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# ![@ResearchBTCNow Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1439709471794778115.png) @ResearchBTCNow The Bitcoin Researcher

The Bitcoin Researcher posts on X about bitcoin, onchain, #bitcoin, lab the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1439709471794778115/interactions)
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- [--] Week [------] +31%
- [--] Month [------] +98%
- [--] Months [------] +561,200%
- [--] Year [------] -77%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1439709471794778115/posts_active)
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- [--] Week [--] +50%
- [--] Month [--] +47%
- [--] Months [--] +5,200%
- [--] Year [--] -61%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1439709471794778115/followers)
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- [--] Week [-----] +0.38%
- [--] Month [-----] +0.08%
- [--] Months [-----] +9.50%
- [--] Year [-----] +12%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1439709471794778115/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1439709471794778115/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #6966 [finance](/list/finance)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [social networks](/list/social-networks) 

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #2740, [onchain](/topic/onchain), [#bitcoin](/topic/#bitcoin), [lab](/topic/lab), [sentiment](/topic/sentiment), [market](/topic/market), [coins](/topic/coins), [on chain data](/topic/on-chain-data) #3, [conviction](/topic/conviction), [#btc](/topic/#btc)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@checkmatey](/creator/undefined) [@giovann35084111](/creator/undefined) [@paulewaulpaul](/creator/undefined) [@profchaine](/creator/undefined) [@dpuellark](/creator/undefined) [@glassnode](/creator/undefined) [@usdirr](/creator/undefined) [@sina21st](/creator/undefined) [@therealplanc](/creator/undefined) [@axeladlerjr](/creator/undefined) [@hcburger1](/creator/undefined) [@nsquaredcrypto](/creator/undefined) [@adam3us](/creator/undefined) [@cryptosapiens](/creator/undefined) [@cryptovizart](/creator/undefined) [@cryptoassocia](/creator/undefined) [@txmctrades](/creator/undefined) [@jrcorp](/creator/undefined) [@coinactuary](/creator/undefined) [@bitcoindata21](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [April (APRIL)](/topic/april) [Monero (XMR)](/topic/$xmr) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/google)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"NEW ALL TIME HIGH - Coins (UTXOs) NOT moved for 155+ days "Someone" is not selling #Bitcoin Coin status: LongTerm Hodler Coins: [--] [---] [---] BTC (78.1%) ShortTerm Hodler Coins: [--] [---] [---] BTC Total Coins: [--] [---] [---] BTC Last ATH Oct 31st: [--] [---] [---] BTC #HODL #cryptocurrencies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1481944109371858945)  2022-01-14T10:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The Long Term Holder Supply Plot rely only on how long coins have been held (not coin cost basis) In [----] LTH supply was high and increasing (accumulation) In [----] LTH was lower and decreasing (distribution) In [----] LTH is all time high but where are we going"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1490391660496306177)  2022-02-06T18:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin onchain spending is slowing for all coin age groups expect the very coins of less than [--] days. This indicates that those holding bitcoin for [--] months + are not willing to sell but think higher price is likely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1618710815955353600)  2023-01-26T20:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin URPD Update Progress is being made. Next major cluster at 40K #cryptocurrency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1637899463661346818)  2023-03-20T19:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Mapping #bitcoin support levels by URPD Below current price is the cushing zone 19-23K. While exchange and onchain activity are quite different I do think URPD are useful to map potential support zones. Oversimplified URPD shows price levels with high onchain volumes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1657091013494595595)  2023-05-12T18:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The number of #Bitcoin addresses exploded with BRC-20 tokens and ordinals. An excess of [--] million new address were created within a few weeks. I seriously question if this is "organic" demand. I think less than [--] million entities interacted with the blockchain in the period"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1658226025040429061)  2023-05-15T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Long Term Hodlers🤪 Some people stacked #Bitcoin [--] years ago in the spring of [----]. Never they doubted never they sold. LTH never capitulated Strong conviction held strongly🔥💪 These LTH Hodlers are the foundation of my Bull Thesis stated long ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1660736070395351046)  2023-05-22T19:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🔗 Calling all #Bitcoin enthusiasts 🚀📚 Embarking on my mission to share insights on #Bitcoin I'm am thinking of sharing some code public Take a look at RBN RealTime Monitor which scrutinizes recent blocks for the expenditure of old coins Interested Let me know #Crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1668238578244108288)  2023-06-12T12:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin fee has collapsed from the ordinals / inscriptions and brc20 peak hype in May [----]. Average fee per transaction is [----] USD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1671049602106028033)  2023-06-20T06:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Cost Basis (URPD) suggests that 39K could be next. A live version of this chart is available on my free open onchain analysis site"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1671766102408327169)  2023-06-22T06:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AxelAdlerJr Is not using an old address strongly associated with inscriptions brc20 It certainly was a few months back. My understanding is that this tech adopted eth style transactions (which I don't know intimately)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1674517744081879043)  2023-06-29T20:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@miskinadem Certainly a top/bottom indicator. Its a representation of the LTH/STH relalized price flippening. Nice find👍"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1677441816579252225)  2023-07-07T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@JohnnyLaw2021 Both active addresses and UTXO count had a massive increase due to inscription ordinals BRC20 inferno. These txs are typically of low value and does not contribute much to the total value spending of #btc onchain. It is possible to filter these out based on value"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1678290667556986880)  2023-07-10T06:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin traders and investors their FOMO🔥 and despair😬 So much to learn for the Spectacular History of Bitcoin #cryptocurrency #crypto #BTC #FOMO #REKT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1678857895956316161)  2023-07-11T20:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Very intersting on old #bitcoin UTXOs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1684877607492567040)  2023-07-28T10:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"📢Bitcoiners #Bitcoin I haven't been posting much lately I am working hard on RBN [--] my free onchain analysis suite RBN was ready but @_Checkmatey_ and @dpuellARK released Cointime Economics a pivotal moment in onchain analysis. This framework simply needs to be included"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1700960958795981249)  2023-09-10T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Neuro__Invest @dpuellARK @_Checkmatey_ @blockworksres @ARKInvest @BitcoinMagazine @Croesus_BTC @glassnode @yassineARK @WClementeIII @CryptoVizArt I share your fascination Good thread👍"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1707871849269322057)  2023-09-29T21:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@nikzh Can confirm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1711859866996814172)  2023-10-10T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin HOT🔥 supply (= coins moved last [--] days) is as low as it has ever been for over ten years. Some facets of the current onchain statistics is NOT normal but quite extreme. Why It is time to pay attention👀 Study #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1712932008790257693)  2023-10-13T20:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"One #Bitcoin onchain metric to watch👀 is the Short-Term HODLER NUPL. A little 🫸push and it will cross the zero line. STH-NUPL entering positive territory usually indicate at least some shorter term bullish sentiment and price action"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1712944807574749612)  2023-10-13T21:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Among Short Term Hodlers the 30K buyers are NOT marginal and currently under water. These recent buyers constitute potential selling power IF price falls lower. Put differently STH-URPD is top heavy. #Bitcoin #onchain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1713290267967598660)  2023-10-14T20:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"That said we have seen much worse. The unrealized losses is small compared to the wild capitulations seen since 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1713291635138675071)  2023-10-14T20:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I suggest you do what @LynAldenContact says: Study #Bitcoin There is a lot of good information online. My contribution is The Bitcoin Researcher's Onchain Analysis Suite. Check it out #cryptocurrency #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1716706583005052964)  2023-10-24T06:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I study #Bitcoin . Do you I developed my own onchain analysis suite to really dissect how #btc works. I made this onchain suite FREE and OPEN for ALL two years ago. A preview of v10 is now out. Study. No execuse. Then retweet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1717296974653714763)  2023-10-25T21:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Weekly update on #Bitcoin Halving Date Est. date: 2024-04-21 (176 days) Probability: 33.02% Stats is continuously updated on my free onchain statistics website"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1718194233369133339)  2023-10-28T09:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Lets consider current #Bitcoin Supply through the lens of *Cointime Economics* (in millions) Total: [-----] (=ever created) Vaulted: [----] (=completely dormant) Active: [-----] (=economically meaningful) Study this new framework of understanding #BTC 👉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1718199867317620994)  2023-10-28T09:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The significance of this can be shown using Z-Score of Active Supply from [----] to today. A positive value (🟩) shows increasing while negative (🟥) indicates contracting supply. 📢For the first time Active Supply has been consistently contracting since March [----]. 🧵2/3"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1718235364228227411)  2023-10-28T11:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The most important cause is reduced issuance due to #Bitcoin halving. Contraction of Active Supply will accelerate after [----] halving. Together with #BitcoinETF and the firm resolve of LTH it founds the bullish long-term case Do the work to fully grasp this It might pay off👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1718235366245757036)  2023-10-28T11:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"ShortTerm Hodlers are sitting in unrealized profit with cost basis in the 25-30K range 👉URPD_Log_Supply_STH chart They have NOT taken substantial profit yet. 👉URPD_Log_Supply_Diff chart #Bitcoin #onchain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1718710809117807064)  2023-10-29T19:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"❗The contraction of #Bitcoin Short Term Hodlers Supply is really unprecedented. This is true even if we don't take into account the increasing total supply and recent price surge. Contraction of STH supply is commonly seen prior to market turns (often not always bullish)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1718918356713996348)  2023-10-30T09:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AxelAdlerJr Interesting but does this account for "low-value" inscriptions ordinals Excluding these "low-value" transactions I see increased utilization of the network. This is measured as SMA 7D relative to the SMA 365D active_addresses_count expressed as Z-score"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1719308453015867495)  2023-10-31T11:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"ShortTerm Hodler cost basis (URPD) shows most coins are in sustained profit. This indicates positive sentiment and that STH expects price to increase. But the distribution is also top heavy and this cohort may flip their stance locking in profit and cause sell pressure #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1721813195784937824)  2023-11-07T08:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Hot Supply 1Y SMA Since summer [----] there has been a dramatic reduction in Hot Supply (coins moved last [--] days). Do with this info as you like 🤷 My bull thesis is still standing💪 If - BIG IF - Long Term Hodlers do not capitulate soon I anticipate a #Bitcoin bull run for the record books What separates this bear market from previous is that LTH never capitulated So much energy is pent up My bull thesis still stands read👇 If - BIG IF - Long Term Hodlers do not capitulate soon I anticipate a #Bitcoin bull run for the record books What separates this bear market from previous is that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1739780442637701203)  2023-12-26T22:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The #bitcoin realized price distribution (URPD) in USD paints less of a 'hurray' picture of sentiment among LTH. In terms of USD investment LTH have a huge portion of their investment still under water. At least for now.this bull market is primarily for STH (and clever LTH)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1741028562386428228)  2023-12-30T09:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin halving update: 2024-04-19 Currently the halving has a 40% chance of occurring on this date. If you include +/-1 day the probability is well above 90%. As we get closer follow the highly precise estimates develop with clock hour accuracy on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1741030135590216074)  2023-12-30T09:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The impact of #Bitcoin inscriptions on the UTXO set is mind-blowing. The median age of an unspent coin rose steeply until April [--] [----] reaching a max of [----] days. Since then it has dived to [---] days today Will we ever see 100-250 days lifespan again like pre-2016🙂🙃"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1741124537645711569)  2023-12-30T15:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Arguably THE most accurate predictor of the #bitcoin Halving Date While others flip left and right The Bitcoin Lab (RBN) has for months calculated it to occur April 19-20th. Based on [--] [---] blocks and [---] [---] Monte Carlo simulations (beta)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1744487326607097887)  2024-01-08T22:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@_Checkmatey_ @ETHmini Great This cryptospace is not the same without🙏👍"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1744851218675941436)  2024-01-09T22:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin Halving Date Update Estimate: April 20th (39.9% prob) 3-day range: April 19-21th (89.9% prob) Exact clock hour: April 4th 00:00 UTC (2.1% prob) Based on 100K Monte Carlo simulations This and vast amounts of on-chain stats is free (beta)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1747161774753759487)  2024-01-16T07:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Great I will do the same"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1753822806687592630)  2024-02-03T16:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Must admit the R2 over time is impressive Not using the 'Never Look Back Price data'.Do you know where I find this According to my computations using my dataset (uptodate) I get this: R2 [------] intercept [---------] and slop [-------] Still extremely impressive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1753842098493628881)  2024-02-03T18:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Indeed actually just started to look at it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1753842813840609380)  2024-02-03T18:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Aha :) Did not know about the Never Look Back Price.but read up on it here Interesting concept but the model you are fitting is for the "NLB" price - or floor price - not the actual price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1753859631099548055)  2024-02-03T19:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"There actually is a second best to #Bitocin #Monero $xmr may or may not be important in the future Today IMO it is definitely a shining symbol and core reminder of the individual freedom all crypto enthusiasts should strive for. #cryptocurrency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1755263643631886697)  2024-02-07T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@USD_IRR Thanks🤝"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1755326403829027009)  2024-02-07T20:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul I have reviewed the relationship btw time and price in log space using all data. I have made no effort to exclude the bubbles or make other adjustments. This was not my intent and warrants a methodological discussion. However I have performed ransac may report on this later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1757369738701791528)  2024-02-13T11:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul So this is the slope coefficient as more data is added"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1757371987859566619)  2024-02-13T11:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul How you prefer to look at the world is entirely your choice. I find the model fits quite well and its predictions are useful. However as a scientist I will always look at models from different angles. It appears it was needed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1757398707044008400)  2024-02-13T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin Halving: [--] days left🎉 Estimated date: Friday 2024-04-19 Repeating myself here but my prediction is one of few that has been stable for months. 95% probability it will occur April 18th to 20th. Follow on: https://researchbitcoin.net/beta/ https://researchbitcoin.net/beta/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1759347430233977236)  2024-02-18T22:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Cointime Active Realized Cap is the best metric (IMO) to value the #Bitcoin network in fiat terms. It has blasted past the April [----] ATH. Current valuation: [---] billions USD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1759353981795529046)  2024-02-18T23:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Scouting the #Bitcoin supply squeeze The Hot Supply coins aged less than [--] week has decreased from 693K to 632K (10%) since the launch of #ETFs. We are some ways from the all-time low in Sept [----] when Hot Supply was 412K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1759670554821304644)  2024-02-19T20:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Over 96% of all #Bitcoin coins (UTXOs) are now in unrealized profit. This is typical bull market but also signals a potential correction with some investors selling to lock in the gains. Corrections to 80% is normal. Follow this metric on my free site"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1759872582273122726)  2024-02-20T09:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Big picture the #Bitcoin Supply held by Long Term Hodlers has been steadily increasing since [----]. But huge sell-offs occurred in 2013/14 2017/18 and 2020/21 Current sell-off (orange) due to the Grayscale trust/ETF is huge in USD but is still a normal correction in BTC terms"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1759903100553298232)  2024-02-20T11:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@cryptoAssocia @glassnode Wholeheartedly agree MUST WATCH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1770576006329323704)  2024-03-20T22:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Update #Bitcoin Halving Date: ** 2024-04-20 ** Probability: 88% It will be an awesome Saturday party 🎉 http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1776126234558181679)  2024-04-05T05:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The #Bitcoin Halving is soon upon us. But what is the REAL supply of bitcoin🤔 📽This updated animation in the 'Spectacular Journey of Bitcoin' series provides the answer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1777778841844416895)  2024-04-09T19:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Looks like the #Bitcoin Halving Date is coming early next time.estimated March 12th [----]. Just putting it out there🙃🙂 Free onchain charts: https://researchbitcoin.net/ https://researchbitcoin.net/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1781724015784087650)  2024-04-20T16:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Ten days ago I released the #Bitcoin Research Lab v1. The response has been overwhelming with many thousands of unique visitors. Thank you all🙏 Today I released API (beta) so you can download the raw onchain data yourself. More info on http://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-beta/ 💥The Bitcoin Research Lab is LIVE 💥 I celebrate the #Bitcoin halving by releasing my FREE onchain analysis suite🎉 This new Bitcoin epoch start NOW It is time to learn and prepare Start exploring over [---] onchain metrics now📈 👉https://t.co/P29dCtnEw0 https://t.co/ky2IQEnIKh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1785098490122821990)  2024-04-30T00:07Z [----] followers, 16.2K engagements


