Dark | Light
# ![@HongshenZhu Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1436452717342466066.png) @HongshenZhu Hongshen Zhu

Hongshen Zhu posts on X about china, in the, gdp, countries the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1436452717342466066/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1436452717342466066/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +1,949%
- [--] Month [-------] +526%
- [--] Months [---------] -55%
- [--] Year [---------] -23%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1436452717342466066/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1436452717342466066/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Months [--] +96%
- [--] Year [--] -20%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1436452717342466066/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1436452717342466066/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] no change
- [--] Month [-----] +2.20%
- [--] Months [-----] +9.90%
- [--] Year [-----] +28%

### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1436452717342466066/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1436452717342466066/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[countries](/list/countries)  #4020 [finance](/list/finance)  #898 [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  13.73% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  6.86% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  3.92% [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)  0.98%

**Social topic influence**
[china](/topic/china) #135, [in the](/topic/in-the) 17.65%, [gdp](/topic/gdp) #4, [countries](/topic/countries) #56, [shanghai](/topic/shanghai) 5.88%, [gdp growth](/topic/gdp-growth) #3, [investment](/topic/investment) 4.9%, [beijing](/topic/beijing) 4.9%, [the world](/topic/the-world) 4.9%, [debt](/topic/debt) #16

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@judgeglock](/creator/undefined) [@unfeltsorrow](/creator/undefined) [@theeconomist](/creator/undefined) [@vshih2](/creator/undefined) [@csccpenn](/creator/undefined) [@dwallacewells](/creator/undefined) [@noahpinion](/creator/undefined) [@anilananth](/creator/undefined) [@lingnanuni](/creator/undefined) [@uva](/creator/undefined) [@aynnekokas](/creator/undefined) [@yanzhonghuang](/creator/undefined) [@berthofmanecon](/creator/undefined) [@mariaanalugo](/creator/undefined) [@eleanorolcott](/creator/undefined) [@wenfeixiang](/creator/undefined) [@yuenyuenangs](/creator/undefined) [@bri4nr33d](/creator/undefined) [@f4talstrategies](/creator/undefined) [@quantian1](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[New York Times Co. (NYT)](/topic/$nyt)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"This prompted me to have a look at the relative income of US college professors and it seems we are indeed at a relatively bust period. (Use Claude Opus 4.5) I started reading Why Machines Learn by @anilananth and it's clear from this anecdote that being a university professor used to be a lot more prestigious than it is now. https://t.co/ehB6ZNvDgV I started reading Why Machines Learn by @anilananth and it's clear from this anecdote that being a university professor used to be a lot more prestigious than it is now. https://t.co/ehB6ZNvDgV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2021830577763365359)  2026-02-12T06:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Indeed a crazy story. High debt share hampers GDP growth is still somehow a received wisdom preached to developing countries including China yet just a boomer fat finger error. The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an Excel average left out half the data points proved to be such a disaster it made *Larry Summers* look like a bleeding heart keynesian The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an Excel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2022581782907081211)  2026-02-14T08:00Z [----] followers, 503.5K engagements


"Indeed a crazy story. High debt share hampers GDP growth is still somehow a received wisdom preached to developing countries including China yet just a boomer thick finger error. The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an Excel average left out half the data points proved to be such a disaster it made *Larry Summers* look like a bleeding heart keynesian The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2022581336956195045)  2026-02-14T07:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@unfeltsorrow I think boomer fat finger error is already the most charitable and innocuous excuse for this case considering the weight of human suffering after the Great Recession"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2022872178765762881)  2026-02-15T03:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unfeltsorrow True fat finger moments happen all the time for all generations but at that moment only one generation wielded the disproportional power to make policies that impact all of us including the less fortunate boomers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2022895117045240298)  2026-02-15T04:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The reality is that China has the unparalleled comparative advantage in manufacturing consumer goods so any meaningful increase in domestic goods consumption are just devoured by domestic producers. You cant count on goods to balance trade. The West still has comparative advantage in service. Convincing China to allow censored Netflix"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2014171183072280989)  2026-01-22T03:00Z [----] followers, 143.9K engagements


"Not really a special program just thousands of schools across the country trying to attract high-score students with fast-track curriculums with little coordination. I attended Shanghai Experimental School. There is nothing genius about it. Its not even the best school in SH. I can already tell this will be one of the best articles I read for all of [----]. China runs a special program to find [-----] top high school students from across the country every year. They train these students to compete in math olympiads and other major international math and I can already tell this will be one of the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2017818548773785684)  2026-02-01T04:33Z [----] followers, 25.4K engagements


"Social capital embedded in inter-generational and inter-regional bonds getting capitalised by tech conglomerates in every Chinese New Year has so much Big China Energy. after the incoming lunar new year for individual consumerd there will be only ByteDance Alibaba and Tencent. The rest simply can't compete with the marketing and deep pockets of these big players. after the incoming lunar new year for individual consumerd there will be only ByteDance Alibaba and Tencent. The rest simply can't compete with the marketing and deep pockets of these big players"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2018177557229908078)  2026-02-02T04:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Glad to see Hong Kong getting to attract Vietnamese talents after abolishing the Cold-War/colonial era immigration scheme that discriminated against select socialist countries citizens since [----]. Vietnams two most world-renowned mathematicians Vu Ha Van (Yale) and Ngo Bao Chau (UChicago) are both leaving the US for the University of Hong Kong. https://t.co/Q56o0fW362 Vietnams two most world-renowned mathematicians Vu Ha Van (Yale) and Ngo Bao Chau (UChicago) are both leaving the US for the University of Hong Kong. https://t.co/Q56o0fW362"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2019339325926961376)  2026-02-05T09:16Z [----] followers, 18.8K engagements


"I used PWT [----] and included 2020-23 but the trend is still the same. I also put India in and find that they have similar ICOR now as China in the 2008-10s and only a little bit slower growth. Just throwing the Penn World Tables to Claude and giving it a smidgen of context about my interests and desires and getting this back. It's never felt so good to be a wordcel https://t.co/BMWQ09GBOW Just throwing the Penn World Tables to Claude and giving it a smidgen of context about my interests and desires and getting this back. It's never felt so good to be a wordcel https://t.co/BMWQ09GBOW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2020329379705094637)  2026-02-08T02:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Claude took its discretion to exclude India's [----] negative growth such that the graph doesn't look like this:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2020333802682449927)  2026-02-08T03:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"For anyone who watched Netflix's "American Factory" this was true even in the 2010s. Fuyao Glass had to hand-hold their American workers to bring their productivity to a profitable level which itself was below China's level and later gave up and switched to automation. The game was over long time back but now grudgingly western media is accepting it. https://t.co/pOGAhtSn83 The game was over long time back but now grudgingly western media is accepting it. https://t.co/pOGAhtSn83"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1986723671449477194)  2025-11-07T09:13Z [----] followers, 23.9K engagements


"@judgeglock From my understanding there is no causal design in the paper whatsoever and the errors severely weakened even the correlation. So the causal claim that high debt share hampers GDP growth never stood at least in that paper"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2023071884468961315)  2026-02-15T16:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@judgeglock I think whether higher debt is bad for growth depends on where the investment goes which is dependent on the political economy. For example I think the global south definitely should increase its debt to build up renewable energy capacity even if it has a high debt share"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2023076552704135647)  2026-02-15T16:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@judgeglock If you think renewable energy is the more expensive forms of energy you need to update your priors. The simple answer is private capital do not capture all benefits from infrastructure investment such that relying only on them leads to underinvestment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2023185247026975201)  2026-02-15T23:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Professional Update I will be joining @lingnanuni in Hong Kong as an assistant professor in August. Words cannot encapsulate the support I received from my @UVA colleagues and @AynneKokas in the past year. After spending nine years in the U.S. its exciting to be back in Asia"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1807770566641823940)  2024-07-01T13:37Z [----] followers, 13.8K engagements


"Im afraid this is a wrong interpretation of the results. The link specifically tests this and shows its NOT because Chinese researchers cite more papers from China but because they are cited too little by researchers from other countries causing home country citations to account for a larger proportion of total citations. Indeed U.S. researchers cite their own countrys research much more frequently (34.6%) compared to Chinese researchers (14.8%). China ranks #1 in terms of the share of highly cited papers. However a recent study suggests this may be the result of Chinese researchers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1815418730651988424)  2024-07-22T16:08Z [----] followers, 38.4K engagements


"@YanzhongHuang The incentives that reward citations are real so its actually surprising to see Chinese scholars are not disproportionately citing each other for quid pro quo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1815424930218910173)  2024-07-22T16:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"After finishing Black Myth: Wukong I am glad to say the game is an unapologetic inheritor of the literary tradition that portrays Wukong as a symbol of resistance. In that sense it rejects the original ending of Journey to the West in which Wukong becomes one of the Buddhas and part of the system. However the game also adopts a darker more realist and conspiratorial interpretation of the journey portraying it as a Machiavellian scheme planned by various powerful gods. In this sense the game stays true to the original novel while departing from popular animated movies like (Havoc in Heaven)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1829962521484349792)  2024-08-31T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"As I said in numerous occasions in-kind transfers are the major part of Chinese welfare state and public healthcare/education is the bulk of it. Not capturing them and only focusing on cash transfers is misunderstanding the basic reality. This new World Bank paper shows how in-kind health & education transfers are the main form of socioeconomic redistribution in China and offers sound recommendations: larger share of PIT healthcare user fees and transfers h/t @berthofmanecon via @MariaAnaLugo https://t.co/5Ij4gpPxBr This new World Bank paper shows how in-kind health & education transfers are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1832062394912362811)  2024-09-06T14:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This clarification is shocking. Only [-----] companies registered in China in the best year in the past [--] years My above-scale industrial firm dataset in [----] has more firms than the entire chart Since arriving in China meetings founders and VCs have left me with a very dim view of the current state affairs. Things are so bad. In [----] [-----] new startups were founded. Last year that number was down to [----]. It took a while for that number to sink in. https://t.co/oCeO2sAssc Since arriving in China meetings founders and VCs have left me with a very dim view of the current state affairs. Things"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1834259437273624788)  2024-09-12T15:55Z [----] followers, 50.2K engagements


