#  @Namzes_G Namzes Namzes posts on X about $spx, spx, we are, target the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::818887188/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +70% - [--] Month [-------] -59% - [--] Months [---------] +49% - [--] Year [---------] -11% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::818887188/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -48% - [--] Month [--] -27% - [--] Months [---] +43% - [--] Year [---] -7.10% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::818887188/followers)  - [--] Week [------] +1.40% - [--] Month [------] +2.10% - [--] Months [------] +24% - [--] Year [------] +41% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::818887188/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 44.95% [stocks](/list/stocks) 16.51% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 11.01% [countries](/list/countries) 9.17% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 5.5% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #4082 [currencies](/list/currencies) 4.59% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 0.92% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 0.92% [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) 0.92% **Social topic influence** [$spx](/topic/$spx) #73, [spx](/topic/spx) 15.6%, [we are](/topic/we-are) 13.76%, [target](/topic/target) #1758, [cycle](/topic/cycle) #96, [bullish](/topic/bullish) #659, [vix](/topic/vix) #197, [the new](/topic/the-new) 7.34%, [stocks](/topic/stocks) #4023, [in the](/topic/in-the) #1655 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@traderpamplona](/creator/undefined) [@mrworldwide3056](/creator/undefined) [@kikitaly](/creator/undefined) [@ralphkaz](/creator/undefined) [@m0d3rnpr0bl3ms](/creator/undefined) [@mfwarder](/creator/undefined) [@fejauinc](/creator/undefined) [@newzage](/creator/undefined) [@jos2032](/creator/undefined) [@econstratpb](/creator/undefined) [@cryptohodler16](/creator/undefined) [@raoulgmi](/creator/undefined) [@bitteljulien](/creator/undefined) [@turintrader](/creator/undefined) [@quadcarl](/creator/undefined) [@fcbarcelona](/creator/undefined) [@rabadearwin](/creator/undefined) [@dampedspring](/creator/undefined) [@marketplunger1](/creator/undefined) [@tinformernews](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE)](/topic/$ie) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [Ramaco Resources, Inc. Common Stock (METC)](/topic/$metc) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Took some chips off $SHNY over 40% gain. $GLD hanging man candle above BB could be local top. This nice up nicely with potential resolution of Greenland noise. $GC_F #gold #Gold $GC_F with a shallow consolidation (I was looking for deeper sell) after rate cut and Fed balance sheet expansion set up bullishly as long we stay above [--] EMA the set up is to rise further into mid-Q1 [----] seasonally bullish window -18M cycle is still rising -Added back https://t.co/7uhf0XVoZa #Gold $GC_F with a shallow consolidation (I was looking for deeper sell) after rate cut and Fed balance sheet expansion set up" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2014049179186659392) 2026-01-21T18:55Z 18.3K followers, 14.4K engagements "$TASI $KSA Saudi Arabia Tadawul Index [----] Forecast 1) It's highly correlated with oil so has my interest for intermarket analysis and potential LT investment opportunity: -Main projection from Sep [----] has worked well flagging April and late Q4 buy points. I've extended it into 2026: focus on positioning of lows not peaks. -Seasonality is very bullish Mar-Apr (same as oil) -18M cycle low was due around end of [----] (see oil) and potentially just happened on Jan [--]. In that case we should see an impulse move higher. -As with oil positioning of longer 4Y cycle remains unclear it should be" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2015207685017190506) 2026-01-24T23:38Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "2) $DXY following Trump's first term exceptionally well (red path). Which also lines up with cycle analysis - suggesting multi quarter low in $USD should be forming in Q1 [----] and a sizable rally to start some time in Q2. Price also sits on this multi year channel support:" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2015806182221352977) 2026-01-26T15:17Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "Took a bit more off gold today above $5K as gold volatility $GVX blowing up to highest level since [----]. I dont think its the top yet but like taking partial profits when technical are stretched. Took some chips off $SHNY over 40% gain. $GLD hanging man candle above BB could be local top. This nice up nicely with potential resolution of Greenland noise. $GC_F #gold https://t.co/WL4WXg0XBq Took some chips off $SHNY over 40% gain. $GLD hanging man candle above BB could be local top. This nice up nicely with potential resolution of Greenland noise. $GC_F #gold https://t.co/WL4WXg0XBq" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2015904371045720101) 2026-01-26T21:47Z 18.3K followers, 18.9K engagements "18) $VIX outlook: $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears https://t.co/mtDt7lGwDf $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2016254678770524372) 2026-01-27T20:59Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "17) $TNX playbook: higher rates and curve steepening in H2 2026: ๐ฎ $TNX 10Y #bonds #rates [----] Forecast -As outlined in [----] forecast we are due 18M cycle low in long rates around now (either formed in Oct [----] or will happen in Q1 [----] we need to see a few more months to determine where it is after the fact). Long rates should go higher in https://t.co/hTHs5rIKO7 ๐ฎ $TNX 10Y #bonds #rates [----] Forecast -As outlined in [----] forecast we are due 18M cycle low in long rates around now (either formed in Oct [----] or will happen in Q1 [----] we need to see a few more months to determine where it is" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2012201554271486217) 2026-01-16T16:33Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "$VIX 40d cycle is in peaking zone and next 40D low would fall around H1 Feb -Base assumption is that Dec [--] was las 80D cycle low (shown in bottom panel) -Note $Vix has unfilled gap and $VX futs from month had [--] unfilled gaps (lower one [-----] from contract roll in Jan) $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears https://t.co/mtDt7lGwDf $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2014080639989948802) 2026-01-21T21:00Z 18.3K followers, 28.5K engagements "1) Notable underperformance of big tech last few weeks. Short thread ๐งต : $FANG Index is overdue 40W cycle low (other indices bottomed Nov 20-21) -Price testing 200DMA / weekly support -14D RSI most oversold since Mar-Apr [----] -Possible new cycle already failing and being left translated but it's a good spot for reversal (cont.) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014186865025286203 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014186865025286203" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2014186865025286203) 2026-01-22T04:02Z 18.3K followers, 11.1K engagements "$SOX semiconductor index reached [----] target as we got the move off the tariff crash / Wyckoff spring: -We are in a peaking window for 3.5Y cycle with negative divergence on weekly forming -Price is 2+ SD above AVWAP from April [----] lows -84% above 200WMA (4SD on [--] year look back) -Limited upside is still there bullish seasonality ST cycle still rising potentially could hit upper channel but wise to tighten stops -I am using Dec [----] high in $SMH $SOXX as daily pivot / early warning sign -If correction does play out this year [---] WMA (white line) is where we historically saw major buy points." [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2014818563056664605) 2026-01-23T21:52Z 18.3K followers, 11.4K engagements "3) Commercials (red) have been accumulating long $DXY positions and just started selling - suggesting a multi-month trend move could lie ahead (opposite of what we see in $EUR) -CTAs (blue) were max short dollar at [----] year end and just started covering" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2015807629348557303) 2026-01-26T15:22Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "Silver looked like local top intraday but again dont think its the top. IMO short pullback then higher into mid Feb seasonal peak. Real demand from industrial use in China and Shanghai premium still significant. Yet retail rushing to sell not real mania ๐ง At what price would you sell your physical silver ๐คท๐ปโ Took a bit more off gold today above $5K as gold volatility $GVX blowing up to highest level since [----]. I dont think its the top yet but like taking partial profits when technical are stretched. Took a bit more off gold today above $5K as gold volatility $GVX blowing up to highest" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2015924549691343212) 2026-01-26T23:07Z 18.3K followers, 12.5K engagements "4) 40D peak likely in place - heading into 40d cycle low: $VIX 40d cycle is in peaking zone and next 40D low would fall around H1 Feb -Base assumption is that Dec [--] was las 80D cycle low (shown in bottom panel) -Note $Vix has unfilled gap and $VX futs from month had [--] unfilled gaps (lower one [-----] from contract roll in Jan) https://t.co/aMpotVWjCY $VIX 40d cycle is in peaking zone and next 40D low would fall around H1 Feb -Base assumption is that Dec [--] was las 80D cycle low (shown in bottom panel) -Note $Vix has unfilled gap and $VX futs from month had [--] unfilled gaps (lower one [-----] from" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2016254456938000552) 2026-01-27T20:58Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "18M cycle low in #natgas confirmed and came right on time. Front month contract hit $7+ and has now been rolled and is trading sub $4 which gives decent upside still next few weeks. NatGas Equities havent really moved so have an opportunity to DCA. Longed some Feb #NatGas this morning sub [----] with tight SL. Thesis Its cold outside ๐ https://t.co/r965ov7mGW Longed some Feb #NatGas this morning sub [----] with tight SL. Thesis Its cold outside ๐ https://t.co/r965ov7mGW" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2016555257703157774) 2026-01-28T16:53Z 18.3K followers, 12.9K engagements "$MLX.AX $MLXEF locking most of the gains as I think cycle is in the final innings before a multi month correction. Price did almost 6x from '22 lows and reached 100% extension from '22 top and reached new ATH. Could still run a bit more into mid-Feb given panic buying of #tin but wise to raise cash if we do get a mini down cycle price could easily get back to [---] WMA. H/T @TraderPamplona for flagging it back in [----] ๐ Doubt this happens again but if last cycle were to repeat $MLX.AX would do this https://t.co/YsuxLqtYkv Doubt this happens again but if last cycle were to repeat $MLX.AX would" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2017064373152342170) 2026-01-30T02:36Z 18.3K followers, 15.5K engagements "$WHC.AX $WHITF trying to breakout. [----] AUD [----] ATH. 20+ AUD in [--] years #coal #coaltwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1738042819673980947) 2023-12-22T03:44Z 18.1K followers, 23.1K engagements "Had [--] of my stocks bought out in [--] month ( $STLC.TO and $FIL.TO $FLMMF). Looking out next 6-12 months out I see [--] more targets: [--]. $AFM.V $AFMJF (no brainer strategic buy for tin supply for the Chinese). I think $1.50 does it the deal. [--]. $X - no brainer several bidders. $55 now the buyout floor. [--]. $ASTL - too cheap here. Sitting duck in the industry thats consolidating. Bonus: $VALE - $TECK - on the news something will come out $VALE trading like rocks and wants to unlock higher multiples. Disclosure: I am long all [--] of the above and $VALE NFA" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1818376372651221278) 2024-07-30T20:01Z 18.3K followers, 15.9K engagements "I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1909397254265274504) 2025-04-08T00:05Z 18.1K followers, 146.8K engagements "$LYB LyondellBasell Industries Chemicals should be near the end of cyclical decline. Have been watching it and $DOW -12% divy yield -60% from [--] highs -Weekly [--] exhaustion signal in Nov -capitulation volume and near monthly support -Broke DTL longer DTL is ahead -Not sure if we get [--] more undercut towards high 30s as base is a bit short an I want to see weekly chart quiet down and volume to taper off showing sellers exhaustion. but Id look for signs of accumulation next few Qs and more sustained breakout some time in H2 [----] https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008577522519416935" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2008577522519416935) 2026-01-06T16:32Z 18.1K followers, 10.4K engagements "$MOS Apr [----] was likely 4-5 year cycle low -18M cycle low due now -Weekly breakout and retest; want to see daily strength / close above [--] DMA -Clean weekly structure but could see more basing in mid-2026 and undercut of $20 to create a spring giving cheap LT entry -On deep value watch list as IMO has multi x upside next few years https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008602196292534630 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008602196292534630" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2008602196292534630) 2026-01-06T18:10Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "Missed out on $ZIM but scanned shipping / tankers stocks picked $DSX Diana Shipping as early breakout stock. Some of these names are in long term bottoming phase not going to happen overnight. Expect breakouts and retests throughout the year and a trend move to start perhaps later in the year. -40W cycle low likely formed -Longer 4-5 year cycle potentially bottomed in April [----] A higher low late this summer-fall would confirm/provide clarity https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009380033207374325 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009380033207374325" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2009380033207374325) 2026-01-08T21:41Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "$CLX Clorox checking in on my deep value watch list: -Positive divergence on daily/daily [--] exhaustion and closing above [--] DMA with positive ST PA -Seasonal strength till mid-late Feb -Dividend aristocrat with 4.7% TTM div yield which I believe is the highest in company history; [----] forward PE -Monthly deeply oversold but volume still increasing - likely needs 2-3 Qs to quiet down and base -Base case is it rallies here towards 200DMA (112-120) and then undercut recent lows and test $90 cluster zone. $66 would be next big demand zone -From cycles perspective it looks like we are in a bearish" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2009668739663323360) 2026-01-09T16:49Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "@TraderPamplona Dont respond to the critics king All high conviction trades were multi baggers. Filo AFM MLX etc Tailed you in $TLO.TO $IE $KCP.V . Pamps fam eating good ๐ซฐ๐ผ. But ppl rather punt shitcos" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2013741571921850598) 2026-01-20T22:32Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "@ralphkaz @m0d3rnpr0bl3ms There has been dispersion within tech sector and even within semis. They havent run together. I simply think RR for being long $SOXL at this specific spot is not appealing any more and $MAGS $FNGU looked much better looking next few weeks out" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2014449531220312558) 2026-01-22T21:26Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements "@mrworldwide3056 Own both" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2016564631657934971) 2026-01-28T17:30Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements "@kikitaly Grazie mi bello" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2017767145816371481) 2026-02-01T01:09Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) ๐ Buy points Feb [--] and second half of Mar (ideal date is Mar 28). This is primary buy point for the year setting up final leg up for the cycle ๐ Minor buy point June [--] โ Major top July [--] then Aug [--] ether lower high or double top/divergent high with [----] min target I outlined a few times past [--] years & [----] upside target ๐ฏ" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1872505841527501245) 2024-12-27T04:52Z 18.3K followers, 878.5K engagements "One curious divergence Ive noted past week is Saudi $TASI #tadawul index making multi month lows while oil (purple) is back to multi month highs. Its only [--] piece of the puzzle of course. PS Some retail bought oil on Sunday in weekend trading at $81+ Now -20% in [--] day ๐ $TASI #tadawul $KSA Saudi index broke above 200DMA. Watch follow through to break out of this giant triangle giving significant upside next few quarters. It leads oil by 1.5-2 months. https://t.co/EMmvA1lR1q $TASI #tadawul $KSA Saudi index broke above 200DMA. Watch follow through to break out of this giant triangle giving" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1937283351020265601) 2025-06-23T22:55Z 18.3K followers, 17.8K engagements "2026 forecast: 25% bear market and recovery -Overall structure I see: head fake in Q1 multi-month liquidation Q4 rally -Up till Feb [--] (7250-7400 $SPX) then look for topping signs/divergences -Mar [--] minor low -Early warning sign that market has topped is acceptance below [----] which takes us to 6144; below it we go to low 5K [---] Potential key low dates: July [--] and Oct [--] where I see 3.5Y cycle low -July is likely a major low followed by a big rally; Oct - lower low that is divergent giving cleaner entry [-----] target; extreme low range is 4600-4800; upper range is 5400-5600 -Big rally in Q4" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2006473740939571520) 2025-12-31T21:13Z 18.3K followers, 229.6K engagements "$DXY [----] Projection: -In [----] I was looking for early peak and decline into July-Aug low (we got July-Sep double bottom). It was much weaker than I expected - due to tariff escalation and rotation into metals and local markets -Main idea for [----] is that dollar should put an 18M cycle low some time between Feb-Mar and start a sharp rally into early fall (bottom panel) -DXY low could coincide with a peak in risk assets per pinned [----] forecast -Red is a projection from June [----] ๐ฎ $DXY [----] projection (smoothed trend): ๐กpullback in Jan as part of shorted [--] day/20w cycles ๐ก Push higher" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008765637208789146) 2026-01-07T05:00Z 18.3K followers, 31.2K engagements "๐ฎ $TNX 10Y #bonds #rates [----] Forecast -As outlined in [----] forecast we are due 18M cycle low in long rates around now (either formed in Oct [----] or will happen in Q1 [----] we need to see a few more months to determine where it is after the fact). Long rates should go higher in H2 [----] -Deficit still running 6% of GDP and NGDP potentially accelerating above 5% this year it's hard to get excited about long end bonds. With the new Fed chair coming in mid-2026 there will be a green light from Fed policy makers to support Trump's agenda to run the economy hot while lowering rates -If we connect" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2009702489143099588) 2026-01-09T19:03Z 18.3K followers, 15.5K engagements "$VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears to have lengthened the last [--] years and you can see negative correlation in 5/7 last cycles -I re-ran analysis using all history including data from 24-25 and cycle length indeed lengthened and now [--] days produces better fit (blue line in top panel). That would suggest 80D low is still ahead around Jan 20-22. Because of" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2010131354789269671) 2026-01-10T23:27Z 18.3K followers, 58.7K engagements "We are 95% into the bull run & in a topping window for the 3.5Y cycle so I used last few days to lock gains & reposition retirement accounts into MMFs/T-bill. The last miles is hardest if market has 5% upside next few weeks it might not be worth risk to me given 20%+ downside. The next 5-6 weeks will be best buying opportunity for risk assets next 2+ years ๐ฎ [----] [--] [--] The next 5-6 weeks will be best buying opportunity for risk assets next 2+ years ๐ฎ [----] [--] 4" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2022044081200017443) 2026-02-12T20:24Z 18.3K followers, 59.5K engagements "@Jos_2032 SPX BTC TNX at the time of the post" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2022055976376185028) 2026-02-12T21:11Z 18.3K followers, [---] engagements "@EconstratPB ๐ซก I think this is still the case for 2-2.5 years Uncomfortable truth that macro bears dont want to admit: economy actually accelerating. Initial claims dropping. Inflation peaked. Rates and dollar peaked. Fed hawkish due to inertia and not wanting conditions to ease too much. Keep saying: Recession is years away. https://t.co/08v3qH1wCZ Uncomfortable truth that macro bears dont want to admit: economy actually accelerating. Initial claims dropping. Inflation peaked. Rates and dollar peaked. Fed hawkish due to inertia and not wanting conditions to ease too much. Keep saying:" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2022674191196340445) 2026-02-14T14:08Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "๐ฎ [----] forecast: finding similar historical periods / years to predict the future. If you find this thread helpful please retweet. All charts were made in Dec [--] to avoid spilling into [--] 1) $DJI Dow Jones Historical composite projection using most similar years (monthly data)" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1879644840742600799) 2025-01-15T21:40Z 18.1K followers, 57.1K engagements "4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop:" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1879647076424061155) 2025-01-15T21:49Z 18.1K followers, 52.9K engagements "16) Tactical $SPX view: -I assumed Dec [--] was [--] week cycle low; so expected price to rise into Jan opex peak -Given undercut of lows on Jan [--] most likely cycle peak will be a bit further out in early or even mid Feb -Stats are excellent: 94% win rate 6-7% upside (n=16) which takes us to 6200s target -Seasonality supportive during that period" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1880041738510746000) 2025-01-16T23:57Z 18.1K followers, 54.4K engagements "If you are wondering why Trump has been so pro crypto you are now seeing. 1) Enrichment of his family and insiders 2) Expansion of liquidity in lieu of QE IF they decide to adopt crypto / $BTC for any official government purposes. The new paper wealth is used to funnel money for secret CIA operations outside of Congress funding as well as enrich insiders. Its one of the reasons they never banned tether $USDT despite obvious scam (just read NY AG report etc). Its state sanctioned and allowed to exist" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1880719208671281316) 2025-01-18T20:49Z 18.1K followers, 30.3K engagements "@mfwarder Dipped toes in $AMR There is only [--] #coalking" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1891558371133628446) 2025-02-17T18:40Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements "Many Uraniums trading at Dec [----] levels ๐ $URA - The largest trade since inception fired today at a swing low and arrived as a dark pool sweep indicating both urgency and a desire to remain concealed. Shorting in the hole with such size is atypical. This presents best as covering or buying. Longs safe above $24.66. https://t.co/j7dG0HLoMh $URA - The largest trade since inception fired today at a swing low and arrived as a dark pool sweep indicating both urgency and a desire to remain concealed. Shorting in the hole with such size is atypical. This presents best as covering or buying. Longs" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1894474820256964856) 2025-02-25T19:49Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "Dont want to be hand holding already provide too much info but many are asking 10x a day when market will bottom and we are at critical juncture. I havent changed my pinned forecast or timing since I called update at mid Jan low. ๐ก We got our SPX 10% correction slightly ahead of schedule after early year fake out to ATH so bulk of the drop is behind us we are in the final innings of this correction with the market looking to bottom here next 2-3 weeks ๐ก They need time to offload utilities stapes etc and buy big tech semis and cyclicals so it will likely be more of a W bottom rather than V" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1899922095280447593) 2025-03-12T20:35Z 18.1K followers, 49.8K engagements "March [--] ๐ ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) https://t.co/YdxDe7DxXG ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) https://t.co/YdxDe7DxXG" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1905689175418175881) 2025-03-28T18:31Z 18.1K followers, 38.8K engagements "IMO this is the last bear trap of the cycle I think even bigger bear trap is about to start - before we launch I think even bigger bear trap is about to start - before we launch" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1907427065671905665) 2025-04-02T13:37Z 18.1K followers, 31K engagements "Art of the deal ๐ Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers as they say they did. Instead for every country they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers as they say they did. Instead for every country they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1907574968776306703) 2025-04-02T23:24Z 18.1K followers, 32.2K engagements "$SOXX over [--] SD below [--] DMA -42% top to bottom drop -COVID crash was -37% [---] bear was -48% and [---] weeks longer -Price is back to Nov [--] breakaway candle and pretty much all downside projections have been reached - $SOX near bottom of the channel -Today is day [---] from Oct [----] low Monday is day [---]. Average cycle length for 18M cycle is [---] days anything beyond [---] days is pushing upper limits Ideally we get a shakeout post election into late Nov low and setup the big leg up into [----]. Current $SPX EPS estimates are $268 so with current multiples my old target of [----] would be doable. A" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1908191694270443531) 2025-04-04T16:15Z 18.1K followers, 28.4K engagements "IMO Bottom is due (I wont be able to tell until after the fact). We experienced a full blown crash with [--] huge gap downs. Ideally we bottom tonight or tomorrow in US session and then can start building structure above. Markets bottom on bad news and rally when news becomes less bad they just need something to cling to. Ironically I was expecting [----] SPX last August and didnt expect us to go this deep in this expected window of weakness. But large picture view is that this test of Jan [----] ATH is completely normal. Survive next week to live to see the other side of the crash. ๐ฎ 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1909030728559706193) 2025-04-06T23:49Z 18.1K followers, 186.5K engagements "Translation: we already intervened and will formally announce non-QE QE in a matter of days. Try to survive the next few weeks so you get to see markets recovery back to ATH. SCHMID: FED WATCHING MARKETS MINUTE BY MINUTE TO ENSURE LIQUIDITY KEEPS FLOWING SCHMID: FED WATCHING MARKETS MINUTE BY MINUTE TO ENSURE LIQUIDITY KEEPS FLOWING" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1910444628521648360) 2025-04-10T21:27Z 18.1K followers, 21.4K engagements "Once again QE is imminent. Your job as an investor is to live several months in the future and not today. $MAGS $SMH $QQQ $BTC etc @cryptohodler16 QE is imminent we are talking days. @cryptohodler16 QE is imminent we are talking days" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1910691272047710221) 2025-04-11T13:47Z 18.1K followers, 33.9K engagements "Notice market stopped reacting to bad news (China retaliation) while reaction to positive news is skewed to the upside (tariff pause) -All news ahead will likely be less bad -Markets stop panicking when central bankers panic (we had multiple Fed members come out and said they are worried about liquidity and potential interventions in equity and bond markets) -Trump and Bessent panicking as they are losing confidence of the market businesses and approval ratings are dropping policy messaging is poor no one wants to be in a room with a monkey with a grenade -We had strong rise in global" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1910853561170210991) 2025-04-12T00:32Z 18.1K followers, 35.1K engagements "First tariff pause was worth about 10% SPX move -China pause will be worth about 10% -Firing Navarro and Lutnik 5% each -Trump posting NASDAQ ATH 10% Takes us to [----] SPX by Sep (Only half joking btw bc thats what market wants to see). Key level in my work is around [----]. Above it we unlock upside projections towards [----]. IMO Bottom is due (I wont be able to tell until after the fact). We experienced a full blown crash with [--] huge gap downs. Ideally we bottom tonight or tomorrow in US session and then can start building structure above. Markets bottom on bad news and rally when news becomes" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1911426199017971899) 2025-04-13T14:28Z 18.1K followers, 55.4K engagements "Based on global liquidity expansion in Q1 I now assign 80% probability to $BTC making new ATH. We should also see financial conditions easing translate into higher asset prices next few months. I still think the next up cycle in BTC into summer top will be final one in this [--] year cycle. @RaoulGMI @BittelJulien ๐ฎ $BTC Update for rest of cycle. Quick thread 1) [--] year cycle should be topping in [----]. Based on previous cycles CT consensus is that it will peak in H2 [----] then down into [----]. Everyone is playing the same script I think 50% chance $BTC already topped for the cycle." [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1911967952850612498) 2025-04-15T02:20Z 18.1K followers, 81.3K engagements "1965 slightly realigned President Johnson imposed a 25% tariff on light trucks such as SUVs and pickup trucks. This tariff was a response to Europe's tax on US chicken imports. 