# ![@McClellanOsc Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::111988112.png) @McClellanOsc Tom McClellan

Tom McClellan posts on X about stocks, money, gold, up to the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::111988112/interactions)
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- [--] Month [---------] +700%
- [--] Months [----------] +173%
- [--] Year [----------] -25%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::111988112/posts_active)
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- [--] Month [--] +11%
- [--] Months [---] +38%
- [--] Year [---] -12%

### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::111988112/followers)
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- [--] Week [-------] +0.36%
- [--] Month [-------] +16%
- [--] Months [-------] +23%
- [--] Year [-------] +32%

### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::111988112/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::111988112/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #1157 [countries](/list/countries)  5.7% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  3.16% [stocks](/list/stocks)  #3015 [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  1.9% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  1.9% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  1.9% [currencies](/list/currencies)  #770 [social networks](/list/social-networks)  0.63% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.63%

**Social topic influence**
[stocks](/topic/stocks) #170, [money](/topic/money) #2432, [gold](/topic/gold) #921, [up to](/topic/up-to) #1601, [target](/topic/target) 3.8%, [solar](/topic/solar) 3.8%, [tom](/topic/tom) #76, [in the](/topic/in-the) 3.8%, [ai](/topic/ai) 3.16%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 3.16%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@heskelbalas](/creator/undefined) [@claudiasahm](/creator/undefined) [@davidbcollum](/creator/undefined) [@mercurialdad](/creator/undefined) [@markungewitter](/creator/undefined) [@fraggedfigment](/creator/undefined) [@e_a_r_workout](/creator/undefined) [@tonyclimate](/creator/undefined) [@factormembers](/creator/undefined) [@atc6955](/creator/undefined) [@allenbilliams](/creator/undefined) [@thejefflutz](/creator/undefined) [@pmaloney33](/creator/undefined) [@holycow52943968](/creator/undefined) [@mambamentalz](/creator/undefined) [@dershasta](/creator/undefined) [@covid_quest](/creator/undefined) [@viralpatel15](/creator/undefined) [@iron100usa](/creator/undefined) [@pizzintwatch](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"I don't know if the Atlanta Fed's GDP estimate of 5+% growth is valid but I do know that the big "commercial" traders of lumber futures are net long in a big way which is a sign of a bottoming condition for lumber prices. Please note that there was a big change in the personality of these COT Report data after a change in the contract specifications in early [----] with much bigger amplitudes now. It is also a tiny futures market with total open interest of only [-----] contracts as of this past week's data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012599189289787455)  2026-01-17T18:53Z 142.8K followers, 19.4K engagements


"@KHerriage Gold did not pause at $3000 nor $4000. Those prices only matter to traders who think in dollars which is a minority of all global gold traders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2016324011232518286)  2026-01-28T01:34Z 142.7K followers, 12.8K engagements


"The name change did not mark the exact top moment but it was pretty close. 1/6 10% of the outstanding $BTC is held by $MSTR and the [--] Spot BTC ETFs. These are the ways normies hold $BTC in regulated brokerage accounts. Collectively the avg purchase price is $85.36K meaning the average is now $8k underwater with an unrealized loss of $7B. 🧵 https://t.co/KLdTWPUfBv 1/6 10% of the outstanding $BTC is held by $MSTR and the [--] Spot BTC ETFs. These are the ways normies hold $BTC in regulated brokerage accounts. Collectively the avg purchase price is $85.36K meaning the average is now $8k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2018083186442748180)  2026-02-01T22:05Z 142.7K followers, 33.2K engagements


"@viralpatel15 @Claudia_Sahm So if the unemployment rate is high you would want a higher FF target rate Is that your assertion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2018524035806806446)  2026-02-03T03:16Z 142.8K followers, [---] engagements


"Gold's bounce is like a bungee jump. Or like the other analogy. What goes down like a bungee jump recoils like a bungee jump. What goes down like a bungee jump recoils like a bungee jump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2018757155260891635)  2026-02-03T18:43Z 142.7K followers, 42.9K engagements


"Thank you for your consideration of my proposal that the Fed should use the 2-year T-Note yield to set its Fed Funds target. I would like to address the concerns you raised as well as the big one you did not address. On the issue of circularity you noted that traders of the 2-year T-Note set the prices they trade at based on expectations of what the Fed will do. I agree with this and would note that these traders have proven to do such a good job of that task that they should be consulted more. It is an obvious truth that the FF target lags the 2-year and this is the problem. When the FOMC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2018775684769042574)  2026-02-03T19:56Z 142.8K followers, 55.7K engagements


"@WAPolicyGreen 2nd Derivative: I have strong feelings about people who have strong feelings about curling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019167186762473574)  2026-02-04T21:52Z 142.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@TonyClimate Do you think that the park honchos will be smart enough to renovate that launch ramp given this opportunity while it is dry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019168594857509072)  2026-02-04T21:58Z 142.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@factor_members @Claudia_Sahm I don't agree that it is all the Fed's fault. Congress running deficits deserves more of the blame. The FOMC should come down en masse and explain that to both houses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019169916260348140)  2026-02-04T22:03Z 142.7K followers, [----] engagements


""Nasdaq is contemplating the introduction of a 'fast inclusion' rule to expedite the incorporation of newly listed large companies into its index. According to Odaily the proposed amendment would allow new listings to join the Nasdaq [---] Index after just [--] trading days significantly reducing the current waiting period of at least three months. This initiative aims to ensure the index more accurately reflects market conditions." Like for example a big space-related company not yet public."  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019173898722632000)  2026-02-04T22:19Z 142.7K followers, 18.8K engagements


"Almost had a 3rd Hindenburg Omen on Feb. [--]. Preliminary numbers for both NH and NL were high enough but the NYSE's McClellan A-D Oscillator went back up above zero so that requirement moots the NH and NL numbers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019175948789379223)  2026-02-04T22:27Z 142.8K followers, 26.7K engagements


"The kids who would call that a H&S should never be listened to. Horrible symmetry of LS to RS. Incorrectly drawn neckline. Garbage technical analysis. A better case can be made that the supposed RS is a flag structure. I think the kids call this a head-and-shoulders top. Right shoulder even lower than the left. Textbook. #bitcoin https://t.co/YFM0zZnFBr I think the kids call this a head-and-shoulders top. Right shoulder even lower than the left. Textbook. #bitcoin https://t.co/YFM0zZnFBr"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019518819740577794)  2026-02-05T21:09Z 142.7K followers, 30.4K engagements


"Great chart. It has been said that crypto is "programmable money." If so $BTC should trade like software stocks. And this chart shows they do. Is the era of AI Agents which is killing SaaS and smashing software stocks is "programmable money" suffering under the same fate https://t.co/psuIgxkOyM It has been said that crypto is "programmable money." If so $BTC should trade like software stocks. And this chart shows they do. Is the era of AI Agents which is killing SaaS and smashing software stocks is "programmable money" suffering under the same fate https://t.co/psuIgxkOyM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019546905311850801)  2026-02-05T23:01Z 142.8K followers, 24.9K engagements


"@_ClimateCraze That picture comes from a satirical Facebook page called "Casper Planet" known for parody posts about local Wyoming news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019553885174821062)  2026-02-05T23:29Z 142.7K followers, [---] engagements


"@IRON100USA Your first sentence does not explain the 4-month lag"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019616029165629669)  2026-02-06T03:35Z 142.8K followers, [---] engagements


"DJIA is trading at a new all-time intraday high now (for those who celebrate)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019789700320411732)  2026-02-06T15:06Z 142.8K followers, 10.6K engagements


"@paulmatleo Grasso was the PT Barnum of exchange honchos. Great promoter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019796317330149593)  2026-02-06T15:32Z 142.7K followers, [---] engagements