"Its unreal to see @EleanorOlcott questioning the source why they didnt gate-keep FOR her. I would be surprised if IT Juzi EVER used that chart to say startup number in general collapsed 98% in China. But the data itself just shouldnt pass the smell test of anyone serious. @wenfeixiang I find it strange that I checked these details carefully with It Juzi before and sent the chart before pub. IT Juzi has also published the same chart before in previous reports I was merely updating it. Can you explain why you changed your position after the piece came out @wenfeixiang I find it strange that I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1835209589807366605)  2024-09-15T06:50Z [----] followers, 24.5K engagements


"2022 is ancient history for energy transition in China. The solar/wind share reached 23% in May [----] clean energy reached 44%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1846537677195383143)  2024-10-16T13:04Z [----] followers, 31.3K engagements


"It turns out a mistake by Dem to keep the Trump tariffs. Its essentially trading a core issue (cumulative inflation) for a subset of a peripheral issue (China trade). NBER paper estimates all tariffs are passed onto consumers. Eliminating tariffs in 2022d be low-hanging fruit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1854340261884952594)  2024-11-07T01:49Z [----] followers, 40.8K engagements


"From Shanghai Halloween to Zhenzhou Cycling Chinese youngsters are organising politically innocuous collective actions in unprecedented scales. Algorithm-aided viral mobilisation easily solicit overwhelming crowds that municipal governments scrabbled to put forceful ends to those activities. Even the most sophisticated state machines are barely coping with this new era"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1855181928040968454)  2024-11-09T09:33Z [----] followers, 36.4K engagements


"There is a reason the domestic discourse on wasteful investment is mainly about wonder-building like the photo below in Dushan County instead of the worlds highest bridges in Guizhou etc.because there are actual people from Guizhou on Chinese Internet and saying they dont deserve infrastructure to their face is pretty rude"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1861361146361786829)  2024-11-26T10:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I taught Dutch Disease in my political economy class. My Classical Chinese colleague heard about it and instantly recognised thats ancient China philosopher Guan Zhongs (700-645 BC) strategy to trick the neighbour state to abandon agriculture by stimulating non-agricultural demand in trade with them (). Guan Zhongs thinking was physiocratic in an era of interstate rivalry which meant trade could be cut off and war was frequent. Prudent statesmen should prioritise agriculture and achieve self-sufficiency. I then searched whether Ancient Greece had parallel thinking and found none. After all in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1867233234695958532)  2024-12-12T15:41Z [----] followers, 93.2K engagements


"China is currently experiencing 1% deflation (official PPI) alongside 4% nominal growth*. That makes the suitable comparison not Japan or any post-war era economies but the United States 19th-century Long Depression (1873-1896). Despite its name the Long Depression was misleading for the U.S. which saw real per capita growth exceeding 4.5% and nominal GDP growth over 3% during the period. The [----] financial market panic cast an outsized shadow over economic advancements even as the US surpassed Britain and became the largest economy of that time. China now share key similarities with the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1873747772333318655)  2024-12-30T15:07Z [----] followers, 114.8K engagements


"Eating in China truffles foie gras caviar all become so cheap that they appear on so many mid-tier menus I encountered. I just learned that a single county in Anhui province Huoqiu is producing [----] tons of foie gras a year. Here is a pic of truffle on lily [--] RMB ($10.5)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1874335555858952474)  2025-01-01T06:03Z [----] followers, 29.9K engagements


"@bri4nr33d @f4talStrategies @quantian1 @sasuke___420 a Song dynasty poem implying my self wouldnt be alive to see the said thing to happen but my grandchildren can tell me once that happened through sacrificial rituals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1876850218013970691)  2025-01-08T04:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"When American TikTok refugees emigrated to Xiaohongshu and found out Maye Musk is already established there.😂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1878829252524884354)  2025-01-13T15:39Z [----] followers, 15.4K engagements


"A TikTok refugee describes the Chinese on Rednote as looking so much less traumatized. It immediately reminds me of what Chen Danqing a famous Chinese liberal artist observed about Americans during his first visit to the U.S. in the 1980s: They all have a face thats never been bullied. Of course both statements reflect more about the speakers relationship with their home country than about their subjects. This Patricia Buckley Ebrey quote from Cambridge Illustrated History of China (p.334) remains remarkably fitting for today: "China has often served as the perfect other for the west as the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1879545162122346946)  2025-01-15T15:04Z [----] followers, 14.9K engagements


"Yes all official media reporting as of now has been celebrating overseas users on Xiaohongshu because its has been a net positive to Chinese soft power AND domestic support. It would take a major incident to prompt the government to do a U-turn. Not impossible but anticlimactic. So far h/t to @lelan_hu the response from Beijing has been pretty positive. Translation (from ChatGTP) of the text in the attached image follows: From "TikTok refugees" flocking to our social media software to "China Travel" becoming a global trend; from Li Ziqi's short https://t.co/CldkXIaulL So far h/t to @lelan_hu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1880106092547744244)  2025-01-17T04:13Z [----] followers, 18.7K engagements


"On a side note this reminds me of my colleague Li Pang Kwongs theory on Hong Kongs political transition from the British rule. Hong Kong government didnt maintain its quality post-1997 even when it retained full autonomy because the governing knowhows of British Empire and the Colonial Office was suddenly cut off while Beijing initially adopted an non-interventionist principle to leave HK to HK elites who were excluded from decisionmaking roles by the British. The facade of a smooth transition masked a deep drought of expertise at the top"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1881192402414952506)  2025-01-20T04:09Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements


"DeepSeek was founded in [----] the rock bottom of the figure. Quantity is not quality. Also the database now shows [----] and [----] have thousands more companies. Its as if the database suffers a time lag problem and is not supposed to be used to gauge real-time innovation. Since arriving in China meetings founders and VCs have left me with a very dim view of the current state affairs. Things are so bad. In [----] [-----] new startups were founded. Last year that number was down to [----]. It took a while for that number to sink in. https://t.co/oCeO2sAssc Since arriving in China meetings founders and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1884060966759063688)  2025-01-28T02:08Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements


"Yet the stock market collapsed. Its as if ROI is not a measure of productivity but a measure of how much productivity is gated behind a paywall. DeepSeek and what happened yesterday: Probably the largest positive tfp shock in the history of the world. DeepSeek and what happened yesterday: Probably the largest positive tfp shock in the history of the world"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1885218749470687522)  2025-01-31T06:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I agree that China should have a fiscal consolidation and replenish the welfare state especially for the rural population. However ironically if those measures really substantially improve domestic consumption Chinas manufacturing will be more dominant instead of less. Higher sales lead to better economies of scale and even lower costs. Chinas manufacturing is not resource-constrained but demand-constrained and the huge domestic market has been the reason why Chinese producers can scale and be competitive in the first place. I would further argue that this is what we are seeing in the past 20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1892757094925029851)  2025-02-21T02:03Z [----] followers, 82K engagements


"@pretentiouswhat Are they holding some secret data to justify their out-of-touchness They act like trade surplus with the US is 15.7% of Chinese GDP instead of 1.57%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1908488866178412563)  2025-04-05T11:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Interesting. Peak Hans central region was richer than peak Romes central region. But the rest of Han and its average were poorer than Romes. Neat Newly-published data on incomes and inequality within and between regions in Rome vis--vis China. https://t.co/RdDtbzm5VD Neat Newly-published data on incomes and inequality within and between regions in Rome vis--vis China. https://t.co/RdDtbzm5VD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1908712877957189712)  2025-04-06T02:46Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements


"Chinas new retirement age for males born in 1970/12 is [----] and females is [-----]. With life expectancy [----] vs [--] and Chinas much longer working hours (2450 hrs vs 1563) Chinese work [----] hours for [--] year of retirement while Danes need to work for [----] hours. NEWS: Today the retirement age in Denmark has been raised to [--] for people born after the end of [----]. NEWS: Today the retirement age in Denmark has been raised to [--] for people born after the end of 1970"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1925788667148214356)  2025-05-23T05:39Z [----] followers, 60.1K engagements


"Illuminating discussion on the fiscal origins of the inevitability of Soviets reforms failure. I wonder whether this explains Chinas obsession with its consumer goods producer power: it basically makes it inflation-proof and in turn fiscal-crisis-proof. Gorbachev conceded geopolitical interests to beg for Western loans to maintain Soviet living standards during the reform because Soviet needed foreign currency to import consumer goods. That is unthinkable for todays China. And frankly even a trillion more USD would probably be useless for Chinas domestic problems. In light of the debate about"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1933891720758063578)  2025-06-14T14:18Z [----] followers, 13.8K engagements


"The only six railway lines are profitable is a myth. The original source is from a [----] article by National Business Daily reporting their exclusive finding at least six lines are profitable by [----] and those are the exact six lines listed in every article since then. It's interesting that Chinese people mostly seem to use high-speed rail as a fast commuter rail. Except for the Beijing-to-Shanghai line the profitable lines are almost all between cities that are [---] miles apart. https://t.co/17kPXzvsMs It's interesting that Chinese people mostly seem to use high-speed rail as a fast commuter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1935880274392535120)  2025-06-20T01:59Z [----] followers, 42K engagements


"Tbh this comes more down to the automatic low confidence in indigenous tech among Chinas finance/VC people than anything institutional/technical/concrete. Outdated narrative-driven scam-scared. A Chinese AI researcher said ChatGPT could never have originated from China. What do people make of this view From @_KarenHaos book Empire of AI https://t.co/yauToKEvX7 A Chinese AI researcher said ChatGPT could never have originated from China. What do people make of this view From @_KarenHaos book Empire of AI https://t.co/yauToKEvX7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1939195541906469288)  2025-06-29T05:33Z [----] followers, 13.4K engagements


"The irony is that when China rapidly expands domestic production Pettis claims it doesn't improve workers' welfare either. Typical Pettis nonsense. He's arguing lower food prices doesn't help consumer. But cheaper food just means you have more money left over for other things. That's literally makes us richer. Also half of imports go into our production literally making us more productive https://t.co/bOKUlmz4Si Typical Pettis nonsense. He's arguing lower food prices doesn't help consumer. But cheaper food just means you have more money left over for other things. That's literally makes us"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1955845823079862609)  2025-08-14T04:15Z [----] followers, 26K engagements