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1912335737569017942) 2025-04-16T02:42Z 18.1K followers, 172.2K engagements "No cycle is exactly the same but the composite of the [--] $SPX periods I thought are similar is shown in pink (1965 [----] 2018). I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1913242312093692412) 2025-04-18T14:44Z 18.1K followers, 60.7K engagements "๐ฎ $SPX projection from Jan [----] with price updated. if Apr [--] low holds it's as close call as I can possible make (Mar [--] was "ideal" low for 10%+ correction). No change - staying the course it's never easy. I understand most cycles guys now think we are in early stages of a secular bear market. I get daily questions on this this is NOT my view. If something changes I will make sure to provide an update. You can't trade someone else's conviction especially when volatility is at multi year highs. I am just trying to post how I am trading it and navigating last phase of the big cycle. PS Ignore" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1913255339731861904) 2025-04-18T15:36Z 18.1K followers, 31.3K engagements "Having a little picnic with the fam and some bird watching in the park Happy Easter for those who celebrate โค" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1913980392232583452) 2025-04-20T15:37Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "Turin thrust Zweig thrust H/T @turintrader ๐ Long https://t.co/emsb0xMi0x Long https://t.co/emsb0xMi0x" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1915757612685000940) 2025-04-25T13:19Z 18.1K followers, 57.9K engagements "@quadcarl I guarantee you someone showed Trump gasoline futures not retail price" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1918421430737547293) 2025-05-02T21:44Z 18.1K followers, 59K engagements "@FCBarcelona I have that Henry Jersey ๐โฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1921633848086986858) 2025-05-11T18:29Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "Heading on vacation ๐๐ผ $SOX 20W cycle peak is due over next few days so I exited semis calls $SMH $NVDA $MU $LRCX $AMD & shares in $SOXL $NVDL I got in March - April. We could grind higher a few % more but due a [--] week type correction. Id look for $SOXX low early Aug $SOXX over [--] SD below [--] DMA -42% top to bottom drop -COVID crash was -37% [---] bear was -48% and [---] weeks longer -Price is back to Nov [--] breakaway candle and pretty much all downside projections have been reached - $SOX near bottom of the channel -Today is day [---] from Oct https://t.co/RcqCtx2wuf $SOXX over [--] SD below [--] DMA" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1943778513620021709) 2025-07-11T21:04Z 18.1K followers, 32.7K engagements "$BTC projection from Dec [--] 2024: ๐ก Price has been following the projected path from December forecast well (fake out in Jan and drop into major low in March - which came slightly later in April) ๐ก 20W cycle peak approaching. A 2-3 week pullback should be buyable with one more leg up in August to follow (we will re-assess around Labor Day Sep 1) ๐ก Leading indicators (in blue) are in sync with cycles ๐ก Measured move target from bull flag breakout is 146K Based on global liquidity expansion in Q1 I now assign 80% probability to $BTC making new ATH. We should also see financial conditions" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1944244969180385379) 2025-07-13T03:58Z 18.1K followers, 42.6K engagements "$SPX UPD ๐กmain idea coming into the year was that we were due 18M cycle low around late March - it came a week later in April. ๐กWe are now approaching timing window for 1st 20W cycle from Apr [--] low - same idea outlined in posts on semis and $BTC is applicable ๐กProjected low is around end of July - early Aug ๐กprojection is from May [----] and cycle has been pretty stable past few years ๐ก Thats it folks this concludes our charts marathon. Im off on vacation. Ill post updates when something changes ๐ก If you find my work helpful please retweet IMO Bottom is due (I wont be able to tell until" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1944262235783631084) 2025-07-13T05:06Z 18.1K followers, 63.1K engagements "$VIX update: 1) 80D cycle low is due next few days and we should see a spike 1st week of Aug. Composite cycle projection from Aug [----] + seasonality (middle panel) both suggest a spike is ahead: $VIX Dec [--] was indeed 80D cycle low. We are now in the new rising cycle. However 40D nominal cycle likely already peaked and should be heading down towards 40D low around mid-Jan [---] day nominal cycle varies in length clustered around [--] days (blue) or [--] days (green - https://t.co/EiDKucPmUq $VIX Dec [--] was indeed 80D cycle low. We are now in the new rising cycle. However 40D nominal cycle likely" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1949123689837994198) 2025-07-26T15:04Z 18.1K followers, 53.6K engagements "To the new followers - welcome Pinned tweet from Dec has a mega thread with links to detailed playbooks for key assets. Lots of other tickers can be found using search. Thanks for retweets PS: I dont have any paid service - report all imposters. ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) https://t.co/YdxDe7DxXG ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ " [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1949946259856363790) 2025-07-28T21:33Z 18.1K followers, 38.3K engagements "$BTC potential path. Minor pullback towards 109-112k highs by Aug 10; then final leg up into [--] year cycle top by mid-September. $BTC projection from Dec [--] 2024: ๐ก Price has been following the projected path from December forecast well (fake out in Jan and drop into major low in March - which came slightly later in April) ๐ก 20W cycle peak approaching. A 2-3 week pullback should be buyable with one more https://t.co/BbIKlFHNN7 $BTC projection from Dec [--] 2024: ๐ก Price has been following the projected path from December forecast well (fake out in Jan and drop into major low in March - which" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1951136377602461782) 2025-08-01T04:22Z 18.1K followers, 45.6K engagements "Intraday outside reversal yesteday likely confirmed local top. Nothing major IMO just a pullback to support to keep people honest. Main Dec path slightly updated this weekend with potential top timing extended into early Sep. $QQQ $SPX UPD ๐กmain idea coming into the year was that we were due 18M cycle low around late March - it came a week later in April. ๐กWe are now approaching timing window for 1st 20W cycle from Apr [--] low - same idea outlined in posts on semis and $BTC is applicable ๐กProjected low is https://t.co/KoHoRNxEXw $SPX UPD ๐กmain idea coming into the year was that we were due" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1951284665957892435) 2025-08-01T14:11Z 18.1K followers, 40.9K engagements "6500 $SPX We talked about this minimum target in discords and here on X last few years. Now the hard part: holding longs until models trigger sell signal and we get some event/macro trigger. Next couple months are critical. @RabadearWin @dampedspring [----] @RabadearWin @dampedspring 6500" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1961169230801560056) 2025-08-28T20:49Z 18.1K followers, 34.7K engagements "Buyers are exhausted The buyers: From this week's Bespoke Report: The S&P [---] has been overbought on 89% of all trading days in the last four months while the Nasdaq has been overbought 93% of the time. https://t.co/IZaqXYOmuY From this week's Bespoke Report: The S&P [---] has been overbought on 89% of all trading days in the last four months while the Nasdaq has been overbought 93% of the time. https://t.co/IZaqXYOmuY" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1969551822982451610) 2025-09-20T23:58Z 18.1K followers, 65.9K engagements "#Oil just range bound: main buy point likely mid-Dec where cycles and seasonality sync up. Interestingly pretty solid PA in energy space some accumulation going on across oil / offshore -Dec is potentially the spot to load up on energy: it's the first time I see we could have sustained capital rotation from tech/growth into energy. -Green projection is from Apr [----] with price updated -Bottom panel is seasonality $XLE $XOP $USO $UCO $OIH $XES $OILU $OILD #Oil ๐ข updated price for April [----] projection โ Some thoughts for the next few months: ๐ก While big multi year picture remains extremely" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1974124392675242432) 2025-10-03T14:48Z 18.1K followers, 34.5K engagements "$SNAP something going on here love the base and strong weekly volume. Saw some put selling. Longed JAN $12 calls @ .48" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1975250863364186233) 2025-10-06T17:24Z 18.1K followers, 10.7K engagements "@fejau_inc $TMQ was on my list to add to Trump minerals basket today ๐ซ " [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1975305648314458318) 2025-10-06T21:02Z 18.1K followers, 30K engagements "1/2 Posted $TMQ idea in [--] discords last few days as Trump critical minerals play +150% AH ๐ Other longs (many from lower): $:METC $UUUU $TLO.TO $TLOFF $PMET.V $PMETV $ALB $IE Related longs: $LAR $ISO.TO $ISOU Unrelated but cheap $GLO.TO $GLATF Already played out but long: $MP @fejau_inc $TMQ was on my list to add to Trump minerals basket today ๐ซ https://t.co/f3zjbgFLEa @fejau_inc $TMQ was on my list to add to Trump minerals basket today ๐ซ https://t.co/f3zjbgFLEa" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1975324324249641084) 2025-10-06T22:16Z 18.1K followers, 19.9K engagements "Butchered tickers $METC $PMETF" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1975325642356060359) 2025-10-06T22:21Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "Updated [----] $SPX overlay. Broadly on track. Not gonna be perfect to the tick but I think will follow overall structure. If you recall it was my primary best comp I called out in Dec thread: This chart is interesting ๐ This chart is interesting ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1977019881037218122) 2025-10-11T14:34Z 18.1K followers, 39.6K engagements "Updated [----] and [----] $SPX analogues. Both suggest a pullback here is expected into Nov low followed by year end rally: I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1977025285423022290) 2025-10-11T14:55Z 18.1K followers, 19.2K engagements "#Oil now broke offset for 1/2 40W cycle so we have a downside projection of just under $50. Unless it recovers sharply to cross back above it it will likely hit around mid December where we outlined main buy point for the year in energy. Time to get watch / buy lists ready. #Oil just range bound: main buy point likely mid-Dec where cycles and seasonality sync up. Interestingly pretty solid PA in energy space some accumulation going on across oil / offshore -Dec is potentially the spot to load up on energy: it's the first time I see we could have https://t.co/8WI1S11Mmd #Oil just range bound:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1978486914735894712) 2025-10-15T15:43Z 18.1K followers, 38.3K engagements "SPX tagged [----]. Still some higher upside projections outstanding on ES futures but minimum targets have been reached for cash markets for most cycles I track. We walking the last mile here so I think mid-Nov weakness is likely before year end rally. First tariff pause was worth about 10% SPX move -China pause will be worth about 10% -Firing Navarro and Lutnik 5% each -Trump posting NASDAQ ATH 10% Takes us to [----] SPX by Sep (Only half joking btw bc thats what market wants to see). Key level in my work is around [----]. First tariff pause was worth about 10% SPX move -China pause will be worth" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1982273929289851324) 2025-10-26T02:31Z 18.1K followers, 25.7K engagements "1965 [----] [----] $SPX analogues with price updated. The composite path has been bull's eye hit so far. I see [----] getting a lot of love on X lately. Sticking to my December view that [----] will be the main blueprint for 2025+ I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1986638581482340747) 2025-11-07T03:35Z 18.1K followers, 33.6K engagements "$EUFN European banks ETF 61% above [---] WMA. It has never been more than 30% above it. Multi-week divergences have formed since March top. In multi-month topping process after which I expect it to undercut 200WMA (white line). $DAX ATH $NVDA -20% in [--] weeks https://t.co/WXVgj6180w $DAX ATH $NVDA -20% in [--] weeks https://t.co/WXVgj6180w" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1990626832656236747) 