterm #14, build a #748, all the 1.35%, bitcoin gold #12, investment #48, sentiment #782, $1m 0.68%, currency 0.68%, 1m XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @giovann35084111 @bitc_minimalist @dotkrueger @thebtcfrontierx @dogwalker2019 @sminstonwith @1basemoney @myfanforce @apsk32 @decodejar @aversetomedia @sina21st @btcoptioneer @leomathheart @22_cosmos_22 @drew_vish @broccolimaxi @burakkesmeci @axeladlerjr @joaowedson

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Bitcoin Gold (BTG)

Top Social Posts #


Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Its a purely math-based chartno hopium. Your statements are false. Its not overfit; I validated that with multiple tests. $1M before the next halving is pure hopium unless the USD becomes a third-world currency and enters massive hyperinflationwhich is extremely unlikely in the next few years"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:02Z 204.7K followers, 8768 engagements

"@BitConnor_ Focusing on the 50th quantile makes senseits essentially Bitcoins fair value. Youre thinking about it the right way"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T02:46Z 204.7K followers, XX engagements

"Wild results"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T05:30Z 204.7K followers, 9887 engagements

"Tomorrow Im posting the most important Bitcoin post Ive ever done. Yes this post is a post about a post; however tomorrows post will deliver. Make sure youre following and have notifications on"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T14:12Z 204.7K followers, 129.4K engagements

"Sminston and I discussed a piecewise quantile idea at least six months before your article and this new version upgrades multiple elementsnot just the nonlinear decay component. Now youre trying to take credit for the Quantile Modelhilarious. Youre allergic to giving anyone else credit; youve got to take credit for everything somehow"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T00:57Z 204.7K followers, 1942 engagements

"@Giovann35084111 @dotkrueger Sminston and I discussed a piecewise quantile idea at least six months before your article and this new version upgrades multiple thingsnot just the nonlinear decay element"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T00:53Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements

"P.S. Ill be doing multiple interviews in the coming weeks to explain and dive into the model. I already have a few lined up; if youd like to interview me just DM me"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:15Z 204.7K followers, 29.1K engagements

"365-Day SMA = $100000"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T19:32Z 204.7K followers, 12.5K engagements

"@apsk32 @sminston_with @Snz_BTC @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 @1basemoney Thanks AP 🤝"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T04:12Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements

"@decodejar Thanks brother"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:17Z 204.7K followers, 2716 engagements

"Great list of some of the very best Bitcoin analystsIve been following them all for a while"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-07-31T01:07Z 204.6K followers, 28.9K engagements

"Trading Bitcoin is a terrible idea compared to long-term investing and shorting Bitcoin during a bull market is even worse. 🤦♂"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-03T20:03Z 204.7K followers, 52.4K engagements

"Bitcoin will recover. Your altcoin might not"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T14:27Z 204.7K followers, 196.4K engagements

"Pure Math Zero Hopium"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T14:09Z 204.7K followers, 54.6K engagements

"Bitcoin: Elevator down elevator back up. Still a bull marketjust deleveraged. Leveraged traders have PTSD. P.S. The Trump-China stuff is pre-negotiation; expect a softer outcome"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T15:51Z 204.7K followers, 16.5K engagements

"Everything you need to know about the space: Bitcoin: math-driven. Altcoins: hopium-driven"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T14:24Z 204.3K followers, XXX engagements

"Bitcoin: Im NOT saying this is my base case but as a thought experiment: what if Bitcoin bounces around between $110K and $130K for the next XX months What would you do Would you sell get shaken out and start thinking were not going any higher this cycle Have a plan for every scenario"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-08T01:14Z 204.5K followers, 58.4K engagements

"@CoastCaptures What do you mean I am telling the truth"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T14:39Z 202.2K followers, 1227 engagements

"@Dogwalker2019 You are very welcome as always. 🤝"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T17:12Z 204.7K followers, 1289 engagements

"Ive been researching and working on the Quantile Model for XX monthsfrom the first version to this most recent iteration. Sminston and I discussed a piecewise quantile idea at least six months before your article and this new version upgrades multiple thingsnot just the nonlinear decay element. Stop trying to take credit for other people's work. Also are you hitting on me bro Is it because he has a cute anonymous face What if I told you that was my real face"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T14:15Z 204.7K followers, 14.5K engagements

"To be very clear this is not the announcement I was talking about. That is still coming today"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-13T19:12Z 204.7K followers, 14.6K engagements

"Bitcoin Important Point: The idea that Bitcoin must enter a deep bear market every four years based on three data points is nonsensical. Id rather use a cycle-length-agnostic quantile model built on 133000+ data points and focus on our current quantilenot sell on a three-data-point timing narrative"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T18:01Z 204.7K followers, 35.5K engagements

