#  @ExpectedBham Expected Birmingham ⚽ | xB Expected Birmingham ⚽ | xB posts on X about mls, in the, target, birmingham city the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1985070349202206720/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +394% - [--] Month [-------] +27% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1985070349202206720/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +71% - [--] Month [--] +57% ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1985070349202206720/followers)  - [--] Week [---] +3.10% - [--] Month [---] +57% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1985070349202206720/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [mls](/list/mls) #1252 [finance](/list/finance) 2% [countries](/list/countries) 2% [la liga](/list/la-liga) 2% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 1% [premier league](/list/premier-league) 1% **Social topic influence** [mls](/topic/mls) #680, [in the](/topic/in-the) 6%, [target](/topic/target) #2453, [birmingham city](/topic/birmingham-city) 4%, [data](/topic/data) 4%, [nycfc](/topic/nycfc) #57, [finish](/topic/finish) #1885, [play](/topic/play) 3%, [hope](/topic/hope) 3%, [ligue 1](/topic/ligue-1) 3% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@dave60776](/creator/undefined) [@zigiclegend19](/creator/undefined) [@grooveprovider](/creator/undefined) [@bluesbreakdown](/creator/undefined) [@ajh1972258480](/creator/undefined) [@lemodfootball](/creator/undefined) [@andyjack83](/creator/undefined) [@dannymoore8](/creator/undefined) [@jplumby](/creator/undefined) [@markbcfc3](/creator/undefined) [@bninetyuk](/creator/undefined) [@jeanbluesejour](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@Zigiclegend19 Nah. Sano Stayed at NEC. Apparently Forest and Ajax were in for him - 20m. Maybe I was a little ambitious thinking Blues could get him" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020260557555921103) 2026-02-07T22:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@dave60776 Neutral would have been a better term. But it's not at St Andrews which is the main point. We currently don't create many shots on target away from Stans" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021173393593077815) 2026-02-10T10:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Defensively excellent. Baggies had just one shot on target and offered very little. When they did threaten Blues handled it well" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021516254532751456) 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Paik injured unknown severity. That leaves three CMs with Leonard on loan. Solis has an obligation to buy tied to appearances which could trigger before Blues fully assess him. Looked decent so far but has mainly faced lower Championship sides" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021516256394809512) 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@GrooveProvider Really Fair enough. I can believe that. We can dream though" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2022016650992881960) 2026-02-12T18:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Alex Freeman was on a longlist Id researched for #BCFC. Well stocked at RB anyway and hard to compete with Champions League Villarreal. Interested to see how he does. Another reminder: MLS is producing serious quality hopefully the Toms can exploit it 🚨 OFFICIAL Alex Freeman is a groguet ✅ The 21-year-old American right back arrives on a permanent transfer worth 5.5m from Orlando City and signs a contract with the club until [----] 📝 Welcome to Villarreal Alex 💛 https://t.co/awm0ECQ6it 🚨 OFFICIAL Alex Freeman is a groguet ✅ The 21-year-old American right back arrives on a permanent transfer" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2017187812861149502) 2026-01-30T10:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Ahmed - just gone to Norwich (2G/3A in 3) McGlynn - Houston Dynamo Donkor - NY Red Bulls Arfsten - Columbus Crew Aaronson - Colorado Rapids Fernndez - NYCFC Costa - Portland Timbers Markovich - Charlotte Ferreira - Seattle Sounders Eile - NY Red Bulls" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2017189229793525921) 2026-01-30T10:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Wrote about Fernandez last month. Joined Rosario on loan from NYCFC. Exciting prospect. Just turned [--]. However #BCFC well covered at RW now. https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first Julin Fernndez already has his first goal for Rosario Central. With Moussa Sylla failing his medical derailing his move from Schalke will #NYCFC come to regret loaning out the Argentine https://t.co/fqiSW1ajzb https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first Julin Fernndez already has his first goal for Rosario Central. With Moussa Sylla failing his medical" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2022637363868930377) 2026-02-14T11:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Yacine Titraoui: 22-year-old engine [--] with elite defensive actions (8.45 tkl+int) and top percentile progressive passing. 6M for two-way stability not creativity. Only makes sense if creative outlets already in place. #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2022974167000203335) 2026-02-15T10:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Youssef Maziz: 27-year-old [--] posting 66th+ percentile metrics at relegation-threatened Leuven. Available on Bosman free transfer in the summer. Zero fee pure wage investment. A true [--] though too similar to Kanya #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2022974170762506645) 2026-02-15T10:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Blues have the CREATORS: ✅ Roberts: Top-25 chances elite xA ✅ Gray: [--] big chances created ✅ Iwata/Doyle: Both top-50 chances ✅ Stansfield: Top-10 big chances But they can't FINISH when the chance arrives. That's the disconnect" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2023110687166521849) 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The Belgian Study's #1 finding: Shots on target from the penalty box predicts winning. Birmingham's split: 🏠 Home: 5.36/game (4th in Championship) ✈ Away: 2.38/game (24th - WORST) 55.6% drop. The capability existsthe execution doesn't" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2023110685224575181) 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "When Osman's loan ends Blues NEED a wide left finisher with 7.0+ xGOT. Two targets out of contract summer 2026: 🎯 Parfait Guiagon 🎯 Issa Soumare Both elite finishers who can cut inside and score" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2023110690614251676) 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Central midfielders who can: Break lines with progressive passing (like Hackney) Carry into