2025-11-18T03:43Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "$ANF $KSS $DDS etc retail stocks $XRT posting strong earnings which sets up nicely for other names basing / reversing past few weeks. Consumer is resilient in nominal terms and struggling in real terms. $LULU $EL $NKE $DG $UPST $CMG $PYPL $AMZN $DLTR MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE: US RETAIL SALES EXCLUDING AUTOS WERE UP 4.1% ON BLACK FRIDAY COMPARED TO BLACK FRIDAY [----] MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE: U.S. RETAIL SALES UP +4.1% WITH E-COMMERCE UP +10.4% COMPARED TO [----] MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE: US RETAIL SALES EXCLUDING AUTOS WERE UP 4.1% ON BLACK FRIDAY COMPARED TO BLACK FRIDAY [----] MASTERCARD" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1994844042421743633) 2025-11-29T19:00Z 18.1K followers, 37.6K engagements "#Gold $GC_F with a shallow consolidation (I was looking for deeper sell) after rate cut and Fed balance sheet expansion set up bullishly as long we stay above [--] EMA the set up is to rise further into mid-Q1 [----] seasonally bullish window -18M cycle is still rising -Added back $SHNY $GLD on Dec [--] to catch potentially final leg up in this 18M cycle -Other metals also look pretty bullish here with a potential next key major pivot around Feb opex I think we are close to a major top a metals followed by lengthy consolidation. Silver especially prone to a sharp drop given parabolic rise. Good spot" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1999486904962548082) 2025-12-12T14:30Z 18.1K followers, 31K engagements "16) $SPX #Hurst Cycles Playbook: rally in Q1 mid year correction Q4 rally. July and Oct as potential key lows: ๐ฎ $SPX [----] Cycles forecast. I extended Dec [----] projection to 2026: -We flagged Nov [--] as ideal 40W low back in Oct and Dec [--] serving as confirmation (higher low) which have played out fairly accurately -We are now in the new 40W cycle; and a typical 20W cycle should push https://t.co/nnJvvlMCFH ๐ฎ $SPX [----] Cycles forecast. I extended Dec [----] projection to 2026: -We flagged Nov [--] as ideal 40W low back in Oct and Dec [--] serving as confirmation (higher low) which have played out" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2010019485953208673) 2026-01-10T16:02Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "2) When looking at longer cycles we are due a 40W cycle low in the $VIX (bottom panel) which I think will fall around late Feb - early March. Cycle should then be rising into fall:" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2010134484809855396) 2026-01-10T23:39Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "@m0d3rnpr0bl3ms Only have [--] name Graphite One from much lower and just holding it in my REE / Uranium basket - $GPH.V $GPHOF . Im a tourist so take it with a grain of salt" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2011257967832940710) 2026-01-14T02:04Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements "$SMH $SOXX hitting some upside targets for the current 80D cycle -Exited $SOXL $61:+65% from Dec buys -Its more than [--] SD above AVWAP from April [----] lows (red line) we saw repeated rejections at it over serval Qs -Still long plenty of semis single names $NVDA $AMD etc which have more upside but its a good spot take off 3x leveraged positions and if another entry comes try to re-add. $SOXX $SMH same idea as $SPX -Weve called Nov [--] low [--] weeks in advance and higher low Dec 16-19 (exact date was Dec 17) -Year end we saw controlled low volume sell across the board and a false break on indices." [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2011832038362407269) 2026-01-15T16:05Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "@marketplunger1 Beware of Wyckoff spring in $DXY next few weeks. Timing wise a major low is during next few weeks" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2016264860649070673) 2026-01-27T21:39Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "@kikitaly Is this VIX cycles chart or SPX" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2017661418292560240) 2026-01-31T18:09Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements "Back in Aussi #coal names $WHC.AX $NHC.AX $YAL.AX all set up bullishly Back in $BTU sub $23 At some point this bad boy will join other coal names and rip out of this base. Low risk entry here will add on a close 200DMA. Near seasonal and [--] day cycle low. Elliot dumping off exchange but I think Elliot wall falls #coaltwitter @mfwarder what does https://t.co/Ks4E3trmoW Back in $BTU sub $23 At some point this bad boy will join other coal names and rip out of this base. Low risk entry here will add on a close 200DMA. Near seasonal and [--] day cycle low. Elliot dumping off exchange but I think" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1726616484552876394) 2023-11-20T15:00Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "$WHC.AX $WHITF #coaltwitter breaking out of this consolidation ๐ฅณ Adding more on strength. Seasonals bullish till January" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1727495905731813792) 2023-11-23T01:14Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "$MEG.TO $MEGEF longed it on retest. Back to ATH in early fall $MEGEF: sold this swing for 31% in [--] weeks. It doesnt always go like this but sometimes good habits + luck = instant payout. Good trade is 90% preparation. Still keeping my oil exposure to $SU Suncor energy and $OIH ETF https://t.co/1UZ4ZXgnUR $MEGEF: sold this swing for 31% in [--] weeks. It doesnt always go like this but sometimes good habits + luck = instant payout. Good trade is 90% preparation. Still keeping my oil exposure to $SU Suncor energy and $OIH ETF https://t.co/1UZ4ZXgnUR" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1817018339945750967) 2024-07-27T02:05Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "๐ฎ $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal ๐ก 80D cycle (running [--] days average) is due a low early Sep (red) ๐ก Seasonal low is Nov (pink) ๐ก Longer 40W and 18M due lows Oct-Nov. Last 18M low was May [--] [----] so cycle is right translated. I don't expect [----] AUD low to be breached. ๐ก Coal seasonal low is typically late Q4 ๐ก Most likely scenario is a rally here and a new low or retest to come late in Q4 #coaltwitter $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal breaking out on weekly. Some resistance here but has room to run to [--] AUD #coaltwitter https://t.co/ybSTAh91rn $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal breaking out on weekly. Some resistance" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1829335550676926636) 2024-08-30T01:49Z 18.3K followers, 12.7K engagements "$MEG.TO $MEGEF a bit of a shakeout retesting low [--] CAD base but strong hands accumulating -Breaking above diagonal VTL resistance and closed above 40D FLD confirming 80D cycle low is in place which is also a sign that 18M low is likely behind us -ST resistance here at 200DMA and H&S resistance. Want to see close above and hold and set up move higher but pulling back to [--] would be normal -Next target is 30CAD -Big picture is new 18M cycle has likely started. [-----] CAD last 18M peak Double bottom on weekly suggests that a close above it would create a measured move to 49CAD which would" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1842949996917784789) 2024-10-06T15:28Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements "Time to look for a low in $WHC.AC $WHITF . #Coal should start catching bids with good 6-8 Quarter stretch ahead. Took a starter last night on ASX. China stimmy should be good for all commodities (dah) ๐ฎ $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal ๐ก 80D cycle (running [--] days average) is due a low early Sep (red) ๐ก Seasonal low is Nov (pink) ๐ก Longer 40W and 18M due lows Oct-Nov. Last 18M low was May [--] [----] so cycle is right translated. I don't expect [----] AUD low to be breached. ๐ก Coal https://t.co/9Uif75cqz5 ๐ฎ $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal ๐ก 80D cycle (running [--] days average) is due a low early Sep (red) ๐ก" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1866132423534350394) 2024-12-09T14:46Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "@TinFormer_News @blondesnmoney The trade still carries basis risk. You are exposed to market risk and liquidity risk. Can read GFTC paper describing mechanics or read great threads by expert plumber @conksresearch ๐ https://www.cftc.gov/media/11671/mrac121024_TreasuryCashFuturesBasisTradeReport/download https://www.cftc.gov/media/11671/mrac121024_TreasuryCashFuturesBasisTradeReport/download" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1910120366116053111) 2025-04-09T23:59Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements "In addition to Whitehaven #coal added $NHC.AX $NHPEF New hope with its fat divy. Love the chart too. All coal stocks have similar cycles set up more or less with [--] month low in the fall and now rising in the new 18M cycle. Time to look for a low in $WHC.AC $WHITF . #Coal should start catching bids with good 6-8 Quarter stretch ahead. Took a starter last night on ASX. China stimmy should be good for all commodities (dah) Time to look for a low in $WHC.AC $WHITF . #Coal should start catching bids with good 6-8 Quarter stretch ahead. Took a starter last night on ASX. China stimmy should be good" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1866338609235996869) 2024-12-10T04:26Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "@TraderPamplona had [--] CAD target on $FIL.TO $FLMMF several years ago. Congrats to all HODLers and OGs #copper" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1812867221330239846) 2024-07-15T15:10Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "And there it is: BHP and Lundin Mining to Acquire Filo for C$4.5 Billion (33 CAD) ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ $FIL.TO $FLMMF from first shares I bought its 15x but obvi Ive been adding over last few years so my average is higher. That was my only copper exposure. @TraderPamplona had [--] CAD target on $FIL.TO $FLMMF several years ago. Congrats to all HODLers and OGs #copper https://t.co/YuXfTX7e8K @TraderPamplona had [--] CAD target on $FIL.TO $FLMMF several years ago. Congrats to all HODLers and OGs #copper https://t.co/YuXfTX7e8K" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1818070064874025423) 2024-07-29T23:44Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "The next 5-6 weeks will be best buying opportunity for risk assets next 2+ years ๐ฎ [----] [--] 4" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1580405346400899074) 2022-10-13T03:49Z 18.3K followers, [---] engagements "Multiples will get well above 20x next [--] years. Thats how you get to $6500+ $SPX by [----]. If the October low was the start of a new bull market the pattern makes sense: the earnings valley and subsequent recovery matches the magnitude of the average cycle and the timing. And the P/E expansion is on track as well. If the earnings consensus is correct the market is https://t.co/7VMNKzdIsD If the October low was the start of a new bull market the pattern makes sense: the earnings valley and subsequent recovery matches the magnitude of the average cycle and the timing. And the P/E expansion is on" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1651364878517501963) 2023-04-26T23:17Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "Doubt this happens again but if last cycle were to repeat $MLX.AX would do this" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1777880200929231127) 2024-04-10T02:04Z 18.3K followers, 17.6K engagements "$STLC.TO $STZHF ATH on buyout by $CLF @ [--] CAD trading [-----] this morning. #STEEL booked some gains. Q is do you hold till close of the sale and impact on $CLF (also have shares). I think cyclicals / metals can push higher into second half of July. Steel aluminum tin iron ore. I think cyclicals / metals can push higher into second half of July. Steel aluminum tin iron ore" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1812856458494550018) 2024-07-15T14:27Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "Ideally we get a shakeout post election into late Nov low and setup the big leg up into [----]. Current $SPX EPS estimates are $268 so with current multiples my old target of [----] would be doable. A multiple expansion could give us over [----] $SPX. -I sketched below potential $SOX path. Ideally we test recent lows by end of Nov which would create slingshot move towards [----] with a potential for [----]. Current momentum is shot; buyers either waiting for post election resolution OR sit lower (I think the latter) -Weekly close [----] (240 on $SOXX) would make downside scenario unlikely. $SMH @AVWAPS" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1853283399873482834) 2024-11-04T03:49Z 18.3K followers, 57.4K engagements "$BA should be bottoming here - took a starter position looking for a rally into Q1 [----] -Both 80D cycle low (red) and 26W low (green bottom panel) are due around this time -Seasonality positive into Jan-Feb -Price action showing signs of capitulation/bottoming" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1855119518764294553) 2024-11-09T05:25Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "๐ฎ $DXY [----] projection (smoothed trend): ๐กpullback in Jan as part of shorted [--] day/20w cycles ๐ก Push higher into 40W cycle peak March down into summer low (Aug) ๐ก Another push higher from Aug into 18M cycle peak ๐ก IMO Dollar remains in a bull market until [----] where I see recession and fiscal and monetary stimulus come and start dollar devaluation and capital starts flight into hard assets and cheaply valued markets/hard assets. That would be time to rotate into EM and second leg of commodities super cycle starts. ๐ฎ $DXY Aug [--] was low with a retest/undercut Sep [--]. [---] remains strong" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/1876680397339210093) 2025-01-07T17:20Z 18.3K followers, 64.6K engagements "1) $VIX UPD: previous 80D cycle was indeed left translated which was bullish equities. Sep [--] VIX pop off 40D cycle low sold off hard as we projected. -We are now in timing window for 80D cycle low. Ideal low was due Oct [--] but headlines