# ![@NoelConvex Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1286056726748262401.png) @NoelConvex Noel Smith

Noel Smith posts on X about vix, $vix, $spy, $spx the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1286056726748262401/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1286056726748262401/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +3,047%
- [--] Month [-------] +50%
- [--] Months [-------] +36%
- [--] Year [---------] -42%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1286056726748262401/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1286056726748262401/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +150%
- [--] Month [--] +32%
- [--] Months [---] +67%
- [--] Year [---] +17%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1286056726748262401/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1286056726748262401/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +4.50%
- [--] Month [------] +6.10%
- [--] Months [------] +15%
- [--] Year [------] +48%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1286056726748262401/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1286056726748262401/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [musicians](/list/musicians)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands) 

**Social topic influence**
[vix](/topic/vix), [$vix](/topic/$vix), [$spy](/topic/$spy), [$spx](/topic/$spx), [spx](/topic/spx), [fomc](/topic/fomc), [$cboe](/topic/$cboe), [$zq](/topic/$zq), [$dspx](/topic/$dspx), [futures](/topic/futures)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE)](/topic/$cboe) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [BlueMove (MOVE)](/topic/$move) [JPMorgan Chase (JPM)](/topic/$jpm) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Eclipse (ES)](/topic/$es) [Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)](/topic/$pfe) [Novo-Nordisk (NVO)](/topic/$nvo) [Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)](/topic/$cl) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)](/topic/$lly) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [GrokCoin (GROKCOIN)](/topic/grok) [SmarDex (SDEX)](/topic/$sdex) [SVB Financial Group (SIVBQ)](/topic/$sivb) [GammaSwap (GS)](/topic/$gs) [Mario Coin (COIN)](/topic/$coin) [BlackRock Inc (BLK)](/topic/blackrock)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Lake Tahoe yesterday where the $VIX is 2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1490340413353250824)  2022-02-06T15:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I guess I should fill up my vehicles today $uso $cl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1501644195219447810)  2022-03-09T19:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Fed Funds futures implying 4% terminal rate. $TLT $ZN $ZQ $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1537105579520380929)  2022-06-15T16:11Z 11.5K followers, [--] engagements


"note option skew not at all bid otm $SPX puts are not working. $SKEW $SDEX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1537856823931174912)  2022-06-17T17:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE index bond volatility is quite high relative to $VIX if/when the earnings revisions start coming in we'd expect this to come in with VIX increasing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1545037628428279810)  2022-07-07T13:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE (bond VIX) at GFC levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1547274497677332480)  2022-07-13T17:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Yield Curve very bearish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1547573276200669186)  2022-07-14T13:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"tilting [--] bps. $SPY $SPX $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1563224347287769088)  2022-08-26T17:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Nov [--] #FOMC strongly favors 75bps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1572650209519497216)  2022-09-21T18:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The $CBOE has reduced their minimum increment on their #options on $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1576961495606259713)  2022-10-03T15:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$AKAM rumor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1576963513230057474)  2022-10-03T15:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Dec 14th #FOMC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1583103481245683713)  2022-10-20T14:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"May [----] Fed Funds $ZQ futures imply a terminal rate of 5% (invert the chart in your head as this rate is going up)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1583106049036296199)  2022-10-20T14:41Z 11.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Dec [--] #FOMC time stamp this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1587101342534754304)  2022-10-31T15:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE (think bond $VIX)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1590781678381064192)  2022-11-10T19:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"This post has nothing to do with #FTX whew"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1591498648994852864)  2022-11-12T18:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#SKEW $SDEX options skew is bid #Poland"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1592596730826326017)  2022-11-15T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Open Interest by strike in $SPY right meow not much here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1593636723715547136)  2022-11-18T16:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Sandman7591 @canuck2usa Totally agree. I'm just highlighting that "stuff" is no longer constrained and prices are coming in I'm not saying inflation is done. Peak inflation is behind us but inflation (deglobalization) will be higher for longer than the terminal rate currently implies. $ZQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1603057388960915457)  2022-12-14T16:00Z 11.5K followers, [--] engagements


