#  @David72386784 David David posts on X about $acn, $cost, $blnd, $snap the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1093239941042241536/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +922% - [--] Month [------] +7.60% - [--] Months [-------] +31% - [--] Year [-------] +378% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1093239941042241536/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -10% - [--] Month [--] -6.10% - [--] Months [---] +61% - [--] Year [---] +253% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1093239941042241536/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +0.96% - [--] Month [-----] +2.20% - [--] Months [-----] +47% - [--] Year [-----] +333% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1093239941042241536/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [stocks](/list/stocks) [finance](/list/finance) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [countries](/list/countries) [currencies](/list/currencies) [us election](/list/us-election) [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) **Social topic influence** [$acn](/topic/$acn), [$cost](/topic/$cost), [$blnd](/topic/$blnd) #1, [$snap](/topic/$snap) #92, [in the](/topic/in-the), [$bah](/topic/$bah), [accenture](/topic/accenture), [$sofi](/topic/$sofi), [$pton](/topic/$pton), [business](/topic/business) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@doge](/creator/undefined) [@degenlanecap](/creator/undefined) [@realdonaldtrump](/creator/undefined) [@jtlonsdale](/creator/undefined) [@pulte](/creator/undefined) [@evanspiegel](/creator/undefined) [@laurenbalik](/creator/undefined) [@blondesnmoney](/creator/undefined) [@billackman](/creator/undefined) [@datadinvesting](/creator/undefined) [@triedandtried89](/creator/undefined) [@boxlongs](/creator/undefined) [@risk2rise](/creator/undefined) [@deepthinktrader](/creator/undefined) [@nghamsari](/creator/undefined) [@pluginfud](/creator/undefined) [@jonlitt](/creator/undefined) [@martinshkreli](/creator/undefined) [@minervacap](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Accenture (ACN)](/topic/$acn) [Costco Hot Dog (COST)](/topic/$cost) [Blend Labs, Inc. (BLND)](/topic/$blnd) [Snap, Inc. (SNAP)](/topic/$snap) [Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Corp. (BAH)](/topic/$bah) [RAI Finance (SOFI)](/topic/$sofi) [Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock (PTON)](/topic/$pton) [Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT)](/topic/$rkt) [Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)](/topic/costco) [Infosys Limited (INFY)](/topic/$infy) [Witnet (WIT)](/topic/$wit) [Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp (CTSH)](/topic/$ctsh) [CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA (CACI)](/topic/$caci) [Dogecoin (DOGE)](/topic/doge) [Warner Bros Discovery, Inc. (WBD)](/topic/$wbd) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION (SAIC)](/topic/$saic) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/$wmt) [Limitus (LMT)](/topic/$lmt) [BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC. (BFAM)](/topic/$bfam) [Lennar Corporation (LEN)](/topic/$len) [LXP Industrial Trust (LXP)](/topic/$lxp) [D R Horton Inc (DHI)](/topic/$dhi) [Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)](/topic/$sbux) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$goog) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH)](/topic/$bfh) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)](/topic/$tol) [DeepSeek (DEEPSEEK)](/topic/deepseek) [McDonald's Corp (MCD)](/topic/$mcd) [Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL)](/topic/$mrvl) [Brunswick Corporation (BC)](/topic/$bc) [Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)](/topic/$cmcsa) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@laurenbalik NAPA obviously priced for a massive cut to EBITDA here. Even if you assume their deal with BF produces zero EBITDA it still trades at sub 9x consensus EBITDA vs wine assets that trade for 12x+ and TWE at 11x to 12x" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1831419950483042661) 2024-09-04T19:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@risk2rise @laurenbalik Thank you @risk2rise. I think $PTON is a speculative but interesting idea here on a take-out thesis. Less conviction that NAPA. However it trades at below 2x subscription gross profits. If they can stabilize their revenues or grow them the stock has explosive upside" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1843323120742289554) 2024-10-07T16:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@risk2rise Thanks for the mention @risk2rise . I think $PTON is just getting started potentially if it plays out like I think it could. I would take a close look at $RDFN as mentioned. I think the turnaround is underappreciated and we're essentially at peak negativity on interest rates" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1849174134158135788) 2024-10-23T19:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1) $SUM takeover approach is very bullish for domestic cement producers. Significant asset scarcity. My favorite play on this is the underfollowed company $MCEM" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1849827957679812899) 2024-10-25T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "As the odds of a Trump victory have increased Bread Financial ( $BFH ) is an underappreciated way to invest in a very clear Trump winner stock. The CFPB late fee rule change is a significant overhang on $BFH and $SYF EPS. If Trump were to win $BFH could rise 40%+" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1849842912005149045) 2024-10-25T15:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Trump would overhaul the CFPB and this late fee rule change that could pressure $BFH and $SYF eps will disappear" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1849844607430848882) 2024-10-25T16:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BFH has lagged other consumer finance stocks ( $SYF $COF $LC $SOFI ) and Trump stocks materially ( $GEO $DJT) over the last month as Trump's odds of winning the election have increased materially. The should be least 15% to 20% higher based on this fact alone" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1849866015834063088) 2024-10-25T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1) As Trump victory odds increase the macro traders have shorting the long bond ( $TLT) and bought US stocks ( $SPY). Since 9/15 $SPY is up 4% and $TLT is down 9%. Most of this is due to Trump's gain in polls and market view that he will drive higher deficits and growth" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1851657857596260740) 2024-10-30T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "2) This view is misguided for several reasons. Trump is not a "high rate" guy. He is balls long real estate and his son in law is aggressively buying multifamily. Trump's key economic advisors including @elonmusk are heavily in favor of reducing the deficit" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1851659021498863917) 2024-10-30T16:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "3) if Trump does win there is a good chance that the Democrats will take the House which will lead to gridlock and gridlock will reduce the chances of any sizeable increase in the deficit" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1851659563272990914) 2024-10-30T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4) The short bonds ( $TLT) and long ( $SPY) trade is extremely one sided currently. Purely from a technical and economics [---] standpoint it is due to reverse significantly. The yield on the $SPY should be correlated to the yield on bonds but it has gone the opposite direction" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1851659962944192572) 2024-10-30T16:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "5) To summarize from both a technical and fundamental standpoint the short $TLT and long $SPY trade is extremely misguided and I predict is set to sharply reverse over the next few weeks" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1851660253739221090) 2024-10-30T16:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@steamrollpenny Less government spending and slower growth Fed will likely be forced to cut rates more quickly to keep up with the slowing economy and an inverting yield curve will signal that" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1851672063884562491) 2024-10-30T17:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2) This $MTN trade has elements of $DIS as well as my recent successful long calls on $NAPA and $PTON. 1) Stock is hated shorted and at lows 2) Activist investors and PE are almost definitely looking closely 3) Valuation is cheap 4) Management is under pressure" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1851993278628913414) 2024-10-31T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4) The snow season was poor last year which pressured skiing and the market is overly extrapolating those trends to $MTN. However this year has a good chance of being excellent as La Nina weather pattern is almost fully formed https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/weather/2024/10/31/la-nina-2024-iowa-winter-weather-forecast-national-weather-service/75701030007/ https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/weather/2024/10/31/la-nina-2024-iowa-winter-weather-forecast-national-weather-service/75701030007/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1851995749728358784) 2024-10-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "5) Lastly $MTN is obviously getting tax loss harvested as its down materially this year. This combined with the likely La Nina weather pattern that will emerge at the end of November makes it the perfect January effect stock" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1851996268836380812) 2024-10-31T14:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "6) To summarize $MTN has never been cheaper and is likely to attract an activist or private equity in the near term. Fundamentals are likely to outperform as the snow season is excellent due to La Nina and the tax loss selling makes the technical set-up highly favorable" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1851996659686707664) 2024-10-31T14:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@risk2rise @laurenbalik Yes. Curious what you think about my $MTN pitch. I think it has some similarities to $NAPA" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1852018067540222332) 2024-10-31T16:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN https://www.speaksly.net/la-nina-winter-2024-what-this-weather-pattern-means-for-the-u-s-from-cold-snaps-to-drought-risks/ https://www.speaksly.net/la-nina-winter-2024-what-this-weather-pattern-means-for-the-u-s-from-cold-snaps-to-drought-risks/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1852336520801239409) 2024-11-01T13:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Added $PTON back here at $7.50 after trimming some $1 higher yesterday / today. Yesterday's print was a game-changer in my opinion in terms of resetting EBITDA higher and new CEO" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1852393653823541278) 2024-11-01T16:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Investy_ Mostly bad snow + inflation in lodging and flights. Lodging costs and flight prices are now lower. And EPIC pass sales are light because people have memory of last year. Once it starts snow (It is already snowing in the mountain west) people will going skiing" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1852430777046237483) 2024-11-01T19:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$PTON. BofA upgraded Peloton to Buy from Underperform with a price target of $9 up from $3.75. The firm cites higher estimates after fiscal Q1 "surprised" with much higher than expected EBITDA and FY25 guidance was raised to $240M-$290M versus the $232M Street view" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1853399614382309598) 2024-11-04T11:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Ski season is here in Vail and Whistler. $MTN #Whistler #Vail https://www.vail.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/top https://www.vail.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/top" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1853439869256687689) 2024-11-04T14:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PTON. BofA upgraded Peloton to Buy from Underperform with a price target of $9 up from $3.75. The firm cites higher estimates after fiscal Q1 "surprised" with much higher than expected EBITDA and FY25 guidance was raised to $240M-$290M versus the $232M Street view" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1853442756070240413) 2024-11-04T14:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN (Vail Mountain Resorts) https://www.denver7.com/weather/denver-weather/winter-driving-in-mountains-ahead-of-snow-for-denvers-morning-commute-on-monday https://www.denver7.com/weather/denver-weather/winter-driving-in-mountains-ahead-of-snow-for-denvers-morning-commute-on-monday" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1853474916730876291) 2024-11-04T16:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Nice snow forecast this week for Whistler ( $MTN Vail Mountain Resorts). Should have [--] to [--] feet of base by the end of the week. https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1853826943696748701) 2024-11-05T15:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BFH should be up 20% today" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1854146876842344772) 2024-11-06T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "So when does @realDonaldTrump and @elonmusk announce some details of their cost cutting plan Funny to see $SPY (US stocks) up 2% and $TLT (bonds) down 3% today. Predictable but exactly the wrong reaction to a Trump win. Time to take the other side of this trade IN SIZE" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1854212969619750998) 2024-11-06T17:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@realDonaldTrump @elonmusk $RKT $RDFN $TOL $Z" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1854222090523783280) 2024-11-06T17:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "How worried are you right now if you are a bloated cost-plus government IT contractor ( $BAH $SAIC $CACI) @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump and the DOGE team are coming for you Stay tuned for more thoughts on this later" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1854891654194339901) 2024-11-08T14:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "1) $RDFN (Redfin) down 18% on essentially a non-event print is a no brainer long here. The company is accelerating hiring to take advantage of the likely recovery in the housing market net year. They are going on the offensive as many are being forced to pull back" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1854918719434043667) 2024-11-08T16:07Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "3) We're currently in the midst of the worst existing home sales market in the last [--] decades. The company was able to be EBITDA positive during this tough time which is a testament to the improved business model. When the market recovers expect explosive earnings upside" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1854919305781297785) 2024-11-08T16:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "❄❄❄❄ [---] feet of snow expected in Whistler the next [--] days ( $MTN ) . open Nov 22nd expect a boost to Epic pass sales https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1855401247508926899) 2024-11-10T00:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Heavy snow now hitting Whistler now / this week as expected. $MTN" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1856003586435514790) 2024-11-11T15:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "DOGE is come for you $BAH $SAIC $CACI and more. @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1856504555510349958) 2024-11-13T01:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "🎯🎯🎯 $BAH $SAIC $CACI" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1857088389264093461) 2024-11-14T15:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@fyee0308 The market agrees with me $BAH $SAIC $CACI" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1857516298215034902) 2024-11-15T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@RyanMaue $mtn" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1858311931586834843) 2024-11-18T00:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Whistler now opening one day early. Conditions look incredible. Things are looking up for $MTN (Vail Mountain Resorts). https://www.rmoutlook.com/weather-news/whistler-pemberton-sea-to-sky-highway-in-bcto-see-significant-snowfall-9815317 https://www.rmoutlook.com/weather-news/whistler-pemberton-sea-to-sky-highway-in-bcto-see-significant-snowfall-9815317" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1858325247046357422) 2024-11-18T01:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Having just returned from a trip to San Francisco I can say definitively that Waymo is coolest technology that I've experienced in years. Better than ChatGPT. Now long $GOOG at 18x EPS with it owning over 90% of Waymo and with Waymo contributing no earnings" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1858909297180024895) 2024-11-19T16:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GOOG market cap is roughly $2Tr. I predict Waymo alone will be a $1Tr+ company. As the market has that ChatGPT moment I expect the stock to move significantly" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1858909632334360656) 2024-11-19T16:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The market is starting to take notice $MTN https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1859938525514530984) 2024-11-22T12:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The market is starting to take notice $MTN https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1859938657987408354) 2024-11-22T12:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@DOGE @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump $BAH $CACI $SAIC. Analysts are starting to catch on to what I flagged a couple weeks ago (and 20% ago in the stocks)" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1859942938228437435) 2024-11-22T12:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@elonmusk Sooshort $LMT and buy Anduril" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1860845612205285743) 2024-11-25T00:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Time to get long $MTN in size: No business like snow business in Vail as Thanksgiving lodging reservations surge Late holiday coming storm bringing visitors https://www.vaildaily.com/news/vail-snow-thanksgiving-lodging/ https://www.vaildaily.com/news/vail-snow-thanksgiving-lodging/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861416984925106552) 2024-11-26T14:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN #ParkCity Winter Storm Warning From National Weather Service Last updated [--] hours ago WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL [--] PM MST WEDNESDAY * WHAT.Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10-20 inches for the northern and southern Utah .More" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861437886429540589) 2024-11-26T15:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$LMT $NOC. With Musk in charge of @DOGE and rumors of Trae Stephens (co-founder of Anduril) as Deputy Defense secretary I would be very leary of owning bloated legacy cost-plus defense contractors. https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-dislikes-f-35-jet-may-preview-fight-congress-2024-11 https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-dislikes-f-35-jet-may-preview-fight-congress-2024-11" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861758912992571788) 2024-11-27T13:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@DOGE The first to drop were the civil and defense contractors ( $BAH $LDOS $SAIC $CACI ) which I flagged as at risk on November 8th. They're all down 15% to 20% since that time. I expect the defense primes to follow suit shortly" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861759294456160591) 2024-11-27T13:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN https://www.vaildaily.com/news/colorado-winter-storm-ski-areas-snow-totals/ https://www.vaildaily.com/news/colorado-winter-storm-ski-areas-snow-totals/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861770814539854022) 2024-11-27T13:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN #parkcity https://townlift.com/2024/11/two-feet-of-snow-possible-for-wasatch-mountains-by-thanksgiving/ https://townlift.com/2024/11/two-feet-of-snow-possible-for-wasatch-mountains-by-thanksgiving/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861771030965912001) 2024-11-27T13:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@stockthoughts81 Pretty misleading to post lift pass ticket costs for $MTN and other ski resorts as theyre purposely raising prices to drive people to buy Epic pass which is a reasonable price if you ski more than [--] days a year" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1861917922223943835) 2024-11-27T23:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Aureliusltd28 Buy $FAF $FNF and $STC as well. Market really mispricing the chances of a big upside move there as earnings can double or more in a more normalized market" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1862174288687559086) 2024-11-28T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MiMagaWatch Thanks for the tip $UMAC" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1862482932012634291) 2024-11-29T13:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/28/2988510/0/en/Heidelberg-Materials-to-Further-Strengthen-Cementitious-Footprint-and-Drive-Circularity-with-Acquisition-of-Giant-Cement-Holding-Inc-GCHI-and-its-subsidiaries.html https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/28/2988510/0/en/Heidelberg-Materials-to-Further-Strengthen-Cementitious-Footprint-and-Drive-Circularity-with-Acquisition-of-Giant-Cement-Holding-Inc-GCHI-and-its-subsidiaries.html" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1862497508863177106) 2024-11-29T14:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Govro12 I believe $MCEM NTM EBITDA is closer to $100M to $110M given the price increase and the take-out multiple for Giant was 10x NTM per the press release" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1862558374748914080) 2024-11-29T18:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@PlugInFUD $MTN is also kind of an obvious private equity or activist target. This is the crown jewel ski asset and PE loves these type of assets (for good reason) already owns Alterra (Icon pass) and most other ski resorts. The set-up for a PE takeout or shake-up seems perfect" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1863030119960387796) 2024-12-01T01:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@PlugInFUD Investors are frustrated with management's capital allocation and acquisition strategy when their stock is in the dumps. The stock is basically where it was 8+ years ago (end of 2016). Not all management's fault but this is crazy given how much inflation we've had" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1863035253775892838) 2024-12-01T01:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@SenSanders How is it possible that the US spent $2 Trillion (yes trillion) of taxpayer funds on one weapons program (the F-35) that is rapidly becoming obsolete and it is only just now becoming part of the conversation @DOGE @elonmusk This is beyond the pale" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1863363942963188138) 2024-12-01T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Dipping my toe in the water with a long position $CHGG. Hated and trading like a failing business with the stock down 95%+ from peak. [--] analysts cover it and zero have buys currently. Bloomberg and other data aggregators incorrectly show that it has substantial net debt because it excludes $270M in long term investments. When including these the market cap is just over $200M with slight net cash. It trades at just over 3x P/E as well and generates substantial cash. This business has historically been hard to kill and has been able to evolve its business model. I imagine purely the data it" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1863966871227097415) 2024-12-03T15:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Time to get long $DECK "HOKA UPDATE. Its that time of year Our teams are working hard to package and ship every order as quickly as possible. Due to an unexpectedly large increase in orders our processing time is taking a bit longer than usual. Never fear your items are still heading your way Once your order is ready to ship youll receive a confirmation email with your tracking number to view transit progress estimated delivery timeframe and to make any delivery changes through the carriers website directly. Too excited to wait for your shipping confirmation No problem You can also view your" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1864010314636754944) 2024-12-03T18:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TWheels88 @PlugInFUD Would love to hear why you think 9% div yield and 15% FCF yield is the right price" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1864406995287101595) 2024-12-04T20:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "And now Silverlake is blowing out of $SOFI too. Will be interesting to see how this year's audit goes. $SOFI insiders are remarkably good at timing their buys & sells . https://t.co/HO1RsgzjfS $SOFI insiders are remarkably good at timing their buys & sells . https://t.co/HO1RsgzjfS" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1864676911198159300) 2024-12-05T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Unless you work at a pod and are getting daily credit card data and trading it on that. Unfortunately for the pods as diligent as they are the data is backward looking. It doesn't take into account that we just had massive snow in all of $MTN markets and consumers will respond to that. Perhaps why they're all scrambling to cover now" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1864693107461148733) 2024-12-05T15:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PTON. UBS upgraded Peloton to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $10 up from $2.50. The firm sees the company's EBITDA being supported from further cost cutting beyond the announced $200M driven mostly by lower operating expenditures. Expectations have been reset to little to no growth over the next two years and the new CEO transition offers a chance to "further reset the bar against buy-side expectations that are more reasonable now" the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS also likes that Peloton's CEO compensation package is tied to revenue and operating income and" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1864994068578644058) 2024-12-06T11:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN Tough to see how the wheels are falling off as the stock price seems to imply Anyone on here with website traffic data for $MTN Better snowfall seems to at least be translating to higher google searches https://t.co/BmCKIx9KHt Anyone on here with website traffic data for $MTN Better snowfall seems to at least be translating to higher google searches https://t.co/BmCKIx9KHt" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1865014315029311854) 2024-12-06T12:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A good read. @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump @SenSanders @DOGE $LMT $NOC Why Im voting against the military budget Bernie Sanders https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/dec/08/why-im-voting-against-the-military-budget https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/dec/08/why-im-voting-against-the-military-budget" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1865789917126623570) 2024-12-08T16:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN "For the period between Sept [--] [----] and Dec [--] [----] pass product sales trends improved relative to pass product sales through Sept [--] [----] with unit growth of approximately 1% and sales dollars growth of approximately 7% as compared to the period in the prior year."" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1866240364249600128) 2024-12-09T21:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN reported strong earnings last night. Although the stock is up about 20% from when I posted my bull case at the end of October I think there is still significant upside in the near term. Most importantly Epic pass sales are accelerating significantly recently and were up 7% on a dollar sales basis this quarter. This compares to alternative data sources and consensus that shows it down. The bears and shorts are trying to pick at somewhat softer lodging bookings at Whistler that were flagged in the release since Whistler is the biggest part of EBITDA. This shows a complete misunderstanding" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1866476058012176750) 2024-12-10T13:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GOOG "Google Unveils Mixed-Reality Headset With Samsung Taking on Apple and Meta" "Googles breakthrough Willow chip means well get useful quantum computers sooner than some people thought" "Waymo Tops the Podium in the Autonomous Vehicle Revolution"" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1867243680480014466) 2024-12-12T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The market continues to dramatically underestimating the speed that Waymo is going to take over the ride share and potentially other transportation markets. $GOOG. Once SF approves aiprport pickup and dropoff Waymo growth will become even more exponential. The fact that Waymo contributes nothing to $GOOG earnings currently and you can still buy the stock at below the average market multiple is astounding. Not to mention the bets on quantum and AR that are likely to pay off as well" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1867550770742128967) 2024-12-13T12:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Whistler getting absolutely dumped on last week and this week $MTN Funny that the $MTN bears have been trying to make Whistler early season bookings softness part of the bear case. Expect a record season there. https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/mid https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/mid" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1868671053649834189) 2024-12-16T14:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Love to hear the negativity means it is even more out of consensus so if they surprise big to the upside the stock has even more room to run. The stock is where it was [--] / [--] years ago essentially despite a huge amount of organic growth. I never thought this was a 30x EBITDA business when it traded there but I don't think it is a 10x business either that deserves to trade at a 5% div yield. Probably in the 13x to 17x range" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1871213083865370633) 2024-12-23T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "More warning shots fired at the bloated legacy defense primes: $LMT $NOC $RTX $GD https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/22/palantir-and-anduril-reportedly-building-a-tech-consortium-to-bid-on-defense-contracts/ https://t.co/AR0ooT1DSs $LMT $NOC. With Musk in charge of @DOGE and rumors of Trae Stephens (co-founder of Anduril) as Deputy Defense secretary I would be very leary of owning bloated legacy cost-plus defense contractors. https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/22/palantir-and-anduril-reportedly-building-a-tech-consortium-to-bid-on-defense-contracts/ https://t.co/AR0ooT1DSs $LMT $NOC. With Musk in" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1871213612301189389) 2024-12-23T15:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GOOG Google Wing is starting to get real traction now too. Outside of Waymo one of the more exciting technologies that I've seen recently. They're already doing large scale deliveries in Dallas-Ft Worth market and will expand to other markets in [----] https://wing.com/how-it-works/ https://wing.com/how-it-works/ https://wing.com/how-it-works/ https://wing.com/how-it-works/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1871586848142770435) 2024-12-24T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GOOG The enemy of my enemy is my friend. https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-seeks-defend-googles-billion-dollar-payments-search-case-2024-12-24/ https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-seeks-defend-googles-billion-dollar-payments-search-case-2024-12-24/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1871700166606201294) 2024-12-24T23:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN . Winter storm warning in effect for Park City. 2+ feet of snow expected in the next [--] days. 70-90% chance of exceeding [--] inches over a multi-day period between Thursday and Saturday with a 20-30% chance of exceeding [--] inches" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1872248813433565341) 2024-12-26T11:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Polar vortex coming to the US which will drive and abnormally cold and snowy January across most of the country $MTN" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1873705815942840496) 2024-12-30T12:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MTN is an even better activist set-up here. I was just saying this to other people yesterday that this was a perfect "Howard Shultz" moment. Smell of coffee in the air at Vail Resorts Over the past five years the unimpressive stock charts of Vail Resorts (MTN) and Starbucks (SBUX) look pretty similar. Or at least they did before SBUX got a jolt in August after it sacked CEO Laxman Narasimhan and replaced him with Brian Niccol. Nothing like that is in the works at MTN. At least not that we're aware of. Having said that it did dawn on us yesterday that MTN has stumbled its way into a labor" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1875189149935813062) 2025-01-03T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I could literally have ChatGPT write this $MTN activist letter with a [--] sentence prompt" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1875192717573239252) 2025-01-03T14:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ToddWenning agreed. Time for a change. This union scuffle will prove to ultimately be a positive for the stock as it has exposed the true incompetence of this $MTN management team to the world. A qualtity new CEO would be worth [--] to 40% in the share price similar to $SBUX" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1875259978417893892) 2025-01-03T19:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I asked ChatGPT to write an activist investor letter for $MTN. This is what it gave me (unedited). Subject: A Call for Strategic Change at Vail Resorts Dear Board of Directors/Management Team of Vail Resorts As a long-term observer and investor in Vail Resorts I am compelled to express my deep concerns about the companys recent performance and strategic direction. Despite the immense potential of your assets and the unique position Vail Resorts holds within the mountain resort industry the company has significantly underperformed the broader market over a prolonged period. This" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1875261623075586247) 2025-01-03T19:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I gave ChatGPT a [--] sentence prompt to write an activist letter to $MTN board. The positive of this strike debacle is that it highlights the incompetence of the new management regime which has been more behind the scenes until now. It will accelerate change no way the CEO can survive this. Subject: A Call for Strategic Change at Vail Resorts Dear Board of Directors/Management Team of Vail Resorts As a long-term observer and investor in Vail Resorts I am compelled to express my deep concerns about the companys recent performance and strategic direction. Despite the immense potential of your" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1875289800980492701) 2025-01-03T21:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$mtn https://www.kpcw.org/ski-resorts/2025-01-03/park-city-ski-patrol-union-reports-progress-after-8-days-on-strike https://www.kpcw.org/ski-resorts/2025-01-03/park-city-ski-patrol-union-reports-progress-after-8-days-on-strike" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1875308666532065373) 2025-01-03T22:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Hi Dan I have been following $MTN closely if you view my prior posts on the stock. We may not have the full picture on the demands of the labor but it should have never gotten to this point and that is 100% the fault of leadership. On Friday I had ChatGPT write an activist investor letter to $MTN management on Friday with a brief prompt. I've pasted the first draft below unedited but I am sure you and your team can improve upon it: Subject: A Call for Strategic Change at Vail Resorts Dear Board of Directors/Management Team of Vail Resorts As a long-term observer and investor in Vail Resorts I" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1876089797829107974) 2025-01-06T02:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It also highlights how the current mark is not really where the value is. I could have sold some of my stock at $250 to $270 yesterday but I chose not to because I think its worth $350 to $450 and I don't want to pay taxes and potentially not have the chance to buy the stock back lower" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1876618468696469605) 2025-01-07T13:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$MTN Vail reached agreement with union" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1876890532544229534) 2025-01-08T07:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It is a good time to take advantage of max rate fear and investor panic to acquire good real estate businesses at near distressed level valuations" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1877770806085681273) 2025-01-10T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Hi @JonLitt I just recently initiated a position in $LXP. The stock hit an 8+ year low on Friday. I know the last campaign lead to a failed sale process but perhaps it is time for you to revisit this one. It trades north of an 8% cap rate and 7% dividend yield currently and over 30% discount to NAV" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1878366386583400824) 2025-01-12T09:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "No debt comes due until [----] and some of it has already repriced. Their development assets are significant and will almost definitely be leased up by that time. Their leases are also 20%+ below market so there is embedded growth even if market rents dont grow. These assets would