#  @KeyPaganRush KeyPaganRush KeyPaganRush posts on X about delta, hedging, finance, if you the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1195559143832055808/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] +249% - [--] Month [------] +179% - [--] Months [------] +268% - [--] Year [------] +113% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1195559143832055808/posts_active)  - [--] Months [--] +78% - [--] Year [---] +0.83% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1195559143832055808/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +4.40% - [--] Month [-----] +4.50% - [--] Months [-----] +5.70% - [--] Year [-----] +5.60% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1195559143832055808/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 20.95% [stocks](/list/stocks) 2.86% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 1.9% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 1.9% [countries](/list/countries) 1.9% [events](/list/events) 0.95% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 0.95% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 0.95% **Social topic influence** [delta](/topic/delta) 6.67%, [hedging](/topic/hedging) 6.67%, [finance](/topic/finance) 5.71%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 4.76%, [gamma](/topic/gamma) 3.81%, [money](/topic/money) 3.81%, [strike](/topic/strike) 3.81%, [represent](/topic/represent) 3.81%, [prediction](/topic/prediction) #2100, [future](/topic/future) 2.86% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@jamcroissant](/creator/undefined) [@entropychase](/creator/undefined) [@profplum99](/creator/undefined) [@jadaveusspliff](/creator/undefined) [@stephenwindahl](/creator/undefined) [@soccermomtrades](/creator/undefined) [@ahelixir4t](/creator/undefined) [@lpachter](/creator/undefined) [@bickerinbrattle](/creator/undefined) [@krisabdelmessih](/creator/undefined) [@choffstein](/creator/undefined) [@crypt0e](/creator/undefined) [@hassan59433914](/creator/undefined) [@thefigen](/creator/undefined) [@coloradotravis](/creator/undefined) [@headfallsoff](/creator/undefined) [@arminunicorn](/creator/undefined) [@memecrashes](/creator/undefined) [@gestaltu](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP)](/topic/$bep) [Cameco Corporation (CCJ)](/topic/$ccj) [Enbridge, Inc (ENB)](/topic/$enb) [TC Energy Corporation (TRP)](/topic/$trp) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "This comes at the same time that there is surging demand for energy for AI-optimised data centres which sets up a pretty attractive opportunity IMO $BEP $CCJ $ENB $TRP TSX:TA TSX:CPX" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2022349974231761295) 2026-02-13T16:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Asking Gemini how to replicate Google Finance locally with Claude Code" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2019636911963566296) 2026-02-06T04:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@EntropyChase @GestaltU Call them "Social Studies" and Im all good" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2021990316157677575) 2026-02-12T16:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@BickerinBrattle @KrisAbdelmessih @grok This you https://x.com/i/status/1718309961300594801 https://x.com/i/status/1718309961300594801" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2022377918333440476) 2026-02-13T18:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@goodalexander If you own one share of GameStop you are a millionaire. Few understand this" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1352663312593379329) 2021-01-22T17:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 3) mathematics is not truth grounded in reality it is symbol manipulation that can only derive results given a set of assumptions that may or may not hold in reality. Subsequently changing your axioms leads to different results which is why we can have different forms of" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1354648637490425857) 2021-01-28T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 4) geometry (Euclidian Riemannian Boylai-Lobachevskian) each with very different results. However the question as to what type of geometry does our universe actually follow Is not something math can answer. Math can only tell you if the universe follows a certain type of" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1354648671816622080) 2021-01-28T04:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@choffstein Where can I watch this video of which likely only 15% will be comprehendible to me" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1364610985277812738) 2021-02-24T16:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@fleckcap @michaeljburry Algebra was pioneered by Mesopotamians and Arabs geometry by the Egyptians and Greeks and the concept of "zero" was first founded by Indians. This paper is quite revealing of the author's own attitudes in the way they think mathematics is an exclusively "white" person thing" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1366422502419750913) 2021-03-01T16:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "3) The proper definition of a bubble in my opinion is something that has full participation. Something is not a bubble because its expensive it becomes a bubble when there is too much participation and then there is nobody else to sell to. This effectively creates a liquidity" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1382352655444451328) 2021-04-14T15:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@nope_its_lily [--] / [--] people will understand this" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1393786955113000961) 2021-05-16T04:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The FED kinda reminds me of a leveraged trader who says their long with 💎✋s and are sure that these short term losses is just a transitory thing that they can handle; but then end up puking and going short just as the bottom is put in" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1405334400355553282) 2021-06-17T01:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades whereas the long option experiences volcrush to a lesser degree. As the short term option expires you sell the long term option. Profit from selling short term option outweights loss on long term option" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1405762924304470029) 2021-06-18T05:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@bolts6629 @Claire_Lee" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1416445887048392709) 2021-07-17T17:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@jam_croissant My horrendous PnL has missed you" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1442384256701906950) 2021-09-27T07:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@SantiagoAuFund @jam_croissant Theres a reason we have sculptures of croissants on top of piles of cash in Korea" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1459522760799973379) 2021-11-13T14:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Nd172557208 Its a positive carry trade. Spew out a bunch of weird vol-sounding terms and 99% of people think you're god act smug and shoot down the naysayers by making up more terms. But then you eventually get too popular; voltwit discovers and exposes your BS" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1475980527236644865) 2021-12-29T00:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@crypt0e @Hassan59433914 @TheFigen People tend to cycle on this lane for exercise/leisure not for commuting to work" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1551062734648750080) 2022-07-24T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@bennpeifert Hey Benn I believe that govt shouldn't overreach into our private lives; so could you modify your life decisions and behaviour according to my preferences otherwise it makes me mad and plz keep teaching me derivs stuff too kthxbi" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1580561552675000321) 2022-10-13T14:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Interesting to note a lot of dunking on Canada in light of the US/China tensions Despite that the transition to the current PM has actually managed to remove a lot of regulatory handicaps (interprovincial trade labour mobility etc.) incentivising large scale infrastructure" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2022349543799730525) 2026-02-13T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@EntropyChase Before the study my prediction was UBI may have +ve economic impact via increased investment into education/skill building/entrepeneurship which the study didnt really see post-FDR adjustment" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2022727464557121679) 2026-02-14T17:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@EntropyChase But that doesn't necessarily mean UBI had no +ve effects whatsoever maybe crime rates went down Maybe people acted less like cunts Maybe people had decreased cortisol levels We'll never know But my prediction was a purely economic one and the data didnt pan out that way" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/2022727767750799530) 