#  @TanHef TanHef TanHef posts on X about bitcoin, $msty, $mstr, $altbg the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::2727391688/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] +220% - [--] Month [------] +13% - [--] Months [------] -66% - [--] Year [-------] -15% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2727391688/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -29% - [--] Month [--] +20% - [--] Months [---] +61% - [--] Year [---] +38% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::2727391688/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] no change - [--] Month [-----] -0.36% - [--] Months [-----] +2.60% - [--] Year [-----] +42% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2727391688/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 44% [stocks](/list/stocks) 32% [finance](/list/finance) 22% [currencies](/list/currencies) 8% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 6% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 2% [countries](/list/countries) 2% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 2% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 2% [financial services](/list/financial-services) 1% **Social topic influence** [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 20%, [$msty](/topic/$msty) 15%, [$mstr](/topic/$mstr) #638, [$altbg](/topic/$altbg) 12%, [$btc](/topic/$btc) #3121, [strong](/topic/strong) 6%, [market](/topic/market) 5%, [longterm](/topic/longterm) 5%, [gold](/topic/gold) 4%, [the first](/topic/the-first) 4% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@bitpaine](/creator/undefined) [@baggooalan](/creator/undefined) [@sunny051488](/creator/undefined) [@saylor](/creator/undefined) [@tradingview](/creator/undefined) [@cryptolyxe](/creator/undefined) [@vivek4real](/creator/undefined) [@thebtcbond](/creator/undefined) [@tylerscrypto](/creator/undefined) [@punterjeff](/creator/undefined) [@nocontexthumans](/creator/undefined) [@gladiatormstr](/creator/undefined) [@thebtctherapist](/creator/undefined) [@benwerkman](/creator/undefined) [@tradingpjv77](/creator/undefined) [@roaringragnar](/creator/undefined) [@bitcoinmunger](/creator/undefined) [@rajatsonifnance](/creator/undefined) [@hiyokopeeps](/creator/undefined) [@professorb21](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [GameStop, Corp. (GME)](/topic/$gme) [Metaplanet Inc. (MTPLF)](/topic/$mtplf) [Royal Bank of Canada (RY)](/topic/royal-bank-of-canada) [The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)](/topic/$td) [Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD)](/topic/$gold) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [GammaSwap (GS)](/topic/$gs) [TechnipFMC (FTI)](/topic/$fti) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG)](/topic/$zg) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)](/topic/$lrcx) [ServiceNow Inc (NOW)](/topic/servicenow) [Now Coin (NOW)](/topic/$now) [Salesforce Inc (CRM)](/topic/$crm) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)](/topic/$bwa) [CatCoin (CAT)](/topic/$cat) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "SAAS tickers printing the same oversold levels as [----]. (bottom indicator - [--] SAAS ticker analysis)" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2021236489229570198) 2026-02-10T14:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@BaggooAlan @sunny051488 If it needs a world authority and a custodian it becomes fiat with a gold sticker" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2021311135224373727) 2026-02-10T19:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptolyxe If measured in USD its up 9x ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2022384992186511749) 2026-02-13T18:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "NovaGold at Mount Au-everest. Au my lungs. ๐ฅ๐๐ฎ๐จ #Gold #TopSignals Chart: TSE:NG (NovaGold Resources Inc)" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1976032610091778366) 2025-10-08T21:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Canadas big banks could be overbought (expensive): $RY (Royal Bank of Canada) $TD (Toronto Dominion) Weekly chart: -Near the top of log-scale regression channels. -TanHef Ranks printing historically extreme overbought ranks(). Over time extreme ranks reliability increases. Many Investment Banks look overbought such as $GS (Goldman Sachs). Total Rank: overbought extreme (). (A [--] Investment Bank tickers average) Investment banks reveal the markets plumbing (credit liquidity deal flow) while indexes can hide behind diversification. https://t.co/RmUNPzL06D Many Investment Banks look overbought" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2010878238416126343) 2026-01-13T00:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$TD (Toronto Dominion) bank up +80% in the past year. Are Canadian's so polite they don't even withdraw so the stock just keeps ripping ๐๐ค๐ฆ๐ ๐ฏTanHef Ranks: +6 (extreme overbought) (Last time was in [----] dropped -45% in [--] months) Canadas big banks could be overbought (expensive): $RY (Royal Bank of Canada) $TD (Toronto Dominion) Weekly chart: -Near the top of log-scale regression channels. -TanHef Ranks printing historically extreme overbought ranks(). Over time extreme ranks reliability increases. https://t.co/XPLohHFA8V Canadas big banks could be overbought (expensive): $RY (Royal Bank" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2011677519045640403) 2026-01-15T05:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Weekly TanHef Ranks Extreme (Energy) $FTI +4 (overbought extreme) $FTI vs [--] energy tickers +2 (overbought) (An extreme requires +2.5 here) Edge is often found where most arent looking. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2016271238612849061) 2026-01-27T22:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$PYPL (1H) is showing a deep stretch from the mean. Top indicator (TanHef Ranks) Calculates: $PYPL Signal: [---] = Most Extreme Oversold Takeaway: $PYPL looks stretched low in USD price terms. Bottom indicator (TanHef Ranks Screener) Calculates: $PYPL / #FinTech (14 Stocks) Rank: [---] = Most Extreme Oversold Takeaway: $PYPL is stretched lower vs the peer-group average. Mean reversion is a zone extremes can persist. But tops+bottoms is the goal. If its a longer-term hold it helps when it looks "cheap" both relative + absolute. NFA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018838985750032660" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2018838985750032660) 2026-02-04T00:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$ZG (#Zillow) on the 1H flashing oversold. In mid-Dec [----] headlines said #Google began testing real-estate listings inside Search. This could reduce the amount of traffic Zillow receives. Top indicator (TanHef Ranks) Calculates: $ZG only Signal: [---] = Oversold (Historical Extreme) Takeaway: $ZG extremely cheap on the 1H timeframe. Bottom indicator (TanHef Ranks Screener) Calculates: $ZG vs [--] Communications Stocks Rank: [---] = Mild Oversold Takeaway: $ZG mildly oversold vs the peer group. Price looks great fundamentals not so much on the surface. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2019178020376834290) 2026-02-04T22:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "History repeating $BTC Patterns https://t.co/Ax595mNXrD $BTC Patterns https://t.co/Ax595mNXrD" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2019202494782665124) 2026-02-05T00:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Bitcoin (4h): Strong an quick bounce. TanHef Ranks: nailed [--] of the last [--] cycle lows. Flashing again today for the first time since $3900. https://t.co/9sMuBUDQil TanHef Ranks: nailed [--] of the last [--] cycle lows. Flashing again today for the first time since $3900. https://t.co/9sMuBUDQil" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2019809811978948660) 2026-02-06T16:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$LRCX (1W) TanHef Ranks just printed a "most extreme overbought" signal. Lam Research (LRCX) is a key "picks & shovels" name in semiconductors building wafer-fab equipment to manufacture chips. Best known for etch and deposition tools critical in advanced chipmaking. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2020625943111622789) 2026-02-08T22:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$NOW (1D): TanHef Ranks extreme oversold signal () #ServiceNow's price vs the mean is extremely stretched to the downside. The prior was back in 2016: price later ran +67% in [---] months and more than +1000% over the next [--] years. Not a promise extremes can persist but interesting. is an enterprise workflow automation SaaS (IT/HR/CS/SecOps). SaaS has been under pressure broadly due to the competive possibilities from AI. NFA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021010300124922339 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021010300124922339" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2021010300124922339) 2026-02-09T23:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CRM (Salesforce): TanHef Ranks hit a historically "most oversold" already bouncing +5%. CRM: [---] historically most oversold. #SaaS (40 tickers): [-----] avg most oversold since [----]. AI likely enhances/augments SaaS not replaces it security is the big reason. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2021267368127647747) 2026-02-10T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@sunny051488 Boomers: "Id rather bring a scale calipers magnet loupe drill water cup string and a graduated cylinder than just verify bitcoin with a node."" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2021271426481721548) 2026-02-10T17:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$GME / $BTC Before: GameStop shouldve gone all-in on Bitcoin. After: *Sends BTC to Coinbase* (to sell) Now: Silence while $GME outperforms $BTC Funny how the execution outrage looks better in hindsight (so far). NFA While many are disappointed that $GME hasnt gone all-in on Bitcoin their current strategy (which remains partly undisclosed) is still exceptionally aggressive compared to other companies especially given the broader market context. Notably their performance remains strong. https://t.co/M4LKx966Bn While many are disappointed that $GME hasnt gone all-in on Bitcoin their current" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2021301323111465301) 2026-02-10T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$BWA (BorgWarner): auto parts supplier adds AI. TanHef Ranks (1D): +7 (overbought extreme) EPS (Earnings Per Share): 25' Q4: $1.35 (now) 25' Q3: $1.24 25' Q2: $1.21 25' Q1: $1.11 24' Q4: $1.01 24' Q3: $1.09 24' Q2: $1.19 24' Q1: $1.03 Earnings helped AI helped more. NFA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021647899709648915 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021647899709648915" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021647899709648915) 2026-02-11T18:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Divergences are everywhere most miss the absolute vs relative ones. When price and an oscillator are moving in opposite directions it signals trend weakness and a potential reversal. Absolute = USD value stretch. Relative = ratio stretch vs peers. Divergence Explained๐งต" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2022039452642885862) 2026-02-12T20:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Chart: $CAT (weekly): Top Indicator TanHef Ranks (absolute): +7 USD price becoming more overbought Bottom Indicator TanHef Ranks Screener (relative vs [--] tickers): +1 relative to peers becoming less overbought What does this mean $CAT is extremely overbought in USD (weekly) absolute mean-reversion risk elevated. $CAT is only mildly overbought vs peers the move isnt uniquely CAT-specific. Absolute diverge: None. (price + oscillator increasing) Relative divergence: Yes. momentum is cooling as outperformance trend is weakening as peers themselves. (price increase + oscillator decreasing)" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2022039455499251943) 2026-02-12T20:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Aged like wine ๐ท Nobody wanted to hear "sub-$100" risk when $MSTR was $400+. $MSTRs market structure looks a lot like the last cycle. Asked Grok & ChatGPT for a worst-case bear market target both landed here using the same data: $54: pure price-history (90% repeats) $75: price market structure BTC-per-share changes Look at all scenarios. https://t.co/9WcZMjvfGG $MSTRs market structure looks a lot like the last cycle. Asked Grok & ChatGPT for a worst-case bear market target both landed here using the same data: $54: pure price-history (90% repeats) $75: price market structure BTC-per-share" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2019562683553796119) 2026-02-06T00:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "TanHef Ranks: nailed [--] of the last [--] cycle lows. Flashing again today for the first time since $3900" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2019615959691276392) 2026-02-06T03:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Price often runs into the buy then fades right after. That pattern is hard to ignore. One hypothesis: Are they sifting OTC wallets Paying a small premium then supporting spot so the tape prints as "normal" but with sloppy average execution price. Maybe price would move too much otherwise When Do Kwon was buying at spot price the price moved a lot more. Trying to understand whats happening isn't an accusation. If you dont ask questions you don't get answers you just repeat what youve been told. A lot of people are calling this period's average price "strange" but the usual run-up-then-fade" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2020986422271017129) 2026-02-09T22:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The logical: Buy low sell high. The emotional: Buy despair sell certainty. The behavioral: Buy fear sell FOMO. The narrative: Buy "it's over" sell "it's obvious"" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2022173078479053258) 2026-02-13T04:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Trading in a nutshell. Logical Check the price vs. fundamentals (cheap). Emotional How does the vibe feel (Despair = green light.) Behavioral What is the herd doing (FOMO = red flag.) Narrative What's the prevailing story and is it maximally wrong The logical: Buy low sell high. The emotional: Buy despair sell certainty. The behavioral: Buy fear sell FOMO. The narrative: Buy "it's over" sell "it's obvious" The logical: Buy low sell high. The emotional: Buy despair sell certainty. The behavioral: Buy fear sell FOMO. The narrative: Buy "it's over" sell "it's obvious"" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2022506084385104064) 2026-02-14T03:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Vivek4real_ The OTC desk:" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1866233662196555847) 2024-12-09T21:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Anyone elses heart skip a beat before remembering MSTU had a split ๐ " [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1868669745953972440) 2024-12-16T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@thebtcbond Buy the truth and sell it not; also wisdom and instruction and understanding. (Proverbs 23:23)" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1868862490995835295) 2024-12-17T03:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TylerSCrypto It feels like we had a dump thats how cheap Bitcoin feels" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1869033041894711694) 2024-12-17T14:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@PunterJeff @saylor Every time I hear Saylor talk I feel underexposed" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1869448352024383709) 2024-12-18T18:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@NoContextHumans Taco Stand" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1878233688623792570) 2025-01-12T00:13Z [----] followers, 10.7K engagements "The Mindboggling Effect of Compounding on $MSTY MY MIND IS BLOWN๐คฏ Reinvesting dividends and the power of compounding are often overlooked in discussions about #MSTY. Heres how the compounding stacks up: Assumptions: - Annual Yield (MSTY): 130% - Monthly Yield (Pre-Tax): 10.83% = (1+1.30)1/121(1+1.30)1/12 - 1(1+1.30)1/121 - Taxes: Applied annually via share sales (0%-60%). Paying quarterly is also common. - Dividend Reinvesting: As MSTYs price drops dividends shrink. However as long as the yield remains consistent (generally true) dividends can be reinvested to buy the same number of shares." [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1878706256531112198) 2025-01-13T07:30Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements "5-Year Price Targets for $BTC and $MSTR to Match $MSTY with Dividend Reinvestment The Mindboggling Effect of Compounding on $MSTY MY MIND IS BLOWN๐คฏ Reinvesting dividends and the power of compounding are often overlooked in discussions about #MSTY. Heres how the compounding stacks up: Assumptions: - Annual Yield (MSTY): 130% - Monthly Yield (Pre-Tax): https://t.co/Jkuh0iPLJP The Mindboggling Effect of Compounding on $MSTY MY MIND IS BLOWN๐คฏ Reinvesting dividends and the power of compounding are often overlooked in discussions about #MSTY. Heres how the compounding stacks up: Assumptions: -" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1879245837475463189) 2025-01-14T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BitPaine First they ignore you then they laugh at you then they fight you then you win. #MSTR" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1883210664229134656) 2025-01-25T17:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "DCA into BTC MSTR or MSTY Adding BTC complicates things but choosing between MSTR and MSTY might be easier with linear regression. The choice seems clear: utilizing DRIP with MSTY is best when MSTY becomes cheap (green) relative to MSTR (red)" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1887928556778570021) 2025-02-07T18:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Leverage up Volatility up MSTY dividends up Strategy Announces Proposed Private Offering of $2.0B of Convertible Senior Notes. $MSTR https://t.co/EBOMdLlgdq Strategy Announces Proposed Private Offering of $2.0B of Convertible Senior Notes. $MSTR https://t.co/EBOMdLlgdq" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1891965967606989052) 2025-02-18T21:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@GladiatorMSTR YOU ARE NOT BEARISH ENOUGH LMAO" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1895237478614966690) 2025-02-27T22:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TheBTCTherapist Lol rip ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1896222731689136495) 2025-03-02T15:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Has @BenWerkman actually crunched the numbers on $MSTY Every time I discuss #MSTY #MSTR or #Bitcoin with someone the conversation tends to go the same way. If someone disagrees or dismisses it its usually because they havent fully understood it or taken the time to dive in. I take everything Ben says very seriously; he clearly understands MSTR better than [----.%] of people and knows how profitable MSTR options can be. What do you all think Im here to learn and have a discussion. Is MSTY being misunderstood dismissed because he can outperform it with options seen as misleading based on the" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1903140770368102548) 2025-03-21T17:44Z [----] followers, 20.2K engagements "$GME earnings call today be like:" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1904618375277666385) 2025-03-25T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Most traders overlook thisbut it changes everything. The $MSTY / $MSTR ratio doesnt just look different on a log scale it behaves differently. This thread breaks down how linear vs. log scaling (plus a few spicy tools/ideas) completely reshape your price analysis from regression channels to random indicator signals to long-term trend insight. ๐งต 1/ Linear Regression Channels: Linear vs. Log Scale Linear regression channels can help visualize trends in ratios like MSTY/MSTR. But the scale you use linear or log makes a huge difference. ๐ฆ Linear Scale: Equal spacing for absolute changes (e.g." [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1904985899383083208) 2025-03-26T19:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "MSTY with DRIP enabled and taxes applied to each payment" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1907093821177069976) 2025-04-01T15:32Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements "@tradingview #Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1908244926988788210) 2025-04-04T19:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@trading_pjv77 ๐คฏ Interest covers management fees" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1908605065184895470) 2025-04-05T19:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐ฅ $MSTY dropping its biggest candle ever +20% in a single day (measuring close to close) ๐ Largest % gain in history. You watching this thing" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1910032271794655732) 2025-04-09T18:09Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements "$MSTY is CRUSHING Bitcoin returns Proof ๐ ๐ MSTY vs BTC: Linear Regression Returns Total Return: +53.68% (413 days) Avg Annual Return: 47.15% โ Synthetic options on Strategy (MSTR) โ High income from option premiums โ BTC upside without managing options โ Arguably less drawdown in a future bear market (debate for another post) โ Counterparty risk (its an ETF) โ No self-custody like Bitcoin Its like getting paid to bet on BTC ๐ธ But remember: cold storage BTC = safest bet ๐ Bitcoin exposure. Income. Outperformance. Welcome to the MSTY party. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1910415127163371684) 2025-04-10T19:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$BTC vs $MSTR vs $MSTY" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1911999022703034580) 2025-04-15T04:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Has ANYONE seen an indicator nail MSTR cycle highs/lows like this My custom script called: โ [----] top exact 4h bar โ [----] bottom exact 4h bar โ [----] top 4h early Confluence for probable reversals. Same settings for years. No repainting. Whats your go-to indicator" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1912911496511889775) 2025-04-17T16:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "An $MSTY DCA strategy with dividends reinvested outperforms $BTC on 97% of trading days since inception. ๐๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1914801439056257072) 2025-04-22T22:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Moves like this from YieldMax make me increasingly convinced $MSTY (with DRIP) could outperform $MSTR over a 4-year span or at the very least come close in total return. Were here to harvest big premiums. For the first time Ive seen $MSTY sold at-the-money calls on Friday without using a credit call spread for insurance. No protective calls purchased above the strikes they sold pure premium collection this week. So far its looking like a smart move. With $MSTR IV lower For the first time Ive seen $MSTY sold at-the-money calls on Friday without using a credit call spread for insurance. No" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1919431705171055077) 2025-05-05T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$MSTY cheat code ๐ฎ Plow the 10% monthly yield straight back in and let your stack balloon [-----] over four years. History shows the price possibly drifts back to todays range so just farm the payouts and let compounding work" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1920157445881516447) 2025-05-07T16:43Z [----] followers, 17.9K engagements "@RoaringRagnar @bitcoinmunger @tradingview Supertrend with default 10-period ATR and a multiplier of 3" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1920928989809434939) 2025-05-09T19:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@rajatsonifnance MSTY has outperformed BTC by +110%. First own $BTC then $MSTR then $MSTY. IMO" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1921268257140470269) 2025-05-10T18:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Unpopular opinion: $MSTY might outperform $MSTR in some scenarios. Popular opinion: Flipping $MSTR options beats just hodling $MSTR. Hard truth: Most traders lag buy-and-hold" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1923065355464745001) 2025-05-15T17:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALTBG signal on the weekly triggered today ๐๐ $ALTBG is on fire ๐ฅ With a market cap of just 112M this small outfit is making waves by adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet. Currently holding [---] BTC (53M) theyre poised for growth. But beware this FOMO-fueled surge could spark profit-taking once holders see big https://t.co/HX1vBJRCf1 $ALTBG is on fire ๐ฅ With a market cap of just 112M this small outfit is making waves by adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet. Currently holding [---] BTC (53M) theyre poised for growth. But beware this FOMO-fueled surge could spark profit-taking once holders" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1923438265140388189) 2025-05-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$MSTY is still trading above its inception price even though $MSTR went through -49.5% and -57.4% drawdowns in the same period. Sometimes I think of $MSTY as #JohnWick: Caine: You are going to die. John: Maybe not. Jokes aside structural decay is real. Without a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) #MSTY will almost certainly trend toward zero over time in BTC terms and in USD terms this is NOT garanteed. Does anyone think MSTY will just stay 90% down even if $BTC recovers or do you believe MSTY will recover in price (without DRIP) MSTY is up only 5% after existing for [---] years during a bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1923795699117982217) 2025-05-17T17:40Z [----] followers, 20.1K engagements "$MSTY (with DRIP) is finally looking cheap vs. #Bitcoin now at a -2x regression deviation. Mean reversion setup Fun fact: On [---] out of [---] trading days DCAing into MSTY outperformed BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1925951271292346401) 2025-05-23T16:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Metaplanets growth is still following a log trend. ๐ How long can exponential growth last before it turns linear or flat Log๐ ride or rollercoaster๐ข next $3350.T $DN3 $MTPLF #Metaplanet" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1926451840658374772) 2025-05-25T01:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Funny coincidence: @hiyoko_peeps year-end base case (1921) lines up almost exactly with the -2x log regression band (1900) for the end of [----]. If that wasnt built into the model its a wild coincidence. Metaplanet mapped to a logarithmic linear regression channel: Deviation (+2x): [----] Regression line: [----] Deviation (2x): [----] If BTC/share compounding continues on top of price discovery excitement bull case outcomes are very possible but likely wont last for long (blow off tops). If price were at the regression line (midline) as early as October the [----] target could already be achieved. We" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1926491763381833968) 2025-05-25T04:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ProfessorB21 @saylor @Strategy Genuine question: If Metaplanet Bitwise Binance etc. can voluntarily publish their addresses why is it a problem for others Are we really saying the ones being transparent should be avoided because theyre taking transparency risks" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1927231874557964622) 2025-05-27T05:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALTBG ๐ That moon though" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1928533800943841518) 2025-05-30T19:27Z [----] followers, 10.3K engagements "Excellent post everyone should consider these points about MSTY. TLDR: Its not just about growth. Use MSTY to cover real income needs avoid forced selling of BTC and de-risk your portfolio. Get enough MSTY to sleep well then let the rest ride in higher-growth assets. How much MSTY is enough Here's how I think about it. 1st Principle You want to put AS MUCH investment as possible into the HIGHEST-GROWTH longest-duration things (e.g. BTC MSTR) regardless of volatility. Seems simple and obvious right BUT that's only half the How much MSTY is enough Here's how I think about it. 1st Principle You" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1930378469894189172) 2025-06-04T21:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "#BlockchainGroup (ALTBG) vs #Metaplanet (MTPLF) Linear Regression Channels ALTBG/Metaplanet ($BC7/$DN3) chart: Bear: +41.65% Base: +118.71% Bull: +179.71% Best: +2470.54% % = amount ALTBG outperforms MTPLF #NFA Note: True bear case regression falls. Thoughts" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1932142713182531854) 2025-06-09T18:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Thinking about $ALTBG ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1932895886306328613) 2025-06-11T20:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALTBG Log Linear Regression (3-week update) ๐ข Long-term (since 1st BTC purchase) Sep [--] 2025: $5.40 (prior: $2.95) Jan [--] 2026: $23 (prior: $9) ๐ก Short-term (since strong April trend) Sep [--] 2025: $127 (prior: $243) Jan [--] 2026: $15k (prior: $55k) Observation: Long-term regression jumped 83% in three weeks. It now targets $5.40 (from $2.95) by September and $23 (from $9) by January [----]. This will continue to rise until price is below the regression's midline. Short-term remains absurdly aggressive: $127 by September $15k by January reflecting wild recent momentum. With an R-value at 0.985" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1935874095289450765) 2025-06-20T01:35Z [----] followers, 17K engagements "@Bthemoon2030 @_ALTBG ๐คฏ $ALTBG is the Goldilocks of Bitcoin treasuries - seasoned enough to trust still tiny enough for outsized upside and stacking BTC at warp speed" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1941571263371280726) 2025-07-05T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$ALTBG could be primed for another powerful stretch. Volatility isnt a threat it's the heartbeat Bitcoin reactor. ๐ The Blockchain Group confirms the acquisition of [---] BTC for [----] million the holding of a total of [----] BTC and a BTC Yield of 1348.8% YTDโก Full Press Release (EN): https://t.co/m8xNvpVtCz Full Press Release (FR): https://t.co/Uq4U21MZQb BTC Strategy (EN): https://t.co/FCGHR2dxZG ๐ The Blockchain Group confirms the acquisition of [---] BTC for [----] million the holding of a total of [----] BTC and a BTC Yield