trade on the private markets at a sub 6% cap rate and perhaps sub 5%. They should be a benificiary of continued manufacturing on-shoring" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1878381340485091728) 2025-01-12T09:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JohnArnoldFndtn So then through circularity we no longer have inflation and long term rates should come down Given that housing / rents are 40% of CPI" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1878446548217991623) 2025-01-12T14:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The space overall is pretty attractive here. The apartment REIT $AIV just announced theyre selling on Thursday. The clearing price should be $10.50 to $14 range. I consider $10.50 to be a firesale type of price and its still 17% above the close. The stock barely reacted on Friday. Theyre also going to pay out about $2.50 to $2.70 per share of dividends while they run this sale process though I could see the company getting sold potentially before the final dividend" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1878603397739282650) 2025-01-13T00:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JonLitt I am with you in $AIV though the price target math in your press release this morning was a bit confusing given the dividend. $LXP next" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1879168562872615291) 2025-01-14T14:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@blondesnmoney Lets not forget they still need to get through this years audit. Last year it was a nail biter" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1881069667097440721) 2025-01-19T20:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I predict the air is about to come out of AI infrastructure momentum stocks $VST $NVDA $DLR . Deepseek seems to be a game changer in terms of resource depends for LLMs. Time to exit before the market catches up over the weekend. Monday could be quite bloody" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1882893020179427743) 2025-01-24T20:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "But DeepSeek found ways to reduce memory usage and speed up calculation without significantly sacrificing accuracy. The team loves turning a hardware challenge into an opportunity for innovation says Wang" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1882893189591482852) 2025-01-24T20:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "We did it $MTN. I know everyone is busy with Deepseek drama today but thank you Taylor Schmidt and Apex Partners for writing this excellent activist memo. This is fantastic expose into the nonsense going on at Vail and why the team needs to be changed ASAP. Everyone should read this and use this as a lesson on how to effectively catalyze change at a rudderless mismanaged enterprise. https://c38f3580-b7de-4014-ba69-5a303368ebc7.usrfiles.com/ugd/c38f35_e2ed8d02246144cd8765614ebc650756.pdf https://c38f3580-b7de-4014-ba69-5a303368ebc7.usrfiles.com/ugd/c38f35_e2ed8d02246144cd8765614ebc650756.pdf" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1883936490234970564) 2025-01-27T17:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Today was a good day. Why we dont take Fridays off. $NVDA $VST $DLR #deepseek" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1883985980060999750) 2025-01-27T21:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A leaked document that was posted on Reddit that outlines government efficiency plans @doge_eth_gov @elonmusk https://issuu.com/lewisdaily1/docs/j69cb52de1a6c4791b1af4ba9c3ca1069-compressed https://issuu.com/lewisdaily1/docs/j69cb52de1a6c4791b1af4ba9c3ca1069-compressed" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1884421595265130572) 2025-01-29T02:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$VST bounced right back to the [--] DMA and is stuck there. Amazing the stock is still up 15% over the last [--] days. Time to re-short it" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1884625717750542433) 2025-01-29T15:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Fed statement should likely cause the yield curve to flatten then invert. $TLT. Growth is slowing the AI capex boom is over funding in DC is getting curtailed as are DC jobs and housing rents and prices are dropping" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1884706677447970960) 2025-01-29T20:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@BillAckman @deepseek_ai @nvidia Like me $VST $NVDA $DLR" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1884935892369805564) 2025-01-30T12:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@blondesnmoney Can someone explain to me why they have a buy button and a buy to cover button Shouldnt the default just be that I want to fucking cover my position and not box it What kind of people regularly box shorts in their account" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1888207178516873279) 2025-02-08T12:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If you're long legacy defense primes $LMT $GD $NOC $RTX you've been warned: @DOGE @elonmusk @JTLonsdale https://www.foxnews.com/media/hegseth-welcomes-elon-musks-doge-long-overdue-dod-spending-overhaul https://www.foxnews.com/media/hegseth-welcomes-elon-musks-doge-long-overdue-dod-spending-overhaul" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1888686488096739420) 2025-02-09T20:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Tommy035305742 @DOGE @elonmusk @JTLonsdale It actually isnt fake that we spent $2 trillion on the F-35 program. The link I shared came from a GAO report. So we spent the equivalent of the current market value of $GOOG on one mediocre aircraft" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1888712574306292125) 2025-02-09T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "New position long $SMRT (Smartrent). The stock made new all-time lows today. This is a highly asymmetric situation where 64% of the market cap is in cash for a subscription software business and where a take-out could get you 2x to 5x the current price. This is a subscription software business with a hardware sales component selling to large multifamily property owners. Think of it as the "Nest" for multifamily buildings. The market cap is $256M and it has $163M of net cash for a TEV of just $92M. It currently trades at 0.5x sales. Effectively $0.85 cents per share or 63% of the current" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1888969584381681749) 2025-02-10T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "How long until this chart of government jobs starts going the other way $TLT . Rents are crashing and the people in charge of the economy right now are 100% focused on getting the [--] year yield lower" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1889657815934865492) 2025-02-12T12:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Good question on $SMRT and L&B involvement. Note the post from @JonLitt after the new CEO was hired Also I don't know their trading strategies but I have it on good word that they are still very much involved. We will see shortly what their new 13-F looks like. https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 L&B has a position in SMRT. (2/2) https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 L&B has a position in SMRT. (2/2)" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1889720993276428658) 2025-02-12T16:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The market feels somewhat broken in some areas. Check out Costco $COST . It trades at 55x forward P/E. This is by far the highest P/E in its history as a public company (see chart below). There are just over [---] Costco's globally and the stock trades at just under a $500B valuation so it it is currently valued at about $500M per Costco box. If the stock were to trade at 40x it would be down about 25% from the current levels. This is assume no downside risk to earnings. At the same time volatility on Costco stock is extremely low so one can buy protection on their $COST holdings for very low" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1894117214808080447) 2025-02-24T20:08Z [---] followers, 62K engagements "If $COST goes down to 40x P/E in the next month (still an astronomical P/E by historical standards for Costco) I will make about 50x to 100x on my $900 puts. This seems like a great risk/reward trade. Not sure why everyone doesn't do this or owners of Costco don't look to at least partially hedge my position" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1894123619028275292) 2025-02-24T20:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$INVH just reported negative 2.2% decline in new leases. Rent Inflation is not a problem anymore. Explain to me why CPI shows 5% housing inflation again" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1895081876983026027) 2025-02-27T12:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Regardless of what $COST reports this week remember this: If the company grows eps at 10% a year for the next [--] years and trades at 30x earnings at the end of those [--] years you will roughly break even from these levels on a nominal basis but will lose about 15% on real basis assuming 2% inflation or lose about 35% vs owning a [--] year risk free treasury bond. It is hard to argue that $TLT is not a much better bet than $COST here particularly as the economy slows and inflation slows" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1896388914157441300) 2025-03-03T02:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@John91368972189 Yes I never said it was a sure shot. I have puts that I expect to lose money on but pay out 50x+ if the stock drops over the next [--] to [--] months" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1896533769030635746) 2025-03-03T12:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$COST I asked ChatGPT to help me estimate CostCo's impact in an slowing economy. After some back and forth dialogue I arrived at this. CostCo is now selling more higher ticket discretionary items than they have in prior economic downturns which in my opinion increases their exposure in a negative economic cycle. We might not see it right away tomorrow but expect it to be a topic of discussion over this year if the economy slows given that the stock trades at a 55x+ P/E still and is clearly just a hide-out place for passive investors who want to "feel safe"" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1897311823092682879) 2025-03-05T15:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Like I posted last week $infy $wit $ctsh and $acn are at risk of big wave of disruption. Nice to see more people are keying in on this potentially rapid disruption of the BPO sector by the step function leaps were seeing in AI has anyone seen analysis/writing on the potential impact of AI automation on the economies of India Philippines etc that have a lot of outsourced IT BPOs etc Imagine all the call centers backoffice support for accounting outsourced IT etc etc. Seems like it might be a has anyone seen analysis/writing on the potential impact of AI automation on the economies of India" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1897822499380838461) 2025-03-07T01:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "We'll see how long the lazy passives keep defending $COST because its down 5% on a their earnings miss. Its "only" 52x P/E now😂. I have nothing against Costco the company but it is not worth more than 30x P/E especially as the economy slows and the union labor increases pressure margins. Pretty easy to see how this stock retraces to $600 to $700. Management probably sees this too and its why they didn't bother splitting the stock" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1898023447948935474) 2025-03-07T14:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$SMRT now trading close to my estimate of "net net" value of $1.11 cents (after backing out deferred revenue which is not a real liability). Given that the core business remains very sticky and SAAS revenue is $50M+ currently vs a TEV of just $94M the stock seems like a steal here. Just 5% downside to "net net" value. This company could clearly be sold at a price materially above the current share price. Expect the new CEO to clean up the cost structure and efficiency and look to sell the business over the next [--] to [--] months" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1898063762860523627) 2025-03-07T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$SMRT CFO just filed after the close that he bought [-----] shares. This was his first open market purchase ever. I would expect as well that the company resumes its share repurchase program shortly now that it is out of the blackout period. The stock is trading at just a 5% premium to net-net and the company was fairly aggressive buyback back stock over the past year at much higher prices" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1898128161885294968) 2025-03-07T21:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Truflation is showing actual US inflation at 1.37% well below the Fed's target and it is dropping rapidly. It is a much better indictor of real-time inflation than the flawed and highly lagging CPI metric and hasn't been this soft in the US since [----] as we were in the midst of a global pandemic pre-vaccine. Real yields are the highest they've been since at least the 1990s. If this continues will will be in a recession very shortly if not already. In my opinion $TLT is a gift here as real yields have not been this high since at least the mid 1990s. https://truflation.com/" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1898485305109250510) 2025-03-08T21:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@rev_cap Why do you think bond yields in the us arent [---] to 150bps lower. Market feels broken" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1898585769758929111) 2025-03-09T04:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$COST look out below Affluent consumer already pulling back and they couldn't even make numbers when affluent consumer was feeling flush. Multiple [--] standard deviations higher than history. Even if they don't miss numbers (which they will as the consumer pulls back) there is 30% to 40% downside in the stock to the historical average multiple of 30x to 35x. No idea who is buying the stock at 50x+ a shaky consensus forward EPS estimate" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899085168574398849) 2025-03-10T13:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "5x $COST worth more than $AMZN 3x $WMT worth more than $AMZN I was thinking this weekend about a little thought experiment which sometimes I like to do is take a step back and think about relative values of companies in terms of their significance / my intuitive sense of their value to society. 5x COST Enterprise Value is worth more than $AMZN and 3x $WMT Enterprise value is worth more than $AMZN. I actually really like long $AMZN vs short $COST and short $WMT pair trade here. I can't wrap my mind around how that math makes any sense" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899096619015942235) 2025-03-10T13:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The S&P correction won't end until $AMZN has a higher multiple than $WMT and $COST. #Facts" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899126231431336360) 2025-03-10T15:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$COST [---] DMA incoming.I am still dumfounded as to who is buying this stock at 50x P/E as the affluent consumer begins to roll over. We will find out that $COST is more cyclical than people realize. Why not just buy $AMZN at 25x There is no world in which Costco is worth 20% of $AMZN's value as the market currently implies ($450B for $COST vs $2 Trillion for $AMZN)" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899467957517824008) 2025-03-11T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Once the market is fully on board with the fact that Trump Bessent and Musk are just trying to goalseek the [--] year yield to 3% the market will make more sense to people. Just buy $TLT so we can be done with this" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899470093261693033) 2025-03-11T14:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "This just gets easier and easier $COST Jim Cramer says he is unfazed by Costcos recent sell-off. Here's what he'd do with the stock https://t.co/JBnecXNWu1 Jim Cramer says he is unfazed by Costcos recent sell-off. Here's what he'd do with the stock https://t.co/JBnecXNWu1" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899612531875823768) 2025-03-12T00:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The beginning of the end $infy $wit Morgan Stanly Sparks fear in IT Sector #Infosys https://t.co/VmHKvU4BNU Morgan Stanly Sparks fear in IT Sector #Infosys https://t.co/VmHKvU4BNU" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1899702936818626681) 2025-03-12T06:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$COST is a lot more tied to high ticket discretionary spending by the affluent consumer than the market currently believes. Comps are going to decelerate materially as the higher end consumer pulls back. Much of the growth over the last couple years has been driven by non-food items. They are selling peloton bikes at Costco now for example. I would be very wary of looking at how the stock behaves in prior downcycles. This will prove much more cyclical than your typical grocer. Margins on the non-food items are also higher than they are on food so expect negative margin mix shift. There is a" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899844063634833501) 2025-03-12T15:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@valuedrift Yes and the higher end is only just rolling over now with weaker stock portfolios and job losses. See the $DAL forecast" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899865819489984596) 2025-03-12T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "That's the conventional wisdom. However the reality is it is filled with upper middle class soccer mom families many of which are living beyond their means. Daddy just got margin called on his $RDDT / $APP / $NVDA and its easy to just make wife back a bit on your $500 Costco bill. Tell me I'm wrong" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1899882356460159428) 2025-03-12T17:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Maybe the top 1% or less are still ok. Costco serves the top 10% to 20%. As stocks fall and white collar job uncertainty rises those consumers are pulling back real time. It isnt a coincidence that $COST epic boom in store productivity happened to coincide with one of the biggest stock market wealth creation events in history over the last [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900071502281666992) 2025-03-13T06:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@BullishonMars Inverse cramer is undefeated $COST" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900281537540579591) 2025-03-13T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Tortoisehead Not to mention $COST boycotts happening globally and the typical soccer mom family just got margin called on their $RDDT / $APP / $NVDA long and is suddenly not feeling so flush" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900281965506421017) 2025-03-13T20:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Shkreli agrees with my BPO short thesis posted last week. Wonder what he thinks about $INFY $WIT and $CTSH $ACN is a good short. insane valuation AI will take a bite out of both of their main businesses over time. it's just an old dead bloated company that will shrink over