"May $ZQ fed funds futures"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1603109366923759617)  2022-12-14T19:27Z 11.5K followers, [--] engagements


"#vol smash (hulk voice) $SPY $SPX $VIX VIX9D Surface contango'd and civilized"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1605583732466888710)  2022-12-21T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This is still a problem imagine your personal "volatility" if you didn't know if you'd have access to credit or could afford the terms. $VIX $MOVE $SPY $SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1613921756737335299)  2023-01-13T15:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$PCC put / call ratio spiking on Wednesday .right on schedule. This is not a reach for puts but rather market makers "putting" their interest rate burden on others for a few days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1615723056814764039)  2023-01-18T14:49Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"$MOVE bond vol index 100"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1620525316082118656)  2023-01-31T20:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"March [--] #FOMC let's see how this changes later today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1620789606965968896)  2023-02-01T14:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Aug [----] fed funds say the the terminal rate is [----] $ZQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1625245813235646465)  2023-02-13T21:29Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"used vehicles priced -1.9% . #CPI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1625488456226058246)  2023-02-14T13:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Manheim has used cars up #inflation #recession #deflation #Fed #ES_F #SPX $SPY #0dte #trading #options #Futures $Gamma $GEX #GEX #Gamma #DayTrading #TradingSignals #TradingTips #DayTrader #scalping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1625489452742369280)  2023-02-14T13:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"A lot of premium going to get roasted today. #inflation #recession #deflation #Fed #ES_F #SPX $SPY #0dte #trading #options #Futures $Gamma $GEX #GEX #Gamma #DayTrading #TradingSignals #TradingTips #DayTrader #scalping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1625494161800695812)  2023-02-14T13:56Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Fed Funds terminal rate in Aug [----] 5.25% $ZQ .05% move on #CPI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1625500203565600768)  2023-02-14T14:20Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Note the shift in $ZQ futures for the next two #FOMC meetings in both tenors the 525pbs - 550bps have increased based on the Fed speak today. Also why the market took a dive in the last hour. $SPY $SPX $ES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1626324101647441920)  2023-02-16T20:54Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Aug Fed Fund Futures price 5.3% rate this keeps getting shifted further out in time and higher. $ZQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1626593300240277506)  2023-02-17T14:43Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"note the [--] - [--] yield curve moves in $ZQ both large"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1633159635963346945)  2023-03-07T17:36Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"#FOMC has re-re-changed again with the $KRE $SIVB regional bank blowup the chance of a 50bps hike and reversed back down to 25bps.all of this sets up with what I discussed with @leadlagreport about range-defined options trades like #dispersion and/or condors/strangles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1634347855245881344)  2023-03-11T00:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$MOVE Bond Volatility (weekly) at levels not seen since the #GFC in 2008"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1636132750104363008)  2023-03-15T22:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"+25bps favored at the next #FOMC after #ECB raises +50bps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1636357086761353222)  2023-03-16T13:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Think we get to $9 trillion by the end of March #FOMC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1637865997049933828)  2023-03-20T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The market has pretty much fully priced out another rate hike in May $ZQ now just 6%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1639252687144497152)  2023-03-24T13:07Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Ironic that $CBOE options barely trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1641505919187165184)  2023-03-30T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Note the $ZQ futures change on jerbs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1644321666082951168)  2023-04-07T12:50Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Your thoughts on the Goldman 📈 bull case via $AAPL new 4% savings plan It could not be any easier to move money from X bank to