#  @rvrslio Reversal Reversal posts on X about kalshi, bitcoin, prediction markets, crypto the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1426475744314724354/interactions)  ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1426475744314724354/posts_active)  ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1426475744314724354/followers)  ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1426475744314724354/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 29% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 18% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 4% [stocks](/list/stocks) 2% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 2% [financial services](/list/financial-services) 1% [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands) 1% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 1% [gaming](/list/gaming) 1% [countries](/list/countries) 1% **Social topic influence** [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #383, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #5502, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #1678, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 7%, [market](/topic/market) 6%, [money](/topic/money) 5%, [warner bros](/topic/warner-bros) #668, [acquisition](/topic/acquisition) #1058, [open ai](/topic/open-ai) 3%, [strike](/topic/strike) 2% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@ashcrypto](/creator/undefined) [@bitcoinmagazine](/creator/undefined) [@cryptorover](/creator/undefined) [@coinbureau](/creator/undefined) [@trendingbitcoin](/creator/undefined) [@bulltheoryio](/creator/undefined) [@watcherguru](/creator/undefined) [@coinmarketcap](/creator/undefined) [@remarks](/creator/undefined) [@sama](/creator/undefined) [@timkotzman](/creator/undefined) [@cryptocom](/creator/undefined) [@larkdavis](/creator/undefined) [@piratnation](/creator/undefined) [@cointelegraph](/creator/undefined) [@whaleinsider](/creator/undefined) [@intocryptoverse](/creator/undefined) [@vivek4real](/creator/undefined) [@kalshifc](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [BlackRock Inc (BLK)](/topic/blackrock) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@BitcoinMagazine Grant Cardone showing what real DCA looks like. He doesn't care about price just buys" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024113878288810052) 2026-02-18T13:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@coinbureau Bitcoin holds alts get dumped. Market's picking one favorite" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024114491848302850) 2026-02-18T13:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Coffee prices down. Mornings just got a little cheaper" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024116681711259823) 2026-02-18T13:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi World's never been this uncertain. For traders opportunity for investors a nerve test" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024117344591663379) 2026-02-18T13:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TrendingBitcoin When the top Bitcoin bull says banks are coming to him that's not rumors that's a trend" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024121018105655389) 2026-02-18T13:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡BTC bulls are locked in on Friday close. Kalshis Bitcoin price on Friday at 5pm EST market now prices [--] YES on $76250+ [--] on $82750+ and [--] on $83250+ crowd wisdom sees no real downside risk into weekend settle on CF Benchmarks BRTI average. Structure: if the 60-sec avg RTI before 17:00 EST Jan [--] is above strike YES pays $1 else [--] pure directional bet on where it lands without leverage. Im eyeing the 82k+ spreads as a gauge for how sticky the rally is preFOMC; any dip below [--] here signals macro nerves. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR. #Bitcoin #Kalshi #BTC #PredictionMarkets #Crypto" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2016181092248682677) 2026-01-27T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡One more update on the shutdown drama as the clock hits crunch time. T-minus [--] hours to potential US gov shutdown on Sat Jan [--] 8am EST. Kalshi's "Government shutdown tomorrow" (KXGOVSHUT-26JAN31) now trades at [--] YES (up from [--] +23 surge) on $71M volume traders piling in on Trump admin funding stall amid spending battles. Simple resolution: YES pays $1 if posts shutdown notice by 11am ET Jan [--] (lapse in appropriations) else NO. Perfect tail-risk play on DC chaos no leverage needed. Watching for 90+ break as breakdown signal; dip under [--] eases tension. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR." [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2017298111215943890) 2026-01-30T18:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡Shutdown is over but the DHS clock is still ticking The House passed a $1.2T funding package that ends the partial shutdown and fully funds most agencies through Sept [--] but DHS only got a short-term patch while Congress keeps fighting over immigration and ICE money. On Kalshi there is a market When will DHS receive full-year funding traders are betting on which date window finally locks in DHS money with early bins (before March) already repricing after the deal. Thoughts: Id vote for an early window (before end of March) DC has already paid the price for one shutdown a quick DHS-only" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2019847452983976311) 2026-02-06T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi A public confirmation of a DCA strategy from the largest holder is a powerful bullish signal for long-term investors" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021242115028652190) 2026-02-10T15:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@AshCrypto A perfect reminder of why you shouldn't trade with high leverage. The market can turn in seconds" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021242789648859365) 2026-02-10T15:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi When consumer optimism falls the economy usually slows next. This is a signal for the Fed and for all risk-on assets" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021248455847362575) 2026-02-10T15:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@remarks $14B loss. AI is an expensive toy even for OpenAI" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021569056235544836) 2026-02-11T12:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BitcoinMagazine Danske Bank is a major player. When they join they're in it for the long haul" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021573505783894212) 2026-02-11T13:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi $1.28T. A record nobody wanted to set. People live on credit because the other options are gone" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021576444992778736) 2026-02-11T13:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Double the forecasts. The labor market is still holding up better than many thought" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021581519609860173) 2026-02-11T13:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi McDonald's at all-time highs. People keep eating burgers even when everything else gets expensive" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021993744648794608) 2026-02-12T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Just