#  @Kevin_AGraham Kevin Graham Kevin Graham posts on X about $peyto, $pey, gas, $touto the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1400813693571538944/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] -16% - [--] Month [-------] +26% - [--] Months [-------] +51% - [--] Year [---------] -30% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1400813693571538944/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -25% - [--] Month [--] -21% - [--] Months [---] +95% - [--] Year [---] +12% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1400813693571538944/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] -0.03% - [--] Month [-----] +5.10% - [--] Months [-----] +15% - [--] Year [-----] +31% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1400813693571538944/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 25.42% [stocks](/list/stocks) 14.41% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 4.24% [countries](/list/countries) 3.39% [nfl](/list/nfl) 0.85% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 0.85% [financial services](/list/financial-services) 0.85% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 0.85% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 0.85% **Social topic influence** [$peyto](/topic/$peyto) #4, [$pey](/topic/$pey) #2, [gas](/topic/gas) 16.1%, [$touto](/topic/$touto) #8, [$su](/topic/$su) #9, [$arxto](/topic/$arxto) 5.93%, [dividend](/topic/dividend) 5.93%, [future](/topic/future) 4.24%, [business](/topic/business) 4.24%, [$arx](/topic/$arx) 4.24% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@garquake](/creator/undefined) [@kramerkarma1](/creator/undefined) [@energyinvest0r](/creator/undefined) [@bb19043](/creator/undefined) [@kevinagraham](/creator/undefined) [@trendbullish](/creator/undefined) [@jleqc](/creator/undefined) [@merlice1](/creator/undefined) [@stevewps](/creator/undefined) [@peterlukacsr](/creator/undefined) [@nuggetcapital](/creator/undefined) [@lidsceo](/creator/undefined) [@abltrader](/creator/undefined) [@assettraveller](/creator/undefined) [@westpine613](/creator/undefined) [@mythmakrr](/creator/undefined) [@alex70848763197](/creator/undefined) [@koyfincharts](/creator/undefined) [@truckdriverpleb](/creator/undefined) [@beegjj](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Suncor Energy, Inc. (SU)](/topic/$su) [Accelerant Holdings (ARX)](/topic/$arx) [Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ)](/topic/$cnq) [Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE)](/topic/$cve) [Imperial Oil Limited (IMO)](/topic/$imo) [Veren Inc. (VRN)](/topic/$vrn) [Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B (BRK.B)](/topic/$brkb) [Copiosa Coin (COP2)](/topic/$cop) [PARSIQ (PRQ)](/topic/$prq) [Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE)](/topic/$bte) [Joystream (JOY)](/topic/$joy) [Aethir (ATH)](/topic/$ath) [Intuit Inc. (INTU)](/topic/$intu) [Coca-Cola Co (KO)](/topic/$ko) [Oxygen (OXY)](/topic/$oxy) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "2024 return = 34.7% [--] Yr = 19.4% [----] was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b $SU & $PEY) all hit it out of the park๐ Here's to more growth learning and seizing opportunities in 2025๐ฅ๐ท #valueinvesting #COM [----] return = 4.4% [--] Yr = 18.5% Accountability & intellectual honesty are key to achieving long term investment success. Don't worry about others. Stick to your knitting. Investing is a marathon not a sprint. Cheers to a healthy & prosperous 2024๐ฅ๐ป #valueinvesting #COM https://t.co/IIjrqrx1ez [----] return = 4.4% [--] Yr = 18.5% Accountability & intellectual honesty are" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1874512987391996311) 2025-01-01T17:48Z [----] followers, 49.8K engagements "2025 Return = 26.4% [--] Yr CAGR = 19.8% โ 2025 was volatile & bizarre but results were still excellentโ The future is bright: Our business is booming๐ just hired our first engineer & an expansion is planned๐ฅ [----] is shaping up to be the best ever๐๐๐ [----] return = 34.7% [--] Yr = 19.4% [----] was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b $SU & $PEY) all hit it out of the park๐ Here's to more growth learning and seizing opportunities in 2025๐ฅ๐ท #valueinvesting #COM https://t.co/M912VHXQNI [----] return = 34.7% [--] Yr = 19.4% [----] was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b $SU" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2006822173638566074) 2026-01-01T20:17Z [----] followers, 12.4K engagements "@Peter_Lukacs_R $ARX is a mixed bag Hedged gas is not great. Majority is AECO at the floor of $2.71CAD/GJ and a small amount of HH with a ceiling of $6.16/GJ. Overall they also have 24% WCSB floating and 10% Malin. So they have 46% exposed to the current premium markets. Better for sure" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2017286282762740133) 2026-01-30T17:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is a good question $ARX.to just reported PDP FD&A costs of $15.77/boe and RBC has them doing $18.37/boe netbacks in [----] a mere 1.2x recycle ratio. $TOU.to based on last years FD&A cost comes in at 1.2x recycle ratio for [----]. $PEY.to based on last year FD&A cost comes in at 3.0x recycle ratio vastly superior profitability. Peyto also has much more forecasted FCF/shr for [----] than ARX (and keep in mind this includes 8% growth capex) If Peyto just did a maint capex budget like ARX they have $2.70/shr in FCF and a 11% FCF yield. Our camp remains bullish. Peyto is still cheap relative to" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2020961205695938851) 2026-02-09T20:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BB19043 Looks great if 1) you hedged over a year ago @ $4/mcf 2) you dont have any AECO exposure. ๐ค Who would that be $PEY outperformance in [----] will be bigger than [----] [----] or [----] ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1970474650632397024) 2025-09-23T13:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "These emails never get old $PEY.to [--] week high ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ Congrats holders ๐ซก #teamJPL" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1990858351240966425) 2025-11-18T19:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "As we get closer to year end its clear once again within energy - Its all about the horses you pick to ride in [----] ๐ซก - Theyve disregarded commodity prices once again. Particularly oil. ๐ฎ Top performers: $JOY $ATH & $BIR Bottom performers: $CNQ $TOU & $ARX As we get closer to year end it has become clear within Canadian Energy this year. It's all about the Horses you picked to Ride for [----]. Regardless of the price of Oil or Natural Gas Leadership and Size matters Names not as much in [----]. A few of the stand outs : https://t.co/gYoe1qUjFp As we get closer to year end it has become clear" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1994401504950898703) 2025-11-28T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "RBC 2026E estimates & valuations Futures Pricing: WTI = $58.31USD/bbl HH = $4.08USD/mmbtu AECO = $3.23CAD/mcf $CVE & $SU offering relative value in $COP in 1/3" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1995226536681836877) 2025-11-30T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "YTD returns for select gas E&Ps $PEY.to = 37.3% $TOU.to = -0.7% $ARX.to = 0.0% $PEY.to has gone vertical in Q4 Just got lucky Or is the market forward looking to them smashing Nov prod records later today in the monthly report โ Perfectly timed to NG going" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1996199044629385659) 2025-12-03T12:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Remarkable how $PEY.to is creating more undiscounted value (absolute basis) and investors are getting [---] more bang for their buck compared to $TOU.to Even yet the Furus are confounded and Peyto continues to hit new [--] week highs ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1997321971726463223) 2025-12-06T15:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$TOU.to Deep Basin looking tired. [----] results are underperforming the [--] year average. When will they buy $PEY.to" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2005376933241168050) 2025-12-28T20:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Oil Majors (dark blue) have seen their multiples rise from 6x to 9x over the past year. This remarkable performance has occurred while oil prices (light blue) have fallen. What does this mean for oil investors from here ๐งต1/x $IMO $SU $CVE $CNQ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2015089538578706649) 2026-01-24T15:49Z [----] followers, 16.2K engagements "First here is the total return performance of the Oil Majors over the past year: $IMO = 41% $SU = 30% $CVE = 26% $CNQ = 16% Not too shabby 2/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2015089541661524443) 2026-01-24T15:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Look at these forecasts from DJ Some E&Ps have huge residual FCF after current capital plans. $PEY.to could double their dividend if the DJ forecast proves accurate ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ [--] https://t.co/UI8Dr7Twkr [--] https://t.co/UI8Dr7Twkr" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2015980056737415451) 2026-01-27T02:47Z [----] followers, 14.8K engagements "$PEY.to net debt target in sight ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ #dividendincrease Winter is in full control across the eastern U.S. The Ohio Valley will see temperatures 20+ degrees below normal over the next week and as we move into February this cold pattern looks ready to stick around. https://t.co/2myypFQcD3 Winter is in full control across the eastern U.S. The Ohio Valley will see temperatures 20+ degrees below normal over the next week and as we move into February this cold pattern looks ready to stick around. https://t.co/2myypFQcD3" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2016282887658594783) 2026-01-27T22:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Can anyone confirm if $TOU.to has approx 60% of their [----] gas floating at AECO/Stn2 and PG&E/Malin If so they should look at this table and quit yapping about $PEY.to ๐ซก 1/x #Natgas spot prices at various locations across the US as of 1/28/26 https://t.co/36x4bYQnQx #Natgas spot prices at various locations across the US as of 1/28/26 https://t.co/36x4bYQnQx" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2016955019082551795) 2026-01-29T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "For the visually impaired Q1 isnt going to be pretty but they wont tell you that ๐ฌ 2/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2016955029509591450) 2026-01-29T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Imagine doubling down on insults after missing one of the coldest winters in years. I dont get it. Especially when $PEY.to up 63.3% $TOU.to down -0.5% Have a great day" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2016955038892200243) 2026-01-29T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐จNew [--] Week High๐จ $PEY.to already up 15% YTD๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ Lowest FD&A Costs in โ Lowest Cash Costs in โ Highest Recycle Ratios for NG โ Highest Margins (even for liquid co's) โ Disciplined Hedging โ LT Profitability & Dividends (going up) โ The "experts" said they suck ๐คฃ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2021760139360116777) 2026-02-12T01:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@garquake @NuggetCapital People loved $GXE at $1 but hate it at $0.52-0.55. Trades at over 100% discount to 1P10/2P20 while $CJ trades at 20% discount. Huge upside. You make money when you buy. Not when you