# ![@SCapStrategist Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1928027116668428289.png) @SCapStrategist TSCS

TSCS posts on X about ai, in the, $pstg, gold the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1928027116668428289/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1928027116668428289/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] -10%
- [--] Month [------] +212%
- [--] Months [-------] +4,759%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1928027116668428289/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1928027116668428289/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -22%
- [--] Month [---] +77%
- [--] Months [---] +603%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1928027116668428289/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1928027116668428289/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +9.60%
- [--] Month [---] +39%
- [--] Months [---] +4,808%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1928027116668428289/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1928027116668428289/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  47.15% [finance](/list/finance)  42.28% [countries](/list/countries)  15.45% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  13.82% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  5.69% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1.63% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.81% [currencies](/list/currencies)  0.81%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 15.45%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 13.01%, [$pstg](/topic/$pstg) #6, [gold](/topic/gold) 8.94%, [china](/topic/china) 7.32%, [market](/topic/market) #840, [if you](/topic/if-you) 6.5%, [$cnq](/topic/$cnq) 6.5%, [$cvna](/topic/$cvna) #49, [flow](/topic/flow) 5.69%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@joinyellowbrick](/creator/undefined) [@pheinsdo](/creator/undefined) [@claudeai](/creator/undefined) [@lukegromens](/creator/undefined) [@teabagcapital](/creator/undefined) [@moneymenpod](/creator/undefined) [@evfcfaddict](/creator/undefined) [@diipvaluecap](/creator/undefined) [@canuckelhed](/creator/undefined) [@lucianonocente](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG)](/topic/$pstg) [Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ)](/topic/$cnq) [Carvana Co. (CVNA)](/topic/$cvna) [Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)](/topic/$amat) [Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)](/topic/$lrcx) [Hubbell, Inc. (HUBB)](/topic/$hubb) [Dell Technologies, Inc. (DELL)](/topic/$dell) [Veeva Systems, Inc. (VEEV)](/topic/$veev) [KLA Corp (KLAC)](/topic/$klac) [ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX)](/topic/$asx) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [NetApp Inc. (NTAP)](/topic/$ntap) [Tractor Supply Co (TSCO)](/topic/$tsco) [Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX)](/topic/$fcx) [Now Coin (NOW)](/topic/$now) [GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC. (GWRE)](/topic/$gwre) [Salesforce Inc (CRM)](/topic/$crm) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Stacks (STX)](/topic/$stx) [Western Digital Corp (WDC)](/topic/$wdc) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Andritz just validated the whole thesis. Orders surging backlog near records margins steady and the service model proving its strength. Hydropower and green-transition wins only add to the momentum. If you missed our deep dive nows the time to read it. $ANDR #ANDR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/1994438753004212686)  2025-11-28T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"THE [---] BILLION GREEN GIANT Andritz AG ($ANDR) isn't just a machinery builder. It is the industrial engine room of the Green Transition. While the market prices it like a cyclical relic (P/E 12.8x) Andritz is executing a structural pivot into the highest-growth sectors of the next decade. They are not just talking about "green energy." They are building the infrastructure. Order intake in H1 [----] surged +20% YoY to [---] billion. Hydropower orders exploded +72% as the world scrambles for grid storage. This isn't a recovery. It's a re-industrialization. Here is the operational reality the legacy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2001238675674288511)  2025-12-17T10:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ "Earnings" are an opinion; cash is the truth. $WDO has effectively doubled its liquidity in just nine months sitting on CAD $266M with zero net debt. FCF grew 2.5x with a 34% margin. That is a massive shift in risk profile"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2005049184110690468)  2025-12-27T22:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ The Asymmetric Bet: Eagle Rivers free cash flow justifies a significant portion of the current market cap on its own. Investors are effectively getting the Kiena Deep turnaround managed by the team that built Kirkland Lake for free"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2005049195074650461)  2025-12-27T22:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ The global energy infrastructure is crumbling. Its not hyperbole its a thermodynamic reality. Investors view $HUBB as a cyclical industrial "toggle switch." I disagree. It is a secular compounder with a regulatory moat wide enough to drown a competitor. 🧵👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2005408563620192271)  2025-12-28T22:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ Commodity SSDs are "black boxes" with their own controllers fighting the main array. This leads to Garbage Collection collisions and latency nightmares. It is like an orchestra where every musician is wearing noise canceling headphones"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901243577323844)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ $PSTG bypasses the SSD controller entirely with DirectFlash. This is "God Mode" for storage. Their Purity OS speaks directly to raw NAND cells. The payoff: 5x more density than $DELL and [--] percent to [--] percent fewer watts per terabyte"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901247402754352)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ In the AI era $PSTG is selling power arbitrage. Data centers in Virginia are hitting a power wall. By removing mechanical motors and redundant controllers $PSTG frees up watts that can be redirected to expensive GPUs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901252054237196)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"6/ The Meta deal is a massive validation. $META is deploying exabytes of DirectFlash because they cannot afford