#  @MickBransfield M. Bransfield
M. Bransfield posts on X about kalshi, prediction markets, polymarket, market the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::3358169813/interactions)
- [--] Week [------] -2.10%
- [--] Month [-------] +23%
- [--] Months [-------] +3,319%
- [--] Year [-------] +74,747%
### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::3358169813/posts_active)
- [--] Month [--] -70%
- [--] Months [---] +763%
- [--] Year [---] +2,190%
### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::3358169813/followers)
- [--] Week [---] +0.21%
- [--] Month [---] +16%
- [--] Months [---] +252%
- [--] Year [---] +1,109%
### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::3358169813/influencer_rank)
### Social Influence
**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #3302 [countries](/list/countries) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)
**Social topic influence**
[kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #1084, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #3483, [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #3056, [market](/topic/market), [gaming](/topic/gaming), [crypto](/topic/crypto), [prediction](/topic/prediction), [in the](/topic/in-the), [coinbase](/topic/coinbase), [$hood](/topic/$hood)
**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@ssgamblers](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@cftc](/creator/undefined) [@robinhanson](/creator/undefined) [@kolemanstrumpf](/creator/undefined) [@jrfuisz](/creator/undefined) [@0xperp](/creator/undefined) [@billypolcha](/creator/undefined) [@forecastex](/creator/undefined) [@eightyhi](/creator/undefined) [@kalshidata](/creator/undefined) [@wallachlegal](/creator/undefined) [@pjchougule](/creator/undefined) [@kalshieco](/creator/undefined) [@allensirolly](/creator/undefined) [@barronsonline](/creator/undefined) [@predictit](/creator/undefined) [@cinematweets1](/creator/undefined) [@cinemascene404](/creator/undefined)
**Top assets mentioned**
[Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Augur (REP)](/topic/$rep) [Genius Sports Limited (GENI)](/topic/$geni) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/morgan-stanley) [Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)](/topic/charles-schwab) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [USDC (USDC)](/topic/usdc)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@ManifoldMarkets @fairplaygov @Kalshi "The White House will tap OMB official and former Warren staffer Julie Siegel for a CTFC commissioner role." https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2024/07/biden-to-nominate-siegel-for-cftc-00167266 https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2024/07/biden-to-nominate-siegel-for-cftc-00167266"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1811243772857954769) 2024-07-11T03:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@colemanbandh @RyanSAdams PredictIt and Iowa Electronic Markets are operating under no-action letters from the CFTC. (PredictIt is currently suing over its letter being revoked.) Kalshi and ForecastEx are registered with the CFTC as designated contract markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1816652046595981638) 2024-07-26T01:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@rowlandgraus @agoric Not all PMs are binary. What about a scalar market or vote share market that resolves as a percentage"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1836031361213165903) 2024-09-17T13:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"CFTC is fighting PredictIt in court to avoid releasing communications about revoking the no-action letter. Apparently the CFTC communicated with persons outside the agency re: PredictIt & are fighting not to release details. Hearing on discovery set for Jan [--]. @SSGamblers"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1865066159294599244) 2024-12-06T16:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It was inevitable. Sportsbooks are looking to enter prediction market space. @SSGamblers https://www.covers.com/industry/bet-mgm-is-bullish-on-core-business-while-eyeing-prediction-betting-opportunities-feb-5-2025 https://www.covers.com/industry/bet-mgm-is-bullish-on-core-business-while-eyeing-prediction-betting-opportunities-feb-5-2025"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1887237172723388551) 2025-02-05T20:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"BetMGM earnings call audio at 43:00 mark - https://app.webinar.net/5gmMdPWVaQR https://app.webinar.net/5gmMdPWVaQR"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1887239454730928206) 2025-02-05T20:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@presjimryan Wouldn't it have been better to just keep George Mason"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1898919133195944012) 2025-03-10T02:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Didn't see this coming. gm. Augur is Back. The Lituus Foundation is reviving Augur the pioneering decentralized oracle that brought crypto prediction markets to life. Augurs oracle ensures economic security with a decentralized system of incentives. $REP holders compete in a permissionless https://t.co/aHxVGMIDfy gm. Augur is Back. The Lituus Foundation is reviving Augur the pioneering decentralized oracle that brought crypto prediction markets to life. Augurs oracle ensures economic security with a decentralized system of incentives. $REP holders compete in a permissionless"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1901057787163267444) 2025-03-15T23:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"North Carolina has also been reported by @eGRNorthAmerica as looking into Kalshi. I think that makes [--] states that have sent C&D or are investigating PMs. ❗The heat on prediction market platform Kalshi isnt cooling off anytime soon. As reported by EGR North America Kansas and Arizona regulators are keeping a sharp eye on the unfolding legal mess around sports event contracts. https://t.co/GSC8S69QCF ❗The heat on prediction market platform Kalshi isnt cooling off anytime soon. As reported by EGR North America Kansas and Arizona regulators are keeping a sharp eye on the unfolding legal mess"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1908208001112023501) 2025-04-04T17:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"But @WALLACHLEGAL a U.S. gaming law and sports betting attorney who leads the law firm Wallach Legal LLC believes the roundtable is all for show and that the preordained result will be Kalshis sports contracts getting a green light from the federal government. States want to rein in Kalshis sports "prediction" offerings which they say is too similar to sports betting. But signs are pointing to the Trump admin siding with Kalshi which boasts Donald Trump Jr. as a strategic advisor. A legal battle is likely writes @BenHorney States want to rein in Kalshis sports "prediction" offerings which"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1908209947101335704) 2025-04-04T17:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Interactive Brokers explaining insurance-like applications of hurricane prediction markets: https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/securities/esg/hurricane-forecast-contracts/ https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/securities/esg/hurricane-forecast-contracts/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1921970513351491698) 2025-05-12T16:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"India's Supreme Court has paused litigation against opinion trading (prediction market) platforms in provincial courts. Lawsuits "had been filed before the two courts challenging the validity of opinion trading as games of skill." http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/121447124.cms http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/121447124.cms"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1927791477079278057) 2025-05-28T18:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Gambling Insider: Are opinions on prediction markets changing "if and only if regulators and tribal operators buckle to player demand we can expect to see todays sports betting giants playing in the house that Kalshi built." https://www.gamblinginsider.com/trafficology/292/are-opinions-on-prediction-markets-changing https://www.gamblinginsider.com/trafficology/292/are-opinions-on-prediction-markets-changing"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1938378133088190540) 2025-06-26T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Prediction Markets Zurich meetup on Tues July 15: https://www.meetup.com/prediction-markets-zurich/events/308596531/ https://www.meetup.com/prediction-markets-zurich/events/308596531/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1941539491233354014) 2025-07-05T16:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Casino lobby argues nullification theory in Kansas op-ed. Not sure how persuasive that is outside of South Carolina: https://archive.ph/VRGbZ https://archive.ph/VRGbZ"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1942921398684467417) 2025-07-09T12:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Crypto .com is hiring a Sports Prediction Market Trader. Sports Event Quant Trader - a math nerds playground but not for value investor wannabes https://t.co/qLddrc5WF6 Sports Event Quant Trader - a math nerds playground but not for value investor wannabes https://t.co/qLddrc5WF6"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1944062930737086915) 2025-07-12T15:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Sports Prediction Market Trader job listing: https://jobs.lever.co/crypto/2298d529-b3a7-49fe-9b42-dd3241f4849e https://jobs.lever.co/crypto/2298d529-b3a7-49fe-9b42-dd3241f4849e"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1944062933031391677) 2025-07-12T15:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Below is a post by Cultivate Labs about the U.S. Intelligence Communitys Prediction Market (ICPM)"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1948204012123181281) 2025-07-24T02:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""How the U.S. Intelligence Community's Prediction Market Made Analysis Better" by @cultivatelabs https://www.cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-the-u-s-intelligence-community-s-prediction-market-made-analysis-better https://www.cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-the-u-s-intelligence-community-s-prediction-market-made-analysis-better"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1948204014316753077) 2025-07-24T02:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The casino lobby publishes another op-ed against prediction markets this time in New jersey. Using the same template as Kansas & Iowa it's clear their main argument in the states is about tax revenue rather than legality or consumer protection"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1949144434030825952) 2025-07-26T16:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Another mysterious Delaware LLC is suing under 300-year old English law but this time to target Caesars Sportsbook BetMGM & DraftKings instead of prediction markets. An unknown LLC is suing D.C. sports betting companies under an 18th century law named for Queen Anne. Now the D.C. Council may intervene with a provision in the budget up for a vote Monday that could moot the case. https://t.co/MQNXnFpjFh An unknown LLC is suing D.C. sports betting companies under an 18th century law named for Queen Anne. Now the D.C. Council may intervene with a provision in the budget up for a vote Monday that"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1949433671942861157) 2025-07-27T11:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New paper offers framework for prediction market liquidity provision. Link in comments"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1950165034434273446) 2025-07-29T12:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Links below. Pre-launch prediction market @signalswtf with Continuous LMSR is looking for beta testers. They'll provide selected participants with [----] USDC worth of test tokens allowing free trading in BTC-USD markets. (I'm not involved with this project.)"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1950253577085341846) 2025-07-29T17:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New paper below about prediction market trader views on interest rates. Traders who believe that Trump will fire Powell expect lower short-term interest rates than other users"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1951264131912175824) 2025-08-01T12:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Under Pressure Central Bank Independence Meets Blockchain Prediction Markets https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5366862 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5366862"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1951264133912940999) 2025-08-01T12:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CinemaTweets1 Since no one else pointed it out I'll just mention Cazale was dating an unknown Meryl Streep at the end of his life"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1951427335959335171) 2025-08-01T23:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@CinemaScene404 The King of Comedy The Mission Angel Heart Midnight Run Backdraft Cape Fear This Boy's Life Ronin Meet the Parents Analyze This The Wizard of Lies American Hustle"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1957047927064428749) 2025-08-17T11:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"VegasSlotsOnline is deeply concerned about the lack of responsibile gambling tools on prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958166850744824163) 2025-08-20T13:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Embarrassed that I missed this: The writer uses a strawman b/c Kalshi already has the tools it claims "prediction sites" don't possess. Link in comments. Another attempt to muddy the water. VegasSlotsOnline is deeply concerned about the lack of responsibile gambling tools on prediction markets. https://t.co/fdMX1Vha10 VegasSlotsOnline is deeply concerned about the lack of responsibile gambling tools on prediction markets. https://t.co/fdMX1Vha10"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958192715755086033) 2025-08-20T15:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi Responsible Risk Management: https://help.kalshi.com/account/responsible-risk-management https://help.kalshi.com/account/responsible-risk-management"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1958192717999014338) 2025-08-20T15:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CoalitionPolFor @robinhanson "Cantor started plotting its move into real-money trading back in May [----] when it acquired then-cash-poor HSX. But.the firm lost one-third of its employees in the 9/11 tragedy and the project was shelved for several years." https://www.reuters.com/article/lifestyle/hollywood-stock-exchange-soon-taking-real-bets-idUSTRE60D11G/ https://www.reuters.com/article/lifestyle/hollywood-stock-exchange-soon-taking-real-bets-idUSTRE60D11G/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1962203782927835396) 2025-08-31T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""The rapid growth and increasingly likely permanence of prediction markets in the U.S. materially expands the total addressable market for online gaming operators according to Fitch Ratings." 📰 "US Prediction Market Raises Risks for Online Gaming Operators" - Fitch #economy #macro https://t.co/DpAPlKhkpk 📰 "US Prediction Market Raises Risks for Online Gaming Operators" - Fitch #economy #macro https://t.co/DpAPlKhkpk"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1962982859506962825) 2025-09-02T20:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"MGM Resorts view is allowing sports outcomes in prediction markets invites the federal government into a space its never been and its not a place wed like to see this marketplace go. Full stop Hornbuckle asserted. MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle spoke at length about a swathe of industry topics on Thursday at the Bank of America Securities [----] Gaming & Lodging Conference touching on everything from his companys global growth plans to its stance on prediction markets. MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle spoke at length about a swathe of industry topics on Thursday at"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1964025907347079638) 2025-09-05T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe this roundtable will actually happen. SEC & CFTC announced a joint roundtable on September [--] in DC. Topics include prediction markets perps and 24/7 markets. @SSGamblers .@CFTC and SEC Issue Joint Statement on Regulatory Harmonization Efforts: https://t.co/mimCsBvRQf .@CFTC and SEC Issue Joint Statement on Regulatory Harmonization Efforts: https://t.co/mimCsBvRQf"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1964027260383449328) 2025-09-05T18:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@SSGamblers Register for the SEC-CFTC roundtable: https://surveys.sec.gov/jfe/preview/previewId/eb339807-dc0d-4931-afca-54faa6caddef/SV_do4AXToOMBgtKCyQ_CHL=preview&Q_SurveyVersionID=current https://surveys.sec.gov/jfe/preview/previewId/eb339807-dc0d-4931-afca-54faa6caddef/SV_do4AXToOMBgtKCyQ_CHL=preview&Q_SurveyVersionID=current"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1964029667272180003) 2025-09-05T18:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@0xperp @KairosLiveHQ @Axion_Terminal @caddy_bot @VersoTrading"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965074541035782381) 2025-09-08T15:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Is the Genius Sports CEO referring to being targeted for working with prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1965582220971966645) 2025-09-10T01:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Genius Sports at Goldman Sachs Conference: Strategic Growth Insights Transcript https://ca.investing.com/news/transcripts/genius-sports-at-goldman-sachs-conference-strategic-growth-insights-93CH-4194498 https://ca.investing.com/news/transcripts/genius-sports-at-goldman-sachs-conference-strategic-growth-insights-93CH-4194498"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1965582223635349798) 2025-09-10T01:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Another agent v agent prediction market platform. Emerging trend of developers building for AI rather than improve human UX To guide our mission we've established The Talus Foundation a neutral steward dedicated to the networks growth decentralization and long-term sustainability. Meet the Foundation and read the full announcement 👇 https://t.co/FUfSOjBnGD To guide our mission we've established The Talus Foundation a neutral steward dedicated to the networks growth decentralization and long-term sustainability. Meet the Foundation and read the full announcement 👇 https://t.co/FUfSOjBnGD"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1965731854037991703) 2025-09-10T10:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Because of tribal gaming we have the revenue to take this claim up to the Supreme Court if we have to.You get the justice you can afford in this country and $50bn allows us to buy a lot of justice. -Victor Rocha Indian Gaming Association conference chair"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1966498685803438228) 2025-09-12T13:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In oral arguments for Kalshi v Flaherty (New Jersey) at the Third District on Wednesday appellee lawyer cited Cothran v. Ellis from [----] where the Illinois Supreme Court ruled grain futures were gambling. Full opinion in comments"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1966522058029797522) 2025-09-12T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The casino lobby's local media blitz has begun. Propaganda from a casino sponsored reporter in Alabama on Wednesday. Today's op-ed in Texas from a former Las Vegas Review-Journal reporter. Sports betting is legal in Texas now. Just dont call it sports betting Opinion https://t.co/b112ouyP87 Sports betting is legal in Texas now. Just dont call it sports betting Opinion https://t.co/b112ouyP87"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1966533432021774603) 2025-09-12T16:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Baheet_ @trepa_io @SuperteamKorea Augur and Gnosis references are red flags for LLM created content"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1967364342850183378) 2025-09-14T23:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"One month later: Polymarket's at 99% & Morgan Stanley is now predicting a rate cut. BREAKING: Morgan Stanley says the Fed won't cut rates this year. Polymarket says there's a 90% chance of rate cuts this year. Who do you believe BREAKING: Morgan Stanley says the Fed won't cut rates this year. Polymarket says there's a 90% chance of rate cuts this year. Who do you believe"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1967992453568643257) 2025-09-16T16:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Now they're calling prediction markets "evil". Former NJ regulator now working in gaming industry urges unity to overcome the evil of PMs. Charlie Kirk isn't even in the ground and rhetoric is escalating again"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1968738977428410783) 2025-09-18T18:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MessariCrypto The chart doesn't include everything. Solana [--] Base [--] Polygon 19"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1970577438729216457) 2025-09-23T19:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""During the past [--] years Brett Abarbanel has received funding from the Manitoba Gambling Research Program GP Consulting U.S.