touched $5K and immediately left. It was a guest appearance" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021995315482779759) 2026-02-12T17:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Slightly above expectations but numbers remain within a historically comfortable range. We'll watch the trend" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021998361067631054) 2026-02-12T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Unexpected word choice. Let's see what's behind it" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021999177920827598) 2026-02-12T17:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@sama Intriguing. Let's see what the OpenAI team has in store" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022000045441327466) 2026-02-12T17:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Buying a house right now Good luck. Rates are brutal inventory is thin. No surprise sales are down" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022000538423066735) 2026-02-12T17:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi A talent for explaining complex things simply. Finally young people will learn finance from someone they actually watch" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022001762614620203) 2026-02-12T17:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@BullTheoryio $3.6T sounds scary but relative to total market size it's a correction not a collapse. No panic" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022002146682843197) 2026-02-12T17:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Kalshi $300M. The largest exchange doesn't just facilitate Bitcoin they believe in it. Strong signal" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022002923832848664) 2026-02-12T17:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi A safe harbor in choppy waters. Not everyone needs 100x growth sometimes stability is enough" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022054644479111219) 2026-02-12T21:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@WatcherGuru 2.4% - finally something reasonable. Maybe the Fed can ease up now" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022336149629604334) 2026-02-13T15:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Curious how fast the actual price will catch up to these expectations or if markets are just being cautious" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022337403348980137) 2026-02-13T15:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Inflation below expectations. Rates are definitely coming down now just a matter of when" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022340769470681472) 2026-02-13T16:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Good sign for markets. When IPOs come alive money starts moving faster" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022341948170981448) 2026-02-13T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@AshCrypto $73M in an hour not bad for the ones betting against the trend" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022342976186515501) 2026-02-13T16:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BitcoinMagazine @TimKotzman BlackRock advertising Bitcoin on billboards. Is the world crazy Or just finally making sense" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022353085075542371) 2026-02-13T16:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptocom Probably a combo: regulatory clarity in the US + rate cuts. When both line up markets go parabolic" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022357710373818848) 2026-02-13T17:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Dollar weakens stocks don't care Curious what's behind that take" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022685609714946543) 2026-02-14T14:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptorover 600M users vs 550M in all of crypto. The scale is insane. Impact will take time but the foundation is massive" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022687525593358793) 2026-02-14T15:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@WatcherGuru JPMorgan's sure the dollar doesn't matter. Curious what that confidence is based on" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022688687276835318) 2026-02-14T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TrendingBitcoin X becomes the main onramp to crypto for half the planet. Huge step" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022690200544055481) 2026-02-14T15:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Market says we might dip lower. Let's see if it plays out" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022732730879164534) 2026-02-14T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cryptorover Buying again. Saylor never tires of repeating: Bitcoin is the way" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023045500329668818) 2026-02-15T14:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@AshCrypto When it's cheaper for the government to borrow than pay interest crypto becomes the logical choice. Good breakdown" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023053056691273740) 2026-02-15T15:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@LarkDavis This whole circus is about who controls the money. Banks just don't want to lose their monopoly" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023054878424420467) 2026-02-15T15:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Kalshi Brands like Rolls-Royce don't expand for no reason. They see potential" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023058007291003045) 2026-02-15T15:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Kalshi Good move for tourism and business" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023092147793301623) 2026-02-15T17:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi He's just saying: we're ready for anything. Even that" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023112657104949287) 2026-02-15T19:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi A record nobody wanted to set" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023418246796640517) 2026-02-16T15:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi $16.5M for a Pokemon card. Is the world crazy or do collectors just know something" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023420458432127170) 2026-02-16T15:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BullTheoryio Well Trump is already pushing Warsh for the Fed. Powell stays until May then we'll see what this Warsh guy is about" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023421753570267549) 2026-02-16T15:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Let's see if they follow through. These promises either happen fast or not at all" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023423309778698450) 2026-02-16T15:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Supreme Court might strike down Trump's tariffs with 75% odds. If so many sectors can breathe easier" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023442565438337421) 2026-02-16T17:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Iran and US found common ground. Kalshi odds shot up" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023777971819913452) 2026-02-17T15:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Fed