the power or floor space required by standard SSDs. They are outsourcing the headache of NAND management to $PSTG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901255137030483)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"7/ $PSTG also killed the "Forklift Scam." Legacy vendors $DELL and $NTAP force expensive migrations every [--] years. The Evergreen model allows customers to upgrade controllers without ever moving data. Once you are in leaving is illogical"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901260375736826)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"8/ AI is the final nail in the coffin for hard drives ($STX $WDC). AI models cannot wait for a disk to spin up. You cannot starve a [------] dollar per hour GPU cluster with cheap slow storage. $PSTG is coming for the nearline market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901263441772969)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ But fear the valuation. $PSTG trades at a nosebleed 32x forward P/E and 108x EV/EBITDA. It is priced for perfection. They are also facing a "knife fight" with VAST Data a new AI native challenger winning hyperscale deals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901266851434497)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ The founder Coz Colgrove has been cashing out tens of millions in stock near all time highs. It is never a great look when the visionary is dumping shares while the valuation is full. They also recently got snubbed by the S&P 500"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901269754200176)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"11/ The Verdict: If you believe AI factories will run into a hard power wall $PSTG is the only pure play bet. But do not chase it here. Wait for the inevitable NAND price spike to scare the tourists then buy the engineering"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901273017364740)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"4/ The efficiency is terrifying. DeepSeek trained a frontier AI model for just [------] dollars. $BYDDF (BYD) sold [--] million cars last year. China is using deflation to build a strategic dominance that no amount of Western tariffs can easily break"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2013391340390830462)  2026-01-19T23:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"8/ The bullish sanctuary is Optical Interconnects. $AIXA retains over [--] percent share in lasers for data communications. As $NVDA Blackwell clusters move from copper to light to save power demand for $AIXA's G10-AsP tool should stay robust"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014026298813788403)  2026-01-21T17:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ Valuation is a structural re-rating story. At 25x forward P/E $AIXA is in line with $VECO but significantly cheaper than high-growth peers like $LRCX or $AMAT. The market is correctly pricing in the "visibility crisis" and the SiC glut"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014026302769012825)  2026-01-21T17:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ The final verdict: $AIXA is no longer a high-growth compounder. It is a cyclical industrial in a deep trough facing permanent market share loss in China. Until visibility returns expect the valuation premium to remain broken. Position accordingly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014026304887075136)  2026-01-21T17:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ Delivering a small [---] pound mixed order to a local corner shop is a nightmare for giants like $TSCO. $KITW owned the route density and [--] percent service reliability that competitors simply could not replicate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014702746641875244)  2026-01-23T14:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"8/ Concentration is a double-edged sword. $LRCX business is built around giants like Samsung $SSNLF and TSMC $TSM. A spending shift or a technological misstep by just one of these major customers could have an outsized impact on profitability"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2015501820131528844)  2026-01-25T19:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ This is a high-stakes oligopoly. $LRCX battles titans like Applied Materials $AMAT and Tokyo Electron $TOELY. In this arena being second-best on a single technology node can mean losing years of business and billions in revenue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2015501823059124261)  2026-01-25T19:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ Integration is squeezing the open market. Giants like $FCX (Freeport) and $IVN (Ivanhoe) are building their own smelters to process their own concentrate. This removes over [--] million tonnes of capacity from the merchant market starving un-integrated players"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2015802922152452166)  2026-01-26T15:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ The demand pull is undeniable. Cable makers like $PRY (Prysmian) and $NEX.PA (Nexans) are reporting record backlogs. $HUBB (Hubbell) is acquiring connector companies to capture grid buildout demand. The supply chain is contracting at the base while expanding at the end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2015802925994369149)  2026-01-26T15:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"11/ The trade: Forget the cyclical noise. The new economy is physically locked into copper. Own the miners like $FCX $SCCO (Southern Copper) and $IVN or the "picks and shovels" of the grid like $HUBB. You cannot build the AI future without the copper wire"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2015802929089818750)  2026-01-26T15:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ We are in the "Red Queen Effect": the industry is running fast just to stay in place. [--] percent of upstream investment is now just offsetting natural production declines. There is a [--] to [---] billion dollar annual deficit just to maintain current levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2016163897410036201)  2026-01-27T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"6/ Wall Streets valuation of oil majors like $XOM and $DVN relies on a "Peak Demand" illusion. Analysts write off production after [----] to near-zero. If the IEA's "no peak" scenario is correct the "tail" of these assets is worth everything. Re-pricing is inevitable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2016163899960177142)  2026-01-27T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ Shale is a treadmill: the average well loses [--] percent of its production in Year [--]. If you stop drilling today production falls off a cliff in [--] to [--] months. The "cushion" that allowed production to grow without adding rigs is officially gone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2016163908696883472)  2026-01-27T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"10/ Avoid the "cannibalisers" who pay dividends by depleting assets. Own the investors like $CNQ. They replaced [---] percent of production in [----] and hold a [--] year reserve life. That is a fortress balance sheet for the upturn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2016163912241066113)  2026-01-27T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ On Dec [--] [----] the Iranian Rial hit 1.45M/USD. The Tehran Bazaars strike its first since [----] marks a structural break not just a protest. Here is what you need to understand the crisis. 