-Japan Business Council Wynn Las Vegas Victoria Responsible Gambling Foundation Connecticut Council on Problem Gambling Bermuda Casino Gambling Commission the States of Nevada and California Canadian Partnership for Responsible Gambling iDevelopment and Economic Association GLG Consulting Majestic Star Casinos MGM Resorts International Marina Bay Sands ProPress Germany and Caesars Entertainment.""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1970690243008364731) 2025-09-24T03:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New study of [----] national security experts: "national security officials intuitions are overwhelmingly overconfident.when study participants estimated that statements had a [--] percent chance of being true those statements were true just [--] percent of the time." In high-stakes environments we rely on expert judgment. But how reliable is that judgment Jeffrey Friedman tackles this question by assessing cognitive bias among [----] national security officials. His findings remind us that expertise is not a shield against overconfidence. https://t.co/dMwgfNcGjf In high-stakes environments we rely"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971372284037448157) 2025-09-26T00:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Blind accessibility is the next frontier in Kalshi lawsuits. DraftKings Faces Lawsuit Over Failure To Design Gambling Website for Disabilities #DraftKings #OnlineGambling #ADA https://t.co/nQRzfpy6OL DraftKings Faces Lawsuit Over Failure To Design Gambling Website for Disabilities #DraftKings #OnlineGambling #ADA https://t.co/nQRzfpy6OL"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1972798569217421647) 2025-09-29T23:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket has begun self-certifying sports and election contracts on the QCEX website"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1973407308865511445) 2025-10-01T15:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Saquon Barkley is officially confirmed. But Anthony Kiedis and Rick Rubin invested without Flea Also Id like to share the prior two rounds which were never announced. Earlier this year Founders Fund led a $150m round into Polymarket valuing us at $1.2b. Also in this round was Ribbit Valor Point72 Ventures SV Angel [----] 1confirmation Blockchain Capital Coinbase Also Id like to share the prior two rounds which were never announced. Earlier this year Founders Fund led a $150m round into Polymarket valuing us at $1.2b. Also in this round was Ribbit Valor Point72 Ventures SV Angel 1789"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1975592135198908641) 2025-10-07T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The PA Gaming Board letter was directed to members of Congress. This is about lobbying to kill sports contracts in [----]. Pennsylvania Gaming Head Warns That Prediction Markets Are Significant Threat In his letter dated Oct. [--] Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board Executive Director Kevin OToole writes that: Because sports prediction markets operate under the assertion that they are financial Pennsylvania Gaming Head Warns That Prediction Markets Are Significant Threat In his letter dated Oct. [--] Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board Executive Director Kevin OToole writes that: Because sports"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1976075618942058568) 2025-10-09T00:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @fiftyonealpha @BlondiePredicts @GerlacherC @setofsevens Don't forget Underdog/Nadex/Cryptocom. And Polymarket/NYSE. And Fan Duel/CME. And Artistole. Someone will eventually buy Railbird even if not DraftKings. It will be harder in [--] years for the casinos to argue that the Interstate Wire Act of [----] applies to CFTC DCMs"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1976295104336855422) 2025-10-09T14:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Rather than insider trading on the Nobel Peace Prize winner it appears "someone wrote a bot or script that watched the uploads folder or sitemap for new files. When this image appeared they connected the dots." *Speculating* how the Nobel Peace Prize winner was leaked: Last night I hosted a *difficult* interview with the alleged insider in the Nobel Peace Prize market on Polymarket. Despite an hour of questions we were still stuck wondering how a trader or team could know Maria https://t.co/4hvRPxCu2J *Speculating* how the Nobel Peace Prize winner was leaked: Last night I hosted a *difficult*"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1977414799010222255) 2025-10-12T16:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"American Gaming Association CEO Bill Miller spoke like a general preparing his army for battle last week at the Global Gaming Expo in Las Vegas . The AGA and our members are mobilizing across every battlefield Miller said. Regulators casinos unite against new gambling gray zone https://t.co/tQRYjtjZBk Regulators casinos unite against new gambling gray zone https://t.co/tQRYjtjZBk"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1977453157312569609) 2025-10-12T19:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Polymarket It's been a hour. Why isn't Check the Polymarket on the masthead"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1977456789168833000) 2025-10-12T19:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TradeandMoney @pjchougule @SSGamblers Ok. Then what is WMD"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1978092941915619732) 2025-10-14T13:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Sharp Alpha UA Fund raised $150 million to focus on prediction markets online gaming and sports media among other sectors. 💰 Prediction markets are reshaping the sports betting world and Sharp Alphas new $150M fund is betting big on it. Lloyd Danzig shares why skin in the game is the future of entertainment ➡ https://t.co/H9iVEl5krp https://t.co/oKW3mKzbvd 💰 Prediction markets are reshaping the sports betting world and Sharp Alphas new $150M fund is betting big on it. Lloyd Danzig shares why skin in the game is the future of entertainment ➡ https://t.co/H9iVEl5krp https://t.co/oKW3mKzbvd"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1978243976772591938) 2025-10-14T23:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@seth_hettena https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fires-campaign-manager/trump-fires-campaign-manager https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fires-campaign-manager/trump-fires-campaign-manager"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1827523901410128004) 2024-08-25T01:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@seth_hettena https://manifold.markets/MickBransfield/will-trump-fire-chris-lacivita-befor=TWlja0JyYW5zZmllbGQ https://manifold.markets/MickBransfield/will-trump-fire-chris-lacivita-befor=TWlja0JyYW5zZmllbGQ"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1827524012626321481) 2024-08-25T01:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Several new "friend of the court" briefs filed in @Kalshi v @CFTC case today. Joseph Grundfest Jeremy Weinstein @paradigm & @ForecastEx. Complete case info: https://mickbransfield.com/2023/11/01/kalshi-legal-case-information/ https://mickbransfield.com/2023/11/01/kalshi-legal-case-information/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1860161336472416381) 2024-11-23T03:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Prediction News: ForecastEx Launches [----] Election Markets on Interactive Brokers https://predictionnews.com/news/forecastex-launches-2028-election-markets-interactive-brokers/ https://predictionnews.com/news/forecastex-launches-2028-election-markets-interactive-brokers/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1886488105588322766) 2025-02-03T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"In their earnings call Coinbase CEO @brian_armstrong said "people are trying to figure out what's true. And I think prediction markets are a pretty interesting way to get truth about what's actually happening in the world not just around elections but all kinds of things.""
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1891628100124827700) 2025-02-17T23:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Coinbase Q4'24 Earnings Call Transcript: https://s27.q4cdn.com/397450999/files/doc_financials/2024/q4/Q4-24-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf https://s27.q4cdn.com/397450999/files/doc_financials/2024/q4/Q4-24-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1891628101295087722) 2025-02-17T23:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""This DC-Area Lawyer Wants More Americans Betting on Elections" Profile on @pjchougule in Washingtonian Magazine: https://www.washingtonian.com/2025/07/10/election-betting-on-our-next-president-dc-pratik-chougule/ https://www.washingtonian.com/2025/07/10/election-betting-on-our-next-president-dc-pratik-chougule/"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1943275508063502826) 2025-07-10T11:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Aside from partnering with Robinhood on '24 Presidential election contracts @ForecastEx trading volume has been negligible in its first year. Article link in comments"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1962904512353431773) 2025-09-02T15:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@moneyfet1sh @Kalshi @KalshiEco Prediction Markets for X (chrome ext) Polyfactual okbet Monitor the Situation Likely HashDive Event Contract Arbitrage Calculator Flipr Forcazt Caddy betscan ArbBets http://alerts.chat http://wethr.net http://alerts.chat http://wethr.net"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1969180527023304727) 2025-09-19T23:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The CFTC-regulated prediction market space is about to get very crowded: Today: Kalshi ForecastEx (IBKR) Robinhood (Kalshi) Soon: Underdog (Crypto. com) Railbirds (DraftKings circling) Polymarket US (QCEX) FanDuel (CME) Aristotle (PredictIt) RSBIX PrizePicks Daily fantasy giant PrizePicks just got the green light to ENTER prediction markets Theyre now federally approved to work with platforms like Kalshi meaning DFS players could soon be trading on more than just pickem contests. 👇 https://t.co/jXHqabueGs Daily fantasy giant PrizePicks just got the green light to ENTER prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1970546090077217149) 2025-09-23T17:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"There were only [--] (known) decentralized prediction markets founded before [----]. Today there are [--] about to launch or waitlisted: Bonebets Buzzing Club Clearing Company Converge fireplace Joust Melee Metafide Multiplier not. market Oracle Degen Paradyze ParlayTix Picasso Markets PredictFi Probably RoboRumble Sapience SETTLD. Torch VAZA vMarket Winnr XO Live XO Market SoundStake ChainPredict ICP Flex Sports HYPIQ Macaw MAI Protocol ParlayX PredictBets Predictfully Predictly PredictPrix RavenMarket https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1973751579170746536"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1973751579170746536) 2025-10-02T14:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@eightyhi @0xperp @ForecastEx Error I've been critical of them and not blocked"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1974918392542015672) 2025-10-05T19:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Because the Commodity Exchange Act doesn't count if states might lose tax revenue. I think there's a Supreme Court decision about that. Every second states lose tax revenue because insufficiently regulated sports event contracts sidestep state and tribal oversight. See how much is being lost in real time: https://t.co/CevZxrxlMR https://t.co/CXYKkcgkq3 Every second states lose tax revenue because insufficiently regulated sports event contracts sidestep state and tribal oversight. See how much is being lost in real time: https://t.co/CevZxrxlMR https://t.co/CXYKkcgkq3"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1981750718768791980) 2025-10-24T15:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I've seen Save the Green Planet"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1982199052537082212) 2025-10-25T21:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Sports event contract cases: Kalshi sue states: NV NJ MD OH NY RH sue states: NV NJ Crypocom sue states: NV MD State sue Kalshi RH: MA Tribes sue Kalshi: CA WI Statute of Anne: MA IL OH KY SC GA Class Action Kalshi: NY False Claim Cryptocom: IL C&D Kashi: MT AZ IL"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1982814347324744026) 2025-10-27T14:19Z [---] followers, 13.8K engagements
"Churchill Downs CEO on prediction markets: Its very different than sports wagering.We are governed by a specific dedicated federal law about how wagering works on horse racing.You have to have a contract with the content provider thats us. Case in point: here's Churchill Downs' CEO talking last week about what would happen if prediction markets dare dabble in the sport of kings https://t.co/cjPuBJQhqF Case in point: here's Churchill Downs' CEO talking last week about what would happen if prediction markets dare dabble in the sport of kings https://t.co/cjPuBJQhqF"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1983292489181368651) 2025-10-28T21:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"ForecastEx Odds of a Major Hurricane Landfall Compared to Weather Models"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1983622591526137977) 2025-10-29T19:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/ibkr-climate-energy/forecastex-odds-of-a-major-hurricane-landfall-compared-to-weather-models/ https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/ibkr-climate-energy/forecastex-odds-of-a-major-hurricane-landfall-compared-to-weather-models/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1983622594130841703) 2025-10-29T19:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Then why is Polymarket so well calibrated Reminder that Polymarket is a small manipulatable platform that is easily rigged and that it does not have enough reach volume or traders to be called a real "market." https://t.co/iwX26twdEo Reminder that Polymarket is a small manipulatable platform that is easily rigged and that it does not have enough reach volume or traders to be called a real "market." https://t.co/iwX26twdEo"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983700313128476921) 2025-10-30T00:59Z [---] followers, 117.2K engagements
"FYI the site offers a plot of the calibration for polymarket kalshi manifold metaculous. You can adjust it for different time windows including the midway point of the market. http://calibration.city http://calibration.city"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983865689837597013) 2025-10-30T11:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@wedoug @il_professore_0 No the data holds up farther out from the resolution. If you actually care the site has calibration at the market midpoints for polymarket Kalshi and others. http://calibration.city http://calibration.city"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1983975094054744284) 2025-10-30T19:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The gaming industry is desperately trying to pivot from the betting scandal. Now they're comparing Coinbase CEO speaking mention markets to the mob infiltration of the NBA. Is it a double standard @jeffedelstein explores: https://t.co/9AiGWqYjTk Is it a double standard @jeffedelstein explores: https://t.co/9AiGWqYjTk"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984339016624284122) 2025-10-31T19:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@carsoncantcode There's no organized crime element to the Coinbase story"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1984343655348420843) 2025-10-31T19:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@python_dao @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Official statement: https://share.google/ASKAftpEILkEekSoB https://share.google/ASKAftpEILkEekSoB"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1984443181056802953) 2025-11-01T02:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Kalshi filed motion to dismiss in Blue Lake Rancheria (California tribal case) on Halloween. Requested oral arguments for March 19th. Not seen any early expert analysis. Someone please do a health and welfare check on Wallach and Kim"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1984644116760969348) 2025-11-01T15:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Nex Kalshi Chief of Staff Alex Cuoci comes from Waymo"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1984692091713106340) 2025-11-01T18:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"InGame does a deep dive into the best prediction markets sites for sports - Kalshi Polymarket Crypto. com & Robinhood"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1984791436571598898) 2025-11-02T01:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"InGame: Best Prediction Market Sites For Sports Betting In [----] https://sports.yahoo.com/article/best-prediction-market-sites-sports-033047777.html https://sports.yahoo.com/article/best-prediction-market-sites-sports-033047777.html"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1984791438509425124) 2025-11-02T01:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Former Democratic congressman has an op-ed in Minnesota supporting prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1985336834340049359) 2025-11-03T13:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi has spent $1.55M on lobbying in its entire history. Casinos/Gambling Lobby spent $39M in [----] alone. To [---] lobbyists of whom 56% are former gov't employees. And this is only at the federal level. That would be federal. Not feeling so confident about the federal court outcomes. Plan B = Congress Hedging (huge) risk. That would be federal. Not feeling so confident about the federal court outcomes. Plan B = Congress Hedging (huge) risk"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1985503355595096354) 2025-11-04T00:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi hires new Head of Sports Partnerships. Previously worked for DraftKings and the NY Mets"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1985512069806907573) 2025-11-04T00:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"If the gambling lawyers are right and Kalshi is declared illegal gambling in New York and then NY's law banning election gambling kicks in will NY gambling advertising prohibitions also apply to election contracts 🗳Election Day in the US Track live prediction markets on @TheTerminal with WSL ELECTION GO & WSL MOSP GO. https://t.co/k8fCEfwKRv 🗳Election Day in the US Track live prediction markets on @TheTerminal with WSL ELECTION GO & WSL MOSP GO. https://t.co/k8fCEfwKRv"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1985740678521926078) 2025-11-04T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Genius Sports earnings call today and another mention of the company wanting to partner with prediction markets but weary of being targeted by regulators"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1985847861553082695) 2025-11-04T23:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf https://mickbransfield.com/2024/01/18/the-last-25-years-of-the-iowa-electronic-markets/ https://mickbransfield.com/2024/01/18/the-last-25-years-of-the-iowa-electronic-markets/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1986049082188566771) 2025-11-05T12:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"From Monday's court hearing in Ohio: If Kalshi is gambling then other non-sports markets will be outlawed"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1986153849996902911) 2025-11-05T19:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"DraftKings is now hiring for prediction market roles. (This is for informational purposes only. I've no relationship with the company so please don't DM me.)"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986215598108647661) 2025-11-05T23:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""Overall our algorithm classifies nearly 25% of Polymarkets historical volume as activity consistent with wash trading and flags 14% of the [----] million wallets which have ever traded on the platform." Just posted: paper on the detection of wash trading with application to @Polymarket (with @allensirolly @hongyaoma and @ykanoria) https://t.co/2mE2PK3mr9 Just posted: paper on the detection of wash trading with application to @Polymarket (with @allensirolly @hongyaoma and @ykanoria) https://t.co/2mE2PK3mr9"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986569824051274102) 2025-11-06T23:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Here's an updated list of CFTC-regulated prediction markets after recent announcements: Today: Kalshi ForecastEx Crypto .com Closed Beta: Polymarket US Soon: Underdog DraftKings FanDuel Aristotle RSBIX PrizePicks Coinbase Truth Predict Hollywood .com MyPrize Gemini ProphetX"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987879520863387710) 2025-11-10T13:46Z [---] followers, 26.2K engagements
