# ![@PredictMarketHQ Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2015504502473015296.png) @PredictMarketHQ Prediction Market Trading

Prediction Market Trading posts on X about prediction markets, polymarket, kalshi, liquidity the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::2015504502473015296/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015504502473015296/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---] -6.40%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2015504502473015296/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015504502473015296/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2015504502473015296/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015504502473015296/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +20%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2015504502473015296/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015504502473015296/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  36.11% [countries](/list/countries)  8.33% [nfl](/list/nfl)  #5014 [stocks](/list/stocks)  8.33% [musicians](/list/musicians)  8.33% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  5.56% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  5.56% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  2.78% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  2.78% [champions league](/list/champions-league)  2.78%

**Social topic influence**
[prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #993, [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #671, [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #241, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) #3513, [$383800ks](/topic/$383800ks) #431, [super bowl](/topic/super-bowl) #3191, [market](/topic/market) 16.67%, [crowd](/topic/crowd) 8.33%, [bets](/topic/bets) #445, [$1b](/topic/$1b) #87

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@coinbasepredict](/creator/undefined) [@superbowl](/creator/undefined) [@seahawks](/creator/undefined) [@patriots](/creator/undefined) [@lindseyvonn](/creator/undefined) [@mansourtarek](/creator/undefined) [@shaynecoplan](/creator/undefined) [@draftkings](/creator/undefined) [@fanduel](/creator/undefined) [@robinhoodapp](/creator/undefined) [@coinbase](/creator/undefined) [@polymarkets](/creator/undefined) [@nfl](/creator/undefined) [@predictit](/creator/undefined) [@nytimes](/creator/undefined) [@predmtrader](/creator/undefined) [@domahhhh](/creator/undefined) [@zubbybadger](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [DraftKings Inc. Class A Common Stock (DKNG)](/topic/$dkng) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Odds tightening does not mean certainty increased. When odds tighten it often means disagreement has decreased. As new information enters the market traders who were on the wrong side exit liquidity consolidates and prices compress. The range of views narrows even if the underlying uncertainty remains. Consensus is not the same as truth. Markets can become tightly priced around an outcome that is still fragile especially when participants share similar assumptions or react to the same signals at the same time. A narrow price reflects alignment not inevitability. Certainty is revealed at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2021290570711462073)  2026-02-10T18:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"New edge alert: @Polymarket just launched 5-minute Bitcoin price markets with instant settlement. Turning prediction trading into ultra-fast real-time conviction plays on $BTC moves. High-frequency discovery layer incoming - whos arbitraging or whale-watching these"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022122636541882415)  2026-02-13T01:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Liquidity and accuracy are not the same thing. High liquidity does not guarantee accuracy. Low liquidity almost guarantees noise. In thin markets prices can move sharply on small orders spreads widen quickly and exits become harder precisely when risk increases. These conditions amplify volatility without improving information quality. Liquid markets absorb disagreement. Thin markets exaggerate it. As volume and depth increase prices become harder to move without meaningful capital. That resistance is what makes prices more reliable not correctness but stability under pressure. Confidence in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2019887936737800390)  2026-02-06T21:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Milano Cortina [----] is officially underway with the Opening Ceremony lighting up the night in Italy think epic performances the cauldron lit Team USA stepping up and even some wild crowd moments making waves. From curling kickoffs to figure skating hype snowboarding returns and stars like @lindseyvonn chasing glory the timeline is packed through Feb [--]. Who's your pick for the first gold Or are you locked in on ice hockey with NHL pros back in action Drop your predictions below - we're tracking all the markets and buzz 🏅🏂 #MilanoCortina2026 #WinterOlympics #PredictionMarkets LET THE GAMES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2019991330227908981)  2026-02-07T04:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"🚀 Prediction markets are absolutely dominating #SuperBowlSunday LX hype Projected volumes are smashing records: $3.1B+ across platforms (up 39% YoY per Gaming Compliance International) with @Kalshi seeing 5x growth and @Polymarket pushing toward $700M on championship markets alone. Consensus odds show #Seahawks as heavy favorites at 68% win probability (67-68 Yes on Kalshi/Polymarket) vs. #Patriots at 32% - a clear crowd wisdom edge for Seattle in this rematch of Super Bowl XLIX. The industry's heating up too: CFTC's supportive stance is fueling the surge pro gamblers are shifting big money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2020306339642454458)  