sell" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1854272143648768070) 2024-11-06T21:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I didnt realize I live rent free ๐คฃ YTD total returns: $PEY.to +38.6% $TOU.to -3.9% (yes negative) $ARX.to -4.4% (yes negative) Yup $PEY.to sure missed out ๐คก Youd think he would have admitted his mistakes but no he keeps peddling nonsense. Thread incoming ๐ซก" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1991620012310949944) 2025-11-20T21:29Z [----] followers, 14.8K engagements "Mike Rose from In the Money Podcast on the Montney: you have to replace a third (33%) or your production every year And .the gas business with resource plays its a treadmill and its a REALLY BIG TREADMILL and it GOES REALLY FAST. (Added emphasis) 7/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1997694735792955470) 2025-12-07T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "John Dielwart - Arc Resources on the Montney: resource plays are great but the average decline rate is HIGH You could go and drill a bunch of Montney wells that decline 50-60% in the first year but THE TREADMILL THAT YOUR ON spending capital to SUSTAIN the business" 8/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1997694739869778154) 2025-12-07T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "๐จ$PEY.to Monthly Report ๐จ โ NEW RECORD - January Production [------] boed โ Prod up 5% over Q4 & 10% over [----] ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ 2025 Capex came in at $475m inline ($10m ARO) โ Report highlights how debt amplifies returns & leverage is back to pre-Repsol levels [----] is looking ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2018817224681914854) 2026-02-03T22:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Lids_CEO Gotta feel bad for the guy. Negative total returns since summer [----]. Its [----] and he quadrupling down ๐คฆ Were a month into [----] and the delta is already 11%" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2019034043296432406) 2026-02-04T13:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@abl_trader @garquake Yeah. $PRQ is held in some accounts. On its face the deal appears cheap. But the other side is selling for a reason. Regardless this deal pays back in two to three years at netbacks of $15-23/bbl. Dirt cheap for oil assets. @Kevin_AGraham @garquake ๐ https://t.co/1vZ6II5Q1i @Kevin_AGraham @garquake ๐ https://t.co/1vZ6II5Q1i" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2019388724212297940) 2026-02-05T12:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Feel bad for the $ARX.to fan boys Rough day. Did anyone sound the alarm Were there any signs ๐ซก $ARX.TO permanent impairment of the equity cash flows will be forever be lower. So you can predict the future Kevin come on ๐ Lets talk about this in just [--] months. #oott #eft #com $ARX.TO permanent impairment of the equity cash flows will be forever be lower. So you can predict the future Kevin come on ๐ Lets talk about this in just [--] months. #oott #eft #com" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2019785657141674026) 2026-02-06T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@KramerKarma1 @trend_bullish I dont own silver. Ive advised family member who bought at $25 to sell when it went vertical. Historically when silver got this out of whack to gold (or oil) it was down 100% over the next [--] months. Most dangerous words in investing are: this time is different๐ป" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2020320391189991530) 2026-02-08T02:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Its the one day a year my wife lets me wear a jersey ๐ ๐ฅ #Seahawks" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2020602275916644356) 2026-02-08T20:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@trend_bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2020641896830480475) 2026-02-08T23:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@AssetTraveller @Westpine613 @jleqc @garquake @mythmakrr What Nobody is looking in the rear view mirror here. The question was And so where's the puck going We see where it currently is. So this is looking forward at [----]. Numbers are right from RBC/company reports. The above analysis is precisely why ARX puked last week ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2021062843903418502) 2026-02-10T03:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Alex70848763197 @KoyfinCharts Agreed but few realize how sticky the Intuit business are. Seems similar to the mid 2000s when everyone said Apple was going to destroy Microsofts enterprise biz" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2021270317336007066) 2026-02-10T17:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Oh man $PEY.to pumped out a pathetic 147k boe/d in Januarylike they cant even grow And this worthless $2 trinket Already fetching [---] bucks on the black market. What a world ๐คฃ ๐จNew [--] Week High๐จ $PEY.to already up 15% YTD๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ Lowest FD&A Costs in โ Lowest Cash Costs in โ Highest Recycle Ratios for NG โ Highest Margins (even for liquid co's) โ Disciplined Hedging โ LT Profitability & Dividends (going up) โ The "experts" said they suck ๐คฃ https://t.co/86jqloilPd ๐จNew [--] Week High๐จ $PEY.to already up 15% YTD๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ Lowest FD&A Costs in โ Lowest Cash Costs in โ Highest Recycle Ratios for NG" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2021926088625324303) 2026-02-12T12:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I dont always make good decisions. The first time she asked I said no but Im thankful she was persistent. ๐ Celebrating [--] years๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1759338742106538360) 2024-02-18T22:06Z [----] followers, 16.7K engagements "$Pey.to [----] reserves ๐งต Peyto always answers these [--] key questions every year. Lets dive in 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1759676291953938619) 2024-02-19T20:28Z [----] followers, 24.3K engagements "๐จ Buffett going long oil indefinitely through ownership of $OXY - just like his Coke & AMEX investments. ๐จ $BRK owns 27.8% of the $OXY common + warrants. ๐ฏ https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1761479162500383165) 2024-02-24T19:52Z [----] followers, 17.2K engagements "I guess the reserve report was good ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1762146245370384690) 2024-02-26T16:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐ Victoria Secret down over 25% after hours. Go woke go broke. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1765529740532724179) 2024-03-07T00:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Isnt socialism amazing Canadian living standards are falling behind. https://t.co/QEKaav32jU Canadian living standards are falling behind. https://t.co/QEKaav32jU" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1767749285158822334) 2024-03-13T03:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "We all know who peys the bills" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1772791275240010060) 2024-03-27T01:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Who is most indebted This is debt divided by each companies CF's in a blowdown scenario (stop drilling) with future cash flows discounted at 10%" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1774856365237793044) 2024-04-01T17:48Z [----] followers, 10.7K engagements "I'm forced to report my monthly sales to the government. They always as me this question.๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1776295361532817585) 2024-04-05T17:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Is energy overvalued Despite terrible gas prices Peyto is up 28.6% YTD & STILL has an 8.5% dividend yield. 8.5% is a solid return in most years. Were still in the second inning. #com #spoiled #52weekhigh" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1777367667898241284) 2024-04-08T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "2023 Gas Comps First Revenue. Yes higher liquids have higher revenue. [----] is a great year for compare companies as WTI avg was $77.64 & AECO avg was $2.78. Note: This data is normalized to provide apples to apples unhedged comps all non reoccurring costs excluded. 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1777443071015219230) 2024-04-08T21:07Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements "๐ CAD falling off a cliff What does the BOC do ๐ฌ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1778092256550903901) 2024-04-10T16:06Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements "2023 Oil Comps Revenue. This is total revenue divided by annual production. As before WTI averaged $77.64 & AECO averaged $2.78 last year. These are "realistic" prices that investors should likely plan on for the long run IMO. Note: These numbers are unhedged 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1779287556418318467) 2024-04-13T23:16Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements "๐จ BREAKING: The entire revenue from the GST now just covers the interest on the debt ๐จ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1780595878937706775) 2024-04-17T13:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "New [--] week high. Next stop $23" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1784984400473506243) 2024-04-29T16:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Loblaws boycott explained @truckdriverpleb https://t.co/iGYRS6d1JL @truckdriverpleb https://t.co/iGYRS6d1JL" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1785842249013551387) 2024-05-02T01:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "#Natty demand up by [---] mcf/d starting tonight ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1788768777108443265) 2024-05-10T03:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Goldman Sachs predicts an additional [---] bcf/d of NG is required to fuel new AI power consumption demand by [----]. Thats like adding another LNG facility every two years ๐ ๐ฅ ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1794716981549293710) 2024-05-26T13:07Z [----] followers, 27.2K engagements "Updated P/NAVs (Note: Nuances exist. For example - $BIR cannot fund it's future development capex from CFs)" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1798111964289188311) 2024-06-04T21:57Z [----] followers, 26.2K engagements "Its time for a Guinness" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1816855636396683267) 2024-07-26T15:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BeegJj @Merlice1 @jim_duffus I dont have any suggestions. For full disclosure I only own $PEY & $SU in size. I own small amounts of few small caps that arent worth mentioning. Ive been diversifying elsewhere & building cash. Not a good time to be offensive IMO" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1824116903951933656) 2024-08-15T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "๐จNew RBC Comp Data๐จ Keep an eye on the "CAPEX as % of Cash Flow". Ensure that CF is truly free. At strip $PEY will generate $836m in FCF pay $515m in dividends & pay down $321m in debt in 2024/25. A shareholder will almost get 1/3rd of the share price back in two yearsโ " [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1825552789583573420) 2024-08-19T15:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐จLNG Canada Update๐จ Gaschem Atlantic has arrived with refrigerants at Kitimat. With refrigerants "the process for flaring and startup procedures can proceed. With over [--] per cent of Phase [--] complete the project is on track to begin this month." https://www.terracestandard.com/local-news/lng-canada-awaits-refrigerant-shipment-ahead-of-startup-procedures-7485768 