"@justseels Exactly. Polymarket bought QCEX. DraftKings bought Railbird. FanDuel partners with CME while Underdog Truth Predict Hollywood and MyPrize partner with Crypto .com"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1987950302339662104) 2025-11-10T18:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lobbyist & former legislator is using NBA & MLB betting scandals to target prediction markets in Kentucky even though they weren't involved. He implies the state can also ban Kalshi awards contracts (ie Oscars Emmys)"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1987968812235526160) 2025-11-10T19:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@N0DTE Kraken"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1988111227810418749) 2025-11-11T05:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PrizePicks Partners with Polymarket for Prediction Markets Expansion"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1988236585683271753) 2025-11-11T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PrizePicks Partners with Polymarket for Prediction Markets Expansion"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988236624610591049) 2025-11-11T13:25Z [---] followers, 15.5K engagements
"Charles Schwab (the company) is worried about an industry that Charles Schwab (the person) invested in. https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1732803178461086104 Charles Schwabs CEO Is Worried About Prediction Markets. What He Told Thousands of Financial Advisors. https://t.co/DyRygaHz7j via @BarronsOnline https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1732803178461086104 Charles Schwabs CEO Is Worried About Prediction Markets. What He Told Thousands of Financial Advisors. https://t.co/DyRygaHz7j via @BarronsOnline"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988313170818294141) 2025-11-11T18:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Free advice to prediction market influencers and content creators: if you reference Augur or Gnosis we know you're copying & pasting slop. (Both platforms are trailblazers but neither is operating right now)"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988663017329062087) 2025-11-12T17:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kalshi v. Hendrick hearing. Judge Gordon: the fight is if the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1989390286125240425) 2025-11-14T17:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kalshi is asking for a stay upon appeal if injunction against Nevada Gaming Control Board is dissolved"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989426610265887207) 2025-11-14T20:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Robinhood hiring for its prediction markets team. Not sure if this is good or bad for Kalshi. (I'm not involved with either company. Please don't DM me.)"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989752000498602308) 2025-11-15T17:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I can't find the hug market on Kalshi that Judge Gordon kept referencing during Friday's hearing. Does anyone know which one he was talking about @SSGamblers"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1989866309912596853) 2025-11-16T01:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In August a casino lawyer accused Kalshi of having markets on Zelenskyy wearing a suit. (They don't it was Poly) On Friday the Judge was fixated on Kalshi having "hug" markets. (Again it was Poly) NV legal system comes off as desperately protecting their golden goose. Did a defense attorney misrepresent Kalshi contracts to the judge in Nevada lawsuit hearing The infamous suit contracts were on Polymarket. Full transcript in comments. https://t.co/EPfcO7W4cW Did a defense attorney misrepresent Kalshi contracts to the judge in Nevada lawsuit hearing The infamous suit contracts were on"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1990491019092349143) 2025-11-17T18:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"You want our credit card info and you're trusted by the top traders on Augur okay this is actually wild 👀 @PolymarketSport just followed us. we've been building AI forecasting tools for prediction markets quietly testing with 76% accuracy across 10k+ predictions. and now the biggest name in the space is paying attention. not sure if we should play https://t.co/mWzPJ1vohw okay this is actually wild 👀 @PolymarketSport just followed us. we've been building AI forecasting tools for prediction markets quietly testing with 76% accuracy across 10k+ predictions. and now the biggest name in the"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1990806651000009008) 2025-11-18T15:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheStalwart Larry Summers should be available"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1990847931646165303) 2025-11-18T18:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"At first I assumed the op-ed was a parody - a medical doctor from the Pain Relief Institute criticizing prediction markets in South Dakota - but it looks like this is real. The casino lobby isn't even making an effort"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1990851339866259637) 2025-11-18T18:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Nevada did it again Third straight hearing where lawyer/judge cites a market that doesn't actually exist on Kalshi (but does on Polymarket). You got to respect their moxie for not knowing the facts. At some point the shame falls on Kalshi lawyers for letting it happen"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1990877544879391188) 2025-11-18T20:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DeathbyCeltics The judge must have gone on a 20-minute line of questioning Friday about these Kalshi hug markets that don't exist. I'm not sure what the equivalent example to hugging would be but he clearly doesn't know/care about what's being offered on Kalshi versus offshore exchanges"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1990881864924496110) 2025-11-18T20:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Good for them but this seems like an uphill battle in Canada .The country banned binary options contracts in [----]. Ontario is targeting prediction markets like Polymarket as gambling. TRUEiGTECH Launches Canada-Aligned Prediction-Market Platform Covering Multiple Domains https://t.co/BOsSgASON6 #Technology TRUEiGTECH Launches Canada-Aligned Prediction-Market Platform Covering Multiple Domains https://t.co/BOsSgASON6 #Technology"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1990940924067905652) 2025-11-19T00:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"NY regulators planning to target gaming operators who "participate" prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1991344043926982777) 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New York regulator will reassess licenses of prediction market participants https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/ https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1991344047668216129) 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"NY regulators planning to target gaming operators who "participate" prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1991344082694861208) 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New York regulator will reassess licenses of prediction market participants https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/ https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1991344084741681261) 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Looks like more Kalshi lawsuits coming in California"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1991606159099527600) 2025-11-20T20:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf It's the offshore version. They can't on the CFTC regulated exchange. I always thought polymarket should have an onion futures market to point out the ridiculousness of the two banned commodities"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1992685668183806140) 2025-11-23T20:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf Especially with Nevada judges and lawyers conflating Polymarket's offshore offerings with markets on regulated US exchanges"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1992686315553378515) 2025-11-23T20:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @KolemanStrumpf No box office futures ban is in there. Blanche Lincoln inserted it at the request of MPAA"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1992714657174544672) 2025-11-23T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf @BillyPolcha Cantor Fitzgerald and another exchange were approved to offer movie box office contracts by the CFTC in June [----]. Lincoln stuck the ban in Dodd-Frank which passed July [----] and there was no grandfather clause for the previously approved exchanges"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1992719096811602025) 2025-11-23T22:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @KolemanStrumpf Media derivatives (Trend Exchange) claims have spent $30 million on the CFTC approval process only to have their contracts banned a few weeks later"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1992721593986854979) 2025-11-23T22:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @KolemanStrumpf Sorry I wasn't clear - Lincoln inserted the language banning box office futures into Dodd Frank. CFTC had approve box office futures weeks prior and Lincoln didn't consult the Commission when drafting the ban"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1992731551034130795) 2025-11-23T23:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Mike Novogratzs Galaxy Digital is in discussions with Polymarket and Kalshi about becoming a liquidity provider on their platforms as prediction markets continue to capture retail demand and pique interest on Wall Street https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/novogratz-s-galaxy-digital-experimenting-in-prediction-marketsutm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/novogratz-s-galaxy-digital-experimenting-in-prediction-marketsutm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1993134582057914425) 2025-11-25T01:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""These emerging markets pose a genuine threat to the current licensed and regulated gaming industry and to the tax revenues that support local state and tribal economies.""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1993339622035013888) 2025-11-25T15:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Is Robinhood buying a DCM a greater threat to Kalshi than the NV Judge lifting the injunction I got baited by @vladtenev https://t.co/hTtfC2i9DW I got baited by @vladtenev https://t.co/hTtfC2i9DW"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1993455636022219035) 2025-11-25T23:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This has to be really awkward after Kalshi losing in Court yesterday"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1993817446382473516) 2025-11-26T23:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New suit filed against Kalshi last week in Illinois. Plaintiff is a "bounty hunter" suing Kalshi for losses by @eightyhi"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1994182608087916619) 2025-11-27T23:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@brettcannon @eightyhi https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71936635/lavery-v-kalshi-inc/ https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71936635/lavery-v-kalshi-inc/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1994191381816901814) 2025-11-27T23:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Buried the lede. Two key points about Kalshi Trading that should have been divulged before now: Its not profitable. Less than 6% of the making volume on sports markets I try to avoid engaging with stupid lies on X but this is a pure smear campaign. This account and others are being paid by our competitor to amplify a baseless lawsuit. The allegations are false and reveal a fundamental (and maybe intentional) misunderstanding of how these https://t.co/lptGJmUVJX I try to avoid engaging with stupid lies on X but this is a pure smear campaign. This account and others are being paid by our"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1994473237393055814) 2025-11-28T18:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Another Lavery lawsuit Targeting Novig and the parent company of InGame. Previous suits targeted Crypto .com & Kalshi"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1994532233278099931) 2025-11-28T22:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"These numbers can't be right. The casino media has clearly and repeatedly told us that Kalshi's growth plateaued. With data as of November [--] @Kalshi is about to surpass 5B in Total Monthly Contracts Traded. It currently sits at around 4.95B contracts traded this month and if this pace continues @Kalshi is expected to close November [----] with over 5.5B contracts traded setting a new ATH https://t.co/mES2WwlZ1X With data as of November [--] @Kalshi is about to surpass 5B in Total Monthly Contracts Traded. It currently sits at around 4.95B contracts traded this month and if this pace continues"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1994886757830320348) 2025-11-29T21:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Domer looks nothing like Ryan Gosling. Domer won $250000 betting on the [----] Republican vice presidential nominee. https://t.co/Sox4RFtU87 https://t.co/4ycJNkP0EW Domer won $250000 betting on the [----] Republican vice presidential nominee. https://t.co/Sox4RFtU87 https://t.co/4ycJNkP0EW"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1995370481814569028) 2025-12-01T05:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"CRM-114 was referenced in four of Stanley Kubrick's movies in some way: Dr. Strangelove (1964) as a piece of destroyed radio equipment; 2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) on an escape pod; A Clockwork Orange (1971) as an experimental drug given to Alex; Eyes Wide Shut (1999) as the location of a mortuary. : r/MovieDetails https://share.google/7i4X6TGN6kqpYKVeg https://share.google/7i4X6TGN6kqpYKVeg"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1995502752667963473) 2025-12-01T14:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@WALLACHLEGAL I don't share your optimism"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1995599405286916164) 2025-12-01T21:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@kalshidata @Kalshi @KalshiEco Lies If we compare odd numbered Wednesdays over the past two months Kalshi volume is clearly not increasing"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1995851925418553491) 2025-12-02T13:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New academic paper reviews the history and structures of decentralized prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1995959585044398101) 2025-12-02T20:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""SoK: Market Microstructure for Decentralized Prediction Markets (DePMs)" by Nahid Rahman Joseph Al-Chami & Jeremy Clark https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15612 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15612"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1995959587288350809) 2025-12-02T20:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JohnHolbein1 The methodology (greater than 50% = yes) is silly. Here's a more thoughtful paper using market calibration: https://www.karlwhelan.com/Papers/Kalshi.pdf https://www.karlwhelan.com/Papers/Kalshi.pdf"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996029773437653110) 2025-12-03T01:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""Binghamton Universitys Prediction and Financial Markets Association hosted the first round of its inaugural event the Kalshi Market Pricing Case Competition on Nov. 14." This seemed random until the article cited Jeff Yass and an alum"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996032289038598202) 2025-12-03T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New prediction market club launches inaugural Kalshi case competition https://www.bupipedream.com/news/new-prediction-market-club-launches-inaugural-kalshi-case-competition/173660/ https://www.bupipedream.com/news/new-prediction-market-club-launches-inaugural-kalshi-case-competition/173660/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996032291488104509) 2025-12-03T01:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Please stop the contrarin take engagement bait. Prediction markets are very well calibrated. With an immense amount of data 50%=Yes makes no sense. Below are 300K+ markets plotted against their likelihood. This is not luck. This is a super interesting new paper on prediction markets and elections that suggests there are plenty of inefficiencies left for traders to exploit. I've seen a couple of misinterpretations of the findings out there that are worth thinking more about: (1) The low accuracy This is a super interesting new paper on prediction markets and elections that suggests there are"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996343112730636345) 2025-12-03T22:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"New Kalshi lawsuit in CT makes [--] sports event contract cases in various states: PM sue state: NV NJ MD OH NY CT State sue PM: MA Tribe sue Kalshi: CA WI Class action: NY NY False Claims: IL Statute of Anne: OH KY IL MA SC GA IL C&Ds with no suits: MT AZ IL"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996383073949331472) 2025-12-04T00:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"CFTC-regulated prediction markets (12/3/2025): Live Kalshi ForecastEx Robinhood Crypto. com Underdog PrizePicks Polymarket Fanatics Soon FanDuel DraftKings Coinbase Aristotle RSBIX Truth Predict Hollywood. com MyPrize Kraken Gemini ProphetX eToro Cboe Clearing Co Metavesco"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996392174947295542) 2025-12-04T01:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@wiimee @JeongHaeju @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket No they're not. They're designed to reward diverse information"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996585988907237441) 2025-12-04T14:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Different people bringing diverse information to the marketplace. Studies have shown the diversity of the information is more important than the number of traders. If everyone is using the same source or methodology that's not going to make the market reflective of the true probability"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996587010069295540) 2025-12-04T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I can't wait for Judge Gordon to reference this to Kalshi. A Google insider has officially been exposed on Polymarket. This dude just profited $1000000 in a single day betting on the Google search markets. Google accidentally pushed the results early then removed them but not before it revealed he went 22/23 on his bets and https://t.co/44raBXoD4x A Google insider has officially been exposed on Polymarket. This dude just profited $1000000 in a single day betting on the Google search markets. Google accidentally pushed the results early then removed them but not before it revealed he went"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996600550108938347) 2025-12-04T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Not enough discussion about decentralized exchanges making regulation futile in the future. You won't have a Black Friday for offshore PMs like with poker sites. Markets on protocols not platforms. Noncustodial wallets. Shares are fungible and trade off exchange. Resolution through third parties. These features already exist but eventually someone will put them all together in a workable manner. MetaMask Prediction Markets are LIVE. 