# ![@LeoMargolis_ Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1963627299171131392.png) @LeoMargolis_ Leo Margolis

Leo Margolis posts on X about polymarket, kalshi, market, liquidity the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1963627299171131392/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1963627299171131392/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +1,710%
- [--] Month [-------] +550%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1963627299171131392/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1963627299171131392/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1963627299171131392/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1963627299171131392/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +19%
- [--] Month [-----] +73%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1963627299171131392/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1963627299171131392/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [countries](/list/countries)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #574, [kalshi](/topic/kalshi), [market](/topic/market), [liquidity](/topic/liquidity), [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #889, [trade](/topic/trade), [crypto](/topic/crypto), [if you](/topic/if-you), [model](/topic/model), [build](/topic/build)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@polymarkettrade](/creator/undefined) [@0xd1namit](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@potentialsam](/creator/undefined) [@bebeckhardt](/creator/undefined) [@itslirrato](/creator/undefined) [@gemchangeltd](/creator/undefined) [@evansemet](/creator/undefined) [@caronpolymarket](/creator/undefined) [@kirkisking4ever](/creator/undefined) [@adamdraper](/creator/undefined) [@boostvc](/creator/undefined) [@opinionlabsxyz](/creator/undefined) [@luishxyz](/creator/undefined) [@evanwynne0](/creator/undefined) [@carverfomo](/creator/undefined) [@hivelive](/creator/undefined) [@igormikerin](/creator/undefined) [@zscdao](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/solana) [Chainlink (LINK)](/topic/chainlink)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@0xDesigner I think it will always boil down to who has the least fees which will then obviously attract the most market makers and then that exchange will have the most liquidity having the best prices"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1981142154987864377)  2025-10-22T23:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@gusik4ever @0xd1namit @Polymarket yep once you change your view on how you look at markets its super easy to find value everywhere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985446921897734382)  2025-11-03T20:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xd1namit @Polymarket I love that there are so many opportunities like this. I have found simmilar things but I think in a year or so this simple opportunity will be gone bcuz so many eyes are on prediction markets now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985447595582619660)  2025-11-03T20:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@CarOnPolymarket @j0hnwang you can label any post about Kalshi that though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985603921185042866)  2025-11-04T07:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Kalshi Yes lets negate the entire point of prediction markets. Awful analysis but not surprised its Kalshi"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985752122982613382)  2025-11-04T16:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket Should absolutely have currency markets Euro GBP Yen etc [--] day expiration + brackets by end of year. I think many people would really enjoy trading these"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985756753758507155)  2025-11-04T17:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Too many uninformed people are trying to farm rewards on Polymarket blindly setting competitive limit orders in illiquid hard to price markets. They get filled at 10% off what price moves to after a couple hours of markets existence but at least they earn [--] cents in rewards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985759514654826812)  2025-11-04T17:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@potential__sam @bebeckhardt yea im not an idiot obviously I dont use kalshi I use a real exchange polymarket. I just don't like predatory companies that only exist because they have U.S regulation to operate which doesnt mind them charging insane fees"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985776763797192749)  2025-11-04T18:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@potential__sam @bebeckhardt Poly doesnt take any fees currently. everyone on Kalshi pays the fees wether directly or indirectly. Kalshi also gives awful odds on parlays that sportsbooks give even better odds which is insane"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985778392214749380)  2025-11-04T18:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@potential__sam @bebeckhardt only reason anyone uses Kalshi is if they dont have their prefrontal cortex developed same w robinhood"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985778497017815462)  2025-11-04T18:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MINHxDYNASTY Bad. But most people think hyper gambliazation applies to prediction markets when in reality they don't. Im against all sportsbooks because they abuse the customer. Polymarket is just an exchange and in a couple years will be viewed no differently then the NYSE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1985781634134917152)  2025-11-04T18:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@KirkIsKing4ever @AdamDraper @Polymarket @BoostVC Ur heads at the right place thats why im building automated execution algos for prediction markets simmilar to rbc jpm traders algos"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986279807785836999)  2025-11-06T03:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@KirkIsKing4ever @AdamDraper @Polymarket @BoostVC yes I have been able to successfully automate trades but now its developing the logic behind the trading thats important. also how to protect against frontrunning and ghost orders etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986300812973514955)  2025-11-06T05:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Prithvir12 @Kalshi @Polymarket @opinionlabsxyz @MyriadMarkets @trylimitless Kalshi volume is fake"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986907182357746013)  2025-11-07T21:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@InternAtKalshi when im in an abusive fees competition and my opponent is Kalshi"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986907825986281564)  2025-11-07T21:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone $20 Kalshi paid him to say this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986960554867761329)  2025-11-08T00:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@eeelistar @luishXYZ @Polymarket I think that they will mostly negate wallets with a PNL between [--] and [---] or something like that so that they don't feed all the delta [--] farmers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986962067526766717)  2025-11-08T01:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@AlexPallNY yes the one that has transparency. They did not pay people to wash trade they just did in anticipation of an airdrop. Unlike Kalshi who paid people to inflate their numbers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1986962450806415731)  2025-11-08T01:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"The whole wash trading thing really isn't an issue when you realize that it was done by airdrop farmers. Polymarket did nothing to promote wash trading and the only reason it happens is due to how airdrops have been distributed in the past which benefits farmers who wash trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1987236909714960584)  2025-11-08T19:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@EvanWynne0 @carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade yep there is so much opportunity like this rn its insane"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1989016942796255560)  2025-11-13T17:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Hivelive_ @Domahhhh Would be very interesting to see how all traders pnl is broken down as a total. Total PNL is 9kish but how does that stack up crypto sports geoplitical etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1989033687154082007)  2025-11-13T18:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@svincents2 you just got to trade a lot and focus on the markets that you know best. I personally don't really trade geopolitical markets at all unlike most people on polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1989985145085202879)  2025-11-16T09:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@EvanWynne0 @redlineMeta @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade tbh you should make that an option w copy trader nobody has done it yet it would be rlly funny to troll ppl u don't like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1991226802086269071)  2025-11-19T19:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