"Yet somehow Chongqings life expectancy is five years longer than Mississippians. [----] vs [----]. Mississippi is simply is much richer than China. Everyone whining about how price differences obscure GDP isn't wholly wrong but even correcting for those and measuring solely on the basis of consumption you get this: America is very wealthy. https://t.co/k57hGhrTHh Mississippi is simply is much richer than China. Everyone whining about how price differences obscure GDP isn't wholly wrong but even correcting for those and measuring solely on the basis of consumption you get this: America is very"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1956912861470470502)  2025-08-17T02:55Z [----] followers, 123.7K engagements


"@briankturner101 That actually implies consumption is an inferior measure of welfare"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1956923422635594099)  2025-08-17T03:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@StatisticUrban Not disputing the nominal consumption figure maybe the ICP conversion factor is too conservative (Numbeo shows CQs living costs is 1/3 of Jackson MS and purchasing power is just 20% lower) and Chinese household typically save 1/3 of their disposable income"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1957097241736540581)  2025-08-17T15:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@D_y_m_y_z Thats our goal. Shanghai/Beijing has reached 83"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1957097780457181691)  2025-08-17T15:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"As an only child I recently had a powerful realization that once my parents pass away in old age I wont see their resemblance in anyone else except my own child. When I shared this to my only-child Chinese peers they never thought of this and panicked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1959224700313415735)  2025-08-23T12:02Z [----] followers, 13.7K engagements


"Oversea Chinese holding ceremonies to push for unification with government consulates and local politicians attending has literally been going on across the globe for decadesThe first large-scale one was in Berlin [----]. I wonder why its suddenly political interference. JUST POSTED: How China Influences Elections in Americas Biggest City - a New York Times investigation with @byjayroot @biancapallaro @Fahrenthold https://t.co/TLaznZbkrD via @NYTimes JUST POSTED: How China Influences Elections in Americas Biggest City - a New York Times investigation with @byjayroot @biancapallaro @Fahrenthold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1960181093140951494)  2025-08-26T03:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The [----] ICP's finding that the PRC's price levels are 80% of Hong Kong's is incredible. I suspect the sample was limited to Shanghai or Shenzhen but even for those cities 80% seems far too high"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1970844354794451115)  2025-09-24T13:34Z [----] followers, 72.1K engagements


"Last year the Golden Week has [--] days this year its has [--] days. So the per-day measure is unfair. Average spending per capita drops 1% YOY. Total revenue grew 15% per-day revenue grew 1%. Indeed ARPU is indifferent from Labour Day and Spring Festival which both grew 1% YOY. During the Golden Week holiday average daily spending per tourist fell 13% year-on-year to [-----] yuan highlighting persistent weakness in domestic consumption and the need for stronger policy support. https://t.co/kllC1Gy7KH During the Golden Week holiday average daily spending per tourist fell 13% year-on-year to 113.9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1976495542890094811)  2025-10-10T03:50Z [----] followers, 29.5K engagements


"It's rather astonishing that China has the second highest real household consumption growth since [----] across ALL countries from small to large. Source: @WorldBank"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1979553129294332016)  2025-10-18T14:20Z [----] followers, 129.9K engagements


"After reading through an array of tweets on the latest Chinese macro data no one seems to ever report service retail sales (YTD 5.2% YoY). Because it is a new series created by the NBS only in 2023/8 and was never incorporated into the formatted report and is only reported semi-casually in monthly press conferences in the form of YTD growth not even by month. A friend covering Chinese internet companies at a major bank didnt even know that this series exists and said their internal macro feeds never report it just like all the China wire accounts on X. And this is a major lapse because retail"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1980260772874961144)  2025-10-20T13:12Z [----] followers, 20.2K engagements


"@policytensor I was looking at the same data yesterday In fact Chinese 19-year-old women are the tallest Asian women besides Lebanese women"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1980601766870938096)  2025-10-21T11:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Im not surprised after the fact that Lutnick believed that Chinas entire trade surplus was due to trade with the U.S. what Bessent seriously thought Li Chenggang had been fired what Bessent seriously thought Li Chenggang had been fired"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1982268833550455093)  2025-10-26T02:11Z [----] followers, 50.8K engagements


"Being exposed to high doses of certain contexts is indeed essential to understanding texts. Thats why sending American students to Taiwan can hardly substitute having students in mainland China for the preparation of future China scholars"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1982370684195180748)  2025-10-26T08:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"TIL China's urban workers truly have the best pension scheme in the world: retire at [--] (55 for female) net replacement rates (pension/pre-retire earnings) at 88% (70.1%) while OECD retire at [--] on average at 61% replacement rate. Yet they still save 1/3 of disposable income"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1983788230538600474)  2025-10-30T06:49Z [----] followers, 55.5K engagements


""When a whale falls ten thousand things are born." Shanghai's [----] Halloween parade stunned the world. I even showed my UVA students meme-inspired costumes from it sparking appreciative laughter. The event also attracted young people from all over the country who flocked to the scene via high-speed rail. In [----] the crackdown in Shanghai driven by safety concerns led to neighboring Hangzhou and the more distant Wuhan and Guangzhou beginning to emerge as nascent "Halloween capitals." By [----] young people in countless cities began celebrating locally. On Douyin livestreams from north to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1984522343759175797)  2025-11-01T07:26Z [----] followers, 28.9K engagements


"China a place that generational change can happen in a month. Chinas auto sales fell in October after spiking in the previous month as the countrys car market faces pressure from the younger generations reluctance to buy cars. https://t.co/9IAg9fhEAB Chinas auto sales fell in October after spiking in the previous month as the countrys car market faces pressure from the younger generations reluctance to buy cars. https://t.co/9IAg9fhEAB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988496046365048936)  2025-11-12T06:36Z [----] followers, 22.5K engagements


"@MoatlessCapital People flock to government jobs mostly for stability than pension. Pension is a function of both contribution years and wage which is lower in public sector controlling for employee quality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1997480376168780126)  2025-12-07T01:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"True there are students coming to the US graduate school for a F1 visa itself than academic ideals but for them the more rational and adopted route is "master out" and get industry jobs with a US masters degree [--] years into the program instead of going through the 6-year-long Econ PhD. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016444395269353891 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016444395269353891"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2016444395269353891)  2026-01-28T09:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@vshih2 Free tokens during Thanksgiving"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/2018244920914653630)  2026-02-02T08:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I defended my dissertation today Thanks to my Chair Melanie Manion and my committee members @EddyMalesky Daniel and Erik I am joining @CsccPenn as a postdoctoral fellow this fall"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1529953683479449600)  2022-05-26T22:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Somehow I went to visit Li Wenliangs weibo today to see what people are saying in THE spiritual corner of Chinese internet at this critical moment. Only to find out today is his birthday. Happy Birthday Dr. Li"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1580994873980641280)  2022-10-14T18:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Taiwan is the latest example to exit Zero-Covid and has a similar elderly share (15%) with mainland China. [-----] Covid deaths are recorded since May [--]. If Beijing extrapolates from this figure they will expect 700k Chinese dying in five months. Hard to accept for BJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1582937111912931328)  2022-10-20T03:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"And it is a wild bet to think mainland can perform as well as Taiwan given CN vaccines need [--] doses to achieve the same protection of 2-dose mRNA and Taiwan has a better funded healthcare system"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1582937115100606464)  2022-10-20T03:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Letting people protest can be a way for local officials to absolve themselves from the impossible zero-Covid task: construct a conflict between social stability and zero-Covid such that reopening is a necessary act to maintain stability and they can still claim loyalty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1596759886612029440)  2022-11-27T06:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Baidu search intensity showing "Fever" "Test Positive" and "Sore throat" surging in multiple Chinese cities since early December. The early opener city Baoding's spread started to surge in mid-November and is already peaking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1601426358248214528)  2022-12-10T03:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"For Chinese readers who are interested in the critical few days leading up to the exit of Zero Covid at the end of November read this Caixin long article that covers so many details on the ground in the transition period. https://weekly.caixin.com/2022-12-02/101973681.htmlp0#page2 https://weekly.caixin.com/2022-12-02/101973681.htmlp0#page2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1602859410577326080)  2022-12-14T02:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Shanghai is still requiring [--] hr testing result to get vaccinated. My parents cancelled their vaccine trip because the testing site is the most dangerous place right now. This conundrum is harming vaccination drive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1604362777233063936)  2022-12-18T06:27Z [----] followers, 53.5K engagements


"@dwallacewells @Noahpinion The HK and Singapore articles are not that diverging. SG article finds 3-dose mRNA statistically more effective than 3-dose Sinovac but the substantive difference is small. A incidence rate ratio of [---] is just a difference between 94% risk reduction and 96% (6%:4%)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1606883466586505218)  2022-12-25T05:24Z [----] followers, 63.8K engagements


"The point is 3-dose mRNA is REALLY GOOD in preventing hospitalisation such that a [---] incidence rate ratio means 3-dose Sinovac is also pretty good. We need as many as possible Chinese to get vaccinated and these comparisons distract people and add hesitancy. @dwallacewells @Noahpinion The HK and Singapore articles are not that diverging. SG article finds 3-dose mRNA statistically more effective than 3-dose Sinovac but the substantive difference is small. A incidence rate ratio of [---] is just a difference between 94% risk reduction and 96% (6%:4%). @dwallacewells @Noahpinion The HK and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1606891004082143234)  2022-12-25T05:54Z [----] followers, 91.9K engagements


"A state-subsidised private-run community canteen in China. A buffet lunch/dinner at [--] for elderly and others at [--]. At least two dozens not-bad dishes. Manager says 100-200 meals served per day. Saw [--] staffs/cooks. Even with free rent this business needs subsidies to run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1666373368830914560)  2023-06-07T09:15Z [----] followers, 12.9K engagements


"Another factor is China relies on in-kind transfer to redistribute very much. It accounts for 6.7% of GDP in [----] and is consumed by households but paid by government. This would put China on par with Australia in stead of an outlier"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1674222090231365633)  2023-06-29T01:03Z [----] followers, 32.1K engagements


"Recent Career Update: I've transitioned to the University of Virginia as the Global China Postdoctoral Fellow at @Uva_EAC. While I cherish my time at @CsccPenn I am immensely grateful for the mentorship and guidance from @jdelisle21 @Yangguobin @NeysunM and Yuanyuan Zeng"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1693990057265475740)  2023-08-22T14:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I'm heartened to see that @TheEconomist has highlighted the concept of Social Transfer in Kind which I've long advocated for as playing a underappreciated role in China's household consumption. I am also quoted for using community canteens as examples. https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/10/how-economists-have-underestimated-chinese-consumption https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/10/how-economists-have-underestimated-chinese-consumption"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1711908833516257412)  2023-10-11T00:57Z [----] followers, 42.3K engagements