Goldman via the Apple Savings plan.moreover why wouldn't you Seems like easy money for Goldman. $GS Why earn .25% at $JPM if $GS gives you 4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1648470511498981377)  2023-04-18T23:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$FOXA on the #FoxNews #TuckerCarlson departure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1650536422074621952)  2023-04-24T16:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ZQ futures don't care about #CPI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1656278136378781699)  2023-05-10T12:40Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"The probability of an additional #FOMC rate hike at the June [--] meeting (5.25-5.50) has increased significantly in the last day. $ZQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1659184551460237320)  2023-05-18T13:09Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"$UVXY 1:10 reverse split https://www.proshares.com/press-releases/proshares-announces-etf-share-splits https://www.proshares.com/press-releases/proshares-announces-etf-share-splits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1666660982754787329)  2023-06-08T04:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$ADBE call skew 🍌🍌.meaning if you're buying calls because you think they're going to beat earnings you can be correct in that ADBE stock goes up but you can still lose on your calls"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1669404334596186115)  2023-06-15T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$ADBE earnings history. We have no position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1669405064258285569)  2023-06-15T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ADBE Straddle = $37 ref $490"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1669405850379911168)  2023-06-15T18:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"ye olde yield curve more inverted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1671143289930801152)  2023-06-20T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Does the #Blackrock #Bitcoin ETF mean that $GBTC goes to NAV seems like it could"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1671565392739971074)  2023-06-21T17:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ThinkingGreeks #Blackrock has an amazing record of getting their ETFs approved (shows that hard work and slow grinding pay). If $BLK is successful it should compress volatility and release some regulatory pressure very bullish. If by some miracle they get rejected #Bitcoin / #crypto will get"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1671566965587218434)  2023-06-21T17:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$BITX Bitcoin 2X is live today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1673691079554777089)  2023-06-27T13:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Yield curve after GDP updates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1674411726035636229)  2023-06-29T13:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Spot-volatility correlation via MS QDS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1674509246292193280)  2023-06-30T02:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$JHEQX for Sep [--] [----] strikes. This is the $JPM collar trade on the $SPX. Really only matters if we're very close to strike near expiration"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1676960307913326593)  2023-07-06T14:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$PFE down from [----] and unchanged from [----] levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1677795091287789568)  2023-07-08T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Why would #Powell be dovish at #FOMC tomorrow Inflation will prob creep up from here look at base effects of the CPI Oil Housing Commodities the Dollar etc. Now an additional hike (after tomorrow) is not even 50/50 and cuts are on the radar for early [----]. I say hawkish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1683984579647127552)  2023-07-25T23:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@SamanthaLaDuc @Citrini7 and there ya go thank you I was looking around but this is exactly what I was looking for. Now please just tell me what calls to buy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1686485001792258048)  2023-08-02T03:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$ZB (Bond futures options OZB) volatility very bid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1686753350811811840)  2023-08-02T14:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Me Mike Green @profplum99 and Harley Bassman @ConvexityMaven of @SimplifyAsstMgt sit down at the @EQDerivatives conference. It was my pleasure to speak with them both their depth and breadth are impressive. https://www.convexam.com/post/video-noel-smith-interview-with-simplify-at-eqd-las-vegas https://www.convexam.com/post/video-noel-smith-interview-with-simplify-at-eqd-las-vegas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1687109767846916098)  2023-08-03T14:34Z [----] followers, 28.8K engagements


