#  @ChrisBumsteadX Chris Bumstead Chris Bumstead posts on X about $msos, in the, investment, $glasf the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1259825694001020929/interactions)  - [--] Week [-------] -35% - [--] Month [-------] +83% - [--] Months [---------] +293% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1259825694001020929/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -73% - [--] Month [---] +0.83% - [--] Months [---] +165% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1259825694001020929/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +4% - [--] Month [-----] +8% - [--] Months [-----] +101% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1259825694001020929/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [countries](/list/countries) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [nba](/list/nba) [currencies](/list/currencies) **Social topic influence** [$msos](/topic/$msos) #36, [in the](/topic/in-the), [investment](/topic/investment), [$glasf](/topic/$glasf) #10, [if you](/topic/if-you), [stocks](/topic/stocks), [money](/topic/money), [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin), [events](/topic/events), [business](/topic/business) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@bewaterltd](/creator/undefined) [@agnostoxxx](/creator/undefined) [@varrell](/creator/undefined) [@mojo920254notep167370957r5b91f3utmmediumiosutmsourcenotesshareaction](/creator/undefined) [@srg444](/creator/undefined) [@boxlongs](/creator/undefined) [@pekwat](/creator/undefined) [@montviewx](/creator/undefined) [@wallstunicorn](/creator/undefined) [@jaredkubin](/creator/undefined) [@inglouriouscap](/creator/undefined) [@kingdomcapadv](/creator/undefined) [@acapitallp](/creator/undefined) [@waterworldcapi1](/creator/undefined) [@mojo920254notep166994993r5b91f3utmmediumiosutmsourcenotesshareaction](/creator/undefined) [@donutshorts](/creator/undefined) [@paulomacro](/creator/undefined) [@buccocapital](/creator/undefined) [@thedalesreport](/creator/undefined) [@sidprabhu](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Sleepless AI (AI)](/topic/$ai) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Tokemak (TOKE)](/topic/$toke) [Oracle Corporation (ORCL)](/topic/$orcl) [Forward Air Corp (FWRD)](/topic/$fwrd) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Liberty Media, Corp. (FWONK)](/topic/$fwonk) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [Warner Bros Discovery, Inc. (WBD)](/topic/$wbd) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP)](/topic/$csgp) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (DBRG)](/topic/$dbrg) [Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B (BRK.B)](/topic/$brkb) [Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)](/topic/smithfield-foods) [SAFE DEAL (SFD)](/topic/$sfd) [Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. Common stock (IIPR)](/topic/$iipr) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY)](/topic/$psky) [Confluent, Inc. (CFLT)](/topic/$cflt) [Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)](/topic/$cm) [Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)](/topic/$bns) [Royal Bank of Canada (RY)](/topic/$ry) [Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV)](/topic/$aiv) [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)](/topic/$tsm) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Iron Mountain Inc (IRM)](/topic/$irm) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "The Mavericks have to trade Anthony Davis to survive #mavericks" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1902535048428990675) 2025-03-20T01:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$CDZIP might trade to low 20s in next [---] days.'stock promotion' transitioning to a real fully funded business. Don't say or hear that everyday" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903082258631680429) 2025-03-21T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "What's the normalized math on $GTBIF income statement on de-scheduling and cost of capital for their balance sheet Stock is obviously cheap but cost of biz likely similar and pricing drops/volumes up but I think w 280e going away FCF exiting 26' goes from 165mn to [---]. 1/n" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903100572028301769) 2025-03-21T15:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Obviously the MSO biz models struggling the most would be huge beneficiaries (stocks rip) and likely print huge amounts of shares to recapitalize bc the inevitable drop in pricing with rising volumes too difficult to not print shares and protect what is left of their livelihood" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903102156023996599) 2025-03-21T15:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Then there is $GLASF. Refi'd secured is good but they have prefs essentially eating away all FCF after investment. That said I do believe they are self funding. But.they need a big refi and obv beneficiary of 280e going away so income statement normalization" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903102668131737955) 2025-03-21T15:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Similar to Thumb if regulatory environment takes longer to develop they benefit too albeit in a descheduling they are by far and away the largest beneficiary 1.5mn lbs priced 50% lower than avg on their cost of doing biz and normalized cost of capital and FCF hockey sticks" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903103107057291296) 2025-03-21T15:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Top line excluding what I am calling the "big idea" of 'GH inside' is call it $1-$1.2bn with margins higher due to tax line moving down the income statement you can get to FCF of 600mn on 100mn shares. 50% haircut to current run rate multiple = $35-65/share or [--] bagger" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903103890188317105) 2025-03-21T15:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@stockspinoffss Hi Rich Is buying shares and essentially increasing their exposures to existing deals a better use of capital than going hunting in a backdrop of dislocations Aside: with MGM not folding in Entain is thesis broken.re maybe buying back their own stock isn't the best idea" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1903112145904013536) 2025-03-21T15:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BNS $CM $RY $EQB.CN Earnings revisions going wrong way and have no pop provisions going up earnings power lower. These are not safe investments and carry tremendous downside risk profiles" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1904260377216459033) 2025-03-24T19:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "August [--] [----] Several credit rating agencies around the world downgraded the debt of the U.S. federal government 15bn Trillion in debt back then. 🔴 Moody's edges closer to a US downgrade. 🔴 Moody's edges closer to a US downgrade" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1905274637203706367) 2025-03-27T15:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@dkbilson @WSJ Don love your stuff been following u for long time Was thinking about the best bidding wars in history the other day.and feels obv but the Phelps Dodge: Falconbridge/Inco/Teck/Xstrata/Vale goes down as #1 and Asarco/Grupo Mexico/Phelps ranks high too What is your top 5" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1905962049420611942) 2025-03-29T12:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "BREAKING: SOFTBANK TO PURCHASE 19.9% STAKE IN CITADEL SECURITIES LLC MASA SON TO BECOME EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN SAYS FOUNDER CIO CEO KEN GRIFFIN WHO IS SELLING A PORTION OF HIS 80% HOLDINGS IN TRANSACTION $SPY $IWM $BTC #CRYPTO $SFTBY" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1907042021098852721) 2025-04-01T12:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is pretty interesting. $MSOS $TYL cc @V_arrell @TheDalesReport (perhaps you can get the head of sales / licensing on the program to discuss)" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1907062593665040431) 2025-04-01T13:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Closed end funds $CEF spreads are movin' Pick off trades galore (albeit need to size appropriately)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1908173977467461703) 2025-04-04T15:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "other tickers: $AIV $GLASF $ARVN $CDZI (read up for all trades) Diversification via single names or using an index when you are in crash formation is critical if not essential entire tweet thread assumes you came into this set up with an abundance of ammo/fire power" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1908213800651612242) 2025-04-04T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "wow now the desks are puking out warrants and prefs" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1908214525905469629) 2025-04-04T17:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bot a few $IBIT options to express upside move to get a lil torque in book" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1908219622802813310) 2025-04-04T18:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "There are a lot of pretty dumb tweets during the overnight and morning session. But this letter from Ancora regarding $X is the dumbest activist letter I have ever read.the objectives are not achievable its that simple; and reliance using "ChatGPT" is embarrassing" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1909219910196044230) 2025-04-07T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "You can't turn around a steel company using an LLM Ancora $X #Ancora" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1909220019700891876) 2025-04-07T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$MX decides to shut down display biz after [--] years of strategic alternatives / restructurings" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1909593164656029780) 2025-04-08T13:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Would guess if Chinese listed companies are removed from US exchanges this will escalate the happenings in Macau Does Macau start to pull licenses from entities owned and operated by US parties $WYNN $LVS ($MGM is really a JV but will still have negative consequences)" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1909966307962863644) 2025-04-09T13:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Anyone that pitches you a stock with the focal point being its trading at an unchallenging snap shot multiple versus history has blinders. I would immediately go look at the chart of revisions.if you see an inflection slide some chips in.if you see more of same sit tight" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1909968881608728596) 2025-04-09T13:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@RagingVentures They are banned in China but def have Chinese advertising exposure $META has more risk to EC me thinks But L META $AMZN v S $FRUIT and $TSM $PDD (vol is more attractive now)" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1910129638979891608) 2025-04-10T00:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@sidprabhu Choose your own vol adventure $SPY $TLT $GLD $IBIT" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1910731341781500182) 2025-04-11T16:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@DrJStrategy Bet you dinner I think we get [--] token rate cut in [----] (assuming Trump is president) at most but the line is [--] I guess using betting markets NowCanada could def have [--] rate cuts" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1911890376367198460) 2025-04-14T21:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@rev_cap do you think $AMZN $TSLA $HD which make up 45% is driving $XLY or the rest of the bunch re intra etf vs the big 3" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1912512068562923572) 2025-04-16T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@akramsrazor revisions directionally likely to move lower and street will play catch down also spread/conversion of earnings (before share repo/divi) v fcf (capex higher) is widening re going the wrong way to make a bet on multiples holding firm from here. the only hope for peeps is QE" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1912515176785490068) 2025-04-16T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@JDerevyanny As pure play Calif grass-co w a 280e income stmt and balance sheet w pik prefs snapshot valuation isnt exciting In a world of interstate commerce for all plants or just hemp path w no 280e and pref refinancing u should look again and it becomes choose your own adventure math" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1913201506930622744) 2025-04-18T12:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@FLinvestor_ @marketplunger1 How about mutual fund investors How about wealth managers and RIAs Do they know how businesses are run" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1913711695853203758) 2025-04-19T21:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@nycinvestor123 Thesis drift is a helluva drug" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1913716000794542161) 2025-04-19T22:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@pekwat For sure. Kat needs to not watch and play within flowhe has big opportunity to send a message to Knicks front office re you can win with me as your primary big man and dont trade me for KD/Giannis in the offseason" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1913728011045609813) 2025-04-19T22:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@WaterworldCapi1 Well we learned from FinTwit ETF hedge fund manager elite that a single portfolio company can bring down an entire PE multi fund multi strategy company that has been in business for decades in a blink This is what we know" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1913754297516310905) 2025-04-20T00:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TimmerFidelity great analogue Think we get trap below low before market finds its footing into the fall and then liftoff into midterms Hurdles to contend w ex Chinadebt / ratings downgrade window and earnings negative revisions / guides have yet to hit so timing feels off to me re chart" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1914725285057962298) 2025-04-22T16:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Time to set alerts and watch the Taiwan Straight and The Bashi Channel $TSM $SMH $MP $AAPL" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1914796825564901882) 2025-04-22T21:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TMTLongShort If peeps had listened to Trump47's agenda and playbooks instead of focusing on Trump45 and prepared for this.Trump would not have to walk this back in the slightest and yes other countries would have stood by the US to rid the world of Chinese infiltration The Truth hurts" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1915066283625964026) 2025-04-23T15:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@jesseredmond @V_arrell @srg444 @canpod1 going to listen agree on your outputs - see tweets discussion of the variables re s/d and impact on pricing 280e math normalization dilution likelihood of m&a (highly doubtful since accretion math doesn't work) tobacco/staples entrance et al is where i was headed" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1915449500858032436) 2025-04-24T16:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MontviewX @srg444 @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn YES and what do u have for FDS with stock at this range and [--] and [--] think should be 75/100/120 I believe mgmt was indeed thinking about a jump from [--] to 15-18 as the catalyst contemplated [--] months ago was to uplist do equity offering and deal with the warrants" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1915560354417156358) 2025-04-25T00:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Think THIS is what matters.technically as SPY revisions go lower Plan: slide 'equity' chips in 4600-4750 range.I like being short credit now select single name equities and scaling into index downside structures as we approach [--] year vwap and overshoot above it $SPY $TLT" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1917234503803601254) 2025-04-29T15:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@srg444 @MontviewX @PropertyBigE @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn went from .174 to .218; implied vol [--] to 41ish [--] desks have pretty size sellers last [--] sessions [---] days to go" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1917632064712761590) 2025-04-30T17:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Few tickers where things smell pretty fishy.and it aint just the change in disclosures. $AI $IRM $EQIX" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1917947653398163876) 2025-05-01T14:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$IIPR has all the wrong technicals to be short but it has all the right fundamentals to be short Under a phased-in federal reform this bleeds out Under current regime survives pays a high dividend but won't grow and more lease renewal issues Fast track: its ova $MSOS" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1918307123106291811) 2025-05-02T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Waited long enough. Putting on a batch of downside hedges in $SPY $QQQ $HYG" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1918338690444587080) 2025-05-02T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Xi is going to tell Carney to tell Trump that they will put in less fentanyl into illicit cannabis that crosses the border in order to have a trade discussion that won't lead to a deal of real substance Money laundering to accelerate $MSOS $RY $SPY $CM $BNS $BMO $QQQ" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1918339505716638099) 2025-05-02T16:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "For any substantive discussion to occur between Xi/China and Trump/US trade reps Xi will likely move his warships closer to Taiwan prior to the meeting Call it a hunch $TSM $SMH $SPY" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1918382133095104944) 2025-05-02T19:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$SMH - the entire space feels like its livin' on a prayer" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1920184407928824198) 2025-05-07T18:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$IIPR likely a zero under a base line reform scenario At the very least they gonna issue a lot of new shares to prolong the business impairment $IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Q1 [----] Earnings Report Net Income: $30.3M Dividend: $1.90 per share 🔊 Conference Call 5/8 at 12pm ET https://t.co/mdtwjhPL3H 🌎⚕🌿🥦🧺 ETFs: $YOLO $MSOS $CNBS $TOKE $WEED https://t.co/HyyvDs56zf $IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Q1 [----] Earnings Report Net Income: $30.3M Dividend: $1.90 per share 🔊 Conference Call 5/8 at 12pm ET https://t.co/mdtwjhPL3H 🌎⚕🌿🥦🧺 ETFs: $YOLO $MSOS $CNBS $TOKE $WEED" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1920232426686582789) 2025-05-07T21:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@GMnyMny Nope It is the most investable in the space today under current draconian conditions albeit they cant really grow footprintit will be a value trap that trades at an unchallenging multiple upon reform. Pricing is going to be headwind for them and acquisition math wont work" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1920240129211306193) 2025-05-07T22:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The haves vs the have nots (see tweets) $GLASF v $IIPR It's that simple. $MSOS" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1922657827337765283) 2025-05-14T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$AI is likely a case study in a terrible business with horrific disclosures with a great ticker that has material downside Lower for longer.than violence.then lower" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1922658739795955852) 2025-05-14T14:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It's really incredible that Dougie took a break from twitter (we all need one from this toxic dump) and blew out his $MSOS very quietly but disclosed through an article that just hit bloomberg from weeks ago No wonder why everyone in the canna plant space