"It was a great pleasure to give a Deep Dive lecture on China's social security system to the insightful Schwarzman Scholars at Tsinghua @SchwarzmanOrg I hope I instilled some hope into young people regarding their anxiety about their pensions in [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1745879713892237437)  2024-01-12T18:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"In my new article for @SCID__journal I find that the scale of state-owned firm layoffs in the late 1990s drove the increase in social security tax of private firms in the 2000s. The need to appease potential collective action of highly organized SOE workers precipitated China's welfare state. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12116-024-09429-z https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12116-024-09429-z"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1788702482618589481)  2024-05-09T22:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I reverse-engineered the chart and find out where the data come from. It's just listed firms in ItJuzi's website with no filter except for years and domestic. The website itself puts a caveat saying: "Please note that the companies listed here on IT Juzi do not represent all startup companies. Due to limitations in information sources and channels as well as delays in the recording process not all startups can be included in a timely manner. However we are always committed to including more and better startups and we welcome everyone to provide various leads and sources.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1834542034184470719)  2024-09-13T10:37Z [----] followers, 21.4K engagements


"Here are some wasteful investment examples western economists should use not bridges or high speed railways or even apartments that can be turned into public housing The sprawling Dayong Town complex was supposed to be a game-changer for the central Chinese city of Zhangjiajie. The vast tourist area which reportedly cost over [---] billion yuan ($300 million) to build encompasses an entire town designed to evoke ancient China with ornate https://t.co/ojKZnjj09p The sprawling Dayong Town complex was supposed to be a game-changer for the central Chinese city of Zhangjiajie. The vast tourist area"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1861359077437374599)  2024-11-26T10:39Z [----] followers, 47.5K engagements


"It comes down to Gaokao (College admission exam) as well. Each college has different grade requirements for different majors. Studying a niche language may be the only way to get into a more prestigious school for an ambitious underperformed student. Incredible anecdote that reveals one of the reasons why China has been much influential in Africa than the US has https://t.co/cyDUkWQRJT Incredible anecdote that reveals one of the reasons why China has been much influential in Africa than the US has https://t.co/cyDUkWQRJT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1863762043154649325)  2024-12-03T01:47Z [----] followers, 12.3K engagements


"I dont know why we still need vibe checks when we can read clear infos like below. My recent trip to Beijing told me one thing about anecdote: my tech friend that got a pay raise stayed silent when my finance friend paraphrasing Gao Shanwens doom. 1/ After [--] months of better activity data in September and October the gradual recovery continues into November. The main private demand indicators combined with PMI surveys show a recovery in our nowcast GDP growth in Q4 to 8.1% from 2% in Q3 https://t.co/9nqlIUgJeV 1/ After [--] months of better activity data in September and October the gradual"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1869927446071652403)  2024-12-20T02:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Chinas Engel coef. is calculated with household survey item food/tobacco/alcohol. In the latest [----] data it accounts for 29.7% of avg. consumption 20.3% of avg. disposable income. Tobacco/alcohol accounts 3% of consumption so food alone is 26.7% and 18.2% respectively. @besttrousers Chinese government posts their Engel Coefficient (share of income spent on food at home & in person) and it is 30% https://t.co/1k2hBNGdF8 @besttrousers Chinese government posts their Engel Coefficient (share of income spent on food at home & in person) and it is 30% https://t.co/1k2hBNGdF8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1880549440878227805)  2025-01-18T09:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Talked with a Bytedance engineer in Shenzhen. He thinks the internal consensus is that algorithm of TikTok/Douyin is not even the best in China Kuaishous is better (in getting people engaged). The core asset is the chaotic ecosystem of creators/users/business/platform/management formed around TikTok and between TT and Bytedance that offer quick and great monetary reward to good content. It means Bytedance itself may not be able to recreate it if a ban upsets this ecosystem. It also means even if the algorithm is sold the TikTok US may not be as successful without decisionmaking informed by"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1881189382864195622)  2025-01-20T03:57Z [----] followers, 82.9K engagements


"Too many people still use Chinas survey-based household income share without social transfer in kind (44%) to compare with an imagined international normal of 60-70% which are from national accounts and include social transfers. By the same calibre China is at 69% in [----]. Historically reforming the income distribution has always been the hardest. If China were to raise household disposable income from the current 44% of GDP to the internationally normal 60-70% it would lead to a reduction in the power of the government and a reduction in the Historically reforming the income distribution has"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1904540973134188844)  2025-03-25T14:28Z [----] followers, 42.3K engagements


"Important stats to numerically test the claim that China will be hit hard by tariffs because of reexports. 20% of Chinas GDP is manuf. exports; 65% of that is domestic value-added; 20% of thats final demand is from the US: total exposure to U.S. demand is .2x.2x.65=2.5%. Full piece available on @TheTerminal. https://t.co/I1YhThJIRJ 2/ https://t.co/rBPhPX80cI Full piece available on @TheTerminal. https://t.co/I1YhThJIRJ 2/ https://t.co/rBPhPX80cI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1909130423416013221)  2025-04-07T06:25Z [----] followers, 390.8K engagements


"The formula would return 2.6%. But export share of GDP is actually 19% so 2.47% to be precise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1909151053385478366)  2025-04-07T07:47Z [----] followers, 14K engagements


"Ironic that he spoke of negotiations with other countries in the same breath as if that strength his hand. The more deals he cuts with third parties the more meaningless the tariff wall with China. Yesterday China issued Retaliatory Tariffs of 34% on top of their already record setting Tariffs Non-Monetary Tariffs Illegal Subsidization of companies and massive long term Currency Manipulation despite my warning that any country that Retaliates against the U.S. by Yesterday China issued Retaliatory Tariffs of 34% on top of their already record setting Tariffs Non-Monetary Tariffs Illegal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1909287596221673606)  2025-04-07T16:50Z [----] followers, 17.4K engagements


"The upper limit of loss in Chinese GDP is capped at 2.5% and any sourcing from China through third parties into the U.S. is a win. The worst case scenario for China is actually the U.S. destroyed its internal demand completely with across-the-board tariffs. https://x.com/hongshenzhu/status/1909130423416013221s=46 https://x.com/hongshenzhu/status/1909130423416013221s=46"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1909309957939642503)  2025-04-07T18:19Z [----] followers, 37.7K engagements


"Interesting. Lutnick believes Chinas real trade surplus with the US is just under one trillion dollars including reexports. Thats equivalent to the entirety of Chinas trade surplus. So there is no real demand in the world apart from the US Secretary @howardlutnick: "China chose the path of going against @POTUS. He said don't retaliate. and that's what happened. We are their biggest client by FAR. they can't afford to be without us and that's where we are today." https://t.co/LsMadk9oKE Secretary @howardlutnick: "China chose the path of going against @POTUS. He said don't retaliate. and that's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1910346689178947613)  2025-04-10T14:58Z [----] followers, 18.1K engagements


"I had the privilege of being taken care of by three grandmothers who were my caregivers during my childhood. Coincidentally all of them retired in [----] despite being born over a decade apart. Two of them retired early in their 40s during the massive SOE layoff. One of them retired at the age of [--] from a nursing job. My Shanghai granny and my Anhui nurse granny saw their pensions increase from 200-300 to 4-5k per month while my paternal granny who was an Anhui worker got increases from a meagre [---] to 2k. After [--] yrs in retirement even the late retiree is close to get 1:1 work:retirement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1927575963048563016)  2025-05-28T04:01Z [----] followers, 14.5K engagements


"Not to mention how outdated [----] data is (ridership from 1.1b to 3.2b) even the six lines are not exhaustive in [----]. Nanchang-Jiujiang line apparently achieved profitability since [----] and not included in the [----] article. This is largely due to the opaque reporting of CR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1935883163777351975)  2025-06-20T02:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@vshih2 Its and accounts for 6.9% of that in 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1956961040803238030)  2025-08-17T06:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RushDoshi But China is not even the poorer country on this top [--] list"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1979587423484219701)  2025-10-18T16:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"But China is not even the poorer country on this top [--] list. Not so sure growth from a low base is all that astonishing especially when the total is far below its level in comparable economies. Chinese mercantilism financially represses the countrys workers and consumers for the benefit of industry and exporters. Not so sure growth from a low base is all that astonishing especially when the total is far below its level in comparable economies. Chinese mercantilism financially represses the countrys workers and consumers for the benefit of industry and exporters"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1979587515050054024)  2025-10-18T16:36Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements


"Once a Chinese-speaking American scholar and I passed by a slogan called (under the same blue sky) over a school in rural China she interpreted it as an environmentalist slogan but I recognised immediately that its a phrase reserved for education equality. One of the most challenging things about reading Chinese official documents is that you cant read them as standalone texts. Each text is full of phrases and lines that reference other texts forming a densely interconnected semantic network. Without catching the references One of the most challenging things about reading Chinese official"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1982369780951884281)  2025-10-26T08:52Z [----] followers, 57.9K engagements


"The glaring difference between urban workers and rural residents is increasingly recognized in the mainstream. The 15th Five Year Plan for the first time calls to "implement the national coordination system for basic pension insurance.gradually increase the basic pension for urban and rural residents." Currently the social security system is still fragmented across provincial lines and average workers pension is [--] times higher than rural pension (3000/month vs. [---] yuan)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1983789665896267816)  2025-10-30T06:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ethanruns Only half of bodies are cremated in China and govt promotes cremation to save land. The rate rises steadily from its low point 47% in [----] when rural elders committed suicide to resist cremation reform. In 20-21 MCA data 20.12mm deaths 11.52mm cremated 57% cremation rate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1599164308436287490)  2022-12-03T22:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Doesnt look like the early industralizers respected any caps. Part of Beijings messaging problem is that - the rhetoric of Made in China [----] - dual circulation - and seizing industrial revolutions has left the world feeling Beijing wants to increase its share of global manufacturing (already 35%) at their expense. Part of Beijings messaging problem is that - the rhetoric of Made in China [----] - dual circulation - and seizing industrial revolutions has left the world feeling Beijing wants to increase its share of global manufacturing (already 35%) at their expense"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1791913144840777798)  2024-05-18T19:26Z [----] followers, 17.6K engagements


