[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @SurvivorSweat Survivor Sweat Survivor Sweat posts on X about if you, threshold, future, baltimore ravens the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1625534144716627969/interactions)  - X Week XXXXX -XX% - X Month XXXXXX +102% - X Months XXXXXXX -XX% - X Year XXXXXXX -XX% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1625534144716627969/posts_active)  - X Months XX +172% - X Year XXX +66% ### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1625534144716627969/followers)  - X Week XXXXX +0.43% - X Month XXXXX +5.60% - X Months XXXXX +74% - X Year XXXXX +86% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1625534144716627969/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [nfl](/list/nfl) [finance](/list/finance) **Social topic influence** [if you](/topic/if-you), [threshold](/topic/threshold) #52, [future](/topic/future), [baltimore ravens](/topic/baltimore-ravens), [money](/topic/money), [hosted](/topic/hosted), [sweat](/topic/sweat) #181, [seattle seahawks](/topic/seattle-seahawks), [jacksonville jaguars](/topic/jacksonville-jaguars), [new york](/topic/new-york) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@mbuchmiller](/creator/undefined) [@statsational](/creator/undefined) [@rosenblumr](/creator/undefined) [@circasports](/creator/undefined) [@tonysmarkettips](/creator/undefined) [@paulyhoward](/creator/undefined) [@mitchmossradio](/creator/undefined) [@jeffreybenson12](/creator/undefined) [@vsinlive](/creator/undefined) [@camdurm](/creator/undefined) [@dallawriter](/creator/undefined) [@audavidb](/creator/undefined) [@rosenblumrs](/creator/undefined) [@derekjstevens](/creator/undefined) [@ryanscotthoag](/creator/undefined) [@lastmenpod](/creator/undefined) [@jessicahearns](/creator/undefined) [@lifelibertygolf](/creator/undefined) [@fightonspooky](/creator/undefined) [@survivorsweatpod](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "Wow. The Baltimore Ravens fall at home. Clipping XXX entries in the process. Regardless of this many entries dying we hope you guys had a great & safe Thanksgiving. We'll see you for the Black Friday chalk tomorrow. #CircaSurvivor" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1994267743638429758) 2025-11-28T04:50Z 3063 followers, 3495 engagements "Survivor Sweat creator James went on Follow The Money hosted by @MitchMossRadio & @paulyhoward to break down our marketplace. The entries James spoke about are still on the marketplace right now Go take a look for yourself:" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1997038860338188620) 2025-12-05T20:22Z 3063 followers, 1600 engagements "Week 15: The Top Options Seattle Seahawks vs. Indianapolis (89.07% win probability): Seattle is a team we never expected to be an option this week but with Indianapolis having no quarterback they are suddenly the largest favorite with an XX% win probability. Hardly anyone can take them in most pools and as such their pick percentage is extremely low. If by some chance you have Seattle left you should XXX% be using them this week. None of the Circa entries remaining can use Seattle" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998538762117427426) 2025-12-09T23:42Z 3068 followers, XX engagements "Top Options cont. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets (86.75% win probability): The Jaguars have an XX% chance to win their game at home against the Jets this week. Six entries in Circa can still take Jacksonville. Jacksonville has better future matchups than San Francisco which is why more will be on the 49ers. The Jaguars are at Indianapolis in Week XX where they could potentially be a big favorite and Week XX they host Tennessee. As always Week XX is difficult to predict as teams that clinch their playoff spot may rest starters" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998539031832059933) 2025-12-09T23:43Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements "Top Options cont. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Las Vegas (86.45% win probability): Nine of the remaining XX in Circa have the Eagles left to take. This is unique to Circa because of the large number that used Philadelphia and were eliminated on Black Friday. I suspect even with X of the XX in Circa with Philadelphia left to take most will be on San Francisco and Jacksonville. Philadelphia offers the best team that is still available to many survivor participants as a leverage play against San Francisco and Jacksonville. The Eagles have two more matchups with Washington but the home game is in Week" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998539136391852521) 2025-12-09T23:43Z 3068 followers, XX engagements "Top Options cont. Houston Texans vs. Arizona (81.98% win probability): Houston is a solid option this week with a strong win probability and low ownership. They offer good leverage against the chalk picks. Houston has a good matchup next week at home versus Las Vegas. Not many have Houston left. Depending on your other options Houston may be a much better play next week as picks may be more focused on teams with a lower win probability" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998539248388157455) 2025-12-09T23:44Z 3068 followers, XX engagements "Top Options cont. Chicago Bears @ Cleveland (78.02% win probability): The Bears are getting a solid percentage of picks in pools based on Survivor Grid projections. In Circa only X person has Chicago as an option but they also have Jacksonville and Philadelphia. It will be interesting to see how they play it. Do they sacrifice some win probability to be the solo entry on Chicago This is the last week you will want to take the Bears. They are likely in pick'em or underdog games the rest of the way" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998539382769463750) 2025-12-09T23:44Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements "Hedging Opportunities San Francisco and Seattle play the latest games of the teams most likely to be picked. I note that because for hedging having the latest game is always advantageous. Think about last week knowing Tampa Bay and Cleveland eliminated over XX% of participants in most pools and perhaps being one of the only entries still alive for the afternoon slate of games. Your hedge bet just