the next decade. $ACN is a good short. insane valuation AI will take a bite out of both of their main businesses over time. it's just an old dead bloated company that will shrink over the next decade" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900283746626281485) 2025-03-13T20:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$COST CEO blows out of $3.35M of shares. #sellthedip" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900297182718419274) 2025-03-13T21:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "How about almost the entire $XLP The governments dont even have to do it. Consumers are doing it for them with boycotts. Toss $SBUX in there as a well. There is a reason why the budlight boycott worked because the product sucks anyway and there are plenty of substitutes. Europe has no good tech companies but they have plenty of big box stores and crappy snack cos and coffee shops" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900433612539126176) 2025-03-14T06:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The outperformance of "defensive" consumer staples is over. Sometimes the market is just easy and you get these win / win scenarios. Scenario 1: Trade war keeps escalating. These "defensive" staples will lag as they have the most exposure to international markets that will be boycotted and tariffed of any S&P sector Scenario 2: Trade war de-escalates and these "defensive" consumer staples become source of funds. Positioning is completely one-sided with everyone owning these "defensive" consumer staples thinking they are safe at record multiples. The rug pull has the potential to be fantastic." [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1900539865499938822) 2025-03-14T13:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Which is why this joker bid up brown Forman (BF) to the moon at 55x to 60x PE in [----] / [----] period. Literally buying it every day 10% of volume. I know because I was short it. Now the stock is down 60% and the market is up huge. Cant blame passive investing for shitty stock picks that were obviously bad at the time" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1901091977640505565) 2025-03-16T02:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@SteadyCompound Should have said *still short and he still owns though he sold his diageo" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1901097105055220132) 2025-03-16T02:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PEP predict this Poppi deal wont go well but desperate times call for desperate attempts to grow" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1901297613762150822) 2025-03-16T15:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Baird highlighting its cluelessness with the $ACN upgrade this morning. Who should we believe a sellside shill or the company's own employees @MartinShkreli @MinervaCap 🤔🤔🤔" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1901609510814249023) 2025-03-17T12:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Asked ChatGPT for a quick summary of big box retailer exposure to Canada which are being boycotted aggressively by Canadian consumers. (NOTE edited this post to exclude $LOW as they sold their Canada business) 13% of $COST 11% $TGT 8% $HD 4% $WMT Assuming a 20% hit it implies 2.5% drop in SSS for $COST. This excludes any other impacts from declines from the weaker consumer broadly. Chat GPT summary: The major U.S. big-box retailers with the largest percentage of their store base located in Canada include: [--]. Costco Wholesale Canada Stores: [---] Total Stores Globally: [---] % in Canada: 13%" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1901623665990521081) 2025-03-17T13:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@risk2rise I havent sold I actually bought more when $RKT crashed after the deal because I think this deal is great for rocket and $RKT is at the trough of the cycle too" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902136972459598307) 2025-03-18T23:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$GIS. Batter up $XLP" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1902336742507594219) 2025-03-19T12:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BAH. Bessent calls out on All-In podcast today what we already knew Highly recommend watching. What Bessent shares gives an example of the grift that occurs on Federal spending. The fact that Booz Allen Hamilton gets 90+% () of their revenue from the Federal govt is crazy. (Based on some research $BAH gets 98% of their revenue from the Highly recommend watching. What Bessent shares gives an example of the grift that occurs on Federal spending. The fact that Booz Allen Hamilton gets 90+% () of their revenue from the Federal govt is crazy. (Based on some research $BAH gets 98% of their revenue" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902386190310949222) 2025-03-19T15:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BAH Bessent calls out Booz Allen on the All-In podcast today "98% of the revenue comes from the government. What kind of risk management is that" @chamath" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902407689722057001) 2025-03-19T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ACN new bookings down 3% last quarter ended February and it likely got a lot worse in March" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1902686743813361909) 2025-03-20T11:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "EPS for next year could easily be down maybe $10 to $11. 20x P/E on that which would still be quite healthy implies about a $200 Price target (still 30%+ downside). I think BPO is in structural decline despite all of this "AI" bookings talk. $INFY $WIT $CTSH" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902713792330432799) 2025-03-20T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Reddit: [--] Sellside: [---] (How many have buys on stock vs zero with sells) $ACN Baird highlighting its cluelessness with the $ACN upgrade this morning. Who should we believe a sellside shill or the company's own employees @MartinShkreli @MinervaCap 🤔🤔🤔 https://t.co/TvtvHCt34D https://t.co/Z99rpJuLma https://t.co/E1Gk60Zj7y Baird highlighting its cluelessness with the $ACN upgrade this morning. Who should we believe a sellside shill or the company's own employees @MartinShkreli @MinervaCap 🤔🤔🤔 https://t.co/TvtvHCt34D https://t.co/Z99rpJuLma https://t.co/E1Gk60Zj7y" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902720296466907152) 2025-03-20T13:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "About 20% of $COST sales are commercial including universities healthcare facilities and government agencies. The massive Sodexo guide today does not bode well for anything food service related in the commercial channel" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1902726187933147191) 2025-03-20T14:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$XLP $KO $SBUX $MCD 64% of people in France consider boycott of US products amidst trade war Seven out of ten people also say they may stop buying American brands in supermarkets as Atlantic relations continue to deteriorate" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902740786157937014) 2025-03-20T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@justphiltrading It was because of the Bessent All-in podcast. If you follow my account you can see I posted about it. And yes I bought puts yesterday. $BAH" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1902782877470695448) 2025-03-20T18:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Business vs consumer sales are not directly disclosed by $COST but you can go off of business memberships as a % of total memberships and then make some assumption for how much more the average businesses spends vs the average consumer. If I do this math I get a range of 15% to 25% of sales to businesses" [X Link](https://x.com/David72386784/status/1903036523081052287) 2025-03-21T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "America Last: Why Shoppers Abroad Are Boycotting U.S. Goods A growing number of Europeans and citizens of other countries are choosing not to buy American products to demonstrate their anger at President Trumps policies. $XLP $KO $SBUX $MCD" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1903430109551268148) 2025-03-22T12:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$COST putting political stuff aside which is why this post went viral (despite being on an investing thread) the company is a lot more cyclical than the market perception. Seems like the thesis is starting to play out. Reddit is furious that the prices at costco are going down. https://t.co/DKExaMOmvL Reddit is furious that the prices at costco are going down. https://t.co/DKExaMOmvL" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1903720799229415678) 2025-03-23T08:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$WMT underperforming today on a very bad Cleveland Research check is what I am hearing" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1904569421114257474) 2025-03-25T16:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$COST multiple expansion vs the rest of $XLP continues. Interesting that one of the most cyclical and risky components of $XLP is also its largest holding currently at 10% of the entire staples ETF. It seems quite clear that the passive monkey / quant bot crowd is just hiding out in this pretending that it is safe or misinterpreting the data. Let's break this down: 1) 50%+ of gross profits are likely on hard goods that are at least somewhat discretionary and not grocery. More cyclical than the rest of $XLP 2) 10%+ of stores are in Canada and are likely being hit by boycott -- the most of any" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1904609145422041088) 2025-03-25T18:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "right on queue $COST" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1904644005570150671) 2025-03-25T21:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@unfoldedbeagle [--] million membersbut yeah lets go with the frugal Asians with large families narrative😂 $COST" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1904646546412490928) 2025-03-25T21:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Great conversation thread on LinkedIn related to the challenges facing the legacy IT consulting model. $ACN $INFY $CTSH $WIT https://www.linkedin.com/posts/usmans_accenture-lost-14b-of-market-value-on-thursday-activity-7309861339672317953-rqk8utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAAApOCEBFCqcgzfXbCaq2gcruDrDsh53ZRE https://www.linkedin.com/posts/usmans_accenture-lost-14b-of-market-value-on-thursday-activity-7309861339672317953-rqk8utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAAApOCEBFCqcgzfXbCaq2gcruDrDsh53ZRE" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1904831507090243592) 2025-03-26T09:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Maybe we need to start to writing it with crayons $AMZN at 27x or $WMT at 35x or $COST at 53x" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1904854707924857272) 2025-03-26T11:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ACN $BAH $SAIC $CACI $LDOS Government Contractors: "Don't worry our DOD business is safe" DOD:" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1905608443089543196) 2025-03-28T13:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The top third of consumers by income took the biggest took the biggest hit to sentiment hit last month. $SBUX $COST. What else is exposed here Wow. Huge drop in consumer sentiment among all income groups. Even the rich are worried now. 1) Sentiment is down more than 30% since November 2) People are worried they will lose their jobs. Two-thirds of consumers expect unemployment to rise in year ahead-- highest concern https://t.co/8215hFFDgo Wow. Huge drop in consumer sentiment among all income groups. Even the rich are worried now. 1) Sentiment is down more than 30% since November 2) People are" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1905670546660229233) 2025-03-28T17:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Another way to frame the absurdity is that $COST enterprise value is more than 20% of that of $AMZN at this point. Amazon's GMV (gross merchandize value) is roughly $900B vs Costco at $260B so about 3.5x higher. GMV is the better way to compare retail sales apples to apples since it grosses up the sales figures from 3PL. In addition Amazon GMV is growing at about double the rate of Costco (Amazon 10%+ vs Costco 5%). If you assumed Amazon was valued the same on price to sales as Costco which is obviously too conservative because Amazon is growing faster and has a more defensible business it" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1906031491320086731) 2025-03-29T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ACN. Great thread on Reddit discussing its challenges from actual employees. How long until someone on the sellside breaks rank and downgrades the stock. tick tock tick tock. Still [--] buys [--] holds and zero sells. Not sure how this is possible given the cyclical and structural problems facing the business in addition to DOGE hit to their government business. The stock still trades at 23x earnings estimates which are now laughably too high based on the negative bookings numbers they reported last quarter. Here is a great quote: "Well said. I am also a shareholder have been here a decade myself" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1906689818815267065) 2025-03-31T12:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Now that $GLD is finally cracking well see if the buy $COST at 53x P/E crowd as a gold proxy trade unwinds as well" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1907776090690466014) 2025-04-03T12:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "How is $MCD not a no brainer sell here down just 3% from essentially the highs. Domestic channel checks on sales have not been good. The stock trades at a 20% premium or more to its historical average. And most importantly over half of its sales come from outside of the US. Boycotts are definitely going to take hold of name-brand US businesses globally. Yes I get that you want to own something that the Barra model tells you is "low vol" But when fundamentals have the potential for a big downside shock we need to use our brains" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1907786864293204344) 2025-04-03T13:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If you want a contrarian tariff roll-back play I think $PTON is a great value here. It is down 20% in [--] days mostly because they manufacture their bikes in Taiwan and we tariffed Taiwan which was unexpected. However they make most of their money from subscriptions which should be pretty sticky. I expect Taiwan to be near the front of the line in terms of getting a deal to reduce these tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1908141617501860117) 2025-04-04T12:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$LXP is a well run industrial REIT with stable rental stream and high quality investment grade tenants. It is almost a 7% well-covered dividend here. Most importantly it is a clear beneficiary of onshoring as their warehouses are all located inland near domestic manufacturing hubs. This is a clear example of an opportunity being created by hedge fund degrossing and disorderly selling" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1908187859909021754) 2025-04-04T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$RKT / $RDFN arb spread blowing out 7% today. Easy money to buy $RDFN here (and short RKT if you don't want to take market risk)" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1908201682032337376) 2025-04-04T16:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The spread is blowing out because you can't get any borrow on $RKT. Arbs are blowing up and derisking. Same thing happening with $COOP. Opportunity if you are a nimble investor that can take some volatility (ie. not a pod) to pick up some easy alpha" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1908233899458580503) 2025-04-04T19:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PTON this headline came out post close. Seems like company is messaging no tariff impact" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1908284234571137037) 2025-04-04T22:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Once in [--] to [--] year opportunity to pick up REITs at extremely discounted valuations here. $LXP at a 9% cap rate and 7.5% well-covered dividend yield for a well-covered sunbelt focused industrial REIT that benefits from onshoring. $AIV at a 10% cap rate -- apartment REIT focused on class B apartments and running a sale process currently. There is a longer list but these are two to do the work on if you are looking for a place to start" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1909703920123031983) 2025-04-08T20:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@alphaporgs The sale process will keep going on. They have in place debt and nav is $11+. Maybe they sell at a discount to NAV but the stock is discounting a lot down here at a 10% cap rate" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1909795324748509561) 2025-04-09T02:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Loop Capital met with $COST management yesterday and is cutting EPS for [----] by 10% on expected margin pressure. It also lowered its price target. COST: Costco price target lowered to $1045 from $1150 at Loop Capital Loop Capital lowered the firm's price target on Costco to $1045 from $1150 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is adjusting its model and assuming that margins are negatively impacted by tariffs even though Costco is slow to pass on cost increases so there is risk to even its lowered estimates in the near-term the analyst tells investors in a research note. Loop adds" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1909954439407939589) 2025-04-09T12:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements ""All [--] groups now face a 5pm April [--] deadline to identify more savings restructure contracts to outcome-based or shared-savings models and offer the federal government a credit for what the GSA deems to have been past overcharging." $BAH $ACN https://www.ft.com/content/a92d94be-6266-424a-abd1-c17535041d70FTCamp=engage/CAPI/desktopapp/Channel_Bloomberg//B2B https://www.ft.com/content/a92d94be-6266-424a-abd1-c17535041d70FTCamp=engage/CAPI/desktopapp/Channel_Bloomberg//B2B" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1910018572048380392) 2025-04-09T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Cramer taking a victory lap on his great call to hold stocks likely marks the peak of the bear market rally" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1910041268404486195) 2025-04-09T18:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$SMRT is the special situation that keeps getting more special. I acknowledge I was wrong on this one but I have to wonder if now the company finally puts itself up for sale at whatever price they can get. I am still working on gathering the facts is hard to see how they pivot to another CEO after this latest debacle. The stock trades at net cash now so the bar is very low" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1910404949017518218) 2025-04-10T18:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BAH $ACN: Our DOD business is safe. Narrator: It wasnt The Pentagon has terminated $4B worth of IT services contracts with companies including Deloitte Accenture (ACN) and Booz Allen (BAH) Stef Chavez and Joe Miller of The Financial times reports. These