#  @GabrielEpsteinX Gabriel Epstein Gabriel Epstein posts on X about gaza, hamas, israel, list the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::855291829750607872/interactions)  - [--] Week [-------] +1,630% - [--] Month [-------] +22% - [--] Months [---------] +71% - [--] Year [---------] +304,826% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::855291829750607872/posts_active)  - [--] Months [---] +37% - [--] Year [---] +19,000% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::855291829750607872/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +25% - [--] Month [-----] +36% - [--] Months [-----] +118% - [--] Year [-----] +1,394% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::855291829750607872/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [countries](/list/countries) [finance](/list/finance) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) **Social topic influence** [gaza](/topic/gaza), [hamas](/topic/hamas), [israel](/topic/israel), [list](/topic/list), [moh](/topic/moh), [health](/topic/health) #4216, [in the](/topic/in-the), [data](/topic/data), [food](/topic/food), [to the](/topic/to-the) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@washinstitute](/creator/undefined) [@axios](/creator/undefined) [@ghfupdates](/creator/undefined) [@persimmon_1](/creator/undefined) [@tednonumbers](/creator/undefined) [@un](/creator/undefined) [@samaritanspurse](/creator/undefined) [@hairycanary50](/creator/undefined) [@darthpenquin](/creator/undefined) [@unocha](/creator/undefined) [@fabhinz](/creator/undefined) [@talhagin](/creator/undefined) [@shayan86](/creator/undefined) [@taniahary](/creator/undefined) [@potus](/creator/undefined) [@blooplup](/creator/undefined) [@samialnuweirivideo7544477583249902866](/creator/undefined) [@samialnuweirivideo7537046944493899015](/creator/undefined) [@magdeabumuaileq95video7519483284552830215](/creator/undefined) [@marcacaputo](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "My latest @WashInstitute piece analyzing the UN's shift in how it relays Gaza fatality data ending months of contradiction w/ Gaza MOH data but leaving significant concerns. My previous reports for more: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/gaza-fatality-data-has-become-completely-unreliable https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/how-hamas-manipulates-gaza-fatality-numbers-examining-male-undercount-and-other https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/untangling-uns-gaza-fatality-data Recently @UNOCHA altered the #Gaza death toll it relays from #Palestinian" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1791558125922771223) 2024-05-17T19:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Four days into the growing Israel-Iran conflict Israel has sustained painful but limited damage from [--] Iranian barrages totaling at least [---] ballistic missiles which killed [--] Israelis and wounded nearly [---]. The state of play: 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1934703304451477956) 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Iran unable to inflict strategic or precise damage to Israel with its somewhat inaccurate surface-to-surface missiles is trying to cause mass civilian harm via repeated major barrages. Israels goal is to limit that threat with both offensive and defensive action" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1934703306246664635) 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Iran knocked off-kilter by Israels initial strikes did not launch its first missile barrages until [--] hours later and the estimated [---] missiles launched in two salvos were less than in April (150) or October (200) 2024" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1934703307655655502) 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Iranian missiles which have killed [--] Israelis since Friday night and injured nearly [---] are extremely dangerous. The toll from Iran's barrages will almost certainly exceed that of Hezbollahs attacks from the last [--] months (46) within days" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1934703309077753916) 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The sight of collapsed buildings or destroyed homes in cities like Petah Tikva Bat Yam Rehovot Tamra and Ramat Gan is shocking. Roughly [----] Israelis have had their homes destroyed and the Israel Tax Authority has already received almost [-----] claims for property damage" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1934703310721962115) 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Several factors however have combined to limit Israeli casualties. Early warning provided by Israeli presence in Iranian skies and American radar systems have allowed the IDF to issue warnings as missiles are prepped for launch giving Israelis almost a half hour to prepare" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1934703314324611265) 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "On day [--] of the conflict between Israel and Iran where things stand in Israel: [--] Israelis all civilians have been killed and at least [---] injured (over 90% lightly) by Iranian missiles. [--] are Arab Israelis and [--] are Ukrainian nationals each from the same families" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935002570931699850) 2025-06-17T15:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The size of Iranian barrages has decreased in part due to Israeli destruction of an estimated [---] missile launchers and many missiles. @fab_hinz has written excellent analysis of Iran's missile strategy and its limitations here: https://x.com/fab_hinz/status/1935379300733112438 Day 6: 23/24 of those killed in Israel by Iranian missiles all civilians have been identified. They include [--] children [--] elderly (65+) [--] women (18-64) and [--] men (18-64) above the age of [--]. Four are Arab-Israelis and five are Ukrainian nationals each from the same family. https://t.co/WZnxu4U6F5" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935387067938193573) 2025-06-18T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "With many Iranian missile sites in western Iran destroyed launch sites are being pushed further east possibly putting Israel out of range of some Iranian missiles (see the chart from Fabian's INSS piece). For reference the Tehran area is 1500-1600 km from Tel Aviv" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935387069939143036) 2025-06-18T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Most of Iran's more far-reaching medium-range ballistic missiles (Ghadr Emad Khorramshahr) use liquid propellant and must be fueled before launch. That expands the window of vulnerability for Israeli drones and jets hunting missile launchers to strike" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935387073575534807) 2025-06-18T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Propaganda failure: Iran's state news agency Fars claims that Soroka Hospital was not hit by a missile. Rather they say Iran fired missiles at [--] Israeli intel buildings in Tel Aviv and the shockwave hit the hospital (see left). This claim lacks any credibility to say the least" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1935586707207811152) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [----] followers, 15.8K engagements "Problem 1: Soroka is in Be'ersheva (see right) not Tel Aviv. Yet Fars claims that the IRGC was targeting bases in Tel Aviv (translation of screenshot from prior post). Not an easy mistake to make given the cities are 110km from each other. Nor is Soroka a military hospital" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935586709057544688) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Problem 2: Some of the streets labeled around Soroka in this map don't exist in Be'ersheva. Rager Boulevard is real (the unmarked road to the left of the hospital) but there is no Eli Cohen Boulevard. Nor does the shape of the alleged Soroka compound match" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935586710777114757) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The only Cohen Street in Be'ersheva belongs to Leonard much further south" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935586712933073228) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Problem 3: The Gav Yam Tech Park is not immediately north of Soroka as the Fars map claims but [---] km northeast very different from what is marked on the map" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935586714820452454) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Problem 4: Perhaps most importantly Soroka can clearly be seen to suffer a direct hit in multiple geolocated videos and photos (just look at the sign on front of the smoke cloud). Soroka was hit straight-on not just affected by a shockwave. https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935571577376002164 https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935571577376002164" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935586716925980781) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "See the original Fars post here: Fars has [---] million followers on this one disinfo-riddled Telegram channel alone. There are disinformation analysts fighting the good fight and two of many who deserve a follow and readership are @talhagin & @Shayan86. https://t.me/farsna/377983 https://t.me/farsna/377983" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1935586718872133917) 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Day 8: After a woman died of a heart attack during an Iranian missile barrage today the death toll in Israel has risen to [--]. Those identified include [--] elderly (65+) [--] children [--] women (18-64) and [--] men over [--]. Over [----] Israelis have been injured mostly lightly" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1936130341376242046) 2025-06-20T18:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "As of Thursday morning [-----] property damage claims have been received by the Israel Tax Authority (81% for building damage). More than [----] Israelis have been evacuated due to damage to their homes and dozens of buildings are slated for demolition across multiple cities" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1936130344001958182) 2025-06-20T18:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Soroka Hospital has closed to new patients after suffering a direct hit from an Iranian missile yesterday and is now transferring patients to different hospitals or sending them home early. At least [--] people were injured in the attack. https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-iran-strike-soroka-hospital-closes-to-new-patients-clears-out-wards/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-iran-strike-soroka-hospital-closes-to-new-patients-clears-out-wards/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1936130345692254218) 2025-06-20T18:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A key criteria for the list is completeness. As with the last few lists the June list is almost entirely complete. 99.96% of entries have complete information and valid ID numbers" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1937568993545495001) 2025-06-24T17:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "As I have noted before however completeness is only one metric validity and accuracy are key and cannot be verified from the lists alone. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric. Validity (whether or not someone's DOB/age/sex/ID data is correct) and accuracy (whether or not they belong on the list -- meaning their death was violent and due directly to the war) are key and harder to assess. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric." [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1937568996464931288) 2025-06-24T17:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The GHF operates four distribution sites three in southern Gaza (Tel al-Sultan Saudi neighborhood and Khan Younis) and one in central Gaza (Wadi Gaza). Tel al-Sultan has been closed since mid-June and Wadi Gaza is the smallest of the others" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720299494584701) 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "As of July [--] the GHF says it has distributed some [--] million meals mostly in 1.2m boxes (or [----] trucks [---] boxes/truck) containing pasta lentils rice and flour as well as tahini sugar cooking oil and canned vegetables. Each box is supposed to provide [----] meals" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720302036254988) 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The GHF itself has also come under attack. Twelve of its staffers were killed and many others injured by Hamas Arrow unit its employees are regularly threatened and have had bounties placed on them and two U.S. contractors were injured in a grenade attack on July 5" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720316288590067) 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Beyond condemning the sites as death traps Hamas has spread lies about rotting products trap pits and narcotics-laced flour in GHF aid. There are many valid criticisms of the GHF but much of Hamas opposition comes from a desire to maintain its own lucrative grip on aid" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720317408387365) 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The pilot programs to provide fresh food and direct community distribution have promise and should be scaled up as quickly as possible. These are also areas for cooperation with other humanitarian actors who should work to partner with and improve rather than reject the GHF" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720319727935913) 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "A registration system for aid despite privacy concerns would meter aid distribution and improve security by reducing crowding prevent exploitation of the mechanism and allow for specific pickup times for women and other vulnerable populations. Predictability can build trust" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720948332421530) 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The IDF can help by pausing non-essential operations in GHF areas before and during operational hours and relaying instructions to Gazans via loudspeaker. Most important though is stricter fire policies and sharply enforcing regulations actions not words matter here" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720949787820211) 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Contrary to popular belief though the U.N. aid mechanism is still operating in Gaza and has continuously since May [--]. This mechanism facilitates aid from donor states U.N. agencies and other humanitarian organizations. It is also struggling but for different reasons" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720951163625640) 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Violent incidents are also an issue for non-GHF aid with many injured and killed in these chaotic environments. The chaos is a function of scarcity and the lack of law and order with Gazans caught between a depleted Hamas and an IDF which does not want to manage civil affairs" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720955089395770) 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "There are logistical issueslimited access to crossings to pick up delivered aid little/inaccessible diesel and coordination with COGATthat need to be addressed. Israel has approved an increase in aid in agreement with the EU which will help. https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-eu-agree-to-boost-gaza-aid-more-trucks-more-crossings-and-more-routes/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-eu-agree-to-boost-gaza-aid-more-trucks-more-crossings-and-more-routes/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720956616130639) 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "But increased aid is meaningless unless delivered to Gazans. Beyond allowing more aid in Israel should provide consistent times for aid organizations to pick up aid at the crossings and facilitate their access to the 1.9m liters of diesel in Gaza. https://www.logcluster.org/en/document/palestine-logistics-cluster-meeting-minutes-gaza-24-june-2025 https://www.logcluster.org/en/document/palestine-logistics-cluster-meeting-minutes-gaza-24-june-2025" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1943720958105198597) 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "COGAT also advertised their facilitation of aid deliveries under the U.N. aid mechanism including some aid products (e.g. preserved meats chicken) not available through the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF) pipeline. https://x.com/cogatonline/status/1944819979398078737 Over the past two weeks in addition to food boxes delivered to distribution centers directly to the population by @GHFUpdates more than [----] tons of flour for bakeries and over [----] tons of food for community kitchens including legumes pasta hummus preserved meat and https://t.co/hFwU88AFO3" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1944833251861815467) 2025-07-14T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "While most U.N. aid is still going through the Kerem Shalom crossing in the tri-border Egypt-Israel-Gaza area since the cabinet vote on July [--] to expand aid to northern Gaza some has gone through the northern Erez West crossing (COGAT data is only until July 9)" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1944833253564727304) 2025-07-14T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "As with all MOH lists the July list does not distinguish between civilians and combatants and attributes all listed deaths uniformly to Israeli action. Nor does it include the dates of death (none of the lists have) or collection methodology (which most iterations have)" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1945593130851435001) 2025-07-16T21:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The new list contains [-----] reported deaths 99.96% of which have complete information. See my previous analysis for more on why completeness is only one of several relevant metrics including validity and accuracy to use when assessing the MOH list. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric. Validity (whether or not someone's DOB/age/sex/ID data is correct) and accuracy (whether or not they belong on the list -- meaning their death was violent and due directly to the war) are key and harder to assess." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1945593132441067982) 2025-07-16T21:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Despite a months-long effort by the Hamas-run Government Media Office (GMO) to quietly bring its death toll claims in line with the Gaza Ministry of Healths (MOH -- also Hamas-run) by freezing its claims for women and children killed large discrepancies remain. 🧵:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1947382655655248104) 2025-07-21T19:46Z [----] followers, 32.3K engagements "First brief background on the GMO: before the war it was a minor office mostly handling media affairs. Over the course of the war however it became a conduit for aggregated statistical claims from Hamas govt ministries including many propaganda claims" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1947382658088251811) 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This includes death toll claims. I have written many times about the gap between the MOH and GMO wherein the latter has pushed false casualty claims irreconcilable with MOH data ever since November [----] (more links at the end of the thread): https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/untangling-uns-gaza-fatality-data https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/untangling-uns-gaza-fatality-data" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1947382660755529966) 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "But as media reports were systematically transferred to the family reports and hospital/morgue reports methodologies (see Appendix II of this report) even this became untenable. Once MOH lists fully matched their claims GMO claims were plainly false. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/assessing-gaza-death-toll-after-eighteen-months-war https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/assessing-gaza-death-toll-after-eighteen-months-war" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1947382673707819025) 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "To reconcile this the GMO took an unusual approach to avoid retracting its claims. It began listing MOH data as a sub-component of its higher claims and effectively froze its claims about the number of women and children killed waiting for the rising death toll to catch up" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1947382676664529086) 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Some further takeaways from this thread: 1) For the first time MOH data show a narrow majority (50.24%) of those killed in Gaza are adult men. When citing the MOH journalists will need to modify the common "mostly women and children" characterization of the death toll. Yesterday (7/15) the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry (MOH) released its 11th list of the dead (via Telegram and WhatsApp) since the Israel-Hamas war began containing [-----] entries and covering up to July [--]. An analysis🧵: https://t.co/rFZPtjRR8f Yesterday (7/15) the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry (MOH) released its 11th list of" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1947897590202216618) 2025-07-23T05:52Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements "Of the roughly [-----] tons of aid that the U.N. mechanism attempted to deliver 82.7% was intercepted (looted). In other words the U.N. mechanism has only successfully delivered 12% of its aid since May [--]. Only 8.6% of food has made it through vs. 80% of medicine" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1948418730981040486) 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Under conditions of severe scarcity looting is a guarantee and makes future deliveries harder. Gazan drivers struck in early June after several colleagues were killed by gunmen hijacking a convoy and diesel shortages persist" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1948418733564657848) 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "There are also coordination challenges with COGAT for aid pickup though the majority of requests have been approved in July. https://www.ochaopt.org/content/reported-impact-snapshot-gaza-strip-23-july-2025 https://www.ochaopt.org/content/reported-impact-snapshot-gaza-strip-23-july-2025" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1948418735275934224) 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The binary options are effectively to allow aid to be mobbed and looted or to use violence to try and control the crowds the disastrous results of which have been seen repeatedly both on the routes to GHF sites and when U.N.