#  @PIIE Peterson Institute Peterson Institute posts on X about tariffs, inflation, countries, china the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::26579339/interactions)  - [--] Week [-------] +193% - [--] Month [-------] +146% - [--] Months [---------] -14% - [--] Year [---------] -1.70% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::26579339/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +50% - [--] Month [---] +80% - [--] Months [---] +63% - [--] Year [-----] +8.20% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::26579339/followers)  - [--] Week [-------] +0.10% - [--] Month [-------] +0.83% - [--] Months [-------] +2.50% - [--] Year [-------] +7.40% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::26579339/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 66.29% [countries](/list/countries) 20.57% [currencies](/list/currencies) 1.14% [us election](/list/us-election) 1.14% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 0.57% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 0.57% **Social topic influence** [tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #508, [inflation](/topic/inflation) #694, [countries](/topic/countries) #1684, [china](/topic/china) 7.43%, [rates](/topic/rates) 6.86%, [trade](/topic/trade) #2534, [investment](/topic/investment) #3071, [debt](/topic/debt) 5.14%, [fed](/topic/fed) #411, [india](/topic/india) 4.57% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@kclausing](/creator/undefined) [@adamposen](/creator/undefined) [@cafreeland](/creator/undefined) [@malmstromeu](/creator/undefined) [@mclem](/creator/undefined) [@adnanmazarei](/creator/undefined) [@chadbowns](/creator/undefined) [@nicolasverons](/creator/undefined) [@koreaeconinst](/creator/undefined) [@arvindsubraman](/creator/undefined) [@chorzempamartin](/creator/undefined) [@tradetalks](/creator/undefined) [@alejandrowerne7](/creator/undefined) [@richmondfed](/creator/undefined) [@mschularick](/creator/undefined) [@gagnonmacro](/creator/undefined) [@elinaribakova](/creator/undefined) [@wsj](/creator/undefined) [@janzilinsky](/creator/undefined) [@chadbown](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours ".@AdamPosen discusses why he thinks inflation will rise back to 4% and how the lagged effect of tariffs immigration further fiscal easing and declining Fed credibility will combine to cause prices to reaccelerate on the latest Odd Lots. Listen: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-adam-posen-thinks-inflation-will-surge-back-to-4/id1056200096i=1000749568039 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-adam-posen-thinks-inflation-will-surge-back-to-4/id1056200096i=1000749568039" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022311570760478812) 2026-02-13T14:07Z 108.5K followers, 10.7K engagements "Argentinas latest monetary scheme could work especially if backed by bilateral & multilateral financial support & a timely return to financing from global capital markets but it contains new vulnerabilities that make the path to price stability narrow: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022329439841894561) 2026-02-13T15:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Following Mark Carney's Davos speech Alan Wm. Wolff argues that smaller economies can create a new world trade order & that positive change for the world trading system is not confined to a list defined by their shares in world trade: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022358625067336041) 2026-02-13T17:14Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "The WTO members including the middle-sized have agency. They have the capacity to act. They have proven they can initiate agreements and conclude them. The initiative must come from them Alan Wm. Wolff writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022412472167071822) 2026-02-13T20:48Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022724773634060510) 2026-02-14T17:29Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2015881213425205648) 2026-01-26T20:15Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements "FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2016515414428090609) 2026-01-28T14:15Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements "FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2016877792340631594) 2026-01-29T14:15Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2017602552963944807) 2026-01-31T14:15Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements "NEW: Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2018339001527153136) 2026-02-02T15:01Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2018389457599103128) 2026-02-02T18:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2018787077328900328) 2026-02-03T20:42Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019053836552253713) 2026-02-04T14:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019511852477137364) 2026-02-05T20:42Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements "BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019538779933987273) 2026-02-05T22:29Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements "Countries enlisted in Trump's "America First" investment agenda vary in capacity to fulfill pledge amounts. #PIIECharts More: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019787189077397884) 2026-02-06T14:56Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements ""For this government to negotiate serious free-trade agreements with two major trading partners shows a commitment to openness that goes against its deep nationalist instincts" Arvind Subramanian writes about the new India trade deals in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019823909114089802) 2026-02-06T17:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The Trump administrations next moves on tariffs will depend on how the Supreme Court defines the presidents emergency powers to impose tariffs. Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four paths forward and their limitations: https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019836751003402378) 2026-02-06T18:13Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The trade deals with the EU and the US along with other reforms recently implemented hold the potential to transform India into a paragon of openness and a manufacturing powerhouse Arvind Subramanian argues in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019864426120163431) 2026-02-06T20:03Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements "Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019874240166494654) 2026-02-06T20:42Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The Trump administrations trade team has vowed to employ alternative legal tools to keep its tariffs in place if the US Supreme Court invalidates them. But each legal tool is limited in its use and applicability Alan Wm. Wolff writes. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019881791545311515) 2026-02-06T21:12Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "For US allies relying on the US for critical minerals "comes with considerably more risk than it would have in previous decades & the call is coming from inside the house: The US is a growing source of geopolitical risk" Cullen Hendrix argues: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019894373207441781) 2026-02-06T22:02Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four possible tariff statutes that could be invoked if the Supreme Court invalidates President Trumps sweeping reciprocal tariffs by striking down his use of IEEPA but they have major limitations. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020170190185525411) 2026-02-07T16:18Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020579889213067546) 2026-02-08T19:26Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements ""For this government to negotiate serious free-trade agreements with two major trading partners shows a commitment to openness that goes against its deep nationalist instincts" Arvind Subramanian writes about the new India trade deals in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020911073080045795) 2026-02-09T17:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The stark uncertainties about the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) necessitate scenario planning to prepare for the future. If AI reaches and surpasses human levels of intelligence across the board it would transform our economy and society: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020931208054444368) 2026-02-09T18:42Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The Trump administrations next moves on tariffs will depend on how the Supreme Court defines the presidents emergency powers to impose tariffs. Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four paths forward and their limitations: https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020939007815754110) 2026-02-09T19:13Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The trade deals with the EU and the US along with other reforms recently implemented hold the potential to transform India into a paragon of openness and a manufacturing powerhouse Arvind Subramanian argues in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020951590165766391) 2026-02-09T20:03Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020951590169915799) 2026-02-09T20:03Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020988330561716579) 2026-02-09T22:29Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "This PIIE Briefing examines different facets of the COVID-era inflation surge including supply-side disruptions demand dynamics labor markets fiscal & monetary policy interactions & inflation measurement. https://www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/2026/worst-inflation-outbreak-40-years-distilling-lessons-covid-era https://www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/2026/worst-inflation-outbreak-40-years-distilling-lessons-covid-era" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021220866315415963) 2026-02-10T13:53Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Trading partners have pledged to invest over $5 trillion in the US. Timelines are long & some pledges lack transparency & strain credibility. #PIIECharts @AdnanMazarei & Greg Auclair explore "America First" investment pledges: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021231202707837362) 2026-02-10T14:34Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The year has started with doubts about the prospects for US AI labs and cloud computing firms due to rising debt depreciation and circular vendor financing. Revisiting 2025s DeepSeek shock can shine light on the AI booms prospects going forward. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021253585397297362) 2026-02-10T16:03Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four possible tariff statutes that could be invoked if the Supreme Court invalidates President Trumps sweeping reciprocal tariffs by striking down his use of IEEPA but they have major limitations. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021257355342524799) 2026-02-10T16:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Cullen Hendrix argues that the BRICS+ economiesBrazil Russia India China South Africa Egypt Ethiopia Iran the United Arab Emirates and Indonesiaare well positioned to fill the worlds food security gap. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021280003959243204) 2026-02-10T17:48Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Chinas redesign to its e-CNY is an indicator of a convergence with many central banks moving away from more divisive retail CBDCs towards tokenized deposits that can move money with new technology without disrupting banks Martin Chorzempa writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021302658158530919) 2026-02-10T19:18Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021304668438118819) 2026-02-10T19:26Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "@ChadBown's trade war timeline [---] has been updated New updates include the US-India deal the US-Bangladesh deal details on the US-Argentina deal and more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021306083940155881) 2026-02-10T19:31Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021325051610440001) 2026-02-10T20:47Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "For the second time in a row the year has started with doubts about the prospects for US AI labs and cloud computing firms. Martin Chorzempa writes revisiting last years DeepSeek shock can help shine light on the AI booms prospects going forward. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021589293953700009) 2026-02-11T14:17Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Argentinas latest monetary scheme could work especially if backed by bilateral & multilateral financial support & a timely return to financing from global capital markets but it contains new vulnerabilities that make the path to price stability narrow: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021604667264803036) 2026-02-11T15:18Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "China's move to redesign its e-CNY with an added interest payments to holders brings up one of the most contentious current US financial policy debates: whether to allow privately issued digital stablecoins to pay interest Martin Chorzempa explains: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021610432952180829) 2026-02-11T15:41Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021637612587348237) 2026-02-11T17:29Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements "The "America First" investment agreements are aimed at expanding US manufacturing and strengthening supply chain security. By focusing on these sectors the pledges are effectively an industrial policy aligned with Biden-era initiatives: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021678909855535159) 2026-02-11T20:13Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021687438335262740) 2026-02-11T20:47Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "For US allies relying on the US for critical minerals "comes with considerably more risk than it would have in previous decades & the call is coming from inside the house: The US is a growing source of geopolitical risk" Cullen Hendrix argues: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021702790985199684) 2026-02-11T21:48Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Argentina's new setup has a more flexible real exchange rate & a schedule for acquiring foreign exchange reserves. But its weak nominal anchor is a flaw that could prove fatal& perhaps beyond even Mileis escape-artist skills Maurice Obstfeld writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021711345746358755) 2026-02-11T22:22Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "China's move to redesign its e-CNY with an added interest payments to holders brings up one of the most contentious current US financial policy debates: whether to allow privately issued digital stablecoins to pay interest Martin Chorzempa explains: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021972823787397296) 2026-02-12T15:41Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Cullen Hendrix argues that the BRICS+ economiesBrazil Russia India China South Africa Egypt Ethiopia Iran the United Arab Emirates and Indonesiaare well positioned to fill the worlds food security gap. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022004779967230147) 2026-02-12T17:48Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Scenario planning for AI is not about predicting the futureit's about equipping institutions & policymakers with frameworks and tools that help them respond across a range of plausible outcomes new PIIE fellow Anton Korinek & coauthor write: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022022396186693947) 2026-02-12T18:58Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2018327331153093090) 2026-02-02T14:15Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2019492727671456089) 2026-02-05T19:26Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020140997464805805) 2026-02-07T14:22Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020625943006495081) 2026-02-08T22:29Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020870808139133191) 2026-02-09T14:42Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2020941271024472189) 2026-02-09T19:22Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021666048588595587) 2026-02-11T19:22Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021957971769446617) 2026-02-12T14:42Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Following Mark Carney's Davos speech Alan Wm. Wolff argues that smaller economies can create a new world trade order & that positive change for the world trading system is not confined to a list defined by their shares in world trade: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021994226645364876) 2026-02-12T17:06Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Argentinas latest monetary scheme could work especially if backed by bilateral & multilateral financial support & a timely return to financing from global capital markets but it contains new vulnerabilities that make the path to price stability narrow: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2021967057047233010) 2026-02-12T15:18Z 108.5K followers, 46.6K engagements "China's move to redesign its e-CNY with an added interest payments to holders brings up one of the most contentious current US financial policy debates: whether to allow privately issued digital stablecoins to pay interest Martin Chorzempa explains: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022335206271680747) 2026-02-13T15:41Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "The Fed may have good reason to cut interest rates more this year. But if so it is much more likely to be in reaction to bad news such as a deteriorating labor market rather than the good news that an AI productivity boom has arrived Jason Furman says: https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022421526386028841) 2026-02-13T21:24Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022753215255564595) 2026-02-14T19:22Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Chinas redesign to its e-CNY is an indicator of a convergence with many central banks moving away from more divisive retail CBDCs towards tokenized deposits that can move money with new technology without disrupting banks Martin Chorzempa writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022027452080411059) 2026-02-12T19:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements ""The WTO is the only place where the common good on a global scale can be addressed by any member with the ideas and drive to do so" Alan Wm. Wolff argues: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022049830130864488) 2026-02-12T20:47Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "The Fed may have good reason to cut interest rates more this year. But if so it is much more likely to be in reaction to bad news such as a deteriorating labor market rather than the good news that an AI productivity boom has arrived Jason Furman says: https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022059138155450545) 2026-02-12T21:24Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "A better strategy for Argentina now that Milei's domestic political situation is relatively strong would be an inflation-targeting approach which would provide a clear nominal anchor in the form of the inflation target itself Maurice Obstfeld suggests: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022076251058401743) 2026-02-12T22:32Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Trading partners have pledged to invest over $5 trillion in the US. Timelines are long & some pledges lack transparency & strain credibility. #PIIECharts @AdnanMazarei & Greg Auclair explore "America First" investment pledges: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022318366862508520) 2026-02-13T14:34Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements ".@ChadBown's trade war timeline [---] has been updated Featuring details on the US-North Macedonia trade deal and updates about the US-Taiwan trade deal: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022355311470735463) 2026-02-13T17:00Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "The stark uncertainties about the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) necessitate scenario planning to prepare for the future. If AI reaches and surpasses human levels of intelligence across the board it would transform our economy and society: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022380757671383550) 2026-02-13T18:42Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Chinas redesign to its e-CNY is an indicator of a convergence with many central banks moving away from more divisive retail CBDCs towards tokenized deposits that can move money with new technology without disrupting banks Martin Chorzempa writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022389818974498918) 2026-02-13T19:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022391829614801090) 2026-02-13T19:26Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements ".@AdamPosen joined CNBC to discuss the latest inflation data and the health of the economy arguing that the broad economic picture is still inflationary: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/13/broad-economic-picture-is-still-inflationary-says-the-peterson-institutes-adam-posen.html&qsearchterm=adam%20posen https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/13/broad-economic-picture-is-still-inflationary-says-the-peterson-institutes-adam-posen.html&qsearchterm=adam%20posen" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022395525555691702) 2026-02-13T19:40Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "The "America First" investment agreements are aimed at expanding US manufacturing and strengthening supply chain security. By focusing on these sectors the pledges are effectively an industrial policy aligned with Biden-era initiatives: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2022403682646577600) 2026-02-13T20:13Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements "Countries enlisted in Trump's "America First" investment agenda vary in capacity to fulfill pledge amounts. #PIIECharts More: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/2023048678873711067) 2026-02-15T14:56Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971212597853552710) 2025-09-25T13:58Z 106.1K followers, [---] engagements "The strong financial assistance from the Trump administration must be complemented by a renewed IMF program & a strategy to ensure Argentina can meet its external debt obligations @alejandrowerne7 writes. https://www.ft.com/content/5a747a2a-84bd-45cd-a5a5-3eb8014d9aaa https://www.ft.com/content/5a747a2a-84bd-45cd-a5a5-3eb8014d9aaa" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971230981727113286) 2025-09-25T15:11Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "The H-1B fee would be an "obliteration of any nongovernmental organization's ability to hire" foreign talent @m_clem says & "all but impossible" for smaller startups to hire the necessary people. "It will devastate their prospects." https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570 https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971240300447154606) 2025-09-25T15:48Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "ICYMI: We launched @nicolas_veron's new event series & podcast What Now Europe with a forward-looking discussion on Ukraine & Europe with Oleksandra Azarkhina from the Economic Security Council of Ukraine. Here or wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971246085029990412) 2025-09-25T16:11Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "In an industry where US brands have enormous cultural cache trade policy uncertainty is eroding not just US musical instrument exports cost competitiveness but their cool Cullen Hendrix writes. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/tariffs-and-economic-uncertainty-are-hitting-us-musical-instrument https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/tariffs-and-economic-uncertainty-are-hitting-us-musical-instrument" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971281804213514486) 2025-09-25T18:33Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "WATCH: Jeffrey Schott joined @KoreaEconInst to discuss challenges & opportunities in USKorea trade relations including tariff policy opportunities for cooperation in shipbuilding & LNG the possibility of Korea joining the CPTPP & more. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971405869007921393) 2025-09-26T02:46Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971552608285254074) 2025-09-26T12:29Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "NOW: Tom Barkin @RichmondFed president & CEO shares his perspective on where the US economy stands today & where it may be headed considering both sides of the Fed's dual mandate. Watch live: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/conversation-tom-barkin-president-federal-reserve-bank-richmond https://www.piie.com/events/2025/conversation-tom-barkin-president-federal-reserve-bank-richmond" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971560848197128424) 2025-09-26T13:01Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Todays tariff rates are particularly high variable & uncertaingenerating serious tax administration problems high compliance costs negative investment effects & large rent-seeking & corruption opportunities. By @KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld: https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971582536468877427) 2025-09-26T14:28Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971600907675517207) 2025-09-26T15:41Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "WATCH: Jeffrey Schott joined @KoreaEconInst to discuss challenges & opportunities in USKorea trade relations including tariff policy opportunities for cooperation in shipbuilding & LNG the possibility of Korea joining the CPTPP & more. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971843755306021187) 2025-09-27T07:46Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "ICYMI: We launched @nicolas_veron's new event series & podcast What Now Europe with a forward-looking discussion on Ukraine & Europe with Oleksandra Azarkhina from the Economic Security Council of Ukraine. Here or wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971910443896557980) 2025-09-27T12:11Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "The H-1B fee would be an "obliteration of any nongovernmental organization's ability to hire" foreign talent @m_clem says & "all but impossible" for smaller startups to hire the necessary people. "It will devastate their prospects." https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570 https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1971976883873943974) 2025-09-27T16:35Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Job growth in industries more reliant on unauthorized immigrants has been flat this year. These industries include construction hotels restaurants home health care & others in manufacturing technology & services. #PIIECharts More: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2025/slowing-immigration-has-halted-job-growth-some-industries https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2025/slowing-immigration-has-halted-job-growth-some-industries" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1972023963996876900) 2025-09-27T19:42Z 106.2K followers, [--] engagements "Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1972277382858907971) 2025-09-28T12:29Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Cullen Hendrix was on PIIE Insider LIVE to explain critical mineral supply chains resource nationalism & how climate change is changing how governments & militaries think about national security. 🎙Watch/listen to PIIE Insider LIVE on YouTube or wherever you get podcasts" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1972287514514764210) 2025-09-28T13:09Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements "President Trumps mass deportation of immigrant labor or attacks on the independence of the Federal Reserve were more likely to tip the US economy into recession than just the impact of trade tariffs alone Warwick McKibbin says. https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/why-the-us-economy-faces-a-bigger-shock-than-tariffs-20250927-p5myaq https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/why-the-us-economy-faces-a-bigger-shock-than-tariffs-20250927-p5myaq" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1972695897357119759) 2025-09-29T16:12Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1972820965689073859) 2025-09-30T00:29Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "LISTEN: @m_clem joined NPR to discuss the H-1B visa & the loss of foreign STEM workers. https://www.npr.org/2025/09/30/nx-s1-5557369/were-about-to-lose-a-lot-of-foreign-stem-workers https://www.npr.org/2025/09/30/nx-s1-5557369/were-about-to-lose-a-lot-of-foreign-stem-workers" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973027430161100952) 2025-09-30T14:09Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973050460454924417) 2025-09-30T15:41Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Data suggest US businesses have absorbed most of the tariff costs through July [----] not foreign sellers. There is very little support for Trumps thesis that foreign sellers are absorbing tariffs by lowering their prices on US imports. More: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973079164753174941) 2025-09-30T17:35Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "If the H-1B change stands the skill penalty on US immigration will bring tremendous harm to the future of all Americansharms that will be too large to conceal. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973099036543496443) 2025-09-30T18:54Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "UPDATED: We're tracking Trump's trade war so you don't have to. Check it out: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973122570150171096) 2025-09-30T20:27Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "OCTOBER 9: Our semiannual Global Economic Prospects event on outlook for US & global economies featuring Karen Dynan. @arvindsubraman discusses China's external surpluses & growth & @AdamPosen gives his perspective on US inflation risks. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/global-economic-prospects-fall-2025 https://www.piie.com/events/2025/global-economic-prospects-fall-2025" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973139040627982497) 2025-09-30T21:33Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Our Trump trade war (2.0) timeline has been updated: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973395483935539339) 2025-10-01T14:32Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "New modelling shows that if US tariffs are left in place as they are from September [--] over the coming decade these tariffs would result in less US economic output higher US prices & lower American wages than if they had not been adopted. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973449724779962391) 2025-10-01T18:07Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Updated research shows that although the inflation increase from tariffs if kept at September rates is temporary the US price level remains higher thereafter than it would have been without the tariffs. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973485083165077838) 2025-10-01T20:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973729178529759374) 2025-10-02T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973744551991841262) 2025-10-02T13:39Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "If US interest rates are not cut by [--] bp in October that will "surely affect Canadian interest rates Gary Hufbauer says. The Bank of Canada rate decisions factor in US & other major global market economic data which could lead to a rate freeze. https://globalnews.ca/news/11457778/us-government-shutdown-economy-impact-canada/ https://globalnews.ca/news/11457778/us-government-shutdown-economy-impact-canada/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973766443180175825) 2025-10-02T15:06Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973775233581543453) 2025-10-02T15:41Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Data suggest US businesses have absorbed most of the tariff costs through July [----] not foreign sellers. There is very little support for Trumps thesis that foreign sellers are absorbing tariffs by lowering their prices on US imports. More: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1973803927981232176) 2025-10-02T17:35Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974091567775314055) 2025-10-03T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974106941178712535) 2025-10-03T13:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Updated: Average US tariffs on China: 57.6% Average Chinese tariffs on US: 32.6% Average US tariffs on the rest of the world: 19.5% Average Chinese tariffs on the rest of the world: 6.5% Details: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974126095709401208) 2025-10-03T14:55Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974137620452999406) 2025-10-03T15:41Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974161802079391835) 2025-10-03T17:17Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements ".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974188206733066497) 2025-10-03T19:02Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Updated research shows that although the inflation increase from tariffs if kept at September rates is temporary the US price level remains higher thereafter than it would have been without the tariffs. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974209848314097892) 2025-10-03T20:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974453953573028205) 2025-10-04T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "If the H-1B change stands the skill penalty on US immigration will bring tremendous harm to the future of all Americansharms that will be too large to conceal. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974464548347273348) 2025-10-04T13:20Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements "Updated: Average US tariffs on China: 57.6% Average Chinese tariffs on US: 32.6% Average US tariffs on the rest of the world: 19.5% Average Chinese tariffs on the rest of the world: 6.5% Details: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974488458736410661) 2025-10-04T14:55Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974590122717815263) 2025-10-04T21:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974886575730286758) 2025-10-05T17:17Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements ".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1974923296660451360) 2025-10-05T19:43Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975012907814428932) 2025-10-06T01:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "We're tracking Trump's trade war so you don't have to. Check it out: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975216746161197216) 2025-10-06T15:09Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975238385695420710) 2025-10-06T16:35Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Updated research shows that although the inflation increase from tariffs if kept at September rates is temporary the US price level remains higher thereafter than it would have been without the tariffs. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975297010241609945) 2025-10-06T20:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975541117627064420) 2025-10-07T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975556960255877470) 2025-10-07T13:40Z 106.3K followers, 26.7K engagements "The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975592737610096664) 2025-10-07T16:03Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements ".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975648074165850526) 2025-10-07T19:43Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "OCTOBER 14: Maurice Obstfeld joins PIIE Insider LIVE to tariffs as US fiscal policy the future of the US-centric international monetary system & more. Register here to participate live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975662188405629197) 2025-10-07T20:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine debt" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975937490373554387) 2025-10-08T14:53Z 106.2K followers, [---] engagements "A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975940173247729740) 2025-10-08T15:03Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975963157811052577) 2025-10-08T16:35Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "🍂Fall meetings start now🍂 Our first event is an expert panel of @ChorzempaMartin Tianlei Huang Mary Lovely & Yeling Tan diving deep into China's economic landscape including the housing market & the country's economic security model. Watch here: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/chinas-economic-outlook-challenges-and-opportunities https://www.piie.com/events/2025/chinas-economic-outlook-challenges-and-opportunities" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1975971518602674632) 2025-10-08T17:08Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976009476479013030) 2025-10-08T19:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "OCTOBER 14: Maurice Obstfeld joins PIIE Insider LIVE to tariffs as US fiscal policy the future of the US-centric international monetary system & more. Register here to participate live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976296366721630397) 2025-10-09T14:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "We're tracking Trump's trade war so you don't have to. Check it out: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976303900488511694) 2025-10-09T15:09Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976355486644523439) 2025-10-09T18:34Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements ".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976372850505265400) 2025-10-09T19:43Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "The Chinese embargo beginning in May [----] on fentanyl shipments stemming from US-China cooperation reduced fentanyl overdose deaths in the US by roughly one-quarter over a three- to five-month period after the announcement. Learn more here: https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/stopping-flow-effects-us-china-cooperation-fentanyl-markets-and https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/stopping-flow-effects-us-china-cooperation-fentanyl-markets-and" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976554568214286837) 2025-10-10T07:45Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "WATCH: @AdamPosen explains why the substantial inflationary impact from tariffs & deportations has been lagged but is coming. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=NIgo14eQ3zw https://www.youtube.com/watchv=NIgo14eQ3zw" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976631145455665545) 2025-10-10T12:49Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "They can call it what they want but its a bailout says Monica de Bolle says of the US-Argentina $20bn financial plan. Its a country in crisis its running out of dollars & the US is giving the country dollars. Thats a bailout by definition. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/us/politics/argentina-bailout-investors.html https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/us/politics/argentina-bailout-investors.html" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976636100212109533) 2025-10-10T13:09Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976643656896397466) 2025-10-10T13:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "OCTOBER 14: Maurice Obstfeld joins PIIE Insider LIVE to tariffs as US fiscal policy the future of the US-centric international monetary system & more. Register here to participate live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976658754415280565) 2025-10-10T14:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Global growth is holding up despite policy headwinds & rising risks. Real global GDP is projected to rise 3.1% in [----] & 2.9% in 2026" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1976731484137439358) 2025-10-10T19:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "The Changing Dollar Regime on October 16: Maurice Obstfeld on the international role of the dollar @MSchularick on the evolving & increasing significance of the euro @GagnonMacro on US debt sustainability & discussion with @AdamPosen. Register: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/changing-dollar-regime-update https://www.piie.com/events/2025/changing-dollar-regime-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1977115774406762521) 2025-10-11T20:55Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1977368429469266394) 2025-10-12T13:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements "Even concrete US interventions are unlikely to save Argentina's peso for long unless they go further than so far promisedthough it might give Milei a rickety bridge through the October election without an embarrassing devaluation. By Maurice Obstfeld: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1977468589801132484) 2025-10-12T20:17Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "Global growth will remain uneven across regions as AI investment cushions the drag from trade tensions & policy uncertainty in the US strong domestic demand sustains growth in India Brazil faces slower growth with tight monetary policy & more. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1977751348507533709) 2025-10-13T15:00Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "Longer term $20bn from the US doesn't solve Argentina's issues because of the nature of its regime Monica de Bolle says. Since it operates with [--] currencies & uses the USD as if it were their own currency they will probably face another dollar https://www.npr.org/2025/10/11/nx-s1-5566745/how-will-trump-rescue-argentinas-economy https://www.npr.org/2025/10/11/nx-s1-5566745/how-will-trump-rescue-argentinas-economy" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1978096978115367271) 2025-10-14T13:54Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "Saudi Arabia's warnings that using frozen Russian assets could harm G7 bond markets is political noise" @elinaribakova saysthe European Central Banks power makes any market threat meaningless. https://www.kyivpost.com/post/61885 https://www.kyivpost.com/post/61885" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1978142524234494103) 2025-10-14T16:55Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "Global growth will remain uneven across regions as AI investment cushions the drag from trade tensions & policy uncertainty in the US strong domestic demand sustains growth in India Brazil faces slower growth with tight monetary policy & more. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1978163419678191835) 2025-10-14T18:18Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1978464885471064284) 2025-10-15T14:16Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "To repay its IMF creditors& now US government creditors & lenders lined up by BessentArgentina must figure out how to build up $ reserves. It can only do so by exporting more a tall order given the chaotic trading environment Trump foisted on the https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/will-argentina-become-trumps-financial-quagmire https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/will-argentina-become-trumps-financial-quagmire" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1978856225811968121) 2025-10-16T16:11Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "WATCH: Monica de Bolle explains to @WSJ what the US financial aid to Argentina means: https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/how-trumps-argentina-bailout-risks-billions-for-americans/485B1003-E269-447D-92C3-E8781497F9BA https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/how-trumps-argentina-bailout-risks-billions-for-americans/485B1003-E269-447D-92C3-E8781497F9BA" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/1978922168034472221) 2025-10-16T20:33Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements "Early Morning Webcast: EU Commissioner Michel Barnier to Discuss Banking Union and TTIP http://t.co/NQ5jxOFPhk Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET http://ow.ly/xWzYT http://ow.ly/xWzYT" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/477202444363915264) 2014-06-12T21:35Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "Indian Amb. Taranjit Singh Sandhu introducing @arvindsubraman http://t.co/DQFUz6CkEu" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/574923503696277504) 2015-03-09T13:23Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "Carmen Reinhart M. Sbrancia: how economies have liquidated govt debt thru financial repression combined w/ inflation http://bit.ly/gTAMSV" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/58578371986206720) 2011-04-14T17:12Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "Is #Chinas Stock Market Leading the S&P [---] by @JanZilinsky http://blogs.piie.com/china/p=4611#.VrN37V8miVI.twitter http://blogs.piie.com/china/p=4611#.VrN37V8miVI.twitter" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/695278371694108673) 2016-02-04T16:10Z 100K followers, [--] engagements ""Lack of public trust in the #Feds aggressive monetary easing may have curtailed . the benefits of low rates." http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/ http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/743444688661798913) 2016-06-16T14:06Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "#Fed: "The value of the U.S. dollar is ultimately founded on trust in the nationand institutionthat issues it." http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/ http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/743444910179745792) 2016-06-16T14:07Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements ""Ethical scandals and even alleged crimes have affected the credibility of many of world's leading central banks." http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/ http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/743445279450476544) 2016-06-16T14:09Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "#Korea-#China Free Trade Agreement Entails Limited Benefits For Autos https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/korea-china-fta-entails-limited-benefits-autos https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/korea-china-fta-entails-limited-benefits-autos" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/745705152657653760) 2016-06-22T19:48Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "Low inflation "can be a sign economy is running well below potential while workers wages are stuck in neutral." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/748116683777146880) 2016-06-29T11:31Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements ""Blaming foreigners has become all too common a habit usually a misguided one in todays political landscape." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/748159829475233792) 2016-06-29T14:22Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements ""The Feds efforts to revive a moribund U.S. economy. are not the cause of downturns in the emerging world." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/748619242963079168) 2016-06-30T20:48Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "US job market "remains plagued by low workforce participation rampant underemployment and long-term joblessness." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/748627499668615168) 2016-06-30T21:21Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "Starting Over: Post-#Brexit Trade Agreement Partners for the #UK by @ChadBown https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/starting-over-tariffs-post-brexit-trade-agreement-partners https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/starting-over-tariffs-post-brexit-trade-agreement-partners" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/753598707149443073) 2016-07-14T14:35Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "Given number of open positions and soon-to-expire terms at highest levels Trump could do quite a bit to reshape Fed http://read.bi/2f4yywK http://read.bi/2f4yywK" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/802846503828094976) 2016-11-27T12:08Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "Watch how the Mexican Peso has depreciated since the US Presidential election @bollemdb" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/821832891818766337) 2017-01-18T21:33Z 100.1K followers, [---] engagements "How Long Does It Take to Conclude a Trade Agreement With the US @CarolineFreund https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/how-long-does-it-take-conclude-trade-agreement-us https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/how-long-does-it-take-conclude-trade-agreement-us" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/827268734179897344) 2017-02-02T21:33Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "GDP growth among NAFTA countries shows how tied their economies are. What does this mean for NAFTA renegotiation http://bit.ly/piie_GuidetoRenegotiatingNAFTA http://bit.ly/piie_GuidetoRenegotiatingNAFTA" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/877186813093347329) 2017-06-20T15:30Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "Join PIIE at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Nov [--] w/ @jfkirkegaard @nicolas_veron & @cohensetton. Pre-register: http://bit.ly/piie_DeepeningEMU http://bit.ly/piie_DeepeningEMU" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/924312310533025794) 2017-10-28T16:30Z 100K followers, [--] engagements "Automobiles are a big part of #NAFTA trade. Find out how the industry was changing before the deal and where NAFTA played a role in this @Trade__Talks episode. http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks21 http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks21" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/967029847427076096) 2018-02-23T13:34Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "This weeks @Trade__Talks explaining Trumps announcement of new national security import tariffs on steel and aluminum is a must listen. Feat. @JAHillmanGULaw http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks29 http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks29" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/973282553095507968) 2018-03-12T19:40Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements "7/ Bigger question: Why is Trump Admin using bilateral surpluses as measure of success Normal in trade to have deficits w/ some countries. Trade deficits go up in good economic times. Mexicos surplus in 94-95 grew as its economy crashed. Not worth it. http://bit.ly/piie_3waystrade http://bit.ly/piie_3waystrade" [X Link](https://x.com/PIIE/status/974374047768248320) 2018-03-15T19:57Z 100.1K followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@PIIE Peterson Institute
Peterson Institute posts on X about tariffs, inflation, countries, china the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [------] #