cuts were a part of the Trump administration's purge of consultancy spending. Defense secretary Pete Hegseth determined the contracts to be "non-essential spending on third-party consultants" that employees of the Pentagon could more efficiently carry out according to a memo reviewed by the Times" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1910646316067172790) 2025-04-11T10:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is what gives me conviction that things really are that bad for government consultants like $BAH and $ACN. Just peruse through the Deloitte Reddit message board: I feel for the people affected but this is just bad news for profits of these companies. https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/ https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/ https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/ https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1910761307067842645) 2025-04-11T18:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$WIT big earnings miss. Not a great readthrough for $ACN $CTSH or $INFY. Combination of cyclical and structural pressures likely hitting them. Wipro Signals Sharp Pullback in Discretionary IT Spending: React RECENT EVENT REACTION: Wipro's midpoint guidance of minus 2.5% sequential constant-currency sales in fiscal 1Q26 suggests intensifying pressure on discretionary IT spending. Analyst estimates of 0.8% sequential sales growth in 1Q reflected optimism in demand recovery in financial services yet uncertainty about tariff impacts is spooking clients across all sectors and poses downside risk" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1912485048831328519) 2025-04-16T12:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$INFY another miss in IT outsourcing following $WIT yesterday. Pretty clear that we're seeing a broad slowdown in BPO perhaps driven by cyclical but also driven by structural headwinds from AI. $CTSH $ACN and $WIT all at risk $WIT big earnings miss. Not a great readthrough for $ACN $CTSH or $INFY. Combination of cyclical and structural pressures likely hitting them. Wipro Signals Sharp Pullback in Discretionary IT Spending: React RECENT EVENT REACTION: Wipro's midpoint guidance of minus 2.5% $WIT big earnings miss. Not a great readthrough for $ACN $CTSH or $INFY. Combination of cyclical and" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1912850812545474909) 2025-04-17T12:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$SMRT Apologies to anyone that followed me into this horrific long call from a couple months ago. I have had some good calls on SMID caps in the last [--] months since I started posting on X including Napa takeout Peloton turnaround (pre-Einhorn) and Redfin takeout and others but this is a stain on that track record. That said I had the opportunity to speak with the interim CEO earlier this week and came away feeling good enough to double down. I came away sensing that the CEO departure had nothing to do with the business and was in some way related to the CEO's personal conduct. The stock is" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1912880861302645145) 2025-04-17T14:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Someone's option strategy is going haywire today on $PTON on opex day" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1912934635048427832) 2025-04-17T18:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Of all the companies that probably want a mulligan I have to think Puerto De Liverpool is high up on that list for agreeing to buy a troubled department store $JWN at the end of December [----] into a recession and huge tariff disaster. Yes the contract is "airtight" but I don't know who wants to FAFO for a 1% gross spread. If not for the deal the stock would be down 50%+. The Nordstrom family is rolling their equity into the deal so I doubt they really care about the price. Puerto De Liverpool would be foolish to not try to push for a price cut at the very least. They are overpaying by over a" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1912949012770230640) 2025-04-17T19:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@SecScottBessent @USTreasury You giving lessons on short selling and out buying too I hope" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1913649504944869755) 2025-04-19T17:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BAH. doesn't read bullish https://www.reddit.com/r/consulting/comments/1jrgm9q/did_anyone_recently_got_fired_from_booz_allen/sort=new https://www.reddit.com/r/consulting/comments/1jrgm9q/did_anyone_recently_got_fired_from_booz_allen/sort=new" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1915766709002137666) 2025-04-25T13:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$JWN -- Livererpool just posted a terrible quarter and on the call saying they won't comment on Nordstrom deal. A bit odd given they discussed it many times last quarter. Why wouldn't they want to talk about a deal if they were excited about it" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1915793899424989448) 2025-04-25T15:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It is possible. The $BAH team is reaching for any bit of positive PR they can get just like their vaporware Palantir partnership a few months ago when the stock was at $140. It will take some serious balls for them to show profit growth on their earnings given 98% of their revenue comes from the federal government" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1915799585311563954) 2025-04-25T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$PTON upgrade this morning at Truist" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1916834317570834700) 2025-04-28T12:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$LINE blows up on terrible demand for cold storage for food. But consumer staples outperform big. Make it make sense" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1917663319265042592) 2025-04-30T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "How many staples companies need to report horrible misses for people to realize low vol factor is not defensive $CHD $COKE" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1917934482268758073) 2025-05-01T13:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Smart money dumping staples stocks $KDP" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1918277081198186919) 2025-05-02T12:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$K whiff. CPG companies continue to disappoint on earnings despite huge outperformance" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1918277409482096972) 2025-05-02T12:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Genesis is having liquidity issues per $OHI earnings release today. Not sure why $LTC isn't down more given that Genesis is 5%+ of rents. Seems like a lay-up to short. It seems like generally Medicaid supplemental payments are being squeezed by HHS per the WSJ article this morning" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1918331357086007698) 2025-05-02T15:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Another big bellweather miss in staples $CLX The worsening outlook from Clorox which also sells products under Hidden Valley and Burts Bees brands mimics peers Proctor & Gamble Co. and Colgate-Palmolive Co. both of which lowered expectations for the year last month citing decreased demand from increasingly wary US consumers and high costs from tariffs. The revised outlook also includes changes to the expected impact from the companys strategic transformation. Excluding those items organic sales would be up around 2%. Shares for Oakland-based Clorox fell 5.1% in postmarket trading. It was down" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1919749690809045140) 2025-05-06T13:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@The_Huntsman23 @Fidelity Same thing here. Luckily I custody with multiple accounts and brokers but this is some bs @Fidelity" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1921936080024064504) 2025-05-12T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TradeNot Clearly not all of it was priced in $BAH" [X Link](https://x.com/MultiMismanaged/status/1926325728691233043) 2025-05-24T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@David72386784 David
David posts on X about $acn, $cost, $blnd, $snap the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [------] +922%
- [--] Month [------] +7.60%
- [--] Months [-------] +31%
- [--] Year [-------] +378%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] -10%
- [--] Month [--] -6.10%
- [--] Months [---] +61%
- [--] Year [---] +253%
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +0.96%
- [--] Month [-----] +2.20%
- [--] Months [-----] +47%
- [--] Year [-----] +333%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence stocks finance technology brands cryptocurrencies celebrities social networks countries currencies us election fashion brands
Social topic influence $acn, $cost, $blnd #1, $snap #92, in the, $bah, accenture, $sofi, $pton, business
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @elonmusk @doge @degenlanecap @realdonaldtrump @jtlonsdale @pulte @evanspiegel @laurenbalik @blondesnmoney @billackman @datadinvesting @triedandtried89 @boxlongs @risk2rise @deepthinktrader @nghamsari @pluginfud @jonlitt @martinshkreli @minervacap
Top assets mentioned Accenture (ACN) Costco Hot Dog (COST) Blend Labs, Inc. (BLND) Snap, Inc. (SNAP) Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Corp. (BAH) RAI Finance (SOFI) Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock (PTON) Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT) Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Infosys Limited (INFY) Witnet (WIT) Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp (CTSH) CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA (CACI) Dogecoin (DOGE) Warner Bros Discovery, Inc. (WBD) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION (SAIC) Walmart, Inc. (WMT) Limitus (LMT) BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC. (BFAM) Lennar Corporation (LEN) LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) D R Horton Inc (DHI) Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Bitcoin (BTC) Metadium (META) Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) DeepSeek (DEEPSEEK) McDonald's Corp (MCD) Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL) Brunswick Corporation (BC) Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@laurenbalik NAPA obviously priced for a massive cut to EBITDA here. Even if you assume their deal with BF produces zero EBITDA it still trades at sub 9x consensus EBITDA vs wine assets that trade for 12x+ and TWE at 11x to 12x"
X Link 2024-09-04T19:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@risk2rise @laurenbalik Thank you @risk2rise. I think $PTON is a speculative but interesting idea here on a take-out thesis. Less conviction that NAPA. However it trades at below 2x subscription gross profits. If they can stabilize their revenues or grow them the stock has explosive upside"
X Link 2024-10-07T16:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@risk2rise Thanks for the mention @risk2rise . I think $PTON is just getting started potentially if it plays out like I think it could. I would take a close look at $RDFN as mentioned. I think the turnaround is underappreciated and we're essentially at peak negativity on interest rates"
X Link 2024-10-23T19:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1) $SUM takeover approach is very bullish for domestic cement producers. Significant asset scarcity. My favorite play on this is the underfollowed company $MCEM"
X Link 2024-10-25T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"As the odds of a Trump victory have increased Bread Financial ( $BFH ) is an underappreciated way to invest in a very clear Trump winner stock. The CFPB late fee rule change is a significant overhang on $BFH and $SYF EPS. If Trump were to win $BFH could rise 40%+"
X Link 2024-10-25T15:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump would overhaul the CFPB and this late fee rule change that could pressure $BFH and $SYF eps will disappear"
X Link 2024-10-25T16:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BFH has lagged other consumer finance stocks ( $SYF $COF $LC $SOFI ) and Trump stocks materially ( $GEO $DJT) over the last month as Trump's odds of winning the election have increased materially. The should be least 15% to 20% higher based on this fact alone"
X Link 2024-10-25T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1) As Trump victory odds increase the macro traders have shorting the long bond ( $TLT) and bought US stocks ( $SPY). Since 9/15 $SPY is up 4% and $TLT is down 9%. Most of this is due to Trump's gain in polls and market view that he will drive higher deficits and growth"
X Link 2024-10-30T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2) This view is misguided for several reasons. Trump is not a "high rate" guy. He is balls long real estate and his son in law is aggressively buying multifamily. Trump's key economic advisors including @elonmusk are heavily in favor of reducing the deficit"
X Link 2024-10-30T16:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3) if Trump does win there is a good chance that the Democrats will take the House which will lead to gridlock and gridlock will reduce the chances of any sizeable increase in the deficit"
X Link 2024-10-30T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4) The short bonds ( $TLT) and long ( $SPY) trade is extremely one sided currently. Purely from a technical and economics [---] standpoint it is due to reverse significantly. The yield on the $SPY should be correlated to the yield on bonds but it has gone the opposite direction"
X Link 2024-10-30T16:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"5) To summarize from both a technical and fundamental standpoint the short $TLT and long $SPY trade is extremely misguided and I predict is set to sharply reverse over the next few weeks"
X Link 2024-10-30T16:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@steamrollpenny Less government spending and slower growth Fed will likely be forced to cut rates more quickly to keep up with the slowing economy and an inverting yield curve will signal that"
X Link 2024-10-30T17:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2) This $MTN trade has elements of $DIS as well as my recent successful long calls on $NAPA and $PTON. 1) Stock is hated shorted and at lows 2) Activist investors and PE are almost definitely looking closely 3) Valuation is cheap 4) Management is under pressure"
X Link 2024-10-31T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4) The snow season was poor last year which pressured skiing and the market is overly extrapolating those trends to $MTN. However this year has a good chance of being excellent as La Nina weather pattern is almost fully formed https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/weather/2024/10/31/la-nina-2024-iowa-winter-weather-forecast-national-weather-service/75701030007/ https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/weather/2024/10/31/la-nina-2024-iowa-winter-weather-forecast-national-weather-service/75701030007/"
X Link 2024-10-31T14:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"5) Lastly $MTN is obviously getting tax loss harvested as its down materially this year. This combined with the likely La Nina weather pattern that will emerge at the end of November makes it the perfect January effect stock"
X Link 2024-10-31T14:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"6) To summarize $MTN has never been cheaper and is likely to attract an activist or private equity in the near term. Fundamentals are likely to outperform as the snow season is excellent due to La Nina and the tax loss selling makes the technical set-up highly favorable"
X Link 2024-10-31T14:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@risk2rise @laurenbalik Yes. Curious what you think about my $MTN pitch. I think it has some similarities to $NAPA"
X Link 2024-10-31T16:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN https://www.speaksly.net/la-nina-winter-2024-what-this-weather-pattern-means-for-the-u-s-from-cold-snaps-to-drought-risks/ https://www.speaksly.net/la-nina-winter-2024-what-this-weather-pattern-means-for-the-u-s-from-cold-snaps-to-drought-risks/"
X Link 2024-11-01T13:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Added $PTON back here at $7.50 after trimming some $1 higher yesterday / today. Yesterday's print was a game-changer in my opinion in terms of resetting EBITDA higher and new CEO"
X Link 2024-11-01T16:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Investy_ Mostly bad snow + inflation in lodging and flights. Lodging costs and flight prices are now lower. And EPIC pass sales are light because people have memory of last year. Once it starts snow (It is already snowing in the mountain west) people will going skiing"
X Link 2024-11-01T19:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$PTON. BofA upgraded Peloton to Buy from Underperform with a price target of $9 up from $3.75. The firm cites higher estimates after fiscal Q1 "surprised" with much higher than expected EBITDA and FY25 guidance was raised to $240M-$290M versus the $232M Street view"
X Link 2024-11-04T11:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Ski season is here in Vail and Whistler. $MTN #Whistler #Vail https://www.vail.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/top https://www.vail.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/top"
X Link 2024-11-04T14:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PTON. BofA upgraded Peloton to Buy from Underperform with a price target of $9 up from $3.75. The firm cites higher estimates after fiscal Q1 "surprised" with much higher than expected EBITDA and FY25 guidance was raised to $240M-$290M versus the $232M Street view"
X Link 2024-11-04T14:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN (Vail Mountain Resorts) https://www.denver7.com/weather/denver-weather/winter-driving-in-mountains-ahead-of-snow-for-denvers-morning-commute-on-monday https://www.denver7.com/weather/denver-weather/winter-driving-in-mountains-ahead-of-snow-for-denvers-morning-commute-on-monday"
X Link 2024-11-04T16:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Nice snow forecast this week for Whistler ( $MTN Vail Mountain Resorts). Should have [--] to [--] feet of base by the end of the week. https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx"
X Link 2024-11-05T15:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BFH should be up 20% today"
X Link 2024-11-06T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"So when does @realDonaldTrump and @elonmusk announce some details of their cost cutting plan Funny to see $SPY (US stocks) up 2% and $TLT (bonds) down 3% today. Predictable but exactly the wrong reaction to a Trump win. Time to take the other side of this trade IN SIZE"
X Link 2024-11-06T17:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@realDonaldTrump @elonmusk $RKT $RDFN $TOL $Z"
X Link 2024-11-06T17:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"How worried are you right now if you are a bloated cost-plus government IT contractor ( $BAH $SAIC $CACI) @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump and the DOGE team are coming for you Stay tuned for more thoughts on this later"
X Link 2024-11-08T14:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"1) $RDFN (Redfin) down 18% on essentially a non-event print is a no brainer long here. The company is accelerating hiring to take advantage of the likely recovery in the housing market net year. They are going on the offensive as many are being forced to pull back"
