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# ![@MarkRitchie_II Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::870142273048203264.png) @MarkRitchie_II Mark Ritchie II

Mark Ritchie II posts on X about if you, trade, money, the first the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::870142273048203264/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::870142273048203264/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -5.90%
- [--] Month [-------] +7.60%
- [--] Months [---------] +72%
- [--] Year [---------] +7.50%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::870142273048203264/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::870142273048203264/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Month [--] -68%
- [--] Months [--] +12%
- [--] Year [---] -13%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::870142273048203264/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::870142273048203264/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.16%
- [--] Month [------] +1%
- [--] Months [------] +9.40%
- [--] Year [------] +22%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::870142273048203264/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::870142273048203264/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #3559 [stocks](/list/stocks)  14.42% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  7.69% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  4.81% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  4.81% [countries](/list/countries)  2.88% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  1.92% [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands)  0.96% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.96%

**Social topic influence**
[if you](/topic/if-you) 11.54%, [trade](/topic/trade) 10.58%, [money](/topic/money) 6.73%, [the first](/topic/the-first) 6.73%, [just a](/topic/just-a) 5.77%, [market](/topic/market) 5.77%, [we are](/topic/we-are) 5.77%, [$btc](/topic/$btc) 4.81%, [at least](/topic/at-least) 4.81%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 4.81%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@markminervini](/creator/undefined) [@peterlbrandt](/creator/undefined) [@markritchieii](/creator/undefined) [@xosuyo7865](/creator/undefined) [@ssstockalerts](/creator/undefined) [@realvision](/creator/undefined) [@crowdedmktrpt](/creator/undefined) [@dwlinvestments](/creator/undefined) [@jackschwager](/creator/undefined) [@gmailcom](/creator/undefined) [@nautiluscap](/creator/undefined) [@mstr](/creator/undefined) [@reavision](/creator/undefined) [@dwl_investments](/creator/undefined) [@stockstormx](/creator/undefined) [@thirstymangus](/creator/undefined) [@hhtradeideas](/creator/undefined) [@stonksgoup99](/creator/undefined) [@gbtb1316](/creator/undefined) [@dimasakian](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [DIA (DIA)](/topic/$dia) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Newmont Corporation (NEM)](/topic/$nem) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Mario Coin (COIN)](/topic/$coin) [Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)](/topic/$hims)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Happy end of January. My dad told me back in the day on the floors at the CBOT that some of the bigger locals/members had arrangements whereby after they had traded 40K in commissions they could trade the rest of the year free of charge. This was the 70s/80s and no idea what they were paying a side in those days but we're talking a lot of volume to get there and a number of guys didn't do that kind of volume but for those that did it was a marker for how the year was going. He said if it was a good market they would hit that # within a few weeks or near the end of the first month of the year."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2016968989247721583)  2026-01-29T20:17Z 53.3K followers, 33.1K engagements


"I can speak to #1 in spades. When I went out on my own in [----] I had no shortage of peoplemultiple family members who were successful traders includedtelling me it isnt like it used to be or that I should do something else. One friend told me All the money is in charging fees and that I should become an RIA/CFP and spend my time studying for some designation. Im incredibly grateful I didnt listen. In this business you own your results. As I said in a @RealVision interview years ago most people who say you shouldnt try either never had the courage to try themselves or they tried and failed."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2018735208099434826)  2026-02-03T17:15Z 53.3K followers, 20.2K engagements


"This is a good question. There are LOTs of permutations that traders can use (sell half quarters etc). The key is to make sure the math makes sense based upon initial risk and your trading metrics (avg win/loss win rate). I used to always kinda sell in 1/2s when in doubt cut half and trade incrementally like that even in terms of adds I more often increase by 50% then a straight double up so as not to run up my avg cost (I'm always adding at higher prices never averaging down). For me a really nice swing trade is usually holding through 2-3 natural reactions and the math shows that the best"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019415237380759749)  2026-02-05T14:18Z 53.3K followers, 14.6K engagements


"I literally had someone telling me the elevated $SLV volume was just a result of 0dte options and didn't mean anything. This is the kind of nonsense going around on X as if markets are casinos and have no real fundamental value. How many silver mines/producers have hedged out years worth of production at prices that make their businesses & margins massively more profitable That is who you are potentially trading against here. Without further comment Posted to public X only #Silver https://t.co/eBG4hS1Q3E Without further comment Posted to public X only #Silver https://t.co/eBG4hS1Q3E"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019418763771175351)  2026-02-05T14:32Z 53.3K followers, 15.3K engagements


"Market Observations: Looks like a tale of different indices as the $QQQs are looking pretty toppy here meanwhile the $DIA is a different picture. A LOT of the old leaders $HOOD $PLTR $NVDA just to name a few look like major tops and 50/80 rule candidates. If this tech selling starts to really spread probably takes everything down for the time being. This is where you have to act and protect yourself quickly if selling intensifies. Who knows how low things go and you have to have those plans in place ahead of time. Even stocks that are holding up well can give way in VERY short notice if"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019439382927712631)  2026-02-05T15:54Z 53.4K followers, 13.7K engagements


"A few observations from the 'office of the responsible BTC bull'. All kidding aside I said if 100K didn't hold any of my long term holds were gone and this market was going to be in the penalty box until further notice. I've been trading this in bull trends since the bull market in 2016-17 and I've seen this now multiple times as when the trend shifts in crypto it can get ugly in a hurry. I'm as surprised as everyone else but when people started talking like it was the law of gravity that BTC had to go to 150-250K I got a little nervous then when it broke 100K I hit the exits. Today's volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019525491234074772)  2026-02-05T21:36Z 53.3K followers, 45.6K engagements


"Look man like you said you're up nicely on the trade but I don't know your avg win/loss or what kind of trader you are. If your plan was to hold you hold and the name but you can also use some kind of backstop as well or sell a small portion to finance this move (which is likely what I would do). The name has been impervious to this sell off for now which is good and would tell me to at least try and stick with some of the position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019879357599395857)  2026-02-06T21:02Z 53.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@ssstockalerts Hey sss.so neither of these are ones I'm familiar with (I'm assuming NSE is India) but in both cases I'd like to see tighter and more defined right sides. For now I'd just keep them on the radar and to the degree they improve/tighten the more I'd be interested"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2020894134144217527)  2026-02-09T16:14Z 53.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@xosuyo7865 you basically described what I've made a career out of. Trade fundamentals all you want but make sure you have technical confirmation. I've NEVER said don't trade fundamentals I've said that 'I don't trade them alone' without confirmation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2021329096467161212)  2026-02-10T21:03Z 53.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@DWL_Investments Wow.don't have the words to express how wrong your take is on nearly every level but wishing you all the best"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2021969867293737358)  2026-02-12T15:29Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Sure.it was equal parts divine intervention & hard work. George Whitefield famously said 'I pray like everything depends on God then go to work like everything depends upon me'. So I took a BIG leap of faith (much more on that at some point) and what some people called a stupid/crazy risk. Times were VERY lean for years. If we didn't have the $ we didn't spend it no credit cards cash for everything no shortage of sacrifice. Didn't buy a 'new anything' for probably 4-5 years. I tracked every single trade had good coaches & mentoring via @markminervini & @PeterLBrandt and worked my tail off."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1923089188942946638)  2025-05-15T18:52Z 53.4K followers, 66.1K engagements


"Interesting Gold/Silver observation: I'm pretty much a sold out gold/silver bull here have a $NEM position but sold last of my $SLV last week and $GLD in the last run up. I did a number of posts early in this advance (one example) saying that a cyclical bull market should see the prices double. Look at the last cycle when silver broke out and went parabolic gold didn't even breakout yet then it followed suit and broke out while silver topped for the next decade. Looks VERY similar here. No clue how this plays out but pointing out an observation and will look to buy $GLD if I can get a low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2001360379474030731)  2025-12-17T18:34Z 53.4K followers, 42.7K engagements


"Post trade analysis on a loss scratch and TBD. So I said I'd try and do a little more post trade analysis (particularly on losses as most don't share those) so here's a few of late. Starting with $IBIT which I posted on a few weeks ago. I tried this bottom fisher and moved my stop up to a breakeven only to have a gap go through it slightly and I took the next best price. Technically this should go in the small loss bucket but it was pretty close. If there was a mistake in hindsight you could say it wasn't taking off a piece into strength. In this case it was a small position (I don't bottom"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019142054282928444)  2026-02-04T20:12Z 53.4K followers, 12.4K engagements


"When anyone usually asks me what I think the markets going to do.I usually say 'no idea' but I have some things I'm always watching. In today's case we have a market that has been trading pretty soft this week lots of distribution in the Nasdaq/tech. I've raised a decent bit of cash and gotten knocked out of some things but thus far pretty normal. Today we are gapping up and i want to see if these gains can hold. Worst case is they get immediately sold into across the board and we go right to new lows setting up a flush into the weekend. A relief rally for a day or two would at least be a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2019776671893659964)  2026-02-06T14:14Z 53.4K followers, 27.3K engagements


"Thus far the bounce has been impressive. Weekend work didn't show a lot of imminently buyable setups but still a number of stocks within bases so if we can avoid distribution in the short run I think we may see a wave of newer ideas in the coming days/weeks. When anyone usually asks me what I think the markets going to do.I usually say 'no idea' but I have some things I'm always watching. In today's case we have a market that has been trading pretty soft this week lots of distribution in the Nasdaq/tech. I've raised a decent bit https://t.co/Ye85lW0a0q When anyone usually asks me what I think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2020921357685420147)  2026-02-09T18:02Z 53.4K followers, 14.9K engagements


"Ok here is my real world example.2yr notes. This could be a chart of ANYTHING and I'd be interested. I once traded a forex pair back in the day and sized the thing about 5x the wrong way (too small thank goodness) because I was so enamored with the chart I neglected to make sure I got the expression right. Lesson learned. The fact that @PeterLBrandt has been posting versions of this for around a year makes me like it even more as it's building energy. That's what this chart tells me anyway. For those who can't or don't trade futures I posted the $SHY as a proxy (I personally wouldn't trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2021284688136925655)  2026-02-10T18:06Z 53.4K followers, 17.5K engagements


"This video is an A+ and @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt nails about every important point I've been trying to make and does it better than I have to date. The most subtle but important one is that 'markets are discounting' mechanisms You'll never know the real reason something is ripping/falling hard in real time. So if you want to bottom fish this wait for bad news and a good response not good news and a good response. Best example from crypto is the last cycle. When SEC finally charged $COIN in summer of 23' that was the low stock doubled after that news. 'how could that happen' 'this stock is going to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2021302486607204494)  2026-02-10T19:17Z 53.4K followers, 42.2K engagements


"$QQQ struggling to retake the 50-day here after some clear distribution and a 'sell the news' event yesterday on NFP. A revisit of last weeks low or undercut would be normal or even healthy. Pretty clear technical support in the $580-600 range. Our work doesn't suggest a longer term top but there is some serious rotation that's been going on under the surface which could lead to a really good opportunity. More on that later. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021966890684350519 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021966890684350519"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2021966890684350519)  2026-02-12T15:17Z 53.4K followers, 15.3K engagements


"This is why markets continue to fascinate me. When I wrote the earlier post/note about crypto & $COIN I didn't even know they had earnings this week and it was to make the point that markets are 'forward looking/discounting mechanisms'. On the surface it looks like they were terrible numbers (for a growth/momentum guy -80.5% on earnings and -20% on sales is not exactly what you want to see). The stock is up +17% on big volume = it was already discounted. You don't need to know what is going to happen you need to know how to react/trade in real time based upon what should happen in a process"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2022369641587249441)  2026-02-13T17:57Z 53.4K followers, 19.4K engagements


"To all my followers: So I just spent a brief time away in the mountains reflecting on the last 15-20 years with my best friend (she also happens to be my wife) and here's what I concluded at least for now when it comes to posting here going forward. I will try and avoid posting things that I do not think will be helpful in the market. The reality in my view is that most of twitter is full of noise mostly by people who have views/opinions that don't help anyone make actual $ in the market. I am humbled by many of the compliments I've received here and other places (most recently our annual"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1885377395214999846)  2025-01-31T17:19Z 53.4K followers, 212.2K engagements


"This is a good question here is how I look at a situation like this in totality. [--]. For starters let's look at the daily. This stock is definitely going parabolic here (see how its accelerating) but that doesn't mean this is a climax top as there is NO selling on volume but the advance at this pace is by definition unsustainable like sprinting up a hill.eventually you pause for a breath or you collapse. [--]. This is where you HAVE to define yourself as a trader this is where you use a back stop or just sell into the strength (sounds like that's what you've done) and take a nice multiple of risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1892240661354791194)  2025-02-19T15:51Z 53.4K followers, 40.5K engagements


