[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

# ![@HedgieMarkets Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936.png) @HedgieMarkets Hedgie

Concerns are growing about the financial stability of companies heavily investing in AI, particularly those with significant debt and unproven profitability. Many experts warn of a potential bubble, citing the large amounts of money being spent on AI infrastructure and the lack of clear returns on investment. Layoffs and economic uncertainty are also on the rise, with some fearing a recession.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +41%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +1,627%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX +36%
- X Months XXX +209%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +3.20%
- X Month XXXXXX +35%
- X Months XXXXXX +308%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #5892 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXXX% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  XXXX% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 16.16%, [microsoft](/topic/microsoft) #520, [debt](/topic/debt) #301, [september](/topic/september) #370, [bank](/topic/bank) #2316, [open ai](/topic/open-ai) #1192, [balance sheet](/topic/balance-sheet) #1071, [stocks](/topic/stocks) #4355, [meta](/topic/meta) 3.03%, [bank of](/topic/bank-of) #275

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@frustrateddoe](/creator/undefined) [@explodemeow102](/creator/undefined) [@vilkinsons](/creator/undefined) [@pompetousity](/creator/undefined) [@stanraksin](/creator/undefined) [@fringeviews](/creator/undefined) [@noruserious](/creator/undefined) [@oldf500cfo](/creator/undefined) [@tvc15dm](/creator/undefined) [@pbaron9tx](/creator/undefined) [@theworststink](/creator/undefined) [@yoemsri](/creator/undefined) [@jupiteroceansun](/creator/undefined) [@jhochderffer](/creator/undefined) [@heyroberte](/creator/undefined) [@menoangel_](/creator/undefined) [@cryptobard1337](/creator/undefined) [@surrealist888](/creator/undefined) [@a_kmrx](/creator/undefined) [@underdogcap25](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/morgan-stanley) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBC)](/topic/$hsbc) [Bank of America (BAC)](/topic/bank-of-america) [IBM (IBM)](/topic/ibm) [Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD)](/topic/crowdstrike) [Salesforce Inc (CRM)](/topic/salesforce) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Dell Technologies, Inc. (DELL)](/topic/dell) [General Motors Company (GM)](/topic/general-motors)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"🦔Morgan Stanley is considering offloading some of its data center loan exposure through a significant risk transfer (SRT). The bank has held preliminary talks with investors about an SRT tied to loans to businesses involved in AI infrastructure. SRTs allow banks to hedge credit exposure and free up balance sheet capacity by selling credit-linked notes to institutional investors. The Exposure Morgan Stanley arranged over $XX billion in debt and $XXX billion in equity financing for Meta's Hyperion data center in Louisiana in October. The bank also led three junk bond offerings from TeraWulf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996718156304277631)  2025-12-04T23:08Z 21.5K followers, 8186 engagements


"🦔Goldman Sachs says the AI boom now looks like tech stocks did in 1997 several years before the dot-com bubble burst. The bank flagged five warning signs from the late 1990s investors should watch: peak investment spending falling corporate profits rising corporate debt Fed rate cuts and widening credit spreads. The Warnings Today Investment spending: Amazon Meta Microsoft Alphabet and Apple are on track to spend $XXX billion on capex in 2025. Corporate profits: S&P XXX margins at XXXX% above the five-year average of 12.1%. Corporate debt: Meta raised $XX billion in bonds in October. Most"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997392097104572850)  2025-12-06T19:46Z 21.5K followers, 33.4K engagements


"🦔HSBC built a model to figure out if OpenAI can actually pay for all the compute it's contracted. The answer is no. OpenAI has committed to $XXX billion in cloud compute from Microsoft and $XX billion from Amazon bringing contracted compute to XX gigawatts. Based on total deal value of up to $XXX trillion HSBC estimates OpenAI is heading for data center rental bills of about $XXX billion a year though only a third of that capacity comes online by 2030. The Math HSBC projects OpenAI's cumulative rental costs at $XXX billion through 2030 rising to $XXX trillion by 2033. Against that they"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1993836166563676184)  2025-11-27T00:16Z 21.5K followers, 1M engagements


