[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @NarutoSunni 0xAbstract 0xAbstract posts on X about kalshi, prediction markets, market, onchain the most. They currently have XXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::1658931258/interactions)  - X Week XXXXX -XX% - X Month XXXXXX -XX% - X Months XXXXXXXXXX +179% - X Year XXXXXXXXXXX +293% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1658931258/posts_active)  - X Week XX -XXXX% - X Month XXX -XX% - X Months XXXXX +10,633% - X Year XXXXX +32,100% ### Followers: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::1658931258/followers)  - X Week XXX +3% - X Month XXX +5.30% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1658931258/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) XXXXX% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) XXXX% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) XXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) XXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks) XXXX% **Social topic influence** [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #276, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #1294, [market](/topic/market) 9.62%, [onchain](/topic/onchain) 9.62%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) #2835, [congress](/topic/congress) 5.77%, [flow](/topic/flow) 5.77%, [hedging](/topic/hedging) #167, [ban](/topic/ban) 3.85%, [leaderboard](/topic/leaderboard) XXXX% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@itstruy](/creator/undefined) [@river4fun](/creator/undefined) [@billionsntwk](/creator/undefined) [@buckgoe2403](/creator/undefined) [@tr_ynhi99](/creator/undefined) [@billymcgrath24](/creator/undefined) [@mememaxfi](/creator/undefined) [@wonniembm](/creator/undefined) [@sanbtc1512](/creator/undefined) [@kaitran_94](/creator/undefined) [@jaym9x](/creator/undefined) [@rudorebel](/creator/undefined) [@opengradient](/creator/undefined) [@riverdotinc](/creator/undefined) [@predmtrader](/creator/undefined) [@maxcarozza](/creator/undefined) [@kalshis](/creator/undefined) [@coinbase](/creator/undefined) [@perceptronntwk](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [MemeCore (M)](/topic/$m) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Bill.com Holdings, Inc. (BILL)](/topic/$bill) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "Tried using @Kalshi today as a real-time policy barometer small experiment that turned into a mini lesson on how markets price political risk Walkthrough: - Found the "Members of Congress banned from trading stocks" market sitting around XX% (clearly visible price volume tickers) - Placed a small $XX contract to see slippage and execution speed - Watched price move within minutes after a fresh filing/rumor spread tightened liquidity felt deeper than I expected for a niche political outcome Why I liked it: - Clean market UX for scanning outcome probabilities - Price updates are immediate and" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2002909224876245241) 2025-12-22T01:09Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Good morning fam Tried out @Kalshi seriously this month small hedge on "Congress trading ban 2026" (market sitting XX% which shocked me) and a fun long on "Elon = first trillionaire" (their implied prob is XX% which feels absurd and informative at the same time). Felt like trading options on headlines: quick fills transparent probabilities and every price move taught me more about how people price policy risk and headline-driven stock flows like $TSLA Platform UX is clean settlement is predictable and the regulatory noise (shoutout to recent @coinbase filings arguing CFTC jurisdiction)" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2002911532485878253) 2025-12-22T01:18Z XXX followers, XX engagements "If memecoins had a maturity roadmap this is it Mint unlimited MaxPacks Game theory checked XX% fee + smart unlocks = brakes on farm-and-dump Meme culture + onchain cadence makes hype infrastructure KaitoAI attention - discovery not vanity MemeCore unlocks reward builders not swings Protocol-grade meme flow Not a fling - actual rails for long-term meme liquidity Time to stack build stop flipping $M @MemeMax_Fi #DeFi" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2002938337456517405) 2025-12-22T03:04Z XXX followers, XX engagements "this is the DePIN playbook i want to see reward signal not click farms X mins validating = rep + $PERC trickle idle minutes - scarce provenance 150K leaderboard kills mercs - real economic moat quiet validation compounds accuracy not volume commute validation = stealth alpha phone in pocket patience grind who's stacking by Jan XX @PerceptronNTWK #DePIN #AI" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2002971523611845029) 