- [--] Week [-------] +193%
- [--] Month [-------] +146%
- [--] Months [---------] -14%
- [--] Year [---------] -1.70%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +50%
- [--] Month [---] +80%
- [--] Months [---] +63%
- [--] Year [-----] +8.20%
Followers: [-------] #
- [--] Week [-------] +0.10%
- [--] Month [-------] +0.83%
- [--] Months [-------] +2.50%
- [--] Year [-------] +7.40%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance 66.29% countries 20.57% currencies 1.14% us election 1.14% social networks 0.57% technology brands 0.57%
Social topic influence tariffs #508, inflation #694, countries #1684, china 7.43%, rates 6.86%, trade #2534, investment #3071, debt 5.14%, fed #411, india 4.57%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @kclausing @adamposen @cafreeland @malmstromeu @mclem @adnanmazarei @chadbowns @nicolasverons @koreaeconinst @arvindsubraman @chorzempamartin @tradetalks @alejandrowerne7 @richmondfed @mschularick @gagnonmacro @elinaribakova @wsj @janzilinsky @chadbown
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
".@AdamPosen discusses why he thinks inflation will rise back to 4% and how the lagged effect of tariffs immigration further fiscal easing and declining Fed credibility will combine to cause prices to reaccelerate on the latest Odd Lots. Listen: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-adam-posen-thinks-inflation-will-surge-back-to-4/id1056200096i=1000749568039 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-adam-posen-thinks-inflation-will-surge-back-to-4/id1056200096i=1000749568039"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:07Z 108.5K followers, 10.7K engagements
"Argentinas latest monetary scheme could work especially if backed by bilateral & multilateral financial support & a timely return to financing from global capital markets but it contains new vulnerabilities that make the path to price stability narrow: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Following Mark Carney's Davos speech Alan Wm. Wolff argues that smaller economies can create a new world trade order & that positive change for the world trading system is not confined to a list defined by their shares in world trade: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:14Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The WTO members including the middle-sized have agency. They have the capacity to act. They have proven they can initiate agreements and conclude them. The initiative must come from them Alan Wm. Wolff writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:48Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-14T17:29Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland"
X Link 2026-01-26T20:15Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
"FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:15Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
"FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:15Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland"
X Link 2026-01-31T14:15Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
"NEW: Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:01Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-03T20:42Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-04T14:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:42Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
"BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:29Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Countries enlisted in Trump's "America First" investment agenda vary in capacity to fulfill pledge amounts. #PIIECharts More: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:56Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
""For this government to negotiate serious free-trade agreements with two major trading partners shows a commitment to openness that goes against its deep nationalist instincts" Arvind Subramanian writes about the new India trade deals in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The Trump administrations next moves on tariffs will depend on how the Supreme Court defines the presidents emergency powers to impose tariffs. Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four paths forward and their limitations: https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them"
X Link 2026-02-06T18:13Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The trade deals with the EU and the US along with other reforms recently implemented hold the potential to transform India into a paragon of openness and a manufacturing powerhouse Arvind Subramanian argues in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:03Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-06T20:42Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The Trump administrations trade team has vowed to employ alternative legal tools to keep its tariffs in place if the US Supreme Court invalidates them. But each legal tool is limited in its use and applicability Alan Wm. Wolff writes. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:12Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"For US allies relying on the US for critical minerals "comes with considerably more risk than it would have in previous decades & the call is coming from inside the house: The US is a growing source of geopolitical risk" Cullen Hendrix argues: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy"
X Link 2026-02-06T22:02Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four possible tariff statutes that could be invoked if the Supreme Court invalidates President Trumps sweeping reciprocal tariffs by striking down his use of IEEPA but they have major limitations. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:18Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:26Z 108.4K followers, [----] engagements
""For this government to negotiate serious free-trade agreements with two major trading partners shows a commitment to openness that goes against its deep nationalist instincts" Arvind Subramanian writes about the new India trade deals in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article"
X Link 2026-02-09T17:22Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The stark uncertainties about the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) necessitate scenario planning to prepare for the future. If AI reaches and surpasses human levels of intelligence across the board it would transform our economy and society: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:42Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The Trump administrations next moves on tariffs will depend on how the Supreme Court defines the presidents emergency powers to impose tariffs. Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four paths forward and their limitations: https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them"
X Link 2026-02-09T19:13Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The trade deals with the EU and the US along with other reforms recently implemented hold the potential to transform India into a paragon of openness and a manufacturing powerhouse Arvind Subramanian argues in the Economist: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/02/05/india-may-be-about-to-become-one-of-the-worlds-most-open-economiesgiftId=YzA1MjdjNzctNmRmMy00ZmVmLTgxOTEtMjcxOGRjMWM5Yjk0dGVnX3VzZXI%3D&utm_campaign=gifted_article"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:03Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:03Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:29Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"This PIIE Briefing examines different facets of the COVID-era inflation surge including supply-side disruptions demand dynamics labor markets fiscal & monetary policy interactions & inflation measurement. https://www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/2026/worst-inflation-outbreak-40-years-distilling-lessons-covid-era https://www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/2026/worst-inflation-outbreak-40-years-distilling-lessons-covid-era"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:53Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Trading partners have pledged to invest over $5 trillion in the US. Timelines are long & some pledges lack transparency & strain credibility. #PIIECharts @AdnanMazarei & Greg Auclair explore "America First" investment pledges: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:34Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The year has started with doubts about the prospects for US AI labs and cloud computing firms due to rising debt depreciation and circular vendor financing. Revisiting 2025s DeepSeek shock can shine light on the AI booms prospects going forward. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:03Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Alan Wm. Wolff reviews the four possible tariff statutes that could be invoked if the Supreme Court invalidates President Trumps sweeping reciprocal tariffs by striking down his use of IEEPA but they have major limitations. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/can-trump-keep-his-tariffs-if-supreme-court-invalidates-them"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Cullen Hendrix argues that the BRICS+ economiesBrazil Russia India China South Africa Egypt Ethiopia Iran the United Arab Emirates and Indonesiaare well positioned to fill the worlds food security gap. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:48Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Chinas redesign to its e-CNY is an indicator of a convergence with many central banks moving away from more divisive retail CBDCs towards tokenized deposits that can move money with new technology without disrupting banks Martin Chorzempa writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:18Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:26Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"@ChadBown's trade war timeline [---] has been updated New updates include the US-India deal the US-Bangladesh deal details on the US-Argentina deal and more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:31Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:47Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"For the second time in a row the year has started with doubts about the prospects for US AI labs and cloud computing firms. Martin Chorzempa writes revisiting last years DeepSeek shock can help shine light on the AI booms prospects going forward. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/how-ai-boom-shrugged-deepseek-shock-and-keeps-gaining-steam"
