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# ![@PatsPicksAI Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1722336830605959168.png) @PatsPicksAI Pat

Pat posts on X about nfl, sunday, football, new orleans the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1722336830605959168/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1722336830605959168/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +135%
- [--] Month [------] +4,567%
- [--] Months [-------] +1,923%
- [--] Year [-------] -9.40%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1722336830605959168/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1722336830605959168/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +55%
- [--] Month [--] +375%
- [--] Months [---] +788%
- [--] Year [---] -34%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1722336830605959168/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1722336830605959168/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +3.60%
- [--] Month [-----] +12%
- [--] Months [-----] +64%
- [--] Year [-----] +67%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1722336830605959168/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1722336830605959168/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[nfl](/list/nfl)  32.35% [pga golfers](/list/pga-golfers)  #653 [stocks](/list/stocks)  9.8% [finance](/list/finance)  4.9% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  1.96% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  0.98% [countries](/list/countries)  0.98% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  0.98%

**Social topic influence**
[nfl](/topic/nfl) 45.1%, [sunday](/topic/sunday) 13.73%, [football](/topic/football) 10.78%, [new orleans](/topic/new-orleans) 10.78%, [new orleans saints](/topic/new-orleans-saints) 10.78%, [new york](/topic/new-york) 9.8%, [algo](/topic/algo) 8.82%, [injuries](/topic/injuries) 8.82%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 8.82%, [woo](/topic/woo) #498

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@fantasyptsdata](/creator/undefined) [@outlierdotbet](/creator/undefined) [@kevinrothwx](/creator/undefined) [@dataman422s](/creator/undefined) [@dataman422](/creator/undefined) [@underdog](/creator/undefined) [@betjuggernauts](/creator/undefined) [@therealmccoy84](/creator/undefined) [@actionnetworkhq](/creator/undefined) [@parsaryan](/creator/undefined) [@tdnash](/creator/undefined) [@fdsportsbook](/creator/undefined) [@etoft21](/creator/undefined) [@itsmeginob](/creator/undefined) [@whitesox](/creator/undefined) [@codybrownbets](/creator/undefined) [@deadpoolsbbyhnd](/creator/undefined) [@csvenjoyer](/creator/undefined) [@splashsports](/creator/undefined) [@datagolf](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Waste Management, Inc. (WM)](/topic/$wm)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"PGA OAD Ownership Projections AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am [--] Justin Rose - 11.1% [--] Russell Henley - 8.1% (14% picked) [--] Viktor Hovland - 7.4% [--] Si Woo Kim - 6.4% (38% picked) [--] Ryan Gerard - 6.2% [--] Rory McIlroy - 5.9% [--] Scottie Scheffler - 5.6% [--] Jason Day - 5.3% (20% picked) [--] Jake Knapp - 5.2% (9% picked) ๐Ÿ”Ÿ Chris Gotterup - 5.2% (10% picked) Finally got this where I want it now outputting actual percentage values. Included some of my optimization metrics as well backtested vs. actual ownership over the last [--] tournaments. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021669552501981370"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2021669552501981370)  2026-02-11T19:35Z [----] followers, 10.2K engagements


"Well while Justin Rose absolutely ran away with the tournament At least my recap automation ran successfully and even pulled in my original tweet to quote it. Onto Waste Management week ๐Ÿป Farmers Insurance Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Hideki Matsuyama ($193K - 15th) Farmers Insurance Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Hideki Matsuyama ($193K - 15th)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2018364104079974675)  2026-02-02T16:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheRealMcCoy_84 TY sir excited to see where these numbers shake out. The wind is making me want to just eat the chalk and take Hideki / Mav"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019402396926157284)  2026-02-05T13:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"โ›ณ Waste Management 1ST ROUND BETS Young +2500 +550 +320 Matsuyama +2800 +650 +330 McNealy +3000 +750 + [---] Si Woo +3000 +700 + [---] Mitchell +4000 +1000 +500 Hall +4500 +1100 +500 Odds = Winner Top [--] Top [--] There is a real edge on all of these the books are simply not pricing in the wind for early tee times. Surfacing this again so hopefully folks see it I think we have a great shot at hitting [--] or [--] or these. 0.1u 0.25u 0.5u for me go smaller Something very notable for the first round as well is the weather forecast โ›ณ๐Ÿ’จ @KevinRothWx does it better than anyone and he is seeing notable winds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019408766257549609)  2026-02-05T13:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 12) Sorry it took me until Wed evening to get this out. But I had to make some significant changes this week and I think they'll be very helpful moving forward. Still not a perfect science but we are moving closer to the goal every single week. I swear there will be less tweaking and more automated & earlier scoring shortly. [--] Rebuilt the Entire Scoring Algo The old multiplicative formula had a Scottie Scheffler problem. It was letting win probability dominate too much and Scottie's odds at every single tournament are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2021722810209775921)  2026-02-11T23:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Just a parlay from me tonight but I love all [--] of these spots straight as well. NYJ +1.5 Dalton Kincaid 4+ Receptions Josh Allen 1+ Interceptions Breece Hall 25+ Receiving Yards #GamblingTwitter #GamblingX #MondayNightFootball #BUFvsNYJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1845958774516760788)  2024-10-14T22:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The American Express (Jan 22) Made significant updates to my backend scoring algorithm this week. Here's what's changed ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form The algo now factors in current play: - Cut rate over last [--] events - Average finish over last [--] - Hot streak bonus for consecutive cuts - Trending up or down vs. prior events ๐Ÿ† Tournament History Rewarding strong course history: - Past winners get the biggest boost - Top [--] finishes get a solid bump - Top [--] finishes get a smaller bonus - Recent results weighted more than older ones ๐ŸŒŽ OWGR Added Official World Golf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2014063066397266056)  2026-01-21T19:50Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements


"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 29) ๐Ÿ“A Few Notes to Start - Torrey Pines hosted the [----] Genesis (due to wildfires) - Torrey Pines also hosted the [----] US Open - Ludvig Aberg withdrew last week due to illness (not worth the risk this week imo) โš™ Algo Adjustments this week - I implemented the ability to add manual tournament results via config override and used this feature to override to Torrey Pines tournaments instead of Farmers only this week - I extended to show L7 for Torrey Pines data to make sure we capture the changes from #1 - I changed the cutoff of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2016633531057819902)  2026-01-28T22:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Farmers Insurance Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Hideki Matsuyama ($193K - 15th) PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 29) ๐Ÿ“A Few Notes to Start - Torrey Pines hosted the [----] Genesis (due to wildfires) - Torrey Pines also hosted the [----] US Open - Ludvig Aberg withdrew last week due to illness (not worth the risk this week imo) https://t.co/lABzjXkJCO PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 29) ๐Ÿ“A Few Notes to Start - Torrey Pines hosted the [----] Genesis (due to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2018361275810472180)  2026-02-02T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped uncover several shortcomings in my ALGO SCORE formula. I made significant changes this week to fully revamp the scoring system in preparation for the FIRST SIGNATURE EVENT next week ($20M purse). [--] Added Venue History Decay - Recent performance matters most - The last [--] years now account for 85% of the Form (WM) column with [----] weighted stronger than [----] etc. ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ’ก Jason Day popped in last week's algo because of two 1sts [--] years ago. But he's a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019184492074729679)  2026-02-04T23:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned guys and save studs for flexibility in the $20M purse events. Pats Picks (3 entries) ๐ŸŽฏ Sahith Theegala x2 ๐ŸŽฏ Jordan Speith PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped uncover several shortcomings in my ALGO SCORE formula. I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019375368092647900)  2026-02-05T11:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Something very notable for the first round as well is the weather forecast โ›ณ๐Ÿ’จ @KevinRothWx does it better than anyone and he is seeing notable winds for morning tee times: This gives a round [--] advantage to the likes of: Maverick McNealy (#3 OAD Rank) 3:06 PM Si Woo Kim (#2) 2:55 PM Rickie Fowler (#22) 2:55 PM Harry Hall (#16) 2:44 PM Cameron Young (#4) 2:44 PM Brooks Koepka (#27) 2:44 PM Xander Schauffele (#14) 2:44 PM Hideki Matsuyama (#1) 2:33 PM Keith Mitchell (#13) 2:22 PM Do with this infoirmation what you want. Personally I may last minute switch one of my two Sahith entries but imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019401295380000878)  2026-02-05T13:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Officially changing [--] Sahith entry to Maverick I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019405473393570073)  2026-02-05T13:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Well My OAD Projections are on the right track Picks are in ๐Ÿ‘‡ Nailed the top [--] [--] Maverick McNealy 15% (Proj 1st) [--] Si Woo Kim 15% (Proj 4th) [--] Cameron Young 8% (Proj 3rd) [--] Hideki Matsuyama 8% (Proj 2nd) [--] Sahith Theegala 7% (Proj 10th) I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2019424093540634723)  2026-02-05T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"WM Phoenix Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Maverick McNealy ($188K - 15th) Pat's Pick [--] Sahith Theegala ($123K - 23rd) Pat's Pick [--] Jordan Spieth ($0 - MC) PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped uncover several shortcomings in my ALGO SCORE formula. I made significant changes this week to fully revamp the scoring system https://t.co/MSTOzLCqh7 PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2020908058440773944)  2026-02-09T17:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"โ›ณ OAD Ownership Projections Recap Week [--] of this also went well 4/4 top [--] which is most important. Apparently nobody gives two fucks about Ryan Gerard though. Noted. My Top [--] vs Actual ๐ŸŸข Rose: 11% (1) 14% (2) ๐ŸŸข Henley: 8% (2) 18% (1) ๐ŸŸข Hovland: 7% (3) 8% (3) ๐ŸŸข Kim: 6% (4) 7% (4) ๐Ÿ”ด Gerard: 6% (5) 1% (20) ๐ŸŸก McIlroy: 6% (6) 2% (13) ๐ŸŸข Scheffler: 6% (7) 4% (8) ๐ŸŸข Day: 5% (8) 6% (5) ๐ŸŸก Knapp: 5% (9) 2% (14) ๐ŸŸก Gotterup: 5% (10) 2% (15) Also in Actual Top [--] ๐ŸŸข Fitzpatrick: 5% (11) 5% (6) ๐ŸŸข McNealy: 3% (15) 5% (7) ๐ŸŸข Cantlay: 3% (13) 4% (9) ๐ŸŸก Lowry: 2% (20+) 3% (10) Hit Rates ๐ŸŸฉ Top 5: 4/5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2022028601600753704)  2026-02-12T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Week [--] NFL Power Rankings Who are you higher or lower on Let me know in the comments ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few teams worth mentioning for me: ๐ŸŸข New York Jets ๐ŸŸข Last week we saw the team I expected going into the year. Rodgers looks healthy and in full control of this offense. As long as he is scanning the defense and calling the plays I have a ton of confidence in them. The defense has regressed slightly but if the offense keeps clicking they are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. ๐ŸŸฃ Minnesota Vikings ๐ŸŸฃ Of all the surprise teams to start the year I am most confident the Vikings are here to stay."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1838965209358012550)  2024-09-25T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ Thursday Night Football Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants ๐Ÿ“ Here are a handful of my favorite betting angles. Dallas loves to beat up on bad teams and fall flat on their face against contenders. Spoiler alert: the Giants are a "bad team." Since [----] the Cowboys are 28-14 ATS as favorites (67%) and 13-2 (87%) as favorites vs the NFC East This line is too short mostly a reaction to what happened last week with both teams. I hate taking favorites ATS in the NFL but even the sharp money seems to agree this is the right side. If you want to back Dallas lay the points as long as its"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1839323237328503145)  2024-09-26T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS [--] plays - [----] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck on your bets today everyone๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ Player Props ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ 2.0u Michael Wilson o44.5 REC YDS [----] 1.5u Diontae Johnson o5.5 REC +115 1.5u George Pickens o50.5 REC YDS [----] 1.5u Demario Douglas o36.5 R+R YDS [----] 1.5u Jalen Nailor o16.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Breece Hall o27.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Caleb Williams o220.5 PASS YDS [----] 1.0u Brian Thomas Jr o43.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Jakobi Meyers o43.5 REC YDS [----] 0.5u Marvin Harrison Jr TD +100 โš” Sides/Totals โš” 2.0u ATL [----] [----] 1.0u PHI Team Total u21.5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1840414020278378561)  2024-09-29T15:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ Week [--] NFL Power Ratings ๐Ÿˆ Who are you higher or lower on Let me know in the comments ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few teams worth mentioning for me: San Francisco 49ers ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs The 49ers are getting healthier and Purdy continues to play phenomenal football. The coaching is exceptional as well. Nick Sorensen has the defense playing improved over last year and Shanahan is unquestionably top [--] alongside Andy Reid. I have to slightly downgrade the Chiefs with the Rashee Rice injury as it's turning into a cluster problem at the skill positions for them. Mahomes with a strong defense will still find"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1841189833617637861)  2024-10-01T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Thursday Night Football BEST BET ๐Ÿ”ด Bucs at Falcons Under [--] ๐Ÿ”ด My Stake: 1u These gross Thursday spots are my favorite to play the primetime under trend. Players hate playing in them and it gives coaches less time to develop sophisticated offensive game plans. Thursday Night games have hit the under 54% of the time since [----]. But we're 3-0 to the under this season with an average margin of [--] points under the total and an average total of [--] points. Another strong signal is the money distribution. 80% of bets are on the over but only 73% of the money. Even more telling the total opened at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1841835539336470787)  2024-10-03T13:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Which is your favorite ๐Ÿš€upside๐Ÿš€ wide receiver play for week [--] Whoever win's I will submit as my 3rd Official Pick to @Dataman422's #TheBestOnX Tournament Tutu Atwell 100+ 6/1 Dontayvion Wicks 100+ 5/1 Amari Cooper 100+ 6/1 Brian Thomas Jr 100+ 5/1 Tutu Atwell 100+ 6/1 Dontayvion Wicks 100+ 5/1 Amari Cooper 100+ 6/1 Brian Thomas Jr 100+ 5/1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1842371425887232472)  2024-10-05T01:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿชœ LADDER BET ๐Ÿชœ Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos The Broncos have been playing like a top [--] defense and both teams are playing as bottom [--] offenses. My initial leans were to the under and the Broncos moneyline but all the way out at [---] I dont love it. This alternate angle though I think gives even more value and upside ๐Ÿš€ The Broncos should win this one with a strong defensive effort at home. Its the most logical outcome of the game. They are not built to blow anyone outneither team is. This is going to be a field goal game and whoever wins is more than likely to stay within [--]. Im too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1842606987634217442)  2024-10-05T16:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿš€ Upside Play of the Day ๐Ÿš€ Dontayvion Wicks 100+ REC YDS is the winner Who's riding with My stake: 0.5u An absolute smash spot for a guy who always has elite success metrics but doesn't draw heavy targets because of all the weapons. But with Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson OUT there is so much upside here. He drew [--] targets in just [--] quarters last week after Watson went down. Which is your favorite ๐Ÿš€upside๐Ÿš€ wide receiver play for week [--] Whoever win's I will submit as my 3rd Official Pick to @Dataman422's #TheBestOnX Tournament Which is your favorite ๐Ÿš€upside๐Ÿš€ wide receiver play for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1842932141572710404)  2024-10-06T14:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"How fast does Jayden Daniels think Zach Ertz is ๐Ÿ˜‚"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1842984957771415994)  2024-10-06T17:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Best Bet for Sunday Night Football: Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline My stake: 1.5u ๐Ÿ‘‡ Heres why ๐Ÿ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1842991400142643317)  2024-10-06T18:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Monday Night Football Best Bets ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs โšœ New Orleans Saints ๐Ÿ“… Mon 8:15pm EST Travis Kelce o56.5 REC YDS My Stake: 1.5u It cannot be understated how important the Rashee Rice injury is for this line. Rice was averaging [--] catches for [--] yards and in Week [--] without him Kelces target share jumped from 12% to 31% with his yards per route run tripling from [----] to [----]. Approximating [--] routes would imply around [--] yards. Rice had a first read percentage of 41% second only to Cooper Kupp. Without Rice Kelces first read share jumped from 15% to 46% in Week [--]. The reason Kelce wasnt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1843405457404092883)  2024-10-07T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ NFL 1st Quarter Betting Recap (Weeks 1-5) Week 1: -1.23u ๐Ÿ“‰ -1.23u overall Week 2: +0.38u ๐Ÿ“ˆ -0.85u overall Week 3: -0.72u ๐Ÿ“‰ -1.57u overall Week 4: +0.17u ๐Ÿ“ˆ -1.40u overall Week 5: -6.68u ๐Ÿ“‰-8.09u overall Not what I was hoping for but sports betting is volatile and I know Ill get it back by staying disciplined in the long run. Bankroll management and unit sizing are of utmost importance. My current bankroll strategy is betting 1% of my bankroll per 1u with up to [--] units max per play. I only truly evaluate performance monthly. If I go up or down 20% I will rebalance my unit size based on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1843682733140127881)  2024-10-08T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ Week [--] NFL Power Ratings ๐Ÿˆ Who are you higher or lower on Let me know below ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few teams worth mentioning for me: ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs ๐Ÿ”ด As long as they have Mahomes Reid and Spags they should be the frontrunner for the Super Bowl. The injuries don't matter. We saw the same thing with the Brady dynastyany skill player off the street they can make work. ๐Ÿฆ… Philadelphia Eagles ๐Ÿฆ… The BYE week got this team healthy and they are still top [--] when they are. ๐Ÿ”ด Atlanta Falcons ๐Ÿ”ด So much hype coming into the season and they are finally starting to click thanks to Kirk Cousins looking mostly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1843765625438846992)  2024-10-08T21:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿšจ NFL/NBA AI Model Updates ๐Ÿšจ Hey all With the NBA season approaching and [--] weeks of NFL data now under our belts I'm diving deep into full-on model development and improvement mode ๐Ÿค“๐Ÿ’ป I'll still be very active here but may not have time for as many detailed write-ups ๐Ÿ“ It's always been a core value for me to provide clear reasoning and data behind every pick I share because I believe in equipping everyone to make the most informed betting decisions possible ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿง  I personally don't love just blindly tailing anyone but I'll still be posting all my personal NFL plays even if I don't get the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1844126663384125589)  2024-10-09T21:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Thursday Night Football Betting Preview ๐Ÿ”ดSan Francisco 49ers๐Ÿ”ด ๐ŸŸขSeattle Seahawks๐ŸŸข ๐Ÿ“… On paper SEA +3.5 at home in a familiar divisional game should be a strong bet but the spot is just so tough for them. The NFL scheduling really screwed them with a third game in just [--] days. ๐Ÿค• And after seeing them look completely tired on short rest vs. the Giants and pick up a few more injuries I'd have a hard time backing them. ๐Ÿ›‘ The 49ers meanwhile are coming off a bad loss but yet another one they easily could have won. Poor execution in the red zone has this team coming up short and being"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1844469346061435082)  2024-10-10T20:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Sharing My NFL AI Model Data as I Build It ๐Ÿ“Š Day 1: Hit Rates ๐Ÿ“Š Zach Charbonnet o13.5 REC YDS (-121) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 5/5 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] 55% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +45% difference Jauan Jennings o59.5 REC YDS (+400) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 3/5 60% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +400 20% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +40% difference Kenneth Walker o34.5 REC YDS (+250) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 2/3 67% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +250 29% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +38% difference Jauan Jennings o34.5 REC YDS (+130) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 4/5 80% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +130 43% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +37% difference Zach Charbonnet o2.5 REC (+120) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 4/5 80% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +120 45% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +35% difference DK Metcalf o99.5 REC YDS (+300) ๐Ÿ“Š"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1844478484980343201)  2024-10-10T20:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"My [--] Favorite Player Prop Bets for NFL Sunday โšœ Chris Olave Overs โšœ My Stake: 1.5u o4.5 REC +110 1u o48.5 REC Yards 0.5u o5.5 REC +185 This is a bit of a narrative play but its also a bet on one of the most talented wide receivers in the NFL facing a secondary thats been exploited all season. Olave is still top [--] in the NFL in average separation score per @FantasyPtsData ASS ๐Ÿ‘ Last week there was drama with his brother publicly upset about his usage. More importantly Spencer Rattler said I make it a key point that when hes in get him the ball. Before last weeks dud against a tough CB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1844843735835873523)  2024-10-11T20:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ [--] NFL ATS Bets I Already Made ๐Ÿˆ I get the majority of my bets in early throughout the week so that I can get the best of the lines. Make sure you are following me on the Action App for immediate notification if you want to get the best of the lines with me @ActionNetworkHQ username: pat_roberts Still would happily still take these all at the current number. 2u DET [----] [----] (good through -3) 2u CIN [---] [----] (good through -4) 2u NE +7 [----] (good through +6.5) sneaky play to get a better line is take +7.5 parlay with the under here 1.5u GB [---] [----] (good through -5.5) 1u WAS +7 [----] (good"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1844853793055506881)  2024-10-11T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Sharing My NFL AI Model Data as I Build It ๐Ÿ“Š Day 2: Hit Rates [--] straight ๐Ÿ“Š This NFL Sunday there are [--] players with a 5/5 100% hit rate on their receiving yards or receptions line ๐Ÿ‘‡ Pat Freiermuth over [---] REC ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 66% implied Alvin Kamara over [----] REC YDS ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 67% implied Chris Godwin over [----] REC YDS ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [---] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 68% implied Brian Thomas over [----] REC YDS ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [---] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 71% implied Chris Godwin over [---] REC ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 71% implied Ceedee Lamb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1845147008333644110)  2024-10-12T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS ๐Ÿˆ [--] plays - [--] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck with your bets today everyone ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป โš” Sides/Totals โš” 2.0u DET [----] [----] 2.0u CIN [---] [----] 2.0u NE +7 [----] 1.5u GB [---] [----] 1.0u WAS +7 [----] ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ Player Props ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ 2.0u JaLynn Polk o22.5 REC Yards [----] 1.5u David Montgomery o56.5 Rush Yards [----] 1.5u Jayden Daniels o224.5 Pass Yards [----] 1.5u Chris Olave o4.5 REC +110 1.0u Chris Olave o48.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Jalen Tolbert o44.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u C. Lamb 60+ YDS // C. Godwin 5+ REC [----] 1.0u C. Lamb 60+ YDS // P. Freiermuth 3+ REC [----] 0.5u"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1845454453572513896)  2024-10-13T13:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ NFL WEEK [--] POWER RATINGS ๐Ÿˆ Who are you higher or lower on Not a ton of movement this week which is what I want to see at this stage in the season. I now have a large enough sample size on most teams to feel confident these tiers are mostly accurate. Outside of major injuries dont expect much volatile movement week to weekjust a slow progression. #GamblingX #PowerRankings #NFLWeek7 #GamblingTwitter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1846586011733692770)  2024-10-16T16:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Sharing My NFL AI Model Data as I Build It ๐Ÿ“Š Day 3: DEN @ NO Hit Rates ๐Ÿ“Š Been putting in work this week to nail down the architecture for Version [--] of my model ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿ’ป Making it way more scalable so I can add new sports and markets easily but taking my time to build it right ๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿค“ Meanwhile heres some fresh hit rate data these are the spots with the biggest edge for Thursday Night Football: Devaughn Vele o3.5 REC (+130) ๐ŸŽฏ Hit Rate 2/2 100% ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +130 43% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +57% difference Devaughn Vele o30.5 REC YDS (-113) ๐ŸŽฏ Hit Rate 2/2 100% ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] 53% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +47%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1846635677779108160)  2024-10-16T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ Thursday Night Football Best Bets ๐Ÿˆ New Orleans #Saints vs. Denver #BroncosCountry The grossest of gross TNF games but if you are a true degenerate like me you are digging deep to find value betting opportunities. I found [--] that I like. [--] Under [----] The Saints offense is ravaged by injuries with both stud WRs OUT 1-2 starting offensive linemen OUT and their starting QB OUT. So we are blessed with a rookie QB vs. rookie QB matchup here. The Broncos play a slow and methodical offense that relies on running the football and short passes; both teams are bottom [--] in early down pass frequency."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1846889788546183611)  2024-10-17T12:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐ŸŽฏ Jakobi Meyers over [----] Rec Yards ๐ŸŽฏ My Stake: 1.5u 70+ Yards: +240 (0.5u) โœ… Over in 4/5 games this season. โœ… 2/2 without Davante Adams. โœ… 1/1 with Aidan O'Connell. โœ… Had 9+ targets in each of the last [--] games. ๐Ÿค– The Rams are a great matchup to attack outside where Meyers is playing 80% of his snaps. And the Raiders are one of the heaviest passing teams when trailing this season at 77% so the opportunities should be present as 7-point underdogs. #GamblingX #RaiderNation #RamsHouse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1847279166485327985)  2024-10-18T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@parsa_ryan Strong Contenders: Lions Ravens Bills Packers Weak Contenders: Bucs Falcons Commanders Pretenders: Bears Steelers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1847316050829836393)  2024-10-18T16:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿ’ฐHave about 8-10 bets on the card for the day. ๐Ÿ“Š Plan to get some data and/or writeups out over the next few hours. ๐Ÿถ Loving me a lot of the 1pm dogs today. ๐Ÿ‘‡ Which one is your favorite upset I plan to parlay the two that get the most votes MIA +140 (@ IND) SEA +145 (@ ATL) NYG +145 (vs PHI) HOU +140 (@ GB) MIA +140 (@ IND) SEA +145 (@ ATL) NYG +145 (vs PHI) HOU +140 (@ GB)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1847999218343981230)  2024-10-20T13:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"MIA Dolphins +3 (stake 1.5u) MIA +140 (stake: 0.5u) It has been tough sledding without Tua but I have to have faith things will look just a bit better coming out of the bye week. Reports say Tyler Huntley is feeling more comfortable and will be allowed to open up the playbook more. And with Tua due back next week the season is far from over for Miami. For me though this is more just a fade of the Colts. They have one of the worst defenses in the NFL and a highly volatile QB running the show. Call me crazy but I am backing the Colts in games with Joe Flacco and fading them if starting Anthony"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1848004710663430245)  2024-10-20T14:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS [--] plays - [----] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck with your bets today everyone ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ Player Props ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ 1.5u Garrett Wilson o4.5 REC [----] 1.5u Jakobi Meyers o47.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u George Kittle over [---] Receptions [----] 1.0u Malik Nabers Longest Rec o22.5 [----] 1.0u Tyreek Hill o54.5 Rec Yds [----] โš” Sides/Totals โš” 1.5u MIA +3 [----] 1.0u HOU ML +140 1.0u CLE 1Q ML +142 1.0u NYJ ML [----] 1.0u PHI/NYG u43.5 [----] 0.5u MIA ML +140 ๐Ÿš€ Upside Plays ๐Ÿš€ 0.5u Garrett Wilson 6+ REC +175 0.5u SEA ML // HOU ML +490 0.5u Jakobi Meyers 70+ REC YDS +240"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1848033326285586767)  2024-10-20T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The Commanders finally crack the top [--] Ive updated the graphic format to include my value for each teams adjusted spread against a league average opponent on a neutral field. This is a solid starting point for handicapping sides but remember there are always tons of variables at play: home field bye weeks matchups injuries etc. For instance this week without Jayden Daniels Id make a 4pt ATS adjustment for Marcus Mariota. All of these factors and more will be considered in my eventual ATS model once the system is set up to scale in that market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1848850287609446866)  2024-10-22T22:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Broncos by a million #BroncosCountry #LetsRide Panthers QB Bryce Young will start Sunday vs. the Broncos. Panthers QB Bryce Young will start Sunday vs. the Broncos"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1849164839882477793)  2024-10-23T19:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Thursday Night Football Betting Preview Minnesota Vikings #SKOL @ Los Angeles Rams #RamsHouse We finally get what should be an exciting game on Thursday. Don't fall into the Minnesota [----] trap; I know it looks juicy based on how they've played but the Rams are the clear sharp side here. The Vikings are taking 83% of the money yet the line has moved down consistently all week from [---] to [--] and now even crossing to the [---] mark. I don't love taking the Rams unless I get [---] or more but I do think teasing the Rams at home with a healthy Cooper Kupp is a great angle to attack. The problem is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1849478558483108248)  2024-10-24T15:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ NFL Week [--] Best UNDERDOG Bets ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿถ For this week's entry to #TheBestOnX @Dataman422 handicapping tournament I am taking a shot at [--] underdogs that have a ton of value on the outright win price today. Ranked in order of my favorites: ๐ŸŸคCleveland Browns +350๐ŸŸค 22% implied MGM +350 ESPN +340 CZR +335 ๐Ÿ”ตIndianapolis Colts +195๐Ÿ”ต 34% implied ESPN +195 CZR +192 FD +190 ๐Ÿ”ดArizona Cardinals +180๐Ÿ”ด 36% implied MGM +180 CZR +178 ESPN +175 ๐ŸŸNew England Patriots +280๐ŸŸ 26% implied FD +280 ESPN +270 CZR +260 ๐Ÿ—ฝNew York Giants +225๐Ÿ—ฝ 31% implied FD +225 MGM +220 CZR +215"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1850535736950350230)  2024-10-27T13:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Week [--] power ratings and ATS values are up Its a weird year only a handful of teams I truly have confidence in at the top and a handful that look really rough. Everyone else pretty much falls into a similar range so theres still value on underdogs in these matchups. Nows the time of year I start to worry about bottom teams quitting on their coaches so tread lightly there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1851659022950097263)  2024-10-30T16:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My Favorite Target for Thursday Night Football Player Props ๐Ÿš€ Xavier Hutchinson ๐Ÿ‘‡Heres why ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“Š Per @FantasyPtsData Xavier Hutchinson is running 37% of his routes from the slot. He should "slot" in now as the direct backup to Stefon Diggs. The Jets have two of the best outside cornerbacks in the NFL in DJ Reed and Sauce Gardner so the place to attack them is the middle of the field. I also think the game sets up well for a Jets victory or a competitive enough matchup that the Texans cannot just run all day; they will need to throw to someone. โšก I think the usage is enough to get us there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1852003445697343694)  2024-10-31T15:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS [--] plays - [----] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck with your bets today everyone ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป โš” Sides/Totals โš” 1.0u NO [---] [----] 1.0u MIN [---] [----] 1.0u GB +3.5 [----] 1.0u SEA +2 [----] 1.0u CLE +1.5 [----] 1.0u DAL +3.5 [----] 1.0u NE +3.5 [----] ๐ŸŒŸ Moneyline Dogs ๐ŸŒŸ 0.5u SEA ML +110 0.5u NE ML +145 0.5u DAL ML +150 0.5u GB ML +130 ๐Ÿš€ Upside Player Props ๐Ÿš€ 0.5u Jayden Reed o15.5 Rush Yds +360 0.5u De'Von Achane o124.5 Rush+Rec Yds +215 0.1u De'Von Achane o149.5 Rush+Rec Yds +500 0.5u AJ Brown // Justin Jefferson // Malik Nabers 80+ Rec Yds Parlay +550"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1853095531402133705)  2024-11-03T15:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Week [--] NFL Power Ratings and ATS values are up Let me know where you disagree ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1853827836815044828)  2024-11-05T15:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Early NFL ATS Model Predictions and [--] bets I've already locked in ๐Ÿ”’ ๐ŸŸก Pittsburgh Steelers +3 โšœ New Orleans Saints +3.5 My full card of personal bets will be released once injury reports are finalized on Friday afternoon. #GamblingX #HereWeGo #RaiseHail #Saints #DirtyBirds #nflbets #nflbetting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1854217189483778094)  2024-11-06T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ NFL ATS Model Bets for Sunday ๐Ÿˆ Injury reports are finalized and that means my model lines are also finalized. Im personally putting 1u on each official bet and 0.5u on each lean moving forward. ๐ŸŸข Bet (1u) ๐ŸŸข Pittsburgh Steelers +3 #HereWeGo Indianapolis Colts +4 #ForTheShoe New Orleans Saints +3.5 #Saints San Francisco 49ers [---] #FTTB New York Jets ML [----] #JetUp ๐ŸŸก Lean (0.5u) ๐ŸŸก Carolina Panthers +6.5 #KeepPounding Dallas Cowboys +7.5 #DallasCowboys Houston Texans +3.5 #HTownMade Im still confident with the 49ers at [----] or [---] but would stay away at [----]. I'd get this one in now as my"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1855263234879627535)  2024-11-09T14:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿšจ Exciting Announcement ๐Ÿšจ ๐Ÿค Im thrilled to share my new partnership with @OutlierDotBet its quickly become my go-to app for sports betting research ๐Ÿง  They've taken all the crucial stats I rely on and made them instantly accessible with powerful filters for injury splits matchup data usage volume and more. ๐Ÿ“Š For anyone betting daily this tool is a must-have. I used to spend so much time piecing together data from different sites but Outlier brings everything into one easy view complete with amazing visualizations. Most importantly it saves me timeand time=money in this game. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Ive been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1855289236460896745)  2024-11-09T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@td_nash I may be biased. but he already is ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿ˜Ž"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1855293166158496252)  2024-11-09T16:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿšจ Betting on NFL Sunday ๐Ÿˆ๐Ÿค‘ Ive found SIX player prop parlay legs that I feel very confident about hitting. All research and advanced data powered by @OutlierDotBet the easiest tool for making smarter data-driven bets. Check it out for yourself with a 7-day free trial I am personally putting 1u on each of the following combos 1pm 2-legger Brock Purdy 225+ Pass Yds #FTTB Justin Jefferson 70+ Rec Yds #Skol BUF/IND 2-legger Josh Downs 50+ Rec Yds #ForTheShoe Khalil Shakir 40+ Rec Yds #BillsMafia 4pm 2-legger Trey McBride 40+ Rec Yds #BirdGang Saquon Barkley 80+ Rush Yds #FlyEaglesFly ๐Ÿ“Š Thread"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1855637492625559990)  2024-11-10T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"First week of NFL ATS Model tracking in the books Pretty negligible overall. A few observations from the reads at the end. โšช Record: 5-4 -0.3u โšช โœ… Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 #RuleTheJungle โœ… Carolina Panthers +6.5 #KeepPounding โœ… Pittsburgh Steelers +3 #HereWeGo โœ– Indianapolis Colts +4 #ForTheShoe โœ… New Orleans Saints +3.5 #Saints โœ– San Francisco 49ers [---] #FTTB โœ– New York Jets ML [----] #JetUp โœ– Dallas Cowboys +7.5 #DallasCowboys โœ… Houston Texans +3.5 #HTownMade The first takeaway from watching is that the Jets are cooked. The defense which is supposed to be one of the best in the league looked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1856010943932542985)  2024-11-11T16:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My [--] Favorite Player Props for Monday Night Football ๐Ÿ”‹ Powered by Outlier Data ๐Ÿ“Š These have a combined hit rate of 95% (20/21) over the relevant sample sizes but you can get them for normal juice I think both props get a slight bump up as well if Tyreek Hill does not play and the activation of River Cracraft this afternoon is not a great sign for his availability. [--] Raheem Mostert o7.5 Rush Attempts [--] De'Von Achane o42.5 Receiving Yards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1856087460695937100)  2024-11-11T21:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Week [--] NFL Power Ratings are up ๐Ÿ‘‡ Let me know where you disagree ๐Ÿ‘‡ Bye Bye Shane Waldron ๐Ÿ‘‹ too bad the Bears still have an Eberflus problem. Early look at initial ATS Model spreads coming later today. #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter #Rams #Dolphins #Stafford #TuesdayFeeling #TuesdayVibe #TuesdayFun"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1856359092899487940)  2024-11-12T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐Ÿค–๐Ÿˆ Week [--] NFL ATS Model Picks ๐Ÿˆ๐Ÿค– Good luck if you tail Pick of the Week My Stake: 1.5u Cleveland Browns +1.5 #DawgPound Official Picks My Stake: 1u Chicago Bears +6.5 #DaBears Seattle Seahawks +6.5 #Seahawks Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 #ChiefsKingdom Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 #RuleTheJungle Leans My Stake: 0.5u Washington Commanders +4 #RaiseHail Minnesota Vikings [----] #Skol Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 #RaiderNation Indianapolis Colts +4 #ForTheShoe For Thursday Night Football I was personally able to get the Washington Commanders at +4.5 but most books appear to be at +4 at the time of this post"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1857128377544511828)  2024-11-14T18:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Week [--] NFL Power Ratings and ATS values are up Let me know where you disagree ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few legitimate movers this time to chat about for me: ๐Ÿฆ Detroit Lions ๐Ÿฆ The Lions take the top spot This team has it all but most importantly they are all bought into what Dan Campbell and the coaching staff have built and play to the final whistle. They may theoretically be overvalued in the market but they keep covering going 34-13 (72%) ATS since [----]. ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs ๐Ÿ”ด The Chiefs are more human this year as many close games up to this point have shown. If you can win the turnover battle against"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1858991090394673387)  2024-11-19T21:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"NBA Player Prop Bet of The Day ๐ŸŒŸDonovan Mitchell o4.5 AST FD [----] Research from @OutlierDotBet ๐Ÿ“Š โžก Darius Garland will be OUT tonight. Without Garland Mitchell averages [--] assists clearing this in 9/9 games. But even more importantly in the last [--] he doesn't have a single game with less than [--] potential assists a number that guards tend to convert closer to a 50% rate. [---] seems way too good to be true on this line it really should be closer to [---]. He did play [--] minutes last night in a massive game and there is blowout risk with a [---] spread but we only need [--] here which he should be able"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1859366259839709423)  2024-11-20T22:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Week [--] Power Ratings are up Let me know where you disagree a few thoughts of mine below ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ† There are only four legitimate Super Bowl contenders right now in my eyes. And the Chiefs really only so as we know that Mahomes Reid and Spags know how to win big games but this team is not built to cover big numbers. But someone else may start to get hot which we absolutely saw out of the Packers last year. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Seattle Seahawks ๐Ÿ“ˆ #Seahawks It took some time with new coaching and defensive injuries but this Mike Macdonald defense is playing lights out right now and Ryan Grubbs offense with Geno can"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1864085948138487888)  2024-12-03T23:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Week [--] NFL Preview and Model Picks Thursday Night Football Preview #GoPackGo vs. #OnePride The number is pretty spot on for TNF. Detroit is dealing with a lot of defensive injuries but also getting a few key players back. I am personally taking the under [----] as this is just far too high of a number for a divisional game this late in the season. I also lean to DET [---] [----] but only if you buy down to the [--]. Personally havent bet it yet and am going to try to get a better number on DET live. Also love Amon-Ra St. Brown to go over his receiving yards prop as we are getting a slightly discounted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1864723237009043607)  2024-12-05T17:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Week [--] Power Ratings are up Not much changed this week with a lot of byes and my convictions on most teams are pretty solidified at this point in the season. A few notes to consider in the thread ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡ [--] Detroit Lions - #OnePride [--] Buffalo Bills - #BillsMafia [--] Philadelphia Eagles - #FlyEaglesFly [--] Kansas City Chiefs - #ChiefsKingdom [--] Green Bay Packers - #GoPackGo [--] Baltimore Ravens - #RavensFlock [--] Pittsburgh Steelers - #HereWeGo [--] Seattle Seahawks - #Seahawks [--] Minnesota Vikings - #Skol ๐Ÿ”Ÿ Los Angeles Chargers - #BoltUp ๐Ÿ† Kansas City Chiefs ๐Ÿ† This team doesnt care about stats or"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1866956855278489712)  2024-12-11T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Week [--] Preview and Model Picks Thursday Night Football Its a stay away from me. The only side I would touch would be the 49ers who clearly found something last week after an all-in players' meeting. They still have the talent to be a top-flight team and Shanahan has historically had McVays number though not earlier this season. Pass. Carolina Panthers [----] I took this at [---] when I saw it open and the sharp money agrees as theyve pushed it all the way to [----] and even [---] at some places. It's still good at that number. The Panthers are undervalued with Bryce Young playing solid football. Make"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1867323898372534565)  2024-12-12T21:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐ŸŽ‰ Hope everyones [----] is off to a great start ๐Ÿ– Apologies for being inactive over the last few weeksI took a much-needed vacation followed by time with friends and family for the holidays. And since Ive been back Ive been working on some stuff behind the scenes. The last few weeks of NFL betting I mostly always stay away from toosuper volatile. ๐Ÿงต In the thread below just sharing a few goals of mine and for this account along with some surprises Ive got planned for [----] Crazy to think how much Ive learned grown and accomplished since starting this account just last year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1876406038976401700)  2025-01-06T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ LAC @ HOU Betting Preview ๐Ÿˆ Saturday 4:30 PM CBS This just feels like the classic Saturday afternoon Wild Card grossest game of the week. Is there really that much difference between these two teams Both have above-average defenses solid QBs but extremely limited playmaking ability and conservative coaching. This lines up to be a low-scoring tight game. And my model fully agrees making this game a pick em. Theres clear value on the number at +3 and while I personally lean Chargers to win the game due to a slight coaching and QB edge when it comes to betting the NFL you bet the number not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1878162955533001005)  2025-01-11T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ KC vs HOU NFL Betting Preview #ChiefsKingdom #HTownMade Saturday 4:30 PM ESPN ABC A lot of people want to bet against the Chiefs this year but I am not one of them. The Chiefs offense is on an upward trajectory heading into the playoffs. They were averaging [--] yards per play on the year but that has jumped to [--] since Pacheco and Brown returned. Historically theyve averaged [---] yards per play in the playoffs. The defense has had [--] days to rest and is getting back its #2 CB Jaylen Watson which has been the biggest weak spot for them over the second half of the season. The thought of a 15-1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1880253752122442201)  2025-01-17T14:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Dataman422 Back on track Loving all the conference matchups we are getting these days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1880254823616159887)  2025-01-17T14:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ DET vs WAS NFL Betting Preview #OnePride #RaiseHail Saturday [--] PM FOX If you love scoring and fourth-down attempts (who doesnt) then this is the game for you. Coming in with an over/under of [--] this is the highest total weve seen this season. But I wont be taking the over. I have a strict rule on 51+ totals to only look under as just one possession ending without a score can derail an over that large. My model also makes this only [---] showing theoretical value on the Commanders but there will be a lot of volatility in this game so it is just a lean to the +8.5 for me may aim to grab a live"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1880299797858648066)  2025-01-17T17:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"These NFL Player Props saw the biggest adjustments from last weekend to Championship Weekend (via @FDSportsbook) ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ Which adjustment are you fading Or which hot hand wasnt adjusted high enough ๐Ÿ›ก Washington Commanders Props Dyami Brown ๐Ÿ“ˆ +23% [----] โžก [----] Rec Yds Olamide Zaccheaus ๐Ÿ“‰ -36% [----] โžก [----] Rec Yds Jayden Daniels ๐Ÿ“‰ -6% [-----] โžก [-----] Pass Yds ๐Ÿฆ… Philadelphia Eagles Props Jalen Hurts ๐Ÿ“‰ -29% [----] โžก [----] Rush Yds Saquon Barkley ๐Ÿ“ˆ +11% [-----] โžก [-----] Rush Yds Jalen Hurts ๐Ÿ“‰ -6% [-----] โžก [-----] Pass Yds ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs Props Travis Kelce ๐Ÿ“ˆ +31% [----] โžก [----] Rec Yds DeAndre Hopkins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1882116044732440603)  2025-01-22T17:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"NFC Championship Betting Preview Philadelphia Eagles #FlyEaglesFly Washington Commanders #RaiseHail Sunday [--] PM FOX This is one of my longer write-ups but I tried to put a wealth of information inside for each of the 10+ bets Im targeting for this game. ๐ŸŽฏ Washington Commanders +6.5 / ML ๐Ÿ›’ Best Odds: FD [----] MGM +240 FD +235 I think there is a wide range of outcomes for this game. I wouldnt be shocked if the Commanders win outright or if the Eagles get everything to click again and blow them out. The Commanders are playing with house money and have shown theyll go for it on every fourth down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1882901979774480881)  2025-01-24T21:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"AFC Championship Betting Preview Kansas City Chiefs #ChiefsKingdom Buffalo Bills #BillsMafia Sunday 6:30 PM CBS This matchup may very well be the real Super Bowl. Does Josh Allen have what it takes to finally beat Mahomes in the playoffs The whole universe will certainly be rooting for it and betting it but I think this is only buying us more value on the Chiefs. I have six other prop bets I love for both sides as well ๐ŸŽฏ Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline ๐Ÿ›’ Best Odds: DK [----] FD [----] My model makes this a full [---] and there are a lot of trends that also support the home team here. This is now the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1883197231966417132)  2025-01-25T16:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Can't wait to chop it up with @Etoft21 tonight 10PM LIVE make sure to tune in Will be talking AFC & NFC Championship takeaways and looking ahead to the Super Bowl with some early bets we have already locked in Set those reminders the Etoft21sports Show is live tonight 10pm est @PatsPicksAI & I look back at #AFCChampionship & #NFCChampionship plus share some #SuperBowl bets plus @ItsMeGinoB will have his #HorseRacing bet of the day. #sportsbetting #betting #NFL #NFLPicks https://t.co/TZXyhTEt9y Set those reminders the Etoft21sports Show is live tonight 10pm est @PatsPicksAI & I look back at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1884281369557348698)  2025-01-28T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿ€ March Madness Conference ATS Data ๐Ÿ’ฐ Big Ten and Big [--] continue to be great conferences for bettors but have come back down to earth. ๐ŸŠ Great day for the SEC notching [--] wins on Sunday The top tier of that conference is tough. ๐Ÿ‘‹ Say goodbye to the Big East Mountain West and West Coast conferencesBest of the bunch Colorado State played a hell of a tournament but Gonzaga got a tough draw vs. one of the better Houston teams weve seen. ๐Ÿ”ต Dont let Dukes 2-0 ATS record distract you from another poor showing from the ACC overall. Do you think Duke is an ACC outlier ๐Ÿ“ŠNCAAB Tournament W-L๐Ÿ“Š Big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1904243569092853838)  2025-03-24T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐ŸŽฏ Arkansas Moneyline +200 ๐Ÿ— We know they have the better coach Jon Calipari. But are we sure the Razorbacks don't have the more talented roster too Calipari is 8-3 ATS as an underdog in the tournament and you can tell he has these kids playing their best basketball right now. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Arkansas was 16th in the preseason polls while Texas Tech was unranked and there's a reason for that. Arkansas has 8+ four-star recruits on their roster thanks to Calipari's recruiting prowess the transfer portal and SEC NIL money. Plus their leading scorer Adou Thiero who has been out since February is going to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1905363545685971242)  2025-03-27T20:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"โšพ MLB Prop of the Day โšพ โœ… +1.5 units to start the MLB season yesterday with Judge so running it back because I just found a line that has crazy value but I can't even bet it cause of Draftkings predatory limiting practices so hoping some others can take advantage for me. ๐ŸŽฏ Tyler Glasnow to record a win (+175) Recommended Stake: 1u to win 1.75u I was looking at LAD [----] and F5 [----] but the prices are not that great though I will prob just take [----] if this line doesn't open on any books I can actually get down on. The Braves offense is looking rough bolstering a .148 average with just [--] runs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1906749765200626093)  2025-03-31T16:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"โšพ MLB Bet of the Day 4/1 โšพ NY Yankees o3.5 Team Total Runs [----] My Stake: 1.5u On the surface this feels like a square play but the price is just wrong. Theyre giving Corbin Burnes a ton of respect vs a hot lineup with new bats that have had an actual scoreboard impact (31 runs [--] HRs in [--] games) and theyre still on their home stand in one of the leagues most hitter-friendly parks. I think this line should be [----] or more probably closer to [---] +100. Regardless of the hot streak last year the Yankees scored [--] or more runs in 105/162 games (65%) and 54/81 (67%) at home. [----] equates to 57%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1907107851367026738)  2025-04-01T16:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@whitesox Update please ๐Ÿ™"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1907531300287775090)  2025-04-02T20:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Underdog Mike McDaniel first coach fired +500 just looks like a better bet every single day"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1953887122416349626)  2025-08-08T18:32Z [----] followers, 54.3K engagements