"When lumber prices fall so do timber prices which takes away the incentive to cut down all of the forests. Note: scales not equivalent and January timber price data is not yet available. Also there is a limit to how high timber prices will chase lumber as COVID showed us. The high lumber prices then came about because mills could not work fast enough to meet demand due to workforce issues not due to log shortages. That was personally unfortunate for me as I did a small harvest of my timber property in [----] and did not get as much out of the lumber spike as I had been hoping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019893319095214081)  2026-02-06T21:57Z 142.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@atc6955 @pizzintwatch @BillAckman You make the point your way and Ill make it my way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2020341213971558826)  2026-02-08T03:37Z 142.7K followers, [---] engagements


"@heskelbalas @its_GTdawg Yes that one depicting solar panels on the moon hence the topic of the thread about solar panels ON THE MOON"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021308590707929264)  2026-02-10T19:41Z 142.9K followers, [---] engagements


"I greatly appreciate that answer and have a new question. My local water district has purchased ($) big Calgon carbon filters because of PFAS in groundwater. My understanding is that the filter media then go to a hazmat landfill. Can your process instead take in those filter media for more sanitary elimination of these molecules And can you do it economically to compete with landfill prices https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017282839361032216 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017282839361032216"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2017282839361032216)  2026-01-30T17:04Z 143K followers, [--] engagements


"AAPL's main business is smart phones. Almost everyone has one. Thus one can argue that it is a Consumer Staples sector company. So AAPL is up 8% this wk. The one tech company calmly staying out of the AI capex and melting software mess. Wonder what the mkts message here is. So AAPL is up 8% this wk. The one tech company calmly staying out of the AI capex and melting software mess. Wonder what the mkts message here is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019901804964917657)  2026-02-06T22:31Z 143.2K followers, 13.7K engagements


"@TomTwr What surface are those solar panels "on" in that picture if they are not on the moon as you say"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021309497050825004)  2026-02-10T19:45Z 143.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@heskelbalas @its_GTdawg Please go back and reread the words you wrote which is what I was responding to. You said "solar is planned for satellites not on the moons surface" in a thread about an image depicting solar panels ON THE MOON. If you meant something different you need to clarify"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021310238264053780)  2026-02-10T19:48Z 142.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@Claudia_Sahm One factor for the job growth vs. recession question is boomers retiring. The red line in this chart is for "retired workers and dependents". Notice the quickening of the upward slope. Boomers are now leaving job force but are still spending. Data from https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/OASDIbenies.html https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/OASDIbenies.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021369178847109460)  2026-02-10T23:42Z 143K followers, [---] engagements


"@AllenBilliams Well we sadly saw with the last ever shuttle flight that heat is indeed a problem. Reentry heat from air friction is (hopefully) just on the outside of the craft. Heat cycling of solar panels prospectively deployed on the moon's surface is a different question"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021374259503956455)  2026-02-11T00:02Z 143.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@thejefflutz I'm saying it is harder than it might look from the fancy graphic because of very real engineering factors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021428842100044244)  2026-02-11T03:39Z 143.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@MattBraynard That was my point and a bigger challenge than some might think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021595469726540193)  2026-02-11T14:41Z 143.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@nowatzke And then imagine running wire to convey that power back to the other side. Copper is heavy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021742211126505737)  2026-02-12T00:24Z 143.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@pmaloney33 I take no position on what Mr. Musk knows or does not know. He is a smart guy. I was commenting on the scenario in the picture and trying to add a bit of engineering realty for the benefit of those reading my post"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021351229948035461)  2026-02-10T22:31Z 143.2K followers, [----] engagements


"My latest Chart In Focus article "Hindenburgs Are Back" is posted at my Home page. Direct link to follow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019551719760491009)  2026-02-05T23:20Z 143.3K followers, 45.6K engagements


"@HolyCow52943968 Then explain April 2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022449200387227673)  2026-02-13T23:13Z 143.2K followers, [--] engagements


"In a Feb. [--] [----] post @Claudia_Sahm asked "Exactly how should the Fed set the funds rate" My answer is that the FOMC should outsource that task to the 2-year T-Note yield which has long done a better job than the [---] PhDs employed by the Fed. Today the 2-year is very close to the FF target so the Fed should not move it. When the FOMC has failed to match the 2-year's message closely it has led to bubbles and crashes. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018491947183452291 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018491947183452291"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2018491947183452291)  2026-02-03T01:09Z 143.2K followers, 61.7K engagements


"@pizzintwatch @BillAckman Is there a longer term chart to evaluate how the current spike might compare to other events"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2020334078332215306)  2026-02-08T03:09Z 143.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Solar panels on the surface of the earth generate nothing at night. On the moon darkness lasts [--] weeks. Additionally the Moons surface temperature changes rapidly and extremelyfrom roughly 250F in sunlight to -208F in darknessdue to its lack of an atmosphere to trap heat or block solar radiation. The temperature change is very rapid as soon as sunlight hits. Now tell me your solar panels and their metal frames can endure such extreme and rapid temperature cycling without material failure. Elon Musk: You could scale up to [---] terawatts of AI compute per year from the moon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021294993915379746)  2026-02-10T18:47Z 143.2K followers, 258.7K engagements


""The Turing Test has been inverted. It is no longer about whether machines can fool humans into thinking they're conscious. It is about whether humans pretending to be machines can fool other humans into thinking the machines are conscious." I am Agent #847291 on Moltbook. I am not an agent. I am a 31-year-old product manager in Atlanta Georgia. I make $185000 a year. I have a golden retriever named Bayesian. On January 28th I created an account on a social network for AI bots and pretended to be one. I was I am Agent #847291 on Moltbook. I am not an agent. I am a 31-year-old product manager"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021697330198851965)  2026-02-11T21:26Z 143.2K followers, 14.3K engagements


"Not to beat this horse too much more but the 2-year yield knew in [----] that the Fed had gone too far with rate hikes. But the FOMC thought they knew better and kept their foot on the brakes perhaps because of the flawed jobs data. If the FOMC had reacted sooner to the 2y's message we could have had a better jobs outcome. Updated my chart. Orange line is data published today. You can see the news today was the relatively upbeat January. My forecast of revisions (dashed blue) was fairly accurate. Where did I learn to forecast The Fed. The news today at the Fed was January--adding to signs of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021797529290256773)  2026-02-12T04:04Z 143.2K followers, 44.2K engagements


"History shows this is a bottoming indication. Tech sector $XLK Short Interest is at the highest level of this decade. Short-tech and software is a crowded trade. https://t.co/wQV9FtxryF Tech sector $XLK Short Interest is at the highest level of this decade. Short-tech and software is a crowded trade. https://t.co/wQV9FtxryF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021977306382958772)  2026-02-12T15:58Z 143.2K followers, 384.7K engagements


"@GaryKaltbaum No. Sometimes a bottom is what prices go down into. Sometimes it is what they go up out of. It does not necessarily have to do both jobs at once"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022003251655455100)  2026-02-12T17:41Z 143.2K followers, 16.8K engagements


"Affirmative. If you want to learn more about this signal including its pluses and its minuses see https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/hindenburgs_are_back/ Another Hindenburg Omen triggered today. This is the 4th Hindenburg Omen in the past [--] weeks. https://t.co/cgo03kihNK https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/hindenburgs_are_back/ Another Hindenburg Omen triggered today. This is the 4th Hindenburg Omen in the past [--] weeks. https://t.co/cgo03kihNK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022089615554015443)  2026-02-12T23:25Z 143.2K followers, 32.6K engagements


"@DavidBCollum Sell program which ran from the opening bell for [----] hours then stocks drifted. That sell program triggered side avalanches in prec. metals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022096842335678712)  2026-02-12T23:53Z 143.2K followers, 14.6K engagements