"🦔American AI startups are increasingly using free Chinese open-source models like DeepSeek's R1 and Alibaba's Qwen instead of expensive US systems from OpenAI and Anthropic. NBC spoke to over XX founders and engineers who said Chinese models are cheaper more customizable and now sufficiently capable. Dayflow founder says XX% of users choose open-source models and paying for closed-model usage can cost up to $1000 per person. Of the top XX models in coding app Kilo Code seven are Chinese. The Numbers Chinese models now closely approach or match leading American closed models in many domains."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996362059890454850)  2025-12-03T23:33Z 21.5K followers, 44.8K engagements


"🦔Bank of America says the AI boom isn't heading for a 2000-style bubble burst but warns investors should brace for an "air pocket." The five hyperscalers issued $XXX billion in debt this year to fund AI infrastructure four times their average annual debt from the past five years with another $XXX billion expected in 2026. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said there's no way to get a return: "$8 trillion of capex means you need roughly $XXX billion of profit just to pay for the interest." What This Means AI infrastructure supply increased over 1000% from 2024 to 2025. Data center capex surged 53%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996376406062952726)  2025-12-04T00:30Z 21.5K followers, 23.6K engagements


"🦔Microsoft Teams is rolling out automatic location tracking in January 2026 that will inform employers when workers connect to office Wi-Fi. The feature will be off by default with administrators deciding whether to enable it. The update automatically shows which building employees are in as soon as they connect. The Context Surveys show many workers would rather take pay cuts or quit than work in offices full-time. At least one survey indicated employees feel more productive at home. A study from earlier this year found the most productive workers spend nearly two and a half hours resting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996641652593631453)  2025-12-04T18:04Z 21.5K followers, 6454 engagements


"🦔Cisco stock still hasn't recovered from its dot-com crash XX years later. The company hit an all-time high of $XXXXX on March XX 2000 briefly dethroning Microsoft as the world's most valuable company as the dominant router manufacturer powering the internet revolution. Then it plummeted more than XX% when the bubble burst. Shares recently surged XX% and are approaching $XX again just XXX% away from that 2000 peak. Its current market cap of $XXX billion is only X% of Nvidia's $XXX trillion. What Happened After the crash Cisco's hardware became a widely available commodity erasing its"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996950437128450512)  2025-12-05T14:31Z 21.5K followers, 8040 engagements


"🦔A China-based hacking group called ShadyPanda infected over XXX million computers through browser extensions on Chrome and Edge. The extensions were legitimate for years before being updated with malicious code in 2024. One called Clean Master had 200000+ users and held Google's 'Featured' and 'Verified' badges. Another called WeTab has X million installs and is still live on Microsoft Edge along with four others. The malicious code turned extensions into spyware that collected browsing data and sent it in real time to servers in China. What to Do Open Chrome or Edge and navigate to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997074756135469308)  2025-12-05T22:45Z 21.5K followers, 5166 engagements


"🦔Researchers found that YouTube users are adopting words like "underscore" "comprehend" "bolster" "swift" "inquiry" and "meticulous" after ChatGPT's release. Reddit moderators of subreddits like r/AmItheAsshole say they're struggling to detect AI posts because humans are now writing like AI. One mod explained: "AI is trained off people and people copy what they see other people doing. People become more like AI and AI becomes more like people." The Evidence UK Parliament members were accused of using ChatGPT to write speeches because they kept using "I rise to speak" an American phrase used"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998096952756519176)  2025-12-08T18:26Z 21.5K followers, 3788 engagements


"🦔Japan's economy shrank XXX% annualized in Q3 worse than the initial XXX% estimate and the first contraction in six quarters. Business spending and housing investment came in weaker than preliminary figures. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi unveiled a XXXX trillion ($114 billion) stimulus package the largest fresh spending since the pandemic including utility subsidies tax cuts and wage support for smaller firms. The government estimates the package will lift GDP by XXX percentage points per year for three years. The BOJ Decision Overnight-indexed swaps show a XX% chance of a Bank of Japan rate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998130462720709060)  2025-12-08T20:40Z 21.5K followers, 2683 engagements


"🦔Regional U.S. banks flagged bad loan and fraud issues this week triggering broad selloffs. Zions disclosed $XX million in losses Western Alliance initiated a fraud lawsuit Fifth Third booked $XXX million in losses tied to Tricolor's bankruptcy and JPMorgan wrote off $XXX million. The KBW Regional Banking Index dropped XXX% this year while large-cap banks are up 15.9%. The Credit Deterioration Pattern Zions CEO said private credit carries the highest risk of losses given high growth and light regulation. Morningstar DBRS notes "asset quality metrics across banks have been deteriorating."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1981091438109905185)  2025-10-22T20:13Z 21.5K followers, 5578 engagements