"When I say real bull run Im talking about the euphoric phasemagnitude over time. And if you price Bitcoin in gold (BTC/XAU) you could argue weve been in a bear market this entire time"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T03:54Z 204.4K followers, 12.8K engagements

"Special thanks to some of the very best minds in the Bitcoin space who contributed to this models development. 🙏 @sminston_with @Snz_BTC @dotkrueger @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @1basemoney"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:42Z 204.7K followers, 19.3K engagements

"@Drednaught0moto The dataset captures the extremes of human psychology. Humans have been trading Bitcoin 24/7 for XX years"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T13:49Z 204.7K followers, XX engagements

"Happy to finally share this. Sorry for the waitIm a bit of a perfectionist"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T16:56Z 204.7K followers, 100.2K engagements

"At Quantile XXXX we are in the yellow Premium band (50 to 80) and Quantile XX is fair value; thus the model says Bitcoin is currently trading at a slight premium above fair value but nowhere near the Speculative and Historical Peaks bands"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T03:31Z 204.7K followers, 7019 engagements

"Bitcoin: A XX% pullback in a bull market is nothing"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T19:13Z 204.4K followers, 32.5K engagements

"Tomorrow 👀"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T18:31Z 204.7K followers, 49.6K engagements

"Okay thats cool Is anyone else seeing this on their X account or is it just me Never happened before"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T04:42Z 204.7K followers, 43.3K engagements

"@odanovich Good point. Feedback noted; Ill use the current date next time"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T23:17Z 204.7K followers, 2989 engagements

"This is essentially what I was trying to say Joe said it better"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T14:18Z 204.7K followers, 11.8K engagements

"@JoeCarlasare 💪"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T16:29Z 203.1K followers, 2744 engagements

"Happy to finally share this. Sorry for the waitIm a bit of a perfectionist"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:33Z 204.7K followers, 18.6K engagements

"Bitcoin 💪 The largest liquidation in Bitcoin/crypto history just happened and Bitcoin is XXX% off its all-time high"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T17:08Z 204.7K followers, 25.1K engagements

"@mrldotsh 444k in the next 3-9 months would break the model"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T22:21Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements

"Was the Bitcoin / Crypto flash crash the result of coordinated manipulationa planned liquidation cascadeand did some large players have advance knowledge"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T05:08Z 204.4K followers, 21.8K engagements

"@AverseToMedia Back Where did I go Im doing a weekly show and posting all the time haha"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T03:25Z 204.7K followers, 2000 engagements

"Which Quantile Model should I tackle next If other comment below"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T21:15Z 204.7K followers, 11K engagements

"@jv_finance Interesting chart. I need to build a Gold/USD Quantile Model. I suspect its currently in the 90th Quantile or higher right now"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T04:35Z 204.7K followers, 4903 engagements

"Bitcoin: $108000 The great shakeout continues. Focus on your long-term conviction. If youre truly a Bitcoin investornot a traderwhat matters is whether Bitcoin will be worth more in X XX and 20+ years. You either have that conviction or you dont. There will be endless narratives and short-term price swings trying to shake you out. Dont let it happen"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T16:44Z 204.7K followers, 64.3K engagements

"Bitcoin: Everyone posting that $126k was the cycle top will delete their posts in the next week or two"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-08T05:54Z 204.5K followers, 75.3K engagements

"Actually the top-50% and bottom-50% patterns are interdependent and the behavior in the top half has been just as impressive mathematically as in the bottom half. If one pattern breaks the other will most likely break as well because in a network that is stabilizing and gaining adoption over time power-law behavior and stretched-exponential decay / exponential decay commonly co-occur"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T19:30Z 202.7K followers, 1621 engagements

"Bitcoin: $113565 Why Im NOT worried. Were still in a bull market: price sits above the 200-day SMA ($106800) and slightly under the STH cost basis ($114000). Thats perfectly fine. The pattern has beenand still isthat Bitcoin chops in ranges builds a base then steps upno blow-off top just healthy steady slow progress. The longer this pattern continues the more likely the Bitcoin cycle is to extend well into next year. We were at these price levels just a few weeks ago. I dont subscribe to the idea that Bitcoin must follow a four-year cycle"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T02:55Z 204.6K followers, 53.7K engagements

"Thanks Fred. It means a lot coming from someone with your track record and brainpower. Its actually very simple and elegant. We should discuss it on your show sometime. You of all people would appreciate the math behind it and how I did it. Id be happy to walk through all the steps"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:52Z 204.7K followers, 2918 engagements