"Volume was pretty lackluster yesterday and looks like a pretty standard bounce. Here is where I want to see the market do a few things; The first would be to avoid distribution. I wouldn't mind seeing what I call a 'hidden accumulation day' where the market closes lower or near unchanged as we back & fill but volume is above average showing signs that institutions are buying a retest or pullback. Yesterday felt like the old snap back where whats beaten down leads as names like $TSLA were up big. If we're going to have a V-shaped bottom we may run quite a bit further before even seeing any"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1904520737601298924)  2025-03-25T13:08Z 53.4K followers, 20.3K engagements


"Here is my fresh clear and hopefully well seasoned perspective on what I've coined the 'tariff tantrum of 25'. This may get a bit long but hope it helps. For starters market slides and routes are nothing new and I've been doing this long enough I think to offer some perspective from someone who has actually side stepped every major decline of the past [--] years. Like it or not success has to look like something and I have NEVER been caught in any of these bigger slides in any major way. My definition of caught is simple. Holding/Taking large losses or even market equivalent losses in this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1909644923394990401)  2025-04-08T16:30Z 53.4K followers, 30.3K engagements


"Well here we go.Nasdaq & NYSE had a mild accumulation day yesterday and we're gapping higher this morning so watching to see if we can close at near/highs (very early in the day here) and can we get above average volume would be ideal. The tricky part right now is that this move down on Monday widened a lot of charts/pivots. This is what volatility does so we need more of that to continue to calm down. The general market may need to rally more first before we get tighter pivots. If we've bottomed you don't need to be in a hurry. Tell yourself that every hour if you need to but the key is not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1915063119727960456)  2025-04-23T15:20Z 53.4K followers, 29.8K engagements


"So while the $SPY is working on its 9th consecutive green close here the key is NOT TO CHASE I'm looking for something like what I drew in as we're running into declining 50-day/200-day we will stall and IF (always big IF) we can avoid distribution and vol continue to calm down I'm going to get longer and look to get aggressive. A lot of names are lacking 'right sides' and its because we've had little to no digestion. This could setup higher/lower doesn't really matter but some permutation of this where best names can put in some pivots/handles. Biotech looks strong here ($TGTX $ETON $ADMA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1918310569586630990)  2025-05-02T14:24Z 53.4K followers, 20.2K engagements


"The gaps/headlines will continue until morale improves I guess. For those annoyed or frustrated this is the kind of market that separates the pros from the joes. No one has a hard time being patient or sitting when markets are choppy or going down.you get a monster gap to start a week and people are underinvested and they start getting an itchy trigger finger. Doing all the weekend work before seeing the headlines and I couldn't find much so gap up/down doesn't matter to me as the work already told me there wasn't a TON of buyable stuff. So I wait. Was hoping for more digestion we may see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1921934664966512932)  2025-05-12T14:25Z 53.4K followers, 19.2K engagements


"A few of my thoughts off the cuff: -real traders think in terms of risk not tickers stories/narratives or even dollars -real traders are process driven vs opinion driven -real traders are generally not cocky as the market has served them enough humble pie to not like the taste -real traders don't care if someone else likes their idea or who else is or isn't in the trade with them and many prefer to be contrarian -real traders take losses like a pro treat them as a cost of doing business and move on -real traders know their edge and make money in the long run. How do you distinguish between a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1955279211939152310)  2025-08-12T14:44Z 53.4K followers, 61.8K engagements


"Was talking offline with a friend who I greatly respect as a trader who has NAILED this move in gold over the past year and I commented that he would 'probably laugh' if he heard how I'd played it. His response was pure gold. 'As long as you've made money does it really matter As I said to my team once we don't get paid for being clever we get paid to make money.' I'm near the end of my 19th year of trading markets full time and I still needed that reminder"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1973048100492128620)  2025-09-30T15:31Z 53.4K followers, 24.8K engagements


"IMPORTANT ANNCOUNCEMENT We are considering staking/seeding a few traders over the coming years in what we are are calling 'seeds to oaks'. This is equal parts taking a trade all its own (investing in others) as well as a way to give back as what better way then to be sticky capital to those trying to figure this out same as we did years ago. If youre interested please submit your informationincluding your full name contact info background details strategy trading history and any performance metrics (real trading P&L only; no hypothetical results)to seeds2oaks@gmail.com. Please note this is an"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1975577202402979966)  2025-10-07T15:01Z 53.4K followers, 91.6K engagements


"No idea what the bullish fundamental case for Japan is but this Nikkei chart looks VERY constructive to my eye. First saw this from @NautilusCap work & then @PeterLBrandt but when their analysis lines up with my own it has led to powerful results. Worth having on the radar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1744795692785135931)  2024-01-09T18:58Z 53.3K followers, 28K engagements


"Doing my daily & weekend work I must say yesterday/today is the largest list of potential ideas I've seen in quite some time. Thus far follow through and breakouts have continued to be selective but the process is suggesting we could see this breakout in the $IWM possibly hold and follow through. I'm moderately long but looking to get a LOT longer here if we start to see some good pin action. Well this looks like a pretty constructive breakout in the Russell here. Don't hear many people talking about it and I've heard now for awhile that the small caps are dead and the Russell index is broken"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2006041293273583867)  2025-12-30T16:34Z 53.3K followers, 26.4K engagements


"https://nam11.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/url=https%3A%2F%2Frvtv.io%2F3FKcZxV&data=04%7C01%7Cmac%40rtmca.com%7Cc3932417c2f8446a24c708d9aec545a2%7Cb38a26550070452288d001cf51631f20%7C0%7C0%7C637732984565832847%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=ccu9ToWLS1q0AmJ4bkpZWNiTN1nH1SBpmoWlQLCbefE%3D&reserved=0"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1494359120702488581)  2022-02-17T17:12Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements


"I dusted myself off got back to work and stuck with it and haven't looked back since. I've kept a copy of this in my desk ever since and I read it often remembering that time. My sense is there is someone out there reading this who needs it as badly as I did then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1620449179700203522)  2023-01-31T15:49Z 53.4K followers, 24.3K engagements


"1. Going to try a thread here on some prior bottoms. Every one of these I lived & traded through so I'm NOT cherry picking past examples. I'll show where the low/FTD happened but more importantly where the really good opportunity to get aggressive on the long side appeared"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1497236207998222339)  2022-02-25T15:45Z 53.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Wow.wasn't expecting that many guesses. After skimming/commenting on a few I don't believe anyone guessed the right one which tells me it really is still a hidden gem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1557441986025689089)  2022-08-10T19:01Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements


"I often view volatility as a symptom of the market.the higher the less healthy. [----] pt swings in the Dow in less than a minute following CPI.not ideal/healthy. Again I'm not a vol trader and I use directional stops cause I want to survive so there's that too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1590707227593428993)  2022-11-10T14:05Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with great talent.Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. -Calvin Coolidge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1608191545802473474)  2022-12-28T20:01Z 53.4K followers, 68.1K engagements


"Ok sports fans this is a BIG step in the right direction. Classic 10-day adv/decl breadth thrust triggered. Last one per our work was Apr 6th of [----] we all know what happened next but this has a very good track record"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1613920718625951745)  2023-01-13T15:27Z 53.4K followers, 88.5K engagements


"Ok a few threads observations before a long holiday weekend. Let's start with the stock market. I started the week pointing out the valid FTD and tested the waters. Action was so/so but net positive however some positive changes of character to point out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1614026145288097799)  2023-01-13T22:26Z 53.4K followers, 118.6K engagements


"Hey twitter friends: Just wanted to say many thanks for the overwhelming kinds words/comments from this mornings thread. Quite humbling to be honest but tells me there is a real hunger out there for more truth & transparency. If true much more is on the way. Ok time for a word of encouragement & personal story for all of you out there who've been a bit banged up over the past year or to anyone thinking about quitting. Early on in my first year on my own in market I was down. Down on money down on confidence and down on strategy. Ok time for a word of encouragement & personal story for all of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1620528915604455424)  2023-01-31T21:06Z 53.4K followers, 26.5K engagements


"In today's Q&A session @markminervini stated that 'when opportunity intersects with your preparation' is when the really spectacular results occur. The more I've thought about this the truer it has been in my own story. Many have the opportunity but are unprepared"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1625207321927290882)  2023-02-13T18:56Z 53.4K followers, 47.3K engagements


"If you haven't felt stupid then you aren't managing risk. I've stopped out of lots of trades right on or near the lows and taken profits only to watch prices go WAY higher without me. Consistent application of discipline doesn't take 'feelings' into account. One of the accomplishments of the markets is to make us traders feel stupid most of the time One of the accomplishments of the markets is to make us traders feel stupid most of the time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1701980894154703146)  2023-09-13T15:27Z 53.4K followers, 55.7K engagements


"A phenomenal time at the first MPA Gala Event Really appreciated so many of the kind and encouraging words from the members. It was humbling and I had a blast connecting with everyone. These guys were pretty awesome too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1723830108819984415)  2023-11-12T22:28Z 53.4K followers, 25.7K engagements


"Starting to wonder if a breakout in the IWM/Russell 2K may be the best contrarian buy I've seen in a LONG time. A few thoughts on this but may get a bit long winded"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1758520126108848574)  2024-02-16T15:54Z 53.4K followers, 71.5K engagements


"Weekend work showed fewest ideas in probably [--] or so months. I used to get annoyed by these type of environments where now I welcome it. We live in a day where everyone wants instant gratification and if it requires patience most take a pass. I'm happy to fade the impatient"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1782428351111610606)  2024-04-22T15:16Z 53.4K followers, 17.7K engagements


"I've had far worse periods in terms of % drawdowns or even wondering if 'I'm gonna make it' but looking back on the journey I started full time in the markets [--] years ago approximately [--] month after my oldest boys were born. No clue what I was doing and just needed a job"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1799885758834356510)  2024-06-09T19:26Z 53.4K followers, 54.5K engagements


"We are seeing the first doubling of the VIX in quite some time which we've been talking about on the MPA platform for quite some time. This is a contrarian positive longer term as the positive sentiment is clearly getting rinsed out. Here is where things can get real dicey if you aren't careful. Every meltdown starts with conditions like this and while the VIX often reverts from levels like this it can occasionally accelerate and go nuts. I am NOT calling for a meltdown or liquidity event but this is where the risk of such an event starts to increase. I'm holding a LOT of cash and nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1819390020454580334)  2024-08-02T15:09Z 53.4K followers, 55.4K engagements


"This is NOT what I was looking for.guess what markets are all about being wrong small or as @PeterLBrandt would say having 'strong opinions weakly held.' I was looking for this pullback to be small & orderly. Everything was coming in on schedule until yesterday then came the rug pull. The good news is that there just wasn't much in the way of new stock ideas since the Russell ripped which if you follow stocks as your primary indicator you probably didn't get overly long. Stocks were the canary in the coalmine as all the leaders (AI semis) got killed and we saw very little new ideas and the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1819445014180635023)  2024-08-02T18:47Z 53.4K followers, 29.9K engagements


"Quick little summary on my current thoughts and where your head should be after if you are a lower risk directional type trader (can't speak to other strategies): [--]. If you are surprised at how quickly things can reverse or get ugly welcome to the game of being a pro and why risk management is everything. This will happen again and again and. [--]. If you got beat up more than you like take this is a healthy lesson in tuition and PAY the tuition and move on. Blindly holding losses will only guarantee a bigger bill down the line. [--]. Market may have bottomed short term today but WHO CARES I don't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1820550607196782696)  2024-08-05T20:01Z 53.4K followers, 159.4K engagements


"I'd put the current odds of a firm low in the market at maybe 20-25% as I stated yesterday I don't really care. We often make a momentum or even volatility type low (likely given the Vix has been cut in half in a day) then bounce and make a price low. Either way I want to see what names have already made their lows and can then digest/consolidate healthy at or near new highs or in a constructive base. Right now it's just WAY too early to know which is why patience pays. We have back to back unfilled down gaps in the general market which means there is very likely selling that is waiting for a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1820846625650020448)  2024-08-06T15:37Z 53.4K followers, 19.3K engagements


"Taking a look at the VIX over my career (going back to 07') and just doing a quick spot check although I remember each situation where VIX north of [--] peaks ahead of the market bottom. So we have a panic low in the market high in VIX but prices usually go lower or at least retest. Small sample size obviously but a quick recap: [----] VIX peaked in Oct market didn't bottom till months later and MUCH lower this was obviously the grand daddy August [----] (probably closest to current resemblence) we had a quick bottom but then market rolled over several months later to retest and take out the lows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1821923609658458315)  2024-08-09T14:56Z 53.4K followers, 40.9K engagements