dislikes each other" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1923100636851183850) 2025-05-15T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BoxLongs any view on regulatory backdrop on closing the [--] large transactions (both stock deals too) or is this a buy if those deals are held up either way due to arbs have to cover on a break or getting exposure via the target(s) Thx" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1923175131133759956) 2025-05-16T00:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BoxLongs Thanks To your other point: Mason is legit and trained by the one of the best to create value inside a contentious board room I have ever seen (who doesnt lead with short term financial engineering)" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1923178172452839579) 2025-05-16T00:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@absreturnchaser Of course there isnot manybut there are some multi-billion arb books and a few event /value with a catalyst books of that size and a couple across the capital structure event funds toopool has shrunk no doubt but not because of the returns its the pod risk framework issue" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1924147395455000605) 2025-05-18T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I don't disagree with this but also don't think it is required $GLASF has to 'deal' with the prefs and reduce the cost of capital to more inline with recent refi deal with minimal dilution I would look at this as 'HempCo' IncStmt and 'CannaCo' IncStmt with GH Balance sheet" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1924883706428150033) 2025-05-20T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is essentially an underwriting/'what do you have to believe' exercise. It's a mix of financial engineering operational execution with a sprinkle of luck and order of operations is a big swing factor But it all begins with incentive structure.and now we have it in lights" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1924884818522783989) 2025-05-20T17:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLASF https://t.co/75PwqQo1Ku https://t.co/75PwqQo1Ku" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1924969155897200703) 2025-05-20T23:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLASF in lights. since the FLs3 speculation run and since the presidential election. one is being dragged down by the rest of em' https://t.co/Wbnd1zWUQK in lights. since the FLs3 speculation run and since the presidential election. one is being dragged down by the rest of em' https://t.co/Wbnd1zWUQK" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1924969223127757300) 2025-05-20T23:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@srg444 @MontviewX @PropertyBigE @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn If you look at a conservative step function in quarterly earnings (no reform and Cali no change on pricing) with the pik prefs dealt with and hemp rollout on early side (no 280e for hemp and export tax) holding multiple constant you have an in the money warrant folks" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1924971047209574661) 2025-05-20T23:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$MSOS Got $GLASF @HenryLuMencken True However if you look at earning revisions and KPIsfundamentals have deteriorated since then (2022h and multiples have expanded for most of space with the exception of a couplethat said feels like we just had the beginning of inflection for a select few (not Thumb) @HenryLuMencken True However if you look at earning revisions and KPIsfundamentals have deteriorated since then (2022h and multiples have expanded for most of space with the exception of a couplethat said feels like we just had the beginning of inflection for a select few (not Thumb)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1924971291687178712) 2025-05-20T23:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MontviewX @srg444 @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn We got our answer today on full diluted shares in lights for $GLASF and there would be no confusion if there was any real sell side analysts or desk covering the stock. This orphan is going to do big things some day and can thank its hardships for lesson learned Lets go" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1924972080761651413) 2025-05-20T23:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@J_Invests24 @TheDalesReport The short comings of the sector ETF and its mechanics are a single variable and really has less to do with the downdraft of underlying stocks than peeps want to believe. Are we better off with the demise of $MSOS Yes. Is this the reason why the stocks are down 90% No" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1925303511073325242) 2025-05-21T21:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MitchGordon_ @GreenFuture24 "Yes it will be a massive blow to the individual stock whos green houses are built for hemp" just to be clear this is not true. $GLASF has been undertaking a test at a small cost reality is that hemp has always been path B" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1936132066002825425) 2025-06-20T18:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@SnakeBlissken81 @JDerevyanny @CurieuxGolf Snake The question posed by the investor community was cali margins on [---] cali pricing vs hemp pricing on an oem basis was [---] Thats not promoting its answering investor questions on a twitter spaces call and podcast Hemp is and has been a test to go commercial" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1936177357599261155) 2025-06-20T21:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@nickgiva1 Hey Nick really like the way you process daily events curious what if anything do you think the equity and credit market(s) wont look through either from a shock event perspective or data driven on a daily basis re what wont the market just shrug off" [X Link](https://x.com/ChrisBumsteadX/status/1937102053236498924) 2025-06-23T10:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@V_arrell This is how it's going to go down.actually this is how it is going down but most don't see it. Bondi is "cleaning house" methodically. Progress is being made behind the scenes. Deschedule plants/cannabis before Halloween Remember this tweet $MSOS $GLASF" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1937226330656981187) 2025-06-23T19:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$MSGS: The Boyar Value Group urges James Dolan to end the Dolan Discount at MSG Sports by Splitting the Knicks and Rangers into two separately publicly traded companies My view: this is a horrific idea and is not the reason for the 'dolan discount' ACTIVISM IDEA GONE BAD" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1937484637128867939) 2025-06-24T12:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Deschedule before Halloween Follow the approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch $MSOS $GLASF @itstyson20 Whens Trump going to act Deschedule today And why hasnt congress passed Safebanking Use your influence Mr. Tyson. The industry needs you to do what no one else canget politicians to act @itstyson20 Whens Trump going to act Deschedule today And why hasnt congress passed Safebanking Use your influence Mr. Tyson. The industry needs you to do what no one else canget politicians to act" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1937532744810004868) 2025-06-24T15:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Deschedule before Halloween is where I am at Follow the Trump approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch Lets go Champ $MSOS $GLASF Imagine fully legalized cannabis in Texas Imagine fully legalized cannabis in Texas" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1937533112944054490) 2025-06-24T15:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "This $BP rumor gives me $RIO $BHP vibes Boomer tweets" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1937931174435004475) 2025-06-25T17:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Al Horford would be a nice player coach / addition to Houston to support Ime Udoka in that locker room in a similar way to how Udonis Haslem was helpful to Spoelstra in Miami He would also be a nice fit in Golden State I think the Knicks will also at least check in on Horfords situation in Boston. 👀 - @IanBegley (Via https://t.co/U6KBhX2yLe) https://t.co/MuiSClTOpv I think the Knicks will also at least check in on Horfords situation in Boston. 👀 - @IanBegley (Via https://t.co/U6KBhX2yLe) https://t.co/MuiSClTOpv" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1938948275396346155) 2025-06-28T13:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I said what I said $MSOS $GLASF No one wanted to take the bet Deschedule before Halloween is where I am at Follow the Trump approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch Lets go Champ $MSOS $GLASF Deschedule before Halloween is where I am at Follow the Trump approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch Lets go Champ $MSOS $GLASF" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1939770886841942147) 2025-06-30T19:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Well $BTC is really the following: 50% $GLD and 50% Mag7 (but need swap out $TSLA and replace it with $ORCL Reminded again today about how gold and bitcoin continue to trade quite differently from each other. https://t.co/zY50Glu0pR Reminded again today about how gold and bitcoin continue to trade quite differently from each other. https://t.co/zY50Glu0pR" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940176257892941857) 2025-07-01T22:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Link to post: $FWONK https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/financial-theater-what-the-f1-movie https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/financial-theater-what-the-f1-movie" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940472308608782411) 2025-07-02T18:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@agnostoxxx Hi Shrubby Bye Shrubby https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companies https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companies" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940525025423249888) 2025-07-02T21:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@RudyHavenstein Alivebut for how long. Diddy knows too much" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940531387154813123) 2025-07-02T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@HostileCharts $FWONK Perhaps this story supports your technical analysis work https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940532431066734684) 2025-07-02T22:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@BarbarianCap Hey Barb Def interesting and made me thinkWhat bucket would you put these (3) into Best Mojo Or Or https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companiesutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-166994993r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companiesutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940539494194991560) 2025-07-02T22:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Those who degross into the summer likely sacrifice marginal profits but also avoid an illiquid backdrop and squeeze risk on the short side of ledger and come back refreshed into the fall with a macro and idio playbook likely whiteboard post mortem on H1 convertible pipeline of ideas et al Larry Bird used to come back from the summer offseason with a new move (fade away to his off shoulder left hand hook improved handles better conditioned and stronger) for every NBA season until he was injury ridden later in his career and just needed to heal" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1940788764374122552) 2025-07-03T15:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "What a question There are very few that know how to run the playbook(s) that incorporates operational excellence with financial engineering balance sheet repair as well as other variables such as culture/human capital talent incentive structure recruitment and retention Its not as much about the balancing act as it is about order of operations sometimes and juggling and sustaining kinetic energy to bring it every day and surrounding yourself with talent that you inevitably will have to pay up for and share the pie via dilution. If only these situations had access to a mix of Ed Breen Larry" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1941174823721271597) 2025-07-04T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@tspencer322 Try me (3) https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-symbolic-alchemy-of-riskutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://bewaterltd.com/p/investing-in-the-age-of-multiflation https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-symbolic-alchemy-of-riskutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://bewaterltd.com/p/investing-in-the-age-of-multiflation" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1941306015355633817) 2025-07-05T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@27XVII $FWONK tops the list but have a few more in the hopper https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1941593772438982801) 2025-07-05T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Restructuring__ I am biased to this post but will check it out Or Or even this one https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-166994993r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167187713r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-166994993r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1942387652272996479) 2025-07-08T00:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "You make an interesting point that I will noodle on.although I don't really know any institutional investors that really seek out [--] baggers. Most are in what I call the 'IRR Club' That said sometimes when seeking out something 'safe' you find something spicy https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/cef-activism-at-an-inflection-point https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/cef-activism-at-an-inflection-point" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1942614579109875751) 2025-07-08T15:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cfromhertz @F1 Pretty sure you will dig this. Let me know. $FWONK https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1942916003731562620) 2025-07-09T11:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Link to post: https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/nevada-is-still-nevada https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/nevada-is-still-nevada" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1945143980531855857) 2025-07-15T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "New post: Everyone in finance is trading the same meme stock and calling it edge Link in bio and next post" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1947750939517194301) 2025-07-22T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Every company undertaking a merger with possible competition concerns would prefer to restart the HSR clock than receive the second request - its much cheaper can possibly / likely close faster even if you do receive a 2nd and you demonstrate that parties want to proactively resolve regulatory body concerns 👀 $DKS confirms it will refile HSR in connection with its proposed $FL deal by July 25: https://t.co/NVSoJZZLcF @Capitol_Forum subscribers learned about the company's plans to pull & refile on Tuesday. 👀 $DKS confirms it will refile HSR in connection with its proposed $FL deal by July" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1948366328676421733) 2025-07-24T12:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "No idea how to use the twitter search function.but taking some ticks and covering short in $DUOL See how this thing acts closer to the [--] year vwap Who says single name shorting is dead" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1949859892006731903) 2025-07-28T15:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Start here: And: scroll to these sections but read it in order. Perhaps I should write some different posts on how to build a simplified process for long / short equity sector focused credit and merger arbitrage to show investment process across different strategies. Let me know https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167651987r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167651987r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167651987r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1949940011945595030) 2025-07-28T21:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TheShortBear This is backwards looking data but not irrelevant Under-appreciated trend: I think Delaware to Nevada reincorporations could be a defining moment if it picks up steam and may ultimately impact returns in US equities Enjoy https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-168247538r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-168247538r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1950355462945161542) 2025-07-30T00:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "New from Mojo The Bitcoin Walks: Twenty Thousand Steps to Clarity (see bio and next tweet) #Bitcoin $IBIT #BTC $GBTC" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1950576708479791564) 2025-07-30T15:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "If anyone thinks this was my intent and I bullied him that's pretty unfair incorrect and absurd. Yes you @taobanker I didn't even tweet directly to him specifically to not call him out.he responded to my tweet. It would be my pleasure to speak to him and I tried but his account was nuked already as I don't sit on twitter all day like you do apparently. I am pretty sure I could be helpful to him and he could learn from my experiences (and mistakes made too.the mistakes along the way have led to many success stories)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1952388249227276544) 2025-08-04T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALPHA #ALPHA @bewaterltd https://t.co/uAz7hOnOQp https://t.co/uAz7hOnOQp" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1952522915439649055) 2025-08-05T00:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I had a substantial credit that became an equity position during the last cycle (this used to be a common term prior to repeat QE Brain Damage) and I can categorically tell you this biz like others can be helped with the right operating playbooks some balance sheet financial engineering and perhaps even healed but to do so requires macro/consumer tailwinds plus money printing at an inflecting earnings revision periodand hope of a turnaround that leads to this ever being a sound quality business is (insert here)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953047054709604630) 2025-08-06T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Set your alerts for the next 'Inside the Mind of Mojo' post Little teaser below. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953128037328814396) 2025-08-06T16:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Thanks and glad you enjoyed it Going to write more about governance activism and complex mergers and share stories from my experiences too. Published a piece today on merger and process. If there is anything you think would make for a good future post please let me know And by all means write your post too and add to the plot and we can peel back the onion collectively about the dynamics re governance shareholder rights et al There are bad actors everywhere" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953257068594708757) 2025-08-07T00:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Jensen went to the White House and the next day Trump said Lip-Bu was conflicted Looking at INTC news today question comes to mind how long before NVDA JenHsun is similarly accused. I just don't see any of these developments bullish. Looking at INTC news today question comes to mind how long before NVDA JenHsun is similarly accused. I just don't see any of these developments bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953775498070290879) 2025-08-08T11:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Oh $AI $AI ripping into the print. Would think customer losses another miss and implied guidance that can't be met would lead to a materially lower equity valuation.