dangerous areas (like Morris) Finish chances (7.0+ xGOT) Targets profiled: Alfie Devine Jack McGlynn Ryotaro Ito John Yeboah van de Kamp + more" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2023110693185257844) 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bimingham's current CMs don't provide: ❌ Paik: [---] xGOT limited progression ❌ Doyle: Creative but not elite at line-breaking ❌ Ducksch as 10: Mid-table creation (21 chances 101st) Opponents can ignore the middle. That's why attacks go wide by necessity" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2023110694997242284) 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Hull optimised the metric that predicts winning. Birmingham optimized metrics the model eliminated. One team is [--] places above their xPTS position. The other is [--] places below. Execution Creation. Full breakdown + what comes next: https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020573779315814680) 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Possession doesn't predict winning. Pass completion doesn't predict winning. Expected goals don't predict winning. Belgian researchers tested [---] performance metrics. Only [--] survived. The #1 predictor It explains why Hull City are 4th and #BCFC are 10th" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020573760425021557) 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements "The home/away split is even more extreme: Home SoT: [----] per game (4th in Championship) Away SoT: [----] per game (24th - WORST IN DIVISION) That's a 55.6% drop-off. Way beyond normal home advantage. Same players completely different output" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020573773565448567) 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The study found [--] more critical factors: Second-half physical intensity (not first half) Bench quality/squad depth (ranked 3rd overall) Direct play + counter-attacking phases Notice what's missing: possession stats pass completion first-half running" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020573777831100592) 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Hull: Elite execution poor creation. #BCFC: Elite creation poor execution. Hull make their shots count. Blues waste theirs. 🔗The Belgian Study Blueprintwhat actually predicts wins: #BCFC #EFL https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what Possession doesn't predict winning. Pass completion doesn't predict winning. Expected goals don't predict winning. Belgian researchers tested [---] performance metrics. Only [--] survived. The #1 predictor It explains why Hull City are 4th and #BCFC are 10th. https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what Possession" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020889356366455075) 2026-02-09T15:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Just thought. Playoffs if it happens: away semi-final + Wembley final (away). Last season at Wembley vs Peterboro: [--] shts [--] on target lost 2-0. Crucial away fixtures coming that'll decide if we make playoffs. #BCFC need more shots on target away from home. Full stop. The home/away split is even more extreme: Home SoT: [----] per game (4th in Championship) Away SoT: [----] per game (24th - WORST IN DIVISION) That's a 55.6% drop-off. Way beyond normal home advantage. Same players completely different output. https://t.co/7NfzLxReg3 The home/away split is even more extreme: Home SoT: [----] per game" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2020924591850619101) 2026-02-09T18:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Some thoughts after Blues 0-0 West Brom last night and the disappointment of that last-minute goal being disallowed. 🧵 Thought #BCFC were unlucky. Two big chances created and hit the post. On another night we win that" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021516252775416090) 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I hope Kanya gets a run of games to influence the middle especially if Paik is out for a while. If he doesn't play now I can't see him ever playing" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021516260002111819) 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Play can be slow. Going more direct could help but that probably means playing Priske and dropping one of Stansfield or Ducksch" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021516261705052421) 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Denil Castillo: elite finishing efficiency (top 10% [----] goals per 90) with above-average creativity & defensive work. The limitation Bottom 35% for progressive carrying. 3-5M reflects potential but needs carriers around him. #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021660507191881926) 2026-02-11T19:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Thomas Jrgensen: elite in everything creative in Denmark top 10% for progressive carries xA and shot assists. [--] years old producing at mid-table Viborg. Needs defensive protection. #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2021660514238025900) 2026-02-11T19:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Completely missed this. He was on my longlist of strikers from the MLS. Let's see how he does in Ligue [--] - $2.5m 23-year-old Canadian international Jacen Russell-Rowe is on his way to French Ligue [--] side Toulouse FC. Full story 📰: https://t.co/eQZH1eqj8K https://t.co/6Jj5UMx4HX 23-year-old Canadian international Jacen Russell-Rowe is on his way to French Ligue [--] side Toulouse FC. Full story 📰: https://t.co/eQZH1eqj8K https://t.co/6Jj5UMx4HX" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2022795971197829237) 2026-02-14T22:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Really hope Kanya gets a start or at least [--] minutes in the [--] position today🤞" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2022972375600451588) 2026-02-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Two Solutions Path 1: Hire a specialist shooting coach Hull lead Championship in accuracy (38.81%) despite fewer chances. Could it be coaching Path 2: Recruit 7.0+ xGOT players Summer [----] blueprint: [--] elite wide forward + 1-2 elite 8/10s" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2023110696993485254) 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "We go to the #MLS again. Max Arfsten: a progression-led wide profile. Carries over shots Creation over goals High defensive involvement What the data says about his role ceiling and translation risk #BCFC #EFL #Championship https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/max-arfsten-a-progression-led-wide https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/max-arfsten-a-progression-led-wide" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2008976936601587826) 