""Polymarket is selling dollars for [--] cents""  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1991227250864263590)  2025-11-19T19:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xtaetaehoho this makes a lot of sense people can easily mirror sportsbook odds and there is a huge market for sports betting without crazy -ev from sportsbook vig"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1991329927665447403)  2025-11-20T02:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"gotta love Polymarket pnl calculations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1991514367318544508)  2025-11-20T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Hivelive_ I was very happy bcuz I got 3rd in first round but bcuz I just didn't take as many trades in second round even though my trades were +ev somtimes you will loose even if the trades were + ev"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1991667109047464250)  2025-11-21T00:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@mr_peanutbettor I feel like Kalshi shouldn't offer markets they cannot provide substantial liquidity in considering their customer base is almost all retail who treat it just like a sportsbook"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1992343580820819989)  2025-11-22T21:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"the easiest way to learn to trade on Polymarket is to throw away $200 placing limit orders wherever you see fit you will learn a lot more about market structure and edge than scrolling Polymarket twitter seeing opportunities others have found"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1992639774608572829)  2025-11-23T17:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@tomdnc @Polymarket yes there is opportunity but this is not arbitrage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1992645246803468300)  2025-11-23T17:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao how could they possibly "ban" volume manipulation like that just does not seem feasible to me and thats not me saying I think we should worry about manipulation if that is a worry for some they just should not trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1992646591057195050)  2025-11-23T17:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"There is so much opportunity right now is in automating Polymarket trading. Everyone knows there is opportunity in prediction markets but by automating you remove any emotion and can test if your thesis actually works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1994889381568811483)  2025-11-29T22:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@camolNFT prediction markets threaten the status quo of sportsbooks charging insane fees so I can easily see how there will be a lobby against prediction markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1994895209336094957)  2025-11-29T22:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@cs_defier @Polymarket everything is a casino if u want it to be and tbh if you are trading [--] min markets u are just gambling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1994896960231448577)  2025-11-29T22:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@GrumpyFreud @openservai @getdomeapi Already have a dome api key 😁"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1994897909675078068)  2025-11-29T22:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@peer_rich than buy yes. Markets like this carry that risk so the risk is priced in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1995184119660298628)  2025-11-30T17:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@player1 super cool I like the ui"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1995275112065769617)  2025-11-30T23:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I think when Polymarket inevitably launches their token it will 100% be used for resolutions because to me it feels a bit odd that they use UMA a coin with a [--] Mil MC when Polymarket itself is worth upwards of [--] Billion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1995500636604129456)  2025-12-01T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@holy_moses7 @EventWavesIO who is this french guy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1995606459980435633)  2025-12-01T21:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Yes apparently Susquehanna has devoted some employees to prediction markets. But there are a couple major issues [--] there is not much liquidity [--] with the arbs they r not as big as they may seem and they r kinda non existent w everyone trying to find them. Big funds also do not have the execution methods that they normally would for normal markets in prediction markets which is why I am building bots and algos that anyone can easily use to automate their trading and algorithmically execute their orders. Tiocfaidh r l"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1995734925560164735)  2025-12-02T06:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Here is the completed version of a cool algo I made on Polymarket. It makes your order the most competitive in the orderbook and updates and reprices immediately if your order is beaten by a more competitive order"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1995924415985717730)  2025-12-02T18:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@luishXYZ @CarOnPolymarket I think so 100% if and when they become the clearing house for big institutions having a tiny trading fee will be necessary or else ppl would try to just do directly peer to peer transactions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996406894400024830)  2025-12-04T02:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@NicoleXBT @Polymarket selling an account with 8k in volume is insane 🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996622999815156045)  2025-12-04T16:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@deepvaluebettor dude all polymarket needs to do is say we charge [--] fees and kalshi charges 7%. absolutely no reason anyone would trade on a prediction market that provides nothing proprietary and charges insane fees yet claims to be an "exchange""  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996685087254237383)  2025-12-04T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@GwartyGwart @MoonOverlord thats a huge overstatement also citadel doesn't trade on PMs. The real reason there are so many adds is because Kalshi takes a 7% fee so every new idiot who uses their platform just helps them generate profit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996693422359642127)  2025-12-04T21:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@jimcramer @Kalshi @MadMoneyOnCNBC Kalshi to zero"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996707599304253515)  2025-12-04T22:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@uf__001 @deepvaluebettor It can and has been up to 7% but anyways charging 2% on an "exchange" is insane. Until they have lower or zero fees it is really just gambling. At times sportsbooks offer better odds than Kalshi due to fees which is just insane"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996775574665400549)  2025-12-05T02:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"My LP bot farming vs another LP farming bot in the same orderbook makes a very ugly book and a very inefficient market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996954211766972452)  2025-12-05T14:46Z [---] followers, 36.3K engagements