"@CodyBrownBets Love this please get the entire public to bet on Sanders and move the odds so we get a better number for Flacco who will be the week [--] starter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1954189855866409002)  2025-08-09T14:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@deadpoolsbbyhnd @Underdog Actually very professional of Sanders the way he handled it. Stop hating on him"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1954206317456879986)  2025-08-09T15:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"๐Ÿšจ New Educational Series ๐Ÿšจ Large NFL Survivor Pool Game Theory I am doing something new this season and going to share my thought process as I develop it live. Hoping its me but if not maybe this can help someone else on here can win a large pool this season. I have entered [--] entries in a large survivor pool [----] entrants with life changing money up for grabs winner takes all. Going to try to maximize my edge in this thing and then hope for some luck. I will be refining my strategy and enhancing it as the season progresses but for this week just trying to share where I am at. My initial"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1964407370412343730)  2025-09-06T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Large NFL Survivor Pool Game Theory ๐Ÿ“ˆ Week [--] ๐Ÿ“ˆ This is where things start to get fun. After 100% week [--] survival (12 DENโœ… [--] JAXโœ… [--] CINโœ…) I have a few enhancements I wanted to incorporate for week 2: [--] Matrix entire schedule [--] Convert sheets logic to Python [--] Enhance weekly scoring algorithm ๐Ÿ”นIntegrate ATS spread model ๐Ÿ”นAdd injury status tracking ๐Ÿ”นAdd risk factor deductions ๐Ÿ”นOptimize for future weeks This resulted in the below rankings. Final decisions to come on Sunday. ๐Ÿงต for more details on how I got here ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿšจ New Educational Series ๐Ÿšจ Large NFL Survivor Pool Game Theory I am doing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1966884895214428459)  2025-09-13T15:21Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements


"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries. Which week do you think is the hardest remaining"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1970979759585665248)  2025-09-24T22:32Z [----] followers, 13K engagements


"NFL Large Survivor Pool Game Theory Week [--] The algorithm is most set at this point. And weekly rankings are below. Have a flight in the AM and will write up my thoughts on each game specifically but spolier alert I'm a sicko GO PATS If you are new and curious how the algo was built look here: https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1969384680194519064 NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries. Which week do you think is the hardest remaining https://t.co/vgvQ8GGGwJ https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1969384680194519064 NFL Survivor ROS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971342575723303133)  2025-09-25T22:34Z [----] followers, 20.1K engagements


"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Top [--] Teams to Target [--] Tennesse Titans [--] Carolina Panthers [--] Cincinnati Bengals Honorable Mentions [--] New Orleans Saints [--] New York Giants [--] Miami Dolphins Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries. Weekly Difficulty Rankings Bottom Row"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1973358394909106544)  2025-10-01T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@csv_enjoyer What an awesome visual Shame on Cincinnati for leaving $0 to pay the big men up front"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1973477511347708381)  2025-10-01T19:57Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements


"NFL Survivor Best Weeks By Team This morning I started mapping out my favorite spot for every team (RED) as well as alternate usable spots (YELLOW) If you want to make it all [--] weeks you need to plan ahead. In case anyone would like to do a similar exercise with my matrix I made a google sheet that you can clone here: A Few Notes: ๐Ÿ”นI left all BAL & BUF yellow. I am saving them for later and each have many strong options. ๐Ÿ”นIt is actaully a great time to use Detroit this week. All other usable weeks are during easy weeks. ๐Ÿ”นThe matrix currently adds no strength to post BYE weeks but these"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1973712505533776283)  2025-10-02T11:31Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements


"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans Saints (T. Shough S. Rattler) [--] Carolina Panthers (w/ A. Dalton) Tier [--] FADES โžก Carolina Panthers (w/ B. Young) โžก Miami Dolphins โžก New York Jets โžก Las Vegas Raiders Tier [--] FADES โžก New York Giants โžก Cinncinnatti Bengals โžก Cleveland Browns Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1983552151793340465)  2025-10-29T15:11Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements


"NFL Survivor Large Pool Game Theory Week [--] Algo Rankings THREE of the bigger scores I have seen all season and rightfully so. But for me this is between only LAR and LAC. Full writeups on each top team coming tomorrow morning. NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans Saints (T. Shough S. Rattler) [--] Carolina Panthers (w/ A. Dalton) Tier [--] FADES โžก Carolina Panthers (w/ B. Young) โžก Miami Dolphins โžก New York Jets โžก Las Vegas Raiders Tier [--] FADES โžก New https://t.co/KoXfw6vt81 NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1984379075457400987)  2025-10-31T21:56Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements


"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Do we see some carnage soon ๐Ÿค” ๐Ÿ”นThis week 2nd hardest ๐Ÿ”นNext week 3rd hardest AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans Saints Tier [--] FADES โžก New York Jets โžก Miami Dolphins โžก Las Vegas Raiders Tier [--] FADES โžก New York Giants โžก Cincinnati Bengals โžก Carolina Panthers โžก Cleveland Browns Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1986162477286162566)  2025-11-05T20:03Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements


"NFL Survivor Large Pool Game Theory Week [--] ALGO Rankings This is a very hard week. 2nd hardest per well me. Most people might be pigeonholed into one team depending on who you have left. Deep diving into each matchup more tonight and tomorrow leaving for a trip so getting everything out Wed & Thurs. ๐ŸŸ  DEN is a very strong play if you have them left. I do in 1/3. Writeup coming tonight. ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”ต CHI & CAR could be useable and should be available to most. I will likely have something on one if not both of these. ๐ŸŸข JAX could be a sneaky pick too with Davis Mills starting. ๐Ÿคฎ ๐Ÿ”ต BUF always a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986182695932862960)  2025-11-05T21:23Z [----] followers, 20.3K engagements


"@betjuggernauts Bro that was so hype Cant believe I still have [--] more shots at this ๐Ÿคž"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2000276395197391265)  2025-12-14T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Is Bill SZN finally happening #RaiseHail @betjuggernauts Bro that was so hype Cant believe I still have [--] more shots at this ๐Ÿคž https://t.co/CyTa4aYAKe @betjuggernauts Bro that was so hype Cant believe I still have [--] more shots at this ๐Ÿคž https://t.co/CyTa4aYAKe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2000277920439263408)  2025-12-14T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐Ÿˆ NFL Playoff Survivor Strategy ๐Ÿˆ 1st Round You want to pick teams that WIN Wild Card weekend then LOSE in the Divisional Round. Below I have compiled the percent chance each team plays each opponent in the Divisional Round based on de-vigged consensus moneylines. Most people don't think two rounds ahead. If you want to give yourself the best chance to win you should. Personally I entered [--] entries to the @splashsports $1M NFL Playoff Survivor Contest which requires TWO WC picks TWO Divisional picks then ONE Conference and Super Bowl pick each. My favorite Wild Card Targets (in ranked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2010049664687432145)  2026-01-10T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"โ›ณ Golf Content Incoming โ›ณ With NFL season nearing an end I'm planning to start focusing my energy on PGA Tour One and Done Leagues as well as a Golf AI model ๐Ÿค– This weekend I started prepping my database [----] tournaments locations purses plus top [--] finisher data from 2021-2025 ๐Ÿ“Š Next up integrating with @DataGolf API Goal is to pull as much historical data as possible and run projections through backtesting in my AI model ecosystem compare my true probability vs available odds and find us all some real and actionable edges ๐Ÿค‘ Initial OAD strategy and picks for the Sony Open coming tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2011135167134421129)  2026-01-13T17:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings My first stab at this but at initial glance it is surfacing some great data ๐Ÿ“Š I have a lot of optimization left to go namely my own model projections which will help me build out a more sophisticated FV scoring system. I want to find some alpha by optimizing for the ideal course and tournaments to save each top player for rather than a simplistic approach of just World Golf Rankings / Skill. Also I will be pulling in more Recent Form data but didn't get to it this week plus it's a new year and not sure how much I want to trust results from Winter [----]. Finally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2011541490166571154)  2026-01-14T20:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"RT @AdamSchefter: Jaguars OC Grant Udinski has informed the Browns that he is removing himself from consideration for their HC position pe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2015795676219601143)  2026-01-26T14:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The American Express OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Patrick Cantlay ($170K - 15th) Pat's Pick [--] Ben Griffin ($81K - 26th) Pat's Pick [--] Si Woo Kim ($322K - 7th) It was always Scottie. but can't justify taking him until one of the top purse events. Also hoping to setup some automation later tonight to get results like this posted every Monday moving forward. Full Algo Rankings for The Farmers coming shortly. PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The American Express (Jan 22) Made significant updates to my backend scoring algorithm this week. Here's what's changed ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form The algo now factors in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/2016595729750302952)  2026-01-28T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@PatsPicksAI Avatar @PatsPicksAI Pat