https://www.terracestandard.com/local-news/lng-canada-awaits-refrigerant-shipment-ahead-of-startup-procedures-7485768" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1826371911229878697) 2024-08-21T21:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐ AECO $0.34/GJ Hedged producers should just shut in and buy their gas for (almost) free to fulfil contracts. Double their revenue per molecule ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1826611146989994154) 2024-08-22T13:23Z [----] followers, 10.1K engagements "How much is $PEY making on Cascade gas tonight at $964/MWh At $150/MWH they said they would have realized more than $10/GJ. So $65/GJ tonight ๐ฅ Maybe a cool $1m in NG sales just to Cascade today Thats a #gamechanger ๐ ๐ ๐ At this moment 89% of Alberta's electricity is being produced by fossil fuels. Wind is at 6.9% of capacity and producing 3.7% of total generation while solar is at 0.0% of capacity and producing 0.00% of total generation. At the same time we are importing [---] MW or 6% https://t.co/p6SkZXVeaJ At this moment 89% of Alberta's electricity is being produced by fossil fuels." [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1830460960814809225) 2024-09-02T04:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "One year ago: - $PEY bought Repsol - $ARX started drilling at Attachie - $TOU (in Nov) bought Bonavista & recently $CR Relative performance since๐ 1/x ๐งต" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1832440155686498612) 2024-09-07T15:25Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements "What #COM investors say versus what they do. When oil is going up - I would love to buy more of what I own at a lower price." When oil goes lower - "No I'm good. Let's wait and see how this plays out."" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1832993271032803391) 2024-09-09T04:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to hits a new [--] week high ๐ฅ Congrats all ๐ Next stop $23 ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1841845963113300061) 2024-10-03T14:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Congrats Another [--] week $PEY high Last month has been ๐ ๐ ๐ up 16%" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1843303276953174275) 2024-10-07T14:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Or you could have purchased [-----] shares of $PEY.to for $150000 in [----]. Today that would be worth $1200000 & pay out $100000 of passive income per year. $8333/month. ๐ ๐ ๐ โ Thats the goal A dividend portfolio worth $2000000 at a 5% yield will pay out roughly $100000 of passive income a year. $8333 a month. Thats the goal. A dividend portfolio worth $2000000 at a 5% yield will pay out roughly $100000 of passive income a year. $8333 a month. Thats the goal" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1844378949260136721) 2024-10-10T14:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Worried about the $4 gas price forecast from Scotia For some its already in the bank โ If you love natural gas then you're really going to love these eye popping price targets from Scotia. They expect AECO to average $4.00/mmbtu over 2025/2026. Just my view but these gas names don't look very cheap if the big jump in demand (weather LNG) doesn't materialize. ๐คทโ https://t.co/zV3qK8dwLz If you love natural gas then you're really going to love these eye popping price targets from Scotia. They expect AECO to average $4.00/mmbtu over 2025/2026. Just my view but these gas names don't look very" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1846724978005496247) 2024-10-17T01:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to used to sell for $30-35/shr. Why was it worth double its current share price & what it would take to get back there ๐ค Great question Mike let's dig in. ๐งต1/x @Kevin_AGraham Hey Kevin ๐ big fan of Pey and your love for the company. Just wondering if you could explain why [--] years ago it was double its current share price and if you believe it could get back up to $30-40/share and what it would take to get it there @Kevin_AGraham Hey Kevin ๐ big fan of Pey and your love for the company. Just wondering if you could explain why [--] years ago it was double its current share price and if" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1848133886871818400) 2024-10-20T22:47Z [----] followers, 31.4K engagements "๐ $VRN down 13% already Another top pick of WTIbull in the ๐ฝ Like Cramer he never missed" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1851984269331304842) 2024-10-31T13:47Z [----] followers, 21.8K engagements "$PEY monthly report is out ๐ฎ [----] drilling program is shaping up to be one of the most prolific in recent years average production from wells brought on stream to date in [----] which are outperforming some of our previous (& best) programs by more than 25% ๐๐ 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1853649563565130079) 2024-11-05T04:04Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements "Here are the RBC analyst predictions for this year (Feb [--] [----] earliest I could find) Highest implied return was $BTE at 98% Implied $VRN ($CPG) return was 59% Implied $BIR return was 45% 2nd Lowest implied return was $PEY at 20% How accurate were these boot lickers ๐งต1/2" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1859434832842956973) 2024-11-21T03:13Z [----] followers, 21.6K engagements "๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ $PEY.to makes a new [--] week high ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ Congrats to fellow shareholders ๐ป" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1859611027706380385) 2024-11-21T14:53Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements "Time to celebrate PEY day๐ฅ ๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ $PEY.to makes a new [--] week high ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ Congrats to fellow shareholders ๐ป https://t.co/CMi2Rz35X0 ๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ $PEY.to makes a new [--] week high ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ Congrats to fellow shareholders ๐ป https://t.co/CMi2Rz35X0" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1859736284694184201) 2024-11-21T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Can't Stop Won't Stop ๐๐ฅ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1875206730604511503) 2025-01-03T15:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY New Deck Jan 3rd -Prod now 135k boe/d [---] yr PDP RLI & [--] yr 2P RLI (higher than peers) -Gas production of [---] mmcf/d -Infra of [---] bcf/d LOTS of capacity 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1876740953584615711) 2025-01-07T21:21Z [----] followers, 12K engagements "๐คฉ Wells Fargo on Natty ๐คฉ we arent kidding ourselves that [----] is going to be the best year for natural gas producers and investors ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ Exactly why I just bought more $PEY.to ๐ ๐ ๐ $oih $pten $nbr $lbrt [---] #natgas rigs "too few" per Wells Fargo commentary - need higher rig count to meet LNG export/data center power demand https://t.co/gDg2RElbKv $oih $pten $nbr $lbrt [---] #natgas rigs "too few" per Wells Fargo commentary - need higher rig count to meet LNG export/data center power demand https://t.co/gDg2RElbKv" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1877507686780096966) 2025-01-10T00:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "RBC on NG storage draw "Next week's report should show a drop in natural gas inventories to below average (5 year) for the first time in [---] days" "12-month natural gas futures are $3.99/mcf up $0.41/mcf from last week (higher than RBC's $3.50/mcf forecast)"๐๐ฅ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1880071058516042041) 2025-01-17T01:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Three insider buys this week at $PEY for $150k. CEO CFO & VP Production. Bullish ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1882814959324983574) 2025-01-24T15:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to monthly report is ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ Here are three highlights you dont want to miss: 1) For [----] Peyto has secured approximately $800 million in revenues from our hedges (both gas and NGLs) which management believes are insulated from the effect of potential US import tariffs. โ Ive been having private discussions with a few fellow investors about this interesting fact. JP explains๐ 2) In most cases our basis or synthetic transport deals only require delivery to the local NGTL system and receive the downstream price less a fee/cost/basis. The markets where we physically deliver gas remain" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1886644051417686383) 2025-02-04T05:12Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements "Yes I am. Happy 23rd ๐ I dont always make good decisions. The first time she asked I said no but Im thankful she was persistent. ๐ Celebrating [--] years๐ฅ https://t.co/FVOXpHco2b I dont always make good decisions. The first time she asked I said no but Im thankful she was persistent. ๐ Celebrating [--] years๐ฅ https://t.co/FVOXpHco2b" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1891939755157250349) 2025-02-18T19:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Like a kid before Christmas I can hardly wait for tomorrow. Given YTD insider buying from CEO CFO VP drilling & VP production its going be ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1892203355570593850) 2025-02-19T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to monthly report out ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ JP highlights the 3.3x PDP recycle ratio -This mean for every BOE of production $PEY is able to find [---] more BOEs - Likely the highest in for [----] -Company best since [----] They also have the longest PDP reserve life index in" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1897090106445697449) 2025-03-05T01:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Craig Bryska CEO of $VRN on their Q4 conf call. The $WCP merger was announced [--] business days later. ๐ค Quick deal" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1899085465669800261) 2025-03-10T13:10Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements "๐จ $PEY.to generating massive FCF in 2025/26 ๐จ [----] FCF = $653 million ($3.30sh) [----] FCF = $869 million ($4.39/sh) Total FCF = $1522 million ($7.69/sh - RBC current strip) Let's stop here for a second. $7.69/sh in FCF is over 50% of the current share price. AND this includes growth capex of approx. 10% in [----] & [----]. Let's continue: [----] Dividends = $261 million ($1.32/shr) [----] Dividends = $261 million ($1.32/shr) Total Base Dividends = $522 million ($2.64/shr) That leaves $1 billion dollars ($5.05/shr) leftover AFTER paying current base dividend in [----] & [----]. Probably $300m to debt" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1899305869810246125) 2025-03-11T03:46Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements "TD notes $PEY.to has $500m in under-utilized infrastructure to expand production. They stole Repsol for only $636m ๐คฃ Half cycle economics for years while LNG boom is on ๐ ๐ ๐ Enjoy your dividends ๐ป This is why $pey $pey.to is a core holding for me ๐ - PT C$20 - Buy - exciting infrastructure + low cash costs = High Margins - significant future drilling infrastructure - field performance improving - well hedged - paid to wait - large infrastructure expenditures unnecessary https://t.co/ynw7FKgw3w This is why $pey $pey.to is a core holding for me ๐ - PT C$20 - Buy - exciting" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1899893157938028774) 2025-03-12T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to Q4 [----] Conf Call Highlights - JP opening comment "The MOST IMPORTANT takeaway is that we delivered on what we said we were going to do with the Repsol assets in late 2023."