of 1348.8% YTDโก Full Press Release (EN): https://t.co/m8xNvpVtCz Full" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1942117800002355377) 2025-07-07T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "#MSTR/#BTC is right where it was [---] days ago yet Bitcoin per share has nearly doubled. Think about that" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1944834640352792953) 2025-07-14T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALTBG Log Linear Regression (3.5-week update) ๐ข Longterm (since 1st BTC purchase) Sep [--] 2025: $6.79 (prior: $5.40) Jan [--] 2026: $33.55 (prior: $23) ๐ก Shortterm (since strong April trend) Sep [--] 2025: $30.50 (prior: $127) Jan [--] 2026: $855.00 (prior: $15k) Observation: Longterm regression: Targets keep nudging higher $6.79 (Sept) and $33.55 (Jan 2026). Price is almost glued to the green midline so expect only pennylevel regression mid-line drift each day until price deviates. Shortterm regression: Throttle down. Projections reset to $30.50 (Sept) and $855 (Jan 2026) while the Rvalue slid to" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1944997087063810548) 2025-07-15T05:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$LQWD (LQWD Technologies Corp) โก First mover in Lightning Network infrastructure ๐ +54.6% BTC holdings YTD ๐ +24.2% BTC holdings QTD ๐ค Small-cap ($83.75M USD market cap) ๐ฐ Zero debt; leveraged BTC treasury ๐ฏ mNAV Premium 3.7x (sweet spot) ๐ Recent aggressive BTC yield (2 months) ๐ Price Gift (-67% Pullback) ๐ Canada-based - Tax advantaged (TFSA/RRSP)" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1945946528692219988) 2025-07-17T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALTBG (life) update: we are so back" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1947706589521318103) 2025-07-22T17:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BitPaine No statute is immutable. They can rewrite safeguards without warning" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1948444485333196857) 2025-07-24T18:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "BitPaine felt a "BIT of PAIN" and nuked his own reply after calling me a f**king idiot for saying ERISA is a statute when its literally the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of [----]. Peak irony from a selfproclaimed Bitcoin maximalist who suddenly trusts Congress to never change the rules and give us plenty of warning. He mocks literal children then fumbles basic civics deletes the evidence and pretends it never happened. Selfown complete" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1949582238015963272) 2025-07-27T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$ALTBG Log Linear Regression Update ๐ข Long-term (anchored to 1st BTC buy) Sep [--] 2025: [----] Jan [--] 2026: [-----] ๐ก Short-term (anchored to highest-R Feb 17th) Sep [--] 2025: [-----] Jan [--] 2026: [------] Observation: Short-term regression channel (anchored to current highest R-Correlation) had price just hit the 2.5x lower deviation band a textbook mean-reversion buy zone. Long-term trend will continue to go down until price gets back above the midline currently sitting at a wild 11x the beginning of [----] from today's price. This undeniably underscores how impressive the last [--] months have been. $ALTBG" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1949588581615559105) 2025-07-27T21:51Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements "Could $MSTR's earnings spark another gap versus $MSTY (+DRIP) Last Sept/Oct burst: [--] % gain or [--] % in long-term averaged out. Catching only gains real time is tricky; longerdated options +MSTY may be more optimal than ticker hopping. NFA. Chart: MSTR/MSTY (with DRIP)" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1950671407270199626) 2025-07-30T21:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ambofqwan @HermesLux For how often Hermes talks about MSTY I wonder if its a case of The Pot calling the kettle black. When a person is guilty of the very thing of which they accuse another" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1950762789389373568) 2025-07-31T03:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Self-reflecting on recent decisions and noticing $ALCPB (formerly $ALTBG) quietly outshining the rest. Lately even as it's fiat value slips its been holding up a bit stronger than $MTPLF $MSTR $LQWD and $SMLR. Look where others are not. $ALTBG (life) update: we are so back https://t.co/2TjJgTvlV5 $ALTBG (life) update: we are so back https://t.co/2TjJgTvlV5" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1953290910499831978) 2025-08-07T03:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BitPaine Wow an R of [----] ๐คฏ" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1953614302293995884) 2025-08-08T00:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hard to see the desire of choosing $ULTY over $MSTY when the MSTY/ULTY ratio looks like this" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1955028600014639124) 2025-08-11T22:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "In May $ALCPB saw a weekly extreme-rank (overbought) signal flashed near [----] followed by a couple-day upward push a sharp -44% drawdown then a multi-week surge to [--] before a complete round-trip reversion back below [----]. These "blown-through" mean-reversion signals often behave like magnets: the initial overshoot stretches prices to unsustainable extremes pulling them back not just to but often through the original anticipated reversal level. Escentially "resetting price". Bottom line: If you were bullish at [----] on the ascent you should be even more enthusiastic at [----] on the descent from" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1955502226258137235) 2025-08-13T05:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALCPB Log-scale linear regression update ๐ข Long-term (anchor: 1st BTC purchase; highest +R) Sep [--] 2025: [----] Jan [--] 2026: [-----] ๐ฅ (Note: By chance this is the best +slope fit regression) ๐ด Short-term (anchor: Max R; slope Jun [--] 25') Sep [--] 2025: [----] Jan [--] 2026: crumbs (Note: Max R means best fit regardless of slope) Linear Regression Fit summary Max +R (best positive fit): R = +0.90 ๐ข Max R (best absolute fit): R = [----] ๐ด Takeaways Long-term: price near the [---] lower band mean-reversion loading. Short-term: downside is bounded by the NAV-premium floor. Croissant first moon later. ๐ฅ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1957327540730921408) 2025-08-18T06:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALCPB Total Bitcoin Targets Bitcoin-Per-Share (BPS) Targets [----] EOY: [----] BTC [----] EOY: [---------] BTC BPS Calculation Method: Linear fit of Bitcoin/Share (Fully Diluted sats/share) vs Total BTC ignoring the first two early outliers. BPS estimates if targets are met [-----] sats/share (FD) at [----] BTC (25) 1626.73251.1 sats/share (FD) at 7k15k BTC (27) Current BPS (FD): [---] sats/share Implied BPS gain from now [----] EOY: +22.7% [----] EOY: +145.0% to +389.6%" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1963459956734398595) 2025-09-04T04:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@JavierHermosa21 Total supply increase in the past year: MSTR: 70% BTC: 0.7% MSTR needs buyers. BTC needs HODLers" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1963470250097213485) 2025-09-04T05:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Gh9876543My @SmithsonBrennan Most holders lag BTC due to the rising float. Daily MSTR DCA since treasury inception only beats BTC by 17.3% with a -63.5% max drawdown vs BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2006529857216459167) 2026-01-01T00:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$SILVER looks overbought (expensive) vs $GOLD: Chart: $XAG / $XAU Weekly chart: TanHef Ranks printing +5 which has marked reversal zones multiple times over the last five decades. Both linear-scale and log-scale regression are near the +2x deviation a common reversal level. US Mint's silver price jumped +85% in [--] days while spot silver is only +7%. https://t.co/x4VV6SNeze US Mint's silver price jumped +85% in [--] days while spot silver is only +7%. https://t.co/x4VV6SNeze" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2013317889495838787) 2026-01-19T18:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) just printed a TanHef Rank [---] on the 4H chart. Historically most extreme oversold reading by this indicator" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2016275882755977403) 2026-01-27T22:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "In [----] a [---] also occurred. These are very rare / extreme momentum levels. Mean-reversion: extremes often become potential reversion zones but they can also persist while trend pressure stays heavy. Predicting policy is hard; price is the scoreboard. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2016275885297696793) 2026-01-27T22:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$BTC (4 hour): same price as [--] days ago but less oversold. NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2017071540064702651) 2026-01-30T03:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@CeeGix @intocryptoverse [----] took [---] days for a +6% new ATH. Not exactly a parabolic top in my opinion" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2017077378799817100) 2026-01-30T03:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Is the bitcoin cycle actually dead @grok Do these fractals match" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2017079679073636407) 2026-01-30T03:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "SILVER/GOLD (1W) TanHef Ranks printed +6 (overbought) same as [----]. Notable symmetry: both the [----] and this +6 rank were followed by a -31% drop on a single bar. Signals dont repaint. Intrabar pullbacks (wicks) dont change ranks only more-extreme price increases them" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2017332936920412497) 2026-01-30T20:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "SILVER/GOLD (1W) TanHef Ranks printed +6 (overbought) same as [----]. Notable symmetry: both the [----] and this +6 rank were followed by a -31% drop on a single bar. Signals dont repaint. Intrabar pullbacks (wicks) dont change ranks only more-extreme price increases them. $SILVER looks overbought (expensive) vs $GOLD: Chart: $XAG / $XAU Weekly chart: TanHef Ranks printing +5 which has marked reversal zones multiple times over the last five decades. Both linear-scale and log-scale regression are near the +2x deviation a common reversal level. https://t.co/a7y5AadP55 $SILVER looks overbought" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2017333734635118619) 2026-01-30T20:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CAD's on a no-protein diet. $USD's on a low-protein diet. Fiats fully catabolic" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1977078365481058499) 2025-10-11T18:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I think about this often. If policy hadnt skated against energy would $CAD to $USD be 1:1 ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1978668249760895167) 2025-10-16T03:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Copper miner stocks are rising faster than copper in expectations of exploding profitability. $SCCO But both copper and copper-miner stocks look overbought on the mid-term. Interesting: the [--] year regression CAGR for $SCCO (miner) is 18% but $XCU (copper) is only 2.3%. Time to sell the plumbing #Copper $XCU Fundamentals: 75% of demand is electricity-related (transmission/generation wiring electronics). Demand likely to accelerate. Price: TanHef Ranks: No signal. Recent +2 (mild overbought) Linear Regression: +2x deviation (overbought) https://t.co/y8L5xADSmO Time to sell the plumbing #Copper" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2013748794236543267) 2026-01-20T23:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$VZ (1H): TanHef Ranks +6 (extreme). Truth noise. Price tapping at the uppder deviation's horizon. Fun fact: "Verizon" comes from veritas (truth) + horizon" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2018401866657501595) 2026-02-02T19:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@henaohodl @Brennan_BTC22 It is. If its not intentional yikes" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/2018419397816095140) 2026-02-02T20:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "๐ Comparing Returns: MSTY vs. MSTR MSTY Performance (Distributions Reinvested): ๐ $20.38 First Open (02/22/2024) ๐ฅ +9.20% (Avg. Monthly Return) ๐ $34.29 First Record Date (04/05/2024) ๐ฅ +5.44% (Avg. Monthly Return) MSTR Performance: ๐ $13.49 Bitcoin Announcement (08/11/2020) ๐ +5.74% (Avg. Monthly Return) ๐ $53.58 Highest Volume Since [--] (01/07/2021) ๐ +3.45% (Avg. Monthly Return) My Take: The entry points in this kind of comparison are endless. In backtesting I found MSTY (with DRIP) tends to outperform holding MSTR during declines (not surprising as that is its purpose). Therefore" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1903124985025269793) 2025-03-21T16:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "While many are disappointed that $GME hasnt gone all-in on Bitcoin their current strategy (which remains partly undisclosed) is still exceptionally aggressive compared to other companies especially given the broader market context. Notably their performance remains strong" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1927808992924835848) 2025-05-28T19:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$MSTRs market structure looks a lot like the last cycle. Asked Grok & ChatGPT for a worst-case bear market target both landed here using the same data: $54: pure price-history (90% repeats) $75: price market structure BTC-per-share changes Look at all scenarios" [X Link](https://x.com/TanHef/status/1949944955775975842) 2025-07-28T21:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@TanHef TanHefTanHef posts on X about bitcoin, $msty, $mstr, $altbg the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence cryptocurrencies 44% stocks 32% finance 22% currencies 8% technology brands 6% automotive brands 2% countries 2% travel destinations 2% exchanges 2% financial services 1%
Social topic influence bitcoin 20%, $msty 15%, $mstr #638, $altbg 12%, $btc #3121, strong 6%, market 5%, longterm 5%, gold 4%, the first 4%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @bitpaine @baggooalan @sunny051488 @saylor @tradingview @cryptolyxe @vivek4real @thebtcbond @tylerscrypto @punterjeff @nocontexthumans @gladiatormstr @thebtctherapist @benwerkman @tradingpjv77 @roaringragnar @bitcoinmunger @rajatsonifnance @hiyokopeeps @professorb21
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Strategy (MSTR) GameStop, Corp. (GME) Metaplanet Inc. (MTPLF) Royal Bank of Canada (RY) The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD) Goldman Sachs (GS) GammaSwap (GS) TechnipFMC (FTI) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) ServiceNow Inc (NOW) Now Coin (NOW) Salesforce Inc (CRM) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) CatCoin (CAT)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"SAAS tickers printing the same oversold levels as [----]. (bottom indicator - [--] SAAS ticker analysis)"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@BaggooAlan @sunny051488 If it needs a world authority and a custodian it becomes fiat with a gold sticker"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptolyxe If measured in USD its up 9x ๐"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NovaGold at Mount Au-everest. Au my lungs. ๐ฅ๐๐ฎ๐จ #Gold #TopSignals Chart: TSE:NG (NovaGold Resources Inc)"
X Link 2025-10-08T21:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Canadas big banks could be overbought (expensive): $RY (Royal Bank of Canada) $TD (Toronto Dominion) Weekly chart: -Near the top of log-scale regression channels. -TanHef Ranks printing historically extreme overbought ranks(). Over time extreme ranks reliability increases. Many Investment Banks look overbought such as $GS (Goldman Sachs). Total Rank: overbought extreme (). (A [--] Investment Bank tickers average) Investment banks reveal the markets plumbing (credit liquidity deal flow) while indexes can hide behind diversification. https://t.co/RmUNPzL06D Many Investment Banks look overbought"
X Link 2026-01-13T00:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$TD (Toronto Dominion) bank up +80% in the past year. Are Canadian's so polite they don't even withdraw so the stock just keeps ripping ๐๐ค๐ฆ๐ ๐ฏTanHef Ranks: +6 (extreme overbought) (Last time was in [----] dropped -45% in [--] months) Canadas big banks could be overbought (expensive): $RY (Royal Bank of Canada) $TD (Toronto Dominion) Weekly chart: -Near the top of log-scale regression channels. -TanHef Ranks printing historically extreme overbought ranks(). Over time extreme ranks reliability increases. https://t.co/XPLohHFA8V Canadas big banks could be overbought (expensive): $RY (Royal Bank"
X Link 2026-01-15T05:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Weekly TanHef Ranks Extreme (Energy) $FTI +4 (overbought extreme) $FTI vs [--] energy tickers +2 (overbought) (An extreme requires +2.5 here) Edge is often found where most arent looking. NFA"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$PYPL (1H) is showing a deep stretch from the mean. Top indicator (TanHef Ranks) Calculates: $PYPL Signal: [---] = Most Extreme Oversold Takeaway: $PYPL looks stretched low in USD price terms. Bottom indicator (TanHef Ranks Screener) Calculates: $PYPL / #FinTech (14 Stocks) Rank: [---] = Most Extreme Oversold Takeaway: $PYPL is stretched lower vs the peer-group average. Mean reversion is a zone extremes can persist. But tops+bottoms is the goal. If its a longer-term hold it helps when it looks "cheap" both relative + absolute. NFA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018838985750032660"
X Link 2026-02-04T00:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$ZG (#Zillow) on the 1H flashing oversold. In mid-Dec [----] headlines said #Google began testing real-estate listings inside Search. This could reduce the amount of traffic Zillow receives. Top indicator (TanHef Ranks) Calculates: $ZG only Signal: [---] = Oversold (Historical Extreme) Takeaway: $ZG extremely cheap on the 1H timeframe. Bottom indicator (TanHef Ranks Screener) Calculates: $ZG vs [--] Communications Stocks Rank: [---] = Mild Oversold Takeaway: $ZG mildly oversold vs the peer group. Price looks great fundamentals not so much on the surface. NFA"
X Link 2026-02-04T22:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"History repeating $BTC Patterns https://t.co/Ax595mNXrD $BTC Patterns https://t.co/Ax595mNXrD"
X Link 2026-02-05T00:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Bitcoin (4h): Strong an quick bounce. TanHef Ranks: nailed [--] of the last [--] cycle lows. Flashing again today for the first time since $3900. https://t.co/9sMuBUDQil TanHef Ranks: nailed [--] of the last [--] cycle lows. Flashing again today for the first time since $3900. https://t.co/9sMuBUDQil"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$LRCX (1W) TanHef Ranks just printed a "most extreme overbought" signal. Lam Research (LRCX) is a key "picks & shovels" name in semiconductors building wafer-fab equipment to manufacture chips. Best known for etch and deposition tools critical in advanced chipmaking. NFA"
X Link 2026-02-08T22:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$NOW (1D): TanHef Ranks extreme oversold signal () #ServiceNow's price vs the mean is extremely stretched to the downside. The prior was back in 2016: price later ran +67% in [---] months and more than +1000% over the next [--] years. Not a promise extremes can persist but interesting. is an enterprise workflow automation SaaS (IT/HR/CS/SecOps). SaaS has been under pressure broadly due to the competive possibilities from AI. NFA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021010300124922339 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021010300124922339"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CRM (Salesforce): TanHef Ranks hit a historically "most oversold" already bouncing +5%. CRM: [---] historically most oversold. #SaaS (40 tickers): [-----] avg most oversold since [----]. AI likely enhances/augments SaaS not replaces it security is the big reason. NFA"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@sunny051488 Boomers: "Id rather bring a scale calipers magnet loupe drill water cup string and a graduated cylinder than just verify bitcoin with a node.""