"Keep up the good work It it is industry leading in #Bitcoin We're approaching our first month anniversary for the @_checkonchain newsletter and we've already hit milestones we wanted to reach in our first quarter. We're just one spot away from the top [--] in the 'crypto' (#Bitcoin) category which our 1yr goal. Thanks to every single https://t.co/1SYvFtaYAn We're approaching our first month anniversary for the @_checkonchain newsletter and we've already hit milestones we wanted to reach in our first quarter. We're just one spot away from the top [--] in the 'crypto' (#Bitcoin) category which our"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1788982331245547596)  2024-05-10T17:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Investor Supply Historic Heatmap (USD) Big fiat buy the top. 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1790425705412501549)  2024-05-14T16:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Short Term Hodler SOPR and MVRV [--]. SOPR: A slight undercut of the neutral y=1 line typical spot for reversal. [--]. MVRV: Still well above the neutral y=1 one typical intact bull market. Best case we could hope for Looks like healthy correction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1790857480769028408)  2024-05-15T21:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@AxelAdlerJr @_Checkmatey_ Agree. my first "independent" observation when I started studying was how every bull cycle ended with high volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1791238282862293183)  2024-05-16T22:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Does anyone know an open-source project tracking ETF #Bitcoin addresses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1791239174529458460)  2024-05-16T22:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Giovann35084111 No doubt it is But be careful removing data. A simple price log chart fits nicely when you remove "Bubbles". Eg this NonBubble OLS model currently has R2 [-----] but I dont place significant trust in this simply because data has been excluded"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1792815652375560209)  2024-05-21T07:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Realized Cap of #Bitcoin Long Term Hodlers have not started to increase. LTH Realized Cap usually starts to increase a few weeks/months prior to cycle tops and flattens during bear markets. LTH Realized Cap increasing shows the core stakeholder's confidence in $BTC future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1795435783400411618)  2024-05-28T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The fiat heavy investments in #Bitcoin right now is clustered 66-68K. Support is being tested. Follow the live version of this chart on Menu: Investor Heatmaps UTXO_USD_Heatmaps Free.of course😃 https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1796610300575195251)  2024-05-31T18:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Just blog posted about #Bitcoin price prediction for 2026-01-01 using Power Law Quantile Regression. Lower 5% quantile: [--] [---] USD Model price (50% quantile): [---] [---] USD Upper 95% quantile: [---] [---] USD Free charts on my website as always😃 https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1797351910204141857)  2024-06-02T19:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@chriskapilla Glad you find The #Bitcoin Lab useful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1797352984843600107)  2024-06-02T19:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🔥Are you prepared for the #Bitcoin bull market The Unrealized Sell Side Risk Ratio is a powerful tool to navigate the market. Free chart is now LIVE on The Bitcoin Lab You can analyze both Short and Long Term Hodlers. Blog: https://researchbitcoin.net/unrealized-sell-side-risk-ratio/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/unrealized-sell-side-risk-ratio/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1799405611135942941)  2024-06-08T11:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Realized Cap Delta 14D is positive and increasing. This indicates fiat is flowing into #BTC. Delta 14D: change in Realized Cap calculated by subtracting its value from [--] days ago from current value. Free charts👉 Choose filter "Delta days" https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1799859228083175897)  2024-06-09T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Today its [---] days since the launch of #Bitcoin ETF. Since then Grayscale Trust's selling activity caused significant upheavals in the Long-Term Supply metric. I expect LTH supply (coins aged 155+ days) to start increasing. Next period of decrease should be interesting👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1801545955847602197)  2024-06-14T09:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@profchaine @CryptoKoryo @glassnode @DuneAnalytics I think it is useful to look at addresses broken down into value held. In Bitcoin Lab you can filter out low value addresses (typical ordinals) by clicking the legend and then "stack" the lines. See chart. Much more nuance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1801596366021378113)  2024-06-14T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Short Term Holder Realized Price (Cost basis): [--] [---] USD👀 Pull back to STH cost basis (incl wick below) is normal bull market procedure. Sustained price action below means caution⚠"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1801704786875572246)  2024-06-14T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@PeterLBrandt @elonmusk Free as in free speech (but you would not unstand google "free as in free beeropen source")"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1809702885598589106)  2024-07-06T21:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bitcoin Lab currently experiences a data feed delay. Service is expected to be restored in 16-20h"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1810190369629331918)  2024-07-08T05:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Short Term Hodlers done capitulating The STH Net Realized Profit Loss EMA 7DAY just flipped positive indicating this cohort is once again booking net profits Current sell-off has been the most extensive since Jan [----] A positive sign lets see if STH-NRPL stays pos"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1813259241643516141)  2024-07-16T17:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Adding nuance to this a substantial proportion of the #Bitcoin STH cohort has a cost basis above current price. These investors can still be considered a group with high sell risk if price finds its way lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1813261726239842581)  2024-07-16T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Fun Fact🤪 Median UTXO age has crashed to just [---] days At it's majestic all time height in April [----] the median age was [----] days. Reason: Ordinals inscriptions etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1813948777679782345)  2024-07-18T14:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The #Bitcoin Lab API Beta It is great to see that the API service is getting serious attraction Some have asked when it updates. All data is updates once daily at approx [----] UTC. Give it some slack if you automate queries. https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-beta/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-beta/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1814981769327698060)  2024-07-21T11:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Serious question: How can I clean my X feed Just #bitcoin and #Crypto #X is full of garbage. It has never been worse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1815684969047392269)  2024-07-23T09:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Let me help you get started on #bitcoin onchain. You can get free raw onchain data from my API. Just added Cointime Economics. https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1815834689682432313 #Bitcoin Lab API updates and gift🎉 I just made Cointime Ecomomics developed by @_Checkmatey_ and @dpuellARK available on the FREE API (beta). EXTRA 🎁 : Extended use limits for old users. Study onchain How-to 👉https://t.co/jDSYNyQfCw Metrics 👉https://t.co/7fICRB0A7K https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1815834689682432313 #Bitcoin Lab API updates and gift🎉 I just made Cointime Ecomomics developed by"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1815835330798575803)  2024-07-23T19:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Bitcoin Lab will have scheduled maintenance on August 5th due to a software stack update. The website will experience delayed data feed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1820189880087109784)  2024-08-04T20:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Short Term Hodlers in panick mode. Yesterday their Net Realized Loss onchain was comparable only to June 25th [----] (blue). Meanwhile Long Term Hodlers sat thight (orange)💪 #Bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1820786465502085129)  2024-08-06T11:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Short Term Hodlers are still in a significant unrealized loss🫢 Probably most traders have capitulated. Now.lets find out what those new aspiring LTH wannabes are made of🧐 Open free onchain charts: http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1820786469230744047)  2024-08-06T11:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Sina_21st Great article I agree In my understanding the low p-value is NOT a good argument for the power law exactly due to autocorellation. Better use the other statistically sound arguments Do you agree"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1823756444522750194)  2024-08-14T16:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The #Bitcoin Long-Term Hodler Supply is now rising rapidly Coins bought by ETFs have now matured the 155+ days needed to be labelled LTH. LTH is a key onchain metric because these coins have much lower probability to be spent soon. Evidence of core stakeholder (re)accumulation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1823966028373606751)  2024-08-15T06:12Z [----] followers, 11.1K engagements