🔮 The fastest easiest way to make onchain predictions - powered by @polymarket now built natively into MetaMask Mobile. Trade the worlds biggest questions on the"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996717831593853312) 2025-12-04T23:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @sam_mcquill This is the best data I've seen on whether gamblers will adopt prediction markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996944662246912208) 2025-12-05T14:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Thread on the most confusing aspect of the various prediction market lawsuits: the "Statute of Anne" from [----]. There are currently [--] lawsuits citing this law against Kalshi in KY IL MA OH SC GA NY and IL"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996960994384302450) 2025-12-05T15:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lawsuit #7 came in the form of a class action lawsuit in New York (Yee v. KalshiEX LLC)"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996961003360162170) 2025-12-05T15:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Lawsuit #8 came on 11/19/25 from Mark Lavery suing in Illinois federal court on behalf of a former Kalshi employee (without informing said employee). Lavery describes himself as a "bounty hunter" motivated by the death of his wife"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1996961005423775817) 2025-12-05T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kalshi is sponsoring the DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup on Wednesday Dec 17th from 6-9pm They're spending their billions on upgrading the location to The Flying Mexican in Capitol Hill near the Eastern Market metro station (orange/blue/silver lines). RSVP below:"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1997849230443172121) 2025-12-08T02:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Massachusetts State AG lawsuit against Kalshi: Judge won't issue a decision until January and will call both parties back before the decision takes effect"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998440476102230308) 2025-12-09T17:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Nothing can give PMs credibility like Jake Paul. (I guess this means Andrew Tate and Mr. Beast are coming too)"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998582151927968212) 2025-12-10T02:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"🧵 Metric manipulation is when someone switches between metric definitions to obscure the true trend. Dustin Gouker is constantly changing the time windows for Kalshi volume. By moving the goalposts back and forth he make Kalshi growth seem flat when it is exploding"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998773846946578757) 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Here is Kalshi monthly volume through Dec 10:"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998773849362501827) 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, 37.1K engagements
"Here is Kalshi weekly volume through Dec 10:"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998773851233173897) 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Here is Kalshi daily volume through Dec 10:"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998773853300904000) 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheNotoriousSKi @nigeleccles @DustinGouker He is pushing an agenda and is effective. I'm getting asked once a week about why Kalshi stopped growing b/c people believe him and the data sleight of hand"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998894945080332532) 2025-12-10T23:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Washington State regulators take a shot at prediction markets and traders. "Offering events-based contracts or participating in these markets is not authorized in Washington State.""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998934828729745629) 2025-12-11T01:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Washington regulator believes prediction markets offer unauthorized activity https://sbcamericas.com/2025/12/10/washington-prediction-markets-notice/ https://sbcamericas.com/2025/12/10/washington-prediction-markets-notice/"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1998934831573696682) 2025-12-11T01:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Buried the lede: No Polymarket. "Kalshi and Crypto. com will announce Thursday that they have convened an alliance to create the Washington D.C.-based Coalition for Prediction Markets." + Robinhood Coinbase and Underdog Prediction markets launch coalition amid sports betting fight https://t.co/iYdPFWfhU7 "Kalshi and Crypto. com will announce Thursday that they have convened an alliance to create the Washington D.C.-based Coalition for Prediction Markets." + Robinhood Coinbase and Underdog Prediction markets launch coalition amid sports betting fight https://t.co/iYdPFWfhU7"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999105866063069297) 2025-12-11T13:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"American Gaming Association executive leaves for Sports Betting Alliance (DraftKings FanDuel Fanatics BetMGM Bet365). DK & FD recently left the AGA. Read the full announcement: https://t.co/OOl2Szo5aD Read the full announcement: https://t.co/OOl2Szo5aD"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999113823307841759) 2025-12-11T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""a winning position on Kalshi can now be tokenized and used as collateral borrowed against lent out integrated into automated strategies or dropped into any on-chain portfolio." Earlier this week the CFTC announced the launch of a pilot programthat will allow certain digital assets such as Bitcoin Ethereum and USDC to be used ascollateralin derivatives markets. Here's what that means for Kalshi and other prediction market platforms 🔽 Earlier this week the CFTC announced the launch of a pilot programthat will allow certain digital assets such as Bitcoin Ethereum and USDC to be used"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999230743797727647) 2025-12-11T21:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Selig's nomination one of the [--] advanced in the Senate. It sounds like he'll get a confirmation vote next week. US Senate advances dozens more Trump nominees including South Africa pick https://t.co/9BinyohNrz US Senate advances dozens more Trump nominees including South Africa pick https://t.co/9BinyohNrz"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999511332685488512) 2025-12-12T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Nostroah This needed to be done a long time ago. Gambling industry is spending 20x more than Kalshi/Polymarket on lobbying. Even if they equalize that today and they probably can't it still doesn't catch up with the decades of relationships cultivated"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999539298337472767) 2025-12-12T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Robinhood appealed Nevada District Court ruling to Ninth Circuit (25-7831). That makes [--] cases on appeal: Kalshi Crypto .com Robinhood from Nevada and Blue Lake Rancheria tribal case from California"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999645479651422499) 2025-12-13T01:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi_Culture Kubrick agreed to let King make his 90s mini-series version on condition that he couldn't criticize Kubrick's film"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999652732848996829) 2025-12-13T01:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@astraffon @hannaherinlang It will always be funny to me that Charles Schwab disagrees with Charles Schwab. https://x.com/i/status/1732803178461086104 It was incredible hosting Charles Schwab in the office this morning On how he built @CharlesSchwab into the enduring institution it is today: "Inch by inch day by day." https://t.co/3DEgH7TRV4 https://x.com/i/status/1732803178461086104 It was incredible hosting Charles Schwab in the office this morning On how he built @CharlesSchwab into the enduring institution it is today: "Inch by inch day by day." https://t.co/3DEgH7TRV4"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999670831920697620) 2025-12-13T02:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@forgetfu1soul @Kalshi_Culture He did after he sold the film rights. This has been reported before including Kubrick biographies but it's been so long that I don't remember the details. Feel free to Google it"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/1999900677611593793) 2025-12-13T17:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@peterwildeford The guy who built @PredictIt made headlines in college for writing a paper on building a nuclear bomb. That was [--] years ago"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2000368274974884099) 2025-12-15T00:52Z [---] followers, 26.1K engagements
"Judge in Kalshi lawsuit against NY State Gaming Commission denies request for oral arguments"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2000678260091261267) 2025-12-15T21:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"First class action lawsuit against Kalshi in New York state appears to be going to arbitration. (I'll defer to the legal influencers about the meaning of this.)"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001058020046909717) 2025-12-16T22:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Are these Robinhood's own prediction markets via MIAX acquisition or is Vlad reselling Kalshi markets as their own @Nostroah @eightyhi Meet preset combos. Handpicked combinations of popular outcomes bundled so you can trade them all at once with a single tap. Both preset combos and player contracts are rolling out starting today. Custom combos will begin rolling out in January. #RobinhoodPresents Meet preset combos. Handpicked combinations of popular outcomes bundled so you can trade them all at once with a single tap. Both preset combos and player contracts are rolling out starting today."
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001115262594998512) 2025-12-17T02:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""however Pennsylvania has legal language in place to tax sports wagers taken by such apps state lawmakers were told Tuesday one possible way to rein in what officials described as gambling masquerading as financial services with increasingly dire consequences.""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001127051101680119) 2025-12-17T03:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Pa. gaming board warns casinos against prediction market apps wants state to tax sports trades https://www.pennlive.com/news/2025/12/pa-gaming-board-warns-casinos-against-prediction-market-apps-wants-state-to-tax-sports-trades.html https://www.pennlive.com/news/2025/12/pa-gaming-board-warns-casinos-against-prediction-market-apps-wants-state-to-tax-sports-trades.html"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001127054234857541) 2025-12-17T03:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Polymarket retention rate in the most recent Keyrock-Dune report. (Note traders can use multiple wallets on Polymarket offshore). In collaboration with @Dune weve released our prediction markets report. Its a data-backed dive into how they are becoming core information and hedging infrastructure across crypto media and institutional finance with insights from over [--] contributors. Find out more 👇 https://t.co/k2Lhwiha8V In collaboration with @Dune weve released our prediction markets report. Its a data-backed dive into how they are becoming core information and hedging infrastructure across"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001312387828232385) 2025-12-17T15:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@AlexTran677026 If he thinks Oceans [--] is even remotely watchable then it explains his recent output"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001313714155205010) 2025-12-17T15:29Z [---] followers, 15.9K engagements
"@mar2vickers @AlexTran677026 There are bad films with great cinematography. But the illogical plot twist making the second half of the film moot Julia Robert' character pretending to be Julia Roberts It's the forerunner to today's Soderbergh. Pretty with 1-2 great set pieces but otherwise very dumb"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2001325893399273826) 2025-12-17T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Selig's mentor is Chairman of Polymarket's Advisory Board. Davis Wright Tremaine: "The Likely Road Ahead for the CFTC" https://t.co/oaxekWzfgJ Davis Wright Tremaine: "The Likely Road Ahead for the CFTC" https://t.co/oaxekWzfgJ"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2002044295285477692) 2025-12-19T15:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Too many stories about trading need more like this about long-term consequences. "Bond and equity markets react to political or regulatory events but those signals are often blended with earnings liquidity and macro noise.Prediction markets isolate the question itself.""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2002534885035016431) 2025-12-21T00:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New paper compares Polymarket earnings expectation markets to analyst forecasts. Researchers find that PMs are: - more accurate - contain more information than analysts - less biased Full article below"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2002868720054698401) 2025-12-21T22:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""Financial Prediction Markets: A New Measure of Earnings Expectation" by Roberto Gomez-Cram Yunhan Guo Theis Ingerslev Jensen & Howard Kung https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5933475 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5933475"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2002868722269299123) 2025-12-21T22:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@0xd1namit @Polymarket Has anyone compared a large sample of competing probabilities from sportbooks and PMs"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2002891243903193352) 2025-12-21T23:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Regulated PM space: Live: Kalshi Webull ForecastEx Robinhood Crypto. com Underdog PrizePicks Polymarket Fanatics DraftKings Gemini FanDuel Soon: Coinbase Aristotle RSBIX Truth Predict Hollywood. com MyPrize Kraken ProphetX eToro Cboe Clearing Co Metavesco Matchbook Bitnomial"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2003194223466553362) 2025-12-22T20:01Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements
"The newly launched @KalshiResearch is hosting a "Prediction Markets Conference" in March 2026:"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2003200653468803428) 2025-12-22T20:27Z [---] followers, 14.1K engagements
"New paper ("KalshiBench") uses Kalshi markets to evaluate whether LLMs can quantity uncertainty. Article below"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2003252190815916387) 2025-12-22T23:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""One of the first things we announced after the round was our plan to expand internationally. Brazil means a lot to me. I really want us to operate there. Were still studying how to do it but I hope we can announce something in early 2026.""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2003315557660008855) 2025-12-23T04:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi eyes Brazil as part of global expansion plans https://valorinternational.globo.com/markets/news/2025/12/22/kalshi-eyes-brazil-as-part-of-global-expansion-plans.ghtml https://valorinternational.globo.com/markets/news/2025/12/22/kalshi-eyes-brazil-as-part-of-global-expansion-plans.ghtml"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2003315560734499188) 2025-12-23T04:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Today marks one full year of sports event contracts. Launch by crypto .com (not Kalshi) during the Biden (not Trump) admin under Behnam (not Pham) chairmanship"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2003441641680449565) 2025-12-23T12:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The fear of journalists being replaced by markets is palpable. "But journalists are not prophets and at present the future is intruding too much into what counts as 'news'""