-facilitated convoys are looted" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1948418740367818962) 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Increasing the flow of aid is one part of the picture as is increasing the predictability of aid. Israel can and should make consistent and broad aid pickup windows at both Kerem Shalom and Zikim and prioritize coordination requests to try and stabilize aid deliveries" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1948418742011977859) 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The IDF has repeatedly said that these measures (plus airdrops of aid) don't mean the end of fighting but this will restrict their operations to areas under their control and at least temporarily ends further advances into the rest of Gaza" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949334045826994489) 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The unanswered questions: Will convoys continue to be looted or can a combination of public outreach and falling prices change the dynamic Will Hamas view this as reason to dig in further or will mediators increase pressure on them to agree to a ceasefire Is that possible" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949334047034908826) 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Does Israel have other ways to create leverage or has the humanitarian crisis prevented them from further degrading Hamas' capabilities beyond their lines Is the new norm going to be consolidating its hold on most of Gaza until a ceasefire is reached" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949334048347677103) 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Stemming the humanitarian crisis is essential. But it is easy to see how Hamas can view this as a victory and decide it has more time on the clock prolong the suffering of Israeli hostages and Gazans alike. It is on everyone else to avoid that outcome" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949334049383698528) 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Really interesting thread of distribution at what I assume is the GHF's SDS2 (Saudi neighborhood) site yesterday. Obviously this shows limited snippets of the distribution process and only from inside the compound. It is worth watching in full and listening to the commentary. My experience with @GHFUpdates in Rafah. A little thread. https://t.co/YVO6NpX6E8 My experience with @GHFUpdates in Rafah. A little thread. https://t.co/YVO6NpX6E8" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1949969282516881861) 2025-07-28T23:04Z [----] followers, 28.9K engagements "Distribution is a mad dash -- the fastest (some on motorcycles) get the most and best. But this is no worse (and possibly better) than the free-for-all looting on the U.N. aid trucks. Neither is ideal but the environment is more regulated at the GHF sites" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949969285876449512) 2025-07-28T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The use of smoke grenades and flashbangs as crowd control to clear the compound to then bring in women is new to me. The women's distribution also looked much more orderly. Are there lessons for the IDF on containing crowds on the approaches and while waiting for sites to open" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949969287164150176) 2025-07-28T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "But it's also important to remember that every aid mechanism is failing due to scarcity and looting. The incorrect decision to cut off aid in March ran down stocks in Gaza. Launching GHF in late May ensured it would be overcrowded and under-capacity because demand was so high" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1949969291605929989) 2025-07-28T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It's often reported including by Haaretz in a critical piece today that GHF aid boxes are supposed to provide [----] meals--enough for [---] people for [---] days. But since June [--] the math comes out to [------] meals/box. What changed in the box contents the accounting or both 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1950240352775930134) 2025-07-29T17:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Yesterday (8/4) the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry (MOH) released its 12th list of the dead (via Telegram and WhatsApp) since the Israel-Hamas war began containing [-----] entries and covering up to July [--]. Longer analysis of data quality and demographics 🧵:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1952722106908549365) 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, 100.4K engagements "Like all published MOH lists the July list does not distinguish between civilians and combatants and attributes all listed deaths uniformly to Israeli action. Nor does it include the dates of death (none of the lists have) or collection methodology (which most iterations have)" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1952722109551026256) 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The new list contains [-----] reported deaths 99.96% of which have complete information. See my previous analysis for more on why completeness is only one of several relevant metrics including validity and accuracy to use when assessing the MOH list. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric. Validity (whether or not someone's DOB/age/sex/ID data is correct) and accuracy (whether or not they belong on the list -- meaning their death was violent and due directly to the war) are key and harder to assess." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1952722111149093350) 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is particularly pronounced among men 18-45 who are [----] times more likely to have died than women of that same age range. Men 18-45 likely make up the overwhelming majority of combatants alongside some proportion of older teenage boys and older men" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1952722118522671318) 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Adult men have made up a narrow majority of the listed casualties since the last iteration of the MOH list in mid-July (50.4%). However many press outlets continue to report the MOH as saying that the majority of those killed were women and children. https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-aid-un-ghf-567c5bffd5d7ae4cc54ea0816a159f8f https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-aid-un-ghf-567c5bffd5d7ae4cc54ea0816a159f8f" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1952722121534181604) 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, 14.3K engagements "See this comparison of the overall proportion of men 18-59 in the list (left) and the proportion of men in the deaths added July 15-31 (right). Men [--] and over--including the elderly--make up a narrow majority of 50.4% of overall reported deaths" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1952817033927901550) 2025-08-05T19:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "However this analysis uses the age bins from the MOH and is not easily mapped onto "fighting-age men". First most men 18-59 in Gaza like anywhere else are not combatants. Second non-negligible shares of older teenage boys (15-17) and men over [--] are likely combatants" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1952817036091867605) 2025-08-05T19:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Aid flows if sustained can even push prices below pre-war prices as seen in WFP market data from the end of February. After six weeks in which 338000+ tons of food entered the Strip the prices of rice and soap were below pre-war levels" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1953529771180065138) 2025-08-07T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "While these price decreases reflect greater supply they do not yet mean the crisis is receding. First prices remain out of reach for most Gazans and the fee to convert virtual currency to physical shekels has risen to 52% meaning goods are far more expensive than they look" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1953529772408996045) 2025-08-07T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "While over 89% of food aid collected for delivery through the U.N. mechanism has been looted since May [--] a majority of nutritional aid and nearly all medical aid has arrived successfully (though a lower share has been collected from the crossings). Why the higher success rate" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1953875809724239952) 2025-08-08T17:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Here the most recent daily report from GHF (Aug 10). The total numbers of meals/boxes delivered today don't match the sum of the columns but by adding up each site the [---] boxes/truck and [-----] meals/box ratios match. https://ghf.org/ghf-operational-update-sunday-august-10-2025/ https://ghf.org/ghf-operational-update-sunday-august-10-2025/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1954583933233864777) 2025-08-10T16:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Was the [----] meals/box ratio reported between Jun [--] and Aug [--] an accounting error If so the total claimed figure for meals distributed should be reduced to match the [-----] meals/box figure. Based on [-------] boxes that leads to a slightly lower claim of [---------] meals" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1954583936790905097) 2025-08-10T16:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Mana produces a range of nutritional supplements (RUSF RUTF and products to prevent malnutrition) utilizing a blend of peanuts milk and multivitamins. The products are similar to the more well-known Plumpy nutritional supplement line produced by the French Nutriset" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355951953056020) 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Mana RUSF are intended for once-a-day consumption in conjunction with other food and have a high protein fat fiber and vitamin content. Since August [--] GHF has distributed [-----] packets so far all at the south Gaza sites (SDS [--] and 3)" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355954674905567) 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "UNICEF and other aid organizations have been able to deliver [---] tons of nutritional aid since May [--] with another [--] tons looted. GHF can be an important complement to this and should look to expand both fresh food and RUSF distribution to all sites consistently" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355964044947690) 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "With the war set to continue and looting rampant any aid distribution fix needs to be explored to ensure the most vulnerable are fed properly. Continued innovation from the GHF U.N. agencies and other humanitarian organizations as well as Israeli facilitation are essential" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355966205284657) 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Update: The al-Mughasib clan rescinded their earlier decision citing discussions with security teams and seems to say they provided security for a World Central Kitchen convoy this morning. They will resume guarding trucks from the Kissufim area to warehouses in Deir al-Balah. The al-Mughasib clan which has been "securing" humanitarian/commercial trucks from the Kissufim area to Deir al-Balah warehouses announced it will cease doing so. This comes after the IDF announced it had killed several militants (unclear affiliation) using a WCK vehicle there. The al-Mughasib clan which has been" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955654743159971927) 2025-08-13T15:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Since May [--] 87% of all U.N.-facilitated aid has been looted both by crowds and organized gangs. Looted aid is resold at high prices preventing the most vulnerable from accessing it and central kitchens and bakeries from operating. This is less aid than funding profiteers" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955691841849794631) 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "While looting has brought prices down substantially from their peak in mid-July and many goods are now cheaper than they were in mid-May food and goods remain very expensive. Those without connections to Hamas clans or outside funds are in an ever-worse position" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955691844714557760) 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Why have prices stagnated as aid keeps rolling in Supply is one thing but future expectations matter too. If an invasion of Gaza city and intensification of the war looms merchants are incentivized to hold onto their stocks now to maximize profit later when aid is disrupted" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955691847541571586) 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Aid in Gaza is a vehicle for external politics a vector of war profiteering and local power struggles and a practical and philosophical dilemma for humanitarian organizations. But trapped in the middle are a massive number of innocent Gazans and [--] innocent Israeli hostages" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955691859998654959) 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "For their sake humanitarian agencies need find ways to successfully deliver aid Israel needs to facilitate it even more and Hamas needs to care more about Gazans than a futile and self-destructive war against Israel. At least the first two are possible" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955691861210743030) 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "GHF had already introduced women-only distributions to deal with this and has concentrated distribution of nutritional supplements for children there. These smaller distributions appear to be much calmer than the main free-for-all distribution. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355942507385102 GHF's distribution of RUSF nutritional supplements which are intended for children [--] months-5 years old with moderate acute malnutrition (MAM) is a welcome development that should be expanded to all sites. A few more details: 🧵 https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355942507385102 GHF's" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1957478521611456996) 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Now a 350-person trial was launched yesterday at SDS2 (Saudi neighborhood) to test a registration system. Participants are given an ID card and can create an online profile and boxes are set aside for them on days they are scheduled to pick up. https://ghf.org/announcing-new-pilot-for-families-to-reserve-aid-parcels/ https://ghf.org/announcing-new-pilot-for-families-to-reserve-aid-parcels/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1957478523582509327) 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "But as long as the free-for-all main distribution continues alongside a registration system organized groups can still profit by taking aid each day and there is no way to ensure Hamas or other militant groups are not taking aid directly. Lack of trust may also limit sign-ups" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1957478529005744192) 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "There are logistical questions too. Will this be run in a similar way to the women-only distributions with the compound cleared after the main distribution Will participants be staggered by times to limit queueing times Will men and women be in separate lines" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1957478530247258378) 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The U.N. [----] mechanism tracks coordinates and facilitates aid from WFP WHO UNICEF the Red Cross World Central Kitchen and other large aid providers from manifesting to offloading collection and attempted delivery. More here: https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1957812717701443756 This is too harsh. The U.N. dashboard -- which is to be clear an incomplete picture -- does contain a disclaimer that it only reflects aid transferred via the [----] mechanism. Moreover it provides much greater detail about this aid channel. Short 🧵on [----] and aid metrics:" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1958193075898986992) 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "However the mechanism has been plagued by looting with 89% of all aid looted by gangs or crowds. Combined with insufficient collection of aid at border crossings less than 10% of aid has been effectively delivered in the past [--] months (and much less when looking only at food)" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1958193077631307805) 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "GHF continues to face capacity issues and violent incidents on the routes to sites continue at a lower level. A U.S. initiative to quadruple the number of GHF sites and inject major funding remains unclear while an invasion of Gaza City could prevent expansion of the program" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1958193089387933876) 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "GHF aid is not looted in transit since the trucks only move through IDF-controlled areas. But firsthand accounts report a major market in GHF aid sometimes right outside the compound and the main distribution remains a free-for-all. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1956113181492875652 Worth reading carefully. Calls for more GHF sites and a registration system are correct and security challenges are depicted clearly and carefully. GHF has major fixes to make during its anticipated expansion and the IDF should recalibrate its approach. https://t.co/fdimEPlTTL" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1958193090725917012) 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "As of August [--] [----] pallets of food aid have been airdropped into Gaza by [--] countries mostly Arab and EU states. Assuming [----] tons/pallet this is 2.1% of food aid (looted or actually delivered) via the U.N. channel or 3-4% of GHF aid" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1958193096950190518) 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The +972/Guardian articles alleging that the IDFs internal data indicates it has killed fewer than [----] militants in Gaza misconstrues the available data improperly combines IDF and Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry figures and fails to ask key questions. Very long thread 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958647781058384353) 2025-08-21T21:49Z [----] followers, 84.3K engagements "More on this: a Hamas source told Reuters in Feb [----] that the group alone had lost [----] fighters. This can't be reconciled with +972's claim that Hamas/PIJ combined lost only [----] fighters by Dec [----]. Without trusting either claim they don't line up. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-six-week-drive-hit-hamas-rafah-scale-back-war-2024-02-19/ Finally relying on secondhand information about Hamas and PIJs losses which they have never publicly disclosed beyond a handful of leadership figures is poor practice. These are not trustworthy groups particularly on this subject and this" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958750144402268360) 2025-08-22T04:36Z [----] followers, 24.8K engagements "Among the [--] people the Arrow unit executed yesterday: - A Palestinian Authority intelligence officer - A truck driver - An aid worker All were accused of giving information to Israel. It's notable that Hamas publicized killing a PA official in the current state of affairs. Hamas' Arrow Unit announces it will execute four collaborators tomorrow one of whom is a woman. Arrow has previously announced the executions of [--] other Gazans since May accusing them of being collaborators with Israel or thieves and beaten or mutilated many others. https://t.co/UeMj3tnSqt Hamas' Arrow Unit announces it" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1959652065778524672) 2025-08-24T16:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The U.N.s Gaza aid channel is plagued by near-ubiquitous looting of food aid. But UNICEF has successfully delivered [---] tons of food in the last two weeks while WFP and WCK have delivered none. The apparent key to UNICEFs success Hiring security. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960311230175834379) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, 61.2K engagements "Non-food aid gets through at much higher rates than food but even there UNICEF is particularly successful. Since the start of August 82.1% of UNICEF aid has arrived successfully at a higher rate than the Red Cross (11% successful) and volume than any aid org except WFP/WCK" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960311232138805740) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WFPs explicit policy is for drivers to stop and allow looting once it becomes risky to maneuver. It has also rejected security coordination with the IDF and has not hired private security. The result: 99.6% of WFP food aid looted post-July [--]. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1953875824580460828 This is distinct from food trucks where WFP (which carries the vast majority of food aid) has made a decision not to attempt to prevent looting. Drivers are supposed to stop when encountering crowds and the convoys are unsecured. https://t.co/lpTTdVXPHt https://t.co/7u69dPU6I4" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960311237184557095) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements "UNICEF by contrast appears to have worked with at least one private security company and one clan in Gaza to protect their convoys. Comparing claims from these groups to the U.N. dashboard shows that at least three successfully delivered UNICEF shipments were escorted" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960311240779001974) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "On the night of August 3/4 the al-Aqsa Transport Company announced it had insured a UNICEF shipment and screenshot from an accompanying video (0:17 in) clearly shows UNICEF aid on the trucks. UNICEF reported a successful delivery of [--] trucks. https://www.facebook.com/permalink.phpstory_fbid=pfbid0pFNX9CJD3DNmzr3QM2on2VvLqVLjThp42kFJr5nLurvaZb3xJKibn73NVpxDpBEul&id=61575629881614 https://www.facebook.com/permalink.phpstory_fbid=pfbid0pFNX9CJD3DNmzr3QM2on2VvLqVLjThp42kFJr5nLurvaZb3xJKibn73NVpxDpBEul&id=61575629881614" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960311242322518242) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "UNICEF has not referred to this cooperation publicly and it isnt clear how much they are paying for protection. What is clear is that its led to successful deliveries. The convoys drive fast escorted by vehicles from the insurance and the guards are heavily armed" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960311252430836104) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This appears distinct from militants using aid vehicles as cover like the fake WCK-marked truck Israel struck recently. The private security companies generally use vehicles marked with their own logo and promote themselves heavily on social media. https://x.com/IDF/status/1955301132235931892 Armed Terrorists Operated Undercover in WCK Vehicle: Five armed terrorists were eliminated in Deir al-Balah while near a vehicle marked with the World Central Kitchen emblem. The terrorists wore yellow vests in an attempt to conceal their activity and avoid being targeted. https://t.co/bXgHqumFx6" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960311253835915535) 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The breakdown of law and order in Gaza cannot be fixed quickly or easily and relying on an elusive ceasefire negotiations to save the day is a mistake. Faced with the options of failing to deliver aid through old ways or taking new risks even U.N. agencies appear to be divided" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960311270302789708) 2025-08-26T12:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "See here for more discussion of UNICEF specifically: https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960785622224003214 @taniahary Thanks for these points. A few thoughts: UNICEF moves both food and non-food aid. This months its delivered [-----] tons of food aid (L) out of [----] total. And non-food aid is also targeted UNICEF saw [-----] tons of WASH & nutrition aid intercepted (R) this month. https://t.co/6Kw29bWbFG https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960785622224003214 @taniahary Thanks for these points. A few thoughts: UNICEF moves both food and non-food aid. This months its delivered [-----] tons of" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960786074453877186) 2025-08-27T19:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "More GHF centers are key -- but the plan floated by U.S. officials in the media was an expansion to [--] sites. While that seems beyond GHF's current capabilities is two new sites the extent of the planned expansion" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961054368867709368) 2025-08-28T13:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Beyond that the Saudi neighborhood/Khan Younis sites (SDS2/3) already serve the south. These consistently distribute more food than the Netzarim site (SDS 4) and most GHF trial programs occur there. Sites in central or northern Gaza would reach more of the unserved population" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961054370243424410) 2025-08-28T13:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Beyond the three examples of UNICEF trucks being "insured" by private security companies or clans in this thread another very clear example I missed posted by the al-Mughasib clan on August 14: The U.N.s Gaza aid channel is plagued by near-ubiquitous looting of food aid. But UNICEF has successfully delivered [---] tons of food in the last two weeks while WFP and WCK have delivered none. The apparent key to UNICEFs success Hiring security. 