potentially pulled it forward -While I expect $VIX pullback (a bounce in stocks) next week $VIX is entering rising phase of the cycle so expect higher volatility to last till Nov opex. (Cont-) 1/2 $VIX UPD: ๐ก 80D cycle bottomed in ideal timing window end of July (bottom panel) ๐กIt is now due 40D cycle low (top panel) possibly just happened on Aug [--] ๐ก The" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977033570485993829) 2025-10-11T15:28Z 18.3K followers, 42.9K engagements "Longed some Feb #NatGas this morning sub [----] with tight SL. Thesis Its cold outside ๐ #NATGAS heading into 18M cycle low - with seasonal headwinds into Q1 [----]. Welcome to gasino ๐ฅณ $NG_F $UNG Looking to add some natty names I mentioned if we get a pullback. https://t.co/wsgFV5z5o3 #NATGAS heading into 18M cycle low - with seasonal headwinds into Q1 [----]. Welcome to gasino ๐ฅณ $NG_F $UNG Looking to add some natty names I mentioned if we get a pullback. https://t.co/wsgFV5z5o3" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2007139569800712661) 2026-01-02T17:18Z 18.3K followers, 20.4K engagements "#GDP [----] Cycles Fed database doesn't have enough data so best we can do is identify what fits the current data set -5.5Y cycle is common across many macro data sets and if it is in play then growth should have a low around now and expand into [----] or even [----] - It's not as clean and given data limitations take it with a grain of salt. But given the expansion in the money supply till late [----] I think it's reasonable to expect both inflation and growth surprise to the upside next [--] years. P.S. Projection is from July [----] https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008657756086034778" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008657756086034778) 2026-01-06T21:51Z 18.3K followers, 16.9K engagements "3) Positing remains concerning with dealers (red) long and CTAs (blue) short (they did reduce shorts since Sep '25. We will likely get volatility expansion into which dealers will monetize long $VX positions. As mentioned timing is tricky: it's simply a condition not a signal:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2010136165760847971) 2026-01-10T23:46Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements "Saw Lindsay graham crying in an interview. War is probably being postponed. Jan [--] after market close https://t.co/QtEWLpmf6e Jan [--] after market close https://t.co/QtEWLpmf6e" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2012228200475074683) 2026-01-16T18:19Z 18.3K followers, 17.8K engagements "@TimmerFidelity" [X Link](https://x.com/Namzes_G/status/2014872336902639995) 2026-01-24T01:26Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@Namzes_G NamzesNamzes posts on X about $spx, spx, we are, target the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 44.95% stocks 16.51% cryptocurrencies 11.01% countries 9.17% technology brands 5.5% exchanges #4082 currencies 4.59% travel destinations 0.92% social networks 0.92% fashion brands 0.92%
Social topic influence $spx #73, spx 15.6%, we are 13.76%, target #1758, cycle #96, bullish #659, vix #197, the new 7.34%, stocks #4023, in the #1655
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @traderpamplona @mrworldwide3056 @kikitaly @ralphkaz @m0d3rnpr0bl3ms @mfwarder @fejauinc @newzage @jos2032 @econstratpb @cryptohodler16 @raoulgmi @bitteljulien @turintrader @quadcarl @fcbarcelona @rabadearwin @dampedspring @marketplunger1 @tinformernews
Top assets mentioned SPX6900 (SPX) Vixco (VIX) Bitcoin (BTC) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Spacemesh (SMH) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Ramaco Resources, Inc. Common Stock (METC)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Took some chips off $SHNY over 40% gain. $GLD hanging man candle above BB could be local top. This nice up nicely with potential resolution of Greenland noise. $GC_F #gold #Gold $GC_F with a shallow consolidation (I was looking for deeper sell) after rate cut and Fed balance sheet expansion set up bullishly as long we stay above [--] EMA the set up is to rise further into mid-Q1 [----] seasonally bullish window -18M cycle is still rising -Added back https://t.co/7uhf0XVoZa #Gold $GC_F with a shallow consolidation (I was looking for deeper sell) after rate cut and Fed balance sheet expansion set up"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:55Z 18.3K followers, 14.4K engagements
"$TASI $KSA Saudi Arabia Tadawul Index [----] Forecast 1) It's highly correlated with oil so has my interest for intermarket analysis and potential LT investment opportunity: -Main projection from Sep [----] has worked well flagging April and late Q4 buy points. I've extended it into 2026: focus on positioning of lows not peaks. -Seasonality is very bullish Mar-Apr (same as oil) -18M cycle low was due around end of [----] (see oil) and potentially just happened on Jan [--]. In that case we should see an impulse move higher. -As with oil positioning of longer 4Y cycle remains unclear it should be"
X Link 2026-01-24T23:38Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"2) $DXY following Trump's first term exceptionally well (red path). Which also lines up with cycle analysis - suggesting multi quarter low in $USD should be forming in Q1 [----] and a sizable rally to start some time in Q2. Price also sits on this multi year channel support:"
X Link 2026-01-26T15:17Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Took a bit more off gold today above $5K as gold volatility $GVX blowing up to highest level since [----]. I dont think its the top yet but like taking partial profits when technical are stretched. Took some chips off $SHNY over 40% gain. $GLD hanging man candle above BB could be local top. This nice up nicely with potential resolution of Greenland noise. $GC_F #gold https://t.co/WL4WXg0XBq Took some chips off $SHNY over 40% gain. $GLD hanging man candle above BB could be local top. This nice up nicely with potential resolution of Greenland noise. $GC_F #gold https://t.co/WL4WXg0XBq"
X Link 2026-01-26T21:47Z 18.3K followers, 18.9K engagements
"18) $VIX outlook: $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears https://t.co/mtDt7lGwDf $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears"
X Link 2026-01-27T20:59Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"17) $TNX playbook: higher rates and curve steepening in H2 2026: ๐ฎ $TNX 10Y #bonds #rates [----] Forecast -As outlined in [----] forecast we are due 18M cycle low in long rates around now (either formed in Oct [----] or will happen in Q1 [----] we need to see a few more months to determine where it is after the fact). Long rates should go higher in https://t.co/hTHs5rIKO7 ๐ฎ $TNX 10Y #bonds #rates [----] Forecast -As outlined in [----] forecast we are due 18M cycle low in long rates around now (either formed in Oct [----] or will happen in Q1 [----] we need to see a few more months to determine where it is"
X Link 2026-01-16T16:33Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"$VIX 40d cycle is in peaking zone and next 40D low would fall around H1 Feb -Base assumption is that Dec [--] was las 80D cycle low (shown in bottom panel) -Note $Vix has unfilled gap and $VX futs from month had [--] unfilled gaps (lower one [-----] from contract roll in Jan) $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears https://t.co/mtDt7lGwDf $VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last"
X Link 2026-01-21T21:00Z 18.3K followers, 28.5K engagements
"1) Notable underperformance of big tech last few weeks. Short thread ๐งต : $FANG Index is overdue 40W cycle low (other indices bottomed Nov 20-21) -Price testing 200DMA / weekly support -14D RSI most oversold since Mar-Apr [----] -Possible new cycle already failing and being left translated but it's a good spot for reversal (cont.) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014186865025286203 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014186865025286203"
X Link 2026-01-22T04:02Z 18.3K followers, 11.1K engagements
"$SOX semiconductor index reached [----] target as we got the move off the tariff crash / Wyckoff spring: -We are in a peaking window for 3.5Y cycle with negative divergence on weekly forming -Price is 2+ SD above AVWAP from April [----] lows -84% above 200WMA (4SD on [--] year look back) -Limited upside is still there bullish seasonality ST cycle still rising potentially could hit upper channel but wise to tighten stops -I am using Dec [----] high in $SMH $SOXX as daily pivot / early warning sign -If correction does play out this year [---] WMA (white line) is where we historically saw major buy points."
X Link 2026-01-23T21:52Z 18.3K followers, 11.4K engagements
"3) Commercials (red) have been accumulating long $DXY positions and just started selling - suggesting a multi-month trend move could lie ahead (opposite of what we see in $EUR) -CTAs (blue) were max short dollar at [----] year end and just started covering"
X Link 2026-01-26T15:22Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Silver looked like local top intraday but again dont think its the top. IMO short pullback then higher into mid Feb seasonal peak. Real demand from industrial use in China and Shanghai premium still significant. Yet retail rushing to sell not real mania ๐ง At what price would you sell your physical silver ๐คท๐ปโ Took a bit more off gold today above $5K as gold volatility $GVX blowing up to highest level since [----]. I dont think its the top yet but like taking partial profits when technical are stretched. Took a bit more off gold today above $5K as gold volatility $GVX blowing up to highest"
X Link 2026-01-26T23:07Z 18.3K followers, 12.5K engagements
"4) 40D peak likely in place - heading into 40d cycle low: $VIX 40d cycle is in peaking zone and next 40D low would fall around H1 Feb -Base assumption is that Dec [--] was las 80D cycle low (shown in bottom panel) -Note $Vix has unfilled gap and $VX futs from month had [--] unfilled gaps (lower one [-----] from contract roll in Jan) https://t.co/aMpotVWjCY $VIX 40d cycle is in peaking zone and next 40D low would fall around H1 Feb -Base assumption is that Dec [--] was las 80D cycle low (shown in bottom panel) -Note $Vix has unfilled gap and $VX futs from month had [--] unfilled gaps (lower one [-----] from"
X Link 2026-01-27T20:58Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"18M cycle low in #natgas confirmed and came right on time. Front month contract hit $7+ and has now been rolled and is trading sub $4 which gives decent upside still next few weeks. NatGas Equities havent really moved so have an opportunity to DCA. Longed some Feb #NatGas this morning sub [----] with tight SL. Thesis Its cold outside ๐ https://t.co/r965ov7mGW Longed some Feb #NatGas this morning sub [----] with tight SL. Thesis Its cold outside ๐ https://t.co/r965ov7mGW"
X Link 2026-01-28T16:53Z 18.3K followers, 12.9K engagements
"$MLX.AX $MLXEF locking most of the gains as I think cycle is in the final innings before a multi month correction. Price did almost 6x from '22 lows and reached 100% extension from '22 top and reached new ATH. Could still run a bit more into mid-Feb given panic buying of #tin but wise to raise cash if we do get a mini down cycle price could easily get back to [---] WMA. H/T @TraderPamplona for flagging it back in [----] ๐ Doubt this happens again but if last cycle were to repeat $MLX.AX would do this https://t.co/YsuxLqtYkv Doubt this happens again but if last cycle were to repeat $MLX.AX would"
X Link 2026-01-30T02:36Z 18.3K followers, 15.5K engagements
"$WHC.AX $WHITF trying to breakout. [----] AUD [----] ATH. 20+ AUD in [--] years #coal #coaltwitter"
X Link 2023-12-22T03:44Z 18.1K followers, 23.1K engagements
"Had [--] of my stocks bought out in [--] month ( $STLC.TO and $FIL.TO $FLMMF). Looking out next 6-12 months out I see [--] more targets: [--]. $AFM.V $AFMJF (no brainer strategic buy for tin supply for the Chinese). I think $1.50 does it the deal. [--]. $X - no brainer several bidders. $55 now the buyout floor. [--]. $ASTL - too cheap here. Sitting duck in the industry thats consolidating. Bonus: $VALE - $TECK - on the news something will come out $VALE trading like rocks and wants to unlock higher multiples. Disclosure: I am long all [--] of the above and $VALE NFA"
X Link 2024-07-30T20:01Z 18.3K followers, 15.9K engagements
"I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv"
X Link 2025-04-08T00:05Z 18.1K followers, 146.8K engagements
"$LYB LyondellBasell Industries Chemicals should be near the end of cyclical decline. Have been watching it and $DOW -12% divy yield -60% from [--] highs -Weekly [--] exhaustion signal in Nov -capitulation volume and near monthly support -Broke DTL longer DTL is ahead -Not sure if we get [--] more undercut towards high 30s as base is a bit short an I want to see weekly chart quiet down and volume to taper off showing sellers exhaustion. but Id look for signs of accumulation next few Qs and more sustained breakout some time in H2 [----] https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008577522519416935"
X Link 2026-01-06T16:32Z 18.1K followers, 10.4K engagements
"$MOS Apr [----] was likely 4-5 year cycle low -18M cycle low due now -Weekly breakout and retest; want to see daily strength / close above [--] DMA -Clean weekly structure but could see more basing in mid-2026 and undercut of $20 to create a spring giving cheap LT entry -On deep value watch list as IMO has multi x upside next few years https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008602196292534630 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008602196292534630"
X Link 2026-01-06T18:10Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Missed out on $ZIM but scanned shipping / tankers stocks picked $DSX Diana Shipping as early breakout stock. Some of these names are in long term bottoming phase not going to happen overnight. Expect breakouts and retests throughout the year and a trend move to start perhaps later in the year. -40W cycle low likely formed -Longer 4-5 year cycle potentially bottomed in April [----] A higher low late this summer-fall would confirm/provide clarity https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009380033207374325 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009380033207374325"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:41Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"$CLX Clorox checking in on my deep value watch list: -Positive divergence on daily/daily [--] exhaustion and closing above [--] DMA with positive ST PA -Seasonal strength till mid-late Feb -Dividend aristocrat with 4.7% TTM div yield which I believe is the highest in company history; [----] forward PE -Monthly deeply oversold but volume still increasing - likely needs 2-3 Qs to quiet down and base -Base case is it rallies here towards 200DMA (112-120) and then undercut recent lows and test $90 cluster zone. $66 would be next big demand zone -From cycles perspective it looks like we are in a bearish"