"Thats when you understand how many analyses are just vibe-checking and tide-riding. the r1 drop should be setting off alarm bells in the entire western capitalist apparatus. for the first time in a while im genuinely afraid the u.s. is losing its dominanceits influence its capacity to innovate & its ability to outcompete on a global scale. the core issue the r1 drop should be setting off alarm bells in the entire western capitalist apparatus. for the first time in a while im genuinely afraid the u.s. is losing its dominanceits influence its capacity to innovate & its ability to outcompete on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1883054567153442938)  2025-01-25T07:29Z [----] followers, 29.6K engagements


"The Chinese internet periodically sees public outcry over various governance failures from public health to food safety. The government has weathered each of them by pledging rectification and punishing officials. Do these efforts restore trust and leave the government unscathed We find that such corrections only work for citizens without firsthand knowledge of similar crises in the past"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HongshenZhu/status/1900003551054881258)  2025-03-13T01:58Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@HongshenZhu Avatar @HongshenZhu Hongshen Zhu

Hongshen Zhu posts on X about china, in the, gdp, countries the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-------] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-------] +1,949%
  • [--] Month [-------] +526%
  • [--] Months [---------] -55%
  • [--] Year [---------] -23%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Months [--] +96%
  • [--] Year [--] -20%

Followers: [-----] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-----] no change
  • [--] Month [-----] +2.20%
  • [--] Months [-----] +9.90%
  • [--] Year [-----] +28%

CreatorRank: [------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence countries #4020 finance #898 travel destinations 13.73% technology brands 6.86% social networks 3.92% vc firms 0.98%

Social topic influence china #135, in the 17.65%, gdp #4, countries #56, shanghai 5.88%, gdp growth #3, investment 4.9%, beijing 4.9%, the world 4.9%, debt #16

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @judgeglock @unfeltsorrow @theeconomist @vshih2 @csccpenn @dwallacewells @noahpinion @anilananth @lingnanuni @uva @aynnekokas @yanzhonghuang @berthofmanecon @mariaanalugo @eleanorolcott @wenfeixiang @yuenyuenangs @bri4nr33d @f4talstrategies @quantian1

Top assets mentioned New York Times Co. (NYT)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"This prompted me to have a look at the relative income of US college professors and it seems we are indeed at a relatively bust period. (Use Claude Opus 4.5) I started reading Why Machines Learn by @anilananth and it's clear from this anecdote that being a university professor used to be a lot more prestigious than it is now. https://t.co/ehB6ZNvDgV I started reading Why Machines Learn by @anilananth and it's clear from this anecdote that being a university professor used to be a lot more prestigious than it is now. https://t.co/ehB6ZNvDgV"
X Link 2026-02-12T06:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Indeed a crazy story. High debt share hampers GDP growth is still somehow a received wisdom preached to developing countries including China yet just a boomer fat finger error. The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an Excel average left out half the data points proved to be such a disaster it made Larry Summers look like a bleeding heart keynesian The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an Excel"
X Link 2026-02-14T08:00Z [----] followers, 503.5K engagements

"Indeed a crazy story. High debt share hampers GDP growth is still somehow a received wisdom preached to developing countries including China yet just a boomer thick finger error. The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an Excel average left out half the data points proved to be such a disaster it made Larry Summers look like a bleeding heart keynesian The fact that Europe embarked on a disastrous "expansionary austerity" experiment based on a paper that only reached significance because an"
X Link 2026-02-14T07:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@unfeltsorrow I think boomer fat finger error is already the most charitable and innocuous excuse for this case considering the weight of human suffering after the Great Recession"
X Link 2026-02-15T03:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@unfeltsorrow True fat finger moments happen all the time for all generations but at that moment only one generation wielded the disproportional power to make policies that impact all of us including the less fortunate boomers"
X Link 2026-02-15T04:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The reality is that China has the unparalleled comparative advantage in manufacturing consumer goods so any meaningful increase in domestic goods consumption are just devoured by domestic producers. You cant count on goods to balance trade. The West still has comparative advantage in service. Convincing China to allow censored Netflix"
X Link 2026-01-22T03:00Z [----] followers, 143.9K engagements

"Not really a special program just thousands of schools across the country trying to attract high-score students with fast-track curriculums with little coordination. I attended Shanghai Experimental School. There is nothing genius about it. Its not even the best school in SH. I can already tell this will be one of the best articles I read for all of [----]. China runs a special program to find [-----] top high school students from across the country every year. They train these students to compete in math olympiads and other major international math and I can already tell this will be one of the"
X Link 2026-02-01T04:33Z [----] followers, 25.4K engagements

"Social capital embedded in inter-generational and inter-regional bonds getting capitalised by tech conglomerates in every Chinese New Year has so much Big China Energy. after the incoming lunar new year for individual consumerd there will be only ByteDance Alibaba and Tencent. The rest simply can't compete with the marketing and deep pockets of these big players. after the incoming lunar new year for individual consumerd there will be only ByteDance Alibaba and Tencent. The rest simply can't compete with the marketing and deep pockets of these big players"
X Link 2026-02-02T04:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Glad to see Hong Kong getting to attract Vietnamese talents after abolishing the Cold-War/colonial era immigration scheme that discriminated against select socialist countries citizens since [----]. Vietnams two most world-renowned mathematicians Vu Ha Van (Yale) and Ngo Bao Chau (UChicago) are both leaving the US for the University of Hong Kong. https://t.co/Q56o0fW362 Vietnams two most world-renowned mathematicians Vu Ha Van (Yale) and Ngo Bao Chau (UChicago) are both leaving the US for the University of Hong Kong. https://t.co/Q56o0fW362"
X Link 2026-02-05T09:16Z [----] followers, 18.8K engagements

"I used PWT [----] and included 2020-23 but the trend is still the same. I also put India in and find that they have similar ICOR now as China in the 2008-10s and only a little bit slower growth. Just throwing the Penn World Tables to Claude and giving it a smidgen of context about my interests and desires and getting this back. It's never felt so good to be a wordcel https://t.co/BMWQ09GBOW Just throwing the Penn World Tables to Claude and giving it a smidgen of context about my interests and desires and getting this back. It's never felt so good to be a wordcel https://t.co/BMWQ09GBOW"
X Link 2026-02-08T02:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Claude took its discretion to exclude India's [----] negative growth such that the graph doesn't look like this:"
X Link 2026-02-08T03:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"For anyone who watched Netflix's "American Factory" this was true even in the 2010s. Fuyao Glass had to hand-hold their American workers to bring their productivity to a profitable level which itself was below China's level and later gave up and switched to automation. The game was over long time back but now grudgingly western media is accepting it. https://t.co/pOGAhtSn83 The game was over long time back but now grudgingly western media is accepting it. https://t.co/pOGAhtSn83"
X Link 2025-11-07T09:13Z [----] followers, 23.9K engagements

"@judgeglock From my understanding there is no causal design in the paper whatsoever and the errors severely weakened even the correlation. So the causal claim that high debt share hampers GDP growth never stood at least in that paper"
X Link 2026-02-15T16:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@judgeglock I think whether higher debt is bad for growth depends on where the investment goes which is dependent on the political economy. For example I think the global south definitely should increase its debt to build up renewable energy capacity even if it has a high debt share"
X Link 2026-02-15T16:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@judgeglock If you think renewable energy is the more expensive forms of energy you need to update your priors. The simple answer is private capital do not capture all benefits from infrastructure investment such that relying only on them leads to underinvestment"
X Link 2026-02-15T23:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Professional Update I will be joining @lingnanuni in Hong Kong as an assistant professor in August. Words cannot encapsulate the support I received from my @UVA colleagues and @AynneKokas in the past year. After spending nine years in the U.S. its exciting to be back in Asia"
X Link 2024-07-01T13:37Z [----] followers, 13.8K engagements

"Im afraid this is a wrong interpretation of the results. The link specifically tests this and shows its NOT because Chinese researchers cite more papers from China but because they are cited too little by researchers from other countries causing home country citations to account for a larger proportion of total citations. Indeed U.S. researchers cite their own countrys research much more frequently (34.6%) compared to Chinese researchers (14.8%). China ranks #1 in terms of the share of highly cited papers. However a recent study suggests this may be the result of Chinese researchers"
X Link 2024-07-22T16:08Z [----] followers, 38.4K engagements

"@YanzhongHuang The incentives that reward citations are real so its actually surprising to see Chinese scholars are not disproportionately citing each other for quid pro quo"
X Link 2024-07-22T16:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"After finishing Black Myth: Wukong I am glad to say the game is an unapologetic inheritor of the literary tradition that portrays Wukong as a symbol of resistance. In that sense it rejects the original ending of Journey to the West in which Wukong becomes one of the Buddhas and part of the system. However the game also adopts a darker more realist and conspiratorial interpretation of the journey portraying it as a Machiavellian scheme planned by various powerful gods. In this sense the game stays true to the original novel while departing from popular animated movies like (Havoc in Heaven)"
X Link 2024-08-31T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"As I said in numerous occasions in-kind transfers are the major part of Chinese welfare state and public healthcare/education is the bulk of it. Not capturing them and only focusing on cash transfers is misunderstanding the basic reality. This new World Bank paper shows how in-kind health & education transfers are the main form of socioeconomic redistribution in China and offers sound recommendations: larger share of PIT healthcare user fees and transfers h/t @berthofmanecon via @MariaAnaLugo https://t.co/5Ij4gpPxBr This new World Bank paper shows how in-kind health & education transfers are"
X Link 2024-09-06T14:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This clarification is shocking. Only [-----] companies registered in China in the best year in the past [--] years My above-scale industrial firm dataset in [----] has more firms than the entire chart Since arriving in China meetings founders and VCs have left me with a very dim view of the current state affairs. Things are so bad. In [----] [-----] new startups were founded. Last year that number was down to [----]. It took a while for that number to sink in. https://t.co/oCeO2sAssc Since arriving in China meetings founders and VCs have left me with a very dim view of the current state affairs. Things"
X Link 2024-09-12T15:55Z [----] followers, 50.2K engagements

"Its unreal to see @EleanorOlcott questioning the source why they didnt gate-keep FOR her. I would be surprised if IT Juzi EVER used that chart to say startup number in general collapsed 98% in China. But the data itself just shouldnt pass the smell test of anyone serious. @wenfeixiang I find it strange that I checked these details carefully with It Juzi before and sent the chart before pub. IT Juzi has also published the same chart before in previous reports I was merely updating it. Can you explain why you changed your position after the piece came out @wenfeixiang I find it strange that I"
X Link 2024-09-15T06:50Z [----] followers, 24.5K engagements