firing up the printer again. $16B fresh cash about to hit the markets" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023779461368606800) 2026-02-17T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Bought again. $169M for Bitcoin Saylor's clearly not planning to stop" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023783045128745146) 2026-02-17T15:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Pirat_Nation A record nobody wanted to set. Housing is becoming a luxury" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023783507739193621) 2026-02-17T15:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Cointelegraph Ripple CEO is pretty sure the bill passes by April. His predictions usually pan out" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023784061396021315) 2026-02-17T15:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cryptorover Trump himself confirms: crypto bill is coming. Just waiting on details now" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023785393297256933) 2026-02-17T15:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@coinbureau Record shorts on the dollar but Bitcoin's suddenly moving with it. Used to be the opposite" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023786921257037846) 2026-02-17T15:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Fear index up. Let's see if they buy the panic or run further" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023788306287280469) 2026-02-17T15:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Local government vs Musk. Wonder how long they'll last without his companies" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023790036907708546) 2026-02-17T16:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Economy grows but people struggle" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024110397511422168) 2026-02-18T13:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Prediction markets now see regime risk everywhere Kalshis World leaders out before [----] market is effectively a live barometer of political stress: contracts on Ali Khamenei Keir Starmer and Benjamin Netanyahu all trade around coinflip territory reflecting real uncertainty from Irans protests to UK polling pain and Israels coalition chaos. Kalshi: In this market you can trade on whether each leader is out of office before [----] Khameneis contract recently climbed above 60% on rising exit odds while Starmer and Netanyahu sit just below 50% as bettors weigh scandals and wars Im not expecting" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2019046816742850839) 2026-02-04T13:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Disney+ and Paramount+ reportedly close Super Bowl ad deals Disney+ and Paramount+ have reportedly locked in 30-second spots for Super Bowl LX at $8M$10M each while Netflix holds back despite the massive 120M audience. On Kalshi there is a market Which brands will advertise during the Big Game Disney+ 65%+ Paramount+ 55%+ Netflix 30%. Thoughts: I'd vote YES Disney+ and Paramount+ streamers can't miss this eyeballs bonanza. Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Kalshi #SuperBowl #Ads https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuperbowlad/super-bowl-ads/kxsuperbowlad-sb2026" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2019442883221139829) 2026-02-05T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡Bitcoin snaps back to $70K after worst daily drop since FTX After plunging 13% on Thursday and briefly touching the low $60Ks BTCs steepest oneday fall since the FTX collapse Bitcoin has snapped back to the $70K area as risk assets stabilize. On Kalshi there is a market Bitcoin price on Friday at 5pm EST traders are betting where BTC will settle next Friday with ranges around the high$60Ks and low$70Ks now in focus after this whiplash. Thoughts: Id lean slightly above $68K for next Friday the bounce shows theres still real dipbuying demand but ETF overhang and liquidation fear cap the upside" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020210349295956134) 2026-02-07T18:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Bitcoin storms back to $70K After crashing below $60K last week Bitcoin has rebounded to the $70K area recovering some losses amid stock market stabilization. Analysts warn volatility may persist: investors are booking losses on Bitcoin ETFs but dip-buying demand is holding prices steady for now" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020532948160696775) 2026-02-08T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡US growth is running hot - can it last Prediction markets are now pricing solid odds that US real GDP growth in late 2025early [----] lands comfortably above the boring 2% trend after the Atlanta Feds GDPNow model shocked everyone with a 5.4% Q42025 nowcast and recent BEA data showing 4.4% annualized growth in Q32025. Wall Street houses like Goldman now see [----] growth closer to 2.5% than the old 2.1% consensus helped by tax cuts and fading tariff drag but if the current nolanding boom keeps up the next GDP prints could force another round of forecast upgrades. Betting 3% - Atlanta Fed rarely" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021251279889031295) 2026-02-10T15:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Top AI model by Feb [--] Battle royale Kalshi market "Top model" heats up: traders bet which LLM claims [--] spot on Chatbot Arena/LMSYS leaderboard by end of February frontrunners include latest GPT5 variants Gemini [---] Grok [--] and dark horses like Claude or Llama updates. Arena Elo ratings shift fast with new releases but incumbents with massive compute edge (OpenAI xAI) hold 70% implied odds combined watch for surprise drops from Chinese labs.Thoughts: Id bet on GPT5 lead their compute moat plus daily finetuning keeps winning these Elo battles month after Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021677077746135250) 2026-02-11T20:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Ethereum nears oversold zone After dropping below $2K Ethereum is holding near oversold territory as staking hits all-time highs. Analysts warn of ongoing volatility: ETF outflows pressure prices but HODLer conviction (30%+ staked) holds the floor for now" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022054261799235679) 2026-02-12T21:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡What will Kristi Noem say at her press conference South Dakota governor and DHS secretary Kristi Noem is set for a highprofile press conference after days of protests over her border policies and abortion stance with cameras ready to catch every sound bite. On Kalshi theres a market What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference traders bet which phrases or topics shell actually mention from border security and Biden to crime protesters or direct praise for Trump. Thoughts: Id lean toward a full MAGA script heavy focus on border security and crime plus at least one strong shoutout to" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022367896811266360) 2026-02-13T17:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Happy valentine's day everyone❤🌹" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022694725351018802) 2026-02-14T15:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Love crypto and pigbutchering Valentines Day is peak season not only for romance but also for scams: the