X Link 2026-01-09T16:49Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@TraderPamplona Dont respond to the critics king All high conviction trades were multi baggers. Filo AFM MLX etc Tailed you in $TLO.TO $IE $KCP.V . Pamps fam eating good ๐ซฐ๐ผ. But ppl rather punt shitcos"
X Link 2026-01-20T22:32Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@ralphkaz @m0d3rnpr0bl3ms There has been dispersion within tech sector and even within semis. They havent run together. I simply think RR for being long $SOXL at this specific spot is not appealing any more and $MAGS $FNGU looked much better looking next few weeks out"
X Link 2026-01-22T21:26Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements
"@mrworldwide3056 Own both"
X Link 2026-01-28T17:30Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements
"@kikitaly Grazie mi bello"
X Link 2026-02-01T01:09Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) ๐ Buy points Feb [--] and second half of Mar (ideal date is Mar 28). This is primary buy point for the year setting up final leg up for the cycle ๐ Minor buy point June [--] โ Major top July [--] then Aug [--] ether lower high or double top/divergent high with [----] min target I outlined a few times past [--] years & [----] upside target ๐ฏ"
X Link 2024-12-27T04:52Z 18.3K followers, 878.5K engagements
"One curious divergence Ive noted past week is Saudi $TASI #tadawul index making multi month lows while oil (purple) is back to multi month highs. Its only [--] piece of the puzzle of course. PS Some retail bought oil on Sunday in weekend trading at $81+ Now -20% in [--] day ๐ $TASI #tadawul $KSA Saudi index broke above 200DMA. Watch follow through to break out of this giant triangle giving significant upside next few quarters. It leads oil by 1.5-2 months. https://t.co/EMmvA1lR1q $TASI #tadawul $KSA Saudi index broke above 200DMA. Watch follow through to break out of this giant triangle giving"
X Link 2025-06-23T22:55Z 18.3K followers, 17.8K engagements
"2026 forecast: 25% bear market and recovery -Overall structure I see: head fake in Q1 multi-month liquidation Q4 rally -Up till Feb [--] (7250-7400 $SPX) then look for topping signs/divergences -Mar [--] minor low -Early warning sign that market has topped is acceptance below [----] which takes us to 6144; below it we go to low 5K [---] Potential key low dates: July [--] and Oct [--] where I see 3.5Y cycle low -July is likely a major low followed by a big rally; Oct - lower low that is divergent giving cleaner entry [-----] target; extreme low range is 4600-4800; upper range is 5400-5600 -Big rally in Q4"
X Link 2025-12-31T21:13Z 18.3K followers, 229.6K engagements
"$DXY [----] Projection: -In [----] I was looking for early peak and decline into July-Aug low (we got July-Sep double bottom). It was much weaker than I expected - due to tariff escalation and rotation into metals and local markets -Main idea for [----] is that dollar should put an 18M cycle low some time between Feb-Mar and start a sharp rally into early fall (bottom panel) -DXY low could coincide with a peak in risk assets per pinned [----] forecast -Red is a projection from June [----] ๐ฎ $DXY [----] projection (smoothed trend): ๐กpullback in Jan as part of shorted [--] day/20w cycles ๐ก Push higher"
X Link 2026-01-07T05:00Z 18.3K followers, 31.2K engagements
"๐ฎ $TNX 10Y #bonds #rates [----] Forecast -As outlined in [----] forecast we are due 18M cycle low in long rates around now (either formed in Oct [----] or will happen in Q1 [----] we need to see a few more months to determine where it is after the fact). Long rates should go higher in H2 [----] -Deficit still running 6% of GDP and NGDP potentially accelerating above 5% this year it's hard to get excited about long end bonds. With the new Fed chair coming in mid-2026 there will be a green light from Fed policy makers to support Trump's agenda to run the economy hot while lowering rates -If we connect"
X Link 2026-01-09T19:03Z 18.3K followers, 15.5K engagements
"$VIX Cycles UPD: 1) Last update was spot on with a peak in VIX and low in stocks projected to form on Nov [--] OpEx -Using my old May [----] cycle (bottom panel) Dec [--] was 80D cycle low bottoming on day [--] and should then be rising in the new cycle -The 80D nominal cycle appears to have lengthened the last [--] years and you can see negative correlation in 5/7 last cycles -I re-ran analysis using all history including data from 24-25 and cycle length indeed lengthened and now [--] days produces better fit (blue line in top panel). That would suggest 80D low is still ahead around Jan 20-22. Because of"
X Link 2026-01-10T23:27Z 18.3K followers, 58.7K engagements
"We are 95% into the bull run & in a topping window for the 3.5Y cycle so I used last few days to lock gains & reposition retirement accounts into MMFs/T-bill. The last miles is hardest if market has 5% upside next few weeks it might not be worth risk to me given 20%+ downside. The next 5-6 weeks will be best buying opportunity for risk assets next 2+ years ๐ฎ [----] [--] [--] The next 5-6 weeks will be best buying opportunity for risk assets next 2+ years ๐ฎ [----] [--] 4"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:24Z 18.3K followers, 59.5K engagements
"@Jos_2032 SPX BTC TNX at the time of the post"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:11Z 18.3K followers, [---] engagements
"@EconstratPB ๐ซก I think this is still the case for 2-2.5 years Uncomfortable truth that macro bears dont want to admit: economy actually accelerating. Initial claims dropping. Inflation peaked. Rates and dollar peaked. Fed hawkish due to inertia and not wanting conditions to ease too much. Keep saying: Recession is years away. https://t.co/08v3qH1wCZ Uncomfortable truth that macro bears dont want to admit: economy actually accelerating. Initial claims dropping. Inflation peaked. Rates and dollar peaked. Fed hawkish due to inertia and not wanting conditions to ease too much. Keep saying:"
X Link 2026-02-14T14:08Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"๐ฎ [----] forecast: finding similar historical periods / years to predict the future. If you find this thread helpful please retweet. All charts were made in Dec [--] to avoid spilling into [--] 1) $DJI Dow Jones Historical composite projection using most similar years (monthly data)"
X Link 2025-01-15T21:40Z 18.1K followers, 57.1K engagements
"4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop:"
X Link 2025-01-15T21:49Z 18.1K followers, 52.9K engagements
"16) Tactical $SPX view: -I assumed Dec [--] was [--] week cycle low; so expected price to rise into Jan opex peak -Given undercut of lows on Jan [--] most likely cycle peak will be a bit further out in early or even mid Feb -Stats are excellent: 94% win rate 6-7% upside (n=16) which takes us to 6200s target -Seasonality supportive during that period"
X Link 2025-01-16T23:57Z 18.1K followers, 54.4K engagements
"If you are wondering why Trump has been so pro crypto you are now seeing. 1) Enrichment of his family and insiders 2) Expansion of liquidity in lieu of QE IF they decide to adopt crypto / $BTC for any official government purposes. The new paper wealth is used to funnel money for secret CIA operations outside of Congress funding as well as enrich insiders. Its one of the reasons they never banned tether $USDT despite obvious scam (just read NY AG report etc). Its state sanctioned and allowed to exist"
X Link 2025-01-18T20:49Z 18.1K followers, 30.3K engagements
"@mfwarder Dipped toes in $AMR There is only [--] #coalking"
X Link 2025-02-17T18:40Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements
"Many Uraniums trading at Dec [----] levels ๐ $URA - The largest trade since inception fired today at a swing low and arrived as a dark pool sweep indicating both urgency and a desire to remain concealed. Shorting in the hole with such size is atypical. This presents best as covering or buying. Longs safe above $24.66. https://t.co/j7dG0HLoMh $URA - The largest trade since inception fired today at a swing low and arrived as a dark pool sweep indicating both urgency and a desire to remain concealed. Shorting in the hole with such size is atypical. This presents best as covering or buying. Longs"
X Link 2025-02-25T19:49Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Dont want to be hand holding already provide too much info but many are asking 10x a day when market will bottom and we are at critical juncture. I havent changed my pinned forecast or timing since I called update at mid Jan low. ๐ก We got our SPX 10% correction slightly ahead of schedule after early year fake out to ATH so bulk of the drop is behind us we are in the final innings of this correction with the market looking to bottom here next 2-3 weeks ๐ก They need time to offload utilities stapes etc and buy big tech semis and cyclicals so it will likely be more of a W bottom rather than V"
X Link 2025-03-12T20:35Z 18.1K followers, 49.8K engagements
"March [--] ๐ ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) https://t.co/YdxDe7DxXG ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) https://t.co/YdxDe7DxXG"
X Link 2025-03-28T18:31Z 18.1K followers, 38.8K engagements
"IMO this is the last bear trap of the cycle I think even bigger bear trap is about to start - before we launch I think even bigger bear trap is about to start - before we launch"
X Link 2025-04-02T13:37Z 18.1K followers, 31K engagements
"Art of the deal ๐ Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers as they say they did. Instead for every country they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers as they say they did. Instead for every country they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we"
X Link 2025-04-02T23:24Z 18.1K followers, 32.2K engagements
"$SOXX over [--] SD below [--] DMA -42% top to bottom drop -COVID crash was -37% [---] bear was -48% and [---] weeks longer -Price is back to Nov [--] breakaway candle and pretty much all downside projections have been reached - $SOX near bottom of the channel -Today is day [---] from Oct [----] low Monday is day [---]. Average cycle length for 18M cycle is [---] days anything beyond [---] days is pushing upper limits Ideally we get a shakeout post election into late Nov low and setup the big leg up into [----]. Current $SPX EPS estimates are $268 so with current multiples my old target of [----] would be doable. A"
X Link 2025-04-04T16:15Z 18.1K followers, 28.4K engagements
"IMO Bottom is due (I wont be able to tell until after the fact). We experienced a full blown crash with [--] huge gap downs. Ideally we bottom tonight or tomorrow in US session and then can start building structure above. Markets bottom on bad news and rally when news becomes less bad they just need something to cling to. Ironically I was expecting [----] SPX last August and didnt expect us to go this deep in this expected window of weakness. But large picture view is that this test of Jan [----] ATH is completely normal. Survive next week to live to see the other side of the crash. ๐ฎ 2025"
X Link 2025-04-06T23:49Z 18.1K followers, 186.5K engagements
"Translation: we already intervened and will formally announce non-QE QE in a matter of days. Try to survive the next few weeks so you get to see markets recovery back to ATH. SCHMID: FED WATCHING MARKETS MINUTE BY MINUTE TO ENSURE LIQUIDITY KEEPS FLOWING SCHMID: FED WATCHING MARKETS MINUTE BY MINUTE TO ENSURE LIQUIDITY KEEPS FLOWING"
X Link 2025-04-10T21:27Z 18.1K followers, 21.4K engagements
"Once again QE is imminent. Your job as an investor is to live several months in the future and not today. $MAGS $SMH $QQQ $BTC etc @cryptohodler16 QE is imminent we are talking days. @cryptohodler16 QE is imminent we are talking days"
X Link 2025-04-11T13:47Z 18.1K followers, 33.9K engagements
"Notice market stopped reacting to bad news (China retaliation) while reaction to positive news is skewed to the upside (tariff pause) -All news ahead will likely be less bad -Markets stop panicking when central bankers panic (we had multiple Fed members come out and said they are worried about liquidity and potential interventions in equity and bond markets) -Trump and Bessent panicking as they are losing confidence of the market businesses and approval ratings are dropping policy messaging is poor no one wants to be in a room with a monkey with a grenade -We had strong rise in global"
X Link 2025-04-12T00:32Z 18.1K followers, 35.1K engagements
"First tariff pause was worth about 10% SPX move -China pause will be worth about 10% -Firing Navarro and Lutnik 5% each -Trump posting NASDAQ ATH 10% Takes us to [----] SPX by Sep (Only half joking btw bc thats what market wants to see). Key level in my work is around [----]. Above it we unlock upside projections towards [----]. IMO Bottom is due (I wont be able to tell until after the fact). We experienced a full blown crash with [--] huge gap downs. Ideally we bottom tonight or tomorrow in US session and then can start building structure above. Markets bottom on bad news and rally when news becomes"
X Link 2025-04-13T14:28Z 18.1K followers, 55.4K engagements
"Based on global liquidity expansion in Q1 I now assign 80% probability to $BTC making new ATH. We should also see financial conditions easing translate into higher asset prices next few months. I still think the next up cycle in BTC into summer top will be final one in this [--] year cycle. @RaoulGMI @BittelJulien ๐ฎ $BTC Update for rest of cycle. Quick thread 1) [--] year cycle should be topping in [----]. Based on previous cycles CT consensus is that it will peak in H2 [----] then down into [----]. Everyone is playing the same script I think 50% chance $BTC already topped for the cycle."
