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# ![@Greenbackd Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::20119344.png) @Greenbackd Tobias Carlisle

Tobias Carlisle posts on X about red, inflation, deflation, safely the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX +605%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +2,311%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +344%

### Mentions: X [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XX -XX%
- X Months XXX +568%
- X Year XXX +167%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +0.59%
- X Month XXXXXX +2%
- X Months XXXXXX +4.90%
- X Year XXXXXX +5.20%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #5325 [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[red](/topic/red) #2581, [inflation](/topic/inflation) #230, [deflation](/topic/deflation) #80, [safely](/topic/safely) 6.67%, [bullish](/topic/bullish) 6.67%, [hedging](/topic/hedging) 6.67%, [volatility](/topic/volatility) 6.67%, [dot](/topic/dot) 6.67%, [longterm](/topic/longterm) 6.67%, [metal](/topic/metal) XXXX%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@akwilk](/creator/undefined) [@callumthomas](/creator/undefined) [@topdowncharts](/creator/undefined) [@iiicapital](/creator/undefined) [@spice1975503](/creator/undefined) [@jbreuckm](/creator/undefined) [@andyflattery](/creator/undefined) [@thotschild](/creator/undefined) [@darrowir](/creator/undefined) [@econimica](/creator/undefined) [@equivox2025](/creator/undefined) [@tavarescharts](/creator/undefined) [@lizaetlouise](/creator/undefined) [@kaaa99473538](/creator/undefined) [@artkocapital](/creator/undefined) [@a34091148](/creator/undefined) [@mangan150](/creator/undefined) [@kyrradio](/creator/undefined)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Another data point suggesting we may be coming out of a slow-down not going into one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1996641168600584340)  2025-12-04T18:02Z 69.9K followers, 32.1K engagements


"When the equity put/call ratio falls toward its lows like this: * Traders are very bullish * Hedging demand collapses * Historically this often precedes short-term market pullbacks Extremes (ratio 0.45) often align with: * Local tops * Overbought conditions * Subsequent volatility spikes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1998062936389292250)  2025-12-08T16:11Z 69.9K followers, 10.7K engagements


"I track the 2-Year Treasury Yield because it leads both inflation and the Fed This chart shows three key macro indicators from 2016 to 2025: X. 2-Year Treasury Yield (blue line) A market-priced expectation of short-term interest rates and inflation. Tends to lead Fed policy and is highly sensitive to economic conditions. X. Federal Funds Effective Rate (red line) The Feds actual policy rate lagging and slower to move than market rates. X. U.S. CPI Inflation (green line) Year-over-year inflation. Shaded area = U.S. recessions. You can clearly see: In 20202021 the 2-year yield surged before the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1998077479010119701)  2025-12-08T17:09Z 69.9K followers, 14.3K engagements


"Cyclically Adjusted Price/Earnings ratios for S&P XXX (largest black) vs S&P XXX (smalls red). Largest (black) only exceeded by late Dot Com blow-off top. Smalls (red) trading below 30-year average. The jaws are open wide. via @Callum_Thomas and @topdowncharts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1966206962900873493)  2025-09-11T18:27Z 69.9K followers, 16K engagements


"$1 in 1870 buys what $XXXX buys today. Note the preFederal Reserve era (18701913). The dollar wiggles around but stays roughly stable at or above par. Why The U.S. was effectively on a gold standard. Long-term inflation was nearly zero; occasional deflation offset inflation. The dollar behaved like a metal coin in a locked drawer. This period is the flat summit at the left of the chart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1996287158647472349)  2025-12-03T18:35Z 69.9K followers, 7383 engagements


"What Happened in 1897 X. The U.S. Hit Peak Deflation in the 1890s The late 19th century especially 18901897 was one of the most deflationary stretches in American history. Key drivers: The Long Depression hangover (18731896) A multi-decade period of falling prices due to: Extremely fast productivity growth (railroads mechanization oil refining) A fixed money supply tied to gold Economic crises (Panic of 1893 in particular) Prices kept sliding year after year. By the time you get to 1897 the price level had dropped so much that the real value of the dollar was unusually high the chart reflects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1996289000513122762)  2025-12-03T18:42Z 69.9K followers, XXX engagements


"Every recession since 1960 has been preceded by a material downturn in this ratio. Todays reading is squarely in that danger zone. These charts show the Leading Economic Index (LEI) against the Coincident Economic Index (CEI). LEI = things that move ahead of the economy (orders hours worked sentiment credit conditions). CEI = things that move with the economy (employment income production). When the ratio is high leading data is strong relative to current conditions the future looks more buoyant than the present. When the ratio falls the forward-looking data weakens relative to current"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1995897180964651052)  2025-12-02T16:45Z 69.9K followers, 175.5K engagements


"The yield curve re-steepening suggests we are entering the "danger zone" In almost every cycle back to the 1960s recessions began after the 3-10 Treasury curve re-steepened not during the inversion. The first chart shows the 3-Month Treasury (blue) vs. 10-Year Treasury (red) This chart shows the actual levels of the short end (3-month) and long end (10-year) of the yield curve from late 2021 through late 2025. The second chart shows the FRED 10Y 3M Spread (Yield Curve) This is the spread not the levels. It shows the difference between long-term rates and short-term rates. Between 20222024 the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1998062348763009326)  2025-12-08T16:09Z 69.9K followers, 368.7K engagements


