#  @RogerPielkeJr The Honest Broker The Honest Broker posts on X about science, in the, events, countries the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::493678717/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +41% - [--] Month [-------] +13% - [--] Months [---------] -18% - [--] Year [---------] -4.70% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::493678717/posts_active)  - [--] Months [---] -39% - [--] Year [---] +57% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::493678717/followers)  - [--] Week [------] -0.01% - [--] Month [------] +0.03% - [--] Months [------] +1.70% - [--] Year [------] +3.50% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::493678717/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [currencies](/list/currencies) [finance](/list/finance) [countries](/list/countries) [stocks](/list/stocks) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [ncaa football](/list/ncaa-football) **Social topic influence** [science](/topic/science) #3649, [in the](/topic/in-the), [events](/topic/events), [countries](/topic/countries), [paper](/topic/paper), [insurance](/topic/insurance), [climate change](/topic/climate-change), [china](/topic/china), [white house](/topic/white-house), [university of](/topic/university-of) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "No Hurricanes Are Not Bigger Stronger and More Dangerous A fatally flawed paper on climate science passed peer review at a significant journal. The result has been a polluting of our discussions of climate science and policy" [X Link](https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerpielke/2019/11/15/no-hurricanes-are-not-bigger-stronger-and-more-dangerous/) 2019-11-15T19:06Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "The Decline Of Football Is Real And Its Accelerating Despite the continued popularity of the National Football League (NFL) in the United States more broadly gridiron football is in an era of rapid decline and evidence suggests that the decline is accelerating" [X Link](https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerpielke/2020/01/28/the-decline-of-football-is-real-and-its-accelerating/) 2021-12-10T14:41Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "Net-Zero Carbon Dioxide Emissions By [----] Requires A New Nuclear Power Plant Every Day The world and the United States are not moving towards net-zero carbon dioxide emissions and in fact every day we are moving in the opposite direction. Auctions of promises for emissions reductions dont actually reduce emissions. Technology reduces emissions" [X Link](https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerpielke/2019/09/30/net-zero-carbon-dioxide-emissions-by-2050-requires-a-new-nuclear-power-plant-every-day/) 2019-10-09T04:14Z 208.1M followers, [--] engagements "The Impact Of Flooding Depends More On Societal Change Than Climate Change For massive flooding in Houston caused by Hurricane Harvey in [----] an international team of authors finds that development since [----] is far more important to than is climate change leading to important policy implications" [X Link](https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerpielke/2019/11/05/flooding-societal-change-is-more-important-than-climate-change/) 2019-11-06T01:07Z 208.1M followers, [--] engagements "Fantastic resource @unisouthampton @CIRUsoton on global trends in Coronavirus research Coronavirus R&D Dashboard https://app.powerbi.com/viewr=eyJrIjoiYWI1ZTc0ZWMtOWZkMy00YzJiLTkyYzEtZGQxMzU3OGI2OTA1IiwidCI6IjRhNTM3OGY5LTI5ZjQtNGQzZS1iZTg5LTY2OWQwM2FkYTlkOCIsImMiOjh9 https://app.powerbi.com/viewr=eyJrIjoiYWI1ZTc0ZWMtOWZkMy00YzJiLTkyYzEtZGQxMzU3OGI2OTA1IiwidCI6IjRhNTM3OGY5LTI5ZjQtNGQzZS1iZTg5LTY2OWQwM2FkYTlkOCIsImMiOjh9" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1258381466419036160) 2020-05-07T13:01Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements "@michaelghead @unisouthampton @CIRUsoton Outstanding resource thanks Caveats noted R&D estimates are always a snapshot in time subject to vagaries of classification and reporting" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1258391294834905088) 2020-05-07T13:40Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements "@michaelghead @unisouthampton @CIRUsoton Excellent Compare your Fig.2 to our arguments in this paper (would make for an interesting follow on analysis): https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1462901106001183casa_token=oG8eE5CAxzEAAAAA:Qv8RlVwnXDuvYgNZqHj8WwSqbUnAnifWwf6APV-gWLfxcaSxQEGn8VVmKz209sw0wmcdChQXkEw https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1462901106001183casa_token=oG8eE5CAxzEAAAAA:Qv8RlVwnXDuvYgNZqHj8WwSqbUnAnifWwf6APV-gWLfxcaSxQEGn8VVmKz209sw0wmcdChQXkEw" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1258394757740425216) 2020-05-07T13:54Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements "π§΅Fact checking self-appointed climate fact checkers @ClimateFdbk Kerry Emanuel claims: "economic damage normalized by world domestic product. from weather-related natural disasters have been increasing greatly" (full quote below) This is incontrovertibly false Evidence next" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1282417298351878144) 2020-07-12T20:51Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements "Compare where college football is (currently intended to be) being played this fall with where high school football participation is increasing or decreasing over 2008-2019" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1294658774175608832) 2020-08-15T15:34Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "My colleagues @jljcolorado @ShellyMBoulder gonna have a good laugh/cry at this set-up Good morning from inside the site of tonights Pence-Harris vice presidential debate. https://t.co/MIKbhO4u8w Good morning from inside the site of tonights Pence-Harris vice presidential debate. https://t.co/MIKbhO4u8w" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1313832422014816257) 2020-10-07T13:23Z 47.6K followers, [--] engagements "Absolutely fascinating how climate scenarios (RCPs SSPs & their derivatives) are enabling entirely new markets for consulting based on financial risk assessments of fictional futures It is also amazing how much money is being paid to explore these outdated fictional futures" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1387418668565336075) 2021-04-28T14:49Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "Hot off the press The latest from Vaclav Smil on the energy transition via @jpmorgan https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/institutional/insights/market-insights/eye-on-the-market/annual-energy-outlook/ https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/institutional/insights/market-insights/eye-on-the-market/annual-energy-outlook/" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1389610288215851013) 2021-05-04T15:58Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements "Smil on Will Ferrell and Norway's EVs" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1389612339490562048) 2021-05-04T16:06Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements ""Price-fixing labor is price-fixing labor"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1406986202327121930) 2021-06-21T14:43Z 46.8K followers, [--] engagements "Wow Kavanaugh has basically put the NCAA and universities on notice that the Supreme Court is no longer a safe space for NCAA "amateurism" arguments Get ready for the policy debate to move fully to Congress" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1406987060662063105) 2021-06-21T14:47Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "@FrediOtto @FinancialTimes What is the source for the claim that extreme heatwaves have/will become 100x more likely π" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1411667948834414594) 2021-07-04T12:47Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements "@FrediOtto @FinancialTimes Thanks but none of the [--] case studies in that [----] collect are on heatwaves Im just looking for the specific citation to the claim thanks" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1411677506994802689) 2021-07-04T13:25Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements "The IPCC AR6 WG1 is not in fact neutral w/ respect to scenario assumptions because it has a overwhelming emphasis on unlikely (it's word) implausible (our word) scenarios Because IPCC also claims no likelihoods associated w/ scenarios the emphasis on [---] needs interpretation" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1424719621676945411) 2021-08-09T13:10Z 47.6K followers, [---] engagements "π§΅ Look under the hood & what do you find Extreme implausible scenarios Climate Change an Emerging Threat to U.S. Financial Stability Regulators Say https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/17/us/politics/climate-change-us-financial-threat.htmlsmid=tw-share https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/17/us/politics/climate-change-us-financial-threat.htmlsmid=tw-share" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1472564375143608324) 2021-12-19T13:48Z 46.8K followers, [---] engagements "@mcuban @ShellenbergerMD FYI @mcuban For data on scale or impact (economic) see: Updated in figure below You are correct don't use disasters to say anything about extreme events themselves Be in touch for more info https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17477891.2018.1540343 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17477891.2018.1540343" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1479587693776408576) 2022-01-07T22:56Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "Trends in coral cover for the Great Barrier Reef via Australian government: "Continued coral recovery leads to 36-year highs across two-thirds of the Great Barrier Reef" https://www.aims.gov.au/monitoring-great-barrier-reef/gbr-condition-summary-2021-22 https://www.aims.gov.au/monitoring-great-barrier-reef/gbr-condition-summary-2021-22" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1555672660062785536) 2022-08-05T21:50Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements "Worth noting Prof Peter Ridd formerly of James Cook University lost his faculty position for questioning certain scientific conclusions about the Great Barrier Reef (formally he lost his job for alleged procedural violations). His sacking was upheld by Australia's highest court" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1555674857441898496) 2022-08-05T21:59Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements "My current plan is to suspend active Twitter activity Dec [--] Follow below to stay engaged Where to find The Honest Broker Substack:https://t.co/N3jCDRVgoW Facebook: https://t.co/5WjVq7J0Lo LinkedIn: https://t.co/dvNgDlDOs6 Instagram: Nope TikTok: Nope My focus going forward is Substack . See ya there Where to find The Honest Broker Substack:https://t.co/N3jCDRVgoW Facebook: https://t.co/5WjVq7J0Lo LinkedIn: https://t.co/dvNgDlDOs6 Instagram: Nope TikTok: Nope My focus going forward is Substack . See ya there" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1588594311998083074) 2022-11-04T18:09Z 47.6K followers, [--] engagements "They seem to have buried the lede: "political parties that have put forward degrowth ideas have received limited support in elections. That begs the question: where would the drive for degrowth policy come from" Indeed" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1602357111320711182) 2022-12-12T17:38Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "The first sentence in this article is wrong: Floods are the most expensive type of natural disaster in America causing at least $323bn in direct damage since [----] after accounting for inflation Since [----] hurricanes have caused $893B in direct damage (exclusive of floods) I discussed w/ this reporter at length on problems w/ RCP8.5 non-peer reviewed consultant reports & the fact that flood damage in US is down by 70%+ over [--] yrs As if we never spoke Accounting for flood risk would lower American house prices by $187bn https://t.co/wo4qnJaMhD I discussed w/ this reporter at length on problems" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1646516113340260353) 2023-04-13T14:10Z 47.7K followers, [----] engagements "3rd The big one - if RCP4.5 is indeed to be viewed as climate policy success then we can all go home as according to the UNFCCC the world is currently undershooting RCP4.5 as you can clearly see in figure below (which illustrates SSP2-4.5 trajectory) https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/pielkes-weekly-memo-16 https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/pielkes-weekly-memo-16" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1650936746614624256) 2023-04-25T18:56Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements "Probably worth rethinking the idea of tying together "loss and damage" and "event attribution" Ironically this may turn out to be a (flawed) rationale for rich countries to deny support for adaptation Vulnerability offers a much better justification than questionable science" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1674438388525719554) 2023-06-29T15:23Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "Top NIH Official Advised Covid Scientists That He Uses Personal Email to Evade FOIA by @JamesCTobias" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1674523531177254913) 2023-06-29T21:02Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "Some pretty incredible stuff here Nothing surprising for anyone working where science and politics meeet" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1674544056075194368) 2023-06-29T22:23Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "Paper title "Emissions & energy impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act Economy-wide emissions drop [--] to 48% below [----] levels by [----]. " Deep in SI "Model outputs should not be interpreted as predictions of policy-induced changes for several reasons"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1674553593343676419) 2023-06-29T23:01Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "@DarrinADurant Lets not let discussion debate or science get in the way of a cause" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1674593472832237569) 2023-06-30T01:39Z 45.1K followers, [--] engagements "RIP ICE Toyota claimed it had made a technological breakthrough to resolve durability issues and a solution for materials that would allow an EV powered by a solid-state battery to have a range of 1200km and charging time of [--] minutes or less https://www.ft.com/content/87cb8e92-8e82-4755-8fc3-2943f8f63e1d https://www.ft.com/content/87cb8e92-8e82-4755-8fc3-2943f8f63e1d" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1676220790482800642) 2023-07-04T13:25Z 47.6K followers, 14.3K engagements "@Mining_Atoms @NoNukeBailouts @ONcleanair That figure is great What is the source" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678157560342364160) 2023-07-09T21:55Z 45K followers, [---] engagements "@JesseJenkins @hausfath @CarbonBrief Shipping SO2 is pretty much irrelevant from a climate perspective On the other hand the regulations may save 50k +/- lives per year" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678166506251730945) 2023-07-09T22:20Z 45K followers, [---] engagements "Now that House Democrats have announced that Jeremy Farrar "helped to organize and facilitate the drafting and publication of" Proximal Origins by coordinating the effort as a "ghost author" & pressuring Nature to publish it (WTF) how can Nature Medicine not retract the paper" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678171193445064704) 2023-07-10T00:56Z 45K followers, 44.2K engagements "RCP8.5 We still doing this" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678222588420521990) 2023-07-10T04:53Z 44.2K followers, 10.8K engagements "IEA suggests a peak in oil consumption will be reached around [----] while the ERIA/IEEJ scenario shows strong continuous growth with consumption in [----] being twice that of IEA" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678373577148571649) 2023-07-10T17:44Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Lew Branscomb RIP was my main mentors mentor He hired Rad Byerly at JILA University of Colorado Boulder in the 1970s as a physics post-doc Rad hired me in [----] & took me to DC Rad passed in [----] Both were giants in S&T policy & Im lucky to have known and worked w/ both π" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678436027931688960) 2023-07-10T16:09Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "π¨π¨ Andersen's and Garry's testimonies for tomorrow have been posted by @COVIDSelect" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678442614515720192) 2023-07-11T03:47Z 45K followers, 39.3K engagements "Andersen testimony: "SARS-CoV-2 is not a purposefully manipulated virus. Scientists simply do not have the ability to do this." I am no virologist but I have seen many saying exactly the opposite of this Experts" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678445148076748800) 2023-07-10T20:05Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Back to Andersen testimony: "at a February [--] [----] conference call (organized and convened by Dr. Jeremy Farrar)" This is false or at best incomplete Farrar was brought in by Fauci and asked to coordinate" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678451345332871186) 2023-07-10T17:12Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Andersen testimony Pretzel logic "Note that I say about the paper not e.g. on the paper" also "The only suggested edit was from Dr. Farrar who recommended we change a single instance of unlikely with improbable which we did." So KA solicited edits & got one" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678451978102349842) 2023-07-10T17:12Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Two things I learned today [--]. Andersen had no coronavirus expertise when he was asked to be the lead author of proximal origins paper [--]. The effort was convened by the director of the agency which had yet to decide on Andersens $8.9m grant application All of this stinks" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678462395583168512) 2023-07-10T17:57Z 45K followers, 23.4K engagements "@AukeHoekstra It is important yes But not particularly meaningful for policy For net zero by [----] we need to deploy the equivalent of 2000x 3MW wind turbines per day (or one nuclear power plant) every day until [----] and retire corresponding amounts of FF Plus/minus Still huge & far off" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678505800640126979) 2023-07-10T20:50Z 45K followers, [---] engagements "For the NYT disasters are not themselves important other than in delivering shock value to promote political change (whatever that might mean) It is incredibly cynical and dismissive of the actual suffering of real people But always good to say the quiet part out loud" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678510238490583042) 2023-07-10T21:26Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "This year just 7% of the average acres have burned in California. Or its 93% slower than average. Thats wild. You would think this would be front-page news" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678522819011805188) 2023-07-11T07:28Z 45K followers, 12.2K engagements "Amazing The most significant elements of the @COVIDSelectDems report just released are to show the depth of Farrar's "ghost authorship" role in Proximal Origins & to show Andersen misleading the committee with his written testimony @COVIDSelect Holy cow Just Tell the Truth" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678744831206604802) 2023-07-11T13:50Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "I wrote this last week in advance of todays cover-up hearing I wouldnt change anything but Id add much more that we newly released today Covidgate How a group of scientists and government officials tricked the public" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678841166593236992) 2023-07-11T18:59Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "What is the most significant science scandal/controversy of the past [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678880670708269056) 2023-07-11T21:41Z 45K followers, 15.4K engagements "Correct take" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1678922815699861504) 2023-07-12T00:29Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Back in [----] @Scienceofsport supported Caster Semenyas case against World Athletics He has changed his mind and now believes that human rights considerations should in fact not apply to sport Good to see these arguments made out in the open" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1679099290986115073) 2023-07-12T12:05Z 44.4K followers, 20.9K engagements "@Scienceofsport I think we are done for today Have a good one π" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1679110175792287746) 2023-07-12T12:50Z 45K followers, [---] engagements "Who has the email where Farrar says he will help with the editors & suggested [--] journals Saw it yesterday and can't locate it now Tx" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1679144851949096960) 2023-07-12T15:05Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements "I agree with @Scienceofsport here Blanket bans on trans women athletes are not based on science or evidence of unfair advantages but a presumption of such UCI has applied a sledgehammer where a scalpel would have been more appropriate CAS IOC ECHR etc all require evidence" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1679904719790284801) 2023-07-15T06:38Z 44.3K followers, 139.2K engagements "@ruth_dixon Relevant not conclusive by any means Of course ALL existing research relevant to current regulations does not focus on elite trans athletes That's part of the problem" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1679980192402640896) 2023-07-14T22:24Z 44.2K followers, [---] engagements "@sharrond62 @Scienceofsport Thousands No" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1680184590294724609) 2023-07-15T17:37Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements "@Scienceofsport The only thing I said about you is that I agree and reproduced your tweets If there is misinformation here it is yours It is always personal with you So odd" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1680190466682396672) 2023-07-15T12:30Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "A longstanding Twitter dynamic among experts who are passionate advocates for causes. In my experience: zoonosis climate emergency trans bans . publicly bully & pressure those with different views The point is not just to try to silence but to send a message to others" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1680207999112220672) 2023-07-15T16:32Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Global boiling has arrived" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1684611353707941888) 2023-07-27T17:06Z 45.1K followers, [--] engagements ""On Friday morning we were shocked when the University of Washington and the University of Oregon announced they had accepted Big Ten invitations" Shocked I tell you Even though it had been widely reported for days . . " [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1688706522854133760) 2023-08-08T00:19Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Just hypothesizing that HTHH may have affected regional climate is now climate denial "The eruption of HT sent sulfur & water vapor deep into the stratosphere. The spectacular nature of this event has led many climate deniers to proclaim that this is why its so hot this summer"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1689411867071152129) 2023-08-09T23:02Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Does Climate Research have an Anti-Growth Problem A new paper suggests that the answer is "Yes"" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1690034799703166976) 2023-08-11T16:17Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "@Mediarad00 Sure here is %GDP and absolutes" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690044967409065984) 2023-08-11T16:58Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements "It has been a while but I think @adambriggle was the first or second PhD student whose committee I was on after I joined the @CUBoulder faculty [--] years ago Could not be more proud of him A role model for all us academics" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690045960817410048) 2023-08-11T17:02Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "@Mediarad00 Here you go:" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690046606027177985) 2023-08-11T17:04Z 45.1K followers, [--] engagements "The reason professional climate scientists will give reporters quotes that vaguely give casual readers the impression they are affirming the thesis that these fires were caused by climate change while avoiding actually saying that is that there isnt any evidence its true" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690098701078003715) 2023-08-11T20:31Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "An overwhelming proportion of climate researchers recently polled do not support the desirability and feasibility of aligning environmental goals with continued economic expansion That creates challenges for the IPCC" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690347078353084416) 2023-08-12T12:58Z 45K followers, [----] engagements ""the models are incorrectly simulating the equatorial Pacific response to greenhouse gas warming. This implies that projections of regional tropical cyclone activity may be incorrect as well perhaps even in the direction of change"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690372384401080320) 2023-08-12T14:39Z 45K followers, 10.4K engagements "BYU-Hawaii undergrad writes the single best analysis of Hawaii fire vulnerability Ka'anapu K. (2023). PARADISE ON FIRE: HOW HAWAI I DEVELOPED ONE OF THE WORST WILDFIRE PROBLEMS IN AMERICA. Intersections: Journal of Asia Pacific Undergraduate Research http://ojs-dev.byuh.edu/index.php/intersections/article/download/3336/3281 http://ojs-dev.byuh.edu/index.php/intersections/article/download/3336/3281" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690399969558360066) 2023-08-12T16:28Z 46.7K followers, 15.2K engagements "We're well into the "have you no shame" phase of climate reporting where "facts" are just invented out of whole cloth AP: "Hawaii went from lush to bone dry and thus more fire-prone in a matter of just a few weeks" Data: HI drought to [--] Aug [--] https://apnews.com/article/hawaii-wildfires-climate-change-92c0930be7c28ec9ac71392a83c87582 https://apnews.com/article/hawaii-wildfires-climate-change-92c0930be7c28ec9ac71392a83c87582" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1690414099291918337) 2023-08-12T17:25Z 48.2K followers, 504.4K engagements "Here is drought in Maui County (purple) Along with drought intensity in Hawaii & Maui County" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690414370705321984) 2023-08-12T17:26Z 46.3K followers, [----] engagements "Its a good point" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690498181182955520) 2023-08-12T22:59Z 45K followers, 33.1K engagements "Paul Krugman in the NYT [--] July [----] we absolutely should politicize the weather [--] Aug [----] The fact that the climate war is now part of the culture war worries me a lot π€·β" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1690717594184232960) 2023-08-13T13:31Z 48.2K followers, 106.4K engagements "You get to design an energy technology 1-Continuous or intermittent 2-Small footprint or land intensive 3-More or less moving parts 4-High or low capacity 5-Domestic or globalized supply chain 6-Large or small waste volume 7-Major or minor new transmission Your answers" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1690812207083528192) 2023-08-13T19:46Z 45K followers, 24.7K engagements "Great example of an influential climate activist attacking legacy media for its technically accurate reporting on climate Accurate reporting provides fodder for the bad guys or something Media org then caves to the pressure" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1691435603500662785) 2023-08-15T13:04Z 45K followers, 12.6K engagements "In [----] climate was complex In [----] it has become super simple" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1691522511580876800) 2023-08-15T18:49Z 44.2K followers, 30K engagements "Emissions math does not get any simpler Belgium lost 2GW of electricity production capacity from production sites that produced almost no CO2 emissions. This has had an immediate & evident effect on emissions from the rest of Belgium's energy generation" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1691785431376179306) 2023-08-16T12:14Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "You lost me at "Climate change is always quite well covered by the media"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1691866793412059214) 2023-08-16T17:37Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Someone just sent me this It is how propaganda works Stay on message y'all" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1692265620526751928) 2023-08-17T20:02Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements "New study Excess deaths following hurricanes 6% of excess deaths occur in 22% least vulnerable counties (left-most tertile in figure below) & Zero in top 15% It's not extreme weather that kills people It is vulnerability when extreme weather happens" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1692285400054915254) 2023-08-17T21:20Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "@KevinClimate @Peters_Glen Agreed Why not high nuclear in scenarios Why not global equity Scenarios should expand our view of feasible futures not constrict them" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1692519168460112087) 2023-08-18T12:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "CO2 emissions trajectory consistent with 1.5C Via @Peters_Glen For many climate advocates it seems clear that advocating for the impossible is a feature not a flaw Characteristic of the paranoid style When can we starting discussing feasible climate