#  @GamblerGazette The Gambler's Gazette The Gambler's Gazette posts on X about market, fair, edge, scottie scheffler the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1673348886616846340/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] -2.10% - [--] Month [-------] -16% - [--] Months [---------] +8.20% - [--] Year [---------] +48% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1673348886616846340/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -9.40% - [--] Month [---] +23% - [--] Months [-----] +29% - [--] Year [-----] -6.10% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1673348886616846340/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +1% - [--] Month [-----] +4.20% - [--] Months [-----] +81% - [--] Year [-----] +108% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1673348886616846340/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [pga golfers](/list/pga-golfers) #1133 [nba](/list/nba) 13.56% [ncaa football](/list/ncaa-football) #3858 [finance](/list/finance) 6.78% [stocks](/list/stocks) 6.78% [ufc](/list/ufc) 5.08% [countries](/list/countries) 4.24% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 3.39% [ncaa basketball](/list/ncaa-basketball) 3.39% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 2.54% **Social topic influence** [market](/topic/market) #1525, [fair](/topic/fair) #1612, [edge](/topic/edge) 14.41%, [scottie scheffler](/topic/scottie-scheffler) 5.93%, [strong](/topic/strong) 5.08%, [books](/topic/books) 4.24%, [ufc](/topic/ufc) 4.24%, [card](/topic/card) 4.24%, [betting](/topic/betting) #314, [express](/topic/express) #2099 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@ryanhammer09](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "🏀 MIL @ OKC Game Script First Breakdown (Both on B2B) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: OKC [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: OKC [----] / MIL +450 What drives it: OKCs elite defense and depth vs. a Giannis-less Milwaukee offense on a B2B with SGA out lowering OKCs ceiling but not their defensive control. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) OKC [---] MIL [---] (Total: 216) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: OKC Defensive Squeeze (Most Likely 55%) Who controls & why: OKC controls via defense + transition off turnovers. Milwaukee lacks rim pressure and consistent half-court creation without Giannis." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022053101205958724) 2026-02-12T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🚨 Olympic Hockey Betting Preview 🚨 Canada vs Switzerland Friday 3:10 PM ET Milan Canada is [--] after a [--] dismantling of Czechia. Switzerland handled France [--]. Now the market is screaming one thing And the books are smiling. 📊 Current Market Canada ML [----] Canada [----] (-142) Total [---] Over [----] / Under +114 Switzerland +2.5 (+120) Bet splits: 91% on Canada ML 92% on Canada [----] 74% on Over The public expects a blowout. Books are comfortable writing those tickets. Thats the tell. 🧠 What The Board Is Actually Saying Canada TT O3.5 = [----] Canada TT O4.5 = +110 Swiss TT O1.5 = -115" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022373958809731241) 2026-02-13T18:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers 📍 Kohl Center 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MSU [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: MSU [----] / WIS +120 What drives it: MSUs elite defense + defensive rebounding suppress Wisconsins rim efficiency while Wisconsins 3-point volume creates volatility but not necessarily sustainable pace against a top-5 defense. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Michigan State [--] Wisconsin [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: MSU Controls Physically (Most Likely) Who controls & why: MSUs interior size and #1 defensive rebounding neutralize second chances;" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022400387261829227) 2026-02-13T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Kansas @ Iowa State (Hilton Coliseum Ames) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Iowa State [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: Iowa State [----] / Kansas +265 Why: Hilton (top-20 HCA) + Iowa States elite defensive pressure (22.4% TO rate) + KU missing primary perimeter shot creation lowers Kansas offensive ceiling in a medium-tempo (67 poss) game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Iowa State [--] Kansas [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Iowa State Controls (Most Likely) Who controls & why: ISU dictates tempo via ball pressure and offensive rebounding. KUs halfcourt offense struggles without consistent" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022672177485517096) 2026-02-14T14:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏆 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Finishing Positions (Including Ties) 🧱 Foundation Layer (Lower Variance) ⛳ Collin Morikawa Top [--] (+156) Best pure placement edge on the board. Barbell iron fit + wedge spike profile + no-cut event. This is your stability anchor. ⛳ Sepp Straka Top [--] (+160) #1 proximity [----] yards. Fits wind + wedge profile perfectly. ⛳ Shane Lowry Top [--] (+160) Wind specialist. Runner-up here last year. Profile screams Pebble. ⛳ Corey Conners Top [--] (+205) Ball-striking floor + CA comfort. Big number relative to profile. 📈 Mid Tier (Upside but Realistic) ⛳ Patrick Cantlay Top 10" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021788853875749373) 2026-02-12T03:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Daily Reminder: Chris Gotterup should have been at Bethpage" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022034436444107096) 2026-02-12T19:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 UNI @ Belmont Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Belmont [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Belmont [----] / UNI +190 What drives it: UNIs 360th-ranked tempo (65.5 poss) suppresses volume Belmonts elite shooting efficiency raises floor clash of pace vs efficiency keeps total mid-130s and margin [--]. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Belmont [--] Northern Iowa [--] (66 possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: UNI Controls Tempo (Most Likely 55%) Who controls & why: UNIs half-court offense and defensive discipline force Belmont into longer possessions. Pace/Scoring" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022037995608846561) 2026-02-12T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 POR @ UTA Game Script First Preview 📊 Market: POR [----] [-----] 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: POR [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: POR [----] / UTA +200 Driver: Portland is the better halfcourt offense and cleaner ball-handling team. Utahs edge is rebounding + whistle volume. B2B fatigue trims ceiling but doesnt flip control. Market [----] is inflated vs model but public pressure on Utah removes pregame edge. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) POR [---] UTA [---] (237) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Portland Stabilizes & Pulls Away (Most Likely) Control: Portland perimeter creation vs Utahs weak POA" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022056870022984175) 2026-02-12T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Ryo Hisatsune is quietly turning into one of the best stories of the [----] PGA season. Ryo Hisatsune T2 (-16) at Farmers Insurance Open T10 (-12) at WM Phoenix Open T44 (-15) at The American Express MC at Sony (even par through [--] rounds) And now 🔥 [---] at Pebble Beach Sitting at the top of the board at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This isnt a heater. This is trend + trajectory. Hes already Top [--] in [----] DataGolf points his strokes gained profile is balanced across the board and the ball-striking has clearly taken another leap early this season What stands out: Gaining tee-to-green" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022061435270910299) 2026-02-12T21:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Kentucky Wildcats at Florida Gators 📍 Stephen C. O'Connell Center 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Florida [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Florida [----] / Kentucky +290 Driver: Floridas elite offensive rebounding + rim efficiency vs Kentuckys thinner guard rotation creates possession pressure and foul leverage but the market at [-----] prices in near-blowout assumptions. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Florida [--] Kentucky [--] (151) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script A: Florida wins the glass controls game inside [--] minutes Who controls & why: Florida via ORB dominance and paint scoring." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022675949922455988) 2026-02-14T14:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes 📍 Carver-Hawkeye Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Purdue [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: Purdue [----] / Iowa +120 Driver: Two elite half-court offenses bottom-30 tempo from Iowa bottom-20 tempo from Purdue efficiency high possession count suppressed. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Purdue [--] Iowa [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Purdue Controls Half Court Who controls & why Purdue limits turnovers wins offensive glass and forces Iowa into late-clock jumpers. Pace & scoring impact Game stays [----] possessions. High-efficiency but low-volume" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022687274002207136) 2026-02-14T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 St. Johns Red Storm vs Villanova Wildcats 📍 Wells Fargo Center Philadelphia PA Saturday 8:00 PM ET Big East Fair Market Spread: Villanova Wildcats [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Villanova [----] / St. John's Red Storm +120 Driver: This is an efficiency coin-flip on paper but Villanovas elite tempo control (bottom-10 AdjT) at a Philly site pulls possessions down and slightly favors the more disciplined late-game profile. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Villanova [--] St. Johns [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A: Villanova Controls (45%) Who/Why: Villanova dictates tempo with long half-court" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2012563063711637565) 2026-01-17T16:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Virginia Tech at Syracuse Game-Script-First Betting Preview 📍 JMA Wireless Dome 9:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Syracuse [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Syracuse Orange [----] Virginia Tech Hokies +105 Driver: This is a neutral-court coin-flip tilted slightly by Syracuse home court with both teams playing mid-tempo defense-first profiles that suppress possessions and create a total inflated by market overreaction. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Syracuse [--] Virginia Tech [--] (Total: 147) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Syracuse Controls the Interior (Most Likely) Who" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2014095670244942151) 2026-01-21T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏜 The American Express [----] 🏆 Birdie-fest. Desert golf. Volatility rules. ✅ Players We Like Ben Griffin +2000 If youre betting a non-Scottie at the top Griffin fits the profile: high birdie ceiling can lap the field on the easy courses and is priced like hes one tier below where he belongs. Sam Burns +2700 Poa putting pop + birdie-fest skill set plays here. Burns is volatile but thats what you want in a low-scoring tournamenthe can go nuclear for [--] holes and coast. Patrick Cantlay +2700 If you want a safe-ish outright in a volatile event Cantlay is one of the few whose birdie-making" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2014110763192127675) 2026-01-21T23:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Cavaliers 📍 Saturday Noon ET John Paul Jones Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Virginia [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Virginia [----] / UNC +190 Driver: Virginias elite interior defense + slower tempo at JPJ tilts control toward UVA while UNCs offensive efficiency keeps the total elevated despite pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Virginia [--] North Carolina [--] (150 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Virginia Control Game (Most Likely) Who controls & why: UVA dictates with half-court defense rim protection and offensive rebounding;" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2015046931454787946) 2026-01-24T13:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 UCLA at Oregon 11:00pm ET 📍 Venue: Matthew Knight Arena 1) Fair Market Fair spread: UCLA [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: UCLA Bruins [----] / Oregon Ducks +112 Driver: UCLAs superior two-way efficiency is real but Oregons home court plus a mid-60s tempo keep this tight while the market is over-discounting Oregons offense due to injuries rather than possession quality. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) UCLA [--] Oregon [--] (151 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Competitive Shot-Making Game (Most Likely) Control: Neither team; UCLA wins margins Oregon trades shots at home. Pace" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2016647477123076311) 2026-01-28T23:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Farmers Insurance Open Round [--] (+EV Card Only) ⛳ (Course-adjusted: South = survive North = attack) *Not as much time today for research - but here is what I am playing* Matchups Pierceson Coody [----] over Sam Stevens Keith Mitchell [----] over Davis Thompson Thorbjrn Olesen [----] over Denny McCarthy Round Score Justin Rose U71.5 (-112) Max McGreevy U69.5 (-124) End of R2 Top [--] Si Woo Kim +132 Michael Thorbjornsen +142 Best Edge: Si Woo Top [--] (+11% EV) Cleanest Matchup: Coody [----] https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017265486375825704 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017265486375825704" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2017265486375825704) 2026-01-30T15:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Indiana Hoosiers @ UCLA Bruins 📍 Saturday 5:00 PM ET Pauley Pavilion (Los Angeles CA) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: UCLA [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UCLA [----] / Indiana +125 Driver: Slow tempo on both sides heavy half-court usage UCLAs home-court edge at Pauley and Indianas high-variance 3-point profile against a defense that forces long possessions. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) UCLA [--] Indiana [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A UCLA Controls the Game (Most Likely) Who controls & why: UCLA controls tempo and shot quality at home; Indiana is pushed into late-clock perimeter" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2017617618685899022) 2026-01-31T15:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers at Pinnacle Bank Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Illinois [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Illinois [----] / Nebraska +125 Driver: two elite offenses with above-average shooting efficiency but Nebraskas home court + Illinois guard injury pull the spread tight while pace and shot quality still justify a total north of [---]. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Illinois [--] Nebraska [--] (Total: 160) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Illinois controls late (45%) Who/Why: Illinois size and offensive balance wear Nebraska down across multiple" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2018044761270329590) 2026-02-01T19:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels 📍 Dean E. Smith Center 7:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: UNC [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: UNC [----] / SYR +285 Driver: Similar tempo (68 poss) both teams efficient offensively but UNCs interior scoring + home-court edge (3.5 pts) creates separation without implying a runaway. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) North Carolina [--] Syracuse [--] (164 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: UNC Controls But Pace Stays Honest (Most Likely) Who/Why: UNC wins the paint converts at the rim but Syracuses size prevents a full track meet. Impact:" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2018421666515157308) 2026-02-02T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks Game-Script Betting Preview (7:00pm CT Fiserv Forum) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Milwaukee Bucks [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no vig): Bucks [----] (56.8%) Chicago Bulls +131 (43.2%) Driver: Both teams are missing primary offensive hubs but Milwaukee still has more rim pressure + interior scoring pathways at home while Chicagos half-court offense is fragile without its spacing/creation anchors. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Bucks [---] Bulls [---] (Total: 228) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Milwaukee Controls the Paint Who/Why: Bucks lean into" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2018802928966934996) 2026-02-03T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🔥 KING OF THE COURT TONIGHT 🔥 Who leads the slate in PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists) 👑 Top Contenders 🥇 Luka Doni 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 33.2% Clear alpha. Highest ceiling and widest path to a slate-breaking night. 🥈 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 12.6% Quietly consistent lives in the 40+ range. 🥉 Jalen Johnson 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 12.5% Minutes + rebounds + assists = real King equity. [--] Nikola Joki 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 9.9% Lower minutes cap still Jokic. Needs efficiency spike. [--] Jaylen Brown 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 8.8% Scoring-driven" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2018829353233306071) 2026-02-03T23:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 BYU Cougars @ Oklahoma State Cowboys 📍 9:00pm ET Gallagher-Iba Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: BYU [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no-vig): BYU [----] / OK State +190 Driver: BYUs top-tier offensive efficiency vs OK States pace and shot volume at home creates a high-possession game but the current market is overpricing BYU margin and win probability. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) BYU [--] Oklahoma State [--] (163 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A BYU shot quality wins (most likely) Who controls / why: BYUs half-court offense gets clean looks against a defense that allows" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019166575073587454) 2026-02-04T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Clemson Tigers @ Stanford Cardinal 📍 Maples Pavilion 10:00pm ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Clemson [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no vig): Clemson [----] / Stanford +180 Driver: Clemsons top-20 defense and half-court efficiency edge vs Stanfords average shot quality with pace suppressed (mid-60s possessions) but scoring efficiency keeping the total near [---]. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Clemson [--] Stanford [--] (Total: 140) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Clemson Controls (55%) Who/Why: Clemson dictates the half court with defensive rebounding + turnover control forcing" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019169098408566795) 2026-02-04T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🐦 WM PHOENIX OPEN Round [--] Birdies Card 🐦 If youre betting birdies at Scottsdale course history vibes. Three numbers stand out two overs and one clean under. 🔥 Nick Taylor OVER [---] Birdies (+125) This course prints birdies for Taylor. 📊 Last [--] years at TPC Scottsdale Avg: [----] birdies per round Multiple 6+ birdie rounds Includes an 11-birdie round in [----] Rarely stuck at [--] when he plays well 📉 Fair line: closer to [----] 📈 Market: +125 Thats not a small edge thats a misprice. ➡ Mid-60s round = cash. 🔥 Si Woo Kim OVER [---] Birdies (+120) Quietly one of the most reliable Scottsdale scorers." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019214398120665098) 2026-02-05T01:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏁 WM PHOENIX OPEN ROUND [--] LEADER CARD 🏁 🎯 CORE IDEA Nick Taylor = spike upside Xander Schauffele = consistency + ceiling Scottie Scheffler = safety valve not alpha Youre attacking three different distributions which is exactly what you want. 🔥 TIER 1: FRL DARTS (High Variance Real Edge) 🟢 Nick Taylor FRL +7200 EV: +8.62% Fair p: 1.49% Why: Multiple elite Rd1s here (wins + runner-ups) Birdie volatility is perfect for FRL Market still pricing him like a mid-tier name ➡ This is your lottery ticket with math behind it. 🟢 Xander Schauffele FRL +3300 EV: +23% (improves from +3100) Fair p:" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019218164429762994) 2026-02-05T01:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏌♂ WM PHOENIX OPEN ROUND [--] MATCHUPS🏌♂ No narratives. No vibes. Just Round-1 Scottsdale edges. ✅ BEST ROUND [--] MATCHUP BETS 🔥 Keith Mitchell (-105) vs Collin Morikawa Morikawas birdie profile at Scottsdale is flat. Mitchell brings volatility + par-5 scoring. 📈 Model edge: +EV 🔥 Max Homa (-108) vs Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen Experience + Rd1 scoring consistency wins here. 📈 Model edge: +EV 🔥 Harry Hall (-105) vs Rickie Fowler Halls putting + steady birdie floor Fowlers volatility. 📈 Model edge: +EV 🔥 Nick Taylor (-120) vs Wyndham Clark Elite Scottsdale history + birdie rates carry into" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019221939622146241) 2026-02-05T01:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🔥 WM Phoenix Open Best Full-Tournament Matchups 🔥 🏆 Brooks Koepka +104 vs Min Woo Lee ➡ EV: +33% This number is way off. Koepkas long-term scoring floor + major-course pedigree makes him a clear favorite here. Getting plus money is a gift. 📊 Corey Conners [----] vs J.T. Poston ➡ EV: +12.6% Elite tee-to-green profile over [--] holes. This is exactly the type of course where Conners consistency compounds. 🧠 Kurt Kitayama [----] vs Rasmus Hjgaard ➡ EV: +11.1% Market still pricing upside stability. Over four rounds Kitayamas scoring volatility works in his favor. 🎯 Harry Hall [----] vs Keith" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019229491986370788) 2026-02-05T02:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🔥 WM Phoenix Open [----] Best Top Finish Bets 🔥 🎯 Corey Conners Top [--] (+225) This is one of the best numbers on the board. Elite ball-striking low volatility over [--] holes and Scottsdale rewards exactly that. Model has him finishing T18-ish on median clear +EV. 📈 Brooks Koepka Top [--] (+200) Books still underrating Koepka in non-major fields. Top-20 equity is much higher than his outright odds imply. Ceiling + floor combo plays perfectly here. 