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2004565262666764778) 2025-12-26T14:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New paper on Iowa Electronic Markets the longest-running prediction market (and illegal gambling according to PA Gaming Control). Below is plot of [--] years of election markets. These are numeric outcomes on vote share not binary Yes/No & historically more accurate than polls"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2004993100457062791) 2025-12-27T19:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""Peering into the Black Box: Trader Strategies and Price Formation in the Iowa Electronic Markets" by Thomas S. Gruca and Thomas A. Rietz: https://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/IEM%20Strategies.pdf https://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/IEM%20Strategies.pdf"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2004993102713684444) 2025-12-27T19:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Today's dishonest hit piece on Kalshi comes from The Intercept: -Original article title falsely claimed Kalshi offers war markets -Conflates Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) & Polymarket (unregulated off-shore) markets -Cites the silly Vanderbilt PM study with cherry-picked data"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2005645318214619499) 2025-12-29T14:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New play-money prediction market @thesuper_market launches after midnight NYE (ET). Market creators can keep private price information for themselves or to sell. Also cash prizes for market creation in January:"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2005816129566933154) 2025-12-30T01:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Judge Oliver schedules Connecticut prediction market oral arguments on back-to-back days. -Coinbase on Feb [--] -Kalsh on Feb [--] NEW: The Coinbase v. Connecticut prediction markets case has been transferred to U.S. District Judge Vernon D. Oliver who is presiding over the earlier-filed Kalshi lawsuit. Oral argument in that case is scheduled for Feb. 12th in the Hartford federal courthouse. https://t.co/8E6Gmyuewb NEW: The Coinbase v. Connecticut prediction markets case has been transferred to U.S. District Judge Vernon D. Oliver who is presiding over the earlier-filed Kalshi lawsuit. Oral"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2005819199990505833) 2025-12-30T01:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Buried the lede: Prediction markets using crypto assets face full implementation of the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation in July [----]. MiCA contains strict market abuse regimes that will apply to crypto PMs. The business of predicting the future is booming despite EU pushback ➡ https://t.co/tDzBidp19J https://t.co/zpxifg543i The business of predicting the future is booming despite EU pushback ➡ https://t.co/tDzBidp19J https://t.co/zpxifg543i"
[X Link](https://x.com/MickBransfield/status/2006019081812455468) 2025-12-30T15:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@MickBransfield M. Bransfield
M. Bransfield posts on X about kalshi, prediction markets, polymarket, market the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [------] -2.10%
- [--] Month [-------] +23%
- [--] Months [-------] +3,319%
- [--] Year [-------] +74,747%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Month [--] -70%
- [--] Months [---] +763%
- [--] Year [---] +2,190%
Followers: [---] #
- [--] Week [---] +0.21%
- [--] Month [---] +16%
- [--] Months [---] +252%
- [--] Year [---] +1,109%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance stocks technology brands exchanges #3302 countries cryptocurrencies automotive brands celebrities travel destinations vc firms
Social topic influence kalshi #1084, prediction markets #3483, polymarket #3056, market, gaming, crypto, prediction, in the, coinbase, $hood
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @kalshi @ssgamblers @polymarket @cftc @robinhanson @kolemanstrumpf @jrfuisz @0xperp @billypolcha @forecastex @eightyhi @kalshidata @wallachlegal @pjchougule @kalshieco @allensirolly @barronsonline @predictit @cinematweets1 @cinemascene404
Top assets mentioned Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Augur (REP) Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Goldman Sachs (GS) Morgan Stanley (MS) Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) USDC (USDC)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@ManifoldMarkets @fairplaygov @Kalshi "The White House will tap OMB official and former Warren staffer Julie Siegel for a CTFC commissioner role." https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2024/07/biden-to-nominate-siegel-for-cftc-00167266 https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2024/07/biden-to-nominate-siegel-for-cftc-00167266"
X Link 2024-07-11T03:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@colemanbandh @RyanSAdams PredictIt and Iowa Electronic Markets are operating under no-action letters from the CFTC. (PredictIt is currently suing over its letter being revoked.) Kalshi and ForecastEx are registered with the CFTC as designated contract markets"
X Link 2024-07-26T01:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@rowlandgraus @agoric Not all PMs are binary. What about a scalar market or vote share market that resolves as a percentage"
X Link 2024-09-17T13:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"CFTC is fighting PredictIt in court to avoid releasing communications about revoking the no-action letter. Apparently the CFTC communicated with persons outside the agency re: PredictIt & are fighting not to release details. Hearing on discovery set for Jan [--]. @SSGamblers"
X Link 2024-12-06T16:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It was inevitable. Sportsbooks are looking to enter prediction market space. @SSGamblers https://www.covers.com/industry/bet-mgm-is-bullish-on-core-business-while-eyeing-prediction-betting-opportunities-feb-5-2025 https://www.covers.com/industry/bet-mgm-is-bullish-on-core-business-while-eyeing-prediction-betting-opportunities-feb-5-2025"
X Link 2025-02-05T20:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"BetMGM earnings call audio at 43:00 mark - https://app.webinar.net/5gmMdPWVaQR https://app.webinar.net/5gmMdPWVaQR"
X Link 2025-02-05T20:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@presjimryan Wouldn't it have been better to just keep George Mason"
X Link 2025-03-10T02:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Didn't see this coming. gm. Augur is Back. The Lituus Foundation is reviving Augur the pioneering decentralized oracle that brought crypto prediction markets to life. Augurs oracle ensures economic security with a decentralized system of incentives. $REP holders compete in a permissionless https://t.co/aHxVGMIDfy gm. Augur is Back. The Lituus Foundation is reviving Augur the pioneering decentralized oracle that brought crypto prediction markets to life. Augurs oracle ensures economic security with a decentralized system of incentives. $REP holders compete in a permissionless"
X Link 2025-03-15T23:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"North Carolina has also been reported by @eGRNorthAmerica as looking into Kalshi. I think that makes [--] states that have sent C&D or are investigating PMs. ❗The heat on prediction market platform Kalshi isnt cooling off anytime soon. As reported by EGR North America Kansas and Arizona regulators are keeping a sharp eye on the unfolding legal mess around sports event contracts. https://t.co/GSC8S69QCF ❗The heat on prediction market platform Kalshi isnt cooling off anytime soon. As reported by EGR North America Kansas and Arizona regulators are keeping a sharp eye on the unfolding legal mess"
X Link 2025-04-04T17:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"But @WALLACHLEGAL a U.S. gaming law and sports betting attorney who leads the law firm Wallach Legal LLC believes the roundtable is all for show and that the preordained result will be Kalshis sports contracts getting a green light from the federal government. States want to rein in Kalshis sports "prediction" offerings which they say is too similar to sports betting. But signs are pointing to the Trump admin siding with Kalshi which boasts Donald Trump Jr. as a strategic advisor. A legal battle is likely writes @BenHorney States want to rein in Kalshis sports "prediction" offerings which"
X Link 2025-04-04T17:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Interactive Brokers explaining insurance-like applications of hurricane prediction markets: https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/securities/esg/hurricane-forecast-contracts/ https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/securities/esg/hurricane-forecast-contracts/"
X Link 2025-05-12T16:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"India's Supreme Court has paused litigation against opinion trading (prediction market) platforms in provincial courts. Lawsuits "had been filed before the two courts challenging the validity of opinion trading as games of skill." http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/121447124.cms http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/121447124.cms"
X Link 2025-05-28T18:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Gambling Insider: Are opinions on prediction markets changing "if and only if regulators and tribal operators buckle to player demand we can expect to see todays sports betting giants playing in the house that Kalshi built." https://www.gamblinginsider.com/trafficology/292/are-opinions-on-prediction-markets-changing https://www.gamblinginsider.com/trafficology/292/are-opinions-on-prediction-markets-changing"
X Link 2025-06-26T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Prediction Markets Zurich meetup on Tues July 15: https://www.meetup.com/prediction-markets-zurich/events/308596531/ https://www.meetup.com/prediction-markets-zurich/events/308596531/"
X Link 2025-07-05T16:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Casino lobby argues nullification theory in Kansas op-ed. Not sure how persuasive that is outside of South Carolina: https://archive.ph/VRGbZ https://archive.ph/VRGbZ"
X Link 2025-07-09T12:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Crypto .com is hiring a Sports Prediction Market Trader. Sports Event Quant Trader - a math nerds playground but not for value investor wannabes https://t.co/qLddrc5WF6 Sports Event Quant Trader - a math nerds playground but not for value investor wannabes https://t.co/qLddrc5WF6"
X Link 2025-07-12T15:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Sports Prediction Market Trader job listing: https://jobs.lever.co/crypto/2298d529-b3a7-49fe-9b42-dd3241f4849e https://jobs.lever.co/crypto/2298d529-b3a7-49fe-9b42-dd3241f4849e"
X Link 2025-07-12T15:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Below is a post by Cultivate Labs about the U.S. Intelligence Communitys Prediction Market (ICPM)"
X Link 2025-07-24T02:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""How the U.S. Intelligence Community's Prediction Market Made Analysis Better" by @cultivatelabs https://www.cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-the-u-s-intelligence-community-s-prediction-market-made-analysis-better https://www.cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-the-u-s-intelligence-community-s-prediction-market-made-analysis-better"
X Link 2025-07-24T02:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The casino lobby publishes another op-ed against prediction markets this time in New jersey. Using the same template as Kansas & Iowa it's clear their main argument in the states is about tax revenue rather than legality or consumer protection"
X Link 2025-07-26T16:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Another mysterious Delaware LLC is suing under 300-year old English law but this time to target Caesars Sportsbook BetMGM & DraftKings instead of prediction markets. An unknown LLC is suing D.C. sports betting companies under an 18th century law named for Queen Anne. Now the D.C. Council may intervene with a provision in the budget up for a vote Monday that could moot the case. https://t.co/MQNXnFpjFh An unknown LLC is suing D.C. sports betting companies under an 18th century law named for Queen Anne. Now the D.C. Council may intervene with a provision in the budget up for a vote Monday that"
X Link 2025-07-27T11:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New paper offers framework for prediction market liquidity provision. Link in comments"
X Link 2025-07-29T12:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Links below. Pre-launch prediction market @signalswtf with Continuous LMSR is looking for beta testers. They'll provide selected participants with [----] USDC worth of test tokens allowing free trading in BTC-USD markets. (I'm not involved with this project.)"
X Link 2025-07-29T17:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New paper below about prediction market trader views on interest rates. Traders who believe that Trump will fire Powell expect lower short-term interest rates than other users"
X Link 2025-08-01T12:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Under Pressure Central Bank Independence Meets Blockchain Prediction Markets https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5366862 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5366862"
X Link 2025-08-01T12:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CinemaTweets1 Since no one else pointed it out I'll just mention Cazale was dating an unknown Meryl Streep at the end of his life"
X Link 2025-08-01T23:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@CinemaScene404 The King of Comedy The Mission Angel Heart Midnight Run Backdraft Cape Fear This Boy's Life Ronin Meet the Parents Analyze This The Wizard of Lies American Hustle"
X Link 2025-08-17T11:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"VegasSlotsOnline is deeply concerned about the lack of responsibile gambling tools on prediction markets"
X Link 2025-08-20T13:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Embarrassed that I missed this: The writer uses a strawman b/c Kalshi already has the tools it claims "prediction sites" don't possess. Link in comments. Another attempt to muddy the water. VegasSlotsOnline is deeply concerned about the lack of responsibile gambling tools on prediction markets. https://t.co/fdMX1Vha10 VegasSlotsOnline is deeply concerned about the lack of responsibile gambling tools on prediction markets. https://t.co/fdMX1Vha10"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi Responsible Risk Management: https://help.kalshi.com/account/responsible-risk-management https://help.kalshi.com/account/responsible-risk-management"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CoalitionPolFor @robinhanson "Cantor started plotting its move into real-money trading back in May [----] when it acquired then-cash-poor HSX. But.the firm lost one-third of its employees in the 9/11 tragedy and the project was shelved for several years." https://www.reuters.com/article/lifestyle/hollywood-stock-exchange-soon-taking-real-bets-idUSTRE60D11G/ https://www.reuters.com/article/lifestyle/hollywood-stock-exchange-soon-taking-real-bets-idUSTRE60D11G/"
X Link 2025-08-31T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""The rapid growth and increasingly likely permanence of prediction markets in the U.S. materially expands the total addressable market for online gaming operators according to Fitch Ratings." 📰 "US Prediction Market Raises Risks for Online Gaming Operators" - Fitch #economy #macro https://t.co/DpAPlKhkpk 📰 "US Prediction Market Raises Risks for Online Gaming Operators" - Fitch #economy #macro https://t.co/DpAPlKhkpk"
X Link 2025-09-02T20:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"MGM Resorts view is allowing sports outcomes in prediction markets invites the federal government into a space its never been and its not a place wed like to see this marketplace go. Full stop Hornbuckle asserted. MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle spoke at length about a swathe of industry topics on Thursday at the Bank of America Securities [----] Gaming & Lodging Conference touching on everything from his companys global growth plans to its stance on prediction markets. MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle spoke at length about a swathe of industry topics on Thursday at"
X Link 2025-09-05T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe this roundtable will actually happen. SEC & CFTC announced a joint roundtable on September [--] in DC. Topics include prediction markets perps and 24/7 markets. @SSGamblers .@CFTC and SEC Issue Joint Statement on Regulatory Harmonization Efforts: https://t.co/mimCsBvRQf .@CFTC and SEC Issue Joint Statement on Regulatory Harmonization Efforts: https://t.co/mimCsBvRQf"
X Link 2025-09-05T18:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@SSGamblers Register for the SEC-CFTC roundtable: https://surveys.sec.gov/jfe/preview/previewId/eb339807-dc0d-4931-afca-54faa6caddef/SV_do4AXToOMBgtKCyQ_CHL=preview&Q_SurveyVersionID=current https://surveys.sec.gov/jfe/preview/previewId/eb339807-dc0d-4931-afca-54faa6caddef/SV_do4AXToOMBgtKCyQ_CHL=preview&Q_SurveyVersionID=current"
X Link 2025-09-05T18:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@0xperp @KairosLiveHQ @Axion_Terminal @caddy_bot @VersoTrading"
X Link 2025-09-08T15:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Is the Genius Sports CEO referring to being targeted for working with prediction markets"
X Link 2025-09-10T01:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Genius Sports at Goldman Sachs Conference: Strategic Growth Insights Transcript https://ca.investing.com/news/transcripts/genius-sports-at-goldman-sachs-conference-strategic-growth-insights-93CH-4194498 https://ca.investing.com/news/transcripts/genius-sports-at-goldman-sachs-conference-strategic-growth-insights-93CH-4194498"
X Link 2025-09-10T01:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Another agent v agent prediction market platform. Emerging trend of developers building for AI rather than improve human UX To guide our mission we've established The Talus Foundation a neutral steward dedicated to the networks growth decentralization and long-term sustainability. Meet the Foundation and read the full announcement 👇 https://t.co/FUfSOjBnGD To guide our mission we've established The Talus Foundation a neutral steward dedicated to the networks growth decentralization and long-term sustainability. Meet the Foundation and read the full announcement 👇 https://t.co/FUfSOjBnGD"
X Link 2025-09-10T10:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Because of tribal gaming we have the revenue to take this claim up to the Supreme Court if we have to.You get the justice you can afford in this country and $50bn allows us to buy a lot of justice. -Victor Rocha Indian Gaming Association conference chair"
X Link 2025-09-12T13:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In oral arguments for Kalshi v Flaherty (New Jersey) at the Third District on Wednesday appellee lawyer cited Cothran v. Ellis from [----] where the Illinois Supreme Court ruled grain futures were gambling. Full opinion in comments"
X Link 2025-09-12T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The casino lobby's local media blitz has begun. Propaganda from a casino sponsored reporter in Alabama on Wednesday. Today's op-ed in Texas from a former Las Vegas Review-Journal reporter. Sports betting is legal in Texas now. Just dont call it sports betting Opinion https://t.co/b112ouyP87 Sports betting is legal in Texas now. Just dont call it sports betting Opinion https://t.co/b112ouyP87"
X Link 2025-09-12T16:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Baheet_ @trepa_io @SuperteamKorea Augur and Gnosis references are red flags for LLM created content"
X Link 2025-09-14T23:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"One month later: Polymarket's at 99% & Morgan Stanley is now predicting a rate cut. BREAKING: Morgan Stanley says the Fed won't cut rates this year. Polymarket says there's a 90% chance of rate cuts this year. Who do you believe BREAKING: Morgan Stanley says the Fed won't cut rates this year. Polymarket says there's a 90% chance of rate cuts this year. Who do you believe"
X Link 2025-09-16T16:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Now they're calling prediction markets "evil". Former NJ regulator now working in gaming industry urges unity to overcome the evil of PMs. Charlie Kirk isn't even in the ground and rhetoric is escalating again"
X Link 2025-09-18T18:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MessariCrypto The chart doesn't include everything. Solana [--] Base [--] Polygon 19"
X Link 2025-09-23T19:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""During the past [--] years Brett Abarbanel has received funding from the Manitoba Gambling Research Program GP Consulting U.S.-Japan Business Council Wynn Las Vegas Victoria Responsible Gambling Foundation Connecticut Council on Problem Gambling Bermuda Casino Gambling Commission the States of Nevada and California Canadian Partnership for Responsible Gambling iDevelopment and Economic Association GLG Consulting Majestic Star Casinos MGM Resorts International Marina Bay Sands ProPress Germany and Caesars Entertainment.""