"A significant portion of #Bitcoin investors are currently in loss (bars to the right of the red bar). These investors are almost exclusively Class of [----]. *UTXO Realized Price Distribution Chart (URPD)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1824319185209487437)  2024-08-16T05:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Free #Bitcoin onchain live charts: ✅ [---] onchain metrics ✅ Power Law and Logarithmic price models ✅Bitcoin Risk Metric ✅API (beta) for raw onchain data https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1824319187818344505)  2024-08-16T05:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TXMCtrades @glassnode @cryptoquant_com While the necessary forensic work performed is impressive I will remain skeptical to any labeling (I have tried to automate this myself). Reasons stated in this article But you are probably aware already Kudos to those proving me wrong. https://researchbitcoin.net/research-bitcoin-lab-methodology/ https://researchbitcoin.net/research-bitcoin-lab-methodology/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1825292350177882262)  2024-08-18T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bitcoin Lab experienced an issue and will have delayed update today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1826152209177891272)  2024-08-21T06:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"All services restored"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1826288008318099666)  2024-08-21T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why is [---] #BTC such a popular amount to hodl Since [----] [---] BTC is the median held in addresses holding 100-1000 BTC. [--] YEARS It is beyond peculiar🤔 But I would for sure pay attention when it drops again. My guess is that it is institutions selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1827388060490756583)  2024-08-24T16:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Of course this metric and hundreds of others onchain indicators are available for free at my site: ✅ [---] onchain metrics ✅ Bitcoin Risk Metric PRO ✅ Power Law Charts ✅ API (beta) for raw onchain data https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1827388062625604060)  2024-08-24T16:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@OliverWbates1 Haha.one day :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1827388903432527907)  2024-08-24T16:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The past is becoming irrelevant #Bitcoin The UTXO USD Heatmap demonstrates the USD value invested in each of the currently existing coins today. It is clear that the current CORE stake holders came in 2020- Not saying old coins are irrelevant yet but with time they will be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1827391097946963989)  2024-08-24T17:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ale03cali If so "  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1830066275860558148)  2024-09-01T02:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I would not be surprised to see #bitcoin price revisit 52-53K USD to fill the empty URPD pocket. This would correspond to all current Short Term Hodlers being under water. Likewise for newer Long Term Hodlers. Panic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1831051744593490283)  2024-09-03T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@profchaine @JR_corp_ The LTH and STH versions are coming to Bitcoin Lab.soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1831078876245889469)  2024-09-03T21:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@cryptoAssocia I have a nostr account allready but no followers🤣🤣🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1831079642289098837)  2024-09-03T21:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Anyone know a good nostr linux client I am considering moving to #Nostr Do you use nostr I am considering moving to #Nostr Do you use nostr"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1831080314514358632)  2024-09-03T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@_Checkmatey_ This used to be hard but not anymore"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1831080713325846887)  2024-09-03T21:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Nothing changed today. I still think a sell off to 52K is more likely. Lets reassess at 52K or when STH SOPR turns positive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1831433725286215886)  2024-09-04T20:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Short Term Holders have had a clear rejection from the critical zero line. This is NOT a common occurrence in bull markets. I would not be surprised if this takes weeks or months to resolve. Fair game for bulls to await SORP-STH MVRV-STH and NRPL-STH to flip bullish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1832179157343654129)  2024-09-06T22:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@CharonTheReal Yes the cloud provider is having issues. According to their status page "there is currently no estimated time for resolution.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1832509277875105976)  2024-09-07T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I just got noticed that The Bitcoin Lab cloud provider is having issues. According to their status page "there is currently no estimated time for resolution." It is unclear if this will cause further delay of the planned maintenance tonight (UTC). Updates to follow. The Bitcoin Lab will experience a delayed data feed update tomorrow due to a scheduled system upgrade. The Bitcoin Lab will experience a delayed data feed update tomorrow due to a scheduled system upgrade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1832510642365812851)  2024-09-07T20:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The website is down. I am sorry for the inconvenience. Not much I can do the cloud provider need to fix it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1832513206151000110)  2024-09-07T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Bitcoin Lab website is still down due to cloud provider issues. The latest information from their technical team: "We are currently still working to solve the issue however we are not able to provide an ETA.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1832711375606501883)  2024-09-08T09:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The #Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply is close to a new all time high. At this speed it will only takes weeks. Currently [-----] million BTC have stayed in their wallets for 155+ days👀 The ATH occurred Dec [--] [----] [-----] million BTC. 👉Bitcoin core stakeholder are still here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1833213444788764886)  2024-09-09T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin New Addresses counts are very low for all cohorts but here shown for 0.0-0.1 0.1-1.0 and 1.0-10 BTC. Most wallets create a new addrs for every transaction but ordinals/BRC20 often reuses old. I would have expected the opposite with vivid adoption. Concerning😕"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1833953208315584742)  2024-09-11T19:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Looking at active addresses (ordinals/BRC20 excluded) that has interacted with the bitcoin network the last 24h we are effectively at 2019/2020 levels. Its a fair statement that the network utilization has stalled in term of usage count (but not value) Stacked cohort chart👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1833953211658748393)  2024-09-11T19:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Sina_21st It's arbitrary but setting cut off at [---] sats should be fair game. This is the dust limit and excludes most ordinals etc https://www.gemini.com/cryptopedia/basics-of-crypto-dusting#section-what-is-a-dust-limit https://www.gemini.com/cryptopedia/basics-of-crypto-dusting#section-what-is-a-dust-limit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1833966008698089523)  2024-09-11T20:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The #Bitcoin Price Risk PRO metric today [----] or "sit tight zone". If you follow this indicator you would have had plenty of opportunity to stack sats in the 🔵blue zone ( 0.2). Sell zone🔴 is [---]. Available for free in my onchain suite: http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1837539674656587926)  2024-09-21T17:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@coinactuary I am aware of this and will fix it some day. For now just disable price trace (click on price at the bottom of the chart)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1837769798601646201)  2024-09-22T08:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The current pivotal state of the #bitcoin market is also expressed in the STH URPD chart. This chart shows the cost basis of short-term hodlers with the price dividing this cohort in half leaving one portion in loss and one in profit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838292189341798798)  2024-09-23T18:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Meanwhile the Long Term Holders are stacking sats. The bitcoin supply held by this cohort is a key metric showing the core stakeholders confidence in future price appreciation. Expect this metric to tilt down after price reaches ATH (before would be worrying)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838292192122802559)  2024-09-23T18:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The #Bitcoin Research Lab is now [--] years🥳🎉🍾 For the past three years Ive provided a free on-chain data suite with daily updates. The Bitcoin Lab continues to thrive because so many uses it Thank YOU🎉 🧵 http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838304297060307438)  2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, 15.1K engagements


"Early on I realized that #Bitcoin had the potential to profoundly transform society and reshape how individuals and countries interact with one another. I still say "potential" because nothing is certain. Then again that kind of potential rarely comes around (aka internet)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838304299870290338)  2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Intrigued by #Bitcoin I wanted to understand how it could hold its promise👨🎓. This research led to RBN the first implementation of The Bitcoin Lab. RBN was coded entirely in R-cran and ran faithfully until April [----] when it was upgraded to The Bitcoin Lab"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838304301522841677)  2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The old RBN backend (compute engine) still holds significant R code serving as statement to the incredible power of this statistical programming language. On the other hand the user interface has been completely overhauled and API feature added. New metrics have been added"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838304303162835185)  2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"What I found most fun is seeing the userbase grow. Just the last months hundreds of thousands unique individuals have visited The Bitcoin Lab. Some stay some move on - but all know where to find onchain data if they need. The Bitcoin Lab continues to thrive - thanks to YOU🙏"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1838304305012707640)  2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheRealPlanC @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @Danny85732 @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur I think there is a test coming for the power law: as the impact of the halving diminishes will it still hold I think it will but for sure it will be interesting to follow. Nothing is guranteeed but good models are extremely useful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1844495419260403779)  2024-10-10T21:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@bitcoindata21 If you like to play the PL model (I don't recommend that as your only input.study onchain as well) take a look at the Power Law Investor's model on my website. Check out the button in the chart. It is more conservative. I will elaborate why tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1845233709424968057)  2024-10-12T22:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Methodology Iterative Quantile Regression on an increasing dataset. Initial dataset: daily prices Febr [----] to 2020-01-01. For every iteration the dataset was increased by one date until 2024-10-12. Dataset was log10-log10 transformed with time of genesis block set to 1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1845417864313893180)  2024-10-13T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Reminder You can find LIVE Power Law charts using OLS and QR are on my website Here you can also track how these models behave using daily Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). DYOR I recommend this blog https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1845417865899327934)  2024-10-13T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Sina_21st Agree I have quantified the QR uncertainty translated to linear space. What one feel is an acceptable range depends on perspective but current ranges are most suitable for long-term cycle traders. These QR lines have confidence intervals so uncertainty is even larger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1845457435068141921)  2024-10-13T13:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Sina_21st @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with @bitcoindata21 I don't expect anything. I present data displaying the model uncertainty in linear space. Should be helpful for those seriously interested. I agree the model is impressive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1847292729182519703)  2024-10-18T15:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Update STH-MVRV and STH-SOPR both retested their neutral line (value 1). THIS was exactly the positive response for price appreciation bulls could hope for. Short-term speculators got rewarded and bullish sentiment is built. *STH=Short Term Hodleres **EMA 7D"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848057224104439883)  2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The URPD basically visualized the same support are. Keep in mind that investors will feel pressured if the price falls to the left tail end of this. Below are the full URPD and the STH only version"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848057235454255252)  2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The #Bitcoin MarketCap has increasing momentum showing the new fiat is being invested at an increase rate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848057238201487600)  2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"These and over 300+ onchain metrics are available for FREE on my #Bitcoin website: 👉 ✅ [---] onchain metrics ✅Price Models (Log Power Law) ✅Bitcoin Price Risk Metric ✅API (beta) for raw onchain data https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848057240160231796)  2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@bullfromsea - Are you there Have anyone seen Bull From The Sea lately He had to leave CT hastily due to he Ukraine war. I hope he is doing fine❣ His fantastic onchain website is still running. Pay it a visit to support him: #bitcoin #crypto https://chainexposed.com/ https://chainexposed.com/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848068883405774967)  2024-10-20T18:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"📢Attention Have you heard from @bullfromsea #bitcoin #crypto @bullfromsea - Are you there Have anyone seen Bull From The Sea lately He had to leave CT hastily due to he Ukraine war. I hope he is doing fine❣ His fantastic onchain website is still running. Pay it a visit to support him: https://t.co/dkiimWaisx #bitcoin #crypto @bullfromsea - Are you there Have anyone seen Bull From The Sea lately He had to leave CT hastily due to he Ukraine war. I hope he is doing fine❣ His fantastic onchain website is still running. Pay it a visit to support him: https://t.co/dkiimWaisx #bitcoin #crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848807115000799568)  2024-10-22T19:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Fun Fact Following up on this [--] year old tweet. The median amount held by addresses holding 100-1000 BTC is still exactly [---] Crazy🤷♂ Yet.I keep an eye on this as a peculiar sign of bull market hysteria. Even stranger is addresses with 100-1000 #BTC. Except from a brief period during the 2021/21 bull run these have had almost exactly [---] the last seven years. 💡It almost appear as mirages of large players and institutions🤷 https://t.co/d2Pa25z5ev Even stranger is addresses with 100-1000 #BTC. Except from a brief period during the 2021/21 bull run these have had almost"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848808995802513837)  2024-10-22T19:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Cost Basis through Time 🎉 The Spectacular Journey of BTC buying and selling since [----]. Check out my free open site for #onchain analysis Data is gathered from my own bitcoin node. Support my work by ♥ follow and retweet http://researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1849179065040691517)  2024-10-23T20:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Risk Metric Update: Risk Metric PRO: [----] Risk Metric ShortTerm [----] PRO is a cycle metric while ShortTerm identifies intra-cycle peaks. Both range 0-1. Charts available for free : https://researchbitcoin.net/charts https://researchbitcoin.net/charts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1859709471154454661)  2024-11-21T21:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Long Term Holders are realizing profit like this was THE cycle peak. Don't saying price can't go higher but I doubt much higher. A pullback and acclimatization is in the cards. Then lets see. The signs are there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1859713061424333225)  2024-11-21T21:38Z [----] followers, 136.6K engagements


"If you want to make up your own opinion I recommend checking out the charts at my site Current key charts are: - SOPR_STH and MVRV_STH - Supply Hot - Net realized profit / loss STH = Short Term Holder LTH = Long Term Holder https://researchbitcoin.net/charts https://researchbitcoin.net/charts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1859713064377123204)  2024-11-21T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@coinactuary Yes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1859876894734417997)  2024-11-22T08:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@thenameksejin True That is why a local top is in play. A cycle peak is way to early to say and quite frankly not the most likely outcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860297573963092230)  2024-11-23T12:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin - Time to pay attention🚨 How long can the market sustain heavy profits Chart below tracks months from when Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) turns positive to cycle's peak incl both peaks of [----] This cycle [--] months so far What insights do you see Lets discuss📈"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860316322611057099)  2024-11-23T13:35Z [----] followers, 15.8K engagements


"@brentkearney That is one perspective. Btw you find the power law model on my website as well.both ols and qr (I was the first to make the qr versions)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860345469441880379)  2024-11-23T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Cryptoapple7 Definitely possible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860415404738257005)  2024-11-23T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"This is really worth a careful study @paulewaulpaul is brilliant The time has come to check how things differ from the past. #bitcoin We're looking at on-chain LTH redistribution using PoW-generated revenues as a reference metric. Will the Redist Revenue Ratio provide actionable insights https://t.co/YEBAFKWp0J The time has come to check how things differ from the past. #bitcoin We're looking at on-chain LTH redistribution using PoW-generated revenues as a reference metric. Will the Redist Revenue Ratio provide actionable insights https://t.co/YEBAFKWp0J"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860450724334764494)  2024-11-23T22:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@0xagentr @JR_corp_ @_CryptoSapiens_ @profchaine Soon releasing new API with many more metrics and improved documentation. Stay tuned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860826819236094089)  2024-11-24T23:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@_Checkmatey_ @intangiblecoins Thanks mate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1860827313341886804)  2024-11-24T23:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply has decreased to levels similar to the ETF top in spring [----]. Current LTH supply is approximately [----] million the ETF top was [----] mill. Would not be surprised to see a rounded LTH supply bottom here.like [----] and [----]. Things takes time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1866043520152175091)  2024-12-09T08:53Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements


"🚀 The Bitcoin Lab API is live 🚀 Exciting News Access hundreds of new metrics & nearly all from our chart suite. Pro-grade interface + full docs. Looking for onchain data You can even download as csv files. Our mission: educate about Bitcoin 👉 http://api.researchbitcoin.net http://api.researchbitcoin.net"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1866900022031532171)  2024-12-11T17:37Z [----] followers, 16.6K engagements