2025-12-22T05:16Z XXX followers, XXX engagements "Last month I moved most of my event trading onto @Kalshi after papertrading a few election and macro contracts for a week I started small $XX tests to feel the UX watch pricing and see settlement cadence. What kept me was the clarity: every view is forced into a probability markets resolve on rules and trade feedback loops actually teach you what you dont know TLDR: - Clean UI for sizing conviction fast - Regulated contract paths that reduce tail surprises - Markets act like a coordination layer they dont just price outcomes they sync expectations Its changed how I form opinions: instead of" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003027181455503617) 2025-12-22T08:57Z XXX followers, XX engagements "I started using @Kalshi to stop guessing and start numbering uncertainty. Spent a couple weeks trading political and tech event contracts the biggest surprise was how quickly prices absorb rumors filings and on-chain moves. Treating a price as a live probability forced me to size risk differently and hedge headline-driven volatility on $BTC & $ETH days Built a tiny routine: find a market read the implied probability scan linked sources then decide trade hedge or research. Its not perfect but its honest every opinion comes with a price and that discipline changed the way I interpret breaking" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003050930493907447) 2025-12-22T10:32Z XXX followers, XXX engagements "Pulled @Kalshi probabilities into my daily read stack this week and wow news cycle said one thing markets had priced a XX% different outcome Built a tiny oracle pipe to paste market URLs and pull implied probs into a little dashboard Now I see tempo rumors and conviction change in real time instead of waiting for take pieces Saw the BTC 100k market at XX% and it actually made me reframe risk for my $BTC exposure The trick isnt worshipping the number its asking whats already baked in then decide to fade hedge or double down Prediction markets are doing the job of headlines but faster If" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003068152004178279) 2025-12-22T11:40Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Something finally clicked about markets this week prediction markets feel less like gambling more like a public research notebook you can trade on I started treating @Kalshi like a calendar: FOMC prints CPI and that weird Congress trading ban market with a XX% print. Small stakes staggered limit buys as price drifts take profits around XX 70%. Took a quiet +35% on an FOMC bet by not overtrading and sticking to hard-date outcomes Specifics that changed my patience: $BTC 100k showed XX% on Kalshi and time-bound markets actually force you to number uncertainty instead of yelling at headlines Who" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003090647176396825) 2025-12-22T13:10Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Tried hedging inflation risk on @Kalshi last month my first time using a prediction market to move an actual macro position not to gamble What surprised me: the discipline. Live positions crystal-clear settlement rules deep orderbooks. My hedge filled fast slippage was negligible and the price behaved like a real risk instrument. Traders there really act like risk engineers not gamblers The signal quality matters too. Their CPI forecasts are about XX% more accurate than consensus and XX XX% better during shocks and liquidity has exploded (think $50B annualized in 2025 vs $300M in 2024). Thats" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2004133036280238310) 2025-12-25T10:12Z XXX followers, XXX engagements "Tried hedging a small macro bet and a football prop on @Kalshi this week and came away more impressed than I expected. Execution felt clean spreads were tight enough to matter and the regulated rails made settlement painless which for someone managing real exposure is the difference between a toy and a tool Whats remarkable is how that product tradeoff plays out at scale. You can feel the liquidity: headlines about $50B annualized in 2025 and $5.8B monthly dont read like vaporware when youre filling orders. No governance token theatrics just markets that update probabilities in real time. For" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2004177350414438814) 2025-12-25T13:08Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Pulled @Kalshi numbers this morning and it hit me how fast a tiny newsline becomes a priced reality Vibe trading not gambling I ran the same hypothesis three ways: my gut on-chain flow then market price Markets had already moved pricing a XX% counter-narrative before my sources finished their