🧠 Ben Griffin Top [--] (-138) Not sexy just strong. Griffins recent baseline puts him safely inside the Top [--] more often than this price suggests." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019233263987093802) 2026-02-05T02:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🔥 WM Phoenix Open Outrights (WITHOUT Scottie Scheffler) 🔥 🏆 Xander Schauffele (+1450) This is the anchor. Best combo of floor + ceiling in the field once Scottie is removed. Elite tee-to-green no real weakness and always live on Sunday. Fair price is closer to +1100. 💣 Cameron Young (+1850) Perfect course fit for Scottsdale. Length + birdie creation + volatility = outright juice. If this turns into a scoring contest hes one of the few who can lap the field for a round. 🎯 Hideki Matsuyama (+1900) Criminally underpriced in full fields still. Elite iron play proven here and one of the most" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019237038721995008) 2026-02-05T02:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 Washington Wizards @ Detroit Pistons Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Spread: Pistons [-----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Pistons [-----] / Wizards +1010 Why: Massive EPM gap (DET +6.9 vs WAS -10.8) Detroit home court Wizards short on primary creation Detroit efficiency edge with real blowout risk shaping the number. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Pistons [---] Wizards [---] (227 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Detroit controls wire-to-wire (55%) Who controls: Pistons early via Cade-led halfcourt efficiency + rim pressure; Wizards cant sustain shot quality. Pace &" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019531489289904327) 2026-02-05T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Brooklyn Nets @ Orlando Magic Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Magic [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Magic [----] / Nets +380 What drives it: A wide EPM gap Orlando home court Brooklyn missing primary shot creation but pace still projects neutral not a true slowdown. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Magic [---] Nets [---] (216 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Orlando controls without sprinting (Most Likely) Who controls: Orlando via half-court efficiency and defensive structure. Pace / scoring: Moderate pace; Magic score consistently Nets" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019535379993694263) 2026-02-05T22:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Utah Jazz @ Atlanta Hawks Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Spread: Atlanta Hawks [-----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: ATL [----] / Utah Jazz +415 Driver: Atlantas clear EPM edge home court and Utahs thin backcourt + interior rotation push this toward Hawks control at a fast pace with defensive slippage on both sides. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Hawks [---] Jazz [---] (243 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Hawks Control Wire-to-Wire (Base Case) Who controls: Atlanta via half-court creation (McCollum/Jalen Johnson) + Jazz perimeter defense breakdowns. Pace / scoring: Fast early" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019539029973193198) 2026-02-05T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Grade: C sold good players waited too long didnt extract premium value The only way this becomes a win: Dillingham pops or they flip cap space into a star-level acquisition this offseason Until then this looks like a team that: misread its leverage prioritized flexibility over value and paid the price for waiting too long Bottom line They didnt lose the deadline because they reset. They lost it because they reset late. Flexibility is only valuable if you convert it into something better than what you sold. Right now that hasnt happened. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019539346613797331" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019539346613797331) 2026-02-05T22:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Game Script Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Spurs [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Spurs [----] / Mavs +310 Driver: San Antonios elite NET (+5.6) vs Dallass [----] plus Dallas missing primary creation and interior continuity creates a Spurs control edge despite Dallas maintaining pace keeping the total elevated. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Spurs [---] Mavericks [---] (Total: 235) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Spurs Control Wire-to-Wire (Primary) Who/Why: Spurs dictate through Wembanyama gravity + Fox downhill pressure; Dallas" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019550353792938268) 2026-02-05T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Game-Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Suns [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Suns [----] / Warriors +125 Driver: Both teams are missing their primary on-ball creators and late-clock scorers compressing pace and efficiency while flattening the true talent gap despite Phoenixs home edge. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Suns [---] Warriors [---] (212 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Phoenix Controls But Its Slow Control: Phoenix Suns via half-court execution defensive rebounding and fewer live-ball mistakes. Effect: Slower" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019554129278902412) 2026-02-05T23:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 PHI @ LAL Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Lakers [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: LAL [----] / PHI +125 Driver: Slight Lakers home-court edge offsets Phillys stronger underlying efficiency with pace elevated by dual heliocentric stars and transition-heavy second units all assuming Embiid plays. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Lakers [---] [---] 76ers (236 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Half-Court Star Duel (Most Likely) Control: Even game; Luka & LeBron shot-creation vs Embiid/Maxey two-man game. Pace / Scoring: Medium-fast pace efficient" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019557903859167549) 2026-02-05T23:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MIL [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: MIL [----] / IND +104 Driver: Two sub-elite teams with similar EPM profiles neutralized star power (Indiana without its primary creator; Milwaukee missing its downhill engine) modest pace and late-game shot creation deciding the edge. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Bucks [---] Pacers [---] (223 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Milwaukee Controls Late (Most Likely) Who/Why: Milwaukee leans on half-court execution and physicality; Indianas" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019886318164324415) 2026-02-06T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 LA Clippers @ Sacramento Kings Game Script Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Clippers [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Clippers [----] / Kings +170 Driver: LAC holds a clear net-rating edge even with injuries while Sacramentos volatility (pace + shot profile) and Sabonis back status swing the total and late-game efficiency more than the spread. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Clippers [---] Kings [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Clippers Control Late (Most Likely) Who/Why: Kawhi-centric half-court control + SACs defensive breakdowns late in possessions." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019912741574832309) 2026-02-06T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Main Card: Vinicius Oliveira by Decision Kyoji Horiguchi by Decision Jailton Almeida by Submission (Round 12) Michal Oleksiejczuk by KO/TKO (Round 12) Farid Basharat by Decision Dustin Jacoby by Decision Prelims: Daniil Donchenko via TKO (Round 2) Nikolay Veretennikov by Decision Bruna Brasil by Decision Javid Basharat by Decision Wang Cong by Decision Muin Gafurov by Decision Klaudia Sygula by Decision https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019969373621076246 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019969373621076246" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019969373621076246) 2026-02-07T03:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🧾 BEST EV BETS & PARLAY BUILDERS THIS WEEKS UFC CARD 🔥 TIER [--] CORE +EV BETS ( 20% EV) ✅ Bruna Brasil ML +134 Est 60% Imp 42.7% EV +40% 📌 Cleaner wrestling + pace edge. Market still underrating her control upside. ✅ Vinicius Oliveira ML +124 Est 55% Imp 44.6% EV +23% 📌 More durable better defensive metrics live late. 🧠 TIER [--] STRUCTURE / FIGHT SHAPE (High-confidence edges) ✅ Muin Gafurov goes the distance [----] Est 70% Imp 50.5% EV +39% 📌 Low finish equity cardio + control fight. ✅ Gafurov over [---] rounds [----] Est 70% Imp 55.6% EV +26% ✅ Klaudia Sygula over [---] rounds [----] Est 72% Imp" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019976916925649249) 2026-02-07T03:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Alabama Crimson Tide mens basketball @ Auburn Tigers mens basketball 📍 Saturday 4:00pm CT Neville Arena 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Auburn [---] Fair total: [---] Fair moneylines: Auburn [----] / Alabama +115 Driver: Elite offensive efficiency on both sides but Auburns home-court edge + slightly better control of half-court pace trims possessions just enough to favor Auburn while keeping scoring elevated. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Auburn [--] Alabama [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Auburn Controls Pace Wins the Margins Who controls & why: Auburn slows Alabamas preferred tempo wins" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020150561698639917) 2026-02-07T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Duke @ North Carolina Game-Script Betting Preview 📍 Dean E. Smith Center 6:30pm ET 1) Fair Market Spread: Duke [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Duke [----] / UNC +235 Why: Dukes elite offense vs UNCs solid-but-leaky defense at a mid-60s possession pace partially offset by UNCs strong home-court edge and rivalry intensity tightening late-game margins. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Duke [--] North Carolina [--] (67 possessions Duke efficiency edge holds UNC keeps contact via half-court execution) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Duke Controls Early UNC Chases Control: Duke dictates shot" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020158110061691318) 2026-02-07T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "#5 Illinois @ #10 Michigan State Saturday 8:00pm ET (Breslin Center) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Michigan State [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneyline: MSU [----] / Illinois +135 Driver: Two slow-tempo Big Ten teams (66 poss) with elite rebounding on both sides; Illinois top-tier offense is offset by MSUs top-5 defense and a real Breslin home-court edge (3 pts). 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Michigan State [--] Illinois [--] (Total: 142) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: MSU Controls Late (Most Likely) Who/Why: MSUs half-court defense shrinks driving lanes forces Illinois into late-clock" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020165659519238191) 2026-02-07T16:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Houston @ BYU Saturday 10:30pm ET (Marriott Center Provo) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Houston [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Houston [----] / BYU +108 Driver: Houstons elite half-court defense + slow tempo collide with BYUs spacing shot-making and top-10 home-court edge producing a near coin-flip game with slightly elevated efficiency but capped possessions. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) BYU [--] Houston [--] ( [---] total one-possession finish) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: BYU Controls Pace with Shot-Making (Most Likely) Who controls: BYU via early offensive rhythm and" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020173208125628622) 2026-02-07T16:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏆 Super Bowl Preview: Seahawks vs Patriots 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Patriots [----] Fair Total: [----] Fair Moneylines: Patriots [----] / Seahawks +120 Driver: This prices as a near coin-flip driven by the QB efficiency edge for New England Seattles defensive ceiling and a TD-dependent scoring profile rather than pace or volume. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Patriots [--] Seahawks [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A New England Controls Late (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Patriots stay on schedule win on early downs and avoid negative plays; QB play under pressure tilts NE. Pace / field" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020286458247147627) 2026-02-08T00:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🧠📊 My Favorite Super Bowl Props [--] Jaxon Smith-Njigba UNDER [----] Receiving Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [----] 📈 Edge: +20% EV Elite role but this line prices his ceiling. Seattle spreads volume and leans run late. [--] Drake Maye UNDER [----] Rushing Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [----] 📈 Edge: +15% EV Scrambles designed runs. SEA keeps contain and forces throwaways. [--] TreVeyon Henderson UNDER [----] Rushing Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [----] 📈 Edge: +20%+ EV Needs one explosive run to beat you. Thats an under Ill live with. [--] George Holani UNDER [----] Rushing Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [--] 📈 Edge:" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020627271774503377) 2026-02-08T22:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🚨 TRADE BREAKDOWN: Red Sox Brewers 🚨 BOS receives: 3B Caleb Durbin + SS Andruw Monasterio + 2B Anthony Seigler + Comp B Pick MIL receives: LHP Kyle Harrison + LHP Shane Drohan + 2B David Hamilton 📊 On-paper ➜ big BOS edge 🔥 Why Boston loves this: Durbin is a contact machine 9.9% K rate (98th percentile) 13% whiff (96th pct) disciplined approach plus enough speed/defense to stick. Hes not a masher (low EV/barrels) but hes the type who can be a lineup glue guy for years. Add Monasterios versatility and a Comp B pick Thats a strong haul. ⚾ Why Milwaukee does it anyway: Theyre betting on Kyle" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020878623192805585) 2026-02-09T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NC State @ Louisville Game Script Betting Preview (7:00 PM ET) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Louisville [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines (no vig): Louisville [----] / NC State +170 Driver: Two efficient ACC offenses at [--] possessions per game with solid-but-not-elite defenses; Louisvilles edge is home court (3.3 pts) + interior efficiency not pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Louisville [--] NC State [--] (Total = 162) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Louisville Controls the Paint (45%) Who controls: Louisville via 2P% dominance + offensive rebounding Pace / scoring: Average pace" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020958381813518410) 2026-02-09T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Feb [--] Charlotte 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Hornets [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Hornets [----] / Pistons +123 Driver: Detroits season-long EPM edge is real but Charlottes home court (3 pts) shot-creation advantage at the top and a pace profile that pushes possessions tilt the median slightly toward CHA in a higher-total game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Hornets [---] Pistons [---] (Total: 233) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Charlotte controls via shot creation (most likely) Control: Charlottes primary creators win the half-court" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020969706362978566) 2026-02-09T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Utah Jazz @ Miami Heat Game-Script Betting Preview (Feb 9) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Heat [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneyline: Heat [----] / Jazz +330 Driver: Miamis defensive edge and home court vs a Jazz team missing primary creation while Miamis own shot-creation absences cap ceiling and suppress the total despite a pace-friendly matchup. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Heat [---] Jazz [---] Total: [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Heat Control Jazz Hang Around (Most Likely) Who controls: Miami controls shot quality and half-court defense; Utah stays within range via Markkanen" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020977256030761358) 2026-02-09T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans Feb [--] [----] 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Pelicans [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Pelicans [----] / Kings +440 Driver: New Orleans has a clear net-rating edge home-court advantage and Sacramento is severely shorthanded offensively forcing inefficient usage spikes and weaker late-game shot quality. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Pelicans [---] Kings [---] (233 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Pelicans Control Wire-to-Wire (Most Likely) Who controls & why: New Orleans Pelicans control tempo through interior scoring + transition while" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020988580748026213) 2026-02-09T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Denver Nuggets Feb [--] 8:00pm CT 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: DEN [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline (no vig): DEN [----] (54%) CLE +118 (46%) Driver: Two elite half-court offenses with Cleveland missing rim protection/vertical pressure (Mobley out) vs Denver short on wing defense and transition pop (Gordon out Murray Q) creating a narrow Denver edge but fragile game scripts. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Nuggets [---] Cavaliers [---] (238 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Denver Half-Court Control (Most Likely) Who controls: Denver through Jokic-centric" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020992356326011187) 2026-02-09T22:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Spread: Warriors [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Warriors [----] / Grizzlies +275 Driver: clear talent + home-court edge for GSW but both offenses are stripped of primary creators pushing pace down and compressing scoring. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Warriors [---] Grizzlies [---] (217 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Warriors Control Methodical Win Who controls: GSW via half-court execution defense-first lineups and rebounding edge. Pace/scoring: slower tempo long possessions scoring concentrated" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2020999905179992394) 2026-02-09T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 OKC @ LAL Game-Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] [----] LA) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: OKC [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair ML: OKC [----] / LAL +213 What drives it: OKC still owns a large efficiency edge and depth advantage but with primary offensive engines sidelined on both sides pace and late-clock efficiency project lower than market keeping the total down and narrowing the spread slightly. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Thunder [---] Lakers [---] (Total: 218) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A OKC Controls Methodical Win (45%) Who/why: OKCs depth and defensive pressure win the possession battle;" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021003680397377852) 2026-02-09T23:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏆 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 🔢 Top [--] Power Rankings [--] Scottie Scheffler (+300) Elite tee-to-green every single week and top-5 proximity from [----] yards. Pebble doesnt need magic it needs control. [--] Rory McIlroy (+1300) Just won here at [---]. When Rorys irons are dialed Pebble cant slow him down. [--] Patrick Cantlay (+3300) Accuracy + GIR + top-6 wedge proximity. One of the safest high-end Pebble profiles in the field. [--] Jason Day (+3500) Best Pebble rsum in this field. Short game + wedges still matter a ton here. [--] Justin Rose (+2500) Pebble merchant. Win + multiple top finishes + top-10 wedge" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021056530364367251) 2026-02-10T03:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 Virginia at Florida State Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Tucker Center Tallahassee FL 7:00pm ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Virginia [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Virginia [----] / Florida State +315 Driver: Virginias interior efficiency and elite offensive rebounding overwhelm an FSU defense that lacks consistent rim resistance while FSUs pace and three-point volume prevent the game from fully slowing despite UVAs tempo profile. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Virginia [--] Florida State [--] Total: [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Virginia Controls the Game But Not the Total" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021328321955725334) 2026-02-10T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Iowa State vs TCU Feb [--] 8:00pm CT 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Iowa State [---] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: Iowa State [----] TCU +265 What drives it: Iowa States defense + ball pressure suppresses efficiency and late-game pace while TCUs half-court offense struggles to generate clean looks without transition or whistle help. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Iowa State [--] TCU [--] (Total: 143) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Iowa State Controls (Most Likely) Control: Iowa State dictates with defense forces empty possessions and wins the possession battle. Pace / scoring: Pace trends" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021335869060223226) 2026-02-10T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Oklahoma State @ Arizona State 📍 Desert Financial Arena 9:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Arizona State [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Arizona State [----] Oklahoma State +155 Driver: Two efficient but not explosive offenses average-to-below-average defenses long possession lengths and modest home-court edge for Arizona State Sun Devils over Oklahoma State Cowboys keep the game competitive while suppressing true ceiling outcomes. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Arizona State [--] Oklahoma State [--] Total: [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A ASU Controls Halfcourt Grind (Most" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021339643820532032) 2026-02-10T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Game-Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Spread: Knicks [-----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Knicks [----] / Pacers +426 Driver: Massive team-quality gap plus Indiana operating without a true primary engine while New Yorks half-court offense (Brunson + spacing big) can score efficiently even at a moderate pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Knicks [---] Pacers [---] (Total: 225) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Knicks Control Wire-to-Wire (55%) Who/Why: New York dictates tempo through half-court execution; Indiana struggles to generate clean paint touches or" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021343429792559536) 2026-02-10T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Game-Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Suns [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: PHX [----] / DAL +240 Driver: Phoenixs shot-creation edge and home court vs. a Dallas offense missing top-end creation pulling down DAL efficiency despite decent pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Suns [---] Mavericks [---] (Total: 227) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Suns Control Wire-to-Wire (Most Likely) Who/Why: Phoenixs half-court offense wins the matchup; DAL struggles to create late-clock looks. Pace/Scoring: Moderate pace PHX steady efficiency; DAL" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021350972430205344) 2026-02-10T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs 📍 Stegeman Coliseum 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Florida [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Florida [----] / Georgia +220 What drives it: Georgia plays top-10 pace in SEC games and Floridas elite offensive rebounding + rim efficiency inflate scoring more than tempo suppression would suggest; Georgia is without its highest-usage perimeter creator which trims late-game shot creation. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Florida [--] Georgia [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Florida Controls Interior Game Stays High-Scoring (Most Likely) Who controls &" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021675609295135147) 2026-02-11T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Alabama @ Ole Miss Game Script First Betting Breakdown 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Alabama [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Alabama [----] / Ole Miss +235 What drives it: Alabamas elite conference-only offense (127.8 AdjO top-5 tempo extreme 3PA rate) versus Ole Miss slower tempo and solid halfcourt defense; Bediakos ineligibility slightly reduces Alabama rim protection but increases pace/spacing volatility. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Alabama [--] Ole Miss [--] ( [--] possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Alabama Pace Dictates Who controls: Alabama pushes tempo off" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021678124400861400) 2026-02-11T20:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Iowa @ Maryland Game Script First Preview 📍 Location: Xfinity Center (College Park) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Iowa [---] Fair Total: [---] Fair Moneyline: Iowa [----] / Maryland +560 What drives it: Iowas elite conference efficiency (122.9 AdjO / [----] AdjD) combined with a bottom-5 national pace (65 possessions) compresses the total; Marylands inconsistent half-court offense and heavy 3PA rate makes them vulnerable if Iowa controls tempo. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Iowa [--] Maryland [--] ( [--] possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Iowa Dictates Tempo (Most Likely) Who controls &" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021679382754886108) 2026-02-11T20:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 South Florida @ Wichita State Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Charles Koch Arena AAC Play 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: USF [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: USF [----] / Wichita State +105 What drives it: South Floridas elite offensive rebounding + free-throw rate and top-15 tempo collide with Wichitas interior size (Berg/Okorafor) and slower pace control; home court (3 pts) compresses this to near coin-flip in a high-60s possession game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) South Florida [--] Wichita State [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: USF Wins Pace + Glass Battle (Higher Scoring)" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021683157310017628) 2026-02-11T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Providence @ Seton Hall Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Prudential Center 7:30 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Seton Hall [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: Hall [----] / Providence +200 Driver: Providence brings a top-20 Big East offense at a top-20 tempo but Seton Halls elite conference defense (turnover creation + rim protection) plus home court in a slower environment compresses efficiency and lowers variance. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Seton Hall [--] Providence [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Hall Controls in Halfcourt (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Seton Hall dictates pace" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021686932376568289) 2026-02-11T20:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Cincinnati @ Kansas State Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Bramlage Coliseum 9:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Kansas State [----] (PK to -1) Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: KSU [----] / Cincinnati [----] Driver: K-State pushes tempo (Top [--] pace in Big [--] play) but Cincinnatis elite conference-only defense (AdjD 93.7) suppresses efficiency net result is a coin-flip game with a total materially lower than market (148149.5). 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Kansas State [--] Cincinnati [--] ( [--] possessions both teams [----] PPP) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Cincy Halfcourt Control (Lower" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021690715085189475) 2026-02-11T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Missouri @ Texas A&M Game Script Betting Preview (Reed Arena) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Texas A&M [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneyline: Texas A&M [----] / Missouri +220 What drives it: A&Ms faster tempo and elite ball security at home vs Missouris strong interior efficiency but turnover-prone guards tempo compresses slightly toward Missouris pace keeping the total mid-150s rather than 160+. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Texas A&M [--] Missouri [--] ( [--] possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: A&M Controls Tempo Early (Most Likely) Who controls & why: A&M forces Missouri into" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021693223685784030) 2026-02-11T21:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 New Mexico @ Grand Canyon 📍 10:00 ET Phoenix AZ 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: New Mexico [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UNM [----] (57%) GCU +115 (43%) Driver: Slight UNM efficiency edge but GCUs top-25 defense + home court compress possessions and keep this in a half-court mid-140s environment. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) New Mexico [--] Grand Canyon [--] (Total: 145) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Half-Court Grind (Most Likely) Who controls & why: GCU controls tempo with experienced guards and interior size. UNM is forced into longer possessions and fewer transition looks." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021703289998594510) 2026-02-11T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Why is an ACTIVE NBA player in the Celebrity 3-Point Contest 🤨 Hes shooting against Caleb Williams and influencers What are we doing If you paint your nails you qualify as a celebrity All-Star Weekend is Pro Bowl [---]. Overproduced zero stakes nobody really cares. The dunk contest hasnt been the same since Zach LaVine vs. Aaron Gordon. Just give the players a week off name the All-NBA teams and move on. Honestly wed rather see Coen Carr dunk than whatever this is supposed to be. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021705079758176396 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021705079758176396" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021705079758176396) 2026-02-11T21:57Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements "🏀 Hawks @ Hornets Game Script First Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Hornets [---] Fair Total: [---] Fair Moneyline: Hornets [----] / Hawks +205 What drives it: Charlottes +4.8 net rating edge over Atlanta (team EPM gap) LaMelo-driven offensive efficiency at home and ATLs injury volatility in primary creation/defensive disruption roles. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Hornets [---] Hawks [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: Charlotte Controls with Ball Movement + Transition (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Hornets. LaMelo pushes tempo Miller/Knueppel space the floor ATLs perimeter" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021705813027434553) 2026-02-11T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 DET @ TOR Game Script First Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: DET [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: DET [----] / TOR +125 What drives it: Detroits +6.7 team net rating vs Torontos +2.4 Cades on-ball creation edge and Detroits rim pressure vs a Raptors frontcourt with uncertainty but Toronto home court trims it to near pickem territory. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Detroit [---] Toronto [---] (Total: 227) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🧠 Script 1: Detroit Controls Through Halfcourt Efficiency Who controls & why: Detroits primary ball-handler dictates tempo collapsing Torontos defense and" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021710840249167978) 2026-02-11T22:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Pacers @ Nets Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Nets [---] Fair Total: [---] Fair Moneylines: Nets [----] / Pacers +220 What drives this: Indiana is on the road on the second night of a back-to-back after an OT game and trends strongly under in this spot (-8.4 average margin vs total) while fatigue historically shows up in second-half defensive efficiency and scoring lift. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Nets [---] Pacers [---] (Total: 212) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟥 Script [--] (Most Likely): Gradual Separation Who controls & why: Brooklyn controls the middle quarters as" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021713358274408599) 2026-02-11T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Knicks @ 76ers Game Script First Betting Breakdown 1) Fair Market Assuming Embiid plays without restriction Fair Spread: PHI [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: PHI [----] / NYK +125 Driver: Slightly better top-end shot creation + home court for Philly while NYK comes in on a road B2B after OT (fatigue + defensive legs tax). If Embiid is ruled OUT market flips to roughly NYK [---] / [-----] total. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) 76ers [---] Knicks [---] (Total: 225) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟦 Script 1: Philly Controls via Halfcourt & Foul Pressure (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Philly dictates" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021715872985808925) 2026-02-11T22:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 POR @ MIN Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MIN [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: MIN [----] / POR +280 What drives it: Minnesota owns a 7-point net rating edge at home elite rim protection + halfcourt defense; Portland is missing multiple perimeter creators which suppresses efficiency and late-clock shot quality. The swing variable is Minnesotas primary scorer (questionable) which moves this line [--] points. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Timberwolves [---] Trail Blazers [---] (Total: 231) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🐺 Script 1: Minnesota Controls Through Defense +" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021720909825159440) 2026-02-11T23:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🔥 Heat @ Pelicans Game Script First Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MIA [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: MIA [----] / NOP +141 What drives this: Miami is slightly better on a per-possession basis but multiple perimeter shot-creators are out which lowers their half-court ceiling; New Orleans plays faster and defends worse keeping the total elevated despite Miamis injuries. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Heat [---] Pelicans [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: Miami Controls Through Efficiency Who controls & why: Miami wins via frontcourt scoring + half-court shot quality edge." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021723422909509825) 2026-02-11T23:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 OKC @ PHX Game Script Betting Preview (SGA OUT PHX B2B) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: OKC [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: OKC [----] / PHX +174 Driver: OKC is the better underlying team but losing its primary shot-creator compresses offensive efficiency; Phoenix is home but on a back-to-back which slightly lowers pace and late-game legs. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) OKC [---] PHX [---] (Total: 228) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟦 Script 1: OKC Controls Through Defense & Size (Most Likely 45%) Who controls & why: OKC controls tempo via defensive pressure and rebounding edge. Phoenix" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021725939428655145) 2026-02-11T23:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Spurs @ Warriors Game Script First 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Spurs [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Spurs [----] / Warriors +140 What drives it: San Antonio plays materially slower and [---] points below market expectation on second nights of back-to-backs (80% under) while Golden State is missing its primary late-clock shot creator and rim-pressure wing compressing pace and half-court efficiency. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Spurs [---] Warriors [---] Projected Total: [---] (Built with B2B pace reduction of [--] possessions + lowered 4Q efficiency.) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A:" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021728455637762210) 2026-02-11T23:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🔥 THESE LINES STINK. VEGAS KNOWS SOMETHING TONIGHT. 🔥 You ever look at a board and feel like the books are just sitting there smiling Tonight feels like that. 🎓 COLLEGE HOOPS 📍 Iowa/Maryland Over 92% of bets. 92% of money. Iowa = 360th in pace. Maryland = 213th in pace. Slow + slow yet everyone piling into the over and the number isnt running Vegas just casually taking the money. 📍 USC +8 @ Ohio State 73% bets. 76% money. KenPom says OSU [---] market hanging [---] and not flinching. If the model says [--] and the book says [--] thats not random. Thats confidence. 📍 Colorado/TTU Over [-----] 81% bets" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021729714071572612) 2026-02-11T23:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏌♂ AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Round [--] Card Wind up. Greens small. Pebble playing closer to [--] than [--]. Lets attack the edges. 🌊💨 🎯 [--] Maverick McNealy OVER [----] (+110) Model: 67.4% EV: +41.5% Pebbles historical avg [--]. McNealy has volatility here and this line still priced like a birdie fest. Harder setup = pressure on mid-irons + wind control. Were taking the plus money. 🔥 [--] Collin Morikawa OVER [---] Birdies (+120) Model: 63.4% EV: +39.6% Barbell iron week. Morikawas wedge + long-iron combo is elite. If he hits it like he typically does on the West Coast hell generate enough looks even if" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021781317566804351) 2026-02-12T03:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏆 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Outright Card 🎯 0.60u Patrick Cantlay (+3800) Elite wedge proximity. California comfort. Pebble scoring history. Model win 4.3% vs 2.6% implied. This is the best pure pricing edge on the board. 🎯 0.50u Collin Morikawa (+6500) Barbell iron fit is perfect here. Top-tier [-----] + long iron control. If the putter is neutral hes lifting the trophy. 🎯 0.40u Russell Henley (+3000) Wind + wedges + patience. Exactly what Pebble demands. One of the cleanest fit over flash profiles in the field. 🎯 0.30u Si Woo Kim (+2500) Spike-week volatility king. Top-tier wedge" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021785078503026814) 2026-02-12T03:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Baylor Bears at Cincinnati Bearcats 📍 Fifth Third Arena 🕡 6:30 ET 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Cincinnati [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: Cincinnati [----] / Baylor +120 Driver: This prices Cincinnatis top-15 defense and strong home-court edge against Baylors clearly superior offense in a true mid-tempo (68 poss) game where efficiencynot pacedecides separation. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Cincinnati [--] Baylor [--] (Total: 142) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Cincinnati Controls via Defense + Halfcourt Who controls & why: Cincinnati dictates with ball pressure rim protection" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2016613502413082636) 2026-01-28T20:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 WVU @ Cincinnati 7pm ET 📍 Fifth Third Arena 1) Fair Market Spread: Cincinnati [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline (fair no vig): Cincinnati [----] (65.9%) West Virginia +193 (34.1%) Driver: Cincinnati owns the best defense on the floor but WVUs slow pace + Cincinnati frontcourt injury uncertainty compress margin and keep the total higher than market despite the tempo. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Cincinnati [--] West Virginia [--] (130 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Cincinnati Controls with Defense (45%) Control: Cincinnati dictates with half-court defense and rim deterrence. Pace &" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2019516384624201850) 2026-02-05T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Miami Hurricanes 📍 7:00 ET Watsco Center (Coral Gables FL) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Miami [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Miami [----] / UNC +100 Driver: Two efficient but half-court-leaning offenses mediocre FT shooting and Miamis rebounding + interior scoring edge compress possessions and make this closer to a grind than the public-priced ACC shootout. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Miami [--] North Carolina [--] (162 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Miami Controls the Interior (Most Likely) Who/Why: Miami controls the paint and offensive" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2021324544200323254) 2026-02-10T20:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Gonzaga @ Santa Clara Leavey Center Late WCC hammer spot. Public heavy on Zags + Over. Lets script it properly. 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Gonzaga [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Gonzaga [----] / Santa Clara +155 What drives it: Two top-30 offenses at [--] possessions but Santa Claras 3-point volume + home floor neutralizes Gonzagas interior efficiency edge without full frontcourt depth. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Gonzaga [--] Santa Clara [--] (70 possessions [----] PPP vs [----] PPP) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: Gonzaga Controls Paint & Tempo Who controls & why: Gonzaga wins" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2022709923088658484) 2026-02-14T16:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Main Card Jon Jones vs Alex Pereira Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor vs Justin Gaethje Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes Colby Covington vs Leon Edwards Feature Prelims Sean Strickland vs Dricus du Plessis Sean OMalley vs Marlon Chito Vera Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa Bo Nickal vs Andre Muniz Early Prelims Brandon Royval vs Tatsuro Taira Rose Namajunas vs Zhang Weili" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1983713946277134602) 2025-10-30T01:53Z [----] followers, 43K engagements "@ryanhammer09 David Mirkovic [--] Points / [--] Rebounds / [--] Assists in [--] minutes" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1985765105280159916) 2025-11-04T17:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🔥 UFC [---] PARLAY PACK Updated Odds All parlays aligned with my model predictions + EV edges. ✅ 2-LEG PARLAY (Highest EV) +490 Leon Edwards ML (+154) Roman Kopylov ML (+146) Two mispriced underdogs the model LOVES: Edwards should be favored. Kopylov should be favored. ➡ Best pure value 2-leg on the entire card. ✅ 3-LEG PARLAY (Balanced Value) +511 Bo Nickal ML (-245) Sabatini vs Mariscal Fight Goes the Distance (-160) Roman Kopylov ML (+146) Nickal = elite anchor GTD = clean predictable fight script Kopylov = sharpest dog on the slate ➡ A high-EV 3-leg that still feels doable. ✅ 4-LEG PARLAY" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1989709979113128110) 2025-11-15T15:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏝 Sheraton Hawaii Bowl Preview California Golden Bears vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 📍 Honolulu 🌬 Wind 20+ mph 📺 ESPN 📊 Market Snapshot Cal +1.5 (-112) Hawaii [----] (-108) Total: [----] ML: Cal [----] Hawaii [----] 🔢 My Fair Line Spread: Hawaii [----] Total: [----] Moneyline: Hawaii [----] (54.5%) Cal +120 📈 This is basically a coin-flip game but the total is way off. 🧮 Predicted Score Hawaii [--] California [--] 💰 Bets with +EV (10%) ✅ UNDER [----] (-105) +1618% EV This is the clear edge. Why: Both offenses rank 113th & 119th Negative EPA per run on both sides Sustained 20+ mph winds kill downfield" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2003677011189838220) 2025-12-24T04:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Liberty Bowl Navy Midshipmen vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Fair Market Fair spread: Navy [----] Fair total: [----] Fair moneylines: Navy [----] / Cincinnati +175 Driver: Navys option shortens the game and attacks a heavily depleted UC defense while Cincinnatis offense takes a real step back without its starting QBnet result is Navy control with capped scoring. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Navy [--] Cincinnati [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A: Navy Dictates (50%) Control & why: Navy wins early downs stays on schedule and forces UC to defend [---] play drives with thin depth. Pace / field position /" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2006942276715438340) 2026-01-02T04:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 Connecticut @ Providence Game Script Betting Preview (7:00 ET) 📍 Amica Mutual Pavilion Fair Market Fair Spread: Connecticut Huskies [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UConn [----] / Providence Friars +470 Driver: UConns elite half-court defense vs Providences pace-first offense with tempo control (not shot-making) determining whether this lands in the high-140s or mid-150s. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Connecticut [--] Providence [--] Total: [---] Primary Game Scripts Script 1: UConn Dictates (Most Likely) Control: UConn controls the game through defensive rebounding and half-court" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2009003685204910454) 2026-01-07T20:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 SMU Mustangs @ Duke Blue Devils 📍 Saturday 2:00 PM ET Cameron Indoor Fair Market Fair Spread: Duke [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no vig): Duke [----] SMU +270 Driver: Dukes elite defense + Cameron Indoor HCA versus an efficient but slower-tempo SMU Mustangs offense keeps this closer than the market with pace projecting mid-to-high 60s possessions rather than a track meet. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Duke [--] SMU [--] (Total = 153) Primary Game Scripts Script A Duke Controls But Cant Separate (45%) Who/Why: Dukes defense dictates shot quality but SMUs ball security + half-court" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2010018802868858936) 2026-01-10T16:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Auburn Tigers @ Missouri Tigers 📍 Mizzou Arena 7:00 ET Fair Market Spread: Auburn [----] Total: [-----] Moneylines (fair): Auburn [----] / Missouri +125 Driver: Auburns offensive rebounding + free-throw pressure vs Missouris average half-court defense creates a narrow Auburn edge while both teams efficiency profiles keep the total elevated despite middling tempo. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Auburn [--] Missouri [--] (Total: 154) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Auburn Controls the Margins (Most Likely) Who/Why: Auburn wins the possession battle via offensive boards and FT rate neutralizing" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2011547621622759480) 2026-01-14T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Texas Longhorns Game Script Betting Preview 📍 9:00 ET Moody Center Fair Market Spread: Vanderbilt [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Vanderbilt [----] / Texas +205 Driver: Vanderbilts top-tier offense + elite perimeter defense vs Texass foul-drawing offense and weaker half-court defense with pace settling slightly below market expectations. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Vanderbilt [--] Texas [--] (Total: 164) Primary Game Scripts Script A Vanderbilt Control (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Vanderbilt dictates shot quality with spacing ball security and rim pressure while" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2011558955508502563) 2026-01-14T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🎯 Sony Open Round [--] Betting Card Waialae CC Wind still present AM vs PM split matters 🟢 Round Score ✅ Brian Harman UNDER [----] (+100) Proven Waialae scorer steady ball-striking AM tee time and this number still hasnt caught up to his course baseline. ✅ Keegan Bradley UNDER [----] (-125) One of the best wind players in the field. Strong historical R2 scoring here and a profile that holds up when conditions get firm. 🟢 Birdies or Better (Regression Angle) ✅ Corey Conners UNDER [---] birdies (-150) Afternoon tee time + wind + Conners birdie distribution at Waialae = fewer clean looks. Scoring" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2012197505769886026) 2026-01-16T16:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Drexel Dragons +3.5 Best Odds: [----] DraftKings Drexel is well-positioned to cover the +3.5 spread against William & Mary due to several key factors. Defensively Drexel holds a significant edge ranking 38th in effective field goal percentage defense (47.2%) compared to William & Marys 289th-ranked defense (53.2%). This suggests that Drexel can limit high-percentage shots a crucial factor in keeping the game close. Additionally Drexel's ability to control the tempo (348th in adjusted tempo) means they can slow the game down and limit possessions reducing the chances of William & Mary pulling" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1890792372034052138) 2025-02-15T15:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Genesis Scottish Open // Top [--] Model Rankings 1Scottie Scheffler (Salary $13100) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣The world #1 dominates with elite approach and Par-4 play. 2Sam Burns (Salary $9000) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Strong putting and distance make him a contender. 3Harry Hall (Salary $8400) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Top putting could be his edge. 4Justin Thomas (Salary $9200) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Excellent" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1942587202019451387) 2025-07-08T14:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "💤Sleepers // Genesis Scottish Open 💤Andrew Putnam (Rank [--] Salary $6800) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [---] 🗣Elite putting at a low salarygreat value. 💤Matteo Manassero (Rank [--] Salary $7300) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [---] 🗣Solid Par-4 play for a budget pick. 💤Chris Gotterup (Rank [--] Salary $7100) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [---] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Top distance and Par-4 at a steal. 💤Victor Perez (Rank [--] Salary $7200) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: 113" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1942587206834540938) 2025-07-08T14:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The Open at Royal Portrush // Round [--] Matchups Cameron Young (-170) o Mackenzie Hughes (.2u) Christiaan Bezuidenhout (-125) o Rasmus Hjgaard (.2u) Harris English (-125) o Nick Taylor (.2u) Matt Fitzpatrick (-130) over Hideki Matsuyama (.2u) Round [--] Matchup Recap: 💰Cameron Young (-140) o Mackenzie Hughes (.2u) 💰Russell Henley (-140) o Min Woo Lee (.2u) 💰Matt Fitzpatrick (-140) o Ryan Fox (.2u) ❌Joaquin Niemann (-140) o Maverick McNealy (.2u) Round [--] Matchup Recap: 💰Cameron Young (-140) o Mackenzie Hughes (.2u) 💰Russell Henley (-140) o Min Woo Lee (.2u) 💰Matt Fitzpatrick (-140) o Ryan Fox" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1946035804645839038) 2025-07-18T02:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park // Recap 🔥11/12 Correct Winners 💰7/12 Finishing Methods Main Card: ✅✅Tatsuro Taira via Submission Confidence: 8/10 ❌✅Mateusz Rebecki via Unamious Decision Confidence: 7/10 ✅❌Esteban Ribovics via TKO Confidence: 7/10 ✅✅Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision Confidence: 7/10 ✅❌Neil Magny via Unanimous Decision Confidence: 6/10 ✅❌Kevin Vallejos via TKO Confidence: 8/10 Prelims: ✅❌Rinya Nakamura via Submission Confidence: 8/10 ✅❌Rodolfo Vieira via Submission Confidence: 7/10 ✅✅Andrey Pulyaev via TKO Confidence: 7/10 ✅✅Austin Bashi via Submission Confidence: 8/10" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1952388700412817713) 2025-08-04T15:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker Main Card: Arman Tsarukyan defeats Dan Hooker via TKO Round [--] Ian Machado Garry defeats Belal Muhammad via Unanimous Decision Round [--] Volkan Oezdemir defeats Alonzo Menifield via KO Round [--] Myktybek Orolbai defeats Jack Hermansson via TKO Round [--] Shamil Gaziev defeats Waldo Cortes-Acosta via TKO Round [--] Tagir Ulanbekov defeats Kyoji Horiguchi via Submission Round [--] Prelims: Luke Riley defeats Bogdan Grad via TKO Round [--] Saygid Izagakhmaev defeats Nicolas Dalby via Submission Round [--] Asu Almabayev defeats Alex Perez via Submission Round [--] Abdul Rakhman" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1992035302362247625) 2025-11-22T01:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏈Alamo Bowl: USC Trojans v TCU Horned Frogs 📍Alamodome Fair Market Fair Spread: USC [----] Fair Total: [----] Fair Moneylines: USC [----] TCU +155 Driver: USCs edge comes from QB + EPA/pass superiority while the market is over-pricing TCUs QB opt-out into a blowout in a dome moderate-tempo bowl where margins are harder to separate. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) USC [--] TCU [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A USC Controls Doesnt Detach (45%) Control: USC via passing efficiency and red-zone conversion Pace / Field Position: Steady pace (135 plays) USC wins field position but not explosively Scoring" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2005858889296736472) 2025-12-30T04:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 Arizona Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs 📍 4:00 PM ET Fort Worth TX Fair Market Fair Spread: Arizona [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Arizona [----] / TCU +285 Driver: Arizonas top-5 two-way efficiency vs TCUs solid but slower half-court profile with pace suppression and Arizonas rebounding edge offsetting TCUs elite home-court advantage at Schollmaier. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Arizona [--] TCU [--] Total: [---] Primary Game Scripts Script A Arizona Controls (Most Likely) Who controls: Arizona Wildcats Why: Offensive rebounding dominance + interior efficiency forces TCU into half-court" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2010049128806613098) 2026-01-10T18:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Sony Open Round [--] Analysis 🏝⛳ 🟢 3-Ball (Round 1): J.J. Spaun +155 (vs Morikawa +175 / Adam Scott +240) Why I like It Spaun grades high in Waialae course-based model Elite Par-4 scoring + approach (most predictive here) Excellent Round-1 scorer historically Morikawa is elite long-term but less aggressive R1 scorer Scott has strong history but is clearly the weakest of the three right now Estimated win probability: 42% Implied probability (+155): 39.2% ➡ EV: +7.2% 🟢 3-Ball (Round 1): Corey Conners +135 (vs Harry Hall +160 / Brian Campbell +300) Why I like It Conners is top-tier ball striker" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2011634452523577676) 2026-01-15T03:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "⛳ The American Express Round [--] H2Hs & 2-Balls 🔥 Best Round [--] H2H Bets ✅ Jason Day (+110) over Alex Noren Stadium Course Day has averaged [--] birdies per SC round across last [--] years Noren historically caps at [--] birdies here Stadium punishes poor approach + water danger favors Days profile +EV mispriced dog ✅ Patrick Cantlay (+100) over Ben Griffin Nicklaus Course Nicklaus is the lowest-scoring course in the rotation Cantlay leads this field in SG: Birdie-Fests Griffin solid but Cantlays ceiling floor mismatch Pure birdie race edge ✅ Sepp Straka (-110) over Sam Burns La Quinta Burns putting" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2014156061931134992) 2026-01-22T02:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "⛳ Round [--] Card The AmEx ✅ Zach Johnson over Keith Mitchell (+150) This number feels off given historical scoring. Mitchell on NT: [--] (2025) [--] (2024) Johnson on NT: [--] (2025) [--] (2024) Nearly identical outcomes but Johnson is priced like a clear dog 📈 +150 is too wide for this matchup ✅ Robert MacIntyre over [----] (-125) Quietly a tougher ask than the number implies. Shot [--] on the Stadium Course in [----] Long par-4s + fewer wedge looks Line still shaded toward overall AmEx scoring instead of course-specific difficulty 📉 [----] is aggressive here 🐦 Birdies or Better History-Driven Unders These" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2014731045078225340) 2026-01-23T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The Open Championship // Round [--] 3-Balls: Scottie Scheffler over Jordan Spieth and Cameron Young (-125 FanDuel) Rory McIlroy over Tyrrell Hatton and Max Homa (+100 FanDuel) Justin Rose over Francesco Molinari and Jasper Stubbs (+105 FanDuel) Matchups: Jon Rahm o Tyrrell Hatton (-115 FanDuel) Round Scores: Brooks Koepka Under [----] (-140 FanDuel) Will Zalatoris Under [----] (-120 FanDuel) Justin Rose Under [----] (-115 FanDuel) AI Write Up: Rory McIlroy stands out as a strong favorite in his matchup against Tyrrell Hatton and Max Homa due to his consistent performance and exceptional track record" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1813752433576657250) 2024-07-18T01:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Open Championship Round [--] Recap // 4-2-1 3-Balls: ✅Scottie Scheffler over Jordan Spieth and Cameron Young (-125 FanDuel) ❌Rory McIlroy over Tyrrell Hatton and Max Homa (+100 FanDuel) ✅Justin Rose over Francesco Molinari and Jasper Stubbs (+105 FanDuel) Matchups: 🏳Jon Rahm o Tyrrell Hatton (-115 FanDuel) Round Scores: ✅Brooks Koepka Under [----] (-140 FanDuel) ❌Will Zalatoris Under [----] (-120 FanDuel) ✅Justin Rose Under [----] (-115 FanDuel) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1814017496342769745 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1814017496342769745" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1814017496342769745) 2024-07-18T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "RBC Heritage // Round [--] Matchups: Justin Thomas o Conner Conners [----] Brian Harman o Byeong Hun An [----] Stephan Jaeger o Aaron Rai +125 Round Score: Tony Finau Over [----] +105 Xander Schauffele Under [----] [----] Robert MacIntyre Over [----] +105 Sahith Theegala Under [----] +105 RBC Heritage // Round [--] Matchups: Justin Rose o Maverick McNealy [----] Matt Kuchar o Sam Stevens [----] Will Zalatoris o Wyndham Clark +105 Tom Hoge o Russell Henley +135 Viktor Hovland o Scottie Scheffler +190 Round Score: Sahith Theegala Under [----] +115 Tony Finau Under [----] https://t.co/MoUNDMtaGO RBC Heritage // Round 1" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1913053261893955844) 2025-04-18T02:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 St. Johns @ Butler 📍 Hinkle Fieldhouse 7:00 ET This line is wildly inflated relative to how these teams actually play. 📊 My Fair Market Spread: St. John's Red Storm [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: St. Johns [----] Butler Bulldogs +105 📉 Market check: Books are dealing SJU [----] and [-----] total that implies a pace + efficiency combo this matchup simply hasnt shown. 🔍 Why the Market Is Wrong Butler home games consistently suppress pace (Virginia Northwestern Villanova all dragged into grinders) St. Johns is the better team but not [--] points better on the road Butlers offense is structured not" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2008663618619896182) 2026-01-06T22:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "⛳ [----] The American Express Top [--] Power Rankings [--] Scottie Scheffler Course history: T17 (2024) T11 (2023) Profile: elite APP + birdie/par5 backbone. Safest win equity in field. [--] Sepp Straka Course history: WIN (2025) Profile: the exact AmEx build (APP + scoring + comfort going 25). [--] Patrick Cantlay Course history: T5 (2025) T26 (2023) Profile: reliable tee-to-green + enough birdie gear to hang in a shootout. [--] Ben Griffin Course history: T7 (2025) T9 (2024) T32 (2023) Profile: consistent desert scorer; strong fit for Top 10/20 markets. [--] Jason Day Course history: T3 (2025) T34 (2024) T18" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2013480356838801453) 2026-01-20T05:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🔥 BEST ROUND [--] STADIUM COURSE PROPS Pete Dye Toughest course in the rotation History-adjusted This is not a birdie-fest like La Quinta or Nicklaus. The Stadium Course plays [--] strokes harder rewards patience and punishes forced scoring. ✅ Davis Thompson O69.5 (+120) Historical SC rounds: [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] Over hits 67% Implied prob: 45.5% EV +21% 👉 Best score prop on the board ✅ Jason Day O69.5 (+110) SC scores: [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] Over hits 60% Implied prob: 47.6% EV +12% ✅ Alex Noren U68.5 (+110) SC scores: [--] [--] Under hits 50% but birdie suppression + SC difficulty Implied prob: 47.6% EV" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2014140962101170251) 2026-01-22T01:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 #24 Villanova Wildcats vs #11 Connecticut Huskies Big East Neutral-site (Hartford) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: UConn [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UConn [----] Villanova +235 Driver: Two slow half-court teams but UConns top-tier defensive efficiency interior rebounding and lineup continuity create a modest but real edge in a low-possession game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) UConn [--] Villanova [--] (65 possessions compressed scoring distribution) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A UConn Controls Doesnt Run Away (Most Likely) Control: UConn dictates through half-court defense and" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2015050704512319620) 2026-01-24T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Round [--] Matchups: 1-2-1 Round 3: Matt Wallace (-110 FD) vs. Jesper Svensson Antoine Rozner (-110 FD) vs. Brice Garnett Andrew Novak (-115 FD) vs. Patrick Rodgers Valero Texas Open // Round [--] Sam Ryder +115 FD vs. McNealy Jordan Spieth +105 FD vs. berg Brian Harman +120 DK vs. Si Woo Kim Sam Burns [----] DK vs. Fowler https://t.co/VJM6JSZ62e Valero Texas Open // Round [--] Sam Ryder +115 FD vs. McNealy Jordan Spieth +105 FD vs. berg Brian Harman +120 DK vs. Si Woo Kim Sam Burns [----] DK vs. Fowler https://t.co/VJM6JSZ62e" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/1908357181130367405) 2025-04-05T03:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏈 Military Bowl Pittsburgh Panthers vs East Carolina Pirates 📍 Annapolis MD 🌬 [--] mph wind ❄ 38F Fair Market Fair Spread: Pitt [----] Fair Total: [----] Fair Moneylines: Pitt [----] ECU +220 Driver: ECUs offense is structurally downgraded (QB + RB + TE + WR opt-outs) in cold/wind against a top-25 Pitt defense while Pitt has no incentive to press tempo once ahead. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Pittsburgh [--] East Carolina [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A Pitt Controls Game Stalls (Most Likely) Control: Pitt defense + field position. Flow: Short fields long Pitt drives ECU moves the ball but" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2004719006285255009) 2025-12-27T01:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🏀 Pitt @ Miami Game Preview & Betting Card 📍 Coral Gables FL Watsco Center 🕖 7:00 ET 📊 Fair Market (My Numbers) Spread: Miami Hurricanes [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Miami [----] Pittsburgh Panthers +290 Market check: Miami [----] [-----] ➡ Spread & full-game total are priced efficiently. No edge there. 🔮 Predicted Score Miami [--] Pittsburgh [--] (Total: 145) 🧠 Game Script Snapshot Pitt plays at a bottom-5 national pace which suppresses their scoring. Miami scores at the rim + FT line not pace- or 3PT-dependent. Result: classic win-not-cover favorite profile but Miami still gets to the high 70s." [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2006100478732722581) 2025-12-30T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 Virginia Cavaliers @ SMU Mustangs 📍 Saturday Noon ET Dallas TX (Moody Coliseum) Fair Market Fair Spread: Virginia [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Virginia [----] SMU +120 Driver: Two top-20 efficiency offenses collide but Virginias elite shot suppression and rim protection cap SMUs ceiling; pace settles in the high-60s possessions rather than a true track meet. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Virginia [--] SMU [--] (156 total) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Virginia Control Half-Court Efficiency (45%) Who controls: Virginia via defensive shot quality control (elite eFG% block rate) and" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2012532865351983570) 2026-01-17T14:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🚨 UNC vs Ohio State Neutral Court Preview (Atlanta) 🚨 📍 State Farm Arena 🏀 Non-Con showdown 3:00 ET 🔍 Market Check Line: UNC [----] Total: [-----] ML: UNC [----] OSU +136 This number is inflated especially on the total. 📊 My Fair Odds Spread: UNC [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: UNC [----] Ohio State +105 Books are baking in a UNC separation that the matchup doesnt really support. 🔢 Predicted Score UNC [--] Ohio State [--] ➡ Total: [---] ✅ Best Bet (EV 10%) 💰 Under [-----] (-110) Neutral court = slower starts UNCs defensive efficiency + rim protection travels OSU scores well inside but doesnt push tempo" [X Link](https://x.com/GamblerGazette/status/2002367129006350407) 2025-12-20T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@GamblerGazette The Gambler's Gazette
The Gambler's Gazette posts on X about market, fair, edge, scottie scheffler the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
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- [--] Month [-------] -16%
- [--] Months [---------] +8.20%
- [--] Year [---------] +48%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] -9.40%
- [--] Month [---] +23%
- [--] Months [-----] +29%
- [--] Year [-----] -6.10%
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +1%
- [--] Month [-----] +4.20%
- [--] Months [-----] +81%
- [--] Year [-----] +108%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence pga golfers #1133 nba 13.56% ncaa football #3858 finance 6.78% stocks 6.78% ufc 5.08% countries 4.24% travel destinations 3.39% ncaa basketball 3.39% technology brands 2.54%
Social topic influence market #1525, fair #1612, edge 14.41%, scottie scheffler 5.93%, strong 5.08%, books 4.24%, ufc 4.24%, card 4.24%, betting #314, express #2099
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ryanhammer09
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"🏀 MIL @ OKC Game Script First Breakdown (Both on B2B) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: OKC [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: OKC [----] / MIL +450 What drives it: OKCs elite defense and depth vs. a Giannis-less Milwaukee offense on a B2B with SGA out lowering OKCs ceiling but not their defensive control. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) OKC [---] MIL [---] (Total: 216) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: OKC Defensive Squeeze (Most Likely 55%) Who controls & why: OKC controls via defense + transition off turnovers. Milwaukee lacks rim pressure and consistent half-court creation without Giannis."