"Users of the old API should start the transition as soon as possible. The old service will be maintained for a few weeks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1866900036220498258)  2024-12-11T17:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Update I'd like to see the Short-Term Holder MVRV return closer to its baseline. A rising price without STH-MVRV reset often signals an impending market toprarely sustainable for long. Reset or not both outcomes provide clear but opposite on-chain signals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867233044874309986)  2024-12-12T15:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"While MVRV reflects value held by investors STH-SOPR focuses on their spending behavior. When STH-SOPR fails to return to its baseline stay alert for an incoming market top. This process can take months and may not mark THE TOPbut rest assured its in the works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867233048162439362)  2024-12-12T15:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Following these onchain metrics is a smart way to stay ahead. Onchain charts and API are available for free at my open website * It's time: Fade the noise and tune in the signal * https://researchbitcoin.net/ https://researchbitcoin.net/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867233050259497131)  2024-12-12T15:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xCodecs I like EMA [--] days for STH MVRV AND STH SOPR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867449105364005212)  2024-12-13T05:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@lux_4_ You are correct price appreciated (much) when STH-MVRV and STH-SOPR stop returning to the baseline proximity. My point is that this marks the unsustainable bubble period (which may last for months) that eventually will crash big time. It's the time to stay alert and prepared"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867577367184458081)  2024-12-13T14:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@crateur180466 You need to disable the 'price' trace. It is a known bug that will be fixed in the next update"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867577814486331844)  2024-12-13T14:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@crateur180466 There is actually a reason for the filter period. The onchain activity in weekends are much quieter than in the workdays. Always including the same amount of weekdays provides a less noisy signal. That is why I recommend using either [--] [--] [--] or [--] days filter (or higher)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867578772423422151)  2024-12-13T14:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@profchaine @_CryptoSapiens_ @_Checkmatey_ @JoestarCrypto @ki_young_ju @SwellCycle @UkuriaOC @CryptoVizArt @dpuellARK @woonomic @renato_shira @PositiveCrypto @MustStopMurad Thanks my friend @profchaine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1868238662397517856)  2024-12-15T10:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@_Checkmatey_ @basedlayer @BTCPerception Appreciate the shoutout🙏 especially coming from the on-chain legend himself @_Checkmatey_ My mission is to inspire curiosity and foster a deeper understanding of Bitcoin. I genuinely hope that the new API and the charts will guide people along this journey🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1868767151857017081)  2024-12-16T21:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@profchaine @_CryptoSapiens_ @_Checkmatey_ @JoestarCrypto @ki_young_ju @SwellCycle @UkuriaOC @CryptoVizArt @dpuellARK @woonomic @renato_shira @PositiveCrypto @MustStopMurad We will soon. I am looking forward to it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1868767416177901967)  2024-12-16T21:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JJ30221029 @_Checkmatey_ @internosaur Hehe.maybe do the Proof of Work Checkout and https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://api.researchbitcoin.net/docs https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://api.researchbitcoin.net/docs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1868767746328346840)  2024-12-16T21:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Have you used Bitcoin Lightning Yes No Yes No"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1869153784703914079)  2024-12-17T22:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Bitcoin Price Risk PRO metric is available free on my omchain analysis suite You will also find an onchain metrics API service Enjoy🔥 http://api.researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net The #Bitcoin Researcher's Price Risk PRO metric is currently at [----] similar to December [----]. It ranges from [--] (deep bear) to [--] (raging bull). Combine this with STH-SOPR and STH-MVRV and you get a pretty clear picture. Limited upside. More time is needed if 125K realistic. https://t.co/2C9qW6IgKD http://api.researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net The #Bitcoin Researcher's Price Risk PRO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1869417688063520878)  2024-12-18T16:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"⚠Important: Users of Bitcoin Lab API The API service has been replaced by a much improved endpoint. Please transition as soon as possible. More info on NEW API here: Bitcoin Lab API provides onchain data available as csv and json. https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-is-live/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-is-live/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1870050834358079833)  2024-12-20T10:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Bitcoin Long Term Supply Change (SMA 30D) has reached historical low levels. This means we may be nearing the point where LTH selling tapers off. Still anticipating a rounding bottom formation on LTH Supply. Good sign if we hold these prices. 👉 https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1866043520152175091 #Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply has decreased to levels similar to the ETF top in spring [----]. Current LTH supply is approximately [----] million the ETF top was [----] mill. Would not be surprised to see a rounded LTH supply bottom here.like [----] and [----]. Things takes time."  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1870109264695447865)  2024-12-20T14:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@herrpuppekanin Charts has a default smoothing applied (you can turn it off in Filter option) while the API returns the raw data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1870112106508587432)  2024-12-20T14:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Over 50% of #Bitcoin supply held by Short-Term Holders (155 days) is now at a loss. By this metric this consolidation is getting significant. However the STH-SOPR and STH-MVRV still have room for further consolidation. In follow up of: https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867233044874309986 #Bitcoin Onchain Update I'd like to see the Short-Term Holder MVRV return closer to its baseline. A rising price without STH-MVRV reset often signals an impending market toprarely sustainable for long. Reset or not both outcomes provide clear but opposite on-chain signals. https://t.co/i27FprEl87"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1871141439423324209)  2024-12-23T10:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"100% agree with @@TXMCTRADES here Don't stop thinking critically just because someone who should know says something. It is really hard to see how this debt payback could work I am a broken record by now but since this idea keeps proliferating I will respond. This 👇 can't happen without SELLING THE COINS. Who will BUY trillions worth of BTC from us after financing our deficits in the first place It must be TRILLIONS. How is this beneficial for https://t.co/hoMAMd5qHX I am a broken record by now but since this idea keeps proliferating I will respond. This 👇 can't happen without SELLING THE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1871290083283968424)  2024-12-23T20:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Rioth_the_one Thank you for mentioning http://researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1871722378570662215)  2024-12-25T00:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Crazy unexpected onchain event. I have kept an eye on addresses with 100-1000 BTC as a peculiar sign of bull market hysteria. I thought we would see a decrease but the median amount of #Bitcoin held has recently started to INCREASE🤷♂ A follow-up of https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848808995802513837 #Bitcoin Onchain Fun Fact Following up on this [--] year old tweet. The median amount held by addresses holding 100-1000 BTC is still exactly [---] Crazy🤷♂ Yet.I keep an eye on this as a peculiar sign of bull market hysteria. https://t.co/EFZGTnsEOL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1871848720406643054)  2024-12-25T09:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term Holder MVRV is resetting but hasn't reached the baseline yet. There is still room for consolidation or lower prices. STH-MVRV does not have to reach [--] and this retrace might be sufficient. What can we read from this🤔"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876004261240455417)  2025-01-05T20:34Z [----] followers, 17.9K engagements


"For onchain newcomers; SOPR is Spent Output Profit Loss. This metric is the ratio of coins spent in profit vs in loss. It is a good way to gauge the motivation of market cohorts like STH. 7/10"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876004278000894020)  2025-01-05T20:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"How stale is the market When will something happen Nobody knows and a significant event may act as a trigger but surprisingly often the Hot Supply (coins aged [--] days) shrinks to 0.4-0.6 million before the release. I would not be surprised if this takes weeks. 8/10"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876004280723009755)  2025-01-05T20:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Price Risk PRO update Currently [----] (range 0-1). IMO a sudden strong move now might mark an intermediate top. More consolidation is likely needed for higher prices my Bitcoin [----] wish 🌟 More details in my recent onchain update https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876004261240455417 #Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term Holder MVRV is resetting but hasn't reached the baseline yet. There is still room for consolidation or lower prices. STH-MVRV does not have to reach [--] and this retrace might be sufficient. What can we read from this🤔 https://t.co/mJNskVEko0"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876007327293485073)  2025-01-05T20:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@_CryptoSapiens_ Thank you exciting times ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876152654931628246)  2025-01-06T06:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@MichaelJammerb Thanks :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876734589999157445)  2025-01-07T20:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bitcoin Power Law Price Model If you don't already know The Bitcoin Lab has a live chart of the Power Law Price model using Quantile Regression. Other charts include the Investor's Model and variants of the OLS model. Free charts on my open site: https://researchbitcoin.net/ https://researchbitcoin.net/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1878056429862445132)  2025-01-11T12:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was probably the first to apply QR to the Power Law back in April [----]. https://researchbitcoin.net/price-models-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/price-models-using-quantile-regression/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1878056432077086976)  2025-01-11T12:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Onchain Update Following up on the most recent update: - STH-MVRV still has not reset. There is plenty room for more consolidation (price and/or time). - STH-SOPR has reset suggesting sentiment is neutral. - Hot Supply is now low market is stagnant. Short 🧵1/3 #Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term Holder MVRV is resetting but hasn't reached the baseline yet. There is still room for consolidation or lower prices. STH-MVRV does not have to reach [--] and this retrace might be sufficient. What can we read from this🤔 https://t.co/mJNskVEko0 #Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1878768550707626227)  2025-01-13T11:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"While the Power Law model (log/log) is superior based on historical data I still track the Price Log model (log/linear) With quantile regression: - price has hovered around the median since Jan [----] - Current 1% and 99% percentiles: 57.5k and 380k USD http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1882691585793753266)  2025-01-24T07:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Quick #Bitcoin onchain update: Hot Supply has reset to [---]. 👉Hot Supply usually stays muted for weeks/months but a move is coming. STH-MVRV has not reset 👉More consolidation can be expected OR if price continues up now odds increase for an early top #Bitcoin Onchain Update Following up on the most recent update: - STH-MVRV still has not reset. There is plenty room for more consolidation (price and/or time). - STH-SOPR has reset suggesting sentiment is neutral. - Hot Supply is now low market is stagnant. Short 🧵1/3 https://t.co/7Dw95Jyk3S #Bitcoin Onchain Update Following up on the most"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1882694756108759536)  2025-01-24T07:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Some #Bitcoin Short-Term Holders are selling at a loss while on average these investors holding unrealized profit (SOPR [--] MVRV1). This is consistent with Short-Term Holders being uncertain - locking in profits or limiting losses. Free Charts/API👉 https://researchbitcoin.net https://researchbitcoin.net"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1960949286495015324)  2025-08-28T06:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin Short Term Holders are now net neutral: no profit no loss Relative to total market value the Net Unrealized ProfitLoss (NUPL) reached +15% in Jan May and August [----] Last time STH had really happy days (25%) was in Nov [----]. NUPL15% could be a take profit signal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1962868399450534252)  2025-09-02T13:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Still feel this cycle is early Across cycles #Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) have realized tremendous and increasing profits. The Area Under the Curve of Realized Profit LTH confirms this cycle is NO exception. AUC integrates magnitude and time not just price spikes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1964010298764853288)  2025-09-05T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"As long as LTH investors are selling #BTC at scale ignition of any price rally is less likely. Keep an eye on LTH supply and dormancy metrics like coindaysdestroyed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1976612408375619786)  2025-10-10T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ES_pap1 Great to hear What is the topic of your thesis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1978720362633347213)  2025-10-16T07:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"THIS👇is why The Bitcoin Researcher Lab exist I strongly believe open easy access to #bitcoin on-chain data strengthen the fundamentals and increases adoption and understanding @ES_pap1 is not the first to use the suite in a thesis but more should use https://researchbitcoin.net/ whoever @ResearchBTCNow is - i love you i would not be able to complete my thesis work without you. Kisses thanks ur the best haha https://researchbitcoin.net/ whoever @ResearchBTCNow is - i love you i would not be able to complete my thesis work without you. Kisses thanks ur the best haha"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1978829521303327189)  2025-10-16T14:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"🗜New #Bitcoin investors are currently under pressure The BitLab On-Chain Dashboard gives you the KEY DATA LIVE as the situation progresses 👀 Currently short term holder MVRV_Z and SOPR scores are at levels not seen last [--] months. Bookmark 👉 http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net/ http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1979120225044840825)  2025-10-17T09:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"On #Bitcoin onchain analysis and robustness IMHO among the most robust #Onchain metrics are those based on UTXO coin days (or put differently how many days a coin has remained dormant). Why A thread 👇 1/7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1513165315206701056)  2022-04-10T14:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@AxelAdlerJr Looking by the raw count of UTXO (not addresses) the number holding 5000-10000 BTC has slightly reduced while those withover [-----] BTC is stable or up. Could be redistribution to other addresses or related to address clustering algo (if used)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1670753552375988227)  2023-06-19T11:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Coins spent last months have largely been young coins ( [---] days). This have continued while #bitcoin price has moved from 25-35K. Long Term Hodlers are sticking to plan💪 Chart below shows spent outputs (coins) older than [---] days Trend is down + Price is up = Early times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1717436344023011713)  2023-10-26T07:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"What I am REALLY waiting for.🥱 A steep increase in Long Term Hodler RealizedCap. That would be the ultimate confirmation from the #Bitcoin core stakeholders that they believe #BTC is here to stay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1780366977640374475)  2024-04-16T22:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@PaulLifestyle @hash_hunter Hey man.I was just pushing the official release https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-research-lab-v1-is-live/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-research-lab-v1-is-live/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1781688327957049514)  2024-04-20T14:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@PaulLifestyle @hash_hunter Great One of the features of the latest push is to reduce downtime during updates :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1781712374849736919)  2024-04-20T15:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@paulewaulpaul Great work Perhaps we should make this into a pre-configured metric Let me know what you think. I would love to provide a live version of more of your metrics if you are interested"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1788299125131186674)  2024-05-08T20:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"and USD version: Big money have really arrived since 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1790501656376832421)  2024-05-14T21:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Agree but I will extend this further: From The Bitcoin Lab Methodology explanation: "I firmly believe history will show thatthe best onchain data is pure onchain data." I remain a bit skeptical to the accuracy of address clustering techniques. https://researchbitcoin.net/research-bitcoin-lab-methodology/ but mah exchange balances meme. Don't whale watch kids unless you have really done the proof-of-work to know what you're looking at. Exchange balances are notoriously hard to parse and monitor. They are an advanced metric which is valuable only if you know what you're https://t.co/39Ipehe0oz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1807901272340570361)  2024-07-01T22:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"To put it blunt: #Bitcoin SOPR STH 30D EMA is looking increasingly like the beginning of a bear market. For now it is still within a correction/contraction. In that case this is a great time to buy But if SOPR STH 30D EMA sets new lows it would not look so good anymore"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1823968228567101455)  2024-08-15T06:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin Power Law Predicted Price TODAY by OLS and Quantile Regression (QR) on Training dataset. Training dataset: First day 2013-03-12 last day per x-axis. Each datapoint represents one training dataset (2013- 2020-01-01.2020-01-02.etc) 🧵1/2 @TheRealPlanC @Sina_21st"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1845190267625763311)  2024-10-12T19:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"What has me surprised is how deep the #Bitcoin Long Term Hodlers sell off is. Since the Sept [----] (16.1 mill BTC) approx [----] mill BTC have been realized. Perhaps this indicates that a prolonged accumulation period is needed Anyone have any thought on this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1890376713080607214)  2025-02-14T12:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🚀#Bitcoin On-chain Dashboard Released🎉 Do you want to take the pulse💓 of Bitcoin Bookmark the new Bitcoin Lab Dashboard 👉 Essential LIVE metrics clear fast and free. This is a sneak peek at the power of the upcoming Bitcoin Lab API V2. http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1978778597264359716)  2025-10-16T11:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC Anyone of you care to set the record straight https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1979615019986780514s=19 @Snz_BTC For the record: I publicly shared and implemented a LIVE CHART of the Quantile Model on March [--] [----] well before either V1 or V2 discussions appeared elsewhere. 🧾 Timestamped evidence: https://t.co/U92NFnmiEp https://t.co/rMlmsj6Ipu https://t.co/4gst0UEzmf https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1979615019986780514s=19 @Snz_BTC For the record: I publicly shared and implemented a LIVE CHART of the Quantile Model on March [--] [----] well before either V1 or V2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1979667203231547452)  2025-10-18T21:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@ResearchBTCNow Avatar @ResearchBTCNow The Bitcoin Researcher