2026-02-14T17:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@mikefeigin @zenbrainest My god. I just spent [--] minutes thinking "What the hell rhymes with [--] transmembrane domain receptor" before reading GPCR in the comments 😅" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339207864179539968) 2020-12-16T13:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://youtu.be/-RhSCoElB9Y https://youtu.be/-RhSCoElB9Y" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816) 2020-12-16T23:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "and for anyone who is completely new to the delta hedging activity of market makers this is another video I've done that explains delta hedging of Gamma exposure. https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339347072047190017) 2020-12-16T23:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@fed_speak Using TA to try predict future price behaviour = Yes BS. Using TA to discipline a trader into only taking trades with clearly defined risk : reward in a systematic way that can be backtested to a certain degree = No Not BS" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1340481515520573440) 2020-12-20T02:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@mambatraderr @pkfanzine @Ivan_Vesely_ @jam_croissant Follow @jam_croissant read his analysis threads to gauge tactics based on where prices/ivol are likely to go then implement them around the daily resistances/supports he tweets. After making tonnes of money show gratitude by donating some back to the causes he supports 🙏" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1347002126329761793) 2021-01-07T02:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@jam_croissant @alexwlezien @notsosmartquant @EndTesla @Betabetabeta9 @TaeMatthew In Muggle-tongue: Buying to hedge -tive gamma is eventually overwhelmed by selling required to hedge Vanna as IV starts to increase too much (Peak euphoria as people will pay anything to buy a call). -tive gamma amplifies the downward move that follows. Vanna make Gary do a 180" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1352144150683033601) 2021-01-21T06:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 1) Alright then buckle up. What these morons don't understand about praxeology is that it fails to meet the criteria of science as defined by Popper's falsification principle. Anything that is not falsifiable is not science at best and complete superstition at worst" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1354648448339828736) 2021-01-28T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 7) Show me ANY axiom of human behaviour that ACTUALLY holds true in the real world or can be used to derive universal statements on human behaviour. ALL behaviour is stochastic and is never deterministic this is something that myself and my colleagues study on a fucking regular" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1354648924041035778) 2021-01-28T04:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 8) basis as neuroscientists using testable falsifiable hypotheses and predictions rather than just assert that we know the answers without actually having to go out into the world and check and waves off any falsification as not being possible because he just fucking decreed it" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1354649192585519104) 2021-01-28T04:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@jam_croissant @_FinChris @Athena_Alithis @indievesting Linked here: https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://t.co/W3SIPANHKF https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1356994962714365955) 2021-02-03T15:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I'm beginning to think long GME is the only hedge against SPY going down" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1365110208142266368) 2021-02-26T01:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "New video on the delta hedging of the delta skew made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Trying to share what I've learnt after trying to get my head around this 😅 The second scenario seems pertinent to now. https://youtu.be/ibaPuJgTgOs https://youtu.be/ibaPuJgTgOs" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1367656986746097666) 2021-03-05T02:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This video assumes you are already aware of how gamma vanna and charm are delta hedged. If you are a completely new videos explaining those are linked in the video description and below here: https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://t.co/W3SIPANHKF https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1367663811977613313) 2021-03-05T02:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "1) I'm starting to become convinced that the word "bubble" is just used by FinTwit to describe something that is expensive that they themselves would not pay the same price for. This to me seems like an obvious fallacy. Just because something is expensive doesn't mean that it" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1382351967578513413) 2021-04-14T15:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Shayne_F_Murphy @SoccerMomTrades @jam_croissant The house at a casino doesn't "imply" that it's predicting what the outcome of a roulette wheel is; they only predict that the odds are in their favour over time if they adjust their payout according to the probabilities. Cem is helping identify how those probabilities change" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1382517194173517825) 2021-04-15T02:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@hyperconvexity @Deanogillam @jam_croissant Shameless self-plug here: If you are completely new I suggest you watch the videos on my channel in the order that they came out. These videos were designed for idiots because I too am an idiot 😅 https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://t.co/W3SIPANHKF https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1384879312491397121) 2021-04-21T14:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@jam_croissant @coloradotravis "Why did they make a sculpture of a croissant sitting on a pile of cash" - "Sweetheart Im pretty sure thats a crescent moon and stars visible over the mountains" "Shhh mortal why do you hate generating alpha"" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1389764134959423496) 2021-05-05T02:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@profplum99" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1403204123063771137) 2021-06-11T04:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades Calendar calls are high r/r. You sell short term options and buy the same strike at a later expiration. The long option prevents you from blowing up; the idea is to profit from the difference in theta and/or vega between the two options" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1405762128061992961) 2021-06-18T05:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades The short term option you sold has faster theta decay than the longer term option you bought meaning that you collect more premium on the short term option than losing premium on the long term. Likewise as IV decreases the sold option ideally is more sensitive to this volcrush" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1405762525145096197) 2021-06-18T05:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades We do this because we expect market to trade flat/sideways and IV to decrease in the short term. You are profiting from a quiet market but without taking the risk of blowing up by just going naked short vol" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1405763574589362178) 2021-06-18T05:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@headfallsoff Is this a joke about Yukio Mishima" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1409725646801039362) 2021-06-29T04:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@jesse_stein @headfallsoff Locked himself in the office of a military base with some friends gave a poorly-received speech to the soldiers to induce them to coup committed seppuku and then it took [--] attempts from his friends to decapitate him" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1409733628993576968) 2021-06-29T04:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Hopefully nobody here really needs to hear this; but I decided I'd explain why trying to use Ivermectin to treat COVID is a stupid idea aside from the fact that you're eating horse paste. Ivermectin is a drug used as an antiparasitic that targets molecules known as" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1433301154184585216) 2021-09-02T05:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "If you "know" banks manipulate gold prices by selling futures why not just short gold and then cover instead of complain everytime they dump If you "know" BTC is gonna get pumped by Tether why not just buy BTC and then sell everytime it rips If you "know" the FED is pumping" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1435450274701742088) 2021-09-08T03:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@armin_unicorn @memecrashes Young's Double