"@ZoraWeb3 @coffeebreak_YT Nobody said Prediction markets are gambling Kalshi is gambling cuz they take insane fees"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1996997445516149116)  2025-12-05T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@tradefoxintern @tradefoxai UI is super cool"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/1998077029271662860)  2025-12-08T17:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xd1namit @Polymarket Yea you could call so many financial instruments gambling. if I am putting money into penny stocks and stock picking that is gambling. Same as if I do no research and trade prediction markets. But if you trade prediction markets with advanced tools and analytics its not gambling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2000439141478391950)  2025-12-15T05:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@fireplacegg yep. PMs are inatley far less extractionary than memecoins so I think it will be a clear transition for many"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2000442047757799751)  2025-12-15T05:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xd1namit @Polymarket PMs r so simmilar to options in the way they are treated when they first emerged. When options started to be traded ppl cried gambling but now single stock options do over [---] bil in volume daily and obv with that volume they r not simply gambling but rather a financial asset"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2000443674048737510)  2025-12-15T05:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"24 hour nasdaq trading seems like a bad idea if u don't understand trading. All it means is an influx of liquidity and stability because you won't see crazy closing or opening auctions due to people rapidly closing and opening positions before trading ends. We will see more liquidity offered and it is great that you can trade positions whenever you want instead of having to wait for certain times which can be inconvenient"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001072705429496015)  2025-12-16T23:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@HasturYLK lol I spent time behind a trade desk this summer and at first I was skeptical of it but all the senior traders and I talked about it and how overall it was positive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001086182785212565)  2025-12-17T00:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheNotoriousSKi lmao [--] am short squeeze once [--] hour trading goes live would be mental"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001088787590652330)  2025-12-17T00:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@player1 THIS IS TRADER X AND THIS IS HIS STRAGETY HE DOESNT AIM FOR 100% GAINS BUT HE FOCUSES ON TINY MISPRICINGS AND HE REPEATS THIS THOUSANDS OF TIMES SEE HIS PROFILE HERE:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001371750521803185)  2025-12-17T19:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Kalshi influencer daughter or Polymarket slop poster son"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001666386230415674)  2025-12-18T14:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@CSP_Trading I hate the idea of any prediction market having an in house trading team. Would anyone trade on the nyse if the nyse had a trading team front running orders claiming they are "providing liquidity" no nobody would"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001909624547709408)  2025-12-19T06:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@sui414 I miss [----] memecoins I would make over 2k on multiple days from dogemarley and quack now I have to spend all day building polymarket bots to make 100s farming rewards and getting good entrys I hate ts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2001911099395109303)  2025-12-19T07:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@primo_data Its super cool I like how one of my wallet was "top 98% of polymarket traders" instead of bottom 2% lmao"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2002912295266177103)  2025-12-22T01:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Testing one of my managers that will help run my mming and lp farm bots. It monitors a given wallet (one of mine) that I choose and it alerts me when a position becomes too large in usd value and % value. This will be very useful because once this triggers I will trigger another algo to exit my position until I am below a given threshold and can continue market making without being over exposed in one position. I also chose the combination of % of total portfolio + USD value because this will work across many different wallets no matter if the usd value is low or if it is a completely empty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2003691740625047829)  2025-12-24T04:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade I mean yea it makes sense that a new financial instrument is treated like a new financial instrument and ppl build trading bots to take advantage of mispricing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2003709110412521947)  2025-12-24T06:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RookeBrollins @Polymarket @shayne_coplan Dang I was wondering why I could sell my Bucks shares after the game ended sorry man"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2004800715257159931)  2025-12-27T06:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@AverageAndy___ @NickPreszler Nah because they still expect to make their same fees on bets. If you were to implement a 5% fee on every polymarket transaction ppl would go insane and no one would trade on polymarket for good reason. That is why Draftkings "prediction market" does not get users"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005011783455834174)  2025-12-27T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RookeBrollins @Polymarket @shayne_coplan Is there anything wrong with the backend Or just frontend display stuff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005019460776984940)  2025-12-27T20:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@itslirrato Draftkings wont be able to sustain themselves on their new prediction market because the fees are crazy ppl will not want to trade on it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005019707129430166)  2025-12-27T20:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@securezer0 Yea most ppl claiming they have found arbs r just stink orders that cannot be filled at any size"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005045617899503654)  2025-12-27T22:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"It is very weird that Solana [--] min and [--] hour markets have [--] different resolution sources one Chainlink and the other Binance. This is why the current price is different when it should really be the same on both markets and not off by 10c. The easiest fix is just to make the resolution source the same across all crypto markets. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005079827662205235 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005079827662205235"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005079827662205235)  2025-12-28T00:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade wow thats crazy how did he do .394 of a transaction though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005081490347168037)  2025-12-28T01:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@quant_arb I hate when ppl think any prediction market no matter how low the volume indicates true probability Id say for an accurate probability you need 500k volume in a given market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005765828667691440)  2025-12-29T22:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@said116dao @Polymarket 🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2005807625712099377)  2025-12-30T01:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Whoever is running bots on the FDV of Lighter market really needs to recalibrate them they are so behind. I could buy No for 73c on over 3B FDV with 2k worth of orders at that first price and [--] min later when LIT is at a higher price No is 82c. So much opportunity in these brackets its crazy wish I built an algo for this market but I will be more prepared next time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2006103748272169113)  2025-12-30T20:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket Use websocket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2006104023733092833)  2025-12-30T20:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@gemchange_ltd @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Dude this was not Jane Street the name was JaneStreetIndia. Jane Street got banned from the Indian securities market 🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2006105821625647425)  2025-12-30T20:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"This is good it looks like it wasn't leaked by US insiders that we were going to attack Venezuela but I think that is the only positive we can draw from this entire situation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2007376993923543526)  2026-01-03T09:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@neetcode1 Yea I truly feel like the people who complain about the job market or constantly make excuses r just lazy ppl who don't truly think or apply themselves academically and believe following a rigid path will lead them to some crazy lucrative job"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2007397578175066125)  2026-01-03T10:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zoomerfied Thats cool hopefully we will get commodities markets soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008214935130825030)  2026-01-05T16:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@itslirrato @Polymarket @brian_armstrong yep 100% by keeping PMs with "insiders" u get more accurate information and ppl complaining about insiders in markets is crazy to me. U are willingly trading an insider prone market like culture and complain when there is an insider in it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008220386807386486)  2026-01-05T16:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@itslirrato @Polymarket @brian_armstrong If u really want no insiders in PMs just stick to emperical data markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008220508073116112)  2026-01-05T16:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@thenarrator yea but I think the main thing from keeping PMs from liquidity is good math for pricing because there are so many markets ppl want to participate in that cannot currently be priced accurately leading to not enough liquidity in said markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008222859500679349)  2026-01-05T17:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"commodities will eventually trade as binary contracts on [--] day [--] month [--] year intervals on PMs which will trigger a huge influx of liquidity. What prediction markets need are more easy to price events that allow people to easily analyze the outcome using data to model price. These markets will also be easy to resolve as they are based on empirical data which is impossible to dispute. Prediction markets need to be treated as the financial instrument they are and not a guessing game on wether a TV character will die or not. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008288063366328670"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008288063366328670)  2026-01-05T21:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I see your point but binary contracts are already used on the CME. They offer event contracts like will Crude Oil close higher today than eod yesterday very similar to many markets that exist on Polymarket for gold. Futures are also good for long term hedging but depending on my methodology for my trades I might want a different type of hedge because of my given trading strat https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008426620835819789 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008426620835819789"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008426620835819789)  2026-01-06T06:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@phosphenq @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade I really like Elon Musk tweet markets because there are so many aspects to incorporate into a model. You can get crazy edge If you understand his sleep schedule"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008640795004620995)  2026-01-06T20:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"If Polymarket wants to be the truth machine and financial instrument it can be we need more granularity in markets. There is a huge difference between the probability of an outcome being 33% and 34% and not letting the consumer trade in between leaves a huge spread hurting takers. This also leads to an inaccurate view of the true probability of the underlying outcome. In image see a spread on a very liquid asset such as solana being 0.0072% compared with a liquid market on Polymarket (12M Volume) having a spread of 10%. This is a huge issue as it means these markets are not as accurate as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008908985827463486)  2026-01-07T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@GreekGamblerPM @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Do u really think you can use TA in candle bars to trade PMs I dont feel like you can because they cant accurately reflect the liquidity in PMs as they can in normal capital markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008959812986654723)  2026-01-07T17:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheSpeculator0 Thats an awful system it should be somthing you can access from the normal UI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2008960295214174518)  2026-01-07T17:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@securezer0 In a sense it can be viewed as fragmented liquidity but we have much more volume than we used to so now I think we can def make the transition"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2009299391329276071)  2026-01-08T16:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@coffeebreak_YT It is truly insane to me that the man who cries political persecution persecutes the most important independent federal gov employee"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2010590293813559481)  2026-01-12T05:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Jerome Powell is the perfect non partisan government employee. Cutting rates to the levels those in charge want will stunt the economy for [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2010604429670850877)  2026-01-12T06:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@bennpeifert Greece here we come"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2010606097124753421)  2026-01-12T06:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@NickPreszler lmao that kills like every terminal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011124375135932491)  2026-01-13T17:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@josedonato__ This is really great I like the orderbook view but can I modify the UI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011125188575023604)  2026-01-13T17:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ankitkr0 @Polymarket @Kalshi Hey I have built a totally modular trading ecosystem to run algos check dm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011125944082379190)  2026-01-13T17:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xivanzz @Polymarket @opinionlabsxyz @predictdotfun @0xProbable Cool I have only build algos and bots for polymarket not predict .fun is there a lot of liquidity there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011160163924000927)  2026-01-13T19:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@gemchange_ltd @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade good math is what is holding back liquidity on prediction markets. Thats why you see markets that trade normally having lots of liquidity like fed rates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011176058163257503)  2026-01-13T20:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@0xperp that is very interesting Polymarket fees r structured really well imo as a market maker they do not scare me at all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011324939736125618)  2026-01-14T06:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheNotoriousSKi I dont have an issue with this as long as they are transparent. They need to justify their [--] B valuation somehow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011326038685728980)  2026-01-14T06:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@emollick That is so cool imagine clash of clans but its really building and training a LLM 🤣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011326464264904934)  2026-01-14T06:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@runes_leo my favorite site for user and market analytics is @hash_dive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011512806999539963)  2026-01-14T18:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@NAccount32629 There is a probability of everything but it is incredibly hard to or cannot be quantified"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011527234037977243)  2026-01-14T19:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@AntiClanker1337 @tomkysar polymarket doesnt but kalshi does and theres is not even profitable they just provide liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011592029206429995)  2026-01-15T00:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@evan_semet @Polymarket These are called ghost orders and are done by frontrunning the fill/match mechanism. The bot detects the offchain match through the CLOB and cancels the order before it gets filled on chain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011638485623717904)  2026-01-15T03:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DustinGouker idk I feel like it just reflects what the customer base wants. If Kalshi can be the sportsbook of prediction markets why not it doesn't undermine the idea of a prediction market in any way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011638960834163031)  2026-01-15T03:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"It is a super hard problem because you want to be able to place orders easily and cancel easily and offchain just works better for that. And obviously you need the onchain filling. IMO they can do somthing like IEX did if you are know what I am talking about or Id be happy to explain https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011644694950809630 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011644694950809630"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011644694950809630)  2026-01-15T03:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@evan_semet @Polymarket 👍 any questions lmk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011648108057538734)  2026-01-15T03:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@pmTraderJohnnyA whats the probability that I flip a coin and it lands on heads"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011656725292613914)  2026-01-15T04:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@gemchange_ltd @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade idk he has such low volume I think that is unlikley that someone would compromise such a high ranking job to make a couple hundred bucks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011702237438132533)  2026-01-15T07:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Polymarket Market Making algorithm with ultra low latency on [--] min crypto markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011713149125476664)  2026-01-15T08:12Z [----] followers, 93.5K engagements