Pat posts on X about nfl, sunday, football, new orleans the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [---] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] +135%
  • [--] Month [------] +4,567%
  • [--] Months [-------] +1,923%
  • [--] Year [-------] -9.40%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Week [--] +55%
  • [--] Month [--] +375%
  • [--] Months [---] +788%
  • [--] Year [---] -34%

Followers: [-----] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-----] +3.60%
  • [--] Month [-----] +12%
  • [--] Months [-----] +64%
  • [--] Year [-----] +67%

CreatorRank: [---------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence nfl 32.35% pga golfers #653 stocks 9.8% finance 4.9% technology brands 1.96% social networks 0.98% countries 0.98% travel destinations 0.98%

Social topic influence nfl 45.1%, sunday 13.73%, football 10.78%, new orleans 10.78%, new orleans saints 10.78%, new york 9.8%, algo 8.82%, injuries 8.82%, if you 8.82%, woo #498

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @fantasyptsdata @outlierdotbet @kevinrothwx @dataman422s @dataman422 @underdog @betjuggernauts @therealmccoy84 @actionnetworkhq @parsaryan @tdnash @fdsportsbook @etoft21 @itsmeginob @whitesox @codybrownbets @deadpoolsbbyhnd @csvenjoyer @splashsports @datagolf

Top assets mentioned Waste Management, Inc. (WM)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"PGA OAD Ownership Projections AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am [--] Justin Rose - 11.1% [--] Russell Henley - 8.1% (14% picked) [--] Viktor Hovland - 7.4% [--] Si Woo Kim - 6.4% (38% picked) [--] Ryan Gerard - 6.2% [--] Rory McIlroy - 5.9% [--] Scottie Scheffler - 5.6% [--] Jason Day - 5.3% (20% picked) [--] Jake Knapp - 5.2% (9% picked) ๐Ÿ”Ÿ Chris Gotterup - 5.2% (10% picked) Finally got this where I want it now outputting actual percentage values. Included some of my optimization metrics as well backtested vs. actual ownership over the last [--] tournaments. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021669552501981370"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:35Z [----] followers, 10.2K engagements

"Well while Justin Rose absolutely ran away with the tournament At least my recap automation ran successfully and even pulled in my original tweet to quote it. Onto Waste Management week ๐Ÿป Farmers Insurance Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Hideki Matsuyama ($193K - 15th) Farmers Insurance Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Hideki Matsuyama ($193K - 15th)"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TheRealMcCoy_84 TY sir excited to see where these numbers shake out. The wind is making me want to just eat the chalk and take Hideki / Mav"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"โ›ณ Waste Management 1ST ROUND BETS Young +2500 +550 +320 Matsuyama +2800 +650 +330 McNealy +3000 +750 + [---] Si Woo +3000 +700 + [---] Mitchell +4000 +1000 +500 Hall +4500 +1100 +500 Odds = Winner Top [--] Top [--] There is a real edge on all of these the books are simply not pricing in the wind for early tee times. Surfacing this again so hopefully folks see it I think we have a great shot at hitting [--] or [--] or these. 0.1u 0.25u 0.5u for me go smaller Something very notable for the first round as well is the weather forecast โ›ณ๐Ÿ’จ @KevinRothWx does it better than anyone and he is seeing notable winds"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 12) Sorry it took me until Wed evening to get this out. But I had to make some significant changes this week and I think they'll be very helpful moving forward. Still not a perfect science but we are moving closer to the goal every single week. I swear there will be less tweaking and more automated & earlier scoring shortly. [--] Rebuilt the Entire Scoring Algo The old multiplicative formula had a Scottie Scheffler problem. It was letting win probability dominate too much and Scottie's odds at every single tournament are"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Just a parlay from me tonight but I love all [--] of these spots straight as well. NYJ +1.5 Dalton Kincaid 4+ Receptions Josh Allen 1+ Interceptions Breece Hall 25+ Receiving Yards #GamblingTwitter #GamblingX #MondayNightFootball #BUFvsNYJ"
X Link 2024-10-14T22:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The American Express (Jan 22) Made significant updates to my backend scoring algorithm this week. Here's what's changed ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form The algo now factors in current play: - Cut rate over last [--] events - Average finish over last [--] - Hot streak bonus for consecutive cuts - Trending up or down vs. prior events ๐Ÿ† Tournament History Rewarding strong course history: - Past winners get the biggest boost - Top [--] finishes get a solid bump - Top [--] finishes get a smaller bonus - Recent results weighted more than older ones ๐ŸŒŽ OWGR Added Official World Golf"
X Link 2026-01-21T19:50Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements

"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 29) ๐Ÿ“A Few Notes to Start - Torrey Pines hosted the [----] Genesis (due to wildfires) - Torrey Pines also hosted the [----] US Open - Ludvig Aberg withdrew last week due to illness (not worth the risk this week imo) โš™ Algo Adjustments this week - I implemented the ability to add manual tournament results via config override and used this feature to override to Torrey Pines tournaments instead of Farmers only this week - I extended to show L7 for Torrey Pines data to make sure we capture the changes from #1 - I changed the cutoff of"
X Link 2026-01-28T22:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Farmers Insurance Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Jason Day ($42K - 42th) Pat's Pick [--] Hideki Matsuyama ($193K - 15th) PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 29) ๐Ÿ“A Few Notes to Start - Torrey Pines hosted the [----] Genesis (due to wildfires) - Torrey Pines also hosted the [----] US Open - Ludvig Aberg withdrew last week due to illness (not worth the risk this week imo) https://t.co/lABzjXkJCO PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 29) ๐Ÿ“A Few Notes to Start - Torrey Pines hosted the [----] Genesis (due to"
X Link 2026-02-02T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped uncover several shortcomings in my ALGO SCORE formula. I made significant changes this week to fully revamp the scoring system in preparation for the FIRST SIGNATURE EVENT next week ($20M purse). [--] Added Venue History Decay - Recent performance matters most - The last [--] years now account for 85% of the Form (WM) column with [----] weighted stronger than [----] etc. ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ’ก Jason Day popped in last week's algo because of two 1sts [--] years ago. But he's a"
X Link 2026-02-04T23:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned guys and save studs for flexibility in the $20M purse events. Pats Picks (3 entries) ๐ŸŽฏ Sahith Theegala x2 ๐ŸŽฏ Jordan Speith PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped uncover several shortcomings in my ALGO SCORE formula. I"
X Link 2026-02-05T11:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Something very notable for the first round as well is the weather forecast โ›ณ๐Ÿ’จ @KevinRothWx does it better than anyone and he is seeing notable winds for morning tee times: This gives a round [--] advantage to the likes of: Maverick McNealy (#3 OAD Rank) 3:06 PM Si Woo Kim (#2) 2:55 PM Rickie Fowler (#22) 2:55 PM Harry Hall (#16) 2:44 PM Cameron Young (#4) 2:44 PM Brooks Koepka (#27) 2:44 PM Xander Schauffele (#14) 2:44 PM Hideki Matsuyama (#1) 2:33 PM Keith Mitchell (#13) 2:22 PM Do with this infoirmation what you want. Personally I may last minute switch one of my two Sahith entries but imo"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Officially changing [--] Sahith entry to Maverick I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Well My OAD Projections are on the right track Picks are in ๐Ÿ‘‡ Nailed the top [--] [--] Maverick McNealy 15% (Proj 1st) [--] Si Woo Kim 15% (Proj 4th) [--] Cameron Young 8% (Proj 3rd) [--] Hideki Matsuyama 8% (Proj 2nd) [--] Sahith Theegala 7% (Proj 10th) I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be ready for next week. I expect the WM top [--] to look something like this: [--] Maverick McNealy [--] Hideki Matsuyama [--] Cameron Young [--] Si Woo Kim [--] Sam Burns I want to target lesser owned I didn't get the ownership projections exactly where I want them but it's close. Will be"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"WM Phoenix Open OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Maverick McNealy ($188K - 15th) Pat's Pick [--] Sahith Theegala ($123K - 23rd) Pat's Pick [--] Jordan Spieth ($0 - MC) PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped uncover several shortcomings in my ALGO SCORE formula. I made significant changes this week to fully revamp the scoring system https://t.co/MSTOzLCqh7 PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ Waste Management Phoenix Open (Feb 5) I now have [--] weeks of data to compare against OAD results which has helped"
X Link 2026-02-09T17:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"โ›ณ OAD Ownership Projections Recap Week [--] of this also went well 4/4 top [--] which is most important. Apparently nobody gives two fucks about Ryan Gerard though. Noted. My Top [--] vs Actual ๐ŸŸข Rose: 11% (1) 14% (2) ๐ŸŸข Henley: 8% (2) 18% (1) ๐ŸŸข Hovland: 7% (3) 8% (3) ๐ŸŸข Kim: 6% (4) 7% (4) ๐Ÿ”ด Gerard: 6% (5) 1% (20) ๐ŸŸก McIlroy: 6% (6) 2% (13) ๐ŸŸข Scheffler: 6% (7) 4% (8) ๐ŸŸข Day: 5% (8) 6% (5) ๐ŸŸก Knapp: 5% (9) 2% (14) ๐ŸŸก Gotterup: 5% (10) 2% (15) Also in Actual Top [--] ๐ŸŸข Fitzpatrick: 5% (11) 5% (6) ๐ŸŸข McNealy: 3% (15) 5% (7) ๐ŸŸข Cantlay: 3% (13) 4% (9) ๐ŸŸก Lowry: 2% (20+) 3% (10) Hit Rates ๐ŸŸฉ Top 5: 4/5"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Week [--] NFL Power Rankings Who are you higher or lower on Let me know in the comments ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few teams worth mentioning for me: ๐ŸŸข New York Jets ๐ŸŸข Last week we saw the team I expected going into the year. Rodgers looks healthy and in full control of this offense. As long as he is scanning the defense and calling the plays I have a ton of confidence in them. The defense has regressed slightly but if the offense keeps clicking they are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. ๐ŸŸฃ Minnesota Vikings ๐ŸŸฃ Of all the surprise teams to start the year I am most confident the Vikings are here to stay."
X Link 2024-09-25T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ Thursday Night Football Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants ๐Ÿ“ Here are a handful of my favorite betting angles. Dallas loves to beat up on bad teams and fall flat on their face against contenders. Spoiler alert: the Giants are a "bad team." Since [----] the Cowboys are 28-14 ATS as favorites (67%) and 13-2 (87%) as favorites vs the NFC East This line is too short mostly a reaction to what happened last week with both teams. I hate taking favorites ATS in the NFL but even the sharp money seems to agree this is the right side. If you want to back Dallas lay the points as long as its"
X Link 2024-09-26T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS [--] plays - [----] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck on your bets today everyone๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ Player Props ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ 2.0u Michael Wilson o44.5 REC YDS [----] 1.5u Diontae Johnson o5.5 REC +115 1.5u George Pickens o50.5 REC YDS [----] 1.5u Demario Douglas o36.5 R+R YDS [----] 1.5u Jalen Nailor o16.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Breece Hall o27.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Caleb Williams o220.5 PASS YDS [----] 1.0u Brian Thomas Jr o43.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Jakobi Meyers o43.5 REC YDS [----] 0.5u Marvin Harrison Jr TD +100 โš” Sides/Totals โš” 2.0u ATL [----] [----] 1.0u PHI Team Total u21.5"
X Link 2024-09-29T15:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ Week [--] NFL Power Ratings ๐Ÿˆ Who are you higher or lower on Let me know in the comments ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few teams worth mentioning for me: San Francisco 49ers ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs The 49ers are getting healthier and Purdy continues to play phenomenal football. The coaching is exceptional as well. Nick Sorensen has the defense playing improved over last year and Shanahan is unquestionably top [--] alongside Andy Reid. I have to slightly downgrade the Chiefs with the Rashee Rice injury as it's turning into a cluster problem at the skill positions for them. Mahomes with a strong defense will still find"
X Link 2024-10-01T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Thursday Night Football BEST BET ๐Ÿ”ด Bucs at Falcons Under [--] ๐Ÿ”ด My Stake: 1u These gross Thursday spots are my favorite to play the primetime under trend. Players hate playing in them and it gives coaches less time to develop sophisticated offensive game plans. Thursday Night games have hit the under 54% of the time since [----]. But we're 3-0 to the under this season with an average margin of [--] points under the total and an average total of [--] points. Another strong signal is the money distribution. 80% of bets are on the over but only 73% of the money. Even more telling the total opened at"
X Link 2024-10-03T13:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Which is your favorite ๐Ÿš€upside๐Ÿš€ wide receiver play for week [--] Whoever win's I will submit as my 3rd Official Pick to @Dataman422's #TheBestOnX Tournament Tutu Atwell 100+ 6/1 Dontayvion Wicks 100+ 5/1 Amari Cooper 100+ 6/1 Brian Thomas Jr 100+ 5/1 Tutu Atwell 100+ 6/1 Dontayvion Wicks 100+ 5/1 Amari Cooper 100+ 6/1 Brian Thomas Jr 100+ 5/1"
X Link 2024-10-05T01:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿชœ LADDER BET ๐Ÿชœ Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos The Broncos have been playing like a top [--] defense and both teams are playing as bottom [--] offenses. My initial leans were to the under and the Broncos moneyline but all the way out at [---] I dont love it. This alternate angle though I think gives even more value and upside ๐Ÿš€ The Broncos should win this one with a strong defensive effort at home. Its the most logical outcome of the game. They are not built to blow anyone outneither team is. This is going to be a field goal game and whoever wins is more than likely to stay within [--]. Im too"
X Link 2024-10-05T16:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿš€ Upside Play of the Day ๐Ÿš€ Dontayvion Wicks 100+ REC YDS is the winner Who's riding with My stake: 0.5u An absolute smash spot for a guy who always has elite success metrics but doesn't draw heavy targets because of all the weapons. But with Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson OUT there is so much upside here. He drew [--] targets in just [--] quarters last week after Watson went down. Which is your favorite ๐Ÿš€upside๐Ÿš€ wide receiver play for week [--] Whoever win's I will submit as my 3rd Official Pick to @Dataman422's #TheBestOnX Tournament Which is your favorite ๐Ÿš€upside๐Ÿš€ wide receiver play for"
X Link 2024-10-06T14:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"How fast does Jayden Daniels think Zach Ertz is ๐Ÿ˜‚"
X Link 2024-10-06T17:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Best Bet for Sunday Night Football: Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline My stake: 1.5u ๐Ÿ‘‡ Heres why ๐Ÿ‘‡"
X Link 2024-10-06T18:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Monday Night Football Best Bets ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs โšœ New Orleans Saints ๐Ÿ“… Mon 8:15pm EST Travis Kelce o56.5 REC YDS My Stake: 1.5u It cannot be understated how important the Rashee Rice injury is for this line. Rice was averaging [--] catches for [--] yards and in Week [--] without him Kelces target share jumped from 12% to 31% with his yards per route run tripling from [----] to [----]. Approximating [--] routes would imply around [--] yards. Rice had a first read percentage of 41% second only to Cooper Kupp. Without Rice Kelces first read share jumped from 15% to 46% in Week [--]. The reason Kelce wasnt"
X Link 2024-10-07T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ NFL 1st Quarter Betting Recap (Weeks 1-5) Week 1: -1.23u ๐Ÿ“‰ -1.23u overall Week 2: +0.38u ๐Ÿ“ˆ -0.85u overall Week 3: -0.72u ๐Ÿ“‰ -1.57u overall Week 4: +0.17u ๐Ÿ“ˆ -1.40u overall Week 5: -6.68u ๐Ÿ“‰-8.09u overall Not what I was hoping for but sports betting is volatile and I know Ill get it back by staying disciplined in the long run. Bankroll management and unit sizing are of utmost importance. My current bankroll strategy is betting 1% of my bankroll per 1u with up to [--] units max per play. I only truly evaluate performance monthly. If I go up or down 20% I will rebalance my unit size based on"
X Link 2024-10-08T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ Week [--] NFL Power Ratings ๐Ÿˆ Who are you higher or lower on Let me know below ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few teams worth mentioning for me: ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs ๐Ÿ”ด As long as they have Mahomes Reid and Spags they should be the frontrunner for the Super Bowl. The injuries don't matter. We saw the same thing with the Brady dynastyany skill player off the street they can make work. ๐Ÿฆ… Philadelphia Eagles ๐Ÿฆ… The BYE week got this team healthy and they are still top [--] when they are. ๐Ÿ”ด Atlanta Falcons ๐Ÿ”ด So much hype coming into the season and they are finally starting to click thanks to Kirk Cousins looking mostly"
X Link 2024-10-08T21:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿšจ NFL/NBA AI Model Updates ๐Ÿšจ Hey all With the NBA season approaching and [--] weeks of NFL data now under our belts I'm diving deep into full-on model development and improvement mode ๐Ÿค“๐Ÿ’ป I'll still be very active here but may not have time for as many detailed write-ups ๐Ÿ“ It's always been a core value for me to provide clear reasoning and data behind every pick I share because I believe in equipping everyone to make the most informed betting decisions possible ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿง  I personally don't love just blindly tailing anyone but I'll still be posting all my personal NFL plays even if I don't get the"
X Link 2024-10-09T21:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thursday Night Football Betting Preview ๐Ÿ”ดSan Francisco 49ers๐Ÿ”ด ๐ŸŸขSeattle Seahawks๐ŸŸข ๐Ÿ“… On paper SEA +3.5 at home in a familiar divisional game should be a strong bet but the spot is just so tough for them. The NFL scheduling really screwed them with a third game in just [--] days. ๐Ÿค• And after seeing them look completely tired on short rest vs. the Giants and pick up a few more injuries I'd have a hard time backing them. ๐Ÿ›‘ The 49ers meanwhile are coming off a bad loss but yet another one they easily could have won. Poor execution in the red zone has this team coming up short and being"
X Link 2024-10-10T20:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Sharing My NFL AI Model Data as I Build It ๐Ÿ“Š Day 1: Hit Rates ๐Ÿ“Š Zach Charbonnet o13.5 REC YDS (-121) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 5/5 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] 55% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +45% difference Jauan Jennings o59.5 REC YDS (+400) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 3/5 60% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +400 20% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +40% difference Kenneth Walker o34.5 REC YDS (+250) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 2/3 67% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +250 29% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +38% difference Jauan Jennings o34.5 REC YDS (+130) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 4/5 80% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +130 43% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +37% difference Zach Charbonnet o2.5 REC (+120) ๐Ÿ“Š Hit Rate 4/5 80% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +120 45% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +35% difference DK Metcalf o99.5 REC YDS (+300) ๐Ÿ“Š"
X Link 2024-10-10T20:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"My [--] Favorite Player Prop Bets for NFL Sunday โšœ Chris Olave Overs โšœ My Stake: 1.5u o4.5 REC +110 1u o48.5 REC Yards 0.5u o5.5 REC +185 This is a bit of a narrative play but its also a bet on one of the most talented wide receivers in the NFL facing a secondary thats been exploited all season. Olave is still top [--] in the NFL in average separation score per @FantasyPtsData ASS ๐Ÿ‘ Last week there was drama with his brother publicly upset about his usage. More importantly Spencer Rattler said I make it a key point that when hes in get him the ball. Before last weeks dud against a tough CB"
X Link 2024-10-11T20:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ [--] NFL ATS Bets I Already Made ๐Ÿˆ I get the majority of my bets in early throughout the week so that I can get the best of the lines. Make sure you are following me on the Action App for immediate notification if you want to get the best of the lines with me @ActionNetworkHQ username: pat_roberts Still would happily still take these all at the current number. 2u DET [----] [----] (good through -3) 2u CIN [---] [----] (good through -4) 2u NE +7 [----] (good through +6.5) sneaky play to get a better line is take +7.5 parlay with the under here 1.5u GB [---] [----] (good through -5.5) 1u WAS +7 [----] (good"
X Link 2024-10-11T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Sharing My NFL AI Model Data as I Build It ๐Ÿ“Š Day 2: Hit Rates [--] straight ๐Ÿ“Š This NFL Sunday there are [--] players with a 5/5 100% hit rate on their receiving yards or receptions line ๐Ÿ‘‡ Pat Freiermuth over [---] REC ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 66% implied Alvin Kamara over [----] REC YDS ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 67% implied Chris Godwin over [----] REC YDS ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [---] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 68% implied Brian Thomas over [----] REC YDS ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [---] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 71% implied Chris Godwin over [---] REC ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] โžก 100% ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] โžก 71% implied Ceedee Lamb"
X Link 2024-10-12T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS ๐Ÿˆ [--] plays - [--] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck with your bets today everyone ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป โš” Sides/Totals โš” 2.0u DET [----] [----] 2.0u CIN [---] [----] 2.0u NE +7 [----] 1.5u GB [---] [----] 1.0u WAS +7 [----] ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ Player Props ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ 2.0u JaLynn Polk o22.5 REC Yards [----] 1.5u David Montgomery o56.5 Rush Yards [----] 1.5u Jayden Daniels o224.5 Pass Yards [----] 1.5u Chris Olave o4.5 REC +110 1.0u Chris Olave o48.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u Jalen Tolbert o44.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u C. Lamb 60+ YDS // C. Godwin 5+ REC [----] 1.0u C. Lamb 60+ YDS // P. Freiermuth 3+ REC [----] 0.5u"
X Link 2024-10-13T13:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ NFL WEEK [--] POWER RATINGS ๐Ÿˆ Who are you higher or lower on Not a ton of movement this week which is what I want to see at this stage in the season. I now have a large enough sample size on most teams to feel confident these tiers are mostly accurate. Outside of major injuries dont expect much volatile movement week to weekjust a slow progression. #GamblingX #PowerRankings #NFLWeek7 #GamblingTwitter"
X Link 2024-10-16T16:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Sharing My NFL AI Model Data as I Build It ๐Ÿ“Š Day 3: DEN @ NO Hit Rates ๐Ÿ“Š Been putting in work this week to nail down the architecture for Version [--] of my model ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿ’ป Making it way more scalable so I can add new sports and markets easily but taking my time to build it right ๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿค“ Meanwhile heres some fresh hit rate data these are the spots with the biggest edge for Thursday Night Football: Devaughn Vele o3.5 REC (+130) ๐ŸŽฏ Hit Rate 2/2 100% ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] ๐ŸŽฒ Odds +130 43% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +57% difference Devaughn Vele o30.5 REC YDS (-113) ๐ŸŽฏ Hit Rate 2/2 100% ๐Ÿ“Š [--] [--] ๐ŸŽฒ Odds [----] 53% implied ๐Ÿ“ˆ +47%"
X Link 2024-10-16T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ Thursday Night Football Best Bets ๐Ÿˆ New Orleans #Saints vs. Denver #BroncosCountry The grossest of gross TNF games but if you are a true degenerate like me you are digging deep to find value betting opportunities. I found [--] that I like. [--] Under [----] The Saints offense is ravaged by injuries with both stud WRs OUT 1-2 starting offensive linemen OUT and their starting QB OUT. So we are blessed with a rookie QB vs. rookie QB matchup here. The Broncos play a slow and methodical offense that relies on running the football and short passes; both teams are bottom [--] in early down pass frequency."
X Link 2024-10-17T12:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐ŸŽฏ Jakobi Meyers over [----] Rec Yards ๐ŸŽฏ My Stake: 1.5u 70+ Yards: +240 (0.5u) โœ… Over in 4/5 games this season. โœ… 2/2 without Davante Adams. โœ… 1/1 with Aidan O'Connell. โœ… Had 9+ targets in each of the last [--] games. ๐Ÿค– The Rams are a great matchup to attack outside where Meyers is playing 80% of his snaps. And the Raiders are one of the heaviest passing teams when trailing this season at 77% so the opportunities should be present as 7-point underdogs. #GamblingX #RaiderNation #RamsHouse"
X Link 2024-10-18T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@parsa_ryan Strong Contenders: Lions Ravens Bills Packers Weak Contenders: Bucs Falcons Commanders Pretenders: Bears Steelers"
X Link 2024-10-18T16:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿ’ฐHave about 8-10 bets on the card for the day. ๐Ÿ“Š Plan to get some data and/or writeups out over the next few hours. ๐Ÿถ Loving me a lot of the 1pm dogs today. ๐Ÿ‘‡ Which one is your favorite upset I plan to parlay the two that get the most votes MIA +140 (@ IND) SEA +145 (@ ATL) NYG +145 (vs PHI) HOU +140 (@ GB) MIA +140 (@ IND) SEA +145 (@ ATL) NYG +145 (vs PHI) HOU +140 (@ GB)"
X Link 2024-10-20T13:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"MIA Dolphins +3 (stake 1.5u) MIA +140 (stake: 0.5u) It has been tough sledding without Tua but I have to have faith things will look just a bit better coming out of the bye week. Reports say Tyler Huntley is feeling more comfortable and will be allowed to open up the playbook more. And with Tua due back next week the season is far from over for Miami. For me though this is more just a fade of the Colts. They have one of the worst defenses in the NFL and a highly volatile QB running the show. Call me crazy but I am backing the Colts in games with Joe Flacco and fading them if starting Anthony"
X Link 2024-10-20T14:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS [--] plays - [----] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck with your bets today everyone ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ Player Props ๐Ÿƒโ™‚ 1.5u Garrett Wilson o4.5 REC [----] 1.5u Jakobi Meyers o47.5 REC YDS [----] 1.0u George Kittle over [---] Receptions [----] 1.0u Malik Nabers Longest Rec o22.5 [----] 1.0u Tyreek Hill o54.5 Rec Yds [----] โš” Sides/Totals โš” 1.5u MIA +3 [----] 1.0u HOU ML +140 1.0u CLE 1Q ML +142 1.0u NYJ ML [----] 1.0u PHI/NYG u43.5 [----] 0.5u MIA ML +140 ๐Ÿš€ Upside Plays ๐Ÿš€ 0.5u Garrett Wilson 6+ REC +175 0.5u SEA ML // HOU ML +490 0.5u Jakobi Meyers 70+ REC YDS +240"
X Link 2024-10-20T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The Commanders finally crack the top [--] Ive updated the graphic format to include my value for each teams adjusted spread against a league average opponent on a neutral field. This is a solid starting point for handicapping sides but remember there are always tons of variables at play: home field bye weeks matchups injuries etc. For instance this week without Jayden Daniels Id make a 4pt ATS adjustment for Marcus Mariota. All of these factors and more will be considered in my eventual ATS model once the system is set up to scale in that market"
X Link 2024-10-22T22:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Broncos by a million #BroncosCountry #LetsRide Panthers QB Bryce Young will start Sunday vs. the Broncos. Panthers QB Bryce Young will start Sunday vs. the Broncos"
X Link 2024-10-23T19:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thursday Night Football Betting Preview Minnesota Vikings #SKOL @ Los Angeles Rams #RamsHouse We finally get what should be an exciting game on Thursday. Don't fall into the Minnesota [----] trap; I know it looks juicy based on how they've played but the Rams are the clear sharp side here. The Vikings are taking 83% of the money yet the line has moved down consistently all week from [---] to [--] and now even crossing to the [---] mark. I don't love taking the Rams unless I get [---] or more but I do think teasing the Rams at home with a healthy Cooper Kupp is a great angle to attack. The problem is"
X Link 2024-10-24T15:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ NFL Week [--] Best UNDERDOG Bets ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿถ For this week's entry to #TheBestOnX @Dataman422 handicapping tournament I am taking a shot at [--] underdogs that have a ton of value on the outright win price today. Ranked in order of my favorites: ๐ŸŸคCleveland Browns +350๐ŸŸค 22% implied MGM +350 ESPN +340 CZR +335 ๐Ÿ”ตIndianapolis Colts +195๐Ÿ”ต 34% implied ESPN +195 CZR +192 FD +190 ๐Ÿ”ดArizona Cardinals +180๐Ÿ”ด 36% implied MGM +180 CZR +178 ESPN +175 ๐ŸŸNew England Patriots +280๐ŸŸ 26% implied FD +280 ESPN +270 CZR +260 ๐Ÿ—ฝNew York Giants +225๐Ÿ—ฝ 31% implied FD +225 MGM +220 CZR +215"
X Link 2024-10-27T13:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Week [--] power ratings and ATS values are up Its a weird year only a handful of teams I truly have confidence in at the top and a handful that look really rough. Everyone else pretty much falls into a similar range so theres still value on underdogs in these matchups. Nows the time of year I start to worry about bottom teams quitting on their coaches so tread lightly there"
X Link 2024-10-30T16:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"My Favorite Target for Thursday Night Football Player Props ๐Ÿš€ Xavier Hutchinson ๐Ÿ‘‡Heres why ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“Š Per @FantasyPtsData Xavier Hutchinson is running 37% of his routes from the slot. He should "slot" in now as the direct backup to Stefon Diggs. The Jets have two of the best outside cornerbacks in the NFL in DJ Reed and Sauce Gardner so the place to attack them is the middle of the field. I also think the game sets up well for a Jets victory or a competitive enough matchup that the Texans cannot just run all day; they will need to throw to someone. โšก I think the usage is enough to get us there"
X Link 2024-10-31T15:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"NFL SUNDAY BEST BETS [--] plays - [----] units (1u = 1% of bankroll) 100% Free Picks @PatsPicksAI Good luck with your bets today everyone ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿป โš” Sides/Totals โš” 1.0u NO [---] [----] 1.0u MIN [---] [----] 1.0u GB +3.5 [----] 1.0u SEA +2 [----] 1.0u CLE +1.5 [----] 1.0u DAL +3.5 [----] 1.0u NE +3.5 [----] ๐ŸŒŸ Moneyline Dogs ๐ŸŒŸ 0.5u SEA ML +110 0.5u NE ML +145 0.5u DAL ML +150 0.5u GB ML +130 ๐Ÿš€ Upside Player Props ๐Ÿš€ 0.5u Jayden Reed o15.5 Rush Yds +360 0.5u De'Von Achane o124.5 Rush+Rec Yds +215 0.1u De'Von Achane o149.5 Rush+Rec Yds +500 0.5u AJ Brown // Justin Jefferson // Malik Nabers 80+ Rec Yds Parlay +550"
X Link 2024-11-03T15:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Week [--] NFL Power Ratings and ATS values are up Let me know where you disagree ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡"
X Link 2024-11-05T15:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Early NFL ATS Model Predictions and [--] bets I've already locked in ๐Ÿ”’ ๐ŸŸก Pittsburgh Steelers +3 โšœ New Orleans Saints +3.5 My full card of personal bets will be released once injury reports are finalized on Friday afternoon. #GamblingX #HereWeGo #RaiseHail #Saints #DirtyBirds #nflbets #nflbetting"
X Link 2024-11-06T17:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ NFL ATS Model Bets for Sunday ๐Ÿˆ Injury reports are finalized and that means my model lines are also finalized. Im personally putting 1u on each official bet and 0.5u on each lean moving forward. ๐ŸŸข Bet (1u) ๐ŸŸข Pittsburgh Steelers +3 #HereWeGo Indianapolis Colts +4 #ForTheShoe New Orleans Saints +3.5 #Saints San Francisco 49ers [---] #FTTB New York Jets ML [----] #JetUp ๐ŸŸก Lean (0.5u) ๐ŸŸก Carolina Panthers +6.5 #KeepPounding Dallas Cowboys +7.5 #DallasCowboys Houston Texans +3.5 #HTownMade Im still confident with the 49ers at [----] or [---] but would stay away at [----]. I'd get this one in now as my"
X Link 2024-11-09T14:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿšจ Exciting Announcement ๐Ÿšจ ๐Ÿค Im thrilled to share my new partnership with @OutlierDotBet its quickly become my go-to app for sports betting research ๐Ÿง  They've taken all the crucial stats I rely on and made them instantly accessible with powerful filters for injury splits matchup data usage volume and more. ๐Ÿ“Š For anyone betting daily this tool is a must-have. I used to spend so much time piecing together data from different sites but Outlier brings everything into one easy view complete with amazing visualizations. Most importantly it saves me timeand time=money in this game. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Ive been"
X Link 2024-11-09T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@td_nash I may be biased. but he already is ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿ˜Ž"
X Link 2024-11-09T16:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿšจ Betting on NFL Sunday ๐Ÿˆ๐Ÿค‘ Ive found SIX player prop parlay legs that I feel very confident about hitting. All research and advanced data powered by @OutlierDotBet the easiest tool for making smarter data-driven bets. Check it out for yourself with a 7-day free trial I am personally putting 1u on each of the following combos 1pm 2-legger Brock Purdy 225+ Pass Yds #FTTB Justin Jefferson 70+ Rec Yds #Skol BUF/IND 2-legger Josh Downs 50+ Rec Yds #ForTheShoe Khalil Shakir 40+ Rec Yds #BillsMafia 4pm 2-legger Trey McBride 40+ Rec Yds #BirdGang Saquon Barkley 80+ Rush Yds #FlyEaglesFly ๐Ÿ“Š Thread"
X Link 2024-11-10T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"First week of NFL ATS Model tracking in the books Pretty negligible overall. A few observations from the reads at the end. โšช Record: 5-4 -0.3u โšช โœ… Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 #RuleTheJungle โœ… Carolina Panthers +6.5 #KeepPounding โœ… Pittsburgh Steelers +3 #HereWeGo โœ– Indianapolis Colts +4 #ForTheShoe โœ… New Orleans Saints +3.5 #Saints โœ– San Francisco 49ers [---] #FTTB โœ– New York Jets ML [----] #JetUp โœ– Dallas Cowboys +7.5 #DallasCowboys โœ… Houston Texans +3.5 #HTownMade The first takeaway from watching is that the Jets are cooked. The defense which is supposed to be one of the best in the league looked"
X Link 2024-11-11T16:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"My [--] Favorite Player Props for Monday Night Football ๐Ÿ”‹ Powered by Outlier Data ๐Ÿ“Š These have a combined hit rate of 95% (20/21) over the relevant sample sizes but you can get them for normal juice I think both props get a slight bump up as well if Tyreek Hill does not play and the activation of River Cracraft this afternoon is not a great sign for his availability. [--] Raheem Mostert o7.5 Rush Attempts [--] De'Von Achane o42.5 Receiving Yards"
X Link 2024-11-11T21:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Week [--] NFL Power Ratings are up ๐Ÿ‘‡ Let me know where you disagree ๐Ÿ‘‡ Bye Bye Shane Waldron ๐Ÿ‘‹ too bad the Bears still have an Eberflus problem. Early look at initial ATS Model spreads coming later today. #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter #Rams #Dolphins #Stafford #TuesdayFeeling #TuesdayVibe #TuesdayFun"
X Link 2024-11-12T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐Ÿค–๐Ÿˆ Week [--] NFL ATS Model Picks ๐Ÿˆ๐Ÿค– Good luck if you tail Pick of the Week My Stake: 1.5u Cleveland Browns +1.5 #DawgPound Official Picks My Stake: 1u Chicago Bears +6.5 #DaBears Seattle Seahawks +6.5 #Seahawks Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 #ChiefsKingdom Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 #RuleTheJungle Leans My Stake: 0.5u Washington Commanders +4 #RaiseHail Minnesota Vikings [----] #Skol Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 #RaiderNation Indianapolis Colts +4 #ForTheShoe For Thursday Night Football I was personally able to get the Washington Commanders at +4.5 but most books appear to be at +4 at the time of this post"
X Link 2024-11-14T18:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Week [--] NFL Power Ratings and ATS values are up Let me know where you disagree ๐Ÿ‘‡ A few legitimate movers this time to chat about for me: ๐Ÿฆ Detroit Lions ๐Ÿฆ The Lions take the top spot This team has it all but most importantly they are all bought into what Dan Campbell and the coaching staff have built and play to the final whistle. They may theoretically be overvalued in the market but they keep covering going 34-13 (72%) ATS since [----]. ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs ๐Ÿ”ด The Chiefs are more human this year as many close games up to this point have shown. If you can win the turnover battle against"
X Link 2024-11-19T21:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"NBA Player Prop Bet of The Day ๐ŸŒŸDonovan Mitchell o4.5 AST FD [----] Research from @OutlierDotBet ๐Ÿ“Š โžก Darius Garland will be OUT tonight. Without Garland Mitchell averages [--] assists clearing this in 9/9 games. But even more importantly in the last [--] he doesn't have a single game with less than [--] potential assists a number that guards tend to convert closer to a 50% rate. [---] seems way too good to be true on this line it really should be closer to [---]. He did play [--] minutes last night in a massive game and there is blowout risk with a [---] spread but we only need [--] here which he should be able"
X Link 2024-11-20T22:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Week [--] Power Ratings are up Let me know where you disagree a few thoughts of mine below ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ† There are only four legitimate Super Bowl contenders right now in my eyes. And the Chiefs really only so as we know that Mahomes Reid and Spags know how to win big games but this team is not built to cover big numbers. But someone else may start to get hot which we absolutely saw out of the Packers last year. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Seattle Seahawks ๐Ÿ“ˆ #Seahawks It took some time with new coaching and defensive injuries but this Mike Macdonald defense is playing lights out right now and Ryan Grubbs offense with Geno can"
X Link 2024-12-03T23:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Week [--] NFL Preview and Model Picks Thursday Night Football Preview #GoPackGo vs. #OnePride The number is pretty spot on for TNF. Detroit is dealing with a lot of defensive injuries but also getting a few key players back. I am personally taking the under [----] as this is just far too high of a number for a divisional game this late in the season. I also lean to DET [---] [----] but only if you buy down to the [--]. Personally havent bet it yet and am going to try to get a better number on DET live. Also love Amon-Ra St. Brown to go over his receiving yards prop as we are getting a slightly discounted"
X Link 2024-12-05T17:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Week [--] Power Ratings are up Not much changed this week with a lot of byes and my convictions on most teams are pretty solidified at this point in the season. A few notes to consider in the thread ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡ [--] Detroit Lions - #OnePride [--] Buffalo Bills - #BillsMafia [--] Philadelphia Eagles - #FlyEaglesFly [--] Kansas City Chiefs - #ChiefsKingdom [--] Green Bay Packers - #GoPackGo [--] Baltimore Ravens - #RavensFlock [--] Pittsburgh Steelers - #HereWeGo [--] Seattle Seahawks - #Seahawks [--] Minnesota Vikings - #Skol ๐Ÿ”Ÿ Los Angeles Chargers - #BoltUp ๐Ÿ† Kansas City Chiefs ๐Ÿ† This team doesnt care about stats or"
X Link 2024-12-11T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Week [--] Preview and Model Picks Thursday Night Football Its a stay away from me. The only side I would touch would be the 49ers who clearly found something last week after an all-in players' meeting. They still have the talent to be a top-flight team and Shanahan has historically had McVays number though not earlier this season. Pass. Carolina Panthers [----] I took this at [---] when I saw it open and the sharp money agrees as theyve pushed it all the way to [----] and even [---] at some places. It's still good at that number. The Panthers are undervalued with Bryce Young playing solid football. Make"
X Link 2024-12-12T21:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐ŸŽ‰ Hope everyones [----] is off to a great start ๐Ÿ– Apologies for being inactive over the last few weeksI took a much-needed vacation followed by time with friends and family for the holidays. And since Ive been back Ive been working on some stuff behind the scenes. The last few weeks of NFL betting I mostly always stay away from toosuper volatile. ๐Ÿงต In the thread below just sharing a few goals of mine and for this account along with some surprises Ive got planned for [----] Crazy to think how much Ive learned grown and accomplished since starting this account just last year"
X Link 2025-01-06T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ LAC @ HOU Betting Preview ๐Ÿˆ Saturday 4:30 PM CBS This just feels like the classic Saturday afternoon Wild Card grossest game of the week. Is there really that much difference between these two teams Both have above-average defenses solid QBs but extremely limited playmaking ability and conservative coaching. This lines up to be a low-scoring tight game. And my model fully agrees making this game a pick em. Theres clear value on the number at +3 and while I personally lean Chargers to win the game due to a slight coaching and QB edge when it comes to betting the NFL you bet the number not"
X Link 2025-01-11T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ KC vs HOU NFL Betting Preview #ChiefsKingdom #HTownMade Saturday 4:30 PM ESPN ABC A lot of people want to bet against the Chiefs this year but I am not one of them. The Chiefs offense is on an upward trajectory heading into the playoffs. They were averaging [--] yards per play on the year but that has jumped to [--] since Pacheco and Brown returned. Historically theyve averaged [---] yards per play in the playoffs. The defense has had [--] days to rest and is getting back its #2 CB Jaylen Watson which has been the biggest weak spot for them over the second half of the season. The thought of a 15-1"
X Link 2025-01-17T14:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Dataman422 Back on track Loving all the conference matchups we are getting these days"
X Link 2025-01-17T14:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ DET vs WAS NFL Betting Preview #OnePride #RaiseHail Saturday [--] PM FOX If you love scoring and fourth-down attempts (who doesnt) then this is the game for you. Coming in with an over/under of [--] this is the highest total weve seen this season. But I wont be taking the over. I have a strict rule on 51+ totals to only look under as just one possession ending without a score can derail an over that large. My model also makes this only [---] showing theoretical value on the Commanders but there will be a lot of volatility in this game so it is just a lean to the +8.5 for me may aim to grab a live"
X Link 2025-01-17T17:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"These NFL Player Props saw the biggest adjustments from last weekend to Championship Weekend (via @FDSportsbook) ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ Which adjustment are you fading Or which hot hand wasnt adjusted high enough ๐Ÿ›ก Washington Commanders Props Dyami Brown ๐Ÿ“ˆ +23% [----] โžก [----] Rec Yds Olamide Zaccheaus ๐Ÿ“‰ -36% [----] โžก [----] Rec Yds Jayden Daniels ๐Ÿ“‰ -6% [-----] โžก [-----] Pass Yds ๐Ÿฆ… Philadelphia Eagles Props Jalen Hurts ๐Ÿ“‰ -29% [----] โžก [----] Rush Yds Saquon Barkley ๐Ÿ“ˆ +11% [-----] โžก [-----] Rush Yds Jalen Hurts ๐Ÿ“‰ -6% [-----] โžก [-----] Pass Yds ๐Ÿ”ด Kansas City Chiefs Props Travis Kelce ๐Ÿ“ˆ +31% [----] โžก [----] Rec Yds DeAndre Hopkins"
X Link 2025-01-22T17:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"NFC Championship Betting Preview Philadelphia Eagles #FlyEaglesFly Washington Commanders #RaiseHail Sunday [--] PM FOX This is one of my longer write-ups but I tried to put a wealth of information inside for each of the 10+ bets Im targeting for this game. ๐ŸŽฏ Washington Commanders +6.5 / ML ๐Ÿ›’ Best Odds: FD [----] MGM +240 FD +235 I think there is a wide range of outcomes for this game. I wouldnt be shocked if the Commanders win outright or if the Eagles get everything to click again and blow them out. The Commanders are playing with house money and have shown theyll go for it on every fourth down"
X Link 2025-01-24T21:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"AFC Championship Betting Preview Kansas City Chiefs #ChiefsKingdom Buffalo Bills #BillsMafia Sunday 6:30 PM CBS This matchup may very well be the real Super Bowl. Does Josh Allen have what it takes to finally beat Mahomes in the playoffs The whole universe will certainly be rooting for it and betting it but I think this is only buying us more value on the Chiefs. I have six other prop bets I love for both sides as well ๐ŸŽฏ Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline ๐Ÿ›’ Best Odds: DK [----] FD [----] My model makes this a full [---] and there are a lot of trends that also support the home team here. This is now the"
X Link 2025-01-25T16:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Can't wait to chop it up with @Etoft21 tonight 10PM LIVE make sure to tune in Will be talking AFC & NFC Championship takeaways and looking ahead to the Super Bowl with some early bets we have already locked in Set those reminders the Etoft21sports Show is live tonight 10pm est @PatsPicksAI & I look back at #AFCChampionship & #NFCChampionship plus share some #SuperBowl bets plus @ItsMeGinoB will have his #HorseRacing bet of the day. #sportsbetting #betting #NFL #NFLPicks https://t.co/TZXyhTEt9y Set those reminders the Etoft21sports Show is live tonight 10pm est @PatsPicksAI & I look back at"
X Link 2025-01-28T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿ€ March Madness Conference ATS Data ๐Ÿ’ฐ Big Ten and Big [--] continue to be great conferences for bettors but have come back down to earth. ๐ŸŠ Great day for the SEC notching [--] wins on Sunday The top tier of that conference is tough. ๐Ÿ‘‹ Say goodbye to the Big East Mountain West and West Coast conferencesBest of the bunch Colorado State played a hell of a tournament but Gonzaga got a tough draw vs. one of the better Houston teams weve seen. ๐Ÿ”ต Dont let Dukes 2-0 ATS record distract you from another poor showing from the ACC overall. Do you think Duke is an ACC outlier ๐Ÿ“ŠNCAAB Tournament W-L๐Ÿ“Š Big"
X Link 2025-03-24T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐ŸŽฏ Arkansas Moneyline +200 ๐Ÿ— We know they have the better coach Jon Calipari. But are we sure the Razorbacks don't have the more talented roster too Calipari is 8-3 ATS as an underdog in the tournament and you can tell he has these kids playing their best basketball right now. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Arkansas was 16th in the preseason polls while Texas Tech was unranked and there's a reason for that. Arkansas has 8+ four-star recruits on their roster thanks to Calipari's recruiting prowess the transfer portal and SEC NIL money. Plus their leading scorer Adou Thiero who has been out since February is going to"
X Link 2025-03-27T20:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"โšพ MLB Prop of the Day โšพ โœ… +1.5 units to start the MLB season yesterday with Judge so running it back because I just found a line that has crazy value but I can't even bet it cause of Draftkings predatory limiting practices so hoping some others can take advantage for me. ๐ŸŽฏ Tyler Glasnow to record a win (+175) Recommended Stake: 1u to win 1.75u I was looking at LAD [----] and F5 [----] but the prices are not that great though I will prob just take [----] if this line doesn't open on any books I can actually get down on. The Braves offense is looking rough bolstering a .148 average with just [--] runs"
X Link 2025-03-31T16:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"โšพ MLB Bet of the Day 4/1 โšพ NY Yankees o3.5 Team Total Runs [----] My Stake: 1.5u On the surface this feels like a square play but the price is just wrong. Theyre giving Corbin Burnes a ton of respect vs a hot lineup with new bats that have had an actual scoreboard impact (31 runs [--] HRs in [--] games) and theyre still on their home stand in one of the leagues most hitter-friendly parks. I think this line should be [----] or more probably closer to [---] +100. Regardless of the hot streak last year the Yankees scored [--] or more runs in 105/162 games (65%) and 54/81 (67%) at home. [----] equates to 57%"
X Link 2025-04-01T16:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@whitesox Update please ๐Ÿ™"
X Link 2025-04-02T20:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Underdog Mike McDaniel first coach fired +500 just looks like a better bet every single day"
X Link 2025-08-08T18:32Z [----] followers, 54.3K engagements