$3bn eq that should be 400mn I have some short lotta puts and even some calls to protect $AI ripping into the print. Would think customer losses another miss and implied guidance that can't be met would lead to a materially lower equity valuation.$3bn eq that should be 400mn I have some short lotta puts and even some calls to protect" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953981710481469473) 2025-08-09T00:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$MSOS I said what I said $MSOS $GLASF No one wanted to take the bet I said what I said $MSOS $GLASF No one wanted to take the bet" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1954157406474150124) 2025-08-09T12:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Its actually so much worse $AI knew the scam was unraveling at least [--] weeks ago and failed to disclose in the prior 10q period. See tweet enclosed https://x.com/mrmojorisinx/status/1927360428016824522s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw These https://t.co/SUwP6tWqAg results are absurd and to drop them at 7:30PM ET on a Friday Revenue guided $70.2-70.4M vs $104M est. Adj operating loss guided ($57.7-57.9M) vs ($27M) est. Stock should be down 50% Monday. At least the $AI ticker might come back into the public https://x.com/mrmojorisinx/status/1927360428016824522s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw These" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1954512331318198395) 2025-08-10T11:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@UpslopeCapital If I told you $PLTR is currently a 10% holding in the ETF and has been even larger member would that change your impressions of the chart $MSFT is a 10% holding" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1954513555849359736) 2025-08-10T12:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I have known Strauss for [--] years. Strauss is essentially an operator "activist" that happens to be a Chief Executive Officer (a lot like Ed Breen). He reigned in a dysfunctional culture improved accounting and finance function after some problematic restatements and regulatory issues implemented a wildly successful incentive structure for key members of the organization to retain them and has executed various phased playbooks for growth successfully while managing street expectations pretty well. My guess is we are in the later innings here and he is looking to hit the eject button into a" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1954933938201207005) 2025-08-11T15:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is prob a read that is a good use of your time: Also see this from another post: Let's Break a Deal. We are launching this in the near future. Stay tuned https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1954941389625528687) 2025-08-11T16:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@JaredKubin Jared that January tweet is one helluva post with some solid insights. This is a yes and reply Read these [--] shorts posts: Short selling: And try this re Bitcoin TreasuryCos (I would encourage you to read the series after): https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/shorting-is-hardand-its-supposedr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1955588207980241160) 2025-08-13T11:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I will follow you Mike. Read and try this - Bitcoin TreasuryCo AI Laboratory: Steal This Prompt For ChatGPT-5 (read the entire series): https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web My goal is to break 500k followers. Ive been stuck at 480k for like [--] years seems weird almost. Thoughts https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web My goal is to break 500k followers. Ive been stuck at 480k for like [--] years seems weird almost. Thoughts" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1955588836836487630) 2025-08-13T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "If you have compared any Hedge fund strategy that doesnt run with significant length to the S&P500 you need ______. Andif that you is actually in the investment business or were in the business you are ______. Too many people posting this chart today making an apples to oranges comparison" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1955600562205933670) 2025-08-13T12:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "If you have compared any Hedge fund strategy that doesnt run with significant length to the S&P500 you need ______. Andif that you is actually in the investment business or were in the business you are ______. Too many people posting this type of chart making an apples to oranges comparison" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1955601302169518373) 2025-08-13T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Memes plus stock promotional executives lead to inflated prices which lead to zombies able to pull off equity offerings and then more capital raises and then more= fallen angel junk bonds trading to parwhat an ugly flywheel. Just wait until the crypto execs get a hold of this playbook to issue enormous amounts of equity and prefs to buy bitcoinwhat will they think of next ethereum treasury cos I had a position in these too because @DonutShorts mentioned them many times to me" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1956742675249742134) 2025-08-16T15:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "New from Mojo The Quiet Return: When Greatness Serves Something Bigger (see bio and next tweet)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1957477160878493944) 2025-08-18T16:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Not a surprise but I dig this post Not necessarily a caveat but more food for thought: Portfolio construction and Risk management share connective tissue as part of the investment process but they are not the same thing despite sharing concentric feedback loops. JLK is not using them interchangeably but thought it might be helpful to clarify https://x.com/mrmojorisinx/status/1957894448584487348s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw Seeing all of these "drawdown for ants" . "momentum crushed the last couple days". the real story is momentum started its fall end of June. So we have really been in a 2" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1958854780484296854) 2025-08-22T11:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Adam Livingston's (@AdamBLiv) thread below bears an uncanny resemblance to our collection of essays The Sorcerer's Apprentice & The Man Who Broke The Market. Does it read like our original work was fed into an LLM and regurgitated on X Decide for yourself: @bewaterltd http://sorcerers-apprentice.com/ http://sorcerers-apprentice.com/" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1958891058693042593) 2025-08-22T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🧵(3/n) Floating Fiat severed anchor to reality Symbols pointing to symbols @AdamBLiv @bewaterltd The Collapse of Monetary Being The fiat system achieved something unprecedented in human history: it collapsed the ontology of value itself. For millennia money was grounded in material reality: gold's atomic immutability silver's conductivity even cattle's biological The Collapse of Monetary Being The fiat system achieved something unprecedented in human history: it collapsed the ontology of value itself. For millennia money was grounded in material reality: gold's atomic immutability silver's" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1958957771245985930) 2025-08-22T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "In honor of [----] Kobe Bryant Black Mamba Day: Please enjoy: The Illusion of Readiness Originally published 7.22.25 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1959707198462050573) 2025-08-24T19:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@WaterworldCapi1 My inclination was to short $NVDA today for a scalp and cover near the close as company will be in the market buying back shares tomorrow. Come back from long holiday weekend vol gets nuked again company dysons more shares and buy some vol Any thoughts Watah" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1961035267776618805) 2025-08-28T11:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is not a formal FinTwit AMA like back in the day But feel free to hit me in the replies (preferably no DMs please) if you have questions about Mojo and / or @Bewaterltd posts or want to suggest future topics etc. Will respond to them and turn it into a structured q&a thread/post (hopefully with a twist but TBD.) so its easier to absorb So ROUND [--] #AMA Link to AMA 1: https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953538860438483167 Gameplan: going to post the next AMA tweet (same approach as prior but perhaps a twist if I can make it happen) tomorrow so get your questions ready Preferably no DMs for" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1961447814673596511) 2025-08-29T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$AI with a huge pilot logo of Gypsum Management & Supply This contract plus the value of the ticker AI has to be worth something right $AI is a sum of the parts story Its actually so much worse $AI knew the scam was unraveling at least [--] weeks ago and failed to disclose in the prior 10q period. See tweet enclosed https://t.co/KjQemudRFP Its actually so much worse $AI knew the scam was unraveling at least [--] weeks ago and failed to disclose in the prior 10q period. See tweet enclosed https://t.co/KjQemudRFP" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1963338242696028373) 2025-09-03T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The market is telling 'you' that the ticker $AI is worth approximately $2.2bn $AI with a huge pilot logo of Gypsum Management & Supply This contract plus the value of the ticker AI has to be worth something right $AI is a sum of the parts story $AI with a huge pilot logo of Gypsum Management & Supply This contract plus the value of the ticker AI has to be worth something right $AI is a sum of the parts story" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1963615177938461025) 2025-09-04T14:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@FundamentEdge Wow. This is awesome Brett" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1966926808626217290) 2025-09-13T18:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Whats the change in the Volatility Laundering allocation percentage from [----] to [----] Based on the chart it looks smaller than I would have guessed. Public equities up small neutralizes the change in private (re credit fixed income and PE lower) It looks like beta went up drawdown gamma went up and vol laundering up marginal. Do I have that right What are the targets for 2026" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1966958531053039859) 2025-09-13T20:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "So first of all this does not happen often and the smartest deal makers rarely do this. PE firms fam offices etc do not overequitize because of leverage. They add cushion for litigious situations; as well as to show customers they have a strong balance sheet. Even if the NewCo intends to be acquisitive they set up a capital call structure or accordion. PE doesn't just go park cash on someone else's balance sheet very often unless there is something short duration to deploy the capital. Second of all this guy asks me to follow him so he can DM me asks me to be on his podcast and I said I would" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1967674918058778746) 2025-09-15T19:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I am not going to debate the merits of allocating capital to multi manager funds re Pod Shops nor am I going do so for Private Credit. In isolation all investment strategies have a reward versus risk profile with what I call gotcha gamma. I would encourage you to evaluate the wholistic mosaic of output from the lens of portfolio construction - you may even change your mind Volatility laundering may indeed have a place in your portfolio - allocate accordingly across various asset classes to maximize return minimize risk and dampen volatility to opportunistically capitalize during idiosyncratic" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1967926530278916458) 2025-09-16T12:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "PSA: Elliott has been in $WDAY swap for a while now either boxed position or fully neutered hedge block (as well as OTC and or undisclosed options trade structure)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1968282732309647377) 2025-09-17T11:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The discounts for this universe of smut has nothing to do with sentiment or recessionary conditions Grouping BDC and private credit together is not apples to apples A plethora of private credit funds are currently trading below [--] cents on the dollar. We haven't seen sentiment this poor since early April when U.S. recession odds were 60%. https://t.co/2mlqJdkfYa A plethora of private credit funds are currently trading below [--] cents on the dollar. We haven't seen sentiment this poor since early April when U.S. recession odds were 60%. https://t.co/2mlqJdkfYa" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1968287830662389895) 2025-09-17T12:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hey Julian I am having trouble following this chart. I mean I get it at a high level but I also don't follow the line of thinking beyond spreads are tightening and there is some correlation. Red = Junk bond income distribution aka annual payout/current price (YTM).not YTW on a universe of bonds right Blue = the RoR (rate of return re gross spread adjusted for days to close) not the gross spread Feels like a lot to be desire We are missing the composition of the deal spread snapshot universe at any given moment re tenders consideration type CVR et al Also we need to consider regulatory" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1968378331717415273) 2025-09-17T18:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "New post from Mojo What Would You Pay For This "Stock" (Given Perfect Foreknowledge) (see bio and next tweet)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1969093656515686827) 2025-09-19T17:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Link to post: https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/what-would-you-pay-for-this-stock https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/what-would-you-pay-for-this-stock" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1969093658491179064) 2025-09-19T17:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@PauloMacro Trip down memory lane Enjoy this postLets Break a Deal with a merger arb story too - Alliance Data Systems (although the real juicy parts on the cutting room floor) @agnostoxxx will prob dig this one too https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/lets-break-a-dealr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/lets-break-a-dealr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1971928197253243143) 2025-09-27T13:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Process is not a due diligence checklist Print out your process. Turn it into a diagram. Learn to explain it. Everyone has a processeven the people who think they dont. Write yours down. Improve it over time. Print out your process. Turn it into a diagram. Learn to explain it. Everyone has a processeven the people who think they dont. Write yours down. Improve it over time" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1972989116129456449) 2025-09-30T11:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Wait a second.Let me get this straight JPM is lending to a company undertaking a leveraged buyout go private transaction and then intends to syndicate that debt to other banks Is this a new form of financing Has anyone heard of this before" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1973007767083635155) 2025-09-30T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Not only a lot of shorts but $MPW is an incredible case study in healthcare fraud and proof that shorting is hard and its supposed to be https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/shorting-is-hardand-its-supposedr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios $MPW lot of shorts in this one https://t.co/mpBUWtmhS4 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/shorting-is-hardand-its-supposedr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios $MPW lot of shorts in this one https://t.co/mpBUWtmhS4" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1973338313202475490) 2025-10-01T10:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@27XVII There are something like 5k PE firms (think they including cross over and some HFs) How many PE funds per firm How many funds have BX KKR Carlyle Bain TPG had since inception including SPVs side cars pocketed etc I would guess 1k in this group. 18k more to go" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1973932296521863626) 2025-10-03T02:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "There are something like 5k PE firms (think they including cross over and some HFs) How many PE funds per firm How many funds have BX KKR Carlyle Bain TPG had since inception including SPVs side cars pocketed etc I would guess 1k in this group. 18k more to go BREAKING: There are now more PE funds than McDonald's in the U.S BREAKING: There are now more PE funds than McDonald's in the U.S" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1973933000862933174) 2025-10-03T02:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@atelicinvest Enjoy https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1975691101957767617) 2025-10-07T22:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Summer [----] See bio for full story - The Bitcoin Walks" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1977002949718036737) 2025-10-11T13:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Cc @KingJames Dont let anyone judge your herniated disc sciatic pain or rush your rehab. This is not about Father Time https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1977043079850086730) 2025-10-11T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Sent DM to Anthony on 9/22/25 laying out the path - not a surprise but he didnt respond Read the entire QT thread from the beginning $MSOS re reform path preparing for trade v investment playbook and how the main ETF could potentially move on news Lets see what happens next https://x.com/amartinelliwa/status/1977498755571347833s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw $MSOS - adding this to QT thread with [--] posts below 1) Potential Reform path window 2) Trade and Investment playbook 3) MSOS - how it could move on an announcement 4) Stay tuned https://t.co/HeSygFRQ5F" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1977510115717611952) 2025-10-12T23:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BoxLongs Defined Risk 90-95c for April (Jan fine too for half the cost but likely have to roll and lose 10-15c for anything over 1k) Capture Event Path: proxy window pressure cooker (see below) Catalyst: strategic review / sale" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1977746788585975979) 2025-10-13T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$DBRG got a fair price (perhaps more than fair) is my take. This does not preclude holder agitation that leads to additional consideration but there is a fair amount of shark repellant and the ability to hold hostage is more a game than contractual event path. "Future potential LPs may think twice about partnering with these guys given how shareholders were treated." 