The Bitcoin Researcher posts on X about bitcoin, onchain, #bitcoin, lab the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-----] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] +31%
  • [--] Month [------] +98%
  • [--] Months [------] +561,200%
  • [--] Year [------] -77%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Week [--] +50%
  • [--] Month [--] +47%
  • [--] Months [--] +5,200%
  • [--] Year [--] -61%

Followers: [------] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-----] +0.38%
  • [--] Month [-----] +0.08%
  • [--] Months [-----] +9.50%
  • [--] Year [-----] +12%

CreatorRank: [-------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies #6966 finance currencies automotive brands technology brands countries celebrities social networks

Social topic influence bitcoin #2740, onchain, #bitcoin, lab, sentiment, market, coins, on chain data #3, conviction, #btc

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @checkmatey @giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul @profchaine @dpuellark @glassnode @usdirr @sina21st @therealplanc @axeladlerjr @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us @cryptosapiens @cryptovizart @cryptoassocia @txmctrades @jrcorp @coinactuary @bitcoindata21

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) April (APRIL) Monero (XMR) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"NEW ALL TIME HIGH - Coins (UTXOs) NOT moved for 155+ days "Someone" is not selling #Bitcoin Coin status: LongTerm Hodler Coins: [--] [---] [---] BTC (78.1%) ShortTerm Hodler Coins: [--] [---] [---] BTC Total Coins: [--] [---] [---] BTC Last ATH Oct 31st: [--] [---] [---] BTC #HODL #cryptocurrencies"
X Link 2022-01-14T10:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The Long Term Holder Supply Plot rely only on how long coins have been held (not coin cost basis) In [----] LTH supply was high and increasing (accumulation) In [----] LTH was lower and decreasing (distribution) In [----] LTH is all time high but where are we going"
X Link 2022-02-06T18:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin onchain spending is slowing for all coin age groups expect the very coins of less than [--] days. This indicates that those holding bitcoin for [--] months + are not willing to sell but think higher price is likely"
X Link 2023-01-26T20:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin URPD Update Progress is being made. Next major cluster at 40K #cryptocurrency"
X Link 2023-03-20T19:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Mapping #bitcoin support levels by URPD Below current price is the cushing zone 19-23K. While exchange and onchain activity are quite different I do think URPD are useful to map potential support zones. Oversimplified URPD shows price levels with high onchain volumes"
X Link 2023-05-12T18:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The number of #Bitcoin addresses exploded with BRC-20 tokens and ordinals. An excess of [--] million new address were created within a few weeks. I seriously question if this is "organic" demand. I think less than [--] million entities interacted with the blockchain in the period"
X Link 2023-05-15T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Long Term Hodlers🤪 Some people stacked #Bitcoin [--] years ago in the spring of [----]. Never they doubted never they sold. LTH never capitulated Strong conviction held strongly🔥💪 These LTH Hodlers are the foundation of my Bull Thesis stated long ago"
X Link 2023-05-22T19:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"🔗 Calling all #Bitcoin enthusiasts 🚀📚 Embarking on my mission to share insights on #Bitcoin I'm am thinking of sharing some code public Take a look at RBN RealTime Monitor which scrutinizes recent blocks for the expenditure of old coins Interested Let me know #Crypto"
X Link 2023-06-12T12:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin fee has collapsed from the ordinals / inscriptions and brc20 peak hype in May [----]. Average fee per transaction is [----] USD"
X Link 2023-06-20T06:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Cost Basis (URPD) suggests that 39K could be next. A live version of this chart is available on my free open onchain analysis site"
X Link 2023-06-22T06:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@AxelAdlerJr Is not using an old address strongly associated with inscriptions brc20 It certainly was a few months back. My understanding is that this tech adopted eth style transactions (which I don't know intimately)"
X Link 2023-06-29T20:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@miskinadem Certainly a top/bottom indicator. Its a representation of the LTH/STH relalized price flippening. Nice find👍"
X Link 2023-07-07T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@JohnnyLaw2021 Both active addresses and UTXO count had a massive increase due to inscription ordinals BRC20 inferno. These txs are typically of low value and does not contribute much to the total value spending of #btc onchain. It is possible to filter these out based on value"
X Link 2023-07-10T06:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin traders and investors their FOMO🔥 and despair😬 So much to learn for the Spectacular History of Bitcoin #cryptocurrency #crypto #BTC #FOMO #REKT"
X Link 2023-07-11T20:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Very intersting on old #bitcoin UTXOs"
X Link 2023-07-28T10:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"📢Bitcoiners #Bitcoin I haven't been posting much lately I am working hard on RBN [--] my free onchain analysis suite RBN was ready but @Checkmatey and @dpuellARK released Cointime Economics a pivotal moment in onchain analysis. This framework simply needs to be included"
X Link 2023-09-10T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Neuro__Invest @dpuellARK @Checkmatey @blockworksres @ARKInvest @BitcoinMagazine @Croesus_BTC @glassnode @yassineARK @WClementeIII @CryptoVizArt I share your fascination Good thread👍"
X Link 2023-09-29T21:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@nikzh Can confirm"
X Link 2023-10-10T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin HOT🔥 supply (= coins moved last [--] days) is as low as it has ever been for over ten years. Some facets of the current onchain statistics is NOT normal but quite extreme. Why It is time to pay attention👀 Study #BTC"
X Link 2023-10-13T20:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"One #Bitcoin onchain metric to watch👀 is the Short-Term HODLER NUPL. A little 🫸push and it will cross the zero line. STH-NUPL entering positive territory usually indicate at least some shorter term bullish sentiment and price action"
X Link 2023-10-13T21:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Among Short Term Hodlers the 30K buyers are NOT marginal and currently under water. These recent buyers constitute potential selling power IF price falls lower. Put differently STH-URPD is top heavy. #Bitcoin #onchain"
X Link 2023-10-14T20:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"That said we have seen much worse. The unrealized losses is small compared to the wild capitulations seen since 2021"
X Link 2023-10-14T20:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"I suggest you do what @LynAldenContact says: Study #Bitcoin There is a lot of good information online. My contribution is The Bitcoin Researcher's Onchain Analysis Suite. Check it out #cryptocurrency #BTC"
X Link 2023-10-24T06:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"I study #Bitcoin . Do you I developed my own onchain analysis suite to really dissect how #btc works. I made this onchain suite FREE and OPEN for ALL two years ago. A preview of v10 is now out. Study. No execuse. Then retweet"
X Link 2023-10-25T21:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Weekly update on #Bitcoin Halving Date Est. date: 2024-04-21 (176 days) Probability: 33.02% Stats is continuously updated on my free onchain statistics website"
X Link 2023-10-28T09:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"Lets consider current #Bitcoin Supply through the lens of Cointime Economics (in millions) Total: [-----] (=ever created) Vaulted: [----] (=completely dormant) Active: [-----] (=economically meaningful) Study this new framework of understanding #BTC 👉"
X Link 2023-10-28T09:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"The significance of this can be shown using Z-Score of Active Supply from [----] to today. A positive value (🟩) shows increasing while negative (🟥) indicates contracting supply. 📢For the first time Active Supply has been consistently contracting since March [----]. 🧵2/3"
X Link 2023-10-28T11:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"The most important cause is reduced issuance due to #Bitcoin halving. Contraction of Active Supply will accelerate after [----] halving. Together with #BitcoinETF and the firm resolve of LTH it founds the bullish long-term case Do the work to fully grasp this It might pay off👀"
X Link 2023-10-28T11:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"ShortTerm Hodlers are sitting in unrealized profit with cost basis in the 25-30K range 👉URPD_Log_Supply_STH chart They have NOT taken substantial profit yet. 👉URPD_Log_Supply_Diff chart #Bitcoin #onchain"
X Link 2023-10-29T19:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"❗The contraction of #Bitcoin Short Term Hodlers Supply is really unprecedented. This is true even if we don't take into account the increasing total supply and recent price surge. Contraction of STH supply is commonly seen prior to market turns (often not always bullish)"
X Link 2023-10-30T09:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@AxelAdlerJr Interesting but does this account for "low-value" inscriptions ordinals Excluding these "low-value" transactions I see increased utilization of the network. This is measured as SMA 7D relative to the SMA 365D active_addresses_count expressed as Z-score"
X Link 2023-10-31T11:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"ShortTerm Hodler cost basis (URPD) shows most coins are in sustained profit. This indicates positive sentiment and that STH expects price to increase. But the distribution is also top heavy and this cohort may flip their stance locking in profit and cause sell pressure #BTC"
X Link 2023-11-07T08:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Hot Supply 1Y SMA Since summer [----] there has been a dramatic reduction in Hot Supply (coins moved last [--] days). Do with this info as you like 🤷 My bull thesis is still standing💪 If - BIG IF - Long Term Hodlers do not capitulate soon I anticipate a #Bitcoin bull run for the record books What separates this bear market from previous is that LTH never capitulated So much energy is pent up My bull thesis still stands read👇 If - BIG IF - Long Term Hodlers do not capitulate soon I anticipate a #Bitcoin bull run for the record books What separates this bear market from previous is that"
X Link 2023-12-26T22:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The #bitcoin realized price distribution (URPD) in USD paints less of a 'hurray' picture of sentiment among LTH. In terms of USD investment LTH have a huge portion of their investment still under water. At least for now.this bull market is primarily for STH (and clever LTH)"
X Link 2023-12-30T09:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin halving update: 2024-04-19 Currently the halving has a 40% chance of occurring on this date. If you include +/-1 day the probability is well above 90%. As we get closer follow the highly precise estimates develop with clock hour accuracy on"
X Link 2023-12-30T09:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"The impact of #Bitcoin inscriptions on the UTXO set is mind-blowing. The median age of an unspent coin rose steeply until April [--] [----] reaching a max of [----] days. Since then it has dived to [---] days today Will we ever see 100-250 days lifespan again like pre-2016🙂🙃"
X Link 2023-12-30T15:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Arguably THE most accurate predictor of the #bitcoin Halving Date While others flip left and right The Bitcoin Lab (RBN) has for months calculated it to occur April 19-20th. Based on [--] [---] blocks and [---] [---] Monte Carlo simulations (beta)"
X Link 2024-01-08T22:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Checkmatey @ETHmini Great This cryptospace is not the same without🙏👍"
X Link 2024-01-09T22:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin Halving Date Update Estimate: April 20th (39.9% prob) 3-day range: April 19-21th (89.9% prob) Exact clock hour: April 4th 00:00 UTC (2.1% prob) Based on 100K Monte Carlo simulations This and vast amounts of on-chain stats is free (beta)"
X Link 2024-01-16T07:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Great I will do the same"
X Link 2024-02-03T16:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Must admit the R2 over time is impressive Not using the 'Never Look Back Price data'.Do you know where I find this According to my computations using my dataset (uptodate) I get this: R2 [------] intercept [---------] and slop [-------] Still extremely impressive"
X Link 2024-02-03T18:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Indeed actually just started to look at it"
X Link 2024-02-03T18:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@USD_IRR @Giovann35084111 @hcburger1 @nsquaredcrypto @adam3us Aha :) Did not know about the Never Look Back Price.but read up on it here Interesting concept but the model you are fitting is for the "NLB" price - or floor price - not the actual price"
X Link 2024-02-03T19:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"There actually is a second best to #Bitocin #Monero $xmr may or may not be important in the future Today IMO it is definitely a shining symbol and core reminder of the individual freedom all crypto enthusiasts should strive for. #cryptocurrency"
X Link 2024-02-07T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@USD_IRR Thanks🤝"
X Link 2024-02-07T20:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul I have reviewed the relationship btw time and price in log space using all data. I have made no effort to exclude the bubbles or make other adjustments. This was not my intent and warrants a methodological discussion. However I have performed ransac may report on this later"
X Link 2024-02-13T11:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul So this is the slope coefficient as more data is added"
X Link 2024-02-13T11:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Giovann35084111 @paulewaulpaul How you prefer to look at the world is entirely your choice. I find the model fits quite well and its predictions are useful. However as a scientist I will always look at models from different angles. It appears it was needed"
X Link 2024-02-13T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin Halving: [--] days left🎉 Estimated date: Friday 2024-04-19 Repeating myself here but my prediction is one of few that has been stable for months. 95% probability it will occur April 18th to 20th. Follow on: https://researchbitcoin.net/beta/ https://researchbitcoin.net/beta/"
X Link 2024-02-18T22:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Cointime Active Realized Cap is the best metric (IMO) to value the #Bitcoin network in fiat terms. It has blasted past the April [----] ATH. Current valuation: [---] billions USD"
X Link 2024-02-18T23:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Scouting the #Bitcoin supply squeeze The Hot Supply coins aged less than [--] week has decreased from 693K to 632K (10%) since the launch of #ETFs. We are some ways from the all-time low in Sept [----] when Hot Supply was 412K"
X Link 2024-02-19T20:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Over 96% of all #Bitcoin coins (UTXOs) are now in unrealized profit. This is typical bull market but also signals a potential correction with some investors selling to lock in the gains. Corrections to 80% is normal. Follow this metric on my free site"
X Link 2024-02-20T09:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Big picture the #Bitcoin Supply held by Long Term Hodlers has been steadily increasing since [----]. But huge sell-offs occurred in 2013/14 2017/18 and 2020/21 Current sell-off (orange) due to the Grayscale trust/ETF is huge in USD but is still a normal correction in BTC terms"
X Link 2024-02-20T11:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@cryptoAssocia @glassnode Wholeheartedly agree MUST WATCH"
X Link 2024-03-20T22:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Update #Bitcoin Halving Date: ** 2024-04-20 ** Probability: 88% It will be an awesome Saturday party 🎉 http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-04-05T05:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The #Bitcoin Halving is soon upon us. But what is the REAL supply of bitcoin🤔 📽This updated animation in the 'Spectacular Journey of Bitcoin' series provides the answer"
X Link 2024-04-09T19:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Looks like the #Bitcoin Halving Date is coming early next time.estimated March 12th [----]. Just putting it out there🙃🙂 Free onchain charts: https://researchbitcoin.net/ https://researchbitcoin.net/"
X Link 2024-04-20T16:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Ten days ago I released the #Bitcoin Research Lab v1. The response has been overwhelming with many thousands of unique visitors. Thank you all🙏 Today I released API (beta) so you can download the raw onchain data yourself. More info on http://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-beta/ 💥The Bitcoin Research Lab is LIVE 💥 I celebrate the #Bitcoin halving by releasing my FREE onchain analysis suite🎉 This new Bitcoin epoch start NOW It is time to learn and prepare Start exploring over [---] onchain metrics now📈 👉https://t.co/P29dCtnEw0 https://t.co/ky2IQEnIKh"
X Link 2024-04-30T00:07Z [----] followers, 16.2K engagements