Slit experiment. The results of the experiment change depending on whether you are observing it occur or not. Search it up there will be many short easy-to-follow explanations online" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1446121396099112980) 2021-10-07T14:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@myeongwen @armin_unicorn @memecrashes The results of the experiment are the patterns generated on the screen behind the slits. The patterns generated on the screens change depending on whether you try to observe the path of the electrons or not" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1446148040549535746) 2021-10-07T16:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is why I love carbon credits. Don't have to care about inflation deflation lockdown coronavirus variants; this thing just goes up" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1464159345042591750) 2021-11-26T09:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "She was a little reluctant at first but then I said that the ring comes with an NFT and that tipped her over to yes" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1475852048386396160) 2021-12-28T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@IsaacWendt @Ksidiii Stocks that just go up smoothly rather than choppily will have cheaper calls when using conventional option pricing because they dont factor in trend/drift/momentum of a stonk and smooth trending price charts have low vol" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1477460238022615042) 2022-01-02T02:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Nice to hear 2/3 of my favourite sources to triangulate between: @42macroDDale and @jam_croissant; the former whom I subscribe to and the latter I would subscribe to he if had a sub 😅 First [--] people to dm email address can watch this for free https://www.realvision.com/shows/the-interview/videos/hikes-wont-cool-inflation-but-the-fed-has-no-other-choice https://www.realvision.com/shows/the-interview/videos/hikes-wont-cool-inflation-but-the-fed-has-no-other-choice" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1477889289191325698) 2022-01-03T06:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Ffs I dont know who needs to hear this but: HERD IMMUNITY DOES NOT make you magically immune to all variants of a disease. A population becoming immune to OMICRON does not guarantee that they will be resistant to ALL future variants. When a large population becomes infected with" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1480739360350048258) 2022-01-11T03:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "the same virus you are just giving the virus more opptys to mutate again and potentially create another immunoevasive variant. This is particularly relevant for SARS-CoV2 which is particularly prone to mutating due to shitty RNA pol proofreading" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1480740076133167107) 2022-01-11T03:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Do not give throw the Avirulence hypothesis at me (Ie Viruses become less deadly over time) this is a BS idea that has been empirically disproven; once a virus replicates it doesnt care if you live or die this thread sums up the evidence very well. https://x.com/adriancjr/status/1479782794448580609t=xSnWbvJj8Fhu3BVfpxTRxg&s=19 This 🧵is a layman's understanding regarding virus pathogenicity and evolution: science only says that viruses which kill all their hosts will disappear. That's all. From this it doesn't follow that viruses have an "inner desire" not to kill their hosts or to become" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1480741385133498368) 2022-01-11T03:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Come buy my [---] strike calls then; otherwise go back to cleaning your room LARPer. I firmly expect oil to hit $300 a barrel before this is over. And that might be optimistic. The writing is on the wall. https://t.co/yIMq06nnxv I firmly expect oil to hit $300 a barrel before this is over. And that might be optimistic. The writing is on the wall. https://t.co/yIMq06nnxv" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1482020905832566785) 2022-01-14T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "My fiancee doesn't know anything about wine. She wanted to make this $7 wine sweeter by adding coffee syrup. Love her regardless 😍" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1482676468425850880) 2022-01-16T11:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "So when I read this I think: Glucose a sugar is required for the functioning of all cells in our body; although too much sugar is also bad. Incidentally your brain consumes/needs the most amount of glucose. Sugar is as healthy for the body as fiat currency is for the economy. Sugar is as healthy for the body as fiat currency is for the economy" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1491232329473220612) 2022-02-09T02:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A video explaining the hedging of knock in puts made in collaboration with @jam_croissant and @tylerrothamel Living in Korea having seen 1st-hand friends invest in autocalls having been pitched them by my bank and watching FinTwit always poke fun all https://youtu.be/oojMf_2nyUM https://youtu.be/oojMf_2nyUM" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1500859459941564423) 2022-03-07T15:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "All the legal work done now official. I'm off market limit up. My wife now possesses an NFT representing my personhood. and yes I know my ring is too big my metacarpal phalangeal is too thick 😅" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1508974910361976833) 2022-03-30T01:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Intuitive understanding to options You might have heard that options represent the full distribution of the market and are thus the real underlying. Sure you can argue in the English sense of the word that they are not underlying but that viewpoint is useless for making money" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525458662226923521) 2022-05-14T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "where underlying stocks only represent a sliver of what a market is actually pricing in. To illustrate think of a stonk as having a probability of having an ending price represented by the graph below. The market probabilities assigned to each of these prices is influenced by" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1525458849720717312) 2022-05-14T12:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Notice however that your delta gets bigger as the price of the stonk gets closer to your strike. It then begins to scale down as you get past your strike and start moving more and more towards OTM. This means your delta is changing as a function of price. This is gamma" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525459712224808961) 2022-05-14T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "When you introduce the process of delta-hedging (reviewed in my video here: you are essentially trying to prevent your PnL from being influence by the shifting of the entire distribution Ie changes in price of underlying https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525460529875017728) 2022-05-14T12:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Stonks only represent the first moment a single point of the distribution but nothing about its shape or how it changes over time. Options will tell you also about the entire shape of the distribution which is I submit that they are in a sense the true underlying distribution" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525461515255418880) 2022-05-14T13:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This extends even across time as the options market assigns a distribution to each time in the future and is something that is captured by what is called a "volatility surface" where the interplay between time IV and price of underlying are all interrelated" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525461666850144257) 2022-05-14T13:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Anyway hope that this was helpful to you. However please do not follow me unless you're happy with 70% shitposts and 30% shit macro-takes instead watch some of my other videos" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525461822089723904) 2022-05-14T13:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Disclaimer: If an institutional/professional vol person says that something I say here is inaccurate; assume that they are correct and I am wrong. Some mathematical concepts here are explained roughly to make intuition easier. When in doubt go look at the mathematics" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1525461883334971395) 2022-05-14T13:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Nice to see @jam_croissant again re-stating that options represent the full distribution of markets in this video. Anybody not sure as to why or how take a read of this thread a while back 👇 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mUXFaBnpSzg Intuitive understanding to options You might have heard