X Link 2026-02-12T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨 Olympic Hockey Betting Preview 🚨 Canada vs Switzerland Friday 3:10 PM ET Milan Canada is [--] after a [--] dismantling of Czechia. Switzerland handled France [--]. Now the market is screaming one thing And the books are smiling. 📊 Current Market Canada ML [----] Canada [----] (-142) Total [---] Over [----] / Under +114 Switzerland +2.5 (+120) Bet splits: 91% on Canada ML 92% on Canada [----] 74% on Over The public expects a blowout. Books are comfortable writing those tickets. Thats the tell. 🧠 What The Board Is Actually Saying Canada TT O3.5 = [----] Canada TT O4.5 = +110 Swiss TT O1.5 = -115"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers 📍 Kohl Center 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MSU [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: MSU [----] / WIS +120 What drives it: MSUs elite defense + defensive rebounding suppress Wisconsins rim efficiency while Wisconsins 3-point volume creates volatility but not necessarily sustainable pace against a top-5 defense. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Michigan State [--] Wisconsin [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: MSU Controls Physically (Most Likely) Who controls & why: MSUs interior size and #1 defensive rebounding neutralize second chances;"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Kansas @ Iowa State (Hilton Coliseum Ames) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Iowa State [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: Iowa State [----] / Kansas +265 Why: Hilton (top-20 HCA) + Iowa States elite defensive pressure (22.4% TO rate) + KU missing primary perimeter shot creation lowers Kansas offensive ceiling in a medium-tempo (67 poss) game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Iowa State [--] Kansas [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Iowa State Controls (Most Likely) Who controls & why: ISU dictates tempo via ball pressure and offensive rebounding. KUs halfcourt offense struggles without consistent"
X Link 2026-02-14T14:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏆 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Finishing Positions (Including Ties) 🧱 Foundation Layer (Lower Variance) ⛳ Collin Morikawa Top [--] (+156) Best pure placement edge on the board. Barbell iron fit + wedge spike profile + no-cut event. This is your stability anchor. ⛳ Sepp Straka Top [--] (+160) #1 proximity [----] yards. Fits wind + wedge profile perfectly. ⛳ Shane Lowry Top [--] (+160) Wind specialist. Runner-up here last year. Profile screams Pebble. ⛳ Corey Conners Top [--] (+205) Ball-striking floor + CA comfort. Big number relative to profile. 📈 Mid Tier (Upside but Realistic) ⛳ Patrick Cantlay Top 10"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Daily Reminder: Chris Gotterup should have been at Bethpage"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 UNI @ Belmont Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Belmont [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Belmont [----] / UNI +190 What drives it: UNIs 360th-ranked tempo (65.5 poss) suppresses volume Belmonts elite shooting efficiency raises floor clash of pace vs efficiency keeps total mid-130s and margin [--]. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Belmont [--] Northern Iowa [--] (66 possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: UNI Controls Tempo (Most Likely 55%) Who controls & why: UNIs half-court offense and defensive discipline force Belmont into longer possessions. Pace/Scoring"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 POR @ UTA Game Script First Preview 📊 Market: POR [----] [-----] 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: POR [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: POR [----] / UTA +200 Driver: Portland is the better halfcourt offense and cleaner ball-handling team. Utahs edge is rebounding + whistle volume. B2B fatigue trims ceiling but doesnt flip control. Market [----] is inflated vs model but public pressure on Utah removes pregame edge. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) POR [---] UTA [---] (237) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Portland Stabilizes & Pulls Away (Most Likely) Control: Portland perimeter creation vs Utahs weak POA"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Ryo Hisatsune is quietly turning into one of the best stories of the [----] PGA season. Ryo Hisatsune T2 (-16) at Farmers Insurance Open T10 (-12) at WM Phoenix Open T44 (-15) at The American Express MC at Sony (even par through [--] rounds) And now 🔥 [---] at Pebble Beach Sitting at the top of the board at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This isnt a heater. This is trend + trajectory. Hes already Top [--] in [----] DataGolf points his strokes gained profile is balanced across the board and the ball-striking has clearly taken another leap early this season What stands out: Gaining tee-to-green"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Kentucky Wildcats at Florida Gators 📍 Stephen C. O'Connell Center 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Florida [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Florida [----] / Kentucky +290 Driver: Floridas elite offensive rebounding + rim efficiency vs Kentuckys thinner guard rotation creates possession pressure and foul leverage but the market at [-----] prices in near-blowout assumptions. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Florida [--] Kentucky [--] (151) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script A: Florida wins the glass controls game inside [--] minutes Who controls & why: Florida via ORB dominance and paint scoring."
X Link 2026-02-14T14:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes 📍 Carver-Hawkeye Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Purdue [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: Purdue [----] / Iowa +120 Driver: Two elite half-court offenses bottom-30 tempo from Iowa bottom-20 tempo from Purdue efficiency high possession count suppressed. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Purdue [--] Iowa [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Purdue Controls Half Court Who controls & why Purdue limits turnovers wins offensive glass and forces Iowa into late-clock jumpers. Pace & scoring impact Game stays [----] possessions. High-efficiency but low-volume"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 St. Johns Red Storm vs Villanova Wildcats 📍 Wells Fargo Center Philadelphia PA Saturday 8:00 PM ET Big East Fair Market Spread: Villanova Wildcats [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Villanova [----] / St. John's Red Storm +120 Driver: This is an efficiency coin-flip on paper but Villanovas elite tempo control (bottom-10 AdjT) at a Philly site pulls possessions down and slightly favors the more disciplined late-game profile. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Villanova [--] St. Johns [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A: Villanova Controls (45%) Who/Why: Villanova dictates tempo with long half-court"
X Link 2026-01-17T16:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Virginia Tech at Syracuse Game-Script-First Betting Preview 📍 JMA Wireless Dome 9:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Syracuse [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Syracuse Orange [----] Virginia Tech Hokies +105 Driver: This is a neutral-court coin-flip tilted slightly by Syracuse home court with both teams playing mid-tempo defense-first profiles that suppress possessions and create a total inflated by market overreaction. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Syracuse [--] Virginia Tech [--] (Total: 147) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Syracuse Controls the Interior (Most Likely) Who"
X Link 2026-01-21T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏜 The American Express [----] 🏆 Birdie-fest. Desert golf. Volatility rules. ✅ Players We Like Ben Griffin +2000 If youre betting a non-Scottie at the top Griffin fits the profile: high birdie ceiling can lap the field on the easy courses and is priced like hes one tier below where he belongs. Sam Burns +2700 Poa putting pop + birdie-fest skill set plays here. Burns is volatile but thats what you want in a low-scoring tournamenthe can go nuclear for [--] holes and coast. Patrick Cantlay +2700 If you want a safe-ish outright in a volatile event Cantlay is one of the few whose birdie-making"
X Link 2026-01-21T23:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Cavaliers 📍 Saturday Noon ET John Paul Jones Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Virginia [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Virginia [----] / UNC +190 Driver: Virginias elite interior defense + slower tempo at JPJ tilts control toward UVA while UNCs offensive efficiency keeps the total elevated despite pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Virginia [--] North Carolina [--] (150 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Virginia Control Game (Most Likely) Who controls & why: UVA dictates with half-court defense rim protection and offensive rebounding;"
X Link 2026-01-24T13:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 UCLA at Oregon 11:00pm ET 📍 Venue: Matthew Knight Arena 1) Fair Market Fair spread: UCLA [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: UCLA Bruins [----] / Oregon Ducks +112 Driver: UCLAs superior two-way efficiency is real but Oregons home court plus a mid-60s tempo keep this tight while the market is over-discounting Oregons offense due to injuries rather than possession quality. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) UCLA [--] Oregon [--] (151 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Competitive Shot-Making Game (Most Likely) Control: Neither team; UCLA wins margins Oregon trades shots at home. Pace"
X Link 2026-01-28T23:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Farmers Insurance Open Round [--] (+EV Card Only) ⛳ (Course-adjusted: South = survive North = attack) Not as much time today for research - but here is what I am playing Matchups Pierceson Coody [----] over Sam Stevens Keith Mitchell [----] over Davis Thompson Thorbjrn Olesen [----] over Denny McCarthy Round Score Justin Rose U71.5 (-112) Max McGreevy U69.5 (-124) End of R2 Top [--] Si Woo Kim +132 Michael Thorbjornsen +142 Best Edge: Si Woo Top [--] (+11% EV) Cleanest Matchup: Coody [----] https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017265486375825704 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017265486375825704"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Indiana Hoosiers @ UCLA Bruins 📍 Saturday 5:00 PM ET Pauley Pavilion (Los Angeles CA) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: UCLA [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UCLA [----] / Indiana +125 Driver: Slow tempo on both sides heavy half-court usage UCLAs home-court edge at Pauley and Indianas high-variance 3-point profile against a defense that forces long possessions. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) UCLA [--] Indiana [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A UCLA Controls the Game (Most Likely) Who controls & why: UCLA controls tempo and shot quality at home; Indiana is pushed into late-clock perimeter"
X Link 2026-01-31T15:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers at Pinnacle Bank Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Illinois [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Illinois [----] / Nebraska +125 Driver: two elite offenses with above-average shooting efficiency but Nebraskas home court + Illinois guard injury pull the spread tight while pace and shot quality still justify a total north of [---]. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Illinois [--] Nebraska [--] (Total: 160) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Illinois controls late (45%) Who/Why: Illinois size and offensive balance wear Nebraska down across multiple"
X Link 2026-02-01T19:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels 📍 Dean E. Smith Center 7:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: UNC [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: UNC [----] / SYR +285 Driver: Similar tempo (68 poss) both teams efficient offensively but UNCs interior scoring + home-court edge (3.5 pts) creates separation without implying a runaway. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) North Carolina [--] Syracuse [--] (164 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: UNC Controls But Pace Stays Honest (Most Likely) Who/Why: UNC wins the paint converts at the rim but Syracuses size prevents a full track meet. Impact:"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks Game-Script Betting Preview (7:00pm CT Fiserv Forum) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Milwaukee Bucks [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no vig): Bucks [----] (56.8%) Chicago Bulls +131 (43.2%) Driver: Both teams are missing primary offensive hubs but Milwaukee still has more rim pressure + interior scoring pathways at home while Chicagos half-court offense is fragile without its spacing/creation anchors. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Bucks [---] Bulls [---] (Total: 228) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Milwaukee Controls the Paint Who/Why: Bucks lean into"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🔥 KING OF THE COURT TONIGHT 🔥 Who leads the slate in PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists) 👑 Top Contenders 🥇 Luka Doni 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 33.2% Clear alpha. Highest ceiling and widest path to a slate-breaking night. 🥈 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 12.6% Quietly consistent lives in the 40+ range. 🥉 Jalen Johnson 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 12.5% Minutes + rebounds + assists = real King equity. [--] Nikola Joki 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 9.9% Lower minutes cap still Jokic. Needs efficiency spike. [--] Jaylen Brown 📊 Pred PRA: [----] 🎯 Win %: 8.8% Scoring-driven"
X Link 2026-02-03T23:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 BYU Cougars @ Oklahoma State Cowboys 📍 9:00pm ET Gallagher-Iba Arena 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: BYU [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no-vig): BYU [----] / OK State +190 Driver: BYUs top-tier offensive efficiency vs OK States pace and shot volume at home creates a high-possession game but the current market is overpricing BYU margin and win probability. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) BYU [--] Oklahoma State [--] (163 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A BYU shot quality wins (most likely) Who controls / why: BYUs half-court offense gets clean looks against a defense that allows"
X Link 2026-02-04T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Clemson Tigers @ Stanford Cardinal 📍 Maples Pavilion 10:00pm ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Clemson [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no vig): Clemson [----] / Stanford +180 Driver: Clemsons top-20 defense and half-court efficiency edge vs Stanfords average shot quality with pace suppressed (mid-60s possessions) but scoring efficiency keeping the total near [---]. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Clemson [--] Stanford [--] (Total: 140) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Clemson Controls (55%) Who/Why: Clemson dictates the half court with defensive rebounding + turnover control forcing"
X Link 2026-02-04T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🐦 WM PHOENIX OPEN Round [--] Birdies Card 🐦 If youre betting birdies at Scottsdale course history vibes. Three numbers stand out two overs and one clean under. 🔥 Nick Taylor OVER [---] Birdies (+125) This course prints birdies for Taylor. 📊 Last [--] years at TPC Scottsdale Avg: [----] birdies per round Multiple 6+ birdie rounds Includes an 11-birdie round in [----] Rarely stuck at [--] when he plays well 📉 Fair line: closer to [----] 📈 Market: +125 Thats not a small edge thats a misprice. ➡ Mid-60s round = cash. 🔥 Si Woo Kim OVER [---] Birdies (+120) Quietly one of the most reliable Scottsdale scorers."
X Link 2026-02-05T01:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏁 WM PHOENIX OPEN ROUND [--] LEADER CARD 🏁 🎯 CORE IDEA Nick Taylor = spike upside Xander Schauffele = consistency + ceiling Scottie Scheffler = safety valve not alpha Youre attacking three different distributions which is exactly what you want. 🔥 TIER 1: FRL DARTS (High Variance Real Edge) 🟢 Nick Taylor FRL +7200 EV: +8.62% Fair p: 1.49% Why: Multiple elite Rd1s here (wins + runner-ups) Birdie volatility is perfect for FRL Market still pricing him like a mid-tier name ➡ This is your lottery ticket with math behind it. 🟢 Xander Schauffele FRL +3300 EV: +23% (improves from +3100) Fair p:"
X Link 2026-02-05T01:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏌♂ WM PHOENIX OPEN ROUND [--] MATCHUPS🏌♂ No narratives. No vibes. Just Round-1 Scottsdale edges. ✅ BEST ROUND [--] MATCHUP BETS 🔥 Keith Mitchell (-105) vs Collin Morikawa Morikawas birdie profile at Scottsdale is flat. Mitchell brings volatility + par-5 scoring. 📈 Model edge: +EV 🔥 Max Homa (-108) vs Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen Experience + Rd1 scoring consistency wins here. 📈 Model edge: +EV 🔥 Harry Hall (-105) vs Rickie Fowler Halls putting + steady birdie floor Fowlers volatility. 📈 Model edge: +EV 🔥 Nick Taylor (-120) vs Wyndham Clark Elite Scottsdale history + birdie rates carry into"
X Link 2026-02-05T01:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🔥 WM Phoenix Open Best Full-Tournament Matchups 🔥 🏆 Brooks Koepka +104 vs Min Woo Lee ➡ EV: +33% This number is way off. Koepkas long-term scoring floor + major-course pedigree makes him a clear favorite here. Getting plus money is a gift. 📊 Corey Conners [----] vs J.T. Poston ➡ EV: +12.6% Elite tee-to-green profile over [--] holes. This is exactly the type of course where Conners consistency compounds. 🧠 Kurt Kitayama [----] vs Rasmus Hjgaard ➡ EV: +11.1% Market still pricing upside stability. Over four rounds Kitayamas scoring volatility works in his favor. 🎯 Harry Hall [----] vs Keith"
X Link 2026-02-05T02:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🔥 WM Phoenix Open [----] Best Top Finish Bets 🔥 🎯 Corey Conners Top [--] (+225) This is one of the best numbers on the board. Elite ball-striking low volatility over [--] holes and Scottsdale rewards exactly that. Model has him finishing T18-ish on median clear +EV. 📈 Brooks Koepka Top [--] (+200) Books still underrating Koepka in non-major fields. Top-20 equity is much higher than his outright odds imply. Ceiling + floor combo plays perfectly here. 🧠 Ben Griffin Top [--] (-138) Not sexy just strong. Griffins recent baseline puts him safely inside the Top [--] more often than this price suggests."