increased tremendously" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998539499551564262) 2025-12-09T23:45Z 3068 followers, XX engagements "Top Options cont. San Francisco 49ers vs. Tennessee (88.10% win probability): The most popular pick on Survivor Grid's projections is the second-highest favorite San Francisco. With an XX% chance to win they are seeing the highest pick percentage this week. In Circa X of the remaining XX have them available. If you think X take San Francisco the threshold column on my sheet says you will need a team with at least an XX% win probability or greater in order to fade San Francisco. At XX% pick rate you need a XX% win probability team or greater in order to get away from San Francisco. If you" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998538881747362287) 2025-12-09T23:42Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements "Late Season Strategy: Optimal Path Forward We are at the point of the season where playing optimally regardless of the size of the pool is the way to go unless we are down to a small number of people where we can use some game theory. Last week I mentioned Denver the Rams and Seattle were fantastic plays if you had any of those teams left to take because the Buccaneers would be so heavily taken which they were. You also gave up very little in terms of win probability to do it. In those spots we want to get off the highly picked team if we can. But that is not always an option and taking a" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998538428531806719) 2025-12-09T23:41Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements "Late Season Strategy cont. I have talked about my threshold column before so let me explain how to use it. The threshold calculation shows you the minimum win percentage you need from an alternative team to justify fading the popular pick. For example if San Francisco is being picked by XX% of the field the threshold might be 81%. This means any team with at least an XX% win probability would be a mathematically sound alternative to fade San Francisco with. The higher the pick percentage the lower your threshold becomes meaning you can justify using a weaker team to get away from the chalk." [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998538597717389339) 2025-12-09T23:41Z 3068 followers, XX engagements "Looking Ahead: Week XX and the Christmas Games Looking ahead to Week XX the largest favorites are Kansas City (11.5-point favorite) at Tennessee Houston (12-point favorite) home for Las Vegas Buffalo (8.5-point favorite) at Cleveland San Francisco (6-point favorite) at Indianapolis Detroit (6.5-point favorite) home for Pittsburgh and Philadelphia (5-point favorite) at Washington. You do not want to take a team this week that may put you in a spot where you are not taking one of the large favorites next week. Remember optimizing your picks now is paramount unless you are down to so few that" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998539608293081261) 2025-12-09T23:45Z 3068 followers, XX engagements "Conclusion cont. With just four weeks remaining the path to Week XX is becoming clearer. Every pick matters and every percentage point of win probability counts. Use your threshold calculations consider your future options and make the optimal play for your situation" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998540002201084390) 2025-12-09T23:47Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements "As always you can tailor this advice to fit your pool's specific rules size and your personal risk tolerance. If you need any help with your pool feel free to message me on X @statsational. Best of luck this week and I hope to welcome you back next week as a Week XX survivor" [X Link](https://x.com/SurvivorSweat/status/1998540101287293409) 2025-12-09T23:47Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@SurvivorSweat Survivor Sweat
Survivor Sweat posts on X about if you, threshold, future, baltimore ravens the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXX +102%
- X Months XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXX -XX%
Mentions: XX #
- X Months XX +172%
- X Year XXX +66%
Followers: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXX +0.43%
- X Month XXXXX +5.60%
- X Months XXXXX +74%
- X Year XXXXX +86%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX #
Social Influence
Social category influence nfl finance
Social topic influence if you, threshold #52, future, baltimore ravens, money, hosted, sweat #181, seattle seahawks, jacksonville jaguars, new york
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @mbuchmiller @statsational @rosenblumr @circasports @tonysmarkettips @paulyhoward @mitchmossradio @jeffreybenson12 @vsinlive @camdurm @dallawriter @audavidb @rosenblumrs @derekjstevens @ryanscotthoag @lastmenpod @jessicahearns @lifelibertygolf @fightonspooky @survivorsweatpod
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"Wow. The Baltimore Ravens fall at home. Clipping XXX entries in the process. Regardless of this many entries dying we hope you guys had a great & safe Thanksgiving. We'll see you for the Black Friday chalk tomorrow. #CircaSurvivor"
X Link 2025-11-28T04:50Z 3063 followers, 3495 engagements
"Survivor Sweat creator James went on Follow The Money hosted by @MitchMossRadio & @paulyhoward to break down our marketplace. The entries James spoke about are still on the marketplace right now Go take a look for yourself:"
X Link 2025-12-05T20:22Z 3063 followers, 1600 engagements
"Week 15: The Top Options Seattle Seahawks vs. Indianapolis (89.07% win probability): Seattle is a team we never expected to be an option this week but with Indianapolis having no quarterback they are suddenly the largest favorite with an XX% win probability. Hardly anyone can take them in most pools and as such their pick percentage is extremely low. If by some chance you have Seattle left you should XXX% be using them this week. None of the Circa entries remaining can use Seattle"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:42Z 3068 followers, XX engagements