that options represent the full distribution of the market and are thus the real underlying. Sure you can argue in the English sense of the word that they are not underlying but that viewpoint is useless for making money https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mUXFaBnpSzg Intuitive understanding to options You might" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1528936216091328512) 2022-05-24T03:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "So during a pirates of finance episode there was a quick discussion on the importance of looking at Fixed Strike Vol vs just blindly following VIX Lets start off with the VIX; for reasons we won't go into the VIX is influenced more by the Implied volatility of OTM calls/puts" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1532359219319832576) 2022-06-02T13:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "market sell-offs. So hopefully this explanation helps for this particular episode since @choffstein wasn't able to draw up these diagrams on the fly. @JackFarley96 @JasonMutiny @FinancePirates" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1532360680984444928) 2022-06-02T13:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@crypt0e @Hassan59433914 @TheFigen I literally live here my house is like a [--] minute drive away from the start of the highway 😅" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1551063259452559363) 2022-07-24T04:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@sidprabhu In Japan house prices actually tend to go downwards. The mindset there is indeed "Why would I pay more to buy a 2nd hand house" 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1551252506088337408) 2022-07-24T17:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I'm beginning to realise how boring and repetitive finance "alpha" is More often than not its just price-insensitive transactions or regulations allowing certain exposures to be dynamically replicated cheaper/more expensive and just going long the cheaper one and shorting the" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1556182468444946432) 2022-08-07T07:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "expensive one Pros just do it on leverage and dont blow up during replication This is a far cry from what I originally imagined finance to be Chads pushing buttons based on macro "feels"; I still haven't recovered from my disenchantment in realising that its just a bunch of" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1556183029626060800) 2022-08-07T07:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "math nerds who discover that if they add up or strip out a bunch of exposures in certain combinations over time they can replicate shit that is currently undergoing a dislocation Someone bring the romance back to me and tell me that not all finance "alpha" has to be like this😭" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1556183245053902853) 2022-08-07T07:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@thebadstats This cringe attempt to say something that sounds immensely profound on the surface by deliberately butchering language would make even a post-modernists blush" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1560821621580976129) 2022-08-20T02:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@lpachter Ah yes and while we're at it we should not review papers that use PCR machines to cycle between different temperatures. These machine displays are essentially GUIs much better to program it all protocols in C where work can be transparent" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1619500116548915200) 2023-01-29T00:58Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements "@lpachter Absolutely stating that one used a commercial software for analysis is the equivalent of not stating at all that one performed a biology experiment People need to stop calculating their dilutions with and calculate it all by hand as Avogadro intended https://www.tocris.com/resources/molarity-calculator https://www.tocris.com/resources/molarity-calculator" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1619516884516478981) 2023-01-29T02:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@lpachter to show what calculations it happens to be performing wrong or not. By that logic we shouldn't be accepting analysis done with Matlab either or accept confocal images taken with Nikon or Zeiss software because these are just GUIs with no transparency" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1619516958730493952) 2023-01-29T02:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bumped into a picture that I think is a nice way to view markets Price is just reducing higher dimensional fundamental data into a single value (Shadow). However the angle that a market views the object can change the shadow independent of the underlying fundamentals" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1645961413490536448) 2023-04-12T01:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Today I finally say goodbye to the country that gave me a wife an education a career the ability to speak a new language and a guilty pleasure of listening to KPop [--] weeks at home before I go off on my new adventure to Seppoland" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1649745957041639424) 2023-04-22T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@TP_Grant Yeah I always found those comments rather silly. Humans have been grappling for millenia I dont think grabbing onto someone elses legs with your arms is something that has any one origin. As Ryan Hall put it: Humans have had [--] arms and [--] legs for as long as Im aware" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1656809857251692544) 2023-05-11T23:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "So a personal anecdote regarding employment in the US I received my job offer [--] months ago and I have already received [--] increases in salary The kicker I haven't even started working yet" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1664742734073135104) 2023-06-02T21:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@coloradotravis "Sure just write up a well written article with full references to all the work you are gattling-gun citing so that I and everybody else can go read those same papers and verify the results in those papers myself" "You're a coward"" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1670828197951463424) 2023-06-19T16:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "A biotech play $GRTX that I wrote about and had a position on gapped -80% today 😭; reminding again why biotech stonk punting is hard My only hope is that everyone who read what I wrote inversed me" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1689392127665700866) 2023-08-09T21:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "We're still sooo early lmao @Citrini7 Im no medical expert but there r too many ppl taking ozempic to lose weight and this shit never goes down without any unintended consequences. Im no medical expert but there r too many ppl taking ozempic to lose weight and this shit never goes down without any unintended consequences" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1690389713398775808) 2023-08-12T15:48Z [----] followers, 25.3K engagements "Saw a sudden influx of new followers; So I think its worth repeating and highlighting; this was a recent biotech stonk punt of mine that went horribly horribly wrong Obviously I think Im pretty good when it comes to the science but profiting from it is a completely different A biotech play $GRTX that I wrote about and had a position on gapped -80% today 😭; reminding again why biotech stonk punting is hard My only hope is that everyone who read what I wrote inversed me A biotech play $GRTX that I wrote about and had a position on gapped -80% today 😭; reminding again why biotech stonk punting" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1690494249694113792) 2023-08-12T22:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I reckon if people were more upfront about the trading being more akin to a casino rather than a game of prediction they could prevent themselves from doing a lot of stupid shit At casinos the house wins over time not because they are predicting any shit but because they" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1697099769301327930) 2023-08-31T04:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "are leaning into favourable risk-reward bets given the probabilities available My stonk doesn't actually need higher earnings for me to profit from a long I just need to buy it when the market assigns a probability lower than justified" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1697099981474439497) 2023-08-31T04:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "There is a type of investor who refuses to let adverse price movements factor into their decision making citing how they only change their mind based on fundamental/real world data that would confirm or disconfirm them The problem with this is that during adverse price movements" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1714292115763765691) 