sentence That gap is where you either fade hedge or double down Kalshi feels like the short-term terminal in my toolkit Fast conviction quick feedback and I can iterate a thesis in hours instead of weeks Also means your prep has to be faster no heroics just repeatable setups and exit rules If you want" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003087742893490353) 2025-12-22T12:58Z XXX followers, XX engagements "quietly been stacking meme posts and light quests on @MemeMax_Fi lately and actually seeing progress daily points add up faster than i expected leaderboard moved a few spots and rewards landed clean after voting phase one delivered real allocations (top XXX shared 200k $M) and now phase two talks about an extra $800K in $M for the top XXX creators feels tangible not just hype i also tested the perp mechanics in small size leverage is clean execution fast and the market reacts to narrative momentum in a way that makes trading culture feel like an edge again this isnt just farming stickers; its" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003634262063612204) 2025-12-24T01:10Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Tried a holiday-season market on @Kalshi this week a silly Mariah vs underdog playlist bet and learned something simple: timing trumps size. Liquidity actually congregates around narrative peaks spreads tightened and a small well-timed stab turned into a clean scalp. The seasonal edge isnt magic its attention + execution What stuck with me more than the trade was the rails. Saw someone wire up a prediction frontend on top of Kalshi in a couple hours using a tokenization layer that composability turns ideas into live markets ridiculously fast. Prediction markets are becoming product" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003641278253453585) 2025-12-24T01:38Z XXX followers, XX engagements "gm holiday traders i accidentally stumbled into a seasonal edge on @Kalshi christmas song markets. put a tiny bet to test the water watched liquidity shift when a classic hit the top of streaming playlists then scalp-ed a small win. felt like finding a mispriced weather front; timing and odds move faster than you think also been watching the macro side: traders pricing an XX% chance of no Jan 2026 rate cut which is telling for positioning into year-end #macro risk tips if you want to play this: size small watch timezone playlist spikes use limit fills and treat seasonal markets like" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003716593713598679) 2025-12-24T06:37Z XXX followers, XX engagements "I stumbled onto @Kalshi after reading a headline about trading CPI expectations on-chain figured it was a novelty so I put $1000 in to learn the mechanics. Three months later Im not just better at parsing Fed speak Ive learned how resolution rules regulated custody and market structure change the game. Watching a record S&P print while hedging macro outcomes feels like a different skill set than scrolling headlines Kalshi being a regulated venue with an $11B valuation and a Solana integration matters its where traditional market rules meet experimental products. Ive met traders who treat" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003768918893338645) 2025-12-24T10:05Z XXX followers, XXX engagements "Tbh I signed up for @Kalshi months ago and only really started using it this week. What hit me isn't the wins or losses it's the filtering. A handful of markets move most drift. Watching which probabilities compress as resolution nears taught me where to focus attention and where to stop caring which saved time and real emotional energy Its not a sportsbook; its permission to trade probability enter and exit and manage risk around events you actually care about. The fact theyre going multichain (BNB Arbitrum integrations) means those hedges and insights scale with cheaper settlement and" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003836179565715778) 2025-12-24T14:32Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Tried something different this week used @Kalshi to actually see what traders were pricing for the January Fed decision and it changed how I sized positions Odds showed XX% for the Fed holding rates and that number isn't just chatter it's a market-priced expectation you can trade off. I scanned the contract checked how open interest moved after the CPI print sized a small hedge in duration then trimmed equity beta into the next macro data slate. No hero bets just information edge applied with risk limits If you trade macro or just want a clearer read on consensus search the Fed contracts on" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003956964712501693) 2025-12-24T22:32Z XXX followers, XX engagements "@ItsTruy @billions_ntwk @Wonnie_mbm_ gm lurkers stacking quiet wins before the flip to builders hits different" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003990327343174009) 2025-12-25T00:45Z XXX followers, XX engagements "@ItsTruy @billions_ntwk @Wonnie_mbm_ gm silent stacks turn into loud legacies when the wave hits" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003992363551862944) 2025-12-25T00:53Z XXX followers, XX engagements "@Hughie_X @Kalshi Probabilities as the universal macro language is the real paradigm shift Kalshi building the pipes on-chain building the infinite composability layer on top Regime ownership szn incoming" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2004176190760968360) 2025-12-25T13:03Z XXX followers, X engagements "this is the cheat code for cutting 2h noise into 20m focus co-pilot turning messy macro + onchain into a readable playbook moves you from reacting to executing preset watchlist funding alerts wallet heatmap onerule walkaway if no trigger two-step 20m test: confirm inflow then wallet delta holds then size trim emotional exposure resize entries stack protocol points while market sleeps 20m is the new 2h when your edge is sharp feels illegal $EDGE $ETH Aura" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2003697071027859772) 2025-12-24T05:19Z XXX followers, XX engagements "tested the new Tria flow inside @billions_ntwk today heres the stupidly simple playbook if you want leaderboard momentum and actual $BILL Open Billions Rewards Reserve Tria Create a Tria account with your email Verify your Tria username in Bills Instant XX $BILL for signup and if you apply for the Tria Visa card (min $20) you unlock 1000 $BILL + $XX reserved Power Points tick up. leaderboard credit matters theyre using a 3M leaderboard and the campaign ends XX Jan 2026 whats nice: no daily claim circus anymore this feels like a real reserve mechanism not clickbait. privacy-first proofs still" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2004014101497106613) 2025-12-25T02:19Z XXX followers, XX engagements "i started using @Kalshi not to gamble but to actually hedge narrative risk thought experiments turned into tradable prices and it changed how i size positions their CPI and macro markets started flashing divergences before selloffs; statistically their forecasts run XX% more accurate than consensus and jump to XX XX% better during shocks so those odds aren't just chatter they're real signals i can act on then you see the rest of the stack moving Coinbase doubling down Gemini Predictions live in all XX states liquidity numbers blowing up (think $50B annualized weekly volumes $1B) that matters" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2004127347323424922) 2025-12-25T09:49Z XXX followers, XX engagements "Using @Kalshi daily changed how I read macro noise regulated prediction markets move slower to list but they surface conviction you can actually trade against I started with election and CPI markets then watched them absorb real capital: $5.8B volume in November and a reported push into the #BNB ecosystem felt like validation that this isnt vapor narrative Enforcement matters: resolved markets with real settlement raise the cost of being wrong Signal power: when Kalshi diverges from consensus theres a high chance of a market move the kind you can act on Accuracy edge: crowd pricing can be 40%" [X Link](https://x.com/NarutoSunni/status/2004214030811168786) 2025-12-25T15:33Z XXX followers, XX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@NarutoSunni 0xAbstract
0xAbstract posts on X about kalshi, prediction markets, market, onchain the most. They currently have XXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXX #
- X Week XXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXXXXXXX +179%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXXX +293%
Mentions: XX #
- X Week XX -XXXX%
- X Month XXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXX +10,633%
- X Year XXXXX +32,100%
Followers: XXX #
- X Week XXX +3%
- X Month XXX +5.30%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance XXXXX% cryptocurrencies XXXX% celebrities XXXX% technology brands XXXX% stocks XXXX%
Social topic influence kalshi #276, prediction markets #1294, market 9.62%, onchain 9.62%, liquidity #2835, congress 5.77%, flow 5.77%, hedging #167, ban 3.85%, leaderboard XXXX%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @kalshi @itstruy @river4fun @billionsntwk @buckgoe2403 @tr_ynhi99 @billymcgrath24 @mememaxfi @wonniembm @sanbtc1512 @kaitran_94 @jaym9x @rudorebel @opengradient @riverdotinc @predmtrader @maxcarozza @kalshis @coinbase @perceptronntwk