"2022 is ancient history for energy transition in China. The solar/wind share reached 23% in May [----] clean energy reached 44%"
X Link 2024-10-16T13:04Z [----] followers, 31.3K engagements

"It turns out a mistake by Dem to keep the Trump tariffs. Its essentially trading a core issue (cumulative inflation) for a subset of a peripheral issue (China trade). NBER paper estimates all tariffs are passed onto consumers. Eliminating tariffs in 2022d be low-hanging fruit"
X Link 2024-11-07T01:49Z [----] followers, 40.8K engagements

"From Shanghai Halloween to Zhenzhou Cycling Chinese youngsters are organising politically innocuous collective actions in unprecedented scales. Algorithm-aided viral mobilisation easily solicit overwhelming crowds that municipal governments scrabbled to put forceful ends to those activities. Even the most sophisticated state machines are barely coping with this new era"
X Link 2024-11-09T09:33Z [----] followers, 36.4K engagements

"There is a reason the domestic discourse on wasteful investment is mainly about wonder-building like the photo below in Dushan County instead of the worlds highest bridges in Guizhou etc.because there are actual people from Guizhou on Chinese Internet and saying they dont deserve infrastructure to their face is pretty rude"
X Link 2024-11-26T10:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I taught Dutch Disease in my political economy class. My Classical Chinese colleague heard about it and instantly recognised thats ancient China philosopher Guan Zhongs (700-645 BC) strategy to trick the neighbour state to abandon agriculture by stimulating non-agricultural demand in trade with them (). Guan Zhongs thinking was physiocratic in an era of interstate rivalry which meant trade could be cut off and war was frequent. Prudent statesmen should prioritise agriculture and achieve self-sufficiency. I then searched whether Ancient Greece had parallel thinking and found none. After all in"
X Link 2024-12-12T15:41Z [----] followers, 93.2K engagements

"China is currently experiencing 1% deflation (official PPI) alongside 4% nominal growth*. That makes the suitable comparison not Japan or any post-war era economies but the United States 19th-century Long Depression (1873-1896). Despite its name the Long Depression was misleading for the U.S. which saw real per capita growth exceeding 4.5% and nominal GDP growth over 3% during the period. The [----] financial market panic cast an outsized shadow over economic advancements even as the US surpassed Britain and became the largest economy of that time. China now share key similarities with the US"
X Link 2024-12-30T15:07Z [----] followers, 114.8K engagements

"Eating in China truffles foie gras caviar all become so cheap that they appear on so many mid-tier menus I encountered. I just learned that a single county in Anhui province Huoqiu is producing [----] tons of foie gras a year. Here is a pic of truffle on lily [--] RMB ($10.5)"
X Link 2025-01-01T06:03Z [----] followers, 29.9K engagements

"@bri4nr33d @f4talStrategies @quantian1 @sasuke___420 a Song dynasty poem implying my self wouldnt be alive to see the said thing to happen but my grandchildren can tell me once that happened through sacrificial rituals"
X Link 2025-01-08T04:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"When American TikTok refugees emigrated to Xiaohongshu and found out Maye Musk is already established there.😂"
X Link 2025-01-13T15:39Z [----] followers, 15.4K engagements

"A TikTok refugee describes the Chinese on Rednote as looking so much less traumatized. It immediately reminds me of what Chen Danqing a famous Chinese liberal artist observed about Americans during his first visit to the U.S. in the 1980s: They all have a face thats never been bullied. Of course both statements reflect more about the speakers relationship with their home country than about their subjects. This Patricia Buckley Ebrey quote from Cambridge Illustrated History of China (p.334) remains remarkably fitting for today: "China has often served as the perfect other for the west as the"
X Link 2025-01-15T15:04Z [----] followers, 14.9K engagements

"Yes all official media reporting as of now has been celebrating overseas users on Xiaohongshu because its has been a net positive to Chinese soft power AND domestic support. It would take a major incident to prompt the government to do a U-turn. Not impossible but anticlimactic. So far h/t to @lelan_hu the response from Beijing has been pretty positive. Translation (from ChatGTP) of the text in the attached image follows: From "TikTok refugees" flocking to our social media software to "China Travel" becoming a global trend; from Li Ziqi's short https://t.co/CldkXIaulL So far h/t to @lelan_hu"
X Link 2025-01-17T04:13Z [----] followers, 18.7K engagements

"On a side note this reminds me of my colleague Li Pang Kwongs theory on Hong Kongs political transition from the British rule. Hong Kong government didnt maintain its quality post-1997 even when it retained full autonomy because the governing knowhows of British Empire and the Colonial Office was suddenly cut off while Beijing initially adopted an non-interventionist principle to leave HK to HK elites who were excluded from decisionmaking roles by the British. The facade of a smooth transition masked a deep drought of expertise at the top"
X Link 2025-01-20T04:09Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements

"DeepSeek was founded in [----] the rock bottom of the figure. Quantity is not quality. Also the database now shows [----] and [----] have thousands more companies. Its as if the database suffers a time lag problem and is not supposed to be used to gauge real-time innovation. Since arriving in China meetings founders and VCs have left me with a very dim view of the current state affairs. Things are so bad. In [----] [-----] new startups were founded. Last year that number was down to [----]. It took a while for that number to sink in. https://t.co/oCeO2sAssc Since arriving in China meetings founders and"
X Link 2025-01-28T02:08Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements

"Yet the stock market collapsed. Its as if ROI is not a measure of productivity but a measure of how much productivity is gated behind a paywall. DeepSeek and what happened yesterday: Probably the largest positive tfp shock in the history of the world. DeepSeek and what happened yesterday: Probably the largest positive tfp shock in the history of the world"
X Link 2025-01-31T06:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I agree that China should have a fiscal consolidation and replenish the welfare state especially for the rural population. However ironically if those measures really substantially improve domestic consumption Chinas manufacturing will be more dominant instead of less. Higher sales lead to better economies of scale and even lower costs. Chinas manufacturing is not resource-constrained but demand-constrained and the huge domestic market has been the reason why Chinese producers can scale and be competitive in the first place. I would further argue that this is what we are seeing in the past 20"
X Link 2025-02-21T02:03Z [----] followers, 82K engagements

"@pretentiouswhat Are they holding some secret data to justify their out-of-touchness They act like trade surplus with the US is 15.7% of Chinese GDP instead of 1.57%"
X Link 2025-04-05T11:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Interesting. Peak Hans central region was richer than peak Romes central region. But the rest of Han and its average were poorer than Romes. Neat Newly-published data on incomes and inequality within and between regions in Rome vis--vis China. https://t.co/RdDtbzm5VD Neat Newly-published data on incomes and inequality within and between regions in Rome vis--vis China. https://t.co/RdDtbzm5VD"
X Link 2025-04-06T02:46Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements

"Chinas new retirement age for males born in 1970/12 is [----] and females is [-----]. With life expectancy [----] vs [--] and Chinas much longer working hours (2450 hrs vs 1563) Chinese work [----] hours for [--] year of retirement while Danes need to work for [----] hours. NEWS: Today the retirement age in Denmark has been raised to [--] for people born after the end of [----]. NEWS: Today the retirement age in Denmark has been raised to [--] for people born after the end of 1970"
X Link 2025-05-23T05:39Z [----] followers, 60.1K engagements

"Illuminating discussion on the fiscal origins of the inevitability of Soviets reforms failure. I wonder whether this explains Chinas obsession with its consumer goods producer power: it basically makes it inflation-proof and in turn fiscal-crisis-proof. Gorbachev conceded geopolitical interests to beg for Western loans to maintain Soviet living standards during the reform because Soviet needed foreign currency to import consumer goods. That is unthinkable for todays China. And frankly even a trillion more USD would probably be useless for Chinas domestic problems. In light of the debate about"
X Link 2025-06-14T14:18Z [----] followers, 13.8K engagements

"The only six railway lines are profitable is a myth. The original source is from a [----] article by National Business Daily reporting their exclusive finding at least six lines are profitable by [----] and those are the exact six lines listed in every article since then. It's interesting that Chinese people mostly seem to use high-speed rail as a fast commuter rail. Except for the Beijing-to-Shanghai line the profitable lines are almost all between cities that are [---] miles apart. https://t.co/17kPXzvsMs It's interesting that Chinese people mostly seem to use high-speed rail as a fast commuter"
X Link 2025-06-20T01:59Z [----] followers, 42K engagements

"Tbh this comes more down to the automatic low confidence in indigenous tech among Chinas finance/VC people than anything institutional/technical/concrete. Outdated narrative-driven scam-scared. A Chinese AI researcher said ChatGPT could never have originated from China. What do people make of this view From @_KarenHaos book Empire of AI https://t.co/yauToKEvX7 A Chinese AI researcher said ChatGPT could never have originated from China. What do people make of this view From @_KarenHaos book Empire of AI https://t.co/yauToKEvX7"
X Link 2025-06-29T05:33Z [----] followers, 13.4K engagements

"The irony is that when China rapidly expands domestic production Pettis claims it doesn't improve workers' welfare either. Typical Pettis nonsense. He's arguing lower food prices doesn't help consumer. But cheaper food just means you have more money left over for other things. That's literally makes us richer. Also half of imports go into our production literally making us more productive https://t.co/bOKUlmz4Si Typical Pettis nonsense. He's arguing lower food prices doesn't help consumer. But cheaper food just means you have more money left over for other things. That's literally makes us"
X Link 2025-08-14T04:15Z [----] followers, 26K engagements

"Yet somehow Chongqings life expectancy is five years longer than Mississippians. [----] vs [----]. Mississippi is simply is much richer than China. Everyone whining about how price differences obscure GDP isn't wholly wrong but even correcting for those and measuring solely on the basis of consumption you get this: America is very wealthy. https://t.co/k57hGhrTHh Mississippi is simply is much richer than China. Everyone whining about how price differences obscure GDP isn't wholly wrong but even correcting for those and measuring solely on the basis of consumption you get this: America is very"
X Link 2025-08-17T02:55Z [----] followers, 123.7K engagements