๐ฏ - Repsol Drilling Hedging & Production all covered below ๐งต1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1900373474365088075) 2025-03-14T02:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Below is a comparison of what companies predicted they could find reserves for to what they actually found (or acquired) it for. Notes: - $PEY with massive outperformance. 2nd year in a row they have out performed predicted F&D cost. - Looks like costs/recoveries in the Montney aren't what they predicted - Many negative tech revisions in [----] - Only $PEY & $ARX came close to delivering what they said they would - $ARX did benefit from upward tech adjustments (better performance). Shareholders should be aware of this - [----] Predicted F&D costs are listed (far right). Who do you think will" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1903845935651893545) 2025-03-23T16:26Z [----] followers, 18.4K engagements "Some people understand what the table below means for $PEY.to Others are finding out today ๐ป Below is a comparison of what companies predicted they could find reserves for to what they actually found (or acquired) it for. Notes: - $PEY with massive outperformance. 2nd year in a row they have out performed predicted F&D cost. - Looks like costs/recoveries in the https://t.co/WAOhg21I86 Below is a comparison of what companies predicted they could find reserves for to what they actually found (or acquired) it for. Notes: - $PEY with massive outperformance. 2nd year in a row they have out" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1904168621724844347) 2025-03-24T13:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "NEW [--] week high" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1904563281433391537) 2025-03-25T15:57Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements "Don Gray is not messing around. Thats $3.6 million bought in the last month. ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1260000 https://t.co/RW1IZmDrEe $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1260000 https://t.co/RW1IZmDrEe" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1907891936238727317) 2025-04-03T20:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Don Gray is soaking up the cheap shares from the nervous nellies. Now $6.3 million bought over the past month. $PEY.to ๐ซก $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1453500 https://t.co/xCyI7qWhe6 $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1453500 https://t.co/xCyI7qWhe6" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1910130449370042544) 2025-04-10T00:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to is now the only E&P green on the year ๐ฌ (11% with dividends included) How many analysts had Peyto as their top pick a year ago" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1910370164358705224) 2025-04-10T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This week the $VRN.to (formerly $CPG.to) saga officially comes to an end when they merge with $WCP.to Let's take a look back at their financial performance for the past [--] years and see what we can learn. 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1921240533206245678) 2025-05-10T16:26Z [----] followers, 37.1K engagements "$PEY.to been a rocket lately Will we break $20 today Earnings after close today ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1922288408581251131) 2025-05-13T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$MEG is worth what the market will pay. And if you werent buying it last week before the $SCR offer you didnt think it was worth the current price either. Now according to the self proclaimed experts its worth much more" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1924228467778015383) 2025-05-18T22:19Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements "$PEY.to about to smash $20 Graham Capital is raising its PT to $25 โ Lowest F&D cost in โ Highest recycle ratios in โ Falling Opex โ Lowest Cash Costs in โ Strong hedge book โ Heavy insider buying โ Still unloved by analysts ๐คฃ ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ฅ $PEY.TO ๐๐บ๐ TP 23$ https://t.co/McNmb2nR9C $PEY.TO ๐๐บ๐ TP 23$ https://t.co/McNmb2nR9C" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1929961214928408584) 2025-06-03T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Profitability is the most important measure as an investor. Compounding (your) capital is the goal. Naturally this is my favorite slide in the $PEY.to deck Let's see how the E&Ps compared in [----] a year with record low gas prices. 1/x ๐งต" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1931033668681888014) 2025-06-06T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Natty names at or about to break [--] week highs again๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1932144802889424896) 2025-06-09T18:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Knock knock whos there $20 Congrats to all shareholders ๐ป" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1933178572904292710) 2025-06-12T15:04Z [----] followers, 19.5K engagements "Cash delivered every month ๐ ๐ ๐ Happy Dividend Day" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1945292386541998577) 2025-07-16T01:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "No need to worry about continued low AECO pricing $PEY.to is significantly increasing its diversification to US hubs next year. (And has hedged 409mmcfd at $4) ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ Hedging & diversification for๐ฅ ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1947363641323372804) 2025-07-21T18:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Grahams are off to Paris today so were doing our part ๐ซก Looking forward to catching up with friends & touring some breathtaking countryside. Mangez bien riez souvent aimez beaucoup Global airline seat capacity now at its high point of the year fueling record jet fuel consumption and travel numbers America China India Japan and most of Europe are all showing major growth YoY with smaller markets also adding capacity consistently year after year. ๐ข๐ฐ https://t.co/UC1AqnH6LG Global airline seat capacity now at its high point of the year fueling record jet fuel consumption and travel" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1949477412108226728) 2025-07-27T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PEY.to Q2 Conf Call Highlights TLDR: We continue to cut costs increase margins drill very profitable wells and we're optimizing Sundance to further drive profitability Let's dive in 1/x๐งต" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1956024152726405219) 2025-08-14T16:04Z [----] followers, 11.7K engagements "Why are we still bullish on $PEY.to A ๐งต Let's let the numbers do the talking: 1) PEY has the highest dividend yield amongst all of the Intermediate/Senior NG producers in North America. 2) PEY is selling for a 15% FCF yield above the 10% average. (This means the share price would have to rise in order for the FCF to match the market avg) 3) P/CF and EV/DACF multiples are still below the Canadian averages. (Again this means the SP would have to rise just to meet the average multiple) 1/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1966552166644281741) 2025-09-12T17:19Z [----] followers, 10.1K engagements "Still trying to understand what happened with $TOU.to Their recent update showed a substantial increase in capex coupled with lower forecasted production for 2026-2028 (see below). This is a marked reduction in efficiency & nobody on X seems to be talking about it. 1/x ๐งต" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1968797730819477825) 2025-09-18T22:02Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements "@globalnews Nobody voted for this & no debate in the House of Commons. Carney doesnt speak for Canadians" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1969838803801301355) 2025-09-21T18:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "NG Total Return YTD When you include dividends $PRQ is the clear winner $AAV $PEY and $NVA are closely tied for second place. Who will take home the 2025๐ Canadian Natural Gas - Year to Date $TOU Tourmaline $ARX ARC Resources $BIR Birchcliff $PEY Peyto $AAV Advantage All have a little bit of catching up to do to get an Advantage. https://t.co/qpMlxBR9bc Canadian Natural Gas - Year to Date $TOU Tourmaline $ARX ARC Resources $BIR Birchcliff $PEY Peyto $AAV Advantage All have a little bit of catching up to do to get an Advantage. https://t.co/qpMlxBR9bc" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1974937577825448215) 2025-10-05T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Setup for Nat Gas is ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ โ Low oil prices โ LNG ramping โ Winter is coming โ Pipeline Maintenance almost over โ Interest rates โ Global demand โ Montney producers reporting declining cap efficiency & higher marginal costs Bill Peyto remains bullish ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1979165888365387878) 2025-10-17T12:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐จ Winter is coming ๐จ If these CF numbers hold $PEY.to is likely to raise their dividend 50% to $2/share in early [----]. If the dividend yield stays at 7% the stock will run to $29/share. ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ RBC price deck this weekend has some revealing comparative forward #s on key Nat gas names when looking at [----] IMO . $pey.to $arc.to $tou.to need to review after final budgets come out in Nov. https://t.co/lYYNJqVVDO RBC price deck this weekend has some revealing comparative forward #s on key Nat gas names when looking at [----] IMO . $pey.to $arc.to $tou.to need to review after final budgets come" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1980318850177724640) 2025-10-20T17:03Z [----] followers, 21.2K engagements "๐ Lots of names will struggle to cover dividend at current WTI prices ๐ Who will be the first to cut Great Chart here from RBCCM Breakevens across coverage universe of Oil and gas Names Total Capital / Capital + dividends and Sustaining Capital $imo $xom $cnq $ath.to $tou $meg.to $su $cve $tve.to $bte $pey.to #com #oott $arx.to $fang $cop https://t.co/AA51rvZwLT Great Chart here from RBCCM Breakevens across coverage universe of Oil and gas Names Total Capital / Capital + dividends and Sustaining Capital $imo $xom $cnq $ath.to $tou $meg.to $su $cve $tve.to $bte $pey.to #com #oott $arx.to" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1980703844033323458) 2025-10-21T18:32Z [----] followers, 20.2K engagements "๐จ New [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to shareholders ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ Lets Go [--] cents away๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/EBNO2TNEX3 Lets Go [--] cents away๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/EBNO2TNEX3" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1986870951447794046) 2025-11-07T18:58Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements "๐จAnother [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to Shareholders๐ฅ๐๐ฅ ๐จ New [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to shareholders ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/jE5UCKwNFr ๐จ New [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to shareholders ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/jE5UCKwNFr" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1988008234683424923) 2025-11-10T22:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ATH.to & $PEY.to are battling it out for new [--] week highs today Lets go @RazorOil" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1989369750674395647) 2025-11-14T16:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐จ Peyto Exploration - [--] bagger ๐จ $PEY.to the exclusive #NatGas name that prints dividends ๐ต is now a [--] bagger over the past [--] years. ๐ Theyve Massively outperformed their capital intensive montney/deep basin peers $TOU.to & $ARX.to #valuationsmatter #valueinvesting" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1990210554326364572) 2025-11-17T00:09Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements "Let's take a look at $PEY.to Yup they have over [----] BOOKED locations as per independent reserve evaluator GLJ. There are no fictious locations in the Peyto deck. So instead of posting an apples to apples comparison he posts an apples to oranges comparison. 