# ![@Greenbackd Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::20119344.png) @Greenbackd Tobias Carlisle

Tobias Carlisle posts on X about stocks, $iwm, $spy, red the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +160%
- [--] Month [---------] +71%
- [--] Months [---------] +1,808%
- [--] Year [---------] +585%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +124%
- [--] Month [--] +16%
- [--] Months [---] +567%
- [--] Year [---] +256%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.02%
- [--] Month [------] +0.13%
- [--] Months [------] +5.10%
- [--] Year [------] +5.90%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::20119344/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::20119344/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  46.92% [stocks](/list/stocks)  29.23% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  3.08% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  2.31% [countries](/list/countries)  1.54% [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  0.77% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  0.77% [currencies](/list/currencies)  0.77% [agencies](/list/agencies)  0.77%

**Social topic influence**
[stocks](/topic/stocks) #3911, [$iwm](/topic/$iwm) 5.38%, [$spy](/topic/$spy) #99, [red](/topic/red) 3.85%, [investment](/topic/investment) #2005, [has been](/topic/has-been) 3.08%, [longterm](/topic/longterm) 3.08%, [ai](/topic/ai) 3.08%, [fed](/topic/fed) 3.08%, [alltime](/topic/alltime) 3.08%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@farnamjake1](/creator/undefined) [@sfarringtonbkc](/creator/undefined) [@iancassel](/creator/undefined) [@friendlycapmgmt](/creator/undefined) [@verdadcap](/creator/undefined) [@jposhaughnessy](/creator/undefined) [@moatgoatz](/creator/undefined) [@quietprosperity](/creator/undefined) [@coatuemgmt](/creator/undefined) [@richardhurtz87](/creator/undefined) [@chrisbloomstran](/creator/undefined) [@bogumilnyc](/creator/undefined) [@fiscalai](/creator/undefined) [@jdhatfieldicap](/creator/undefined) [@missingmiddle](/creator/undefined) [@leechoonyau](/creator/undefined) [@capitalmill](/creator/undefined) [@mebfaber](/creator/undefined) [@nyustern](/creator/undefined) [@rudyhavenstein](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A)](/topic/berkshire-hathaway) [Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)](/topic/$vlo) [Ramaco Resources, Inc. Common Stock (METC)](/topic/$metc) [Arbidex (ABX)](/topic/$abx) [Newell Brands Inc (NWL)](/topic/$nwl) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Exxon Mobil (XOM)](/topic/$xom) [Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU)](/topic/$lulu) [Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)](/topic/$mu) [Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)](/topic/$lrcx) [Intel Corporation (INTC)](/topic/$intc) [GE Vernova Inc. (GEV)](/topic/$gev) [Stacks (STX)](/topic/$stx) [Western Digital Corp (WDC)](/topic/$wdc) [KLA Corp (KLAC)](/topic/$klac) [NRG Energy Inc (NRG)](/topic/$nrg) [Newmont Corporation (NEM)](/topic/$nem) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Alcoa, Corp. (AA)](/topic/$aa)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Similarly the riskier High Beta index has been outperforming the boring Low Volatility index. This is likely due to the composition of the High Beta index which as my amigo @QuietProsperity points out holds the profitable semi complex while Low Volatility holds some expensive staples/industrials etc. One small area of concern is the behavior of the junkier Russell [----] $IWM against the higher quality S&P [---] $VIOO. https://t.co/VWYbZHvXUz One small area of concern is the behavior of the junkier Russell [----] $IWM against the higher quality S&P [---] $VIOO. https://t.co/VWYbZHvXUz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2011500301787021784)  2026-01-14T18:06Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"I don't get it. Even if you exclude the "single extreme outlier" valuations form the dot com era valuations remain strongly predictive (over [--] years +). R2 is 76% according to the chart so valuations explain 76% of the returns over the next [--] years. * Starting cheaper still leads to higher long-term returns * Starting expensive still leads to lower long-term returns What am I missing "Some believe market valuations are highly predictive of forward returns. Were skeptical . In our own work we found the underlying data to be heavily influenced by a single extreme outlier: the dot-com era from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2014104565784961415)  2026-01-21T22:35Z 70.4K followers, 31.5K engagements


"WTI oil turned up in mid-December but is continuing to be crushed by gold. The gold:oil ratio today is at historic secular lows. Oil has had violent cyclical spikes (19992008 20212022). Could another be around the corner"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2016918758481416412)  2026-01-29T16:57Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The top panel of the charts shows relative performance since [----] for: * Large caps (SPY proxy) lowest bluish line * Mid caps (MDY proxy) middle greenish line * Small caps (IWM / Russell 2000) top reddish line Green arrows across the top mark where ISM Manufacturing (business cycle proxy) [--]. The best small-cap runs start when ISM: * Is below [--] * Has stopped getting worse * Begins to stabilize or turn up ISM has just moved from [----] to [----] which is historically good for small-cap mean reversion. Small-cap returns are earned during short violent repricing windows that follow long periods of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2018735028247879712)  2026-02-03T17:15Z 70.4K followers, 10.7K engagements


"@FriendlyCapMgmt It's the most likely outcome based on [---] years of data and it has turned since mid Q4 last year but only fools and fanatics are certain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2019844118990704686)  2026-02-06T18:42Z 70.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@richard_hurtz87 Unlikely. Even so the risk:reward ratio is better and that's all I care about"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2019872937306911098)  2026-02-06T20:36Z 70.4K followers, [--] engagements


"We are near multi-decade extremes in small/mid-cap relative valuation and the gap has started to close. This chart plots valuation ratios of small- and mid-cap indexes relative to the large-cap index using forward P/E: * Blue: S&P [---] (mid-cap) / S&P [---] * Red: S&P [---] (small-cap) / S&P [---] * Green: S&P [---] / S&P [---] * Red small caps trade at 26% discount to S&P [---]. * Blue mid caps trade at 22% discount. This is structurally unusual outside: * [--------] * Brief [----] panic * [----] rate shock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022010856511615011)  2026-02-12T18:12Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@farnamjake1 @ChrisBloomstran Couldn't agree more: https://x.com/paulg/status/601821633385398273 https://x.com/paulg/status/601821633385398273"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1273651299402182657)  2020-06-18T16:18Z 70.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Our chat with @iancassel on: * Why Even Elite Investors Are Only Right Half the Time * Letting Winners Run: The Difference Between 20% Gains and 1000% Returns * Rabbits Assassins and Hunters: How Investors Really Lose Money * The Four Idols of Investing: Money Power Pleasure and Honor * Ian Cassel on Acquiring Planet MicroCap and Building the Microcap Flywheel * Why Microcaps Are Outperforming in [----] And Why That Might Be a Warning Sign * Should More Small Businesses Go Public The Real Costs and Benefits of Being Public * Gold Copper AI and Data Centers: Whats Driving Microcap Winners Right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2018357365029122514)  2026-02-02T16:14Z 70.4K followers, 14.5K engagements