🧵👇 #Iran #Oil #Macro #Geopolitics #Energy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2016675227644653874)  2026-01-29T00:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Fossil fuels still power [--] percent of global energy and the "energy transition" is hitting a brick wall of arithmetic. While the market obsesses over software $CNQ is building a fortress in the physical world. #Oil #Energy #Investing #Macro 🧵👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286936335942026)  2026-01-30T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ Tier-1 acreage in the Permian is already [--] to [--] percent drilled. DUC inventory has collapsed [--] percent from its peak. Shale is a treadmill that is starting to slow down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286947702546592)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"5/ Nearly [--] percent of global upstream investment is now spent just to offset natural declines. The industry is running as fast as it can just to stay in place. $CNQ owns the solution to this problem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286951670370346)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"6/ Oil sands are not shale. While shale wells decline [--] percent plus in year one $CNQ assets decline just [--] to [--] percent. They do not need to drill 24/7 just to maintain production"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286955248070980)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"7/ $CNQ is the low cost hegemon. Their Pelican Lake polymer flood produces oil for just [--] dollars per barrel. Even at [--] dollar WTI $CNQ remains cash flow positive while Permian peers face existential questions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286959098429669)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ N. Murray Edwards has built a [--] year track record of dividend growth with a [--] percent CAGR. They return billions to shareholders while maintaining a fortress balance sheet at 1.1x debt to EBITDA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286966321009007)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"10/ You are paying fair value for stability with a massive "supply thesis" call option for free. $CNQ is the ultimate "last man standing" in the global oil market. Subscribe now if you do not want to miss out on the next big macro move"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286970351776232)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"11/ Read the full institutional grade deep dive on $CNQ and the end of the shale era here: https://tscsw.substack.com/p/the-oil-bull-market-nobody-believes https://tscsw.substack.com/p/the-oil-bull-market-nobody-believes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286973086458220)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The US needs to issue $2+ trillion in new debt annually. If the Fed is shrinking its balance sheet private markets must absorb that issuance. If you simultaneously cut rates you're asking investors to buy more bonds at lower yields while supply explodes. Who is the buyer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2018098848229400638)  2026-02-01T23:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Right now 37% of long-term Treasury issuance since January [----] has been absorbed by hedge fund basis trades. These are 50-100x leveraged arbitrage positions. Not investors. Not believers in US creditworthiness. Hot money. The kind that reverses in exactly the volatility we saw Friday. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018098852247810541 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018098852247810541"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2018098852247810541)  2026-02-01T23:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The gatekeepers at MSCI just gave $MSTR a stay of execution but don't mistake mercy for a win. They have essentially locked this crypto hedge fund in a penalty box by freezing its index weight and blocking any increases from new share issuance. The mechanical flywheel is officially broken. The forced buyers at the index funds can no longer subsidize the perpetual dilution machine every time the company prints more paper to buy coins. It is a slow motion neutering of the only structural bid that actually mattered. $MSTR $IBIT $SPY 1/ Investing is often a discipline plagued by self-centeredness"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2018142326011449703)  2026-02-02T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Tourmaline Oil $TOU is a C$24 billion giant fighting a rigged market. Michael Rose is an industry legend but even legends cannot fix a structural gas glut alone. This is the reality of Canada's biggest gas play. 🧵👇#Energy #Investing #Macro #Oil #Gas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116796972818857)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"3/ Management owns C$1.2 billion in stock. Rose has made [---] purchases and zero sales in [--] years. It is the ultimate skin in the game. They are betting their own fortunes that the market is wrong about Canadian gas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116802090148088)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ $TOU is the low cost king with production at C$3.50 per boe. With a [--] percent cash flow margin they can survive the market volatility that kills everyone else. They will be standing while peers go bust"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116805101584474)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ The growth is staggering. Production is up 28x since the IPO. $TOU is now the largest gas producer in Canada. But size does not matter if you are selling into a local market that is structurally broken and