X Link 2026-02-11T14:17Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Argentinas latest monetary scheme could work especially if backed by bilateral & multilateral financial support & a timely return to financing from global capital markets but it contains new vulnerabilities that make the path to price stability narrow: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:18Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"China's move to redesign its e-CNY with an added interest payments to holders brings up one of the most contentious current US financial policy debates: whether to allow privately issued digital stablecoins to pay interest Martin Chorzempa explains: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:41Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:29Z 108.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The "America First" investment agreements are aimed at expanding US manufacturing and strengthening supply chain security. By focusing on these sectors the pledges are effectively an industrial policy aligned with Biden-era initiatives: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:13Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Diversification of critical minerals at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs to reduce dependence on China by coordinating their supply chains & procurement more closely. But US political stability are now part of allies risk calculations: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:47Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"For US allies relying on the US for critical minerals "comes with considerably more risk than it would have in previous decades & the call is coming from inside the house: The US is a growing source of geopolitical risk" Cullen Hendrix argues: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/us-posing-hidden-risk-wests-critical-minerals-strategy"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:48Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Argentina's new setup has a more flexible real exchange rate & a schedule for acquiring foreign exchange reserves. But its weak nominal anchor is a flaw that could prove fatal& perhaps beyond even Mileis escape-artist skills Maurice Obstfeld writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:22Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"China's move to redesign its e-CNY with an added interest payments to holders brings up one of the most contentious current US financial policy debates: whether to allow privately issued digital stablecoins to pay interest Martin Chorzempa explains: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:41Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Cullen Hendrix argues that the BRICS+ economiesBrazil Russia India China South Africa Egypt Ethiopia Iran the United Arab Emirates and Indonesiaare well positioned to fill the worlds food security gap. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:48Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Scenario planning for AI is not about predicting the futureit's about equipping institutions & policymakers with frameworks and tools that help them respond across a range of plausible outcomes new PIIE fellow Anton Korinek & coauthor write: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit"
X Link 2026-02-12T18:58Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"FEBRUARY 4: @cafreeland joins @MalmstromEU to discuss the increasing weaponization of trade & threats of tariffs used for hardcore geopolitics how it affects Canada the upcoming USMCA review & more. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland https://www.piie.com/events/2026/securitization-trade-where-globalization-going-conversation-chrystia-freeland"
X Link 2026-02-02T14:15Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:26Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:22Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"BRICS+ countries have the scientific know-how institutional capacity & capital to underwrite a massive increase in public agricultural R&D funding. Doing so would be an opportunity to demonstrate that they are capable of providing global leadership. https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/us-food-aid-retreats-can-brics-and-biotechnology-fill-worlds-food"
X Link 2026-02-08T22:29Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:42Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-09T19:22Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:22Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Perhaps surprisingly there has been little reconfiguration of global trade at least through October [----]. Two-way trade with the US as a share of total trade changed very little among [--] impacted foreign partners trading with the US in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-12T14:42Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Following Mark Carney's Davos speech Alan Wm. Wolff argues that smaller economies can create a new world trade order & that positive change for the world trading system is not confined to a list defined by their shares in world trade: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:06Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Argentinas latest monetary scheme could work especially if backed by bilateral & multilateral financial support & a timely return to financing from global capital markets but it contains new vulnerabilities that make the path to price stability narrow: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:18Z 108.5K followers, 46.6K engagements
"China's move to redesign its e-CNY with an added interest payments to holders brings up one of the most contentious current US financial policy debates: whether to allow privately issued digital stablecoins to pay interest Martin Chorzempa explains: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:41Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The Fed may have good reason to cut interest rates more this year. But if so it is much more likely to be in reaction to bad news such as a deteriorating labor market rather than the good news that an AI productivity boom has arrived Jason Furman says: https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:24Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"US two-way trade with nearly all [--] trading partners that negotiated tariffs with Trump grew significantly slower than world trade in [----]. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:22Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Chinas redesign to its e-CNY is an indicator of a convergence with many central banks moving away from more divisive retail CBDCs towards tokenized deposits that can move money with new technology without disrupting banks Martin Chorzempa writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
""The WTO is the only place where the common good on a global scale can be addressed by any member with the ideas and drive to do so" Alan Wm. Wolff argues: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/can-smaller-economies-really-create-new-world-trade-order-yes-they"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:47Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The Fed may have good reason to cut interest rates more this year. But if so it is much more likely to be in reaction to bad news such as a deteriorating labor market rather than the good news that an AI productivity boom has arrived Jason Furman says: https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b https://www.ft.com/content/70dc5068-1718-474d-a225-e1ab6df3b40b"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:24Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"A better strategy for Argentina now that Milei's domestic political situation is relatively strong would be an inflation-targeting approach which would provide a clear nominal anchor in the form of the inflation target itself Maurice Obstfeld suggests: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/argentinas-fragile-monetary-framework-risks-renewed-volatility"
X Link 2026-02-12T22:32Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Trading partners have pledged to invest over $5 trillion in the US. Timelines are long & some pledges lack transparency & strain credibility. #PIIECharts @AdnanMazarei & Greg Auclair explore "America First" investment pledges: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:34Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
".@ChadBown's trade war timeline [---] has been updated Featuring details on the US-North Macedonia trade deal and updates about the US-Taiwan trade deal: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:00Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The stark uncertainties about the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) necessitate scenario planning to prepare for the future. If AI reaches and surpasses human levels of intelligence across the board it would transform our economy and society: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/ai-futures-planning-transformative-scenarios-they-hit"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:42Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Chinas redesign to its e-CNY is an indicator of a convergence with many central banks moving away from more divisive retail CBDCs towards tokenized deposits that can move money with new technology without disrupting banks Martin Chorzempa writes: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-gives-state-backed-digital-cash-us-and-europe-should-take-note"
X Link 2026-02-13T19:18Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"A sharp drop in US two-way trade with China in [----] was not echoed in US two-way trade with other partners. Instead much of this trade was diverted to other countries particularly those in Southeast Asia. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/trumps-trade-war-wrecked-little-havoc-trade-patterns-last-year"
X Link 2026-02-13T19:26Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
".@AdamPosen joined CNBC to discuss the latest inflation data and the health of the economy arguing that the broad economic picture is still inflationary: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/13/broad-economic-picture-is-still-inflationary-says-the-peterson-institutes-adam-posen.html&qsearchterm=adam%20posen https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/02/13/broad-economic-picture-is-still-inflationary-says-the-peterson-institutes-adam-posen.html&qsearchterm=adam%20posen"
X Link 2026-02-13T19:40Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"The "America First" investment agreements are aimed at expanding US manufacturing and strengthening supply chain security. By focusing on these sectors the pledges are effectively an industrial policy aligned with Biden-era initiatives: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/trump-administration-wants-foreign-investment-pledges-boost-several"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:13Z 108.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Countries enlisted in Trump's "America First" investment agenda vary in capacity to fulfill pledge amounts. #PIIECharts More: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/some-countries-will-struggle-fulfill-their-investment-pledges-president"
X Link 2026-02-15T14:56Z 108.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-09-25T13:58Z 106.1K followers, [---] engagements
"The strong financial assistance from the Trump administration must be complemented by a renewed IMF program & a strategy to ensure Argentina can meet its external debt obligations @alejandrowerne7 writes. https://www.ft.com/content/5a747a2a-84bd-45cd-a5a5-3eb8014d9aaa https://www.ft.com/content/5a747a2a-84bd-45cd-a5a5-3eb8014d9aaa"
X Link 2025-09-25T15:11Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"The H-1B fee would be an "obliteration of any nongovernmental organization's ability to hire" foreign talent @m_clem says & "all but impossible" for smaller startups to hire the necessary people. "It will devastate their prospects." https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570 https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570"
X Link 2025-09-25T15:48Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"ICYMI: We launched @nicolas_veron's new event series & podcast What Now Europe with a forward-looking discussion on Ukraine & Europe with Oleksandra Azarkhina from the Economic Security Council of Ukraine. Here or wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union"
X Link 2025-09-25T16:11Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"In an industry where US brands have enormous cultural cache trade policy uncertainty is eroding not just US musical instrument exports cost competitiveness but their cool Cullen Hendrix writes. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/tariffs-and-economic-uncertainty-are-hitting-us-musical-instrument https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/tariffs-and-economic-uncertainty-are-hitting-us-musical-instrument"
X Link 2025-09-25T18:33Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"WATCH: Jeffrey Schott joined @KoreaEconInst to discuss challenges & opportunities in USKorea trade relations including tariff policy opportunities for cooperation in shipbuilding & LNG the possibility of Korea joining the CPTPP & more. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog"
X Link 2025-09-26T02:46Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts"
X Link 2025-09-26T12:29Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"NOW: Tom Barkin @RichmondFed president & CEO shares his perspective on where the US economy stands today & where it may be headed considering both sides of the Fed's dual mandate. Watch live: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/conversation-tom-barkin-president-federal-reserve-bank-richmond https://www.piie.com/events/2025/conversation-tom-barkin-president-federal-reserve-bank-richmond"