"Russell 2000's junky small caps continue to break down against S&P [---] profitable small caps. This is IWM (Russell 2000) vs VIOO (S&P SmallCap 600) total return indexes since [----]. When the line is rising junkier small caps outperform (IWM VIOO) When the line is falling profitable small caps outperform (VIOO IWM) The long-term trend is for profitable junky but the AI mania helped the junk until late last year. now it's returning to trend. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019074908727468296 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019074908727468296"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2019074908727468296)  2026-02-04T15:45Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"CEO of a top [--] mega truckload carrier just texted me: Something is happening in freight. It's very strong and we're starting to increase rates. CEO of a top [--] mega truckload carrier just texted me: Something is happening in freight. It's very strong and we're starting to increase rates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2019920448700707113)  2026-02-06T23:45Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Our chat with @SFarringtonBKC on: * Small-Cap Value Stocks Are Beating Growth Again Is the Rotation Real * Will AI Kill Software Stocks Why Value Investors Arent Convinced * Why Consumer Stocks Could Rally: Tax Cuts Wages and the Yee-Haw Economy * The $75 Trillion Baby Boomer Wealth Shift Investment Opportunities Ahead * Is AI a Bubble or the Next Economic Revolution Investors Debate the Future * Manufacturing Recession Explained: Interest Rates Inflation and the 3-Year Freeze * Newell Brands Stock Turnaround: Insider Buying Brand Power and Value Potential * Life Settlement Investing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2020893517669863484)  2026-02-09T16:12Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"I enjoyed chatting to @bogumil_nyc on Talking Billions: TALKING BILLIONS: Tobias Carlisle: Warren Buffett as Warrior: What Sun Tzu Teaches Us: [--] Laws of Strategic Advantage Behind Buffett's Success Episode Sponsor: @fiscal_ai is a modern data terminallink in show notes for a two-week free trial plus 15% off Warren Buffett isn't https://t.co/O1BaxbrVrc TALKING BILLIONS: Tobias Carlisle: Warren Buffett as Warrior: What Sun Tzu Teaches Us: [--] Laws of Strategic Advantage Behind Buffett's Success Episode Sponsor: @fiscal_ai is a modern data terminallink in show notes for a two-week free trial"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2020987799902794132)  2026-02-09T22:26Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Infrastructure investor @JDHatfield_ICAP joins @farnamjake1 and me on Value: After Hours LIVE TODAY at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P / 6.30pm UTC / 5.30am AEDT Watch it on the Acquirers Podcast channel: Subscribe to be sent a reminder: https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2021254328284217375)  2026-02-10T16:05Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Red line = actual price index Top: S&P [---] Middle: S&P [---] (mid-caps) Bottom: S&P [---] (small-caps) "Blue Angel" lines = implied price levels if the market trades at different forward P/E multiples applied to forward earnings Labeled on the right: [--] [--] [--] [--] The blue lines move because earnings move * Collapse in [----] earnings reset * Surge [----] reopening + stimulus * Compression [----] margin + rate shock * Stabilization [------] nominal GDP grind S&P [---] * Trading roughly between [--] and [--] forward * Historically rich but not 2000-style insane * Implicit assumption: rates fall or margins stay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2021264417963507939)  2026-02-10T16:46Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Markets price future easing/tightening ahead of the Fed. The blue line (2Y) almost always turns before the Fed funds rate. This chart shows Fed policy vs inflation vs market-rate cycle since the 1970s. * Blue line: 2-Year Treasury yield (market pricing of short-term rates) * Red line: Federal Funds Effective Rate (actual policy rate) * Green line: CPI (YoY inflation) * Shaded areas: U.S. recessions When 2Y falls fast below Fed funds recession imminent. When Fed cuts aggressively risk assets bottom soon after. In almost every cycle: * Inflation peaks * Fed overtightens * 2Y rolls over *"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2021645414446117179)  2026-02-11T18:00Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This chart tracks the percentage of total S&P [---] market capitalization accounted for by the top five companies daily from the early 1970s to [----]. Blue line: % of S&P [---] market cap in the top [--] names Red shaded areas: S&P [---] bear markets Labels show which companies made up the top five at each peak and their combined share. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021668283959980441 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021668283959980441"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2021668283959980441)  2026-02-11T19:30Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"At the same time capital-intensive businesses like construction services aggregates transports and defense contractors are having their moment as investors are waking up to their mission critical role in the rebuilding of supply chains national security complexes and data center infrastructure. ---Dan Loeb's most recent letter In his latest Q4 [----] Letter Dan Loeb discusses Sector Rotation Credit Stress and AI Impact Here's our take on the letter: https://t.co/2GRKZXA4Ru https://t.co/an7fSmRfXd In his latest Q4 [----] Letter Dan Loeb discusses Sector Rotation Credit Stress and AI Impact Here's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2021683881314046268)  2026-02-11T20:32Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Tech v Non-tech has turned the corner a few times since the pandemic. Third time's a charm Tech Stocks relative to Non-Tech 🚨 Dot Com Bubble vs. Now 🤯👀 https://t.co/5n6Ry3xr3h Tech Stocks relative to Non-Tech 🚨 Dot Com Bubble vs. Now 🤯👀 https://t.co/5n6Ry3xr3h"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021684651040158008)  2026-02-11T20:35Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Chart is oil adjusted for M2. The [----] peak would be $380 today. The [----] peak would be $550 today. Oil below M2-adjusted has lagged most commodities but is quietly gaining momentum. While the fundamentals highlight its cheapness (its [----] peak would now be equilvalent to $380 $550 for the [----] top) technicals are also encouraging with a positive monthly MACD and a https://t.co/2Im2vFpI0K Oil below M2-adjusted has lagged most commodities but is quietly gaining momentum. While the fundamentals highlight its cheapness (its [----] peak would now be equilvalent to $380 $550 for the [----] top)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2021692081388011694)  2026-02-11T21:05Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Looks like growth is down more than value is up. Going to be a wild ride as these two lines cross over again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022023861718724626)  2026-02-12T19:03Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Dark chocolate lovers celebrate. Cocoa in absolute freefall 📉Now at its lowest price since October [----] 😱👀 https://t.co/vm69nCuSci Cocoa in absolute freefall 📉Now at its lowest price since October [----] 😱👀 https://t.co/vm69nCuSci"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022047190718513405)  2026-02-12T20:36Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"$RSP Equal Weight now outperforming $SPY S&P [---] over twelve months. This is a return to normalcy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022347996105740294)  2026-02-13T16:31Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This week in value: Warren Buffetts big bet on Japan earned Berkshire Hathaway $24 billion in just [--] years (Fortune) Bill Ackman reveals stake in Meta says it has deeply discounted valuation (CNBC) Jim Chanos on AI Infrastructure Crypto Treasuries & Underlying Credit Risks (RiskReversal) Third Avenue Value Fund Q4 [----] Commentary (TA) Pzena Investment Management Large Cap Value Update Q4 [----] (Pzena) Weekly Investing Roundup News Podcasts Interviews (02/13/2026) Read the full roundup here : https://t.co/RVIiQTYTHl https://t.co/v9T1wgq2Gd Weekly Investing Roundup News Podcasts Interviews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022348436134350884)  2026-02-13T16:33Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Rare L for the American burger enthusiast. CHART OF THE DAY: The cost of US ground beef keeps rising reaching in January almost $6.7 per pound. That makes for an expensive hamburger. 🍔🥩🐄 While President Trump has seen the price of other foodstuff drop (eggs for example) all suggest that beef prices may still high. https://t.co/ZcW1vFH1Ca CHART OF THE DAY: The cost of US ground beef keeps rising reaching in January almost $6.7 per pound. That makes for an expensive hamburger. 🍔🥩🐄 While President Trump has seen the price of other foodstuff drop (eggs for example) all suggest that beef"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022351057821839764)  2026-02-13T16:44Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The age of capital-light is over. The time of capital-heavy has come. GS: De-rating of capital-light versus capital-heavy businesses globally https://t.co/4ov7O7U0Gu GS: De-rating of capital-light versus capital-heavy businesses globally https://t.co/4ov7O7U0Gu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022354578189226092)  2026-02-13T16:57Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"I track $RSP because value small and cyclicals are all downstream of equal-weight $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022355381625008591)  2026-02-13T17:01Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"this is a wild chart. [--] years of near-perfect correlation between the NDX and software (IGV).now the widest divergence on record https://t.co/pAnkmtfewD this is a wild chart. [--] years of near-perfect correlation between the NDX and software (IGV).now the widest divergence on record https://t.co/pAnkmtfewD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022408559905079611)  2026-02-13T20:32Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Feels like these lines want to kiss. Chart tracks forward P/E ratios (next-12-month earnings) for: * Red: S&P [---] (Large Cap) * Blue: S&P [---] (Mid Cap) * Green: S&P [---] (Small Cap) Shaded areas = recessions. Though it has compressed since Q4 last year it's still one of the biggest large-cap premiums of the post-2000 period outside of: * Late-90s tech * Peak [--------] mega-cap dominance If soft landing / re-acceleration happens mid and small outperform two ways: * Multiple catch-up * Operating leverage https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022413226110259532"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/2022413226110259532)  2026-02-13T20:51Z 70.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Puru thinks $PLTR is getting ahead of itself. $PLTR This is wild - 41x NTM revenue for 25% revenue growth - Now 100% above 40-week moving average This is not going to end well. https://t.co/qznmp4OMSB $PLTR This is wild - 41x NTM revenue for 25% revenue growth - Now 100% above 40-week moving average This is not going to end well. https://t.co/qznmp4OMSB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1858934354053132470)  2024-11-19T18:04Z 66.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@missingmiddle You're right. Doesn't make sense. 70x is closer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1859257375485821131)  2024-11-20T15:27Z 66.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Fed needs to cut. Given high demand we upsized our $MSTR offering of 0% convertible bonds due [----] from $1.75 billion to $2.6 billion including a $400 million greenshoe option and priced it at a 55% conversion premium. Given high demand we upsized our $MSTR offering of 0% convertible bonds due [----] from $1.75 billion to $2.6 billion including a $400 million greenshoe option and priced it at a 55% conversion premium"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1859263732448387487)  2024-11-20T15:53Z 66.4K followers, [----] engagements