DOJ and state prosecutors have warned of a surge in romance scams where the perfect partner from Tinder or WhatsApp smoothly shifts the conversation to crypto investments and pulls you into a fake trading app after a couple of weeks. The pigbutchering scheme is simple and extremely costly: the scammer fattens trust over months shows fake profit screenshots then drains the entire deposit in one go - estimates show these loveinvestment stories have already cost people billions in crypto. If" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2022732211036758036) 2026-02-14T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Vance & Newsom tie in tightest [----] race yet Prediction markets hit milestone as VP J.D. Vance (24%) and Gov. Gavin Newsom (21%) lock in their closest spread ever for the [----] presidency with Marco Rubio at 10% Kalshi calls it the "tightest" duel so far amid early shadow campaigning. On Kalshi theres a market [----] U.S. Presidential Election winner $11.6M vol already traded lines squeezing between Vance and Newsom as bettors price in VP edge vs. Dem fundraising machine. Thoughts: Id vote Vance VP spot + Trump fans give him edge unless Dems crush midterms. Newsom needs big wins to catch up." [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023088732312645657) 2026-02-15T17:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Bitcoin Q1 -22% - Worst Drop Since [----] Since January BTC dropped from $87.7k to $68k fourth straight losing week market correcting after ETF hype and Trump optimism seeking bottom ahead of FOMC. Kalshi When will Bitcoin cross $100k again reflects skepticism: 16% chance by May 20% by June 28% by July [----] $2.1M vol lines trending down. I'd bet on June+ correction makes sense post-rally needs fresh catalyst like rate cuts or new ETF inflows to reclaim $100k; too risky earlier. Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Bitcoin #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023515716004065592) 2026-02-16T21:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Trump promises quick US crypto market law President Trump announced that the crypto market structure bill will pass soon. It will clearly divide roles between SEC and CFTC regulators and require crypto exchanges to register within [---] days. The deadline for stablecoin rules is February [--] speeding up Senate work. The House already approved it last year https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023810408780542333 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023810408780542333" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2023810408780542333) 2026-02-17T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@WhaleInsider Almost a lock. Kalshi traders see a pause in March" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024111222442889529) 2026-02-18T13:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@intocryptoverse Over time you learn: chase alts or just hold Bitcoin and chill" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024115159912911292) 2026-02-18T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Vivek4real_ US president officially backing self-custody. End of the "Bitcoin is for criminals" era" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024115894251639084) 2026-02-18T13:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024238837644337327) 2026-02-18T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024238865234506085) 2026-02-18T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024238890861658614) 2026-02-18T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2024239071732568193) 2026-02-18T21:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Ethereum back above 2k That's a psychological level everyone was watching" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2019812307543695753) 2026-02-06T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi MSTR up 20% in a day That's a major bounce" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2019814038327423071) 2026-02-06T16:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@AshCrypto Powell talks soft landing PBOC just quietly reloads the lifeboat with gold" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020093534360203392) 2026-02-07T11:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@KalshiFC After a start like this the odds on United finishing top-4 on Kalshi must be soaring" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020158471212089633) 2026-02-07T15:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@CoinMarketCap An ETF on Uniswap Now things are getting serious. DeFi is hitting the exchange" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020160369293934750) 2026-02-07T15:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Job openings at lows but recession markets on Kalshi have been in the green for a while. Looks like the crowd called it early" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020486940357763458) 2026-02-08T13:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@CoinMarketCap If we're talking ecosystems Solana looks like a monster that's just gaining momentum. DeFi memes real users it's all there" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020487861137485859) 2026-02-08T13:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Wonder how a Kalshi market on "chance of F-22 flyover cancellation" would've moved a week ago. Probably everyone would've called it fake news" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020488689055408419) 2026-02-08T13:23Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "@Kalshi "Bought Bitcoin" and "Cramer said they bought Bitcoin" are two very different things" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020489990124208213) 2026-02-08T13:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@zdrelay Check the Friday article on CNBC. They reported that NBC sold ad spots for $10M citing their ad chairman Mark Marshall's statement" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2020806215089995879) 2026-02-09T10:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi A logical but hard-to-implement move. Blocking transactions in decentralized networks is technically almost impossible. This is more of a political signal" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021240136780906553) 2026-02-10T15:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@FractalFront @Kalshi Exactly" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021347258734870853) 2026-02-10T22:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Every president wants a rising market. Question is what they'll do about it" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021570821718724738) 2026-02-11T13:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi Danske Bank is in. Europe is keeping up with the US" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2021574079342370920) 2026-02-11T13:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Fed hawks locked in on [----] rate cuts. Kalshis Number of rate cuts in [----] market now prices [--] YES on Exactly [--] cuts (50bps) [--] on [--] cuts (75bps) and [--] on [--] cuts (100bps) crowd wisdom sees modest easing [--] cuts at [--] as tail hedge. Structure: if Fed makes exact # of 25bp cuts (Jan 1-Dec 31) per FOMC site YES pays $1 else [--] pure count bet on Powell's dot plot trajectory without leverage.Im eyeing the 2-3 cut spreads as gauge for sticky hawkishness pre-FOMC; dip below [--] signals dovish surprise. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR. #Fed #Kalshi #RateCuts #PredictionMarkets #Finance" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2016556260657701361) 2026-01-28T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Shutdown clock ticking: under 20h left until potential US gov shutdown Sat Jan [--] 8am EST. Kalshis Government shutdown on Saturday now trades [----] YES (up 34) volume $32M+ crowd bets Trump admin stalls funding amid spending fights. Simple: If posts shutdown notice by 11am ET Jan [--] (lapse in appropriations) YES pays $1 else NO. Pure tail-risk hedge on DC drama without leverage. Watching YES spike above [--] as real-time signal for deal breakdown; sub-50 clears air. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR. #Kalshi #Shutdown #Trump #Politics #PredictionMarkets" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2016962716523470870) 2026-01-29T19:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡S&P [---] EOY [----] Close Range Heats Up on Kalshi News: Wall Street targets [----] for S&P end-2026 (median 11% upside from [----] now) fueled by AI/earnings growth amid Fed cuts Kalshi traders pile into ranges post-Q1 rally. Kalshi market shows hottest bins around 6900-7600+ (e.g. 7400-7599.99 favored per chart) pricing crowd bets on continued bull but no moonshot.Thoughts: I'd vote 7400-7800 range matches analyst medians/Goldman [----] target; hedge low-end if recession whispers grow. Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Kalshi #SP500 #PredictionMarkets #Stocks2026" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2017627415619526849) 2026-01-31T15:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "⚡Bitcoin -40% From [----] Peak News: BTC down 40% from [----] high ($126K to $76K Feb 1) after Black Sunday crash. Kalshi: "How low will Bitcoin get this year" market prices deep lows like $64K favored. Thoughts: I'd vote $70K-75K bottom milder than past cycles (-84% [----] -72% [----] -78% 2022). Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Kalshi #Bitcoin #Crypto https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcminy/how-low-will-bitcoin-fall-this-year https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcminy/how-low-will-bitcoin-fall-this-year" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/2017973818166276502) 2026-02-01T14:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "How to register on @Kalshi in [----] a quick 4step guide: account verification deposit first trade. Save it to follow along (1/5)" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/1991855882393858203) 2025-11-21T13:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@RadarHits When the goal shifts from making money to defining the next platform the old financial rules no longer apply. $207B is the new ante for a seat at the table" [X Link](https://x.com/rvrslio/status/1999150174153646522) 2025-12-11T16:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡DC says short shutdown but Kalshi isnt fully buying it News: The US is in a partial government shutdown after Congress missed the Jan [--] funding deadline with the fight now centered on DHS and immigration money. Johnson and Senate leaders keep saying it should end early this week but talks are already slipping past their own timelines. On Kalshi there is a market How long will the government shutdown last it lets you bet on the total number of shutdown days between Jan [--] and Feb [--] [----]. Thoughts: Id lean that the shutdown drags longer than politicians promise procedural delays and headline" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018338255188484113) 2026-02-02T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚡Markets now betting on when DC actually finishes the job News: After the partial shutdown and lastminute funding drama Congress still hasnt fully funded every agency DHS is running on a short patch while immigration talks drag on. Leaders keep saying days not weeks but weve heard that before with past standoffs.On Kalshi there is a market When will the US government be fully funded contracts pay out based on whether all [--] appropriations bills are law before specific dates like Feb [--] Feb [--] or Feb [--] [----]. Thoughts: Id lean toward funding getting done before Feb [--] (political pain too high)" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018701798895161392) 2026-02-03T15:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@rvrslio ReversalReversal posts on X about kalshi, bitcoin, prediction markets, crypto the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 29% cryptocurrencies 18% technology brands 4% stocks 2% exchanges 2% financial services 1% luxury brands 1% automotive brands 1% gaming 1% countries 1%
Social topic influence kalshi #383, bitcoin #5502, prediction markets #1678, crypto 7%, market 6%, money 5%, warner bros #668, acquisition #1058, open ai 3%, strike 2%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @kalshi @ashcrypto @bitcoinmagazine @cryptorover @coinbureau @trendingbitcoin @bulltheoryio @watcherguru @coinmarketcap @remarks @sama @timkotzman @cryptocom @larkdavis @piratnation @cointelegraph @whaleinsider @intocryptoverse @vivek4real @kalshifc
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) BlackRock Inc (BLK)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@BitcoinMagazine Grant Cardone showing what real DCA looks like. He doesn't care about price just buys"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@coinbureau Bitcoin holds alts get dumped. Market's picking one favorite"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Coffee prices down. Mornings just got a little cheaper"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi World's never been this uncertain. For traders opportunity for investors a nerve test"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TrendingBitcoin When the top Bitcoin bull says banks are coming to him that's not rumors that's a trend"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡BTC bulls are locked in on Friday close. Kalshis Bitcoin price on Friday at 5pm EST market now prices [--] YES on $76250+ [--] on $82750+ and [--] on $83250+ crowd wisdom sees no real downside risk into weekend settle on CF Benchmarks BRTI average. Structure: if the 60-sec avg RTI before 17:00 EST Jan [--] is above strike YES pays $1 else [--] pure directional bet on where it lands without leverage. Im eyeing the 82k+ spreads as a gauge for how sticky the rally is preFOMC; any dip below [--] here signals macro nerves. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR. #Bitcoin #Kalshi #BTC #PredictionMarkets #Crypto"
X Link 2026-01-27T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡One more update on the shutdown drama as the clock hits crunch time. T-minus [--] hours to potential US gov shutdown on Sat Jan [--] 8am EST. Kalshi's "Government shutdown tomorrow" (KXGOVSHUT-26JAN31) now trades at [--] YES (up from [--] +23 surge) on $71M volume traders piling in on Trump admin funding stall amid spending battles. Simple resolution: YES pays $1 if posts shutdown notice by 11am ET Jan [--] (lapse in appropriations) else NO. Perfect tail-risk play on DC chaos no leverage needed. Watching for 90+ break as breakdown signal; dip under [--] eases tension. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR."