X Link 2025-04-15T02:20Z 18.1K followers, 81.3K engagements
"1965 slightly realigned President Johnson imposed a 25% tariff on light trucks such as SUVs and pickup trucks. This tariff was a response to Europe's tax on US chicken imports. 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv 4) [----] is best match for [----] (Jan [--] is lined up). I like this one a lot with a small top pullback bigger top and a decade of chop: https://t.co/2apPBxpyJv"
X Link 2025-04-16T02:42Z 18.1K followers, 172.2K engagements
"No cycle is exactly the same but the composite of the [--] $SPX periods I thought are similar is shown in pink (1965 [----] 2018). I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues"
X Link 2025-04-18T14:44Z 18.1K followers, 60.7K engagements
"๐ฎ $SPX projection from Jan [----] with price updated. if Apr [--] low holds it's as close call as I can possible make (Mar [--] was "ideal" low for 10%+ correction). No change - staying the course it's never easy. I understand most cycles guys now think we are in early stages of a secular bear market. I get daily questions on this this is NOT my view. If something changes I will make sure to provide an update. You can't trade someone else's conviction especially when volatility is at multi year highs. I am just trying to post how I am trading it and navigating last phase of the big cycle. PS Ignore"
X Link 2025-04-18T15:36Z 18.1K followers, 31.3K engagements
"Having a little picnic with the fam and some bird watching in the park Happy Easter for those who celebrate โค"
X Link 2025-04-20T15:37Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Turin thrust Zweig thrust H/T @turintrader ๐ Long https://t.co/emsb0xMi0x Long https://t.co/emsb0xMi0x"
X Link 2025-04-25T13:19Z 18.1K followers, 57.9K engagements
"@quadcarl I guarantee you someone showed Trump gasoline futures not retail price"
X Link 2025-05-02T21:44Z 18.1K followers, 59K engagements
"@FCBarcelona I have that Henry Jersey ๐โฅ"
X Link 2025-05-11T18:29Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Heading on vacation ๐๐ผ $SOX 20W cycle peak is due over next few days so I exited semis calls $SMH $NVDA $MU $LRCX $AMD & shares in $SOXL $NVDL I got in March - April. We could grind higher a few % more but due a [--] week type correction. Id look for $SOXX low early Aug $SOXX over [--] SD below [--] DMA -42% top to bottom drop -COVID crash was -37% [---] bear was -48% and [---] weeks longer -Price is back to Nov [--] breakaway candle and pretty much all downside projections have been reached - $SOX near bottom of the channel -Today is day [---] from Oct https://t.co/RcqCtx2wuf $SOXX over [--] SD below [--] DMA"
X Link 2025-07-11T21:04Z 18.1K followers, 32.7K engagements
"$BTC projection from Dec [--] 2024: ๐ก Price has been following the projected path from December forecast well (fake out in Jan and drop into major low in March - which came slightly later in April) ๐ก 20W cycle peak approaching. A 2-3 week pullback should be buyable with one more leg up in August to follow (we will re-assess around Labor Day Sep 1) ๐ก Leading indicators (in blue) are in sync with cycles ๐ก Measured move target from bull flag breakout is 146K Based on global liquidity expansion in Q1 I now assign 80% probability to $BTC making new ATH. We should also see financial conditions"
X Link 2025-07-13T03:58Z 18.1K followers, 42.6K engagements
"$SPX UPD ๐กmain idea coming into the year was that we were due 18M cycle low around late March - it came a week later in April. ๐กWe are now approaching timing window for 1st 20W cycle from Apr [--] low - same idea outlined in posts on semis and $BTC is applicable ๐กProjected low is around end of July - early Aug ๐กprojection is from May [----] and cycle has been pretty stable past few years ๐ก Thats it folks this concludes our charts marathon. Im off on vacation. Ill post updates when something changes ๐ก If you find my work helpful please retweet IMO Bottom is due (I wont be able to tell until"
X Link 2025-07-13T05:06Z 18.1K followers, 63.1K engagements
"$VIX update: 1) 80D cycle low is due next few days and we should see a spike 1st week of Aug. Composite cycle projection from Aug [----] + seasonality (middle panel) both suggest a spike is ahead: $VIX Dec [--] was indeed 80D cycle low. We are now in the new rising cycle. However 40D nominal cycle likely already peaked and should be heading down towards 40D low around mid-Jan [---] day nominal cycle varies in length clustered around [--] days (blue) or [--] days (green - https://t.co/EiDKucPmUq $VIX Dec [--] was indeed 80D cycle low. We are now in the new rising cycle. However 40D nominal cycle likely"
X Link 2025-07-26T15:04Z 18.1K followers, 53.6K engagements
"To the new followers - welcome Pinned tweet from Dec has a mega thread with links to detailed playbooks for key assets. Lots of other tickers can be found using search. Thanks for retweets PS: I dont have any paid service - report all imposters. ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ -๐$SPX: overall structure is up early in the year 10%+ correction then melt up into major top followed by 17% drop that kicks off a bear market: Up till Jan [--] (6250) then 10%+ correction by end of Q1 (5600 target) https://t.co/YdxDe7DxXG ๐ฎ [----] forecast: Heading towards major market top โ "
X Link 2025-07-28T21:33Z 18.1K followers, 38.3K engagements
"$BTC potential path. Minor pullback towards 109-112k highs by Aug 10; then final leg up into [--] year cycle top by mid-September. $BTC projection from Dec [--] 2024: ๐ก Price has been following the projected path from December forecast well (fake out in Jan and drop into major low in March - which came slightly later in April) ๐ก 20W cycle peak approaching. A 2-3 week pullback should be buyable with one more https://t.co/BbIKlFHNN7 $BTC projection from Dec [--] 2024: ๐ก Price has been following the projected path from December forecast well (fake out in Jan and drop into major low in March - which"
X Link 2025-08-01T04:22Z 18.1K followers, 45.6K engagements
"Intraday outside reversal yesteday likely confirmed local top. Nothing major IMO just a pullback to support to keep people honest. Main Dec path slightly updated this weekend with potential top timing extended into early Sep. $QQQ $SPX UPD ๐กmain idea coming into the year was that we were due 18M cycle low around late March - it came a week later in April. ๐กWe are now approaching timing window for 1st 20W cycle from Apr [--] low - same idea outlined in posts on semis and $BTC is applicable ๐กProjected low is https://t.co/KoHoRNxEXw $SPX UPD ๐กmain idea coming into the year was that we were due"
X Link 2025-08-01T14:11Z 18.1K followers, 40.9K engagements
"6500 $SPX We talked about this minimum target in discords and here on X last few years. Now the hard part: holding longs until models trigger sell signal and we get some event/macro trigger. Next couple months are critical. @RabadearWin @dampedspring [----] @RabadearWin @dampedspring 6500"
X Link 2025-08-28T20:49Z 18.1K followers, 34.7K engagements
"Buyers are exhausted The buyers: From this week's Bespoke Report: The S&P [---] has been overbought on 89% of all trading days in the last four months while the Nasdaq has been overbought 93% of the time. https://t.co/IZaqXYOmuY From this week's Bespoke Report: The S&P [---] has been overbought on 89% of all trading days in the last four months while the Nasdaq has been overbought 93% of the time. https://t.co/IZaqXYOmuY"
X Link 2025-09-20T23:58Z 18.1K followers, 65.9K engagements
"#Oil just range bound: main buy point likely mid-Dec where cycles and seasonality sync up. Interestingly pretty solid PA in energy space some accumulation going on across oil / offshore -Dec is potentially the spot to load up on energy: it's the first time I see we could have sustained capital rotation from tech/growth into energy. -Green projection is from Apr [----] with price updated -Bottom panel is seasonality $XLE $XOP $USO $UCO $OIH $XES $OILU $OILD #Oil ๐ข updated price for April [----] projection โ Some thoughts for the next few months: ๐ก While big multi year picture remains extremely"
X Link 2025-10-03T14:48Z 18.1K followers, 34.5K engagements
"$SNAP something going on here love the base and strong weekly volume. Saw some put selling. Longed JAN $12 calls @ .48"
X Link 2025-10-06T17:24Z 18.1K followers, 10.7K engagements
"@fejau_inc $TMQ was on my list to add to Trump minerals basket today ๐ซ "
X Link 2025-10-06T21:02Z 18.1K followers, 30K engagements
"1/2 Posted $TMQ idea in [--] discords last few days as Trump critical minerals play +150% AH ๐ Other longs (many from lower): $:METC $UUUU $TLO.TO $TLOFF $PMET.V $PMETV $ALB $IE Related longs: $LAR $ISO.TO $ISOU Unrelated but cheap $GLO.TO $GLATF Already played out but long: $MP @fejau_inc $TMQ was on my list to add to Trump minerals basket today ๐ซ https://t.co/f3zjbgFLEa @fejau_inc $TMQ was on my list to add to Trump minerals basket today ๐ซ https://t.co/f3zjbgFLEa"
X Link 2025-10-06T22:16Z 18.1K followers, 19.9K engagements
"Butchered tickers $METC $PMETF"
X Link 2025-10-06T22:21Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Updated [----] $SPX overlay. Broadly on track. Not gonna be perfect to the tick but I think will follow overall structure. If you recall it was my primary best comp I called out in Dec thread: This chart is interesting ๐ This chart is interesting ๐"
X Link 2025-10-11T14:34Z 18.1K followers, 39.6K engagements
"Updated [----] and [----] $SPX analogues. Both suggest a pullback here is expected into Nov low followed by year end rally: I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues"
X Link 2025-10-11T14:55Z 18.1K followers, 19.2K engagements
"#Oil now broke offset for 1/2 40W cycle so we have a downside projection of just under $50. Unless it recovers sharply to cross back above it it will likely hit around mid December where we outlined main buy point for the year in energy. Time to get watch / buy lists ready. #Oil just range bound: main buy point likely mid-Dec where cycles and seasonality sync up. Interestingly pretty solid PA in energy space some accumulation going on across oil / offshore -Dec is potentially the spot to load up on energy: it's the first time I see we could have https://t.co/8WI1S11Mmd #Oil just range bound:"
X Link 2025-10-15T15:43Z 18.1K followers, 38.3K engagements
"SPX tagged [----]. Still some higher upside projections outstanding on ES futures but minimum targets have been reached for cash markets for most cycles I track. We walking the last mile here so I think mid-Nov weakness is likely before year end rally. First tariff pause was worth about 10% SPX move -China pause will be worth about 10% -Firing Navarro and Lutnik 5% each -Trump posting NASDAQ ATH 10% Takes us to [----] SPX by Sep (Only half joking btw bc thats what market wants to see). Key level in my work is around [----]. First tariff pause was worth about 10% SPX move -China pause will be worth"
X Link 2025-10-26T02:31Z 18.1K followers, 25.7K engagements
"1965 [----] [----] $SPX analogues with price updated. The composite path has been bull's eye hit so far. I see [----] getting a lot of love on X lately. Sticking to my December view that [----] will be the main blueprint for 2025+ I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues I like [----] [----] crash and Dec [----] analogues"
X Link 2025-11-07T03:35Z 18.1K followers, 33.6K engagements
"$EUFN European banks ETF 61% above [---] WMA. It has never been more than 30% above it. Multi-week divergences have formed since March top. In multi-month topping process after which I expect it to undercut 200WMA (white line). $DAX ATH $NVDA -20% in [--] weeks https://t.co/WXVgj6180w $DAX ATH $NVDA -20% in [--] weeks https://t.co/WXVgj6180w"
X Link 2025-11-18T03:43Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"$ANF $KSS $DDS etc retail stocks $XRT posting strong earnings which sets up nicely for other names basing / reversing past few weeks. Consumer is resilient in nominal terms and struggling in real terms. $LULU $EL $NKE $DG $UPST $CMG $PYPL $AMZN $DLTR MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE: US RETAIL SALES EXCLUDING AUTOS WERE UP 4.1% ON BLACK FRIDAY COMPARED TO BLACK FRIDAY [----] MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE: U.S. RETAIL SALES UP +4.1% WITH E-COMMERCE UP +10.4% COMPARED TO [----] MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE: US RETAIL SALES EXCLUDING AUTOS WERE UP 4.1% ON BLACK FRIDAY COMPARED TO BLACK FRIDAY [----] MASTERCARD"
X Link 2025-11-29T19:00Z 18.1K followers, 37.6K engagements
"#Gold $GC_F with a shallow consolidation (I was looking for deeper sell) after rate cut and Fed balance sheet expansion set up bullishly as long we stay above [--] EMA the set up is to rise further into mid-Q1 [----] seasonally bullish window -18M cycle is still rising -Added back $SHNY $GLD on Dec [--] to catch potentially final leg up in this 18M cycle -Other metals also look pretty bullish here with a potential next key major pivot around Feb opex I think we are close to a major top a metals followed by lengthy consolidation. Silver especially prone to a sharp drop given parabolic rise. Good spot"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:30Z 18.1K followers, 31K engagements
"16) $SPX #Hurst Cycles Playbook: rally in Q1 mid year correction Q4 rally. July and Oct as potential key lows: ๐ฎ $SPX [----] Cycles forecast. I extended Dec [----] projection to 2026: -We flagged Nov [--] as ideal 40W low back in Oct and Dec [--] serving as confirmation (higher low) which have played out fairly accurately -We are now in the new 40W cycle; and a typical 20W cycle should push https://t.co/nnJvvlMCFH ๐ฎ $SPX [----] Cycles forecast. I extended Dec [----] projection to 2026: -We flagged Nov [--] as ideal 40W low back in Oct and Dec [--] serving as confirmation (higher low) which have played out"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:02Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"2) When looking at longer cycles we are due a 40W cycle low in the $VIX (bottom panel) which I think will fall around late Feb - early March. Cycle should then be rising into fall:"
X Link 2026-01-10T23:39Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@m0d3rnpr0bl3ms Only have [--] name Graphite One from much lower and just holding it in my REE / Uranium basket - $GPH.V $GPHOF . Im a tourist so take it with a grain of salt"
X Link 2026-01-14T02:04Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements
"$SMH $SOXX hitting some upside targets for the current 80D cycle -Exited $SOXL $61:+65% from Dec buys -Its more than [--] SD above AVWAP from April [----] lows (red line) we saw repeated rejections at it over serval Qs -Still long plenty of semis single names $NVDA $AMD etc which have more upside but its a good spot take off 3x leveraged positions and if another entry comes try to re-add. $SOXX $SMH same idea as $SPX -Weve called Nov [--] low [--] weeks in advance and higher low Dec 16-19 (exact date was Dec 17) -Year end we saw controlled low volume sell across the board and a false break on indices."