"10Y-3M spread to [-----]. The curve is close to normalization after a very long inversion. 10-3 inversions have preceded the last eight recessions but it is the normalization that most immediately precedes the declaration of a recession. Normalization in May [----] and recession declared by December 2007"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1867610703185817652)  2024-12-13T16:41Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@leechoonyau Vol is cheap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1867615000992657826)  2024-12-13T16:58Z 66.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@Capital_Mill @farnamjake1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1867692494479405508)  2024-12-13T22:06Z 66.4K followers, [--] engagements


""There is no such thing as the U.S. stock market. Today we have two U.S. stock markets: big growth stocks and everything else. At least thats the conclusion that comes from studying daily return correlations. Big growth is increasingly disconnected from the rest of the market and the current disconnect is at the 99th percentile relative to U.S. history since [----]. Its as if big growth trades on a different stock market than everything else (such as value and small cap)." https://t.co/bVeJqnhGMi https://t.co/bVeJqnhGMi"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1868708316589048096)  2024-12-16T17:22Z 66.5K followers, 32.9K engagements


"Game: Pick a stock or credit for the next [--] months long or short no derivatives. Winner is the investment that LOSES the most $ cc @MebFaber"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1869786374691557415)  2024-12-19T16:46Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"14 down days in a row for value. https://t.co/3PiLX06T3G [--] down days in a row for value. https://t.co/3PiLX06T3G"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1869850581206241688)  2024-12-19T21:01Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Yep that's all of them. The last remaining value investors https://t.co/PDHh7uZjSy The last remaining value investors https://t.co/PDHh7uZjSy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1870133825701036252)  2024-12-20T15:47Z 66.5K followers, 30.3K engagements


"Great presentation from @iancassel lessons from a professional gambler biases and finding small caps. At Smallcap Discoveries [----] Investor Conference (new to me but it's been out for a year.) https://www.youtube.com/watchv=crMYVsfoz7s https://www.youtube.com/watchv=crMYVsfoz7s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1870142902866993592)  2024-12-20T16:23Z 66.5K followers, 10.1K engagements


"We're back Investor and author Dan @verdadcap Rasmussen joins @farnamjake1 and me on Value: After Hours LIVE TODAY at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P / 6.30pm UTC / 5.30am AUS Watch it on the Acquirers Podcast channel: Subscribe to be sent a reminder: https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1876671456148644085)  2025-01-07T16:45Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Dan @verdadcap Rasmussen talks about small value investing in Europe Japan and the US. 🎙 VALUE: After Hours (S07 E01) Dan Rasmussen talks: Investing in Europe Japan US Small Value & The Humble Investor mindset. Heres a sneak peek: 🔗 https://t.co/l5lpIm1TCl #Investing #Finance #Podcast https://t.co/KTAsaz77EF 🎙 VALUE: After Hours (S07 E01) Dan Rasmussen talks: Investing in Europe Japan US Small Value & The Humble Investor mindset. Heres a sneak peek: 🔗 https://t.co/l5lpIm1TCl #Investing #Finance #Podcast https://t.co/KTAsaz77EF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1878872657778941960)  2025-01-13T18:32Z 66.5K followers, 13.2K engagements