"I have found that the market often seduces people into bad habits/risk management (dip buying doubling down trading without stops holding losses) by reinforcing them for awhile until there is an opportunity for max pain. Then they try and avoid that by doing more of the same and the disaster is usually even larger. At one point I was advising a friend who had come to our office and had more than doubled his account that he was trading too large and getting away with some 'bad behavior' that would eventually get him in big trouble. One day he texted me a bit nervous as he had FOMOed into a big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1823421751608439060)  2024-08-13T18:09Z 53.4K followers, 31.1K engagements


"Here we go. I warned about #5 ahead of time and here we are. The market may even run to new highs here and you have to be ok knowing that 'the ends don't justify the means.' Ignoring stops or arguing with the market always leads to BIG trouble. Cash is a position and your friend in times of uncertainty. Use it wisely and understand the job is NOT to get lows but to compound good risk vs reward decisions. Forget where the price of random index is and focus on whether or not you can find good targeted risk v reward(s). Once you start seeing them you redeploy it's just that simple. Quick little"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1824091744159383828)  2024-08-15T14:32Z 53.4K followers, 29.4K engagements


"Market (looking at $SPY here but most indexes minus $IWM have similar look) has a classic V-shape to it. There is always a price to pay for this. I drew in two such scenarios but here is where you don't have to be in a hurry and where chasing will get you into trouble. The best names are likely to hold regardless but will likely setup subsequent buy areas and pivots as the market digests this V-shaped move. A move to new highs may be what's in order as shorts get run over and everyone who can't stand it FOMOs back in right ahead of the inevitable pullback. Not seeing a ton of crisp ideas and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1825553666285175203)  2024-08-19T15:21Z 53.4K followers, 35.5K engagements


"Here's how I'm thinking about the market & my positioning going into tomorrow with Powell speaking. For starters what he says isn't nearly as important as how the market reacts. A few scenarios: [--]. Market sells off hard on big volume and everything gets slammed. I'll likely get stopped on most everything I've bought and step back to the sidelines. Sticking to the discipline/stops. [--]. Market pulls back orderly or shakesout in some names (maybe 50-day on averages) and I get clipped on a name or two while others hold. Jockey/regroup for a bit and see what holds up the best and look to add more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1826691418200404393)  2024-08-22T18:42Z 53.4K followers, 33.6K engagements


"Ok at this stage it looks like the puke from a few weeks ago was a scare. I could easily be wrong but we've had a few accumulation days up this right side. When you get a big rip like this it's often tough to really get aggressively long quickly. Best names are likely at or near new highs. Names like $RACE $PLTR $NFLX didn't really pivot so you have to wait. Other names like $TEVA $ONON $NOW even $GLD and others. I always have to remind myself not to be in too big of a hurry and let the ideas come to me. One day and one trade at a time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1828459990509568203)  2024-08-27T15:50Z 53.4K followers, 79.1K engagements


"I don't trade off anyones opinion but I do listen especially to guys who've made more $ than most of us will make in a few lifetimes. Last time I heard Tepper this bullish was back in fall of [----] which led to a GREAT trading environment for me. Different time & different call here but I'm listening. Gonna put some china names on a watchlist and see if we get any low risk entries in the coming days/weeks. I think we're transitioning here to an easier dollar environment in growth stocks based on what I'm seeing."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1839311515549130942)  2024-09-26T14:30Z 53.4K followers, 30.6K engagements


"Shes aged WAY better than I but give that we were just a couple kids Id say were ready for prime living in our 40s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1851640726087500057)  2024-10-30T15:02Z 53.4K followers, 13.7K engagements


"Longer post on $BTC/crypto and how I'm thinking/managing it going forward. For starters I've been talking about this base and posting potential low risk entries all year as I've been a 'responsible bitcoin bull' for years and there are still very few of us as everyone has either hated it or been full HODL/diamond hands promoter nonsense. I've traded it MANY times over the years going back to [----] when it sets up and meets my criteria. The current breakout is doing what I thought it would when it made new all time highs.stampede into new high ground. I was looking for a tighter 'right side'"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1856722772413632881)  2024-11-13T15:36Z 53.4K followers, 82.5K engagements


"General Market thread/thoughts: So this week we are definitely seeing the 'Trump chasers' getting rinsed out of the market. Anyone thinking this was a redux of [----] has gotten severely tested on that thesis as $QQQ is trying to fill that gap. As usual I'll be watching breadth but the small caps had a monster rip and how also given back a good chunk of that move. Many have been wondering if small/mid caps will ever be able to get meaningful traction and its still tbd at this point. I would say other than $IBIT/$BTC there have not been as many clear winners post election which begs the question"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1857497254006820933)  2024-11-15T18:53Z 53.4K followers, 40.7K engagements


"Slow day/week here but I remember in the early days when I had gone on my own with trading being at Holiday parties and making the mistake of telling people what I did (I now try and avoid such conversations when I can unless there's some valuable contrarian info another great story on that later). A friend was asking my opinion (which isn't worth much to begin with) on where I thought the market was going and an older gentlemen overheard interrupted and proceeded to lecture us on how you had to always be in the market because 'you can't time the market.we know that.' I kept my mouth shut and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1861454138623561965)  2024-11-26T16:57Z 53.4K followers, 16.3K engagements


"General market thread thoughts into year end & [----]. [--]. Let me state for starters that I have no clue where the market is going as that isn't my job. I'm a risk manager. Most people on X and other places claiming to know stuff about markets are not. Think on that for awhile before reading on. Then think on it some more. [--]. This year in particular I have heard more 'arm chair' market analysts talk about the horrible breadth and the like and literally over the summer heard SO many people saying the market is 'one stock' and its a bubble and you know the story.I'm very skeptical when someone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1868694351389344162)  2024-12-16T16:27Z 53.4K followers, 73.2K engagements


"One of the things that attracted me to trading is the fact that markets don't owe anyone anything. It can be intimidating at first but I love the idea that it doesn't matter what your grades were or how smart you think you are or where you come from. Markets do not care (this is also why academics economists MBA types often make terrible traders) what you have done in the past what you think you know or what great approach you think you may have. The market settles the score. Entitlement thinking is a cancer that in my humble opinion has gone from an occasional bug to a primary feature in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1874198615754690827)  2024-12-31T20:59Z 53.4K followers, 17.6K engagements


"Nasdaq had a pretty ugly distribution day with biggest down volume in quite awhile. Clearly a character change since the FOMC on Dec 18th. Tape has been dominated by distribution and all the averages expect the Nasdaq have now round tripped/rinsed their post election rally. I have been in 'profit protection' mode for weeks and thought we may get a rally into the inauguration to kick off the year. Yesterday definitely felt like some profit taking in some of the bigger winners of last year with $PLTR $NVDA $IBIT getting hit. I know a number of growth managers who were trading in/around some of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1877024294863061105)  2025-01-08T16:07Z 53.4K followers, 34.7K engagements


"Market Thoughts: I'm getting increasingly bullish/constructive here for a few reasons. [--]. Indexes look pretty constructive to my eye here. 4-10% corrections lasting a few months is normal and the right sides look constructive. [--]. Market has had a lot of negative headlines thrown at it and it won't break. FED fears Trump haters AI scare tariffs and we've snapped right back into the range. Suggests to me the pain trade is likely higher. [--]. Sentiment has come WAY off the boil.this weeks AAII has more bears than bulls for the first time in awhile NAAIM has come way down as well. [--]. No one seems"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1887526704165359683)  2025-02-06T15:40Z 53.4K followers, 42.3K engagements


"Post Analysis: As promised going to show a few examples of trades. Already showed how I'm handling a current long via $RBRK so here's a recent loss & win. Here is a trade in $PAYO that I would take [---] times out of [---]. Text book nice little cheat area that was actually a mini little fractal where volume was drying up. Took small line through pb buy and bumped as it came out orderly. Lower priced stock which I don't trade as much and that saved me from taking a much bigger line (due to liquidity) but sold in two days as I didn't like Mondays close and blew out the rest when the chart soured."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1889767044024840515)  2025-02-12T20:02Z 53.4K followers, 22.8K engagements


"Sentiment has come way down. Not a timing indicator by any means but this is NOT what tops or major tops look like. AAII bears are at 1yr highs We start to get traction on the long side I'm gonna look to get VERY aggressive here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1891917321431617858)  2025-02-18T18:26Z 53.4K followers, 48K engagements


"Market is definitely putting in a hard shake or potential failed breakout here. Growth names not trading well. Wanting to see the close (a distribution day would mean more time needed for sure) but I have tightened & trimmed risk so as not to get into much trouble. This is where opinions don't mean SQUAT and risk management comes first. I may think the market goes higher but it does not matter as I'm not getting much traction. This may even produce a better setup but my job is to keep my chips in tact period Market snapping back a bit so curious where we close as it's very early in the day."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1892595650061275479)  2025-02-20T15:22Z 53.4K followers, 20.2K engagements


"Guarding ones emotional capital (how your market operations make you feel) is very underrated. One example would be if the market rallying or bouncing when you don't own much or are under invested bothers you it should tell you all you need to know. I could lecture about patience and the need for it but in reality this is something everyone must go through as part of their maturity and learning how to manage those types of feelings can ONLY come through experience. I've been impatient in markets and in life many times. Can't think of too many times the fruits of that impatience paid off in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1894774893696143677)  2025-02-26T15:41Z 53.4K followers, 40.6K engagements


"This is equally interesting & important as I've NEVER seen this in 18yrs of doing this. [--]. The AAII bears just hit 60% and the bull/bear spread hit north of +40%. I have seen that high a print but prints of [--] or higher have only happened a few times. 10/9/08 3/5/09 6/3/22 9/22/22 9/29/22. These are at or near MAJOR bear market lows. So I've seen that high a print but context is everything. [--]. S&P [---] is -4% off the highs and we're seeing sentiment like it is end of the world here. This I have not seen before. This has me scratching my head a little as when markets do things I don't get I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1895114077749305582)  2025-02-27T14:09Z 53.4K followers, 52.6K engagements


"One of the best ways to know you are a pro and not just a gambler in disguise (who wants/needs action and will lose in the long run) in this business is to be able to just sit and watch. There is little to nothing actionable but a few things I'm watching in so specific order. [--]. How we close today. A nasty Friday (weekly close) is rare but when we accelerate into it often leads to an ugly Monday and capitulation early the following week. August of last year as an example. [--]. Do we get more bearish sentiment next week and possible volatility or put/call spike. [--]. My lists have been chopped"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1895494987975975337)  2025-02-28T15:23Z 53.4K followers, 19.5K engagements


"Confession time: I've never been to formal confession (I wasn't raised in that tradition) however I think confession itself is a VERY healthy discipline and leads to real authenticity & honesty and something I do at times with those I'm closest with. All of that aside here goes to my X followers. I struggled greatly in the early part of my career with patience. I would raise cash and often dodge the worst of the decline in equities only to get annoyed frustrated with having to wait or worse yet fearful I'd have to wait too long for a good period and start trying to trade turns or do other"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1896953790193918357)  2025-03-04T16:00Z 53.4K followers, 18.3K engagements


"This pretty much sums up every macro/fundamental bear argument I have heard my whole career. I just got off a coaching call where there were more questions on economic/fundamental indicators and what I look at then I've EVER gotten. I'm guessing most didn't like the answers but it's telling that many are worried about ALL THE WRONG things right now imho. Let me start by saying the market could fall off a cliff right now and it would do me little to no harm/care as I've already protected myself and the technical action doesn't look good. In fact the longer we don't bounce the higher likelihood"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1897720648920637950)  2025-03-06T18:47Z 53.4K followers, 40.4K engagements


"So I have a gut feeling we're far closer to a short term low here. -market is oversold -another bad Monday open -April 2nd tariff deadline feels like a classic sell the news deal (in this case buy the news) -Bad end of Q1 -recession fears picking up -sentiment is very nervous and if you don't like Trump it's end of the world. In the end gut feelings are only good for that.creating a gut which I don't care to have. I know of zero successful traders who just trade on 'their gut.' Now I'm not a bottom picker so if you are and have a process and think we have a turn here then have at it. I may"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1906708491563090338)  2025-03-31T14:01Z 53.4K followers, 30.2K engagements


"Welcome to Meltdown Monday S&P [---] has now lost nearly -15% in three trading sessions. That is a full on mini-crash and haven't seen it this bad since Covid (March of 2020) but it usually takes years to build up the level of complacency for this type of rug pull. A couple things: [--]. Don't do ANYTHING stupid. No leverage don't naked short volatility or gamble. Don't start wildly intraday trading if that isn't your bag. Again no stupid stuff. [--]. The low will happen when short term selling dries up i.e. liquidity gets found at a price to meet the selling. Where/when that is is anyones guess that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1909244749275443607)  2025-04-07T13:59Z 53.4K followers, 47K engagements