oversupplied"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116808201203839)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"7/ LNG Canada is the only hope. Phase [--] is operational but the ramp up is bumpy. If Phase [--] does not reach FID the Canadian gas exit stays blocked. You are betting on a pipeline that the world controls"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116815885168944)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"8/ Succession is the elephant in the room. Rose is [--] with no public plan. The Rose Premium is real but it is a single point of failure. If he walks the C$24 billion thesis gets a massive haircut overnight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116818892496922)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ $TOU trades at a [--] percent premium to peers. You are paying for quality but you are not getting a bargain. The market is pricing in a recovery that is years away. Do not confuse a great company with a cheap stock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116824521003217)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"11/ Wait for C$52. At that level the risk/reward actually makes sense. Tourmaline is a fortress but the current price is too high. Subscribe now so you do not miss the next deep dive into these energy market illusions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019116827134292127)  2026-02-04T18:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The market is currently lighting money on fire chasing money losing chip startups at 123x sales while Baidu trades at deep value multiples. Document [--] is the secret directive that just handed this company a structural lifeline. Delete America is not a suggestion. It is a state mandate to purge Western software and hardware by [----]. Baidu does not have to be the best in the world. It just has to be the best product that is not American. The house is rigged in their favor. $BIDU $MSFT $NVDA #China #AI #Markets 1/ $BIDU has been the "sick man" of the Chinese Internet for so long that betting on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019436299782889563)  2026-02-05T15:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ "Reverse Perestroika" is the only macro framework that matters right now. Washington is trading butter for guns because we are militarily hollow. If you think this is a "soft landing" story you are high. 🧵👇 #Macro #Fed #Gold #Investing #Defense #Trump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839641936081144)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"6/ The [----] National Security Strategy is [--] pages of blunt force. It prioritizes the Western Hemisphere and treats Europe like a declining museum. Washington is finally admitting that the old global order is dead and buried"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839660420395382)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"7/ Regime change at the Fed is coming via Kevin Warsh. He wants to shrink the $6.6 trillion balance sheet and fund Main Street instead of Wall Street. Senator Thom Tillis is blocking the vote to protect Fed "independence." It is a political slugfest"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839663809454452)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"8/ Stablecoins are the dollar's accidental savior. $USDT and $USDC hold more Treasuries than South Korea. They are creating a regulated digital bid for US debt that bypasses the broken banking system. It is strategic infrastructure not a hobby"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839667831558446)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"9/ Panama just seized the Canal ports back from the Chinese. The Supreme Court ruled CK Hutchisons contracts unconstitutional. This is Reverse Perestroika in the real world: reclaiming strategic chokepoints by any means necessary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839670763282800)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"10/ Central banks bought [----] tonnes of gold in three years. [--] percent of [----] buys were opaque. Poland is loading up while China hides the ball. The smart money is hedging against the end of the post-Bretton Woods era"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839673628275066)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"11/ The trade: Gold miners like $NEM and $GOLD are priced for $2500 gold. The real upside is in the juniors like $GDXJ. If you want to survive this restructuring own the metal and the munitions. Subscribe or keep flying blind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019839677340217854)  2026-02-06T18:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Wall Street is currently celebrating $CVNA's record profitability while the actual cash flow statement reveals a terminal hemorrhage. Operating cash flow has plummeted by $252 million year over year while the company burns through $676 million just to buy depreciating cars. Management is stuffing the channel with a 44% increase in vehicle inventory just to keep the subprime loan volume high enough to fool the analysts. They are diluting retail bag holders to the tune of $536 million just to pay the light bill. Cash is reality; everything else is just a corporate opinion. $CVNA #Fraud 1/ The"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2019936232113864751)  2026-02-07T00:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"4/ Welcome to Quadrant 1: The Dead Zone. If your software automates simple tasks with shallow data you are toast. $FIVN is down from $209 to $18. $FRSH is trading at a massive discount because its core value is now just a free plugin. Something has to give "  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249614754992474)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"7/ $NOW isn't getting disrupted: it is the platform AI agents need to operate through. It handles [--] billion transactions daily. When you deploy agents they still need a system of record to audit work. $NOW is the control plane not the victim of fuckery"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249627367534618)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"8/ $CRWD is the ultimate tailwind. More AI agents means a bigger attack surface for more fuckery. You can't cut security while robots breach the walls. Every bear argument for SaaS is a bull argument for spending more on $CRWD. Hard to cut costs here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249632396214416)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ Jevons Paradox is the hidden subsidy. As the cost of intelligence hits zero usage explodes. Cheaper inference means $VEEV can embed AI for pennies while