X Link 2026-01-30T18:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡Shutdown is over but the DHS clock is still ticking The House passed a $1.2T funding package that ends the partial shutdown and fully funds most agencies through Sept [--] but DHS only got a short-term patch while Congress keeps fighting over immigration and ICE money. On Kalshi there is a market When will DHS receive full-year funding traders are betting on which date window finally locks in DHS money with early bins (before March) already repricing after the deal. Thoughts: Id vote for an early window (before end of March) DC has already paid the price for one shutdown a quick DHS-only"
X Link 2026-02-06T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi A public confirmation of a DCA strategy from the largest holder is a powerful bullish signal for long-term investors"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@AshCrypto A perfect reminder of why you shouldn't trade with high leverage. The market can turn in seconds"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi When consumer optimism falls the economy usually slows next. This is a signal for the Fed and for all risk-on assets"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@remarks $14B loss. AI is an expensive toy even for OpenAI"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BitcoinMagazine Danske Bank is a major player. When they join they're in it for the long haul"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi $1.28T. A record nobody wanted to set. People live on credit because the other options are gone"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Double the forecasts. The labor market is still holding up better than many thought"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi McDonald's at all-time highs. People keep eating burgers even when everything else gets expensive"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Just touched $5K and immediately left. It was a guest appearance"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Slightly above expectations but numbers remain within a historically comfortable range. We'll watch the trend"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Unexpected word choice. Let's see what's behind it"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@sama Intriguing. Let's see what the OpenAI team has in store"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Buying a house right now Good luck. Rates are brutal inventory is thin. No surprise sales are down"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi A talent for explaining complex things simply. Finally young people will learn finance from someone they actually watch"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@BullTheoryio $3.6T sounds scary but relative to total market size it's a correction not a collapse. No panic"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Kalshi $300M. The largest exchange doesn't just facilitate Bitcoin they believe in it. Strong signal"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi A safe harbor in choppy waters. Not everyone needs 100x growth sometimes stability is enough"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@WatcherGuru 2.4% - finally something reasonable. Maybe the Fed can ease up now"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Curious how fast the actual price will catch up to these expectations or if markets are just being cautious"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Inflation below expectations. Rates are definitely coming down now just a matter of when"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Good sign for markets. When IPOs come alive money starts moving faster"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@AshCrypto $73M in an hour not bad for the ones betting against the trend"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BitcoinMagazine @TimKotzman BlackRock advertising Bitcoin on billboards. Is the world crazy Or just finally making sense"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptocom Probably a combo: regulatory clarity in the US + rate cuts. When both line up markets go parabolic"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Dollar weakens stocks don't care Curious what's behind that take"
X Link 2026-02-14T14:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptorover 600M users vs 550M in all of crypto. The scale is insane. Impact will take time but the foundation is massive"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@WatcherGuru JPMorgan's sure the dollar doesn't matter. Curious what that confidence is based on"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TrendingBitcoin X becomes the main onramp to crypto for half the planet. Huge step"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Market says we might dip lower. Let's see if it plays out"
X Link 2026-02-14T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cryptorover Buying again. Saylor never tires of repeating: Bitcoin is the way"
X Link 2026-02-15T14:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@AshCrypto When it's cheaper for the government to borrow than pay interest crypto becomes the logical choice. Good breakdown"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@LarkDavis This whole circus is about who controls the money. Banks just don't want to lose their monopoly"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:20Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Kalshi Brands like Rolls-Royce don't expand for no reason. They see potential"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Kalshi Good move for tourism and business"
X Link 2026-02-15T17:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi He's just saying: we're ready for anything. Even that"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi A record nobody wanted to set"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi $16.5M for a Pokemon card. Is the world crazy or do collectors just know something"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BullTheoryio Well Trump is already pushing Warsh for the Fed. Powell stays until May then we'll see what this Warsh guy is about"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Let's see if they follow through. These promises either happen fast or not at all"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Supreme Court might strike down Trump's tariffs with 75% odds. If so many sectors can breathe easier"
X Link 2026-02-16T17:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Iran and US found common ground. Kalshi odds shot up"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Fed firing up the printer again. $16B fresh cash about to hit the markets"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Bought again. $169M for Bitcoin Saylor's clearly not planning to stop"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Pirat_Nation A record nobody wanted to set. Housing is becoming a luxury"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Cointelegraph Ripple CEO is pretty sure the bill passes by April. His predictions usually pan out"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cryptorover Trump himself confirms: crypto bill is coming. Just waiting on details now"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@coinbureau Record shorts on the dollar but Bitcoin's suddenly moving with it. Used to be the opposite"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Fear index up. Let's see if they buy the panic or run further"
X Link 2026-02-17T15:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Local government vs Musk. Wonder how long they'll last without his companies"