"This would tell me that there's still a LOT of people trying to cherry pick this bottom. Real bottoms tend to happen when people are either scared out of their minds and running for the hills or just plain worn out. We haven't had enough time for the latter and this would suggest not enough fear for the former. Incidentally I spoke to a good friend who used to run one of the worlds largest trading desks for a major bank and he said he's quite nervous. I love hearing stuff like that (from a contrarian standpoint) but when I hear it from someone older/wiser than I it reinforces why I don't EVER"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1910681653975867796)  2025-04-11T13:09Z 53.4K followers, 37.7K engagements


"The general market looks like a mess to my eye here and we need to wring more of the volatility out of this market. My weekend work showed a LOT of short right sides which could easily round out and shape up but for now I think patience is key. Furthermore for those looking for a BIG V-shaped bottom where we rip back to old highs there is some precedent for that [----] & 2018-19 but those were aided with large FED stimulus as was [----] post flash crash (QE2) so in this case I think we're likely to see a trading range develop here while the market digests the impact of all the tariffs and trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1912135233605902540)  2025-04-15T13:25Z 53.4K followers, 22.9K engagements


"Process process &.wait for it.process. Ok here is where my process has me looking very closely/intently to be dipping some toes and watching for some kind of confirmation. Opinions & emotions don't pay a disciplined process does. If you are watching closely here and have studied other lows/bottoms this is where you should be watching for some accumulation to come into this market and if you haven't taken some exposure you look to. I would love to see the market continue to consolidate but then see if we can get a valid accumulation type day of this pullback. Study the [----] low [----] or others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1912914029015597427)  2025-04-17T17:00Z 53.4K followers, 45.6K engagements


"Important Thread on Sentiment: I can't remember the last time I've seen sentiment this positive from a contrarian standpoint For starters sentiment IS NOT A GOOD TIMING INDICATOR. To illustrate the point I talked about AAII back in February saying I didn't think we'd have a bigger break because sentiment was already too bearish.I was DEAD WRONG. I don't trade on sentiment I wait for setups thankfully I was holding a lot of cash when the fireworks really started going off. All of that aside here is what I'm seeing that I think all points to the odds of the lows being in or that if not they"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1915768995581501803)  2025-04-25T14:04Z 53.4K followers, 17K engagements


"Not sure I agree with all this (couldn't find a quick easy meme) but I definitely agree with not chasing or stressing. This market has snapped back after last Monday's rinse. We had a churning day in the Nasdaq yesterday after a [--] day run. This is normal and a pause pullback may be in order. There's probably stuff you wanted to buy but didn't (welcome to trading) or stuff that started rallying up the right hand side. We may run further and with a news driven tape who knows. Right now there's not a lot of good looking bases and here is where a pullback or digestion would be welcome but if you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1917219222637445631)  2025-04-29T14:07Z 53.4K followers, 17.6K engagements


"So I said that I was going to talk about real trades and specifically losses more. Here is a textbook example of how I did everything right and lost money oh and the stock ripped higher without me on board. Took a small starter line loved the action really holding up well and then got cracked hard where/when I sold. The undisciplined looks at today and thinks they made a mistake when in reality THIS is what trading is all about. Lots of near misses and jockeying for position a good deal of the time. Nearly all the names I've been watching have either setup into earnings and many have gotten"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1920566323572072851)  2025-05-08T19:47Z 53.4K followers, 48.4K engagements


"Also.forgot to mention my long term win rate is about 39% and this is on a 15+ year data set. Which means on average my next trade is more likely to be a loser. You can torture numbers all you want but wins/losses are still that and enough data will help insulate you emotionally from the losing when you realize it's a cost of doing business and if you want to be ANY form of speculator you'd better get used to it in my humble view. So I said that I was going to talk about real trades and specifically losses more. Here is a textbook example of how I did everything right and lost money oh and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1920567627484897398)  2025-05-08T19:52Z 53.4K followers, 27.9K engagements


"You must view proper risk management as FOUNDATIONAL to your success I'm going to go for a bit of a longer rant here but I want to be very clear on a few things. The first is that the only reason I am on X currently is to try and help people and as it relates to trading if you do not understand what I'm going to discuss you do not have a chance. For something to be foundational it means that it is what everything else is built upon. More important than how I look at a stock or a chart or fundamentals or what market or ticker I'm interested in is how you think about risk. You build on a crap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1925947158059999273)  2025-05-23T16:09Z 53.4K followers, 84.5K engagements


"Ok well here's a little risk management/tactics meets philosophy in real time per my poll yesterday. So I've been trading around a decent line in $PLTR the last few days as the stock has been 'hard to buy' and looks like the key leader in the market right now and shooting against last weeks lows. I was looking to load the boat on a move through Wednesdays inside day and yesterday it immediately failed so I dumped it pronto (near a scratch) when it didn't go but the lows held so today I reloaded the whole thing and trying again. All one has to do is look at the volume profile on the right hand"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1928460478969221511)  2025-05-30T14:36Z 53.4K followers, 57K engagements


"$BTC/$IBIT update from where I sit. This is the first pullback of a few consecutive days since the lows and bitcoin ran right to new highs which is a sign its leading. This to me is where I'm looking for a way to add as there's been little to no pivots and given the strength I'm under the assumption that will continue. You could be as aggressive as trading against todays lows or let it undercut and use some form of 100K as a line in the sand then add if we get a more well defined handle. Bitcoin historically speaking when taking out bigger levels doesn't look back for long. If things were"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1929627941820157952)  2025-06-02T19:55Z 53.4K followers, 51.8K engagements


"Ok so this is a pretty advanced post/lesson but feel free to let me know if this is too complex for 'X' but trying to show some real tactics & risk management so here goes: Following up from yesterday lets say I have something with a really tight potential entry (this is normally where I want to get aggressive.tight entries where I know quickly if I'm right vs wrong). This morning $IBIT gapped assuming you aren't trading the physical so here is how I think & handle a situation like that in terms of tactics. [--]. Just measure the gap and buy it if it's still tight enough. I don't love this as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1929918043775218081)  2025-06-03T15:08Z 53.4K followers, 39.7K engagements


"General update on the market & environment from where I sit: This market has been equal parts interesting & frustrating for the past 2-4 months at least for me so going to share what I'm seeing as well as what my experience has been. Starting with the market just about everything I watch says that this market wants higher. Simply looking at the news of the last 2-3 weeks it has been ALL bad. Tariffs Trump tweets hawkish FED and of course madness in the Middle East and the market won't break. Could this be a situation where it takes time sure but given the action and news I'd say this market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1937158139096260765)  2025-06-23T14:37Z 53.4K followers, 28.9K engagements


"Well I must say I'm a bit surprised how perfect this setup is becoming here so I'll do a little thread on this as $BTC/$IBIT is a really classic cup w handle. Looking at the spot chart this looks really constructive as volatility is contracting from left to right during this basing period. For anyone who wants to really understand how I view technicals read the chapter in @markminervini book 'a picture is worth a million dollars'. Charts in my view DO NOT cause anything they are simply the effect. Most of them (probably 99% of the time) are noise but on occasion they present something very"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1942574546134999364)  2025-07-08T13:20Z 53.4K followers, 26.3K engagements


"This is what most of trading/investing community actually looks like. The 'unpleasant truths' are that you are going to LOSE and at times get frustrated and real money is not made through being smart or having good ideas. Who wants to hear that you are going to have bad days bad weeks even bad months or years No one It took me about 3-4 years of being in the market to really learn this because I hadn't been on my own and the first shop I worked in was a DISASTER where all they head guy ever did was whine & complain when things weren't working and then break discipline all the time. He"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1945862203040817559)  2025-07-17T15:04Z 53.4K followers, 17.8K engagements


"As promised four losers/losses I've taken over the past week. Pretty standard stuff and in the case of two of them prices are higher without me. Such is life"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1945918276959096895)  2025-07-17T18:47Z 53.4K followers, 20K engagements


"A few things I'm watching here in no specific order: [--]. Just looking at the volume (all the indexes have this picture just using SPY as reference and its the one I'm still short) looks like classic distribution and low volume snap back. This does NOT mean this rally has to fail but IF the selling isn't done or there is more to come this is where we should hit some overhead so watching that. [--]. This market has been crazy strong and left a LOT of people in the dust. Shaking their fists their heads you name it I only mention that because if that's the case it means pullbacks are likely to be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1952749143073477108)  2025-08-05T15:10Z 53.4K followers, 19.9K engagements


"Quick thought on how I handle gaps in real time. So I'm doing my work yesterday and see ETHE setting up pretty nicely here. In a better market (better for me really just means where I'm making $ with ease) I'd have started a decent line on or near the close and looked to add today. Of course it gaps. As a general rule I do not chase gaps. If its more than 1-2% above what I want to pay I let it go.as I often say you can own anything you ever want whenever you want or you can be disciplined but you can't be both. Now I have to wait for another low risk spot to shoot at even a 1-2 day pause like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1953460581559591286)  2025-08-07T14:17Z 53.4K followers, 35.5K engagements


"I'll chime in here as I've been trading $BTC for years based on primarily the technicals (chart to get in then finance a bigger hold with a winning position) but there's been a LOT of chatter just assuming based on prior cycles where bitcoin has to go and 150K-250K seems to be consensus for this year. That's all fun and good but not really how markets work in my experience. In my view this stuff is meaningless and more accurately dangerous if people are ignoring risk. To my eye (I'm still holding a longer term piece here) this breakout is retesting and if it fails that is a pretty big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1960710754354487727)  2025-08-27T14:27Z 53.4K followers, 111.4K engagements


"On a Friday gap up.wait That's the rule. For years I've known and heard from other stock trading pros that they don't trade the first 15-30 minutes of the day. Historically I have NEVER heeded this rule however I have gotten more incremental over time where I now will start a position early and then add/reduce based on the price action. There are plenty of times where I know I want to buy xyz stock the minute it starts to move and I don't care if it's first or last minute of the day. What I have learned though is that on a 'gap up' days or specifically following news or gap to new highs I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1964031345773920623)  2025-09-05T18:22Z 53.4K followers, 28.1K engagements


"Had a really good conversation(s) with my two 18yr old sons yesterday in the wake of Charlie Kirk's murder and felt I should share at least how I'm currently praying as a local church leader. Not my usual so feel free to skip as there won't be ANY market stuff herein and trigger warning if you are anti-faith. I am and aspire to be a follower of Jesus of Nazareth and I generally try and let my life do the talking (James 2:18) vs my mouth that being said I have tried to be a real follower of 'the way' (Christian was a derogatory term and has become widely misused and understood in our times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1966143465860813264)  2025-09-11T14:15Z 53.4K followers, 21.1K engagements


"Giving an example of 'trading near the danger' point here in real time. This trade in $MSFT is a perfect example of how when things are going well you can step in with BIG size. I'm talking my book as it's one of my biggest positions so will prob fail but the total risk is very small here and this is what I call 'cheating on the cheat' as I started a position on Friday doubled up yesterday and if it doesn't get going through this pivot I'm out even with a close in lower 1/3 of todays range I cut some or all the position. If we paused for a day or go inside tomorrow and volume stays dry I will"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1973098383070937311)  2025-09-30T18:51Z 53.4K followers, 56.1K engagements


"I love posts like this.the funny thing is I'm a technician and I agree the key word here is how you understand/define 'mostly' as the difference in this case between 'mostly' & 'completely' has been worth a lot of money to me. More on this later. My thoughts exactly: https://t.co/9bd63eoXec My thoughts exactly: https://t.co/9bd63eoXec"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1973387857315115374)  2025-10-01T14:01Z 53.4K followers, 62.1K engagements


"Some ramblings/thoughts on the market: [--]. For starters don't make this any more complicated than it should be Friday was the worst day since the tariff tantrum pretty major character change in the near term. Vix +35% and Nasdaq down on biggest volume since the beginning of the move. Clear change in character in the short term. [--]. You don't have to be a pavlovian dog and just buy dips this is what joe's do and pro's avoid because eventually blind dip buying ends real badly. I've borrowed from the Big Lebowski before that 'sometimes you buy the dip.and sometimes you ARE the dip'. [--]. Markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1978102149683785732)  2025-10-14T14:14Z 53.4K followers, 34.9K engagements


"Markets at new highs and this.not a prediction but definitely NOT screaming top or bubble to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1982884874500583760)  2025-10-27T18:59Z 53.4K followers, 92.7K engagements


"As my dad once said 'wisdom or smarts may get the glory but discipline is what gets the job done' I also think this is why most fail at most things. Growth in ANY capital (spiritual/relational/intellectual/physical/financial) may not require discipline initially but in order to sustain/maintain any level of growth it will be required. Long rant but here's just a few examples; Spiritual: When I decided I was going to be a serious follower of Jesus I read the NT (specifically the Gospels) every single day for over [--] years along with TONS of other disciplines (corporate & individual worship"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1989373665130012987)  2025-11-14T16:43Z 53.4K followers, 39K engagements