keeping premium pricing. The model layer takes the deflation; the application layer captures the surplus "  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249634891767859)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ The Bessemer Cloud Index is at 5.5x forward revenue a 54% discount. The market is pricing in fear not arithmetic. The winners own the data and regulated workflows. The rest are an amoral joke. Don't tell me institutional investors aren't taking it on the chin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249640579236273)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The 40% earnings miss is the sound of the associated gas trap finally snapping shut. $TOU is physically locked into a cycle where they must drill for liquids to stay alive and flood the market with free gas as a byproduct. It is a self defeating loop of industrial fuckery. Management talks about nameplate LNG capacity while the spot market is hitting negative territory. You are betting on a miracle egress that only absorbs ten percent of the total supply. The arithmetic is not ambiguous and it is currently terminal. $TOU $SHEL $ARX #Finance #Investing #NaturalGas 1/ Tourmaline Oil $TOU is a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020660412157681955)  2026-02-09T00:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Semicap is not a "picks and shovels" trade anymore. It's a monopoly tax on the most important buildout in human history. Every AI chip starts life in a fab these five companies equipped. No exceptions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010305384579564)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The numbers are insane. $ASML: 100% EUV share. No competitor exists. None is coming. $KLAC: 50%+ inspection share 80%+ reticle inspection. $BESI: 90%+ share in hybrid bonding. These aren't moats. They're geological formations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010309494997374)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"FCF margins went from 10% in [----] to 25-30% today. Services revenue alone is 25% of sales for $ASML and $AMAT. KLA's service contracts renew at 95%. This isn't cyclical cap goods. It's a subscription model with a cyclical overlay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010313689346229)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Here's what no one's talking about: Peak China is behind us. $TEL hit 49% China revenue. $ASML was 41%. $AMAT 45%. Those numbers are collapsing. And China's replacing Western tools at mature nodes faster than expected. The mix shift changes everything"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010317871108257)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"But here's the offset: tool reuse at 2nm drops hard. FinFET nodes had 50-70% tool reuse. GAA breaks that. Every lost point of reuse = new equipment purchases. $ASX (ASMi) goes from "nice to have" to "cannot fabricate without it" at GAA. $40B market cap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010323168465365)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The geopolitical risk is real. A single export control announcement can erase 15-20% of market cap in a session. $ASML dropped 35% from July [----] peak to April [----] trough. Then recovered fully in six months. Policy-driven drawdowns are buying opportunities dressed as crises"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010330596560948)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The structural case is a five-year thesis. The entry point matters on a one-year view. Own these businesses through the cycle. Add on every geopolitical panic. The physics of chip complexity only goes in one direction: more expensive machines forever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010334681793012)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"This is just the surface. The full piece covers GAA transistor physics backside power delivery CoWoS bottlenecks China substitution risk by company and exact positioning. The most comprehensive semicap breakdown you'll read this year. Full article: https://tscsw.substack.com/p/semiconductor-equipment-primer-13 https://tscsw.substack.com/p/semiconductor-equipment-primer-13"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010337269678515)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ The "Spinning Rust" era is over. Investors think $PSTG is just another hardware company. They are wrong. This is a bet on the thermodynamics of the AI Factory. $PSTG is a high margin software business hidden in a tin box. Here is the math. 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2011901236115816751)  2026-01-15T20:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"8/ The Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) is a permanent tailwind. It tripled pipeline capacity to the Pacific giving $CNQ access to premium Asian markets and structurally narrowing the WCS to WTI price differential forever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017286962462253152)  2026-01-30T17:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Silver just had its worst day since [----]. Gold dropped 11% from all-time highs. $3.4 trillion gone in [--] hours. Everyone is debating whether Warsh is a hawk or a dove. Almost nobody is asking the real question: what happens when he actually tries to implement his framework 🧵 #Silver #GoldPrice #FedChair #Warsh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2018098840239300668)  2026-02-01T23:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Anthropic just dropped @claudeai Cowork and the software sector is having a collective aneurysm. Investors spent a decade valuing "recurring revenue" like it was a physical law. Now they realize most SaaS is just a fancy wrapper for stuff AI does for free. #AI #SaaS 🧵👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249603120259088)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ By February [--] data aggregators got slaughtered. $TRI fell 16% and $RELX dropped 15%. If your model is selling data an LLM can scrape and summarize in seconds you aren't a tech company: you're just another amoral joke waiting to be taking it on the chin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249608983875820)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"11/ Software isn't dead: the middle class is just getting evicted. Own the fortresses like $VEEV and $GWRE and avoid the feature-wrapper jokes. Subscribe now or keep flying blind while the AI eats your portfolio. Value always finds a way out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249642559271071)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CVNA