X Link 2024-11-08T16:07Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"3) We're currently in the midst of the worst existing home sales market in the last [--] decades. The company was able to be EBITDA positive during this tough time which is a testament to the improved business model. When the market recovers expect explosive earnings upside"
X Link 2024-11-08T16:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"❄❄❄❄ [---] feet of snow expected in Whistler the next [--] days ( $MTN ) . open Nov 22nd expect a boost to Epic pass sales https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx https://www.whistlerblackcomb.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/snow-and-weather-report.aspx"
X Link 2024-11-10T00:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Heavy snow now hitting Whistler now / this week as expected. $MTN"
X Link 2024-11-11T15:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"DOGE is come for you $BAH $SAIC $CACI and more. @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump"
X Link 2024-11-13T01:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"🎯🎯🎯 $BAH $SAIC $CACI"
X Link 2024-11-14T15:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@fyee0308 The market agrees with me $BAH $SAIC $CACI"
X Link 2024-11-15T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@RyanMaue $mtn"
X Link 2024-11-18T00:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Whistler now opening one day early. Conditions look incredible. Things are looking up for $MTN (Vail Mountain Resorts). https://www.rmoutlook.com/weather-news/whistler-pemberton-sea-to-sky-highway-in-bcto-see-significant-snowfall-9815317 https://www.rmoutlook.com/weather-news/whistler-pemberton-sea-to-sky-highway-in-bcto-see-significant-snowfall-9815317"
X Link 2024-11-18T01:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Having just returned from a trip to San Francisco I can say definitively that Waymo is coolest technology that I've experienced in years. Better than ChatGPT. Now long $GOOG at 18x EPS with it owning over 90% of Waymo and with Waymo contributing no earnings"
X Link 2024-11-19T16:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GOOG market cap is roughly $2Tr. I predict Waymo alone will be a $1Tr+ company. As the market has that ChatGPT moment I expect the stock to move significantly"
X Link 2024-11-19T16:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The market is starting to take notice $MTN https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends"
X Link 2024-11-22T12:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The market is starting to take notice $MTN https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vail-resorts-four-year-low-despite-strong-winter-trends"
X Link 2024-11-22T12:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DOGE @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump $BAH $CACI $SAIC. Analysts are starting to catch on to what I flagged a couple weeks ago (and 20% ago in the stocks)"
X Link 2024-11-22T12:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@elonmusk Sooshort $LMT and buy Anduril"
X Link 2024-11-25T00:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Time to get long $MTN in size: No business like snow business in Vail as Thanksgiving lodging reservations surge Late holiday coming storm bringing visitors https://www.vaildaily.com/news/vail-snow-thanksgiving-lodging/ https://www.vaildaily.com/news/vail-snow-thanksgiving-lodging/"
X Link 2024-11-26T14:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN #ParkCity Winter Storm Warning From National Weather Service Last updated [--] hours ago WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL [--] PM MST WEDNESDAY * WHAT.Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10-20 inches for the northern and southern Utah .More"
X Link 2024-11-26T15:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$LMT $NOC. With Musk in charge of @DOGE and rumors of Trae Stephens (co-founder of Anduril) as Deputy Defense secretary I would be very leary of owning bloated legacy cost-plus defense contractors. https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-dislikes-f-35-jet-may-preview-fight-congress-2024-11 https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-dislikes-f-35-jet-may-preview-fight-congress-2024-11"
X Link 2024-11-27T13:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@DOGE The first to drop were the civil and defense contractors ( $BAH $LDOS $SAIC $CACI ) which I flagged as at risk on November 8th. They're all down 15% to 20% since that time. I expect the defense primes to follow suit shortly"
X Link 2024-11-27T13:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN https://www.vaildaily.com/news/colorado-winter-storm-ski-areas-snow-totals/ https://www.vaildaily.com/news/colorado-winter-storm-ski-areas-snow-totals/"
X Link 2024-11-27T13:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN #parkcity https://townlift.com/2024/11/two-feet-of-snow-possible-for-wasatch-mountains-by-thanksgiving/ https://townlift.com/2024/11/two-feet-of-snow-possible-for-wasatch-mountains-by-thanksgiving/"
X Link 2024-11-27T13:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@stockthoughts81 Pretty misleading to post lift pass ticket costs for $MTN and other ski resorts as theyre purposely raising prices to drive people to buy Epic pass which is a reasonable price if you ski more than [--] days a year"
X Link 2024-11-27T23:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Aureliusltd28 Buy $FAF $FNF and $STC as well. Market really mispricing the chances of a big upside move there as earnings can double or more in a more normalized market"
X Link 2024-11-28T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MiMagaWatch Thanks for the tip $UMAC"
X Link 2024-11-29T13:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/28/2988510/0/en/Heidelberg-Materials-to-Further-Strengthen-Cementitious-Footprint-and-Drive-Circularity-with-Acquisition-of-Giant-Cement-Holding-Inc-GCHI-and-its-subsidiaries.html https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/11/28/2988510/0/en/Heidelberg-Materials-to-Further-Strengthen-Cementitious-Footprint-and-Drive-Circularity-with-Acquisition-of-Giant-Cement-Holding-Inc-GCHI-and-its-subsidiaries.html"
X Link 2024-11-29T14:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Govro12 I believe $MCEM NTM EBITDA is closer to $100M to $110M given the price increase and the take-out multiple for Giant was 10x NTM per the press release"
X Link 2024-11-29T18:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@PlugInFUD $MTN is also kind of an obvious private equity or activist target. This is the crown jewel ski asset and PE loves these type of assets (for good reason) already owns Alterra (Icon pass) and most other ski resorts. The set-up for a PE takeout or shake-up seems perfect"
X Link 2024-12-01T01:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@PlugInFUD Investors are frustrated with management's capital allocation and acquisition strategy when their stock is in the dumps. The stock is basically where it was 8+ years ago (end of 2016). Not all management's fault but this is crazy given how much inflation we've had"
X Link 2024-12-01T01:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@SenSanders How is it possible that the US spent $2 Trillion (yes trillion) of taxpayer funds on one weapons program (the F-35) that is rapidly becoming obsolete and it is only just now becoming part of the conversation @DOGE @elonmusk This is beyond the pale"
X Link 2024-12-01T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Dipping my toe in the water with a long position $CHGG. Hated and trading like a failing business with the stock down 95%+ from peak. [--] analysts cover it and zero have buys currently. Bloomberg and other data aggregators incorrectly show that it has substantial net debt because it excludes $270M in long term investments. When including these the market cap is just over $200M with slight net cash. It trades at just over 3x P/E as well and generates substantial cash. This business has historically been hard to kill and has been able to evolve its business model. I imagine purely the data it"
X Link 2024-12-03T15:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Time to get long $DECK "HOKA UPDATE. Its that time of year Our teams are working hard to package and ship every order as quickly as possible. Due to an unexpectedly large increase in orders our processing time is taking a bit longer than usual. Never fear your items are still heading your way Once your order is ready to ship youll receive a confirmation email with your tracking number to view transit progress estimated delivery timeframe and to make any delivery changes through the carriers website directly. Too excited to wait for your shipping confirmation No problem You can also view your"
X Link 2024-12-03T18:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TWheels88 @PlugInFUD Would love to hear why you think 9% div yield and 15% FCF yield is the right price"
X Link 2024-12-04T20:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"And now Silverlake is blowing out of $SOFI too. Will be interesting to see how this year's audit goes. $SOFI insiders are remarkably good at timing their buys & sells . https://t.co/HO1RsgzjfS $SOFI insiders are remarkably good at timing their buys & sells . https://t.co/HO1RsgzjfS"
X Link 2024-12-05T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Unless you work at a pod and are getting daily credit card data and trading it on that. Unfortunately for the pods as diligent as they are the data is backward looking. It doesn't take into account that we just had massive snow in all of $MTN markets and consumers will respond to that. Perhaps why they're all scrambling to cover now"
X Link 2024-12-05T15:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PTON. UBS upgraded Peloton to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $10 up from $2.50. The firm sees the company's EBITDA being supported from further cost cutting beyond the announced $200M driven mostly by lower operating expenditures. Expectations have been reset to little to no growth over the next two years and the new CEO transition offers a chance to "further reset the bar against buy-side expectations that are more reasonable now" the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS also likes that Peloton's CEO compensation package is tied to revenue and operating income and"
X Link 2024-12-06T11:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN Tough to see how the wheels are falling off as the stock price seems to imply Anyone on here with website traffic data for $MTN Better snowfall seems to at least be translating to higher google searches https://t.co/BmCKIx9KHt Anyone on here with website traffic data for $MTN Better snowfall seems to at least be translating to higher google searches https://t.co/BmCKIx9KHt"
X Link 2024-12-06T12:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A good read. @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump @SenSanders @DOGE $LMT $NOC Why Im voting against the military budget Bernie Sanders https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/dec/08/why-im-voting-against-the-military-budget https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/dec/08/why-im-voting-against-the-military-budget"
X Link 2024-12-08T16:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN "For the period between Sept [--] [----] and Dec [--] [----] pass product sales trends improved relative to pass product sales through Sept [--] [----] with unit growth of approximately 1% and sales dollars growth of approximately 7% as compared to the period in the prior year.""
X Link 2024-12-09T21:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN reported strong earnings last night. Although the stock is up about 20% from when I posted my bull case at the end of October I think there is still significant upside in the near term. Most importantly Epic pass sales are accelerating significantly recently and were up 7% on a dollar sales basis this quarter. This compares to alternative data sources and consensus that shows it down. The bears and shorts are trying to pick at somewhat softer lodging bookings at Whistler that were flagged in the release since Whistler is the biggest part of EBITDA. This shows a complete misunderstanding"
X Link 2024-12-10T13:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GOOG "Google Unveils Mixed-Reality Headset With Samsung Taking on Apple and Meta" "Googles breakthrough Willow chip means well get useful quantum computers sooner than some people thought" "Waymo Tops the Podium in the Autonomous Vehicle Revolution""
X Link 2024-12-12T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The market continues to dramatically underestimating the speed that Waymo is going to take over the ride share and potentially other transportation markets. $GOOG. Once SF approves aiprport pickup and dropoff Waymo growth will become even more exponential. The fact that Waymo contributes nothing to $GOOG earnings currently and you can still buy the stock at below the average market multiple is astounding. Not to mention the bets on quantum and AR that are likely to pay off as well"
X Link 2024-12-13T12:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Whistler getting absolutely dumped on last week and this week $MTN Funny that the $MTN bears have been trying to make Whistler early season bookings softness part of the bear case. Expect a record season there. https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/mid https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Whistler-Blackcomb/6day/mid"
X Link 2024-12-16T14:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Love to hear the negativity means it is even more out of consensus so if they surprise big to the upside the stock has even more room to run. The stock is where it was [--] / [--] years ago essentially despite a huge amount of organic growth. I never thought this was a 30x EBITDA business when it traded there but I don't think it is a 10x business either that deserves to trade at a 5% div yield. Probably in the 13x to 17x range"
X Link 2024-12-23T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"More warning shots fired at the bloated legacy defense primes: $LMT $NOC $RTX $GD https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/22/palantir-and-anduril-reportedly-building-a-tech-consortium-to-bid-on-defense-contracts/ https://t.co/AR0ooT1DSs $LMT $NOC. With Musk in charge of @DOGE and rumors of Trae Stephens (co-founder of Anduril) as Deputy Defense secretary I would be very leary of owning bloated legacy cost-plus defense contractors. https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/22/palantir-and-anduril-reportedly-building-a-tech-consortium-to-bid-on-defense-contracts/ https://t.co/AR0ooT1DSs $LMT $NOC. With Musk in"
X Link 2024-12-23T15:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GOOG Google Wing is starting to get real traction now too. Outside of Waymo one of the more exciting technologies that I've seen recently. They're already doing large scale deliveries in Dallas-Ft Worth market and will expand to other markets in [----] https://wing.com/how-it-works/ https://wing.com/how-it-works/ https://wing.com/how-it-works/ https://wing.com/how-it-works/"
X Link 2024-12-24T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GOOG The enemy of my enemy is my friend. https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-seeks-defend-googles-billion-dollar-payments-search-case-2024-12-24/ https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-seeks-defend-googles-billion-dollar-payments-search-case-2024-12-24/"
X Link 2024-12-24T23:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN . Winter storm warning in effect for Park City. 2+ feet of snow expected in the next [--] days. 70-90% chance of exceeding [--] inches over a multi-day period between Thursday and Saturday with a 20-30% chance of exceeding [--] inches"
X Link 2024-12-26T11:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polar vortex coming to the US which will drive and abnormally cold and snowy January across most of the country $MTN"
X Link 2024-12-30T12:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTN is an even better activist set-up here. I was just saying this to other people yesterday that this was a perfect "Howard Shultz" moment. Smell of coffee in the air at Vail Resorts Over the past five years the unimpressive stock charts of Vail Resorts (MTN) and Starbucks (SBUX) look pretty similar. Or at least they did before SBUX got a jolt in August after it sacked CEO Laxman Narasimhan and replaced him with Brian Niccol. Nothing like that is in the works at MTN. At least not that we're aware of. Having said that it did dawn on us yesterday that MTN has stumbled its way into a labor"
X Link 2025-01-03T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I could literally have ChatGPT write this $MTN activist letter with a [--] sentence prompt"
X Link 2025-01-03T14:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ToddWenning agreed. Time for a change. This union scuffle will prove to ultimately be a positive for the stock as it has exposed the true incompetence of this $MTN management team to the world. A qualtity new CEO would be worth [--] to 40% in the share price similar to $SBUX"
X Link 2025-01-03T19:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I asked ChatGPT to write an activist investor letter for $MTN. This is what it gave me (unedited). Subject: A Call for Strategic Change at Vail Resorts Dear Board of Directors/Management Team of Vail Resorts As a long-term observer and investor in Vail Resorts I am compelled to express my deep concerns about the companys recent performance and strategic direction. Despite the immense potential of your assets and the unique position Vail Resorts holds within the mountain resort industry the company has significantly underperformed the broader market over a prolonged period. This"
X Link 2025-01-03T19:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I gave ChatGPT a [--] sentence prompt to write an activist letter to $MTN board. The positive of this strike debacle is that it highlights the incompetence of the new management regime which has been more behind the scenes until now. It will accelerate change no way the CEO can survive this. Subject: A Call for Strategic Change at Vail Resorts Dear Board of Directors/Management Team of Vail Resorts As a long-term observer and investor in Vail Resorts I am compelled to express my deep concerns about the companys recent performance and strategic direction. Despite the immense potential of your"
X Link 2025-01-03T21:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$mtn https://www.kpcw.org/ski-resorts/2025-01-03/park-city-ski-patrol-union-reports-progress-after-8-days-on-strike https://www.kpcw.org/ski-resorts/2025-01-03/park-city-ski-patrol-union-reports-progress-after-8-days-on-strike"
X Link 2025-01-03T22:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Hi Dan I have been following $MTN closely if you view my prior posts on the stock. We may not have the full picture on the demands of the labor but it should have never gotten to this point and that is 100% the fault of leadership. On Friday I had ChatGPT write an activist investor letter to $MTN management on Friday with a brief prompt. I've pasted the first draft below unedited but I am sure you and your team can improve upon it: Subject: A Call for Strategic Change at Vail Resorts Dear Board of Directors/Management Team of Vail Resorts As a long-term observer and investor in Vail Resorts I"