"The wait is over Introducing. 🥁 Bitcoin Quantile Model v2. Youre going to want to bookmark this postand follow for regular model updates. After months of research and development Im very proud of this modelmy flagship quantile framework. Im confident its one of the bestif not the bestlong-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. As a full-time unpaid Bitcoin researcher Im often asked how people can best support my free content. Simply bookmark repost and comment on my posts :) Thanks for all your continued support PlanC Key Features & Improvements: X. Quantile lines never"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T13:13Z 204.7K followers, 932.5K engagements

"@Diminsmonk @Giovann35084111 The power law is an observation. The Bitcoin Quantile Model is a coherent useful Model and framework that models the entire distribution and via quantiles pinpoints exactly where you are in the dataset. For practical use its a night-and-day difference"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T17:37Z 204.7K followers, XXX engagements

"The new benchmark in Bitcoin modeling. Im confident its one of the bestif not the bestlong-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. Worth your time to see what the math shows"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T23:35Z 204.7K followers, 85.7K engagements

"Gold investors need a Gold Quantile Model. Too many are FOMO-buying in what is most likely the top quantile band 9599.9"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T21:32Z 204.7K followers, 37.3K engagements

"Its interesting how many people want a Bitcoingold version of this model. Thats coming next"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T23:58Z 204.7K followers, 9836 engagements

"Bitcoin: Too many piled into longs expecting up-only so we got a leverage flush and deleveraging. Short-term BTC trading is a losing game for most; social media hides the losers and amplifies the winners. Over time long-term investors beat traders by a wide margin"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T03:20Z 204.4K followers, 24K engagements

"What do you think"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-03T00:44Z 204.5K followers, 30K engagements

"Just to be clear: I didnt draw these linesthe math did. Theyre generated by statistical regressions and this model is very different from any rainbow line model"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T17:03Z 204.7K followers, 16.6K engagements

"@LeviteDaniel Building a website that updates live hourly with zoom in/out and a quantile search function where you can enter any quantile and any date to get the corresponding USD value"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T13:43Z 204.7K followers, 5677 engagements

"I dont know who needs to hear this but the Bitcoin Power Law is NOT a model; it is an observation. You still need to build a model using that observation and the Power Law is only useful for modeling the bottom XX% of the data. The top XX% of the data requires modeling the decay-function pattern"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-12T19:13Z 204.7K followers, 34.1K engagements

"@Pladizow A power law is an observation; this is a complete model of the full distribution. What I said was accurate"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:45Z 204.7K followers, 4262 engagements

"Largest-ever Bitcoin and crypto deleveraging. Now the real bull run begins"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-11T03:32Z 204.7K followers, 47K engagements

"Choose your Bitcoin Model wisely. Model's Fair Value as of today. Quantile Model = $110000 Stock-to-Flow = $500000 Which one is your go-to"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T20:24Z 204.7K followers, 32.5K engagements

"@BTCGoldChart @SalubriousHODL Agree that is my next project. Bitcoin / Gold version"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T02:56Z 204.7K followers, XX engagements

"@decodejar Thanks brother Your content keeps getting better"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-15T14:23Z 204.6K followers, XXX engagements

"@hacrazyloans Very few data points"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-08T01:24Z 204.7K followers, 3519 engagements

"Bitcoin: I noticed a simple but telling TA observation. This cycle looks different from the last three bull markets. In 2013 2017 and 2021 Bitcoin never fell below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) except during the COVID-19 crash. In the current bull market weve dipped under the 200-day SMA multiple times but have not breached the 365-day SMA. That suggests the key line in the sand for support is the 365-day SMA rather than the 200-day. The structure is more gradual and less parabolic healthier more sustainable and indicative of an extended cycle"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T19:20Z 204.7K followers, 51.9K engagements

"I really need customer support from Bank to the Future but I can't get any responses via email. What do you recommend I do @BankToTheFuture @SimonDixonTwitt"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-13T19:06Z 204.7K followers, 18.1K engagements

"Bitcoin: Will this pattern continue In the past X major pullbacks this bull market Bitcoin consistently stabilized below the 200-day SMA and above the 365-day SMA. 200-Day SMA = $107400 365-Day SMA = $99900"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T16:59Z 204.7K followers, 40.1K engagements

"Bitcoin: Looks like I was off by three days. Pretty solid prediction"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-03T16:43Z 204.7K followers, 26K engagements

"I need to build a Gold/USD Quantile Model as well. I suspect its currently in the 90th Quantile or higher right now"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-16T04:21Z 204.7K followers, 6190 engagements

"Bitcoin: Sentiment check The highest price in 2025 will be closest to"
X Link @TheRealPlanC 2025-10-02T20:20Z 204.7K followers, 74.3K engagements

@TheRealPlanC
/creator/twitter::TheRealPlanC