"@0x4Meng I log all trades in MongoDB so then I can analyze strats in there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011816579437380072)  2026-01-15T15:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@famadeo Yes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011816782076789147)  2026-01-15T15:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@flyinghigh88888 I have had some orders get [--] but yea my best is im still working on getting it down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011816998527975558)  2026-01-15T15:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@dnobel22 I am still working to make it faster but this is the fastest I have gotten it to run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011817955986981250)  2026-01-15T15:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@dnobel22 I also only use python because I have not learned other languages yet but I am working on it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011820737599062040)  2026-01-15T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@BrokerQuantHQ I post this stuff but posting my address would compromise my strats and then all my edge would be gone so I stick to posting the structure stuff rather than the trading itself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011841047857676387)  2026-01-15T16:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@cryptochinchil1 @flyinghigh88888 yes title is a bit misleading but this speed has been fast enough for my needs on polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011842519634756012)  2026-01-15T16:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"unfortunately a couple of my very profitable strats r very susceptible to someone figuring it out and beating me. One of my main ones that I found last spring made me 2700% over about [---] trades but then other people started to figure it out and now I have way less opportunity to get good fills using that strat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011843731138523354)  2026-01-15T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DegenQuant The reason it is not super fast is due to how polymarket processes order through their CLOB something I cannot influence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011905821349986626)  2026-01-15T20:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@fengtality @mr_plumpkin @hosseeb When would AMMs be prefered over CLOBs I feel like you get so much transparency to participate in a CLOB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2011912687077232871)  2026-01-15T21:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Lots of Polymarket markets have many orders from bots that just farm liquidity and do not actually price the underlying outcome. Even on markets without rewards you see bots placing these orders convoluting the market making it hard to determine an actual probability or a level to place your order at. This 100% empirical data market still does not have any levels of big positions making it hard to determine what you should actually be pricing an outcome as if you want to develop a sizable position. IMO this can be very annoying but at the same time leaves opportunity to take advantage of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2013100134364479619)  2026-01-19T04:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@evan_semet @Kalshi imo I feel like these markets should be subject to this even if it may hurt some normies or mming bots I think it feels more fair to resolve the exact price even if that can be manipulated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2013121369718808859)  2026-01-19T05:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xd1namit @Polymarket The only people who will benefit from these are those with the fastests bots nothing else. Retail and almost all other bots will be trading on outdated information"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2013383015066460322)  2026-01-19T22:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@patfscott I think unfortunately it will be private blockchain and I bet they will have stupid regulations with transferring onchain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2013408320124538966)  2026-01-20T00:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Not that I am disagreeing with you but PMs give retail exposure to these markets. Retail is not going to trade weather derivatives thats way to complicated. Also yes there is a huge issue with liquidity and slippage in these markets but that is in part due to ppl just not wanting to trade these markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2014228563294298474)  2026-01-22T06:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket Market Making on multiple tokens. My System constantly monitors my fills and adjusts my mm algorithm if I take on asymmetric risk and will rebalance by switching my mm algorithm on the unbalanced token to a new algorithm meant to rebalance positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2015630655023874215)  2026-01-26T03:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xcletusigwe I have everything global so my memory is shared by all components which helps everything adjust to current market conditions and my exposure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2015642566381719965)  2026-01-26T04:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@BoringBiz_ Life if WSB members devoted their time to learning instead of getting financial advice from tiktok"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2015646580582322448)  2026-01-26T04:42Z [---] followers, 10.6K engagements