policy" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1693265280204705884) 2023-08-20T14:14Z 47.7K followers, 16.6K engagements "RCP8.5 Impacts without adaptation IPCC whatcha doin" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1694073283153641693) 2023-08-22T19:45Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements "Chess Is Monopoly next Then Scrabble" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1694494278444372048) 2023-08-23T23:38Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "New paper projecting coral bleaching under SSP scenarios buries the good news Bleaching may be limited substantially under a SSP2-4.5 scenario & under current policies trajectory the world is presently undershooting SSP2-4.5" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1694774587479969981) 2023-08-24T18:12Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "WORLD EXCLUSIVE: Biden probe censored expert claims that COVID was likely genetically engineered in a laboratory Sky News Australia https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/world-exclusive-biden-probe-censored-expert-claims-that-covid-was-likely-genetically-engineered-in-a-laboratory/news-story/54b70e4d95974d528d8f754d1323232d https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/world-exclusive-biden-probe-censored-expert-claims-that-covid-was-likely-genetically-engineered-in-a-laboratory/news-story/54b70e4d95974d528d8f754d1323232d" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1694804714632978500) 2023-08-24T20:11Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements "@juliettekayyem This has been called for by @USWeatherExpert for a long time See https://www.mikesmithenterprisesblog.com/2023/08/an-explanation-of-my-idea-for-national.htmlm=1 https://www.mikesmithenterprisesblog.com/2023/08/an-explanation-of-my-idea-for-national.htmlm=1" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1694812393833177513) 2023-08-24T20:42Z 46.8K followers, [--] engagements "RCP8.5 + no adaptation = headlines" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1695111206590447935) 2023-08-25T16:29Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "In [----] every American consumed the equivalent of [--] barrels of oil If the rest of the world consumed at that level we'd require 175m barrels of oil per day That's obviously not gonna happen So an energy transition must happen or poor stay poor I'm for the transition" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1695112339450896870) 2023-08-25T16:34Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Journalists who cover topics on which I publish in the peer-reviewed research and am widely cited & who also block me here LA Times NY Times The Economist Washington Post Interesting times π" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1695129006373208299) 2023-08-25T17:40Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements "AFP editor celebrates pressuring a journal to retract Alimonti et al Both journalism and science are interesting these days It may be akin to removing a speck of dust from a rubbish heap but I confess to taking satisfaction in seeing this egregiously bad #climate study retracted. The remaining question of course is how it got into a Springer Nature journal to start with https://t.co/gR1VWGHCWc It may be akin to removing a speck of dust from a rubbish heap but I confess to taking satisfaction in seeing this egregiously bad #climate study retracted. The remaining question of course is how it" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1695186000337608822) 2023-08-25T21:26Z 46.8K followers, [----] engagements "In response to our request for comment Alimonti did not answer our specific questions but pointed us to a blog post published by Roger Pielke Jr" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1695228539640107418) 2023-08-26T00:15Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "The Guardian celebrates its role in pressuring a publisher to retract a peer-reviewed paper based on its demand for retraction The correct claim that some types of extreme weather are not increasing as summarized by IPCC remains extremely perilous territory Stay on messageπ" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1695423431154848007) 2023-08-26T13:10Z 48.2K followers, 48.1K engagements "π§΅ There is a major hurricane forecast to landfall in Florida this week A short thread on what NOAA and IPCC actually say Below compare statements fed to reporters with what NOAA actually says If you are a journalist start here instead" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1696145321989206244) 2023-08-28T12:58Z 45K followers, 21.5K engagements "every [-----] C of warming will cause a million deaths" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1696879239398625576) 2023-08-30T13:35Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Colorado had a great win today but it is not the job of the media to be believers or cheerleaders The idea that reporters must align with those they cover is endemic and a huge problem Coach @DeionSanders Act like you been there before" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1698087557056356409) 2023-09-02T21:36Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements "Coming tomorrow at THB" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1698350296513368134) 2023-09-03T15:00Z 44.4K followers, [--] engagements "climate science has become less about understanding the complexities of the world and more about serving as a kind of Cassandra urgently warning the public about the dangers of climate change it distorts a great deal of climate science research" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699012781880557905) 2023-09-05T10:53Z 45K followers, 20.1K engagements "Nice π§΅ by @Peters_Glen showing that the scenarios underlying virtually all projective climate research are highly idealized & not really fit for policy analyses in the real world" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699327655365976521) 2023-09-06T07:44Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "The just come out and say it" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699485173174395004) 2023-09-06T18:10Z 44.4K followers, 21.4K engagements "This is not what the IPCC says Actual IPCC: no consensus on the relative magnitude of human and natural influences on past changes in Atlantic hurricane activity it remains uncertain whether past changes in Atlantic TC activity are outside the range of natural variability" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699486400075165770) 2023-09-06T18:15Z 45K followers, 19K engagements "Fear of publishing accurate information that might be welcomed by climate deniers is a deep pathology in climate research if I had a dollar" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699515769242222927) 2023-09-06T20:11Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Editor of Nature: We are now carefully considering the implications of his stated actions; certainly they reflect poor research practices and are not in line with the standards we set for our journal Retraction coming Compare Proximal Origins https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12488605/editor-nature-journal-climate-change-scientist.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12488605/editor-nature-journal-climate-change-scientist.html" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699750625767243822) 2023-09-07T11:45Z 47.7K followers, 250.8K engagements "Cant make this up The cover of the issue of Nature that @PatrickTBrown31 has his much discussed paper in is about a study centered on . RCP8.5" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1699891531606540386) 2023-09-07T21:04Z 44.6K followers, [----] engagements "A proposal for new climate scenarios claims: "climate extremes & impacts that reflect long-term cumulative climate changes (e.g. glacier melt or sea level rise) can be substantially different between a scenario peaking at 1.6C or 1.8C in the middle of the century." True" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700132461039198545) 2023-09-08T13:02Z 47.8K followers, [----] engagements "Can climate models meaningfully differentiate futures separated by [---] C over the 21st century for glacier melt sea level rise or extreme weather Here is πΌ RCPs [---] & [---] in [----] for Greenland melt-SLR (1.5C GAST diff) Can we resolve melt difs from of 0.2C before [----] No" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700135580087234666) 2023-09-08T13:14Z 47.8K followers, [----] engagements "@NiranjanAjit @PatrickTBrown31 And that is wrong An accurate updated conclusion would be passing such a threshold appears to sit outside the range of today's most pessimistic future climate change scenarios That is almost complete opposite RCP8.5 is used to bring into frame things that lie outside" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700158194553635028) 2023-09-08T14:44Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "Bias in climate research Compare Absolute freak out over @PatrickTBrown31 noting authors are strategic in framing papers to enhance chances for acceptance. Sun also rises in east. Complete silence on Alimonti retraction where a publisher retracted a paper because of framing π€·β" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700202892890878448) 2023-09-08T17:42Z 45K followers, 16.6K engagements "Nobel laureate Randy Schekman Science Nature "accept papers that. explore sexy subjects or make challenging claims. This influences the science that scientists do. It builds bubbles in fashionable fields. while discouraging other important work"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700214480343544206) 2023-09-08T18:28Z 45K followers, [----] engagements ""We investigate the number of near-equatorial (originating between 5-11N) tropical cyclones over the north Indian Ocean during post-monsoon season (Oct to Dec) over the past [--] years. The study reveals a marked 43% decline in the number of such cyclones"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700485158611345476) 2023-09-09T12:23Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Grid-Scale Gaslighting" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700501997613678658) 2023-09-09T13:30Z 45K followers, 14.9K engagements "Why dont Americans trust university researchers and why it matters for climate change PLOS Climate" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700634357818618064) 2023-09-09T22:16Z 45K followers, 108.1K engagements "Katheryn Hayhoe comments on IPCC AR6 WG1 Table [-----] Out of date As Ive argued activists are going to need to create distance from science/IPCC to sustain apocalyptic/extreme claims We are just a short hop from citing IPCC is a denier talking point π€£" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1700881342714839071) 2023-09-10T14:38Z 48.2K followers, 72.7K engagements "Open request Can anyone provide an example of a paper or papers that indicate that IPCC WG1 AR6 Table [-----] is "out of date" Anyone" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1700909168423829835) 2023-09-10T16:28Z 45K followers, 22.5K engagements "@DarrinADurant @TheBTI Ah yes the People's Judean Front vs the People's Front of Judea" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1701209877157412910) 2023-09-11T12:23Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "NOAA has married its billion-dollar disasters with RCP8.5 as BAU But of course they have Not a joke actually: "to provide U.S. communities with information and guidance on their susceptibility to weather and climate hazards as well as potential future impacts from them"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1702348445175156784) 2023-09-14T15:47Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Excellent from @Aon_plc on severe convective storms-SCS "little evidence that climate change is impacting key variables that influence SCS. (Re)insurers instead must deal with growing exposures in high hazard areas.managed through traditional risk mgmt"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1702358982957187191) 2023-09-14T16:29Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements "Why are billion-dollar disasters increasing Simple Bravo @Aon_plc" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1702359408989348017) 2023-09-14T16:31Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "American political scientist Roger Pielke Jr says climate-conscious governments sometimes apply an unfortunate abuse of statistics when they should be remaining faithful to what science can and cant say" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1702443469619311044) 2023-09-14T22:05Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "End the Week with THB So much good stuff -- why nukes beat wind OPEC vs. IEA Aon on disasters Pielke's politics and more" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1702699716302254344) 2023-09-15T15:03Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Expensive energy may have killed more Europeans than covid-19 last winter Our modelling estimates that high energy prices claimed [-----] lives @TheEconomist https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/05/10/expensive-energy-may-have-killed-more-europeans-than-covid-19-last-winter https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/05/10/expensive-energy-may-have-killed-more-europeans-than-covid-19-last-winter" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1703502430925914357) 2023-09-17T20:13Z 48.2K followers, 62.9K engagements "Reactions to UK adjusting its approach to net-zero says a lot about how people think about democracy Is climate policy something elites impose upon the public opinion be damned Or is climate policy something that the public imposes upon itself via its elected representatives" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1704600183865311333) 2023-09-20T20:55Z 44.4K followers, 18.4K engagements "The only way to stop billion dollar disasters is to stop climate change The data are trying to tell us something The US has a growing problem w/ climate change. The frequency and severity of climate extremes and disasters will continue to go up and that while preparedness and adaptation can help it won't be enough until we stop climate change. https://t.co/5AoIAlbnwR https://t.co/3zBAYifVRk The US has a growing problem w/ climate change. The frequency and severity of climate extremes and disasters will continue to go up and that while preparedness and adaptation can help it won't be enough" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1705953260245582289) 2023-09-24T14:32Z 46.8K followers, 11.1K engagements "This figure should end all debate on this subject" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1706028841674907984) 2023-09-24T19:32Z 45K followers, 11.4K engagements "The Left is losing the climate class war@UnHerd In other words between 98.75% to 62.5% of the current human population needs to die off. This is how our modern climate discourse top-down moralising apocalyptic emerged @Matthuber78 π₯π₯π₯" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1706305911499690055) 2023-09-25T13:53Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday said that green transition should focus on providing incentives rather than imposing outright obligations" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1706366055927648755) 2023-09-25T17:52Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "Fun stuff Bloom wants to give Sanders a $130m raise/extension - suggesting [--] years at $160 million w/ a $100m buyout clause That's $11m more per year than Sanders current contract I've got recommendations too: I'd like to see CU adjuncts & grad students paid living wages" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1707093692337762707) 2023-09-27T18:03Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements "It can't be right that rural folks are objecting to energy projects in their communities when New York City residents are demanding them How democratic is that" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1707402771664978097) 2023-09-28T14:31Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "Climate misinformation from the White House today Billion dollar disasters caused by climate change" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1707455528706965795) 2023-09-28T18:01Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Almost every claim in the first paragraph of the White House National Resilience Framework is scientifically inaccurate based on IPCC and USNCA It cites neither but does cite the BBC" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1707458935073210445) 2023-09-28T18:15Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Some are promoting the fact that we can just unplug the world from the current energy system & with a flick of a switch we can just initiate a new energy system. That doesnt work So we need to sober up & be more realistic & more practical" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1708113025423810972) 2023-09-30T13:34Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "These guys think about me more than is healthy" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1708176584472244423) 2023-09-30T17:46Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "CEO TotalEnergies we will not please the activists. We will never make enough to please the ones which are against oil and gas but my mission is not to please them. Our mission is to deliver to the society the energy we need today and tomorrow" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1708826581727400098) 2023-10-02T12:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "This abstract-art like figure that I annotated is presently the biggest story in climate science whether you know it or not and the changes that it implies will transform climate research and policy over the next decade" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1708832912500817932) 2023-10-02T13:14Z 47.8K followers, 30.3K engagements ""Norway a major oil and gas exporter needs to sell over [---] barrels of oil (which emits [--] tonnes of CO2) to pay for the tax breaks it gives EVs to avoid one tonne of CO2.most countries cannot take this pathway to achieve EV dominance"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1708837482195030037) 2023-10-02T13:32Z 45K followers, 20.3K engagements "If malaria is eradicated in Africa it means more GDP growth which is a very good thing And that also means a lot more energy consumption also a good thing Back in [----] I wrote about climate projections that failed to consider malaria eradication https://web.archive.org/web/20121203074005/http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/p=4396 https://web.archive.org/web/20121203074005/http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/p=4396" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1708961538726572079) 2023-10-02T21:45Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements "Global electricity demand rose only 0.4% in the first half of [----] compared to the same period last year which is much lower than the average annual growth between [----] and [----] of 2.6%" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1709939822285230527) 2023-10-05T14:33Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Too often climate advocates claim a consensus on the feasibility and affordability of 100-percent renewable power globally when such a consensus simply does not existcertainly not among energy systems experts when they consider real-world constraints" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1709943866848424384) 2023-10-05T14:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Iron law & AfD a household that would spend [-----] on a gas boiler might now pay [-----] for a standard heat pump. And with current subsidies the total cost to the consumer comes down to something more like [-----] to 18000" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1709947335822729552) 2023-10-05T15:03Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Asian Development Bank has a new report out promoting RCP8.5" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1709992934962278585) 2023-10-05T18:04Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "I get how the world can eliminate coal We've had this capability for [--] years I have yet to see how a barrel of oil gets replaced What is the best technical article on replacement of petroleum" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1710288269123215868) 2023-10-06T13:37Z 44.2K followers, 46.8K engagements "Spot on Now do energy @GeorgeMonbiot "When some prominent figures endorse a book claiming without evidence or explanation that higher food prices would be good for the global poor and advocating a system that would leave billions to starve we should be deeply concerned"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1712103257752162408) 2023-10-11T13:50Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "The ridiculous implausibility of SSP5-8.5 is clear & obvious in the IPCC AR6 WG3 but it is also well-hidden in plain sight unless you have the eyes of an expert In plain English On "current policies" world is tracking C4/C5 in figures below Governments are mandating use of C8" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1712121990528762034) 2023-10-11T15:04Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "IPCC AR6 defends RCP8.5: RCP8.5 "median climate impacts might also materialise while following a lower emission path (e.g. Hausfather and Betts 2020)" HB20 is a blog post & its citation here violates IPCC guidance to rely on peer-reviewed literature" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1712146495124943297) 2023-10-11T16:41Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Other IPCC defense of RCP8.5: "high emissions cannot be ruled out for many reasons including political factors and for instance higher than anticipated population and economic growth" [----] SSP ranges of population & GDP for [----] Only one could even generate an [---] scenario" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1712148468515614856) 2023-10-11T16:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Top ten most-read post at THB and no zero nada zilch push back" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1712973053288952138) 2023-10-13T23:26Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Where did the lower IPCC baselines disappear to The error in IPCC AR5 shown below will be obvious and undeniable to anyone familiar with climate scenarios For everyone else head over to THB" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1713975190953312501) 2023-10-16T17:48Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "In [----] The Climate Fix argued for the importance of net-zero CO2 and for the policies to get there in [----] Steve Koonin argued against it in Unsettled On [--] Nov [----] Koonin and I will debate net-zero at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill Live stream link to come" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1714019805009948832) 2023-10-16T20:45Z 44.2K followers, 18.7K engagements "@mtdevere Deep decarbonization Yes indeed" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1714072024186786129) 2023-10-17T00:13Z 45K followers, [--] engagements "The EU's [--] member countries agreed unanimously to call at COP28 for a phase-out of "unabated" fossil fuels" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1714241210385412373) 2023-10-17T11:25Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "The [----] Oil Crisis: Three Crises in Oneand the Lessons for Today" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1714272427730174451) 2023-10-17T13:29Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "@jritch Many in the climate community have recognized the significant error made a decade ago (however they choose to characterize it) and the community is today undergoing a reset But it is too slow too quiet Meantime in [----] the error propagates in research and policy" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1714334996901872121) 2023-10-17T17:38Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "New Senate report says that annual wildfire costs as much as 4% of US GDP or $893 billion Fortunately "investments from the Inflation Reduction Act to combat climate change will cut down on the greenhouse gas pollution that is a root cause of these larger wildfires"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1714700834209231185) 2023-10-18T17:51Z 45K followers, [----] engagements "Gotta be a name for this kind of thing #ironlaw Climate Policies Are Becoming a Casualty of High Oil Prices via @BarronsOnline" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1715097747228127505) 2023-10-19T20:09Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Rapid ozone depletion after humidification of the stratosphere by the Hunga Tonga Eruption Science" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1715421025100329438) 2023-10-20T17:33Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "Bravo @MightyCaster π I felt the I.A.A.F. wanted to shut me down. To me its restrictions arent about leveling the playing field; they are about getting certain types of women off the field completely" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1715808151751233625) 2023-10-21T19:11Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Lloyds of London warns insurers climate-related pain is still to come one executive at the corporation that oversees the market told underwriters that it has not yet seen clear evidence that a warming climate is a major driver in claims costs" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1716066261254218044) 2023-10-22T12:17Z 44.2K followers, 172.7K engagements "@Peters_Glen Can you plot all the reference scenarios for these removal trajectories Id bet IEA NZ is lower meaning less removal needed" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1716903145060909115) 2023-10-24T19:43Z 44.2K followers, [---] engagements "I β€ THB subscribers with this attitude" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1717198456098632113) 2023-10-25T15:16Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "The 2023-2024 bushfire season has arrived early for southeast Australia. After the driest September on record October began with multiple fires raging simultaneously across New South Wales and Victoria" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1717325956434522515) 2023-10-25T23:43Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Jan-Oct wildfire emissions 2002-2023" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1719743252046221563) 2023-11-01T15:48Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Fun with data spin and influencing In the NYT: "Staggering. Unnerving. Mind-boggling. Absolutely gobsmackingly bananas" Meantime on the blog: "Observed trends since [----] are still slightly below the CMIP5 multimodel mean." I pick on @hausfath but its a larger problem" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1719746564841751022) 2023-11-01T16:01Z 44.2K followers, 18.8K engagements "Here is the UNC debate Koonin Vs Pielke I start the video below with my [--] minute opening followed by Koonin's [--] minute opening Was a lot of fun Thanks to @Steamboat_Inst @UNC" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1720457592034472245) 2023-11-03T15:07Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "I am trying not to use the word renewable if I can help it When I mean solar I say solar When I mean wind I say wind They are very different technologies I am very bullish on solar as an important element of a decarbonized electricity system Wind not so muchπ" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1720534189928292864) 2023-11-03T20:11Z 44.2K followers, 25K engagements "Unlike tornadoes and floods normalized CONUS hurricane damage is pretty flat So too are US hurricane landfalls both overall and major Amazing right" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1721991867292647592) 2023-11-07T20:43Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Put all these together (plus wildfires SCSs etc.) and you get a downward trend in North American catastrophe losses shown here since [----] Not rocket science Totally ignored in policy and by the legacy media Amazing right" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1721992524053578186) 2023-11-07T20:46Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "You too can get THB emails ;-)" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1721993711867789616) 2023-11-07T20:51Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "UNEP baseline projects continuing fossil fuel expansion in oil and gas to [----] coal peaks in mid-2030s IEA alone on a deserted island" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1722265754853409071) 2023-11-08T14:52Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Tomorrow AM at THB You subscribed yet" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1723858425342308740) 2023-11-13T00:20Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements "Holy hell US NCA justifies not citing our work with two false claims Yes we have published since [----] How can they be this ignorant about the literature they are assessing Nice find by a THB reader" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1724442147577839778) 2023-11-14T15:00Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements "@peteirvine Many words become political symbols I write about these dynamics here: Once a word becomes a symbol it would be naive to try to explain well I didnt mean it like that Consider current debates over river/sea Easy to avoid confusion Pick other words" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1726624208023892369) 2023-11-20T15:31Z 45K followers, [---] engagements "None of these reduce emissions The UN leadership is looking for [--] concrete commitments from [---] countries at the COP28 summit including a tripling of renewable energy capacity the doubling of energy efficiency and money for a loss and damage fund" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1726668265454489607) 2023-11-20T18:26Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements "@johnrhanger False The only actions that reduce emissions are a reduction in the carbon intensity of fossil fuel consumption or energy