"This chart plots the ratio of the Russell 2000 Index to the S&P XXX Index from the early 1990s to today. Russell 2000 = 2000 small caps by market cap inclusion rules are mostly mechanical and allow many unprofitable / lower-quality companies. S&P XXX = XXX small caps screened for profitability (positive earnings) and generally of higher quality. The ratio measures the relative performance of junkier small caps (Russell 2000) vs. higher-quality small caps (S&P 600). Companies screened for profitability (S&P 600) dramatically outperform the broader Russell 2000. Quality matters enormously in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1998451763658240145)  2025-12-09T17:56Z 69.9K followers, 258.7K engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@Greenbackd Avatar @Greenbackd Tobias Carlisle

Tobias Carlisle posts on X about red, inflation, deflation, safely the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXXX +605%
  • X Month XXXXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX +2,311%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXX +344%

Mentions: X #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX -XX%
  • X Month XX -XX%
  • X Months XXX +568%
  • X Year XXX +167%

Followers: XXXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +0.59%
  • X Month XXXXXX +2%
  • X Months XXXXXX +4.90%
  • X Year XXXXXX +5.20%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance #5325 cryptocurrencies XXXX%

Social topic influence red #2581, inflation #230, deflation #80, safely 6.67%, bullish 6.67%, hedging 6.67%, volatility 6.67%, dot 6.67%, longterm 6.67%, metal XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @akwilk @callumthomas @topdowncharts @iiicapital @spice1975503 @jbreuckm @andyflattery @thotschild @darrowir @econimica @equivox2025 @tavarescharts @lizaetlouise @kaaa99473538 @artkocapital @a34091148 @mangan150 @kyrradio

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Another data point suggesting we may be coming out of a slow-down not going into one"
X Link 2025-12-04T18:02Z 69.9K followers, 32.1K engagements

"When the equity put/call ratio falls toward its lows like this: * Traders are very bullish * Hedging demand collapses * Historically this often precedes short-term market pullbacks Extremes (ratio 0.45) often align with: * Local tops * Overbought conditions * Subsequent volatility spikes"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:11Z 69.9K followers, 10.7K engagements

"I track the 2-Year Treasury Yield because it leads both inflation and the Fed This chart shows three key macro indicators from 2016 to 2025: X. 2-Year Treasury Yield (blue line) A market-priced expectation of short-term interest rates and inflation. Tends to lead Fed policy and is highly sensitive to economic conditions. X. Federal Funds Effective Rate (red line) The Feds actual policy rate lagging and slower to move than market rates. X. U.S. CPI Inflation (green line) Year-over-year inflation. Shaded area = U.S. recessions. You can clearly see: In 20202021 the 2-year yield surged before the"
X Link 2025-12-08T17:09Z 69.9K followers, 14.3K engagements

"Cyclically Adjusted Price/Earnings ratios for S&P XXX (largest black) vs S&P XXX (smalls red). Largest (black) only exceeded by late Dot Com blow-off top. Smalls (red) trading below 30-year average. The jaws are open wide. via @Callum_Thomas and @topdowncharts"
X Link 2025-09-11T18:27Z 69.9K followers, 16K engagements

"$1 in 1870 buys what $XXXX buys today. Note the preFederal Reserve era (18701913). The dollar wiggles around but stays roughly stable at or above par. Why The U.S. was effectively on a gold standard. Long-term inflation was nearly zero; occasional deflation offset inflation. The dollar behaved like a metal coin in a locked drawer. This period is the flat summit at the left of the chart"
X Link 2025-12-03T18:35Z 69.9K followers, 7383 engagements

"What Happened in 1897 X. The U.S. Hit Peak Deflation in the 1890s The late 19th century especially 18901897 was one of the most deflationary stretches in American history. Key drivers: The Long Depression hangover (18731896) A multi-decade period of falling prices due to: Extremely fast productivity growth (railroads mechanization oil refining) A fixed money supply tied to gold Economic crises (Panic of 1893 in particular) Prices kept sliding year after year. By the time you get to 1897 the price level had dropped so much that the real value of the dollar was unusually high the chart reflects"
X Link 2025-12-03T18:42Z 69.9K followers, XXX engagements

"Every recession since 1960 has been preceded by a material downturn in this ratio. Todays reading is squarely in that danger zone. These charts show the Leading Economic Index (LEI) against the Coincident Economic Index (CEI). LEI = things that move ahead of the economy (orders hours worked sentiment credit conditions). CEI = things that move with the economy (employment income production). When the ratio is high leading data is strong relative to current conditions the future looks more buoyant than the present. When the ratio falls the forward-looking data weakens relative to current"
X Link 2025-12-02T16:45Z 69.9K followers, 175.5K engagements

"The yield curve re-steepening suggests we are entering the "danger zone" In almost every cycle back to the 1960s recessions began after the 3-10 Treasury curve re-steepened not during the inversion. The first chart shows the 3-Month Treasury (blue) vs. 10-Year Treasury (red) This chart shows the actual levels of the short end (3-month) and long end (10-year) of the yield curve from late 2021 through late 2025. The second chart shows the FRED 10Y 3M Spread (Yield Curve) This is the spread not the levels. It shows the difference between long-term rates and short-term rates. Between 20222024 the"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:09Z 69.9K followers, 368.7K engagements

"This chart plots the ratio of the Russell 2000 Index to the S&P XXX Index from the early 1990s to today. Russell 2000 = 2000 small caps by market cap inclusion rules are mostly mechanical and allow many unprofitable / lower-quality companies. S&P XXX = XXX small caps screened for profitability (positive earnings) and generally of higher quality. The ratio measures the relative performance of junkier small caps (Russell 2000) vs. higher-quality small caps (S&P 600). Companies screened for profitability (S&P 600) dramatically outperform the broader Russell 2000. Quality matters enormously in"
X Link 2025-12-09T17:56Z 69.9K followers, 258.7K engagements

@Greenbackd
/creator/twitter::Greenbackd