"@CodyBrownBets Love this please get the entire public to bet on Sanders and move the odds so we get a better number for Flacco who will be the week [--] starter"
X Link 2025-08-09T14:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@deadpoolsbbyhnd @Underdog Actually very professional of Sanders the way he handled it. Stop hating on him"
X Link 2025-08-09T15:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿšจ New Educational Series ๐Ÿšจ Large NFL Survivor Pool Game Theory I am doing something new this season and going to share my thought process as I develop it live. Hoping its me but if not maybe this can help someone else on here can win a large pool this season. I have entered [--] entries in a large survivor pool [----] entrants with life changing money up for grabs winner takes all. Going to try to maximize my edge in this thing and then hope for some luck. I will be refining my strategy and enhancing it as the season progresses but for this week just trying to share where I am at. My initial"
X Link 2025-09-06T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Large NFL Survivor Pool Game Theory ๐Ÿ“ˆ Week [--] ๐Ÿ“ˆ This is where things start to get fun. After 100% week [--] survival (12 DENโœ… [--] JAXโœ… [--] CINโœ…) I have a few enhancements I wanted to incorporate for week 2: [--] Matrix entire schedule [--] Convert sheets logic to Python [--] Enhance weekly scoring algorithm ๐Ÿ”นIntegrate ATS spread model ๐Ÿ”นAdd injury status tracking ๐Ÿ”นAdd risk factor deductions ๐Ÿ”นOptimize for future weeks This resulted in the below rankings. Final decisions to come on Sunday. ๐Ÿงต for more details on how I got here ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿšจ New Educational Series ๐Ÿšจ Large NFL Survivor Pool Game Theory I am doing"
X Link 2025-09-13T15:21Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements

"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries. Which week do you think is the hardest remaining"
X Link 2025-09-24T22:32Z [----] followers, 13K engagements

"NFL Large Survivor Pool Game Theory Week [--] The algorithm is most set at this point. And weekly rankings are below. Have a flight in the AM and will write up my thoughts on each game specifically but spolier alert I'm a sicko GO PATS If you are new and curious how the algo was built look here: https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1969384680194519064 NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries. Which week do you think is the hardest remaining https://t.co/vgvQ8GGGwJ https://x.com/PatsPicksAI/status/1969384680194519064 NFL Survivor ROS"
X Link 2025-09-25T22:34Z [----] followers, 20.1K engagements

"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Top [--] Teams to Target [--] Tennesse Titans [--] Carolina Panthers [--] Cincinnati Bengals Honorable Mentions [--] New Orleans Saints [--] New York Giants [--] Miami Dolphins Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries. Weekly Difficulty Rankings Bottom Row"
X Link 2025-10-01T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@csv_enjoyer What an awesome visual Shame on Cincinnati for leaving $0 to pay the big men up front"
X Link 2025-10-01T19:57Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements

"NFL Survivor Best Weeks By Team This morning I started mapping out my favorite spot for every team (RED) as well as alternate usable spots (YELLOW) If you want to make it all [--] weeks you need to plan ahead. In case anyone would like to do a similar exercise with my matrix I made a google sheet that you can clone here: A Few Notes: ๐Ÿ”นI left all BAL & BUF yellow. I am saving them for later and each have many strong options. ๐Ÿ”นIt is actaully a great time to use Detroit this week. All other usable weeks are during easy weeks. ๐Ÿ”นThe matrix currently adds no strength to post BYE weeks but these"
X Link 2025-10-02T11:31Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements

"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans Saints (T. Shough S. Rattler) [--] Carolina Panthers (w/ A. Dalton) Tier [--] FADES โžก Carolina Panthers (w/ B. Young) โžก Miami Dolphins โžก New York Jets โžก Las Vegas Raiders Tier [--] FADES โžก New York Giants โžก Cinncinnatti Bengals โžก Cleveland Browns Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries"
X Link 2025-10-29T15:11Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements

"NFL Survivor Large Pool Game Theory Week [--] Algo Rankings THREE of the bigger scores I have seen all season and rightfully so. But for me this is between only LAR and LAC. Full writeups on each top team coming tomorrow morning. NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans Saints (T. Shough S. Rattler) [--] Carolina Panthers (w/ A. Dalton) Tier [--] FADES โžก Carolina Panthers (w/ B. Young) โžก Miami Dolphins โžก New York Jets โžก Las Vegas Raiders Tier [--] FADES โžก New https://t.co/KoXfw6vt81 NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans"
X Link 2025-10-31T21:56Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements

"NFL Survivor ROS Optimization Matrix Do we see some carnage soon ๐Ÿค” ๐Ÿ”นThis week 2nd hardest ๐Ÿ”นNext week 3rd hardest AUTO FADES [--] Tennesse Titans [--] New Orleans Saints Tier [--] FADES โžก New York Jets โžก Miami Dolphins โžก Las Vegas Raiders Tier [--] FADES โžก New York Giants โžก Cincinnati Bengals โžก Carolina Panthers โžก Cleveland Browns Numbers based on my model & power ratings adjusted weekly for injuries"
X Link 2025-11-05T20:03Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements

"NFL Survivor Large Pool Game Theory Week [--] ALGO Rankings This is a very hard week. 2nd hardest per well me. Most people might be pigeonholed into one team depending on who you have left. Deep diving into each matchup more tonight and tomorrow leaving for a trip so getting everything out Wed & Thurs. ๐ŸŸ  DEN is a very strong play if you have them left. I do in 1/3. Writeup coming tonight. ๐ŸŸ ๐Ÿ”ต CHI & CAR could be useable and should be available to most. I will likely have something on one if not both of these. ๐ŸŸข JAX could be a sneaky pick too with Davis Mills starting. ๐Ÿคฎ ๐Ÿ”ต BUF always a"
X Link 2025-11-05T21:23Z [----] followers, 20.3K engagements

"@betjuggernauts Bro that was so hype Cant believe I still have [--] more shots at this ๐Ÿคž"
X Link 2025-12-14T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Is Bill SZN finally happening #RaiseHail @betjuggernauts Bro that was so hype Cant believe I still have [--] more shots at this ๐Ÿคž https://t.co/CyTa4aYAKe @betjuggernauts Bro that was so hype Cant believe I still have [--] more shots at this ๐Ÿคž https://t.co/CyTa4aYAKe"
X Link 2025-12-14T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐Ÿˆ NFL Playoff Survivor Strategy ๐Ÿˆ 1st Round You want to pick teams that WIN Wild Card weekend then LOSE in the Divisional Round. Below I have compiled the percent chance each team plays each opponent in the Divisional Round based on de-vigged consensus moneylines. Most people don't think two rounds ahead. If you want to give yourself the best chance to win you should. Personally I entered [--] entries to the @splashsports $1M NFL Playoff Survivor Contest which requires TWO WC picks TWO Divisional picks then ONE Conference and Super Bowl pick each. My favorite Wild Card Targets (in ranked"
X Link 2026-01-10T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"โ›ณ Golf Content Incoming โ›ณ With NFL season nearing an end I'm planning to start focusing my energy on PGA Tour One and Done Leagues as well as a Golf AI model ๐Ÿค– This weekend I started prepping my database [----] tournaments locations purses plus top [--] finisher data from 2021-2025 ๐Ÿ“Š Next up integrating with @DataGolf API Goal is to pull as much historical data as possible and run projections through backtesting in my AI model ecosystem compare my true probability vs available odds and find us all some real and actionable edges ๐Ÿค‘ Initial OAD strategy and picks for the Sony Open coming tomorrow"
X Link 2026-01-13T17:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings My first stab at this but at initial glance it is surfacing some great data ๐Ÿ“Š I have a lot of optimization left to go namely my own model projections which will help me build out a more sophisticated FV scoring system. I want to find some alpha by optimizing for the ideal course and tournaments to save each top player for rather than a simplistic approach of just World Golf Rankings / Skill. Also I will be pulling in more Recent Form data but didn't get to it this week plus it's a new year and not sure how much I want to trust results from Winter [----]. Finally"
X Link 2026-01-14T20:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"RT @AdamSchefter: Jaguars OC Grant Udinski has informed the Browns that he is removing himself from consideration for their HC position pe"
X Link 2026-01-26T14:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The American Express OAD Recap Pat's Pick [--] Patrick Cantlay ($170K - 15th) Pat's Pick [--] Ben Griffin ($81K - 26th) Pat's Pick [--] Si Woo Kim ($322K - 7th) It was always Scottie. but can't justify taking him until one of the top purse events. Also hoping to setup some automation later tonight to get results like this posted every Monday moving forward. Full Algo Rankings for The Farmers coming shortly. PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings โ›ณ The American Express (Jan 22) Made significant updates to my backend scoring algorithm this week. Here's what's changed ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form The algo now factors in"
X Link 2026-01-28T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

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