1) I doubt it and will take the under 2) I don't think Ganz his team that is staying with SB and Masa care whatsoever I doubt there will be additional $ for $dbrg shareholders. Question: will selling below what shareholders deem" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/2009287598246686875) 2026-01-08T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Good discussion. Here is my parting thought(s): Obviously the value of Switch has changed considerably since $DBRG took it private but how much should we strike this to pure luck.and does it matter The answer is who cares. That said and feel free to help me brush up on the details but the cash contribution from the Aussies was very low fee (heavily negotiated) and a decent chunk of the equity/roll-over was no fee at all.That was the actual demand to fund the equity component of the switch go-private. The biz dev person began those discussions by waiving incentive fees lowering mgmt fees etc" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/2009672197195919588) 2026-01-09T17:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$LKQ announces strategic alternatives a few weeks in advance of the upcoming print right in the middle of the proxy window. Board feeling the pressure.a guidance reset is in their best interest is my read" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/2015804366809100774) 2026-01-26T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bot starters in $HHH $AMZN $FWRD $RIV $LNTH $META $OUT $URNM Won't be adding to these based on price action re going lower. This is about observing banking re-engaging and managing risk This is not the time to make long duration bets.not yet" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1908156327819358438) 2025-04-04T13:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The underlyings of the members in the $JBBB are in the danger zone" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1915060562628686101) 2025-04-23T15:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Nothing to see here.no Chinese infiltration in the US; and Canada definitely isn't captured by the Chinese. Nope.no evidence. $CM $RY $BMO $BNS" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1915792857522176357) 2025-04-25T15:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "oh no $IIPR $IIPR likely a zero under a base line reform scenario At the very least they gonna issue a lot of new shares to prolong the business impairment $IIPR likely a zero under a base line reform scenario At the very least they gonna issue a lot of new shares to prolong the business impairment" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953539739681738968) 2025-08-07T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Today is the IPO of $BLSH (formerly $FPAC) Here is an old Mojo tweet thread (thanks anon) Obviously the story has changed as have capital market conditions 1/n" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1955705366764753398) 2025-08-13T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Link to post: https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/a-trade-structure-with-an-informational https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/a-trade-structure-with-an-informational" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1957847166480740801) 2025-08-19T16:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Just wait until an activist group shows up at the New York Times (ticker $NYT for the home gamers) and forces them to use Ai or they will run a proxy contest against an entrenched boardTrump team sees this activity and then the government shows up as a white knight and takes a 10% stake all from proceeds from commercializing and monetizing patents from US universities" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1960499950019924320) 2025-08-27T00:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "President Trump on Wednesday fired Robert Primus a board member of the railroad regulator that is weighing the proposed merger between $UNP and $NSC. He was the only member of the board to oppose the merger of Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern - GS 👀 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-factory-that-makes-investmentr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-factory-that-makes-investmentr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1961039076515037473) 2025-08-28T12:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$IREN data points: Burn $1bn Raise $600mn via convertible bond and ATM Insiders selling Co-CEOs registering stock Questionable financial disclosures and lack of transparency Organized group of online stock promotion @MrMojoRisinX Data points @MrMojoRisinX Data points" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1961405097466011924) 2025-08-29T12:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hi Trail They burned $1.146bn in cash ($270mn in ADJUSTED TRAILING EBITDA and this is not a proxy for anything resembling FREE CASH FLOW) over the last twelve months and raised money via convertible bonds and an At The Money EQUITY (ATM) offering. They have questionable accounting and disclosures and have no transparency. The company has engaged social media stock promoters. Co-CEOs registered 2mn shares ELIGIBLE FOR SALE by B-RILEY. Best Braindead" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1961433240058700215) 2025-08-29T14:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Apparently this post offended some of you. Peeps do not like hearing they have QE Brain" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1962884626768101828) 2025-09-02T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "So far this article has offended: VP at Top [--] AUM PE fund HF PM $2bn fund [--] 'unemployed' allocators Biz Dev person from pod shop Quant analyst for a regional bank Controller for PE backed roll-up The hate is real" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1962897027819352335) 2025-09-02T15:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Today has been really difficult. Reposting this from Mojo: The Quiet Return: When Greatness Serves Something Bigger #NeverForget911 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1966272108918407401) 2025-09-11T22:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "In the year of our lord 2025leaving large cap PE to do a private deal and lead the funding and operations where the equity is 30% of the deal seems like a poor choice I did a deal [--] years ago with a CEO: 30mn sales 3mn ebitda. We paid 13mn and put 700k equity 1.2mn mezz rest was bank debt. Y+15 months: 27mn sales 6mn ebitda. Sold company in [----]. Top line 44mn ebitda [--]. Exited at 6x and had a [--] year earn out (1x turn). We recapped the business 3x Ofer life of the deal Company was sold again in [----] for 11x ebitda (off lower ebitda) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1966961840388534462" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1966961840388534462) 2025-09-13T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I exited all of these trading positions in $HHH $AMZN $LNTH $RIV $META $OUT $URNM. But I haven't exited $FWRD (time to add via trade structure or exit). This one feels worthy of digging in.and this filing has my antenna up" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1967628770195726644) 2025-09-15T16:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Controlling shareholder of $MLP is none other than Steve Case billionaire who founded AOL and effectuated the merger with Time Warner Havent dug deep yet esp. on controlling shareholders background but the risk/reward looks attractive from a quick pass. Anyone looked closer The controlling shareholder has also been actively buying recently another good sign. https://t.co/exeix9BpzE Havent dug deep yet esp. on controlling shareholders background but the risk/reward looks attractive from a quick pass. Anyone looked closer The controlling shareholder has also been actively buying recently" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1967924727575613824) 2025-09-16T12:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "New Post from Be Water: Sprott Inc. (Ticker $SII) Owning The Storehouse: The Commodities "Easy Button" @bewaterltd Link in next post https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1974134399286305083 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1974134399286305083" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1974134399286305083) 2025-10-03T15:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I have a $200bn termed out staple financing from $JEF on stand by to take $COST private down 70% Its a down [--] knock-in LBO staple financing on a basket of take private names all requiring at least $200bn of debt The valuations of "normal" companies are quite perplexing. $RCL $RBLX $CVNA $IDXX $NFLX $COST. These aren't even the absurd shitcos but could easily see these names down -50-75% in short order. Any others that seem out of place The valuations of "normal" companies are quite perplexing. $RCL $RBLX $CVNA $IDXX $NFLX $COST. These aren't even the absurd shitcos but could easily see these" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1976725430766903709) 2025-10-10T19:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Just a thought. $GLASF https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1976382995176226851 It might be time to to turn all of these high energy consuming indoor grows into data centers. Just a thought. $MSOS $GLASF https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1976382995176226851 It might be time to to turn all of these high energy consuming indoor grows into data centers. Just a thought. $MSOS $GLASF" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1978091441793401004) 2025-10-14T13:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Some interesting proxy window/corporate action pressure cooker situations approaching that could lead to 'for sale' situations strategic alternatives announcements activism leading to strat alts/sales and actual deals.Credit markets are currently the limiting factor in some of these impacting timing but I expect the pressure cooker to only escalate for the following: Direction of Fundamentals: (+) = improving; (-) declining; (=) push to possible inflection; (-/=) declining / push $DBRG (-) $BHF (-/=) $PINS (+) $CFLT (=) $AIV (-/=) $CMRC (=) $FWRD (-/=) $CDZI (=) $PTC (=) Feel free to add more" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1978105887832121813) 2025-10-14T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$JEF Jefferies Raised to Outperform at Oppenheimer; PT $81 Please discuss amongst your selves" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1979133737284596081) 2025-10-17T10:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I obv see the performance and thats a nice trade But I dont think this conclusion re why is true whatsoever @Aureliusltd28 Since Tricolor declared bankruptcy on 9/10 $JPM has outpaced $OWL by 10.2%. Wall Street seems to think that the cockroaches are emanating from the Private Credit world not the syndicated loan market. https://t.co/d3R5iLhknk @Aureliusltd28 Since Tricolor declared bankruptcy on 9/10 $JPM has outpaced $OWL by 10.2%. Wall Street seems to think that the cockroaches are emanating from the Private Credit world not the syndicated loan market. https://t.co/d3R5iLhknk" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1979138091114795285) 2025-10-17T10:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Has to be more than a decade ago owned 8% of GRVY and took a behind the scenes approach with the board. The main issue is that it always has a great surface level r/r Update: $GRVY now trading below cash. Great risk/reward here IMO Update: $GRVY now trading below cash. Great risk/reward here IMO" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1979148323085865270) 2025-10-17T11:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hok fits from a market cap perspective as next in line but is almost too boring to be in this index We need drama poor corporate governance reincorporations attempts to Nevada public divorces pedo accusations pregnancies and ponies TRT / HGH supplementation by key insiders etc just to be eligible into the Mag [--] index Options back dating capex ramps and DOJ investigations into alleged price pricingjust wont cut it" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1979977688703025222) 2025-10-19T18:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@LionheartInves1 I wrote a tweet response but I am not going to post it yet. Lion what is your age and experience level I may have missed this when perusing your blog about tenders. Best Mojo" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1980294783164936276) 2025-10-20T15:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This was $BHF (see other post link)- Trade structure was long call spreads vs short stock. Break-even trade Now we have $FWRD - Was long 1x2 call spreads and small short . Sub $19 should make small PNL See what happens Trade structure = edge https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1978871559449178564 Some interesting proxy window/corporate action pressure cooker situations approaching that could lead to 'for sale' situations strategic alternatives announcements activism leading to strat alts/sales and actual deals.Credit markets are currently the limiting factor in some" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1980341319034892796) 2025-10-20T18:32Z [----] followers, 11.8K engagements "Various considerations re trade structure for $FWRD: -ability to get get trade on / exit (size liquidity etc) -buyer universe (number/type re pe vs strategic) -r/r (that is fluid; my break price is dynamic) -event path duration (proxy window etc) -tea leaves/pattern recognition -direction of fundamentals Should be a tweet out there (search function doesn't work) where I suggest long stock long put spread but I went with effectively defined upside and make more on a break (or leak of an issue) because deal leak articles suggested buyers were all PE (re no strategics involved).so this impacts" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1980357554686357661) 2025-10-20T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hey Jimmy do you think it could be due to this $FLR $SMR NuScale Power downgraded to sell by Citi. This will keep happening NuScale Power downgraded to sell by Citi. This will keep happening" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1980595782844600817) 2025-10-21T11:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Pls reviewand then read it again $FWRD @nitesh9dm Various considerations re trade structure for $FWRD: -ability to get get trade on / exit (size liquidity etc) -buyer universe (number/type re pe vs strategic) -r/r (that is fluid; my break price is dynamic) -event path duration (proxy window etc) -tea leaves/pattern recognition @nitesh9dm Various considerations re trade structure for $FWRD: -ability to get get trade on / exit (size liquidity etc) -buyer universe (number/type re pe vs strategic) -r/r (that is fluid; my break price is dynamic) -event path duration (proxy window etc) -tea" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1980627413659722104) 2025-10-21T13:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@agnostoxxx Shrubby bruv Imagine not using this prompt.August [--] [----] Bitcoin TreasuryCo AI Laboratory: Steal This Prompt For ChatGPT-5 https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratory https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratory" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1980640655065158104) 2025-10-21T14:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Someone bot the $TDOC weekly 9c 19k times (ref price 8.40) OI was 5.8k; Oct [--] 7.5c 6k w [--] OI After the close the CFO who was disliked resigns.stock ticks above $9 They likely need / and should to do an earnings expectations reset and new blood can likely accomplish this.Proxy window opens in early Q1" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1981457049369096372) 2025-10-23T20:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@inglouriouscap Oh wow CFLT and BTC Treasuries series made the rounds across some sell/buy-side desks and back to me but nice to see others have as well" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1981754497480200293) 2025-10-24T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bye bye Adam Silver Na-na-na-na na-na-na-na hey hey hey goodbye" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1982923455264895049) 2025-10-27T21:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Reading Twitter know-it-alls who speak in absolutes reminds me of this incredible scene from Good Will Hunting https://youtu.be/8GY3sO47YYosi=qjeCmam4HWo-1vhP https://youtu.be/8GY3sO47YYosi=qjeCmam4HWo-1vhP" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1982971221563322519) 2025-10-28T00:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Just eyeballing the members of the SPLV out of curiosity.because the spread blow out is pretty interesting as Nooner has pointed out many times now. There are [---] positions in this ETF. If you remove share repo 80% of the index has missed net income expectations (should prob look at divi growth rate of change vs net income too) I ask you this does anchoring to historical multiple ranges actually matter when there is a shift impacting unit economics/pricing power Debate amongst yourselves.and yes I have been pressing Nooner re these types of tweets for many years now. Direction of Fundamentals" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1983150065733529923) 2025-10-28T12:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$VRNOF with an unsurprising horrific print.now they reincorporate to go hide in Nevada" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1983542081193639967) 2025-10-29T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "My son and I are on our annual Steph Curry road trip and I wake up to an email that the $BHF deal could be announced on Monday at $70 with the original leaked buyer. How long have I been asleep Covered my short on the break (55 to [--] which paid for the trade) and we have call spreads that thought were zeroes.See what happens It's like the luck of the Irish but I'm not Irish so you tell me (Name the movie this line is from) This was $BHF (see other post link)- Trade structure was long call spreads vs short stock. Break-even trade Now we have $FWRD - Was long 1x2 call spreads and small short ." [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1984246793094242595) 2025-10-31T13:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Final answer: Donor Advised funds or Collars I wonder how long some investors will be willing to accept inferior returns investing in Berkshire simply because they made it such a massive part of their personality for decades I wonder how long some investors will be willing to accept inferior returns investing in Berkshire simply because they made it such a massive part of their personality for decades" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985113817328566519) 2025-11-02T22:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "According to Faber apparently the RMT spec is accurate" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985353606493876512) 2025-11-03T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Here is the MAE language from the $KMB $KVUE DMA that was filed (s4 comes later): They mention "acetaminophen" in this 'mac' passage and nowhere else in the doc including in reps and warranties and do not use the brand name a single time in the agreement (in the IR deal deck as a logo). Will look in JPm financing agreement when filed as language could be buried in there as well. I would rank this merger agreement for a strategic transaction as a C+ hence the 13% gross spread.for a very liquid spread" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985428845932212538) 2025-11-03T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "There is a non-public disclosure letter that apparently outlines scenarios/situations that may constitute and MAE Holy momma" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985431224668864853) 2025-11-03T19:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Yup MAC language and carveout(s) exist (customary) and is tailored to Tylenol w/ broad language re solely to the extent related to allegations of autism spectrum disorder or attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. with me so far .except for specific matters listed on Section 1.01(b) of the Kenvue Disclosure Letter. Those listed (confidential) matters (eg adverse ruling) are not protected by the carve-out re "carve back" KMB has their out This ties into [----] (reps fail) and [----] (breach) termination.then there is a cure period. There is a timing path too but doesn't seem relevant yet as Nov" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985446306060304470) 2025-11-03T20:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Akston_Capital August 23rd [----] window to explore deal with parties (tax window bidding rules applicable) Tylenol claims [--] days after window [--] days to announcement with KMB I shared no opinion whatsoever about the merits of the deal. I read the merger contract" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985684868676592085) 2025-11-04T12:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$VSCO (spin off from Bath and Body Works) is an activist target.again. Third Point alum Thomas Kuhn was installed in [----] re settlement as a director after pressure cooker (resigned in [----] resigned from several boards looks like so perhaps something else going on) Since several activists (Barrington DE Shaw and previously Third Point) have also applied pressure and now BBRC (Brett Blundy) is on the scene and looks like the board of directors has given him the heisman so he went public with a letter. Cost basis likely 30/share. Interesting letter: he is differentiating himself as not a" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985706253398499779) 2025-11-04T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Akston_Capital Kenvue was a code [---] split-off exchange from $JNJ on August [--] [----] and the [--] year rules (for engagement) apply unless the parties applied for a private letter ruling (PLR)" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985709055667483069) 2025-11-04T14:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Not going to post the ticker but this is kinda interesting (not insinuating anything). 