"A few themes/observations from my weekend work: [--]. Market breadth has definitely improved in the short run (last 2-3 weeks). [--]. While the high flyers have corrected (AI/software) we're seeing biotech and other growth areas acting really well. [--]. Seeing a lot of stocks setting up in a few groups gold miners building/construction related names and a number of bigger bases with lower RS in oil/gas as well. [--]. NYSE Comp made a new all time high Friday before reversing A/D line didn't confirm. [--]. Last but not least I had the largest list of actionable candidates in several months coming into the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1998066605519999183)  2025-12-08T16:26Z 53.4K followers, 24.8K engagements


"Trading/investing/speculation is not an ideas business it is a risk management one. -Me aka (Mark Ritchie II)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/2001655749378793614)  2025-12-18T14:08Z 53.4K followers, 16.3K engagements


"Rant/post on market breadth. For starters be skeptical of anyone who doesn't eat their own cooking. If I have you over for dinner cook you a nice meal and then you see me not put anything I made in my own mouth that should raise a HUGE red flag"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MarkRitchie_II/status/1800918421892165970)  2024-06-12T15:49Z 53.4K followers, 98K engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@MarkRitchie_II Avatar @MarkRitchie_II Mark Ritchie II

Mark Ritchie II posts on X about if you, trade, money, the first the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Engagements Line Chart

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  • [--] Month [-------] +7.60%
  • [--] Months [---------] +72%
  • [--] Year [---------] +7.50%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Month [--] -68%
  • [--] Months [--] +12%
  • [--] Year [---] -13%

Followers: [------] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] +0.16%
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  • [--] Months [------] +9.40%
  • [--] Year [------] +22%

CreatorRank: [-------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance #3559 stocks 14.42% cryptocurrencies 7.69% technology brands 4.81% exchanges 4.81% countries 2.88% social networks 1.92% luxury brands 0.96% automotive brands 0.96%

Social topic influence if you 11.54%, trade 10.58%, money 6.73%, the first 6.73%, just a 5.77%, market 5.77%, we are 5.77%, $btc 4.81%, at least 4.81%, bitcoin 4.81%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @markminervini @peterlbrandt @markritchieii @xosuyo7865 @ssstockalerts @realvision @crowdedmktrpt @dwlinvestments @jackschwager @gmailcom @nautiluscap @mstr @reavision @dwl_investments @stockstormx @thirstymangus @hhtradeideas @stonksgoup99 @gbtb1316 @dimasakian

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) iShares BTC Trust (IBIT) Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) DIA (DIA) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Newmont Corporation (NEM) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Mario Coin (COIN) Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Happy end of January. My dad told me back in the day on the floors at the CBOT that some of the bigger locals/members had arrangements whereby after they had traded 40K in commissions they could trade the rest of the year free of charge. This was the 70s/80s and no idea what they were paying a side in those days but we're talking a lot of volume to get there and a number of guys didn't do that kind of volume but for those that did it was a marker for how the year was going. He said if it was a good market they would hit that # within a few weeks or near the end of the first month of the year."
X Link 2026-01-29T20:17Z 53.3K followers, 33.1K engagements

"I can speak to #1 in spades. When I went out on my own in [----] I had no shortage of peoplemultiple family members who were successful traders includedtelling me it isnt like it used to be or that I should do something else. One friend told me All the money is in charging fees and that I should become an RIA/CFP and spend my time studying for some designation. Im incredibly grateful I didnt listen. In this business you own your results. As I said in a @RealVision interview years ago most people who say you shouldnt try either never had the courage to try themselves or they tried and failed."
X Link 2026-02-03T17:15Z 53.3K followers, 20.2K engagements

"This is a good question. There are LOTs of permutations that traders can use (sell half quarters etc). The key is to make sure the math makes sense based upon initial risk and your trading metrics (avg win/loss win rate). I used to always kinda sell in 1/2s when in doubt cut half and trade incrementally like that even in terms of adds I more often increase by 50% then a straight double up so as not to run up my avg cost (I'm always adding at higher prices never averaging down). For me a really nice swing trade is usually holding through 2-3 natural reactions and the math shows that the best"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:18Z 53.3K followers, 14.6K engagements

"I literally had someone telling me the elevated $SLV volume was just a result of 0dte options and didn't mean anything. This is the kind of nonsense going around on X as if markets are casinos and have no real fundamental value. How many silver mines/producers have hedged out years worth of production at prices that make their businesses & margins massively more profitable That is who you are potentially trading against here. Without further comment Posted to public X only #Silver https://t.co/eBG4hS1Q3E Without further comment Posted to public X only #Silver https://t.co/eBG4hS1Q3E"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:32Z 53.3K followers, 15.3K engagements

"Market Observations: Looks like a tale of different indices as the $QQQs are looking pretty toppy here meanwhile the $DIA is a different picture. A LOT of the old leaders $HOOD $PLTR $NVDA just to name a few look like major tops and 50/80 rule candidates. If this tech selling starts to really spread probably takes everything down for the time being. This is where you have to act and protect yourself quickly if selling intensifies. Who knows how low things go and you have to have those plans in place ahead of time. Even stocks that are holding up well can give way in VERY short notice if"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:54Z 53.4K followers, 13.7K engagements

"A few observations from the 'office of the responsible BTC bull'. All kidding aside I said if 100K didn't hold any of my long term holds were gone and this market was going to be in the penalty box until further notice. I've been trading this in bull trends since the bull market in 2016-17 and I've seen this now multiple times as when the trend shifts in crypto it can get ugly in a hurry. I'm as surprised as everyone else but when people started talking like it was the law of gravity that BTC had to go to 150-250K I got a little nervous then when it broke 100K I hit the exits. Today's volume"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:36Z 53.3K followers, 45.6K engagements

"Look man like you said you're up nicely on the trade but I don't know your avg win/loss or what kind of trader you are. If your plan was to hold you hold and the name but you can also use some kind of backstop as well or sell a small portion to finance this move (which is likely what I would do). The name has been impervious to this sell off for now which is good and would tell me to at least try and stick with some of the position"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:02Z 53.3K followers, [---] engagements

"@ssstockalerts Hey sss.so neither of these are ones I'm familiar with (I'm assuming NSE is India) but in both cases I'd like to see tighter and more defined right sides. For now I'd just keep them on the radar and to the degree they improve/tighten the more I'd be interested"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:14Z 53.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@xosuyo7865 you basically described what I've made a career out of. Trade fundamentals all you want but make sure you have technical confirmation. I've NEVER said don't trade fundamentals I've said that 'I don't trade them alone' without confirmation"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:03Z 53.3K followers, [---] engagements

"@DWL_Investments Wow.don't have the words to express how wrong your take is on nearly every level but wishing you all the best"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:29Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Sure.it was equal parts divine intervention & hard work. George Whitefield famously said 'I pray like everything depends on God then go to work like everything depends upon me'. So I took a BIG leap of faith (much more on that at some point) and what some people called a stupid/crazy risk. Times were VERY lean for years. If we didn't have the $ we didn't spend it no credit cards cash for everything no shortage of sacrifice. Didn't buy a 'new anything' for probably 4-5 years. I tracked every single trade had good coaches & mentoring via @markminervini & @PeterLBrandt and worked my tail off."
X Link 2025-05-15T18:52Z 53.4K followers, 66.1K engagements

"Interesting Gold/Silver observation: I'm pretty much a sold out gold/silver bull here have a $NEM position but sold last of my $SLV last week and $GLD in the last run up. I did a number of posts early in this advance (one example) saying that a cyclical bull market should see the prices double. Look at the last cycle when silver broke out and went parabolic gold didn't even breakout yet then it followed suit and broke out while silver topped for the next decade. Looks VERY similar here. No clue how this plays out but pointing out an observation and will look to buy $GLD if I can get a low"
X Link 2025-12-17T18:34Z 53.4K followers, 42.7K engagements

"Post trade analysis on a loss scratch and TBD. So I said I'd try and do a little more post trade analysis (particularly on losses as most don't share those) so here's a few of late. Starting with $IBIT which I posted on a few weeks ago. I tried this bottom fisher and moved my stop up to a breakeven only to have a gap go through it slightly and I took the next best price. Technically this should go in the small loss bucket but it was pretty close. If there was a mistake in hindsight you could say it wasn't taking off a piece into strength. In this case it was a small position (I don't bottom"
X Link 2026-02-04T20:12Z 53.4K followers, 12.4K engagements

"When anyone usually asks me what I think the markets going to do.I usually say 'no idea' but I have some things I'm always watching. In today's case we have a market that has been trading pretty soft this week lots of distribution in the Nasdaq/tech. I've raised a decent bit of cash and gotten knocked out of some things but thus far pretty normal. Today we are gapping up and i want to see if these gains can hold. Worst case is they get immediately sold into across the board and we go right to new lows setting up a flush into the weekend. A relief rally for a day or two would at least be a"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:14Z 53.4K followers, 27.3K engagements

"Thus far the bounce has been impressive. Weekend work didn't show a lot of imminently buyable setups but still a number of stocks within bases so if we can avoid distribution in the short run I think we may see a wave of newer ideas in the coming days/weeks. When anyone usually asks me what I think the markets going to do.I usually say 'no idea' but I have some things I'm always watching. In today's case we have a market that has been trading pretty soft this week lots of distribution in the Nasdaq/tech. I've raised a decent bit https://t.co/Ye85lW0a0q When anyone usually asks me what I think"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:02Z 53.4K followers, 14.9K engagements

"Ok here is my real world example.2yr notes. This could be a chart of ANYTHING and I'd be interested. I once traded a forex pair back in the day and sized the thing about 5x the wrong way (too small thank goodness) because I was so enamored with the chart I neglected to make sure I got the expression right. Lesson learned. The fact that @PeterLBrandt has been posting versions of this for around a year makes me like it even more as it's building energy. That's what this chart tells me anyway. For those who can't or don't trade futures I posted the $SHY as a proxy (I personally wouldn't trade"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:06Z 53.4K followers, 17.5K engagements

"This video is an A+ and @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt nails about every important point I've been trying to make and does it better than I have to date. The most subtle but important one is that 'markets are discounting' mechanisms You'll never know the real reason something is ripping/falling hard in real time. So if you want to bottom fish this wait for bad news and a good response not good news and a good response. Best example from crypto is the last cycle. When SEC finally charged $COIN in summer of 23' that was the low stock doubled after that news. 'how could that happen' 'this stock is going to"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:17Z 53.4K followers, 42.2K engagements

"$QQQ struggling to retake the 50-day here after some clear distribution and a 'sell the news' event yesterday on NFP. A revisit of last weeks low or undercut would be normal or even healthy. Pretty clear technical support in the $580-600 range. Our work doesn't suggest a longer term top but there is some serious rotation that's been going on under the surface which could lead to a really good opportunity. More on that later. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021966890684350519 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021966890684350519"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:17Z 53.4K followers, 15.3K engagements

"This is why markets continue to fascinate me. When I wrote the earlier post/note about crypto & $COIN I didn't even know they had earnings this week and it was to make the point that markets are 'forward looking/discounting mechanisms'. On the surface it looks like they were terrible numbers (for a growth/momentum guy -80.5% on earnings and -20% on sales is not exactly what you want to see). The stock is up +17% on big volume = it was already discounted. You don't need to know what is going to happen you need to know how to react/trade in real time based upon what should happen in a process"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:57Z 53.4K followers, 19.4K engagements

"To all my followers: So I just spent a brief time away in the mountains reflecting on the last 15-20 years with my best friend (she also happens to be my wife) and here's what I concluded at least for now when it comes to posting here going forward. I will try and avoid posting things that I do not think will be helpful in the market. The reality in my view is that most of twitter is full of noise mostly by people who have views/opinions that don't help anyone make actual $ in the market. I am humbled by many of the compliments I've received here and other places (most recently our annual"
X Link 2025-01-31T17:19Z 53.4K followers, 212.2K engagements

"This is a good question here is how I look at a situation like this in totality. [--]. For starters let's look at the daily. This stock is definitely going parabolic here (see how its accelerating) but that doesn't mean this is a climax top as there is NO selling on volume but the advance at this pace is by definition unsustainable like sprinting up a hill.eventually you pause for a breath or you collapse. [--]. This is where you HAVE to define yourself as a trader this is where you use a back stop or just sell into the strength (sounds like that's what you've done) and take a nice multiple of risk"
X Link 2025-02-19T15:51Z 53.4K followers, 40.5K engagements

"Volume was pretty lackluster yesterday and looks like a pretty standard bounce. Here is where I want to see the market do a few things; The first would be to avoid distribution. I wouldn't mind seeing what I call a 'hidden accumulation day' where the market closes lower or near unchanged as we back & fill but volume is above average showing signs that institutions are buying a retest or pullback. Yesterday felt like the old snap back where whats beaten down leads as names like $TSLA were up big. If we're going to have a V-shaped bottom we may run quite a bit further before even seeing any"
X Link 2025-03-25T13:08Z 53.4K followers, 20.3K engagements