"Keep up the good work It it is industry leading in #Bitcoin We're approaching our first month anniversary for the @_checkonchain newsletter and we've already hit milestones we wanted to reach in our first quarter. We're just one spot away from the top [--] in the 'crypto' (#Bitcoin) category which our 1yr goal. Thanks to every single https://t.co/1SYvFtaYAn We're approaching our first month anniversary for the @_checkonchain newsletter and we've already hit milestones we wanted to reach in our first quarter. We're just one spot away from the top [--] in the 'crypto' (#Bitcoin) category which our"
X Link 2024-05-10T17:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Investor Supply Historic Heatmap (USD) Big fiat buy the top. 👀"
X Link 2024-05-14T16:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Short Term Hodler SOPR and MVRV [--]. SOPR: A slight undercut of the neutral y=1 line typical spot for reversal. [--]. MVRV: Still well above the neutral y=1 one typical intact bull market. Best case we could hope for Looks like healthy correction"
X Link 2024-05-15T21:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@AxelAdlerJr @Checkmatey Agree. my first "independent" observation when I started studying was how every bull cycle ended with high volatility"
X Link 2024-05-16T22:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Does anyone know an open-source project tracking ETF #Bitcoin addresses"
X Link 2024-05-16T22:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Giovann35084111 No doubt it is But be careful removing data. A simple price log chart fits nicely when you remove "Bubbles". Eg this NonBubble OLS model currently has R2 [-----] but I dont place significant trust in this simply because data has been excluded"
X Link 2024-05-21T07:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The Realized Cap of #Bitcoin Long Term Hodlers have not started to increase. LTH Realized Cap usually starts to increase a few weeks/months prior to cycle tops and flattens during bear markets. LTH Realized Cap increasing shows the core stakeholder's confidence in $BTC future"
X Link 2024-05-28T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The fiat heavy investments in #Bitcoin right now is clustered 66-68K. Support is being tested. Follow the live version of this chart on Menu: Investor Heatmaps UTXO_USD_Heatmaps Free.of course😃 https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-05-31T18:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Just blog posted about #Bitcoin price prediction for 2026-01-01 using Power Law Quantile Regression. Lower 5% quantile: [--] [---] USD Model price (50% quantile): [---] [---] USD Upper 95% quantile: [---] [---] USD Free charts on my website as always😃 https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/"
X Link 2024-06-02T19:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@chriskapilla Glad you find The #Bitcoin Lab useful"
X Link 2024-06-02T19:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"🔥Are you prepared for the #Bitcoin bull market The Unrealized Sell Side Risk Ratio is a powerful tool to navigate the market. Free chart is now LIVE on The Bitcoin Lab You can analyze both Short and Long Term Hodlers. Blog: https://researchbitcoin.net/unrealized-sell-side-risk-ratio/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/unrealized-sell-side-risk-ratio/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-06-08T11:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Realized Cap Delta 14D is positive and increasing. This indicates fiat is flowing into #BTC. Delta 14D: change in Realized Cap calculated by subtracting its value from [--] days ago from current value. Free charts👉 Choose filter "Delta days" https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-06-09T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Today its [---] days since the launch of #Bitcoin ETF. Since then Grayscale Trust's selling activity caused significant upheavals in the Long-Term Supply metric. I expect LTH supply (coins aged 155+ days) to start increasing. Next period of decrease should be interesting👀"
X Link 2024-06-14T09:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@profchaine @CryptoKoryo @glassnode @DuneAnalytics I think it is useful to look at addresses broken down into value held. In Bitcoin Lab you can filter out low value addresses (typical ordinals) by clicking the legend and then "stack" the lines. See chart. Much more nuance"
X Link 2024-06-14T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Short Term Holder Realized Price (Cost basis): [--] [---] USD👀 Pull back to STH cost basis (incl wick below) is normal bull market procedure. Sustained price action below means caution⚠"
X Link 2024-06-14T19:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@PeterLBrandt @elonmusk Free as in free speech (but you would not unstand google "free as in free beeropen source")"
X Link 2024-07-06T21:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin Lab currently experiences a data feed delay. Service is expected to be restored in 16-20h"
X Link 2024-07-08T05:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Short Term Hodlers done capitulating The STH Net Realized Profit Loss EMA 7DAY just flipped positive indicating this cohort is once again booking net profits Current sell-off has been the most extensive since Jan [----] A positive sign lets see if STH-NRPL stays pos"
X Link 2024-07-16T17:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Adding nuance to this a substantial proportion of the #Bitcoin STH cohort has a cost basis above current price. These investors can still be considered a group with high sell risk if price finds its way lower"
X Link 2024-07-16T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Fun Fact🤪 Median UTXO age has crashed to just [---] days At it's majestic all time height in April [----] the median age was [----] days. Reason: Ordinals inscriptions etc"
X Link 2024-07-18T14:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The #Bitcoin Lab API Beta It is great to see that the API service is getting serious attraction Some have asked when it updates. All data is updates once daily at approx [----] UTC. Give it some slack if you automate queries. https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-beta/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-beta/"
X Link 2024-07-21T11:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Serious question: How can I clean my X feed Just #bitcoin and #Crypto #X is full of garbage. It has never been worse"
X Link 2024-07-23T09:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Let me help you get started on #bitcoin onchain. You can get free raw onchain data from my API. Just added Cointime Economics. https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1815834689682432313 #Bitcoin Lab API updates and gift🎉 I just made Cointime Ecomomics developed by @Checkmatey and @dpuellARK available on the FREE API (beta). EXTRA 🎁 : Extended use limits for old users. Study onchain How-to 👉https://t.co/jDSYNyQfCw Metrics 👉https://t.co/7fICRB0A7K https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1815834689682432313 #Bitcoin Lab API updates and gift🎉 I just made Cointime Ecomomics developed by"
X Link 2024-07-23T19:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The Bitcoin Lab will have scheduled maintenance on August 5th due to a software stack update. The website will experience delayed data feed"
X Link 2024-08-04T20:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Short Term Hodlers in panick mode. Yesterday their Net Realized Loss onchain was comparable only to June 25th [----] (blue). Meanwhile Long Term Hodlers sat thight (orange)💪 #Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-08-06T11:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Short Term Hodlers are still in a significant unrealized loss🫢 Probably most traders have capitulated. Now.lets find out what those new aspiring LTH wannabes are made of🧐 Open free onchain charts: http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-08-06T11:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Sina_21st Great article I agree In my understanding the low p-value is NOT a good argument for the power law exactly due to autocorellation. Better use the other statistically sound arguments Do you agree"
X Link 2024-08-14T16:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The #Bitcoin Long-Term Hodler Supply is now rising rapidly Coins bought by ETFs have now matured the 155+ days needed to be labelled LTH. LTH is a key onchain metric because these coins have much lower probability to be spent soon. Evidence of core stakeholder (re)accumulation"
X Link 2024-08-15T06:12Z [----] followers, 11.1K engagements

"A significant portion of #Bitcoin investors are currently in loss (bars to the right of the red bar). These investors are almost exclusively Class of [----]. *UTXO Realized Price Distribution Chart (URPD)"
X Link 2024-08-16T05:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Free #Bitcoin onchain live charts: ✅ [---] onchain metrics ✅ Power Law and Logarithmic price models ✅Bitcoin Risk Metric ✅API (beta) for raw onchain data https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-08-16T05:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TXMCtrades @glassnode @cryptoquant_com While the necessary forensic work performed is impressive I will remain skeptical to any labeling (I have tried to automate this myself). Reasons stated in this article But you are probably aware already Kudos to those proving me wrong. https://researchbitcoin.net/research-bitcoin-lab-methodology/ https://researchbitcoin.net/research-bitcoin-lab-methodology/"
X Link 2024-08-18T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin Lab experienced an issue and will have delayed update today"
X Link 2024-08-21T06:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"All services restored"
X Link 2024-08-21T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Why is [---] #BTC such a popular amount to hodl Since [----] [---] BTC is the median held in addresses holding 100-1000 BTC. [--] YEARS It is beyond peculiar🤔 But I would for sure pay attention when it drops again. My guess is that it is institutions selling"
X Link 2024-08-24T16:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Of course this metric and hundreds of others onchain indicators are available for free at my site: ✅ [---] onchain metrics ✅ Bitcoin Risk Metric PRO ✅ Power Law Charts ✅ API (beta) for raw onchain data https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-08-24T16:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@OliverWbates1 Haha.one day :)"
X Link 2024-08-24T16:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The past is becoming irrelevant #Bitcoin The UTXO USD Heatmap demonstrates the USD value invested in each of the currently existing coins today. It is clear that the current CORE stake holders came in 2020- Not saying old coins are irrelevant yet but with time they will be"
X Link 2024-08-24T17:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ale03cali If so "
X Link 2024-09-01T02:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"I would not be surprised to see #bitcoin price revisit 52-53K USD to fill the empty URPD pocket. This would correspond to all current Short Term Hodlers being under water. Likewise for newer Long Term Hodlers. Panic"
X Link 2024-09-03T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@profchaine @JR_corp_ The LTH and STH versions are coming to Bitcoin Lab.soon"
X Link 2024-09-03T21:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@cryptoAssocia I have a nostr account allready but no followers🤣🤣🤣"
X Link 2024-09-03T21:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Anyone know a good nostr linux client I am considering moving to #Nostr Do you use nostr I am considering moving to #Nostr Do you use nostr"
X Link 2024-09-03T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Checkmatey This used to be hard but not anymore"
X Link 2024-09-03T21:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Nothing changed today. I still think a sell off to 52K is more likely. Lets reassess at 52K or when STH SOPR turns positive"
X Link 2024-09-04T20:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Short Term Holders have had a clear rejection from the critical zero line. This is NOT a common occurrence in bull markets. I would not be surprised if this takes weeks or months to resolve. Fair game for bulls to await SORP-STH MVRV-STH and NRPL-STH to flip bullish"
X Link 2024-09-06T22:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@CharonTheReal Yes the cloud provider is having issues. According to their status page "there is currently no estimated time for resolution.""
X Link 2024-09-07T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I just got noticed that The Bitcoin Lab cloud provider is having issues. According to their status page "there is currently no estimated time for resolution." It is unclear if this will cause further delay of the planned maintenance tonight (UTC). Updates to follow. The Bitcoin Lab will experience a delayed data feed update tomorrow due to a scheduled system upgrade. The Bitcoin Lab will experience a delayed data feed update tomorrow due to a scheduled system upgrade"
X Link 2024-09-07T20:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The website is down. I am sorry for the inconvenience. Not much I can do the cloud provider need to fix it"
X Link 2024-09-07T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The Bitcoin Lab website is still down due to cloud provider issues. The latest information from their technical team: "We are currently still working to solve the issue however we are not able to provide an ETA.""
X Link 2024-09-08T09:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The #Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply is close to a new all time high. At this speed it will only takes weeks. Currently [-----] million BTC have stayed in their wallets for 155+ days👀 The ATH occurred Dec [--] [----] [-----] million BTC. 👉Bitcoin core stakeholder are still here"
X Link 2024-09-09T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin New Addresses counts are very low for all cohorts but here shown for 0.0-0.1 0.1-1.0 and 1.0-10 BTC. Most wallets create a new addrs for every transaction but ordinals/BRC20 often reuses old. I would have expected the opposite with vivid adoption. Concerning😕"
X Link 2024-09-11T19:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Looking at active addresses (ordinals/BRC20 excluded) that has interacted with the bitcoin network the last 24h we are effectively at 2019/2020 levels. Its a fair statement that the network utilization has stalled in term of usage count (but not value) Stacked cohort chart👇"
X Link 2024-09-11T19:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Sina_21st It's arbitrary but setting cut off at [---] sats should be fair game. This is the dust limit and excludes most ordinals etc https://www.gemini.com/cryptopedia/basics-of-crypto-dusting#section-what-is-a-dust-limit https://www.gemini.com/cryptopedia/basics-of-crypto-dusting#section-what-is-a-dust-limit"
X Link 2024-09-11T20:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The #Bitcoin Price Risk PRO metric today [----] or "sit tight zone". If you follow this indicator you would have had plenty of opportunity to stack sats in the 🔵blue zone ( 0.2). Sell zone🔴 is [---]. Available for free in my onchain suite: http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-09-21T17:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@coinactuary I am aware of this and will fix it some day. For now just disable price trace (click on price at the bottom of the chart)"
X Link 2024-09-22T08:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The current pivotal state of the #bitcoin market is also expressed in the STH URPD chart. This chart shows the cost basis of short-term hodlers with the price dividing this cohort in half leaving one portion in loss and one in profit"
X Link 2024-09-23T18:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Meanwhile the Long Term Holders are stacking sats. The bitcoin supply held by this cohort is a key metric showing the core stakeholders confidence in future price appreciation. Expect this metric to tilt down after price reaches ATH (before would be worrying)"
X Link 2024-09-23T18:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The #Bitcoin Research Lab is now [--] years🥳🎉🍾 For the past three years Ive provided a free on-chain data suite with daily updates. The Bitcoin Lab continues to thrive because so many uses it Thank YOU🎉 🧵 http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, 15.1K engagements