3/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1992694528655212798) 2025-11-23T20:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Reality of the situation is this: $TOU.to Booked Locations = [----] $PEY.to Booked Locations = [----] Given $TOU.to has [---] times more production $PEY.to actually has more BOOKED locations per boe of production. 4/x" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1992694541896544351) 2025-11-23T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "It doesnt bother me at all. They are different companies with some geographic overlap. What bothers me is nonsense posts. Ive always said $TOU.to does a lot of things right. All Ive done is point out the valuation and value creation gap. That said I could probably more accurately spell out what they do right than the so called experts but anyway https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1992751985762967932 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1992751985762967932" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1992751985762967932) 2025-11-24T00:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Back in Aug [----] value was in plain sight. Yet so many missed the boat. Since then $PEY.to has moved from $14.86 to $22.26/sh. It now trades at a 23% FCF yield. $TOU.to & $ARX.to have hardly moved. If $PEY had a 15% FCF yield the stock would be $34/sh ๐ซก So coming back to the NG space I want a strong mgmt team I can trust. All three are very capable in that regard. So what does it cost you as an investor That is the share price. IMO you get 2x the value with $Pey.to "Price is what you pay value is what you get" 5/x https://t.co/p39rRW9gV3 So coming back to the NG space I want a strong mgmt" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1993312689968513378) 2025-11-25T13:35Z [----] followers, 13.2K engagements "Seniors E&P's Those are some very skinny FCF yields for $TOU.to $ARX.to's EV/DACF is 38% lower than TOU. $WCP in the middle 2/3" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/1995226539626320370) 2025-11-30T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@SteveWps Dollar cost averaging ๐คฃ" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2014687039417901563) 2026-01-23T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@EnergyInvest0r @notjaso79646447 @ShaleTier7 Just dropping this off. Michael is likely talking about $BIR @Oliver_Trpcic Synthetic as in a year + netback deal. Swing swap from a financial monthly to a cash daily would definitely require forethought a risk budget and a pro at the switch - not all available at the average producer. AECO did some $3s this week. Trend is higher. https://t.co/eVIEc7M4JW @Oliver_Trpcic Synthetic as in a year + netback deal. Swing swap from a financial monthly to a cash daily would definitely require forethought a risk budget and a pro at the switch - not all" [X Link](https://x.com/Kevin_AGraham/status/2016511430430703956) 2026-01-28T13:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@Kevin_AGraham Kevin GrahamKevin Graham posts on X about $peyto, $pey, gas, $touto the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 25.42% stocks 14.41% cryptocurrencies 4.24% countries 3.39% nfl 0.85% technology brands 0.85% financial services 0.85% travel destinations 0.85% exchanges 0.85%
Social topic influence $peyto #4, $pey #2, gas 16.1%, $touto #8, $su #9, $arxto 5.93%, dividend 5.93%, future 4.24%, business 4.24%, $arx 4.24%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @garquake @kramerkarma1 @energyinvest0r @bb19043 @kevinagraham @trendbullish @jleqc @merlice1 @stevewps @peterlukacsr @nuggetcapital @lidsceo @abltrader @assettraveller @westpine613 @mythmakrr @alex70848763197 @koyfincharts @truckdriverpleb @beegjj
Top assets mentioned Suncor Energy, Inc. (SU) Accelerant Holdings (ARX) Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Veren Inc. (VRN) Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B (BRK.B) Copiosa Coin (COP2) PARSIQ (PRQ) Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) Joystream (JOY) Aethir (ATH) Intuit Inc. (INTU) Coca-Cola Co (KO) Oxygen (OXY)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"2024 return = 34.7% [--] Yr = 19.4% [----] was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b $SU & $PEY) all hit it out of the park๐ Here's to more growth learning and seizing opportunities in 2025๐ฅ๐ท #valueinvesting #COM [----] return = 4.4% [--] Yr = 18.5% Accountability & intellectual honesty are key to achieving long term investment success. Don't worry about others. Stick to your knitting. Investing is a marathon not a sprint. Cheers to a healthy & prosperous 2024๐ฅ๐ป #valueinvesting #COM https://t.co/IIjrqrx1ez [----] return = 4.4% [--] Yr = 18.5% Accountability & intellectual honesty are"
X Link 2025-01-01T17:48Z [----] followers, 49.8K engagements
"2025 Return = 26.4% [--] Yr CAGR = 19.8% โ
2025 was volatile & bizarre but results were still excellentโ
The future is bright: Our business is booming๐ just hired our first engineer & an expansion is planned๐ฅ [----] is shaping up to be the best ever๐๐๐ [----] return = 34.7% [--] Yr = 19.4% [----] was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b $SU & $PEY) all hit it out of the park๐ Here's to more growth learning and seizing opportunities in 2025๐ฅ๐ท #valueinvesting #COM https://t.co/M912VHXQNI [----] return = 34.7% [--] Yr = 19.4% [----] was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b $SU"
X Link 2026-01-01T20:17Z [----] followers, 12.4K engagements
"@Peter_Lukacs_R $ARX is a mixed bag Hedged gas is not great. Majority is AECO at the floor of $2.71CAD/GJ and a small amount of HH with a ceiling of $6.16/GJ. Overall they also have 24% WCSB floating and 10% Malin. So they have 46% exposed to the current premium markets. Better for sure"
X Link 2026-01-30T17:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is a good question $ARX.to just reported PDP FD&A costs of $15.77/boe and RBC has them doing $18.37/boe netbacks in [----] a mere 1.2x recycle ratio. $TOU.to based on last years FD&A cost comes in at 1.2x recycle ratio for [----]. $PEY.to based on last year FD&A cost comes in at 3.0x recycle ratio vastly superior profitability. Peyto also has much more forecasted FCF/shr for [----] than ARX (and keep in mind this includes 8% growth capex) If Peyto just did a maint capex budget like ARX they have $2.70/shr in FCF and a 11% FCF yield. Our camp remains bullish. Peyto is still cheap relative to"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BB19043 Looks great if 1) you hedged over a year ago @ $4/mcf 2) you dont have any AECO exposure. ๐ค Who would that be $PEY outperformance in [----] will be bigger than [----] [----] or [----] ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-09-23T13:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"These emails never get old $PEY.to [--] week high ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ Congrats holders ๐ซก #teamJPL"
X Link 2025-11-18T19:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As we get closer to year end its clear once again within energy - Its all about the horses you pick to ride in [----] ๐ซก - Theyve disregarded commodity prices once again. Particularly oil. ๐ฎ Top performers: $JOY $ATH & $BIR Bottom performers: $CNQ $TOU & $ARX As we get closer to year end it has become clear within Canadian Energy this year. It's all about the Horses you picked to Ride for [----]. Regardless of the price of Oil or Natural Gas Leadership and Size matters Names not as much in [----]. A few of the stand outs : https://t.co/gYoe1qUjFp As we get closer to year end it has become clear"
X Link 2025-11-28T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"RBC 2026E estimates & valuations Futures Pricing: WTI = $58.31USD/bbl HH = $4.08USD/mmbtu AECO = $3.23CAD/mcf $CVE & $SU offering relative value in $COP in 1/3"
X Link 2025-11-30T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"YTD returns for select gas E&Ps $PEY.to = 37.3% $TOU.to = -0.7% $ARX.to = 0.0% $PEY.to has gone vertical in Q4 Just got lucky Or is the market forward looking to them smashing Nov prod records later today in the monthly report โ
Perfectly timed to NG going"
X Link 2025-12-03T12:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Remarkable how $PEY.to is creating more undiscounted value (absolute basis) and investors are getting [---] more bang for their buck compared to $TOU.to Even yet the Furus are confounded and Peyto continues to hit new [--] week highs ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-12-06T15:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$TOU.to Deep Basin looking tired. [----] results are underperforming the [--] year average. When will they buy $PEY.to"
X Link 2025-12-28T20:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Oil Majors (dark blue) have seen their multiples rise from 6x to 9x over the past year. This remarkable performance has occurred while oil prices (light blue) have fallen. What does this mean for oil investors from here ๐งต1/x $IMO $SU $CVE $CNQ"
X Link 2026-01-24T15:49Z [----] followers, 16.2K engagements
"First here is the total return performance of the Oil Majors over the past year: $IMO = 41% $SU = 30% $CVE = 26% $CNQ = 16% Not too shabby 2/x"
X Link 2026-01-24T15:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Look at these forecasts from DJ Some E&Ps have huge residual FCF after current capital plans. $PEY.to could double their dividend if the DJ forecast proves accurate ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ [--] https://t.co/UI8Dr7Twkr [--] https://t.co/UI8Dr7Twkr"
X Link 2026-01-27T02:47Z [----] followers, 14.8K engagements
"$PEY.to net debt target in sight ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ #dividendincrease Winter is in full control across the eastern U.S. The Ohio Valley will see temperatures 20+ degrees below normal over the next week and as we move into February this cold pattern looks ready to stick around. https://t.co/2myypFQcD3 Winter is in full control across the eastern U.S. The Ohio Valley will see temperatures 20+ degrees below normal over the next week and as we move into February this cold pattern looks ready to stick around. https://t.co/2myypFQcD3"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can anyone confirm if $TOU.to has approx 60% of their [----] gas floating at AECO/Stn2 and PG&E/Malin If so they should look at this table and quit yapping about $PEY.to ๐ซก 1/x #Natgas spot prices at various locations across the US as of 1/28/26 https://t.co/36x4bYQnQx #Natgas spot prices at various locations across the US as of 1/28/26 https://t.co/36x4bYQnQx"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"For the visually impaired Q1 isnt going to be pretty but they wont tell you that ๐ฌ 2/x"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Imagine doubling down on insults after missing one of the coldest winters in years. I dont get it. Especially when $PEY.to up 63.3% $TOU.to down -0.5% Have a great day"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐จNew [--] Week High๐จ $PEY.to already up 15% YTD๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ
Lowest FD&A Costs in โ
Lowest Cash Costs in โ
Highest Recycle Ratios for NG โ
Highest Margins (even for liquid co's) โ
Disciplined Hedging โ
LT Profitability & Dividends (going up) โ
The "experts" said they suck ๐คฃ"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@garquake @NuggetCapital People loved $GXE at $1 but hate it at $0.52-0.55. Trades at over 100% discount to 1P10/2P20 while $CJ trades at 20% discount. Huge upside. You make money when you buy. Not when you sell"
X Link 2024-11-06T21:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I didnt realize I live rent free ๐คฃ YTD total returns: $PEY.to +38.6% $TOU.to -3.9% (yes negative) $ARX.to -4.4% (yes negative) Yup $PEY.to sure missed out ๐คก Youd think he would have admitted his mistakes but no he keeps peddling nonsense. Thread incoming ๐ซก"
X Link 2025-11-20T21:29Z [----] followers, 14.8K engagements
"Mike Rose from In the Money Podcast on the Montney: you have to replace a third (33%) or your production every year And .the gas business with resource plays its a treadmill and its a REALLY BIG TREADMILL and it GOES REALLY FAST. (Added emphasis) 7/x"
X Link 2025-12-07T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"John Dielwart - Arc Resources on the Montney: resource plays are great but the average decline rate is HIGH You could go and drill a bunch of Montney wells that decline 50-60% in the first year but THE TREADMILL THAT YOUR ON spending capital to SUSTAIN the business" 8/x"
X Link 2025-12-07T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"๐จ$PEY.to Monthly Report ๐จ โ
NEW RECORD - January Production [------] boed โ
Prod up 5% over Q4 & 10% over [----] ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ
2025 Capex came in at $475m inline ($10m ARO) โ
Report highlights how debt amplifies returns & leverage is back to pre-Repsol levels [----] is looking ๐"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Lids_CEO Gotta feel bad for the guy. Negative total returns since summer [----]. Its [----] and he quadrupling down ๐คฆ Were a month into [----] and the delta is already 11%"
X Link 2026-02-04T13:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@abl_trader @garquake Yeah. $PRQ is held in some accounts. On its face the deal appears cheap. But the other side is selling for a reason. Regardless this deal pays back in two to three years at netbacks of $15-23/bbl. Dirt cheap for oil assets. @Kevin_AGraham @garquake ๐ https://t.co/1vZ6II5Q1i @Kevin_AGraham @garquake ๐ https://t.co/1vZ6II5Q1i"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Feel bad for the $ARX.to fan boys Rough day. Did anyone sound the alarm Were there any signs ๐ซก $ARX.TO permanent impairment of the equity cash flows will be forever be lower. So you can predict the future Kevin come on ๐ Lets talk about this in just [--] months. #oott #eft #com $ARX.TO permanent impairment of the equity cash flows will be forever be lower. So you can predict the future Kevin come on ๐ Lets talk about this in just [--] months. #oott #eft #com"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@KramerKarma1 @trend_bullish I dont own silver. Ive advised family member who bought at $25 to sell when it went vertical. Historically when silver got this out of whack to gold (or oil) it was down 100% over the next [--] months. Most dangerous words in investing are: this time is different๐ป"
X Link 2026-02-08T02:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Its the one day a year my wife lets me wear a jersey ๐ ๐ฅ #Seahawks"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@trend_bullish"
X Link 2026-02-08T23:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@AssetTraveller @Westpine613 @jleqc @garquake @mythmakrr What Nobody is looking in the rear view mirror here. The question was And so where's the puck going We see where it currently is. So this is looking forward at [----]. Numbers are right from RBC/company reports. The above analysis is precisely why ARX puked last week ๐"
X Link 2026-02-10T03:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Alex70848763197 @KoyfinCharts Agreed but few realize how sticky the Intuit business are. Seems similar to the mid 2000s when everyone said Apple was going to destroy Microsofts enterprise biz"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Oh man $PEY.to pumped out a pathetic 147k boe/d in Januarylike they cant even grow And this worthless $2 trinket Already fetching [---] bucks on the black market. What a world ๐คฃ ๐จNew [--] Week High๐จ $PEY.to already up 15% YTD๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ
Lowest FD&A Costs in โ
Lowest Cash Costs in โ
Highest Recycle Ratios for NG โ
Highest Margins (even for liquid co's) โ
Disciplined Hedging โ
LT Profitability & Dividends (going up) โ
The "experts" said they suck ๐คฃ https://t.co/86jqloilPd ๐จNew [--] Week High๐จ $PEY.to already up 15% YTD๐ฅ๐๐ฅ โ
Lowest FD&A Costs in โ
Lowest Cash Costs in โ
Highest Recycle Ratios for NG"
X Link 2026-02-12T12:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I dont always make good decisions. The first time she asked I said no but Im thankful she was persistent. ๐ Celebrating [--] years๐ฅ"
X Link 2024-02-18T22:06Z [----] followers, 16.7K engagements
"$Pey.to [----] reserves ๐งต Peyto always answers these [--] key questions every year. Lets dive in 1/x"
X Link 2024-02-19T20:28Z [----] followers, 24.3K engagements
"๐จ Buffett going long oil indefinitely through ownership of $OXY - just like his Coke & AMEX investments. ๐จ $BRK owns 27.8% of the $OXY common + warrants. ๐ฏ https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf"
X Link 2024-02-24T19:52Z [----] followers, 17.2K engagements
"I guess the reserve report was good ๐"
X Link 2024-02-26T16:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐ Victoria Secret down over 25% after hours. Go woke go broke. ๐"
X Link 2024-03-07T00:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Isnt socialism amazing Canadian living standards are falling behind. https://t.co/QEKaav32jU Canadian living standards are falling behind. https://t.co/QEKaav32jU"
X Link 2024-03-13T03:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We all know who peys the bills"
X Link 2024-03-27T01:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Who is most indebted This is debt divided by each companies CF's in a blowdown scenario (stop drilling) with future cash flows discounted at 10%"
X Link 2024-04-01T17:48Z [----] followers, 10.7K engagements
"I'm forced to report my monthly sales to the government. They always as me this question.๐"
X Link 2024-04-05T17:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Is energy overvalued Despite terrible gas prices Peyto is up 28.6% YTD & STILL has an 8.5% dividend yield. 8.5% is a solid return in most years. Were still in the second inning. #com #spoiled #52weekhigh"
X Link 2024-04-08T16:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"2023 Gas Comps First Revenue. Yes higher liquids have higher revenue. [----] is a great year for compare companies as WTI avg was $77.64 & AECO avg was $2.78. Note: This data is normalized to provide apples to apples unhedged comps all non reoccurring costs excluded. 1/x"
X Link 2024-04-08T21:07Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements
"๐ CAD falling off a cliff What does the BOC do ๐ฌ"
X Link 2024-04-10T16:06Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements
"2023 Oil Comps Revenue. This is total revenue divided by annual production. As before WTI averaged $77.64 & AECO averaged $2.78 last year. These are "realistic" prices that investors should likely plan on for the long run IMO. Note: These numbers are unhedged 1/x"
X Link 2024-04-13T23:16Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements
"๐จ BREAKING: The entire revenue from the GST now just covers the interest on the debt ๐จ"
X Link 2024-04-17T13:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"New [--] week high. Next stop $23"
X Link 2024-04-29T16:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Loblaws boycott explained @truckdriverpleb https://t.co/iGYRS6d1JL @truckdriverpleb https://t.co/iGYRS6d1JL"
X Link 2024-05-02T01:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Natty demand up by [---] mcf/d starting tonight ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ"
X Link 2024-05-10T03:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Goldman Sachs predicts an additional [---] bcf/d of NG is required to fuel new AI power consumption demand by [----]. Thats like adding another LNG facility every two years ๐ ๐ฅ ๐"
X Link 2024-05-26T13:07Z [----] followers, 27.2K engagements
"Updated P/NAVs (Note: Nuances exist. For example - $BIR cannot fund it's future development capex from CFs)"
X Link 2024-06-04T21:57Z [----] followers, 26.2K engagements
"Its time for a Guinness"
X Link 2024-07-26T15:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BeegJj @Merlice1 @jim_duffus I dont have any suggestions. For full disclosure I only own $PEY & $SU in size. I own small amounts of few small caps that arent worth mentioning. Ive been diversifying elsewhere & building cash. Not a good time to be offensive IMO"
X Link 2024-08-15T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"๐จNew RBC Comp Data๐จ Keep an eye on the "CAPEX as % of Cash Flow". Ensure that CF is truly free. At strip $PEY will generate $836m in FCF pay $515m in dividends & pay down $321m in debt in 2024/25. A shareholder will almost get 1/3rd of the share price back in two yearsโ
"
X Link 2024-08-19T15:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐จLNG Canada Update๐จ Gaschem Atlantic has arrived with refrigerants at Kitimat. With refrigerants "the process for flaring and startup procedures can proceed. With over [--] per cent of Phase [--] complete the project is on track to begin this month." https://www.terracestandard.com/local-news/lng-canada-awaits-refrigerant-shipment-ahead-of-startup-procedures-7485768 https://www.terracestandard.com/local-news/lng-canada-awaits-refrigerant-shipment-ahead-of-startup-procedures-7485768"
X Link 2024-08-21T21:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐ AECO $0.34/GJ Hedged producers should just shut in and buy their gas for (almost) free to fulfil contracts. Double their revenue per molecule ๐"
X Link 2024-08-22T13:23Z [----] followers, 10.1K engagements
"How much is $PEY making on Cascade gas tonight at $964/MWh At $150/MWH they said they would have realized more than $10/GJ. So $65/GJ tonight ๐ฅ Maybe a cool $1m in NG sales just to Cascade today Thats a #gamechanger ๐ ๐ ๐ At this moment 89% of Alberta's electricity is being produced by fossil fuels. Wind is at 6.9% of capacity and producing 3.7% of total generation while solar is at 0.0% of capacity and producing 0.00% of total generation. At the same time we are importing [---] MW or 6% https://t.co/p6SkZXVeaJ At this moment 89% of Alberta's electricity is being produced by fossil fuels."
X Link 2024-09-02T04:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One year ago: - $PEY bought Repsol - $ARX started drilling at Attachie - $TOU (in Nov) bought Bonavista & recently $CR Relative performance since๐ 1/x ๐งต"
X Link 2024-09-07T15:25Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements
"What #COM investors say versus what they do. When oil is going up - I would love to buy more of what I own at a lower price." When oil goes lower - "No I'm good. Let's wait and see how this plays out.""