X Link 2026-02-05T02:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🔥 WM Phoenix Open Outrights (WITHOUT Scottie Scheffler) 🔥 🏆 Xander Schauffele (+1450) This is the anchor. Best combo of floor + ceiling in the field once Scottie is removed. Elite tee-to-green no real weakness and always live on Sunday. Fair price is closer to +1100. 💣 Cameron Young (+1850) Perfect course fit for Scottsdale. Length + birdie creation + volatility = outright juice. If this turns into a scoring contest hes one of the few who can lap the field for a round. 🎯 Hideki Matsuyama (+1900) Criminally underpriced in full fields still. Elite iron play proven here and one of the most"
X Link 2026-02-05T02:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 Washington Wizards @ Detroit Pistons Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Spread: Pistons [-----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Pistons [-----] / Wizards +1010 Why: Massive EPM gap (DET +6.9 vs WAS -10.8) Detroit home court Wizards short on primary creation Detroit efficiency edge with real blowout risk shaping the number. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Pistons [---] Wizards [---] (227 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Detroit controls wire-to-wire (55%) Who controls: Pistons early via Cade-led halfcourt efficiency + rim pressure; Wizards cant sustain shot quality. Pace &"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Brooklyn Nets @ Orlando Magic Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Magic [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Magic [----] / Nets +380 What drives it: A wide EPM gap Orlando home court Brooklyn missing primary shot creation but pace still projects neutral not a true slowdown. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Magic [---] Nets [---] (216 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Orlando controls without sprinting (Most Likely) Who controls: Orlando via half-court efficiency and defensive structure. Pace / scoring: Moderate pace; Magic score consistently Nets"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Utah Jazz @ Atlanta Hawks Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Spread: Atlanta Hawks [-----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: ATL [----] / Utah Jazz +415 Driver: Atlantas clear EPM edge home court and Utahs thin backcourt + interior rotation push this toward Hawks control at a fast pace with defensive slippage on both sides. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Hawks [---] Jazz [---] (243 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Hawks Control Wire-to-Wire (Base Case) Who controls: Atlanta via half-court creation (McCollum/Jalen Johnson) + Jazz perimeter defense breakdowns. Pace / scoring: Fast early"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Grade: C sold good players waited too long didnt extract premium value The only way this becomes a win: Dillingham pops or they flip cap space into a star-level acquisition this offseason Until then this looks like a team that: misread its leverage prioritized flexibility over value and paid the price for waiting too long Bottom line They didnt lose the deadline because they reset. They lost it because they reset late. Flexibility is only valuable if you convert it into something better than what you sold. Right now that hasnt happened. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019539346613797331"
X Link 2026-02-05T22:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Game Script Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Spurs [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Spurs [----] / Mavs +310 Driver: San Antonios elite NET (+5.6) vs Dallass [----] plus Dallas missing primary creation and interior continuity creates a Spurs control edge despite Dallas maintaining pace keeping the total elevated. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Spurs [---] Mavericks [---] (Total: 235) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Spurs Control Wire-to-Wire (Primary) Who/Why: Spurs dictate through Wembanyama gravity + Fox downhill pressure; Dallas"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Game-Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Suns [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Suns [----] / Warriors +125 Driver: Both teams are missing their primary on-ball creators and late-clock scorers compressing pace and efficiency while flattening the true talent gap despite Phoenixs home edge. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Suns [---] Warriors [---] (212 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Phoenix Controls But Its Slow Control: Phoenix Suns via half-court execution defensive rebounding and fewer live-ball mistakes. Effect: Slower"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 PHI @ LAL Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Lakers [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: LAL [----] / PHI +125 Driver: Slight Lakers home-court edge offsets Phillys stronger underlying efficiency with pace elevated by dual heliocentric stars and transition-heavy second units all assuming Embiid plays. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Lakers [---] [---] 76ers (236 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Half-Court Star Duel (Most Likely) Control: Even game; Luka & LeBron shot-creation vs Embiid/Maxey two-man game. Pace / Scoring: Medium-fast pace efficient"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Game Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MIL [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: MIL [----] / IND +104 Driver: Two sub-elite teams with similar EPM profiles neutralized star power (Indiana without its primary creator; Milwaukee missing its downhill engine) modest pace and late-game shot creation deciding the edge. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Bucks [---] Pacers [---] (223 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Milwaukee Controls Late (Most Likely) Who/Why: Milwaukee leans on half-court execution and physicality; Indianas"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 LA Clippers @ Sacramento Kings Game Script Preview (Feb [--] 2026) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Clippers [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Clippers [----] / Kings +170 Driver: LAC holds a clear net-rating edge even with injuries while Sacramentos volatility (pace + shot profile) and Sabonis back status swing the total and late-game efficiency more than the spread. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Clippers [---] Kings [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Clippers Control Late (Most Likely) Who/Why: Kawhi-centric half-court control + SACs defensive breakdowns late in possessions."
X Link 2026-02-06T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Main Card: Vinicius Oliveira by Decision Kyoji Horiguchi by Decision Jailton Almeida by Submission (Round 12) Michal Oleksiejczuk by KO/TKO (Round 12) Farid Basharat by Decision Dustin Jacoby by Decision Prelims: Daniil Donchenko via TKO (Round 2) Nikolay Veretennikov by Decision Bruna Brasil by Decision Javid Basharat by Decision Wang Cong by Decision Muin Gafurov by Decision Klaudia Sygula by Decision https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019969373621076246 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019969373621076246"
X Link 2026-02-07T03:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🧾 BEST EV BETS & PARLAY BUILDERS THIS WEEKS UFC CARD 🔥 TIER [--] CORE +EV BETS ( 20% EV) ✅ Bruna Brasil ML +134 Est 60% Imp 42.7% EV +40% 📌 Cleaner wrestling + pace edge. Market still underrating her control upside. ✅ Vinicius Oliveira ML +124 Est 55% Imp 44.6% EV +23% 📌 More durable better defensive metrics live late. 🧠 TIER [--] STRUCTURE / FIGHT SHAPE (High-confidence edges) ✅ Muin Gafurov goes the distance [----] Est 70% Imp 50.5% EV +39% 📌 Low finish equity cardio + control fight. ✅ Gafurov over [---] rounds [----] Est 70% Imp 55.6% EV +26% ✅ Klaudia Sygula over [---] rounds [----] Est 72% Imp"
X Link 2026-02-07T03:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Alabama Crimson Tide mens basketball @ Auburn Tigers mens basketball 📍 Saturday 4:00pm CT Neville Arena 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Auburn [---] Fair total: [---] Fair moneylines: Auburn [----] / Alabama +115 Driver: Elite offensive efficiency on both sides but Auburns home-court edge + slightly better control of half-court pace trims possessions just enough to favor Auburn while keeping scoring elevated. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Auburn [--] Alabama [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Auburn Controls Pace Wins the Margins Who controls & why: Auburn slows Alabamas preferred tempo wins"
X Link 2026-02-07T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Duke @ North Carolina Game-Script Betting Preview 📍 Dean E. Smith Center 6:30pm ET 1) Fair Market Spread: Duke [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Duke [----] / UNC +235 Why: Dukes elite offense vs UNCs solid-but-leaky defense at a mid-60s possession pace partially offset by UNCs strong home-court edge and rivalry intensity tightening late-game margins. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Duke [--] North Carolina [--] (67 possessions Duke efficiency edge holds UNC keeps contact via half-court execution) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Duke Controls Early UNC Chases Control: Duke dictates shot"
X Link 2026-02-07T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#5 Illinois @ #10 Michigan State Saturday 8:00pm ET (Breslin Center) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Michigan State [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneyline: MSU [----] / Illinois +135 Driver: Two slow-tempo Big Ten teams (66 poss) with elite rebounding on both sides; Illinois top-tier offense is offset by MSUs top-5 defense and a real Breslin home-court edge (3 pts). 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Michigan State [--] Illinois [--] (Total: 142) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: MSU Controls Late (Most Likely) Who/Why: MSUs half-court defense shrinks driving lanes forces Illinois into late-clock"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Houston @ BYU Saturday 10:30pm ET (Marriott Center Provo) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Houston [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Houston [----] / BYU +108 Driver: Houstons elite half-court defense + slow tempo collide with BYUs spacing shot-making and top-10 home-court edge producing a near coin-flip game with slightly elevated efficiency but capped possessions. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) BYU [--] Houston [--] ( [---] total one-possession finish) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: BYU Controls Pace with Shot-Making (Most Likely) Who controls: BYU via early offensive rhythm and"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏆 Super Bowl Preview: Seahawks vs Patriots 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Patriots [----] Fair Total: [----] Fair Moneylines: Patriots [----] / Seahawks +120 Driver: This prices as a near coin-flip driven by the QB efficiency edge for New England Seattles defensive ceiling and a TD-dependent scoring profile rather than pace or volume. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Patriots [--] Seahawks [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A New England Controls Late (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Patriots stay on schedule win on early downs and avoid negative plays; QB play under pressure tilts NE. Pace / field"
X Link 2026-02-08T00:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🧠📊 My Favorite Super Bowl Props [--] Jaxon Smith-Njigba UNDER [----] Receiving Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [----] 📈 Edge: +20% EV Elite role but this line prices his ceiling. Seattle spreads volume and leans run late. [--] Drake Maye UNDER [----] Rushing Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [----] 📈 Edge: +15% EV Scrambles designed runs. SEA keeps contain and forces throwaways. [--] TreVeyon Henderson UNDER [----] Rushing Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [----] 📈 Edge: +20%+ EV Needs one explosive run to beat you. Thats an under Ill live with. [--] George Holani UNDER [----] Rushing Yards (-110) 📉 Model fair: [--] 📈 Edge:"
X Link 2026-02-08T22:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 TRADE BREAKDOWN: Red Sox Brewers 🚨 BOS receives: 3B Caleb Durbin + SS Andruw Monasterio + 2B Anthony Seigler + Comp B Pick MIL receives: LHP Kyle Harrison + LHP Shane Drohan + 2B David Hamilton 📊 On-paper ➜ big BOS edge 🔥 Why Boston loves this: Durbin is a contact machine 9.9% K rate (98th percentile) 13% whiff (96th pct) disciplined approach plus enough speed/defense to stick. Hes not a masher (low EV/barrels) but hes the type who can be a lineup glue guy for years. Add Monasterios versatility and a Comp B pick Thats a strong haul. ⚾ Why Milwaukee does it anyway: Theyre betting on Kyle"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NC State @ Louisville Game Script Betting Preview (7:00 PM ET) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Louisville [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines (no vig): Louisville [----] / NC State +170 Driver: Two efficient ACC offenses at [--] possessions per game with solid-but-not-elite defenses; Louisvilles edge is home court (3.3 pts) + interior efficiency not pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Louisville [--] NC State [--] (Total = 162) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Louisville Controls the Paint (45%) Who controls: Louisville via 2P% dominance + offensive rebounding Pace / scoring: Average pace"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Feb [--] Charlotte 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Hornets [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Hornets [----] / Pistons +123 Driver: Detroits season-long EPM edge is real but Charlottes home court (3 pts) shot-creation advantage at the top and a pace profile that pushes possessions tilt the median slightly toward CHA in a higher-total game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Hornets [---] Pistons [---] (Total: 233) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Charlotte controls via shot creation (most likely) Control: Charlottes primary creators win the half-court"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Utah Jazz @ Miami Heat Game-Script Betting Preview (Feb 9) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Heat [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneyline: Heat [----] / Jazz +330 Driver: Miamis defensive edge and home court vs a Jazz team missing primary creation while Miamis own shot-creation absences cap ceiling and suppress the total despite a pace-friendly matchup. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Heat [---] Jazz [---] Total: [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Heat Control Jazz Hang Around (Most Likely) Who controls: Miami controls shot quality and half-court defense; Utah stays within range via Markkanen"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans Feb [--] [----] 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Pelicans [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Pelicans [----] / Kings +440 Driver: New Orleans has a clear net-rating edge home-court advantage and Sacramento is severely shorthanded offensively forcing inefficient usage spikes and weaker late-game shot quality. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Pelicans [---] Kings [---] (233 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Pelicans Control Wire-to-Wire (Most Likely) Who controls & why: New Orleans Pelicans control tempo through interior scoring + transition while"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Denver Nuggets Feb [--] 8:00pm CT 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: DEN [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline (no vig): DEN [----] (54%) CLE +118 (46%) Driver: Two elite half-court offenses with Cleveland missing rim protection/vertical pressure (Mobley out) vs Denver short on wing defense and transition pop (Gordon out Murray Q) creating a narrow Denver edge but fragile game scripts. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Nuggets [---] Cavaliers [---] (238 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Denver Half-Court Control (Most Likely) Who controls: Denver through Jokic-centric"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Spread: Warriors [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Warriors [----] / Grizzlies +275 Driver: clear talent + home-court edge for GSW but both offenses are stripped of primary creators pushing pace down and compressing scoring. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Warriors [---] Grizzlies [---] (217 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Warriors Control Methodical Win Who controls: GSW via half-court execution defense-first lineups and rebounding edge. Pace/scoring: slower tempo long possessions scoring concentrated"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 OKC @ LAL Game-Script Betting Preview (Feb [--] [----] LA) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: OKC [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair ML: OKC [----] / LAL +213 What drives it: OKC still owns a large efficiency edge and depth advantage but with primary offensive engines sidelined on both sides pace and late-clock efficiency project lower than market keeping the total down and narrowing the spread slightly. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Thunder [---] Lakers [---] (Total: 218) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A OKC Controls Methodical Win (45%) Who/why: OKCs depth and defensive pressure win the possession battle;"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏆 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 🔢 Top [--] Power Rankings [--] Scottie Scheffler (+300) Elite tee-to-green every single week and top-5 proximity from [----] yards. Pebble doesnt need magic it needs control. [--] Rory McIlroy (+1300) Just won here at [---]. When Rorys irons are dialed Pebble cant slow him down. [--] Patrick Cantlay (+3300) Accuracy + GIR + top-6 wedge proximity. One of the safest high-end Pebble profiles in the field. [--] Jason Day (+3500) Best Pebble rsum in this field. Short game + wedges still matter a ton here. [--] Justin Rose (+2500) Pebble merchant. Win + multiple top finishes + top-10 wedge"
X Link 2026-02-10T03:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 Virginia at Florida State Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Tucker Center Tallahassee FL 7:00pm ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Virginia [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Virginia [----] / Florida State +315 Driver: Virginias interior efficiency and elite offensive rebounding overwhelm an FSU defense that lacks consistent rim resistance while FSUs pace and three-point volume prevent the game from fully slowing despite UVAs tempo profile. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Virginia [--] Florida State [--] Total: [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Virginia Controls the Game But Not the Total"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Iowa State vs TCU Feb [--] 8:00pm CT 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Iowa State [---] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: Iowa State [----] TCU +265 What drives it: Iowa States defense + ball pressure suppresses efficiency and late-game pace while TCUs half-court offense struggles to generate clean looks without transition or whistle help. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Iowa State [--] TCU [--] (Total: 143) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Iowa State Controls (Most Likely) Control: Iowa State dictates with defense forces empty possessions and wins the possession battle. Pace / scoring: Pace trends"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Oklahoma State @ Arizona State 📍 Desert Financial Arena 9:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Arizona State [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Arizona State [----] Oklahoma State +155 Driver: Two efficient but not explosive offenses average-to-below-average defenses long possession lengths and modest home-court edge for Arizona State Sun Devils over Oklahoma State Cowboys keep the game competitive while suppressing true ceiling outcomes. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Arizona State [--] Oklahoma State [--] Total: [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A ASU Controls Halfcourt Grind (Most"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Game-Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Spread: Knicks [-----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Knicks [----] / Pacers +426 Driver: Massive team-quality gap plus Indiana operating without a true primary engine while New Yorks half-court offense (Brunson + spacing big) can score efficiently even at a moderate pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Knicks [---] Pacers [---] (Total: 225) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Knicks Control Wire-to-Wire (55%) Who/Why: New York dictates tempo through half-court execution; Indiana struggles to generate clean paint touches or"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Game-Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Suns [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: PHX [----] / DAL +240 Driver: Phoenixs shot-creation edge and home court vs. a Dallas offense missing top-end creation pulling down DAL efficiency despite decent pace. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Suns [---] Mavericks [---] (Total: 227) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A Suns Control Wire-to-Wire (Most Likely) Who/Why: Phoenixs half-court offense wins the matchup; DAL struggles to create late-clock looks. Pace/Scoring: Moderate pace PHX steady efficiency; DAL"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs 📍 Stegeman Coliseum 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Florida [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Florida [----] / Georgia +220 What drives it: Georgia plays top-10 pace in SEC games and Floridas elite offensive rebounding + rim efficiency inflate scoring more than tempo suppression would suggest; Georgia is without its highest-usage perimeter creator which trims late-game shot creation. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Florida [--] Georgia [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Florida Controls Interior Game Stays High-Scoring (Most Likely) Who controls &"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Alabama @ Ole Miss Game Script First Betting Breakdown 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Alabama [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Alabama [----] / Ole Miss +235 What drives it: Alabamas elite conference-only offense (127.8 AdjO top-5 tempo extreme 3PA rate) versus Ole Miss slower tempo and solid halfcourt defense; Bediakos ineligibility slightly reduces Alabama rim protection but increases pace/spacing volatility. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Alabama [--] Ole Miss [--] ( [--] possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Alabama Pace Dictates Who controls: Alabama pushes tempo off"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Iowa @ Maryland Game Script First Preview 📍 Location: Xfinity Center (College Park) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Iowa [---] Fair Total: [---] Fair Moneyline: Iowa [----] / Maryland +560 What drives it: Iowas elite conference efficiency (122.9 AdjO / [----] AdjD) combined with a bottom-5 national pace (65 possessions) compresses the total; Marylands inconsistent half-court offense and heavy 3PA rate makes them vulnerable if Iowa controls tempo. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Iowa [--] Maryland [--] ( [--] possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Iowa Dictates Tempo (Most Likely) Who controls &"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 South Florida @ Wichita State Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Charles Koch Arena AAC Play 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: USF [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: USF [----] / Wichita State +105 What drives it: South Floridas elite offensive rebounding + free-throw rate and top-15 tempo collide with Wichitas interior size (Berg/Okorafor) and slower pace control; home court (3 pts) compresses this to near coin-flip in a high-60s possession game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) South Florida [--] Wichita State [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: USF Wins Pace + Glass Battle (Higher Scoring)"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Providence @ Seton Hall Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Prudential Center 7:30 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Seton Hall [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: Hall [----] / Providence +200 Driver: Providence brings a top-20 Big East offense at a top-20 tempo but Seton Halls elite conference defense (turnover creation + rim protection) plus home court in a slower environment compresses efficiency and lowers variance. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Seton Hall [--] Providence [--] 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Hall Controls in Halfcourt (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Seton Hall dictates pace"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Cincinnati @ Kansas State Game Script Betting Preview 📍 Bramlage Coliseum 9:00 ET 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Kansas State [----] (PK to -1) Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: KSU [----] / Cincinnati [----] Driver: K-State pushes tempo (Top [--] pace in Big [--] play) but Cincinnatis elite conference-only defense (AdjD 93.7) suppresses efficiency net result is a coin-flip game with a total materially lower than market (148149.5). 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Kansas State [--] Cincinnati [--] ( [--] possessions both teams [----] PPP) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script [--] Cincy Halfcourt Control (Lower"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Missouri @ Texas A&M Game Script Betting Preview (Reed Arena) 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Texas A&M [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneyline: Texas A&M [----] / Missouri +220 What drives it: A&Ms faster tempo and elite ball security at home vs Missouris strong interior efficiency but turnover-prone guards tempo compresses slightly toward Missouris pace keeping the total mid-150s rather than 160+. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Texas A&M [--] Missouri [--] ( [--] possessions) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: A&M Controls Tempo Early (Most Likely) Who controls & why: A&M forces Missouri into"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 New Mexico @ Grand Canyon 📍 10:00 ET Phoenix AZ 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: New Mexico [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UNM [----] (57%) GCU +115 (43%) Driver: Slight UNM efficiency edge but GCUs top-25 defense + home court compress possessions and keep this in a half-court mid-140s environment. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) New Mexico [--] Grand Canyon [--] (Total: 145) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Half-Court Grind (Most Likely) Who controls & why: GCU controls tempo with experienced guards and interior size. UNM is forced into longer possessions and fewer transition looks."