"Here is my fresh clear and hopefully well seasoned perspective on what I've coined the 'tariff tantrum of 25'. This may get a bit long but hope it helps. For starters market slides and routes are nothing new and I've been doing this long enough I think to offer some perspective from someone who has actually side stepped every major decline of the past [--] years. Like it or not success has to look like something and I have NEVER been caught in any of these bigger slides in any major way. My definition of caught is simple. Holding/Taking large losses or even market equivalent losses in this"
X Link 2025-04-08T16:30Z 53.4K followers, 30.3K engagements

"Well here we go.Nasdaq & NYSE had a mild accumulation day yesterday and we're gapping higher this morning so watching to see if we can close at near/highs (very early in the day here) and can we get above average volume would be ideal. The tricky part right now is that this move down on Monday widened a lot of charts/pivots. This is what volatility does so we need more of that to continue to calm down. The general market may need to rally more first before we get tighter pivots. If we've bottomed you don't need to be in a hurry. Tell yourself that every hour if you need to but the key is not"
X Link 2025-04-23T15:20Z 53.4K followers, 29.8K engagements

"So while the $SPY is working on its 9th consecutive green close here the key is NOT TO CHASE I'm looking for something like what I drew in as we're running into declining 50-day/200-day we will stall and IF (always big IF) we can avoid distribution and vol continue to calm down I'm going to get longer and look to get aggressive. A lot of names are lacking 'right sides' and its because we've had little to no digestion. This could setup higher/lower doesn't really matter but some permutation of this where best names can put in some pivots/handles. Biotech looks strong here ($TGTX $ETON $ADMA"
X Link 2025-05-02T14:24Z 53.4K followers, 20.2K engagements

"The gaps/headlines will continue until morale improves I guess. For those annoyed or frustrated this is the kind of market that separates the pros from the joes. No one has a hard time being patient or sitting when markets are choppy or going down.you get a monster gap to start a week and people are underinvested and they start getting an itchy trigger finger. Doing all the weekend work before seeing the headlines and I couldn't find much so gap up/down doesn't matter to me as the work already told me there wasn't a TON of buyable stuff. So I wait. Was hoping for more digestion we may see"
X Link 2025-05-12T14:25Z 53.4K followers, 19.2K engagements

"A few of my thoughts off the cuff: -real traders think in terms of risk not tickers stories/narratives or even dollars -real traders are process driven vs opinion driven -real traders are generally not cocky as the market has served them enough humble pie to not like the taste -real traders don't care if someone else likes their idea or who else is or isn't in the trade with them and many prefer to be contrarian -real traders take losses like a pro treat them as a cost of doing business and move on -real traders know their edge and make money in the long run. How do you distinguish between a"
X Link 2025-08-12T14:44Z 53.4K followers, 61.8K engagements

"Was talking offline with a friend who I greatly respect as a trader who has NAILED this move in gold over the past year and I commented that he would 'probably laugh' if he heard how I'd played it. His response was pure gold. 'As long as you've made money does it really matter As I said to my team once we don't get paid for being clever we get paid to make money.' I'm near the end of my 19th year of trading markets full time and I still needed that reminder"
X Link 2025-09-30T15:31Z 53.4K followers, 24.8K engagements

"IMPORTANT ANNCOUNCEMENT We are considering staking/seeding a few traders over the coming years in what we are are calling 'seeds to oaks'. This is equal parts taking a trade all its own (investing in others) as well as a way to give back as what better way then to be sticky capital to those trying to figure this out same as we did years ago. If youre interested please submit your informationincluding your full name contact info background details strategy trading history and any performance metrics (real trading P&L only; no hypothetical results)to seeds2oaks@gmail.com. Please note this is an"
X Link 2025-10-07T15:01Z 53.4K followers, 91.6K engagements

"No idea what the bullish fundamental case for Japan is but this Nikkei chart looks VERY constructive to my eye. First saw this from @NautilusCap work & then @PeterLBrandt but when their analysis lines up with my own it has led to powerful results. Worth having on the radar"
X Link 2024-01-09T18:58Z 53.3K followers, 28K engagements

"Doing my daily & weekend work I must say yesterday/today is the largest list of potential ideas I've seen in quite some time. Thus far follow through and breakouts have continued to be selective but the process is suggesting we could see this breakout in the $IWM possibly hold and follow through. I'm moderately long but looking to get a LOT longer here if we start to see some good pin action. Well this looks like a pretty constructive breakout in the Russell here. Don't hear many people talking about it and I've heard now for awhile that the small caps are dead and the Russell index is broken"
X Link 2025-12-30T16:34Z 53.3K followers, 26.4K engagements

"https://nam11.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/url=https%3A%2F%2Frvtv.io%2F3FKcZxV&data=04%7C01%7Cmac%40rtmca.com%7Cc3932417c2f8446a24c708d9aec545a2%7Cb38a26550070452288d001cf51631f20%7C0%7C0%7C637732984565832847%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=ccu9ToWLS1q0AmJ4bkpZWNiTN1nH1SBpmoWlQLCbefE%3D&reserved=0"
X Link 2022-02-17T17:12Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements

"I dusted myself off got back to work and stuck with it and haven't looked back since. I've kept a copy of this in my desk ever since and I read it often remembering that time. My sense is there is someone out there reading this who needs it as badly as I did then"
X Link 2023-01-31T15:49Z 53.4K followers, 24.3K engagements

"1. Going to try a thread here on some prior bottoms. Every one of these I lived & traded through so I'm NOT cherry picking past examples. I'll show where the low/FTD happened but more importantly where the really good opportunity to get aggressive on the long side appeared"
X Link 2022-02-25T15:45Z 53.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Wow.wasn't expecting that many guesses. After skimming/commenting on a few I don't believe anyone guessed the right one which tells me it really is still a hidden gem"
X Link 2022-08-10T19:01Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements

"I often view volatility as a symptom of the market.the higher the less healthy. [----] pt swings in the Dow in less than a minute following CPI.not ideal/healthy. Again I'm not a vol trader and I use directional stops cause I want to survive so there's that too"
X Link 2022-11-10T14:05Z 53.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with great talent.Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. -Calvin Coolidge"
X Link 2022-12-28T20:01Z 53.4K followers, 68.1K engagements

"Ok sports fans this is a BIG step in the right direction. Classic 10-day adv/decl breadth thrust triggered. Last one per our work was Apr 6th of [----] we all know what happened next but this has a very good track record"
X Link 2023-01-13T15:27Z 53.4K followers, 88.5K engagements

"Ok a few threads observations before a long holiday weekend. Let's start with the stock market. I started the week pointing out the valid FTD and tested the waters. Action was so/so but net positive however some positive changes of character to point out"
X Link 2023-01-13T22:26Z 53.4K followers, 118.6K engagements

"Hey twitter friends: Just wanted to say many thanks for the overwhelming kinds words/comments from this mornings thread. Quite humbling to be honest but tells me there is a real hunger out there for more truth & transparency. If true much more is on the way. Ok time for a word of encouragement & personal story for all of you out there who've been a bit banged up over the past year or to anyone thinking about quitting. Early on in my first year on my own in market I was down. Down on money down on confidence and down on strategy. Ok time for a word of encouragement & personal story for all of"
X Link 2023-01-31T21:06Z 53.4K followers, 26.5K engagements

"In today's Q&A session @markminervini stated that 'when opportunity intersects with your preparation' is when the really spectacular results occur. The more I've thought about this the truer it has been in my own story. Many have the opportunity but are unprepared"
X Link 2023-02-13T18:56Z 53.4K followers, 47.3K engagements

"If you haven't felt stupid then you aren't managing risk. I've stopped out of lots of trades right on or near the lows and taken profits only to watch prices go WAY higher without me. Consistent application of discipline doesn't take 'feelings' into account. One of the accomplishments of the markets is to make us traders feel stupid most of the time One of the accomplishments of the markets is to make us traders feel stupid most of the time"
X Link 2023-09-13T15:27Z 53.4K followers, 55.7K engagements

"A phenomenal time at the first MPA Gala Event Really appreciated so many of the kind and encouraging words from the members. It was humbling and I had a blast connecting with everyone. These guys were pretty awesome too"
X Link 2023-11-12T22:28Z 53.4K followers, 25.7K engagements

"Starting to wonder if a breakout in the IWM/Russell 2K may be the best contrarian buy I've seen in a LONG time. A few thoughts on this but may get a bit long winded"
X Link 2024-02-16T15:54Z 53.4K followers, 71.5K engagements

"Weekend work showed fewest ideas in probably [--] or so months. I used to get annoyed by these type of environments where now I welcome it. We live in a day where everyone wants instant gratification and if it requires patience most take a pass. I'm happy to fade the impatient"
X Link 2024-04-22T15:16Z 53.4K followers, 17.7K engagements

"I've had far worse periods in terms of % drawdowns or even wondering if 'I'm gonna make it' but looking back on the journey I started full time in the markets [--] years ago approximately [--] month after my oldest boys were born. No clue what I was doing and just needed a job"
X Link 2024-06-09T19:26Z 53.4K followers, 54.5K engagements

"We are seeing the first doubling of the VIX in quite some time which we've been talking about on the MPA platform for quite some time. This is a contrarian positive longer term as the positive sentiment is clearly getting rinsed out. Here is where things can get real dicey if you aren't careful. Every meltdown starts with conditions like this and while the VIX often reverts from levels like this it can occasionally accelerate and go nuts. I am NOT calling for a meltdown or liquidity event but this is where the risk of such an event starts to increase. I'm holding a LOT of cash and nothing"
X Link 2024-08-02T15:09Z 53.4K followers, 55.4K engagements

"This is NOT what I was looking for.guess what markets are all about being wrong small or as @PeterLBrandt would say having 'strong opinions weakly held.' I was looking for this pullback to be small & orderly. Everything was coming in on schedule until yesterday then came the rug pull. The good news is that there just wasn't much in the way of new stock ideas since the Russell ripped which if you follow stocks as your primary indicator you probably didn't get overly long. Stocks were the canary in the coalmine as all the leaders (AI semis) got killed and we saw very little new ideas and the"
X Link 2024-08-02T18:47Z 53.4K followers, 29.9K engagements

"Quick little summary on my current thoughts and where your head should be after if you are a lower risk directional type trader (can't speak to other strategies): [--]. If you are surprised at how quickly things can reverse or get ugly welcome to the game of being a pro and why risk management is everything. This will happen again and again and. [--]. If you got beat up more than you like take this is a healthy lesson in tuition and PAY the tuition and move on. Blindly holding losses will only guarantee a bigger bill down the line. [--]. Market may have bottomed short term today but WHO CARES I don't"
X Link 2024-08-05T20:01Z 53.4K followers, 159.4K engagements

"I'd put the current odds of a firm low in the market at maybe 20-25% as I stated yesterday I don't really care. We often make a momentum or even volatility type low (likely given the Vix has been cut in half in a day) then bounce and make a price low. Either way I want to see what names have already made their lows and can then digest/consolidate healthy at or near new highs or in a constructive base. Right now it's just WAY too early to know which is why patience pays. We have back to back unfilled down gaps in the general market which means there is very likely selling that is waiting for a"
X Link 2024-08-06T15:37Z 53.4K followers, 19.3K engagements

"Taking a look at the VIX over my career (going back to 07') and just doing a quick spot check although I remember each situation where VIX north of [--] peaks ahead of the market bottom. So we have a panic low in the market high in VIX but prices usually go lower or at least retest. Small sample size obviously but a quick recap: [----] VIX peaked in Oct market didn't bottom till months later and MUCH lower this was obviously the grand daddy August [----] (probably closest to current resemblence) we had a quick bottom but then market rolled over several months later to retest and take out the lows"
X Link 2024-08-09T14:56Z 53.4K followers, 40.9K engagements

"I have found that the market often seduces people into bad habits/risk management (dip buying doubling down trading without stops holding losses) by reinforcing them for awhile until there is an opportunity for max pain. Then they try and avoid that by doing more of the same and the disaster is usually even larger. At one point I was advising a friend who had come to our office and had more than doubled his account that he was trading too large and getting away with some 'bad behavior' that would eventually get him in big trouble. One day he texted me a bit nervous as he had FOMOed into a big"
X Link 2024-08-13T18:09Z 53.4K followers, 31.1K engagements