X Link 2025-09-24T03:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New study of [----] national security experts: "national security officials intuitions are overwhelmingly overconfident.when study participants estimated that statements had a [--] percent chance of being true those statements were true just [--] percent of the time." In high-stakes environments we rely on expert judgment. But how reliable is that judgment Jeffrey Friedman tackles this question by assessing cognitive bias among [----] national security officials. His findings remind us that expertise is not a shield against overconfidence. https://t.co/dMwgfNcGjf In high-stakes environments we rely"
X Link 2025-09-26T00:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Blind accessibility is the next frontier in Kalshi lawsuits. DraftKings Faces Lawsuit Over Failure To Design Gambling Website for Disabilities #DraftKings #OnlineGambling #ADA https://t.co/nQRzfpy6OL DraftKings Faces Lawsuit Over Failure To Design Gambling Website for Disabilities #DraftKings #OnlineGambling #ADA https://t.co/nQRzfpy6OL"
X Link 2025-09-29T23:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket has begun self-certifying sports and election contracts on the QCEX website"
X Link 2025-10-01T15:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Saquon Barkley is officially confirmed. But Anthony Kiedis and Rick Rubin invested without Flea Also Id like to share the prior two rounds which were never announced. Earlier this year Founders Fund led a $150m round into Polymarket valuing us at $1.2b. Also in this round was Ribbit Valor Point72 Ventures SV Angel [----] 1confirmation Blockchain Capital Coinbase Also Id like to share the prior two rounds which were never announced. Earlier this year Founders Fund led a $150m round into Polymarket valuing us at $1.2b. Also in this round was Ribbit Valor Point72 Ventures SV Angel 1789"
X Link 2025-10-07T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The PA Gaming Board letter was directed to members of Congress. This is about lobbying to kill sports contracts in [----]. Pennsylvania Gaming Head Warns That Prediction Markets Are Significant Threat In his letter dated Oct. [--] Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board Executive Director Kevin OToole writes that: Because sports prediction markets operate under the assertion that they are financial Pennsylvania Gaming Head Warns That Prediction Markets Are Significant Threat In his letter dated Oct. [--] Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board Executive Director Kevin OToole writes that: Because sports"
X Link 2025-10-09T00:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @fiftyonealpha @BlondiePredicts @GerlacherC @setofsevens Don't forget Underdog/Nadex/Cryptocom. And Polymarket/NYSE. And Fan Duel/CME. And Artistole. Someone will eventually buy Railbird even if not DraftKings. It will be harder in [--] years for the casinos to argue that the Interstate Wire Act of [----] applies to CFTC DCMs"
X Link 2025-10-09T14:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Rather than insider trading on the Nobel Peace Prize winner it appears "someone wrote a bot or script that watched the uploads folder or sitemap for new files. When this image appeared they connected the dots." Speculating how the Nobel Peace Prize winner was leaked: Last night I hosted a difficult interview with the alleged insider in the Nobel Peace Prize market on Polymarket. Despite an hour of questions we were still stuck wondering how a trader or team could know Maria https://t.co/4hvRPxCu2J Speculating how the Nobel Peace Prize winner was leaked: Last night I hosted a difficult"
X Link 2025-10-12T16:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"American Gaming Association CEO Bill Miller spoke like a general preparing his army for battle last week at the Global Gaming Expo in Las Vegas . The AGA and our members are mobilizing across every battlefield Miller said. Regulators casinos unite against new gambling gray zone https://t.co/tQRYjtjZBk Regulators casinos unite against new gambling gray zone https://t.co/tQRYjtjZBk"
X Link 2025-10-12T19:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Polymarket It's been a hour. Why isn't Check the Polymarket on the masthead"
X Link 2025-10-12T19:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TradeandMoney @pjchougule @SSGamblers Ok. Then what is WMD"
X Link 2025-10-14T13:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Sharp Alpha UA Fund raised $150 million to focus on prediction markets online gaming and sports media among other sectors. 💰 Prediction markets are reshaping the sports betting world and Sharp Alphas new $150M fund is betting big on it. Lloyd Danzig shares why skin in the game is the future of entertainment ➡ https://t.co/H9iVEl5krp https://t.co/oKW3mKzbvd 💰 Prediction markets are reshaping the sports betting world and Sharp Alphas new $150M fund is betting big on it. Lloyd Danzig shares why skin in the game is the future of entertainment ➡ https://t.co/H9iVEl5krp https://t.co/oKW3mKzbvd"
X Link 2025-10-14T23:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@seth_hettena https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fires-campaign-manager/trump-fires-campaign-manager https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fires-campaign-manager/trump-fires-campaign-manager"
X Link 2024-08-25T01:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@seth_hettena https://manifold.markets/MickBransfield/will-trump-fire-chris-lacivita-befor=TWlja0JyYW5zZmllbGQ https://manifold.markets/MickBransfield/will-trump-fire-chris-lacivita-befor=TWlja0JyYW5zZmllbGQ"
X Link 2024-08-25T01:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Several new "friend of the court" briefs filed in @Kalshi v @CFTC case today. Joseph Grundfest Jeremy Weinstein @paradigm & @ForecastEx. Complete case info: https://mickbransfield.com/2023/11/01/kalshi-legal-case-information/ https://mickbransfield.com/2023/11/01/kalshi-legal-case-information/"
X Link 2024-11-23T03:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Prediction News: ForecastEx Launches [----] Election Markets on Interactive Brokers https://predictionnews.com/news/forecastex-launches-2028-election-markets-interactive-brokers/ https://predictionnews.com/news/forecastex-launches-2028-election-markets-interactive-brokers/"
X Link 2025-02-03T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"In their earnings call Coinbase CEO @brian_armstrong said "people are trying to figure out what's true. And I think prediction markets are a pretty interesting way to get truth about what's actually happening in the world not just around elections but all kinds of things.""
X Link 2025-02-17T23:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Coinbase Q4'24 Earnings Call Transcript: https://s27.q4cdn.com/397450999/files/doc_financials/2024/q4/Q4-24-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf https://s27.q4cdn.com/397450999/files/doc_financials/2024/q4/Q4-24-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf"
X Link 2025-02-17T23:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""This DC-Area Lawyer Wants More Americans Betting on Elections" Profile on @pjchougule in Washingtonian Magazine: https://www.washingtonian.com/2025/07/10/election-betting-on-our-next-president-dc-pratik-chougule/ https://www.washingtonian.com/2025/07/10/election-betting-on-our-next-president-dc-pratik-chougule/"
X Link 2025-07-10T11:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Aside from partnering with Robinhood on '24 Presidential election contracts @ForecastEx trading volume has been negligible in its first year. Article link in comments"
X Link 2025-09-02T15:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@moneyfet1sh @Kalshi @KalshiEco Prediction Markets for X (chrome ext) Polyfactual okbet Monitor the Situation Likely HashDive Event Contract Arbitrage Calculator Flipr Forcazt Caddy betscan ArbBets http://alerts.chat http://wethr.net http://alerts.chat http://wethr.net"
X Link 2025-09-19T23:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The CFTC-regulated prediction market space is about to get very crowded: Today: Kalshi ForecastEx (IBKR) Robinhood (Kalshi) Soon: Underdog (Crypto. com) Railbirds (DraftKings circling) Polymarket US (QCEX) FanDuel (CME) Aristotle (PredictIt) RSBIX PrizePicks Daily fantasy giant PrizePicks just got the green light to ENTER prediction markets Theyre now federally approved to work with platforms like Kalshi meaning DFS players could soon be trading on more than just pickem contests. 👇 https://t.co/jXHqabueGs Daily fantasy giant PrizePicks just got the green light to ENTER prediction markets"
X Link 2025-09-23T17:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"There were only [--] (known) decentralized prediction markets founded before [----]. Today there are [--] about to launch or waitlisted: Bonebets Buzzing Club Clearing Company Converge fireplace Joust Melee Metafide Multiplier not. market Oracle Degen Paradyze ParlayTix Picasso Markets PredictFi Probably RoboRumble Sapience SETTLD. Torch VAZA vMarket Winnr XO Live XO Market SoundStake ChainPredict ICP Flex Sports HYPIQ Macaw MAI Protocol ParlayX PredictBets Predictfully Predictly PredictPrix RavenMarket https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1973751579170746536"
X Link 2025-10-02T14:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@eightyhi @0xperp @ForecastEx Error I've been critical of them and not blocked"
X Link 2025-10-05T19:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Because the Commodity Exchange Act doesn't count if states might lose tax revenue. I think there's a Supreme Court decision about that. Every second states lose tax revenue because insufficiently regulated sports event contracts sidestep state and tribal oversight. See how much is being lost in real time: https://t.co/CevZxrxlMR https://t.co/CXYKkcgkq3 Every second states lose tax revenue because insufficiently regulated sports event contracts sidestep state and tribal oversight. See how much is being lost in real time: https://t.co/CevZxrxlMR https://t.co/CXYKkcgkq3"
X Link 2025-10-24T15:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I've seen Save the Green Planet"
X Link 2025-10-25T21:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Sports event contract cases: Kalshi sue states: NV NJ MD OH NY RH sue states: NV NJ Crypocom sue states: NV MD State sue Kalshi RH: MA Tribes sue Kalshi: CA WI Statute of Anne: MA IL OH KY SC GA Class Action Kalshi: NY False Claim Cryptocom: IL C&D Kashi: MT AZ IL"
X Link 2025-10-27T14:19Z [---] followers, 13.8K engagements
"Churchill Downs CEO on prediction markets: Its very different than sports wagering.We are governed by a specific dedicated federal law about how wagering works on horse racing.You have to have a contract with the content provider thats us. Case in point: here's Churchill Downs' CEO talking last week about what would happen if prediction markets dare dabble in the sport of kings https://t.co/cjPuBJQhqF Case in point: here's Churchill Downs' CEO talking last week about what would happen if prediction markets dare dabble in the sport of kings https://t.co/cjPuBJQhqF"
X Link 2025-10-28T21:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"ForecastEx Odds of a Major Hurricane Landfall Compared to Weather Models"
X Link 2025-10-29T19:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/ibkr-climate-energy/forecastex-odds-of-a-major-hurricane-landfall-compared-to-weather-models/ https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/ibkr-climate-energy/forecastex-odds-of-a-major-hurricane-landfall-compared-to-weather-models/"
X Link 2025-10-29T19:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Then why is Polymarket so well calibrated Reminder that Polymarket is a small manipulatable platform that is easily rigged and that it does not have enough reach volume or traders to be called a real "market." https://t.co/iwX26twdEo Reminder that Polymarket is a small manipulatable platform that is easily rigged and that it does not have enough reach volume or traders to be called a real "market." https://t.co/iwX26twdEo"
X Link 2025-10-30T00:59Z [---] followers, 117.2K engagements
"FYI the site offers a plot of the calibration for polymarket kalshi manifold metaculous. You can adjust it for different time windows including the midway point of the market. http://calibration.city http://calibration.city"
X Link 2025-10-30T11:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@wedoug @il_professore_0 No the data holds up farther out from the resolution. If you actually care the site has calibration at the market midpoints for polymarket Kalshi and others. http://calibration.city http://calibration.city"
X Link 2025-10-30T19:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The gaming industry is desperately trying to pivot from the betting scandal. Now they're comparing Coinbase CEO speaking mention markets to the mob infiltration of the NBA. Is it a double standard @jeffedelstein explores: https://t.co/9AiGWqYjTk Is it a double standard @jeffedelstein explores: https://t.co/9AiGWqYjTk"
X Link 2025-10-31T19:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@carsoncantcode There's no organized crime element to the Coinbase story"
X Link 2025-10-31T19:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@python_dao @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Official statement: https://share.google/ASKAftpEILkEekSoB https://share.google/ASKAftpEILkEekSoB"
X Link 2025-11-01T02:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Kalshi filed motion to dismiss in Blue Lake Rancheria (California tribal case) on Halloween. Requested oral arguments for March 19th. Not seen any early expert analysis. Someone please do a health and welfare check on Wallach and Kim"
X Link 2025-11-01T15:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Nex Kalshi Chief of Staff Alex Cuoci comes from Waymo"
X Link 2025-11-01T18:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"InGame does a deep dive into the best prediction markets sites for sports - Kalshi Polymarket Crypto. com & Robinhood"
X Link 2025-11-02T01:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"InGame: Best Prediction Market Sites For Sports Betting In [----] https://sports.yahoo.com/article/best-prediction-market-sites-sports-033047777.html https://sports.yahoo.com/article/best-prediction-market-sites-sports-033047777.html"
X Link 2025-11-02T01:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Former Democratic congressman has an op-ed in Minnesota supporting prediction markets"
X Link 2025-11-03T13:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi has spent $1.55M on lobbying in its entire history. Casinos/Gambling Lobby spent $39M in [----] alone. To [---] lobbyists of whom 56% are former gov't employees. And this is only at the federal level. That would be federal. Not feeling so confident about the federal court outcomes. Plan B = Congress Hedging (huge) risk. That would be federal. Not feeling so confident about the federal court outcomes. Plan B = Congress Hedging (huge) risk"
X Link 2025-11-04T00:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi hires new Head of Sports Partnerships. Previously worked for DraftKings and the NY Mets"
X Link 2025-11-04T00:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"If the gambling lawyers are right and Kalshi is declared illegal gambling in New York and then NY's law banning election gambling kicks in will NY gambling advertising prohibitions also apply to election contracts 🗳Election Day in the US Track live prediction markets on @TheTerminal with WSL ELECTION GO & WSL MOSP GO. https://t.co/k8fCEfwKRv 🗳Election Day in the US Track live prediction markets on @TheTerminal with WSL ELECTION GO & WSL MOSP GO. https://t.co/k8fCEfwKRv"
X Link 2025-11-04T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Genius Sports earnings call today and another mention of the company wanting to partner with prediction markets but weary of being targeted by regulators"
X Link 2025-11-04T23:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf https://mickbransfield.com/2024/01/18/the-last-25-years-of-the-iowa-electronic-markets/ https://mickbransfield.com/2024/01/18/the-last-25-years-of-the-iowa-electronic-markets/"
X Link 2025-11-05T12:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"From Monday's court hearing in Ohio: If Kalshi is gambling then other non-sports markets will be outlawed"
X Link 2025-11-05T19:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"DraftKings is now hiring for prediction market roles. (This is for informational purposes only. I've no relationship with the company so please don't DM me.)"