🧵 https://t.co/i0JXlywt8x The U.N.s Gaza aid channel is plagued by near-ubiquitous looting of food aid. But UNICEF has successfully delivered [---] tons of" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961166146268463160) 2025-08-28T20:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Another example of UNICEF aid being "insured" by the al-Mughasib clan: https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961166146268463160 Beyond the three examples of UNICEF trucks being "insured" by private security companies or clans in this thread another very clear example I missed posted by the al-Mughasib clan on August 14: https://t.co/IiNICjkaBw https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961166146268463160 Beyond the three examples of UNICEF trucks being "insured" by private security companies or clans in this thread another very clear example I missed posted by the al-Mughasib clan on August 14:" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961166311045652966) 2025-08-28T20:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "For those wondering this is not U.N. aid. It is a warehouse controlled by the Egyptian Committee (ERC) which operates outside the U.N. [----] system and moves/distributes aid on its own. This is one of three major state-led Gaza aid efforts Egyptian Emirati and Jordanian. 🧵 This is an overstocked warehouse of aid in Deir al-Balah. Aid enters Gaza continuously and the warehouses are full. There is no limit on the amount of aid trucks that can enter Gaza. https://t.co/dh9CbrF7cE This is an overstocked warehouse of aid in Deir al-Balah. Aid enters Gaza continuously and the warehouses are full." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1961471069694411115) 2025-08-29T16:48Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements "@TedNoNumbers It wouldnt be logical to have aid classified one way in some cases and another way in others classifications are only useful if stable and theres no reason an organization would switch them. Other groups like WCK have also moved both food and nutrition aid" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961534609910632615) 2025-08-29T21:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@TedNoNumbers Theres no shared definition of what items count as nutrition vs. food between U.N. agencies so far as I know and the [----] mechanism has no unique information on it. There is no way to know exactly what is in each shipment via the U.N. dashboard other than broad classification" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961534751744971238) 2025-08-29T21:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "PA-Hamas conflict continues inside Gaza: On Saturday Hamas' Arrow Unit announced the execution of another PA intelligence officer Col. Ahmed Fares Abu Samra and one other person allegedly for the killing of a Hamas police officer in April during a clan-Hamas dispute" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1962347760054571015) 2025-09-01T02:52Z [----] followers, 13.6K engagements "That killing which was heavily reported and videos of which circulated widely at the time followed clashes between the Abu Samra clan and Hamas police after a young man from the clan was killed by police in disputed circumstances. https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-848468 https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-848468" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1962347762122461223) 2025-09-01T02:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Hamas-run Gaza MOH recently released two new infographics (one only in a small WhatsApp group on Aug [--] and the other publicly on Sep 4) which provide an updated breakdown of their fatality and injury claims (these for the first time since May 2024). Documents at end of 🧵:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1963760816953676211) 2025-09-05T00:27Z [----] followers, 21K engagements "Not surprisingly clans moving their own aid are often armed. This video from the al-Tawil family posted September [--] shows heavily armed men guarding their aid allotment from Egyptactually Qatari aid. Ignore the UNICEF logoUNICEF IOM and EU tarps are sometimes reused" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965268866420072852) 2025-09-09T04:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Egyptian aid channel which says it is in the midst of distributing some [------] food parcels via the clans moves aid for other statesQatar and Indonesia among themas well as for many Egyptian aid organizations" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965268868945117280) 2025-09-09T04:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The al-Mughasib clan one of the most publicized groups "insuring" aid convoys in Gaza has launched a formal security company al-Shyaib Insurance. Their efforts have long been branded this way for some time now have a separate page and logo instead of the clan's youth page" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965433445993381981) 2025-09-09T15:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "GHF deliveries have largely stabilized in recent weeks and regularly distribute around [--] truckloads of boxed aid (575 metric tons) across three sites along with some amount of potatoes onions and RUSF. As of Sep [--] GHF had distributed an estimated [-----] tons of food" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965868499823374484) 2025-09-10T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "State-run aid efforts by Egypt the UAE and Jordan continue. Egypt recently launched a second major round of clan-based distribution of food parcels. Each state distributes food parcels supports communal kitchens and bakeries and maintains warehouses. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961471069694411115 For those wondering this is not U.N. aid. It is a warehouse controlled by the Egyptian Committee (ERC) which operates outside the U.N. [----] system and moves/distributes aid on its own. This is one of three major state-led Gaza aid efforts Egyptian Emirati and Jordanian. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965868501568205022) 2025-09-10T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Egypt has made heavy and public use of both clan-based and private security. Egypt also moves Indonesian Qatari and reportedly Saudi aid alongside many Egyptian NGOS. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961872083052355781 https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965268850762809569 The Egyptian Committee is at least in part relying on clans to secure their aid transports. See this video from the relatively small Abu Qinas family one of several posted in the last week. Some clan members are also wearing Egyptian committee vests. https://t.co/e1X91idah4" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965868504118370323) 2025-09-10T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A development in Gaza worth paying attention to: Hamas is aggressively pursuing and executing internal publicly and sparked a clash with large parts of the powerful Tarabin tribal federation after killing members of two sub-clans who led prominent aid insurance operations. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775127667576896) 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hamas Arrow (Sahm) and Rada units which are notorious for attacking or killing dissidents merchants accused of price-gouging and members of rival militias have killed dozens of Gazans in the last two weeks several of them in public executions and threatened many others" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775129336984056) 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Two killings however of Amin Abu Bakra (L) on Sep [--] and Mahmoud Abdullah Abu Mughasib (R) on Sep [--] are of particular note. Both the Bakra and Abu Mughasib clans are part of the large Tarabin tribal federation and both were involved in humanitarian aid insurance" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775131027329279) 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Bakra according to statements and video posted by the al-Bakra clan was a leading figure in securing Egyptian Committee aid and also liaised with U.N. agencies. The clan explicitly names Hamas Sahm unit as Amins killer. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1A7YchuEpt/ https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1A7YchuEpt/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775133740953773) 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "These were simply some of the more high-profile killings but Arrow and Rada have reported dozens more killings of collaborators over the past two weeks including public executions right in front of al-Shifa Hospital. Video is clipped for obvious reasons" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775155299667983) 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Hamas increasingly public and brutal efforts to attack alternate power centers in Gaza are both a reflection of the depth of the crisis the group is in as the IDF pushes further into Gaza City and the proliferation of anti-Hamas militias whether supported by Israel or not" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775157526913040) 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Previous large displays of force by clans have blown over either due to quiet diplomacy or an understanding that they cannot beat Hamas. Nor is the Tarabin federation a monolith and many tribes may be angry at the loss of one of their own but uninterested in fighting Hamas" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775159611396220) 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The internal dynamics in Gaza and growing conflict between Hamas militias and specific clans would be a worthwhile project for journalists. When researching casualties in Gaza this internecine conflict is also critical to track" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1972775161305977264) 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The new special unit welcomed the Trump Administration's proposal to end the war in Gaza and announced that it planned to work with the new transitional authority envisioned under the plan" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103845304615341) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This plus the Tarabin federation's demands for justice over Hamas murder of two of its prominent members puts it at odds with Hamas. Yet the Tarabin are not a monolith rather a wide collection of clans and families and this initiative may not represent everyone" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103847334695130) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Endorsement of the new special unit in Gaza came from several Tarabin-affiliated social media pages including the Martyr Salem Lafi Brigades" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103848601362775) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Salem Lafi Brigades are an armed group under the Union of Sinai Tribes set up in the mid-2010s to help the Egyptian government combat ISIS in the Sinai. https://jcpa.org/the-sinai-bedouin-accuse-hamas-collaborating-isis/ https://jcpa.org/the-sinai-bedouin-accuse-hamas-collaborating-isis/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103850283298864) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Yasser Abu Shabab Forces claim backing from the Tarabin not from Israel and the Tarabin accused Hamas of partnering with ISIS in the past. Conflicts over aid and smugglingprofit and influence vectorsare just parts of the broader power struggle. https://www.timesofisrael.com/head-of-anti-hamas-gaza-militia-says-its-backed-by-vast-tribal-network-not-by-israel/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/head-of-anti-hamas-gaza-militia-says-its-backed-by-vast-tribal-network-not-by-israel/" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103858734838126) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Israel while it seeks to empower alternate power centers in Gaza fears Tarabin-affiliated smuggling efforts from Egypt into both Gaza and Israel drugs arms and more. Only a fraction of this smuggling is intercepted with IDF forces spread thin. https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-868745 https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-868745" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103860248957233) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Whether Hamas accepts the U.S. peace plan or not local power struggles in Gaza are a key determinant of the Strips future. Understanding the complicated landscape is key for U.S. and Israeli policymakers" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1973103861821845692) 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "In the unlikely event Hamas gives up its heavy weaponry and infrastructure it still has other advantages against other armed actors: numbers and coordination. But with the IDF watching and an international force on the ground in Gaza it will be wary of weakening itself further" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974126550498095154) 2025-10-03T14:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "These disputes are better viewed as part of deepening chaos in Gaza as Hamas whose rule was always underpinned by a mixture of brutality violence and some social services provision becomes ever less able to exercise those levers of influence and intimidation" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974126552263823528) 2025-10-03T14:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Trump administration ultimatum that Hamas must accept the ceasefire deal on the table by [--] p.m. Eastern Time on Sunday. Pressure will be on Turkey and Qatar to deliver Hamas. Past ultimatums have come and gone -- is this one real https://t.co/XAn5KkGaZu https://t.co/XAn5KkGaZu" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974130594503377031) 2025-10-03T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "COGAT reports that some [------] tons of aid entered Gaza in from Sep 1-29 including [-----] tons of food. Nearly [-----] tons of this was through the U.N. [----] framework. The flotilla was likely transporting a few dozen tons of aid if that" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974172877156196548) 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The flotilla has uploaded photos and video of some of the aid carried on its boats viewable here. It is a mixture of food and medical supplies. https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1oeD1ECertQS9SOomqj2x7-yH0M0fnIGZusp=sharing https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1oeD1ECertQS9SOomqj2x7-yH0M0fnIGZusp=sharing" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1974172879270105177) 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, 17K engagements "It is clear the carrying capacity of most of the boats is quite small and competes on space with provisions for the crew/activists. This was somewhat alleviated by stopping in Tunisia to pick up aid but the total tonnage of aid is inherently sharply limited" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974172881752895756) 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "President Trump posted a more detailed map of IDF withdrawal lines (R) for hostage releases than the initial sketch included in the plan (L). Two big differences (in red): "Hill 70" in eastern Gaza City and IDF positions in Kaf el-Abadla in Khan Younis remain within IDF lines" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974580920536739915) 2025-10-04T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Trump announces Israel and Hamas have agreed to the initial phase of a ceasefire. The living hostages will come home in days the deceased hopefully in weeks or less" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1976058661547221482) 2025-10-08T22:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Hamas has many scores to settle in blood: with the al-Majayda family parts of the Tarabin tribal federation several anti-Hamas militias etc. Not to mention activists dissenters or PA elements. Without rollout of a transitional authority internecine violence will intensify. Violent clashes erupted in Gaza City's port after Hamas fighters attacked the Abu Warda family. Local reports indicate that three Hamas members and two members of the family were killed while dozens of displaced civilians were caught in the crossfire and injured. Violent clashes erupted in Gaza City's port after Hamas" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1976289509298905110) 2025-10-09T14:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Very easy to slip into a negative status quo after the hostage-prisoner exchange without clear actionable and funded transitional governance plan and heavy pressure on Hamas on verifiable disarmament. Hopefully this conference unifies countries behind the U.S. on both counts. 🚨Scoop: Trump plans leaders summit on Gaza during Egypt visit next week. My story on @axios https://t.co/7YRfFXH427 🚨Scoop: Trump plans leaders summit on Gaza during Egypt visit next week. My story on @axios https://t.co/7YRfFXH427" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1976695173263638559) 2025-10-10T17:03Z [----] followers, 18.2K engagements "Hamas "Shadow Unit" operatives like in previous hostage releases hold seized Israeli Tavor rifles (made by IWI). Yesterday Hamas' Arrow unit justified its attacks against the Dughmush clan in part by claiming they had found Israeli weapons in their houses. " " https://t.co/2aka5oUfyH " " https://t.co/2aka5oUfyH" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1977631379937726660) 2025-10-13T07:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Prices are plummeting in Gaza amid the ceasefire falling to 308% of pre-war prices in the south. Staples like rice sugar flour and oil are almost at pre-war prices and a price spike in north Gaza has been nearly erased with south-to-north access into Gaza City restored" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1977820311803547842) 2025-10-13T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "21 hostages now remain in Gaza: Last night the remains of Uriel Baruch Eitan Levy and Tamir Nimrodi were returned. A fourth body was found to be that of a Hamas operative. Thus far in the ceasefire [--] hostages have been returned -- [--] alive and [--] deceased. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: https://t.co/c3Phf0ULl4 https://t.co/G3yZlBBsfU [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: https://t.co/c3Phf0ULl4 https://t.co/G3yZlBBsfU" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1978344560095805742) 2025-10-15T06:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This threat means little coming from the U.S. Hamas knows the only military threat is from Israel and that it can't stop the IDF. The U.S. should let the implicit threat of Israel restarting the war speak for itself and focus on pressuring Qatar and Turkey for Hamas concessions. Trump: If Hamas continues to kill people in Gaza which was not the Deal we will have no choice but to go in and kill them. Thank you for your attention to this matter https://t.co/lNGzHBPuwo Trump: If Hamas continues to kill people in Gaza which was not the Deal we will have no choice but to go in and kill them. Thank" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1978883576327196948) 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Forcing an end to the war started a clock on solving the day after before Hamas retrenches itself. Losing other Arab states who don't want to send good money after bad is a waypoint to a new status quo which keeps Gaza misruled and unreconstructed. https://x.com/ZakenDanny91125/status/1978868026075152887 Scoopchik: Saudi Arabia Bahrain and the UAE issue a warning to @POTUS : if you do not enforce the agreement on Hamas and disarm it we are outno fundingnothing. The absence of their leaders from the Sharm summit was not accidental. They warn that Qatar will bring Hamas back" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1978883577619091578) 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The admin should not make the mistake of trusting its fellow mediators blindly. Qatar and Turkey have clearly defined interests involving Hamas and Gaza that don't line up with the U.S.' But to succeed the U.S. has to move fast and make real change not just bluster" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1978883581700153436) 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Another interesting detail: the two observable gunmen and the man speaking with the Red Cross staff all likely Hamas seem to be the only people masked in the entire crowd standing around and watching. Doubtful that it's for dust" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979299301617733674) 2025-10-17T21:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hamas' Arrow Unit announces it will execute four collaborators tomorrow one of whom is a woman. Arrow has previously announced the executions of [--] other Gazans since May accusing them of being collaborators with Israel or thieves and beaten or mutilated many others" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958962322044522544) 2025-08-22T18:39Z [----] followers, 12.9K engagements "Disputes over whether the Gaza-bound flotilla intercepted yesterday off the coast of Gaza carried humanitarian aid are a sideshow. The boats carried a pittance of aid that pales in comparison with aid flows already entering Gaza and distracts from more important issues. Short 🧵:" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1974172873762701320) 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is also a result of the U.S. seeming to prioritize the relationship with Qatar above other Gulf partners -- there is a challenging history in Qatar-Saudi-UAE relations and Qatar got wins (like a U.S. defense obligation) the Saudis have been seeking for years or longer" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1978883579523297370) 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Contrast the reaction from the first Trump admin to the Abqaiq attack in [----] to its reaction to Israel's strike on Qatar. Qatar effectively got more for less" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1978883580617990604) 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Another hostage's body will reportedly be returned tonight. Earlier al-Jazeera aired footage of an excavation in the Hamad City neighborhood in north Khan Younis -- it's not clear if these are remains Hamas already possessed or believes it recovered today" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979250809603842532) 2025-10-17T18:19Z [----] followers, 31.3K engagements "A photo from the Hamad City Facebook page that illustrates the strange situation: at bottom a bulldozer digging deep enough that it may be trying to unearth a tunnel; at top Red Cross staff monitor the search while a gunman (almost certainly plainclothes Hamas) monitors them. Another hostage's body will reportedly be returned tonight. Earlier al-Jazeera aired footage of an excavation in the Hamad City neighborhood in north Khan Younis -- it's not clear if these are remains Hamas already possessed or believes it recovered today. Another hostage's body will reportedly be returned tonight." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979252585241440626) 2025-10-17T18:26Z [----] followers, 40.1K engagements "Early in the war an estimated $180 million was looted from Gazan banks including some very high-profile heists. Hamas was unsurprisingly the top suspect. This was not the only cause of the cash crunch but it didn't help. https://www.alhaya.ps/ar/Article/162960/%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%B7%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%86%D9%82%D8%AF-180-%D9%85%D9%84%D9%8A%D9%88%D9%86-%D8%AF%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%86%D9%8F%D9%87%D8%A8%D8%AA-%D9%85%D9%86-%D8%AE%D8%B2%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D9%88%D9%83-%D8%AE%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%A8" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979304877563220105) 2025-10-17T21:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "How all these shekels are entering Gaza is a task for much smarter people. Virtual money is easy to understand -- INGO and NGO money transfers outside donations wires etc. But how is physical cash getting in Smuggling An informal arrangement with Israel and the banks" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979304878766788798) 2025-10-17T21:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Blooplup Primarily because they are interacting directly with Red Cross reps and the hostage search is a Hamas-run operation -- it would be odd if it wasn't Hamas in this case. Aid/commercial goods escorting is a field where companies clans and others (potentially including Hamas) mix" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979306513437983098) 2025-10-17T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "18 hostages now remain in Gaza. Tonight Eliyahu Margalit who was killed on October [--] at Nir Oz and kidnapped into Gaza became the 10th deceased hostage to be returned to Israel during the current ceasefire. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: Last night the remains of Inbar Haiman (the final female hostage) and Mohamed al-Atrash both killed on October [--] were returned. Hamas claimed in a statement that it had returned the bodies of all hostages it could locate without heavy equipment. https://t.co/IEMUEpvPvH [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: Last night the remains of Inbar Haiman (the final female" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979408030174204210) 2025-10-18T04:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Of the remaining [--] hostages: [--] were killed on Oct [--] [--] in [----] and the remaining [--] before March [----]. Of the [--] deceased hostages overall [--] died on or before Oct [--]. Of the remaining [--] at least [--] died accidentally from IDF fire and an estimated [--] were killed by Hamas" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979414187269906894) 2025-10-18T05:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "There are few available levers to pressure Hamas but cutting off aid failed in March and remains a bad idea now. The effects will not be felt immediately inside Gaza but this is a losing idea for Israel globally and hurts Gazans more than Hamas. There was aid pre-ceasefire. Senior Israeli official: Netanyahu decided to close all crossings to the Gaza Strip and halt the delivery of humanitarian aid in response to Hamas violation of the ceasefire Senior Israeli official: Netanyahu decided to close all crossings to the Gaza Strip and halt the delivery of humanitarian aid in response to Hamas" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979942778722504853) 2025-10-19T16:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This statement (L) was rejected by the Barbakh family (R) who say Mahmoud was killed deliberately inside a mosque. They claim no issue with the police or Hamas and that this was individual score-settling (true or not this is safer). They demand transparency and justice. Khan Yunis Police announced that Mahmoud Barbakh was killed by mistake by security officers during a campaign to enforce law and order three months ago. https://t.co/U6wHVxAK18 Khan Yunis Police announced that Mahmoud Barbakh was killed by mistake by security officers during a campaign to enforce law and order three months" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979980376886964701) 2025-10-19T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The Barbakh familys first official statement on the killing directly named Hamas Arrow (Sahm) unit as his killers. Some other reports indicate he was lured to a location with the promise of receiving a food parcel" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1979980379034402940) 2025-10-19T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Put together its clear that the ceasefire isnt the only factor affecting looting (which for months was largely just a WFP problem the result of policy choices). For WFP shifting to use Kissufim and the presence of security made a big difference even before the ceasefire" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980296009969463400) 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Hiring security isn't a simple consideration. There are severe risks in working with non-professional security who frequently fire recklessly into the air could steal aid for themselves or since they are unvetted could be militants then targeted by the IDF" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980296012913856784) 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Source Links: U.N. [----] dashboard: al-Shyaib Insurance: al-Zaarab Clan Statement: https://www.facebook.com/kan2022/posts/pfbid0wCiEFTqFQAh47Fv8jUnULJ42AumZLJWSJkjKLhussL62svZdkHoUockNSs3KHEMcl https://www.facebook.com/alshyib.traben https://app.un2720.org/tracking https://www.facebook.com/kan2022/posts/pfbid0wCiEFTqFQAh47Fv8jUnULJ42AumZLJWSJkjKLhussL62svZdkHoUockNSs3KHEMcl https://www.facebook.com/alshyib.traben https://app.un2720.org/tracking" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980296020568527308) 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Video Links: al-Shyaib Insurace: WFP aid (9/19): WFP aid (10/11): al-Remal al-Tayyibah WCK aid (6/24): WCK aid (8/10): WCK aid (8/30): https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7544477583249902866 https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7537046944493899015 https://www.tiktok.com/@magde_abu_muaileq95/video/7519483284552830215 https://www.facebook.com/reel/686312333998198/ https://www.facebook.com/alshyib.traben/videos/2270117473461816/ https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7544477583249902866 https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7537046944493899015" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980296022434906592) 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "15 hostages now remain in Gaza. Tonight the body of Tal Haimi (41) killed on October [--] while defending Kibbutz Nir Yitzhak as part of the local security squad was returned to Israel. Haimi's body was apparently held by the PFLP. 13/28 hostages' bodies have been returned. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza. Last night the bodies of Ronen Engel (54) and Sonthaya Oakkharasri (30) a Thai national were returned to Israel. Both were killed on October [--]. Two non-Israel hostages remain--Joshua Mollel and Sudthisak Rinthalak--and [--] Israelis. https://t.co/uxZ7oZC64k [--] hostages now remain in Gaza. Last" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980463878481014995) 2025-10-21T02:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The GCMHC didn't identify the perpetrator and the current location of their office is not clear after the previous building they were renting offices in was destroyed on September [--] by an Israeli airstrike" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980762406184948192) 2025-10-21T22:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "But given that the takeover of the building took place after the ceasefire the most likely perpetrator is Hamas or an armed faction affiliated with them. Gaza Community Mental Health Center: https://www.facebook.com/gcmhptested https://www.facebook.com/gcmhptested" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1980762408961314827) 2025-10-21T22:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Channels affiliated with Hamas's Arrow Unit accused the Yasser Abu Shabab Forces of looting two trucks carrying Emirati aid north of Rafah (L). The Shabab forces denied the claim and said the trucks were stopped for having secret smuggling compartments and later released (R)" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1981081531562017188) 2025-10-22T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Shabab's deputy Ghassan Duhine posted pictures and video of the trucks in question alleging they had secret undercarriage compartments to smuggle contraband and stating that the drivers were released after a warning. The pictures show Emirati aid on the trucks" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1981081533856243790) 2025-10-22T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Duhine also reissued a warning from the group's Counter-Terrorism Force that drivers whose trucks have secret compartments would face arrest and "maximum penalties". Links: Hamas' Arrow Unit: Ghassan Duhine: https://www.facebook.com/reel/1348398753670702 https://t.me/saheem103/1540 https://www.facebook.com/reel/1348398753670702 https://t.me/saheem103/1540" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1981081536049897646) 2025-10-22T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Details: 10/9/23: Tamir Nimrodi was according to his father killed by artillery shelling of a house he was being held in a target known to IDF intelligence with dozens of terrorists. The IDF was unaware Tamir was there. https://www.mako.co.il/news-israel/2025_q4/Article-1579ff76c2ae991027.htm https://www.mako.co.il/news-israel/2025_q4/Article-1579ff76c2ae991027.htm" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1981800157844058146) 2025-10-24T19:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "11/10/23: Nik Beizer Ron Sherman and Elia Toledano died of carbon monoxide poisoning following a strike aimed at Hamas Northern Brigade commander Ahmad al-Ghandour. The IDF was unaware hostages were there and had some intel they were elsewhere . https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/byce5bnac https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/byce5bnac" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1981800159924072739) 2025-10-24T19:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "On the upside securing aid corridors should not be complex for an ISF. If firms and clans and Gaza have been relatively successful with it under more anarchic conditions consistently employing professional guards and having clear distancing protocols should work cleanly" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1985508484490936778) 2025-11-04T00:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The composition of the Board of Peace and technocratic committee will matter a great deal. Many countries (e.g. Qatar Turkey China Egypt) have major financial and/or political interests in Gaza that may not align with the U.S.' broader vision or Israeli security priorities" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1985508486050934953) 2025-11-04T00:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "If countries with existing Israel ties can improve U.S. relations by joining the Accords will C. Asian states like Uzbekistan/Kyrgyzstan also do so A recent picture I took at Tashkent's Hazrati Imam Mosque of Hebrew-language Korans (with a note from then-Pres. Reuven Rivlin). New: Kazakhstan President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev is expected to announce during a meeting with PresidentTrumpon Thursday that his country will join theAbraham Accords U.S. officials tell me. My story on @axios https://t.co/fkVtqI7B1Z New: Kazakhstan President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev is expected to announce during a meeting" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1986501953422241919) 2025-11-06T18:32Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements "The version at left was translated by Rivlin's father Yosef Yoel Rivlin. These Korans are displayed inside the same mosque as Uzbekistan's prized version of the Othman Koran in a side room" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1986501959168504136) 2025-11-06T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Both Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan have full ties with Israel already and are in a similar position to Kazakhstan. They don't lose anything by joining the Accords and may gain on other issues with the U.S" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1986501960946647301) 2025-11-06T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Palestinian media outlets report the bodies of six Hamas operatives (likely Shadow Unit) were recovered alongside hostage Hadar Goldin in Rafah today. Reviewing the Gaza Health Ministry death toll list illustrates the challenges of identifying and tracking such combatants. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987261860694081741) 2025-11-08T20:52Z [----] followers, 15.9K engagements "4 hostages now remain in Gaza after the body of Hadar Goldin (23) killed and kidnapped by Hamas in Rafah in [----] immediately after the ceasefire ending Operation Protective Edge was returned to Israel today. Of the [--] remaining hostages three are Israeli and one is Thai. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza after the body of Lior Rudaeff (61) who was killed on October [--] in the defense of Kibbutz Nir Yitzhak was returned last night. [--] Israelis and [--] Thai hostage remain. There are unconfirmed reports that another hostage will be returned tonight. https://t.co/UEX4TAgU9v [--] hostages now remain in Gaza" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1987575058298970421) 2025-11-09T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "One month since the Gaza ceasefire went into effect the death toll reported by the Hamas-run Health Ministry has increased by [----] to [-----]. What accounts for the increase and what has the past month revealed about the death toll [--] main takeaways:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988303375696646145) 2025-11-11T17:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "In the same car and killed by the same Saturday strike that killed Alaa al-Hadidi (L) chief of supply in Hamass weapons manufacturing HQ: The head of the Patient Affairs Department at Shifa Hospital Khalil Amr al-Serry (R). 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1992850024594915415) 2025-11-24T06:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "One hostage now remains in Gaza after the body of the final Thai hostage Sudthisak Rinthalak (42) who was killed on October [--] near Beeri was returned. A short thread on the fates of the [--] non-Israeli hostages from Thailand the Philippines Nepal and Mexico: 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1996444962569990406) 2025-12-04T05:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Of [--] non-Israeli hostages--31 Thai and [--] each from the Philippines Nepal Tanzania and Mexico--6 were killed: [--] on October [--] and [--] in captivity. Of [--] survivors [--] were released in the Nov [----] ceasefire (23 Thai and [--] Filipino) and [--] in the Jan [----] ceasefire" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1996444965799637283) 2025-12-04T05:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The core issue of finding alternate governance to Hamas remains and cannot be sidestepped with militias. The basic choice of Hamas or the PA remains regardless of how difficult that might be to swallow politically. It is clear that continued Hamas rule is the wrong choice" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1996657407385272554) 2025-12-04T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "A doctor at Gaza's al-Ahli Hospital and a member of Palestinian Islamic Jihad's Shujaiyya Battalion: Abdullah Mohammed Ibrahim Habib. Habib and several relatives were killed in a Dec [----] strike but obituaries indicating he was a PIJ member did not surface until late last month" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1998535576337723655) 2025-12-09T23:29Z [----] followers, 20.9K engagements "Omar Jamil Abdelqader Mazid was an official at the Hamas-run Ministry of Social Development responsible for coordination with World Food Programme in the Central Gaza governorate and was IDd by family and friends as a militant after being killed in a March [----] airstrike. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1999571458993910137) 2025-12-12T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Its unclear which militant group Mazid belonged to but he is referred to as a Mujahid or a martyr on the road to Jerusalem or his jihadist activities are mentioned in posts by family/friends. Mazid appears in the Hamas-run Health Ministry's most recent list (July 31)" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1999571461896294641) 2025-12-12T20:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "A 12-year old "Little Mujahideen" for Gaza's Mujahideen Brigades: Suhaib Talal Nafiz al-Jundia (ID#: 432315653). Killed in December [----] he was identified today both by his father and on a popular militant obituary page" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2003579067241746637) 2025-12-23T21:30Z [----] followers, 119.8K engagements "A Military Medical Services Nurse in Gaza and a Hamas fighter: Tariq Jamal Jamil Abu al-Atta (ID #: 800599920) was killed in a Mar [----] airstrike along with his wife and children. While media/NGOs ID'd him as a civilian multiple martyr's channels identify him as a combatant. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2007187050001551793) 2026-01-02T20:27Z [----] followers, 71.5K engagements "A Gazan Civil Defense employee and a Qassam Brigades fighter: Abdullah Farid Mohammed Abu Awda (ID#: 801873548). Today Hamas obituary channel announced that Abu Awda killed in a Nov [----] strike was a fighter in Hamas Nidal Nasser (Beit Hanoun) Battalion Northern Brigade.🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2013353999123050715) 2026-01-19T20:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The obituary announcement was immediately relayed by repeater channels and includes a [---] minute video which leaves no doubt that Abu Awda was a Hamas operative" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2013354079150322015) 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "At the time of his death Abu Awda was referred to only as an employee of the Civil Defense a body under the Hamas-run Ministry of Interior which handles emergency response" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2013354084200321289) 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Several of his brothers social media posts in [----] and [----] however identified Abu Awda as a militant and underscored his dual role. In this unusual instance Hamas itself acknowledged Abu Awda's death and confirmed his militant status" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2013354089636123006) 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Abu Awda appears in the Hamas-run Health Ministry's most recent public death toll list (July [--] 2025) at entry [-----]. He was added via the family reporting mechanism (based on the May [----] list the last to show such information) not the hospital/morgue system" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2013354095201894407) 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Combined the [---] Palestinian individuals (65) and entities (43) sanctioned by the U.S. post-October [--] represent almost 60% of the [---] sanctioned overall. Nearly all sanctions on Israeli individuals/entities came after 10/7 though all new measures were rescinded in January 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2014073355071049894) 2026-01-21T20:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The post-10/7 surge in sanctions on Palestinians and the advent of U.S. sanctions on Israelis in [----] both of which were mirrored in part in Europe and in the case of Israelis sometimes expanded constitute a paradigm shift on sanctions in Israeli-Palestinian affairs" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2014073357294080352) 2026-01-21T20:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The violence and corruption crisis is paired with ongoing frustration with the communitys political leadership. Political discourse in recent weeks has been fixated on the question of whether to run as separate parties (and then with or without vote-sharing) or as a joint list" [X Link](https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/2014096573571965058) 2026-01-21T22:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@GabrielEpsteinX Gabriel EpsteinGabriel Epstein posts on X about gaza, hamas, israel, list the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence celebrities countries finance technology brands social networks travel destinations
Social topic influence gaza, hamas, israel, list, moh, health #4216, in the, data, food, to the