X Link 2025-01-06T02:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It also highlights how the current mark is not really where the value is. I could have sold some of my stock at $250 to $270 yesterday but I chose not to because I think its worth $350 to $450 and I don't want to pay taxes and potentially not have the chance to buy the stock back lower"
X Link 2025-01-07T13:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$MTN Vail reached agreement with union"
X Link 2025-01-08T07:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It is a good time to take advantage of max rate fear and investor panic to acquire good real estate businesses at near distressed level valuations"
X Link 2025-01-10T17:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Hi @JonLitt I just recently initiated a position in $LXP. The stock hit an 8+ year low on Friday. I know the last campaign lead to a failed sale process but perhaps it is time for you to revisit this one. It trades north of an 8% cap rate and 7% dividend yield currently and over 30% discount to NAV"
X Link 2025-01-12T09:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"No debt comes due until [----] and some of it has already repriced. Their development assets are significant and will almost definitely be leased up by that time. Their leases are also 20%+ below market so there is embedded growth even if market rents dont grow. These assets would trade on the private markets at a sub 6% cap rate and perhaps sub 5%. They should be a benificiary of continued manufacturing on-shoring"
X Link 2025-01-12T09:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JohnArnoldFndtn So then through circularity we no longer have inflation and long term rates should come down Given that housing / rents are 40% of CPI"
X Link 2025-01-12T14:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The space overall is pretty attractive here. The apartment REIT $AIV just announced theyre selling on Thursday. The clearing price should be $10.50 to $14 range. I consider $10.50 to be a firesale type of price and its still 17% above the close. The stock barely reacted on Friday. Theyre also going to pay out about $2.50 to $2.70 per share of dividends while they run this sale process though I could see the company getting sold potentially before the final dividend"
X Link 2025-01-13T00:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JonLitt I am with you in $AIV though the price target math in your press release this morning was a bit confusing given the dividend. $LXP next"
X Link 2025-01-14T14:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@blondesnmoney Lets not forget they still need to get through this years audit. Last year it was a nail biter"
X Link 2025-01-19T20:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I predict the air is about to come out of AI infrastructure momentum stocks $VST $NVDA $DLR . Deepseek seems to be a game changer in terms of resource depends for LLMs. Time to exit before the market catches up over the weekend. Monday could be quite bloody"
X Link 2025-01-24T20:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"But DeepSeek found ways to reduce memory usage and speed up calculation without significantly sacrificing accuracy. The team loves turning a hardware challenge into an opportunity for innovation says Wang"
X Link 2025-01-24T20:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"We did it $MTN. I know everyone is busy with Deepseek drama today but thank you Taylor Schmidt and Apex Partners for writing this excellent activist memo. This is fantastic expose into the nonsense going on at Vail and why the team needs to be changed ASAP. Everyone should read this and use this as a lesson on how to effectively catalyze change at a rudderless mismanaged enterprise. https://c38f3580-b7de-4014-ba69-5a303368ebc7.usrfiles.com/ugd/c38f35_e2ed8d02246144cd8765614ebc650756.pdf https://c38f3580-b7de-4014-ba69-5a303368ebc7.usrfiles.com/ugd/c38f35_e2ed8d02246144cd8765614ebc650756.pdf"
X Link 2025-01-27T17:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Today was a good day. Why we dont take Fridays off. $NVDA $VST $DLR #deepseek"
X Link 2025-01-27T21:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A leaked document that was posted on Reddit that outlines government efficiency plans @doge_eth_gov @elonmusk https://issuu.com/lewisdaily1/docs/j69cb52de1a6c4791b1af4ba9c3ca1069-compressed https://issuu.com/lewisdaily1/docs/j69cb52de1a6c4791b1af4ba9c3ca1069-compressed"
X Link 2025-01-29T02:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$VST bounced right back to the [--] DMA and is stuck there. Amazing the stock is still up 15% over the last [--] days. Time to re-short it"
X Link 2025-01-29T15:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Fed statement should likely cause the yield curve to flatten then invert. $TLT. Growth is slowing the AI capex boom is over funding in DC is getting curtailed as are DC jobs and housing rents and prices are dropping"
X Link 2025-01-29T20:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@BillAckman @deepseek_ai @nvidia Like me $VST $NVDA $DLR"
X Link 2025-01-30T12:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@blondesnmoney Can someone explain to me why they have a buy button and a buy to cover button Shouldnt the default just be that I want to fucking cover my position and not box it What kind of people regularly box shorts in their account"
X Link 2025-02-08T12:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If you're long legacy defense primes $LMT $GD $NOC $RTX you've been warned: @DOGE @elonmusk @JTLonsdale https://www.foxnews.com/media/hegseth-welcomes-elon-musks-doge-long-overdue-dod-spending-overhaul https://www.foxnews.com/media/hegseth-welcomes-elon-musks-doge-long-overdue-dod-spending-overhaul"
X Link 2025-02-09T20:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Tommy035305742 @DOGE @elonmusk @JTLonsdale It actually isnt fake that we spent $2 trillion on the F-35 program. The link I shared came from a GAO report. So we spent the equivalent of the current market value of $GOOG on one mediocre aircraft"
X Link 2025-02-09T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New position long $SMRT (Smartrent). The stock made new all-time lows today. This is a highly asymmetric situation where 64% of the market cap is in cash for a subscription software business and where a take-out could get you 2x to 5x the current price. This is a subscription software business with a hardware sales component selling to large multifamily property owners. Think of it as the "Nest" for multifamily buildings. The market cap is $256M and it has $163M of net cash for a TEV of just $92M. It currently trades at 0.5x sales. Effectively $0.85 cents per share or 63% of the current"
X Link 2025-02-10T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"How long until this chart of government jobs starts going the other way $TLT . Rents are crashing and the people in charge of the economy right now are 100% focused on getting the [--] year yield lower"
X Link 2025-02-12T12:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Good question on $SMRT and L&B involvement. Note the post from @JonLitt after the new CEO was hired Also I don't know their trading strategies but I have it on good word that they are still very much involved. We will see shortly what their new 13-F looks like. https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 L&B has a position in SMRT. (2/2) https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 https://x.com/JonLitt/status/1883943492721991753 L&B has a position in SMRT. (2/2)"
X Link 2025-02-12T16:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The market feels somewhat broken in some areas. Check out Costco $COST . It trades at 55x forward P/E. This is by far the highest P/E in its history as a public company (see chart below). There are just over [---] Costco's globally and the stock trades at just under a $500B valuation so it it is currently valued at about $500M per Costco box. If the stock were to trade at 40x it would be down about 25% from the current levels. This is assume no downside risk to earnings. At the same time volatility on Costco stock is extremely low so one can buy protection on their $COST holdings for very low"
X Link 2025-02-24T20:08Z [---] followers, 62K engagements
"If $COST goes down to 40x P/E in the next month (still an astronomical P/E by historical standards for Costco) I will make about 50x to 100x on my $900 puts. This seems like a great risk/reward trade. Not sure why everyone doesn't do this or owners of Costco don't look to at least partially hedge my position"
X Link 2025-02-24T20:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$INVH just reported negative 2.2% decline in new leases. Rent Inflation is not a problem anymore. Explain to me why CPI shows 5% housing inflation again"
X Link 2025-02-27T12:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Regardless of what $COST reports this week remember this: If the company grows eps at 10% a year for the next [--] years and trades at 30x earnings at the end of those [--] years you will roughly break even from these levels on a nominal basis but will lose about 15% on real basis assuming 2% inflation or lose about 35% vs owning a [--] year risk free treasury bond. It is hard to argue that $TLT is not a much better bet than $COST here particularly as the economy slows and inflation slows"
X Link 2025-03-03T02:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@John91368972189 Yes I never said it was a sure shot. I have puts that I expect to lose money on but pay out 50x+ if the stock drops over the next [--] to [--] months"
X Link 2025-03-03T12:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$COST I asked ChatGPT to help me estimate CostCo's impact in an slowing economy. After some back and forth dialogue I arrived at this. CostCo is now selling more higher ticket discretionary items than they have in prior economic downturns which in my opinion increases their exposure in a negative economic cycle. We might not see it right away tomorrow but expect it to be a topic of discussion over this year if the economy slows given that the stock trades at a 55x+ P/E still and is clearly just a hide-out place for passive investors who want to "feel safe""
X Link 2025-03-05T15:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Like I posted last week $infy $wit $ctsh and $acn are at risk of big wave of disruption. Nice to see more people are keying in on this potentially rapid disruption of the BPO sector by the step function leaps were seeing in AI has anyone seen analysis/writing on the potential impact of AI automation on the economies of India Philippines etc that have a lot of outsourced IT BPOs etc Imagine all the call centers backoffice support for accounting outsourced IT etc etc. Seems like it might be a has anyone seen analysis/writing on the potential impact of AI automation on the economies of India"
X Link 2025-03-07T01:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"We'll see how long the lazy passives keep defending $COST because its down 5% on a their earnings miss. Its "only" 52x P/E now😂. I have nothing against Costco the company but it is not worth more than 30x P/E especially as the economy slows and the union labor increases pressure margins. Pretty easy to see how this stock retraces to $600 to $700. Management probably sees this too and its why they didn't bother splitting the stock"
X Link 2025-03-07T14:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$SMRT now trading close to my estimate of "net net" value of $1.11 cents (after backing out deferred revenue which is not a real liability). Given that the core business remains very sticky and SAAS revenue is $50M+ currently vs a TEV of just $94M the stock seems like a steal here. Just 5% downside to "net net" value. This company could clearly be sold at a price materially above the current share price. Expect the new CEO to clean up the cost structure and efficiency and look to sell the business over the next [--] to [--] months"
X Link 2025-03-07T17:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$SMRT CFO just filed after the close that he bought [-----] shares. This was his first open market purchase ever. I would expect as well that the company resumes its share repurchase program shortly now that it is out of the blackout period. The stock is trading at just a 5% premium to net-net and the company was fairly aggressive buyback back stock over the past year at much higher prices"
X Link 2025-03-07T21:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Truflation is showing actual US inflation at 1.37% well below the Fed's target and it is dropping rapidly. It is a much better indictor of real-time inflation than the flawed and highly lagging CPI metric and hasn't been this soft in the US since [----] as we were in the midst of a global pandemic pre-vaccine. Real yields are the highest they've been since at least the 1990s. If this continues will will be in a recession very shortly if not already. In my opinion $TLT is a gift here as real yields have not been this high since at least the mid 1990s. https://truflation.com/"
X Link 2025-03-08T21:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@rev_cap Why do you think bond yields in the us arent [---] to 150bps lower. Market feels broken"
X Link 2025-03-09T04:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$COST look out below Affluent consumer already pulling back and they couldn't even make numbers when affluent consumer was feeling flush. Multiple [--] standard deviations higher than history. Even if they don't miss numbers (which they will as the consumer pulls back) there is 30% to 40% downside in the stock to the historical average multiple of 30x to 35x. No idea who is buying the stock at 50x+ a shaky consensus forward EPS estimate"
X Link 2025-03-10T13:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"5x $COST worth more than $AMZN 3x $WMT worth more than $AMZN I was thinking this weekend about a little thought experiment which sometimes I like to do is take a step back and think about relative values of companies in terms of their significance / my intuitive sense of their value to society. 5x COST Enterprise Value is worth more than $AMZN and 3x $WMT Enterprise value is worth more than $AMZN. I actually really like long $AMZN vs short $COST and short $WMT pair trade here. I can't wrap my mind around how that math makes any sense"
X Link 2025-03-10T13:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The S&P correction won't end until $AMZN has a higher multiple than $WMT and $COST. #Facts"
X Link 2025-03-10T15:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$COST [---] DMA incoming.I am still dumfounded as to who is buying this stock at 50x P/E as the affluent consumer begins to roll over. We will find out that $COST is more cyclical than people realize. Why not just buy $AMZN at 25x There is no world in which Costco is worth 20% of $AMZN's value as the market currently implies ($450B for $COST vs $2 Trillion for $AMZN)"
X Link 2025-03-11T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Once the market is fully on board with the fact that Trump Bessent and Musk are just trying to goalseek the [--] year yield to 3% the market will make more sense to people. Just buy $TLT so we can be done with this"
X Link 2025-03-11T14:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"This just gets easier and easier $COST Jim Cramer says he is unfazed by Costcos recent sell-off. Here's what he'd do with the stock https://t.co/JBnecXNWu1 Jim Cramer says he is unfazed by Costcos recent sell-off. Here's what he'd do with the stock https://t.co/JBnecXNWu1"
X Link 2025-03-12T00:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The beginning of the end $infy $wit Morgan Stanly Sparks fear in IT Sector #Infosys https://t.co/VmHKvU4BNU Morgan Stanly Sparks fear in IT Sector #Infosys https://t.co/VmHKvU4BNU"
X Link 2025-03-12T06:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$COST is a lot more tied to high ticket discretionary spending by the affluent consumer than the market currently believes. Comps are going to decelerate materially as the higher end consumer pulls back. Much of the growth over the last couple years has been driven by non-food items. They are selling peloton bikes at Costco now for example. I would be very wary of looking at how the stock behaves in prior downcycles. This will prove much more cyclical than your typical grocer. Margins on the non-food items are also higher than they are on food so expect negative margin mix shift. There is a"
X Link 2025-03-12T15:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@valuedrift Yes and the higher end is only just rolling over now with weaker stock portfolios and job losses. See the $DAL forecast"
X Link 2025-03-12T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"That's the conventional wisdom. However the reality is it is filled with upper middle class soccer mom families many of which are living beyond their means. Daddy just got margin called on his $RDDT / $APP / $NVDA and its easy to just make wife back a bit on your $500 Costco bill. Tell me I'm wrong"
X Link 2025-03-12T17:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe the top 1% or less are still ok. Costco serves the top 10% to 20%. As stocks fall and white collar job uncertainty rises those consumers are pulling back real time. It isnt a coincidence that $COST epic boom in store productivity happened to coincide with one of the biggest stock market wealth creation events in history over the last [--] years"
X Link 2025-03-13T06:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BullishonMars Inverse cramer is undefeated $COST"
X Link 2025-03-13T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Tortoisehead Not to mention $COST boycotts happening globally and the typical soccer mom family just got margin called on their $RDDT / $APP / $NVDA long and is suddenly not feeling so flush"
X Link 2025-03-13T20:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Shkreli agrees with my BPO short thesis posted last week. Wonder what he thinks about $INFY $WIT and $CTSH $ACN is a good short. insane valuation AI will take a bite out of both of their main businesses over time. it's just an old dead bloated company that will shrink over the next decade. $ACN is a good short. insane valuation AI will take a bite out of both of their main businesses over time. it's just an old dead bloated company that will shrink over the next decade"
X Link 2025-03-13T20:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$COST CEO blows out of $3.35M of shares. #sellthedip"
X Link 2025-03-13T21:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"How about almost the entire $XLP The governments dont even have to do it. Consumers are doing it for them with boycotts. Toss $SBUX in there as a well. There is a reason why the budlight boycott worked because the product sucks anyway and there are plenty of substitutes. Europe has no good tech companies but they have plenty of big box stores and crappy snack cos and coffee shops"
X Link 2025-03-14T06:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The outperformance of "defensive" consumer staples is over. Sometimes the market is just easy and you get these win / win scenarios. Scenario 1: Trade war keeps escalating. These "defensive" staples will lag as they have the most exposure to international markets that will be boycotted and tariffed of any S&P sector Scenario 2: Trade war de-escalates and these "defensive" consumer staples become source of funds. Positioning is completely one-sided with everyone owning these "defensive" consumer staples thinking they are safe at record multiples. The rug pull has the potential to be fantastic."