intensity of GDP at a combined rate greater than GDP growth But Im happy to see your math if you think otherwise" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1726672254619242882) 2023-11-20T18:42Z 44.3K followers, [---] engagements "@johnrhanger As worthwhile as they may be commitments to deploy more carbon-free energy or to improve energy efficiency cannot on their own reduce CO2 emissions Only a reduction of fossil fuel consumption will reduce emissions The UN does not suggest any such targets" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1726672948776559075) 2023-11-20T18:44Z 44.3K followers, [---] engagements "This reflects not a bamboozled Prime Minister but a comprehensive failure of science advisory mechanisms Policy makers needed alternative policy options and expectations for their possible/likely consequences not a master class in epidemiology or modeling" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1726684552729645528) 2023-11-20T19:30Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "After asking these questions and getting no responses I was blocked here on Twitter π€£ That act alone is an answer π" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1726970892918628485) 2023-11-21T14:28Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements "No SRM will never be a good ideaπ Solar geoengineering is becoming a respectable idea from @TheEconomist" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1727467346657267947) 2023-11-22T23:21Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "I do sometimes wonder cheerleaders for this or that energy technology (or against this or that) think they are accomplishing on social media Paid promoters In-group signaling Expectation of actual impact Good vibes Interesting for sure" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728200965298573747) 2023-11-24T23:56Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "I just updated the THB ABOUT page" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728211174175441321) 2023-11-25T00:37Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "This is incredible "So after all these years we finally have the values for the individual MBH98 steps that Mann and Nature refused to provide so many years ago." Science is self-correcting sometimes it just take a while" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728412160034742400) 2023-11-25T13:55Z 44.4K followers, 32.8K engagements "I don't think many realize modern climate blogging kicked off in [----] with a concerted effort to protect Michael Mann's work from scrutiny after IPCC bet the farm on it necessitating the invention of evil deniers to deplatform and kicking off two decades of Manichean discourse" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1728419808251625518) 2023-11-25T14:26Z 48.2K followers, 52.6K engagements "Real Climate authors [----] (LEFT): "we are not taking a political stand" Real Climate authors [----] (RIGHT): "The Republican Party must be destroyed"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728423978182586410) 2023-11-25T14:42Z 44.4K followers, 30K engagements "Interesting I asked DALL-E to creating an image depicting the 1876-77 El Nio famine for an upcoming THB post It gave me an image of lots of people with lots of food I asked for a more historically accurate depiction and ChatGPT replied that it was not allowed to depict famine" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728428776286273646) 2023-11-25T15:01Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "Start the Week with THB COP28 Special Edition with News You Won't Read Anywhere Else" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728813252359098517) 2023-11-26T16:29Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements ""without major advances in renewable technologies such as battery storage India lacks an alternative to the cheap and available fuel source to provide energy security to its population"" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728867447573549453) 2023-11-26T20:04Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "The obvious COP28 stance: You go first "Indias per capita coal consumption is half that of the US according to data from the Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP) think-tank and many Indians continue to have only precarious access to power."" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728867719360242015) 2023-11-26T20:05Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "Political advocacy by National Climate Assessment authors continues It's like FDA drug approval committee members appearing in commercials for the drugs they approve No mention of natural gas or fracking here And a clever focus on increasing headlines about disasters π€" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1728869645837549708) 2023-11-26T20:13Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "I took a close look at the authors of the US National Climate Assessment Center for American Progress The Nature Conservancy Environmental Defense Fund The Club of Rome Project Drawdown Ocean Conservancy Union of Concerned Scientists and more and more . Advocacy capture 101" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1729170737511202887) 2023-11-27T16:10Z 44.4K followers, 127.6K engagements "I still cannot believe this I also cannot believe that the massive COI is just ignored by the climate beat amazing" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1729250968859275619) 2023-11-27T21:28Z 44.4K followers, 53K engagements "π I dont want to go into (a program) and lose a head coach or a coordinator" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1729333198088204311) 2023-11-28T02:55Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "Can seasonal forecasters anticipate hurricane activity better than just assuming recent climatology Black dots = forecasts Blue triangle = [----] Red dot = climatology" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1729872359082127663) 2023-11-29T14:38Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "All this and more at THB today:" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1729872459737051479) 2023-11-29T14:38Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements "Worth [--] minute of your time and many more minutes of consideration and discussion via @JusperMachogu" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1729873336174526929) 2023-11-29T14:41Z 44.4K followers, 14.9K engagements "We still doing this Mann suggests a figure of 8bn people is beyond the natural carrying capacity of our planet" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1730281963896873298) 2023-11-30T17:45Z 44.4K followers, 25K engagements "@atrembath Good Q If are lucky it'd be zero coal by [----] or some such practical objective" [X Link](https://x.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1730710150888014241) 2023-12-01T22:07Z 44.4K followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@RogerPielkeJr The Honest BrokerThe Honest Broker posts on X about science, in the, events, countries the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence currencies finance countries stocks travel destinations technology brands celebrities social networks automotive brands ncaa football
Social topic influence science #3649, in the, events, countries, paper, insurance, climate change, china, white house, university of
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"No Hurricanes Are Not Bigger Stronger and More Dangerous A fatally flawed paper on climate science passed peer review at a significant journal. The result has been a polluting of our discussions of climate science and policy"
X Link 2019-11-15T19:06Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"The Decline Of Football Is Real And Its Accelerating Despite the continued popularity of the National Football League (NFL) in the United States more broadly gridiron football is in an era of rapid decline and evidence suggests that the decline is accelerating"
X Link 2021-12-10T14:41Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"Net-Zero Carbon Dioxide Emissions By [----] Requires A New Nuclear Power Plant Every Day The world and the United States are not moving towards net-zero carbon dioxide emissions and in fact every day we are moving in the opposite direction. Auctions of promises for emissions reductions dont actually reduce emissions. Technology reduces emissions"
X Link 2019-10-09T04:14Z 208.1M followers, [--] engagements
"The Impact Of Flooding Depends More On Societal Change Than Climate Change For massive flooding in Houston caused by Hurricane Harvey in [----] an international team of authors finds that development since [----] is far more important to than is climate change leading to important policy implications"
X Link 2019-11-06T01:07Z 208.1M followers, [--] engagements
"Fantastic resource @unisouthampton @CIRUsoton on global trends in Coronavirus research Coronavirus R&D Dashboard https://app.powerbi.com/viewr=eyJrIjoiYWI1ZTc0ZWMtOWZkMy00YzJiLTkyYzEtZGQxMzU3OGI2OTA1IiwidCI6IjRhNTM3OGY5LTI5ZjQtNGQzZS1iZTg5LTY2OWQwM2FkYTlkOCIsImMiOjh9 https://app.powerbi.com/viewr=eyJrIjoiYWI1ZTc0ZWMtOWZkMy00YzJiLTkyYzEtZGQxMzU3OGI2OTA1IiwidCI6IjRhNTM3OGY5LTI5ZjQtNGQzZS1iZTg5LTY2OWQwM2FkYTlkOCIsImMiOjh9"
X Link 2020-05-07T13:01Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@michaelghead @unisouthampton @CIRUsoton Outstanding resource thanks Caveats noted R&D estimates are always a snapshot in time subject to vagaries of classification and reporting"
X Link 2020-05-07T13:40Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@michaelghead @unisouthampton @CIRUsoton Excellent Compare your Fig.2 to our arguments in this paper (would make for an interesting follow on analysis): https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1462901106001183casa_token=oG8eE5CAxzEAAAAA:Qv8RlVwnXDuvYgNZqHj8WwSqbUnAnifWwf6APV-gWLfxcaSxQEGn8VVmKz209sw0wmcdChQXkEw https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1462901106001183casa_token=oG8eE5CAxzEAAAAA:Qv8RlVwnXDuvYgNZqHj8WwSqbUnAnifWwf6APV-gWLfxcaSxQEGn8VVmKz209sw0wmcdChQXkEw"
X Link 2020-05-07T13:54Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements
"π§΅Fact checking self-appointed climate fact checkers @ClimateFdbk Kerry Emanuel claims: "economic damage normalized by world domestic product. from weather-related natural disasters have been increasing greatly" (full quote below) This is incontrovertibly false Evidence next"
X Link 2020-07-12T20:51Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements
"Compare where college football is (currently intended to be) being played this fall with where high school football participation is increasing or decreasing over 2008-2019"
X Link 2020-08-15T15:34Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"My colleagues @jljcolorado @ShellyMBoulder gonna have a good laugh/cry at this set-up Good morning from inside the site of tonights Pence-Harris vice presidential debate. https://t.co/MIKbhO4u8w Good morning from inside the site of tonights Pence-Harris vice presidential debate. https://t.co/MIKbhO4u8w"
X Link 2020-10-07T13:23Z 47.6K followers, [--] engagements
"Absolutely fascinating how climate scenarios (RCPs SSPs & their derivatives) are enabling entirely new markets for consulting based on financial risk assessments of fictional futures It is also amazing how much money is being paid to explore these outdated fictional futures"
X Link 2021-04-28T14:49Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"Hot off the press The latest from Vaclav Smil on the energy transition via @jpmorgan https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/institutional/insights/market-insights/eye-on-the-market/annual-energy-outlook/ https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/institutional/insights/market-insights/eye-on-the-market/annual-energy-outlook/"
X Link 2021-05-04T15:58Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements
"Smil on Will Ferrell and Norway's EVs"
X Link 2021-05-04T16:06Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
""Price-fixing labor is price-fixing labor""
X Link 2021-06-21T14:43Z 46.8K followers, [--] engagements
"Wow Kavanaugh has basically put the NCAA and universities on notice that the Supreme Court is no longer a safe space for NCAA "amateurism" arguments Get ready for the policy debate to move fully to Congress"
X Link 2021-06-21T14:47Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@FrediOtto @FinancialTimes What is the source for the claim that extreme heatwaves have/will become 100x more likely π"
X Link 2021-07-04T12:47Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements
"@FrediOtto @FinancialTimes Thanks but none of the [--] case studies in that [----] collect are on heatwaves Im just looking for the specific citation to the claim thanks"
X Link 2021-07-04T13:25Z 47.7K followers, [--] engagements
"The IPCC AR6 WG1 is not in fact neutral w/ respect to scenario assumptions because it has a overwhelming emphasis on unlikely (it's word) implausible (our word) scenarios Because IPCC also claims no likelihoods associated w/ scenarios the emphasis on [---] needs interpretation"
X Link 2021-08-09T13:10Z 47.6K followers, [---] engagements
"π§΅ Look under the hood & what do you find Extreme implausible scenarios Climate Change an Emerging Threat to U.S. Financial Stability Regulators Say https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/17/us/politics/climate-change-us-financial-threat.htmlsmid=tw-share https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/17/us/politics/climate-change-us-financial-threat.htmlsmid=tw-share"
X Link 2021-12-19T13:48Z 46.8K followers, [---] engagements
"@mcuban @ShellenbergerMD FYI @mcuban For data on scale or impact (economic) see: Updated in figure below You are correct don't use disasters to say anything about extreme events themselves Be in touch for more info https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17477891.2018.1540343 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17477891.2018.1540343"
X Link 2022-01-07T22:56Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"Trends in coral cover for the Great Barrier Reef via Australian government: "Continued coral recovery leads to 36-year highs across two-thirds of the Great Barrier Reef" https://www.aims.gov.au/monitoring-great-barrier-reef/gbr-condition-summary-2021-22 https://www.aims.gov.au/monitoring-great-barrier-reef/gbr-condition-summary-2021-22"
X Link 2022-08-05T21:50Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements
"Worth noting Prof Peter Ridd formerly of James Cook University lost his faculty position for questioning certain scientific conclusions about the Great Barrier Reef (formally he lost his job for alleged procedural violations). His sacking was upheld by Australia's highest court"
X Link 2022-08-05T21:59Z 46.7K followers, [---] engagements
"My current plan is to suspend active Twitter activity Dec [--] Follow below to stay engaged Where to find The Honest Broker Substack:https://t.co/N3jCDRVgoW Facebook: https://t.co/5WjVq7J0Lo LinkedIn: https://t.co/dvNgDlDOs6 Instagram: Nope TikTok: Nope My focus going forward is Substack . See ya there Where to find The Honest Broker Substack:https://t.co/N3jCDRVgoW Facebook: https://t.co/5WjVq7J0Lo LinkedIn: https://t.co/dvNgDlDOs6 Instagram: Nope TikTok: Nope My focus going forward is Substack . See ya there"