2023-10-17T14:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@netcapgirl It forces one to be able to engage in abstraction; which is a skill worth developing and can hopefully transfer to topics outside of calculus" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1722652179562148108) 2023-11-09T16:27Z [----] followers, 10.5K engagements "@JiujitsuOtter Adam Saitiev would handle anybody lmao; his brother too in fact" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1726258997005820018) 2023-11-19T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I wake up every morning praying that I am trading against people like this guy" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1772811428304744700) 2024-03-27T02:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@macrocephalopod" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1778802015562609089) 2024-04-12T15:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements ""Eat whatever but still be ketogenic" diet just dropped. Just add Retatrutide😘 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03018-2#Sec2 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03018-2#Sec2" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1801368393725133125) 2024-06-13T21:37Z [----] followers, 29.1K engagements "Doomers that were warning of us of how the inverted yield curve foreshadowed some impending doom have yet to come out with analysis on why they have been utterly wrong for [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1808372760596602982) 2024-07-03T05:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Studying lizard saliva brought us to ozempic Studying defense against bacteria infecting viruses brought us CRISPR Studying jellyfish brought us GFP Just saying sometimes the most frivolous sounding research had the most ROI 🤷♂ The ROI for most government expenditures is very low. The ROI for most government expenditures is very low" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1859315034129825925) 2024-11-20T19:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Anyone who went long $SAVA despite industry and neuro experts telling you repeatedly that the entire thing was a sham deserve to be parted with their money no sympathy for that degree of hubris" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1861140731437687119) 2024-11-25T20:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@therobotjames Ngl encounter this problem more often in my real job didn't realise finance bros make these errors too lmao" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1864469938372792391) 2024-12-05T00:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "My favourite AI prompts so far: 1) I have the following ingredients and seasoning in my house: ___. Please suggest a recipe for me using only the ingredients listed above that can be made within an hour" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1870949388564173104) 2024-12-22T21:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Tired of ancestor guilt; it was their manifest destiny to live here When a superior civilization beats savage natives they have nothing to apolgise for That's just how superior cultures progress H1Bs didnt steal anything it was rightfully conquered" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1872122868211040475) 2024-12-26T03:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@luanabellex @D_y_n_a_m_i_k @dieworkwear He screenshot your very real tweet how else would he have got the screenshot" [X Link](https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1875317105660453336) 2025-01-03T23:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@KeyPaganRush KeyPaganRush
KeyPaganRush posts on X about delta, hedging, finance, if you the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---] #
- [--] Week [-----] +249%
- [--] Month [------] +179%
- [--] Months [------] +268%
- [--] Year [------] +113%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Months [--] +78%
- [--] Year [---] +0.83%
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +4.40%
- [--] Month [-----] +4.50%
- [--] Months [-----] +5.70%
- [--] Year [-----] +5.60%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance 20.95% stocks 2.86% technology brands 1.9% cryptocurrencies 1.9% countries 1.9% events 0.95% automotive brands 0.95% social networks 0.95%
Social topic influence delta 6.67%, hedging 6.67%, finance 5.71%, if you 4.76%, gamma 3.81%, money 3.81%, strike 3.81%, represent 3.81%, prediction #2100, future 2.86%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @jamcroissant @entropychase @profplum99 @jadaveusspliff @stephenwindahl @soccermomtrades @ahelixir4t @lpachter @bickerinbrattle @krisabdelmessih @choffstein @crypt0e @hassan59433914 @thefigen @coloradotravis @headfallsoff @arminunicorn @memecrashes @gestaltu @grok
Top assets mentioned Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP) Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Enbridge, Inc (ENB) TC Energy Corporation (TRP) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"This comes at the same time that there is surging demand for energy for AI-optimised data centres which sets up a pretty attractive opportunity IMO $BEP $CCJ $ENB $TRP TSX:TA TSX:CPX"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Asking Gemini how to replicate Google Finance locally with Claude Code"
X Link 2026-02-06T04:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@EntropyChase @GestaltU Call them "Social Studies" and Im all good"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@BickerinBrattle @KrisAbdelmessih @grok This you https://x.com/i/status/1718309961300594801 https://x.com/i/status/1718309961300594801"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@goodalexander If you own one share of GameStop you are a millionaire. Few understand this"
X Link 2021-01-22T17:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 3) mathematics is not truth grounded in reality it is symbol manipulation that can only derive results given a set of assumptions that may or may not hold in reality. Subsequently changing your axioms leads to different results which is why we can have different forms of"
X Link 2021-01-28T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 4) geometry (Euclidian Riemannian Boylai-Lobachevskian) each with very different results. However the question as to what type of geometry does our universe actually follow Is not something math can answer. Math can only tell you if the universe follows a certain type of"
X Link 2021-01-28T04:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@choffstein Where can I watch this video of which likely only 15% will be comprehendible to me"
X Link 2021-02-24T16:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@fleckcap @michaeljburry Algebra was pioneered by Mesopotamians and Arabs geometry by the Egyptians and Greeks and the concept of "zero" was first founded by Indians. This paper is quite revealing of the author's own attitudes in the way they think mathematics is an exclusively "white" person thing"
X Link 2021-03-01T16:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"3) The proper definition of a bubble in my opinion is something that has full participation. Something is not a bubble because its expensive it becomes a bubble when there is too much participation and then there is nobody else to sell to. This effectively creates a liquidity"
X Link 2021-04-14T15:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@nope_its_lily [--] / [--] people will understand this"
X Link 2021-05-16T04:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The FED kinda reminds me of a leveraged trader who says their long with 💎✋s and are sure that these short term losses is just a transitory thing that they can handle; but then end up puking and going short just as the bottom is put in"
X Link 2021-06-17T01:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades whereas the long option experiences volcrush to a lesser degree. As the short term option expires you sell the long term option. Profit from selling short term option outweights loss on long term option"
X Link 2021-06-18T05:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@bolts6629 @Claire_Lee"
X Link 2021-07-17T17:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@jam_croissant My horrendous PnL has missed you"
X Link 2021-09-27T07:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@SantiagoAuFund @jam_croissant Theres a reason we have sculptures of croissants on top of piles of cash in Korea"
X Link 2021-11-13T14:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Nd172557208 Its a positive carry trade. Spew out a bunch of weird vol-sounding terms and 99% of people think you're god act smug and shoot down the naysayers by making up more terms. But then you eventually get too popular; voltwit discovers and exposes your BS"
X Link 2021-12-29T00:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@crypt0e @Hassan59433914 @TheFigen People tend to cycle on this lane for exercise/leisure not for commuting to work"
X Link 2022-07-24T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@bennpeifert Hey Benn I believe that govt shouldn't overreach into our private lives; so could you modify your life decisions and behaviour according to my preferences otherwise it makes me mad and plz keep teaching me derivs stuff too kthxbi"