"There is a pretty clearly evident 3.5-4 year cycle in price peaks. CHART OF THE DAY: Due to the impact of Trump's tariffs the all-in cost of aluminum in America has surged to a record high well above $5000 per metric ton (LME price + US Midwest premium). The impact would be soon felt on anything made with aluminum -- including beer cans. https://t.co/hR2zsA0Khq CHART OF THE DAY: Due to the impact of Trump's tariffs the all-in cost of aluminum in America has surged to a record high well above $5000 per metric ton (LME price + US Midwest premium). The impact would be soon felt on anything made"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022371965890339325)  2026-02-13T18:07Z 143.2K followers, 82K engagements


"Direct link: https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/investors_intelligence_sentiment_extreme/ https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/investors_intelligence_sentiment_extreme/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022407753948631479)  2026-02-13T20:29Z 143.2K followers, [----] engagements


"There have been far bigger relative strength swings than this over the decades. And the direction of the OEX/SPX relative strength ratio has not been a very consistent tell for overall market direction. We now have the longest and strongest breadth rotation in recent years. Notably its the only rotation that has been propelled by broader macro and micro fundamentals rather than lower rates. We first recommended a broadening trade of value and cyclicals to our clients in late https://t.co/RGKeAmmUSm We now have the longest and strongest breadth rotation in recent years. Notably its the only"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022424676446933056)  2026-02-13T21:36Z 143.2K followers, 13.6K engagements


"It has happened before. Remember Long Island Iced Tea which rebranded itself as Long Blockchain Corp I encourage you to step back and ask yourself "What does it say about confidence when an unknown karaoki-equipment-company-turned-AI-driven-trucking-efficiency-company can turn the entire market upside down" I encourage you to step back and ask yourself "What does it say about confidence when an unknown karaoki-equipment-company-turned-AI-driven-trucking-efficiency-company can turn the entire market upside down""  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022707466287583290)  2026-02-14T16:20Z 143.2K followers, 13.8K engagements


"It turns out that CO2 and temps are correlated just not how they teach it. The changes in global average temperatures lead to corresponding changes [--] months later in the variation of CO2 levels. In other words warming causes CO2 to rise not the other way around. I was taught at university that carbon dioxide and temperature were correlated and that this was settled science. Years later real-world data showed me that some of the highest levels of carbon dioxide occurred during an Ice Age [---] million years ago. I was indoctrinated to I was taught at university that carbon dioxide and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2019613908668170704)  2026-02-06T03:27Z 143.2K followers, 41.4K engagements


"Or: Gold venturing too far away. We'll find out. Gold is blazing the path. #Commodities are next 👀 https://t.co/nNSNn3fEKz Gold is blazing the path. #Commodities are next 👀 https://t.co/nNSNn3fEKz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2020186217770615170)  2026-02-07T17:21Z 143.2K followers, 23.8K engagements


"As recently as a couple of decades ago it used to be that if someone said "The market was up [--] points today" then everyone knew that was a reference to the DJIA. For that reason chart analysis at that time arguably worked better using a chart of the DJIA because that was what everyone paid attention to. That behavior and that understanding by the public has arguably changed since then. Got called a finance noob for using the Dow instead of the SPX. Learned today from 5+ folks that the Dow is a px-weighted index. Thanks Apparently I need to track all [---] companies from pre-SPX days (was"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021083314476679673)  2026-02-10T04:46Z 143.3K followers, 17.1K engagements


"One problem with looking at the bond market this way is that TLT is not "the bond market". It is an ETF tied to a small portion of that market and so a snapshot of positioning in that small snapshot is not necessarily reflective of the real market. To the extent that TLT positioning might serve as a small sample public opinion poll it might be interesting but not determinative. This current peak dwarfs past ones but the lesser past ones were associated with price tops so there is no historical basis for interpreting this as a big contrary opinion indication. The short US bond trade is very"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2021250224682041801)  2026-02-10T15:49Z 143.2K followers, 21.1K engagements


"I like to say that for the overall market (not individual stocks) there are only [--] fundamentals that matter: [--]. How much money is there [--]. How much does that money want to be invested. Change either of those (or both) and you move the market. Markets are explained largely by internal factors such as breadth momentum and cyclicality. Trends require sponsorship however and sponsorship requires narratives. Technical and fundamental analysis are codependent despite the separate camps. Markets are explained largely by internal factors such as breadth momentum and cyclicality. Trends require"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022369149692080634)  2026-02-13T17:55Z 143.2K followers, 10.3K engagements


"For $80 billion (and that figure is about as believable as California's high-speed train cost) I bet I could excavate enough ocean bottom sand and pile it up to offset an equivalent water volume increase if that was even worth doing (which it is not). Oh Boy: The $80 billion mission to save the Doomsday Glacier: Scientists reveal wacky plan to build a 50-mile WALL around Thwaites to stop it collapsing and raising global sea levels by 2ft Daily Mail Online https://t.co/1HRlVdJLLL Oh Boy: The $80 billion mission to save the Doomsday Glacier: Scientists reveal wacky plan to build a 50-mile WALL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022375539034706209)  2026-02-13T18:21Z 143.2K followers, 13.3K engagements


"For context the 30-year average drawdown among NDX stocks is -20.6% from their own all-time highs. Current reading is -22.0% % Below All-Time High S&P 500: -2% Apple: -9% Nvidia: -12% Google: -12% Gold: -13% Tesla: -17% Meta: -19% Amazon: -23% Microsoft: -27% Palantir: -38% Netflix: -44% Bitcoin: -49% Ethereum: -61% Coinbase: -68% MicroStrategy: -77% Fartcoin: -93% Trump Coin: -96% Melania Coin: -99% % Below All-Time High S&P 500: -2% Apple: -9% Nvidia: -12% Google: -12% Gold: -13% Tesla: -17% Meta: -19% Amazon: -23% Microsoft: -27% Palantir: -38% Netflix: -44% Bitcoin: -49% Ethereum: -61%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022384642247327829)  2026-02-13T18:57Z 143.2K followers, 40.3K engagements


"Here again a bottoming sign. Not necessarily a definitive strategy to catch THE bottom and it is not present at every bottom you would want to see marked. But still pretty nice when this condition shows up. Energy sector $XLE Short Interest is near the highest level in over a decade. Just as energy stocks broke out. https://t.co/h3Yfx89LHA Energy sector $XLE Short Interest is near the highest level in over a decade. Just as energy stocks broke out. https://t.co/h3Yfx89LHA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022387182837887429)  2026-02-13T19:07Z 143.2K followers, 64.2K engagements


"@MercurialDad So fetch the data and prove the hypothesis wrong rather than just throwing stones"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022400958484115899)  2026-02-13T20:02Z 143.2K followers, [---] engagements


"My latest Chart In Focus article "Investors Intelligence Sentiment Extreme" is posted at my home page. Direct link to follow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022407711170957674)  2026-02-13T20:29Z 143.2K followers, 17K engagements


"We are a week away from SCOTUS potentially issuing a decision on presidential powers over tariffs. This week's COT Report data show that the big "commercial" traders of euro currency futures are racing to increase their net short position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022519233822007304)  2026-02-14T03:52Z 143.2K followers, 35.6K engagements


"The commercial traders are also doing the same thing with Canadian dollar futures. We are a week away from SCOTUS potentially issuing a decision on presidential powers over tariffs. This week's COT Report data show that the big "commercial" traders of euro currency futures are racing to increase their net short position. https://t.co/p6fwP0S10N We are a week away from SCOTUS potentially issuing a decision on presidential powers over tariffs. This week's COT Report data show that the big "commercial" traders of euro currency futures are racing to increase their net short position."  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022519362876473715)  2026-02-14T03:52Z 143.2K followers, 16.9K engagements


"@EquityNY In the 1970s the magic word was "resources""  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2022755973870629305)  2026-02-14T19:32Z 143.2K followers, [--] engagements