has $5B in insider sales 93% of net income from loan flipping and now TWO short sellers saying earnings are overstated by $1B+. Q4 earnings drop Feb [--]. This is going to be wild. Thread 🧵 #FinTwit #Carvana #ShortSelling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376474226491668)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Carvana is not a car company. It's a subprime lending machine disguised as an e-commerce platform. And the disguise is slipping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376476600226285)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Gotham City Research just dropped a report on Jan [--] alleging $CVNA overstated 2023-2024 earnings by $1B+ through undisclosed related-party deals with DriveTime. Stock cratered 20% intraday. Multiple law firms launched investigations the same week. This is accelerating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376489405764002)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The Garcia family playbook is textbook. Ernest Garcia II: convicted felon (bank fraud 1990). Controls 84% of voting power. Sold $3.6B in stock from 2020-2021. Then another $1.4B in [----]. $5B in total insider sales. During a "recovery.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376492949680614)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"6/ Quadrant 4: The Fortress Zone has real moats. $VEEV $GWRE and $PCOR operate in regulated hellscapes. No AI agent is going to vibe-code an FDA-validated audit trail or a construction legal log. This is where value lives "  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249624288850417)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Kazakhstan produces 40%+ of global uranium. In December they hiked taxes to 20.5% cut production targets 10% and demanded 75-90% ownership of all new projects. The world's largest supplier just told everyone: pay up or go without"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052267575456226)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"China sold Treasuries to the lowest level since [----]. Bought gold for [--] straight months. Then three days ago told their banks to accelerate Treasury dumping. Meanwhile they ran a $1.19 TRILLION trade surplus in [----]. The largest in human history. Direction is clear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385887552975322)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"April [----] gave us the preview. After tariff announcement the 30-year surged past 5% in [--] days. Biggest move since [----]. Stocks bonds AND dollar fell together. That's a sovereign credit event not a rate move. And the tariff pause came [--] days later. Forced by the bond market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385893626261943)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"8/ Not everything is a home run. - Karnov: Down 18%. The growth story stalled but the "Margin Expansion" is beating expectations. Were pivoting to a capital return play. - Ramaco: A painful lesson in due diligence. We banked a 36% gain but let a 110% gain slip by not acting fast enough on a short report. $KAR $METC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2004559550267994244)  2025-12-26T14:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"9/ We recognize our heavy exposure to the precious metals and minerals thematic. - The Mitigant: Balancing with deep-value software (Lectra Asseco) and consumer services (Whitbread). - The Goal: Robustness through diversification not just chasing a single macro bet. $LSS $ACP $WTB https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004559552386113551 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004559552386113551"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2004559552386113551)  2025-12-26T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Watching $CVNA is like watching a slow motion train wreck where the engineers are actively looting the dining car before impact. The Garcia family has turned subprime car loans into a [--] billion dollar personal exit strategy while the company bleeds cash and dilutes retail into oblivion. Booking 93% of your income from loan sales to undisclosed parties is not a business model. It is a corporate game of Russian Roulette where the shareholders are the only ones with a bullet in the chamber. Respect the laws of probability because they always end in a bloodbath. $CVNA #Fraud 1/ The market is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2018021533877436424)  2026-02-01T18:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"2/ The carnage started January [--]. Anthropic agents made $TEAM and $ASAN look redundant overnight. Then $MSFT missed Azure guidance and the floor fell out. $NOW dropped 11% and $CRM fell 6% as the market realized the "long AI" trade was an amoral joke"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249605582254526)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"We dug into the Q3 [----] 10-Q. The math is damning. 93% of $CVNA's YTD net income comes from "Gain on Loan Sale." They lose money selling cars. They make money selling debt to people who can barely afford it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376478886170768)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"We broke down the full forensic analysis. The debt structure the DriveTime siphon the $ROOT distortion and the legal threats that could blow this wide open. Full deep dive: https://tscsw.substack.com/p/carvana-cvna-is-worth-zero-the-subprime https://tscsw.substack.com/p/carvana-cvna-is-worth-zero-the-subprime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376501590249683)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Big Tech has announced 16+ GW of nuclear capacity. $META alone committed to [---] GW in January. $AMZN exceeds [--] GW. $MSFT is restarting Three Mile Island. None of them have secured uranium fuel supply. Not one. Where does the fuel come from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052274881933741)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"THE $14 BILLION GEOLOGICAL HOSTAGE Ivanhoe Mines owns the best copper asset on earth. But they just admitted their "growth engine" is broken until [----]. The market sees a "mining stock" oscillating with copper prices. We see a collision between a geological freak of nature and the fragility of engineering models. Here is the operational nightmare nobody is pricing in correctly. The May [----] "seismic event" was not an act of God. It was a calculation error. The backfill failed to take the stress. The pillars yielded. The mine flooded. This effectively invalidated the 90% extraction ratio"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/1998683062394040520)  2025-12-10T09:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ In a market swinging between macro anxiety and sudden euphoria it is easy to confuse luck with skill. Holding a winner forever isn't "conviction" its often just inertia. Disciplined investing requires the honesty to sell when the valuation gap closes. Here is how we delivered a 31.68% Total Return in just [--] months. 