"Investor author entrepreneur and fintwit fave @jposhaughnessy joins @farnamjake1 and me on Value: After Hours LIVE TODAY at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P / 6.30pm UTC / 5.30am AUS Watch it on the Acquirers Podcast channel: Subscribe to be sent a reminder: https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1879199561664938214)  2025-01-14T16:11Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@farnamjake1 Enron's counterparty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1879932486714892768)  2025-01-16T16:43Z 66.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Mean reversion manifest. Best S&P [---] sector from 2015-2024: Tech +20% per year (no surprise) Worst sector: Energy +5% per year Best sector from 2000-2014: Energy +9.2% per year Worst sector: Tech -0.7% per year https://t.co/3ba7SOhq5K https://t.co/iSuH1iLmIq Best S&P [---] sector from 2015-2024: Tech +20% per year (no surprise) Worst sector: Energy +5% per year Best sector from 2000-2014: Energy +9.2% per year Worst sector: Tech -0.7% per year https://t.co/3ba7SOhq5K https://t.co/iSuH1iLmIq"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1879956871165136992)  2025-01-16T18:20Z 66.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Same as it ever was. We're stuck in groundhog day here.Momentum factor a quick 12.6% spread over the value factor YTD. https://t.co/bCKSfLcVtd We're stuck in groundhog day here.Momentum factor a quick 12.6% spread over the value factor YTD. https://t.co/bCKSfLcVtd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1886933818373980287)  2025-02-05T00:24Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"The yield curve has been inverted for *half* of the last five years. Unprecedented in the data back to 1982"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1912995752558903554)  2025-04-17T22:25Z 66.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Buffett's Berkshire buying $AAPL. A huge investment in the best known security globally by the most high-profile investor. Hiding in plain sight. Whats the greatest deal of all time and why Whats the greatest deal of all time and why"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1913000858998153335)  2025-04-17T22:45Z 66.6K followers, 26.4K engagements


"Dr. Edward Altman finance professor emeritus at @NYUStern the creator of the Z-score used to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt. We discussed it in Quantitative Value (2012) and found it useful. Welcoming another legend back on the pod Dr. Edward Altman finance professor emeritus at @NYUStern the creator of the Z-score and a bankruptcy expert to discuss where we are in the credit cycle. https://t.co/jxI0nIqjG0 Welcoming another legend back on the pod Dr. Edward Altman finance professor emeritus at @NYUStern the creator of the Z-score and a bankruptcy expert to discuss where we"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1922326929119559787)  2025-05-13T16:23Z 66.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Forward operating earnings per share for S&P [---] (large red) [---] (mid blue) and [---] (small green). Mids are rolling over and smalls haven't recovered from the '22 peak. Fun times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1930279719695725066)  2025-06-04T15:05Z 66.7K followers, [----] engagements


"On Value: After hours last week we hosted @RudyHavenstein. Here's the recap: The Feds Role in Financial Crises Corruption Insider Deals and the Revolving Door Crypto Skepticism and Meme Coins The Housing Market and Fed Manipulation The Feds Real Priorities and Bailouts Lizard Strategy: Rock Paper Scissors of Investing Macroeconomics vs Microeconomics Nominally Bullish Realistically Bearish Market Predictions and Cash as Optionality Inflation Interest Rates and the Endgame VALUE: After Hours (S07 E19): Rudy Havenstein Senior Markets Commentator on the Fed Housing and Markets Heres a transcript"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1932136682197004319)  2025-06-09T18:04Z 66.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Small Caps $IWM are now underperforming Mega Cap Tech Stocks by the largest margin in history: https://t.co/9qFfJRJ1zz Small Caps $IWM are now underperforming Mega Cap Tech Stocks by the largest margin in history: https://t.co/9qFfJRJ1zz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1935721528144089490)  2025-06-19T15:29Z 66.6K followers, [----] engagements


"$SPY S&P [---] now outperforming $IWM Russell [----] since the Dot Com bust"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1936094121070100877)  2025-06-20T16:09Z 66.7K followers, [----] engagements


"* The S&P [---] has outperformed the Russell [----] since March [----] * Large-cap stocks tend to outperform during late-stage economic expansion * Small-caps stocks tend to outperform during recessions and early-stage recoveries * S&P [---] dividend index futures paint a more optimistic view of future earnings and dividend payments than Russell [----] dividend index futures * S&P [---] firms have lower P/E ratios than Russell [----] firms at the moment * R2K firms are much cheaper when measured by price-to-sale or price-to-book Via"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1936837368851701984)  2025-06-22T17:23Z 66.7K followers, 30.3K engagements


"The S&P [---] trades at a significant forward P/E premium to both mid-cap and small-cap indices. S&P [---] at 21.2x S&P [---] at 15.5x S&P [---] at 14.7x This represents a 37% valuation premium for large-caps over mid-caps and 45% over small-caps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1937889269835608105)  2025-06-25T15:03Z 66.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This is the Russell [----] v S&P [---]. When the red and black line is going up the Russell [----] is outperforming the S&P [---]. When the red and black line is going down the Russell [----] is underperforming the S&P [---]. The red and black line peaked in [----] and fell to an all-time low in April [----]. My investment thesis is the red and black line will go up again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1940826824894042366)  2025-07-03T17:35Z 66.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Small caps and midcaps are 30% cheaper than large caps on a price-earnings ratio and have been since 2022--3 1/2 years. The last time we saw a discount this size was [----] to [----]. A legendary small / mid cap cycle followed to 2017/18"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1942241697242702311)  2025-07-07T15:18Z 66.7K followers, 14K engagements


"Smalls are 💀 h/t scotty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1946329920029745469)  2025-07-18T22:03Z 66.7K followers, 23.2K engagements


"The haters said small caps were dead. And they were right. Honestly great call by the call by the haters. Smalls are 💀 h/t scotty https://t.co/FHy1qhl27q Smalls are 💀 h/t scotty https://t.co/FHy1qhl27q"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1946381905277907234)  2025-07-19T01:29Z 66.7K followers, 16.3K engagements


"Value stocks (low p/cf) have outperformed Expensive stocks (high p/cf) by 18x since [----] but have underperformed by [--] percent since June 2014"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1951341082912104693)  2025-08-01T17:55Z 66.9K followers, 39K engagements


"No need to overthink the underperformance of small caps v large caps. Operating earnings per share are well up for large caps sideways for mid caps and down for small caps. 1/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1951439652663206313)  2025-08-02T00:27Z 66.9K followers, 51.4K engagements


"As you'd expect small and mid cap stocks trade at a wide discount to large caps. (And smalls trade at a small discount to mids). 2/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1951440324813005018)  2025-08-02T00:30Z 66.9K followers, [----] engagements