X Link 2022-10-13T14:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting to note a lot of dunking on Canada in light of the US/China tensions Despite that the transition to the current PM has actually managed to remove a lot of regulatory handicaps (interprovincial trade labour mobility etc.) incentivising large scale infrastructure"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@EntropyChase Before the study my prediction was UBI may have +ve economic impact via increased investment into education/skill building/entrepeneurship which the study didnt really see post-FDR adjustment"
X Link 2026-02-14T17:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@EntropyChase But that doesn't necessarily mean UBI had no +ve effects whatsoever maybe crime rates went down Maybe people acted less like cunts Maybe people had decreased cortisol levels We'll never know But my prediction was a purely economic one and the data didnt pan out that way"
X Link 2026-02-14T17:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@mikefeigin @zenbrainest My god. I just spent [--] minutes thinking "What the hell rhymes with [--] transmembrane domain receptor" before reading GPCR in the comments 😅"
X Link 2020-12-16T13:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://youtu.be/-RhSCoElB9Y https://youtu.be/-RhSCoElB9Y"
X Link 2020-12-16T23:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"and for anyone who is completely new to the delta hedging activity of market makers this is another video I've done that explains delta hedging of Gamma exposure. https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk"
X Link 2020-12-16T23:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@fed_speak Using TA to try predict future price behaviour = Yes BS. Using TA to discipline a trader into only taking trades with clearly defined risk : reward in a systematic way that can be backtested to a certain degree = No Not BS"
X Link 2020-12-20T02:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@mambatraderr @pkfanzine @Ivan_Vesely_ @jam_croissant Follow @jam_croissant read his analysis threads to gauge tactics based on where prices/ivol are likely to go then implement them around the daily resistances/supports he tweets. After making tonnes of money show gratitude by donating some back to the causes he supports 🙏"
X Link 2021-01-07T02:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@jam_croissant @alexwlezien @notsosmartquant @EndTesla @Betabetabeta9 @TaeMatthew In Muggle-tongue: Buying to hedge -tive gamma is eventually overwhelmed by selling required to hedge Vanna as IV starts to increase too much (Peak euphoria as people will pay anything to buy a call). -tive gamma amplifies the downward move that follows. Vanna make Gary do a 180"
X Link 2021-01-21T06:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 1) Alright then buckle up. What these morons don't understand about praxeology is that it fails to meet the criteria of science as defined by Popper's falsification principle. Anything that is not falsifiable is not science at best and complete superstition at worst"
X Link 2021-01-28T04:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 7) Show me ANY axiom of human behaviour that ACTUALLY holds true in the real world or can be used to derive universal statements on human behaviour. ALL behaviour is stochastic and is never deterministic this is something that myself and my colleagues study on a fucking regular"
X Link 2021-01-28T04:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@JaDaveus_Spliff @profplum99 @StephenWindahl 8) basis as neuroscientists using testable falsifiable hypotheses and predictions rather than just assert that we know the answers without actually having to go out into the world and check and waves off any falsification as not being possible because he just fucking decreed it"
X Link 2021-01-28T04:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@jam_croissant @_FinChris @Athena_Alithis @indievesting Linked here: https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://t.co/W3SIPANHKF https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially"
X Link 2021-02-03T15:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I'm beginning to think long GME is the only hedge against SPY going down"
X Link 2021-02-26T01:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"New video on the delta hedging of the delta skew made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Trying to share what I've learnt after trying to get my head around this 😅 The second scenario seems pertinent to now. https://youtu.be/ibaPuJgTgOs https://youtu.be/ibaPuJgTgOs"
X Link 2021-03-05T02:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This video assumes you are already aware of how gamma vanna and charm are delta hedged. If you are a completely new videos explaining those are linked in the video description and below here: https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://t.co/W3SIPANHKF https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging"
X Link 2021-03-05T02:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"1) I'm starting to become convinced that the word "bubble" is just used by FinTwit to describe something that is expensive that they themselves would not pay the same price for. This to me seems like an obvious fallacy. Just because something is expensive doesn't mean that it"
X Link 2021-04-14T15:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Shayne_F_Murphy @SoccerMomTrades @jam_croissant The house at a casino doesn't "imply" that it's predicting what the outcome of a roulette wheel is; they only predict that the odds are in their favour over time if they adjust their payout according to the probabilities. Cem is helping identify how those probabilities change"
X Link 2021-04-15T02:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@hyperconvexity @Deanogillam @jam_croissant Shameless self-plug here: If you are completely new I suggest you watch the videos on my channel in the order that they came out. These videos were designed for idiots because I too am an idiot 😅 https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A video that explains how market makers delta hedging Vanna/Charm exposures can affect price movements; made in collaboration with @jam_croissant Hopefully the financially semi-literate (Like myself) will find this useful https://t.co/W3SIPANHKF https://x.com/KeyPaganRush/status/1339346575424802816 A"
X Link 2021-04-21T14:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@jam_croissant @coloradotravis "Why did they make a sculpture of a croissant sitting on a pile of cash" - "Sweetheart Im pretty sure thats a crescent moon and stars visible over the mountains" "Shhh mortal why do you hate generating alpha""
X Link 2021-05-05T02:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@profplum99"
X Link 2021-06-11T04:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades Calendar calls are high r/r. You sell short term options and buy the same strike at a later expiration. The long option prevents you from blowing up; the idea is to profit from the difference in theta and/or vega between the two options"
X Link 2021-06-18T05:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades The short term option you sold has faster theta decay than the longer term option you bought meaning that you collect more premium on the short term option than losing premium on the long term. Likewise as IV decreases the sold option ideally is more sensitive to this volcrush"
X Link 2021-06-18T05:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ahelixir4t @jam_croissant @SoccerMomTrades We do this because we expect market to trade flat/sideways and IV to decrease in the short term. You are profiting from a quiet market but without taking the risk of blowing up by just going naked short vol"
X Link 2021-06-18T05:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@headfallsoff Is this a joke about Yukio Mishima"
X Link 2021-06-29T04:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@jesse_stein @headfallsoff Locked himself in the office of a military base with some friends gave a poorly-received speech to the soldiers to induce them to coup committed seppuku and then it took [--] attempts from his friends to decapitate him"
X Link 2021-06-29T04:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Hopefully nobody here really needs to hear this; but I decided I'd explain why trying to use Ivermectin to treat COVID is a stupid idea aside from the fact that you're eating horse paste. Ivermectin is a drug used as an antiparasitic that targets molecules known as"
X Link 2021-09-02T05:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"If you "know" banks manipulate gold prices by selling futures why not just short gold and then cover instead of complain everytime they dump If you "know" BTC is gonna get pumped by Tether why not just buy BTC and then sell everytime it rips If you "know" the FED is pumping"