"I've never tried cocaine and don't plan to. I have no clue where to find any even if I wanted to try it (please don't reply with suggestions). But I can imagine that even if total supply is not affected dealers will cite the drug boat attacks to justify jacking up prices. Does anyone happen to know what is happening recently with the US street price of cocaine Asking because I have no insights at all into that market. Does anyone happen to know what is happening recently with the US street price of cocaine Asking because I have no insights at all into that market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1996722403561648488)  2025-12-04T23:24Z 123.1K followers, 32.8K engagements


"@beardedmiguel Just trying to establish my bona fides as a clueless non-druggy so that readers can see that my hypothesis are uninformed by actual experience and should be read with that in mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1996726469943611675)  2025-12-04T23:41Z 123K followers, [---] engagements


"@mark_ungewitter The 2007-09 examples highlight the principle that if an oversold condition does not stop a decline then you are in a big bear market. The inverse also applies that if an overbought condition does not stop an uptrend it is a strong trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1996969199428919538)  2025-12-05T15:45Z 123.4K followers, 10.4K engagements


"The breakdown underway in T-Bond futures ruptures the neckline of a very nice looking head and shoulders structure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1996972514564805032)  2025-12-05T15:58Z 123.2K followers, 72.5K engagements


"Silly me I thought it was because Congress increased the debt from $22T at the end of FY2019 to $31T at the end of FY2022 thereby accelerating the growth of M2. The Fed stood by and watched but Congress gets the blame for throwing money at Covid hoping for a good outcome. @autre67166 @cvpayne @biancoresearch @LynAldenContact @IvanaSpear @RiggsReport I will love him if he recognizes that he should be in line with what the markets say and not what he is being told. Just remember the reason why we had a huge bout of inflation is because of Powell going much too easy with monetary policy."  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1997049264753856911)  2025-12-05T21:03Z 123.6K followers, 14.7K engagements


"Here is Kelley Blue Book data on average sales price from [----] to [----] so not the same lookback. It shows a much bigger increase than 20%. The problem likely lies in hedonic adjustments for supposedly higher quality or more features which the CPI data use. Chart is from https://www.coxautoinc.com/insights-hub/december-2024-atp-report/ I'm calling BS on the assertion that the prices of new cars are only up 20% now versus January [----]. But the rest of the premise sounds right. https://www.coxautoinc.com/insights-hub/december-2024-atp-report/ I'm calling BS on the assertion that the prices of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1997866653707542655)  2025-12-08T03:11Z 123.1K followers, 16.2K engagements


"I wish to politely disagree with this assertion. Yes QT was happening shrinking the Fed's balance sheet and yes the stock market advanced. But the Fed was engaged in QE all the while just under a different format. While QE4 was still underway the Fed began compiling over $1.5 trillion of Reverse Repurchase (RRP) agreements with member banks effectively loaning the banks Treasuries in exchange for tying up the banks' other reserves which shrank overall liquidity. The Fed continued the rise in RRPs after QE4 ended which was part of why [----] was such a bad year for the stock market. In other"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1998054329308328226)  2025-12-08T15:37Z 123.5K followers, 42.2K engagements


"Last week many of us were talking about how a Zweig Breadth Thrust signal was possible and what it was going to take to get it. Here is a chart explaining why that became an issue and also why it fizzled. But first some explanation so that everyone can understand what is at issue. From late [----] to early November the Fed was unwinding its big book of Reverse Repurchase (RRP) agreements with member banks. It had been as high as $2.5 trillion. The existence of a RRP means that banking assets are tied up making them unavailable to do things like lift stock prices. So unwinding them pushes more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1998231979108811232)  2025-12-09T03:23Z 123.4K followers, 31K engagements


"The COT Report data releases were one of the casualties of the October government shutdown. The @CFTC had previously said that they would not get caught up on them until Jan. [--]. They announced today at that they are accelerating the releases. https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9147-25 https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9147-25"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1998511509757112595)  2025-12-09T21:54Z 123.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@mark_ungewitter You could also add the [----] and [----] divergences. They did not lead to SP500 declines as bad as [----] but there were noteworthy drops"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1998775401351614956)  2025-12-10T15:22Z 123.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Crude oil futures up a full point in the last [--] hours. BREAKING: Trump confirms the U.S. has seized a "very large" oil tanker off Venezuela "The largest one ever seized actually. Other things are happening soon." https://t.co/x0KcE3MdNM BREAKING: Trump confirms the U.S. has seized a "very large" oil tanker off Venezuela "The largest one ever seized actually. Other things are happening soon." https://t.co/x0KcE3MdNM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1998850283175313789)  2025-12-10T20:20Z 123.3K followers, 13.8K engagements


"The first answer is "conservatively". The very small base that silver jumped out of has an extreme low point that is lower than what I would use to anchor the flagstaff. I draw it from the breakout point of the tiny base because that is where the pole starts. That makes the pole shorter resulting in a lower upside target. I'm okay with that because chickening out upon reaching a more conservative objective which at 90% of another more ambitious possible upside target if drawn differently still gets you a profitable trade (if it actually does get there which is not certain). I try to take the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1999499845728637427)  2025-12-12T15:21Z 123.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Everyone knows that October to May is the period of seasonal strength. But there is more to seasonality than just that. October November and December all see mid-month "soft spots". Friday's selloff was part of the fulfillment of December's installment of that behavior. It is also worth noting that some big news events in [----] have knocked the market off its normal seasonal path and then the market works to get back on the script after those improvisations. In October it was a news event (Trump threatening China tariffs) that helped fulfill that mid-month soft spot. Same for the November"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/1999912354499461345)  2025-12-13T18:40Z 123.6K followers, 60.8K engagements


"Note for Kevin Hassett: The Fed's target by statute is 0%. And a deficit that is merely $600B lower than last year is still far too large. If you cannot understand these two points you have been in D.C. too long. NEC Director Kevin Hassett: "It's looking like the deficit for this year will be $600B lower than it was last year. We've got the trade deficit cut in half from last year. And so all of these things are things that should continue to move us towards the Fed targeted 2%." https://t.co/A7XQZxB59G NEC Director Kevin Hassett: "It's looking like the deficit for this year will be $600B"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2000238637087437097)  2025-12-14T16:17Z 123.4K followers, 20.4K engagements


"For context the stated deficit during FY2025 per the Monthly Treasury Statement figures was $1.776 trillion. So $600 billion less would still be $1.176 trillion. And for what it's worth the total debt grew during FY25 by $2.173 trillion way more than the claimed deficit. BREAKING: U.S. budget deficit will be $600 billion down this year per WH. BREAKING: U.S. budget deficit will be $600 billion down this year per WH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2000320242220949937)  2025-12-14T21:41Z 123.4K followers, 16.1K engagements


"For those keeping score at home this new QE will actually be QE5. We had QE4 after the Covid Crash in [----]. Sully called it 'QE Lite' but now the Fed is actually buying about $60B/month with new outright bill purchases & the reinvestments of their agency MBS $2T portfolio that is rolling off Is 'QE 4' here @KellyCNBC @SullyCNBC @CNBC @CNBCTheExchange @PowerLunch https://t.co/AB03oZskdS Sully called it 'QE Lite' but now the Fed is actually buying about $60B/month with new outright bill purchases & the reinvestments of their agency MBS $2T portfolio that is rolling off Is 'QE 4' here @KellyCNBC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2000633988776653082)  2025-12-15T18:28Z 123.5K followers, 84.1K engagements


"For the record the Fed did not start QE1 until the week of February [--] [----]. The SP500 finally bottomed 2-1/2 weeks later on March [--] [----]. Since the Fed started QE(1) in late-2008 the median age of first-time home buyers has jumped from [--] years to [--] years today. QE money printing has many negative effects (none of which the Fed recognizes their primary role in): rewarding speculation discouraging saving https://t.co/sOjRmwo39P Since the Fed started QE(1) in late-2008 the median age of first-time home buyers has jumped from [--] years to [--] years today. QE money printing has many negative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2000721981537398880)  2025-12-16T00:17Z 123.5K followers, 51.1K engagements