X Link 2024-09-09T04:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to hits a new [--] week high ๐ฅ Congrats all ๐ Next stop $23 ๐"
X Link 2024-10-03T14:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Congrats Another [--] week $PEY high Last month has been ๐ ๐ ๐ up 16%"
X Link 2024-10-07T14:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Or you could have purchased [-----] shares of $PEY.to for $150000 in [----]. Today that would be worth $1200000 & pay out $100000 of passive income per year. $8333/month. ๐ ๐ ๐ โ
Thats the goal A dividend portfolio worth $2000000 at a 5% yield will pay out roughly $100000 of passive income a year. $8333 a month. Thats the goal. A dividend portfolio worth $2000000 at a 5% yield will pay out roughly $100000 of passive income a year. $8333 a month. Thats the goal"
X Link 2024-10-10T14:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Worried about the $4 gas price forecast from Scotia For some its already in the bank โ
If you love natural gas then you're really going to love these eye popping price targets from Scotia. They expect AECO to average $4.00/mmbtu over 2025/2026. Just my view but these gas names don't look very cheap if the big jump in demand (weather LNG) doesn't materialize. ๐คทโ https://t.co/zV3qK8dwLz If you love natural gas then you're really going to love these eye popping price targets from Scotia. They expect AECO to average $4.00/mmbtu over 2025/2026. Just my view but these gas names don't look very"
X Link 2024-10-17T01:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to used to sell for $30-35/shr. Why was it worth double its current share price & what it would take to get back there ๐ค Great question Mike let's dig in. ๐งต1/x @Kevin_AGraham Hey Kevin ๐ big fan of Pey and your love for the company. Just wondering if you could explain why [--] years ago it was double its current share price and if you believe it could get back up to $30-40/share and what it would take to get it there @Kevin_AGraham Hey Kevin ๐ big fan of Pey and your love for the company. Just wondering if you could explain why [--] years ago it was double its current share price and if"
X Link 2024-10-20T22:47Z [----] followers, 31.4K engagements
"๐ $VRN down 13% already Another top pick of WTIbull in the ๐ฝ Like Cramer he never missed"
X Link 2024-10-31T13:47Z [----] followers, 21.8K engagements
"$PEY monthly report is out ๐ฎ [----] drilling program is shaping up to be one of the most prolific in recent years average production from wells brought on stream to date in [----] which are outperforming some of our previous (& best) programs by more than 25% ๐๐ 1/x"
X Link 2024-11-05T04:04Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"Here are the RBC analyst predictions for this year (Feb [--] [----] earliest I could find) Highest implied return was $BTE at 98% Implied $VRN ($CPG) return was 59% Implied $BIR return was 45% 2nd Lowest implied return was $PEY at 20% How accurate were these boot lickers ๐งต1/2"
X Link 2024-11-21T03:13Z [----] followers, 21.6K engagements
"๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ $PEY.to makes a new [--] week high ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ Congrats to fellow shareholders ๐ป"
X Link 2024-11-21T14:53Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"Time to celebrate PEY day๐ฅ ๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ $PEY.to makes a new [--] week high ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ Congrats to fellow shareholders ๐ป https://t.co/CMi2Rz35X0 ๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ $PEY.to makes a new [--] week high ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ Congrats to fellow shareholders ๐ป https://t.co/CMi2Rz35X0"
X Link 2024-11-21T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can't Stop Won't Stop ๐๐ฅ๐"
X Link 2025-01-03T15:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY New Deck Jan 3rd -Prod now 135k boe/d [---] yr PDP RLI & [--] yr 2P RLI (higher than peers) -Gas production of [---] mmcf/d -Infra of [---] bcf/d LOTS of capacity 1/x"
X Link 2025-01-07T21:21Z [----] followers, 12K engagements
"๐คฉ Wells Fargo on Natty ๐คฉ we arent kidding ourselves that [----] is going to be the best year for natural gas producers and investors ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ Exactly why I just bought more $PEY.to ๐ ๐ ๐ $oih $pten $nbr $lbrt [---] #natgas rigs "too few" per Wells Fargo commentary - need higher rig count to meet LNG export/data center power demand https://t.co/gDg2RElbKv $oih $pten $nbr $lbrt [---] #natgas rigs "too few" per Wells Fargo commentary - need higher rig count to meet LNG export/data center power demand https://t.co/gDg2RElbKv"
X Link 2025-01-10T00:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"RBC on NG storage draw "Next week's report should show a drop in natural gas inventories to below average (5 year) for the first time in [---] days" "12-month natural gas futures are $3.99/mcf up $0.41/mcf from last week (higher than RBC's $3.50/mcf forecast)"๐๐ฅ๐"
X Link 2025-01-17T01:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Three insider buys this week at $PEY for $150k. CEO CFO & VP Production. Bullish ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-01-24T15:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to monthly report is ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ Here are three highlights you dont want to miss: 1) For [----] Peyto has secured approximately $800 million in revenues from our hedges (both gas and NGLs) which management believes are insulated from the effect of potential US import tariffs. โ
Ive been having private discussions with a few fellow investors about this interesting fact. JP explains๐ 2) In most cases our basis or synthetic transport deals only require delivery to the local NGTL system and receive the downstream price less a fee/cost/basis. The markets where we physically deliver gas remain"
X Link 2025-02-04T05:12Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements
"Yes I am. Happy 23rd ๐ I dont always make good decisions. The first time she asked I said no but Im thankful she was persistent. ๐ Celebrating [--] years๐ฅ https://t.co/FVOXpHco2b I dont always make good decisions. The first time she asked I said no but Im thankful she was persistent. ๐ Celebrating [--] years๐ฅ https://t.co/FVOXpHco2b"
X Link 2025-02-18T19:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Like a kid before Christmas I can hardly wait for tomorrow. Given YTD insider buying from CEO CFO VP drilling & VP production its going be ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-02-19T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to monthly report out ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ JP highlights the 3.3x PDP recycle ratio -This mean for every BOE of production $PEY is able to find [---] more BOEs - Likely the highest in for [----] -Company best since [----] They also have the longest PDP reserve life index in"
X Link 2025-03-05T01:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Craig Bryska CEO of $VRN on their Q4 conf call. The $WCP merger was announced [--] business days later. ๐ค Quick deal"
X Link 2025-03-10T13:10Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements
"๐จ $PEY.to generating massive FCF in 2025/26 ๐จ [----] FCF = $653 million ($3.30sh) [----] FCF = $869 million ($4.39/sh) Total FCF = $1522 million ($7.69/sh - RBC current strip) Let's stop here for a second. $7.69/sh in FCF is over 50% of the current share price. AND this includes growth capex of approx. 10% in [----] & [----]. Let's continue: [----] Dividends = $261 million ($1.32/shr) [----] Dividends = $261 million ($1.32/shr) Total Base Dividends = $522 million ($2.64/shr) That leaves $1 billion dollars ($5.05/shr) leftover AFTER paying current base dividend in [----] & [----]. Probably $300m to debt"
X Link 2025-03-11T03:46Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements
"TD notes $PEY.to has $500m in under-utilized infrastructure to expand production. They stole Repsol for only $636m ๐คฃ Half cycle economics for years while LNG boom is on ๐ ๐ ๐ Enjoy your dividends ๐ป This is why $pey $pey.to is a core holding for me ๐ - PT C$20 - Buy - exciting infrastructure + low cash costs = High Margins - significant future drilling infrastructure - field performance improving - well hedged - paid to wait - large infrastructure expenditures unnecessary https://t.co/ynw7FKgw3w This is why $pey $pey.to is a core holding for me ๐ - PT C$20 - Buy - exciting"
X Link 2025-03-12T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to Q4 [----] Conf Call Highlights - JP opening comment "The MOST IMPORTANT takeaway is that we delivered on what we said we were going to do with the Repsol assets in late 2023."๐ฏ - Repsol Drilling Hedging & Production all covered below ๐งต1/x"
X Link 2025-03-14T02:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Below is a comparison of what companies predicted they could find reserves for to what they actually found (or acquired) it for. Notes: - $PEY with massive outperformance. 2nd year in a row they have out performed predicted F&D cost. - Looks like costs/recoveries in the Montney aren't what they predicted - Many negative tech revisions in [----] - Only $PEY & $ARX came close to delivering what they said they would - $ARX did benefit from upward tech adjustments (better performance). Shareholders should be aware of this - [----] Predicted F&D costs are listed (far right). Who do you think will"
X Link 2025-03-23T16:26Z [----] followers, 18.4K engagements
"Some people understand what the table below means for $PEY.to Others are finding out today ๐ป Below is a comparison of what companies predicted they could find reserves for to what they actually found (or acquired) it for. Notes: - $PEY with massive outperformance. 2nd year in a row they have out performed predicted F&D cost. - Looks like costs/recoveries in the https://t.co/WAOhg21I86 Below is a comparison of what companies predicted they could find reserves for to what they actually found (or acquired) it for. Notes: - $PEY with massive outperformance. 2nd year in a row they have out"
X Link 2025-03-24T13:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW [--] week high"
X Link 2025-03-25T15:57Z [----] followers, 11.9K engagements
"Don Gray is not messing around. Thats $3.6 million bought in the last month. ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1260000 https://t.co/RW1IZmDrEe $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1260000 https://t.co/RW1IZmDrEe"
X Link 2025-04-03T20:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Don Gray is soaking up the cheap shares from the nervous nellies. Now $6.3 million bought over the past month. $PEY.to ๐ซก $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1453500 https://t.co/xCyI7qWhe6 $PEY Peyto Exploration - Buy of [-----] shares for approx. $1453500 https://t.co/xCyI7qWhe6"
X Link 2025-04-10T00:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to is now the only E&P green on the year ๐ฌ (11% with dividends included) How many analysts had Peyto as their top pick a year ago"
X Link 2025-04-10T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This week the $VRN.to (formerly $CPG.to) saga officially comes to an end when they merge with $WCP.to Let's take a look back at their financial performance for the past [--] years and see what we can learn. 1/x"
X Link 2025-05-10T16:26Z [----] followers, 37.1K engagements
"$PEY.to been a rocket lately Will we break $20 today Earnings after close today ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-05-13T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$MEG is worth what the market will pay. And if you werent buying it last week before the $SCR offer you didnt think it was worth the current price either. Now according to the self proclaimed experts its worth much more"
X Link 2025-05-18T22:19Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements
"$PEY.to about to smash $20 Graham Capital is raising its PT to $25 โ
Lowest F&D cost in โ
Highest recycle ratios in โ
Falling Opex โ
Lowest Cash Costs in โ
Strong hedge book โ
Heavy insider buying โ
Still unloved by analysts ๐คฃ ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ฅ $PEY.TO ๐๐บ๐ TP 23$ https://t.co/McNmb2nR9C $PEY.TO ๐๐บ๐ TP 23$ https://t.co/McNmb2nR9C"
X Link 2025-06-03T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Profitability is the most important measure as an investor. Compounding (your) capital is the goal. Naturally this is my favorite slide in the $PEY.to deck Let's see how the E&Ps compared in [----] a year with record low gas prices. 1/x ๐งต"
X Link 2025-06-06T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Natty names at or about to break [--] week highs again๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-06-09T18:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Knock knock whos there $20 Congrats to all shareholders ๐ป"
X Link 2025-06-12T15:04Z [----] followers, 19.5K engagements
"Cash delivered every month ๐ ๐ ๐ Happy Dividend Day"
X Link 2025-07-16T01:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"No need to worry about continued low AECO pricing $PEY.to is significantly increasing its diversification to US hubs next year. (And has hedged 409mmcfd at $4) ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ Hedging & diversification for๐ฅ ๐"
X Link 2025-07-21T18:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Grahams are off to Paris today so were doing our part ๐ซก Looking forward to catching up with friends & touring some breathtaking countryside. Mangez bien riez souvent aimez beaucoup Global airline seat capacity now at its high point of the year fueling record jet fuel consumption and travel numbers America China India Japan and most of Europe are all showing major growth YoY with smaller markets also adding capacity consistently year after year. ๐ข๐ฐ https://t.co/UC1AqnH6LG Global airline seat capacity now at its high point of the year fueling record jet fuel consumption and travel"
X Link 2025-07-27T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PEY.to Q2 Conf Call Highlights TLDR: We continue to cut costs increase margins drill very profitable wells and we're optimizing Sundance to further drive profitability Let's dive in 1/x๐งต"
X Link 2025-08-14T16:04Z [----] followers, 11.7K engagements
"Why are we still bullish on $PEY.to A ๐งต Let's let the numbers do the talking: 1) PEY has the highest dividend yield amongst all of the Intermediate/Senior NG producers in North America. 2) PEY is selling for a 15% FCF yield above the 10% average. (This means the share price would have to rise in order for the FCF to match the market avg) 3) P/CF and EV/DACF multiples are still below the Canadian averages. (Again this means the SP would have to rise just to meet the average multiple) 1/x"
X Link 2025-09-12T17:19Z [----] followers, 10.1K engagements
"Still trying to understand what happened with $TOU.to Their recent update showed a substantial increase in capex coupled with lower forecasted production for 2026-2028 (see below). This is a marked reduction in efficiency & nobody on X seems to be talking about it. 1/x ๐งต"
X Link 2025-09-18T22:02Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements
"@globalnews Nobody voted for this & no debate in the House of Commons. Carney doesnt speak for Canadians"
X Link 2025-09-21T18:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NG Total Return YTD When you include dividends $PRQ is the clear winner $AAV $PEY and $NVA are closely tied for second place. Who will take home the 2025๐ Canadian Natural Gas - Year to Date $TOU Tourmaline $ARX ARC Resources $BIR Birchcliff $PEY Peyto $AAV Advantage All have a little bit of catching up to do to get an Advantage. https://t.co/qpMlxBR9bc Canadian Natural Gas - Year to Date $TOU Tourmaline $ARX ARC Resources $BIR Birchcliff $PEY Peyto $AAV Advantage All have a little bit of catching up to do to get an Advantage. https://t.co/qpMlxBR9bc"
X Link 2025-10-05T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Setup for Nat Gas is ๐ฅ ๐ฅ ๐ฅ โ
Low oil prices โ
LNG ramping โ
Winter is coming โ
Pipeline Maintenance almost over โ
Interest rates โ
Global demand โ
Montney producers reporting declining cap efficiency & higher marginal costs Bill Peyto remains bullish ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ"
X Link 2025-10-17T12:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐จ Winter is coming ๐จ If these CF numbers hold $PEY.to is likely to raise their dividend 50% to $2/share in early [----]. If the dividend yield stays at 7% the stock will run to $29/share. ๐ ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ RBC price deck this weekend has some revealing comparative forward #s on key Nat gas names when looking at [----] IMO . $pey.to $arc.to $tou.to need to review after final budgets come out in Nov. https://t.co/lYYNJqVVDO RBC price deck this weekend has some revealing comparative forward #s on key Nat gas names when looking at [----] IMO . $pey.to $arc.to $tou.to need to review after final budgets come"
X Link 2025-10-20T17:03Z [----] followers, 21.2K engagements
"๐ Lots of names will struggle to cover dividend at current WTI prices ๐ Who will be the first to cut Great Chart here from RBCCM Breakevens across coverage universe of Oil and gas Names Total Capital / Capital + dividends and Sustaining Capital $imo $xom $cnq $ath.to $tou $meg.to $su $cve $tve.to $bte $pey.to #com #oott $arx.to $fang $cop https://t.co/AA51rvZwLT Great Chart here from RBCCM Breakevens across coverage universe of Oil and gas Names Total Capital / Capital + dividends and Sustaining Capital $imo $xom $cnq $ath.to $tou $meg.to $su $cve $tve.to $bte $pey.to #com #oott $arx.to"
X Link 2025-10-21T18:32Z [----] followers, 20.2K engagements
"๐จ New [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to shareholders ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ Lets Go [--] cents away๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/EBNO2TNEX3 Lets Go [--] cents away๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/EBNO2TNEX3"
X Link 2025-11-07T18:58Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements
"๐จAnother [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to Shareholders๐ฅ๐๐ฅ ๐จ New [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to shareholders ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/jE5UCKwNFr ๐จ New [--] Week High ๐จ Congrats $PEY.to shareholders ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฅ https://t.co/jE5UCKwNFr"
X Link 2025-11-10T22:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ATH.to & $PEY.to are battling it out for new [--] week highs today Lets go @RazorOil"
X Link 2025-11-14T16:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐จ Peyto Exploration - [--] bagger ๐จ $PEY.to the exclusive #NatGas name that prints dividends ๐ต is now a [--] bagger over the past [--] years. ๐ Theyve Massively outperformed their capital intensive montney/deep basin peers $TOU.to & $ARX.to #valuationsmatter #valueinvesting"
X Link 2025-11-17T00:09Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"Let's take a look at $PEY.to Yup they have over [----] BOOKED locations as per independent reserve evaluator GLJ. There are no fictious locations in the Peyto deck. So instead of posting an apples to apples comparison he posts an apples to oranges comparison. 3/x"
X Link 2025-11-23T20:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Reality of the situation is this: $TOU.to Booked Locations = [----] $PEY.to Booked Locations = [----] Given $TOU.to has [---] times more production $PEY.to actually has more BOOKED locations per boe of production. 4/x"
X Link 2025-11-23T20:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It doesnt bother me at all. They are different companies with some geographic overlap. What bothers me is nonsense posts. Ive always said $TOU.to does a lot of things right. All Ive done is point out the valuation and value creation gap. That said I could probably more accurately spell out what they do right than the so called experts but anyway https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1992751985762967932 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1992751985762967932"
X Link 2025-11-24T00:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Back in Aug [----] value was in plain sight. Yet so many missed the boat. Since then $PEY.to has moved from $14.86 to $22.26/sh. It now trades at a 23% FCF yield. $TOU.to & $ARX.to have hardly moved. If $PEY had a 15% FCF yield the stock would be $34/sh ๐ซก So coming back to the NG space I want a strong mgmt team I can trust. All three are very capable in that regard. So what does it cost you as an investor That is the share price. IMO you get 2x the value with $Pey.to "Price is what you pay value is what you get" 5/x https://t.co/p39rRW9gV3 So coming back to the NG space I want a strong mgmt"
X Link 2025-11-25T13:35Z [----] followers, 13.2K engagements
"Seniors E&P's Those are some very skinny FCF yields for $TOU.to $ARX.to's EV/DACF is 38% lower than TOU. $WCP in the middle 2/3"
X Link 2025-11-30T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@SteveWps Dollar cost averaging ๐คฃ"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@EnergyInvest0r @notjaso79646447 @ShaleTier7 Just dropping this off. Michael is likely talking about $BIR @Oliver_Trpcic Synthetic as in a year + netback deal. Swing swap from a financial monthly to a cash daily would definitely require forethought a risk budget and a pro at the switch - not all available at the average producer. AECO did some $3s this week. Trend is higher. https://t.co/eVIEc7M4JW @Oliver_Trpcic Synthetic as in a year + netback deal. Swing swap from a financial monthly to a cash daily would definitely require forethought a risk budget and a pro at the switch - not all"
X Link 2026-01-28T13:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
/creator/twitter::Kevin_AGraham