"But over the long run (up to and including recent history): * small caps have grown earnings per share faster than mid caps * mid caps have grown earnings faster than large caps. The earnings of small and mid caps will recover and the multiples will follow. 3/3"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1951442076794757362)  2025-08-02T00:37Z 66.9K followers, [----] engagements


"How are the quality value small caps doing Oh. [----] remains a momentum-driven market. Looking at factor performance so far momentum is once again clearly outperforming the other factorsjust as it did in [----]. The long-anticipated small-cap rally Still nowhere to be seen. Even the previously overvalued quality stocks are https://t.co/e0wLFDQL6Q [----] remains a momentum-driven market. Looking at factor performance so far momentum is once again clearly outperforming the other factorsjust as it did in [----]. The long-anticipated small-cap rally Still nowhere to be seen. Even the previously"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1952834991941140849)  2025-08-05T20:51Z 66.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@SFarringtonBKC Small cap value investing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1952839466625954141)  2025-08-05T21:09Z 66.9K followers, [---] engagements


"S&P [---] growth (blue) versus value (red). These jaws closed from [----] to 2007"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1953238426511392949)  2025-08-06T23:35Z 67K followers, 14.3K engagements


"Russell [----] hedge fund shorts are at [----] levels. degen harder. h/t gs pb https://t.co/Fffl4FFuor degen harder. h/t gs pb https://t.co/Fffl4FFuor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1954330115749679579)  2025-08-09T23:53Z 66.9K followers, 11.3K engagements


"Look at the dates when Buffett underperformed as much as Berkshire is now: [----] [----] and [----]. All good starting dates for small value. Will [----] be the same Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has rarely underperformed the market as much as it is now: Berkshire Hathaway stock is down -14% since May 2nd when Warren Buffett announced he would step down as CEO. Over the same period the S&P [---] including dividends has risen by https://t.co/YpnoMyKLPj Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has rarely underperformed the market as much as it is now: Berkshire Hathaway stock is down -14% since May 2nd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1954980328784924809)  2025-08-11T18:56Z 66.9K followers, 50.8K engagements


"Small cap value specialist Eric Cinnamond joins @farnamjake1 and me on Value: After Hours LIVE TODAY at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P / 5.30pm UTC / 3.30am AEST Watch it on the Acquirers Podcast channel: Subscribe to be sent a reminder: https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFgsub_confirmation=1 https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg https://youtube.com/channel/UCJ27FwJZ3hsMrPCviG5gCFg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1955294559950475709)  2025-08-12T15:45Z 67K followers, [----] engagements


"Historically value has done well during periods of high inflation and rising interest rates. YoY Core CPI 3.1% Up 0.3% in the last 3-months In the last [--] YEARS only once has the Fed CUT rates when core was above 3% AND the 3m chg was 0.3% Oct [----] to Mar [----]. Agree with @EpsilonTheory the 2% infaltion target is dead. We are accepting a higher inflation world. https://t.co/wJrdM4UyHi YoY Core CPI 3.1% Up 0.3% in the last 3-months In the last [--] YEARS only once has the Fed CUT rates when core was above 3% AND the 3m chg was 0.3% Oct [----] to Mar [----]. Agree with @EpsilonTheory the 2% infaltion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1955298642505687047)  2025-08-12T16:01Z 66.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Enhance. $IWM Russell [----] outperforming $SPY S&P [---] since the all-time low reached yesterday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1955365781530874000)  2025-08-12T20:28Z 66.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Earnings per share estimates for the S&P [---] are off 4% this year. Mag [--] EPS estimate revisions are up this year. S&P [---] Not so much. https://t.co/EMGSrBtkWS Mag [--] EPS estimate revisions are up this year. S&P [---] Not so much. https://t.co/EMGSrBtkWS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1956455265815220363)  2025-08-15T20:37Z 67.1K followers, [----] engagements


"This is the average of four long-term valuation measures for the S&P [---] compared to the geometric mean of each: [--]. The Crestmont Research P/E ratio [--]. The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisor [--]. The Q ratio which is the total price of the market divided by its replacement cost [--]. The relationship of the S&P composite price to a regression trendline (more) The latest value of 163% is the highest level in history. The current geometric average is more than [--] standard deviations above its historical mean signaling an overvalued market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1956465417511469558)  2025-08-15T21:17Z 67K followers, 34.4K engagements


"@Mangan150 Not for value 😂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1956467386607149335)  2025-08-15T21:25Z 67K followers, [---] engagements


"$NVDA's $4.5 trillion market cap is now $1.5 trillion LARGER than the entire Russell [----] combined Bearish bets on small-cap stocks have rarely ever been this high: Speculative net futures positioning on the Russell [----] has dropped to its lowest since the [----] bear market low. This is one of the most bearish stances since [----]. Hedge funds and other institutions have been https://t.co/MmGiMhGykd Bearish bets on small-cap stocks have rarely ever been this high: Speculative net futures positioning on the Russell [----] has dropped to its lowest since the [----] bear market low. This is one of the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1957853390505144806)  2025-08-19T17:13Z 67K followers, [----] engagements


"Existing home sales are off a bit. I knew the housing market was bad but I didn't realize we are running at the same unit volumes as during the GFC when banks stopped lending and the housing market literally blew up. @DiMartinoBooth https://t.co/8uGja7ysL7 I knew the housing market was bad but I didn't realize we are running at the same unit volumes as during the GFC when banks stopped lending and the housing market literally blew up. @DiMartinoBooth https://t.co/8uGja7ysL7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1958631032456192378)  2025-08-21T20:43Z 67K followers, [----] engagements


"Index levels at different earnings multiples for S&P [---] (large cap top) S&P [---] (mid cap middle) and S&P [---] (small cap bottom). S&P [---] (large cap top) at 22x is more expensive than it was in [----] at its peak. S&P [---] (mid cap middle) at 16x is trading around its long-run average. It traded over 22x in 2020/21 and has gone nowhere since as the multiple contracted. S&P [---] (small cap bottom) below 16x is trading below its long-run average. It also traded over 22x in 2020/21 and has gone nowhere since as the multiple contracted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1960794445525537031)  2025-08-27T20:00Z 67.1K followers, [----] engagements


"https://youtube.com/live/5KWqLMjAFi8 https://youtube.com/live/5KWqLMjAFi8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1961102178459996570)  2025-08-28T16:22Z 67K followers, [----] engagements


""Magnificent [--] Companies Reported Earnings Growth Above 25% for Q2 https://t.co/IzxaOJl4yv "Magnificent [--] Companies Reported Earnings Growth Above 25% for Q2 https://t.co/IzxaOJl4yv"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1961880624236843190)  2025-08-30T19:56Z 67.1K followers, [----] engagements


"This chart shows the S&P [---] (large) vs the S&P [---] (small) over the last [--] years. It shows the dominance of large (100) over small (500) since [----]. There was another outbreak of large (100) small (500) from [----] to the run-up to the [----] peak. But the long-term trend is for small (500) to outperform large (100). At some point the series returns to trend. Size and value will outperform"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1962181179324641538)  2025-08-31T15:50Z 67.1K followers, 29.8K engagements