2026-01-07T19:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "A few more for the long list different profiles ages and risk levels 👇 Goto (Sint-Truiden / Anderlecht) Begraoui (Estoril) Lauritsen (Sparta Rotterdam) Nsimba (Dender) Ramrez (Nacional) Mubama (Stoke City/Man City) Kelsy (Portland Timbers) Gozo (Real Salt Lake)" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2009304472414011599) 2026-01-08T16:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@blues_breakdown Doyle tops the model with Paik next. Doyle suits the deeper role imo but Id still like to see Paik get another run as an 8/10 the Bristol City game felt like a one-off. Wouldve liked to see Leonard Doyle and Paik together more often. Not to be it seems 😢" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2009942068907651204) 2026-01-10T10:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Last #MLS wide forward Julin Fernndez as a #Championship profile: Creation-first wide forward Elite chance supply not goal volume Progression + connective value Def work rate above positional norms Full xB scouting report #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2010290597270347802) 2026-01-11T10:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Jack McGlynn is a bit of an American Bernardo Silva type can play wide but equally comfortable inside. Pass-first tempo control connector-led creativity rather than volume touches. Classy player. Full scouting breakdown here 👇 #MLS #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/two-mls-creators-two-very-different Resilient determined and hopeful Jack's ready to take on [----]. This is My Offseason My City with Jack McGlynn https://t.co/8i04GxOozq https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/two-mls-creators-two-very-different Resilient determined and hopeful Jack's ready to take on [----]. This is My Offseason" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2010316235104510030) 2026-01-11T11:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Think Parfait Guiagon would be a strong fit for #BCFC too. Mentioned him in this Substack piece on raising the floor versatile wide / interior profile good age curve contract situation worth noting. 🔗 #BCFC #Championship #Transfers https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/raising-the-floor-what-smart-january Rangers 'set to battle it out with Philippe Clement's Norwich for Ivory Coast star as Gers make enquiry' https://t.co/9g7LixcXmt https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/raising-the-floor-what-smart-january Rangers 'set to battle it out with Philippe Clement's Norwich for Ivory Coast star as Gers" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2010357480019157156) 2026-01-11T14:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "📈 Also rating highly in the data (no full write-up yet): Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia ACL injury) Theo Corbeanu (Toronto FC) Joseph Paintsil (LA Galaxy) Diego Luna (Real Salt Lake) Plenty of wide profiles in MLS worth monitoring. #BCFC #DataAnalytics" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2010402572436177214) 2026-01-11T17:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@blues_breakdown Let me know if you remember - it'd be interesting to find out" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2010751619059839459) 2026-01-12T16:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "🧵 Scout Report: Abdoulie Manneh Regardless of outcome an interesting player. 21-year-old Allsvenskan attacker. Not a winger. Not a [--]. A vertical shot-driving interior attacker built on carries & volume 👇 #BCFC #EFL #Allsvenskan" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2011161059907027089) 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Manneh is not a touchline winger or creative hub. His default actions: Carry forward Play vertically Shoot early Hes not asked to recycle or control tempo. Once the ball reaches him the expectation is momentum" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2011161062528487827) 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "What he reliably gives you: Territory progression (passes + carries) High shot volume & sustained pressure Duel + defensive buy-in Players who move the game up the pitch usually translate well especially in the Championship" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2011161067242852476) 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The trade-off and the unlock is shot selection not shooting appetite. [--] shots [--] goals [---] xG 32% on target The volume is fine. Upside comes from better timing & zones and choice selection" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2011161069574881496) 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "🧵 Jhon Sols to Birmingham City is an interesting signing but one that raises real questions about role risk and squad logic. This isnt about talent. Its about fit and sequencing. 👇 #BCFC #Championship" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246016368463925) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "First: what Sols actually is. Ball-secure High pass accuracy Strong anticipation defensively Minimal final-third impact He profiles as a stabiliser not a creator. Structure-first low-error" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246018063061453) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Usage matters. Across three seasons at Girona: No sustained run of starts Mostly rotation / late-game minutes Data shaped heavily by sub appearances The key issue isnt quality its uncertainty" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246020151791693) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "That uncertainty matters in this league. We dont yet know: How he holds up over full 90s How his ball security scales with volume How quickly he adapts to a physical Championship This is a developmental profile not plug-and-play" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246021863010454) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Now the context. Birmingham were already well stocked at 6/8 and appear to be moving on from Leonard a proven Championship-level midfielder. Thats where the logic starts to wobble" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246023729537271) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Leonard is [--] Championship-tested defensively sound reliable in possession and cost 600k. Sols may cost 7m if an appearance-based obligation is triggered. Thats a big shift from certainty variance" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246025310740575) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If Sols is a loan with time and optionality the move makes sense. If minutes are driven by squad scarcity and trigger a permanent