X Link 2026-02-10T17:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$GME / $BTC Before: GameStop shouldve gone all-in on Bitcoin. After: Sends BTC to Coinbase (to sell) Now: Silence while $GME outperforms $BTC Funny how the execution outrage looks better in hindsight (so far). NFA While many are disappointed that $GME hasnt gone all-in on Bitcoin their current strategy (which remains partly undisclosed) is still exceptionally aggressive compared to other companies especially given the broader market context. Notably their performance remains strong. https://t.co/M4LKx966Bn While many are disappointed that $GME hasnt gone all-in on Bitcoin their current"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$BWA (BorgWarner): auto parts supplier adds AI. TanHef Ranks (1D): +7 (overbought extreme) EPS (Earnings Per Share): 25' Q4: $1.35 (now) 25' Q3: $1.24 25' Q2: $1.21 25' Q1: $1.11 24' Q4: $1.01 24' Q3: $1.09 24' Q2: $1.19 24' Q1: $1.03 Earnings helped AI helped more. NFA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021647899709648915 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021647899709648915"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Divergences are everywhere most miss the absolute vs relative ones. When price and an oscillator are moving in opposite directions it signals trend weakness and a potential reversal. Absolute = USD value stretch. Relative = ratio stretch vs peers. Divergence Explained๐งต"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Chart: $CAT (weekly): Top Indicator TanHef Ranks (absolute): +7 USD price becoming more overbought Bottom Indicator TanHef Ranks Screener (relative vs [--] tickers): +1 relative to peers becoming less overbought What does this mean $CAT is extremely overbought in USD (weekly) absolute mean-reversion risk elevated. $CAT is only mildly overbought vs peers the move isnt uniquely CAT-specific. Absolute diverge: None. (price + oscillator increasing) Relative divergence: Yes. momentum is cooling as outperformance trend is weakening as peers themselves. (price increase + oscillator decreasing)"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Aged like wine ๐ท Nobody wanted to hear "sub-$100" risk when $MSTR was $400+. $MSTRs market structure looks a lot like the last cycle. Asked Grok & ChatGPT for a worst-case bear market target both landed here using the same data: $54: pure price-history (90% repeats) $75: price market structure BTC-per-share changes Look at all scenarios. https://t.co/9WcZMjvfGG $MSTRs market structure looks a lot like the last cycle. Asked Grok & ChatGPT for a worst-case bear market target both landed here using the same data: $54: pure price-history (90% repeats) $75: price market structure BTC-per-share"
X Link 2026-02-06T00:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"TanHef Ranks: nailed [--] of the last [--] cycle lows. Flashing again today for the first time since $3900"
X Link 2026-02-06T03:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Price often runs into the buy then fades right after. That pattern is hard to ignore. One hypothesis: Are they sifting OTC wallets Paying a small premium then supporting spot so the tape prints as "normal" but with sloppy average execution price. Maybe price would move too much otherwise When Do Kwon was buying at spot price the price moved a lot more. Trying to understand whats happening isn't an accusation. If you dont ask questions you don't get answers you just repeat what youve been told. A lot of people are calling this period's average price "strange" but the usual run-up-then-fade"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The logical: Buy low sell high. The emotional: Buy despair sell certainty. The behavioral: Buy fear sell FOMO. The narrative: Buy "it's over" sell "it's obvious""
X Link 2026-02-13T04:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Trading in a nutshell. Logical Check the price vs. fundamentals (cheap). Emotional How does the vibe feel (Despair = green light.) Behavioral What is the herd doing (FOMO = red flag.) Narrative What's the prevailing story and is it maximally wrong The logical: Buy low sell high. The emotional: Buy despair sell certainty. The behavioral: Buy fear sell FOMO. The narrative: Buy "it's over" sell "it's obvious" The logical: Buy low sell high. The emotional: Buy despair sell certainty. The behavioral: Buy fear sell FOMO. The narrative: Buy "it's over" sell "it's obvious""
X Link 2026-02-14T03:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Vivek4real_ The OTC desk:"
X Link 2024-12-09T21:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Anyone elses heart skip a beat before remembering MSTU had a split ๐
"
X Link 2024-12-16T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@thebtcbond Buy the truth and sell it not; also wisdom and instruction and understanding. (Proverbs 23:23)"
X Link 2024-12-17T03:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TylerSCrypto It feels like we had a dump thats how cheap Bitcoin feels"
X Link 2024-12-17T14:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@PunterJeff @saylor Every time I hear Saylor talk I feel underexposed"
X Link 2024-12-18T18:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@NoContextHumans Taco Stand"
X Link 2025-01-12T00:13Z [----] followers, 10.7K engagements
"The Mindboggling Effect of Compounding on $MSTY MY MIND IS BLOWN๐คฏ Reinvesting dividends and the power of compounding are often overlooked in discussions about #MSTY. Heres how the compounding stacks up: Assumptions: - Annual Yield (MSTY): 130% - Monthly Yield (Pre-Tax): 10.83% = (1+1.30)1/121(1+1.30)1/12 - 1(1+1.30)1/121 - Taxes: Applied annually via share sales (0%-60%). Paying quarterly is also common. - Dividend Reinvesting: As MSTYs price drops dividends shrink. However as long as the yield remains consistent (generally true) dividends can be reinvested to buy the same number of shares."
X Link 2025-01-13T07:30Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"5-Year Price Targets for $BTC and $MSTR to Match $MSTY with Dividend Reinvestment The Mindboggling Effect of Compounding on $MSTY MY MIND IS BLOWN๐คฏ Reinvesting dividends and the power of compounding are often overlooked in discussions about #MSTY. Heres how the compounding stacks up: Assumptions: - Annual Yield (MSTY): 130% - Monthly Yield (Pre-Tax): https://t.co/Jkuh0iPLJP The Mindboggling Effect of Compounding on $MSTY MY MIND IS BLOWN๐คฏ Reinvesting dividends and the power of compounding are often overlooked in discussions about #MSTY. Heres how the compounding stacks up: Assumptions: -"
X Link 2025-01-14T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BitPaine First they ignore you then they laugh at you then they fight you then you win. #MSTR"
X Link 2025-01-25T17:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"DCA into BTC MSTR or MSTY Adding BTC complicates things but choosing between MSTR and MSTY might be easier with linear regression. The choice seems clear: utilizing DRIP with MSTY is best when MSTY becomes cheap (green) relative to MSTR (red)"
X Link 2025-02-07T18:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Leverage up Volatility up MSTY dividends up Strategy Announces Proposed Private Offering of $2.0B of Convertible Senior Notes. $MSTR https://t.co/EBOMdLlgdq Strategy Announces Proposed Private Offering of $2.0B of Convertible Senior Notes. $MSTR https://t.co/EBOMdLlgdq"
X Link 2025-02-18T21:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@GladiatorMSTR YOU ARE NOT BEARISH ENOUGH LMAO"
X Link 2025-02-27T22:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheBTCTherapist Lol rip ETH"
X Link 2025-03-02T15:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Has @BenWerkman actually crunched the numbers on $MSTY Every time I discuss #MSTY #MSTR or #Bitcoin with someone the conversation tends to go the same way. If someone disagrees or dismisses it its usually because they havent fully understood it or taken the time to dive in. I take everything Ben says very seriously; he clearly understands MSTR better than [----.%] of people and knows how profitable MSTR options can be. What do you all think Im here to learn and have a discussion. Is MSTY being misunderstood dismissed because he can outperform it with options seen as misleading based on the"
X Link 2025-03-21T17:44Z [----] followers, 20.2K engagements
"$GME earnings call today be like:"
X Link 2025-03-25T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Most traders overlook thisbut it changes everything. The $MSTY / $MSTR ratio doesnt just look different on a log scale it behaves differently. This thread breaks down how linear vs. log scaling (plus a few spicy tools/ideas) completely reshape your price analysis from regression channels to random indicator signals to long-term trend insight. ๐งต 1/ Linear Regression Channels: Linear vs. Log Scale Linear regression channels can help visualize trends in ratios like MSTY/MSTR. But the scale you use linear or log makes a huge difference. ๐ฆ Linear Scale: Equal spacing for absolute changes (e.g."