X Link 2026-02-17T16:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Economy grows but people struggle"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Prediction markets now see regime risk everywhere Kalshis World leaders out before [----] market is effectively a live barometer of political stress: contracts on Ali Khamenei Keir Starmer and Benjamin Netanyahu all trade around coinflip territory reflecting real uncertainty from Irans protests to UK polling pain and Israels coalition chaos. Kalshi: In this market you can trade on whether each leader is out of office before [----] Khameneis contract recently climbed above 60% on rising exit odds while Starmer and Netanyahu sit just below 50% as bettors weigh scandals and wars Im not expecting"
X Link 2026-02-04T13:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Disney+ and Paramount+ reportedly close Super Bowl ad deals Disney+ and Paramount+ have reportedly locked in 30-second spots for Super Bowl LX at $8M$10M each while Netflix holds back despite the massive 120M audience. On Kalshi there is a market Which brands will advertise during the Big Game Disney+ 65%+ Paramount+ 55%+ Netflix 30%. Thoughts: I'd vote YES Disney+ and Paramount+ streamers can't miss this eyeballs bonanza. Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Kalshi #SuperBowl #Ads https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuperbowlad/super-bowl-ads/kxsuperbowlad-sb2026"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡Bitcoin snaps back to $70K after worst daily drop since FTX After plunging 13% on Thursday and briefly touching the low $60Ks BTCs steepest oneday fall since the FTX collapse Bitcoin has snapped back to the $70K area as risk assets stabilize. On Kalshi there is a market Bitcoin price on Friday at 5pm EST traders are betting where BTC will settle next Friday with ranges around the high$60Ks and low$70Ks now in focus after this whiplash. Thoughts: Id lean slightly above $68K for next Friday the bounce shows theres still real dipbuying demand but ETF overhang and liquidation fear cap the upside"
X Link 2026-02-07T18:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Bitcoin storms back to $70K After crashing below $60K last week Bitcoin has rebounded to the $70K area recovering some losses amid stock market stabilization. Analysts warn volatility may persist: investors are booking losses on Bitcoin ETFs but dip-buying demand is holding prices steady for now"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡US growth is running hot - can it last Prediction markets are now pricing solid odds that US real GDP growth in late 2025early [----] lands comfortably above the boring 2% trend after the Atlanta Feds GDPNow model shocked everyone with a 5.4% Q42025 nowcast and recent BEA data showing 4.4% annualized growth in Q32025. Wall Street houses like Goldman now see [----] growth closer to 2.5% than the old 2.1% consensus helped by tax cuts and fading tariff drag but if the current nolanding boom keeps up the next GDP prints could force another round of forecast upgrades. Betting 3% - Atlanta Fed rarely"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Top AI model by Feb [--] Battle royale Kalshi market "Top model" heats up: traders bet which LLM claims [--] spot on Chatbot Arena/LMSYS leaderboard by end of February frontrunners include latest GPT5 variants Gemini [---] Grok [--] and dark horses like Claude or Llama updates. Arena Elo ratings shift fast with new releases but incumbents with massive compute edge (OpenAI xAI) hold 70% implied odds combined watch for surprise drops from Chinese labs.Thoughts: Id bet on GPT5 lead their compute moat plus daily finetuning keeps winning these Elo battles month after Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Ethereum nears oversold zone After dropping below $2K Ethereum is holding near oversold territory as staking hits all-time highs. Analysts warn of ongoing volatility: ETF outflows pressure prices but HODLer conviction (30%+ staked) holds the floor for now"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡What will Kristi Noem say at her press conference South Dakota governor and DHS secretary Kristi Noem is set for a highprofile press conference after days of protests over her border policies and abortion stance with cameras ready to catch every sound bite. On Kalshi theres a market What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference traders bet which phrases or topics shell actually mention from border security and Biden to crime protesters or direct praise for Trump. Thoughts: Id lean toward a full MAGA script heavy focus on border security and crime plus at least one strong shoutout to"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Happy valentine's day everyone❤🌹"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Love crypto and pigbutchering Valentines Day is peak season not only for romance but also for scams: the DOJ and state prosecutors have warned of a surge in romance scams where the perfect partner from Tinder or WhatsApp smoothly shifts the conversation to crypto investments and pulls you into a fake trading app after a couple of weeks. The pigbutchering scheme is simple and extremely costly: the scammer fattens trust over months shows fake profit screenshots then drains the entire deposit in one go - estimates show these loveinvestment stories have already cost people billions in crypto. If"
X Link 2026-02-14T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Vance & Newsom tie in tightest [----] race yet Prediction markets hit milestone as VP J.D. Vance (24%) and Gov. Gavin Newsom (21%) lock in their closest spread ever for the [----] presidency with Marco Rubio at 10% Kalshi calls it the "tightest" duel so far amid early shadow campaigning. On Kalshi theres a market [----] U.S. Presidential Election winner $11.6M vol already traded lines squeezing between Vance and Newsom as bettors price in VP edge vs. Dem fundraising machine. Thoughts: Id vote Vance VP spot + Trump fans give him edge unless Dems crush midterms. Newsom needs big wins to catch up."
X Link 2026-02-15T17:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Bitcoin Q1 -22% - Worst Drop Since [----] Since January BTC dropped from $87.7k to $68k fourth straight losing week market correcting after ETF hype and Trump optimism seeking bottom ahead of FOMC. Kalshi When will Bitcoin cross $100k again reflects skepticism: 16% chance by May 20% by June 28% by July [----] $2.1M vol lines trending down. I'd bet on June+ correction makes sense post-rally needs fresh catalyst like rate cuts or new ETF inflows to reclaim $100k; too risky earlier. Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Bitcoin #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets"
X Link 2026-02-16T21:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Trump promises quick US crypto market law President Trump announced that the crypto market structure bill will pass soon. It will clearly divide roles between SEC and CFTC regulators and require crypto exchanges to register within [---] days. The deadline for stablecoin rules is February [--] speeding up Senate work. The House already approved it last year https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023810408780542333 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023810408780542333"
X Link 2026-02-17T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@WhaleInsider Almost a lock. Kalshi traders see a pause in March"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@intocryptoverse Over time you learn: chase alts or just hold Bitcoin and chill"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Vivek4real_ US president officially backing self-custody. End of the "Bitcoin is for criminals" era"