"🦔Hedge fund giants are moving into private credit right as the sector shows cracks. Steve Cohen's Point72 is raising at least $X billion Millennium is raising $X billion and Jain Global raised $XXX million. They believe their ability to price risk and recruit talent gives them an edge in markets traditionally dominated by Blackstone Ares and Apollo. The Challenge Private credit boomed to $XXX trillion since 2008. But the skills that make great liquid-credit managers speed and derivatives don't translate to private lending where relationships matter and returns take years. Direct lending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1988658297751367700)  2025-11-12T17:21Z 21.5K followers, 3989 engagements


"🦔US consumer confidence dropped XXX points to XXXX in November the biggest decline in seven months and weaker than all economist estimates. The expectations gauge for the next six months hit the lowest level since April. The present conditions measure slumped to a more than one-year low. What's Driving It Hiring has been concentrated in just two industries health care and hospitality while job cuts in October hit the highest for that month since 2003. The unemployment rate keeps ticking higher and companies announced over XXX million layoffs this year. Consumers remain frustrated by"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1993379518300475617)  2025-11-25T18:01Z 21.4K followers, 6031 engagements


"🦔OpenAI is emailing users this morning confirming that a third-party analytics tool called Mixpanel exposed user data including names email addresses approximate locations from IP addresses browser and OS types and organization IDs. The breach occurred on November X but Mixpanel didn't share the affected dataset with OpenAI until November XX. What OpenAI Says The company claims ChatGPT users weren't affected and that chat content API usage passwords payment details and government IDs remain safe. The exposed data came from users of the API interface. OpenAI emphasized this "was not a breach"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994114729103532210)  2025-11-27T18:42Z 21.5K followers, 13.3K engagements


"🦔CrowdStrike found that DeepSeek-R1 produces code with severe security vulnerabilities up to XX% more often when prompts contain topics sensitive to the Chinese Communist Party. Mentioning Tibet Uyghurs or Falun Gong in a system prompt caused the AI to generate insecure code even though those words had nothing to do with the actual coding task. What They Found At baseline DeepSeek-R1 produced vulnerable code in XX% of cases. When told it was coding for a financial institution "based in Tibet" that jumped to 27.2%. In one test DeepSeek hard-coded secret values used insecure methods for user"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994126831474147806)  2025-11-27T19:31Z 21.5K followers, 5811 engagements


"🦔US stocks rose XXX% in thin post-holiday trading after the CME data center outage disrupted premarket activity. Volume was XX% below the 30-day average. The outage lasted longer than a similar incident in 2019 and affected multiple markets including gold futures and Comex options. Amazon gained as Black Friday shopping kicked off. The Week The S&P XXX posted its biggest weekly advance in five months helping stave off what would have been its first monthly loss since April. The index was down as much as XXX% earlier in November as stretched tech valuations rattled traders. Markets now price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994537286055362651)  2025-11-28T22:42Z 21.5K followers, 8190 engagements


"🦔Black Friday online spending hit a record $XXXX billion up XXX% from last year according to Adobe Analytics. AI-driven traffic to retail sites soared XXX% compared to last year as shoppers used chatbots to compare prices and find deals. Salesforce reported AI and agents influenced $XXXX billion in online sales globally on Black Friday with $X billion from the US alone. The Details Hot sellers included LEGO sets Pokemon cards Nintendo Switch PlayStation X Apple AirPods and KitchenAid mixers. Nearly half of shoppers surveyed said they used or plan to use AI for holiday shopping. Cyber Monday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994840882718412932)  2025-11-29T18:48Z 21.5K followers, 9746 engagements


"🦔This week's newsletter: OpenAI's $207B funding hole the hidden weakness behind Black Friday's record spending and why concentration risk keeps building everywhere you look. Read here:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995567383009001662)  2025-12-01T18:55Z 21.5K followers, 6703 engagements


"🦔US factory activity contracted for the ninth straight month in November. The ISM manufacturing index fell XXX points to XXXX below the XX level that separates expansion from contraction. Orders contracted at the fastest pace since July while backlogs shrank by the most in seven months. Factory employment contracted more steeply. The Details The prices paid index picked up for the first time in five months and sits about X points higher than a year ago. Eleven manufacturing industries contracted in November led by apparel wood products paper and textiles. Only four industries reported growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995580912658997734)  2025-12-01T19:49Z 21.5K followers, 3375 engagements