"The dumbest person you know just bought a mac mini to run a polymarket bot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021846872177181174)  2026-02-12T07:20Z [----] followers, 722.9K engagements


"Polymarket made 800k in fees this week on [--] min crypto markets. This is great because it shows that Polymarket can implement fees without affecting market structure (as seen through observing [--] min orderbooks) as the fee structure doesn't punish market makers. The success of fees not impacting market structure is also great as Polymarket absolutely needs to justify their 10B valuation and by proving they can implement fees without affecting how those who interact in the markets is a big win and step forward to PMs being treated like a financial product."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2014084905706332274)  2026-01-21T21:17Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements


"Polymarket Market Making on multiple tokens. My system constantly monitors my fills and adjusts my mm algorithm if I take on asymmetric risk and will rebalance by switching my mm algorithm on the unbalanced token to a new algorithm meant to rebalance positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2015631686524887384)  2026-01-26T03:43Z [----] followers, 23.6K engagements


"@0xd1namit @UMAprotocol @Polymarket UMA is super cool but I think when polymarket airdrops the token will 100% be used for resolution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2015890569063534904)  2026-01-26T20:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Polymarket Market Making boils down to two main methods: [--]. Blindly trusting the book and placing orders near best bid on both tokens and hoping to get even fills 2.) Creating your own model to interpret the true probability of the underlying outcome independent of Polymarket odds and placing orders accordingly https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016380735599341926 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016380735599341926"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016380735599341926)  2026-01-28T05:20Z [----] followers, 17.6K engagements


"I personally use both. Before I trade I build and backtest a model for the market Elon tweets gold price x coin FDV after launch etc. Sometimes once I build them they match up pretty closely to the markets interpreted probability but more often than not I am off by 10% or more. If it is off by a lot I will modify my model to try and figure out if I missed anything. Usually my final mm algorithm for a given market incorporates both my model and the current orderbook structure. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016382495030182151 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016382495030182151"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016382495030182151)  2026-01-28T05:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@recogard @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket @zscdao I really enjoy using my algos to merge positions Its so much more fun then buying and selling imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016401114988741103)  2026-01-28T06:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@thenarrator @Kalshi @Polymarket The APY for bonding markets is crazy. Especailly risk free emperical data markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016402428120465754)  2026-01-28T06:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@eightyhi @Kalshi Yea this just should not be a "market""  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016404324587552773)  2026-01-28T06:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xd1namit Cool Ui"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016404389481893974)  2026-01-28T06:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@bored2boar Bru what look at how much they generated from fees they r overall a positive polymarket needs to make money somehow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016405915931705783)  2026-01-28T07:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@sui414 90% of my Polymarket content I get is about ppl seeing other Polymarket accounts and talking about how simple the bots strat is. The content is so awful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016408850447139124)  2026-01-28T07:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@phosphenq @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Yea this doesnt surprise me I bet almost if not all markets that are not based on empirical data can be manipulated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2016542337070194830)  2026-01-28T16:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Polymarket should have more BTC/Gold Markets. PMs allow for direct hedging and I feel like we should have more commodity based markets so that retail can get more exposure without having to handle all the complexities of hedging in non binary contracts. + With a devalued dollar people want to trade assets not denominated in USD I think this presents a great opportunity for multi bracket markets on outcomes denominated in BTC/Gold. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016947319720333504 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016947319720333504"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016947319720333504)  2026-01-29T18:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ZEITFinance There is rarely pure ARB on Polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2017001313746530761)  2026-01-29T22:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@mlmabc The whole ecosystem of Hyperliquid is so cool to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2017688883383648637)  2026-01-31T19:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@crypto_betty It is impossible for a binary market to have two outcomes simultaneously sum to [--]. That is literly just not how the orderbook works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2018022357135462523)  2026-02-01T18:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@cjhtech PMs r still super inefficent. Rn like all orderflow is retail but [--] months from now every single order placed will go through a citadel of PMs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2018050426948722952)  2026-02-01T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RohOnChain Im like 99% positive that by EOY all markets will have tons of liquidity due to more ppl applying mathematical models to PMs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2018052696352416240)  2026-02-01T20:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Hyperliquid rolled out HIP-4's outcome trading on testnet which is a huge step for PMs and IMO a direct threat to all current PMs products marketshare. The markets will be denominated in USDH and use an objective settlement source rather than something like Polymarket's UMA that is very susceptible to manipulation. Additionally it looks like they might eventually have permissionless deployment of contracts . I feel like this is super cool because permissionless contracts feel like bridging the binary nature of prediction markets with the customization of exotic options. As for resolution of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018434198781235640)  2026-02-02T21:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"HIP-4 is going to be awesome and applicable in so many ways -It doesn't just allow for PMs but rather there is a huge opportunity for options -Potentially being permissionless there are a multitude of potential markets one could create. Will SOL hit [---] before Hype hits [--] etc Think about all the complexities that will go into mming all of these potentially permissionless contracts. I think people will basically build AMMs on top of CLOBs in order to mm all of these new markets. So excited. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018525923239485714"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018525923239485714)  2026-02-03T03:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@meritcirclorr @Dreamcash Dude just any normie not having to pay 3$ to transfer 100$ on coinbase will see Hyperliquid as a sick platform"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2018531246805307449)  2026-02-03T03:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Polymarket's lack of substantial liquidity in many markets can be directly attributed to good math being able to price outcomes. Take two markets with similar resolution dates for example: Fed decision in March (Mar 18) and Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March [--] [----] Both markets are based on an important geopolitical event and have existed for a similar amount of time. Why is there such a difference in volume Market 1: [--] mil volume Market 2: [--] mil volume Fed interest rates are so liquid and have so much volume because there is so much historical data and useful metrics that we can use to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020273608329736663)  2026-02-07T23:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The each bracket in the "basically impossible" market once traded at 10% and 5% and each currently have tons of liquidity on both sides of the book. Even if you do decide to not include those two brackets in the comparison you still have to note that the March fed markets have only been live since oct [--] and Ceasefire has been since july [--]. That is over [--] months in additional trading time on the Ceasefire market. Finally yes neg risk leads to more volume in multi bracket markets but even if you compare binary empirical data markets like sol above [---] on x date (which is not directly a neg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2020328502394814505)  2026-02-08T02:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@aradtski Yea I totally agree and they deserve regulatory pushback when every time you scroll on tiktok you see every single Kalshi and Polymarket ad being targeted towards sports"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2020704690703573232)  2026-02-09T03:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@simononchain I mean yea a US sporting event has more volume on the app that US citizens can trade on and less on the app they cannot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2020705272004760021)  2026-02-09T03:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@MartinShkreli @Polymarket @UMAprotocol Maybe people will realize that the best use of their time is not trying to "predict" which celebrity will dance at the Superbowl. Oh well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2020713039708987534)  2026-02-09T04:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The concern and cry for regulation of "insiders" in Prediction Markets is and always has been crazy to me. If you want to be the "truth machine" then the traders who hold insider information are the most valuable market participants in helping determine the true probability of an event. Additionally if you are so concerned about insider prone markets don't trade them. Nobody is forced to fill "insider" orders anyways. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020714771893637215 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020714771893637215"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020714771893637215)  2026-02-09T04:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@punished_daniel Yea i really wish PMs were marketed as just a p2p financial product that cuts out the middleman. I think everyone can get behind that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2020738425436184965)  2026-02-09T05:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Polymarket's "Will market X hit 50% by Y date" markets are super neat and act as derivatives on PMs. I bet soon we will see someone build their own platform where anyone can create their own derivatives of PMs with the resolutions being determined solely by Polymarket orderbooks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021464363681579342)  2026-02-11T06:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Because its just clunky and people want customization. I could see a seperate "derivative markets" tab in Polymarket but only for select liquid markets. Exotics exist in tradfi because it doesn't make sense for an exchange to have every possible derivative instead sometimes you need to go to someone to create one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021484379802145259 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021484379802145259"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2021484379802145259)  2026-02-11T07:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Polymarket twitter is full of ppl constantly talking about building bots for [--] min crypto markets which imo are the most oversaturated and hardest markets to enter. I think people should be looking for inefficiencies they can quantify in other markets and build bots to exploit them because you will make a lot more in a market where u are the only one who has a good model to build a bot off of while everyone else tries to trade that market manually https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018040147422683492 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018040147422683492"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018040147422683492)  2026-02-01T19:13Z [----] followers, 36.1K engagements