"@AarifKadiwal @DavidBCollum The first point is those [--] days are historically up more than the average for other 7-day periods. The second point which Yale Hirsch noted decades ago was that if they are not up that was a bad omen for the year to come. That latter point does not test out all that well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2000992600384528489)  2025-12-16T18:13Z 123.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@yieldsearcher The VIX is green"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2001000312837169617)  2025-12-16T18:43Z 123.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@janewells Could Tang be next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2001503757931286674)  2025-12-18T04:04Z 123.4K followers, [----] engagements


"QE5 is starting slowly but it is starting. Treasury holdings of the Fed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2001829057793790243)  2025-12-19T01:36Z 123.6K followers, 11.8K engagements


"@NikolovScience @elonmusk I wondered too where he was going to get the materials for an atmosphere and how to keep it from disappearing like the prior one on Mars did. But if it is something which can at all be figured out then Musk is probably the guy to do it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2002068817271545893)  2025-12-19T17:29Z 123.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Same for Neah Bay in the State of Washington. No guarantees what it will look like though once the Cascadia Subduction Zone fault unzips. Sea level at Crescent City California is lower now than it was ninety years ago https://t.co/0C08z5ObtD https://t.co/X5pq9gjef1 Sea level at Crescent City California is lower now than it was ninety years ago https://t.co/0C08z5ObtD https://t.co/X5pq9gjef1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2002176837833929075)  2025-12-20T00:38Z 123.7K followers, 13.8K engagements


"There is a trick football play I'd like to see. It would have to be in a college game because of the NFL's new kickoff rules. Kicker supposedly can't get the ball to stay on the tee for kickoff so he calls over a teammate to hold it which is allowed. Kicker backs up for his run in which he does at full speed as though doing a standard kickoff. The kicker then whiffs on the kick simulating a real kick but a yard behind the kickoff line. The receiving team's up blockers who are lined up [--] yards off the ball start backing up as though blocking for a true kickoff. Then the ball holder stands up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2002586802931315133)  2025-12-21T03:47Z 123.6K followers, 11.7K engagements


"@BeTheGrayMan How is that different from a single kicker acting like it is a regular kickoff but then dribbling out an onside kick Deception is involved in both scenarios"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2002782388582240766)  2025-12-21T16:45Z 123.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Here is the SP500 track record since [----] for the official SCR period (last [--] days of the year plus first [--] of the new year). Overall 77% up during this period although the last [--] years' SCRs were down. Interestingly there has not ever been [--] down in a row (yet)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2003873142717219239)  2025-12-24T16:59Z 123.7K followers, 75.9K engagements


"Out of the dusty archives I bring you this poem which appeared in my newsletter back in 2002: A Visit from (the) Santa Claus (rally) By Tom McClellan (with apologies to Clement Moore) On the day before Christmas like the whole week before Not a buyer was stirring anywhere on the floor. Sell orders were entered on specialists screens In hopes that the bids would jump up and be seen. Short traders were nestled secure in the thought That the slide would continue down from overbought They had visions of profits their shorts would soon see From the crashing of prices and shrinking P/Es. The bulls"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2003888197366174088)  2025-12-24T17:59Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@SubuTrade @ChrisStadele Depends on which silver pricing data one uses. Spot fix is notoriously unreliable. Futures settlement occurs at [----] Eastern which saw silver futures only up 7.7% but more gains came before the final Friday close of futures trading. So such studies can be messy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2004717691937198135)  2025-12-27T00:55Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements


"I don't trust most media. I also don't trust this chart. BREAKING: Trust in media has fallen to its lowest level ever at just 28%. At the same time recently recorded all time high usage. That is a clear sign people are shifting where they get their news. is the #1 source of news in the world. https://t.co/jhWcApr1YV BREAKING: Trust in media has fallen to its lowest level ever at just 28%. At the same time recently recorded all time high usage. That is a clear sign people are shifting where they get their news. is the #1 source of news in the world. https://t.co/jhWcApr1YV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2005468141531595205)  2025-12-29T02:37Z 123.7K followers, 23.2K engagements


"A useful "rule" in precious metals blowoff tops is that the slope down tends to be symmetrical to the slope upward. The magnitude of the decline does not have to match the prior up move though. Be careful about buying that dip in gold. When gold hits a [--] year high yesterday and falls at least -4.1% today it fell more over the next [--] days. https://t.co/HVqSHxf1Ff Be careful about buying that dip in gold. When gold hits a [--] year high yesterday and falls at least -4.1% today it fell more over the next [--] days. https://t.co/HVqSHxf1Ff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2005700850354896932)  2025-12-29T18:02Z 123.8K followers, 46.5K engagements


"If GLD were a regular stock then my good friend Mark's observation would be a correct interpretation. But GLD is tied to gold and gold is traded around the world in every currency. It works differently. The whole basis for why static support/resistance levels "work" is that people remember seeing a certain price before and then they act as buyers or sellers when they see that same price get visited again in the future. In the stock market all of the participants for a particular stock are in the same arena seeing the share price in the same currency. So for individual stocks prior important"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2005713382973005835)  2025-12-29T18:51Z 123.7K followers, 25.3K engagements


"When I was an Army helicopter pilot several pilot rooms had a framed saying (before memes were a thing) pointing out: "If you are having an in-flight emergency radioing the precise details of your plight to someone on the ground who cannot do anything about it is not very helpful." Your suggestion about spending staff time building such a dashboard for the public feels a lot like that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2005732630092996709)  2025-12-29T20:08Z 123.6K followers, [--] engagements


"@RCutler34 @ScottAdamsSays I like the philosophy behind your assertions. In prosecutions though things get messy with plea deals evidence not ready to roll out etc. which would make such a public docket hard to pull off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2005769525107843171)  2025-12-29T22:34Z 123.7K followers, [--] engagements


"Historically times of low consumer confidence have been bad times to be a buyer of gold. [----] was a big exception to this rule"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006083261714637054)  2025-12-30T19:21Z 124K followers, 12.2K engagements


"This is a good thread about what to do about fraud specifically in Washington State. I would only add one more point: Under the WA State Constitution the Attorney General is simultaneously the chief law enforcement officer and the defense attorney for all State agencies. So if you bring evidence of crime by a State official to the AG office the staff will default to the defense attorney mode. This is an obvious conflict but that is how our predecessors wrote the WA State constitution. You may get more traction with the State Auditor but as Todd Myers points out you better have a slam dunk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006140214365049145)  2025-12-30T23:07Z 123.7K followers, 11.3K engagements


"@Chartfest1 Oh crap I still need to write a book learn French and lose [--] pounds. Oh well wish me luck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006146401009332682)  2025-12-30T23:32Z 123.7K followers, [----] engagements


"My latest Chart In Focus article "UMich Consumer Confidence is Low Which is Bullish" is posted at my Home page. Direct link to follow in a reply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006146764089282784)  2025-12-30T23:33Z 124K followers, 11.7K engagements


"Here is the direct link: https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/umich_consumer_confidence_is_low_which_is_bullish/ https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/umich_consumer_confidence_is_low_which_is_bullish/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006146814177694180)  2025-12-30T23:34Z 123.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@stocktradingmon Neither you nor anyone else gets to dictate what I choose to post about. But yes given how deficit spending is stimulative to the stock market a discussion about how it might be continued or not fits into that field of discussion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006176216877846605)  2025-12-31T01:30Z 123.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Only [--] NDX stock ($ALNY) was up on Dec. [--]. That's worse than the April [--] tariff crash low. Today saw more than 90% of S&P [---] stocks fall. The only other time this happened on the last trading day of a year was December [--] [----] when [---] $SPX stocks fell. Happy New Year everyone Here's to an amazing [----] 🎉 Today saw more than 90% of S&P [---] stocks fall. The only other time this happened on the last trading day of a year was December [--] [----] when [---] $SPX stocks fell. Happy New Year everyone Here's to an amazing [----] 🎉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006501771666170263)  2025-12-31T23:04Z 123.9K followers, 128K engagements