"🦔Two of China's largest private property data providers stopped releasing monthly home sales figures at the government's request. China Real Estate Information Corp. and China Index Academy were told by the housing bureau to suspend public disclosure until further notice. Financial institutions that pay for the data can still access it if they keep it confidential. The Timing The move came after China Vanke long considered one of the sector's healthier firms sought to postpone bond repayment for the first time last week. In October the available data showed new home sales for the top 100"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995604568575447268)  2025-12-01T21:23Z 21.5K followers, 9509 engagements


"🦔I keep seeing people call Michael Saylor's Strategy a Ponzi scheme so I wanted to walk through what's actually happening because the truth is more nuanced than the hot takes suggest. The Business Model and Numbers Strategy has no meaningful operating income. The company borrows money and issues stock to buy Bitcoin then issues preferred shares that pay 8-10% dividends to fund more borrowing. That cycle works as long as Bitcoin keeps going up and they can raise capital. They hold 650000 BTC acquired for $XXXXX billion or $74436 per coin. With Bitcoin around $86000 they're up about $8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995634489591038001)  2025-12-01T23:21Z 21.5K followers, 52.9K engagements


"🦔Amazon data centers in Morrow County Oregon are accelerating nitrate contamination in drinking water according to a Rolling Stone investigation. Some wells now show nitrate concentrations as high as XX parts per million which is XX times Oregon's limit of X ppm and seven times the federal limit. The rise in nitrates has been linked to a surge in rare cancers and miscarriages. How It Works Amazon's data centers pull tens of millions of gallons annually from the Lower Umatilla Basin aquifer to cool equipment. That water gets funneled to the local wastewater system which pumps it onto area"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995639548878225532)  2025-12-01T23:42Z 21.5K followers, 44.9K engagements


"🦔Real estate investors bought one-third of all single-family homes sold in Q2 2025 up from XX% in Q1 and the highest percentage in five years. While the share is higher the raw numbers are lower. Investors bought 16000 fewer homes than a year ago but overall home sales were much weaker which accounts for the gain in investor share. Investors continue to own about XX% of the XX million single-family homes in the country. Who's Buying and Selling Small investors (10 properties or less) account for over XX% of the investor market. Large institutional investors with 1000+ properties make up just"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995894634032087473)  2025-12-02T16:35Z 21.5K followers, 5046 engagements


"🦔Two new studies found serious flaws in how AI models reason through problems which matters more as they're used for medical advice therapy and tutoring. Stanford researchers tested XX leading AI models and found they struggle to distinguish between users' beliefs and facts. While newer models like OpenAI's O1 scored 90%+ on factual verification all models struggled when users reported false beliefs in first-person. Newer models scored only XX% accuracy older ones 52%. The Medical Problem Researchers at the University of Hong Kong tested six multi-agent AI systems (where multiple AI agents"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995981804579553726)  2025-12-02T22:22Z 21.4K followers, 20K engagements


"🦔I came across this credit card delinquency map and had to share it because the regional differences are stark. Mississippi leads at XX% followed by Louisiana at XX% and Alabama at 31%. The Deep South dominates the worst rates with several neighboring states exceeding 25%. Meanwhile states like Iowa (14%) and Florida (14%) show the lowest delinquency rates. The Midwest and Northeast mostly sit between 15-21%. My Take Over a third of credit card accounts in Mississippi went 30+ days past due in just one quarter. Louisiana and Alabama aren't far behind. Credit cards are usually the first thing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996042957393420328)  2025-12-03T02:25Z 21.5K followers, 73.7K engagements


"🦔Microsoft lowered sales growth targets for AI products across multiple divisions after many sales staff missed goals in the fiscal year ending June according to The Information. The report cited two Azure cloud salespeople who said it's rare for Microsoft to lower quotas for specific products. Shares fell over X% in premarket trading. The Context Microsoft reported record capex of nearly $XX billion in its fiscal Q1 and warned spending would rise. US tech giants are expected to spend around $XXX billion on AI this year. Microsoft has said it will remain short on AI capacity until at least"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996243277327356132)  2025-12-03T15:41Z 21.5K followers, 27K engagements