"Early on I realized that #Bitcoin had the potential to profoundly transform society and reshape how individuals and countries interact with one another. I still say "potential" because nothing is certain. Then again that kind of potential rarely comes around (aka internet)"
X Link 2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Intrigued by #Bitcoin I wanted to understand how it could hold its promise👨🎓. This research led to RBN the first implementation of The Bitcoin Lab. RBN was coded entirely in R-cran and ran faithfully until April [----] when it was upgraded to The Bitcoin Lab"
X Link 2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The old RBN backend (compute engine) still holds significant R code serving as statement to the incredible power of this statistical programming language. On the other hand the user interface has been completely overhauled and API feature added. New metrics have been added"
X Link 2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"What I found most fun is seeing the userbase grow. Just the last months hundreds of thousands unique individuals have visited The Bitcoin Lab. Some stay some move on - but all know where to find onchain data if they need. The Bitcoin Lab continues to thrive - thanks to YOU🙏"
X Link 2024-09-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TheRealPlanC @Giovann35084111 @apsk32 @GaryCardone @Danny85732 @luke_broyles @ChartsBtc @crypto_futur I think there is a test coming for the power law: as the impact of the halving diminishes will it still hold I think it will but for sure it will be interesting to follow. Nothing is guranteeed but good models are extremely useful"
X Link 2024-10-10T21:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@bitcoindata21 If you like to play the PL model (I don't recommend that as your only input.study onchain as well) take a look at the Power Law Investor's model on my website. Check out the button in the chart. It is more conservative. I will elaborate why tomorrow"
X Link 2024-10-12T22:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Methodology Iterative Quantile Regression on an increasing dataset. Initial dataset: daily prices Febr [----] to 2020-01-01. For every iteration the dataset was increased by one date until 2024-10-12. Dataset was log10-log10 transformed with time of genesis block set to 1"
X Link 2024-10-13T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Reminder You can find LIVE Power Law charts using OLS and QR are on my website Here you can also track how these models behave using daily Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). DYOR I recommend this blog https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-power-law-price-prediction-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-10-13T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Sina_21st Agree I have quantified the QR uncertainty translated to linear space. What one feel is an acceptable range depends on perspective but current ranges are most suitable for long-term cycle traders. These QR lines have confidence intervals so uncertainty is even larger"
X Link 2024-10-13T13:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Sina_21st @TheRealPlanC @sminston_with @bitcoindata21 I don't expect anything. I present data displaying the model uncertainty in linear space. Should be helpful for those seriously interested. I agree the model is impressive"
X Link 2024-10-18T15:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Update STH-MVRV and STH-SOPR both retested their neutral line (value 1). THIS was exactly the positive response for price appreciation bulls could hope for. Short-term speculators got rewarded and bullish sentiment is built. *STH=Short Term Hodleres **EMA 7D"
X Link 2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The URPD basically visualized the same support are. Keep in mind that investors will feel pressured if the price falls to the left tail end of this. Below are the full URPD and the STH only version"
X Link 2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The #Bitcoin MarketCap has increasing momentum showing the new fiat is being invested at an increase rate"
X Link 2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"These and over 300+ onchain metrics are available for FREE on my #Bitcoin website: 👉 ✅ [---] onchain metrics ✅Price Models (Log Power Law) ✅Bitcoin Price Risk Metric ✅API (beta) for raw onchain data https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2024-10-20T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@bullfromsea - Are you there Have anyone seen Bull From The Sea lately He had to leave CT hastily due to he Ukraine war. I hope he is doing fine❣ His fantastic onchain website is still running. Pay it a visit to support him: #bitcoin #crypto https://chainexposed.com/ https://chainexposed.com/"
X Link 2024-10-20T18:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"📢Attention Have you heard from @bullfromsea #bitcoin #crypto @bullfromsea - Are you there Have anyone seen Bull From The Sea lately He had to leave CT hastily due to he Ukraine war. I hope he is doing fine❣ His fantastic onchain website is still running. Pay it a visit to support him: https://t.co/dkiimWaisx #bitcoin #crypto @bullfromsea - Are you there Have anyone seen Bull From The Sea lately He had to leave CT hastily due to he Ukraine war. I hope he is doing fine❣ His fantastic onchain website is still running. Pay it a visit to support him: https://t.co/dkiimWaisx #bitcoin #crypto"
X Link 2024-10-22T19:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Fun Fact Following up on this [--] year old tweet. The median amount held by addresses holding 100-1000 BTC is still exactly [---] Crazy🤷♂ Yet.I keep an eye on this as a peculiar sign of bull market hysteria. Even stranger is addresses with 100-1000 #BTC. Except from a brief period during the 2021/21 bull run these have had almost exactly [---] the last seven years. 💡It almost appear as mirages of large players and institutions🤷 https://t.co/d2Pa25z5ev Even stranger is addresses with 100-1000 #BTC. Except from a brief period during the 2021/21 bull run these have had almost"
X Link 2024-10-22T19:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Cost Basis through Time 🎉 The Spectacular Journey of BTC buying and selling since [----]. Check out my free open site for #onchain analysis Data is gathered from my own bitcoin node. Support my work by ♥ follow and retweet http://researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net"
X Link 2024-10-23T20:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Risk Metric Update: Risk Metric PRO: [----] Risk Metric ShortTerm [----] PRO is a cycle metric while ShortTerm identifies intra-cycle peaks. Both range 0-1. Charts available for free : https://researchbitcoin.net/charts https://researchbitcoin.net/charts"
X Link 2024-11-21T21:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Long Term Holders are realizing profit like this was THE cycle peak. Don't saying price can't go higher but I doubt much higher. A pullback and acclimatization is in the cards. Then lets see. The signs are there"
X Link 2024-11-21T21:38Z [----] followers, 136.6K engagements

"If you want to make up your own opinion I recommend checking out the charts at my site Current key charts are: - SOPR_STH and MVRV_STH - Supply Hot - Net realized profit / loss STH = Short Term Holder LTH = Long Term Holder https://researchbitcoin.net/charts https://researchbitcoin.net/charts"
X Link 2024-11-21T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@coinactuary Yes"
X Link 2024-11-22T08:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@thenameksejin True That is why a local top is in play. A cycle peak is way to early to say and quite frankly not the most likely outcome"
X Link 2024-11-23T12:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin - Time to pay attention🚨 How long can the market sustain heavy profits Chart below tracks months from when Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) turns positive to cycle's peak incl both peaks of [----] This cycle [--] months so far What insights do you see Lets discuss📈"
X Link 2024-11-23T13:35Z [----] followers, 15.8K engagements

"@brentkearney That is one perspective. Btw you find the power law model on my website as well.both ols and qr (I was the first to make the qr versions)"
X Link 2024-11-23T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Cryptoapple7 Definitely possible"
X Link 2024-11-23T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"This is really worth a careful study @paulewaulpaul is brilliant The time has come to check how things differ from the past. #bitcoin We're looking at on-chain LTH redistribution using PoW-generated revenues as a reference metric. Will the Redist Revenue Ratio provide actionable insights https://t.co/YEBAFKWp0J The time has come to check how things differ from the past. #bitcoin We're looking at on-chain LTH redistribution using PoW-generated revenues as a reference metric. Will the Redist Revenue Ratio provide actionable insights https://t.co/YEBAFKWp0J"
X Link 2024-11-23T22:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@0xagentr @JR_corp_ @CryptoSapiens @profchaine Soon releasing new API with many more metrics and improved documentation. Stay tuned"
X Link 2024-11-24T23:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Checkmatey @intangiblecoins Thanks mate"
X Link 2024-11-24T23:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply has decreased to levels similar to the ETF top in spring [----]. Current LTH supply is approximately [----] million the ETF top was [----] mill. Would not be surprised to see a rounded LTH supply bottom here.like [----] and [----]. Things takes time"
X Link 2024-12-09T08:53Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements

"🚀 The Bitcoin Lab API is live 🚀 Exciting News Access hundreds of new metrics & nearly all from our chart suite. Pro-grade interface + full docs. Looking for onchain data You can even download as csv files. Our mission: educate about Bitcoin 👉 http://api.researchbitcoin.net http://api.researchbitcoin.net"
X Link 2024-12-11T17:37Z [----] followers, 16.6K engagements