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @washinstitute @axios @ghfupdates @persimmon_1 @tednonumbers @un @samaritanspurse @hairycanary50 @darthpenquin @unocha @fabhinz @talhagin @shayan86 @taniahary @potus @blooplup @samialnuweirivideo7544477583249902866 @samialnuweirivideo7537046944493899015 @magdeabumuaileq95video7519483284552830215 @marcacaputo
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"My latest @WashInstitute piece analyzing the UN's shift in how it relays Gaza fatality data ending months of contradiction w/ Gaza MOH data but leaving significant concerns. My previous reports for more: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/gaza-fatality-data-has-become-completely-unreliable https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/how-hamas-manipulates-gaza-fatality-numbers-examining-male-undercount-and-other https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/untangling-uns-gaza-fatality-data Recently @UNOCHA altered the #Gaza death toll it relays from #Palestinian"
X Link 2024-05-17T19:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Four days into the growing Israel-Iran conflict Israel has sustained painful but limited damage from [--] Iranian barrages totaling at least [---] ballistic missiles which killed [--] Israelis and wounded nearly [---]. The state of play: 🧵"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Iran unable to inflict strategic or precise damage to Israel with its somewhat inaccurate surface-to-surface missiles is trying to cause mass civilian harm via repeated major barrages. Israels goal is to limit that threat with both offensive and defensive action"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Iran knocked off-kilter by Israels initial strikes did not launch its first missile barrages until [--] hours later and the estimated [---] missiles launched in two salvos were less than in April (150) or October (200) 2024"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Iranian missiles which have killed [--] Israelis since Friday night and injured nearly [---] are extremely dangerous. The toll from Iran's barrages will almost certainly exceed that of Hezbollahs attacks from the last [--] months (46) within days"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The sight of collapsed buildings or destroyed homes in cities like Petah Tikva Bat Yam Rehovot Tamra and Ramat Gan is shocking. Roughly [----] Israelis have had their homes destroyed and the Israel Tax Authority has already received almost [-----] claims for property damage"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Several factors however have combined to limit Israeli casualties. Early warning provided by Israeli presence in Iranian skies and American radar systems have allowed the IDF to issue warnings as missiles are prepped for launch giving Israelis almost a half hour to prepare"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"On day [--] of the conflict between Israel and Iran where things stand in Israel: [--] Israelis all civilians have been killed and at least [---] injured (over 90% lightly) by Iranian missiles. [--] are Arab Israelis and [--] are Ukrainian nationals each from the same families"
X Link 2025-06-17T15:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The size of Iranian barrages has decreased in part due to Israeli destruction of an estimated [---] missile launchers and many missiles. @fab_hinz has written excellent analysis of Iran's missile strategy and its limitations here: https://x.com/fab_hinz/status/1935379300733112438 Day 6: 23/24 of those killed in Israel by Iranian missiles all civilians have been identified. They include [--] children [--] elderly (65+) [--] women (18-64) and [--] men (18-64) above the age of [--]. Four are Arab-Israelis and five are Ukrainian nationals each from the same family. https://t.co/WZnxu4U6F5"
X Link 2025-06-18T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"With many Iranian missile sites in western Iran destroyed launch sites are being pushed further east possibly putting Israel out of range of some Iranian missiles (see the chart from Fabian's INSS piece). For reference the Tehran area is 1500-1600 km from Tel Aviv"
X Link 2025-06-18T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Most of Iran's more far-reaching medium-range ballistic missiles (Ghadr Emad Khorramshahr) use liquid propellant and must be fueled before launch. That expands the window of vulnerability for Israeli drones and jets hunting missile launchers to strike"
X Link 2025-06-18T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Propaganda failure: Iran's state news agency Fars claims that Soroka Hospital was not hit by a missile. Rather they say Iran fired missiles at [--] Israeli intel buildings in Tel Aviv and the shockwave hit the hospital (see left). This claim lacks any credibility to say the least"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [----] followers, 15.8K engagements
"Problem 1: Soroka is in Be'ersheva (see right) not Tel Aviv. Yet Fars claims that the IRGC was targeting bases in Tel Aviv (translation of screenshot from prior post). Not an easy mistake to make given the cities are 110km from each other. Nor is Soroka a military hospital"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Problem 2: Some of the streets labeled around Soroka in this map don't exist in Be'ersheva. Rager Boulevard is real (the unmarked road to the left of the hospital) but there is no Eli Cohen Boulevard. Nor does the shape of the alleged Soroka compound match"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The only Cohen Street in Be'ersheva belongs to Leonard much further south"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Problem 3: The Gav Yam Tech Park is not immediately north of Soroka as the Fars map claims but [---] km northeast very different from what is marked on the map"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Problem 4: Perhaps most importantly Soroka can clearly be seen to suffer a direct hit in multiple geolocated videos and photos (just look at the sign on front of the smoke cloud). Soroka was hit straight-on not just affected by a shockwave. https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935571577376002164 https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1935571577376002164"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"See the original Fars post here: Fars has [---] million followers on this one disinfo-riddled Telegram channel alone. There are disinformation analysts fighting the good fight and two of many who deserve a follow and readership are @talhagin & @Shayan86. https://t.me/farsna/377983 https://t.me/farsna/377983"
X Link 2025-06-19T06:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Day 8: After a woman died of a heart attack during an Iranian missile barrage today the death toll in Israel has risen to [--]. Those identified include [--] elderly (65+) [--] children [--] women (18-64) and [--] men over [--]. Over [----] Israelis have been injured mostly lightly"
X Link 2025-06-20T18:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"As of Thursday morning [-----] property damage claims have been received by the Israel Tax Authority (81% for building damage). More than [----] Israelis have been evacuated due to damage to their homes and dozens of buildings are slated for demolition across multiple cities"
X Link 2025-06-20T18:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Soroka Hospital has closed to new patients after suffering a direct hit from an Iranian missile yesterday and is now transferring patients to different hospitals or sending them home early. At least [--] people were injured in the attack. https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-iran-strike-soroka-hospital-closes-to-new-patients-clears-out-wards/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-iran-strike-soroka-hospital-closes-to-new-patients-clears-out-wards/"
X Link 2025-06-20T18:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A key criteria for the list is completeness. As with the last few lists the June list is almost entirely complete. 99.96% of entries have complete information and valid ID numbers"
X Link 2025-06-24T17:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"As I have noted before however completeness is only one metric validity and accuracy are key and cannot be verified from the lists alone. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric. Validity (whether or not someone's DOB/age/sex/ID data is correct) and accuracy (whether or not they belong on the list -- meaning their death was violent and due directly to the war) are key and harder to assess. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric."
X Link 2025-06-24T17:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The GHF operates four distribution sites three in southern Gaza (Tel al-Sultan Saudi neighborhood and Khan Younis) and one in central Gaza (Wadi Gaza). Tel al-Sultan has been closed since mid-June and Wadi Gaza is the smallest of the others"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"As of July [--] the GHF says it has distributed some [--] million meals mostly in 1.2m boxes (or [----] trucks [---] boxes/truck) containing pasta lentils rice and flour as well as tahini sugar cooking oil and canned vegetables. Each box is supposed to provide [----] meals"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The GHF itself has also come under attack. Twelve of its staffers were killed and many others injured by Hamas Arrow unit its employees are regularly threatened and have had bounties placed on them and two U.S. contractors were injured in a grenade attack on July 5"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Beyond condemning the sites as death traps Hamas has spread lies about rotting products trap pits and narcotics-laced flour in GHF aid. There are many valid criticisms of the GHF but much of Hamas opposition comes from a desire to maintain its own lucrative grip on aid"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The pilot programs to provide fresh food and direct community distribution have promise and should be scaled up as quickly as possible. These are also areas for cooperation with other humanitarian actors who should work to partner with and improve rather than reject the GHF"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"A registration system for aid despite privacy concerns would meter aid distribution and improve security by reducing crowding prevent exploitation of the mechanism and allow for specific pickup times for women and other vulnerable populations. Predictability can build trust"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The IDF can help by pausing non-essential operations in GHF areas before and during operational hours and relaying instructions to Gazans via loudspeaker. Most important though is stricter fire policies and sharply enforcing regulations actions not words matter here"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Contrary to popular belief though the U.N. aid mechanism is still operating in Gaza and has continuously since May [--]. This mechanism facilitates aid from donor states U.N. agencies and other humanitarian organizations. It is also struggling but for different reasons"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Violent incidents are also an issue for non-GHF aid with many injured and killed in these chaotic environments. The chaos is a function of scarcity and the lack of law and order with Gazans caught between a depleted Hamas and an IDF which does not want to manage civil affairs"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"There are logistical issueslimited access to crossings to pick up delivered aid little/inaccessible diesel and coordination with COGATthat need to be addressed. Israel has approved an increase in aid in agreement with the EU which will help. https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-eu-agree-to-boost-gaza-aid-more-trucks-more-crossings-and-more-routes/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-eu-agree-to-boost-gaza-aid-more-trucks-more-crossings-and-more-routes/"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"But increased aid is meaningless unless delivered to Gazans. Beyond allowing more aid in Israel should provide consistent times for aid organizations to pick up aid at the crossings and facilitate their access to the 1.9m liters of diesel in Gaza. https://www.logcluster.org/en/document/palestine-logistics-cluster-meeting-minutes-gaza-24-june-2025 https://www.logcluster.org/en/document/palestine-logistics-cluster-meeting-minutes-gaza-24-june-2025"
X Link 2025-07-11T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"COGAT also advertised their facilitation of aid deliveries under the U.N. aid mechanism including some aid products (e.g. preserved meats chicken) not available through the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF) pipeline. https://x.com/cogatonline/status/1944819979398078737 Over the past two weeks in addition to food boxes delivered to distribution centers directly to the population by @GHFUpdates more than [----] tons of flour for bakeries and over [----] tons of food for community kitchens including legumes pasta hummus preserved meat and https://t.co/hFwU88AFO3"
X Link 2025-07-14T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"While most U.N. aid is still going through the Kerem Shalom crossing in the tri-border Egypt-Israel-Gaza area since the cabinet vote on July [--] to expand aid to northern Gaza some has gone through the northern Erez West crossing (COGAT data is only until July 9)"
X Link 2025-07-14T18:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"As with all MOH lists the July list does not distinguish between civilians and combatants and attributes all listed deaths uniformly to Israeli action. Nor does it include the dates of death (none of the lists have) or collection methodology (which most iterations have)"
X Link 2025-07-16T21:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The new list contains [-----] reported deaths 99.96% of which have complete information. See my previous analysis for more on why completeness is only one of several relevant metrics including validity and accuracy to use when assessing the MOH list. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric. Validity (whether or not someone's DOB/age/sex/ID data is correct) and accuracy (whether or not they belong on the list -- meaning their death was violent and due directly to the war) are key and harder to assess."
X Link 2025-07-16T21:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Despite a months-long effort by the Hamas-run Government Media Office (GMO) to quietly bring its death toll claims in line with the Gaza Ministry of Healths (MOH -- also Hamas-run) by freezing its claims for women and children killed large discrepancies remain. 🧵:"
X Link 2025-07-21T19:46Z [----] followers, 32.3K engagements
"First brief background on the GMO: before the war it was a minor office mostly handling media affairs. Over the course of the war however it became a conduit for aggregated statistical claims from Hamas govt ministries including many propaganda claims"
X Link 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This includes death toll claims. I have written many times about the gap between the MOH and GMO wherein the latter has pushed false casualty claims irreconcilable with MOH data ever since November [----] (more links at the end of the thread): https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/untangling-uns-gaza-fatality-data https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/untangling-uns-gaza-fatality-data"
X Link 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"But as media reports were systematically transferred to the family reports and hospital/morgue reports methodologies (see Appendix II of this report) even this became untenable. Once MOH lists fully matched their claims GMO claims were plainly false. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/assessing-gaza-death-toll-after-eighteen-months-war https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/assessing-gaza-death-toll-after-eighteen-months-war"
X Link 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"To reconcile this the GMO took an unusual approach to avoid retracting its claims. It began listing MOH data as a sub-component of its higher claims and effectively froze its claims about the number of women and children killed waiting for the rising death toll to catch up"
X Link 2025-07-21T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Some further takeaways from this thread: 1) For the first time MOH data show a narrow majority (50.24%) of those killed in Gaza are adult men. When citing the MOH journalists will need to modify the common "mostly women and children" characterization of the death toll. Yesterday (7/15) the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry (MOH) released its 11th list of the dead (via Telegram and WhatsApp) since the Israel-Hamas war began containing [-----] entries and covering up to July [--]. An analysis🧵: https://t.co/rFZPtjRR8f Yesterday (7/15) the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry (MOH) released its 11th list of"
X Link 2025-07-23T05:52Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements
"Of the roughly [-----] tons of aid that the U.N. mechanism attempted to deliver 82.7% was intercepted (looted). In other words the U.N. mechanism has only successfully delivered 12% of its aid since May [--]. Only 8.6% of food has made it through vs. 80% of medicine"
X Link 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Under conditions of severe scarcity looting is a guarantee and makes future deliveries harder. Gazan drivers struck in early June after several colleagues were killed by gunmen hijacking a convoy and diesel shortages persist"
X Link 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"There are also coordination challenges with COGAT for aid pickup though the majority of requests have been approved in July. https://www.ochaopt.org/content/reported-impact-snapshot-gaza-strip-23-july-2025 https://www.ochaopt.org/content/reported-impact-snapshot-gaza-strip-23-july-2025"
X Link 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The binary options are effectively to allow aid to be mobbed and looted or to use violence to try and control the crowds the disastrous results of which have been seen repeatedly both on the routes to GHF sites and when U.N.-facilitated convoys are looted"
X Link 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Increasing the flow of aid is one part of the picture as is increasing the predictability of aid. Israel can and should make consistent and broad aid pickup windows at both Kerem Shalom and Zikim and prioritize coordination requests to try and stabilize aid deliveries"
X Link 2025-07-24T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The IDF has repeatedly said that these measures (plus airdrops of aid) don't mean the end of fighting but this will restrict their operations to areas under their control and at least temporarily ends further advances into the rest of Gaza"
X Link 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The unanswered questions: Will convoys continue to be looted or can a combination of public outreach and falling prices change the dynamic Will Hamas view this as reason to dig in further or will mediators increase pressure on them to agree to a ceasefire Is that possible"
X Link 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Does Israel have other ways to create leverage or has the humanitarian crisis prevented them from further degrading Hamas' capabilities beyond their lines Is the new norm going to be consolidating its hold on most of Gaza until a ceasefire is reached"
X Link 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Stemming the humanitarian crisis is essential. But it is easy to see how Hamas can view this as a victory and decide it has more time on the clock prolong the suffering of Israeli hostages and Gazans alike. It is on everyone else to avoid that outcome"
X Link 2025-07-27T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Really interesting thread of distribution at what I assume is the GHF's SDS2 (Saudi neighborhood) site yesterday. Obviously this shows limited snippets of the distribution process and only from inside the compound. It is worth watching in full and listening to the commentary. My experience with @GHFUpdates in Rafah. A little thread. https://t.co/YVO6NpX6E8 My experience with @GHFUpdates in Rafah. A little thread. https://t.co/YVO6NpX6E8"
X Link 2025-07-28T23:04Z [----] followers, 28.9K engagements
"Distribution is a mad dash -- the fastest (some on motorcycles) get the most and best. But this is no worse (and possibly better) than the free-for-all looting on the U.N. aid trucks. Neither is ideal but the environment is more regulated at the GHF sites"
X Link 2025-07-28T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The use of smoke grenades and flashbangs as crowd control to clear the compound to then bring in women is new to me. The women's distribution also looked much more orderly. Are there lessons for the IDF on containing crowds on the approaches and while waiting for sites to open"
X Link 2025-07-28T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"But it's also important to remember that every aid mechanism is failing due to scarcity and looting. The incorrect decision to cut off aid in March ran down stocks in Gaza. Launching GHF in late May ensured it would be overcrowded and under-capacity because demand was so high"
X Link 2025-07-28T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It's often reported including by Haaretz in a critical piece today that GHF aid boxes are supposed to provide [----] meals--enough for [---] people for [---] days. But since June [--] the math comes out to [------] meals/box. What changed in the box contents the accounting or both 🧵"
X Link 2025-07-29T17:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Yesterday (8/4) the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry (MOH) released its 12th list of the dead (via Telegram and WhatsApp) since the Israel-Hamas war began containing [-----] entries and covering up to July [--]. Longer analysis of data quality and demographics 🧵:"
X Link 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, 100.4K engagements
"Like all published MOH lists the July list does not distinguish between civilians and combatants and attributes all listed deaths uniformly to Israeli action. Nor does it include the dates of death (none of the lists have) or collection methodology (which most iterations have)"
X Link 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The new list contains [-----] reported deaths 99.96% of which have complete information. See my previous analysis for more on why completeness is only one of several relevant metrics including validity and accuracy to use when assessing the MOH list. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1925619221796376582 But completeness -- data in every category -- is just one metric. Validity (whether or not someone's DOB/age/sex/ID data is correct) and accuracy (whether or not they belong on the list -- meaning their death was violent and due directly to the war) are key and harder to assess."