"@briankturner101 That actually implies consumption is an inferior measure of welfare"
X Link 2025-08-17T03:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@StatisticUrban Not disputing the nominal consumption figure maybe the ICP conversion factor is too conservative (Numbeo shows CQs living costs is 1/3 of Jackson MS and purchasing power is just 20% lower) and Chinese household typically save 1/3 of their disposable income"
X Link 2025-08-17T15:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@D_y_m_y_z Thats our goal. Shanghai/Beijing has reached 83"
X Link 2025-08-17T15:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"As an only child I recently had a powerful realization that once my parents pass away in old age I wont see their resemblance in anyone else except my own child. When I shared this to my only-child Chinese peers they never thought of this and panicked"
X Link 2025-08-23T12:02Z [----] followers, 13.7K engagements

"Oversea Chinese holding ceremonies to push for unification with government consulates and local politicians attending has literally been going on across the globe for decadesThe first large-scale one was in Berlin [----]. I wonder why its suddenly political interference. JUST POSTED: How China Influences Elections in Americas Biggest City - a New York Times investigation with @byjayroot @biancapallaro @Fahrenthold https://t.co/TLaznZbkrD via @NYTimes JUST POSTED: How China Influences Elections in Americas Biggest City - a New York Times investigation with @byjayroot @biancapallaro @Fahrenthold"
X Link 2025-08-26T03:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The [----] ICP's finding that the PRC's price levels are 80% of Hong Kong's is incredible. I suspect the sample was limited to Shanghai or Shenzhen but even for those cities 80% seems far too high"
X Link 2025-09-24T13:34Z [----] followers, 72.1K engagements

"Last year the Golden Week has [--] days this year its has [--] days. So the per-day measure is unfair. Average spending per capita drops 1% YOY. Total revenue grew 15% per-day revenue grew 1%. Indeed ARPU is indifferent from Labour Day and Spring Festival which both grew 1% YOY. During the Golden Week holiday average daily spending per tourist fell 13% year-on-year to [-----] yuan highlighting persistent weakness in domestic consumption and the need for stronger policy support. https://t.co/kllC1Gy7KH During the Golden Week holiday average daily spending per tourist fell 13% year-on-year to 113.9"
X Link 2025-10-10T03:50Z [----] followers, 29.5K engagements

"It's rather astonishing that China has the second highest real household consumption growth since [----] across ALL countries from small to large. Source: @WorldBank"
X Link 2025-10-18T14:20Z [----] followers, 129.9K engagements

"After reading through an array of tweets on the latest Chinese macro data no one seems to ever report service retail sales (YTD 5.2% YoY). Because it is a new series created by the NBS only in 2023/8 and was never incorporated into the formatted report and is only reported semi-casually in monthly press conferences in the form of YTD growth not even by month. A friend covering Chinese internet companies at a major bank didnt even know that this series exists and said their internal macro feeds never report it just like all the China wire accounts on X. And this is a major lapse because retail"
X Link 2025-10-20T13:12Z [----] followers, 20.2K engagements

"@policytensor I was looking at the same data yesterday In fact Chinese 19-year-old women are the tallest Asian women besides Lebanese women"
X Link 2025-10-21T11:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Im not surprised after the fact that Lutnick believed that Chinas entire trade surplus was due to trade with the U.S. what Bessent seriously thought Li Chenggang had been fired what Bessent seriously thought Li Chenggang had been fired"
X Link 2025-10-26T02:11Z [----] followers, 50.8K engagements

"Being exposed to high doses of certain contexts is indeed essential to understanding texts. Thats why sending American students to Taiwan can hardly substitute having students in mainland China for the preparation of future China scholars"
X Link 2025-10-26T08:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"TIL China's urban workers truly have the best pension scheme in the world: retire at [--] (55 for female) net replacement rates (pension/pre-retire earnings) at 88% (70.1%) while OECD retire at [--] on average at 61% replacement rate. Yet they still save 1/3 of disposable income"
X Link 2025-10-30T06:49Z [----] followers, 55.5K engagements

""When a whale falls ten thousand things are born." Shanghai's [----] Halloween parade stunned the world. I even showed my UVA students meme-inspired costumes from it sparking appreciative laughter. The event also attracted young people from all over the country who flocked to the scene via high-speed rail. In [----] the crackdown in Shanghai driven by safety concerns led to neighboring Hangzhou and the more distant Wuhan and Guangzhou beginning to emerge as nascent "Halloween capitals." By [----] young people in countless cities began celebrating locally. On Douyin livestreams from north to"
X Link 2025-11-01T07:26Z [----] followers, 28.9K engagements

"China a place that generational change can happen in a month. Chinas auto sales fell in October after spiking in the previous month as the countrys car market faces pressure from the younger generations reluctance to buy cars. https://t.co/9IAg9fhEAB Chinas auto sales fell in October after spiking in the previous month as the countrys car market faces pressure from the younger generations reluctance to buy cars. https://t.co/9IAg9fhEAB"
X Link 2025-11-12T06:36Z [----] followers, 22.5K engagements

"@MoatlessCapital People flock to government jobs mostly for stability than pension. Pension is a function of both contribution years and wage which is lower in public sector controlling for employee quality"
X Link 2025-12-07T01:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"True there are students coming to the US graduate school for a F1 visa itself than academic ideals but for them the more rational and adopted route is "master out" and get industry jobs with a US masters degree [--] years into the program instead of going through the 6-year-long Econ PhD. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016444395269353891 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016444395269353891"
X Link 2026-01-28T09:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@vshih2 Free tokens during Thanksgiving"
X Link 2026-02-02T08:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"I defended my dissertation today Thanks to my Chair Melanie Manion and my committee members @EddyMalesky Daniel and Erik I am joining @CsccPenn as a postdoctoral fellow this fall"
X Link 2022-05-26T22:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Somehow I went to visit Li Wenliangs weibo today to see what people are saying in THE spiritual corner of Chinese internet at this critical moment. Only to find out today is his birthday. Happy Birthday Dr. Li"
X Link 2022-10-14T18:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Taiwan is the latest example to exit Zero-Covid and has a similar elderly share (15%) with mainland China. [-----] Covid deaths are recorded since May [--]. If Beijing extrapolates from this figure they will expect 700k Chinese dying in five months. Hard to accept for BJ"
X Link 2022-10-20T03:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"And it is a wild bet to think mainland can perform as well as Taiwan given CN vaccines need [--] doses to achieve the same protection of 2-dose mRNA and Taiwan has a better funded healthcare system"
X Link 2022-10-20T03:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Letting people protest can be a way for local officials to absolve themselves from the impossible zero-Covid task: construct a conflict between social stability and zero-Covid such that reopening is a necessary act to maintain stability and they can still claim loyalty"
X Link 2022-11-27T06:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Baidu search intensity showing "Fever" "Test Positive" and "Sore throat" surging in multiple Chinese cities since early December. The early opener city Baoding's spread started to surge in mid-November and is already peaking"
X Link 2022-12-10T03:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"For Chinese readers who are interested in the critical few days leading up to the exit of Zero Covid at the end of November read this Caixin long article that covers so many details on the ground in the transition period. https://weekly.caixin.com/2022-12-02/101973681.htmlp0#page2 https://weekly.caixin.com/2022-12-02/101973681.htmlp0#page2"
X Link 2022-12-14T02:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Shanghai is still requiring [--] hr testing result to get vaccinated. My parents cancelled their vaccine trip because the testing site is the most dangerous place right now. This conundrum is harming vaccination drive"
X Link 2022-12-18T06:27Z [----] followers, 53.5K engagements

"@dwallacewells @Noahpinion The HK and Singapore articles are not that diverging. SG article finds 3-dose mRNA statistically more effective than 3-dose Sinovac but the substantive difference is small. A incidence rate ratio of [---] is just a difference between 94% risk reduction and 96% (6%:4%)"
X Link 2022-12-25T05:24Z [----] followers, 63.8K engagements

"The point is 3-dose mRNA is REALLY GOOD in preventing hospitalisation such that a [---] incidence rate ratio means 3-dose Sinovac is also pretty good. We need as many as possible Chinese to get vaccinated and these comparisons distract people and add hesitancy. @dwallacewells @Noahpinion The HK and Singapore articles are not that diverging. SG article finds 3-dose mRNA statistically more effective than 3-dose Sinovac but the substantive difference is small. A incidence rate ratio of [---] is just a difference between 94% risk reduction and 96% (6%:4%). @dwallacewells @Noahpinion The HK and"
X Link 2022-12-25T05:54Z [----] followers, 91.9K engagements

"A state-subsidised private-run community canteen in China. A buffet lunch/dinner at [--] for elderly and others at [--]. At least two dozens not-bad dishes. Manager says 100-200 meals served per day. Saw [--] staffs/cooks. Even with free rent this business needs subsidies to run"
X Link 2023-06-07T09:15Z [----] followers, 12.9K engagements

"Another factor is China relies on in-kind transfer to redistribute very much. It accounts for 6.7% of GDP in [----] and is consumed by households but paid by government. This would put China on par with Australia in stead of an outlier"
X Link 2023-06-29T01:03Z [----] followers, 32.1K engagements

"Recent Career Update: I've transitioned to the University of Virginia as the Global China Postdoctoral Fellow at @Uva_EAC. While I cherish my time at @CsccPenn I am immensely grateful for the mentorship and guidance from @jdelisle21 @Yangguobin @NeysunM and Yuanyuan Zeng"
X Link 2023-08-22T14:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I'm heartened to see that @TheEconomist has highlighted the concept of Social Transfer in Kind which I've long advocated for as playing a underappreciated role in China's household consumption. I am also quoted for using community canteens as examples. https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/10/how-economists-have-underestimated-chinese-consumption https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/10/how-economists-have-underestimated-chinese-consumption"
X Link 2023-10-11T00:57Z [----] followers, 42.3K engagements

"It was a great pleasure to give a Deep Dive lecture on China's social security system to the insightful Schwarzman Scholars at Tsinghua @SchwarzmanOrg I hope I instilled some hope into young people regarding their anxiety about their pensions in [--] years"
X Link 2024-01-12T18:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"In my new article for @SCID__journal I find that the scale of state-owned firm layoffs in the late 1990s drove the increase in social security tax of private firms in the 2000s. The need to appease potential collective action of highly organized SOE workers precipitated China's welfare state. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12116-024-09429-z https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12116-024-09429-z"
X Link 2024-05-09T22:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I reverse-engineered the chart and find out where the data come from. It's just listed firms in ItJuzi's website with no filter except for years and domestic. The website itself puts a caveat saying: "Please note that the companies listed here on IT Juzi do not represent all startup companies. Due to limitations in information sources and channels as well as delays in the recording process not all startups can be included in a timely manner. However we are always committed to including more and better startups and we welcome everyone to provide various leads and sources.""
X Link 2024-09-13T10:37Z [----] followers, 21.4K engagements