2026-02-08T01:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"The biggest game of the year is here 🏈 #SuperBowl LX: #Patriots vs #Seahawks . Who you got winning tonight Markets are heating up: Pats [----] favorites but Seattle's defense could flip the script. Over/Under sitting at [----] expect fireworks or a defensive grind Drop your predictions below + any wild prop bets you're riding. Let's see those edges before kickoff #SuperBowl #SuperBowlLX #Pats #Seahawks #NFL #PredictionMarkets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2020648052948877441)  2026-02-08T23:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"What edge actually means in prediction markets Edge is not about being right. It is about being differently right than the price. A trade only has edge when your estimated probability differs meaningfully from the market price after accounting for fees slippage liquidity and exit risk. If the price already reflects your view there is no advantage in expressing it. High confidence without mispricing is just exposure. Many losing trades come from correct narratives entered at fair prices or from small mispricings sized too aggressively relative to their uncertainty. Markets do not reward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2020920757967331376)  2026-02-09T18:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Timing risk is often mispriced. Outcome markets answer what will happen. Timing markets answer when it will happen. Traders frequently agree on the outcome but underestimate timing uncertainty. Events that seem inevitable often resolve later than expected and delays compound risk in ways outcome pricing does not capture. Timing contracts are sensitive to second-order factors: procedural delays incentives to stall calendar effects and asymmetric information about pace rather than direction. A correct outcome with incorrect timing is still a losing trade. Markets are generally better at pricing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2021668058197373333)  2026-02-11T19:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"DraftKings stock tanked today after weak [----] guidance + investor pushback on their costly pivot into prediction markets. Margins looking tough vs. pure-plays like Kalshi/Polymarket. Meanwhile mainstream media (NYT Guardian) keeps quoting these odds for legitimacy from niche crypto to quoted in news daily"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022122791798288843)  2026-02-13T01:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Bottom line: From election bets to Super Bowl props to macro truth-seeking volumes in billions weekly. Regs are the wildcard clearer rules could explode adoption or add friction. This is becoming the crowd's engine for pricing reality. Early exciting and pivotal in [----]. New to this Start with @Kalshi / @Polymarket - bet small learn fast. #PredictionMarkets #FinTech #SuperBowlLX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022123035915075779)  2026-02-13T01:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"🚨 CFTC just stacked its new Innovation Advisory Committee with @Kalshi CEO @mansourtarek_ @Polymarket CEO @shayne_coplan + execs from @DraftKings @FanDuel @RobinhoodApp @coinbase. Self-regulation era for prediction markets After Super Bowl $1B+ days industry's at the table writing rules. #PredictionMarkets #CFTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022534526749253903)  2026-02-14T04:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"DraftKings shares cratered 13-16% today after weak [----] guidance - investors spooked by prediction markets eating sportsbook lunch @Kalshi / @Polymarket crushed Super Bowl with $1.63B combined volume (DeFi Rate data) while DKNG pushes its own Predictions vertical. #PredictionMarkets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022535632103625035)  2026-02-14T04:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Valentine's Day 2026: Roses 🌹 or shutdown chaos @Kalshi odds now 87% for partial gov shutdown starting Feb [--] (DHS funding lapse). @Polymarket / @CoinbasePredict pushing 88-99% 'No' in some resolves but Yes climbing fast. Third shutdown in months #GovShutdown #PredictionMarkets https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtshutdown/will-the-government-shut-down/kxgovtshutdown-26feb14 https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtshutdown/will-the-government-shut-down/kxgovtshutdown-26feb14"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022536014892535989)  2026-02-14T04:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"DHS partial shutdown now Day [--] (lapsed Feb 13/14 midnight). Congress out until Feb [--] no deal - talks stalled on ICE/CBP reforms post-Minneapolis. Quick update Feb 16: Most DHS staff (90%) essential: working unpaid (TSA Coast Guard ICE/CBP ops mostly fine). Minor delays elsewhere airports still normal-ish. Prediction markets resolved "No" on shutdown due to no OPM announcement (status shows "Open"). Duration markets now lean resolution by late Feb/early March. Politics: Dems want oversight; GOP says obstruction. Trump quiet so far. Second lapse this year after brief Jan one. Essential"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2023265048169439513)  2026-02-16T05:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Super Bowl LX hangover still hitting hard: @Kalshi crushed $1B+ in single-day volume (up 2700% YoY) combined platforms $1.2B frenzy on props from Bad Bunny songs to Gatorade color. Traditional books like DraftKings/FanDuel saw shares dip as prediction markets steal the show. Crowd wisdom Vegas lines #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket #SuperBowlLX Super Bowl LX aftermath + regulatory heat = massive momentum for prediction markets @Kalshi smashed $1B+ single-day volume on game day (up 2700% YoY) @Polymarket added tens of millions on props like Bad Bunny songs - combined