X Link 2022-11-04T18:09Z 47.6K followers, [--] engagements
"They seem to have buried the lede: "political parties that have put forward degrowth ideas have received limited support in elections. That begs the question: where would the drive for degrowth policy come from" Indeed"
X Link 2022-12-12T17:38Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"The first sentence in this article is wrong: Floods are the most expensive type of natural disaster in America causing at least $323bn in direct damage since [----] after accounting for inflation Since [----] hurricanes have caused $893B in direct damage (exclusive of floods) I discussed w/ this reporter at length on problems w/ RCP8.5 non-peer reviewed consultant reports & the fact that flood damage in US is down by 70%+ over [--] yrs As if we never spoke Accounting for flood risk would lower American house prices by $187bn https://t.co/wo4qnJaMhD I discussed w/ this reporter at length on problems"
X Link 2023-04-13T14:10Z 47.7K followers, [----] engagements
"3rd The big one - if RCP4.5 is indeed to be viewed as climate policy success then we can all go home as according to the UNFCCC the world is currently undershooting RCP4.5 as you can clearly see in figure below (which illustrates SSP2-4.5 trajectory) https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/pielkes-weekly-memo-16 https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/pielkes-weekly-memo-16"
X Link 2023-04-25T18:56Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements
"Probably worth rethinking the idea of tying together "loss and damage" and "event attribution" Ironically this may turn out to be a (flawed) rationale for rich countries to deny support for adaptation Vulnerability offers a much better justification than questionable science"
X Link 2023-06-29T15:23Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"Top NIH Official Advised Covid Scientists That He Uses Personal Email to Evade FOIA by @JamesCTobias"
X Link 2023-06-29T21:02Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Some pretty incredible stuff here Nothing surprising for anyone working where science and politics meeet"
X Link 2023-06-29T22:23Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"Paper title "Emissions & energy impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act Economy-wide emissions drop [--] to 48% below [----] levels by [----]. " Deep in SI "Model outputs should not be interpreted as predictions of policy-induced changes for several reasons""
X Link 2023-06-29T23:01Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"@DarrinADurant Lets not let discussion debate or science get in the way of a cause"
X Link 2023-06-30T01:39Z 45.1K followers, [--] engagements
"RIP ICE Toyota claimed it had made a technological breakthrough to resolve durability issues and a solution for materials that would allow an EV powered by a solid-state battery to have a range of 1200km and charging time of [--] minutes or less https://www.ft.com/content/87cb8e92-8e82-4755-8fc3-2943f8f63e1d https://www.ft.com/content/87cb8e92-8e82-4755-8fc3-2943f8f63e1d"
X Link 2023-07-04T13:25Z 47.6K followers, 14.3K engagements
"@Mining_Atoms @NoNukeBailouts @ONcleanair That figure is great What is the source"
X Link 2023-07-09T21:55Z 45K followers, [---] engagements
"@JesseJenkins @hausfath @CarbonBrief Shipping SO2 is pretty much irrelevant from a climate perspective On the other hand the regulations may save 50k +/- lives per year"
X Link 2023-07-09T22:20Z 45K followers, [---] engagements
"Now that House Democrats have announced that Jeremy Farrar "helped to organize and facilitate the drafting and publication of" Proximal Origins by coordinating the effort as a "ghost author" & pressuring Nature to publish it (WTF) how can Nature Medicine not retract the paper"
X Link 2023-07-10T00:56Z 45K followers, 44.2K engagements
"RCP8.5 We still doing this"
X Link 2023-07-10T04:53Z 44.2K followers, 10.8K engagements
"IEA suggests a peak in oil consumption will be reached around [----] while the ERIA/IEEJ scenario shows strong continuous growth with consumption in [----] being twice that of IEA"
X Link 2023-07-10T17:44Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Lew Branscomb RIP was my main mentors mentor He hired Rad Byerly at JILA University of Colorado Boulder in the 1970s as a physics post-doc Rad hired me in [----] & took me to DC Rad passed in [----] Both were giants in S&T policy & Im lucky to have known and worked w/ both π"
X Link 2023-07-10T16:09Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"π¨π¨ Andersen's and Garry's testimonies for tomorrow have been posted by @COVIDSelect"
X Link 2023-07-11T03:47Z 45K followers, 39.3K engagements
"Andersen testimony: "SARS-CoV-2 is not a purposefully manipulated virus. Scientists simply do not have the ability to do this." I am no virologist but I have seen many saying exactly the opposite of this Experts"
X Link 2023-07-10T20:05Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Back to Andersen testimony: "at a February [--] [----] conference call (organized and convened by Dr. Jeremy Farrar)" This is false or at best incomplete Farrar was brought in by Fauci and asked to coordinate"
X Link 2023-07-10T17:12Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Andersen testimony Pretzel logic "Note that I say about the paper not e.g. on the paper" also "The only suggested edit was from Dr. Farrar who recommended we change a single instance of unlikely with improbable which we did." So KA solicited edits & got one"
X Link 2023-07-10T17:12Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Two things I learned today [--]. Andersen had no coronavirus expertise when he was asked to be the lead author of proximal origins paper [--]. The effort was convened by the director of the agency which had yet to decide on Andersens $8.9m grant application All of this stinks"
X Link 2023-07-10T17:57Z 45K followers, 23.4K engagements
"@AukeHoekstra It is important yes But not particularly meaningful for policy For net zero by [----] we need to deploy the equivalent of 2000x 3MW wind turbines per day (or one nuclear power plant) every day until [----] and retire corresponding amounts of FF Plus/minus Still huge & far off"
X Link 2023-07-10T20:50Z 45K followers, [---] engagements
"For the NYT disasters are not themselves important other than in delivering shock value to promote political change (whatever that might mean) It is incredibly cynical and dismissive of the actual suffering of real people But always good to say the quiet part out loud"
X Link 2023-07-10T21:26Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"This year just 7% of the average acres have burned in California. Or its 93% slower than average. Thats wild. You would think this would be front-page news"
X Link 2023-07-11T07:28Z 45K followers, 12.2K engagements
"Amazing The most significant elements of the @COVIDSelectDems report just released are to show the depth of Farrar's "ghost authorship" role in Proximal Origins & to show Andersen misleading the committee with his written testimony @COVIDSelect Holy cow Just Tell the Truth"
X Link 2023-07-11T13:50Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"I wrote this last week in advance of todays cover-up hearing I wouldnt change anything but Id add much more that we newly released today Covidgate How a group of scientists and government officials tricked the public"
X Link 2023-07-11T18:59Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"What is the most significant science scandal/controversy of the past [--] years"
X Link 2023-07-11T21:41Z 45K followers, 15.4K engagements
"Correct take"
X Link 2023-07-12T00:29Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Back in [----] @Scienceofsport supported Caster Semenyas case against World Athletics He has changed his mind and now believes that human rights considerations should in fact not apply to sport Good to see these arguments made out in the open"
X Link 2023-07-12T12:05Z 44.4K followers, 20.9K engagements
"@Scienceofsport I think we are done for today Have a good one π"
X Link 2023-07-12T12:50Z 45K followers, [---] engagements
"Who has the email where Farrar says he will help with the editors & suggested [--] journals Saw it yesterday and can't locate it now Tx"
X Link 2023-07-12T15:05Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements
"I agree with @Scienceofsport here Blanket bans on trans women athletes are not based on science or evidence of unfair advantages but a presumption of such UCI has applied a sledgehammer where a scalpel would have been more appropriate CAS IOC ECHR etc all require evidence"
X Link 2023-07-15T06:38Z 44.3K followers, 139.2K engagements
"@ruth_dixon Relevant not conclusive by any means Of course ALL existing research relevant to current regulations does not focus on elite trans athletes That's part of the problem"
X Link 2023-07-14T22:24Z 44.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@sharrond62 @Scienceofsport Thousands No"
X Link 2023-07-15T17:37Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@Scienceofsport The only thing I said about you is that I agree and reproduced your tweets If there is misinformation here it is yours It is always personal with you So odd"
X Link 2023-07-15T12:30Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"A longstanding Twitter dynamic among experts who are passionate advocates for causes. In my experience: zoonosis climate emergency trans bans . publicly bully & pressure those with different views The point is not just to try to silence but to send a message to others"
X Link 2023-07-15T16:32Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Global boiling has arrived"
X Link 2023-07-27T17:06Z 45.1K followers, [--] engagements
""On Friday morning we were shocked when the University of Washington and the University of Oregon announced they had accepted Big Ten invitations" Shocked I tell you Even though it had been widely reported for days . . "
X Link 2023-08-08T00:19Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Just hypothesizing that HTHH may have affected regional climate is now climate denial "The eruption of HT sent sulfur & water vapor deep into the stratosphere. The spectacular nature of this event has led many climate deniers to proclaim that this is why its so hot this summer""
X Link 2023-08-09T23:02Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Does Climate Research have an Anti-Growth Problem A new paper suggests that the answer is "Yes""
X Link 2023-08-11T16:17Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"@Mediarad00 Sure here is %GDP and absolutes"
X Link 2023-08-11T16:58Z 46.7K followers, [--] engagements
"It has been a while but I think @adambriggle was the first or second PhD student whose committee I was on after I joined the @CUBoulder faculty [--] years ago Could not be more proud of him A role model for all us academics"
X Link 2023-08-11T17:02Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"@Mediarad00 Here you go:"
X Link 2023-08-11T17:04Z 45.1K followers, [--] engagements
"The reason professional climate scientists will give reporters quotes that vaguely give casual readers the impression they are affirming the thesis that these fires were caused by climate change while avoiding actually saying that is that there isnt any evidence its true"
X Link 2023-08-11T20:31Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"An overwhelming proportion of climate researchers recently polled do not support the desirability and feasibility of aligning environmental goals with continued economic expansion That creates challenges for the IPCC"
X Link 2023-08-12T12:58Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
""the models are incorrectly simulating the equatorial Pacific response to greenhouse gas warming. This implies that projections of regional tropical cyclone activity may be incorrect as well perhaps even in the direction of change""
X Link 2023-08-12T14:39Z 45K followers, 10.4K engagements
"BYU-Hawaii undergrad writes the single best analysis of Hawaii fire vulnerability Ka'anapu K. (2023). PARADISE ON FIRE: HOW HAWAI I DEVELOPED ONE OF THE WORST WILDFIRE PROBLEMS IN AMERICA. Intersections: Journal of Asia Pacific Undergraduate Research http://ojs-dev.byuh.edu/index.php/intersections/article/download/3336/3281 http://ojs-dev.byuh.edu/index.php/intersections/article/download/3336/3281"
X Link 2023-08-12T16:28Z 46.7K followers, 15.2K engagements
"We're well into the "have you no shame" phase of climate reporting where "facts" are just invented out of whole cloth AP: "Hawaii went from lush to bone dry and thus more fire-prone in a matter of just a few weeks" Data: HI drought to [--] Aug [--] https://apnews.com/article/hawaii-wildfires-climate-change-92c0930be7c28ec9ac71392a83c87582 https://apnews.com/article/hawaii-wildfires-climate-change-92c0930be7c28ec9ac71392a83c87582"
X Link 2023-08-12T17:25Z 48.2K followers, 504.4K engagements
"Here is drought in Maui County (purple) Along with drought intensity in Hawaii & Maui County"
X Link 2023-08-12T17:26Z 46.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Its a good point"
X Link 2023-08-12T22:59Z 45K followers, 33.1K engagements
"Paul Krugman in the NYT [--] July [----] we absolutely should politicize the weather [--] Aug [----] The fact that the climate war is now part of the culture war worries me a lot π€·β"
X Link 2023-08-13T13:31Z 48.2K followers, 106.4K engagements
"You get to design an energy technology 1-Continuous or intermittent 2-Small footprint or land intensive 3-More or less moving parts 4-High or low capacity 5-Domestic or globalized supply chain 6-Large or small waste volume 7-Major or minor new transmission Your answers"
X Link 2023-08-13T19:46Z 45K followers, 24.7K engagements
"Great example of an influential climate activist attacking legacy media for its technically accurate reporting on climate Accurate reporting provides fodder for the bad guys or something Media org then caves to the pressure"
X Link 2023-08-15T13:04Z 45K followers, 12.6K engagements
"In [----] climate was complex In [----] it has become super simple"
X Link 2023-08-15T18:49Z 44.2K followers, 30K engagements
"Emissions math does not get any simpler Belgium lost 2GW of electricity production capacity from production sites that produced almost no CO2 emissions. This has had an immediate & evident effect on emissions from the rest of Belgium's energy generation"
X Link 2023-08-16T12:14Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"You lost me at "Climate change is always quite well covered by the media""
X Link 2023-08-16T17:37Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Someone just sent me this It is how propaganda works Stay on message y'all"
X Link 2023-08-17T20:02Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements
"New study Excess deaths following hurricanes 6% of excess deaths occur in 22% least vulnerable counties (left-most tertile in figure below) & Zero in top 15% It's not extreme weather that kills people It is vulnerability when extreme weather happens"