"Here are some wasteful investment examples western economists should use not bridges or high speed railways or even apartments that can be turned into public housing The sprawling Dayong Town complex was supposed to be a game-changer for the central Chinese city of Zhangjiajie. The vast tourist area which reportedly cost over [---] billion yuan ($300 million) to build encompasses an entire town designed to evoke ancient China with ornate https://t.co/ojKZnjj09p The sprawling Dayong Town complex was supposed to be a game-changer for the central Chinese city of Zhangjiajie. The vast tourist area"
X Link 2024-11-26T10:39Z [----] followers, 47.5K engagements

"It comes down to Gaokao (College admission exam) as well. Each college has different grade requirements for different majors. Studying a niche language may be the only way to get into a more prestigious school for an ambitious underperformed student. Incredible anecdote that reveals one of the reasons why China has been much influential in Africa than the US has https://t.co/cyDUkWQRJT Incredible anecdote that reveals one of the reasons why China has been much influential in Africa than the US has https://t.co/cyDUkWQRJT"
X Link 2024-12-03T01:47Z [----] followers, 12.3K engagements

"I dont know why we still need vibe checks when we can read clear infos like below. My recent trip to Beijing told me one thing about anecdote: my tech friend that got a pay raise stayed silent when my finance friend paraphrasing Gao Shanwens doom. 1/ After [--] months of better activity data in September and October the gradual recovery continues into November. The main private demand indicators combined with PMI surveys show a recovery in our nowcast GDP growth in Q4 to 8.1% from 2% in Q3 https://t.co/9nqlIUgJeV 1/ After [--] months of better activity data in September and October the gradual"
X Link 2024-12-20T02:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Chinas Engel coef. is calculated with household survey item food/tobacco/alcohol. In the latest [----] data it accounts for 29.7% of avg. consumption 20.3% of avg. disposable income. Tobacco/alcohol accounts 3% of consumption so food alone is 26.7% and 18.2% respectively. @besttrousers Chinese government posts their Engel Coefficient (share of income spent on food at home & in person) and it is 30% https://t.co/1k2hBNGdF8 @besttrousers Chinese government posts their Engel Coefficient (share of income spent on food at home & in person) and it is 30% https://t.co/1k2hBNGdF8"
X Link 2025-01-18T09:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Talked with a Bytedance engineer in Shenzhen. He thinks the internal consensus is that algorithm of TikTok/Douyin is not even the best in China Kuaishous is better (in getting people engaged). The core asset is the chaotic ecosystem of creators/users/business/platform/management formed around TikTok and between TT and Bytedance that offer quick and great monetary reward to good content. It means Bytedance itself may not be able to recreate it if a ban upsets this ecosystem. It also means even if the algorithm is sold the TikTok US may not be as successful without decisionmaking informed by"
X Link 2025-01-20T03:57Z [----] followers, 82.9K engagements

"Too many people still use Chinas survey-based household income share without social transfer in kind (44%) to compare with an imagined international normal of 60-70% which are from national accounts and include social transfers. By the same calibre China is at 69% in [----]. Historically reforming the income distribution has always been the hardest. If China were to raise household disposable income from the current 44% of GDP to the internationally normal 60-70% it would lead to a reduction in the power of the government and a reduction in the Historically reforming the income distribution has"
X Link 2025-03-25T14:28Z [----] followers, 42.3K engagements

"Important stats to numerically test the claim that China will be hit hard by tariffs because of reexports. 20% of Chinas GDP is manuf. exports; 65% of that is domestic value-added; 20% of thats final demand is from the US: total exposure to U.S. demand is .2x.2x.65=2.5%. Full piece available on @TheTerminal. https://t.co/I1YhThJIRJ 2/ https://t.co/rBPhPX80cI Full piece available on @TheTerminal. https://t.co/I1YhThJIRJ 2/ https://t.co/rBPhPX80cI"
X Link 2025-04-07T06:25Z [----] followers, 390.8K engagements

"The formula would return 2.6%. But export share of GDP is actually 19% so 2.47% to be precise"
X Link 2025-04-07T07:47Z [----] followers, 14K engagements

"Ironic that he spoke of negotiations with other countries in the same breath as if that strength his hand. The more deals he cuts with third parties the more meaningless the tariff wall with China. Yesterday China issued Retaliatory Tariffs of 34% on top of their already record setting Tariffs Non-Monetary Tariffs Illegal Subsidization of companies and massive long term Currency Manipulation despite my warning that any country that Retaliates against the U.S. by Yesterday China issued Retaliatory Tariffs of 34% on top of their already record setting Tariffs Non-Monetary Tariffs Illegal"
X Link 2025-04-07T16:50Z [----] followers, 17.4K engagements

"The upper limit of loss in Chinese GDP is capped at 2.5% and any sourcing from China through third parties into the U.S. is a win. The worst case scenario for China is actually the U.S. destroyed its internal demand completely with across-the-board tariffs. https://x.com/hongshenzhu/status/1909130423416013221s=46 https://x.com/hongshenzhu/status/1909130423416013221s=46"
X Link 2025-04-07T18:19Z [----] followers, 37.7K engagements

"Interesting. Lutnick believes Chinas real trade surplus with the US is just under one trillion dollars including reexports. Thats equivalent to the entirety of Chinas trade surplus. So there is no real demand in the world apart from the US Secretary @howardlutnick: "China chose the path of going against @POTUS. He said don't retaliate. and that's what happened. We are their biggest client by FAR. they can't afford to be without us and that's where we are today." https://t.co/LsMadk9oKE Secretary @howardlutnick: "China chose the path of going against @POTUS. He said don't retaliate. and that's"
X Link 2025-04-10T14:58Z [----] followers, 18.1K engagements

"I had the privilege of being taken care of by three grandmothers who were my caregivers during my childhood. Coincidentally all of them retired in [----] despite being born over a decade apart. Two of them retired early in their 40s during the massive SOE layoff. One of them retired at the age of [--] from a nursing job. My Shanghai granny and my Anhui nurse granny saw their pensions increase from 200-300 to 4-5k per month while my paternal granny who was an Anhui worker got increases from a meagre [---] to 2k. After [--] yrs in retirement even the late retiree is close to get 1:1 work:retirement"
X Link 2025-05-28T04:01Z [----] followers, 14.5K engagements

"Not to mention how outdated [----] data is (ridership from 1.1b to 3.2b) even the six lines are not exhaustive in [----]. Nanchang-Jiujiang line apparently achieved profitability since [----] and not included in the [----] article. This is largely due to the opaque reporting of CR"
X Link 2025-06-20T02:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@vshih2 Its and accounts for 6.9% of that in 2021"
X Link 2025-08-17T06:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@RushDoshi But China is not even the poorer country on this top [--] list"
X Link 2025-10-18T16:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"But China is not even the poorer country on this top [--] list. Not so sure growth from a low base is all that astonishing especially when the total is far below its level in comparable economies. Chinese mercantilism financially represses the countrys workers and consumers for the benefit of industry and exporters. Not so sure growth from a low base is all that astonishing especially when the total is far below its level in comparable economies. Chinese mercantilism financially represses the countrys workers and consumers for the benefit of industry and exporters"
X Link 2025-10-18T16:36Z [----] followers, 10.9K engagements

"Once a Chinese-speaking American scholar and I passed by a slogan called (under the same blue sky) over a school in rural China she interpreted it as an environmentalist slogan but I recognised immediately that its a phrase reserved for education equality. One of the most challenging things about reading Chinese official documents is that you cant read them as standalone texts. Each text is full of phrases and lines that reference other texts forming a densely interconnected semantic network. Without catching the references One of the most challenging things about reading Chinese official"
X Link 2025-10-26T08:52Z [----] followers, 57.9K engagements

"The glaring difference between urban workers and rural residents is increasingly recognized in the mainstream. The 15th Five Year Plan for the first time calls to "implement the national coordination system for basic pension insurance.gradually increase the basic pension for urban and rural residents." Currently the social security system is still fragmented across provincial lines and average workers pension is [--] times higher than rural pension (3000/month vs. [---] yuan)"
X Link 2025-10-30T06:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@ethanruns Only half of bodies are cremated in China and govt promotes cremation to save land. The rate rises steadily from its low point 47% in [----] when rural elders committed suicide to resist cremation reform. In 20-21 MCA data 20.12mm deaths 11.52mm cremated 57% cremation rate"
X Link 2022-12-03T22:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Doesnt look like the early industralizers respected any caps. Part of Beijings messaging problem is that - the rhetoric of Made in China [----] - dual circulation - and seizing industrial revolutions has left the world feeling Beijing wants to increase its share of global manufacturing (already 35%) at their expense. Part of Beijings messaging problem is that - the rhetoric of Made in China [----] - dual circulation - and seizing industrial revolutions has left the world feeling Beijing wants to increase its share of global manufacturing (already 35%) at their expense"
X Link 2024-05-18T19:26Z [----] followers, 17.6K engagements

"Thats when you understand how many analyses are just vibe-checking and tide-riding. the r1 drop should be setting off alarm bells in the entire western capitalist apparatus. for the first time in a while im genuinely afraid the u.s. is losing its dominanceits influence its capacity to innovate & its ability to outcompete on a global scale. the core issue the r1 drop should be setting off alarm bells in the entire western capitalist apparatus. for the first time in a while im genuinely afraid the u.s. is losing its dominanceits influence its capacity to innovate & its ability to outcompete on"
X Link 2025-01-25T07:29Z [----] followers, 29.6K engagements

"The Chinese internet periodically sees public outcry over various governance failures from public health to food safety. The government has weathered each of them by pledging rectification and punishing officials. Do these efforts restore trust and leave the government unscathed We find that such corrections only work for citizens without firsthand knowledge of similar crises in the past"
X Link 2025-03-13T01:58Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@HongshenZhu
/creator/twitter::HongshenZhu