X Link 2021-09-08T03:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@armin_unicorn @memecrashes Young's Double Slit experiment. The results of the experiment change depending on whether you are observing it occur or not. Search it up there will be many short easy-to-follow explanations online"
X Link 2021-10-07T14:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@myeongwen @armin_unicorn @memecrashes The results of the experiment are the patterns generated on the screen behind the slits. The patterns generated on the screens change depending on whether you try to observe the path of the electrons or not"
X Link 2021-10-07T16:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is why I love carbon credits. Don't have to care about inflation deflation lockdown coronavirus variants; this thing just goes up"
X Link 2021-11-26T09:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"She was a little reluctant at first but then I said that the ring comes with an NFT and that tipped her over to yes"
X Link 2021-12-28T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@IsaacWendt @Ksidiii Stocks that just go up smoothly rather than choppily will have cheaper calls when using conventional option pricing because they dont factor in trend/drift/momentum of a stonk and smooth trending price charts have low vol"
X Link 2022-01-02T02:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Nice to hear 2/3 of my favourite sources to triangulate between: @42macroDDale and @jam_croissant; the former whom I subscribe to and the latter I would subscribe to he if had a sub 😅 First [--] people to dm email address can watch this for free https://www.realvision.com/shows/the-interview/videos/hikes-wont-cool-inflation-but-the-fed-has-no-other-choice https://www.realvision.com/shows/the-interview/videos/hikes-wont-cool-inflation-but-the-fed-has-no-other-choice"
X Link 2022-01-03T06:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Ffs I dont know who needs to hear this but: HERD IMMUNITY DOES NOT make you magically immune to all variants of a disease. A population becoming immune to OMICRON does not guarantee that they will be resistant to ALL future variants. When a large population becomes infected with"
X Link 2022-01-11T03:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"the same virus you are just giving the virus more opptys to mutate again and potentially create another immunoevasive variant. This is particularly relevant for SARS-CoV2 which is particularly prone to mutating due to shitty RNA pol proofreading"
X Link 2022-01-11T03:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Do not give throw the Avirulence hypothesis at me (Ie Viruses become less deadly over time) this is a BS idea that has been empirically disproven; once a virus replicates it doesnt care if you live or die this thread sums up the evidence very well. https://x.com/adriancjr/status/1479782794448580609t=xSnWbvJj8Fhu3BVfpxTRxg&s=19 This 🧵is a layman's understanding regarding virus pathogenicity and evolution: science only says that viruses which kill all their hosts will disappear. That's all. From this it doesn't follow that viruses have an "inner desire" not to kill their hosts or to become"
X Link 2022-01-11T03:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Come buy my [---] strike calls then; otherwise go back to cleaning your room LARPer. I firmly expect oil to hit $300 a barrel before this is over. And that might be optimistic. The writing is on the wall. https://t.co/yIMq06nnxv I firmly expect oil to hit $300 a barrel before this is over. And that might be optimistic. The writing is on the wall. https://t.co/yIMq06nnxv"
X Link 2022-01-14T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"My fiancee doesn't know anything about wine. She wanted to make this $7 wine sweeter by adding coffee syrup. Love her regardless 😍"
X Link 2022-01-16T11:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"So when I read this I think: Glucose a sugar is required for the functioning of all cells in our body; although too much sugar is also bad. Incidentally your brain consumes/needs the most amount of glucose. Sugar is as healthy for the body as fiat currency is for the economy. Sugar is as healthy for the body as fiat currency is for the economy"
X Link 2022-02-09T02:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A video explaining the hedging of knock in puts made in collaboration with @jam_croissant and @tylerrothamel Living in Korea having seen 1st-hand friends invest in autocalls having been pitched them by my bank and watching FinTwit always poke fun all https://youtu.be/oojMf_2nyUM https://youtu.be/oojMf_2nyUM"
X Link 2022-03-07T15:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"All the legal work done now official. I'm off market limit up. My wife now possesses an NFT representing my personhood. and yes I know my ring is too big my metacarpal phalangeal is too thick 😅"
X Link 2022-03-30T01:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Intuitive understanding to options You might have heard that options represent the full distribution of the market and are thus the real underlying. Sure you can argue in the English sense of the word that they are not underlying but that viewpoint is useless for making money"
X Link 2022-05-14T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"where underlying stocks only represent a sliver of what a market is actually pricing in. To illustrate think of a stonk as having a probability of having an ending price represented by the graph below. The market probabilities assigned to each of these prices is influenced by"
X Link 2022-05-14T12:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Notice however that your delta gets bigger as the price of the stonk gets closer to your strike. It then begins to scale down as you get past your strike and start moving more and more towards OTM. This means your delta is changing as a function of price. This is gamma"
X Link 2022-05-14T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"When you introduce the process of delta-hedging (reviewed in my video here: you are essentially trying to prevent your PnL from being influence by the shifting of the entire distribution Ie changes in price of underlying https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk https://youtu.be/zfkOCc2evEk"
X Link 2022-05-14T12:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Stonks only represent the first moment a single point of the distribution but nothing about its shape or how it changes over time. Options will tell you also about the entire shape of the distribution which is I submit that they are in a sense the true underlying distribution"
X Link 2022-05-14T13:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This extends even across time as the options market assigns a distribution to each time in the future and is something that is captured by what is called a "volatility surface" where the interplay between time IV and price of underlying are all interrelated"
X Link 2022-05-14T13:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Anyway hope that this was helpful to you. However please do not follow me unless you're happy with 70% shitposts and 30% shit macro-takes instead watch some of my other videos"
X Link 2022-05-14T13:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Disclaimer: If an institutional/professional vol person says that something I say here is inaccurate; assume that they are correct and I am wrong. Some mathematical concepts here are explained roughly to make intuition easier. When in doubt go look at the mathematics"
X Link 2022-05-14T13:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Nice to see @jam_croissant again re-stating that options represent the full distribution of markets in this video. Anybody not sure as to why or how take a read of this thread a while back 👇 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mUXFaBnpSzg Intuitive understanding to options You might have heard that options represent the full distribution of the market and are thus the real underlying. Sure you can argue in the English sense of the word that they are not underlying but that viewpoint is useless for making money https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mUXFaBnpSzg Intuitive understanding to options You might"
X Link 2022-05-24T03:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"So during a pirates of finance episode there was a quick discussion on the importance of looking at Fixed Strike Vol vs just blindly following VIX Lets start off with the VIX; for reasons we won't go into the VIX is influenced more by the Implied volatility of OTM calls/puts"
X Link 2022-06-02T13:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"market sell-offs. So hopefully this explanation helps for this particular episode since @choffstein wasn't able to draw up these diagrams on the fly. @JackFarley96 @JasonMutiny @FinancePirates"
X Link 2022-06-02T13:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@crypt0e @Hassan59433914 @TheFigen I literally live here my house is like a [--] minute drive away from the start of the highway 😅"
X Link 2022-07-24T04:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@sidprabhu In Japan house prices actually tend to go downwards. The mindset there is indeed "Why would I pay more to buy a 2nd hand house" 😂"