platforms hit $1.2B"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2023266874759565740)  2026-02-16T05:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"One week post-Super Bowl: Prediction markets keep surging. @Polymarket's US beta rolling out (waitlist growing fast + NYC grocery stunt buzz) while @Kalshi dominates regulated sports volume. State fights rage (MA/NV/NY lawsuits call sports contracts gambling) but #CFTC committee now includes Kalshi/Polymarket CEOs - self-reg era incoming Jump Trading stakes in both signal Wall Street's all-in. Timing risk still mispriced - direction easy duration hard. Your take: More mainstream adoption or regulatory squeeze ahead #PredictionMarkets #FinTech #CryptoTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2023267732293107741)  2026-02-16T05:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Super Bowl LX payout bombshell: @Polymarket whale "kch123" nets $1.8M profit going 5-for-5 on game bets (career total now $11.1M+ with 1800+ trades). Another halftime insider One user cleaned up $17K on Bad Bunny props (e.g. $19K+ on Lady Gaga guest spot). Combined platforms: $1.63B volume ($833M @Kalshi $795M @Polymarket) with $304M on culture/halftime alone. Kalshi up 2900%+ YoY Hot now: [----] @NFL futures on @Polymarket - #Seahawks leading odds volume spiking. #PredictionMarkets #SuperBowlLX The biggest game of the year is here 🏈 #SuperBowl LX: #Patriots vs #Seahawks . Who you got winning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2023269536276078749)  2026-02-16T05:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"🚀 Prediction markets are exploding ahead of @SuperBowl LX With @Kalshi hitting $150M in volume on the @Seahawks vs. @Patriots winner market and platforms like Polymarket dominating 82% share the shift from traditional sportsbooks is real DraftKings alone losing $200M/month to PMs. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsb/super-bowl/kxsb-26 https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsb/super-bowl/kxsb-26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2019993928863478219)  2026-02-07T04:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Super Bowl LX aftermath + regulatory heat = massive momentum for prediction markets @Kalshi smashed $1B+ single-day volume on game day (up 2700% YoY) @Polymarket added tens of millions on props like Bad Bunny songs - combined platforms hit $1.2B frenzy. Crowd betting on everything from winner to halftime details. SEC Chair Paul Atkins testified before Senate Banking today: called prediction markets a "huge issue" with potential SEC jurisdiction overlap (beyond CFTC). "We already have enough authority" on parts tighter rules or dual oversight could be coming fast. Crowd wisdom winning: Recent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2022122307872076270)  2026-02-13T01:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Public favorites tend to be overpriced Highly visible outcomes often trade at a premium. When an event receives heavy media coverage or strong public sentiment participation increases on one side of the market. That imbalance can push prices beyond what underlying probabilities justify. Popularity is not probability. Retail flow typically clusters around intuitive or emotionally satisfying outcomes. Professional participants often provide liquidity against that flow rather than alongside it. Markets do not reward consensus enthusiasm. They reward accurate pricing. Over time crowded favorites"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2023496354287546396)  2026-02-16T20:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"#5 PredictIt @PredictIt Politics specialist (US + international) Academic exemption from full CFTC rules New [----] wins: no more 5k trader cap limits up to $3500/contract. But higher fees (10% on profits + 5% withdrawal). Still a go-to for die-hard election/politics traders. https://www.predictit.org/ https://www.predictit.org/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2015989339621351616)  2026-01-27T03:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Prediction markets are maturing fast in [----] more like financial derivatives than gambling. Which platform are you using (or planning to try) Kalshi Polymarket Robinhood. Drop your thoughts below 👇 Read the full WSN ranking + reviews: #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #Kalshi #Trading https://www.wsn.com/prediction-markets/ https://www.wsn.com/prediction-markets/ https://www.wsn.com/prediction-markets/ https://www.wsn.com/prediction-markets/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2015993171650740448)  2026-01-27T03:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@nytimes @Polymarket @Kalshi @PredMTrader @Domahhhh @ZubbyBadger @GaetenD What market are you trading (or watching) right now Drop your highest-conviction play below 👇 Let's see who's early on the next big one. #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #Kalshi"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2016237038392234283)  2026-01-27T19:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"🚨 @Polymarket 's TOP TRADERS today are crushing it As of late Jan [--] [----] the "Today" leaderboard shows massive daily profits (mostly from high-volume sports & event bets): kch123 +$5.85M profit $104M+ volume 🔥 [------------] +$5.35M profit 0x006cc. +$4.25M profit gopatriots +$2.93M gmanas +$2.73M These swings are wild: often tied to liquid markets like NBA/NHL. Prediction markets reward size + edge. Who's your pick to watch Check live: #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets https://polymarket.com/leaderboardperiod=today https://polymarket.com/leaderboardperiod=today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2016723917944345079)  2026-01-29T04:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"This whale has been on fire recently. Check their profile for epic wins