X Link 2025-03-26T19:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"MSTY with DRIP enabled and taxes applied to each payment"
X Link 2025-04-01T15:32Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"@tradingview #Bitcoin"
X Link 2025-04-04T19:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@trading_pjv77 ๐คฏ Interest covers management fees"
X Link 2025-04-05T19:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐ฅ $MSTY dropping its biggest candle ever +20% in a single day (measuring close to close) ๐ Largest % gain in history. You watching this thing"
X Link 2025-04-09T18:09Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements
"$MSTY is CRUSHING Bitcoin returns Proof ๐ ๐ MSTY vs BTC: Linear Regression Returns Total Return: +53.68% (413 days) Avg Annual Return: 47.15% โ
Synthetic options on Strategy (MSTR) โ
High income from option premiums โ
BTC upside without managing options โ
Arguably less drawdown in a future bear market (debate for another post) โ Counterparty risk (its an ETF) โ No self-custody like Bitcoin Its like getting paid to bet on BTC ๐ธ But remember: cold storage BTC = safest bet ๐ Bitcoin exposure. Income. Outperformance. Welcome to the MSTY party. ๐"
X Link 2025-04-10T19:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$BTC vs $MSTR vs $MSTY"
X Link 2025-04-15T04:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Has ANYONE seen an indicator nail MSTR cycle highs/lows like this My custom script called: โ
[----] top exact 4h bar โ
[----] bottom exact 4h bar โ
[----] top 4h early Confluence for probable reversals. Same settings for years. No repainting. Whats your go-to indicator"
X Link 2025-04-17T16:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An $MSTY DCA strategy with dividends reinvested outperforms $BTC on 97% of trading days since inception. ๐๐"
X Link 2025-04-22T22:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Moves like this from YieldMax make me increasingly convinced $MSTY (with DRIP) could outperform $MSTR over a 4-year span or at the very least come close in total return. Were here to harvest big premiums. For the first time Ive seen $MSTY sold at-the-money calls on Friday without using a credit call spread for insurance. No protective calls purchased above the strikes they sold pure premium collection this week. So far its looking like a smart move. With $MSTR IV lower For the first time Ive seen $MSTY sold at-the-money calls on Friday without using a credit call spread for insurance. No"
X Link 2025-05-05T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$MSTY cheat code ๐ฎ Plow the 10% monthly yield straight back in and let your stack balloon [-----] over four years. History shows the price possibly drifts back to todays range so just farm the payouts and let compounding work"
X Link 2025-05-07T16:43Z [----] followers, 17.9K engagements
"@RoaringRagnar @bitcoinmunger @tradingview Supertrend with default 10-period ATR and a multiplier of 3"
X Link 2025-05-09T19:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@rajatsonifnance MSTY has outperformed BTC by +110%. First own $BTC then $MSTR then $MSTY. IMO"
X Link 2025-05-10T18:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Unpopular opinion: $MSTY might outperform $MSTR in some scenarios. Popular opinion: Flipping $MSTR options beats just hodling $MSTR. Hard truth: Most traders lag buy-and-hold"
X Link 2025-05-15T17:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALTBG signal on the weekly triggered today ๐๐ $ALTBG is on fire ๐ฅ With a market cap of just 112M this small outfit is making waves by adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet. Currently holding [---] BTC (53M) theyre poised for growth. But beware this FOMO-fueled surge could spark profit-taking once holders see big https://t.co/HX1vBJRCf1 $ALTBG is on fire ๐ฅ With a market cap of just 112M this small outfit is making waves by adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet. Currently holding [---] BTC (53M) theyre poised for growth. But beware this FOMO-fueled surge could spark profit-taking once holders"
X Link 2025-05-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$MSTY is still trading above its inception price even though $MSTR went through -49.5% and -57.4% drawdowns in the same period. Sometimes I think of $MSTY as #JohnWick: Caine: You are going to die. John: Maybe not. Jokes aside structural decay is real. Without a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) #MSTY will almost certainly trend toward zero over time in BTC terms and in USD terms this is NOT garanteed. Does anyone think MSTY will just stay 90% down even if $BTC recovers or do you believe MSTY will recover in price (without DRIP) MSTY is up only 5% after existing for [---] years during a bitcoin"
X Link 2025-05-17T17:40Z [----] followers, 20.1K engagements
"$MSTY (with DRIP) is finally looking cheap vs. #Bitcoin now at a -2x regression deviation. Mean reversion setup Fun fact: On [---] out of [---] trading days DCAing into MSTY outperformed BTC"
X Link 2025-05-23T16:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Metaplanets growth is still following a log trend. ๐ How long can exponential growth last before it turns linear or flat Log๐ ride or rollercoaster๐ข next $3350.T $DN3 $MTPLF #Metaplanet"
X Link 2025-05-25T01:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Funny coincidence: @hiyoko_peeps year-end base case (1921) lines up almost exactly with the -2x log regression band (1900) for the end of [----]. If that wasnt built into the model its a wild coincidence. Metaplanet mapped to a logarithmic linear regression channel: Deviation (+2x): [----] Regression line: [----] Deviation (2x): [----] If BTC/share compounding continues on top of price discovery excitement bull case outcomes are very possible but likely wont last for long (blow off tops). If price were at the regression line (midline) as early as October the [----] target could already be achieved. We"
X Link 2025-05-25T04:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ProfessorB21 @saylor @Strategy Genuine question: If Metaplanet Bitwise Binance etc. can voluntarily publish their addresses why is it a problem for others Are we really saying the ones being transparent should be avoided because theyre taking transparency risks"
X Link 2025-05-27T05:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALTBG ๐ That moon though"
X Link 2025-05-30T19:27Z [----] followers, 10.3K engagements
"Excellent post everyone should consider these points about MSTY. TLDR: Its not just about growth. Use MSTY to cover real income needs avoid forced selling of BTC and de-risk your portfolio. Get enough MSTY to sleep well then let the rest ride in higher-growth assets. How much MSTY is enough Here's how I think about it. 1st Principle You want to put AS MUCH investment as possible into the HIGHEST-GROWTH longest-duration things (e.g. BTC MSTR) regardless of volatility. Seems simple and obvious right BUT that's only half the How much MSTY is enough Here's how I think about it. 1st Principle You"
X Link 2025-06-04T21:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BlockchainGroup (ALTBG) vs #Metaplanet (MTPLF) Linear Regression Channels ALTBG/Metaplanet ($BC7/$DN3) chart: Bear: +41.65% Base: +118.71% Bull: +179.71% Best: +2470.54% % = amount ALTBG outperforms MTPLF #NFA Note: True bear case regression falls. Thoughts"
X Link 2025-06-09T18:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Thinking about $ALTBG ๐"
X Link 2025-06-11T20:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALTBG Log Linear Regression (3-week update) ๐ข Long-term (since 1st BTC purchase) Sep [--] 2025: $5.40 (prior: $2.95) Jan [--] 2026: $23 (prior: $9) ๐ก Short-term (since strong April trend) Sep [--] 2025: $127 (prior: $243) Jan [--] 2026: $15k (prior: $55k) Observation: Long-term regression jumped 83% in three weeks. It now targets $5.40 (from $2.95) by September and $23 (from $9) by January [----]. This will continue to rise until price is below the regression's midline. Short-term remains absurdly aggressive: $127 by September $15k by January reflecting wild recent momentum. With an R-value at 0.985"
X Link 2025-06-20T01:35Z [----] followers, 17K engagements
"@Bthemoon2030 @_ALTBG ๐คฏ $ALTBG is the Goldilocks of Bitcoin treasuries - seasoned enough to trust still tiny enough for outsized upside and stacking BTC at warp speed"
X Link 2025-07-05T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$ALTBG could be primed for another powerful stretch. Volatility isnt a threat it's the heartbeat Bitcoin reactor. ๐ The Blockchain Group confirms the acquisition of [---] BTC for [----] million the holding of a total of [----] BTC and a BTC Yield of 1348.8% YTDโก Full Press Release (EN): https://t.co/m8xNvpVtCz Full Press Release (FR): https://t.co/Uq4U21MZQb BTC Strategy (EN): https://t.co/FCGHR2dxZG ๐ The Blockchain Group confirms the acquisition of [---] BTC for [----] million the holding of a total of [----] BTC and a BTC Yield of 1348.8% YTDโก Full Press Release (EN): https://t.co/m8xNvpVtCz Full"
X Link 2025-07-07T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#MSTR/#BTC is right where it was [---] days ago yet Bitcoin per share has nearly doubled. Think about that"
X Link 2025-07-14T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALTBG Log Linear Regression (3.5-week update) ๐ข Longterm (since 1st BTC purchase) Sep [--] 2025: $6.79 (prior: $5.40) Jan [--] 2026: $33.55 (prior: $23) ๐ก Shortterm (since strong April trend) Sep [--] 2025: $30.50 (prior: $127) Jan [--] 2026: $855.00 (prior: $15k) Observation: Longterm regression: Targets keep nudging higher $6.79 (Sept) and $33.55 (Jan 2026). Price is almost glued to the green midline so expect only pennylevel regression mid-line drift each day until price deviates. Shortterm regression: Throttle down. Projections reset to $30.50 (Sept) and $855 (Jan 2026) while the Rvalue slid to"
X Link 2025-07-15T05:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$LQWD (LQWD Technologies Corp) โก First mover in Lightning Network infrastructure ๐ +54.6% BTC holdings YTD ๐ +24.2% BTC holdings QTD ๐ค Small-cap ($83.75M USD market cap) ๐ฐ Zero debt; leveraged BTC treasury ๐ฏ mNAV Premium 3.7x (sweet spot) ๐ Recent aggressive BTC yield (2 months) ๐ Price Gift (-67% Pullback) ๐ Canada-based - Tax advantaged (TFSA/RRSP)"
X Link 2025-07-17T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALTBG (life) update: we are so back"