X Link 2026-02-11T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Why is an ACTIVE NBA player in the Celebrity 3-Point Contest 🤨 Hes shooting against Caleb Williams and influencers What are we doing If you paint your nails you qualify as a celebrity All-Star Weekend is Pro Bowl [---]. Overproduced zero stakes nobody really cares. The dunk contest hasnt been the same since Zach LaVine vs. Aaron Gordon. Just give the players a week off name the All-NBA teams and move on. Honestly wed rather see Coen Carr dunk than whatever this is supposed to be. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021705079758176396 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021705079758176396"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:57Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"🏀 Hawks @ Hornets Game Script First Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Hornets [---] Fair Total: [---] Fair Moneyline: Hornets [----] / Hawks +205 What drives it: Charlottes +4.8 net rating edge over Atlanta (team EPM gap) LaMelo-driven offensive efficiency at home and ATLs injury volatility in primary creation/defensive disruption roles. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Hornets [---] Hawks [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: Charlotte Controls with Ball Movement + Transition (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Hornets. LaMelo pushes tempo Miller/Knueppel space the floor ATLs perimeter"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 DET @ TOR Game Script First Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: DET [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: DET [----] / TOR +125 What drives it: Detroits +6.7 team net rating vs Torontos +2.4 Cades on-ball creation edge and Detroits rim pressure vs a Raptors frontcourt with uncertainty but Toronto home court trims it to near pickem territory. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Detroit [---] Toronto [---] (Total: 227) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🧠 Script 1: Detroit Controls Through Halfcourt Efficiency Who controls & why: Detroits primary ball-handler dictates tempo collapsing Torontos defense and"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Pacers @ Nets Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Nets [---] Fair Total: [---] Fair Moneylines: Nets [----] / Pacers +220 What drives this: Indiana is on the road on the second night of a back-to-back after an OT game and trends strongly under in this spot (-8.4 average margin vs total) while fatigue historically shows up in second-half defensive efficiency and scoring lift. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Nets [---] Pacers [---] (Total: 212) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟥 Script [--] (Most Likely): Gradual Separation Who controls & why: Brooklyn controls the middle quarters as"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Knicks @ 76ers Game Script First Betting Breakdown 1) Fair Market Assuming Embiid plays without restriction Fair Spread: PHI [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair ML: PHI [----] / NYK +125 Driver: Slightly better top-end shot creation + home court for Philly while NYK comes in on a road B2B after OT (fatigue + defensive legs tax). If Embiid is ruled OUT market flips to roughly NYK [---] / [-----] total. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) 76ers [---] Knicks [---] (Total: 225) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟦 Script 1: Philly Controls via Halfcourt & Foul Pressure (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Philly dictates"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 POR @ MIN Game Script Betting Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MIN [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: MIN [----] / POR +280 What drives it: Minnesota owns a 7-point net rating edge at home elite rim protection + halfcourt defense; Portland is missing multiple perimeter creators which suppresses efficiency and late-clock shot quality. The swing variable is Minnesotas primary scorer (questionable) which moves this line [--] points. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Timberwolves [---] Trail Blazers [---] (Total: 231) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🐺 Script 1: Minnesota Controls Through Defense +"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🔥 Heat @ Pelicans Game Script First Preview 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: MIA [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: MIA [----] / NOP +141 What drives this: Miami is slightly better on a per-possession basis but multiple perimeter shot-creators are out which lowers their half-court ceiling; New Orleans plays faster and defends worse keeping the total elevated despite Miamis injuries. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Heat [---] Pelicans [---] 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: Miami Controls Through Efficiency Who controls & why: Miami wins via frontcourt scoring + half-court shot quality edge."
X Link 2026-02-11T23:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 OKC @ PHX Game Script Betting Preview (SGA OUT PHX B2B) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: OKC [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: OKC [----] / PHX +174 Driver: OKC is the better underlying team but losing its primary shot-creator compresses offensive efficiency; Phoenix is home but on a back-to-back which slightly lowers pace and late-game legs. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) OKC [---] PHX [---] (Total: 228) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟦 Script 1: OKC Controls Through Defense & Size (Most Likely 45%) Who controls & why: OKC controls tempo via defensive pressure and rebounding edge. Phoenix"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Spurs @ Warriors Game Script First 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Spurs [---] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Spurs [----] / Warriors +140 What drives it: San Antonio plays materially slower and [---] points below market expectation on second nights of back-to-backs (80% under) while Golden State is missing its primary late-clock shot creator and rim-pressure wing compressing pace and half-court efficiency. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Spurs [---] Warriors [---] Projected Total: [---] (Built with B2B pace reduction of [--] possessions + lowered 4Q efficiency.) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A:"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🔥 THESE LINES STINK. VEGAS KNOWS SOMETHING TONIGHT. 🔥 You ever look at a board and feel like the books are just sitting there smiling Tonight feels like that. 🎓 COLLEGE HOOPS 📍 Iowa/Maryland Over 92% of bets. 92% of money. Iowa = 360th in pace. Maryland = 213th in pace. Slow + slow yet everyone piling into the over and the number isnt running Vegas just casually taking the money. 📍 USC +8 @ Ohio State 73% bets. 76% money. KenPom says OSU [---] market hanging [---] and not flinching. If the model says [--] and the book says [--] thats not random. Thats confidence. 📍 Colorado/TTU Over [-----] 81% bets"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏌♂ AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Round [--] Card Wind up. Greens small. Pebble playing closer to [--] than [--]. Lets attack the edges. 🌊💨 🎯 [--] Maverick McNealy OVER [----] (+110) Model: 67.4% EV: +41.5% Pebbles historical avg [--]. McNealy has volatility here and this line still priced like a birdie fest. Harder setup = pressure on mid-irons + wind control. Were taking the plus money. 🔥 [--] Collin Morikawa OVER [---] Birdies (+120) Model: 63.4% EV: +39.6% Barbell iron week. Morikawas wedge + long-iron combo is elite. If he hits it like he typically does on the West Coast hell generate enough looks even if"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏆 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Outright Card 🎯 0.60u Patrick Cantlay (+3800) Elite wedge proximity. California comfort. Pebble scoring history. Model win 4.3% vs 2.6% implied. This is the best pure pricing edge on the board. 🎯 0.50u Collin Morikawa (+6500) Barbell iron fit is perfect here. Top-tier [-----] + long iron control. If the putter is neutral hes lifting the trophy. 🎯 0.40u Russell Henley (+3000) Wind + wedges + patience. Exactly what Pebble demands. One of the cleanest fit over flash profiles in the field. 🎯 0.30u Si Woo Kim (+2500) Spike-week volatility king. Top-tier wedge"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Baylor Bears at Cincinnati Bearcats 📍 Fifth Third Arena 🕡 6:30 ET 1) Fair Market Fair spread: Cincinnati [----] Fair total: [-----] Fair moneylines: Cincinnati [----] / Baylor +120 Driver: This prices Cincinnatis top-15 defense and strong home-court edge against Baylors clearly superior offense in a true mid-tempo (68 poss) game where efficiencynot pacedecides separation. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Cincinnati [--] Baylor [--] (Total: 142) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Cincinnati Controls via Defense + Halfcourt Who controls & why: Cincinnati dictates with ball pressure rim protection"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 WVU @ Cincinnati 7pm ET 📍 Fifth Third Arena 1) Fair Market Spread: Cincinnati [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline (fair no vig): Cincinnati [----] (65.9%) West Virginia +193 (34.1%) Driver: Cincinnati owns the best defense on the floor but WVUs slow pace + Cincinnati frontcourt injury uncertainty compress margin and keep the total higher than market despite the tempo. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Cincinnati [--] West Virginia [--] (130 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Cincinnati Controls with Defense (45%) Control: Cincinnati dictates with half-court defense and rim deterrence. Pace &"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Miami Hurricanes 📍 7:00 ET Watsco Center (Coral Gables FL) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Miami [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Miami [----] / UNC +100 Driver: Two efficient but half-court-leaning offenses mediocre FT shooting and Miamis rebounding + interior scoring edge compress possessions and make this closer to a grind than the public-priced ACC shootout. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Miami [--] North Carolina [--] (162 total) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Miami Controls the Interior (Most Likely) Who/Why: Miami controls the paint and offensive"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Gonzaga @ Santa Clara Leavey Center Late WCC hammer spot. Public heavy on Zags + Over. Lets script it properly. 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: Gonzaga [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneyline: Gonzaga [----] / Santa Clara +155 What drives it: Two top-30 offenses at [--] possessions but Santa Claras 3-point volume + home floor neutralizes Gonzagas interior efficiency edge without full frontcourt depth. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Gonzaga [--] Santa Clara [--] (70 possessions [----] PPP vs [----] PPP) 3) Primary Game Scripts 🟢 Script 1: Gonzaga Controls Paint & Tempo Who controls & why: Gonzaga wins"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Main Card Jon Jones vs Alex Pereira Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor vs Justin Gaethje Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes Colby Covington vs Leon Edwards Feature Prelims Sean Strickland vs Dricus du Plessis Sean OMalley vs Marlon Chito Vera Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa Bo Nickal vs Andre Muniz Early Prelims Brandon Royval vs Tatsuro Taira Rose Namajunas vs Zhang Weili"
X Link 2025-10-30T01:53Z [----] followers, 43K engagements
"@ryanhammer09 David Mirkovic [--] Points / [--] Rebounds / [--] Assists in [--] minutes"
X Link 2025-11-04T17:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🔥 UFC [---] PARLAY PACK Updated Odds All parlays aligned with my model predictions + EV edges. ✅ 2-LEG PARLAY (Highest EV) +490 Leon Edwards ML (+154) Roman Kopylov ML (+146) Two mispriced underdogs the model LOVES: Edwards should be favored. Kopylov should be favored. ➡ Best pure value 2-leg on the entire card. ✅ 3-LEG PARLAY (Balanced Value) +511 Bo Nickal ML (-245) Sabatini vs Mariscal Fight Goes the Distance (-160) Roman Kopylov ML (+146) Nickal = elite anchor GTD = clean predictable fight script Kopylov = sharpest dog on the slate ➡ A high-EV 3-leg that still feels doable. ✅ 4-LEG PARLAY"
X Link 2025-11-15T15:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏝 Sheraton Hawaii Bowl Preview California Golden Bears vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 📍 Honolulu 🌬 Wind 20+ mph 📺 ESPN 📊 Market Snapshot Cal +1.5 (-112) Hawaii [----] (-108) Total: [----] ML: Cal [----] Hawaii [----] 🔢 My Fair Line Spread: Hawaii [----] Total: [----] Moneyline: Hawaii [----] (54.5%) Cal +120 📈 This is basically a coin-flip game but the total is way off. 🧮 Predicted Score Hawaii [--] California [--] 💰 Bets with +EV (10%) ✅ UNDER [----] (-105) +1618% EV This is the clear edge. Why: Both offenses rank 113th & 119th Negative EPA per run on both sides Sustained 20+ mph winds kill downfield"
X Link 2025-12-24T04:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Liberty Bowl Navy Midshipmen vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Fair Market Fair spread: Navy [----] Fair total: [----] Fair moneylines: Navy [----] / Cincinnati +175 Driver: Navys option shortens the game and attacks a heavily depleted UC defense while Cincinnatis offense takes a real step back without its starting QBnet result is Navy control with capped scoring. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Navy [--] Cincinnati [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A: Navy Dictates (50%) Control & why: Navy wins early downs stays on schedule and forces UC to defend [---] play drives with thin depth. Pace / field position /"
X Link 2026-01-02T04:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 Connecticut @ Providence Game Script Betting Preview (7:00 ET) 📍 Amica Mutual Pavilion Fair Market Fair Spread: Connecticut Huskies [-----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UConn [----] / Providence Friars +470 Driver: UConns elite half-court defense vs Providences pace-first offense with tempo control (not shot-making) determining whether this lands in the high-140s or mid-150s. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Connecticut [--] Providence [--] Total: [---] Primary Game Scripts Script 1: UConn Dictates (Most Likely) Control: UConn controls the game through defensive rebounding and half-court"
X Link 2026-01-07T20:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 SMU Mustangs @ Duke Blue Devils 📍 Saturday 2:00 PM ET Cameron Indoor Fair Market Fair Spread: Duke [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines (no vig): Duke [----] SMU +270 Driver: Dukes elite defense + Cameron Indoor HCA versus an efficient but slower-tempo SMU Mustangs offense keeps this closer than the market with pace projecting mid-to-high 60s possessions rather than a track meet. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Duke [--] SMU [--] (Total = 153) Primary Game Scripts Script A Duke Controls But Cant Separate (45%) Who/Why: Dukes defense dictates shot quality but SMUs ball security + half-court"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Auburn Tigers @ Missouri Tigers 📍 Mizzou Arena 7:00 ET Fair Market Spread: Auburn [----] Total: [-----] Moneylines (fair): Auburn [----] / Missouri +125 Driver: Auburns offensive rebounding + free-throw pressure vs Missouris average half-court defense creates a narrow Auburn edge while both teams efficiency profiles keep the total elevated despite middling tempo. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Auburn [--] Missouri [--] (Total: 154) Primary Game Scripts Script 1: Auburn Controls the Margins (Most Likely) Who/Why: Auburn wins the possession battle via offensive boards and FT rate neutralizing"
X Link 2026-01-14T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Vanderbilt Commodores @ Texas Longhorns Game Script Betting Preview 📍 9:00 ET Moody Center Fair Market Spread: Vanderbilt [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Vanderbilt [----] / Texas +205 Driver: Vanderbilts top-tier offense + elite perimeter defense vs Texass foul-drawing offense and weaker half-court defense with pace settling slightly below market expectations. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Vanderbilt [--] Texas [--] (Total: 164) Primary Game Scripts Script A Vanderbilt Control (Most Likely) Who controls & why: Vanderbilt dictates shot quality with spacing ball security and rim pressure while"