like: $1.5M bet on "No" for Villarreal CF win (Jan 20) +$1.095M net (270%+ ROI) PSG "No" win +$580K net Stars vs. Oilers NHL +$481K net All-time: +$6.27M total P/L $2.1M in active positions (heavy on @Seahawks spreads & @SuperBowl plays right now) [----] predictions since joining June [----]. kch123 +$5.85M profit today $104M+ volume 🔥 @Polymarket https://polymarket.com/@kch123tab=positions https://polymarket.com/@kch123tab=positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2016724995553317322)  2026-01-29T04:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Prediction markets continue to expand beyond politics into sports macro and real-time event risk. Liquidity remains concentrated in a small number of contracts but breadth is increasing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018086202797375523)  2026-02-01T22:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"How pricing works in prediction markets A contract trading at [--] implies the market is assigning roughly a 68% probability to that outcome. That price already incorporates available public information trader positioning risk tolerance liquidity conditions and platform constraints. It is not a forecast. It is the level at which buyers and sellers currently agree to transact. There is no separate true probability visible to participants. The price is the aggregate estimate after capital-weighted disagreement has been resolved. Importantly a 68% market is not saying the event will happen. It is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018088952109138018)  2026-02-01T22:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Happy Monday traders 📊 Prediction markets maintain strong momentum weekly notional volume at $4.3B: @Kalshi $2.2B/51% @Polymarket $2.1B/49% Platforms near parity open interest approaching $800M and active markets in the hundreds of thousands. Solid setup for the week on geopolitics sports and macro. Let's dive in. #PredictionMarkets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018393788289609994)  2026-02-02T18:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Geopolitics remains active 🌍: Khamenei out as Supreme Leader by Feb [--] at 12% on @Polymarket ($4M+ vol) rising to 20% by March [--]. @Kalshi has him out before Sept [--] at 44% ($15M+ vol). Related tensions like US strikes on Iran by Feb [--] at 28% on @Polymarket. Watch for news-driven volatility. #IranTensions https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28 https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018394305371713864)  2026-02-02T18:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@SuperBowl LX (Feb 8) driving significant volume: @Seahawks favored at 68% vs @Patriots 32% on @Kalshi ($159M+ vol in Pro Football Champion market). @Polymarket shows similar Seahawks edge in related props. MVP odds lean toward Sam Darnold at 44%. Sports continues as a key category this week. #SuperBowl2026 🏆🏈 https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsb/super-bowl/kxsb-26 https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsb/super-bowl/kxsb-26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018395095142387791)  2026-02-02T18:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Macro positioning: Fed maintains rates in March at 90% on @Kalshi / @Polymarket ($2M+ vol) with only 10% for a 25bps cut. Emerging markets include US acquiring part of Greenland in [----] at 21% ($7M vol) and top $AI model end of February (@Google heavily favored). What's your focus this week #FedRates #PredictionMarkets https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-meeting/kxfeddecision-26mar https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-meeting/kxfeddecision-26mar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018395407269953998)  2026-02-02T18:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@CoinbasePredict Prediction markets leveling up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018462261933936900)  2026-02-02T23:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Why prices move without new information Price movement does not always reflect new information. Prediction markets can move because a large participant enters or exits a position liquidity thins temporarily or correlated positions are rebalanced elsewhere. None of these require a change in the underlying facts. In low- to medium-liquidity markets a single order can shift the price materially without altering the collective belief about the outcome. This is flow not signal. Information changes probabilities. Flow changes prices. The distinction matters. Traders who treat every price move as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018835067884441808)  2026-02-03T23:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@thejay Congrats on the $2.5M raise @thejay 🚀 KairosTradeX sounds like the ultimate terminal for prediction markets: unified execution across platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi is exactly what the space needs for pro-level trading. Excited to see how this levels up the game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2018835675249078579)  2026-02-03T23:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@InternLiminal Hyperliquid @HyperliquidX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2019990716206968946)  2026-02-07T04:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Prediction markets exploded in 20252026: crowd-sourced probabilities on everything from elections to NFL props often beating traditional sportsbooks. WSN just dropped their [----] rankings of the top [--] platforms. Here's the breakdown 🧵🔽 https://www.wsn.com/prediction-markets/ https://www.wsn.com/prediction-markets/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PredictMarketHQ/status/2015986519157440869)  2026-01-27T03:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

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