X Link 2025-07-22T17:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BitPaine No statute is immutable. They can rewrite safeguards without warning"
X Link 2025-07-24T18:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"BitPaine felt a "BIT of PAIN" and nuked his own reply after calling me a f**king idiot for saying ERISA is a statute when its literally the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of [----]. Peak irony from a selfproclaimed Bitcoin maximalist who suddenly trusts Congress to never change the rules and give us plenty of warning. He mocks literal children then fumbles basic civics deletes the evidence and pretends it never happened. Selfown complete"
X Link 2025-07-27T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$ALTBG Log Linear Regression Update ๐ข Long-term (anchored to 1st BTC buy) Sep [--] 2025: [----] Jan [--] 2026: [-----] ๐ก Short-term (anchored to highest-R Feb 17th) Sep [--] 2025: [-----] Jan [--] 2026: [------] Observation: Short-term regression channel (anchored to current highest R-Correlation) had price just hit the 2.5x lower deviation band a textbook mean-reversion buy zone. Long-term trend will continue to go down until price gets back above the midline currently sitting at a wild 11x the beginning of [----] from today's price. This undeniably underscores how impressive the last [--] months have been. $ALTBG"
X Link 2025-07-27T21:51Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements
"Could $MSTR's earnings spark another gap versus $MSTY (+DRIP) Last Sept/Oct burst: [--] % gain or [--] % in long-term averaged out. Catching only gains real time is tricky; longerdated options +MSTY may be more optimal than ticker hopping. NFA. Chart: MSTR/MSTY (with DRIP)"
X Link 2025-07-30T21:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ambofqwan @HermesLux For how often Hermes talks about MSTY I wonder if its a case of The Pot calling the kettle black. When a person is guilty of the very thing of which they accuse another"
X Link 2025-07-31T03:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Self-reflecting on recent decisions and noticing $ALCPB (formerly $ALTBG) quietly outshining the rest. Lately even as it's fiat value slips its been holding up a bit stronger than $MTPLF $MSTR $LQWD and $SMLR. Look where others are not. $ALTBG (life) update: we are so back https://t.co/2TjJgTvlV5 $ALTBG (life) update: we are so back https://t.co/2TjJgTvlV5"
X Link 2025-08-07T03:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BitPaine Wow an R of [----] ๐คฏ"
X Link 2025-08-08T00:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hard to see the desire of choosing $ULTY over $MSTY when the MSTY/ULTY ratio looks like this"
X Link 2025-08-11T22:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In May $ALCPB saw a weekly extreme-rank (overbought) signal flashed near [----] followed by a couple-day upward push a sharp -44% drawdown then a multi-week surge to [--] before a complete round-trip reversion back below [----]. These "blown-through" mean-reversion signals often behave like magnets: the initial overshoot stretches prices to unsustainable extremes pulling them back not just to but often through the original anticipated reversal level. Escentially "resetting price". Bottom line: If you were bullish at [----] on the ascent you should be even more enthusiastic at [----] on the descent from"
X Link 2025-08-13T05:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALCPB Log-scale linear regression update ๐ข Long-term (anchor: 1st BTC purchase; highest +R) Sep [--] 2025: [----] Jan [--] 2026: [-----] ๐ฅ (Note: By chance this is the best +slope fit regression) ๐ด Short-term (anchor: Max R; slope Jun [--] 25') Sep [--] 2025: [----] Jan [--] 2026: crumbs (Note: Max R means best fit regardless of slope) Linear Regression Fit summary Max +R (best positive fit): R = +0.90 ๐ข Max R (best absolute fit): R = [----] ๐ด Takeaways Long-term: price near the [---] lower band mean-reversion loading. Short-term: downside is bounded by the NAV-premium floor. Croissant first moon later. ๐ฅ๐"
X Link 2025-08-18T06:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALCPB Total Bitcoin Targets Bitcoin-Per-Share (BPS) Targets [----] EOY: [----] BTC [----] EOY: [---------] BTC BPS Calculation Method: Linear fit of Bitcoin/Share (Fully Diluted sats/share) vs Total BTC ignoring the first two early outliers. BPS estimates if targets are met [-----] sats/share (FD) at [----] BTC (25) 1626.73251.1 sats/share (FD) at 7k15k BTC (27) Current BPS (FD): [---] sats/share Implied BPS gain from now [----] EOY: +22.7% [----] EOY: +145.0% to +389.6%"
X Link 2025-09-04T04:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@JavierHermosa21 Total supply increase in the past year: MSTR: 70% BTC: 0.7% MSTR needs buyers. BTC needs HODLers"
X Link 2025-09-04T05:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Gh9876543My @SmithsonBrennan Most holders lag BTC due to the rising float. Daily MSTR DCA since treasury inception only beats BTC by 17.3% with a -63.5% max drawdown vs BTC"
X Link 2026-01-01T00:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$SILVER looks overbought (expensive) vs $GOLD: Chart: $XAG / $XAU Weekly chart: TanHef Ranks printing +5 which has marked reversal zones multiple times over the last five decades. Both linear-scale and log-scale regression are near the +2x deviation a common reversal level. US Mint's silver price jumped +85% in [--] days while spot silver is only +7%. https://t.co/x4VV6SNeze US Mint's silver price jumped +85% in [--] days while spot silver is only +7%. https://t.co/x4VV6SNeze"
X Link 2026-01-19T18:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) just printed a TanHef Rank [---] on the 4H chart. Historically most extreme oversold reading by this indicator"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In [----] a [---] also occurred. These are very rare / extreme momentum levels. Mean-reversion: extremes often become potential reversion zones but they can also persist while trend pressure stays heavy. Predicting policy is hard; price is the scoreboard. NFA"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$BTC (4 hour): same price as [--] days ago but less oversold. NFA"
X Link 2026-01-30T03:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@CeeGix @intocryptoverse [----] took [---] days for a +6% new ATH. Not exactly a parabolic top in my opinion"
X Link 2026-01-30T03:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Is the bitcoin cycle actually dead @grok Do these fractals match"
X Link 2026-01-30T03:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"SILVER/GOLD (1W) TanHef Ranks printed +6 (overbought) same as [----]. Notable symmetry: both the [----] and this +6 rank were followed by a -31% drop on a single bar. Signals dont repaint. Intrabar pullbacks (wicks) dont change ranks only more-extreme price increases them"
X Link 2026-01-30T20:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"SILVER/GOLD (1W) TanHef Ranks printed +6 (overbought) same as [----]. Notable symmetry: both the [----] and this +6 rank were followed by a -31% drop on a single bar. Signals dont repaint. Intrabar pullbacks (wicks) dont change ranks only more-extreme price increases them. $SILVER looks overbought (expensive) vs $GOLD: Chart: $XAG / $XAU Weekly chart: TanHef Ranks printing +5 which has marked reversal zones multiple times over the last five decades. Both linear-scale and log-scale regression are near the +2x deviation a common reversal level. https://t.co/a7y5AadP55 $SILVER looks overbought"
X Link 2026-01-30T20:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CAD's on a no-protein diet. $USD's on a low-protein diet. Fiats fully catabolic"
X Link 2025-10-11T18:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I think about this often. If policy hadnt skated against energy would $CAD to $USD be 1:1 ๐"
X Link 2025-10-16T03:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Copper miner stocks are rising faster than copper in expectations of exploding profitability. $SCCO But both copper and copper-miner stocks look overbought on the mid-term. Interesting: the [--] year regression CAGR for $SCCO (miner) is 18% but $XCU (copper) is only 2.3%. Time to sell the plumbing #Copper $XCU Fundamentals: 75% of demand is electricity-related (transmission/generation wiring electronics). Demand likely to accelerate. Price: TanHef Ranks: No signal. Recent +2 (mild overbought) Linear Regression: +2x deviation (overbought) https://t.co/y8L5xADSmO Time to sell the plumbing #Copper"
X Link 2026-01-20T23:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$VZ (1H): TanHef Ranks +6 (extreme). Truth noise. Price tapping at the uppder deviation's horizon. Fun fact: "Verizon" comes from veritas (truth) + horizon"
X Link 2026-02-02T19:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@henaohodl @Brennan_BTC22 It is. If its not intentional yikes"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"๐ Comparing Returns: MSTY vs. MSTR MSTY Performance (Distributions Reinvested): ๐ $20.38 First Open (02/22/2024) ๐ฅ +9.20% (Avg. Monthly Return) ๐ $34.29 First Record Date (04/05/2024) ๐ฅ +5.44% (Avg. Monthly Return) MSTR Performance: ๐ $13.49 Bitcoin Announcement (08/11/2020) ๐ +5.74% (Avg. Monthly Return) ๐ $53.58 Highest Volume Since [--] (01/07/2021) ๐ +3.45% (Avg. Monthly Return) My Take: The entry points in this kind of comparison are endless. In backtesting I found MSTY (with DRIP) tends to outperform holding MSTR during declines (not surprising as that is its purpose). Therefore"
X Link 2025-03-21T16:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"While many are disappointed that $GME hasnt gone all-in on Bitcoin their current strategy (which remains partly undisclosed) is still exceptionally aggressive compared to other companies especially given the broader market context. Notably their performance remains strong"
X Link 2025-05-28T19:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$MSTRs market structure looks a lot like the last cycle. Asked Grok & ChatGPT for a worst-case bear market target both landed here using the same data: $54: pure price-history (90% repeats) $75: price market structure BTC-per-share changes Look at all scenarios"
X Link 2025-07-28T21:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
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/creator/twitter::TanHef