X Link 2025-09-26T13:01Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Todays tariff rates are particularly high variable & uncertaingenerating serious tax administration problems high compliance costs negative investment effects & large rent-seeking & corruption opportunities. By @KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld: https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-09-26T14:28Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-09-26T15:41Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"WATCH: Jeffrey Schott joined @KoreaEconInst to discuss challenges & opportunities in USKorea trade relations including tariff policy opportunities for cooperation in shipbuilding & LNG the possibility of Korea joining the CPTPP & more. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YFZU09pbsog"
X Link 2025-09-27T07:46Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"ICYMI: We launched @nicolas_veron's new event series & podcast What Now Europe with a forward-looking discussion on Ukraine & Europe with Oleksandra Azarkhina from the Economic Security Council of Ukraine. Here or wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union https://www.piie.com/events/2025/ukraines-future-european-union"
X Link 2025-09-27T12:11Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"The H-1B fee would be an "obliteration of any nongovernmental organization's ability to hire" foreign talent @m_clem says & "all but impossible" for smaller startups to hire the necessary people. "It will devastate their prospects." https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570 https://www.dw.com/en/how-donald-trumps-h-1b-visa-fee-could-affect-the-us-economy/a-74109570"
X Link 2025-09-27T16:35Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Job growth in industries more reliant on unauthorized immigrants has been flat this year. These industries include construction hotels restaurants home health care & others in manufacturing technology & services. #PIIECharts More: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2025/slowing-immigration-has-halted-job-growth-some-industries https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2025/slowing-immigration-has-halted-job-growth-some-industries"
X Link 2025-09-27T19:42Z 106.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts"
X Link 2025-09-28T12:29Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Cullen Hendrix was on PIIE Insider LIVE to explain critical mineral supply chains resource nationalism & how climate change is changing how governments & militaries think about national security. 🎙Watch/listen to PIIE Insider LIVE on YouTube or wherever you get podcasts"
X Link 2025-09-28T13:09Z 106.1K followers, [----] engagements
"President Trumps mass deportation of immigrant labor or attacks on the independence of the Federal Reserve were more likely to tip the US economy into recession than just the impact of trade tariffs alone Warwick McKibbin says. https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/why-the-us-economy-faces-a-bigger-shock-than-tariffs-20250927-p5myaq https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/why-the-us-economy-faces-a-bigger-shock-than-tariffs-20250927-p5myaq"
X Link 2025-09-29T16:12Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts"
X Link 2025-09-30T00:29Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"LISTEN: @m_clem joined NPR to discuss the H-1B visa & the loss of foreign STEM workers. https://www.npr.org/2025/09/30/nx-s1-5557369/were-about-to-lose-a-lot-of-foreign-stem-workers https://www.npr.org/2025/09/30/nx-s1-5557369/were-about-to-lose-a-lot-of-foreign-stem-workers"
X Link 2025-09-30T14:09Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-09-30T15:41Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Data suggest US businesses have absorbed most of the tariff costs through July [----] not foreign sellers. There is very little support for Trumps thesis that foreign sellers are absorbing tariffs by lowering their prices on US imports. More: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses"
X Link 2025-09-30T17:35Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"If the H-1B change stands the skill penalty on US immigration will bring tremendous harm to the future of all Americansharms that will be too large to conceal. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely"
X Link 2025-09-30T18:54Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"UPDATED: We're tracking Trump's trade war so you don't have to. Check it out: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide"
X Link 2025-09-30T20:27Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"OCTOBER 9: Our semiannual Global Economic Prospects event on outlook for US & global economies featuring Karen Dynan. @arvindsubraman discusses China's external surpluses & growth & @AdamPosen gives his perspective on US inflation risks. Info & register: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/global-economic-prospects-fall-2025 https://www.piie.com/events/2025/global-economic-prospects-fall-2025"
X Link 2025-09-30T21:33Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Our Trump trade war (2.0) timeline has been updated: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide"
X Link 2025-10-01T14:32Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"New modelling shows that if US tariffs are left in place as they are from September [--] over the coming decade these tariffs would result in less US economic output higher US prices & lower American wages than if they had not been adopted. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-01T18:07Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Updated research shows that although the inflation increase from tariffs if kept at September rates is temporary the US price level remains higher thereafter than it would have been without the tariffs. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-01T20:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-02T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-02T13:39Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"If US interest rates are not cut by [--] bp in October that will "surely affect Canadian interest rates Gary Hufbauer says. The Bank of Canada rate decisions factor in US & other major global market economic data which could lead to a rate freeze. https://globalnews.ca/news/11457778/us-government-shutdown-economy-impact-canada/ https://globalnews.ca/news/11457778/us-government-shutdown-economy-impact-canada/"
X Link 2025-10-02T15:06Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-02T15:41Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Data suggest US businesses have absorbed most of the tariff costs through July [----] not foreign sellers. There is very little support for Trumps thesis that foreign sellers are absorbing tariffs by lowering their prices on US imports. More: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/who-paying-trumps-tariffs-so-far-its-us-businesses"
X Link 2025-10-02T17:35Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-03T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-03T13:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Updated: Average US tariffs on China: 57.6% Average Chinese tariffs on US: 32.6% Average US tariffs on the rest of the world: 19.5% Average Chinese tariffs on the rest of the world: 6.5% Details: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart"
X Link 2025-10-03T14:55Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-03T15:41Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts"
X Link 2025-10-03T17:17Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-03T19:02Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Updated research shows that although the inflation increase from tariffs if kept at September rates is temporary the US price level remains higher thereafter than it would have been without the tariffs. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-03T20:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-04T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"If the H-1B change stands the skill penalty on US immigration will bring tremendous harm to the future of all Americansharms that will be too large to conceal. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/new-us-curb-high-skill-immigrant-workers-ignores-evidence-its-likely"
X Link 2025-10-04T13:20Z 106.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Updated: Average US tariffs on China: 57.6% Average Chinese tariffs on US: 32.6% Average US tariffs on the rest of the world: 19.5% Average Chinese tariffs on the rest of the world: 6.5% Details: https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart"
X Link 2025-10-04T14:55Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-04T21:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Erosion of Fed independencesuch as Trump succeeding in pressing the Fed to lower rates further than it would otherwisewould slow US economic growth through most of the next decade & boost inflation through [----]. #PIIECharts"
X Link 2025-10-05T17:17Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-05T19:43Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"We updated past models with September tariffsover a decade total employment will return to baseline eventually but with a permanent structural shift from trade-exposed manufacturing mining & ag to the service sectorlower real wages for all. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-06T01:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"We're tracking Trump's trade war so you don't have to. Check it out: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide"
X Link 2025-10-06T15:09Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-06T16:35Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Updated research shows that although the inflation increase from tariffs if kept at September rates is temporary the US price level remains higher thereafter than it would have been without the tariffs. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-06T20:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"If the tariffs stay at their September levels compared to baseline. 📈Inflation increasesprices of imported goods rise 📉GDP growth slowsimport costs rise incomes of US households & firms fall & foreign demand for US exports declines https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-07T12:38Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long"
X Link 2025-10-07T13:40Z 106.3K followers, 26.7K engagements
"The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-07T16:03Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-07T19:43Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"OCTOBER 14: Maurice Obstfeld joins PIIE Insider LIVE to tariffs as US fiscal policy the future of the US-centric international monetary system & more. Register here to participate live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system"
X Link 2025-10-07T20:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine debt"
X Link 2025-10-08T14:53Z 106.2K followers, [---] engagements
"A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long"
X Link 2025-10-08T15:03Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Maintaining summer [----] tariff rates would have significant macroeconomic implications but likely not intended onesgenerating a large negative supply shock simultaneously raising prices & reducing macroeconomic activity. By @KClausing & Maurice https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-08T16:35Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"🍂Fall meetings start now🍂 Our first event is an expert panel of @ChorzempaMartin Tianlei Huang Mary Lovely & Yeling Tan diving deep into China's economic landscape including the housing market & the country's economic security model. Watch here: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/chinas-economic-outlook-challenges-and-opportunities https://www.piie.com/events/2025/chinas-economic-outlook-challenges-and-opportunities"
X Link 2025-10-08T17:08Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-08T19:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"OCTOBER 14: Maurice Obstfeld joins PIIE Insider LIVE to tariffs as US fiscal policy the future of the US-centric international monetary system & more. Register here to participate live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system"
X Link 2025-10-09T14:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"We're tracking Trump's trade war so you don't have to. Check it out: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/trumps-trade-war-timeline-20-date-guide"
X Link 2025-10-09T15:09Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long"
X Link 2025-10-09T18:34Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
".@KClausing & Maurice Obstfeld examine tariffs fiscal shifts on revenue distribution efficiency & tax administration. Even revenue-maximizing tariffs would be less than 25% of income tax revenue & efficiency losses nearly as large as revenue https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/tariffs-fiscal-policy"
X Link 2025-10-09T19:43Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The Chinese embargo beginning in May [----] on fentanyl shipments stemming from US-China cooperation reduced fentanyl overdose deaths in the US by roughly one-quarter over a three- to five-month period after the announcement. Learn more here: https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/stopping-flow-effects-us-china-cooperation-fentanyl-markets-and https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2025/stopping-flow-effects-us-china-cooperation-fentanyl-markets-and"
X Link 2025-10-10T07:45Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"WATCH: @AdamPosen explains why the substantial inflationary impact from tariffs & deportations has been lagged but is coming. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=NIgo14eQ3zw https://www.youtube.com/watchv=NIgo14eQ3zw"
X Link 2025-10-10T12:49Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"They can call it what they want but its a bailout says Monica de Bolle says of the US-Argentina $20bn financial plan. Its a country in crisis its running out of dollars & the US is giving the country dollars. Thats a bailout by definition. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/us/politics/argentina-bailout-investors.html https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/us/politics/argentina-bailout-investors.html"
X Link 2025-10-10T13:09Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-10T13:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"OCTOBER 14: Maurice Obstfeld joins PIIE Insider LIVE to tariffs as US fiscal policy the future of the US-centric international monetary system & more. Register here to participate live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system https://www.piie.com/events/2025/maurice-obstfeld-trade-and-international-financial-system"
X Link 2025-10-10T14:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Global growth is holding up despite policy headwinds & rising risks. Real global GDP is projected to rise 3.1% in [----] & 2.9% in 2026"
X Link 2025-10-10T19:28Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"The Changing Dollar Regime on October 16: Maurice Obstfeld on the international role of the dollar @MSchularick on the evolving & increasing significance of the euro @GagnonMacro on US debt sustainability & discussion with @AdamPosen. Register: https://www.piie.com/events/2025/changing-dollar-regime-update https://www.piie.com/events/2025/changing-dollar-regime-update"
X Link 2025-10-11T20:55Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"The US tariffs in effect as of September [--] [----] if left in place over the coming decade would result in less American economic output higher prices & lower wages than if they had not been adopted. Read more: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-trade-war-update"
X Link 2025-10-12T13:39Z 106.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Even concrete US interventions are unlikely to save Argentina's peso for long unless they go further than so far promisedthough it might give Milei a rickety bridge through the October election without an embarrassing devaluation. By Maurice Obstfeld: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long"
X Link 2025-10-12T20:17Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Global growth will remain uneven across regions as AI investment cushions the drag from trade tensions & policy uncertainty in the US strong domestic demand sustains growth in India Brazil faces slower growth with tight monetary policy & more. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks"
X Link 2025-10-13T15:00Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Longer term $20bn from the US doesn't solve Argentina's issues because of the nature of its regime Monica de Bolle says. Since it operates with [--] currencies & uses the USD as if it were their own currency they will probably face another dollar https://www.npr.org/2025/10/11/nx-s1-5566745/how-will-trump-rescue-argentinas-economy https://www.npr.org/2025/10/11/nx-s1-5566745/how-will-trump-rescue-argentinas-economy"
X Link 2025-10-14T13:54Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Saudi Arabia's warnings that using frozen Russian assets could harm G7 bond markets is political noise" @elinaribakova saysthe European Central Banks power makes any market threat meaningless. https://www.kyivpost.com/post/61885 https://www.kyivpost.com/post/61885"
X Link 2025-10-14T16:55Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Global growth will remain uneven across regions as AI investment cushions the drag from trade tensions & policy uncertainty in the US strong domestic demand sustains growth in India Brazil faces slower growth with tight monetary policy & more. Read: https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/global-growth-holds-despite-policy-headwinds-and-rising-risks"
X Link 2025-10-14T18:18Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"A $20bn loan from US Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund to Argentina's central bank will not rescue Argentine debt or the peso for long but will allocate US taxpayer money to reducing the losses of global investors who may wish to exit Argentine https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/americas-argentina-rescue-wont-save-peso-long"
X Link 2025-10-15T14:16Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"To repay its IMF creditors& now US government creditors & lenders lined up by BessentArgentina must figure out how to build up $ reserves. It can only do so by exporting more a tall order given the chaotic trading environment Trump foisted on the https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/will-argentina-become-trumps-financial-quagmire https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/will-argentina-become-trumps-financial-quagmire"
X Link 2025-10-16T16:11Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"WATCH: Monica de Bolle explains to @WSJ what the US financial aid to Argentina means: https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/how-trumps-argentina-bailout-risks-billions-for-americans/485B1003-E269-447D-92C3-E8781497F9BA https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/how-trumps-argentina-bailout-risks-billions-for-americans/485B1003-E269-447D-92C3-E8781497F9BA"
X Link 2025-10-16T20:33Z 106.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Early Morning Webcast: EU Commissioner Michel Barnier to Discuss Banking Union and TTIP http://t.co/NQ5jxOFPhk Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET http://ow.ly/xWzYT http://ow.ly/xWzYT"
X Link 2014-06-12T21:35Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"Indian Amb. Taranjit Singh Sandhu introducing @arvindsubraman http://t.co/DQFUz6CkEu"
X Link 2015-03-09T13:23Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"Carmen Reinhart M. Sbrancia: how economies have liquidated govt debt thru financial repression combined w/ inflation http://bit.ly/gTAMSV"
X Link 2011-04-14T17:12Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"Is #Chinas Stock Market Leading the S&P [---] by @JanZilinsky http://blogs.piie.com/china/p=4611#.VrN37V8miVI.twitter http://blogs.piie.com/china/p=4611#.VrN37V8miVI.twitter"
X Link 2016-02-04T16:10Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
""Lack of public trust in the #Feds aggressive monetary easing may have curtailed . the benefits of low rates." http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/ http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/"
X Link 2016-06-16T14:06Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"#Fed: "The value of the U.S. dollar is ultimately founded on trust in the nationand institutionthat issues it." http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/ http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/"
X Link 2016-06-16T14:07Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
""Ethical scandals and even alleged crimes have affected the credibility of many of world's leading central banks." http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/ http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/10/wall-street-to-washington-and-back-again-bernanke-revolving-door-federal-reserve/"
X Link 2016-06-16T14:09Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"#Korea-#China Free Trade Agreement Entails Limited Benefits For Autos https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/korea-china-fta-entails-limited-benefits-autos https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/korea-china-fta-entails-limited-benefits-autos"
X Link 2016-06-22T19:48Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"Low inflation "can be a sign economy is running well below potential while workers wages are stuck in neutral." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/"
X Link 2016-06-29T11:31Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
""Blaming foreigners has become all too common a habit usually a misguided one in todays political landscape." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/"
X Link 2016-06-29T14:22Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
""The Feds efforts to revive a moribund U.S. economy. are not the cause of downturns in the emerging world." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/"
X Link 2016-06-30T20:48Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"US job market "remains plagued by low workforce participation rampant underemployment and long-term joblessness." http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/ http://em-views.com/2016/06/29/the-federal-reserve-cant-be-the-worlds-central-bank/"
X Link 2016-06-30T21:21Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"Starting Over: Post-#Brexit Trade Agreement Partners for the #UK by @ChadBown https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/starting-over-tariffs-post-brexit-trade-agreement-partners https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/starting-over-tariffs-post-brexit-trade-agreement-partners"
X Link 2016-07-14T14:35Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"Given number of open positions and soon-to-expire terms at highest levels Trump could do quite a bit to reshape Fed http://read.bi/2f4yywK http://read.bi/2f4yywK"
X Link 2016-11-27T12:08Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"Watch how the Mexican Peso has depreciated since the US Presidential election @bollemdb"
X Link 2017-01-18T21:33Z 100.1K followers, [---] engagements
"How Long Does It Take to Conclude a Trade Agreement With the US @CarolineFreund https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/how-long-does-it-take-conclude-trade-agreement-us https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/how-long-does-it-take-conclude-trade-agreement-us"
X Link 2017-02-02T21:33Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"GDP growth among NAFTA countries shows how tied their economies are. What does this mean for NAFTA renegotiation http://bit.ly/piie_GuidetoRenegotiatingNAFTA http://bit.ly/piie_GuidetoRenegotiatingNAFTA"
X Link 2017-06-20T15:30Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"Join PIIE at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Nov [--] w/ @jfkirkegaard @nicolas_veron & @cohensetton. Pre-register: http://bit.ly/piie_DeepeningEMU http://bit.ly/piie_DeepeningEMU"
X Link 2017-10-28T16:30Z 100K followers, [--] engagements
"Automobiles are a big part of #NAFTA trade. Find out how the industry was changing before the deal and where NAFTA played a role in this @Trade__Talks episode. http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks21 http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks21"
X Link 2018-02-23T13:34Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"This weeks @Trade__Talks explaining Trumps announcement of new national security import tariffs on steel and aluminum is a must listen. Feat. @JAHillmanGULaw http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks29 http://bit.ly/piie_TradeTalks29"
X Link 2018-03-12T19:40Z 100.1K followers, [--] engagements
"7/ Bigger question: Why is Trump Admin using bilateral surpluses as measure of success Normal in trade to have deficits w/ some countries. Trade deficits go up in good economic times. Mexicos surplus in 94-95 grew as its economy crashed. Not worth it. http://bit.ly/piie_3waystrade http://bit.ly/piie_3waystrade"
X Link 2018-03-15T19:57Z 100.1K followers, [---] engagements
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