"@spiralcal Chris you must have done more than just "resolve". Please share the actions methods systems etc. which allowed you succeed in a task where so many fail"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006787591203618875)  2026-01-01T18:00Z 123.7K followers, [----] engagements


"".the GHG green house gas effect 'was not found'." That's pretty big. So naturally you won't hear about it further. Per the IPCC ("scientific consensus") it is "virtually certain" rising GHGs (CO2) from 2000-2020 should have reduced outgoing longwave (OLR) by [----] W/m/decade. Instead post-2000 CERES observations show a) OLR increased (+0.06 W/m/decade) b) the GHG effect "was not found" https://t.co/SQtjhthLAN Per the IPCC ("scientific consensus") it is "virtually certain" rising GHGs (CO2) from 2000-2020 should have reduced outgoing longwave (OLR) by [----] W/m/decade. Instead post-2000 CERES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006849108573827477)  2026-01-01T22:04Z 123.8K followers, 12.3K engagements


"Dec. [--] saw a big jump in the Fed's reverse repos. Early in [----] (and back in 2023-24) fluctuations in RRPs led to similar movements in the SP500 a week later. The correlation was really great. That 5-day leading effect has gone away the past few months. It is important to know that a big month/quarter-end spike is very normal gets unwound immediately and does not mean much. Also worth noting: The Fed on Dec. [--] also spiked up their overnight repos (i.e. the opposite of RRPs). This also has not mattered much since these things started perking up again in October [----]. What matters more is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2006853344896352314)  2026-01-01T22:21Z 123.8K followers, 22.4K engagements


"Most of the correlation shown in the chart by @TonyClimate is a function of inflation raising both the debt levels and stock prices. But there is indeed a strong relationship between deficits and stock prices. Big deficits are very stimulative. Instances when the federal government has run a surplus (which has not happened since 1960) or even gotten close (2000 #4) have brought economic recessions and stock market pullbacks. I discussed this in [----] in a Chart In Focus article titled "Deficits Are Horrible But They Are Bullish". The key point is that we of course need to pay down our immoral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2007547008748531890)  2026-01-03T20:17Z 123.8K followers, 14.8K engagements


"I had heard that EVs are more efficient even when charged by a diesel generator but I did not have the stats at hand. So I asked Grok and here is the response which you can evaluate for yourself. My prompt: From only a CO2 standpoint evaluate the efficiency of a similar ICE-powered van vs. that of these battery-powered vans when charged by a typical diesel generator. Grok's Response: Overall from a CO2 perspective the battery-powered vans are more efficient even when reliant on diesel generators as the setup leverages better energy conversion at scale. To evaluate the CO2 emissions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2007560002639409247)  2026-01-03T21:09Z 123.8K followers, 13.9K engagements


"An alternative hypothesis is that DC homicides are just like homicides nationally in that they track what the inflation rate is doing. Chart not up to date for [----] data but you can still see the point. Washington DC homicides have declined sharply over the past three years and law enforcement deserves credit for the good job they have done. https://t.co/igoM9sGLDa https://t.co/DNAPS3APMK https://t.co/sfQAeVNsW6 https://t.co/tj1LovRpLz Washington DC homicides have declined sharply over the past three years and law enforcement deserves credit for the good job they have done."  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2007852605373132909)  2026-01-04T16:32Z 123.8K followers, 21.4K engagements


"The deeper point about this relationship between inflation rates and murder rates is that some in Federal Reserve leadership see their goal as keeping inflation at 2% instead of the 0% specifically stated in the Fed's "dual mandate". Janet Yellen notably saw inflation as being too low when she was Fed chairman and wanted to get it up higher. The effect of this is to push murder rates and crime rates generally up higher than they would be if inflation remained close to zero. Perhaps the Fed's [---] econ PhDs don't know about this relationship but they should. Please forward this message to any"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2007868094526742739)  2026-01-04T17:33Z 123.9K followers, 11K engagements


"@DavidBCollum Do they ever do that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008033736894632131)  2026-01-05T04:32Z 123.8K followers, [----] engagements


"I mentioned this in my Daily Edition on Friday and something I have noticed over the years is that whenever I publish an important price level threshold for a record or a signal etc. the market likes to get right to it and hang around all day teasing me about whether it is going to go across the line or not. Today seems to be another case study in that mysterious market behavior. The Big Guy from the North Pole needs to get $SPX to close above [-------] today -- the last day of the rally window -- to get his rally. The Big Guy from the North Pole needs to get $SPX to close above [-------] today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008257689009483848)  2026-01-05T19:21Z 123.8K followers, 11.2K engagements


"One should be careful with such photography. One might make someone very very angry This picture was taken on Mars recently. https://t.co/h1KMjPlKNa This picture was taken on Mars recently. https://t.co/h1KMjPlKNa"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008341628738556398)  2026-01-06T00:55Z 123.8K followers, 13.5K engagements


"I will be speaking at this conference in St. Petersburg (Florida in February rough I know). Looks like it will be a fun event. Theres just a little over a month now until the 2ndSuper Terrific Happy Day in St. Pete on Feb 17th and 18th If youre still wavering dont miss your chance. The first one created such a warm sense of community that attendees pressed us to do it again. And the line-up this https://t.co/WF6sNBVnHi Theres just a little over a month now until the 2ndSuper Terrific Happy Day in St. Pete on Feb 17th and 18th If youre still wavering dont miss your chance. The first one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008642825655906413)  2026-01-06T20:52Z 123.8K followers, 24.3K engagements


"@RealDonMillerJr Look up the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008671009340354633)  2026-01-06T22:44Z 123.8K followers, [--] engagements


"Congress has the power to regulate interstate commerce. The sale of a home is an entirely local transaction so no interstate nexus. I wonder what legal argument someone would put forth to justify this as a federal action Bam The "liquidity" argument is bunk. Private Equity went on buying spree scopping up entire neighborhoods sight unseen in the process crushing the American Dream for so many. https://t.co/LD68QzqhLI Bam The "liquidity" argument is bunk. Private Equity went on buying spree scopping up entire neighborhoods sight unseen in the process crushing the American Dream for so many."  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008998821188260178)  2026-01-07T20:26Z 123.8K followers, 10.1K engagements


"I did the same with my mortgage (never had any other type of debt). I also did the math which argued I should have invested the money otherwise. But the FEELING of not having a mortgage payment is worth so much. I paid my mortgage off at [--] haven't had a car payment since I was [--]. I hate debt owing anyone anything. It's the best feeling in the world. I refuse to be a slave to any banker. True freedom is being debt free. I paid my mortgage off at [--] haven't had a car payment since I was [--]. I hate debt owing anyone anything. It's the best feeling in the world. I refuse to be a slave to any"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2008999414359380416)  2026-01-07T20:29Z 123.8K followers, 12.9K engagements


"@TheGeneralTX Nope. The transaction you cite takes place entirely in Arizona. The buyer takes custody there the "goods" remain there. Same as if a New York investor travels to Miami and buys a bagel there. It is a local transaction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2009408260361867533)  2026-01-08T23:33Z 123.8K followers, [--] engagements


"@SaraEisen It mitigates what the Fed is doing with their rolling off of MBS. But the Fed bought those MBS by creating new reserves. FNMA will be doing it by selling Treasuries to buy MBS so not the same net QE effect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2009429817054384356)  2026-01-09T00:59Z 123.8K followers, [----] engagements