'For sale' situation - order of operations of what I think I saw: -calls and spreads go up (decent size vs OI) -clever tweet thread follows expressing why deal is imminent -tack on odd lot calls go up in various strikes and stock goes higher -cluster of put options trade (looks like on the offer) -Reuters article comes out saying buyer has walked -stock tanks" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1985785663078236200) 2025-11-04T19:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Disclose your influencer compensation (direct or indirect) Why $ASST is the Ultimate Leveraged BTC Play (Not Just Another $MSTR Clone) $ASST's 11K BTC treasury is just the start. Here's the real deal: Preferred Equity Magic: No debt maturities Perpetual prefs mean no forced BTC sales in bear markets. Diamond hands forever. Cash-Flow Why $ASST is the Ultimate Leveraged BTC Play (Not Just Another $MSTR Clone) $ASST's 11K BTC treasury is just the start. Here's the real deal: Preferred Equity Magic: No debt maturities Perpetual prefs mean no forced BTC sales in bear markets. Diamond hands" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986026354421190941) 2025-11-05T11:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@lhamtil Best passers of all time (not measured by stats but by who made the right pass and makes teammates better) Joker Bird Magic Oscar Jordan (I said what I said) Walton Nash Isiah Kidd Stockton Rod Strickland Pistol" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986042837604188199) 2025-11-05T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@thecontracap @jay_21_ this" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986098189460553808) 2025-11-05T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$BHF We knew it the whole time right What a wild situation with several leaks Einy trying to apply pressure new buyer at lower price leak more leaks and now pay day My son and I are on our annual Steph Curry road trip and I wake up to an email that the $BHF deal could be announced on Monday at $70 with the original leaked buyer. How long have I been asleep Covered my short on the break (55 to [--] which paid for the trade) and we have My son and I are on our annual Steph Curry road trip and I wake up to an email that the $BHF deal could be announced on Monday at $70 with the original leaked" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986415110022201577) 2025-11-06T12:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Post: Couple shout outs to some of our pals and peeps we respect in the post including my main bruv @agnostoxxx - he is the genuine article https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-paper-bitcoin-razor https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-paper-bitcoin-razor" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986470587871490422) 2025-11-06T16:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@agnostoxxx a few excerpts to enjoy" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986471608081424779) 2025-11-06T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Inside(r) Influencers Rejoice @agnostoxxx a few excerpts to enjoy https://t.co/qUfkuVrUJn @agnostoxxx a few excerpts to enjoy https://t.co/qUfkuVrUJn" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986471739564462204) 2025-11-06T16:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "If you are tweeting about $ASST $MSTR and others and how much upside there is and not getting some of that incentive stock from the company go get some of that bread" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986479421457346811) 2025-11-06T17:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Some of you may enjoy this (as well as the series): @RealJimChanos @dampedspring @LynAldenContact @JesseKobernick @sidprabhu @PauloMacro @bewaterltd #BTCTC Post: https://t.co/rKQFtiU21H Couple shout outs to some of our pals and peeps we respect in the post including my main bruv @agnostoxxx - he is the genuine article Post: https://t.co/rKQFtiU21H Couple shout outs to some of our pals and peeps we respect in the post including my main bruv @agnostoxxx - he is the genuine article" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986533657797120408) 2025-11-06T20:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "What stage - hookah and Snoop" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986792690839605431) 2025-11-07T13:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Them: "Are the bad actors in the room with you now" Me: "Jesus Christ. They have me surrounded and are everywhere." Hey @elonmusk a mutual friend gave me your number. I want to discuss some small cap equity ideas I think you should consider for your portfolio while theyre still cheap. Perhaps later tonight or over the weekend. Its somewhat urgent. I texted you so you have my number now. Hey @elonmusk a mutual friend gave me your number. I want to discuss some small cap equity ideas I think you should consider for your portfolio while theyre still cheap. Perhaps later tonight or over the" [X Link](https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1986870392380669992) 2025-11-07T18:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@ChrisBumsteadX Chris Bumstead
Chris Bumstead posts on X about $msos, in the, investment, $glasf the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [------] #
- [--] Week [-------] -35%
- [--] Month [-------] +83%
- [--] Months [---------] +293%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] -73%
- [--] Month [---] +0.83%
- [--] Months [---] +165%
Followers: [-------] #
- [--] Week [-----] +4%
- [--] Month [-----] +8%
- [--] Months [-----] +101%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance stocks technology brands cryptocurrencies social networks countries automotive brands celebrities nba currencies
Social topic influence $msos #36, in the, investment, $glasf #10, if you, stocks, money, bitcoin, events, business
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @bewaterltd @agnostoxxx @varrell @mojo920254notep167370957r5b91f3utmmediumiosutmsourcenotesshareaction @srg444 @boxlongs @pekwat @montviewx @wallstunicorn @jaredkubin @inglouriouscap @kingdomcapadv @acapitallp @waterworldcapi1 @mojo920254notep166994993r5b91f3utmmediumiosutmsourcenotesshareaction @donutshorts @paulomacro @buccocapital @thedalesreport @sidprabhu
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Sleepless AI (AI) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Tokemak (TOKE) Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Forward Air Corp (FWRD) Metadium (META) Liberty Media, Corp. (FWONK) Netflix Inc (NFLX) Warner Bros Discovery, Inc. (WBD) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) iShares BTC Trust (IBIT) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (DBRG) Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B (BRK.B) Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) SAFE DEAL (SFD) Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. Common stock (IIPR) Strategy (MSTR) Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Royal Bank of Canada (RY) Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Spacemesh (SMH) Iron Mountain Inc (IRM)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"The Mavericks have to trade Anthony Davis to survive #mavericks"
X Link 2025-03-20T01:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$CDZIP might trade to low 20s in next [---] days.'stock promotion' transitioning to a real fully funded business. Don't say or hear that everyday"
X Link 2025-03-21T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"What's the normalized math on $GTBIF income statement on de-scheduling and cost of capital for their balance sheet Stock is obviously cheap but cost of biz likely similar and pricing drops/volumes up but I think w 280e going away FCF exiting 26' goes from 165mn to [---]. 1/n"
X Link 2025-03-21T15:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Obviously the MSO biz models struggling the most would be huge beneficiaries (stocks rip) and likely print huge amounts of shares to recapitalize bc the inevitable drop in pricing with rising volumes too difficult to not print shares and protect what is left of their livelihood"
X Link 2025-03-21T15:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Then there is $GLASF. Refi'd secured is good but they have prefs essentially eating away all FCF after investment. That said I do believe they are self funding. But.they need a big refi and obv beneficiary of 280e going away so income statement normalization"
X Link 2025-03-21T15:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Similar to Thumb if regulatory environment takes longer to develop they benefit too albeit in a descheduling they are by far and away the largest beneficiary 1.5mn lbs priced 50% lower than avg on their cost of doing biz and normalized cost of capital and FCF hockey sticks"
X Link 2025-03-21T15:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Top line excluding what I am calling the "big idea" of 'GH inside' is call it $1-$1.2bn with margins higher due to tax line moving down the income statement you can get to FCF of 600mn on 100mn shares. 50% haircut to current run rate multiple = $35-65/share or [--] bagger"
X Link 2025-03-21T15:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@stockspinoffss Hi Rich Is buying shares and essentially increasing their exposures to existing deals a better use of capital than going hunting in a backdrop of dislocations Aside: with MGM not folding in Entain is thesis broken.re maybe buying back their own stock isn't the best idea"
X Link 2025-03-21T15:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BNS $CM $RY $EQB.CN Earnings revisions going wrong way and have no pop provisions going up earnings power lower. These are not safe investments and carry tremendous downside risk profiles"
X Link 2025-03-24T19:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"August [--] [----] Several credit rating agencies around the world downgraded the debt of the U.S. federal government 15bn Trillion in debt back then. 🔴 Moody's edges closer to a US downgrade. 🔴 Moody's edges closer to a US downgrade"
X Link 2025-03-27T15:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@dkbilson @WSJ Don love your stuff been following u for long time Was thinking about the best bidding wars in history the other day.and feels obv but the Phelps Dodge: Falconbridge/Inco/Teck/Xstrata/Vale goes down as #1 and Asarco/Grupo Mexico/Phelps ranks high too What is your top 5"
X Link 2025-03-29T12:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"BREAKING: SOFTBANK TO PURCHASE 19.9% STAKE IN CITADEL SECURITIES LLC MASA SON TO BECOME EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN SAYS FOUNDER CIO CEO KEN GRIFFIN WHO IS SELLING A PORTION OF HIS 80% HOLDINGS IN TRANSACTION $SPY $IWM $BTC #CRYPTO $SFTBY"
X Link 2025-04-01T12:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is pretty interesting. $MSOS $TYL cc @V_arrell @TheDalesReport (perhaps you can get the head of sales / licensing on the program to discuss)"
X Link 2025-04-01T13:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Closed end funds $CEF spreads are movin' Pick off trades galore (albeit need to size appropriately)"
X Link 2025-04-04T15:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"other tickers: $AIV $GLASF $ARVN $CDZI (read up for all trades) Diversification via single names or using an index when you are in crash formation is critical if not essential entire tweet thread assumes you came into this set up with an abundance of ammo/fire power"
X Link 2025-04-04T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"wow now the desks are puking out warrants and prefs"
X Link 2025-04-04T17:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bot a few $IBIT options to express upside move to get a lil torque in book"
X Link 2025-04-04T18:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"There are a lot of pretty dumb tweets during the overnight and morning session. But this letter from Ancora regarding $X is the dumbest activist letter I have ever read.the objectives are not achievable its that simple; and reliance using "ChatGPT" is embarrassing"
X Link 2025-04-07T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"You can't turn around a steel company using an LLM Ancora $X #Ancora"
X Link 2025-04-07T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$MX decides to shut down display biz after [--] years of strategic alternatives / restructurings"
X Link 2025-04-08T13:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Would guess if Chinese listed companies are removed from US exchanges this will escalate the happenings in Macau Does Macau start to pull licenses from entities owned and operated by US parties $WYNN $LVS ($MGM is really a JV but will still have negative consequences)"
X Link 2025-04-09T13:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Anyone that pitches you a stock with the focal point being its trading at an unchallenging snap shot multiple versus history has blinders. I would immediately go look at the chart of revisions.if you see an inflection slide some chips in.if you see more of same sit tight"
X Link 2025-04-09T13:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@RagingVentures They are banned in China but def have Chinese advertising exposure $META has more risk to EC me thinks But L META $AMZN v S $FRUIT and $TSM $PDD (vol is more attractive now)"
X Link 2025-04-10T00:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@sidprabhu Choose your own vol adventure $SPY $TLT $GLD $IBIT"
X Link 2025-04-11T16:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DrJStrategy Bet you dinner I think we get [--] token rate cut in [----] (assuming Trump is president) at most but the line is [--] I guess using betting markets NowCanada could def have [--] rate cuts"
X Link 2025-04-14T21:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@rev_cap do you think $AMZN $TSLA $HD which make up 45% is driving $XLY or the rest of the bunch re intra etf vs the big 3"
X Link 2025-04-16T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@akramsrazor revisions directionally likely to move lower and street will play catch down also spread/conversion of earnings (before share repo/divi) v fcf (capex higher) is widening re going the wrong way to make a bet on multiples holding firm from here. the only hope for peeps is QE"
X Link 2025-04-16T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@JDerevyanny As pure play Calif grass-co w a 280e income stmt and balance sheet w pik prefs snapshot valuation isnt exciting In a world of interstate commerce for all plants or just hemp path w no 280e and pref refinancing u should look again and it becomes choose your own adventure math"
X Link 2025-04-18T12:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@FLinvestor_ @marketplunger1 How about mutual fund investors How about wealth managers and RIAs Do they know how businesses are run"
X Link 2025-04-19T21:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@nycinvestor123 Thesis drift is a helluva drug"
X Link 2025-04-19T22:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@pekwat For sure. Kat needs to not watch and play within flowhe has big opportunity to send a message to Knicks front office re you can win with me as your primary big man and dont trade me for KD/Giannis in the offseason"
X Link 2025-04-19T22:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@WaterworldCapi1 Well we learned from FinTwit ETF hedge fund manager elite that a single portfolio company can bring down an entire PE multi fund multi strategy company that has been in business for decades in a blink This is what we know"
X Link 2025-04-20T00:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TimmerFidelity great analogue Think we get trap below low before market finds its footing into the fall and then liftoff into midterms Hurdles to contend w ex Chinadebt / ratings downgrade window and earnings negative revisions / guides have yet to hit so timing feels off to me re chart"
X Link 2025-04-22T16:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Time to set alerts and watch the Taiwan Straight and The Bashi Channel $TSM $SMH $MP $AAPL"
X Link 2025-04-22T21:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TMTLongShort If peeps had listened to Trump47's agenda and playbooks instead of focusing on Trump45 and prepared for this.Trump would not have to walk this back in the slightest and yes other countries would have stood by the US to rid the world of Chinese infiltration The Truth hurts"
X Link 2025-04-23T15:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@jesseredmond @V_arrell @srg444 @canpod1 going to listen agree on your outputs - see tweets discussion of the variables re s/d and impact on pricing 280e math normalization dilution likelihood of m&a (highly doubtful since accretion math doesn't work) tobacco/staples entrance et al is where i was headed"
X Link 2025-04-24T16:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MontviewX @srg444 @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn YES and what do u have for FDS with stock at this range and [--] and [--] think should be 75/100/120 I believe mgmt was indeed thinking about a jump from [--] to 15-18 as the catalyst contemplated [--] months ago was to uplist do equity offering and deal with the warrants"
X Link 2025-04-25T00:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Think THIS is what matters.technically as SPY revisions go lower Plan: slide 'equity' chips in 4600-4750 range.I like being short credit now select single name equities and scaling into index downside structures as we approach [--] year vwap and overshoot above it $SPY $TLT"
X Link 2025-04-29T15:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@srg444 @MontviewX @PropertyBigE @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn went from .174 to .218; implied vol [--] to 41ish [--] desks have pretty size sellers last [--] sessions [---] days to go"
X Link 2025-04-30T17:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Few tickers where things smell pretty fishy.and it aint just the change in disclosures. $AI $IRM $EQIX"
X Link 2025-05-01T14:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$IIPR has all the wrong technicals to be short but it has all the right fundamentals to be short Under a phased-in federal reform this bleeds out Under current regime survives pays a high dividend but won't grow and more lease renewal issues Fast track: its ova $MSOS"
X Link 2025-05-02T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Waited long enough. Putting on a batch of downside hedges in $SPY $QQQ $HYG"
X Link 2025-05-02T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Xi is going to tell Carney to tell Trump that they will put in less fentanyl into illicit cannabis that crosses the border in order to have a trade discussion that won't lead to a deal of real substance Money laundering to accelerate $MSOS $RY $SPY $CM $BNS $BMO $QQQ"
X Link 2025-05-02T16:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"For any substantive discussion to occur between Xi/China and Trump/US trade reps Xi will likely move his warships closer to Taiwan prior to the meeting Call it a hunch $TSM $SMH $SPY"