X Link 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is particularly pronounced among men 18-45 who are [----] times more likely to have died than women of that same age range. Men 18-45 likely make up the overwhelming majority of combatants alongside some proportion of older teenage boys and older men"
X Link 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Adult men have made up a narrow majority of the listed casualties since the last iteration of the MOH list in mid-July (50.4%). However many press outlets continue to report the MOH as saying that the majority of those killed were women and children. https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-aid-un-ghf-567c5bffd5d7ae4cc54ea0816a159f8f https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-aid-un-ghf-567c5bffd5d7ae4cc54ea0816a159f8f"
X Link 2025-08-05T13:23Z [----] followers, 14.3K engagements
"See this comparison of the overall proportion of men 18-59 in the list (left) and the proportion of men in the deaths added July 15-31 (right). Men [--] and over--including the elderly--make up a narrow majority of 50.4% of overall reported deaths"
X Link 2025-08-05T19:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"However this analysis uses the age bins from the MOH and is not easily mapped onto "fighting-age men". First most men 18-59 in Gaza like anywhere else are not combatants. Second non-negligible shares of older teenage boys (15-17) and men over [--] are likely combatants"
X Link 2025-08-05T19:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Aid flows if sustained can even push prices below pre-war prices as seen in WFP market data from the end of February. After six weeks in which 338000+ tons of food entered the Strip the prices of rice and soap were below pre-war levels"
X Link 2025-08-07T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"While these price decreases reflect greater supply they do not yet mean the crisis is receding. First prices remain out of reach for most Gazans and the fee to convert virtual currency to physical shekels has risen to 52% meaning goods are far more expensive than they look"
X Link 2025-08-07T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"While over 89% of food aid collected for delivery through the U.N. mechanism has been looted since May [--] a majority of nutritional aid and nearly all medical aid has arrived successfully (though a lower share has been collected from the crossings). Why the higher success rate"
X Link 2025-08-08T17:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Here the most recent daily report from GHF (Aug 10). The total numbers of meals/boxes delivered today don't match the sum of the columns but by adding up each site the [---] boxes/truck and [-----] meals/box ratios match. https://ghf.org/ghf-operational-update-sunday-august-10-2025/ https://ghf.org/ghf-operational-update-sunday-august-10-2025/"
X Link 2025-08-10T16:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Was the [----] meals/box ratio reported between Jun [--] and Aug [--] an accounting error If so the total claimed figure for meals distributed should be reduced to match the [-----] meals/box figure. Based on [-------] boxes that leads to a slightly lower claim of [---------] meals"
X Link 2025-08-10T16:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Mana produces a range of nutritional supplements (RUSF RUTF and products to prevent malnutrition) utilizing a blend of peanuts milk and multivitamins. The products are similar to the more well-known Plumpy nutritional supplement line produced by the French Nutriset"
X Link 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Mana RUSF are intended for once-a-day consumption in conjunction with other food and have a high protein fat fiber and vitamin content. Since August [--] GHF has distributed [-----] packets so far all at the south Gaza sites (SDS [--] and 3)"
X Link 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"UNICEF and other aid organizations have been able to deliver [---] tons of nutritional aid since May [--] with another [--] tons looted. GHF can be an important complement to this and should look to expand both fresh food and RUSF distribution to all sites consistently"
X Link 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"With the war set to continue and looting rampant any aid distribution fix needs to be explored to ensure the most vulnerable are fed properly. Continued innovation from the GHF U.N. agencies and other humanitarian organizations as well as Israeli facilitation are essential"
X Link 2025-08-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Update: The al-Mughasib clan rescinded their earlier decision citing discussions with security teams and seems to say they provided security for a World Central Kitchen convoy this morning. They will resume guarding trucks from the Kissufim area to warehouses in Deir al-Balah. The al-Mughasib clan which has been "securing" humanitarian/commercial trucks from the Kissufim area to Deir al-Balah warehouses announced it will cease doing so. This comes after the IDF announced it had killed several militants (unclear affiliation) using a WCK vehicle there. The al-Mughasib clan which has been"
X Link 2025-08-13T15:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Since May [--] 87% of all U.N.-facilitated aid has been looted both by crowds and organized gangs. Looted aid is resold at high prices preventing the most vulnerable from accessing it and central kitchens and bakeries from operating. This is less aid than funding profiteers"
X Link 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"While looting has brought prices down substantially from their peak in mid-July and many goods are now cheaper than they were in mid-May food and goods remain very expensive. Those without connections to Hamas clans or outside funds are in an ever-worse position"
X Link 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Why have prices stagnated as aid keeps rolling in Supply is one thing but future expectations matter too. If an invasion of Gaza city and intensification of the war looms merchants are incentivized to hold onto their stocks now to maximize profit later when aid is disrupted"
X Link 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Aid in Gaza is a vehicle for external politics a vector of war profiteering and local power struggles and a practical and philosophical dilemma for humanitarian organizations. But trapped in the middle are a massive number of innocent Gazans and [--] innocent Israeli hostages"
X Link 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"For their sake humanitarian agencies need find ways to successfully deliver aid Israel needs to facilitate it even more and Hamas needs to care more about Gazans than a futile and self-destructive war against Israel. At least the first two are possible"
X Link 2025-08-13T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"GHF had already introduced women-only distributions to deal with this and has concentrated distribution of nutritional supplements for children there. These smaller distributions appear to be much calmer than the main free-for-all distribution. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355942507385102 GHF's distribution of RUSF nutritional supplements which are intended for children [--] months-5 years old with moderate acute malnutrition (MAM) is a welcome development that should be expanded to all sites. A few more details: 🧵 https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1955355942507385102 GHF's"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Now a 350-person trial was launched yesterday at SDS2 (Saudi neighborhood) to test a registration system. Participants are given an ID card and can create an online profile and boxes are set aside for them on days they are scheduled to pick up. https://ghf.org/announcing-new-pilot-for-families-to-reserve-aid-parcels/ https://ghf.org/announcing-new-pilot-for-families-to-reserve-aid-parcels/"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"But as long as the free-for-all main distribution continues alongside a registration system organized groups can still profit by taking aid each day and there is no way to ensure Hamas or other militant groups are not taking aid directly. Lack of trust may also limit sign-ups"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There are logistical questions too. Will this be run in a similar way to the women-only distributions with the compound cleared after the main distribution Will participants be staggered by times to limit queueing times Will men and women be in separate lines"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The U.N. [----] mechanism tracks coordinates and facilitates aid from WFP WHO UNICEF the Red Cross World Central Kitchen and other large aid providers from manifesting to offloading collection and attempted delivery. More here: https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1957812717701443756 This is too harsh. The U.N. dashboard -- which is to be clear an incomplete picture -- does contain a disclaimer that it only reflects aid transferred via the [----] mechanism. Moreover it provides much greater detail about this aid channel. Short 🧵on [----] and aid metrics:"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"However the mechanism has been plagued by looting with 89% of all aid looted by gangs or crowds. Combined with insufficient collection of aid at border crossings less than 10% of aid has been effectively delivered in the past [--] months (and much less when looking only at food)"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"GHF continues to face capacity issues and violent incidents on the routes to sites continue at a lower level. A U.S. initiative to quadruple the number of GHF sites and inject major funding remains unclear while an invasion of Gaza City could prevent expansion of the program"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"GHF aid is not looted in transit since the trucks only move through IDF-controlled areas. But firsthand accounts report a major market in GHF aid sometimes right outside the compound and the main distribution remains a free-for-all. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1956113181492875652 Worth reading carefully. Calls for more GHF sites and a registration system are correct and security challenges are depicted clearly and carefully. GHF has major fixes to make during its anticipated expansion and the IDF should recalibrate its approach. https://t.co/fdimEPlTTL"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As of August [--] [----] pallets of food aid have been airdropped into Gaza by [--] countries mostly Arab and EU states. Assuming [----] tons/pallet this is 2.1% of food aid (looted or actually delivered) via the U.N. channel or 3-4% of GHF aid"
X Link 2025-08-20T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The +972/Guardian articles alleging that the IDFs internal data indicates it has killed fewer than [----] militants in Gaza misconstrues the available data improperly combines IDF and Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry figures and fails to ask key questions. Very long thread 🧵"
X Link 2025-08-21T21:49Z [----] followers, 84.3K engagements
"More on this: a Hamas source told Reuters in Feb [----] that the group alone had lost [----] fighters. This can't be reconciled with +972's claim that Hamas/PIJ combined lost only [----] fighters by Dec [----]. Without trusting either claim they don't line up. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-six-week-drive-hit-hamas-rafah-scale-back-war-2024-02-19/ Finally relying on secondhand information about Hamas and PIJs losses which they have never publicly disclosed beyond a handful of leadership figures is poor practice. These are not trustworthy groups particularly on this subject and this"
X Link 2025-08-22T04:36Z [----] followers, 24.8K engagements
"Among the [--] people the Arrow unit executed yesterday: - A Palestinian Authority intelligence officer - A truck driver - An aid worker All were accused of giving information to Israel. It's notable that Hamas publicized killing a PA official in the current state of affairs. Hamas' Arrow Unit announces it will execute four collaborators tomorrow one of whom is a woman. Arrow has previously announced the executions of [--] other Gazans since May accusing them of being collaborators with Israel or thieves and beaten or mutilated many others. https://t.co/UeMj3tnSqt Hamas' Arrow Unit announces it"
X Link 2025-08-24T16:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The U.N.s Gaza aid channel is plagued by near-ubiquitous looting of food aid. But UNICEF has successfully delivered [---] tons of food in the last two weeks while WFP and WCK have delivered none. The apparent key to UNICEFs success Hiring security. 🧵"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, 61.2K engagements
"Non-food aid gets through at much higher rates than food but even there UNICEF is particularly successful. Since the start of August 82.1% of UNICEF aid has arrived successfully at a higher rate than the Red Cross (11% successful) and volume than any aid org except WFP/WCK"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WFPs explicit policy is for drivers to stop and allow looting once it becomes risky to maneuver. It has also rejected security coordination with the IDF and has not hired private security. The result: 99.6% of WFP food aid looted post-July [--]. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1953875824580460828 This is distinct from food trucks where WFP (which carries the vast majority of food aid) has made a decision not to attempt to prevent looting. Drivers are supposed to stop when encountering crowds and the convoys are unsecured. https://t.co/lpTTdVXPHt https://t.co/7u69dPU6I4"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements
"UNICEF by contrast appears to have worked with at least one private security company and one clan in Gaza to protect their convoys. Comparing claims from these groups to the U.N. dashboard shows that at least three successfully delivered UNICEF shipments were escorted"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"On the night of August 3/4 the al-Aqsa Transport Company announced it had insured a UNICEF shipment and screenshot from an accompanying video (0:17 in) clearly shows UNICEF aid on the trucks. UNICEF reported a successful delivery of [--] trucks. https://www.facebook.com/permalink.phpstory_fbid=pfbid0pFNX9CJD3DNmzr3QM2on2VvLqVLjThp42kFJr5nLurvaZb3xJKibn73NVpxDpBEul&id=61575629881614 https://www.facebook.com/permalink.phpstory_fbid=pfbid0pFNX9CJD3DNmzr3QM2on2VvLqVLjThp42kFJr5nLurvaZb3xJKibn73NVpxDpBEul&id=61575629881614"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"UNICEF has not referred to this cooperation publicly and it isnt clear how much they are paying for protection. What is clear is that its led to successful deliveries. The convoys drive fast escorted by vehicles from the insurance and the guards are heavily armed"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This appears distinct from militants using aid vehicles as cover like the fake WCK-marked truck Israel struck recently. The private security companies generally use vehicles marked with their own logo and promote themselves heavily on social media. https://x.com/IDF/status/1955301132235931892 Armed Terrorists Operated Undercover in WCK Vehicle: Five armed terrorists were eliminated in Deir al-Balah while near a vehicle marked with the World Central Kitchen emblem. The terrorists wore yellow vests in an attempt to conceal their activity and avoid being targeted. https://t.co/bXgHqumFx6"
X Link 2025-08-26T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The breakdown of law and order in Gaza cannot be fixed quickly or easily and relying on an elusive ceasefire negotiations to save the day is a mistake. Faced with the options of failing to deliver aid through old ways or taking new risks even U.N. agencies appear to be divided"
X Link 2025-08-26T12:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"See here for more discussion of UNICEF specifically: https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960785622224003214 @taniahary Thanks for these points. A few thoughts: UNICEF moves both food and non-food aid. This months its delivered [-----] tons of food aid (L) out of [----] total. And non-food aid is also targeted UNICEF saw [-----] tons of WASH & nutrition aid intercepted (R) this month. https://t.co/6Kw29bWbFG https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1960785622224003214 @taniahary Thanks for these points. A few thoughts: UNICEF moves both food and non-food aid. This months its delivered [-----] tons of"
X Link 2025-08-27T19:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"More GHF centers are key -- but the plan floated by U.S. officials in the media was an expansion to [--] sites. While that seems beyond GHF's current capabilities is two new sites the extent of the planned expansion"
X Link 2025-08-28T13:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Beyond that the Saudi neighborhood/Khan Younis sites (SDS2/3) already serve the south. These consistently distribute more food than the Netzarim site (SDS 4) and most GHF trial programs occur there. Sites in central or northern Gaza would reach more of the unserved population"
X Link 2025-08-28T13:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Beyond the three examples of UNICEF trucks being "insured" by private security companies or clans in this thread another very clear example I missed posted by the al-Mughasib clan on August 14: The U.N.s Gaza aid channel is plagued by near-ubiquitous looting of food aid. But UNICEF has successfully delivered [---] tons of food in the last two weeks while WFP and WCK have delivered none. The apparent key to UNICEFs success Hiring security. 🧵 https://t.co/i0JXlywt8x The U.N.s Gaza aid channel is plagued by near-ubiquitous looting of food aid. But UNICEF has successfully delivered [---] tons of"
X Link 2025-08-28T20:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Another example of UNICEF aid being "insured" by the al-Mughasib clan: https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961166146268463160 Beyond the three examples of UNICEF trucks being "insured" by private security companies or clans in this thread another very clear example I missed posted by the al-Mughasib clan on August 14: https://t.co/IiNICjkaBw https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961166146268463160 Beyond the three examples of UNICEF trucks being "insured" by private security companies or clans in this thread another very clear example I missed posted by the al-Mughasib clan on August 14:"
X Link 2025-08-28T20:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"For those wondering this is not U.N. aid. It is a warehouse controlled by the Egyptian Committee (ERC) which operates outside the U.N. [----] system and moves/distributes aid on its own. This is one of three major state-led Gaza aid efforts Egyptian Emirati and Jordanian. 🧵 This is an overstocked warehouse of aid in Deir al-Balah. Aid enters Gaza continuously and the warehouses are full. There is no limit on the amount of aid trucks that can enter Gaza. https://t.co/dh9CbrF7cE This is an overstocked warehouse of aid in Deir al-Balah. Aid enters Gaza continuously and the warehouses are full."