"Small (S&P [---] red) and mid cap (S&P [---] blue) stocks continue to trade at a wide valuation discount to large caps. (And smalls trade at a small discount to mids (green)). Smalls (S&P [---] red) trade 30% cheaper than large and mid caps (S&P [---] blue) trade 27% cheaper than large. The last time this happened in the late 1990s smalls and mids outperformed for a decade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1963689902803132549)  2025-09-04T19:45Z 67.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The reasons aren't complex. Since COVID operating earnings per share are well up for large caps (red) sideways for mid caps (blue) and down for small caps (green). However smalls (green) and mids (blue) have grown earnings faster since 2009"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1963692361025987001)  2025-09-04T19:55Z 67.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The gold:oil ratio is calculated by dividing the price of an ounce of gold by the price of one barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil. It serves as an indicator of the global economy and market sentiment. Excluding [----] the gold:oil ratio is higher than at any other time in the last [--] years. A high ratio suggests gold is expensive relative to oil signaling: * Economic Uncertainty: Investors seek gold as a safe haven from inflation geopolitical risks or financial crises. * Weak Oil Demand: Oil prices are low due to decreased global economic activity. The ratio has experienced"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1964036432391262306)  2025-09-05T18:42Z 67.1K followers, 23.6K engagements


"$IWM the Russell [----] ETF (small caps) has been lagging behind $SPY the S&P [---] (large caps) since [----]. IWM lagged SPY in the late 1990s but outperformed from [----] to [----]. *Enhance* IWM may have turned the corner since the beginning of August"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1965112104731705367)  2025-09-08T17:56Z 67.2K followers, [----] engagements


"The ratio of S&P [---] Growth to Value in the US has hit a new record high surpassing the peak of the meme stock bubble in [----]. Growth dramatically outperformed value from 2007-2020 then saw a reversal in [----] until unusually continuing during the rate hiking cycle from [----] to date. Growth outperforms Value (ratio rising) in: * Low interest rate environments * Periods of economic uncertainty (flight to growth) * Technology/innovation cycles * Bull markets focused on momentum Value outperforms Growth (ratio falling) in: * Rising interest rate environments * Economic recoveries/reflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1965846287074693163)  2025-09-10T18:34Z 67.1K followers, 24K engagements


"The S&P [---] to gold ratio since [----]. Peaks in [----] [----] [----] and [----]. Troughs in [----] [----] and [----]. A rising ratio signals rising confidence in stocks and a declining appetite for risk. A falling ratio suggests growing economic trouble increased risk aversion and investors flocking to safe-haven assets like gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1967642208783446349)  2025-09-15T17:30Z 67.3K followers, [----] engagements


""To date big tech has been able to mitigate the impact of massive CapEx spending on their earnings by repeatedly extending the depreciation periods for their investments. We believe that current depreciation numbers are grossly understated as the hyperscalers need to keep buying the latest Nvidia GPU models which are released annually to stay competitive. In todays AI arms race any company that does not buy the latest generation of technology may quickly be at a disadvantage. This is why companies like Oracle are now spending more than 100% of their operating cash flow on CapEx. Once reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1968040831950184869)  2025-09-16T19:54Z 67.3K followers, [----] engagements


"One of my favorite charts: Index levels at different earnings multiples for S&P [---] (large cap top) S&P [---] (mid cap middle) and S&P [---] (small cap bottom). S&P [---] (large cap top) above 22x is more expensive than it was in [----] at its peak. S&P [---] (mid cap middle) at 16x is trading around its long-run average. It traded over 22x in 2020/21 and has gone nowhere since as the multiple contracted. S&P [---] (small cap bottom) below 16x is trading below its long-run average. It also traded over 22x in 2020/21 and has gone nowhere since as the multiple contracted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1968748886404804687)  2025-09-18T18:48Z 67.5K followers, 22.7K engagements


"Small cap Russell [----] / $IWM stumbles to a new all-time high"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1968767111909487002)  2025-09-18T20:00Z 67.5K followers, [----] engagements


"If we assume reversion to the long-run mean at 17.28x over the next decade yearly total returns are 0.5% which includes 1.2% in dividends meaning -0.6% on the price index"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1970523029164957701)  2025-09-23T16:17Z 67.5K followers, [----] engagements


"At a forward PE of [----] the S&P [---] (red) is about [--] percent above its long-run average. The forward PEs of the S&P [---] mid cap (blue) at [----] and the S&P [---] small cap (green) at [----] are right at the long-run averages. The last time the spread was this wide in favor of large caps was in the early 2000s the starting point for a legendary small value run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1970524391336480872)  2025-09-23T16:23Z 67.6K followers, 27.3K engagements


"Powell's "fairly highly valued" is this cycle's "irrational exuberance" which Alan Greenspan uttered on December [--] [----]. h/t @stumvc007 Just In: Fed Chair Jerome Powell says stock prices are "fairly highly valued." https://t.co/kHnUJJha7A Just In: Fed Chair Jerome Powell says stock prices are "fairly highly valued." https://t.co/kHnUJJha7A"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1970590030889656519)  2025-09-23T20:44Z 67.5K followers, 32.1K engagements


"The gold-to-oil ratio compares the value of an ounce of gold to the value of a barrel of oil indicating whether gold is expensive or cheap relative to oil and signaling the overall health and mood of the global economy. A high ratio means gold is relatively expensive and oil is relatively cheap suggesting increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset during periods of uncertainty or economic slowdown. Conversely a low ratio signifies that gold is cheap compared to oil which can point to high economic demand for energy or a shift towards riskier assets. Rising Ratio: When an ounce of gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1970943127541461058)  2025-09-24T20:07Z 67.7K followers, 65.4K engagements