👇 #ValueInvesting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2004559532333154665)  2025-12-26T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"THE LAST GREAT COPPER MINE Ivanhoe Mines ($IVN) isn't just another mining stock; it is a geological freak of nature sitting on the world's most critical copper deposit. While the market obsesses over the short-term operational "bed-shitting" at Kamoa-Kakula they are missing the long-term reality: this is a Tier-1 asset that is irreplaceable in the electrification supply chain. The recent sell-off is an arbitrage opportunity between engineering hiccups and geological destiny. Here is the operational reality the "instability" narrative is hiding. Kamoa-Kakula is not normal. It has grades that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2008328734151975138)  2026-01-06T00:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ The valuation anomaly was the first hook. $KITW was trading at just 8.6x next years earnings despite growing revenue at [--] percent annually for fifteen years. The market saw a "boring" wholesaler: we saw a compounding machine priced like a dying business"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014702741839376386)  2026-01-23T14:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ The take-private checklist was perfect: low leverage at 1.7x EBITDA and no single blocking founder. With a market cap under [---] million pounds it was in the sweet spot for mid-market private equity funds looking for predictable cash flow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014702768879985029)  2026-01-23T14:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10/ Precedent transactions told the end game. When $TSCO bought Booker they paid over 20x post-tax earnings. $KITW was trading at 8.6x. That valuation gap was a flashing red light that a strategic or financial buyer would eventually step in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2014702773867024806)  2026-01-23T14:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"THE THERMODYNAMIC MOAT The AI hype cycle is obsessed with the "brain" (GPUs). The smart money is watching the "nerves" how data actually moves and lives. Pure Storage $PSTG is currently the only player in the sector that has turned fundamental physics into a competitive weapon. Here is the hardware reality the "commodity storage" narrative is hiding. Legacy vendors like Dell and NetApp use standard off-the-shelf SSDs. This creates a "tax" on performance because the storage has to talk through a generic controller. Pure Storages DirectFlash technology deletes the middleman. By managing raw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2015127346647597376)  2026-01-24T18:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"The enterprise storage industry is a decade long exercise in integration fuckery. While legacy dinosaurs like $DELL and $NTAP act as glorified part pickers shoving consumer grade SSDs into metal boxes and calling it innovation $PSTG is actually doing the physics. If your storage vendor still uses a black box SSD controller in [----] they are not an engineering firm. They are a middleman grift. DirectFlash proves that most AI marketing in this sector is just cheap varnish on top of spinning rust. $NTAP #Technology #AI #Innovation 1/ The "Spinning Rust" era is over. Investors think $PSTG is just"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2017985234101313669)  2026-02-01T15:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Storage accounts for roughly 5-6% of total data center power consumption. Compute (GPUs) dominates at 40-60% cooling takes 15-40%. Which is the point $PSTG Pure's DirectFlash architecture delivers up to 85% less energy per TB than competing all-flash arrays turning that 5-6% into a near-rounding error. As AI racks push 100kW+ every watt saved on storage is a watt freed for compute. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018100772928360465 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018100772928360465"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2018100772928360465)  2026-02-01T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ The damage to new customer acquisition is a bloodbath. Startups won't buy $CRM if an AI-native tool does it better and cheaper. We are heading for a political slugfest where legacy software vanishes into the crack widening in the foundation of the economy "  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2020249617854788087)  2026-02-07T21:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Equipment cost per [----] wafers/month: $160M at 5nm. $350M at 2nm. That's not inflation. That's physics. And five companies own every chokepoint. $ASML $AMAT $KLAC $LRCX $ASX #FinTwit #Semicap #AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010300107936241)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Best positioning right now: $KLAC: Lowest China risk highest margins process control can't be replicated. Sleep-at-night holding $AMAT: Best risk-adjusted entry. Broadest exposure to every inflection. Market undervalues "generalist" $ASX: Highest return potential over 3-5 years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021010327140233366)  2026-02-09T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CVNA approves 99% of applicants. Minimum income: $5000/year. They let people take loans worth almost 50% of their annual income. They originated $9.18B in loans YTD and sold $9.58B. If the ABS market freezes this entire revenue line vanishes overnight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376482325741703)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Here's the part no one's talking about. Operating cash flow DROPPED $252M year over year while $CVNA claimed "record profitability." Cash is reality. Everything else is opinion. And the cash says this story is falling apart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376486192841140)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Want to know what insiders really think about $CVNA $1.6B in insider selling vs. $200K in insider buying during the recovery period. One board member bought [----] shares. That's it. That's the insider