X Link 2026-01-14T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🎯 Sony Open Round [--] Betting Card Waialae CC Wind still present AM vs PM split matters 🟢 Round Score ✅ Brian Harman UNDER [----] (+100) Proven Waialae scorer steady ball-striking AM tee time and this number still hasnt caught up to his course baseline. ✅ Keegan Bradley UNDER [----] (-125) One of the best wind players in the field. Strong historical R2 scoring here and a profile that holds up when conditions get firm. 🟢 Birdies or Better (Regression Angle) ✅ Corey Conners UNDER [---] birdies (-150) Afternoon tee time + wind + Conners birdie distribution at Waialae = fewer clean looks. Scoring"
X Link 2026-01-16T16:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Drexel Dragons +3.5 Best Odds: [----] DraftKings Drexel is well-positioned to cover the +3.5 spread against William & Mary due to several key factors. Defensively Drexel holds a significant edge ranking 38th in effective field goal percentage defense (47.2%) compared to William & Marys 289th-ranked defense (53.2%). This suggests that Drexel can limit high-percentage shots a crucial factor in keeping the game close. Additionally Drexel's ability to control the tempo (348th in adjusted tempo) means they can slow the game down and limit possessions reducing the chances of William & Mary pulling"
X Link 2025-02-15T15:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Genesis Scottish Open // Top [--] Model Rankings 1Scottie Scheffler (Salary $13100) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣The world #1 dominates with elite approach and Par-4 play. 2Sam Burns (Salary $9000) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Strong putting and distance make him a contender. 3Harry Hall (Salary $8400) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Top putting could be his edge. 4Justin Thomas (Salary $9200) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Excellent"
X Link 2025-07-08T14:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"💤Sleepers // Genesis Scottish Open 💤Andrew Putnam (Rank [--] Salary $6800) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [---] 🗣Elite putting at a low salarygreat value. 💤Matteo Manassero (Rank [--] Salary $7300) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: [---] 🗣Solid Par-4 play for a budget pick. 💤Chris Gotterup (Rank [--] Salary $7100) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [---] Driving Distance: [--] 🗣Top distance and Par-4 at a steal. 💤Victor Perez (Rank [--] Salary $7200) 📊SG: Par 4: [--] SG: Approach: [--] SG: Putting: [--] Driving Distance: 113"
X Link 2025-07-08T14:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The Open at Royal Portrush // Round [--] Matchups Cameron Young (-170) o Mackenzie Hughes (.2u) Christiaan Bezuidenhout (-125) o Rasmus Hjgaard (.2u) Harris English (-125) o Nick Taylor (.2u) Matt Fitzpatrick (-130) over Hideki Matsuyama (.2u) Round [--] Matchup Recap: 💰Cameron Young (-140) o Mackenzie Hughes (.2u) 💰Russell Henley (-140) o Min Woo Lee (.2u) 💰Matt Fitzpatrick (-140) o Ryan Fox (.2u) ❌Joaquin Niemann (-140) o Maverick McNealy (.2u) Round [--] Matchup Recap: 💰Cameron Young (-140) o Mackenzie Hughes (.2u) 💰Russell Henley (-140) o Min Woo Lee (.2u) 💰Matt Fitzpatrick (-140) o Ryan Fox"
X Link 2025-07-18T02:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park // Recap 🔥11/12 Correct Winners 💰7/12 Finishing Methods Main Card: ✅✅Tatsuro Taira via Submission Confidence: 8/10 ❌✅Mateusz Rebecki via Unamious Decision Confidence: 7/10 ✅❌Esteban Ribovics via TKO Confidence: 7/10 ✅✅Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision Confidence: 7/10 ✅❌Neil Magny via Unanimous Decision Confidence: 6/10 ✅❌Kevin Vallejos via TKO Confidence: 8/10 Prelims: ✅❌Rinya Nakamura via Submission Confidence: 8/10 ✅❌Rodolfo Vieira via Submission Confidence: 7/10 ✅✅Andrey Pulyaev via TKO Confidence: 7/10 ✅✅Austin Bashi via Submission Confidence: 8/10"
X Link 2025-08-04T15:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker Main Card: Arman Tsarukyan defeats Dan Hooker via TKO Round [--] Ian Machado Garry defeats Belal Muhammad via Unanimous Decision Round [--] Volkan Oezdemir defeats Alonzo Menifield via KO Round [--] Myktybek Orolbai defeats Jack Hermansson via TKO Round [--] Shamil Gaziev defeats Waldo Cortes-Acosta via TKO Round [--] Tagir Ulanbekov defeats Kyoji Horiguchi via Submission Round [--] Prelims: Luke Riley defeats Bogdan Grad via TKO Round [--] Saygid Izagakhmaev defeats Nicolas Dalby via Submission Round [--] Asu Almabayev defeats Alex Perez via Submission Round [--] Abdul Rakhman"
X Link 2025-11-22T01:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏈Alamo Bowl: USC Trojans v TCU Horned Frogs 📍Alamodome Fair Market Fair Spread: USC [----] Fair Total: [----] Fair Moneylines: USC [----] TCU +155 Driver: USCs edge comes from QB + EPA/pass superiority while the market is over-pricing TCUs QB opt-out into a blowout in a dome moderate-tempo bowl where margins are harder to separate. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) USC [--] TCU [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A USC Controls Doesnt Detach (45%) Control: USC via passing efficiency and red-zone conversion Pace / Field Position: Steady pace (135 plays) USC wins field position but not explosively Scoring"
X Link 2025-12-30T04:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 Arizona Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs 📍 4:00 PM ET Fort Worth TX Fair Market Fair Spread: Arizona [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Arizona [----] / TCU +285 Driver: Arizonas top-5 two-way efficiency vs TCUs solid but slower half-court profile with pace suppression and Arizonas rebounding edge offsetting TCUs elite home-court advantage at Schollmaier. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Arizona [--] TCU [--] Total: [---] Primary Game Scripts Script A Arizona Controls (Most Likely) Who controls: Arizona Wildcats Why: Offensive rebounding dominance + interior efficiency forces TCU into half-court"
X Link 2026-01-10T18:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Sony Open Round [--] Analysis 🏝⛳ 🟢 3-Ball (Round 1): J.J. Spaun +155 (vs Morikawa +175 / Adam Scott +240) Why I like It Spaun grades high in Waialae course-based model Elite Par-4 scoring + approach (most predictive here) Excellent Round-1 scorer historically Morikawa is elite long-term but less aggressive R1 scorer Scott has strong history but is clearly the weakest of the three right now Estimated win probability: 42% Implied probability (+155): 39.2% ➡ EV: +7.2% 🟢 3-Ball (Round 1): Corey Conners +135 (vs Harry Hall +160 / Brian Campbell +300) Why I like It Conners is top-tier ball striker"
X Link 2026-01-15T03:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"⛳ The American Express Round [--] H2Hs & 2-Balls 🔥 Best Round [--] H2H Bets ✅ Jason Day (+110) over Alex Noren Stadium Course Day has averaged [--] birdies per SC round across last [--] years Noren historically caps at [--] birdies here Stadium punishes poor approach + water danger favors Days profile +EV mispriced dog ✅ Patrick Cantlay (+100) over Ben Griffin Nicklaus Course Nicklaus is the lowest-scoring course in the rotation Cantlay leads this field in SG: Birdie-Fests Griffin solid but Cantlays ceiling floor mismatch Pure birdie race edge ✅ Sepp Straka (-110) over Sam Burns La Quinta Burns putting"
X Link 2026-01-22T02:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"⛳ Round [--] Card The AmEx ✅ Zach Johnson over Keith Mitchell (+150) This number feels off given historical scoring. Mitchell on NT: [--] (2025) [--] (2024) Johnson on NT: [--] (2025) [--] (2024) Nearly identical outcomes but Johnson is priced like a clear dog 📈 +150 is too wide for this matchup ✅ Robert MacIntyre over [----] (-125) Quietly a tougher ask than the number implies. Shot [--] on the Stadium Course in [----] Long par-4s + fewer wedge looks Line still shaded toward overall AmEx scoring instead of course-specific difficulty 📉 [----] is aggressive here 🐦 Birdies or Better History-Driven Unders These"
X Link 2026-01-23T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The Open Championship // Round [--] 3-Balls: Scottie Scheffler over Jordan Spieth and Cameron Young (-125 FanDuel) Rory McIlroy over Tyrrell Hatton and Max Homa (+100 FanDuel) Justin Rose over Francesco Molinari and Jasper Stubbs (+105 FanDuel) Matchups: Jon Rahm o Tyrrell Hatton (-115 FanDuel) Round Scores: Brooks Koepka Under [----] (-140 FanDuel) Will Zalatoris Under [----] (-120 FanDuel) Justin Rose Under [----] (-115 FanDuel) AI Write Up: Rory McIlroy stands out as a strong favorite in his matchup against Tyrrell Hatton and Max Homa due to his consistent performance and exceptional track record"
X Link 2024-07-18T01:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Open Championship Round [--] Recap // 4-2-1 3-Balls: ✅Scottie Scheffler over Jordan Spieth and Cameron Young (-125 FanDuel) ❌Rory McIlroy over Tyrrell Hatton and Max Homa (+100 FanDuel) ✅Justin Rose over Francesco Molinari and Jasper Stubbs (+105 FanDuel) Matchups: 🏳Jon Rahm o Tyrrell Hatton (-115 FanDuel) Round Scores: ✅Brooks Koepka Under [----] (-140 FanDuel) ❌Will Zalatoris Under [----] (-120 FanDuel) ✅Justin Rose Under [----] (-115 FanDuel) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1814017496342769745 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1814017496342769745"
X Link 2024-07-18T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"RBC Heritage // Round [--] Matchups: Justin Thomas o Conner Conners [----] Brian Harman o Byeong Hun An [----] Stephan Jaeger o Aaron Rai +125 Round Score: Tony Finau Over [----] +105 Xander Schauffele Under [----] [----] Robert MacIntyre Over [----] +105 Sahith Theegala Under [----] +105 RBC Heritage // Round [--] Matchups: Justin Rose o Maverick McNealy [----] Matt Kuchar o Sam Stevens [----] Will Zalatoris o Wyndham Clark +105 Tom Hoge o Russell Henley +135 Viktor Hovland o Scottie Scheffler +190 Round Score: Sahith Theegala Under [----] +115 Tony Finau Under [----] https://t.co/MoUNDMtaGO RBC Heritage // Round 1"
X Link 2025-04-18T02:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 St. Johns @ Butler 📍 Hinkle Fieldhouse 7:00 ET This line is wildly inflated relative to how these teams actually play. 📊 My Fair Market Spread: St. John's Red Storm [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: St. Johns [----] Butler Bulldogs +105 📉 Market check: Books are dealing SJU [----] and [-----] total that implies a pace + efficiency combo this matchup simply hasnt shown. 🔍 Why the Market Is Wrong Butler home games consistently suppress pace (Virginia Northwestern Villanova all dragged into grinders) St. Johns is the better team but not [--] points better on the road Butlers offense is structured not"
X Link 2026-01-06T22:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"⛳ [----] The American Express Top [--] Power Rankings [--] Scottie Scheffler Course history: T17 (2024) T11 (2023) Profile: elite APP + birdie/par5 backbone. Safest win equity in field. [--] Sepp Straka Course history: WIN (2025) Profile: the exact AmEx build (APP + scoring + comfort going 25). [--] Patrick Cantlay Course history: T5 (2025) T26 (2023) Profile: reliable tee-to-green + enough birdie gear to hang in a shootout. [--] Ben Griffin Course history: T7 (2025) T9 (2024) T32 (2023) Profile: consistent desert scorer; strong fit for Top 10/20 markets. [--] Jason Day Course history: T3 (2025) T34 (2024) T18"
X Link 2026-01-20T05:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🔥 BEST ROUND [--] STADIUM COURSE PROPS Pete Dye Toughest course in the rotation History-adjusted This is not a birdie-fest like La Quinta or Nicklaus. The Stadium Course plays [--] strokes harder rewards patience and punishes forced scoring. ✅ Davis Thompson O69.5 (+120) Historical SC rounds: [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] Over hits 67% Implied prob: 45.5% EV +21% 👉 Best score prop on the board ✅ Jason Day O69.5 (+110) SC scores: [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] [--] Over hits 60% Implied prob: 47.6% EV +12% ✅ Alex Noren U68.5 (+110) SC scores: [--] [--] Under hits 50% but birdie suppression + SC difficulty Implied prob: 47.6% EV"
X Link 2026-01-22T01:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 #24 Villanova Wildcats vs #11 Connecticut Huskies Big East Neutral-site (Hartford) 1) Fair Market Fair Spread: UConn [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: UConn [----] Villanova +235 Driver: Two slow half-court teams but UConns top-tier defensive efficiency interior rebounding and lineup continuity create a modest but real edge in a low-possession game. 2) Predicted Score (Median Outcome) UConn [--] Villanova [--] (65 possessions compressed scoring distribution) 3) Primary Game Scripts Script A UConn Controls Doesnt Run Away (Most Likely) Control: UConn dictates through half-court defense and"
X Link 2026-01-24T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Round [--] Matchups: 1-2-1 Round 3: Matt Wallace (-110 FD) vs. Jesper Svensson Antoine Rozner (-110 FD) vs. Brice Garnett Andrew Novak (-115 FD) vs. Patrick Rodgers Valero Texas Open // Round [--] Sam Ryder +115 FD vs. McNealy Jordan Spieth +105 FD vs. berg Brian Harman +120 DK vs. Si Woo Kim Sam Burns [----] DK vs. Fowler https://t.co/VJM6JSZ62e Valero Texas Open // Round [--] Sam Ryder +115 FD vs. McNealy Jordan Spieth +105 FD vs. berg Brian Harman +120 DK vs. Si Woo Kim Sam Burns [----] DK vs. Fowler https://t.co/VJM6JSZ62e"
X Link 2025-04-05T03:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏈 Military Bowl Pittsburgh Panthers vs East Carolina Pirates 📍 Annapolis MD 🌬 [--] mph wind ❄ 38F Fair Market Fair Spread: Pitt [----] Fair Total: [----] Fair Moneylines: Pitt [----] ECU +220 Driver: ECUs offense is structurally downgraded (QB + RB + TE + WR opt-outs) in cold/wind against a top-25 Pitt defense while Pitt has no incentive to press tempo once ahead. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Pittsburgh [--] East Carolina [--] Primary Game Scripts Script A Pitt Controls Game Stalls (Most Likely) Control: Pitt defense + field position. Flow: Short fields long Pitt drives ECU moves the ball but"
X Link 2025-12-27T01:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🏀 Pitt @ Miami Game Preview & Betting Card 📍 Coral Gables FL Watsco Center 🕖 7:00 ET 📊 Fair Market (My Numbers) Spread: Miami Hurricanes [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: Miami [----] Pittsburgh Panthers +290 Market check: Miami [----] [-----] ➡ Spread & full-game total are priced efficiently. No edge there. 🔮 Predicted Score Miami [--] Pittsburgh [--] (Total: 145) 🧠 Game Script Snapshot Pitt plays at a bottom-5 national pace which suppresses their scoring. Miami scores at the rim + FT line not pace- or 3PT-dependent. Result: classic win-not-cover favorite profile but Miami still gets to the high 70s."
X Link 2025-12-30T20:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 Virginia Cavaliers @ SMU Mustangs 📍 Saturday Noon ET Dallas TX (Moody Coliseum) Fair Market Fair Spread: Virginia [----] Fair Total: [-----] Fair Moneylines: Virginia [----] SMU +120 Driver: Two top-20 efficiency offenses collide but Virginias elite shot suppression and rim protection cap SMUs ceiling; pace settles in the high-60s possessions rather than a true track meet. Predicted Score (Median Outcome) Virginia [--] SMU [--] (156 total) Primary Game Scripts Script A: Virginia Control Half-Court Efficiency (45%) Who controls: Virginia via defensive shot quality control (elite eFG% block rate) and"
X Link 2026-01-17T14:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨 UNC vs Ohio State Neutral Court Preview (Atlanta) 🚨 📍 State Farm Arena 🏀 Non-Con showdown 3:00 ET 🔍 Market Check Line: UNC [----] Total: [-----] ML: UNC [----] OSU +136 This number is inflated especially on the total. 📊 My Fair Odds Spread: UNC [----] Total: [-----] Moneyline: UNC [----] Ohio State +105 Books are baking in a UNC separation that the matchup doesnt really support. 🔢 Predicted Score UNC [--] Ohio State [--] ➡ Total: [---] ✅ Best Bet (EV 10%) 💰 Under [-----] (-110) Neutral court = slower starts UNCs defensive efficiency + rim protection travels OSU scores well inside but doesnt push tempo"
X Link 2025-12-20T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
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