X Link 2023-08-17T21:20Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"@KevinClimate @Peters_Glen Agreed Why not high nuclear in scenarios Why not global equity Scenarios should expand our view of feasible futures not constrict them"
X Link 2023-08-18T12:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"CO2 emissions trajectory consistent with 1.5C Via @Peters_Glen For many climate advocates it seems clear that advocating for the impossible is a feature not a flaw Characteristic of the paranoid style When can we starting discussing feasible climate policy"
X Link 2023-08-20T14:14Z 47.7K followers, 16.6K engagements
"RCP8.5 Impacts without adaptation IPCC whatcha doin"
X Link 2023-08-22T19:45Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Chess Is Monopoly next Then Scrabble"
X Link 2023-08-23T23:38Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"New paper projecting coral bleaching under SSP scenarios buries the good news Bleaching may be limited substantially under a SSP2-4.5 scenario & under current policies trajectory the world is presently undershooting SSP2-4.5"
X Link 2023-08-24T18:12Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"WORLD EXCLUSIVE: Biden probe censored expert claims that COVID was likely genetically engineered in a laboratory Sky News Australia https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/world-exclusive-biden-probe-censored-expert-claims-that-covid-was-likely-genetically-engineered-in-a-laboratory/news-story/54b70e4d95974d528d8f754d1323232d https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/world-exclusive-biden-probe-censored-expert-claims-that-covid-was-likely-genetically-engineered-in-a-laboratory/news-story/54b70e4d95974d528d8f754d1323232d"
X Link 2023-08-24T20:11Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements
"@juliettekayyem This has been called for by @USWeatherExpert for a long time See https://www.mikesmithenterprisesblog.com/2023/08/an-explanation-of-my-idea-for-national.htmlm=1 https://www.mikesmithenterprisesblog.com/2023/08/an-explanation-of-my-idea-for-national.htmlm=1"
X Link 2023-08-24T20:42Z 46.8K followers, [--] engagements
"RCP8.5 + no adaptation = headlines"
X Link 2023-08-25T16:29Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"In [----] every American consumed the equivalent of [--] barrels of oil If the rest of the world consumed at that level we'd require 175m barrels of oil per day That's obviously not gonna happen So an energy transition must happen or poor stay poor I'm for the transition"
X Link 2023-08-25T16:34Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Journalists who cover topics on which I publish in the peer-reviewed research and am widely cited & who also block me here LA Times NY Times The Economist Washington Post Interesting times π"
X Link 2023-08-25T17:40Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements
"AFP editor celebrates pressuring a journal to retract Alimonti et al Both journalism and science are interesting these days It may be akin to removing a speck of dust from a rubbish heap but I confess to taking satisfaction in seeing this egregiously bad #climate study retracted. The remaining question of course is how it got into a Springer Nature journal to start with https://t.co/gR1VWGHCWc It may be akin to removing a speck of dust from a rubbish heap but I confess to taking satisfaction in seeing this egregiously bad #climate study retracted. The remaining question of course is how it"
X Link 2023-08-25T21:26Z 46.8K followers, [----] engagements
"In response to our request for comment Alimonti did not answer our specific questions but pointed us to a blog post published by Roger Pielke Jr"
X Link 2023-08-26T00:15Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"The Guardian celebrates its role in pressuring a publisher to retract a peer-reviewed paper based on its demand for retraction The correct claim that some types of extreme weather are not increasing as summarized by IPCC remains extremely perilous territory Stay on messageπ"
X Link 2023-08-26T13:10Z 48.2K followers, 48.1K engagements
"π§΅ There is a major hurricane forecast to landfall in Florida this week A short thread on what NOAA and IPCC actually say Below compare statements fed to reporters with what NOAA actually says If you are a journalist start here instead"
X Link 2023-08-28T12:58Z 45K followers, 21.5K engagements
"every [-----] C of warming will cause a million deaths"
X Link 2023-08-30T13:35Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Colorado had a great win today but it is not the job of the media to be believers or cheerleaders The idea that reporters must align with those they cover is endemic and a huge problem Coach @DeionSanders Act like you been there before"
X Link 2023-09-02T21:36Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Coming tomorrow at THB"
X Link 2023-09-03T15:00Z 44.4K followers, [--] engagements
"climate science has become less about understanding the complexities of the world and more about serving as a kind of Cassandra urgently warning the public about the dangers of climate change it distorts a great deal of climate science research"
X Link 2023-09-05T10:53Z 45K followers, 20.1K engagements
"Nice π§΅ by @Peters_Glen showing that the scenarios underlying virtually all projective climate research are highly idealized & not really fit for policy analyses in the real world"
X Link 2023-09-06T07:44Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"The just come out and say it"
X Link 2023-09-06T18:10Z 44.4K followers, 21.4K engagements
"This is not what the IPCC says Actual IPCC: no consensus on the relative magnitude of human and natural influences on past changes in Atlantic hurricane activity it remains uncertain whether past changes in Atlantic TC activity are outside the range of natural variability"
X Link 2023-09-06T18:15Z 45K followers, 19K engagements
"Fear of publishing accurate information that might be welcomed by climate deniers is a deep pathology in climate research if I had a dollar"
X Link 2023-09-06T20:11Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Editor of Nature: We are now carefully considering the implications of his stated actions; certainly they reflect poor research practices and are not in line with the standards we set for our journal Retraction coming Compare Proximal Origins https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12488605/editor-nature-journal-climate-change-scientist.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12488605/editor-nature-journal-climate-change-scientist.html"
X Link 2023-09-07T11:45Z 47.7K followers, 250.8K engagements
"Cant make this up The cover of the issue of Nature that @PatrickTBrown31 has his much discussed paper in is about a study centered on . RCP8.5"
X Link 2023-09-07T21:04Z 44.6K followers, [----] engagements
"A proposal for new climate scenarios claims: "climate extremes & impacts that reflect long-term cumulative climate changes (e.g. glacier melt or sea level rise) can be substantially different between a scenario peaking at 1.6C or 1.8C in the middle of the century." True"
X Link 2023-09-08T13:02Z 47.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Can climate models meaningfully differentiate futures separated by [---] C over the 21st century for glacier melt sea level rise or extreme weather Here is πΌ RCPs [---] & [---] in [----] for Greenland melt-SLR (1.5C GAST diff) Can we resolve melt difs from of 0.2C before [----] No"
X Link 2023-09-08T13:14Z 47.8K followers, [----] engagements
"@NiranjanAjit @PatrickTBrown31 And that is wrong An accurate updated conclusion would be passing such a threshold appears to sit outside the range of today's most pessimistic future climate change scenarios That is almost complete opposite RCP8.5 is used to bring into frame things that lie outside"
X Link 2023-09-08T14:44Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"Bias in climate research Compare Absolute freak out over @PatrickTBrown31 noting authors are strategic in framing papers to enhance chances for acceptance. Sun also rises in east. Complete silence on Alimonti retraction where a publisher retracted a paper because of framing π€·β"
X Link 2023-09-08T17:42Z 45K followers, 16.6K engagements
"Nobel laureate Randy Schekman Science Nature "accept papers that. explore sexy subjects or make challenging claims. This influences the science that scientists do. It builds bubbles in fashionable fields. while discouraging other important work""
X Link 2023-09-08T18:28Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
""We investigate the number of near-equatorial (originating between 5-11N) tropical cyclones over the north Indian Ocean during post-monsoon season (Oct to Dec) over the past [--] years. The study reveals a marked 43% decline in the number of such cyclones""
X Link 2023-09-09T12:23Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Grid-Scale Gaslighting"
X Link 2023-09-09T13:30Z 45K followers, 14.9K engagements
"Why dont Americans trust university researchers and why it matters for climate change PLOS Climate"
X Link 2023-09-09T22:16Z 45K followers, 108.1K engagements
"Katheryn Hayhoe comments on IPCC AR6 WG1 Table [-----] Out of date As Ive argued activists are going to need to create distance from science/IPCC to sustain apocalyptic/extreme claims We are just a short hop from citing IPCC is a denier talking point π€£"
X Link 2023-09-10T14:38Z 48.2K followers, 72.7K engagements
"Open request Can anyone provide an example of a paper or papers that indicate that IPCC WG1 AR6 Table [-----] is "out of date" Anyone"
X Link 2023-09-10T16:28Z 45K followers, 22.5K engagements
"@DarrinADurant @TheBTI Ah yes the People's Judean Front vs the People's Front of Judea"
X Link 2023-09-11T12:23Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"NOAA has married its billion-dollar disasters with RCP8.5 as BAU But of course they have Not a joke actually: "to provide U.S. communities with information and guidance on their susceptibility to weather and climate hazards as well as potential future impacts from them""
X Link 2023-09-14T15:47Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Excellent from @Aon_plc on severe convective storms-SCS "little evidence that climate change is impacting key variables that influence SCS. (Re)insurers instead must deal with growing exposures in high hazard areas.managed through traditional risk mgmt""
X Link 2023-09-14T16:29Z 45.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Why are billion-dollar disasters increasing Simple Bravo @Aon_plc"
X Link 2023-09-14T16:31Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"American political scientist Roger Pielke Jr says climate-conscious governments sometimes apply an unfortunate abuse of statistics when they should be remaining faithful to what science can and cant say"
X Link 2023-09-14T22:05Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"End the Week with THB So much good stuff -- why nukes beat wind OPEC vs. IEA Aon on disasters Pielke's politics and more"
X Link 2023-09-15T15:03Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Expensive energy may have killed more Europeans than covid-19 last winter Our modelling estimates that high energy prices claimed [-----] lives @TheEconomist https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/05/10/expensive-energy-may-have-killed-more-europeans-than-covid-19-last-winter https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/05/10/expensive-energy-may-have-killed-more-europeans-than-covid-19-last-winter"
X Link 2023-09-17T20:13Z 48.2K followers, 62.9K engagements
"Reactions to UK adjusting its approach to net-zero says a lot about how people think about democracy Is climate policy something elites impose upon the public opinion be damned Or is climate policy something that the public imposes upon itself via its elected representatives"
X Link 2023-09-20T20:55Z 44.4K followers, 18.4K engagements
"The only way to stop billion dollar disasters is to stop climate change The data are trying to tell us something The US has a growing problem w/ climate change. The frequency and severity of climate extremes and disasters will continue to go up and that while preparedness and adaptation can help it won't be enough until we stop climate change. https://t.co/5AoIAlbnwR https://t.co/3zBAYifVRk The US has a growing problem w/ climate change. The frequency and severity of climate extremes and disasters will continue to go up and that while preparedness and adaptation can help it won't be enough"
X Link 2023-09-24T14:32Z 46.8K followers, 11.1K engagements
"This figure should end all debate on this subject"
X Link 2023-09-24T19:32Z 45K followers, 11.4K engagements
"The Left is losing the climate class war@UnHerd In other words between 98.75% to 62.5% of the current human population needs to die off. This is how our modern climate discourse top-down moralising apocalyptic emerged @Matthuber78 π₯π₯π₯"
X Link 2023-09-25T13:53Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday said that green transition should focus on providing incentives rather than imposing outright obligations"
X Link 2023-09-25T17:52Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"Fun stuff Bloom wants to give Sanders a $130m raise/extension - suggesting [--] years at $160 million w/ a $100m buyout clause That's $11m more per year than Sanders current contract I've got recommendations too: I'd like to see CU adjuncts & grad students paid living wages"
X Link 2023-09-27T18:03Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements
"It can't be right that rural folks are objecting to energy projects in their communities when New York City residents are demanding them How democratic is that"
X Link 2023-09-28T14:31Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"Climate misinformation from the White House today Billion dollar disasters caused by climate change"
X Link 2023-09-28T18:01Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Almost every claim in the first paragraph of the White House National Resilience Framework is scientifically inaccurate based on IPCC and USNCA It cites neither but does cite the BBC"
X Link 2023-09-28T18:15Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Some are promoting the fact that we can just unplug the world from the current energy system & with a flick of a switch we can just initiate a new energy system. That doesnt work So we need to sober up & be more realistic & more practical"
X Link 2023-09-30T13:34Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"These guys think about me more than is healthy"
X Link 2023-09-30T17:46Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"CEO TotalEnergies we will not please the activists. We will never make enough to please the ones which are against oil and gas but my mission is not to please them. Our mission is to deliver to the society the energy we need today and tomorrow"
X Link 2023-10-02T12:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"This abstract-art like figure that I annotated is presently the biggest story in climate science whether you know it or not and the changes that it implies will transform climate research and policy over the next decade"
X Link 2023-10-02T13:14Z 47.8K followers, 30.3K engagements