confidence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376496019857764)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$CVNA reports Q4 on Feb [--]. Gotham City predicts the 10-K gets delayed and prior filings get restated. If they're right this $90B market cap company is a house of cards. If they're wrong the stock bounces. Either way I know which side has the receipts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021376499006198127)  2026-02-11T00:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Markets priced the Warsh nomination like the debasement trade is dead. I don't think they've read his actual framework. Warsh wants balance sheet reduction paired with rate cuts. He's not a conventional hawk he's an anti-QE crusader about to attempt aggressive QT in an environment where interest expense already eats 19% of tax receipts. The thesis was never about who sits in the chair. It's about whether the arithmetic allows QT to succeed. Full breakdown in the thread below. $TLT $GLD $BTC #warsh Silver just had its worst day since [----]. Gold dropped 11% from all-time highs. $3.4 trillion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2021653966958875050)  2026-02-11T18:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Uranium just hit $100/lb for the first time in [--] years. The spot market went into backwardation. Miners ripped 40% in a single month. And utilities still haven't contracted enough fuel for reactors that are ALREADY running. This is insane. 🧵 #FinTwit #Uranium #Nuclear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052258582794623)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"SPUT raised $386M in the first [--] trading days of [----]. Sitting on $200M+ in cash. Bought only 750K lbs because regulators are watching. When that leash comes off they're deploying into a spot market where 200K lbs of buying moves price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052263641100649)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Here's the stat that breaks most people's brains. [--] consecutive years of below-replacement contracting. Utilities need 150M lbs/year. They contracted 116M in [----]. UxC estimates [---] BILLION lbs uncovered through [----]. That fuel is needed for reactors already running"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052270834368817)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$CCJ is demanding $140-150/lb contract ceilings. Utilities are agreeing to them. When both buyer and seller are pricing in $150 uranium that tells you more than any supply model ever will. The market's confession is in the contract terms"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052278514200836)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Goldman projects a cumulative deficit of [---] BILLION lbs through [----]. The greenfield incentive price is $117-130/lb minimum. Previous cycle peaks hit $210-225 in today's dollars. The current term price is $88. This repricing hasn't even started"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052285598335196)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"We wrote the full deep dive. SPUT mechanics Kazakhstan's peak the enrichment bottleneck nobody models Big Tech's fuel problem and every bear case that could kill this trade. This is our most comprehensive commodity piece yet: https://tscsw.substack.com/p/uraniums-loudest-signal-in-a-decade https://tscsw.substack.com/p/uraniums-loudest-signal-in-a-decade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022052288249123277)  2026-02-12T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Gold is up 67% in twelve months. The dollar just posted its worst decline in [--] years. And for the first time in modern history America's #1 export driver wasn't jets or chips. It was gold. Shipped through Switzerland to China. #FinTwit #Gold #Macro"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385870310088880)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The United States is already settling part of its trade deficit in gold. The policy apparatus is preparing for a world where gold's monetary role expands dramatically. And the average advisor still calls 2% gold "aggressive.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385872809975820)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"In Q1 [----] gold imports broke the Atlanta Fed's GDP model so badly they had to build a new one. Swung GDPNow from +2.3% to -1.5% overnight. By autumn the flow reversed. Gold started moving OUT. Through Swiss refineries. Recast into kilobars. To Shanghai"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385876882591790)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The Fed published a paper in August [----] modeling how to revalue US gold reserves from $42.22/oz to market price. At $5000/oz US gold is worth $1.32 trillion. That's spending capacity without issuing a single new Treasury bond. You don't write that paper by accident"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385880275783845)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The largest "foreign holders" of US Treasuries aren't Japan or China. They're leveraged hedge funds in the Cayman Islands. $1.85 trillion. Absorbing 37% of net issuance over the past [--] years. That's the "stable demand" anchoring the Treasury market. Insane"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385883773903147)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Japan is the part that should scare you. $3.66 trillion in net foreign assets. World's largest creditor. JGB yields rising while the yen weakens. That's not a developed market pattern. That's what happens in Argentina and Turkey. If Japan breaks it sells YOUR Treasuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385891130621978)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Gold has outperformed the S&P [---] total return over [--] [--] [--] [--] and [--] year timeframes. Average institutional allocation: under 2%. The most obvious asymmetry in macro. The skew between upside and downside from here is the best I've seen in any major asset class"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385896994287832)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"We wrote [----] words on this. The trade flows the Fed's revaluation paper the Japan doom loop @LukeGromen's $38K framework and where it breaks and a 5-scenario probability map. Full deep dive here: https://tscsw.substack.com/p/how-gold-broke-the-dollar-the-38000 https://tscsw.substack.com/p/how-gold-broke-the-dollar-the-38000"  
[X Link](https://x.com/SCapStrategist/status/2022385899871572112)  2026-02-13T19:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

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