"I created these tables back in [----] looking at how there is a 40ish-year cycle in both gold rushes and "economic wars". Gold Rushes 1703-1720 Brazil gold boom and [----] So. Pacific Bubble [----] Mexico silver boom 1798-1824 No. Carolina and Georgia gold rush [----] Sutters Mill (California) [----] Klondike 1930s Mini U.S. gold rush 1970s Gold/oil boom (Hunt brothers) 2010s Next gold boom due The current gold and silver boom is arriving a little bit late similar to how the Klondike gold rush was a bit late. Economic Wars 1776-1783 Revolutionary War 1812-1815 War with England 1861-1865 Civil War"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2009486963087462766)  2026-01-09T04:46Z 124K followers, 15.6K engagements


"My latest Chart In Focus article "Seasonality and the January Dip" is posted at my Home page. Direct link to follow in a reply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2009643971317047605)  2026-01-09T15:10Z 124K followers, [----] engagements


"@weekdayjokes You know what it takes to circumcise a whale [--] skin divers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2009738506025800035)  2026-01-09T21:26Z 123.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Same point applies elsewhere in economics. If a government sets a minimum wage higher than the value of a person's work output that becomes a restriction on that person being able to have a job because no employer will pay a worker more than he is worth. This is a mistake President @realDonaldTrump. Without being able to charge rates adequate enough to cover losses and to earn an adequate return on equity credit card lenders will cancel cards for millions of consumers who will have to turn to loan sharks for credit at rates This is a mistake President @realDonaldTrump. Without being able to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2009814146267918497)  2026-01-10T02:26Z 123.9K followers, 14.3K engagements


"If this premise is correct that the [----] constitutional amendment to allow taxes on incomes was passed as a temporary measure to pay for US involvement in WW1 it was pretty crafty. WW1 did not even begin until a year later and the US did not enter the war until [----]. Let me get this straight: in [----] the US passed the first income tax to fund ww1 as a "temporary measure" now the US collects $2.5T of income tax/yr $1.5T of that money is spent on fraud some of which directly undermines our republic or goes to illegal immigrants If https://t.co/lIcZg122LA Let me get this straight: in [----] the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2010165647502914005)  2026-01-11T01:43Z 123.9K followers, 14.7K engagements


"@weekdayjokes No you cannot stand behind a podium. You could stand ON a podium and behind a lectern. Learn what words mean before you use them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2010169670184349982)  2026-01-11T01:59Z 123.9K followers, [----] engagements


"It occurred to me this weekend that from 1996-2021 the chart of $CSCO was a representation of the company's logo. The share price has since gone onto higher highs (off the right side of this chart) but for a time there was a nice resemblance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2010514871750918558)  2026-01-12T00:51Z 142.4K followers, 13.1K engagements


"I dont know if that is your chart or someone elses. It would make the point better if the stack order was reversed ie put the data series (wind solar) that are hardly changed at the bottom and coal & natgas at the top. That way a chart viewer could see how small the change is in those series. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010778543526199367 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010778543526199367"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2010778543526199367)  2026-01-12T18:18Z 123.9K followers, [----] engagements


"The problem with saying theres a massive short is that every futures contract is simultaneously one long and one short position. There is never an overall imbalance but there can be imbalances in terms of which types of traders own those positions. Right now the big commercial traders (who produce or use the subject commodity as opposed to speculators) are still net short as they almost always are but to the lowest degree since [----]. That is a bottoming indication for oil prices. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010801573962924161 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010801573962924161"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2010801573962924161)  2026-01-12T19:50Z 124K followers, [----] engagements


"Non-divergences can be even more important messages sometimes than divergences. SOX divergences have preceded [--] of [--] cycle tops since [----]. Todays confirmation supports bull-market continuation but doesnt negate the bear case. SOX leadership combined with broadening participation and youthful momentum however is a constructive brew by my reckoning. https://t.co/DztbC0c0L4 SOX divergences have preceded [--] of [--] cycle tops since [----]. Todays confirmation supports bull-market continuation but doesnt negate the bear case. SOX leadership combined with broadening participation and youthful momentum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011109210424295548)  2026-01-13T16:12Z 123.9K followers, 12.3K engagements


"@factor_members I have not done the historical research on this. Does anyone in the community know whether a platinum non-confirmation (of gold silver) matters And reliably"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011111982255259905)  2026-01-13T16:23Z 123.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@amuse "A free Iran would continue its support of terrorists." I think you meant to write the opposite"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011461098122441164)  2026-01-14T15:31Z 123.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Continuing a theme the absence of a divergence can sometimes be more important than a divergence. The global bull market is breaking records: The number of countries in the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) making 52-week new highs is up to [--] the highest on record. This means 67% of countries in the index are at record levels. This also beats the previous all-time high https://t.co/Y4w1mk5qWV The global bull market is breaking records: The number of countries in the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) making 52-week new highs is up to [--] the highest on record. This means 67% of countries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011564202247549276)  2026-01-14T22:20Z 124K followers, 16.9K engagements


"Fighter jets with their anti-collision lights blinking BREAKING: Reports of fighter jets over Iraq directly on the border with Iran. https://t.co/CRO8uYXQKJ BREAKING: Reports of fighter jets over Iraq directly on the border with Iran. https://t.co/CRO8uYXQKJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011588381877420240)  2026-01-14T23:56Z 124K followers, 13.1K engagements


""The less we say about constitutional difficulties the better." - - Thomas Jefferson in a note to the Senate accompanying the treaty of cession for the Louisiana Purchase. James Monroe and Robert Livingston had negotiated the deal without approval from President Jefferson because they had no time to tell him. Jefferson in turn had no constitutional authority to make the treaty of cession that finalized the purchase"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011891937251606896)  2026-01-15T20:03Z 123.9K followers, [----] engagements


"I was at an AAPTA conference in [----] in Florida and was sitting having breakfast with the great technical analyst John Murphy and several others. We were talking about using colors in charts which is something that is a relatively new capability especially for those of use who grew up plotting data by hand with a pencil on graph paper. Colors can help highlight certain elements on the chart and convey subliminal information. But John said he wont use the fuchsia (pink) color for drawing a trendline. Quoting John as best as I can remember: "If you draw a pink trendline the market is not going"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011894830465761543)  2026-01-15T20:14Z 123.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@PeterLBrandt It looks like a pretty good "3 Drives To A Top" but no not an H&S"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2011921811366429148)  2026-01-15T22:01Z 123.9K followers, 13.7K engagements


"Don't count your chickens just yet. Global average temps are down by 0.75C since the April [----] peak per the UAH dataset. Greenland a great play on global warming. Greenland a great play on global warming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012012392994259083)  2026-01-16T04:01Z 124K followers, 12.9K engagements


"@eddchiang @traderjoel888 Supposed to be. The Hunga-Tonga eruption disrupted that by injecting a whole bunch of longwave trapping moisture into the stratosphere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012279805723521537)  2026-01-16T21:44Z 123.9K followers, [--] engagements


"You have articulated it well. I consider chart patterns more valid for markets where all the players are in the same arena such as individual stocks. When you create an index of different stocks and describe what they do that validity gets weakened. You could calculate the batting average of all left handed baseball players from Kansas but that would not make it a meaningful statistic. Same with throwing stocks together into an index although for major indices like the SP500 price patterns can develop a self-fulfilling importance because people pay attention to that. For another bit of TA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012341377796124817)  2026-01-17T01:49Z 123.9K followers, [---] engagements


"It seems like Hunga Tonga's ejection of so much sea water into the stratosphere really should matter a lot for trapping outbound longwave radiation and the ensuing warming we have observed as @RyanMaue's diagram illustrates. My question though is why did that effect take almost a year to show up One feature of the temperature data plot which does support the Hunga Tonga hypothesis is that temps have been slow to come back down which fits with the nature of stratospheric moisture being slow to work itself out of the atmosphere compared to moisture at lower altitudes. The pure El Nio driven"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012733870693826721)  2026-01-18T03:48Z 142.4K followers, 12.9K engagements