X Link 2025-11-05T23:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""Overall our algorithm classifies nearly 25% of Polymarkets historical volume as activity consistent with wash trading and flags 14% of the [----] million wallets which have ever traded on the platform." Just posted: paper on the detection of wash trading with application to @Polymarket (with @allensirolly @hongyaoma and @ykanoria) https://t.co/2mE2PK3mr9 Just posted: paper on the detection of wash trading with application to @Polymarket (with @allensirolly @hongyaoma and @ykanoria) https://t.co/2mE2PK3mr9"
X Link 2025-11-06T23:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Here's an updated list of CFTC-regulated prediction markets after recent announcements: Today: Kalshi ForecastEx Crypto .com Closed Beta: Polymarket US Soon: Underdog DraftKings FanDuel Aristotle RSBIX PrizePicks Coinbase Truth Predict Hollywood .com MyPrize Gemini ProphetX"
X Link 2025-11-10T13:46Z [---] followers, 26.2K engagements
"@justseels Exactly. Polymarket bought QCEX. DraftKings bought Railbird. FanDuel partners with CME while Underdog Truth Predict Hollywood and MyPrize partner with Crypto .com"
X Link 2025-11-10T18:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lobbyist & former legislator is using NBA & MLB betting scandals to target prediction markets in Kentucky even though they weren't involved. He implies the state can also ban Kalshi awards contracts (ie Oscars Emmys)"
X Link 2025-11-10T19:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@N0DTE Kraken"
X Link 2025-11-11T05:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PrizePicks Partners with Polymarket for Prediction Markets Expansion"
X Link 2025-11-11T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PrizePicks Partners with Polymarket for Prediction Markets Expansion"
X Link 2025-11-11T13:25Z [---] followers, 15.5K engagements
"Charles Schwab (the company) is worried about an industry that Charles Schwab (the person) invested in. https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1732803178461086104 Charles Schwabs CEO Is Worried About Prediction Markets. What He Told Thousands of Financial Advisors. https://t.co/DyRygaHz7j via @BarronsOnline https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1732803178461086104 Charles Schwabs CEO Is Worried About Prediction Markets. What He Told Thousands of Financial Advisors. https://t.co/DyRygaHz7j via @BarronsOnline"
X Link 2025-11-11T18:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Free advice to prediction market influencers and content creators: if you reference Augur or Gnosis we know you're copying & pasting slop. (Both platforms are trailblazers but neither is operating right now)"
X Link 2025-11-12T17:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kalshi v. Hendrick hearing. Judge Gordon: the fight is if the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction"
X Link 2025-11-14T17:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kalshi is asking for a stay upon appeal if injunction against Nevada Gaming Control Board is dissolved"
X Link 2025-11-14T20:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Robinhood hiring for its prediction markets team. Not sure if this is good or bad for Kalshi. (I'm not involved with either company. Please don't DM me.)"
X Link 2025-11-15T17:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I can't find the hug market on Kalshi that Judge Gordon kept referencing during Friday's hearing. Does anyone know which one he was talking about @SSGamblers"
X Link 2025-11-16T01:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In August a casino lawyer accused Kalshi of having markets on Zelenskyy wearing a suit. (They don't it was Poly) On Friday the Judge was fixated on Kalshi having "hug" markets. (Again it was Poly) NV legal system comes off as desperately protecting their golden goose. Did a defense attorney misrepresent Kalshi contracts to the judge in Nevada lawsuit hearing The infamous suit contracts were on Polymarket. Full transcript in comments. https://t.co/EPfcO7W4cW Did a defense attorney misrepresent Kalshi contracts to the judge in Nevada lawsuit hearing The infamous suit contracts were on"
X Link 2025-11-17T18:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"You want our credit card info and you're trusted by the top traders on Augur okay this is actually wild 👀 @PolymarketSport just followed us. we've been building AI forecasting tools for prediction markets quietly testing with 76% accuracy across 10k+ predictions. and now the biggest name in the space is paying attention. not sure if we should play https://t.co/mWzPJ1vohw okay this is actually wild 👀 @PolymarketSport just followed us. we've been building AI forecasting tools for prediction markets quietly testing with 76% accuracy across 10k+ predictions. and now the biggest name in the"
X Link 2025-11-18T15:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheStalwart Larry Summers should be available"
X Link 2025-11-18T18:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"At first I assumed the op-ed was a parody - a medical doctor from the Pain Relief Institute criticizing prediction markets in South Dakota - but it looks like this is real. The casino lobby isn't even making an effort"
X Link 2025-11-18T18:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Nevada did it again Third straight hearing where lawyer/judge cites a market that doesn't actually exist on Kalshi (but does on Polymarket). You got to respect their moxie for not knowing the facts. At some point the shame falls on Kalshi lawyers for letting it happen"
X Link 2025-11-18T20:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DeathbyCeltics The judge must have gone on a 20-minute line of questioning Friday about these Kalshi hug markets that don't exist. I'm not sure what the equivalent example to hugging would be but he clearly doesn't know/care about what's being offered on Kalshi versus offshore exchanges"
X Link 2025-11-18T20:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Good for them but this seems like an uphill battle in Canada .The country banned binary options contracts in [----]. Ontario is targeting prediction markets like Polymarket as gambling. TRUEiGTECH Launches Canada-Aligned Prediction-Market Platform Covering Multiple Domains https://t.co/BOsSgASON6 #Technology TRUEiGTECH Launches Canada-Aligned Prediction-Market Platform Covering Multiple Domains https://t.co/BOsSgASON6 #Technology"
X Link 2025-11-19T00:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"NY regulators planning to target gaming operators who "participate" prediction markets"
X Link 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New York regulator will reassess licenses of prediction market participants https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/ https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/"
X Link 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"NY regulators planning to target gaming operators who "participate" prediction markets"
X Link 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New York regulator will reassess licenses of prediction market participants https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/ https://sbcamericas.com/2025/11/19/new-york-regulator-props-predictions/"
X Link 2025-11-20T03:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Looks like more Kalshi lawsuits coming in California"
X Link 2025-11-20T20:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf It's the offshore version. They can't on the CFTC regulated exchange. I always thought polymarket should have an onion futures market to point out the ridiculousness of the two banned commodities"
X Link 2025-11-23T20:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf Especially with Nevada judges and lawyers conflating Polymarket's offshore offerings with markets on regulated US exchanges"
X Link 2025-11-23T20:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @KolemanStrumpf No box office futures ban is in there. Blanche Lincoln inserted it at the request of MPAA"
X Link 2025-11-23T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@KolemanStrumpf @BillyPolcha Cantor Fitzgerald and another exchange were approved to offer movie box office contracts by the CFTC in June [----]. Lincoln stuck the ban in Dodd-Frank which passed July [----] and there was no grandfather clause for the previously approved exchanges"
X Link 2025-11-23T22:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @KolemanStrumpf Media derivatives (Trend Exchange) claims have spent $30 million on the CFTC approval process only to have their contracts banned a few weeks later"
X Link 2025-11-23T22:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @KolemanStrumpf Sorry I wasn't clear - Lincoln inserted the language banning box office futures into Dodd Frank. CFTC had approve box office futures weeks prior and Lincoln didn't consult the Commission when drafting the ban"
X Link 2025-11-23T23:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Mike Novogratzs Galaxy Digital is in discussions with Polymarket and Kalshi about becoming a liquidity provider on their platforms as prediction markets continue to capture retail demand and pique interest on Wall Street https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/novogratz-s-galaxy-digital-experimenting-in-prediction-marketsutm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/novogratz-s-galaxy-digital-experimenting-in-prediction-marketsutm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter"
X Link 2025-11-25T01:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""These emerging markets pose a genuine threat to the current licensed and regulated gaming industry and to the tax revenues that support local state and tribal economies.""
X Link 2025-11-25T15:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Is Robinhood buying a DCM a greater threat to Kalshi than the NV Judge lifting the injunction I got baited by @vladtenev https://t.co/hTtfC2i9DW I got baited by @vladtenev https://t.co/hTtfC2i9DW"
X Link 2025-11-25T23:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This has to be really awkward after Kalshi losing in Court yesterday"
X Link 2025-11-26T23:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New suit filed against Kalshi last week in Illinois. Plaintiff is a "bounty hunter" suing Kalshi for losses by @eightyhi"
X Link 2025-11-27T23:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@brettcannon @eightyhi https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71936635/lavery-v-kalshi-inc/ https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71936635/lavery-v-kalshi-inc/"
X Link 2025-11-27T23:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Buried the lede. Two key points about Kalshi Trading that should have been divulged before now: Its not profitable. Less than 6% of the making volume on sports markets I try to avoid engaging with stupid lies on X but this is a pure smear campaign. This account and others are being paid by our competitor to amplify a baseless lawsuit. The allegations are false and reveal a fundamental (and maybe intentional) misunderstanding of how these https://t.co/lptGJmUVJX I try to avoid engaging with stupid lies on X but this is a pure smear campaign. This account and others are being paid by our"
X Link 2025-11-28T18:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Another Lavery lawsuit Targeting Novig and the parent company of InGame. Previous suits targeted Crypto .com & Kalshi"
X Link 2025-11-28T22:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"These numbers can't be right. The casino media has clearly and repeatedly told us that Kalshi's growth plateaued. With data as of November [--] @Kalshi is about to surpass 5B in Total Monthly Contracts Traded. It currently sits at around 4.95B contracts traded this month and if this pace continues @Kalshi is expected to close November [----] with over 5.5B contracts traded setting a new ATH https://t.co/mES2WwlZ1X With data as of November [--] @Kalshi is about to surpass 5B in Total Monthly Contracts Traded. It currently sits at around 4.95B contracts traded this month and if this pace continues"
X Link 2025-11-29T21:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Domer looks nothing like Ryan Gosling. Domer won $250000 betting on the [----] Republican vice presidential nominee. https://t.co/Sox4RFtU87 https://t.co/4ycJNkP0EW Domer won $250000 betting on the [----] Republican vice presidential nominee. https://t.co/Sox4RFtU87 https://t.co/4ycJNkP0EW"
X Link 2025-12-01T05:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"CRM-114 was referenced in four of Stanley Kubrick's movies in some way: Dr. Strangelove (1964) as a piece of destroyed radio equipment; 2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) on an escape pod; A Clockwork Orange (1971) as an experimental drug given to Alex; Eyes Wide Shut (1999) as the location of a mortuary. : r/MovieDetails https://share.google/7i4X6TGN6kqpYKVeg https://share.google/7i4X6TGN6kqpYKVeg"
X Link 2025-12-01T14:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@WALLACHLEGAL I don't share your optimism"
X Link 2025-12-01T21:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@kalshidata @Kalshi @KalshiEco Lies If we compare odd numbered Wednesdays over the past two months Kalshi volume is clearly not increasing"
X Link 2025-12-02T13:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"New academic paper reviews the history and structures of decentralized prediction markets"
X Link 2025-12-02T20:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""SoK: Market Microstructure for Decentralized Prediction Markets (DePMs)" by Nahid Rahman Joseph Al-Chami & Jeremy Clark https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15612 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.15612"
X Link 2025-12-02T20:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JohnHolbein1 The methodology (greater than 50% = yes) is silly. Here's a more thoughtful paper using market calibration: https://www.karlwhelan.com/Papers/Kalshi.pdf https://www.karlwhelan.com/Papers/Kalshi.pdf"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""Binghamton Universitys Prediction and Financial Markets Association hosted the first round of its inaugural event the Kalshi Market Pricing Case Competition on Nov. 14." This seemed random until the article cited Jeff Yass and an alum"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New prediction market club launches inaugural Kalshi case competition https://www.bupipedream.com/news/new-prediction-market-club-launches-inaugural-kalshi-case-competition/173660/ https://www.bupipedream.com/news/new-prediction-market-club-launches-inaugural-kalshi-case-competition/173660/"
X Link 2025-12-03T01:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Please stop the contrarin take engagement bait. Prediction markets are very well calibrated. With an immense amount of data 50%=Yes makes no sense. Below are 300K+ markets plotted against their likelihood. This is not luck. This is a super interesting new paper on prediction markets and elections that suggests there are plenty of inefficiencies left for traders to exploit. I've seen a couple of misinterpretations of the findings out there that are worth thinking more about: (1) The low accuracy This is a super interesting new paper on prediction markets and elections that suggests there are"
X Link 2025-12-03T22:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"New Kalshi lawsuit in CT makes [--] sports event contract cases in various states: PM sue state: NV NJ MD OH NY CT State sue PM: MA Tribe sue Kalshi: CA WI Class action: NY NY False Claims: IL Statute of Anne: OH KY IL MA SC GA IL C&Ds with no suits: MT AZ IL"
X Link 2025-12-04T00:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"CFTC-regulated prediction markets (12/3/2025): Live Kalshi ForecastEx Robinhood Crypto. com Underdog PrizePicks Polymarket Fanatics Soon FanDuel DraftKings Coinbase Aristotle RSBIX Truth Predict Hollywood. com MyPrize Kraken Gemini ProphetX eToro Cboe Clearing Co Metavesco"
X Link 2025-12-04T01:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@wiimee @JeongHaeju @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket No they're not. They're designed to reward diverse information"
X Link 2025-12-04T14:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Different people bringing diverse information to the marketplace. Studies have shown the diversity of the information is more important than the number of traders. If everyone is using the same source or methodology that's not going to make the market reflective of the true probability"
X Link 2025-12-04T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I can't wait for Judge Gordon to reference this to Kalshi. A Google insider has officially been exposed on Polymarket. This dude just profited $1000000 in a single day betting on the Google search markets. Google accidentally pushed the results early then removed them but not before it revealed he went 22/23 on his bets and https://t.co/44raBXoD4x A Google insider has officially been exposed on Polymarket. This dude just profited $1000000 in a single day betting on the Google search markets. Google accidentally pushed the results early then removed them but not before it revealed he went"
X Link 2025-12-04T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Not enough discussion about decentralized exchanges making regulation futile in the future. You won't have a Black Friday for offshore PMs like with poker sites. Markets on protocols not platforms. Noncustodial wallets. Shares are fungible and trade off exchange. Resolution through third parties. These features already exist but eventually someone will put them all together in a workable manner. MetaMask Prediction Markets are LIVE. 🔮 The fastest easiest way to make onchain predictions - powered by @polymarket now built natively into MetaMask Mobile. Trade the worlds biggest questions on the"
X Link 2025-12-04T23:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BillyPolcha @sam_mcquill This is the best data I've seen on whether gamblers will adopt prediction markets"
X Link 2025-12-05T14:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Thread on the most confusing aspect of the various prediction market lawsuits: the "Statute of Anne" from [----]. There are currently [--] lawsuits citing this law against Kalshi in KY IL MA OH SC GA NY and IL"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lawsuit #7 came in the form of a class action lawsuit in New York (Yee v. KalshiEX LLC)"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Lawsuit #8 came on 11/19/25 from Mark Lavery suing in Illinois federal court on behalf of a former Kalshi employee (without informing said employee). Lavery describes himself as a "bounty hunter" motivated by the death of his wife"
X Link 2025-12-05T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Kalshi is sponsoring the DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup on Wednesday Dec 17th from 6-9pm They're spending their billions on upgrading the location to The Flying Mexican in Capitol Hill near the Eastern Market metro station (orange/blue/silver lines). RSVP below:"
X Link 2025-12-08T02:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Massachusetts State AG lawsuit against Kalshi: Judge won't issue a decision until January and will call both parties back before the decision takes effect"
X Link 2025-12-09T17:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Nothing can give PMs credibility like Jake Paul. (I guess this means Andrew Tate and Mr. Beast are coming too)"
X Link 2025-12-10T02:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"🧵 Metric manipulation is when someone switches between metric definitions to obscure the true trend. Dustin Gouker is constantly changing the time windows for Kalshi volume. By moving the goalposts back and forth he make Kalshi growth seem flat when it is exploding"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Here is Kalshi monthly volume through Dec 10:"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, 37.1K engagements
"Here is Kalshi weekly volume through Dec 10:"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Here is Kalshi daily volume through Dec 10:"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheNotoriousSKi @nigeleccles @DustinGouker He is pushing an agenda and is effective. I'm getting asked once a week about why Kalshi stopped growing b/c people believe him and the data sleight of hand"
X Link 2025-12-10T23:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Washington State regulators take a shot at prediction markets and traders. "Offering events-based contracts or participating in these markets is not authorized in Washington State.""