"Great chart. Top [--] (dark blue) vs Bottom [---] (light blue). Its worth remembering that while the top-heavy concentration during the late 1990s was quickly reversed in the early 2000s during the 1950s and 1960s the market remained top-heavy for many years before excessive valuations finally took their toll. This could take some time. https://t.co/tWF9tVOfUz Its worth remembering that while the top-heavy concentration during the late 1990s was quickly reversed in the early 2000s during the 1950s and 1960s the market remained top-heavy for many years before excessive valuations finally took"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1971311711673340287)  2025-09-25T20:31Z 67.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Looking at these worst-performing stocks several clear themes emerge behind the declines: Consumer Spending Weakness Many of these companies are consumer-facing: Lululemon (athletic wear) Deckers (footwear brands like UGG and Hoka) Target (retail) Chipotle (dining) and CarMax (used cars). Consumers are pulling back on discretionary spending particularly on premium brands and non-essential items. High-Valuation Tech Stock Compression Many technology and software companies appear here - The Trade Desk (digital advertising) Gartner (research) FactSet (financial data) EPAM and Accenture"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1971590177899638971)  2025-09-26T14:58Z 67.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This weeks value investing news: Intelligent Concentration: A Synopsis of Warren Buffett and Diversification (@AlphaArchitect) Beyond big tech: Why value stocks deserve a closer look (@TRowePrice) The Golden Age of Value Investing Is Over (@business / @GSpier ) Weekly Investing Roundup News Podcasts Interviews (09/26/2025) Read the full roundup here : https://t.co/vx1zs64Y4H https://t.co/FYQbmMxHmu Weekly Investing Roundup News Podcasts Interviews (09/26/2025) Read the full roundup here : https://t.co/vx1zs64Y4H https://t.co/FYQbmMxHmu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1971603712763457979)  2025-09-26T15:52Z 67.5K followers, [----] engagements


"High beta hitting a crescendo. Via @Barchart "Nasdaq single stock volatility relative to the overall index volatility has reached the highest level in history 🚨📷" This chart compares the performance of S&P [---] High Beta stocks ($SPHBI) versus Low Volatility stocks ($SPLVI) from 2006-2025 along with their relative performance ratio and momentum indicators. High Beta stocks have outperformed Low Volatility stocks over this period. The https://t.co/VCvKJ60boN This chart compares the performance of S&P [---] High Beta stocks ($SPHBI) versus Low Volatility stocks ($SPLVI) from 2006-2025 along with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1971620826899534118)  2025-09-26T17:00Z 67.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Median NTM PE of the largest Dot Com stocks in 1999: 41x Median NTM PE of the Mag 7: 31x Let's ride. Largest Stock Valuations 🚨 December [----] vs. Now https://t.co/DBRYnE2mzy Largest Stock Valuations 🚨 December [----] vs. Now https://t.co/DBRYnE2mzy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1971960496447541335)  2025-09-27T15:29Z 67.7K followers, 11.1K engagements


"This chart shows the performance of midcap stocks (S&P 400) v S&P [---] (in blue) and smallcap stocks (S&P 600) v S&P [---] (in red) It shows the historic underperformance of smaller stocks relative to large-caps. Blue line: S&P [---] (mid-caps) / S&P 500: [----] - falling to near the lowest level since the early 2000s Red line: S&P [---] (small-caps) / S&P 500: [----] - just off the lowest level since the early 2000s Historical Pattern: Both ratios climbed from the 1990s through 2010-2011 peaking around [----] (mid-caps blue) and [----] (small-caps red) Since those peaks there's been a persistent 15-year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1973443025591529806)  2025-10-01T17:40Z 67.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This chart tracks the forward profit margins for three S&P indices (S&P 500/large in red S&P 400/mids in blue S&P 600/ smalls in green) from 2004-2025 revealing several important trends: Key Observations Historic Divergence: The S&P 500's profit margin (red) of 13.9% represents an all-time high and shows unprecedented separation from smaller companies. Large-cap firms are now nearly twice as profitable as mid-caps (8.2%) and small-caps (7.0%). Crisis Patterns: Both the 2008-2009 financial crisis and [----] pandemic caused sharp margin compressions across all segments with smaller companies hit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1973457636914815146)  2025-10-01T18:39Z 67.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Top [--] Performers in teh S&P [---] Year-to-Date Major Themes: [--]. Semiconductor Renaissance (40% of the list) Memory & Storage: $MU $STX $WDC Chip Equipment: $LRCX $KLAC Chipmakers: $INTC This cluster suggests a major semiconductor cycle recovery or AI infrastructure buildout driving demand [--]. Energy & Power Infrastructure $NRG $GEV $NEM (gold often tracks energy/inflation) Points to either energy price recovery or grid modernization/AI data center power demand [--]. Industrial Resurgence $GE $APH $HWM $GLW Traditional manufacturing and aerospace components rebounding [--]. Recovery/Turnaround Plays"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1973798704374296884)  2025-10-02T17:14Z 67.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Coming back as a "Non Profitable Tech" investor in the next life. Deja vu https://t.co/DCj3jnwsRE Deja vu https://t.co/DCj3jnwsRE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1974136880708104288)  2025-10-03T15:38Z 67.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This is a highly speculative market. Investors are piling into options at a record pace: Total call options volume has averaged over [--] million contracts a day over the last [--] days the most on record. Call options volume has DOUBLED over the last [--] years. This is also [--] million contracts above the [----] https://t.co/5ooeDQgfn1 Investors are piling into options at a record pace: Total call options volume has averaged over [--] million contracts a day over the last [--] days the most on record. Call options volume has DOUBLED over the last [--] years. This is also [--] million contracts above the 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1974200906616127654)  2025-10-03T19:52Z 67.7K followers, 10.9K engagements


"More color: "On Wednesday calls made up 65% of all options traded. Thats about as high as it gets and basically tells us traders are loading up on bets that stocks will keep climbing. Instead of hedging against risk most people are chasing the upside." https://x.com/_Investinq/status/1974166444876214512 https://x.com/_Investinq/status/1974166444876214512"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1974203854750429696)  2025-10-03T20:04Z 67.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@SFarringtonBKC Jeff Jeff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1974205390041853966)  2025-10-03T20:10Z 67.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Large cap S&P [---] forward PE (red) starting to look really stretched at 22.7x. Now only surpassed by the [----] and [----] peaks. Mid cap S&P [---] (blue) and small cap S&P [---] (green) PEs are at or below average at 16.3x and 15.7x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1975290222914207754)  2025-10-06T20:01Z 67.8K followers, [----] engagements


"This chart shows the S&P [---] vs S&P [---] since [----]. The largest [---] stocks have underperformed the broader [---] over the last century BUT the largest stocks outperform during booms. If the [---] follows the same path it did in the Dot Com bubble (circled) it's [----] and we're in the blow-off top phase of the bull"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1975956816023732590)  2025-10-08T16:09Z 67.8K followers, 18.9K engagements


"Chart shows secular bull and bear markets since [----]. * Secular bull gains totaled 2278% for an average of 456%. * Secular bear losses totaled -258% for an average of -64%. * Secular bull years total [--] versus [--] for the bears. via: https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2025/10/02/secular-bull-and-bear-market-trends-september-2025 https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2025/10/02/secular-bull-and-bear-market-trends-september-2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1976303699292193218)  2025-10-09T15:08Z 67.8K followers, [----] engagements