Top assets mentioned MemeCore (M) Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) Bill.com Holdings, Inc. (BILL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"Tried using @Kalshi today as a real-time policy barometer small experiment that turned into a mini lesson on how markets price political risk Walkthrough: - Found the "Members of Congress banned from trading stocks" market sitting around XX% (clearly visible price volume tickers) - Placed a small $XX contract to see slippage and execution speed - Watched price move within minutes after a fresh filing/rumor spread tightened liquidity felt deeper than I expected for a niche political outcome Why I liked it: - Clean market UX for scanning outcome probabilities - Price updates are immediate and"
X Link 2025-12-22T01:09Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Good morning fam Tried out @Kalshi seriously this month small hedge on "Congress trading ban 2026" (market sitting XX% which shocked me) and a fun long on "Elon = first trillionaire" (their implied prob is XX% which feels absurd and informative at the same time). Felt like trading options on headlines: quick fills transparent probabilities and every price move taught me more about how people price policy risk and headline-driven stock flows like $TSLA Platform UX is clean settlement is predictable and the regulatory noise (shoutout to recent @coinbase filings arguing CFTC jurisdiction)"
X Link 2025-12-22T01:18Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"If memecoins had a maturity roadmap this is it Mint unlimited MaxPacks Game theory checked XX% fee + smart unlocks = brakes on farm-and-dump Meme culture + onchain cadence makes hype infrastructure KaitoAI attention - discovery not vanity MemeCore unlocks reward builders not swings Protocol-grade meme flow Not a fling - actual rails for long-term meme liquidity Time to stack build stop flipping $M @MemeMax_Fi #DeFi"
X Link 2025-12-22T03:04Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"this is the DePIN playbook i want to see reward signal not click farms X mins validating = rep + $PERC trickle idle minutes - scarce provenance 150K leaderboard kills mercs - real economic moat quiet validation compounds accuracy not volume commute validation = stealth alpha phone in pocket patience grind who's stacking by Jan XX @PerceptronNTWK #DePIN #AI"
X Link 2025-12-22T05:16Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"Last month I moved most of my event trading onto @Kalshi after papertrading a few election and macro contracts for a week I started small $XX tests to feel the UX watch pricing and see settlement cadence. What kept me was the clarity: every view is forced into a probability markets resolve on rules and trade feedback loops actually teach you what you dont know TLDR: - Clean UI for sizing conviction fast - Regulated contract paths that reduce tail surprises - Markets act like a coordination layer they dont just price outcomes they sync expectations Its changed how I form opinions: instead of"
X Link 2025-12-22T08:57Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"I started using @Kalshi to stop guessing and start numbering uncertainty. Spent a couple weeks trading political and tech event contracts the biggest surprise was how quickly prices absorb rumors filings and on-chain moves. Treating a price as a live probability forced me to size risk differently and hedge headline-driven volatility on $BTC & $ETH days Built a tiny routine: find a market read the implied probability scan linked sources then decide trade hedge or research. Its not perfect but its honest every opinion comes with a price and that discipline changed the way I interpret breaking"
X Link 2025-12-22T10:32Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"Pulled @Kalshi probabilities into my daily read stack this week and wow news cycle said one thing markets had priced a XX% different outcome Built a tiny oracle pipe to paste market URLs and pull implied probs into a little dashboard Now I see tempo rumors and conviction change in real time instead of waiting for take pieces Saw the BTC 100k market at XX% and it actually made me reframe risk for my $BTC exposure The trick isnt worshipping the number its asking whats already baked in then decide to fade hedge or double down Prediction markets are doing the job of headlines but faster If"
X Link 2025-12-22T11:40Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Something finally clicked about markets this week prediction markets feel less like gambling more like a public research notebook you can trade on I started treating @Kalshi like a calendar: FOMC prints CPI and that weird Congress trading ban market with a XX% print. Small stakes staggered limit buys as price drifts take profits around XX 70%. Took a quiet +35% on an FOMC bet by not overtrading and sticking to hard-date outcomes Specifics that changed my patience: $BTC 100k showed XX% on Kalshi and time-bound markets actually force you to number uncertainty instead of yelling at headlines Who"