X Link 2025-05-02T19:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$SMH - the entire space feels like its livin' on a prayer"
X Link 2025-05-07T18:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$IIPR likely a zero under a base line reform scenario At the very least they gonna issue a lot of new shares to prolong the business impairment $IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Q1 [----] Earnings Report Net Income: $30.3M Dividend: $1.90 per share 🔊 Conference Call 5/8 at 12pm ET https://t.co/mdtwjhPL3H 🌎⚕🌿🥦🧺 ETFs: $YOLO $MSOS $CNBS $TOKE $WEED https://t.co/HyyvDs56zf $IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties Q1 [----] Earnings Report Net Income: $30.3M Dividend: $1.90 per share 🔊 Conference Call 5/8 at 12pm ET https://t.co/mdtwjhPL3H 🌎⚕🌿🥦🧺 ETFs: $YOLO $MSOS $CNBS $TOKE $WEED"
X Link 2025-05-07T21:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@GMnyMny Nope It is the most investable in the space today under current draconian conditions albeit they cant really grow footprintit will be a value trap that trades at an unchallenging multiple upon reform. Pricing is going to be headwind for them and acquisition math wont work"
X Link 2025-05-07T22:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The haves vs the have nots (see tweets) $GLASF v $IIPR It's that simple. $MSOS"
X Link 2025-05-14T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$AI is likely a case study in a terrible business with horrific disclosures with a great ticker that has material downside Lower for longer.than violence.then lower"
X Link 2025-05-14T14:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It's really incredible that Dougie took a break from twitter (we all need one from this toxic dump) and blew out his $MSOS very quietly but disclosed through an article that just hit bloomberg from weeks ago No wonder why everyone in the canna plant space dislikes each other"
X Link 2025-05-15T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BoxLongs any view on regulatory backdrop on closing the [--] large transactions (both stock deals too) or is this a buy if those deals are held up either way due to arbs have to cover on a break or getting exposure via the target(s) Thx"
X Link 2025-05-16T00:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BoxLongs Thanks To your other point: Mason is legit and trained by the one of the best to create value inside a contentious board room I have ever seen (who doesnt lead with short term financial engineering)"
X Link 2025-05-16T00:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@absreturnchaser Of course there isnot manybut there are some multi-billion arb books and a few event /value with a catalyst books of that size and a couple across the capital structure event funds toopool has shrunk no doubt but not because of the returns its the pod risk framework issue"
X Link 2025-05-18T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I don't disagree with this but also don't think it is required $GLASF has to 'deal' with the prefs and reduce the cost of capital to more inline with recent refi deal with minimal dilution I would look at this as 'HempCo' IncStmt and 'CannaCo' IncStmt with GH Balance sheet"
X Link 2025-05-20T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is essentially an underwriting/'what do you have to believe' exercise. It's a mix of financial engineering operational execution with a sprinkle of luck and order of operations is a big swing factor But it all begins with incentive structure.and now we have it in lights"
X Link 2025-05-20T17:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLASF https://t.co/75PwqQo1Ku https://t.co/75PwqQo1Ku"
X Link 2025-05-20T23:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLASF in lights. since the FLs3 speculation run and since the presidential election. one is being dragged down by the rest of em' https://t.co/Wbnd1zWUQK in lights. since the FLs3 speculation run and since the presidential election. one is being dragged down by the rest of em' https://t.co/Wbnd1zWUQK"
X Link 2025-05-20T23:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@srg444 @MontviewX @PropertyBigE @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn If you look at a conservative step function in quarterly earnings (no reform and Cali no change on pricing) with the pik prefs dealt with and hemp rollout on early side (no 280e for hemp and export tax) holding multiple constant you have an in the money warrant folks"
X Link 2025-05-20T23:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$MSOS Got $GLASF @HenryLuMencken True However if you look at earning revisions and KPIsfundamentals have deteriorated since then (2022h and multiples have expanded for most of space with the exception of a couplethat said feels like we just had the beginning of inflection for a select few (not Thumb) @HenryLuMencken True However if you look at earning revisions and KPIsfundamentals have deteriorated since then (2022h and multiples have expanded for most of space with the exception of a couplethat said feels like we just had the beginning of inflection for a select few (not Thumb)"
X Link 2025-05-20T23:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MontviewX @srg444 @V_arrell @WallStUnicorn We got our answer today on full diluted shares in lights for $GLASF and there would be no confusion if there was any real sell side analysts or desk covering the stock. This orphan is going to do big things some day and can thank its hardships for lesson learned Lets go"
X Link 2025-05-20T23:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@J_Invests24 @TheDalesReport The short comings of the sector ETF and its mechanics are a single variable and really has less to do with the downdraft of underlying stocks than peeps want to believe. Are we better off with the demise of $MSOS Yes. Is this the reason why the stocks are down 90% No"
X Link 2025-05-21T21:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MitchGordon_ @GreenFuture24 "Yes it will be a massive blow to the individual stock whos green houses are built for hemp" just to be clear this is not true. $GLASF has been undertaking a test at a small cost reality is that hemp has always been path B"
X Link 2025-06-20T18:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@SnakeBlissken81 @JDerevyanny @CurieuxGolf Snake The question posed by the investor community was cali margins on [---] cali pricing vs hemp pricing on an oem basis was [---] Thats not promoting its answering investor questions on a twitter spaces call and podcast Hemp is and has been a test to go commercial"
X Link 2025-06-20T21:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@nickgiva1 Hey Nick really like the way you process daily events curious what if anything do you think the equity and credit market(s) wont look through either from a shock event perspective or data driven on a daily basis re what wont the market just shrug off"
X Link 2025-06-23T10:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@V_arrell This is how it's going to go down.actually this is how it is going down but most don't see it. Bondi is "cleaning house" methodically. Progress is being made behind the scenes. Deschedule plants/cannabis before Halloween Remember this tweet $MSOS $GLASF"
X Link 2025-06-23T19:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$MSGS: The Boyar Value Group urges James Dolan to end the Dolan Discount at MSG Sports by Splitting the Knicks and Rangers into two separately publicly traded companies My view: this is a horrific idea and is not the reason for the 'dolan discount' ACTIVISM IDEA GONE BAD"
X Link 2025-06-24T12:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Deschedule before Halloween Follow the approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch $MSOS $GLASF @itstyson20 Whens Trump going to act Deschedule today And why hasnt congress passed Safebanking Use your influence Mr. Tyson. The industry needs you to do what no one else canget politicians to act @itstyson20 Whens Trump going to act Deschedule today And why hasnt congress passed Safebanking Use your influence Mr. Tyson. The industry needs you to do what no one else canget politicians to act"
X Link 2025-06-24T15:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Deschedule before Halloween is where I am at Follow the Trump approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch Lets go Champ $MSOS $GLASF Imagine fully legalized cannabis in Texas Imagine fully legalized cannabis in Texas"
X Link 2025-06-24T15:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"This $BP rumor gives me $RIO $BHP vibes Boomer tweets"
X Link 2025-06-25T17:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Al Horford would be a nice player coach / addition to Houston to support Ime Udoka in that locker room in a similar way to how Udonis Haslem was helpful to Spoelstra in Miami He would also be a nice fit in Golden State I think the Knicks will also at least check in on Horfords situation in Boston. 👀 - @IanBegley (Via https://t.co/U6KBhX2yLe) https://t.co/MuiSClTOpv I think the Knicks will also at least check in on Horfords situation in Boston. 👀 - @IanBegley (Via https://t.co/U6KBhX2yLe) https://t.co/MuiSClTOpv"
X Link 2025-06-28T13:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I said what I said $MSOS $GLASF No one wanted to take the bet Deschedule before Halloween is where I am at Follow the Trump approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch Lets go Champ $MSOS $GLASF Deschedule before Halloween is where I am at Follow the Trump approval rating - this is your Key Performance Indicator to watch Lets go Champ $MSOS $GLASF"
X Link 2025-06-30T19:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Well $BTC is really the following: 50% $GLD and 50% Mag7 (but need swap out $TSLA and replace it with $ORCL Reminded again today about how gold and bitcoin continue to trade quite differently from each other. https://t.co/zY50Glu0pR Reminded again today about how gold and bitcoin continue to trade quite differently from each other. https://t.co/zY50Glu0pR"
X Link 2025-07-01T22:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Link to post: $FWONK https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/financial-theater-what-the-f1-movie https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/financial-theater-what-the-f1-movie"
X Link 2025-07-02T18:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@agnostoxxx Hi Shrubby Bye Shrubby https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companies https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companies"
X Link 2025-07-02T21:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@RudyHavenstein Alivebut for how long. Diddy knows too much"
X Link 2025-07-02T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@HostileCharts $FWONK Perhaps this story supports your technical analysis work https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-02T22:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@BarbarianCap Hey Barb Def interesting and made me thinkWhat bucket would you put these (3) into Best Mojo Or Or https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companiesutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-166994993r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasury-companiesutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-02T22:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Those who degross into the summer likely sacrifice marginal profits but also avoid an illiquid backdrop and squeeze risk on the short side of ledger and come back refreshed into the fall with a macro and idio playbook likely whiteboard post mortem on H1 convertible pipeline of ideas et al Larry Bird used to come back from the summer offseason with a new move (fade away to his off shoulder left hand hook improved handles better conditioned and stronger) for every NBA season until he was injury ridden later in his career and just needed to heal"
X Link 2025-07-03T15:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"What a question There are very few that know how to run the playbook(s) that incorporates operational excellence with financial engineering balance sheet repair as well as other variables such as culture/human capital talent incentive structure recruitment and retention Its not as much about the balancing act as it is about order of operations sometimes and juggling and sustaining kinetic energy to bring it every day and surrounding yourself with talent that you inevitably will have to pay up for and share the pie via dilution. If only these situations had access to a mix of Ed Breen Larry"
X Link 2025-07-04T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@tspencer322 Try me (3) https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-symbolic-alchemy-of-riskutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://bewaterltd.com/p/investing-in-the-age-of-multiflation https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-symbolic-alchemy-of-riskutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://bewaterltd.com/p/investing-in-the-age-of-multiflation"
X Link 2025-07-05T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@27XVII $FWONK tops the list but have a few more in the hopper https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-05T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Restructuring__ I am biased to this post but will check it out Or Or even this one https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-166994993r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167187713r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-166994993r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-08T00:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"You make an interesting point that I will noodle on.although I don't really know any institutional investors that really seek out [--] baggers. Most are in what I call the 'IRR Club' That said sometimes when seeking out something 'safe' you find something spicy https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/cef-activism-at-an-inflection-point https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/cef-activism-at-an-inflection-point"
X Link 2025-07-08T15:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cfromhertz @F1 Pretty sure you will dig this. Let me know. $FWONK https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167370957r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-09T11:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Link to post: https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/nevada-is-still-nevada https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/nevada-is-still-nevada"
X Link 2025-07-15T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"New post: Everyone in finance is trading the same meme stock and calling it edge Link in bio and next post"
X Link 2025-07-22T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Every company undertaking a merger with possible competition concerns would prefer to restart the HSR clock than receive the second request - its much cheaper can possibly / likely close faster even if you do receive a 2nd and you demonstrate that parties want to proactively resolve regulatory body concerns 👀 $DKS confirms it will refile HSR in connection with its proposed $FL deal by July 25: https://t.co/NVSoJZZLcF @Capitol_Forum subscribers learned about the company's plans to pull & refile on Tuesday. 👀 $DKS confirms it will refile HSR in connection with its proposed $FL deal by July"
X Link 2025-07-24T12:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"No idea how to use the twitter search function.but taking some ticks and covering short in $DUOL See how this thing acts closer to the [--] year vwap Who says single name shorting is dead"
X Link 2025-07-28T15:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Start here: And: scroll to these sections but read it in order. Perhaps I should write some different posts on how to build a simplified process for long / short equity sector focused credit and merger arbitrage to show investment process across different strategies. Let me know https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167651987r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167651987r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-167651987r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-28T21:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheShortBear This is backwards looking data but not irrelevant Under-appreciated trend: I think Delaware to Nevada reincorporations could be a defining moment if it picks up steam and may ultimately impact returns in US equities Enjoy https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-168247538r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action https://substack.com/@mojo920254/note/p-168247538r=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action"
X Link 2025-07-30T00:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"New from Mojo The Bitcoin Walks: Twenty Thousand Steps to Clarity (see bio and next tweet) #Bitcoin $IBIT #BTC $GBTC"
X Link 2025-07-30T15:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If anyone thinks this was my intent and I bullied him that's pretty unfair incorrect and absurd. Yes you @taobanker I didn't even tweet directly to him specifically to not call him out.he responded to my tweet. It would be my pleasure to speak to him and I tried but his account was nuked already as I don't sit on twitter all day like you do apparently. I am pretty sure I could be helpful to him and he could learn from my experiences (and mistakes made too.the mistakes along the way have led to many success stories)"
X Link 2025-08-04T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALPHA #ALPHA @bewaterltd https://t.co/uAz7hOnOQp https://t.co/uAz7hOnOQp"
X Link 2025-08-05T00:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I had a substantial credit that became an equity position during the last cycle (this used to be a common term prior to repeat QE Brain Damage) and I can categorically tell you this biz like others can be helped with the right operating playbooks some balance sheet financial engineering and perhaps even healed but to do so requires macro/consumer tailwinds plus money printing at an inflecting earnings revision periodand hope of a turnaround that leads to this ever being a sound quality business is (insert here)"
X Link 2025-08-06T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Set your alerts for the next 'Inside the Mind of Mojo' post Little teaser below. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-08-06T16:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Thanks and glad you enjoyed it Going to write more about governance activism and complex mergers and share stories from my experiences too. Published a piece today on merger and process. If there is anything you think would make for a good future post please let me know And by all means write your post too and add to the plot and we can peel back the onion collectively about the dynamics re governance shareholder rights et al There are bad actors everywhere"
X Link 2025-08-07T00:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Jensen went to the White House and the next day Trump said Lip-Bu was conflicted Looking at INTC news today question comes to mind how long before NVDA JenHsun is similarly accused. I just don't see any of these developments bullish. Looking at INTC news today question comes to mind how long before NVDA JenHsun is similarly accused. I just don't see any of these developments bullish"
X Link 2025-08-08T11:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Oh $AI $AI ripping into the print. Would think customer losses another miss and implied guidance that can't be met would lead to a materially lower equity valuation.$3bn eq that should be 400mn I have some short lotta puts and even some calls to protect $AI ripping into the print. Would think customer losses another miss and implied guidance that can't be met would lead to a materially lower equity valuation.$3bn eq that should be 400mn I have some short lotta puts and even some calls to protect"
X Link 2025-08-09T00:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$MSOS I said what I said $MSOS $GLASF No one wanted to take the bet I said what I said $MSOS $GLASF No one wanted to take the bet"