X Link 2026-02-18T13:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL"
X Link 2026-02-18T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL"
X Link 2026-02-18T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL"
X Link 2026-02-18T21:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Hollywoods biggest takeover fight is on Paramount and Netflix are battling for Warner Bros: the WBD board still prefers a deal with Netflix but gave Paramount a week to bring a best and final offer after hints it could raise to around $31 a share. On Kalshi the market Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers now has Paramount as the favorite: about 49% vs. 37% for Netflix with none before July [----] at just 15% and over $1.3M traded. Id vote for Paramount regulators are more likely to approve their bid than let Netflix tighten its streaming dominance even further. Market: NOT FINANCIAL"
X Link 2026-02-18T21:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Ethereum back above 2k That's a psychological level everyone was watching"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi MSTR up 20% in a day That's a major bounce"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@AshCrypto Powell talks soft landing PBOC just quietly reloads the lifeboat with gold"
X Link 2026-02-07T11:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@KalshiFC After a start like this the odds on United finishing top-4 on Kalshi must be soaring"
X Link 2026-02-07T15:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@CoinMarketCap An ETF on Uniswap Now things are getting serious. DeFi is hitting the exchange"
X Link 2026-02-07T15:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Job openings at lows but recession markets on Kalshi have been in the green for a while. Looks like the crowd called it early"
X Link 2026-02-08T13:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@CoinMarketCap If we're talking ecosystems Solana looks like a monster that's just gaining momentum. DeFi memes real users it's all there"
X Link 2026-02-08T13:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Wonder how a Kalshi market on "chance of F-22 flyover cancellation" would've moved a week ago. Probably everyone would've called it fake news"
X Link 2026-02-08T13:23Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"@Kalshi "Bought Bitcoin" and "Cramer said they bought Bitcoin" are two very different things"
X Link 2026-02-08T13:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@zdrelay Check the Friday article on CNBC. They reported that NBC sold ad spots for $10M citing their ad chairman Mark Marshall's statement"
X Link 2026-02-09T10:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi A logical but hard-to-implement move. Blocking transactions in decentralized networks is technically almost impossible. This is more of a political signal"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@FractalFront @Kalshi Exactly"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Every president wants a rising market. Question is what they'll do about it"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi Danske Bank is in. Europe is keeping up with the US"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Fed hawks locked in on [----] rate cuts. Kalshis Number of rate cuts in [----] market now prices [--] YES on Exactly [--] cuts (50bps) [--] on [--] cuts (75bps) and [--] on [--] cuts (100bps) crowd wisdom sees modest easing [--] cuts at [--] as tail hedge. Structure: if Fed makes exact # of 25bp cuts (Jan 1-Dec 31) per FOMC site YES pays $1 else [--] pure count bet on Powell's dot plot trajectory without leverage.Im eyeing the 2-3 cut spreads as gauge for sticky hawkishness pre-FOMC; dip below [--] signals dovish surprise. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR. #Fed #Kalshi #RateCuts #PredictionMarkets #Finance"
X Link 2026-01-28T16:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Shutdown clock ticking: under 20h left until potential US gov shutdown Sat Jan [--] 8am EST. Kalshis Government shutdown on Saturday now trades [----] YES (up 34) volume $32M+ crowd bets Trump admin stalls funding amid spending fights. Simple: If posts shutdown notice by 11am ET Jan [--] (lapse in appropriations) YES pays $1 else NO. Pure tail-risk hedge on DC drama without leverage. Watching YES spike above [--] as real-time signal for deal breakdown; sub-50 clears air. Market: Not Financial Advice. DYOR. #Kalshi #Shutdown #Trump #Politics #PredictionMarkets"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡S&P [---] EOY [----] Close Range Heats Up on Kalshi News: Wall Street targets [----] for S&P end-2026 (median 11% upside from [----] now) fueled by AI/earnings growth amid Fed cuts Kalshi traders pile into ranges post-Q1 rally. Kalshi market shows hottest bins around 6900-7600+ (e.g. 7400-7599.99 favored per chart) pricing crowd bets on continued bull but no moonshot.Thoughts: I'd vote 7400-7800 range matches analyst medians/Goldman [----] target; hedge low-end if recession whispers grow. Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Kalshi #SP500 #PredictionMarkets #Stocks2026"
X Link 2026-01-31T15:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"⚡Bitcoin -40% From [----] Peak News: BTC down 40% from [----] high ($126K to $76K Feb 1) after Black Sunday crash. Kalshi: "How low will Bitcoin get this year" market prices deep lows like $64K favored. Thoughts: I'd vote $70K-75K bottom milder than past cycles (-84% [----] -72% [----] -78% 2022). Market: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DYOR. #Kalshi #Bitcoin #Crypto https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcminy/how-low-will-bitcoin-fall-this-year https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcminy/how-low-will-bitcoin-fall-this-year"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"How to register on @Kalshi in [----] a quick 4step guide: account verification deposit first trade. Save it to follow along (1/5)"
X Link 2025-11-21T13:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@RadarHits When the goal shifts from making money to defining the next platform the old financial rules no longer apply. $207B is the new ante for a seat at the table"
X Link 2025-12-11T16:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡DC says short shutdown but Kalshi isnt fully buying it News: The US is in a partial government shutdown after Congress missed the Jan [--] funding deadline with the fight now centered on DHS and immigration money. Johnson and Senate leaders keep saying it should end early this week but talks are already slipping past their own timelines. On Kalshi there is a market How long will the government shutdown last it lets you bet on the total number of shutdown days between Jan [--] and Feb [--] [----]. Thoughts: Id lean that the shutdown drags longer than politicians promise procedural delays and headline"
X Link 2026-02-02T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡Markets now betting on when DC actually finishes the job News: After the partial shutdown and lastminute funding drama Congress still hasnt fully funded every agency DHS is running on a short patch while immigration talks drag on. Leaders keep saying days not weeks but weve heard that before with past standoffs.On Kalshi there is a market When will the US government be fully funded contracts pay out based on whether all [--] appropriations bills are law before specific dates like Feb [--] Feb [--] or Feb [--] [----]. Thoughts: Id lean toward funding getting done before Feb [--] (political pain too high)"
X Link 2026-02-03T15:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
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/creator/twitter::GomezAdalyn