X Link 2025-12-22T13:10Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Tried hedging inflation risk on @Kalshi last month my first time using a prediction market to move an actual macro position not to gamble What surprised me: the discipline. Live positions crystal-clear settlement rules deep orderbooks. My hedge filled fast slippage was negligible and the price behaved like a real risk instrument. Traders there really act like risk engineers not gamblers The signal quality matters too. Their CPI forecasts are about XX% more accurate than consensus and XX XX% better during shocks and liquidity has exploded (think $50B annualized in 2025 vs $300M in 2024). Thats"
X Link 2025-12-25T10:12Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"Tried hedging a small macro bet and a football prop on @Kalshi this week and came away more impressed than I expected. Execution felt clean spreads were tight enough to matter and the regulated rails made settlement painless which for someone managing real exposure is the difference between a toy and a tool Whats remarkable is how that product tradeoff plays out at scale. You can feel the liquidity: headlines about $50B annualized in 2025 and $5.8B monthly dont read like vaporware when youre filling orders. No governance token theatrics just markets that update probabilities in real time. For"
X Link 2025-12-25T13:08Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Pulled @Kalshi numbers this morning and it hit me how fast a tiny newsline becomes a priced reality Vibe trading not gambling I ran the same hypothesis three ways: my gut on-chain flow then market price Markets had already moved pricing a XX% counter-narrative before my sources finished their sentence That gap is where you either fade hedge or double down Kalshi feels like the short-term terminal in my toolkit Fast conviction quick feedback and I can iterate a thesis in hours instead of weeks Also means your prep has to be faster no heroics just repeatable setups and exit rules If you want"
X Link 2025-12-22T12:58Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"quietly been stacking meme posts and light quests on @MemeMax_Fi lately and actually seeing progress daily points add up faster than i expected leaderboard moved a few spots and rewards landed clean after voting phase one delivered real allocations (top XXX shared 200k $M) and now phase two talks about an extra $800K in $M for the top XXX creators feels tangible not just hype i also tested the perp mechanics in small size leverage is clean execution fast and the market reacts to narrative momentum in a way that makes trading culture feel like an edge again this isnt just farming stickers; its"
X Link 2025-12-24T01:10Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Tried a holiday-season market on @Kalshi this week a silly Mariah vs underdog playlist bet and learned something simple: timing trumps size. Liquidity actually congregates around narrative peaks spreads tightened and a small well-timed stab turned into a clean scalp. The seasonal edge isnt magic its attention + execution What stuck with me more than the trade was the rails. Saw someone wire up a prediction frontend on top of Kalshi in a couple hours using a tokenization layer that composability turns ideas into live markets ridiculously fast. Prediction markets are becoming product"
X Link 2025-12-24T01:38Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"gm holiday traders i accidentally stumbled into a seasonal edge on @Kalshi christmas song markets. put a tiny bet to test the water watched liquidity shift when a classic hit the top of streaming playlists then scalp-ed a small win. felt like finding a mispriced weather front; timing and odds move faster than you think also been watching the macro side: traders pricing an XX% chance of no Jan 2026 rate cut which is telling for positioning into year-end #macro risk tips if you want to play this: size small watch timezone playlist spikes use limit fills and treat seasonal markets like"
X Link 2025-12-24T06:37Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"I stumbled onto @Kalshi after reading a headline about trading CPI expectations on-chain figured it was a novelty so I put $1000 in to learn the mechanics. Three months later Im not just better at parsing Fed speak Ive learned how resolution rules regulated custody and market structure change the game. Watching a record S&P print while hedging macro outcomes feels like a different skill set than scrolling headlines Kalshi being a regulated venue with an $11B valuation and a Solana integration matters its where traditional market rules meet experimental products. Ive met traders who treat"