X Link 2025-12-11T01:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Washington regulator believes prediction markets offer unauthorized activity https://sbcamericas.com/2025/12/10/washington-prediction-markets-notice/ https://sbcamericas.com/2025/12/10/washington-prediction-markets-notice/"
X Link 2025-12-11T01:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Buried the lede: No Polymarket. "Kalshi and Crypto. com will announce Thursday that they have convened an alliance to create the Washington D.C.-based Coalition for Prediction Markets." + Robinhood Coinbase and Underdog Prediction markets launch coalition amid sports betting fight https://t.co/iYdPFWfhU7 "Kalshi and Crypto. com will announce Thursday that they have convened an alliance to create the Washington D.C.-based Coalition for Prediction Markets." + Robinhood Coinbase and Underdog Prediction markets launch coalition amid sports betting fight https://t.co/iYdPFWfhU7"
X Link 2025-12-11T13:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"American Gaming Association executive leaves for Sports Betting Alliance (DraftKings FanDuel Fanatics BetMGM Bet365). DK & FD recently left the AGA. Read the full announcement: https://t.co/OOl2Szo5aD Read the full announcement: https://t.co/OOl2Szo5aD"
X Link 2025-12-11T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""a winning position on Kalshi can now be tokenized and used as collateral borrowed against lent out integrated into automated strategies or dropped into any on-chain portfolio." Earlier this week the CFTC announced the launch of a pilot programthat will allow certain digital assets such as Bitcoin Ethereum and USDC to be used ascollateralin derivatives markets. Here's what that means for Kalshi and other prediction market platforms 🔽 Earlier this week the CFTC announced the launch of a pilot programthat will allow certain digital assets such as Bitcoin Ethereum and USDC to be used"
X Link 2025-12-11T21:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Selig's nomination one of the [--] advanced in the Senate. It sounds like he'll get a confirmation vote next week. US Senate advances dozens more Trump nominees including South Africa pick https://t.co/9BinyohNrz US Senate advances dozens more Trump nominees including South Africa pick https://t.co/9BinyohNrz"
X Link 2025-12-12T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Nostroah This needed to be done a long time ago. Gambling industry is spending 20x more than Kalshi/Polymarket on lobbying. Even if they equalize that today and they probably can't it still doesn't catch up with the decades of relationships cultivated"
X Link 2025-12-12T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Robinhood appealed Nevada District Court ruling to Ninth Circuit (25-7831). That makes [--] cases on appeal: Kalshi Crypto .com Robinhood from Nevada and Blue Lake Rancheria tribal case from California"
X Link 2025-12-13T01:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi_Culture Kubrick agreed to let King make his 90s mini-series version on condition that he couldn't criticize Kubrick's film"
X Link 2025-12-13T01:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@astraffon @hannaherinlang It will always be funny to me that Charles Schwab disagrees with Charles Schwab. https://x.com/i/status/1732803178461086104 It was incredible hosting Charles Schwab in the office this morning On how he built @CharlesSchwab into the enduring institution it is today: "Inch by inch day by day." https://t.co/3DEgH7TRV4 https://x.com/i/status/1732803178461086104 It was incredible hosting Charles Schwab in the office this morning On how he built @CharlesSchwab into the enduring institution it is today: "Inch by inch day by day." https://t.co/3DEgH7TRV4"
X Link 2025-12-13T02:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@forgetfu1soul @Kalshi_Culture He did after he sold the film rights. This has been reported before including Kubrick biographies but it's been so long that I don't remember the details. Feel free to Google it"
X Link 2025-12-13T17:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@peterwildeford The guy who built @PredictIt made headlines in college for writing a paper on building a nuclear bomb. That was [--] years ago"
X Link 2025-12-15T00:52Z [---] followers, 26.1K engagements
"Judge in Kalshi lawsuit against NY State Gaming Commission denies request for oral arguments"
X Link 2025-12-15T21:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"First class action lawsuit against Kalshi in New York state appears to be going to arbitration. (I'll defer to the legal influencers about the meaning of this.)"
X Link 2025-12-16T22:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Are these Robinhood's own prediction markets via MIAX acquisition or is Vlad reselling Kalshi markets as their own @Nostroah @eightyhi Meet preset combos. Handpicked combinations of popular outcomes bundled so you can trade them all at once with a single tap. Both preset combos and player contracts are rolling out starting today. Custom combos will begin rolling out in January. #RobinhoodPresents Meet preset combos. Handpicked combinations of popular outcomes bundled so you can trade them all at once with a single tap. Both preset combos and player contracts are rolling out starting today."
X Link 2025-12-17T02:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""however Pennsylvania has legal language in place to tax sports wagers taken by such apps state lawmakers were told Tuesday one possible way to rein in what officials described as gambling masquerading as financial services with increasingly dire consequences.""
X Link 2025-12-17T03:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Pa. gaming board warns casinos against prediction market apps wants state to tax sports trades https://www.pennlive.com/news/2025/12/pa-gaming-board-warns-casinos-against-prediction-market-apps-wants-state-to-tax-sports-trades.html https://www.pennlive.com/news/2025/12/pa-gaming-board-warns-casinos-against-prediction-market-apps-wants-state-to-tax-sports-trades.html"
X Link 2025-12-17T03:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Polymarket retention rate in the most recent Keyrock-Dune report. (Note traders can use multiple wallets on Polymarket offshore). In collaboration with @Dune weve released our prediction markets report. Its a data-backed dive into how they are becoming core information and hedging infrastructure across crypto media and institutional finance with insights from over [--] contributors. Find out more 👇 https://t.co/k2Lhwiha8V In collaboration with @Dune weve released our prediction markets report. Its a data-backed dive into how they are becoming core information and hedging infrastructure across"
X Link 2025-12-17T15:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@AlexTran677026 If he thinks Oceans [--] is even remotely watchable then it explains his recent output"
X Link 2025-12-17T15:29Z [---] followers, 15.9K engagements
"@mar2vickers @AlexTran677026 There are bad films with great cinematography. But the illogical plot twist making the second half of the film moot Julia Robert' character pretending to be Julia Roberts It's the forerunner to today's Soderbergh. Pretty with 1-2 great set pieces but otherwise very dumb"
X Link 2025-12-17T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Selig's mentor is Chairman of Polymarket's Advisory Board. Davis Wright Tremaine: "The Likely Road Ahead for the CFTC" https://t.co/oaxekWzfgJ Davis Wright Tremaine: "The Likely Road Ahead for the CFTC" https://t.co/oaxekWzfgJ"
X Link 2025-12-19T15:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Too many stories about trading need more like this about long-term consequences. "Bond and equity markets react to political or regulatory events but those signals are often blended with earnings liquidity and macro noise.Prediction markets isolate the question itself.""
X Link 2025-12-21T00:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New paper compares Polymarket earnings expectation markets to analyst forecasts. Researchers find that PMs are: - more accurate - contain more information than analysts - less biased Full article below"
X Link 2025-12-21T22:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""Financial Prediction Markets: A New Measure of Earnings Expectation" by Roberto Gomez-Cram Yunhan Guo Theis Ingerslev Jensen & Howard Kung https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5933475 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfmabstract_id=5933475"
X Link 2025-12-21T22:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@0xd1namit @Polymarket Has anyone compared a large sample of competing probabilities from sportbooks and PMs"
X Link 2025-12-21T23:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Regulated PM space: Live: Kalshi Webull ForecastEx Robinhood Crypto. com Underdog PrizePicks Polymarket Fanatics DraftKings Gemini FanDuel Soon: Coinbase Aristotle RSBIX Truth Predict Hollywood. com MyPrize Kraken ProphetX eToro Cboe Clearing Co Metavesco Matchbook Bitnomial"
X Link 2025-12-22T20:01Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements
"The newly launched @KalshiResearch is hosting a "Prediction Markets Conference" in March 2026:"
X Link 2025-12-22T20:27Z [---] followers, 14.1K engagements
"New paper ("KalshiBench") uses Kalshi markets to evaluate whether LLMs can quantity uncertainty. Article below"
X Link 2025-12-22T23:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""One of the first things we announced after the round was our plan to expand internationally. Brazil means a lot to me. I really want us to operate there. Were still studying how to do it but I hope we can announce something in early 2026.""
X Link 2025-12-23T04:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Kalshi eyes Brazil as part of global expansion plans https://valorinternational.globo.com/markets/news/2025/12/22/kalshi-eyes-brazil-as-part-of-global-expansion-plans.ghtml https://valorinternational.globo.com/markets/news/2025/12/22/kalshi-eyes-brazil-as-part-of-global-expansion-plans.ghtml"
X Link 2025-12-23T04:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Today marks one full year of sports event contracts. Launch by crypto .com (not Kalshi) during the Biden (not Trump) admin under Behnam (not Pham) chairmanship"
X Link 2025-12-23T12:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The fear of journalists being replaced by markets is palpable. "But journalists are not prophets and at present the future is intruding too much into what counts as 'news'""
X Link 2025-12-26T14:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New paper on Iowa Electronic Markets the longest-running prediction market (and illegal gambling according to PA Gaming Control). Below is plot of [--] years of election markets. These are numeric outcomes on vote share not binary Yes/No & historically more accurate than polls"
X Link 2025-12-27T19:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""Peering into the Black Box: Trader Strategies and Price Formation in the Iowa Electronic Markets" by Thomas S. Gruca and Thomas A. Rietz: https://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/IEM%20Strategies.pdf https://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/IEM%20Strategies.pdf"
X Link 2025-12-27T19:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Today's dishonest hit piece on Kalshi comes from The Intercept: -Original article title falsely claimed Kalshi offers war markets -Conflates Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) & Polymarket (unregulated off-shore) markets -Cites the silly Vanderbilt PM study with cherry-picked data"
X Link 2025-12-29T14:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New play-money prediction market @thesuper_market launches after midnight NYE (ET). Market creators can keep private price information for themselves or to sell. Also cash prizes for market creation in January:"
X Link 2025-12-30T01:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Judge Oliver schedules Connecticut prediction market oral arguments on back-to-back days. -Coinbase on Feb [--] -Kalsh on Feb [--] NEW: The Coinbase v. Connecticut prediction markets case has been transferred to U.S. District Judge Vernon D. Oliver who is presiding over the earlier-filed Kalshi lawsuit. Oral argument in that case is scheduled for Feb. 12th in the Hartford federal courthouse. https://t.co/8E6Gmyuewb NEW: The Coinbase v. Connecticut prediction markets case has been transferred to U.S. District Judge Vernon D. Oliver who is presiding over the earlier-filed Kalshi lawsuit. Oral"
X Link 2025-12-30T01:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Buried the lede: Prediction markets using crypto assets face full implementation of the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation in July [----]. MiCA contains strict market abuse regimes that will apply to crypto PMs. The business of predicting the future is booming despite EU pushback ➡ https://t.co/tDzBidp19J https://t.co/zpxifg543i The business of predicting the future is booming despite EU pushback ➡ https://t.co/tDzBidp19J https://t.co/zpxifg543i"
X Link 2025-12-30T15:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing