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# ![@JustinWolfers Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::327577091.png) @JustinWolfers Justin Wolfers

Justin Wolfers, an economist, has been commenting on current events, particularly focusing on the actions of the US President and their impact on the economy. The most important thing happening lately is the concern over the President's undermining of institutions, such as the Federal Reserve and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which could lead to a loss of credibility and potentially harm the economy. Wolfers has also been highlighting the negative consequences of populist policies and the politicization of economic statistics.

### Engagements: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::327577091/interactions)
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- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +41%
- X Months XXXXXXXXXX +12%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXXX +86%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::327577091/posts_active)
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- X Month XXX +8.30%
- X Months XXX +48%
- X Year XXXXX +129%

### Followers: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::327577091/followers)
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- X Month XXXXXXX +0.84%
- X Months XXXXXXX +8%
- X Year XXXXXXX +23%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::327577091/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::327577091/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #4689 [countries](/list/countries)  [ncaa football](/list/ncaa-football)  [ncaa basketball](/list/ncaa-basketball) 

**Social topic influence**
[tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #147, [inflation](/topic/inflation) #221, [white house](/topic/white-house) #515, [health](/topic/health) #741, [trade war](/topic/trade-war) #10, [the white](/topic/the-white) #417, [the presidents](/topic/the-presidents) #22, [canada](/topic/canada), [china](/topic/china) #1308, [the official](/topic/the-official) #2593
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"One of my students asked me for book recommendations. They're looking for popular econ books -- the kind that are both fun to read and which give you some new insight into the world. So I'm compiling a list of recommended popular econ books. Lemme ask: What books would YOU suggest I include"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1863718117244895708)  2024-12-02T22:53Z 280.7K followers, 329.4K engagements


"When the strongest argument for your policy is a list of lies (I count 7) and exaggerations (another 5) you reveal more than a wonky list of truths ever would"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1994036757415772421)  2025-11-27T13:33Z 280.7K followers, 163.4K engagements


"When a politician says: well deregulate health insurance and send you a freedom account check ask: freedom to buy what If insurers dont offer real policies or can cherry-pick only healthy people that money is a coupon for a store thats not open"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1994388870348111948)  2025-11-28T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 220.3K engagements


"I was born in Papua New Guinea and hope to be judged for who I am rather than who signed my birth certificate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1994512756691931477)  2025-11-28T21:04Z 280.7K followers, 273.1K engagements


"When PM Carney sets specific goals for Canada to "diversify away" from the USmaking headlines in Canada but barely mentioned elsewherehear that for what it is: Close partners looking elsewhere for better friends. This is the silent way the U.S. loses its pointless trade war"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1995113612759765317)  2025-11-30T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 189.1K engagements


"When Canada deepens ties with China it's not romance it's risk management. If the U.S. keeps slapping tariffs and rewriting rules partners diversify. Reliability is an economic asset; squander it and trade flows and influence quietly move elsewhere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1995187623946543120)  2025-11-30T17:46Z 280.7K followers, 101.9K engagements


""American stocks are up. But guess what They're up more everywhere else.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1995265619579511177)  2025-11-30T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 38.7K engagements


"By the numbers: Three weeks of talking about affordability Thousands of prices rising Hundreds of tariffs raised Zero substantive policies announced Dozens of lies that prices are coming down One billionaire calling your concern about affordability a con job"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1996043563495309511)  2025-12-03T02:27Z 280.7K followers, 34.6K engagements


"The entire U.S. population is in the low hundreds of millions (340m) meaning that according to NoemMath nearly all of us were on track for a cocaine-related death. We are all so grateful to have been saved"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1996419862332399887)  2025-12-04T03:22Z 280.7K followers, 140.3K engagements


"Hard disagree. The official BLS jobs numbers are still the most reliable data we have and it's not close. And there's no way the Administration has (yet) fiddled with its data. I promise to let you know at the first whiff of interference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1996215003288908061)  2025-12-03T13:48Z 280.7K followers, 51.7K engagements


"Conspiracy theory: Theyre hiding the inflation data Boring reality: We sent the data nerds home for six weeks and they couldnt collect it. As usual never attribute to malice what can be explained by budget dysfunction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1996352776536727621)  2025-12-03T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 80.3K engagements


"Stephen Moore to be announced as the inaugural winner of the FIFA economics prize"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997042341618635074)  2025-12-05T20:36Z 280.7K followers, 34.4K engagements


"The President promised prices would go back down. In a healthy economy they almost never do. The normal pattern is: prices jump then over time your paycheck catches up. The pain comes when wages don't followthen it's not inflation so much as an affordability crisis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997675596420124674)  2025-12-07T14:32Z 280.7K followers, 77.3K engagements


"Affordability concerns are real because: - Tariffs raise import costs - Deportations make it harder to harvest crops - Attacking Obamacare hikes premiums - Budget deficits raise mortgage payments - Undermining the Fed risks inflation. It's not a hoax; it's a policy choice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997724334622712256)  2025-12-07T17:46Z 280.7K followers, 50.7K engagements


"Trump says Lisa Cook is unfit to be a Fed governor because she claimed two different properties as her primary residence on her mortgage applications. (Cook denies this.) Trump also listed two separate properties as his primary residence on mortgage applications submitted a mere X weeks apart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998031790422802466)  2025-12-08T14:07Z 280.7K followers, 51.1K engagements


"A measure of the market's confidence in Trump's decisions: - XX% of market economists expect Trump to tap Kevin Hassett to lead the Fed. - Only XX% think that's a good idea (and that's only relative to Trump's existing shortlist)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998772956818702555)  2025-12-10T15:13Z 280.7K followers, 9631 engagements


"Fun thing about the December FOMC meeting is that forecasts for 2025 effectively reveal where each participant wants the fund rate to be. This says X wanted a bigger cut XX wanted a quarter point cut and X wanted no change. For the Fed that's what passes as a starkly divided board"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998832729069093262)  2025-12-10T19:10Z 280.7K followers, 4795 engagements


"Powell's post Fed-meeting presser is live here: The official statement was quite uninformative. If last month is anything to go by this might be where the real news is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998838131626332673)  2025-12-10T19:32Z 280.7K followers, 10.4K engagements


""And so what we heard Powell say today was actually two sources of worry. He looks deeply worried. Either something's going wrong with the economy or something's going wrong with his Botox." Let's dig into what today's Fed decision really means:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998879831111430249)  2025-12-10T22:17Z 280.7K followers, 16K engagements


"That Fed study shows that tariffs represent an adverse demand shock that overwhelms the adverse supply shock. One raises inflation; the other lowers inflation. BOTH SHOCKS RAISE UNEMPLOYMENT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1989838750545739895)  2025-11-15T23:31Z 280.7K followers, 44.2K engagements


"The logic is that tariffs create uncertainty which undermines spending slowing the economy. This recessionary force offsets tariff-driven cost-push inflation. Tariffs flatten the economy enough to flatten the inflation they cause is not the win the White House thinks it is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1989841578538799294)  2025-11-15T23:42Z 280.7K followers, 13.8K engagements


""And so next year's economy is going to see two big things happening. It's going to see the tariffs hit and it's going to see an enormous slowdown in immigration and in population growth. and that will determine whether that turns out to be a recessionary year or not.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1992004137811120517)  2025-11-21T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 34.9K engagements


"Word of the Day: Stagflation. So "stag-" is stagnation. That's when the economy slows sometimes when it goes backward. there's roughly a X in X chance of a recession over the next year. "-flation" is inflation. and inflation currently has remained stubbornly high""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1993349333173899516)  2025-11-25T16:01Z 280.7K followers, 25.8K engagements


""No one's going to build a factory based on a tariff that's on on Monday off on. Tuesday the president's changed his mind by Wednesday he gets hormonal by Thursday and someone says something nasty in the middle school cafeteria on Friday and they're back on again.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1994751257588769093)  2025-11-29T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 267.8K engagements


"Demolishing the East Wing of the White House before finalizing plans for what will be built above its ruins is a near-perfect metaphor for Trump's approach to economic policy. The only difference is the wrecking crew doesnt claim the rubble is evidence of unprecedented growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1994795151533703468)  2025-11-29T15:46Z 280.7K followers, 192.3K engagements


"We're #20 (Of 23.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1995475980345901282)  2025-12-01T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 161.4K engagements


""Does this feel like or look like a well-run competent administration It took them XX months to discover that the United States doesn't grow bananas and that therefore if we tariff bananas that that's not going to bring banana factories on shore.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1996563191690568097)  2025-12-04T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 185.1K engagements


"Just finished teaching Econ XXX and I'm feeling big feelings. It was an extraordinary group who engaged tenaciously. There really is nothing like an intro class in terms of how far we travelled together. Love these guysall XXX of them. The future is bright #GoBlue #Teachecon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1996762522741850467)  2025-12-05T02:04Z 280.7K followers, 32.1K engagements


"I've been doing a lot of TV lately but easily my favorite thing is "The Professor Is In" a segment in which we step back from the news cycle and teach economics. That's my true love. With news that Trump might be about to appoint a new Fed chair we explain: What does the Fed Chair do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997302795163107397)  2025-12-06T13:51Z 280.7K followers, 37.1K engagements


"Honestly the President has a point. It's a game where big boofy blokes sometimes play catch and other times cuddle the ball and run at each other. Who thought: Let's name this after an extremity that's barely involved"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997318048152183149)  2025-12-06T14:51Z 280.7K followers, 29.9K engagements


"The President has said that he has already picked his new Fed Chair. In this segment of #TheProfessorIsIn we answer the question: What are the stakes How will this decision affect YOUR life"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997361949336555846)  2025-12-06T17:46Z 280.7K followers, 14.4K engagements


"As the President turns to picking a new Fed Chair I look to the economics literature to ask: What should he be looking for My answers: Good judgment. Independence. Communication skills. Intellectual leadership. And courage. I hope that he's keeping these criteria in mind. #TheProfessorIsIn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997439948463480842)  2025-12-06T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 30.8K engagements


"A Republican president once picked Ben Bernankea future Nobel laureatebecause expertise mattered more than spin. That norm picking Fed chairs for brains not loyalty does more to protect your paycheck than any campaign slogan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1997802361964675467)  2025-12-07T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 94.7K engagements


"Farmers get a bail out in the face of the costs they've born from Trump's trade war. Quite an admission that his policies have hurt Americans. Now riddle me this: Why not bail out consumers who are paying more for imported goods"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998084415130317166)  2025-12-08T17:37Z 280.7K followers, 69.5K engagements


"Monetary policy is a screwdriver; tariffs immigration rules and trust in government are nails pipes and wiring. If the problem is bad trade policy or lost confidence in the White House turning the interestrate screwdriver harder wont fix it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998164723389407448)  2025-12-08T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 19K engagements


"The latest script: Prices are high Must be big business. Need a Trump-y twist Make it foreign businesses. Its like political Mad Libs: just fill in the villain and skip the economics. Add the President's solution a task force() and you'll understand my pessimism"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998375109468315938)  2025-12-09T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 32.5K engagements


"They need to be independent. They need to be courageous will to do what's best for the economy even when it feels difficult. They need to serve the American people rather than the White House. They need to have good judgment. And they need to show intellectual leadership"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998392516320600187)  2025-12-09T14:01Z 280.7K followers, 12.4K engagements


""I think the most important way for thinking about the health of an economy is what's happening with the unemployment rate. Can people find jobs and do they have stable and steady work That's actually been drifting up. So that says our economy's been underperforming.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998437386649243734)  2025-12-09T16:59Z 280.7K followers, 48.8K engagements


"The chance of the NBER declaring a recession in any given* year* is about 1-in-7. Prediction markets reckon there's roughly a 1-in-7 chance a recession began *this quarter* with a similar chance one begins *next quarter*. (No odds yet for later quarters.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998459063974101109)  2025-12-09T18:25Z 280.7K followers, 12.7K engagements


"The President's Affordability Tour begins with a tightly scripted message: Cheer up. You can easily do without and enjoy it. And it teaches your entitled kids a lesson they need to learn. Also steel. That's a real need"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998600796309537168)  2025-12-10T03:48Z 280.7K followers, 76.4K engagements


"Is Trump right that the problems confronting soybean farmers are all due to Biden There's an old Australian expression: Yeah nah"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998737543773180284)  2025-12-10T12:52Z 280.7K followers, 21.9K engagements


"Decisive and visionary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998809208935043379)  2025-12-10T17:37Z 280.7K followers, 84.4K engagements


"Q: "I do want to look at President Trump set to start his economic sales pitch in Pennsylvania in the coming hours -- going to coal country with a message that affordability is a hoax and his economy is doing well. How's that message likely to land" Me: "Good luck mate.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998811520906473901)  2025-12-10T17:46Z 280.7K followers, 38.6K engagements


"A revealing set of Fed projections: X. Inflation is expected to be above target for years. X. Unemployment is above long-term rate and will be for a while. X. Surprisingly large uptick in expected growth for 2026. X. We may get one or two more interest rate cuts but don't hold your breath"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998833535629619557)  2025-12-10T19:13Z 280.7K followers, 5589 engagements


"Powell signals that the Fed believes the October household survey (which I think he means the unemployment) could well be highly distorted by the shutdown. He also said that there may be similar distortions in the CPI. ("Technical factors.") So new data isn't going to be persuasive for a bit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998842499125662175)  2025-12-10T19:49Z 280.7K followers, 6654 engagements


"Tariffs are like throwing rocks in the economic engine then asking the Fed to fix the noise by adjusting the radio volume. Interest rates can tune demand but they cant magically make a trade war painless"  
[X Link](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1998889517684547708)  2025-12-10T22:56Z 280.7K followers, 17.5K engagements