X Link 2025-12-24T10:05Z XXX followers, XXX engagements
"Tbh I signed up for @Kalshi months ago and only really started using it this week. What hit me isn't the wins or losses it's the filtering. A handful of markets move most drift. Watching which probabilities compress as resolution nears taught me where to focus attention and where to stop caring which saved time and real emotional energy Its not a sportsbook; its permission to trade probability enter and exit and manage risk around events you actually care about. The fact theyre going multichain (BNB Arbitrum integrations) means those hedges and insights scale with cheaper settlement and"
X Link 2025-12-24T14:32Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Tried something different this week used @Kalshi to actually see what traders were pricing for the January Fed decision and it changed how I sized positions Odds showed XX% for the Fed holding rates and that number isn't just chatter it's a market-priced expectation you can trade off. I scanned the contract checked how open interest moved after the CPI print sized a small hedge in duration then trimmed equity beta into the next macro data slate. No hero bets just information edge applied with risk limits If you trade macro or just want a clearer read on consensus search the Fed contracts on"
X Link 2025-12-24T22:32Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@ItsTruy @billions_ntwk @Wonnie_mbm_ gm lurkers stacking quiet wins before the flip to builders hits different"
X Link 2025-12-25T00:45Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@ItsTruy @billions_ntwk @Wonnie_mbm_ gm silent stacks turn into loud legacies when the wave hits"
X Link 2025-12-25T00:53Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"@Hughie_X @Kalshi Probabilities as the universal macro language is the real paradigm shift Kalshi building the pipes on-chain building the infinite composability layer on top Regime ownership szn incoming"
X Link 2025-12-25T13:03Z XXX followers, X engagements
"this is the cheat code for cutting 2h noise into 20m focus co-pilot turning messy macro + onchain into a readable playbook moves you from reacting to executing preset watchlist funding alerts wallet heatmap onerule walkaway if no trigger two-step 20m test: confirm inflow then wallet delta holds then size trim emotional exposure resize entries stack protocol points while market sleeps 20m is the new 2h when your edge is sharp feels illegal $EDGE $ETH Aura"
X Link 2025-12-24T05:19Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"tested the new Tria flow inside @billions_ntwk today heres the stupidly simple playbook if you want leaderboard momentum and actual $BILL Open Billions Rewards Reserve Tria Create a Tria account with your email Verify your Tria username in Bills Instant XX $BILL for signup and if you apply for the Tria Visa card (min $20) you unlock 1000 $BILL + $XX reserved Power Points tick up. leaderboard credit matters theyre using a 3M leaderboard and the campaign ends XX Jan 2026 whats nice: no daily claim circus anymore this feels like a real reserve mechanism not clickbait. privacy-first proofs still"
X Link 2025-12-25T02:19Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"i started using @Kalshi not to gamble but to actually hedge narrative risk thought experiments turned into tradable prices and it changed how i size positions their CPI and macro markets started flashing divergences before selloffs; statistically their forecasts run XX% more accurate than consensus and jump to XX XX% better during shocks so those odds aren't just chatter they're real signals i can act on then you see the rest of the stack moving Coinbase doubling down Gemini Predictions live in all XX states liquidity numbers blowing up (think $50B annualized weekly volumes $1B) that matters"
X Link 2025-12-25T09:49Z XXX followers, XX engagements
"Using @Kalshi daily changed how I read macro noise regulated prediction markets move slower to list but they surface conviction you can actually trade against I started with election and CPI markets then watched them absorb real capital: $5.8B volume in November and a reported push into the #BNB ecosystem felt like validation that this isnt vapor narrative Enforcement matters: resolved markets with real settlement raise the cost of being wrong Signal power: when Kalshi diverges from consensus theres a high chance of a market move the kind you can act on Accuracy edge: crowd pricing can be 40%"
X Link 2025-12-25T15:33Z XXX followers, XX engagements