"Yield curve 10-2s steepening fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1688570183970172928)  2023-08-07T15:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"What % of Xwitter is bots talking to bots All one big nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1689014814717493248)  2023-08-08T20:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Short gamma works both ways $SPX @spotgamma"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1689639924939821056)  2023-08-10T14:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@NickTimiraos $ZQ futures agree"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1689647449756041216)  2023-08-10T14:38Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@leadlagreport But the above statement I respectfully disagree. Most accounts can't sell naked options in size market makers watch their risk way more tightly than retail. Hedge Funds/prop/institutions aren't going to have a blowout risk on their books for a one-day VaR shock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1689756004932898817)  2023-08-10T21:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The #FOMC hawkish tone will put a bid into J-Hole vol. #jacksonhole"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1691875576267813242)  2023-08-16T18:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Money Markets giving 5%+ why bother with treasuries More liquid don't have to hold to maturity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1692975983010210114)  2023-08-19T19:05Z [----] followers, 18.6K engagements


"$ADSK $SNOW $NVDA earnings today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1694440615344476267)  2023-08-23T20:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Albey17Lazo When things do things that are mathematically out of their expected range it often will cause a change in risk. Being long gamma can be great but it's very hard to hold. I don't think anyone had $NVDA unch'd on the day I didn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1694882046550888777)  2023-08-25T01:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"options flow is bearish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1695078881353728226)  2023-08-25T14:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$NVDA bullish options flow stock price doesn't care. liquidity is absurd (high)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1695119178750140546)  2023-08-25T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"via Mandy Xu @CBOE on 0dte: On average market maker positioning is fairly de minimis with net gamma exposure ranging from $170mm to $670mm throughout the day. To put that number in context S&P futures trade around $400bn a day so were talking about potential hedging flows that make up between 0.04% to 0.17% of the daily S&P futures liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1699764045501595754)  2023-09-07T12:38Z 11.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@_berggeit_ @jessefelder if I had to guess no. the real way is to establish voice relationships with trading desks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1701278160774635808)  2023-09-11T16:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Tomorrow's #CPI might be confusing for some; inflation is supposed to go up 3.2-3.6 because of oil but ex-oil it's supposed to go down 4.7-4.3"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1701579815252644108)  2023-09-12T12:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Who is bullish Real Estate What is your rationale (Single family homes in the US)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1701784958430502978)  2023-09-13T02:28Z [----] followers, 10K engagements


"After #CPI the market is mostly saying that the rate hike cycle is likely over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1701947687741071642)  2023-09-13T13:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$MGM properties in Vegas under ransomware attack. Prob avoid if you can"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1702102025088217536)  2023-09-13T23:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Dude launched a QQQ put selling ETF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1702809567195725975)  2023-09-15T22:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"0dte are profitable $CBOE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1704132147215528121)  2023-09-19T13:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"What's the chance @elonmusk buys US Steel $X just for the stock ticker symbol Not zero"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1704179162813190457)  2023-09-19T17:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Why would #Powell have a dovish tone tomorrow Seems like a no brainer for him to be hawkish. #FOMC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1704244530126745990)  2023-09-19T21:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"More discussion of not cutting (higher for longer) than additional hikes. Note that the $ZQ (FF) futures have increased the likelihood of another hike. #FOMC #Powell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1704576353335656483)  2023-09-20T19:20Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"#FOMC future meetings current probabilities #InterestRates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1704876450791522451)  2023-09-21T15:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$JPM collar levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1704897894258810977)  2023-09-21T16:38Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements


"@RodGordilloP @sdav1986 Macro is tough to make money because the crowd is usually right. I can say that macro did help push us to risk-off in Jan [----] so I'm not a hater.and who doesn't love a cogent argument"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1705606287831269658)  2023-09-23T15:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@_berggeit_ @RodGordilloP @sdav1986 Im not afraid to hold beer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1705941410028105929)  2023-09-24T13:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Today [----] personal VIX @40"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1706335040605716969)  2023-09-25T15:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"so are we all buying $SPX [----] .cool see ya there. $JHEQX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1706727551949996436)  2023-09-26T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@petenajarian and me on the floor of the $CBOE I told him I'd send this pic. I'm in front with glasses and Pete is dead center easy to spot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1706841519477678144)  2023-09-27T01:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@petenajarian and me on the floor of the @CBOE Pete is easy to see in the middle and I'm in front with glasses trading. I told him I'd share this pic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1707026834049872104)  2023-09-27T13:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$JHEQX the $JPM collar strikes for Dec [--] [----] Expiry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1707853132276109610)  2023-09-29T20:21Z [----] followers, 32.5K engagements


"The chance of a rate hike is still slowly coming in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1709203508963270707)  2023-10-03T13:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"30-Year Mortgage rates what % of would-be home buyers are signing up for 8%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1709592779423375607)  2023-10-04T15:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If everyone that is striking or threatening to go on strike gets what they want wages will go up then the goods and services they provide will also go up. The bond market/CPI will price accordingly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1709692177402810455)  2023-10-04T22:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"If you were legally given (and ignoring ethics for this hypothetical) this morning's Jobs numbers yesterday how would you have come positioned into today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1710366127472423309)  2023-10-06T18:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Oil historical note the [----] Yom Kippur War"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1711112796208083172)  2023-10-08T20:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"2% seem light. #oil $CL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1711141035890651224)  2023-10-08T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$PFE imagine you get a PHD is something super hard in [----] get a job at Pfizer and you're unch'd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1712975506294120731)  2023-10-13T23:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Daddy daughter hike"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1713707047999386004)  2023-10-16T00:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jonweaks Thats nice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1713708436276248759)  2023-10-16T00:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Gamma via MS QDS lots of theta up top"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1713904625311768693)  2023-10-16T13:08Z [----] followers, 21.8K engagements