"Here we go. I warned about #5 ahead of time and here we are. The market may even run to new highs here and you have to be ok knowing that 'the ends don't justify the means.' Ignoring stops or arguing with the market always leads to BIG trouble. Cash is a position and your friend in times of uncertainty. Use it wisely and understand the job is NOT to get lows but to compound good risk vs reward decisions. Forget where the price of random index is and focus on whether or not you can find good targeted risk v reward(s). Once you start seeing them you redeploy it's just that simple. Quick little"
X Link 2024-08-15T14:32Z 53.4K followers, 29.4K engagements

"Market (looking at $SPY here but most indexes minus $IWM have similar look) has a classic V-shape to it. There is always a price to pay for this. I drew in two such scenarios but here is where you don't have to be in a hurry and where chasing will get you into trouble. The best names are likely to hold regardless but will likely setup subsequent buy areas and pivots as the market digests this V-shaped move. A move to new highs may be what's in order as shorts get run over and everyone who can't stand it FOMOs back in right ahead of the inevitable pullback. Not seeing a ton of crisp ideas and"
X Link 2024-08-19T15:21Z 53.4K followers, 35.5K engagements

"Here's how I'm thinking about the market & my positioning going into tomorrow with Powell speaking. For starters what he says isn't nearly as important as how the market reacts. A few scenarios: [--]. Market sells off hard on big volume and everything gets slammed. I'll likely get stopped on most everything I've bought and step back to the sidelines. Sticking to the discipline/stops. [--]. Market pulls back orderly or shakesout in some names (maybe 50-day on averages) and I get clipped on a name or two while others hold. Jockey/regroup for a bit and see what holds up the best and look to add more"
X Link 2024-08-22T18:42Z 53.4K followers, 33.6K engagements

"Ok at this stage it looks like the puke from a few weeks ago was a scare. I could easily be wrong but we've had a few accumulation days up this right side. When you get a big rip like this it's often tough to really get aggressively long quickly. Best names are likely at or near new highs. Names like $RACE $PLTR $NFLX didn't really pivot so you have to wait. Other names like $TEVA $ONON $NOW even $GLD and others. I always have to remind myself not to be in too big of a hurry and let the ideas come to me. One day and one trade at a time"
X Link 2024-08-27T15:50Z 53.4K followers, 79.1K engagements

"I don't trade off anyones opinion but I do listen especially to guys who've made more $ than most of us will make in a few lifetimes. Last time I heard Tepper this bullish was back in fall of [----] which led to a GREAT trading environment for me. Different time & different call here but I'm listening. Gonna put some china names on a watchlist and see if we get any low risk entries in the coming days/weeks. I think we're transitioning here to an easier dollar environment in growth stocks based on what I'm seeing."
X Link 2024-09-26T14:30Z 53.4K followers, 30.6K engagements

"Shes aged WAY better than I but give that we were just a couple kids Id say were ready for prime living in our 40s"
X Link 2024-10-30T15:02Z 53.4K followers, 13.7K engagements

"Longer post on $BTC/crypto and how I'm thinking/managing it going forward. For starters I've been talking about this base and posting potential low risk entries all year as I've been a 'responsible bitcoin bull' for years and there are still very few of us as everyone has either hated it or been full HODL/diamond hands promoter nonsense. I've traded it MANY times over the years going back to [----] when it sets up and meets my criteria. The current breakout is doing what I thought it would when it made new all time highs.stampede into new high ground. I was looking for a tighter 'right side'"
X Link 2024-11-13T15:36Z 53.4K followers, 82.5K engagements

"General Market thread/thoughts: So this week we are definitely seeing the 'Trump chasers' getting rinsed out of the market. Anyone thinking this was a redux of [----] has gotten severely tested on that thesis as $QQQ is trying to fill that gap. As usual I'll be watching breadth but the small caps had a monster rip and how also given back a good chunk of that move. Many have been wondering if small/mid caps will ever be able to get meaningful traction and its still tbd at this point. I would say other than $IBIT/$BTC there have not been as many clear winners post election which begs the question"
X Link 2024-11-15T18:53Z 53.4K followers, 40.7K engagements

"Slow day/week here but I remember in the early days when I had gone on my own with trading being at Holiday parties and making the mistake of telling people what I did (I now try and avoid such conversations when I can unless there's some valuable contrarian info another great story on that later). A friend was asking my opinion (which isn't worth much to begin with) on where I thought the market was going and an older gentlemen overheard interrupted and proceeded to lecture us on how you had to always be in the market because 'you can't time the market.we know that.' I kept my mouth shut and"
X Link 2024-11-26T16:57Z 53.4K followers, 16.3K engagements

"General market thread thoughts into year end & [----]. [--]. Let me state for starters that I have no clue where the market is going as that isn't my job. I'm a risk manager. Most people on X and other places claiming to know stuff about markets are not. Think on that for awhile before reading on. Then think on it some more. [--]. This year in particular I have heard more 'arm chair' market analysts talk about the horrible breadth and the like and literally over the summer heard SO many people saying the market is 'one stock' and its a bubble and you know the story.I'm very skeptical when someone"
X Link 2024-12-16T16:27Z 53.4K followers, 73.2K engagements

"One of the things that attracted me to trading is the fact that markets don't owe anyone anything. It can be intimidating at first but I love the idea that it doesn't matter what your grades were or how smart you think you are or where you come from. Markets do not care (this is also why academics economists MBA types often make terrible traders) what you have done in the past what you think you know or what great approach you think you may have. The market settles the score. Entitlement thinking is a cancer that in my humble opinion has gone from an occasional bug to a primary feature in"
X Link 2024-12-31T20:59Z 53.4K followers, 17.6K engagements

"Nasdaq had a pretty ugly distribution day with biggest down volume in quite awhile. Clearly a character change since the FOMC on Dec 18th. Tape has been dominated by distribution and all the averages expect the Nasdaq have now round tripped/rinsed their post election rally. I have been in 'profit protection' mode for weeks and thought we may get a rally into the inauguration to kick off the year. Yesterday definitely felt like some profit taking in some of the bigger winners of last year with $PLTR $NVDA $IBIT getting hit. I know a number of growth managers who were trading in/around some of"
X Link 2025-01-08T16:07Z 53.4K followers, 34.7K engagements

"Market Thoughts: I'm getting increasingly bullish/constructive here for a few reasons. [--]. Indexes look pretty constructive to my eye here. 4-10% corrections lasting a few months is normal and the right sides look constructive. [--]. Market has had a lot of negative headlines thrown at it and it won't break. FED fears Trump haters AI scare tariffs and we've snapped right back into the range. Suggests to me the pain trade is likely higher. [--]. Sentiment has come WAY off the boil.this weeks AAII has more bears than bulls for the first time in awhile NAAIM has come way down as well. [--]. No one seems"
X Link 2025-02-06T15:40Z 53.4K followers, 42.3K engagements

"Post Analysis: As promised going to show a few examples of trades. Already showed how I'm handling a current long via $RBRK so here's a recent loss & win. Here is a trade in $PAYO that I would take [---] times out of [---]. Text book nice little cheat area that was actually a mini little fractal where volume was drying up. Took small line through pb buy and bumped as it came out orderly. Lower priced stock which I don't trade as much and that saved me from taking a much bigger line (due to liquidity) but sold in two days as I didn't like Mondays close and blew out the rest when the chart soured."
X Link 2025-02-12T20:02Z 53.4K followers, 22.8K engagements

"Sentiment has come way down. Not a timing indicator by any means but this is NOT what tops or major tops look like. AAII bears are at 1yr highs We start to get traction on the long side I'm gonna look to get VERY aggressive here"
X Link 2025-02-18T18:26Z 53.4K followers, 48K engagements

"Market is definitely putting in a hard shake or potential failed breakout here. Growth names not trading well. Wanting to see the close (a distribution day would mean more time needed for sure) but I have tightened & trimmed risk so as not to get into much trouble. This is where opinions don't mean SQUAT and risk management comes first. I may think the market goes higher but it does not matter as I'm not getting much traction. This may even produce a better setup but my job is to keep my chips in tact period Market snapping back a bit so curious where we close as it's very early in the day."
X Link 2025-02-20T15:22Z 53.4K followers, 20.2K engagements

"Guarding ones emotional capital (how your market operations make you feel) is very underrated. One example would be if the market rallying or bouncing when you don't own much or are under invested bothers you it should tell you all you need to know. I could lecture about patience and the need for it but in reality this is something everyone must go through as part of their maturity and learning how to manage those types of feelings can ONLY come through experience. I've been impatient in markets and in life many times. Can't think of too many times the fruits of that impatience paid off in"
X Link 2025-02-26T15:41Z 53.4K followers, 40.6K engagements

"This is equally interesting & important as I've NEVER seen this in 18yrs of doing this. [--]. The AAII bears just hit 60% and the bull/bear spread hit north of +40%. I have seen that high a print but prints of [--] or higher have only happened a few times. 10/9/08 3/5/09 6/3/22 9/22/22 9/29/22. These are at or near MAJOR bear market lows. So I've seen that high a print but context is everything. [--]. S&P [---] is -4% off the highs and we're seeing sentiment like it is end of the world here. This I have not seen before. This has me scratching my head a little as when markets do things I don't get I"
X Link 2025-02-27T14:09Z 53.4K followers, 52.6K engagements

"One of the best ways to know you are a pro and not just a gambler in disguise (who wants/needs action and will lose in the long run) in this business is to be able to just sit and watch. There is little to nothing actionable but a few things I'm watching in so specific order. [--]. How we close today. A nasty Friday (weekly close) is rare but when we accelerate into it often leads to an ugly Monday and capitulation early the following week. August of last year as an example. [--]. Do we get more bearish sentiment next week and possible volatility or put/call spike. [--]. My lists have been chopped"
X Link 2025-02-28T15:23Z 53.4K followers, 19.5K engagements

"Confession time: I've never been to formal confession (I wasn't raised in that tradition) however I think confession itself is a VERY healthy discipline and leads to real authenticity & honesty and something I do at times with those I'm closest with. All of that aside here goes to my X followers. I struggled greatly in the early part of my career with patience. I would raise cash and often dodge the worst of the decline in equities only to get annoyed frustrated with having to wait or worse yet fearful I'd have to wait too long for a good period and start trying to trade turns or do other"
X Link 2025-03-04T16:00Z 53.4K followers, 18.3K engagements

"This pretty much sums up every macro/fundamental bear argument I have heard my whole career. I just got off a coaching call where there were more questions on economic/fundamental indicators and what I look at then I've EVER gotten. I'm guessing most didn't like the answers but it's telling that many are worried about ALL THE WRONG things right now imho. Let me start by saying the market could fall off a cliff right now and it would do me little to no harm/care as I've already protected myself and the technical action doesn't look good. In fact the longer we don't bounce the higher likelihood"
X Link 2025-03-06T18:47Z 53.4K followers, 40.4K engagements

"So I have a gut feeling we're far closer to a short term low here. -market is oversold -another bad Monday open -April 2nd tariff deadline feels like a classic sell the news deal (in this case buy the news) -Bad end of Q1 -recession fears picking up -sentiment is very nervous and if you don't like Trump it's end of the world. In the end gut feelings are only good for that.creating a gut which I don't care to have. I know of zero successful traders who just trade on 'their gut.' Now I'm not a bottom picker so if you are and have a process and think we have a turn here then have at it. I may"
X Link 2025-03-31T14:01Z 53.4K followers, 30.2K engagements

"Welcome to Meltdown Monday S&P [---] has now lost nearly -15% in three trading sessions. That is a full on mini-crash and haven't seen it this bad since Covid (March of 2020) but it usually takes years to build up the level of complacency for this type of rug pull. A couple things: [--]. Don't do ANYTHING stupid. No leverage don't naked short volatility or gamble. Don't start wildly intraday trading if that isn't your bag. Again no stupid stuff. [--]. The low will happen when short term selling dries up i.e. liquidity gets found at a price to meet the selling. Where/when that is is anyones guess that"
X Link 2025-04-07T13:59Z 53.4K followers, 47K engagements

"This would tell me that there's still a LOT of people trying to cherry pick this bottom. Real bottoms tend to happen when people are either scared out of their minds and running for the hills or just plain worn out. We haven't had enough time for the latter and this would suggest not enough fear for the former. Incidentally I spoke to a good friend who used to run one of the worlds largest trading desks for a major bank and he said he's quite nervous. I love hearing stuff like that (from a contrarian standpoint) but when I hear it from someone older/wiser than I it reinforces why I don't EVER"
X Link 2025-04-11T13:09Z 53.4K followers, 37.7K engagements

"The general market looks like a mess to my eye here and we need to wring more of the volatility out of this market. My weekend work showed a LOT of short right sides which could easily round out and shape up but for now I think patience is key. Furthermore for those looking for a BIG V-shaped bottom where we rip back to old highs there is some precedent for that [----] & 2018-19 but those were aided with large FED stimulus as was [----] post flash crash (QE2) so in this case I think we're likely to see a trading range develop here while the market digests the impact of all the tariffs and trade"
X Link 2025-04-15T13:25Z 53.4K followers, 22.9K engagements