X Link 2025-08-09T12:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Its actually so much worse $AI knew the scam was unraveling at least [--] weeks ago and failed to disclose in the prior 10q period. See tweet enclosed https://x.com/mrmojorisinx/status/1927360428016824522s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw These https://t.co/SUwP6tWqAg results are absurd and to drop them at 7:30PM ET on a Friday Revenue guided $70.2-70.4M vs $104M est. Adj operating loss guided ($57.7-57.9M) vs ($27M) est. Stock should be down 50% Monday. At least the $AI ticker might come back into the public https://x.com/mrmojorisinx/status/1927360428016824522s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw These"
X Link 2025-08-10T11:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@UpslopeCapital If I told you $PLTR is currently a 10% holding in the ETF and has been even larger member would that change your impressions of the chart $MSFT is a 10% holding"
X Link 2025-08-10T12:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I have known Strauss for [--] years. Strauss is essentially an operator "activist" that happens to be a Chief Executive Officer (a lot like Ed Breen). He reigned in a dysfunctional culture improved accounting and finance function after some problematic restatements and regulatory issues implemented a wildly successful incentive structure for key members of the organization to retain them and has executed various phased playbooks for growth successfully while managing street expectations pretty well. My guess is we are in the later innings here and he is looking to hit the eject button into a"
X Link 2025-08-11T15:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is prob a read that is a good use of your time: Also see this from another post: Let's Break a Deal. We are launching this in the near future. Stay tuned https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/fintwit-ama-investment-process-career"
X Link 2025-08-11T16:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@JaredKubin Jared that January tweet is one helluva post with some solid insights. This is a yes and reply Read these [--] shorts posts: Short selling: And try this re Bitcoin TreasuryCos (I would encourage you to read the series after): https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/shorting-is-hardand-its-supposedr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2025-08-13T11:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I will follow you Mike. Read and try this - Bitcoin TreasuryCo AI Laboratory: Steal This Prompt For ChatGPT-5 (read the entire series): https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web My goal is to break 500k followers. Ive been stuck at 480k for like [--] years seems weird almost. Thoughts https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratoryutm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web My goal is to break 500k followers. Ive been stuck at 480k for like [--] years seems weird almost. Thoughts"
X Link 2025-08-13T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you have compared any Hedge fund strategy that doesnt run with significant length to the S&P500 you need ______. Andif that you is actually in the investment business or were in the business you are ______. Too many people posting this chart today making an apples to oranges comparison"
X Link 2025-08-13T12:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If you have compared any Hedge fund strategy that doesnt run with significant length to the S&P500 you need ______. Andif that you is actually in the investment business or were in the business you are ______. Too many people posting this type of chart making an apples to oranges comparison"
X Link 2025-08-13T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Memes plus stock promotional executives lead to inflated prices which lead to zombies able to pull off equity offerings and then more capital raises and then more= fallen angel junk bonds trading to parwhat an ugly flywheel. Just wait until the crypto execs get a hold of this playbook to issue enormous amounts of equity and prefs to buy bitcoinwhat will they think of next ethereum treasury cos I had a position in these too because @DonutShorts mentioned them many times to me"
X Link 2025-08-16T15:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"New from Mojo The Quiet Return: When Greatness Serves Something Bigger (see bio and next tweet)"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Not a surprise but I dig this post Not necessarily a caveat but more food for thought: Portfolio construction and Risk management share connective tissue as part of the investment process but they are not the same thing despite sharing concentric feedback loops. JLK is not using them interchangeably but thought it might be helpful to clarify https://x.com/mrmojorisinx/status/1957894448584487348s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw Seeing all of these "drawdown for ants" . "momentum crushed the last couple days". the real story is momentum started its fall end of June. So we have really been in a 2"
X Link 2025-08-22T11:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Adam Livingston's (@AdamBLiv) thread below bears an uncanny resemblance to our collection of essays The Sorcerer's Apprentice & The Man Who Broke The Market. Does it read like our original work was fed into an LLM and regurgitated on X Decide for yourself: @bewaterltd http://sorcerers-apprentice.com/ http://sorcerers-apprentice.com/"
X Link 2025-08-22T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🧵(3/n) Floating Fiat severed anchor to reality Symbols pointing to symbols @AdamBLiv @bewaterltd The Collapse of Monetary Being The fiat system achieved something unprecedented in human history: it collapsed the ontology of value itself. For millennia money was grounded in material reality: gold's atomic immutability silver's conductivity even cattle's biological The Collapse of Monetary Being The fiat system achieved something unprecedented in human history: it collapsed the ontology of value itself. For millennia money was grounded in material reality: gold's atomic immutability silver's"
X Link 2025-08-22T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In honor of [----] Kobe Bryant Black Mamba Day: Please enjoy: The Illusion of Readiness Originally published 7.22.25 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-illusion-of-readinessr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios"
X Link 2025-08-24T19:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@WaterworldCapi1 My inclination was to short $NVDA today for a scalp and cover near the close as company will be in the market buying back shares tomorrow. Come back from long holiday weekend vol gets nuked again company dysons more shares and buy some vol Any thoughts Watah"
X Link 2025-08-28T11:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is not a formal FinTwit AMA like back in the day But feel free to hit me in the replies (preferably no DMs please) if you have questions about Mojo and / or @Bewaterltd posts or want to suggest future topics etc. Will respond to them and turn it into a structured q&a thread/post (hopefully with a twist but TBD.) so its easier to absorb So ROUND [--] #AMA Link to AMA 1: https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1953538860438483167 Gameplan: going to post the next AMA tweet (same approach as prior but perhaps a twist if I can make it happen) tomorrow so get your questions ready Preferably no DMs for"
X Link 2025-08-29T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$AI with a huge pilot logo of Gypsum Management & Supply This contract plus the value of the ticker AI has to be worth something right $AI is a sum of the parts story Its actually so much worse $AI knew the scam was unraveling at least [--] weeks ago and failed to disclose in the prior 10q period. See tweet enclosed https://t.co/KjQemudRFP Its actually so much worse $AI knew the scam was unraveling at least [--] weeks ago and failed to disclose in the prior 10q period. See tweet enclosed https://t.co/KjQemudRFP"
X Link 2025-09-03T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The market is telling 'you' that the ticker $AI is worth approximately $2.2bn $AI with a huge pilot logo of Gypsum Management & Supply This contract plus the value of the ticker AI has to be worth something right $AI is a sum of the parts story $AI with a huge pilot logo of Gypsum Management & Supply This contract plus the value of the ticker AI has to be worth something right $AI is a sum of the parts story"
X Link 2025-09-04T14:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FundamentEdge Wow. This is awesome Brett"
X Link 2025-09-13T18:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Whats the change in the Volatility Laundering allocation percentage from [----] to [----] Based on the chart it looks smaller than I would have guessed. Public equities up small neutralizes the change in private (re credit fixed income and PE lower) It looks like beta went up drawdown gamma went up and vol laundering up marginal. Do I have that right What are the targets for 2026"
X Link 2025-09-13T20:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"So first of all this does not happen often and the smartest deal makers rarely do this. PE firms fam offices etc do not overequitize because of leverage. They add cushion for litigious situations; as well as to show customers they have a strong balance sheet. Even if the NewCo intends to be acquisitive they set up a capital call structure or accordion. PE doesn't just go park cash on someone else's balance sheet very often unless there is something short duration to deploy the capital. Second of all this guy asks me to follow him so he can DM me asks me to be on his podcast and I said I would"
X Link 2025-09-15T19:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I am not going to debate the merits of allocating capital to multi manager funds re Pod Shops nor am I going do so for Private Credit. In isolation all investment strategies have a reward versus risk profile with what I call gotcha gamma. I would encourage you to evaluate the wholistic mosaic of output from the lens of portfolio construction - you may even change your mind Volatility laundering may indeed have a place in your portfolio - allocate accordingly across various asset classes to maximize return minimize risk and dampen volatility to opportunistically capitalize during idiosyncratic"
X Link 2025-09-16T12:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"PSA: Elliott has been in $WDAY swap for a while now either boxed position or fully neutered hedge block (as well as OTC and or undisclosed options trade structure)"
X Link 2025-09-17T11:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The discounts for this universe of smut has nothing to do with sentiment or recessionary conditions Grouping BDC and private credit together is not apples to apples A plethora of private credit funds are currently trading below [--] cents on the dollar. We haven't seen sentiment this poor since early April when U.S. recession odds were 60%. https://t.co/2mlqJdkfYa A plethora of private credit funds are currently trading below [--] cents on the dollar. We haven't seen sentiment this poor since early April when U.S. recession odds were 60%. https://t.co/2mlqJdkfYa"
X Link 2025-09-17T12:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hey Julian I am having trouble following this chart. I mean I get it at a high level but I also don't follow the line of thinking beyond spreads are tightening and there is some correlation. Red = Junk bond income distribution aka annual payout/current price (YTM).not YTW on a universe of bonds right Blue = the RoR (rate of return re gross spread adjusted for days to close) not the gross spread Feels like a lot to be desire We are missing the composition of the deal spread snapshot universe at any given moment re tenders consideration type CVR et al Also we need to consider regulatory"
X Link 2025-09-17T18:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"New post from Mojo What Would You Pay For This "Stock" (Given Perfect Foreknowledge) (see bio and next tweet)"
X Link 2025-09-19T17:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Link to post: https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/what-would-you-pay-for-this-stock https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/what-would-you-pay-for-this-stock"
X Link 2025-09-19T17:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@PauloMacro Trip down memory lane Enjoy this postLets Break a Deal with a merger arb story too - Alliance Data Systems (although the real juicy parts on the cutting room floor) @agnostoxxx will prob dig this one too https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/lets-break-a-dealr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/lets-break-a-dealr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios"
X Link 2025-09-27T13:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Process is not a due diligence checklist Print out your process. Turn it into a diagram. Learn to explain it. Everyone has a processeven the people who think they dont. Write yours down. Improve it over time. Print out your process. Turn it into a diagram. Learn to explain it. Everyone has a processeven the people who think they dont. Write yours down. Improve it over time"
X Link 2025-09-30T11:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Wait a second.Let me get this straight JPM is lending to a company undertaking a leveraged buyout go private transaction and then intends to syndicate that debt to other banks Is this a new form of financing Has anyone heard of this before"
X Link 2025-09-30T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Not only a lot of shorts but $MPW is an incredible case study in healthcare fraud and proof that shorting is hard and its supposed to be https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/shorting-is-hardand-its-supposedr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios $MPW lot of shorts in this one https://t.co/mpBUWtmhS4 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/shorting-is-hardand-its-supposedr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios $MPW lot of shorts in this one https://t.co/mpBUWtmhS4"
X Link 2025-10-01T10:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@27XVII There are something like 5k PE firms (think they including cross over and some HFs) How many PE funds per firm How many funds have BX KKR Carlyle Bain TPG had since inception including SPVs side cars pocketed etc I would guess 1k in this group. 18k more to go"
X Link 2025-10-03T02:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There are something like 5k PE firms (think they including cross over and some HFs) How many PE funds per firm How many funds have BX KKR Carlyle Bain TPG had since inception including SPVs side cars pocketed etc I would guess 1k in this group. 18k more to go BREAKING: There are now more PE funds than McDonald's in the U.S BREAKING: There are now more PE funds than McDonald's in the U.S"
X Link 2025-10-03T02:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@atelicinvest Enjoy https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios"
X Link 2025-10-07T22:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Summer [----] See bio for full story - The Bitcoin Walks"
X Link 2025-10-11T13:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Cc @KingJames Dont let anyone judge your herniated disc sciatic pain or rush your rehab. This is not about Father Time https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-bitcoin-walksr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios"
X Link 2025-10-11T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Sent DM to Anthony on 9/22/25 laying out the path - not a surprise but he didnt respond Read the entire QT thread from the beginning $MSOS re reform path preparing for trade v investment playbook and how the main ETF could potentially move on news Lets see what happens next https://x.com/amartinelliwa/status/1977498755571347833s=46&t=1pIZAQOrSqjY1w_uCJ7Rfw $MSOS - adding this to QT thread with [--] posts below 1) Potential Reform path window 2) Trade and Investment playbook 3) MSOS - how it could move on an announcement 4) Stay tuned https://t.co/HeSygFRQ5F"
X Link 2025-10-12T23:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BoxLongs Defined Risk 90-95c for April (Jan fine too for half the cost but likely have to roll and lose 10-15c for anything over 1k) Capture Event Path: proxy window pressure cooker (see below) Catalyst: strategic review / sale"
X Link 2025-10-13T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$DBRG got a fair price (perhaps more than fair) is my take. This does not preclude holder agitation that leads to additional consideration but there is a fair amount of shark repellant and the ability to hold hostage is more a game than contractual event path. "Future potential LPs may think twice about partnering with these guys given how shareholders were treated." 1) I doubt it and will take the under 2) I don't think Ganz his team that is staying with SB and Masa care whatsoever I doubt there will be additional $ for $dbrg shareholders. Question: will selling below what shareholders deem"
X Link 2026-01-08T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Good discussion. Here is my parting thought(s): Obviously the value of Switch has changed considerably since $DBRG took it private but how much should we strike this to pure luck.and does it matter The answer is who cares. That said and feel free to help me brush up on the details but the cash contribution from the Aussies was very low fee (heavily negotiated) and a decent chunk of the equity/roll-over was no fee at all.That was the actual demand to fund the equity component of the switch go-private. The biz dev person began those discussions by waiving incentive fees lowering mgmt fees etc"
X Link 2026-01-09T17:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$LKQ announces strategic alternatives a few weeks in advance of the upcoming print right in the middle of the proxy window. Board feeling the pressure.a guidance reset is in their best interest is my read"
X Link 2026-01-26T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bot starters in $HHH $AMZN $FWRD $RIV $LNTH $META $OUT $URNM Won't be adding to these based on price action re going lower. This is about observing banking re-engaging and managing risk This is not the time to make long duration bets.not yet"
X Link 2025-04-04T13:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The underlyings of the members in the $JBBB are in the danger zone"
X Link 2025-04-23T15:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Nothing to see here.no Chinese infiltration in the US; and Canada definitely isn't captured by the Chinese. Nope.no evidence. $CM $RY $BMO $BNS"
X Link 2025-04-25T15:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"oh no $IIPR $IIPR likely a zero under a base line reform scenario At the very least they gonna issue a lot of new shares to prolong the business impairment $IIPR likely a zero under a base line reform scenario At the very least they gonna issue a lot of new shares to prolong the business impairment"
X Link 2025-08-07T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Today is the IPO of $BLSH (formerly $FPAC) Here is an old Mojo tweet thread (thanks anon) Obviously the story has changed as have capital market conditions 1/n"
X Link 2025-08-13T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Link to post: https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/a-trade-structure-with-an-informational https://mojo3324106.substack.com/p/a-trade-structure-with-an-informational"
X Link 2025-08-19T16:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Just wait until an activist group shows up at the New York Times (ticker $NYT for the home gamers) and forces them to use Ai or they will run a proxy contest against an entrenched boardTrump team sees this activity and then the government shows up as a white knight and takes a 10% stake all from proceeds from commercializing and monetizing patents from US universities"
X Link 2025-08-27T00:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"President Trump on Wednesday fired Robert Primus a board member of the railroad regulator that is weighing the proposed merger between $UNP and $NSC. He was the only member of the board to oppose the merger of Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern - GS 👀 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-factory-that-makes-investmentr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-factory-that-makes-investmentr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios"