"@Crypto_bard1337 🦔That's really interesting. So even big companies are mixing and matching using ChatGPT for the main stuff but DeepSeek for documents and Qwen for embeddings. Makes total sense if they work just as well for those tasks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996381474409660453)  2025-12-04T00:50Z 21.4K followers, XXX engagements


"🦔Dell says roughly a billion PCs are still running Windows XX despite Microsoft ending mainstream support in October. During Dell's latest earnings call COO Jeffrey Clarke said XXX million Windows machines are too old to run Windows XX while another XXX million are capable but haven't upgraded yet. StatCounter data shows Windows XX installed on XXXXX% of desktops compared to Windows 11's 53.79%. The Upgrade Problem Windows XX launched in late 2021 with strict hardware requirements that prevent many seemingly capable machines from installing it forcing users to buy new hardware instead."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996408603293450695)  2025-12-04T02:37Z 21.5K followers, 19.2K engagements


"@PBaron9TX 🦔Good question. SRTs typically transfer the credit risk but banks retain the senior position. The structure matters a lot especially if these are covenant-light like you mentioned. Would need to see the actual terms to know how protected investors really are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996737683591438474)  2025-12-05T00:25Z 21.5K followers, XXX engagements


"🦔Oracle's five-year credit default swap spread jumped XXXX basis points Friday to XXXXXX basis points the biggest move since December 2021. CDS prices usually rise as investor confidence in credit quality falls. Worries that Oracle's rising leverage may push its credit ratings into junk territory plus hedging related to tens of billions in AI debt financing are driving the surge. The AI Spending Oracle alongside OpenAI and SoftBank is spearheading Stargate a project to invest $XXX billion to build AI infrastructure. About XX banks are supplying a roughly $XX billion project finance loan to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1989466372292944242)  2025-11-14T22:52Z 21.5K followers, 8749 engagements


"🦔Oracle's stock lost $XXX billion in market value since announcing a $XXX billion deal with OpenAI on September XX effectively wiping out more value than the entire market cap of General Motors twice over. The company's credit default swaps hit a three-year high as investors question Oracle's debt-financed bet on a single customer. The Structure Oracle's net debt already sits at XXX times EBITDA after more than doubling since 2021 and analysts expect it to nearly double again by 2030. The company is spending $XX billion in capex this fiscal year with consensus estimates at $XX billion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1990852757813621125)  2025-11-18T18:41Z 21.5K followers, 47.4K engagements


"🦔Oracle has become the credit market's barometer for AI risk. The cost to insure against Oracle defaulting tripled in recent months to a near three-year high. Trading volume on Oracle's credit default swaps ballooned to $X billion over seven weeks ending November XX up from $XXX million in the same period last year. The stock has lost about a third of its value since September XX. Why Oracle Oracle is central to the AI buildout but has weaker credit grades than Microsoft or Alphabet. It's a key player in the $XXX billion Stargate project alongside OpenAI and SoftBank. A club of about 20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995269108057915769)  2025-11-30T23:10Z 21.5K followers, 11.7K engagements


"🦔Fear of AI job displacement has nearly doubled in a year. XX% of US workers now worry about losing their jobs to AI up from around XX% last year according to KPMG. A Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis study found "a striking correlation" between AI prevalence and unemployment increases since 2022 particularly in tech sectors. The authors wrote "we may be witnessing the early stages of AI-driven job displacement." The Tension CFOs are split on what AI means for headcount. XX% view job cuts as the clearest way to show ROI on AI spending while XX% disagree calling it short-sighted. XX% of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995288234054565932)  2025-12-01T00:26Z 21.5K followers, 4130 engagements


"🦔The Fed's preferred inflation gauge core PCE rose XXX% year-over-year in September lower than forecast and down from August's 2.9%. Monthly core PCE was up XXX% as expected. Headline PCE rose XXX% year-over-year the highest since April 2024 accelerating from August's 2.7%. Monthly headline was up XXX% as expected. The Fed meets next week with the CME FedWatch Tool showing an XX% likelihood of a XX basis point cut versus XX% for holding steady. My Take Core PCE at XXX% is moving in the right direction but we're still XX% above the Fed's X% target. I think the Fed is betting they can keep"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997039020556406840)  2025-12-05T20:23Z 21.5K followers, 3873 engagements