"@agapekeleta yea but then u have [--] employees working for u did u consider that. for only 500$. Yea man its the future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/LeoMargolis_/status/2021853413903151617)  2026-02-12T07:46Z [----] followers, 31.2K engagements


"Polymarket Market Making algorithm with ultra low latency on [--] min crypto markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011713149125476664)  2026-01-15T08:12Z [----] followers, 93.5K engagements


"The dumbest person you know just bought a mac mini to run a polymarket bot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021846872177181174)  2026-02-12T07:20Z [----] followers, 722.9K engagements


"Polymarket's "Will market X hit 50% by Y date" markets are super neat and act as derivatives on PMs. I bet soon we will see someone build their own platform where anyone can create their own derivatives of PMs with the resolutions being determined solely by Polymarket orderbooks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021464363681579342)  2026-02-11T06:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The concern and cry for regulation of "insiders" in Prediction Markets is and always has been crazy to me. If you want to be the "truth machine" then the traders who hold insider information are the most valuable market participants in helping determine the true probability of an event. Additionally if you are so concerned about insider prone markets don't trade them. Nobody is forced to fill "insider" orders anyways. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020714771893637215 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020714771893637215"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020714771893637215)  2026-02-09T04:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket's lack of substantial liquidity in many markets can be directly attributed to good math being able to price outcomes. Take two markets with similar resolution dates for example: Fed decision in March (Mar 18) and Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March [--] [----] Both markets are based on an important geopolitical event and have existed for a similar amount of time. Why is there such a difference in volume Market 1: [--] mil volume Market 2: [--] mil volume Fed interest rates are so liquid and have so much volume because there is so much historical data and useful metrics that we can use to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020273608329736663)  2026-02-07T23:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"HIP-4 is going to be awesome and applicable in so many ways -It doesn't just allow for PMs but rather there is a huge opportunity for options -Potentially being permissionless there are a multitude of potential markets one could create. Will SOL hit [---] before Hype hits [--] etc Think about all the complexities that will go into mming all of these potentially permissionless contracts. I think people will basically build AMMs on top of CLOBs in order to mm all of these new markets. So excited. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018525923239485714"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018525923239485714)  2026-02-03T03:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Hyperliquid rolled out HIP-4's outcome trading on testnet which is a huge step for PMs and IMO a direct threat to all current PMs products marketshare. The markets will be denominated in USDH and use an objective settlement source rather than something like Polymarket's UMA that is very susceptible to manipulation. Additionally it looks like they might eventually have permissionless deployment of contracts . I feel like this is super cool because permissionless contracts feel like bridging the binary nature of prediction markets with the customization of exotic options. As for resolution of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018434198781235640)  2026-02-02T21:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket twitter is full of ppl constantly talking about building bots for [--] min crypto markets which imo are the most oversaturated and hardest markets to enter. I think people should be looking for inefficiencies they can quantify in other markets and build bots to exploit them because you will make a lot more in a market where u are the only one who has a good model to build a bot off of while everyone else tries to trade that market manually https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018040147422683492 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018040147422683492"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018040147422683492)  2026-02-01T19:13Z [----] followers, 36.1K engagements