X Link 2025-08-28T12:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$IREN data points: Burn $1bn Raise $600mn via convertible bond and ATM Insiders selling Co-CEOs registering stock Questionable financial disclosures and lack of transparency Organized group of online stock promotion @MrMojoRisinX Data points @MrMojoRisinX Data points"
X Link 2025-08-29T12:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hi Trail They burned $1.146bn in cash ($270mn in ADJUSTED TRAILING EBITDA and this is not a proxy for anything resembling FREE CASH FLOW) over the last twelve months and raised money via convertible bonds and an At The Money EQUITY (ATM) offering. They have questionable accounting and disclosures and have no transparency. The company has engaged social media stock promoters. Co-CEOs registered 2mn shares ELIGIBLE FOR SALE by B-RILEY. Best Braindead"
X Link 2025-08-29T14:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Apparently this post offended some of you. Peeps do not like hearing they have QE Brain"
X Link 2025-09-02T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"So far this article has offended: VP at Top [--] AUM PE fund HF PM $2bn fund [--] 'unemployed' allocators Biz Dev person from pod shop Quant analyst for a regional bank Controller for PE backed roll-up The hate is real"
X Link 2025-09-02T15:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Today has been really difficult. Reposting this from Mojo: The Quiet Return: When Greatness Serves Something Bigger #NeverForget911 https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios https://open.substack.com/pub/mojo3324106/p/the-quiet-return-when-greatness-servesr=5b91f3&utm_medium=ios"
X Link 2025-09-11T22:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In the year of our lord 2025leaving large cap PE to do a private deal and lead the funding and operations where the equity is 30% of the deal seems like a poor choice I did a deal [--] years ago with a CEO: 30mn sales 3mn ebitda. We paid 13mn and put 700k equity 1.2mn mezz rest was bank debt. Y+15 months: 27mn sales 6mn ebitda. Sold company in [----]. Top line 44mn ebitda [--]. Exited at 6x and had a [--] year earn out (1x turn). We recapped the business 3x Ofer life of the deal Company was sold again in [----] for 11x ebitda (off lower ebitda) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1966961840388534462"
X Link 2025-09-13T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I exited all of these trading positions in $HHH $AMZN $LNTH $RIV $META $OUT $URNM. But I haven't exited $FWRD (time to add via trade structure or exit). This one feels worthy of digging in.and this filing has my antenna up"
X Link 2025-09-15T16:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Controlling shareholder of $MLP is none other than Steve Case billionaire who founded AOL and effectuated the merger with Time Warner Havent dug deep yet esp. on controlling shareholders background but the risk/reward looks attractive from a quick pass. Anyone looked closer The controlling shareholder has also been actively buying recently another good sign. https://t.co/exeix9BpzE Havent dug deep yet esp. on controlling shareholders background but the risk/reward looks attractive from a quick pass. Anyone looked closer The controlling shareholder has also been actively buying recently"
X Link 2025-09-16T12:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"New Post from Be Water: Sprott Inc. (Ticker $SII) Owning The Storehouse: The Commodities "Easy Button" @bewaterltd Link in next post https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1974134399286305083 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1974134399286305083"
X Link 2025-10-03T15:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I have a $200bn termed out staple financing from $JEF on stand by to take $COST private down 70% Its a down [--] knock-in LBO staple financing on a basket of take private names all requiring at least $200bn of debt The valuations of "normal" companies are quite perplexing. $RCL $RBLX $CVNA $IDXX $NFLX $COST. These aren't even the absurd shitcos but could easily see these names down -50-75% in short order. Any others that seem out of place The valuations of "normal" companies are quite perplexing. $RCL $RBLX $CVNA $IDXX $NFLX $COST. These aren't even the absurd shitcos but could easily see these"
X Link 2025-10-10T19:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Just a thought. $GLASF https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1976382995176226851 It might be time to to turn all of these high energy consuming indoor grows into data centers. Just a thought. $MSOS $GLASF https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1976382995176226851 It might be time to to turn all of these high energy consuming indoor grows into data centers. Just a thought. $MSOS $GLASF"
X Link 2025-10-14T13:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Some interesting proxy window/corporate action pressure cooker situations approaching that could lead to 'for sale' situations strategic alternatives announcements activism leading to strat alts/sales and actual deals.Credit markets are currently the limiting factor in some of these impacting timing but I expect the pressure cooker to only escalate for the following: Direction of Fundamentals: (+) = improving; (-) declining; (=) push to possible inflection; (-/=) declining / push $DBRG (-) $BHF (-/=) $PINS (+) $CFLT (=) $AIV (-/=) $CMRC (=) $FWRD (-/=) $CDZI (=) $PTC (=) Feel free to add more"
X Link 2025-10-14T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$JEF Jefferies Raised to Outperform at Oppenheimer; PT $81 Please discuss amongst your selves"
X Link 2025-10-17T10:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I obv see the performance and thats a nice trade But I dont think this conclusion re why is true whatsoever @Aureliusltd28 Since Tricolor declared bankruptcy on 9/10 $JPM has outpaced $OWL by 10.2%. Wall Street seems to think that the cockroaches are emanating from the Private Credit world not the syndicated loan market. https://t.co/d3R5iLhknk @Aureliusltd28 Since Tricolor declared bankruptcy on 9/10 $JPM has outpaced $OWL by 10.2%. Wall Street seems to think that the cockroaches are emanating from the Private Credit world not the syndicated loan market. https://t.co/d3R5iLhknk"
X Link 2025-10-17T10:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Has to be more than a decade ago owned 8% of GRVY and took a behind the scenes approach with the board. The main issue is that it always has a great surface level r/r Update: $GRVY now trading below cash. Great risk/reward here IMO Update: $GRVY now trading below cash. Great risk/reward here IMO"
X Link 2025-10-17T11:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hok fits from a market cap perspective as next in line but is almost too boring to be in this index We need drama poor corporate governance reincorporations attempts to Nevada public divorces pedo accusations pregnancies and ponies TRT / HGH supplementation by key insiders etc just to be eligible into the Mag [--] index Options back dating capex ramps and DOJ investigations into alleged price pricingjust wont cut it"
X Link 2025-10-19T18:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@LionheartInves1 I wrote a tweet response but I am not going to post it yet. Lion what is your age and experience level I may have missed this when perusing your blog about tenders. Best Mojo"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This was $BHF (see other post link)- Trade structure was long call spreads vs short stock. Break-even trade Now we have $FWRD - Was long 1x2 call spreads and small short . Sub $19 should make small PNL See what happens Trade structure = edge https://x.com/MrMojoRisinX/status/1978871559449178564 Some interesting proxy window/corporate action pressure cooker situations approaching that could lead to 'for sale' situations strategic alternatives announcements activism leading to strat alts/sales and actual deals.Credit markets are currently the limiting factor in some"
X Link 2025-10-20T18:32Z [----] followers, 11.8K engagements
"Various considerations re trade structure for $FWRD: -ability to get get trade on / exit (size liquidity etc) -buyer universe (number/type re pe vs strategic) -r/r (that is fluid; my break price is dynamic) -event path duration (proxy window etc) -tea leaves/pattern recognition -direction of fundamentals Should be a tweet out there (search function doesn't work) where I suggest long stock long put spread but I went with effectively defined upside and make more on a break (or leak of an issue) because deal leak articles suggested buyers were all PE (re no strategics involved).so this impacts"
X Link 2025-10-20T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hey Jimmy do you think it could be due to this $FLR $SMR NuScale Power downgraded to sell by Citi. This will keep happening NuScale Power downgraded to sell by Citi. This will keep happening"
X Link 2025-10-21T11:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Pls reviewand then read it again $FWRD @nitesh9dm Various considerations re trade structure for $FWRD: -ability to get get trade on / exit (size liquidity etc) -buyer universe (number/type re pe vs strategic) -r/r (that is fluid; my break price is dynamic) -event path duration (proxy window etc) -tea leaves/pattern recognition @nitesh9dm Various considerations re trade structure for $FWRD: -ability to get get trade on / exit (size liquidity etc) -buyer universe (number/type re pe vs strategic) -r/r (that is fluid; my break price is dynamic) -event path duration (proxy window etc) -tea"
X Link 2025-10-21T13:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@agnostoxxx Shrubby bruv Imagine not using this prompt.August [--] [----] Bitcoin TreasuryCo AI Laboratory: Steal This Prompt For ChatGPT-5 https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratory https://bewaterltd.com/p/bitcoin-treasuryco-ai-laboratory"
X Link 2025-10-21T14:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Someone bot the $TDOC weekly 9c 19k times (ref price 8.40) OI was 5.8k; Oct [--] 7.5c 6k w [--] OI After the close the CFO who was disliked resigns.stock ticks above $9 They likely need / and should to do an earnings expectations reset and new blood can likely accomplish this.Proxy window opens in early Q1"
X Link 2025-10-23T20:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@inglouriouscap Oh wow CFLT and BTC Treasuries series made the rounds across some sell/buy-side desks and back to me but nice to see others have as well"
X Link 2025-10-24T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bye bye Adam Silver Na-na-na-na na-na-na-na hey hey hey goodbye"
X Link 2025-10-27T21:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Reading Twitter know-it-alls who speak in absolutes reminds me of this incredible scene from Good Will Hunting https://youtu.be/8GY3sO47YYosi=qjeCmam4HWo-1vhP https://youtu.be/8GY3sO47YYosi=qjeCmam4HWo-1vhP"
X Link 2025-10-28T00:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Just eyeballing the members of the SPLV out of curiosity.because the spread blow out is pretty interesting as Nooner has pointed out many times now. There are [---] positions in this ETF. If you remove share repo 80% of the index has missed net income expectations (should prob look at divi growth rate of change vs net income too) I ask you this does anchoring to historical multiple ranges actually matter when there is a shift impacting unit economics/pricing power Debate amongst yourselves.and yes I have been pressing Nooner re these types of tweets for many years now. Direction of Fundamentals"
X Link 2025-10-28T12:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$VRNOF with an unsurprising horrific print.now they reincorporate to go hide in Nevada"
X Link 2025-10-29T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My son and I are on our annual Steph Curry road trip and I wake up to an email that the $BHF deal could be announced on Monday at $70 with the original leaked buyer. How long have I been asleep Covered my short on the break (55 to [--] which paid for the trade) and we have call spreads that thought were zeroes.See what happens It's like the luck of the Irish but I'm not Irish so you tell me (Name the movie this line is from) This was $BHF (see other post link)- Trade structure was long call spreads vs short stock. Break-even trade Now we have $FWRD - Was long 1x2 call spreads and small short ."
X Link 2025-10-31T13:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Final answer: Donor Advised funds or Collars I wonder how long some investors will be willing to accept inferior returns investing in Berkshire simply because they made it such a massive part of their personality for decades I wonder how long some investors will be willing to accept inferior returns investing in Berkshire simply because they made it such a massive part of their personality for decades"
X Link 2025-11-02T22:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"According to Faber apparently the RMT spec is accurate"
X Link 2025-11-03T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Here is the MAE language from the $KMB $KVUE DMA that was filed (s4 comes later): They mention "acetaminophen" in this 'mac' passage and nowhere else in the doc including in reps and warranties and do not use the brand name a single time in the agreement (in the IR deal deck as a logo). Will look in JPm financing agreement when filed as language could be buried in there as well. I would rank this merger agreement for a strategic transaction as a C+ hence the 13% gross spread.for a very liquid spread"
X Link 2025-11-03T19:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There is a non-public disclosure letter that apparently outlines scenarios/situations that may constitute and MAE Holy momma"
X Link 2025-11-03T19:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yup MAC language and carveout(s) exist (customary) and is tailored to Tylenol w/ broad language re solely to the extent related to allegations of autism spectrum disorder or attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. with me so far .except for specific matters listed on Section 1.01(b) of the Kenvue Disclosure Letter. Those listed (confidential) matters (eg adverse ruling) are not protected by the carve-out re "carve back" KMB has their out This ties into [----] (reps fail) and [----] (breach) termination.then there is a cure period. There is a timing path too but doesn't seem relevant yet as Nov"
X Link 2025-11-03T20:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Akston_Capital August 23rd [----] window to explore deal with parties (tax window bidding rules applicable) Tylenol claims [--] days after window [--] days to announcement with KMB I shared no opinion whatsoever about the merits of the deal. I read the merger contract"
X Link 2025-11-04T12:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$VSCO (spin off from Bath and Body Works) is an activist target.again. Third Point alum Thomas Kuhn was installed in [----] re settlement as a director after pressure cooker (resigned in [----] resigned from several boards looks like so perhaps something else going on) Since several activists (Barrington DE Shaw and previously Third Point) have also applied pressure and now BBRC (Brett Blundy) is on the scene and looks like the board of directors has given him the heisman so he went public with a letter. Cost basis likely 30/share. Interesting letter: he is differentiating himself as not a"
X Link 2025-11-04T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Akston_Capital Kenvue was a code [---] split-off exchange from $JNJ on August [--] [----] and the [--] year rules (for engagement) apply unless the parties applied for a private letter ruling (PLR)"
X Link 2025-11-04T14:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Not going to post the ticker but this is kinda interesting (not insinuating anything). 'For sale' situation - order of operations of what I think I saw: -calls and spreads go up (decent size vs OI) -clever tweet thread follows expressing why deal is imminent -tack on odd lot calls go up in various strikes and stock goes higher -cluster of put options trade (looks like on the offer) -Reuters article comes out saying buyer has walked -stock tanks"
X Link 2025-11-04T19:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Disclose your influencer compensation (direct or indirect) Why $ASST is the Ultimate Leveraged BTC Play (Not Just Another $MSTR Clone) $ASST's 11K BTC treasury is just the start. Here's the real deal: Preferred Equity Magic: No debt maturities Perpetual prefs mean no forced BTC sales in bear markets. Diamond hands forever. Cash-Flow Why $ASST is the Ultimate Leveraged BTC Play (Not Just Another $MSTR Clone) $ASST's 11K BTC treasury is just the start. Here's the real deal: Preferred Equity Magic: No debt maturities Perpetual prefs mean no forced BTC sales in bear markets. Diamond hands"
X Link 2025-11-05T11:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@lhamtil Best passers of all time (not measured by stats but by who made the right pass and makes teammates better) Joker Bird Magic Oscar Jordan (I said what I said) Walton Nash Isiah Kidd Stockton Rod Strickland Pistol"
X Link 2025-11-05T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@thecontracap @jay_21_ this"
X Link 2025-11-05T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$BHF We knew it the whole time right What a wild situation with several leaks Einy trying to apply pressure new buyer at lower price leak more leaks and now pay day My son and I are on our annual Steph Curry road trip and I wake up to an email that the $BHF deal could be announced on Monday at $70 with the original leaked buyer. How long have I been asleep Covered my short on the break (55 to [--] which paid for the trade) and we have My son and I are on our annual Steph Curry road trip and I wake up to an email that the $BHF deal could be announced on Monday at $70 with the original leaked"
X Link 2025-11-06T12:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Post: Couple shout outs to some of our pals and peeps we respect in the post including my main bruv @agnostoxxx - he is the genuine article https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-paper-bitcoin-razor https://bewaterltd.com/p/the-paper-bitcoin-razor"
X Link 2025-11-06T16:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@agnostoxxx a few excerpts to enjoy"
X Link 2025-11-06T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Inside(r) Influencers Rejoice @agnostoxxx a few excerpts to enjoy https://t.co/qUfkuVrUJn @agnostoxxx a few excerpts to enjoy https://t.co/qUfkuVrUJn"
X Link 2025-11-06T16:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you are tweeting about $ASST $MSTR and others and how much upside there is and not getting some of that incentive stock from the company go get some of that bread"
X Link 2025-11-06T17:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Some of you may enjoy this (as well as the series): @RealJimChanos @dampedspring @LynAldenContact @JesseKobernick @sidprabhu @PauloMacro @bewaterltd #BTCTC Post: https://t.co/rKQFtiU21H Couple shout outs to some of our pals and peeps we respect in the post including my main bruv @agnostoxxx - he is the genuine article Post: https://t.co/rKQFtiU21H Couple shout outs to some of our pals and peeps we respect in the post including my main bruv @agnostoxxx - he is the genuine article"
X Link 2025-11-06T20:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What stage - hookah and Snoop"
X Link 2025-11-07T13:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Them: "Are the bad actors in the room with you now" Me: "Jesus Christ. They have me surrounded and are everywhere." Hey @elonmusk a mutual friend gave me your number. I want to discuss some small cap equity ideas I think you should consider for your portfolio while theyre still cheap. Perhaps later tonight or over the weekend. Its somewhat urgent. I texted you so you have my number now. Hey @elonmusk a mutual friend gave me your number. I want to discuss some small cap equity ideas I think you should consider for your portfolio while theyre still cheap. Perhaps later tonight or over the"
X Link 2025-11-07T18:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
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