"Users of the old API should start the transition as soon as possible. The old service will be maintained for a few weeks"
X Link 2024-12-11T17:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Update I'd like to see the Short-Term Holder MVRV return closer to its baseline. A rising price without STH-MVRV reset often signals an impending market toprarely sustainable for long. Reset or not both outcomes provide clear but opposite on-chain signals"
X Link 2024-12-12T15:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"While MVRV reflects value held by investors STH-SOPR focuses on their spending behavior. When STH-SOPR fails to return to its baseline stay alert for an incoming market top. This process can take months and may not mark THE TOPbut rest assured its in the works"
X Link 2024-12-12T15:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Following these onchain metrics is a smart way to stay ahead. Onchain charts and API are available for free at my open website * It's time: Fade the noise and tune in the signal * https://researchbitcoin.net/ https://researchbitcoin.net/"
X Link 2024-12-12T15:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@0xCodecs I like EMA [--] days for STH MVRV AND STH SOPR"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@lux_4_ You are correct price appreciated (much) when STH-MVRV and STH-SOPR stop returning to the baseline proximity. My point is that this marks the unsustainable bubble period (which may last for months) that eventually will crash big time. It's the time to stay alert and prepared"
X Link 2024-12-13T14:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@crateur180466 You need to disable the 'price' trace. It is a known bug that will be fixed in the next update"
X Link 2024-12-13T14:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@crateur180466 There is actually a reason for the filter period. The onchain activity in weekends are much quieter than in the workdays. Always including the same amount of weekdays provides a less noisy signal. That is why I recommend using either [--] [--] [--] or [--] days filter (or higher)"
X Link 2024-12-13T14:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@profchaine @CryptoSapiens @Checkmatey @JoestarCrypto @ki_young_ju @SwellCycle @UkuriaOC @CryptoVizArt @dpuellARK @woonomic @renato_shira @PositiveCrypto @MustStopMurad Thanks my friend @profchaine"
X Link 2024-12-15T10:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Checkmatey @basedlayer @BTCPerception Appreciate the shoutout🙏 especially coming from the on-chain legend himself @Checkmatey My mission is to inspire curiosity and foster a deeper understanding of Bitcoin. I genuinely hope that the new API and the charts will guide people along this journey🚀"
X Link 2024-12-16T21:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@profchaine @CryptoSapiens @Checkmatey @JoestarCrypto @ki_young_ju @SwellCycle @UkuriaOC @CryptoVizArt @dpuellARK @woonomic @renato_shira @PositiveCrypto @MustStopMurad We will soon. I am looking forward to it"
X Link 2024-12-16T21:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@JJ30221029 @Checkmatey @internosaur Hehe.maybe do the Proof of Work Checkout and https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://api.researchbitcoin.net/docs https://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ https://api.researchbitcoin.net/docs"
X Link 2024-12-16T21:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Have you used Bitcoin Lightning Yes No Yes No"
X Link 2024-12-17T22:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The Bitcoin Price Risk PRO metric is available free on my omchain analysis suite You will also find an onchain metrics API service Enjoy🔥 http://api.researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net The #Bitcoin Researcher's Price Risk PRO metric is currently at [----] similar to December [----]. It ranges from [--] (deep bear) to [--] (raging bull). Combine this with STH-SOPR and STH-MVRV and you get a pretty clear picture. Limited upside. More time is needed if 125K realistic. https://t.co/2C9qW6IgKD http://api.researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net The #Bitcoin Researcher's Price Risk PRO"
X Link 2024-12-18T16:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"⚠Important: Users of Bitcoin Lab API The API service has been replaced by a much improved endpoint. Please transition as soon as possible. More info on NEW API here: Bitcoin Lab API provides onchain data available as csv and json. https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-is-live/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-lab-api-is-live/"
X Link 2024-12-20T10:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The Bitcoin Long Term Supply Change (SMA 30D) has reached historical low levels. This means we may be nearing the point where LTH selling tapers off. Still anticipating a rounding bottom formation on LTH Supply. Good sign if we hold these prices. 👉 https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1866043520152175091 #Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply has decreased to levels similar to the ETF top in spring [----]. Current LTH supply is approximately [----] million the ETF top was [----] mill. Would not be surprised to see a rounded LTH supply bottom here.like [----] and [----]. Things takes time."
X Link 2024-12-20T14:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@herrpuppekanin Charts has a default smoothing applied (you can turn it off in Filter option) while the API returns the raw data"
X Link 2024-12-20T14:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Over 50% of #Bitcoin supply held by Short-Term Holders (155 days) is now at a loss. By this metric this consolidation is getting significant. However the STH-SOPR and STH-MVRV still have room for further consolidation. In follow up of: https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1867233044874309986 #Bitcoin Onchain Update I'd like to see the Short-Term Holder MVRV return closer to its baseline. A rising price without STH-MVRV reset often signals an impending market toprarely sustainable for long. Reset or not both outcomes provide clear but opposite on-chain signals. https://t.co/i27FprEl87"
X Link 2024-12-23T10:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"100% agree with @@TXMCTRADES here Don't stop thinking critically just because someone who should know says something. It is really hard to see how this debt payback could work I am a broken record by now but since this idea keeps proliferating I will respond. This 👇 can't happen without SELLING THE COINS. Who will BUY trillions worth of BTC from us after financing our deficits in the first place It must be TRILLIONS. How is this beneficial for https://t.co/hoMAMd5qHX I am a broken record by now but since this idea keeps proliferating I will respond. This 👇 can't happen without SELLING THE"
X Link 2024-12-23T20:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Rioth_the_one Thank you for mentioning http://researchbitcoin.net http://researchbitcoin.net"
X Link 2024-12-25T00:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Crazy unexpected onchain event. I have kept an eye on addresses with 100-1000 BTC as a peculiar sign of bull market hysteria. I thought we would see a decrease but the median amount of #Bitcoin held has recently started to INCREASE🤷♂ A follow-up of https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1848808995802513837 #Bitcoin Onchain Fun Fact Following up on this [--] year old tweet. The median amount held by addresses holding 100-1000 BTC is still exactly [---] Crazy🤷♂ Yet.I keep an eye on this as a peculiar sign of bull market hysteria. https://t.co/EFZGTnsEOL"
X Link 2024-12-25T09:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term Holder MVRV is resetting but hasn't reached the baseline yet. There is still room for consolidation or lower prices. STH-MVRV does not have to reach [--] and this retrace might be sufficient. What can we read from this🤔"
X Link 2025-01-05T20:34Z [----] followers, 17.9K engagements

"For onchain newcomers; SOPR is Spent Output Profit Loss. This metric is the ratio of coins spent in profit vs in loss. It is a good way to gauge the motivation of market cohorts like STH. 7/10"
X Link 2025-01-05T20:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"How stale is the market When will something happen Nobody knows and a significant event may act as a trigger but surprisingly often the Hot Supply (coins aged [--] days) shrinks to 0.4-0.6 million before the release. I would not be surprised if this takes weeks. 8/10"
X Link 2025-01-05T20:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Price Risk PRO update Currently [----] (range 0-1). IMO a sudden strong move now might mark an intermediate top. More consolidation is likely needed for higher prices my Bitcoin [----] wish 🌟 More details in my recent onchain update https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1876004261240455417 #Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term Holder MVRV is resetting but hasn't reached the baseline yet. There is still room for consolidation or lower prices. STH-MVRV does not have to reach [--] and this retrace might be sufficient. What can we read from this🤔 https://t.co/mJNskVEko0"
X Link 2025-01-05T20:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@CryptoSapiens Thank you exciting times ahead"
X Link 2025-01-06T06:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@MichaelJammerb Thanks :)"
X Link 2025-01-07T20:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#Bitcoin Power Law Price Model If you don't already know The Bitcoin Lab has a live chart of the Power Law Price model using Quantile Regression. Other charts include the Investor's Model and variants of the OLS model. Free charts on my open site: https://researchbitcoin.net/ https://researchbitcoin.net/"
X Link 2025-01-11T12:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I was probably the first to apply QR to the Power Law back in April [----]. https://researchbitcoin.net/price-models-using-quantile-regression/ https://researchbitcoin.net/price-models-using-quantile-regression/"
X Link 2025-01-11T12:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Onchain Update Following up on the most recent update: - STH-MVRV still has not reset. There is plenty room for more consolidation (price and/or time). - STH-SOPR has reset suggesting sentiment is neutral. - Hot Supply is now low market is stagnant. Short 🧵1/3 #Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term Holder MVRV is resetting but hasn't reached the baseline yet. There is still room for consolidation or lower prices. STH-MVRV does not have to reach [--] and this retrace might be sufficient. What can we read from this🤔 https://t.co/mJNskVEko0 #Bitcoin Onchain Update 🧵1/10 Short-Term"
X Link 2025-01-13T11:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"While the Power Law model (log/log) is superior based on historical data I still track the Price Log model (log/linear) With quantile regression: - price has hovered around the median since Jan [----] - Current 1% and 99% percentiles: 57.5k and 380k USD http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/ http://researchbitcoin.net/charts/"
X Link 2025-01-24T07:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Quick #Bitcoin onchain update: Hot Supply has reset to [---]. 👉Hot Supply usually stays muted for weeks/months but a move is coming. STH-MVRV has not reset 👉More consolidation can be expected OR if price continues up now odds increase for an early top #Bitcoin Onchain Update Following up on the most recent update: - STH-MVRV still has not reset. There is plenty room for more consolidation (price and/or time). - STH-SOPR has reset suggesting sentiment is neutral. - Hot Supply is now low market is stagnant. Short 🧵1/3 https://t.co/7Dw95Jyk3S #Bitcoin Onchain Update Following up on the most"
X Link 2025-01-24T07:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Some #Bitcoin Short-Term Holders are selling at a loss while on average these investors holding unrealized profit (SOPR [--] MVRV1). This is consistent with Short-Term Holders being uncertain - locking in profits or limiting losses. Free Charts/API👉 https://researchbitcoin.net https://researchbitcoin.net"
X Link 2025-08-28T06:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"#Bitcoin Short Term Holders are now net neutral: no profit no loss Relative to total market value the Net Unrealized ProfitLoss (NUPL) reached +15% in Jan May and August [----] Last time STH had really happy days (25%) was in Nov [----]. NUPL15% could be a take profit signal"
X Link 2025-09-02T13:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Still feel this cycle is early Across cycles #Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) have realized tremendous and increasing profits. The Area Under the Curve of Realized Profit LTH confirms this cycle is NO exception. AUC integrates magnitude and time not just price spikes"
X Link 2025-09-05T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"As long as LTH investors are selling #BTC at scale ignition of any price rally is less likely. Keep an eye on LTH supply and dormancy metrics like coindaysdestroyed"
X Link 2025-10-10T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ES_pap1 Great to hear What is the topic of your thesis"
X Link 2025-10-16T07:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"THIS👇is why The Bitcoin Researcher Lab exist I strongly believe open easy access to #bitcoin on-chain data strengthen the fundamentals and increases adoption and understanding @ES_pap1 is not the first to use the suite in a thesis but more should use https://researchbitcoin.net/ whoever @ResearchBTCNow is - i love you i would not be able to complete my thesis work without you. Kisses thanks ur the best haha https://researchbitcoin.net/ whoever @ResearchBTCNow is - i love you i would not be able to complete my thesis work without you. Kisses thanks ur the best haha"
X Link 2025-10-16T14:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"🗜New #Bitcoin investors are currently under pressure The BitLab On-Chain Dashboard gives you the KEY DATA LIVE as the situation progresses 👀 Currently short term holder MVRV_Z and SOPR scores are at levels not seen last [--] months. Bookmark 👉 http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net/ http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net/"
X Link 2025-10-17T09:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"On #Bitcoin onchain analysis and robustness IMHO among the most robust #Onchain metrics are those based on UTXO coin days (or put differently how many days a coin has remained dormant). Why A thread 👇 1/7"
X Link 2022-04-10T14:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@AxelAdlerJr Looking by the raw count of UTXO (not addresses) the number holding 5000-10000 BTC has slightly reduced while those withover [-----] BTC is stable or up. Could be redistribution to other addresses or related to address clustering algo (if used)"
X Link 2023-06-19T11:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Coins spent last months have largely been young coins ( [---] days). This have continued while #bitcoin price has moved from 25-35K. Long Term Hodlers are sticking to plan💪 Chart below shows spent outputs (coins) older than [---] days Trend is down + Price is up = Early times"
X Link 2023-10-26T07:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"What I am REALLY waiting for.🥱 A steep increase in Long Term Hodler RealizedCap. That would be the ultimate confirmation from the #Bitcoin core stakeholders that they believe #BTC is here to stay"
X Link 2024-04-16T22:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@PaulLifestyle @hash_hunter Hey man.I was just pushing the official release https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-research-lab-v1-is-live/ https://researchbitcoin.net/bitcoin-research-lab-v1-is-live/"
X Link 2024-04-20T14:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@PaulLifestyle @hash_hunter Great One of the features of the latest push is to reduce downtime during updates :)"
X Link 2024-04-20T15:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@paulewaulpaul Great work Perhaps we should make this into a pre-configured metric Let me know what you think. I would love to provide a live version of more of your metrics if you are interested"
X Link 2024-05-08T20:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"and USD version: Big money have really arrived since 2021"
X Link 2024-05-14T21:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Agree but I will extend this further: From The Bitcoin Lab Methodology explanation: "I firmly believe history will show thatthe best onchain data is pure onchain data." I remain a bit skeptical to the accuracy of address clustering techniques. https://researchbitcoin.net/research-bitcoin-lab-methodology/ but mah exchange balances meme. Don't whale watch kids unless you have really done the proof-of-work to know what you're looking at. Exchange balances are notoriously hard to parse and monitor. They are an advanced metric which is valuable only if you know what you're https://t.co/39Ipehe0oz"
X Link 2024-07-01T22:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"To put it blunt: #Bitcoin SOPR STH 30D EMA is looking increasingly like the beginning of a bear market. For now it is still within a correction/contraction. In that case this is a great time to buy But if SOPR STH 30D EMA sets new lows it would not look so good anymore"
X Link 2024-08-15T06:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#Bitcoin Power Law Predicted Price TODAY by OLS and Quantile Regression (QR) on Training dataset. Training dataset: First day 2013-03-12 last day per x-axis. Each datapoint represents one training dataset (2013- 2020-01-01.2020-01-02.etc) 🧵1/2 @TheRealPlanC @Sina_21st"
X Link 2024-10-12T19:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"What has me surprised is how deep the #Bitcoin Long Term Hodlers sell off is. Since the Sept [----] (16.1 mill BTC) approx [----] mill BTC have been realized. Perhaps this indicates that a prolonged accumulation period is needed Anyone have any thought on this"
X Link 2025-02-14T12:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"🚀#Bitcoin On-chain Dashboard Released🎉 Do you want to take the pulse💓 of Bitcoin Bookmark the new Bitcoin Lab Dashboard 👉 Essential LIVE metrics clear fast and free. This is a sneak peek at the power of the upcoming Bitcoin Lab API V2. http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net http://dashboard.thebitcoinresearcher.net"
X Link 2025-10-16T11:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC Anyone of you care to set the record straight https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1979615019986780514s=19 @Snz_BTC For the record: I publicly shared and implemented a LIVE CHART of the Quantile Model on March [--] [----] well before either V1 or V2 discussions appeared elsewhere. 🧾 Timestamped evidence: https://t.co/U92NFnmiEp https://t.co/rMlmsj6Ipu https://t.co/4gst0UEzmf https://x.com/ResearchBTCNow/status/1979615019986780514s=19 @Snz_BTC For the record: I publicly shared and implemented a LIVE CHART of the Quantile Model on March [--] [----] well before either V1 or V2"
X Link 2025-10-18T21:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@ResearchBTCNow
/creator/twitter::ResearchBTCNow