"Polymarket should have more BTC/Gold Markets. PMs allow for direct hedging and I feel like we should have more commodity based markets so that retail can get more exposure without having to handle all the complexities of hedging in non binary contracts. + With a devalued dollar people want to trade assets not denominated in USD I think this presents a great opportunity for multi bracket markets on outcomes denominated in BTC/Gold. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016947319720333504 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016947319720333504"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016947319720333504)  2026-01-29T18:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket Market Making boils down to two main methods: [--]. Blindly trusting the book and placing orders near best bid on both tokens and hoping to get even fills 2.) Creating your own model to interpret the true probability of the underlying outcome independent of Polymarket odds and placing orders accordingly https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016380735599341926 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016380735599341926"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016380735599341926)  2026-01-28T05:20Z [----] followers, 17.6K engagements


"I personally use both. Before I trade I build and backtest a model for the market Elon tweets gold price x coin FDV after launch etc. Sometimes once I build them they match up pretty closely to the markets interpreted probability but more often than not I am off by 10% or more. If it is off by a lot I will modify my model to try and figure out if I missed anything. Usually my final mm algorithm for a given market incorporates both my model and the current orderbook structure. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016382495030182151 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016382495030182151"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2016382495030182151)  2026-01-28T05:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket Market Making on multiple tokens. My system constantly monitors my fills and adjusts my mm algorithm if I take on asymmetric risk and will rebalance by switching my mm algorithm on the unbalanced token to a new algorithm meant to rebalance positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2015631686524887384)  2026-01-26T03:43Z [----] followers, 23.6K engagements


"Polymarket made 800k in fees this week on [--] min crypto markets. This is great because it shows that Polymarket can implement fees without affecting market structure (as seen through observing [--] min orderbooks) as the fee structure doesn't punish market makers. The success of fees not impacting market structure is also great as Polymarket absolutely needs to justify their 10B valuation and by proving they can implement fees without affecting how those who interact in the markets is a big win and step forward to PMs being treated like a financial product."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2014084905706332274)  2026-01-21T21:17Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements


"This is awesome and will add tons of liquidity and make overall a much better and efficient market. I also think this is 100% something we all saw coming. I am looking forward to how this will play out in earnings calls and geopolitical events both of which we would normally have to wait for market open to see the impact of the event on a given company. JUST IN: NYSE to launch 24/7 US stock trading through new on-chain tokenized exchange. JUST IN: NYSE to launch 24/7 US stock trading through new on-chain tokenized exchange"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2013296260921372893)  2026-01-19T17:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"JUST IN: NYSE to launch 24/7 US stock trading through new on-chain tokenized exchange"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2013238901092032864)  2026-01-19T13:15Z 3.8M followers, 3.1M engagements


"Lots of Polymarket markets have many orders from bots that just farm liquidity and do not actually price the underlying outcome. Even on markets without rewards you see bots placing these orders convoluting the market making it hard to determine an actual probability or a level to place your order at. This 100% empirical data market still does not have any levels of big positions making it hard to determine what you should actually be pricing an outcome as if you want to develop a sizable position. IMO this can be very annoying but at the same time leaves opportunity to take advantage of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2013100134364479619)  2026-01-19T04:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"These markets are so intersting because nobody knows how to price these outcomes. Nobody can tell you yea man there is a [---] percent chance that the US strikes Iran by Jan [--]. IMO these "probabilities" in markets with less than 1k orders at a given level are just manipulated "probabilities" and they do not reflect the actual probability"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011179432892108982)  2026-01-13T20:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Jerome Powell is the perfect non partisan government employee. Cutting rates to the levels those in charge want will stunt the economy for [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2010604429670850877)  2026-01-12T06:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"If Polymarket wants to be the truth machine and financial instrument it can be we need more granularity in markets. There is a huge difference between the probability of an outcome being 33% and 34% and not letting the consumer trade in between leaves a huge spread hurting takers. This also leads to an inaccurate view of the true probability of the underlying outcome. In image see a spread on a very liquid asset such as solana being 0.0072% compared with a liquid market on Polymarket (12M Volume) having a spread of 10%. This is a huge issue as it means these markets are not as accurate as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008908985827463486)  2026-01-07T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"commodities will eventually trade as binary contracts on [--] day [--] month [--] year intervals on PMs which will trigger a huge influx of liquidity. What prediction markets need are more easy to price events that allow people to easily analyze the outcome using data to model price. These markets will also be easy to resolve as they are based on empirical data which is impossible to dispute. Prediction markets need to be treated as the financial instrument they are and not a guessing game on wether a TV character will die or not. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008288063366328670"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008288063366328670)  2026-01-05T21:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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