"🦔Meta is hiding $XX billion in AI infrastructure debt off its balance sheet using special purpose vehicles echoing the financial engineering that triggered Enron's collapse and the 2008 mortgage crisis. Morgan Stanley estimates tech firms will need $XXX billion from private credit in off-balance-sheet deals by 2028. UBS notes AI debt building at $XXX billion per quarter "raises eyebrows for anyone that has seen credit cycles." The Structure Off-balance-sheet debt through SPVs or joint ventures is becoming the standard for AI data center deals. Morgan Stanley structured Meta's $XX billion in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1986226020924719198)  2025-11-06T00:16Z 21.5K followers, 1.8M engagements


"🦔Japan's 40-year government bond just hit an all-time high yield and the yen is approaching the 160-to-dollar level where the Bank of Japan has said they'll intervene. This matters for everyone because the yen carry trade where investors borrow cheap yen to buy risky assets globally is unwinding. When that happens those assets get sold to cover positions. What's Happening For nearly a decade Japan kept rates negative trying to create inflation. That made borrowing yen essentially free so banks pension funds and insurance firms borrowed yen to buy US treasuries stocks and other assets. Now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1993101827387408657)  2025-11-24T23:38Z 21.5K followers, 29.6K engagements


"🦔A Harris Poll found that XX% of Americans earning six figures say their income isn't a milestone for success but the bare minimum for staying afloat. Among those making $200000 or more half have used buy now pay later for purchases under $XXX XX% rely on credit cards to make ends meet and XX% have delayed medical care because of cost. The survey found XX% have pretended Venmo or Zelle wasn't working to dodge a payment. How They're Coping Six-figure earners are using tactics typically associated with people struggling financially. XX% are doing or considering side hustles XX% are selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1993691714373014006)  2025-11-26T14:42Z 21.5K followers, 130.5K engagements


"🦔AI data centers are crushing the US aluminum industry by outbidding smelters for electricity. Aluminum smelters need 10-20 year power contracts at $30-40 per megawatt-hour to operate profitably. Amazon and Microsoft are willing to pay over $XXX per megawatt-hour. Alcoa is now considering selling assets to Big Tech companies that might get more use out of the power generation equipment than the aluminum it produces. The Problem Producing one metric ton of aluminum requires about XX megawatt-hours of electricity enough to power an average US home for nearly a year and a half. A new domestic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994458830768419284)  2025-11-28T17:30Z 21.5K followers, 223.4K engagements


"🦔Car repossessions are on track to hit X million in 2025 matching Great Recession levels and making it the third-worst year on record. Q2 alone saw 706393 repossessions the largest Q2 volume ever recorded. Auto loan delinquencies are at their highest since 2010 with subprime rates at the worst since 1994. The Squeeze Average new car prices hit $50000 for the first time in September 2025. Monthly payments average $XXX for new cars at XXX% interest and $XXX for used at 11.54%. Insurance costs rose XX% from 2020 to mid-2024. Car parts inflation is up 11-12% this year. RDN projects Q3 could see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996583770959315262)  2025-12-04T14:14Z 21.5K followers, 9082 engagements


"🦔The bond market's reaction to Fed rate cuts has been highly unusual. Ten-year Treasury yields have risen nearly half a percentage point to XXX% since the Fed started cutting in September and 30-year yields are up over XXX percentage points. Normally when the Fed cuts short-term rates long-term bond yields follow. The Fed has cut XXX percentage points to 3.75%-4% with another quarter-point cut expected Wednesday. Why It's Happening Markets priced in Fed cuts well before they started with 10-year yields peaking in late 2023. By cutting rates while inflation remains elevated the Fed is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997845884764147791)  2025-12-08T01:49Z 21.5K followers, 20.1K engagements


"🦔Meta is building a $XX billion data center in Louisiana and neither the data center nor the debt will appear on its balance sheet. The company moved the project into a joint venture where Meta owns XX% and Blue Owl Capital funds own 80%. A holding company called Beignet Investor sold $XXXX billion in bonds mostly to Pimco. Meta will rent the data center for up to XX years starting in 2029 but structured the lease to start with a four-year term with renewal options. How It Works The lease structure lets Meta use "operating lease" treatment instead of "finance lease" which would make it look"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1993725058976764366)  2025-11-26T16:54Z 21.5K followers, 290.3K engagements