deal early the risk profile changes completely" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246027059802601) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This feels less like a judgement on Sols and more about priorities. Swapping certainty for potential can work. Doing so in a role where certainty wasnt obviously lacking is where the questions arise. Full breakdown https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/jhon-solis-and-birmingham-city-a https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/jhon-solis-and-birmingham-city-a" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012246028662067382) 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Toms Cuello as a Championship option: Territorial carry-led wide forward Progression intensity & defensive work rate Volume-driven influence not a primary creator 5m market value Full xB scouting report #Championship #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/tomas-cuello-a-territorial-wide-forward https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/tomas-cuello-a-territorial-wide-forward" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012464915273953599) 2026-01-17T10:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Ajh1972258480 @LeModFootball Ive got no connection to the club ha just analysing roles usage and risk. Leonard is a known quantity; the new signing has upside but uncertainty. Thats the whole point of the Substack" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012490108839047573) 2026-01-17T11:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I mentioned McDonnell earlier. No deep dive but: [--] out of contract this summer arguably League Ones best defensive mid this season. Oxford likely paid a nominal fee. A #BCFC-usable profile U21 so no squad spot. Big value for #OUFC even if they go down. Good signing. Welcome Jamie McDonnell. 👏 We are delighted to announce the signing of Jamie McDonnell on a permanent transfer from Nottingham Forest. Welcome Jamie McDonnell. 👏 We are delighted to announce the signing of Jamie McDonnell on a permanent transfer from Nottingham Forest" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2012956985688199502) 2026-01-18T18:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "🧵Ibrahim Osman 21-year-old Ghanaian wide forward Right-footed Left-side bias Feyenoord (loan) ➜ Auxerre (loan) ➜ Birmingham City (loan) This thread explains what Osman is how his data should be read and why the move makes sense 👇 #BCFC #EFL" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286874568073496) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Osman is not a touchline winger or primary creator. His game is built on: Receiving wide driving inside Attacking central lanes Quick shots or combinations Aggressive pressing Value comes from ball progression + intensity not control" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286876405182635) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "📊 Feyenoord (2024/25) context matters. Eredivisie: [--] starts [--] sub apps Champions League: [--] starts [--] sub apps Used mainly as a late-game impact sub in a dominant side. That framing is key when reading the radar" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286878405865621) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Shot map supports this: Central box-weighted shots Few speculative efforts Goals broadly in line with xG He wasnt forcing shots he was arriving late into good areas" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286882260431023) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "📉 Auxerre (Ligue [--] loan) = harder environment. [--] starts [--] sub apps Less possession More duels Less space Percentiles drop (expected) but the profile shape stays intact" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286884080759229) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Key takeaway from Ligue 1: Carrying + defensive work still stand out Attacking efficiency drops [---] xG no goals That points to variance + adaptation not poor instincts or role confusion" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286885968265623) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "⚠ Risks & expectations End product still inconsistent Not a guaranteed long-term starter Needs defined responsibilities But the floor is protected by carrying work rate and experience across systems" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286891869581348) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Summary: Osman is a progression-first inside forward whose data is heavily shaped by usage context. For #BCFC: Low-risk loan Immediate depth upgrade No need to overstate what he is or must be right now. Full scouting breakdown https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/ibrahim-osman-scouting-report-and https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/ibrahim-osman-scouting-report-and" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013286893748637962) 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Andyjack83 Doubt it. Don't think he's ever played there and his data suggests he not suited to it. Saw rumours we're in for Kendry Paez who plays the [--] / [--] role so looks like the club know we need someone there which is promising" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013292991130034523) 2026-01-19T16:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Role clarity matters. Priske is a penalty-box striker. Hes asked to finish attacks not build them. Central positioning Timing runs between CBs Shot responsibility He ends moves. He doesnt run them. #BCFC" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013597471126008290) 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "His scoring trajectory 👇 2023: [--] goals 2024: [--] goals 2025: [--] goals This is his first true breakout season. At [--] thats normal but it raises the key question: Is this repeatable #BCFC" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013597472833126415) 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Why the breakout isnt fluke-driven 👇 Priske averages 3+ shots per game mostly from central penalty-area zones. No reliance on long shots. No speculative volume. His chances come from where goals usually come from" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013597474569478402) 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is where Birminghams shot geography becomes key 👇 9th for penalty-area shots (7.0) 4th for six-yard box shots (1.6) 6th for shots from distance (5.3) The gap and potential is the penalty area. #BCFC" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013597479573348765) 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Most goals arent scored from: ❌ long range ❌ the six-yard box alone They come from sustained