X Link 2025-08-29T16:48Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements
"@TedNoNumbers It wouldnt be logical to have aid classified one way in some cases and another way in others classifications are only useful if stable and theres no reason an organization would switch them. Other groups like WCK have also moved both food and nutrition aid"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@TedNoNumbers Theres no shared definition of what items count as nutrition vs. food between U.N. agencies so far as I know and the [----] mechanism has no unique information on it. There is no way to know exactly what is in each shipment via the U.N. dashboard other than broad classification"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"PA-Hamas conflict continues inside Gaza: On Saturday Hamas' Arrow Unit announced the execution of another PA intelligence officer Col. Ahmed Fares Abu Samra and one other person allegedly for the killing of a Hamas police officer in April during a clan-Hamas dispute"
X Link 2025-09-01T02:52Z [----] followers, 13.6K engagements
"That killing which was heavily reported and videos of which circulated widely at the time followed clashes between the Abu Samra clan and Hamas police after a young man from the clan was killed by police in disputed circumstances. https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-848468 https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-848468"
X Link 2025-09-01T02:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Hamas-run Gaza MOH recently released two new infographics (one only in a small WhatsApp group on Aug [--] and the other publicly on Sep 4) which provide an updated breakdown of their fatality and injury claims (these for the first time since May 2024). Documents at end of 🧵:"
X Link 2025-09-05T00:27Z [----] followers, 21K engagements
"Not surprisingly clans moving their own aid are often armed. This video from the al-Tawil family posted September [--] shows heavily armed men guarding their aid allotment from Egyptactually Qatari aid. Ignore the UNICEF logoUNICEF IOM and EU tarps are sometimes reused"
X Link 2025-09-09T04:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Egyptian aid channel which says it is in the midst of distributing some [------] food parcels via the clans moves aid for other statesQatar and Indonesia among themas well as for many Egyptian aid organizations"
X Link 2025-09-09T04:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The al-Mughasib clan one of the most publicized groups "insuring" aid convoys in Gaza has launched a formal security company al-Shyaib Insurance. Their efforts have long been branded this way for some time now have a separate page and logo instead of the clan's youth page"
X Link 2025-09-09T15:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"GHF deliveries have largely stabilized in recent weeks and regularly distribute around [--] truckloads of boxed aid (575 metric tons) across three sites along with some amount of potatoes onions and RUSF. As of Sep [--] GHF had distributed an estimated [-----] tons of food"
X Link 2025-09-10T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"State-run aid efforts by Egypt the UAE and Jordan continue. Egypt recently launched a second major round of clan-based distribution of food parcels. Each state distributes food parcels supports communal kitchens and bakeries and maintains warehouses. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961471069694411115 For those wondering this is not U.N. aid. It is a warehouse controlled by the Egyptian Committee (ERC) which operates outside the U.N. [----] system and moves/distributes aid on its own. This is one of three major state-led Gaza aid efforts Egyptian Emirati and Jordanian. 🧵"
X Link 2025-09-10T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Egypt has made heavy and public use of both clan-based and private security. Egypt also moves Indonesian Qatari and reportedly Saudi aid alongside many Egyptian NGOS. https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1961872083052355781 https://x.com/GabrielEpsteinX/status/1965268850762809569 The Egyptian Committee is at least in part relying on clans to secure their aid transports. See this video from the relatively small Abu Qinas family one of several posted in the last week. Some clan members are also wearing Egyptian committee vests. https://t.co/e1X91idah4"
X Link 2025-09-10T20:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A development in Gaza worth paying attention to: Hamas is aggressively pursuing and executing internal publicly and sparked a clash with large parts of the powerful Tarabin tribal federation after killing members of two sub-clans who led prominent aid insurance operations. 🧵"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hamas Arrow (Sahm) and Rada units which are notorious for attacking or killing dissidents merchants accused of price-gouging and members of rival militias have killed dozens of Gazans in the last two weeks several of them in public executions and threatened many others"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Two killings however of Amin Abu Bakra (L) on Sep [--] and Mahmoud Abdullah Abu Mughasib (R) on Sep [--] are of particular note. Both the Bakra and Abu Mughasib clans are part of the large Tarabin tribal federation and both were involved in humanitarian aid insurance"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Bakra according to statements and video posted by the al-Bakra clan was a leading figure in securing Egyptian Committee aid and also liaised with U.N. agencies. The clan explicitly names Hamas Sahm unit as Amins killer. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1A7YchuEpt/ https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1A7YchuEpt/"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"These were simply some of the more high-profile killings but Arrow and Rada have reported dozens more killings of collaborators over the past two weeks including public executions right in front of al-Shifa Hospital. Video is clipped for obvious reasons"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Hamas increasingly public and brutal efforts to attack alternate power centers in Gaza are both a reflection of the depth of the crisis the group is in as the IDF pushes further into Gaza City and the proliferation of anti-Hamas militias whether supported by Israel or not"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Previous large displays of force by clans have blown over either due to quiet diplomacy or an understanding that they cannot beat Hamas. Nor is the Tarabin federation a monolith and many tribes may be angry at the loss of one of their own but uninterested in fighting Hamas"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The internal dynamics in Gaza and growing conflict between Hamas militias and specific clans would be a worthwhile project for journalists. When researching casualties in Gaza this internecine conflict is also critical to track"
X Link 2025-09-29T21:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The new special unit welcomed the Trump Administration's proposal to end the war in Gaza and announced that it planned to work with the new transitional authority envisioned under the plan"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This plus the Tarabin federation's demands for justice over Hamas murder of two of its prominent members puts it at odds with Hamas. Yet the Tarabin are not a monolith rather a wide collection of clans and families and this initiative may not represent everyone"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Endorsement of the new special unit in Gaza came from several Tarabin-affiliated social media pages including the Martyr Salem Lafi Brigades"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Salem Lafi Brigades are an armed group under the Union of Sinai Tribes set up in the mid-2010s to help the Egyptian government combat ISIS in the Sinai. https://jcpa.org/the-sinai-bedouin-accuse-hamas-collaborating-isis/ https://jcpa.org/the-sinai-bedouin-accuse-hamas-collaborating-isis/"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Yasser Abu Shabab Forces claim backing from the Tarabin not from Israel and the Tarabin accused Hamas of partnering with ISIS in the past. Conflicts over aid and smugglingprofit and influence vectorsare just parts of the broader power struggle. https://www.timesofisrael.com/head-of-anti-hamas-gaza-militia-says-its-backed-by-vast-tribal-network-not-by-israel/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/head-of-anti-hamas-gaza-militia-says-its-backed-by-vast-tribal-network-not-by-israel/"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Israel while it seeks to empower alternate power centers in Gaza fears Tarabin-affiliated smuggling efforts from Egypt into both Gaza and Israel drugs arms and more. Only a fraction of this smuggling is intercepted with IDF forces spread thin. https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-868745 https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-868745"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Whether Hamas accepts the U.S. peace plan or not local power struggles in Gaza are a key determinant of the Strips future. Understanding the complicated landscape is key for U.S. and Israeli policymakers"
X Link 2025-09-30T19:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In the unlikely event Hamas gives up its heavy weaponry and infrastructure it still has other advantages against other armed actors: numbers and coordination. But with the IDF watching and an international force on the ground in Gaza it will be wary of weakening itself further"
X Link 2025-10-03T14:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"These disputes are better viewed as part of deepening chaos in Gaza as Hamas whose rule was always underpinned by a mixture of brutality violence and some social services provision becomes ever less able to exercise those levers of influence and intimidation"
X Link 2025-10-03T14:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump administration ultimatum that Hamas must accept the ceasefire deal on the table by [--] p.m. Eastern Time on Sunday. Pressure will be on Turkey and Qatar to deliver Hamas. Past ultimatums have come and gone -- is this one real https://t.co/XAn5KkGaZu https://t.co/XAn5KkGaZu"
X Link 2025-10-03T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"COGAT reports that some [------] tons of aid entered Gaza in from Sep 1-29 including [-----] tons of food. Nearly [-----] tons of this was through the U.N. [----] framework. The flotilla was likely transporting a few dozen tons of aid if that"
X Link 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The flotilla has uploaded photos and video of some of the aid carried on its boats viewable here. It is a mixture of food and medical supplies. https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1oeD1ECertQS9SOomqj2x7-yH0M0fnIGZusp=sharing https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1oeD1ECertQS9SOomqj2x7-yH0M0fnIGZusp=sharing"
X Link 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, 17K engagements
"It is clear the carrying capacity of most of the boats is quite small and competes on space with provisions for the crew/activists. This was somewhat alleviated by stopping in Tunisia to pick up aid but the total tonnage of aid is inherently sharply limited"
X Link 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"President Trump posted a more detailed map of IDF withdrawal lines (R) for hostage releases than the initial sketch included in the plan (L). Two big differences (in red): "Hill 70" in eastern Gaza City and IDF positions in Kaf el-Abadla in Khan Younis remain within IDF lines"
X Link 2025-10-04T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Trump announces Israel and Hamas have agreed to the initial phase of a ceasefire. The living hostages will come home in days the deceased hopefully in weeks or less"
X Link 2025-10-08T22:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Hamas has many scores to settle in blood: with the al-Majayda family parts of the Tarabin tribal federation several anti-Hamas militias etc. Not to mention activists dissenters or PA elements. Without rollout of a transitional authority internecine violence will intensify. Violent clashes erupted in Gaza City's port after Hamas fighters attacked the Abu Warda family. Local reports indicate that three Hamas members and two members of the family were killed while dozens of displaced civilians were caught in the crossfire and injured. Violent clashes erupted in Gaza City's port after Hamas"
X Link 2025-10-09T14:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Very easy to slip into a negative status quo after the hostage-prisoner exchange without clear actionable and funded transitional governance plan and heavy pressure on Hamas on verifiable disarmament. Hopefully this conference unifies countries behind the U.S. on both counts. 🚨Scoop: Trump plans leaders summit on Gaza during Egypt visit next week. My story on @axios https://t.co/7YRfFXH427 🚨Scoop: Trump plans leaders summit on Gaza during Egypt visit next week. My story on @axios https://t.co/7YRfFXH427"
X Link 2025-10-10T17:03Z [----] followers, 18.2K engagements
"Hamas "Shadow Unit" operatives like in previous hostage releases hold seized Israeli Tavor rifles (made by IWI). Yesterday Hamas' Arrow unit justified its attacks against the Dughmush clan in part by claiming they had found Israeli weapons in their houses. " " https://t.co/2aka5oUfyH " " https://t.co/2aka5oUfyH"
X Link 2025-10-13T07:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Prices are plummeting in Gaza amid the ceasefire falling to 308% of pre-war prices in the south. Staples like rice sugar flour and oil are almost at pre-war prices and a price spike in north Gaza has been nearly erased with south-to-north access into Gaza City restored"
X Link 2025-10-13T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"21 hostages now remain in Gaza: Last night the remains of Uriel Baruch Eitan Levy and Tamir Nimrodi were returned. A fourth body was found to be that of a Hamas operative. Thus far in the ceasefire [--] hostages have been returned -- [--] alive and [--] deceased. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: https://t.co/c3Phf0ULl4 https://t.co/G3yZlBBsfU [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: https://t.co/c3Phf0ULl4 https://t.co/G3yZlBBsfU"
X Link 2025-10-15T06:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This threat means little coming from the U.S. Hamas knows the only military threat is from Israel and that it can't stop the IDF. The U.S. should let the implicit threat of Israel restarting the war speak for itself and focus on pressuring Qatar and Turkey for Hamas concessions. Trump: If Hamas continues to kill people in Gaza which was not the Deal we will have no choice but to go in and kill them. Thank you for your attention to this matter https://t.co/lNGzHBPuwo Trump: If Hamas continues to kill people in Gaza which was not the Deal we will have no choice but to go in and kill them. Thank"
X Link 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Forcing an end to the war started a clock on solving the day after before Hamas retrenches itself. Losing other Arab states who don't want to send good money after bad is a waypoint to a new status quo which keeps Gaza misruled and unreconstructed. https://x.com/ZakenDanny91125/status/1978868026075152887 Scoopchik: Saudi Arabia Bahrain and the UAE issue a warning to @POTUS : if you do not enforce the agreement on Hamas and disarm it we are outno fundingnothing. The absence of their leaders from the Sharm summit was not accidental. They warn that Qatar will bring Hamas back"
X Link 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The admin should not make the mistake of trusting its fellow mediators blindly. Qatar and Turkey have clearly defined interests involving Hamas and Gaza that don't line up with the U.S.' But to succeed the U.S. has to move fast and make real change not just bluster"
X Link 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Another interesting detail: the two observable gunmen and the man speaking with the Red Cross staff all likely Hamas seem to be the only people masked in the entire crowd standing around and watching. Doubtful that it's for dust"
X Link 2025-10-17T21:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hamas' Arrow Unit announces it will execute four collaborators tomorrow one of whom is a woman. Arrow has previously announced the executions of [--] other Gazans since May accusing them of being collaborators with Israel or thieves and beaten or mutilated many others"
X Link 2025-08-22T18:39Z [----] followers, 12.9K engagements
"Disputes over whether the Gaza-bound flotilla intercepted yesterday off the coast of Gaza carried humanitarian aid are a sideshow. The boats carried a pittance of aid that pales in comparison with aid flows already entering Gaza and distracts from more important issues. Short 🧵:"
X Link 2025-10-03T18:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is also a result of the U.S. seeming to prioritize the relationship with Qatar above other Gulf partners -- there is a challenging history in Qatar-Saudi-UAE relations and Qatar got wins (like a U.S. defense obligation) the Saudis have been seeking for years or longer"
X Link 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Contrast the reaction from the first Trump admin to the Abqaiq attack in [----] to its reaction to Israel's strike on Qatar. Qatar effectively got more for less"
X Link 2025-10-16T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Another hostage's body will reportedly be returned tonight. Earlier al-Jazeera aired footage of an excavation in the Hamad City neighborhood in north Khan Younis -- it's not clear if these are remains Hamas already possessed or believes it recovered today"
X Link 2025-10-17T18:19Z [----] followers, 31.3K engagements
"A photo from the Hamad City Facebook page that illustrates the strange situation: at bottom a bulldozer digging deep enough that it may be trying to unearth a tunnel; at top Red Cross staff monitor the search while a gunman (almost certainly plainclothes Hamas) monitors them. Another hostage's body will reportedly be returned tonight. Earlier al-Jazeera aired footage of an excavation in the Hamad City neighborhood in north Khan Younis -- it's not clear if these are remains Hamas already possessed or believes it recovered today. Another hostage's body will reportedly be returned tonight."
X Link 2025-10-17T18:26Z [----] followers, 40.1K engagements
"Early in the war an estimated $180 million was looted from Gazan banks including some very high-profile heists. Hamas was unsurprisingly the top suspect. This was not the only cause of the cash crunch but it didn't help. https://www.alhaya.ps/ar/Article/162960/%D8%B3%D9%84%D8%B7%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%86%D9%82%D8%AF-180-%D9%85%D9%84%D9%8A%D9%88%D9%86-%D8%AF%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%86%D9%8F%D9%87%D8%A8%D8%AA-%D9%85%D9%86-%D8%AE%D8%B2%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D9%88%D9%83-%D8%AE%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%A8"
X Link 2025-10-17T21:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"How all these shekels are entering Gaza is a task for much smarter people. Virtual money is easy to understand -- INGO and NGO money transfers outside donations wires etc. But how is physical cash getting in Smuggling An informal arrangement with Israel and the banks"
X Link 2025-10-17T21:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Blooplup Primarily because they are interacting directly with Red Cross reps and the hostage search is a Hamas-run operation -- it would be odd if it wasn't Hamas in this case. Aid/commercial goods escorting is a field where companies clans and others (potentially including Hamas) mix"
X Link 2025-10-17T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"18 hostages now remain in Gaza. Tonight Eliyahu Margalit who was killed on October [--] at Nir Oz and kidnapped into Gaza became the 10th deceased hostage to be returned to Israel during the current ceasefire. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: Last night the remains of Inbar Haiman (the final female hostage) and Mohamed al-Atrash both killed on October [--] were returned. Hamas claimed in a statement that it had returned the bodies of all hostages it could locate without heavy equipment. https://t.co/IEMUEpvPvH [--] hostages now remain in Gaza: Last night the remains of Inbar Haiman (the final female"
X Link 2025-10-18T04:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Of the remaining [--] hostages: [--] were killed on Oct [--] [--] in [----] and the remaining [--] before March [----]. Of the [--] deceased hostages overall [--] died on or before Oct [--]. Of the remaining [--] at least [--] died accidentally from IDF fire and an estimated [--] were killed by Hamas"
X Link 2025-10-18T05:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There are few available levers to pressure Hamas but cutting off aid failed in March and remains a bad idea now. The effects will not be felt immediately inside Gaza but this is a losing idea for Israel globally and hurts Gazans more than Hamas. There was aid pre-ceasefire. Senior Israeli official: Netanyahu decided to close all crossings to the Gaza Strip and halt the delivery of humanitarian aid in response to Hamas violation of the ceasefire Senior Israeli official: Netanyahu decided to close all crossings to the Gaza Strip and halt the delivery of humanitarian aid in response to Hamas"
X Link 2025-10-19T16:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This statement (L) was rejected by the Barbakh family (R) who say Mahmoud was killed deliberately inside a mosque. They claim no issue with the police or Hamas and that this was individual score-settling (true or not this is safer). They demand transparency and justice. Khan Yunis Police announced that Mahmoud Barbakh was killed by mistake by security officers during a campaign to enforce law and order three months ago. https://t.co/U6wHVxAK18 Khan Yunis Police announced that Mahmoud Barbakh was killed by mistake by security officers during a campaign to enforce law and order three months"
X Link 2025-10-19T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The Barbakh familys first official statement on the killing directly named Hamas Arrow (Sahm) unit as his killers. Some other reports indicate he was lured to a location with the promise of receiving a food parcel"
X Link 2025-10-19T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Put together its clear that the ceasefire isnt the only factor affecting looting (which for months was largely just a WFP problem the result of policy choices). For WFP shifting to use Kissufim and the presence of security made a big difference even before the ceasefire"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Hiring security isn't a simple consideration. There are severe risks in working with non-professional security who frequently fire recklessly into the air could steal aid for themselves or since they are unvetted could be militants then targeted by the IDF"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Source Links: U.N. [----] dashboard: al-Shyaib Insurance: al-Zaarab Clan Statement: https://www.facebook.com/kan2022/posts/pfbid0wCiEFTqFQAh47Fv8jUnULJ42AumZLJWSJkjKLhussL62svZdkHoUockNSs3KHEMcl https://www.facebook.com/alshyib.traben https://app.un2720.org/tracking https://www.facebook.com/kan2022/posts/pfbid0wCiEFTqFQAh47Fv8jUnULJ42AumZLJWSJkjKLhussL62svZdkHoUockNSs3KHEMcl https://www.facebook.com/alshyib.traben https://app.un2720.org/tracking"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Video Links: al-Shyaib Insurace: WFP aid (9/19): WFP aid (10/11): al-Remal al-Tayyibah WCK aid (6/24): WCK aid (8/10): WCK aid (8/30): https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7544477583249902866 https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7537046944493899015 https://www.tiktok.com/@magde_abu_muaileq95/video/7519483284552830215 https://www.facebook.com/reel/686312333998198/ https://www.facebook.com/alshyib.traben/videos/2270117473461816/ https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7544477583249902866 https://www.tiktok.com/@sami.alnuweiri/video/7537046944493899015"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"15 hostages now remain in Gaza. Tonight the body of Tal Haimi (41) killed on October [--] while defending Kibbutz Nir Yitzhak as part of the local security squad was returned to Israel. Haimi's body was apparently held by the PFLP. 13/28 hostages' bodies have been returned. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza. Last night the bodies of Ronen Engel (54) and Sonthaya Oakkharasri (30) a Thai national were returned to Israel. Both were killed on October [--]. Two non-Israel hostages remain--Joshua Mollel and Sudthisak Rinthalak--and [--] Israelis. https://t.co/uxZ7oZC64k [--] hostages now remain in Gaza. Last"
X Link 2025-10-21T02:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The GCMHC didn't identify the perpetrator and the current location of their office is not clear after the previous building they were renting offices in was destroyed on September [--] by an Israeli airstrike"
X Link 2025-10-21T22:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"But given that the takeover of the building took place after the ceasefire the most likely perpetrator is Hamas or an armed faction affiliated with them. Gaza Community Mental Health Center: https://www.facebook.com/gcmhptested https://www.facebook.com/gcmhptested"
X Link 2025-10-21T22:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Channels affiliated with Hamas's Arrow Unit accused the Yasser Abu Shabab Forces of looting two trucks carrying Emirati aid north of Rafah (L). The Shabab forces denied the claim and said the trucks were stopped for having secret smuggling compartments and later released (R)"
X Link 2025-10-22T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Shabab's deputy Ghassan Duhine posted pictures and video of the trucks in question alleging they had secret undercarriage compartments to smuggle contraband and stating that the drivers were released after a warning. The pictures show Emirati aid on the trucks"
X Link 2025-10-22T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Duhine also reissued a warning from the group's Counter-Terrorism Force that drivers whose trucks have secret compartments would face arrest and "maximum penalties". Links: Hamas' Arrow Unit: Ghassan Duhine: https://www.facebook.com/reel/1348398753670702 https://t.me/saheem103/1540 https://www.facebook.com/reel/1348398753670702 https://t.me/saheem103/1540"
X Link 2025-10-22T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Details: 10/9/23: Tamir Nimrodi was according to his father killed by artillery shelling of a house he was being held in a target known to IDF intelligence with dozens of terrorists. The IDF was unaware Tamir was there. https://www.mako.co.il/news-israel/2025_q4/Article-1579ff76c2ae991027.htm https://www.mako.co.il/news-israel/2025_q4/Article-1579ff76c2ae991027.htm"
X Link 2025-10-24T19:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"11/10/23: Nik Beizer Ron Sherman and Elia Toledano died of carbon monoxide poisoning following a strike aimed at Hamas Northern Brigade commander Ahmad al-Ghandour. The IDF was unaware hostages were there and had some intel they were elsewhere . https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/byce5bnac https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/byce5bnac"
X Link 2025-10-24T19:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"On the upside securing aid corridors should not be complex for an ISF. If firms and clans and Gaza have been relatively successful with it under more anarchic conditions consistently employing professional guards and having clear distancing protocols should work cleanly"
X Link 2025-11-04T00:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The composition of the Board of Peace and technocratic committee will matter a great deal. Many countries (e.g. Qatar Turkey China Egypt) have major financial and/or political interests in Gaza that may not align with the U.S.' broader vision or Israeli security priorities"
X Link 2025-11-04T00:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If countries with existing Israel ties can improve U.S. relations by joining the Accords will C. Asian states like Uzbekistan/Kyrgyzstan also do so A recent picture I took at Tashkent's Hazrati Imam Mosque of Hebrew-language Korans (with a note from then-Pres. Reuven Rivlin). New: Kazakhstan President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev is expected to announce during a meeting with PresidentTrumpon Thursday that his country will join theAbraham Accords U.S. officials tell me. My story on @axios https://t.co/fkVtqI7B1Z New: Kazakhstan President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev is expected to announce during a meeting"
X Link 2025-11-06T18:32Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements
"The version at left was translated by Rivlin's father Yosef Yoel Rivlin. These Korans are displayed inside the same mosque as Uzbekistan's prized version of the Othman Koran in a side room"
X Link 2025-11-06T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Both Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan have full ties with Israel already and are in a similar position to Kazakhstan. They don't lose anything by joining the Accords and may gain on other issues with the U.S"
X Link 2025-11-06T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Palestinian media outlets report the bodies of six Hamas operatives (likely Shadow Unit) were recovered alongside hostage Hadar Goldin in Rafah today. Reviewing the Gaza Health Ministry death toll list illustrates the challenges of identifying and tracking such combatants. 🧵"
X Link 2025-11-08T20:52Z [----] followers, 15.9K engagements
"4 hostages now remain in Gaza after the body of Hadar Goldin (23) killed and kidnapped by Hamas in Rafah in [----] immediately after the ceasefire ending Operation Protective Edge was returned to Israel today. Of the [--] remaining hostages three are Israeli and one is Thai. [--] hostages now remain in Gaza after the body of Lior Rudaeff (61) who was killed on October [--] in the defense of Kibbutz Nir Yitzhak was returned last night. [--] Israelis and [--] Thai hostage remain. There are unconfirmed reports that another hostage will be returned tonight. https://t.co/UEX4TAgU9v [--] hostages now remain in Gaza"
X Link 2025-11-09T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One month since the Gaza ceasefire went into effect the death toll reported by the Hamas-run Health Ministry has increased by [----] to [-----]. What accounts for the increase and what has the past month revealed about the death toll [--] main takeaways:"
X Link 2025-11-11T17:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In the same car and killed by the same Saturday strike that killed Alaa al-Hadidi (L) chief of supply in Hamass weapons manufacturing HQ: The head of the Patient Affairs Department at Shifa Hospital Khalil Amr al-Serry (R). 🧵"
X Link 2025-11-24T06:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One hostage now remains in Gaza after the body of the final Thai hostage Sudthisak Rinthalak (42) who was killed on October [--] near Beeri was returned. A short thread on the fates of the [--] non-Israeli hostages from Thailand the Philippines Nepal and Mexico: 🧵"
X Link 2025-12-04T05:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Of [--] non-Israeli hostages--31 Thai and [--] each from the Philippines Nepal Tanzania and Mexico--6 were killed: [--] on October [--] and [--] in captivity. Of [--] survivors [--] were released in the Nov [----] ceasefire (23 Thai and [--] Filipino) and [--] in the Jan [----] ceasefire"
X Link 2025-12-04T05:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The core issue of finding alternate governance to Hamas remains and cannot be sidestepped with militias. The basic choice of Hamas or the PA remains regardless of how difficult that might be to swallow politically. It is clear that continued Hamas rule is the wrong choice"
X Link 2025-12-04T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"A doctor at Gaza's al-Ahli Hospital and a member of Palestinian Islamic Jihad's Shujaiyya Battalion: Abdullah Mohammed Ibrahim Habib. Habib and several relatives were killed in a Dec [----] strike but obituaries indicating he was a PIJ member did not surface until late last month"
X Link 2025-12-09T23:29Z [----] followers, 20.9K engagements
"Omar Jamil Abdelqader Mazid was an official at the Hamas-run Ministry of Social Development responsible for coordination with World Food Programme in the Central Gaza governorate and was IDd by family and friends as a militant after being killed in a March [----] airstrike. 🧵"
X Link 2025-12-12T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Its unclear which militant group Mazid belonged to but he is referred to as a Mujahid or a martyr on the road to Jerusalem or his jihadist activities are mentioned in posts by family/friends. Mazid appears in the Hamas-run Health Ministry's most recent list (July 31)"
X Link 2025-12-12T20:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"A 12-year old "Little Mujahideen" for Gaza's Mujahideen Brigades: Suhaib Talal Nafiz al-Jundia (ID#: 432315653). Killed in December [----] he was identified today both by his father and on a popular militant obituary page"
X Link 2025-12-23T21:30Z [----] followers, 119.8K engagements
"A Military Medical Services Nurse in Gaza and a Hamas fighter: Tariq Jamal Jamil Abu al-Atta (ID #: 800599920) was killed in a Mar [----] airstrike along with his wife and children. While media/NGOs ID'd him as a civilian multiple martyr's channels identify him as a combatant. 🧵"
X Link 2026-01-02T20:27Z [----] followers, 71.5K engagements
"A Gazan Civil Defense employee and a Qassam Brigades fighter: Abdullah Farid Mohammed Abu Awda (ID#: 801873548). Today Hamas obituary channel announced that Abu Awda killed in a Nov [----] strike was a fighter in Hamas Nidal Nasser (Beit Hanoun) Battalion Northern Brigade.🧵"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The obituary announcement was immediately relayed by repeater channels and includes a [---] minute video which leaves no doubt that Abu Awda was a Hamas operative"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"At the time of his death Abu Awda was referred to only as an employee of the Civil Defense a body under the Hamas-run Ministry of Interior which handles emergency response"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Several of his brothers social media posts in [----] and [----] however identified Abu Awda as a militant and underscored his dual role. In this unusual instance Hamas itself acknowledged Abu Awda's death and confirmed his militant status"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Abu Awda appears in the Hamas-run Health Ministry's most recent public death toll list (July [--] 2025) at entry [-----]. He was added via the family reporting mechanism (based on the May [----] list the last to show such information) not the hospital/morgue system"
X Link 2026-01-19T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Combined the [---] Palestinian individuals (65) and entities (43) sanctioned by the U.S. post-October [--] represent almost 60% of the [---] sanctioned overall. Nearly all sanctions on Israeli individuals/entities came after 10/7 though all new measures were rescinded in January 2025"
X Link 2026-01-21T20:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The post-10/7 surge in sanctions on Palestinians and the advent of U.S. sanctions on Israelis in [----] both of which were mirrored in part in Europe and in the case of Israelis sometimes expanded constitute a paradigm shift on sanctions in Israeli-Palestinian affairs"
X Link 2026-01-21T20:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The violence and corruption crisis is paired with ongoing frustration with the communitys political leadership. Political discourse in recent weeks has been fixated on the question of whether to run as separate parties (and then with or without vote-sharing) or as a joint list"
X Link 2026-01-21T22:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
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