"Top Options cont. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets (86.75% win probability): The Jaguars have an XX% chance to win their game at home against the Jets this week. Six entries in Circa can still take Jacksonville. Jacksonville has better future matchups than San Francisco which is why more will be on the 49ers. The Jaguars are at Indianapolis in Week XX where they could potentially be a big favorite and Week XX they host Tennessee. As always Week XX is difficult to predict as teams that clinch their playoff spot may rest starters"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:43Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements
"Top Options cont. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Las Vegas (86.45% win probability): Nine of the remaining XX in Circa have the Eagles left to take. This is unique to Circa because of the large number that used Philadelphia and were eliminated on Black Friday. I suspect even with X of the XX in Circa with Philadelphia left to take most will be on San Francisco and Jacksonville. Philadelphia offers the best team that is still available to many survivor participants as a leverage play against San Francisco and Jacksonville. The Eagles have two more matchups with Washington but the home game is in Week"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:43Z 3068 followers, XX engagements
"Top Options cont. Houston Texans vs. Arizona (81.98% win probability): Houston is a solid option this week with a strong win probability and low ownership. They offer good leverage against the chalk picks. Houston has a good matchup next week at home versus Las Vegas. Not many have Houston left. Depending on your other options Houston may be a much better play next week as picks may be more focused on teams with a lower win probability"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:44Z 3068 followers, XX engagements
"Top Options cont. Chicago Bears @ Cleveland (78.02% win probability): The Bears are getting a solid percentage of picks in pools based on Survivor Grid projections. In Circa only X person has Chicago as an option but they also have Jacksonville and Philadelphia. It will be interesting to see how they play it. Do they sacrifice some win probability to be the solo entry on Chicago This is the last week you will want to take the Bears. They are likely in pick'em or underdog games the rest of the way"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:44Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements
"Hedging Opportunities San Francisco and Seattle play the latest games of the teams most likely to be picked. I note that because for hedging having the latest game is always advantageous. Think about last week knowing Tampa Bay and Cleveland eliminated over XX% of participants in most pools and perhaps being one of the only entries still alive for the afternoon slate of games. Your hedge bet just increased tremendously"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:45Z 3068 followers, XX engagements
"Top Options cont. San Francisco 49ers vs. Tennessee (88.10% win probability): The most popular pick on Survivor Grid's projections is the second-highest favorite San Francisco. With an XX% chance to win they are seeing the highest pick percentage this week. In Circa X of the remaining XX have them available. If you think X take San Francisco the threshold column on my sheet says you will need a team with at least an XX% win probability or greater in order to fade San Francisco. At XX% pick rate you need a XX% win probability team or greater in order to get away from San Francisco. If you"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:42Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements
"Late Season Strategy: Optimal Path Forward We are at the point of the season where playing optimally regardless of the size of the pool is the way to go unless we are down to a small number of people where we can use some game theory. Last week I mentioned Denver the Rams and Seattle were fantastic plays if you had any of those teams left to take because the Buccaneers would be so heavily taken which they were. You also gave up very little in terms of win probability to do it. In those spots we want to get off the highly picked team if we can. But that is not always an option and taking a"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:41Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements
"Late Season Strategy cont. I have talked about my threshold column before so let me explain how to use it. The threshold calculation shows you the minimum win percentage you need from an alternative team to justify fading the popular pick. For example if San Francisco is being picked by XX% of the field the threshold might be 81%. This means any team with at least an XX% win probability would be a mathematically sound alternative to fade San Francisco with. The higher the pick percentage the lower your threshold becomes meaning you can justify using a weaker team to get away from the chalk."
X Link 2025-12-09T23:41Z 3068 followers, XX engagements
"Looking Ahead: Week XX and the Christmas Games Looking ahead to Week XX the largest favorites are Kansas City (11.5-point favorite) at Tennessee Houston (12-point favorite) home for Las Vegas Buffalo (8.5-point favorite) at Cleveland San Francisco (6-point favorite) at Indianapolis Detroit (6.5-point favorite) home for Pittsburgh and Philadelphia (5-point favorite) at Washington. You do not want to take a team this week that may put you in a spot where you are not taking one of the large favorites next week. Remember optimizing your picks now is paramount unless you are down to so few that"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:45Z 3068 followers, XX engagements
"Conclusion cont. With just four weeks remaining the path to Week XX is becoming clearer. Every pick matters and every percentage point of win probability counts. Use your threshold calculations consider your future options and make the optimal play for your situation"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:47Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements
"As always you can tailor this advice to fit your pool's specific rules size and your personal risk tolerance. If you need any help with your pool feel free to message me on X @statsational. Best of luck this week and I hope to welcome you back next week as a Week XX survivor"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:47Z 3068 followers, XXX engagements