"This weeks in value investing news: Interview with value investor Arnold Van Den Berg: Survive & Thrive No Matter What (RWH) Theres value in value stocks (FT) Global value tilt intensifies as US outflows hit growth stock funds hardest http://Investing.com Weekly Investing Roundup News Podcasts Interviews (10/10/2025) Read the full roundup here : https://t.co/QM34wZraJh https://t.co/odVHJORgrI http://Investing.com Weekly Investing Roundup News Podcasts Interviews (10/10/2025) Read the full roundup here : https://t.co/QM34wZraJh https://t.co/odVHJORgrI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1976657697039909070)  2025-10-10T14:34Z 67.8K followers, [----] engagements


"@mr_deepvalue Which way does it resolve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1978895612914307456)  2025-10-16T18:47Z 67.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@profplum99 If you have any suggestions for a fixed universal reference point I'm all ears. USD Gold $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/1978912733165707319)  2025-10-16T19:55Z 67.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Batcape trade of 2010: http://t.co/nTDPPrTdez MT @tomkeene: @Reganonymous: $AA classic "Batman" pattern. http://t.co/2EhagxNJv0 short Robin http://trunc.it/nbyqd http://trunc.it/nbyat http://trunc.it/nbyqd http://trunc.it/nbyat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/322785647523950592)  2013-04-12T18:57Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Jeff Macke and I discuss deep value and takeover targets $VLO $COH and $CF cc@jeffmacke http://t.co/bMQVrmwe3U http://wp.me/pnq1T-3N4 http://wp.me/pnq1T-3N4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/512228485608116225)  2014-09-17T13:16Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Humana Inc (NYSE:HUM) seeks a bid and exits the screen; Up 20+ percent for theweek http://t.co/UJABO1oqT3 http://t.co/Up5c8YsV8k http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/05/humana-inc-nysehum-seeks-a-bid-and-exits-the-screen-up-20-percent-for-the-week/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/05/humana-inc-nysehum-seeks-a-bid-and-exits-the-screen-up-20-percent-for-the-week/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/604999960954675200)  2015-05-31T13:16Z 66.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO): Does Buffett Buying Phillips [--] Make $VLO A http://t.co/4lCuVrtOwA http://t.co/iC0BVmdSd3 http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/09/valero-energy-corporation-nysevlo-does-buffett-buying-phillips-66-make-vlo-a-bigger-bargain/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/09/valero-energy-corporation-nysevlo-does-buffett-buying-phillips-66-make-vlo-a-bigger-bargain/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/643492687589601281)  2015-09-14T18:33Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Micron Technology Inc. ($MU): Cheap and a TakeoverTarget http://t.co/yYgMG9Xm4K http://t.co/2sS4ahcpBG http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/10/micron-technology-inc-mu-cheap-and-a-takeover-target/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/10/micron-technology-inc-mu-cheap-and-a-takeover-target/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/649623142357319680)  2015-10-01T16:33Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Why theres a lot to like about CumminsInc http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/12/why-theres-a-lot-to-like-about-cummins-inc/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2015/12/why-theres-a-lot-to-like-about-cummins-inc/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/672088518659715072)  2015-12-02T16:22Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE:OMC)$OMC http://singulardiligence.com/omnicom-group-inc-nyseomc-omc/ http://singulardiligence.com/omnicom-group-inc-nyseomc-omc/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/723192933176864769)  2016-04-21T16:53Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Start with the balance sheet and ignore DCF BruceGreenwald http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/08/start-with-the-balance-sheet-and-ignore-dcf-bruce-greenwald/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/08/start-with-the-balance-sheet-and-ignore-dcf-bruce-greenwald/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/766243372914794497)  2016-08-18T12:00Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Bridgepoint Education Inc. Strong Balance Sheet Outstanding FCF/EV $BPI http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/08/bridgepoint-education-inc-strong-balance-sheet-outstanding-fcfev-bpi/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/08/bridgepoint-education-inc-strong-balance-sheet-outstanding-fcfev-bpi/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/770457955447615488)  2016-08-30T03:07Z 66.4K followers, [--] engagements


"$APEI Strong Balance Sheet & Free Cash Flow Yield Plus ZeroDebt http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/10/apei-strong-balance-sheet-free-cash-flow-yield-plus-zero-debt/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/10/apei-strong-balance-sheet-free-cash-flow-yield-plus-zero-debt/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/788396492637638656)  2016-10-18T15:09Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Why Is Alaska Air Group Inc. The Best Airline Stock in the U.S.$ALK http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/10/why-is-alaska-air-group-inc-the-best-airline-stock-in-the-u-s-alk/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/10/why-is-alaska-air-group-inc-the-best-airline-stock-in-the-u-s-alk/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/788849666599243776)  2016-10-19T21:09Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Heres Why Einhorn Soros Gabelli and Greenblatt are Interested in Humana Inc(NYSE:HUM) http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/11/heres-why-einhorn-soros-gabelli-and-greenblatt-are-interested-in-humana-inc-nysehum/ http://acquirersmultiple.com/2016/11/heres-why-einhorn-soros-gabelli-and-greenblatt-are-interested-in-humana-inc-nysehum/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/797937503105912832)  2016-11-13T23:01Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"$AMZN year-on-year growth and [----] share of web sales is amazing. https://x.com/Jae_Jun/status/803702845925130240 I'm a new convert to the $AMZN bandwagon. https://t.co/jf3gUguReX https://t.co/YVHJ3qDvpS https://x.com/Jae_Jun/status/803702845925130240 I'm a new convert to the $AMZN bandwagon. https://t.co/jf3gUguReX https://t.co/YVHJ3qDvpS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/804017699500101632)  2016-11-30T17:42Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"$KKR $APO and $CG https://x.com/timmelvin/status/857670933582151680 Some Of The World's Biggest Hedge Funds Think Private Equity Stocks Are Cheap via @forbes https://t.co/jVOvXZPiOo https://x.com/timmelvin/status/857670933582151680 Some Of The World's Biggest Hedge Funds Think Private Equity Stocks Are Cheap via @forbes https://t.co/jVOvXZPiOo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/857672767386271744)  2017-04-27T19:08Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Private equity returns from public stock: https://x.com/timmelvin/status/935180051250925569 Replicating success: Private-equity returns can be replicated with public shares https://t.co/MNHYIACvfs via @TheEconomist https://x.com/timmelvin/status/935180051250925569 Replicating success: Private-equity returns can be replicated with public shares https://t.co/MNHYIACvfs via @TheEconomist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/935181551792300033)  2017-11-27T16:20Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"OSAM on microcaps as an alternative to private equity. Thank you @jposhaughnessy https://x.com/jposhaughnessy/status/935237911921995778 @Greenbackd See also: https://t.co/8pED6wdSI9 https://x.com/jposhaughnessy/status/935237911921995778 @Greenbackd See also: https://t.co/8pED6wdSI9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/935259663255425024)  2017-11-27T21:30Z 66.3K followers, [--] engagements


"@SauravAndre All have underperformed. As has any value factor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Greenbackd/status/992870568041959425)  2018-05-05T20:56Z 66.5K followers, [--] engagements

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