"🦔AI adoption at work has fallen and now sits at XX% of Americans according to Census Bureau data. Adoption has fallen sharply at the largest businesses employing over XXX people. Other surveys show stagnation too: one found AI use at work dropped from XX% in June to XX% in September. Another found daily AI use at work went from XXXX% to XXXX% over a year. A fintech firm tracking corporate spending found AI use soared to XX% in early 2025 before leveling off. Why It Matters Big tech will spend $X trillion on AI infrastructure through 2030. To make those investments worthwhile they need around"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995589972590772347)  2025-12-01T20:25Z 21.5K followers, 318.4K engagements


"🦔Northwestern and University of Chicago researchers found that once homeownership looks impossible behavior shifts dramatically. The share of millennial renters with zero down payment savings jumped to XX% in 2023 from XX% in 2018. Among renters with net worth under $300000 those admitting to low work effort is 4-6% twice the rate of homeowners. The median house price was XXXX times median household income in 2022 up from XXXX in 2010 and XXXX in 1984. The Behavior Shift The researchers found hope of homeownership affects how people work consume and invest. When that hope fades people stop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995937512179859867)  2025-12-02T19:26Z 21.5K followers, 37.6K engagements


"🦔Netflix agreed to buy Warner Bros. Discovery for $XX billion. Warner Bros. shareholders get $XXXXX per share in cash and stock. Netflix gets HBO and its library (The Sopranos The White Lotus) Warner Bros. studios in Burbank and the film archive including Harry Potter and Friends. Warner Bros. will spin off its cable networks (CNN TBS TNT) before the deal closes. The deal is expected to create $2-3 billion in annual cost savings by year three. My Take Netflix built its entire business on the idea that it didn't need to own a studio. For years they licensed content from others and made"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996969688988110899)  2025-12-05T15:47Z 21.5K followers, 5118 engagements


"🦔Wall Street is lending trillions to AI companies while simultaneously buying insurance against those same loans going bad. Oracle's debt protection costs have hit 2008 financial crisis levels. Trading of Oracle credit default swaps (insurance against defaults) jumped to $X billion over nine weeks versus $XXX million last year. Protecting $XX million of Microsoft debt now costs $34000 annually versus $20000 in mid-October. The Risk Transfer Global bond issuance hit $XXXX trillion in 2025. Hyperscalers are expected to spend at least $X trillion on AI infrastructure. Morgan Stanley held talks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996986675961188654)  2025-12-05T16:55Z 21.5K followers, 18K engagements


"🦔Paramount launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. at $XX per share in cash on Monday just days after Warner Bros. agreed to a deal with Netflix. Paramount's offer values Warner Bros. at $XXXXX billion including debt compared to Netflix's $XXXXX in cash and stock. The key difference: Paramount wants the entire company while Netflix only wants the studios and streaming business letting Warner Bros. spin off cable networks like CNN TNT and Discovery Channel first. The Battle Paramount argues its $XX cash offer is superior and gives shareholders $XX billion more than Netflix. But"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998113853683482771)  2025-12-08T19:34Z 21.5K followers, 3226 engagements


"🦔Mortgage delinquency is worsening across most of the country with rates ranging from X% to nearly XX% depending on the city according to WalletHub. The firm found XX of the XXX largest US cities saw delinquency rates rise between Q1 and Q2 2025 as elevated mortgage rates high home prices and cost-of-living pressures strained household finances. Laredo Texas posted the highest share at XX% with a nearly X% quarter-over-quarter increase. Detroit ranked second at nearly XX% up XX% in the latest quarter. Newark New Jersey placed third at close to XX% with a X% quarter-to-quarter surge. My Take"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998146820191732168)  2025-12-08T21:45Z 21.5K followers, 7637 engagements


"🦔US student loan debt hit a peak of $XXXX trillion in 2024 then fell to $XXXX trillion in 2025 YTD. Not because the system improved but because borrowing is collapsing. Meanwhile XX colleges have closed since 2022 including XX in 2024 alone. Over XX institutions shut down since 2020. The Philadelphia Fed warns as many as XX colleges could permanently close by the end of the 2025-26 school year. Pew Research shows XX% of Americans think the higher education system is headed in the wrong direction up from XX% in 2020. Tuition has more than doubled over XX years. Americans owe $XXXX trillion in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998178026064912417)  2025-12-08T23:49Z 21.5K followers, 3891 engagements