pressure inside the penalty area. Thats where Birmingham lag and where the biggest gains are" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013597481225838754) 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "What kind of striker is August Priske really A simple breakdown of his game and what he needs to succeed at #BCFC. Full piece 👇 https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/august-priske-scouting-report https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/august-priske-scouting-report" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2013663553547366725) 2026-01-20T17:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Wrexham being linked with Sikidi Cherif of Angers. Not totally convinced by the profile but Angers are a club worth watching in this market" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014411682248798574) 2026-01-22T18:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "For #BCFC the Angers midfielder Id have on a shortlist is Himad Abdelli (26). Algerian international creative 8/10 primary playmaker. Progression ball-carrying and final-third involvement all stand out" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014411772980056145) 2026-01-22T18:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Abdelli is attracting serious interest: Marseille and Lyon both keen. OM had an opening 2m+bonuses bid rejected Angers want 4m (6 months left on his deal). #BCFC cant compete at that club level but if theres any chance they should. Class act" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014411775509152101) 2026-01-22T18:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Hearts are top of the league. Marc Leonard wants a World Cup place. Earlier this season I looked at Leonard through two different lenses and both raised the same question. Ability wasnt the issue. Minutes were. #HeartsFC #BCFC 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014687834217599387) 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "First: the anchor / #6 profile. I built a pure defensive midfield model for the Championship boring structural no glamour. Per [--] Leonard came out #1 in the league for disruption security and control. https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2004926428320858576 I promise this isnt because Im secretly Marc Leonard. But after building a pure CDM / anchor model for the Championship the data says Birmingham City already have the best defensive midfielder in the league (per 90). #BCFC #Championship 🧵 https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2004926428320858576 I promise this isnt because Im secretly Marc" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014687836046315752) 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Separately I wrote a longer piece on Leonard as a ball carrier. Championship-wide he also profiled highly for: progressive carries advancing play under pressure linking defence to attack That carrier + anchor crossover is rare" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014687837988245685) 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Tactically that gives Hearts flexibility. Leonard can: sit as a [--] and provide control / defensive stability play as an [--] carrying the ball forward operate as a hybrid 6/8 adapt his role in a double pivot Hes not locked to one position" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014687839796048205) 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A title race is the perfect test. If Leonard can turn strong per-90 data into week-to-week control from the start he stops being an interesting profile and becomes a difference-maker" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014687843315040622) 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Original deep dive here 👇 🔗 #HeartsFC #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/marc-leonard-underused-in-plain-sight https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/marc-leonard-underused-in-plain-sight" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2014687845009543237) 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Wycombe vs Peterborough at 3pm. Jamie Mullins vs Jimmy-Jay Morgan two young League One 8/10s solving the same connector role in very different ways. Carry-led vs circulation-led. Piece coming soon. #WycombeWanderers #PUFC #EFL #BCFC" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2015057302236131713) 2026-01-24T13:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Danny_Moore8 Think you might be right but it just hasn't worked and you can only press so much. Harris WW Stanno Ducksh Dykes Doyle have all kinda played there but none have been very effective imo. Kanya can't even get a game - mainly due to his lack of pressing by look of it" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2015196472212381946) 2026-01-24T22:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "8/10 The next few months will tell us everything: Does Vicente rotate with Roberts based on game state Or does he become a nailed-on starter in a system built around transitions width and box service One scenario is smart squad building. The other is a tactical revolution" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2015873577585688984) 2026-01-26T19:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "9/10 I've written a full deep-dive on Vicente: -What the data actually shows -His strengths and massive limitations -Why this signing could define Birmingham's identity -The Patrick Roberts dilemma Full piece here 👇 https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/carlos-vicente-the-wide-man-birmingham https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/carlos-vicente-the-wide-man-birmingham" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2015873579271782859) 2026-01-26T19:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "He's done it again. Looks a steal at 2m. A few weeks ago I suggested #BCFC go after Ahmed. Jack McGlynn was the other from #MLS. Ali Ahmed goal [--] g/a in his first [--] games for Norwich and gives them the 2-1 lead vs Coventry. His 2nd goal of the season. #CanMNT https://t.co/tJzWolgp2o Ali Ahmed goal [--] g/a in his first [--] games for Norwich and gives them the 2-1 lead vs Coventry. His 2nd goal of the season. #CanMNT https://t.co/tJzWolgp2o" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2015910242169536667) 2026-01-26T22:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "If #BCFC are looking for a new striker I'd look at these closely: Sam Surridge - Nashville SC Idan Markovich - Charlotte Koki Ogawa - NEC Nijmegen Jess Ferreira - Seattle Sounders Darren Yapi - Colorado Rapids Koen Kostons - Zwolle Nacho Ferri - Westerlo" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2008298573473989090) 2026-01-05T22:04Z [---] followers, 12.7K engagements "That wraps up my #MLS wide players deep dive 👇 📌 Full profiles: Ali Ahmed Norwich City Jack McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) Max Arfsten (Columbus Crew) Julin Fernndez (NYCFC) Full reports here: #BCFC #Scouting https://xbirmingham.substack.com/ https://xbirmingham.substack.com/" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2010402570817126788) 2026-01-11T17:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "1/10 #BCFC look set to sign Carlos Vicente from Deportivo Alavs. On paper it makes no sense they already have Patrick Roberts in his position. But this could be the most telling signing of their season. Here's why 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2015873564889469054) 2026-01-26T19:44Z [---] followers, 29.8K engagements "Birmingham NEC 👀 NEC have Kodai Sano a midfielder Im convinced is heading for a Big [--] league soon. Exceptional technician elite game intelligence La Liga / Bundesliga written all over him. Scouting deep dive #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/deep-dive-kodai-sano-full-scouting NEC wil het middenveld versterken met Willum Thr Willumsson. De IJslander die ooit furore maakte bij Go Ahead Eagles moet overkomen van Birmingham City. #necnijmegen https://t.co/LkbP3ztKHO https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/deep-dive-kodai-sano-full-scouting NEC wil het middenveld versterken met Willum Thr" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2016248269085507729) 2026-01-27T20:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Sampsted Go Ahead Eagles (Breum [--] prob too Kanya) WW NEC (Sano outstanding [--] Big [--] trajectory) Hansson Excelsior (Yegoian exciting box-to-box) If I were #BCFC recruitment Id be watching these closely and keeping those Eredivisie links sweet 👀" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2016252994388378062) 2026-01-27T20:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The bigger picture Blues are close to a complete squad. Add an 8/10 hybrid and a LCB and we have genuine promotion challengers - if not this season definitely next. The squad is being built" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2016571069109354797) 2026-01-28T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Full tactical breakdown in the article - including the challenges trade-offs and what we still need in midfield (spoiler: an 8/10 hybrid). #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/how-carlos-vicente-changes-birmingham https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/how-carlos-vicente-changes-birmingham" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2016571071013458132) 2026-01-28T17:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@JPlumby_ According to FotMob - [--] out of last [--] you've played 3-4-3 Either way the point is Currie looks a hell of a LB at Champ level potentially going unnoticed by many" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2017553555087900675) 2026-01-31T11:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/9 Birmingham also rank 3rd for blocked shots (148). Stansfield alone has [--] (joint 2nd in the league). This suggests rushed decisions poor angles andcriticallya lack of creativity to work better positions through central areas. #BCFC" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2017909558757277863) 2026-02-01T10:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "4/9 I analysed 10s across multiple leaguesChampionship Primeira Liga Serie A Eredivisie La Liga MLS. The pattern is universal: genuine 10s (Scienza Nez Fujimoto) show elite attacking output and poor defensive data. It's the position itself. #BCFC" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2017909560317501558) 2026-02-01T10:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "#BCFC winter window: Quietly excellent 📈 Priske - Box striker to attack crosses Vicente - Elite RW upgrade on Koumas feeds the #9 Osman - Upgrade on Keshi Solis - Solid midfield presence 🏴 Panzo - Left-footed CB depth & balance Addressed real needs" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2018431755921866817) 2026-02-02T21:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Missing piece Elite #10 or advanced #8. But Kanya has the talent to make that position his own. Really hope he's given and seizes the opportunity. Thoughts 👇" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2018431757310140601) 2026-02-02T21:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Wright to Dundee on loan 🏴 Perfect scouting opportunity: Luke Graham. LCB/LB left-footed Champ clubs circling. Exactly the profile we need long-term. If Panzo's a short-term solution. Graham could be the permanent answer. Hope we're ahead of the curve on this one 📊 The Club can confirm that Scott Wright has joined Dundee on loan. Everyone at Blues wishes Scott the best for his loan spell at Dens Park. https://t.co/Fsyhw2fYlz The Club can confirm that Scott Wright has joined Dundee on loan. Everyone at Blues wishes Scott the best for his loan spell at Dens Park. https://t.co/Fsyhw2fYlz" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2018435341921755236) 2026-02-02T21:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@MarkBcfc3 @bNinetyUK In terms of his output in Portugal he could be considered elite. Very good overall considering he. wasn't playing for one of the big [--] teams there" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2018771139305017398) 2026-02-03T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "THREAD 2/10 Quick note: FBRef lost Opta access harder to get data I can model. Working with WhoScored's public statsfocusing on passes key passes connectivity. I wrote about this recently: https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-number-10-paradox-why-birminghams https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-number-10-paradox-why-birminghams" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2019459485681541578) 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "THREAD 3/10 ELITE #8s (adv to #10 areas): Louza: [--] passes/g 87% [---] KeyP Hackney: [--] passes/g 86% [---] KP ACTUAL #10s: Nez: [--] passes/g 82% [---] KP Cantwell: [--] p/g 82% [---] KP BLUES: Stanno: [--] passes/g 69% [---] KP Ducksch: [--] passes/g 62% [---] KP Massive gap" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2019459488009388296) 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "THREAD 5/10 NOTE: I'd love to show passes RECEIVED data (how often they get the ball in dangerous zones) but FBRef is down. That would likely show Stansfield/Ducksch aren't getting on the ball in the right areas to function as #10s. Follow-up when data's back" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2019459490303631653) 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "THREAD 8/10 CRITICAL POINT: Birmingham are 3rd in xG table. This isn't a crisis. It's about OPTIMISATION. Improving central connectivity could transform a good attack into an elite one. Better angles less predictability less reliance on individual wide play brilliance" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2019459495663907125) 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "THREAD 9/10 Right now Davies is playing two strikers in that space or using best-fit personnel. Gets results (3rd in xG) but isn't optimised. The data shows the gap: Stansfield/Ducksch make HALF the passes of standard #10s. Central connectivity is fixable" [X Link](https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2019459497253601609) 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@ExpectedBham Expected Birmingham ⚽ | xB
Expected Birmingham ⚽ | xB posts on X about mls, in the, target, birmingham city the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [------] +394%