X Link 2022-07-24T17:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I'm beginning to realise how boring and repetitive finance "alpha" is More often than not its just price-insensitive transactions or regulations allowing certain exposures to be dynamically replicated cheaper/more expensive and just going long the cheaper one and shorting the"
X Link 2022-08-07T07:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"expensive one Pros just do it on leverage and dont blow up during replication This is a far cry from what I originally imagined finance to be Chads pushing buttons based on macro "feels"; I still haven't recovered from my disenchantment in realising that its just a bunch of"
X Link 2022-08-07T07:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"math nerds who discover that if they add up or strip out a bunch of exposures in certain combinations over time they can replicate shit that is currently undergoing a dislocation Someone bring the romance back to me and tell me that not all finance "alpha" has to be like this😭"
X Link 2022-08-07T07:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@thebadstats This cringe attempt to say something that sounds immensely profound on the surface by deliberately butchering language would make even a post-modernists blush"
X Link 2022-08-20T02:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@lpachter Ah yes and while we're at it we should not review papers that use PCR machines to cycle between different temperatures. These machine displays are essentially GUIs much better to program it all protocols in C where work can be transparent"
X Link 2023-01-29T00:58Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements
"@lpachter Absolutely stating that one used a commercial software for analysis is the equivalent of not stating at all that one performed a biology experiment People need to stop calculating their dilutions with and calculate it all by hand as Avogadro intended https://www.tocris.com/resources/molarity-calculator https://www.tocris.com/resources/molarity-calculator"
X Link 2023-01-29T02:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@lpachter to show what calculations it happens to be performing wrong or not. By that logic we shouldn't be accepting analysis done with Matlab either or accept confocal images taken with Nikon or Zeiss software because these are just GUIs with no transparency"
X Link 2023-01-29T02:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bumped into a picture that I think is a nice way to view markets Price is just reducing higher dimensional fundamental data into a single value (Shadow). However the angle that a market views the object can change the shadow independent of the underlying fundamentals"
X Link 2023-04-12T01:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Today I finally say goodbye to the country that gave me a wife an education a career the ability to speak a new language and a guilty pleasure of listening to KPop [--] weeks at home before I go off on my new adventure to Seppoland"
X Link 2023-04-22T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@TP_Grant Yeah I always found those comments rather silly. Humans have been grappling for millenia I dont think grabbing onto someone elses legs with your arms is something that has any one origin. As Ryan Hall put it: Humans have had [--] arms and [--] legs for as long as Im aware"
X Link 2023-05-11T23:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"So a personal anecdote regarding employment in the US I received my job offer [--] months ago and I have already received [--] increases in salary The kicker I haven't even started working yet"
X Link 2023-06-02T21:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@coloradotravis "Sure just write up a well written article with full references to all the work you are gattling-gun citing so that I and everybody else can go read those same papers and verify the results in those papers myself" "You're a coward""
X Link 2023-06-19T16:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"A biotech play $GRTX that I wrote about and had a position on gapped -80% today 😭; reminding again why biotech stonk punting is hard My only hope is that everyone who read what I wrote inversed me"
X Link 2023-08-09T21:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We're still sooo early lmao @Citrini7 Im no medical expert but there r too many ppl taking ozempic to lose weight and this shit never goes down without any unintended consequences. Im no medical expert but there r too many ppl taking ozempic to lose weight and this shit never goes down without any unintended consequences"
X Link 2023-08-12T15:48Z [----] followers, 25.3K engagements
"Saw a sudden influx of new followers; So I think its worth repeating and highlighting; this was a recent biotech stonk punt of mine that went horribly horribly wrong Obviously I think Im pretty good when it comes to the science but profiting from it is a completely different A biotech play $GRTX that I wrote about and had a position on gapped -80% today 😭; reminding again why biotech stonk punting is hard My only hope is that everyone who read what I wrote inversed me A biotech play $GRTX that I wrote about and had a position on gapped -80% today 😭; reminding again why biotech stonk punting"
X Link 2023-08-12T22:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I reckon if people were more upfront about the trading being more akin to a casino rather than a game of prediction they could prevent themselves from doing a lot of stupid shit At casinos the house wins over time not because they are predicting any shit but because they"
X Link 2023-08-31T04:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"are leaning into favourable risk-reward bets given the probabilities available My stonk doesn't actually need higher earnings for me to profit from a long I just need to buy it when the market assigns a probability lower than justified"
X Link 2023-08-31T04:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There is a type of investor who refuses to let adverse price movements factor into their decision making citing how they only change their mind based on fundamental/real world data that would confirm or disconfirm them The problem with this is that during adverse price movements"
X Link 2023-10-17T14:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@netcapgirl It forces one to be able to engage in abstraction; which is a skill worth developing and can hopefully transfer to topics outside of calculus"
X Link 2023-11-09T16:27Z [----] followers, 10.5K engagements
"@JiujitsuOtter Adam Saitiev would handle anybody lmao; his brother too in fact"
X Link 2023-11-19T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I wake up every morning praying that I am trading against people like this guy"
X Link 2024-03-27T02:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@macrocephalopod"
X Link 2024-04-12T15:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
""Eat whatever but still be ketogenic" diet just dropped. Just add Retatrutide😘 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03018-2#Sec2 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03018-2#Sec2"
X Link 2024-06-13T21:37Z [----] followers, 29.1K engagements
"Doomers that were warning of us of how the inverted yield curve foreshadowed some impending doom have yet to come out with analysis on why they have been utterly wrong for [--] years"
X Link 2024-07-03T05:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Studying lizard saliva brought us to ozempic Studying defense against bacteria infecting viruses brought us CRISPR Studying jellyfish brought us GFP Just saying sometimes the most frivolous sounding research had the most ROI 🤷♂ The ROI for most government expenditures is very low. The ROI for most government expenditures is very low"
X Link 2024-11-20T19:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Anyone who went long $SAVA despite industry and neuro experts telling you repeatedly that the entire thing was a sham deserve to be parted with their money no sympathy for that degree of hubris"
X Link 2024-11-25T20:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@therobotjames Ngl encounter this problem more often in my real job didn't realise finance bros make these errors too lmao"
X Link 2024-12-05T00:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My favourite AI prompts so far: 1) I have the following ingredients and seasoning in my house: ___. Please suggest a recipe for me using only the ingredients listed above that can be made within an hour"
X Link 2024-12-22T21:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Tired of ancestor guilt; it was their manifest destiny to live here When a superior civilization beats savage natives they have nothing to apolgise for That's just how superior cultures progress H1Bs didnt steal anything it was rightfully conquered"
X Link 2024-12-26T03:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@luanabellex @D_y_n_a_m_i_k @dieworkwear He screenshot your very real tweet how else would he have got the screenshot"
X Link 2025-01-03T23:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
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