"Process process &.wait for it.process. Ok here is where my process has me looking very closely/intently to be dipping some toes and watching for some kind of confirmation. Opinions & emotions don't pay a disciplined process does. If you are watching closely here and have studied other lows/bottoms this is where you should be watching for some accumulation to come into this market and if you haven't taken some exposure you look to. I would love to see the market continue to consolidate but then see if we can get a valid accumulation type day of this pullback. Study the [----] low [----] or others"
X Link 2025-04-17T17:00Z 53.4K followers, 45.6K engagements

"Important Thread on Sentiment: I can't remember the last time I've seen sentiment this positive from a contrarian standpoint For starters sentiment IS NOT A GOOD TIMING INDICATOR. To illustrate the point I talked about AAII back in February saying I didn't think we'd have a bigger break because sentiment was already too bearish.I was DEAD WRONG. I don't trade on sentiment I wait for setups thankfully I was holding a lot of cash when the fireworks really started going off. All of that aside here is what I'm seeing that I think all points to the odds of the lows being in or that if not they"
X Link 2025-04-25T14:04Z 53.4K followers, 17K engagements

"Not sure I agree with all this (couldn't find a quick easy meme) but I definitely agree with not chasing or stressing. This market has snapped back after last Monday's rinse. We had a churning day in the Nasdaq yesterday after a [--] day run. This is normal and a pause pullback may be in order. There's probably stuff you wanted to buy but didn't (welcome to trading) or stuff that started rallying up the right hand side. We may run further and with a news driven tape who knows. Right now there's not a lot of good looking bases and here is where a pullback or digestion would be welcome but if you"
X Link 2025-04-29T14:07Z 53.4K followers, 17.6K engagements

"So I said that I was going to talk about real trades and specifically losses more. Here is a textbook example of how I did everything right and lost money oh and the stock ripped higher without me on board. Took a small starter line loved the action really holding up well and then got cracked hard where/when I sold. The undisciplined looks at today and thinks they made a mistake when in reality THIS is what trading is all about. Lots of near misses and jockeying for position a good deal of the time. Nearly all the names I've been watching have either setup into earnings and many have gotten"
X Link 2025-05-08T19:47Z 53.4K followers, 48.4K engagements

"Also.forgot to mention my long term win rate is about 39% and this is on a 15+ year data set. Which means on average my next trade is more likely to be a loser. You can torture numbers all you want but wins/losses are still that and enough data will help insulate you emotionally from the losing when you realize it's a cost of doing business and if you want to be ANY form of speculator you'd better get used to it in my humble view. So I said that I was going to talk about real trades and specifically losses more. Here is a textbook example of how I did everything right and lost money oh and"
X Link 2025-05-08T19:52Z 53.4K followers, 27.9K engagements

"You must view proper risk management as FOUNDATIONAL to your success I'm going to go for a bit of a longer rant here but I want to be very clear on a few things. The first is that the only reason I am on X currently is to try and help people and as it relates to trading if you do not understand what I'm going to discuss you do not have a chance. For something to be foundational it means that it is what everything else is built upon. More important than how I look at a stock or a chart or fundamentals or what market or ticker I'm interested in is how you think about risk. You build on a crap"
X Link 2025-05-23T16:09Z 53.4K followers, 84.5K engagements

"Ok well here's a little risk management/tactics meets philosophy in real time per my poll yesterday. So I've been trading around a decent line in $PLTR the last few days as the stock has been 'hard to buy' and looks like the key leader in the market right now and shooting against last weeks lows. I was looking to load the boat on a move through Wednesdays inside day and yesterday it immediately failed so I dumped it pronto (near a scratch) when it didn't go but the lows held so today I reloaded the whole thing and trying again. All one has to do is look at the volume profile on the right hand"
X Link 2025-05-30T14:36Z 53.4K followers, 57K engagements

"$BTC/$IBIT update from where I sit. This is the first pullback of a few consecutive days since the lows and bitcoin ran right to new highs which is a sign its leading. This to me is where I'm looking for a way to add as there's been little to no pivots and given the strength I'm under the assumption that will continue. You could be as aggressive as trading against todays lows or let it undercut and use some form of 100K as a line in the sand then add if we get a more well defined handle. Bitcoin historically speaking when taking out bigger levels doesn't look back for long. If things were"
X Link 2025-06-02T19:55Z 53.4K followers, 51.8K engagements

"Ok so this is a pretty advanced post/lesson but feel free to let me know if this is too complex for 'X' but trying to show some real tactics & risk management so here goes: Following up from yesterday lets say I have something with a really tight potential entry (this is normally where I want to get aggressive.tight entries where I know quickly if I'm right vs wrong). This morning $IBIT gapped assuming you aren't trading the physical so here is how I think & handle a situation like that in terms of tactics. [--]. Just measure the gap and buy it if it's still tight enough. I don't love this as"
X Link 2025-06-03T15:08Z 53.4K followers, 39.7K engagements

"General update on the market & environment from where I sit: This market has been equal parts interesting & frustrating for the past 2-4 months at least for me so going to share what I'm seeing as well as what my experience has been. Starting with the market just about everything I watch says that this market wants higher. Simply looking at the news of the last 2-3 weeks it has been ALL bad. Tariffs Trump tweets hawkish FED and of course madness in the Middle East and the market won't break. Could this be a situation where it takes time sure but given the action and news I'd say this market"
X Link 2025-06-23T14:37Z 53.4K followers, 28.9K engagements

"Well I must say I'm a bit surprised how perfect this setup is becoming here so I'll do a little thread on this as $BTC/$IBIT is a really classic cup w handle. Looking at the spot chart this looks really constructive as volatility is contracting from left to right during this basing period. For anyone who wants to really understand how I view technicals read the chapter in @markminervini book 'a picture is worth a million dollars'. Charts in my view DO NOT cause anything they are simply the effect. Most of them (probably 99% of the time) are noise but on occasion they present something very"
X Link 2025-07-08T13:20Z 53.4K followers, 26.3K engagements

"This is what most of trading/investing community actually looks like. The 'unpleasant truths' are that you are going to LOSE and at times get frustrated and real money is not made through being smart or having good ideas. Who wants to hear that you are going to have bad days bad weeks even bad months or years No one It took me about 3-4 years of being in the market to really learn this because I hadn't been on my own and the first shop I worked in was a DISASTER where all they head guy ever did was whine & complain when things weren't working and then break discipline all the time. He"
X Link 2025-07-17T15:04Z 53.4K followers, 17.8K engagements

"As promised four losers/losses I've taken over the past week. Pretty standard stuff and in the case of two of them prices are higher without me. Such is life"
X Link 2025-07-17T18:47Z 53.4K followers, 20K engagements

"A few things I'm watching here in no specific order: [--]. Just looking at the volume (all the indexes have this picture just using SPY as reference and its the one I'm still short) looks like classic distribution and low volume snap back. This does NOT mean this rally has to fail but IF the selling isn't done or there is more to come this is where we should hit some overhead so watching that. [--]. This market has been crazy strong and left a LOT of people in the dust. Shaking their fists their heads you name it I only mention that because if that's the case it means pullbacks are likely to be"
X Link 2025-08-05T15:10Z 53.4K followers, 19.9K engagements

"Quick thought on how I handle gaps in real time. So I'm doing my work yesterday and see ETHE setting up pretty nicely here. In a better market (better for me really just means where I'm making $ with ease) I'd have started a decent line on or near the close and looked to add today. Of course it gaps. As a general rule I do not chase gaps. If its more than 1-2% above what I want to pay I let it go.as I often say you can own anything you ever want whenever you want or you can be disciplined but you can't be both. Now I have to wait for another low risk spot to shoot at even a 1-2 day pause like"
X Link 2025-08-07T14:17Z 53.4K followers, 35.5K engagements

"I'll chime in here as I've been trading $BTC for years based on primarily the technicals (chart to get in then finance a bigger hold with a winning position) but there's been a LOT of chatter just assuming based on prior cycles where bitcoin has to go and 150K-250K seems to be consensus for this year. That's all fun and good but not really how markets work in my experience. In my view this stuff is meaningless and more accurately dangerous if people are ignoring risk. To my eye (I'm still holding a longer term piece here) this breakout is retesting and if it fails that is a pretty big"
X Link 2025-08-27T14:27Z 53.4K followers, 111.4K engagements

"On a Friday gap up.wait That's the rule. For years I've known and heard from other stock trading pros that they don't trade the first 15-30 minutes of the day. Historically I have NEVER heeded this rule however I have gotten more incremental over time where I now will start a position early and then add/reduce based on the price action. There are plenty of times where I know I want to buy xyz stock the minute it starts to move and I don't care if it's first or last minute of the day. What I have learned though is that on a 'gap up' days or specifically following news or gap to new highs I"
X Link 2025-09-05T18:22Z 53.4K followers, 28.1K engagements

"Had a really good conversation(s) with my two 18yr old sons yesterday in the wake of Charlie Kirk's murder and felt I should share at least how I'm currently praying as a local church leader. Not my usual so feel free to skip as there won't be ANY market stuff herein and trigger warning if you are anti-faith. I am and aspire to be a follower of Jesus of Nazareth and I generally try and let my life do the talking (James 2:18) vs my mouth that being said I have tried to be a real follower of 'the way' (Christian was a derogatory term and has become widely misused and understood in our times"
X Link 2025-09-11T14:15Z 53.4K followers, 21.1K engagements

"Giving an example of 'trading near the danger' point here in real time. This trade in $MSFT is a perfect example of how when things are going well you can step in with BIG size. I'm talking my book as it's one of my biggest positions so will prob fail but the total risk is very small here and this is what I call 'cheating on the cheat' as I started a position on Friday doubled up yesterday and if it doesn't get going through this pivot I'm out even with a close in lower 1/3 of todays range I cut some or all the position. If we paused for a day or go inside tomorrow and volume stays dry I will"
X Link 2025-09-30T18:51Z 53.4K followers, 56.1K engagements

"I love posts like this.the funny thing is I'm a technician and I agree the key word here is how you understand/define 'mostly' as the difference in this case between 'mostly' & 'completely' has been worth a lot of money to me. More on this later. My thoughts exactly: https://t.co/9bd63eoXec My thoughts exactly: https://t.co/9bd63eoXec"
X Link 2025-10-01T14:01Z 53.4K followers, 62.1K engagements

"Some ramblings/thoughts on the market: [--]. For starters don't make this any more complicated than it should be Friday was the worst day since the tariff tantrum pretty major character change in the near term. Vix +35% and Nasdaq down on biggest volume since the beginning of the move. Clear change in character in the short term. [--]. You don't have to be a pavlovian dog and just buy dips this is what joe's do and pro's avoid because eventually blind dip buying ends real badly. I've borrowed from the Big Lebowski before that 'sometimes you buy the dip.and sometimes you ARE the dip'. [--]. Markets"
X Link 2025-10-14T14:14Z 53.4K followers, 34.9K engagements

"Markets at new highs and this.not a prediction but definitely NOT screaming top or bubble to me"
X Link 2025-10-27T18:59Z 53.4K followers, 92.7K engagements

"As my dad once said 'wisdom or smarts may get the glory but discipline is what gets the job done' I also think this is why most fail at most things. Growth in ANY capital (spiritual/relational/intellectual/physical/financial) may not require discipline initially but in order to sustain/maintain any level of growth it will be required. Long rant but here's just a few examples; Spiritual: When I decided I was going to be a serious follower of Jesus I read the NT (specifically the Gospels) every single day for over [--] years along with TONS of other disciplines (corporate & individual worship"
X Link 2025-11-14T16:43Z 53.4K followers, 39K engagements

"A few themes/observations from my weekend work: [--]. Market breadth has definitely improved in the short run (last 2-3 weeks). [--]. While the high flyers have corrected (AI/software) we're seeing biotech and other growth areas acting really well. [--]. Seeing a lot of stocks setting up in a few groups gold miners building/construction related names and a number of bigger bases with lower RS in oil/gas as well. [--]. NYSE Comp made a new all time high Friday before reversing A/D line didn't confirm. [--]. Last but not least I had the largest list of actionable candidates in several months coming into the"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:26Z 53.4K followers, 24.8K engagements

"Trading/investing/speculation is not an ideas business it is a risk management one. -Me aka (Mark Ritchie II)"
X Link 2025-12-18T14:08Z 53.4K followers, 16.3K engagements

"Rant/post on market breadth. For starters be skeptical of anyone who doesn't eat their own cooking. If I have you over for dinner cook you a nice meal and then you see me not put anything I made in my own mouth that should raise a HUGE red flag"
X Link 2024-06-12T15:49Z 53.4K followers, 98K engagements

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@MarkRitchie_II
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