"@Ksidiii agreed I would not do any technical analysis on VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1714763105329136040)  2023-10-18T21:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was out of town for a week coming home to this was the best part (daughter drew a picture of me and her on the couch)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1716462544305738132)  2023-10-23T14:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"A bit of crash drama at the #Porsche cup series at the #F1 race in #Austin. No injuries thankfully. #COTA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1716553670689735028)  2023-10-23T20:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Think the Yield Curve dis-inverts this week to go positive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1717271320923455780)  2023-10-25T20:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The #LasVegasGP is going to be cool. #sphere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1723392256231739751)  2023-11-11T17:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@heresyfinancial You'd think that $PFE stock would be a little higher than it was [--] years ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1724886055294509138)  2023-11-15T20:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$NVDA straddle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1727076345455464592)  2023-11-21T21:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Would you have a Neuralink (a computer implanted in your brain) and then use ChatGPT like a thought process to be super human If you did it and didn't have adverse effects would you not be the smartest human ever and would that not create a strata of "haves" and "have nots" within our society"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1728059838343909607)  2023-11-24T14:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$PFE down on bad data on their weight loss pill. Unchanged since 1998"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1730594744806613382)  2023-12-01T14:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$PFE vs $NVO (squint to see PFE in orange)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1730596133322600763)  2023-12-01T14:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@spotgamma Getting a Lyft. .I'll see myself out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1731757305442804166)  2023-12-04T19:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Note the probabilities of a cut this coming spring [----]. I'm suspect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1732229618755903952)  2023-12-06T02:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$SPY$SPX rally feels a lot more vicious than [--] bps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1734676348063691115)  2023-12-12T20:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@spotgamma I assume nerdy Rome jokes play well with the vol crowd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1734680207666430407)  2023-12-12T21:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$PFE price is back to [----] levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1734943831576199497)  2023-12-13T14:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Argentine Peso chart inverted to communicate a loss in value relative to $. Hopefully @JMilei can turn things around for Argentina"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1734953629361246665)  2023-12-13T15:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$SPX Dec [--] 0dte [----] p offered at $3.10 55k volume too cheap. No one wants the theta so they're too low (*edit because I typed the wrong price the 4705s)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1737896420106207518)  2023-12-21T18:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I wonder if AI will allow us to talk with dolphins whales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1737989082503143675)  2023-12-22T00:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Gold CHF DXY and Rates all just moved. safety stuff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740046923296616792)  2023-12-27T16:28Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"$JEHQX $JPM collar 39k $SPX [----] calls 4510/3800 put spread.likely will be adjusted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1740833562822312185)  2023-12-29T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$JEHQX the $JPM $SPX collar trade strikes for March 2024:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1740843792658510277)  2023-12-29T21:14Z [----] followers, 17.3K engagements