X Link 2025-03-14T13:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Which is why this joker bid up brown Forman (BF) to the moon at 55x to 60x PE in [----] / [----] period. Literally buying it every day 10% of volume. I know because I was short it. Now the stock is down 60% and the market is up huge. Cant blame passive investing for shitty stock picks that were obviously bad at the time"
X Link 2025-03-16T02:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@SteadyCompound Should have said *still short and he still owns though he sold his diageo"
X Link 2025-03-16T02:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PEP predict this Poppi deal wont go well but desperate times call for desperate attempts to grow"
X Link 2025-03-16T15:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Baird highlighting its cluelessness with the $ACN upgrade this morning. Who should we believe a sellside shill or the company's own employees @MartinShkreli @MinervaCap 🤔🤔🤔"
X Link 2025-03-17T12:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Asked ChatGPT for a quick summary of big box retailer exposure to Canada which are being boycotted aggressively by Canadian consumers. (NOTE edited this post to exclude $LOW as they sold their Canada business) 13% of $COST 11% $TGT 8% $HD 4% $WMT Assuming a 20% hit it implies 2.5% drop in SSS for $COST. This excludes any other impacts from declines from the weaker consumer broadly. Chat GPT summary: The major U.S. big-box retailers with the largest percentage of their store base located in Canada include: [--]. Costco Wholesale Canada Stores: [---] Total Stores Globally: [---] % in Canada: 13%"
X Link 2025-03-17T13:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@risk2rise I havent sold I actually bought more when $RKT crashed after the deal because I think this deal is great for rocket and $RKT is at the trough of the cycle too"
X Link 2025-03-18T23:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$GIS. Batter up $XLP"
X Link 2025-03-19T12:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BAH. Bessent calls out on All-In podcast today what we already knew Highly recommend watching. What Bessent shares gives an example of the grift that occurs on Federal spending. The fact that Booz Allen Hamilton gets 90+% () of their revenue from the Federal govt is crazy. (Based on some research $BAH gets 98% of their revenue from the Highly recommend watching. What Bessent shares gives an example of the grift that occurs on Federal spending. The fact that Booz Allen Hamilton gets 90+% () of their revenue from the Federal govt is crazy. (Based on some research $BAH gets 98% of their revenue"
X Link 2025-03-19T15:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BAH Bessent calls out Booz Allen on the All-In podcast today "98% of the revenue comes from the government. What kind of risk management is that" @chamath"
X Link 2025-03-19T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ACN new bookings down 3% last quarter ended February and it likely got a lot worse in March"
X Link 2025-03-20T11:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"EPS for next year could easily be down maybe $10 to $11. 20x P/E on that which would still be quite healthy implies about a $200 Price target (still 30%+ downside). I think BPO is in structural decline despite all of this "AI" bookings talk. $INFY $WIT $CTSH"
X Link 2025-03-20T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Reddit: [--] Sellside: [---] (How many have buys on stock vs zero with sells) $ACN Baird highlighting its cluelessness with the $ACN upgrade this morning. Who should we believe a sellside shill or the company's own employees @MartinShkreli @MinervaCap 🤔🤔🤔 https://t.co/TvtvHCt34D https://t.co/Z99rpJuLma https://t.co/E1Gk60Zj7y Baird highlighting its cluelessness with the $ACN upgrade this morning. Who should we believe a sellside shill or the company's own employees @MartinShkreli @MinervaCap 🤔🤔🤔 https://t.co/TvtvHCt34D https://t.co/Z99rpJuLma https://t.co/E1Gk60Zj7y"
X Link 2025-03-20T13:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"About 20% of $COST sales are commercial including universities healthcare facilities and government agencies. The massive Sodexo guide today does not bode well for anything food service related in the commercial channel"
X Link 2025-03-20T14:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$XLP $KO $SBUX $MCD 64% of people in France consider boycott of US products amidst trade war Seven out of ten people also say they may stop buying American brands in supermarkets as Atlantic relations continue to deteriorate"
X Link 2025-03-20T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@justphiltrading It was because of the Bessent All-in podcast. If you follow my account you can see I posted about it. And yes I bought puts yesterday. $BAH"
X Link 2025-03-20T18:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Business vs consumer sales are not directly disclosed by $COST but you can go off of business memberships as a % of total memberships and then make some assumption for how much more the average businesses spends vs the average consumer. If I do this math I get a range of 15% to 25% of sales to businesses"
X Link 2025-03-21T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"America Last: Why Shoppers Abroad Are Boycotting U.S. Goods A growing number of Europeans and citizens of other countries are choosing not to buy American products to demonstrate their anger at President Trumps policies. $XLP $KO $SBUX $MCD"
X Link 2025-03-22T12:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$COST putting political stuff aside which is why this post went viral (despite being on an investing thread) the company is a lot more cyclical than the market perception. Seems like the thesis is starting to play out. Reddit is furious that the prices at costco are going down. https://t.co/DKExaMOmvL Reddit is furious that the prices at costco are going down. https://t.co/DKExaMOmvL"
X Link 2025-03-23T08:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$WMT underperforming today on a very bad Cleveland Research check is what I am hearing"
X Link 2025-03-25T16:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$COST multiple expansion vs the rest of $XLP continues. Interesting that one of the most cyclical and risky components of $XLP is also its largest holding currently at 10% of the entire staples ETF. It seems quite clear that the passive monkey / quant bot crowd is just hiding out in this pretending that it is safe or misinterpreting the data. Let's break this down: 1) 50%+ of gross profits are likely on hard goods that are at least somewhat discretionary and not grocery. More cyclical than the rest of $XLP 2) 10%+ of stores are in Canada and are likely being hit by boycott -- the most of any"
X Link 2025-03-25T18:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"right on queue $COST"
X Link 2025-03-25T21:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@unfoldedbeagle [--] million membersbut yeah lets go with the frugal Asians with large families narrative😂 $COST"
X Link 2025-03-25T21:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Great conversation thread on LinkedIn related to the challenges facing the legacy IT consulting model. $ACN $INFY $CTSH $WIT https://www.linkedin.com/posts/usmans_accenture-lost-14b-of-market-value-on-thursday-activity-7309861339672317953-rqk8utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAAApOCEBFCqcgzfXbCaq2gcruDrDsh53ZRE https://www.linkedin.com/posts/usmans_accenture-lost-14b-of-market-value-on-thursday-activity-7309861339672317953-rqk8utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAAApOCEBFCqcgzfXbCaq2gcruDrDsh53ZRE"
X Link 2025-03-26T09:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe we need to start to writing it with crayons $AMZN at 27x or $WMT at 35x or $COST at 53x"
X Link 2025-03-26T11:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ACN $BAH $SAIC $CACI $LDOS Government Contractors: "Don't worry our DOD business is safe" DOD:"
X Link 2025-03-28T13:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The top third of consumers by income took the biggest took the biggest hit to sentiment hit last month. $SBUX $COST. What else is exposed here Wow. Huge drop in consumer sentiment among all income groups. Even the rich are worried now. 1) Sentiment is down more than 30% since November 2) People are worried they will lose their jobs. Two-thirds of consumers expect unemployment to rise in year ahead-- highest concern https://t.co/8215hFFDgo Wow. Huge drop in consumer sentiment among all income groups. Even the rich are worried now. 1) Sentiment is down more than 30% since November 2) People are"
X Link 2025-03-28T17:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Another way to frame the absurdity is that $COST enterprise value is more than 20% of that of $AMZN at this point. Amazon's GMV (gross merchandize value) is roughly $900B vs Costco at $260B so about 3.5x higher. GMV is the better way to compare retail sales apples to apples since it grosses up the sales figures from 3PL. In addition Amazon GMV is growing at about double the rate of Costco (Amazon 10%+ vs Costco 5%). If you assumed Amazon was valued the same on price to sales as Costco which is obviously too conservative because Amazon is growing faster and has a more defensible business it"
X Link 2025-03-29T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ACN. Great thread on Reddit discussing its challenges from actual employees. How long until someone on the sellside breaks rank and downgrades the stock. tick tock tick tock. Still [--] buys [--] holds and zero sells. Not sure how this is possible given the cyclical and structural problems facing the business in addition to DOGE hit to their government business. The stock still trades at 23x earnings estimates which are now laughably too high based on the negative bookings numbers they reported last quarter. Here is a great quote: "Well said. I am also a shareholder have been here a decade myself"
X Link 2025-03-31T12:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Now that $GLD is finally cracking well see if the buy $COST at 53x P/E crowd as a gold proxy trade unwinds as well"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"How is $MCD not a no brainer sell here down just 3% from essentially the highs. Domestic channel checks on sales have not been good. The stock trades at a 20% premium or more to its historical average. And most importantly over half of its sales come from outside of the US. Boycotts are definitely going to take hold of name-brand US businesses globally. Yes I get that you want to own something that the Barra model tells you is "low vol" But when fundamentals have the potential for a big downside shock we need to use our brains"
X Link 2025-04-03T13:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If you want a contrarian tariff roll-back play I think $PTON is a great value here. It is down 20% in [--] days mostly because they manufacture their bikes in Taiwan and we tariffed Taiwan which was unexpected. However they make most of their money from subscriptions which should be pretty sticky. I expect Taiwan to be near the front of the line in terms of getting a deal to reduce these tariffs"
X Link 2025-04-04T12:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$LXP is a well run industrial REIT with stable rental stream and high quality investment grade tenants. It is almost a 7% well-covered dividend here. Most importantly it is a clear beneficiary of onshoring as their warehouses are all located inland near domestic manufacturing hubs. This is a clear example of an opportunity being created by hedge fund degrossing and disorderly selling"
X Link 2025-04-04T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$RKT / $RDFN arb spread blowing out 7% today. Easy money to buy $RDFN here (and short RKT if you don't want to take market risk)"
X Link 2025-04-04T16:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The spread is blowing out because you can't get any borrow on $RKT. Arbs are blowing up and derisking. Same thing happening with $COOP. Opportunity if you are a nimble investor that can take some volatility (ie. not a pod) to pick up some easy alpha"
X Link 2025-04-04T19:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PTON this headline came out post close. Seems like company is messaging no tariff impact"
X Link 2025-04-04T22:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Once in [--] to [--] year opportunity to pick up REITs at extremely discounted valuations here. $LXP at a 9% cap rate and 7.5% well-covered dividend yield for a well-covered sunbelt focused industrial REIT that benefits from onshoring. $AIV at a 10% cap rate -- apartment REIT focused on class B apartments and running a sale process currently. There is a longer list but these are two to do the work on if you are looking for a place to start"
X Link 2025-04-08T20:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@alphaporgs The sale process will keep going on. They have in place debt and nav is $11+. Maybe they sell at a discount to NAV but the stock is discounting a lot down here at a 10% cap rate"
X Link 2025-04-09T02:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Loop Capital met with $COST management yesterday and is cutting EPS for [----] by 10% on expected margin pressure. It also lowered its price target. COST: Costco price target lowered to $1045 from $1150 at Loop Capital Loop Capital lowered the firm's price target on Costco to $1045 from $1150 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is adjusting its model and assuming that margins are negatively impacted by tariffs even though Costco is slow to pass on cost increases so there is risk to even its lowered estimates in the near-term the analyst tells investors in a research note. Loop adds"
X Link 2025-04-09T12:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
""All [--] groups now face a 5pm April [--] deadline to identify more savings restructure contracts to outcome-based or shared-savings models and offer the federal government a credit for what the GSA deems to have been past overcharging." $BAH $ACN https://www.ft.com/content/a92d94be-6266-424a-abd1-c17535041d70FTCamp=engage/CAPI/desktopapp/Channel_Bloomberg//B2B https://www.ft.com/content/a92d94be-6266-424a-abd1-c17535041d70FTCamp=engage/CAPI/desktopapp/Channel_Bloomberg//B2B"
X Link 2025-04-09T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Cramer taking a victory lap on his great call to hold stocks likely marks the peak of the bear market rally"
X Link 2025-04-09T18:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$SMRT is the special situation that keeps getting more special. I acknowledge I was wrong on this one but I have to wonder if now the company finally puts itself up for sale at whatever price they can get. I am still working on gathering the facts is hard to see how they pivot to another CEO after this latest debacle. The stock trades at net cash now so the bar is very low"
X Link 2025-04-10T18:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BAH $ACN: Our DOD business is safe. Narrator: It wasnt The Pentagon has terminated $4B worth of IT services contracts with companies including Deloitte Accenture (ACN) and Booz Allen (BAH) Stef Chavez and Joe Miller of The Financial times reports. These cuts were a part of the Trump administration's purge of consultancy spending. Defense secretary Pete Hegseth determined the contracts to be "non-essential spending on third-party consultants" that employees of the Pentagon could more efficiently carry out according to a memo reviewed by the Times"
X Link 2025-04-11T10:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is what gives me conviction that things really are that bad for government consultants like $BAH and $ACN. Just peruse through the Deloitte Reddit message board: I feel for the people affected but this is just bad news for profits of these companies. https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/ https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/ https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/ https://www.reddit.com/r/deloitte/"
X Link 2025-04-11T18:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$WIT big earnings miss. Not a great readthrough for $ACN $CTSH or $INFY. Combination of cyclical and structural pressures likely hitting them. Wipro Signals Sharp Pullback in Discretionary IT Spending: React RECENT EVENT REACTION: Wipro's midpoint guidance of minus 2.5% sequential constant-currency sales in fiscal 1Q26 suggests intensifying pressure on discretionary IT spending. Analyst estimates of 0.8% sequential sales growth in 1Q reflected optimism in demand recovery in financial services yet uncertainty about tariff impacts is spooking clients across all sectors and poses downside risk"
X Link 2025-04-16T12:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$INFY another miss in IT outsourcing following $WIT yesterday. Pretty clear that we're seeing a broad slowdown in BPO perhaps driven by cyclical but also driven by structural headwinds from AI. $CTSH $ACN and $WIT all at risk $WIT big earnings miss. Not a great readthrough for $ACN $CTSH or $INFY. Combination of cyclical and structural pressures likely hitting them. Wipro Signals Sharp Pullback in Discretionary IT Spending: React RECENT EVENT REACTION: Wipro's midpoint guidance of minus 2.5% $WIT big earnings miss. Not a great readthrough for $ACN $CTSH or $INFY. Combination of cyclical and"
X Link 2025-04-17T12:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$SMRT Apologies to anyone that followed me into this horrific long call from a couple months ago. I have had some good calls on SMID caps in the last [--] months since I started posting on X including Napa takeout Peloton turnaround (pre-Einhorn) and Redfin takeout and others but this is a stain on that track record. That said I had the opportunity to speak with the interim CEO earlier this week and came away feeling good enough to double down. I came away sensing that the CEO departure had nothing to do with the business and was in some way related to the CEO's personal conduct. The stock is"
X Link 2025-04-17T14:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Someone's option strategy is going haywire today on $PTON on opex day"
X Link 2025-04-17T18:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Of all the companies that probably want a mulligan I have to think Puerto De Liverpool is high up on that list for agreeing to buy a troubled department store $JWN at the end of December [----] into a recession and huge tariff disaster. Yes the contract is "airtight" but I don't know who wants to FAFO for a 1% gross spread. If not for the deal the stock would be down 50%+. The Nordstrom family is rolling their equity into the deal so I doubt they really care about the price. Puerto De Liverpool would be foolish to not try to push for a price cut at the very least. They are overpaying by over a"
X Link 2025-04-17T19:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@SecScottBessent @USTreasury You giving lessons on short selling and out buying too I hope"
X Link 2025-04-19T17:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BAH. doesn't read bullish https://www.reddit.com/r/consulting/comments/1jrgm9q/did_anyone_recently_got_fired_from_booz_allen/sort=new https://www.reddit.com/r/consulting/comments/1jrgm9q/did_anyone_recently_got_fired_from_booz_allen/sort=new"
X Link 2025-04-25T13:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$JWN -- Livererpool just posted a terrible quarter and on the call saying they won't comment on Nordstrom deal. A bit odd given they discussed it many times last quarter. Why wouldn't they want to talk about a deal if they were excited about it"
X Link 2025-04-25T15:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It is possible. The $BAH team is reaching for any bit of positive PR they can get just like their vaporware Palantir partnership a few months ago when the stock was at $140. It will take some serious balls for them to show profit growth on their earnings given 98% of their revenue comes from the federal government"
X Link 2025-04-25T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$PTON upgrade this morning at Truist"
X Link 2025-04-28T12:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$LINE blows up on terrible demand for cold storage for food. But consumer staples outperform big. Make it make sense"
X Link 2025-04-30T19:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"How many staples companies need to report horrible misses for people to realize low vol factor is not defensive $CHD $COKE"
X Link 2025-05-01T13:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Smart money dumping staples stocks $KDP"
X Link 2025-05-02T12:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$K whiff. CPG companies continue to disappoint on earnings despite huge outperformance"
X Link 2025-05-02T12:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Genesis is having liquidity issues per $OHI earnings release today. Not sure why $LTC isn't down more given that Genesis is 5%+ of rents. Seems like a lay-up to short. It seems like generally Medicaid supplemental payments are being squeezed by HHS per the WSJ article this morning"
X Link 2025-05-02T15:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Another big bellweather miss in staples $CLX The worsening outlook from Clorox which also sells products under Hidden Valley and Burts Bees brands mimics peers Proctor & Gamble Co. and Colgate-Palmolive Co. both of which lowered expectations for the year last month citing decreased demand from increasingly wary US consumers and high costs from tariffs. The revised outlook also includes changes to the expected impact from the companys strategic transformation. Excluding those items organic sales would be up around 2%. Shares for Oakland-based Clorox fell 5.1% in postmarket trading. It was down"
X Link 2025-05-06T13:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@The_Huntsman23 @Fidelity Same thing here. Luckily I custody with multiple accounts and brokers but this is some bs @Fidelity"
X Link 2025-05-12T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TradeNot Clearly not all of it was priced in $BAH"
X Link 2025-05-24T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
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