""Norway a major oil and gas exporter needs to sell over [---] barrels of oil (which emits [--] tonnes of CO2) to pay for the tax breaks it gives EVs to avoid one tonne of CO2.most countries cannot take this pathway to achieve EV dominance""
X Link 2023-10-02T13:32Z 45K followers, 20.3K engagements
"If malaria is eradicated in Africa it means more GDP growth which is a very good thing And that also means a lot more energy consumption also a good thing Back in [----] I wrote about climate projections that failed to consider malaria eradication https://web.archive.org/web/20121203074005/http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/p=4396 https://web.archive.org/web/20121203074005/http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/p=4396"
X Link 2023-10-02T21:45Z 46.7K followers, [----] engagements
"Global electricity demand rose only 0.4% in the first half of [----] compared to the same period last year which is much lower than the average annual growth between [----] and [----] of 2.6%"
X Link 2023-10-05T14:33Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Too often climate advocates claim a consensus on the feasibility and affordability of 100-percent renewable power globally when such a consensus simply does not existcertainly not among energy systems experts when they consider real-world constraints"
X Link 2023-10-05T14:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Iron law & AfD a household that would spend [-----] on a gas boiler might now pay [-----] for a standard heat pump. And with current subsidies the total cost to the consumer comes down to something more like [-----] to 18000"
X Link 2023-10-05T15:03Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Asian Development Bank has a new report out promoting RCP8.5"
X Link 2023-10-05T18:04Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"I get how the world can eliminate coal We've had this capability for [--] years I have yet to see how a barrel of oil gets replaced What is the best technical article on replacement of petroleum"
X Link 2023-10-06T13:37Z 44.2K followers, 46.8K engagements
"Spot on Now do energy @GeorgeMonbiot "When some prominent figures endorse a book claiming without evidence or explanation that higher food prices would be good for the global poor and advocating a system that would leave billions to starve we should be deeply concerned""
X Link 2023-10-11T13:50Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"The ridiculous implausibility of SSP5-8.5 is clear & obvious in the IPCC AR6 WG3 but it is also well-hidden in plain sight unless you have the eyes of an expert In plain English On "current policies" world is tracking C4/C5 in figures below Governments are mandating use of C8"
X Link 2023-10-11T15:04Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"IPCC AR6 defends RCP8.5: RCP8.5 "median climate impacts might also materialise while following a lower emission path (e.g. Hausfather and Betts 2020)" HB20 is a blog post & its citation here violates IPCC guidance to rely on peer-reviewed literature"
X Link 2023-10-11T16:41Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Other IPCC defense of RCP8.5: "high emissions cannot be ruled out for many reasons including political factors and for instance higher than anticipated population and economic growth" [----] SSP ranges of population & GDP for [----] Only one could even generate an [---] scenario"
X Link 2023-10-11T16:49Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Top ten most-read post at THB and no zero nada zilch push back"
X Link 2023-10-13T23:26Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Where did the lower IPCC baselines disappear to The error in IPCC AR5 shown below will be obvious and undeniable to anyone familiar with climate scenarios For everyone else head over to THB"
X Link 2023-10-16T17:48Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"In [----] The Climate Fix argued for the importance of net-zero CO2 and for the policies to get there in [----] Steve Koonin argued against it in Unsettled On [--] Nov [----] Koonin and I will debate net-zero at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill Live stream link to come"
X Link 2023-10-16T20:45Z 44.2K followers, 18.7K engagements
"@mtdevere Deep decarbonization Yes indeed"
X Link 2023-10-17T00:13Z 45K followers, [--] engagements
"The EU's [--] member countries agreed unanimously to call at COP28 for a phase-out of "unabated" fossil fuels"
X Link 2023-10-17T11:25Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"The [----] Oil Crisis: Three Crises in Oneand the Lessons for Today"
X Link 2023-10-17T13:29Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@jritch Many in the climate community have recognized the significant error made a decade ago (however they choose to characterize it) and the community is today undergoing a reset But it is too slow too quiet Meantime in [----] the error propagates in research and policy"
X Link 2023-10-17T17:38Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"New Senate report says that annual wildfire costs as much as 4% of US GDP or $893 billion Fortunately "investments from the Inflation Reduction Act to combat climate change will cut down on the greenhouse gas pollution that is a root cause of these larger wildfires""
X Link 2023-10-18T17:51Z 45K followers, [----] engagements
"Gotta be a name for this kind of thing #ironlaw Climate Policies Are Becoming a Casualty of High Oil Prices via @BarronsOnline"
X Link 2023-10-19T20:09Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Rapid ozone depletion after humidification of the stratosphere by the Hunga Tonga Eruption Science"
X Link 2023-10-20T17:33Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Bravo @MightyCaster π I felt the I.A.A.F. wanted to shut me down. To me its restrictions arent about leveling the playing field; they are about getting certain types of women off the field completely"
X Link 2023-10-21T19:11Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Lloyds of London warns insurers climate-related pain is still to come one executive at the corporation that oversees the market told underwriters that it has not yet seen clear evidence that a warming climate is a major driver in claims costs"
X Link 2023-10-22T12:17Z 44.2K followers, 172.7K engagements
"@Peters_Glen Can you plot all the reference scenarios for these removal trajectories Id bet IEA NZ is lower meaning less removal needed"
X Link 2023-10-24T19:43Z 44.2K followers, [---] engagements
"I β€ THB subscribers with this attitude"
X Link 2023-10-25T15:16Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"The 2023-2024 bushfire season has arrived early for southeast Australia. After the driest September on record October began with multiple fires raging simultaneously across New South Wales and Victoria"
X Link 2023-10-25T23:43Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Jan-Oct wildfire emissions 2002-2023"
X Link 2023-11-01T15:48Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Fun with data spin and influencing In the NYT: "Staggering. Unnerving. Mind-boggling. Absolutely gobsmackingly bananas" Meantime on the blog: "Observed trends since [----] are still slightly below the CMIP5 multimodel mean." I pick on @hausfath but its a larger problem"
X Link 2023-11-01T16:01Z 44.2K followers, 18.8K engagements
"Here is the UNC debate Koonin Vs Pielke I start the video below with my [--] minute opening followed by Koonin's [--] minute opening Was a lot of fun Thanks to @Steamboat_Inst @UNC"
X Link 2023-11-03T15:07Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"I am trying not to use the word renewable if I can help it When I mean solar I say solar When I mean wind I say wind They are very different technologies I am very bullish on solar as an important element of a decarbonized electricity system Wind not so muchπ"
X Link 2023-11-03T20:11Z 44.2K followers, 25K engagements
"Unlike tornadoes and floods normalized CONUS hurricane damage is pretty flat So too are US hurricane landfalls both overall and major Amazing right"
X Link 2023-11-07T20:43Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Put all these together (plus wildfires SCSs etc.) and you get a downward trend in North American catastrophe losses shown here since [----] Not rocket science Totally ignored in policy and by the legacy media Amazing right"
X Link 2023-11-07T20:46Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"You too can get THB emails ;-)"
X Link 2023-11-07T20:51Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"UNEP baseline projects continuing fossil fuel expansion in oil and gas to [----] coal peaks in mid-2030s IEA alone on a deserted island"
X Link 2023-11-08T14:52Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Tomorrow AM at THB You subscribed yet"
X Link 2023-11-13T00:20Z 44.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Holy hell US NCA justifies not citing our work with two false claims Yes we have published since [----] How can they be this ignorant about the literature they are assessing Nice find by a THB reader"
X Link 2023-11-14T15:00Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@peteirvine Many words become political symbols I write about these dynamics here: Once a word becomes a symbol it would be naive to try to explain well I didnt mean it like that Consider current debates over river/sea Easy to avoid confusion Pick other words"
X Link 2023-11-20T15:31Z 45K followers, [---] engagements
"None of these reduce emissions The UN leadership is looking for [--] concrete commitments from [---] countries at the COP28 summit including a tripling of renewable energy capacity the doubling of energy efficiency and money for a loss and damage fund"
X Link 2023-11-20T18:26Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@johnrhanger False The only actions that reduce emissions are a reduction in the carbon intensity of fossil fuel consumption or energy intensity of GDP at a combined rate greater than GDP growth But Im happy to see your math if you think otherwise"
X Link 2023-11-20T18:42Z 44.3K followers, [---] engagements
"@johnrhanger As worthwhile as they may be commitments to deploy more carbon-free energy or to improve energy efficiency cannot on their own reduce CO2 emissions Only a reduction of fossil fuel consumption will reduce emissions The UN does not suggest any such targets"
X Link 2023-11-20T18:44Z 44.3K followers, [---] engagements
"This reflects not a bamboozled Prime Minister but a comprehensive failure of science advisory mechanisms Policy makers needed alternative policy options and expectations for their possible/likely consequences not a master class in epidemiology or modeling"
X Link 2023-11-20T19:30Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"After asking these questions and getting no responses I was blocked here on Twitter π€£ That act alone is an answer π"
X Link 2023-11-21T14:28Z 44.3K followers, [----] engagements
"No SRM will never be a good ideaπ Solar geoengineering is becoming a respectable idea from @TheEconomist"
X Link 2023-11-22T23:21Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"I do sometimes wonder cheerleaders for this or that energy technology (or against this or that) think they are accomplishing on social media Paid promoters In-group signaling Expectation of actual impact Good vibes Interesting for sure"
X Link 2023-11-24T23:56Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"I just updated the THB ABOUT page"
X Link 2023-11-25T00:37Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"This is incredible "So after all these years we finally have the values for the individual MBH98 steps that Mann and Nature refused to provide so many years ago." Science is self-correcting sometimes it just take a while"
X Link 2023-11-25T13:55Z 44.4K followers, 32.8K engagements
"I don't think many realize modern climate blogging kicked off in [----] with a concerted effort to protect Michael Mann's work from scrutiny after IPCC bet the farm on it necessitating the invention of evil deniers to deplatform and kicking off two decades of Manichean discourse"
X Link 2023-11-25T14:26Z 48.2K followers, 52.6K engagements
"Real Climate authors [----] (LEFT): "we are not taking a political stand" Real Climate authors [----] (RIGHT): "The Republican Party must be destroyed""
X Link 2023-11-25T14:42Z 44.4K followers, 30K engagements
"Interesting I asked DALL-E to creating an image depicting the 1876-77 El Nio famine for an upcoming THB post It gave me an image of lots of people with lots of food I asked for a more historically accurate depiction and ChatGPT replied that it was not allowed to depict famine"
X Link 2023-11-25T15:01Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Start the Week with THB COP28 Special Edition with News You Won't Read Anywhere Else"
X Link 2023-11-26T16:29Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
""without major advances in renewable technologies such as battery storage India lacks an alternative to the cheap and available fuel source to provide energy security to its population""
X Link 2023-11-26T20:04Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The obvious COP28 stance: You go first "Indias per capita coal consumption is half that of the US according to data from the Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP) think-tank and many Indians continue to have only precarious access to power.""
X Link 2023-11-26T20:05Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Political advocacy by National Climate Assessment authors continues It's like FDA drug approval committee members appearing in commercials for the drugs they approve No mention of natural gas or fracking here And a clever focus on increasing headlines about disasters π€"
X Link 2023-11-26T20:13Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"I took a close look at the authors of the US National Climate Assessment Center for American Progress The Nature Conservancy Environmental Defense Fund The Club of Rome Project Drawdown Ocean Conservancy Union of Concerned Scientists and more and more . Advocacy capture 101"
X Link 2023-11-27T16:10Z 44.4K followers, 127.6K engagements
"I still cannot believe this I also cannot believe that the massive COI is just ignored by the climate beat amazing"
X Link 2023-11-27T21:28Z 44.4K followers, 53K engagements
"π I dont want to go into (a program) and lose a head coach or a coordinator"
X Link 2023-11-28T02:55Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Can seasonal forecasters anticipate hurricane activity better than just assuming recent climatology Black dots = forecasts Blue triangle = [----] Red dot = climatology"
X Link 2023-11-29T14:38Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"All this and more at THB today:"
X Link 2023-11-29T14:38Z 44.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Worth [--] minute of your time and many more minutes of consideration and discussion via @JusperMachogu"
X Link 2023-11-29T14:41Z 44.4K followers, 14.9K engagements
"We still doing this Mann suggests a figure of 8bn people is beyond the natural carrying capacity of our planet"
X Link 2023-11-30T17:45Z 44.4K followers, 25K engagements
"@atrembath Good Q If are lucky it'd be zero coal by [----] or some such practical objective"
X Link 2023-12-01T22:07Z 44.4K followers, [---] engagements
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