"Are you going to buy crypto ETF(s) As a way to own the thing not as a short term trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1745169626059940188)  2024-01-10T19:43Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Please note that @noel_convex is NOT me and is trying to use my likeness for some sort of a trading scam. Please report and block this account be skeptical"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1747086378771562765)  2024-01-16T02:40Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Chance of a Mar rate cut getting close to a coin toss"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1747615856828494197)  2024-01-17T13:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"March rate cut idea is now basically a guess slightly more than 50% odds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1747683286930120793)  2024-01-17T18:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$DIS CEO Bob Iger made $31.6m in [----] according to Fox Business News"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1747726636685164657)  2024-01-17T21:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"if the Fed lowers rates that doesn't mean that consumer interest rates (10y) will also have to go down.and you say"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1748071815753470042)  2024-01-18T19:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"weird that there is no $DWAC buy-write ETF prob tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1749524427333886096)  2024-01-22T20:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@TradeVolatility Who paid [---] vol for OTM $DWAC calls 🧐"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1749944029633286636)  2024-01-23T23:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Vol ( $SPX $SPY $VIX $IWM) looks reasonably cheap with; #PCE $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN $AAPL $META #NFP jerbs all coming up. Crash-up vol is still vol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1750570891426267192)  2024-01-25T17:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@MebFaber Now do $PFE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1750629122379010237)  2024-01-25T21:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"So what's fair value of the $VIX if we have a civil war (It's crazy that my fake question is only sort of fake)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1750946694253232225)  2024-01-26T18:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Sayter Mexican companies that NEED Texas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1750957726904295487)  2024-01-26T19:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"regarding a civil war I can't imagine being a soldier (for either side) being told to shoot at and kill some other dude just like me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1750958501818737071)  2024-01-26T19:06Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Ankit_Quant @KrisAbdelmessih I'd say yes. It's tough if you're paying retail commissions though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1751456900921831677)  2024-01-28T04:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@deus_trader @KrisAbdelmessih First thing that comes to mind for me is Convertible Bond arbitrage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1751648180146683917)  2024-01-28T16:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"If you're wondering why the market went up today ( $SPX $SPY $ES $TLT):"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1752082468793143564)  2024-01-29T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$LLY note that $NVO is fine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1752719600905781430)  2024-01-31T15:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Wow #LewisHamilton leaves #Mercedes #F1 and signs with #Ferrari #ferrarif1 $RACE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1753217980555829737)  2024-02-02T00:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"March rate cut odd from 70% likely cut to 19.5% likely cut on #NFP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1753416876934549544)  2024-02-02T13:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If you think that Powell has advanced info on #NFP when he talks on #FOMC Wednesday then one could interpret a hawkish tone from Powell as a high jobs # and a dovish tone as a low jobs number"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1753417617476612102)  2024-02-02T13:58Z 10.8K followers, [----] engagements


"My trading screen setup is going to look like a 1930's typewriter now that the #AppleVisionPro is out. I doubt could wear a VR headset all day but maybe a few generations down the line"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1753567386631106873)  2024-02-02T23:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Thanks $CBOE for my Valentine 💝"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1757907792718160306)  2024-02-14T23:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"So the whole market is teetering on $NVDA next week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1758280217364234555)  2024-02-16T00:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"It's easier to forecast volatility than price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1759618286512431138)  2024-02-19T16:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Opinion: AI will democratize all creativity but for this thread think movies #sora #OpenAI .But I thought an #iPhone and music editing apps like Garageband would have done that with music.it has but not really. Many would say that the best music ever created is not new and the walled garden of record deals recording studios and the large moat around music many years ago still has the best result. So what do we expect with AI a handful of $NVDA chips and a creative spirit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1760011209896800513)  2024-02-20T18:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"A brand new and excellent video on options pricing and the logic behind it. Very well done with high production value. @veritasium"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1762645139124867368)  2024-02-28T01:05Z [----] followers, 18.1K engagements


"I'm surprised $DJT isn't moving up on this hot inflation data a little. Note that the Nov Fed meeting is Nov 7th (after the election). I have no position fwiw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1778067931525763091)  2024-04-10T14:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"it's very considerate of #Iran not to send missiles during market hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1778865957634822505)  2024-04-12T19:21Z [----] followers, 64.9K engagements


"$VIX seems underpriced and I never say that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1779912698337313141)  2024-04-15T16:40Z [----] followers, 30K engagements