X Link 2026-01-15T16:05Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@marketplunger1 Beware of Wyckoff spring in $DXY next few weeks. Timing wise a major low is during next few weeks"
X Link 2026-01-27T21:39Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"@kikitaly Is this VIX cycles chart or SPX"
X Link 2026-01-31T18:09Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements
"Back in Aussi #coal names $WHC.AX $NHC.AX $YAL.AX all set up bullishly Back in $BTU sub $23 At some point this bad boy will join other coal names and rip out of this base. Low risk entry here will add on a close 200DMA. Near seasonal and [--] day cycle low. Elliot dumping off exchange but I think Elliot wall falls #coaltwitter @mfwarder what does https://t.co/Ks4E3trmoW Back in $BTU sub $23 At some point this bad boy will join other coal names and rip out of this base. Low risk entry here will add on a close 200DMA. Near seasonal and [--] day cycle low. Elliot dumping off exchange but I think"
X Link 2023-11-20T15:00Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"$WHC.AX $WHITF #coaltwitter breaking out of this consolidation ๐ฅณ Adding more on strength. Seasonals bullish till January"
X Link 2023-11-23T01:14Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"$MEG.TO $MEGEF longed it on retest. Back to ATH in early fall $MEGEF: sold this swing for 31% in [--] weeks. It doesnt always go like this but sometimes good habits + luck = instant payout. Good trade is 90% preparation. Still keeping my oil exposure to $SU Suncor energy and $OIH ETF https://t.co/1UZ4ZXgnUR $MEGEF: sold this swing for 31% in [--] weeks. It doesnt always go like this but sometimes good habits + luck = instant payout. Good trade is 90% preparation. Still keeping my oil exposure to $SU Suncor energy and $OIH ETF https://t.co/1UZ4ZXgnUR"
X Link 2024-07-27T02:05Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"๐ฎ $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal ๐ก 80D cycle (running [--] days average) is due a low early Sep (red) ๐ก Seasonal low is Nov (pink) ๐ก Longer 40W and 18M due lows Oct-Nov. Last 18M low was May [--] [----] so cycle is right translated. I don't expect [----] AUD low to be breached. ๐ก Coal seasonal low is typically late Q4 ๐ก Most likely scenario is a rally here and a new low or retest to come late in Q4 #coaltwitter $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal breaking out on weekly. Some resistance here but has room to run to [--] AUD #coaltwitter https://t.co/ybSTAh91rn $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal breaking out on weekly. Some resistance"
X Link 2024-08-30T01:49Z 18.3K followers, 12.7K engagements
"$MEG.TO $MEGEF a bit of a shakeout retesting low [--] CAD base but strong hands accumulating -Breaking above diagonal VTL resistance and closed above 40D FLD confirming 80D cycle low is in place which is also a sign that 18M low is likely behind us -ST resistance here at 200DMA and H&S resistance. Want to see close above and hold and set up move higher but pulling back to [--] would be normal -Next target is 30CAD -Big picture is new 18M cycle has likely started. [-----] CAD last 18M peak Double bottom on weekly suggests that a close above it would create a measured move to 49CAD which would"
X Link 2024-10-06T15:28Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Time to look for a low in $WHC.AC $WHITF . #Coal should start catching bids with good 6-8 Quarter stretch ahead. Took a starter last night on ASX. China stimmy should be good for all commodities (dah) ๐ฎ $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal ๐ก 80D cycle (running [--] days average) is due a low early Sep (red) ๐ก Seasonal low is Nov (pink) ๐ก Longer 40W and 18M due lows Oct-Nov. Last 18M low was May [--] [----] so cycle is right translated. I don't expect [----] AUD low to be breached. ๐ก Coal https://t.co/9Uif75cqz5 ๐ฎ $WHC.AX $WHITF #coal ๐ก 80D cycle (running [--] days average) is due a low early Sep (red) ๐ก"
X Link 2024-12-09T14:46Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@TinFormer_News @blondesnmoney The trade still carries basis risk. You are exposed to market risk and liquidity risk. Can read GFTC paper describing mechanics or read great threads by expert plumber @conksresearch ๐ https://www.cftc.gov/media/11671/mrac121024_TreasuryCashFuturesBasisTradeReport/download https://www.cftc.gov/media/11671/mrac121024_TreasuryCashFuturesBasisTradeReport/download"
X Link 2025-04-09T23:59Z 18.1K followers, [---] engagements
"In addition to Whitehaven #coal added $NHC.AX $NHPEF New hope with its fat divy. Love the chart too. All coal stocks have similar cycles set up more or less with [--] month low in the fall and now rising in the new 18M cycle. Time to look for a low in $WHC.AC $WHITF . #Coal should start catching bids with good 6-8 Quarter stretch ahead. Took a starter last night on ASX. China stimmy should be good for all commodities (dah) Time to look for a low in $WHC.AC $WHITF . #Coal should start catching bids with good 6-8 Quarter stretch ahead. Took a starter last night on ASX. China stimmy should be good"
X Link 2024-12-10T04:26Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"@TraderPamplona had [--] CAD target on $FIL.TO $FLMMF several years ago. Congrats to all HODLers and OGs #copper"
X Link 2024-07-15T15:10Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"And there it is: BHP and Lundin Mining to Acquire Filo for C$4.5 Billion (33 CAD) ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ $FIL.TO $FLMMF from first shares I bought its 15x but obvi Ive been adding over last few years so my average is higher. That was my only copper exposure. @TraderPamplona had [--] CAD target on $FIL.TO $FLMMF several years ago. Congrats to all HODLers and OGs #copper https://t.co/YuXfTX7e8K @TraderPamplona had [--] CAD target on $FIL.TO $FLMMF several years ago. Congrats to all HODLers and OGs #copper https://t.co/YuXfTX7e8K"
X Link 2024-07-29T23:44Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"The next 5-6 weeks will be best buying opportunity for risk assets next 2+ years ๐ฎ [----] [--] 4"
X Link 2022-10-13T03:49Z 18.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Multiples will get well above 20x next [--] years. Thats how you get to $6500+ $SPX by [----]. If the October low was the start of a new bull market the pattern makes sense: the earnings valley and subsequent recovery matches the magnitude of the average cycle and the timing. And the P/E expansion is on track as well. If the earnings consensus is correct the market is https://t.co/7VMNKzdIsD If the October low was the start of a new bull market the pattern makes sense: the earnings valley and subsequent recovery matches the magnitude of the average cycle and the timing. And the P/E expansion is on"
X Link 2023-04-26T23:17Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Doubt this happens again but if last cycle were to repeat $MLX.AX would do this"
X Link 2024-04-10T02:04Z 18.3K followers, 17.6K engagements
"$STLC.TO $STZHF ATH on buyout by $CLF @ [--] CAD trading [-----] this morning. #STEEL booked some gains. Q is do you hold till close of the sale and impact on $CLF (also have shares). I think cyclicals / metals can push higher into second half of July. Steel aluminum tin iron ore. I think cyclicals / metals can push higher into second half of July. Steel aluminum tin iron ore"
X Link 2024-07-15T14:27Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Ideally we get a shakeout post election into late Nov low and setup the big leg up into [----]. Current $SPX EPS estimates are $268 so with current multiples my old target of [----] would be doable. A multiple expansion could give us over [----] $SPX. -I sketched below potential $SOX path. Ideally we test recent lows by end of Nov which would create slingshot move towards [----] with a potential for [----]. Current momentum is shot; buyers either waiting for post election resolution OR sit lower (I think the latter) -Weekly close [----] (240 on $SOXX) would make downside scenario unlikely. $SMH @AVWAPS"
X Link 2024-11-04T03:49Z 18.3K followers, 57.4K engagements
"$BA should be bottoming here - took a starter position looking for a rally into Q1 [----] -Both 80D cycle low (red) and 26W low (green bottom panel) are due around this time -Seasonality positive into Jan-Feb -Price action showing signs of capitulation/bottoming"
X Link 2024-11-09T05:25Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"๐ฎ $DXY [----] projection (smoothed trend): ๐กpullback in Jan as part of shorted [--] day/20w cycles ๐ก Push higher into 40W cycle peak March down into summer low (Aug) ๐ก Another push higher from Aug into 18M cycle peak ๐ก IMO Dollar remains in a bull market until [----] where I see recession and fiscal and monetary stimulus come and start dollar devaluation and capital starts flight into hard assets and cheaply valued markets/hard assets. That would be time to rotate into EM and second leg of commodities super cycle starts. ๐ฎ $DXY Aug [--] was low with a retest/undercut Sep [--]. [---] remains strong"
X Link 2025-01-07T17:20Z 18.3K followers, 64.6K engagements
"1) $VIX UPD: previous 80D cycle was indeed left translated which was bullish equities. Sep [--] VIX pop off 40D cycle low sold off hard as we projected. -We are now in timing window for 80D cycle low. Ideal low was due Oct [--] but headlines potentially pulled it forward -While I expect $VIX pullback (a bounce in stocks) next week $VIX is entering rising phase of the cycle so expect higher volatility to last till Nov opex. (Cont-) 1/2 $VIX UPD: ๐ก 80D cycle bottomed in ideal timing window end of July (bottom panel) ๐กIt is now due 40D cycle low (top panel) possibly just happened on Aug [--] ๐ก The"
X Link 2025-10-11T15:28Z 18.3K followers, 42.9K engagements
"Longed some Feb #NatGas this morning sub [----] with tight SL. Thesis Its cold outside ๐ #NATGAS heading into 18M cycle low - with seasonal headwinds into Q1 [----]. Welcome to gasino ๐ฅณ $NG_F $UNG Looking to add some natty names I mentioned if we get a pullback. https://t.co/wsgFV5z5o3 #NATGAS heading into 18M cycle low - with seasonal headwinds into Q1 [----]. Welcome to gasino ๐ฅณ $NG_F $UNG Looking to add some natty names I mentioned if we get a pullback. https://t.co/wsgFV5z5o3"
X Link 2026-01-02T17:18Z 18.3K followers, 20.4K engagements
"#GDP [----] Cycles Fed database doesn't have enough data so best we can do is identify what fits the current data set -5.5Y cycle is common across many macro data sets and if it is in play then growth should have a low around now and expand into [----] or even [----] - It's not as clean and given data limitations take it with a grain of salt. But given the expansion in the money supply till late [----] I think it's reasonable to expect both inflation and growth surprise to the upside next [--] years. P.S. Projection is from July [----] https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008657756086034778"
X Link 2026-01-06T21:51Z 18.3K followers, 16.9K engagements
"3) Positing remains concerning with dealers (red) long and CTAs (blue) short (they did reduce shorts since Sep '25. We will likely get volatility expansion into which dealers will monetize long $VX positions. As mentioned timing is tricky: it's simply a condition not a signal:"
X Link 2026-01-10T23:46Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Saw Lindsay graham crying in an interview. War is probably being postponed. Jan [--] after market close https://t.co/QtEWLpmf6e Jan [--] after market close https://t.co/QtEWLpmf6e"
X Link 2026-01-16T18:19Z 18.3K followers, 17.8K engagements
"@TimmerFidelity"
X Link 2026-01-24T01:26Z 18.3K followers, [----] engagements
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