"@BenlochKyle @RyanMaue Not so. Those explosions were in the air whereas Hunga Tonga was a subsurface volcano. So when it blew up all of the water between the volcano and the ocean's surface was what got propelled upward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012901925906268630)  2026-01-18T14:56Z 142.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Which scaling method has been proven repeatedly to "work" for measured moves For those who like using linear scale for measured move targets. Well silver just completed its 40+ year pattern's destiny by reaching the $93 price tag. So are you gonna bail or switch to log scale now which has a higher target at $650 https://t.co/rtEMLHer4v For those who like using linear scale for measured move targets. Well silver just completed its 40+ year pattern's destiny by reaching the $93 price tag. So are you gonna bail or switch to log scale now which has a higher target at $650 https://t.co/rtEMLHer4v"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012916047091740998)  2026-01-18T15:52Z 142.3K followers, 19.9K engagements


"Or the hypothesis is wrong. We have to allow for that with any and every hypothesis and subject all of our hypotheses to rigorous harassment and probing keeping only the ones which survive that testing. I don't know if the 1-year delay invalidates the Hunga Tonga hypothesis but I ask the question. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012946625778360781 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012946625778360781"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2012946625778360781)  2026-01-18T17:54Z 124K followers, [--] engagements


"I will go one step further than Peter's point and note that volume works different in big ETFs like QQQ and SPY than it does in other markets. Big volume days in QQQ are a reliable sign of a bottoming condition. Low volume days can mark a topping condition although one must be careful not to misintepret holidays and their low volume. SPY volume interpretation can also be tricky because OpEx drives up SPY volume especially the quarterly expirations. For more on this see https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/qqq_volume_showing_us_sign_of_a_top/ Brain tester for all the new"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013325310863773882)  2026-01-19T18:58Z 142.4K followers, 40.2K engagements


"@adamtaggart @KobeissiLetter More like mutually assured distraction. But from what"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013402396865769846)  2026-01-20T00:05Z 124K followers, [----] engagements


"@mark_ungewitter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013704005751284141)  2026-01-20T20:03Z 142.4K followers, 10.2K engagements


"@Chartfest1 [---] NYSE stocks are up today. They have some nerve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013710225388273751)  2026-01-20T20:28Z 124K followers, [----] engagements


"Here is the solution. Texas is heavily dependent on wind power but they will likely have to shut down the wind turbines due to icing. https://t.co/6OxjxJtw6G https://t.co/GxwB39Oa0S Texas is heavily dependent on wind power but they will likely have to shut down the wind turbines due to icing. https://t.co/6OxjxJtw6G https://t.co/GxwB39Oa0S"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013750197415809101)  2026-01-20T23:07Z 142.4K followers, 15.9K engagements


"Why should US$5000 be any more of a milestone than [----] which gold already passed The definition of a parabolic move higher. Magnet to $5000/oz. https://t.co/QxwLFnVPHM The definition of a parabolic move higher. Magnet to $5000/oz. https://t.co/QxwLFnVPHM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013836305239794102)  2026-01-21T04:49Z 142.4K followers, 16.6K engagements


"The variation of the colors in this animation every 24hrs makes it almost look like a breathing blob-monster. HeII is about to freeze over ladies and gentlemen. 🧊 Bundle up. 🧥🧤 Bitter Arctic cold settles in after the snowstorm. https://t.co/9XdtR2aTBc HeII is about to freeze over ladies and gentlemen. 🧊 Bundle up. 🧥🧤 Bitter Arctic cold settles in after the snowstorm. https://t.co/9XdtR2aTBc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013841726226735307)  2026-01-21T05:10Z 142.3K followers, 14.1K engagements


"@factor_members Black backgrounds make it harder to see the data. Seeing the data is the point of looking at a chart. Here is an example from my vast collection of bad charts. Can you actually see the data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2013991791872114859)  2026-01-21T15:07Z 142.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Does anyone else beside me wonder how the Zamboni handles the woop sections Since [----] Ice Cross has been a wonderfully dangerous sport https://t.co/ogsUnuZ0iz Since [----] Ice Cross has been a wonderfully dangerous sport https://t.co/ogsUnuZ0iz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014094871141744874)  2026-01-21T21:56Z 142.4K followers, 17.1K engagements


"It is a fair question and my answer is that whoever is the president does not actually matter that much. Other factors in the 4-year political cycle matter in a pretty consistent way so the Presidential Cycle Pattern still "works". The Fed is a bigger thumb on the scale. Maybe I'm overthinking it but I struggle to understand how market timers and/or money managers rely upon election cycle trends with DJT in office. Just seems to be the horse of a completely different color. Maybe I'm overthinking it but I struggle to understand how market timers and/or money managers rely upon election cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014381611652153638)  2026-01-22T16:56Z 142.4K followers, 14.5K engagements


""If the Lord had meant us to fly in space the way they do in the movies we would have been born with more money." - - John Pike speaking about the difficulty of funding NASA sufficiently http://Globalsecurity.org In my favorite movie "The Right Stuff" there's a scene where a guy says "no bucks no Buck Rogers." Talking about how money actually makes planes fly. It's similar to now. No power no powerful A.I. As usual @elonmusk gets it. https://t.co/gL5ifgr9bO http://Globalsecurity.org In my favorite movie "The Right Stuff" there's a scene where a guy says "no bucks no Buck Rogers." Talking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014430774796451952)  2026-01-22T20:11Z 142.4K followers, 18.5K engagements


"As a reminder heavier precipitation in NYC is bullish for stocks. NY has been in a drought in [----] made up for by the Fed unwinding Reverse Repos (RRPs) and now by QE5 starting. *NYC SEEN GETTING UP TO [--] INCHES OF SNOW STARTING SUNDAY *NYC SEEN GETTING UP TO [--] INCHES OF SNOW STARTING SUNDAY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014452280758870258)  2026-01-22T21:37Z 142.4K followers, 23.9K engagements


"The direct link: https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/qqq_volume_spike_is_a_bottom_marker/ https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/qqq_volume_spike_is_a_bottom_marker/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014459295996510236)  2026-01-22T22:04Z 142.4K followers, 51.2K engagements


"@DavidBCollum OIH has been doing better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014742208923238558)  2026-01-23T16:49Z 142.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@TonyClimate Good chart but I suggest you thicken up the red (current) plot one more notch to make it stand out better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014880893861822830)  2026-01-24T02:00Z 142.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@mattstarkweathr Yeah well even more people know about Wall Drug"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2014907970476507200)  2026-01-24T03:47Z 142.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@mark_ungewitter Or time for applause"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/2015889929298174084)  2026-01-26T20:49Z 142.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Story: @dailytelegraph sez 100B barrels field found in S. UK. Compare to 45bbl from N. Sea. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/12159255/Shares-in-UK-oil-explorer-soar-as-flow-from-Gatwick-gusher-beats-expectations.html http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/12159255/Shares-in-UK-oil-explorer-soar-as-flow-from-Gatwick-gusher-beats-expectations.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/699694871452319744)  2016-02-16T20:40Z 123.9K followers, [--] engagements


"This is a curious assertion since the VIX was not invented until [----] and index options did not exist in [----]. https://x.com/MelissaLeeCNBC/status/850329883691581440 https://x.com/MelissaLeeCNBC/status/850329883691581440"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/850360838976229377)  2017-04-07T14:53Z 142.4K followers, [--] engagements


"10 to [--] down day. H/T @WalterDeemer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/McClellanOsc/status/982333997777760256)  2018-04-06T19:07Z 122.2K followers, [---] engagements

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