"Fairly high internal correlation today $GS stands out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1780012378887012423)  2024-04-15T23:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ES -1.24% after hours now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781135683245031900)  2024-04-19T01:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"oil $CL Israel attacking Iran is what I'm hearing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781137626369794553)  2024-04-19T01:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ZN [--] year notes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781137766312763773)  2024-04-19T01:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$VIX futures"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781138383617786349)  2024-04-19T01:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Israel striking #Iran right now several online sources. $VIX futures +10%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781139549395255696)  2024-04-19T01:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ES E-Mini futures -1.67% on #Israel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781144909510308062)  2024-04-19T02:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Reports that the strikes were "limited" in nature more or less to prove to #Iran that #Israel does have the capability to strike more significant sites if they chose. $ES bouncing and things are deescalating. $GC $VX $ZN $ZB $BTC $CL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1781158672825192760)  2024-04-19T03:11Z 11.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Voting and Government spending could be on Blockchain for accounting purposes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1782555905017475222)  2024-04-22T23:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$LMT earnings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1782735226269024626)  2024-04-23T11:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$TSLA earnings history. ATM straddle = $13.50 right now vs $145.08"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1782854031637139728)  2024-04-23T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$TSLA term structure/vol surface"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1782854810775220717)  2024-04-23T19:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$TSLA vol surface (lighter shaded lines are previous date)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1782855700974301260)  2024-04-23T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"lots of call flow in $SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1785744196416180270)  2024-05-01T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"call flow slowing down meow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1785751170688168314)  2024-05-01T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"-Volatility Hedging-"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1788341953706283125)  2024-05-08T22:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@sdav1986 ha no. but we can trade it in our vol arb book"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1790021604585386457)  2024-05-13T14:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Here is $SPY overnight only vs trading hours only vs buy and hold. I was asked so I figured I'd share:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1790110876416225469)  2024-05-13T20:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Do you think meme stonks take market share from $BTC meaning as they go up #Bitcoin goes down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1790373055170240662)  2024-05-14T13:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$AMC & $GME rallying after hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1790475496595357725)  2024-05-14T20:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Why anyone would short these names is beyond me not buying makes sense but straight short the stock yikes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1790486343421993240)  2024-05-14T20:56Z [----] followers, 68.4K engagements


"Buy Jun [--] $DJT straddles BREAKING: Trump and Biden both agree to debate each other on June [--] BREAKING: Trump and Biden both agree to debate each other on June 27"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1790758726976115135)  2024-05-15T14:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@FinanceLancelot [----] and today are a very different setup that vol event was an artifact of VIX ETPs and known hedging mechanics hard to borrows esp after equity close at [--] pm CST. This is not the same"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1791275934554726486)  2024-05-17T01:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Video game gift idea for a 10-year-old PS5. She liked Minecraft. Is Roblox suitable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1794367008747946309)  2024-05-25T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"from Red Bull but a crazy pic personal $VIX = 10000000000000"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1795844755362107607)  2024-05-29T15:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@hmeisler Inch by inch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1796203053311234390)  2024-05-30T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Trump guilty futures don't care. $ES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1796288179021963368)  2024-05-30T21:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$ES on #Trump guilty verdict"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1796288876925112610)  2024-05-30T21:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Blackrock and #Citadel: https://cointelegraph.com/news/blackrock-citadel-back-texas-stock-exchange https://cointelegraph.com/news/blackrock-citadel-back-texas-stock-exchange"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1798389991049232416)  2024-06-05T16:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$NVDA market cap = $3 Trillion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1798435338278654228)  2024-06-05T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#DDay firmest possible salute 🫡 to the brave young men that risked it all during #WW2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1798883093417222573)  2024-06-07T01:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"July rate cut is priced out now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1799102883012694106)  2024-06-07T15:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@neurocor Me I do not work at CBOE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1799117922914443276)  2024-06-07T16:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"dude is driving the stock market kinda"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1799118405808878015)  2024-06-07T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Note that $VIX 18th futures expire on TUESDAY the 18th not the normal 19th because of the #Juneteenth holiday. @RussellRhoads pointed this out on the @Options podcast. Tell your computer friends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1799141867956965564)  2024-06-07T18:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@TheRoaringKitty i don't understand"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1799955109025325545)  2024-06-10T00:01Z [----] followers, 144.8K engagements


"@treygahigh @TheRoaringKitty When it came out so I guess this is on me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1799956556878053562)  2024-06-10T00:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$AAPL vol $VIX calc style"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1800252911391531080)  2024-06-10T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$COR3M as a rough proxy for the P&L on #Dispersion trading. Inverted to show the normal direction of the trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/NoelConvex/status/1800946025890238743)  2024-06-12T17:39Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements

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