- [--] Month [-------] +27%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +71%
- [--] Month [--] +57%
Followers: [---] #
- [--] Week [---] +3.10%
- [--] Month [---] +57%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence mls #1252 finance 2% countries 2% la liga 2% travel destinations 1% premier league 1%
Social topic influence mls #680, in the 6%, target #2453, birmingham city 4%, data 4%, nycfc #57, finish #1885, play 3%, hope 3%, ligue 1 3%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @dave60776 @zigiclegend19 @grooveprovider @bluesbreakdown @ajh1972258480 @lemodfootball @andyjack83 @dannymoore8 @jplumby @markbcfc3 @bninetyuk @jeanbluesejour
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@Zigiclegend19 Nah. Sano Stayed at NEC. Apparently Forest and Ajax were in for him - 20m. Maybe I was a little ambitious thinking Blues could get him"
X Link 2026-02-07T22:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@dave60776 Neutral would have been a better term. But it's not at St Andrews which is the main point. We currently don't create many shots on target away from Stans"
X Link 2026-02-10T10:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Defensively excellent. Baggies had just one shot on target and offered very little. When they did threaten Blues handled it well"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Paik injured unknown severity. That leaves three CMs with Leonard on loan. Solis has an obligation to buy tied to appearances which could trigger before Blues fully assess him. Looked decent so far but has mainly faced lower Championship sides"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@GrooveProvider Really Fair enough. I can believe that. We can dream though"
X Link 2026-02-12T18:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Alex Freeman was on a longlist Id researched for #BCFC. Well stocked at RB anyway and hard to compete with Champions League Villarreal. Interested to see how he does. Another reminder: MLS is producing serious quality hopefully the Toms can exploit it 🚨 OFFICIAL Alex Freeman is a groguet ✅ The 21-year-old American right back arrives on a permanent transfer worth 5.5m from Orlando City and signs a contract with the club until [----] 📝 Welcome to Villarreal Alex 💛 https://t.co/awm0ECQ6it 🚨 OFFICIAL Alex Freeman is a groguet ✅ The 21-year-old American right back arrives on a permanent transfer"
X Link 2026-01-30T10:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Ahmed - just gone to Norwich (2G/3A in 3) McGlynn - Houston Dynamo Donkor - NY Red Bulls Arfsten - Columbus Crew Aaronson - Colorado Rapids Fernndez - NYCFC Costa - Portland Timbers Markovich - Charlotte Ferreira - Seattle Sounders Eile - NY Red Bulls"
X Link 2026-01-30T10:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Wrote about Fernandez last month. Joined Rosario on loan from NYCFC. Exciting prospect. Just turned [--]. However #BCFC well covered at RW now. https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first Julin Fernndez already has his first goal for Rosario Central. With Moussa Sylla failing his medical derailing his move from Schalke will #NYCFC come to regret loaning out the Argentine https://t.co/fqiSW1ajzb https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first Julin Fernndez already has his first goal for Rosario Central. With Moussa Sylla failing his medical"
X Link 2026-02-14T11:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Yacine Titraoui: 22-year-old engine [--] with elite defensive actions (8.45 tkl+int) and top percentile progressive passing. 6M for two-way stability not creativity. Only makes sense if creative outlets already in place. #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report"
X Link 2026-02-15T10:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Youssef Maziz: 27-year-old [--] posting 66th+ percentile metrics at relegation-threatened Leuven. Available on Bosman free transfer in the summer. Zero fee pure wage investment. A true [--] though too similar to Kanya #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/belgian-pro-league-double-scout-report"
X Link 2026-02-15T10:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Blues have the CREATORS: ✅ Roberts: Top-25 chances elite xA ✅ Gray: [--] big chances created ✅ Iwata/Doyle: Both top-50 chances ✅ Stansfield: Top-10 big chances But they can't FINISH when the chance arrives. That's the disconnect"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The Belgian Study's #1 finding: Shots on target from the penalty box predicts winning. Birmingham's split: 🏠 Home: 5.36/game (4th in Championship) ✈ Away: 2.38/game (24th - WORST) 55.6% drop. The capability existsthe execution doesn't"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"When Osman's loan ends Blues NEED a wide left finisher with 7.0+ xGOT. Two targets out of contract summer 2026: 🎯 Parfait Guiagon 🎯 Issa Soumare Both elite finishers who can cut inside and score"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Central midfielders who can: Break lines with progressive passing (like Hackney) Carry into dangerous areas (like Morris) Finish chances (7.0+ xGOT) Targets profiled: Alfie Devine Jack McGlynn Ryotaro Ito John Yeboah van de Kamp + more"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bimingham's current CMs don't provide: ❌ Paik: [---] xGOT limited progression ❌ Doyle: Creative but not elite at line-breaking ❌ Ducksch as 10: Mid-table creation (21 chances 101st) Opponents can ignore the middle. That's why attacks go wide by necessity"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Hull optimised the metric that predicts winning. Birmingham optimized metrics the model eliminated. One team is [--] places above their xPTS position. The other is [--] places below. Execution Creation. Full breakdown + what comes next: https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Possession doesn't predict winning. Pass completion doesn't predict winning. Expected goals don't predict winning. Belgian researchers tested [---] performance metrics. Only [--] survived. The #1 predictor It explains why Hull City are 4th and #BCFC are 10th"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements
"The home/away split is even more extreme: Home SoT: [----] per game (4th in Championship) Away SoT: [----] per game (24th - WORST IN DIVISION) That's a 55.6% drop-off. Way beyond normal home advantage. Same players completely different output"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The study found [--] more critical factors: Second-half physical intensity (not first half) Bench quality/squad depth (ranked 3rd overall) Direct play + counter-attacking phases Notice what's missing: possession stats pass completion first-half running"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Hull: Elite execution poor creation. #BCFC: Elite creation poor execution. Hull make their shots count. Blues waste theirs. 🔗The Belgian Study Blueprintwhat actually predicts wins: #BCFC #EFL https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what Possession doesn't predict winning. Pass completion doesn't predict winning. Expected goals don't predict winning. Belgian researchers tested [---] performance metrics. Only [--] survived. The #1 predictor It explains why Hull City are 4th and #BCFC are 10th. https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-belgian-study-blueprint-what Possession"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Just thought. Playoffs if it happens: away semi-final + Wembley final (away). Last season at Wembley vs Peterboro: [--] shts [--] on target lost 2-0. Crucial away fixtures coming that'll decide if we make playoffs. #BCFC need more shots on target away from home. Full stop. The home/away split is even more extreme: Home SoT: [----] per game (4th in Championship) Away SoT: [----] per game (24th - WORST IN DIVISION) That's a 55.6% drop-off. Way beyond normal home advantage. Same players completely different output. https://t.co/7NfzLxReg3 The home/away split is even more extreme: Home SoT: [----] per game"
X Link 2026-02-09T18:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Some thoughts after Blues 0-0 West Brom last night and the disappointment of that last-minute goal being disallowed. 🧵 Thought #BCFC were unlucky. Two big chances created and hit the post. On another night we win that"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I hope Kanya gets a run of games to influence the middle especially if Paik is out for a while. If he doesn't play now I can't see him ever playing"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Play can be slow. Going more direct could help but that probably means playing Priske and dropping one of Stansfield or Ducksch"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Denil Castillo: elite finishing efficiency (top 10% [----] goals per 90) with above-average creativity & defensive work. The limitation Bottom 35% for progressive carrying. 3-5M reflects potential but needs carriers around him. #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Thomas Jrgensen: elite in everything creative in Denmark top 10% for progressive carries xA and shot assists. [--] years old producing at mid-table Viborg. Needs defensive protection. #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/danish-superliga-central-midfielder"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Completely missed this. He was on my longlist of strikers from the MLS. Let's see how he does in Ligue [--] - $2.5m 23-year-old Canadian international Jacen Russell-Rowe is on his way to French Ligue [--] side Toulouse FC. Full story 📰: https://t.co/eQZH1eqj8K https://t.co/6Jj5UMx4HX 23-year-old Canadian international Jacen Russell-Rowe is on his way to French Ligue [--] side Toulouse FC. Full story 📰: https://t.co/eQZH1eqj8K https://t.co/6Jj5UMx4HX"
X Link 2026-02-14T22:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Really hope Kanya gets a start or at least [--] minutes in the [--] position today🤞"
X Link 2026-02-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Two Solutions Path 1: Hire a specialist shooting coach Hull lead Championship in accuracy (38.81%) despite fewer chances. Could it be coaching Path 2: Recruit 7.0+ xGOT players Summer [----] blueprint: [--] elite wide forward + 1-2 elite 8/10s"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"We go to the #MLS again. Max Arfsten: a progression-led wide profile. Carries over shots Creation over goals High defensive involvement What the data says about his role ceiling and translation risk #BCFC #EFL #Championship https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/max-arfsten-a-progression-led-wide https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/max-arfsten-a-progression-led-wide"
X Link 2026-01-07T19:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"A few more for the long list different profiles ages and risk levels 👇 Goto (Sint-Truiden / Anderlecht) Begraoui (Estoril) Lauritsen (Sparta Rotterdam) Nsimba (Dender) Ramrez (Nacional) Mubama (Stoke City/Man City) Kelsy (Portland Timbers) Gozo (Real Salt Lake)"
X Link 2026-01-08T16:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@blues_breakdown Doyle tops the model with Paik next. Doyle suits the deeper role imo but Id still like to see Paik get another run as an 8/10 the Bristol City game felt like a one-off. Wouldve liked to see Leonard Doyle and Paik together more often. Not to be it seems 😢"
X Link 2026-01-10T10:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Last #MLS wide forward Julin Fernndez as a #Championship profile: Creation-first wide forward Elite chance supply not goal volume Progression + connective value Def work rate above positional norms Full xB scouting report #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/julian-fernandez-a-creation-first"
X Link 2026-01-11T10:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Jack McGlynn is a bit of an American Bernardo Silva type can play wide but equally comfortable inside. Pass-first tempo control connector-led creativity rather than volume touches. Classy player. Full scouting breakdown here 👇 #MLS #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/two-mls-creators-two-very-different Resilient determined and hopeful Jack's ready to take on [----]. This is My Offseason My City with Jack McGlynn https://t.co/8i04GxOozq https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/two-mls-creators-two-very-different Resilient determined and hopeful Jack's ready to take on [----]. This is My Offseason"
X Link 2026-01-11T11:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Think Parfait Guiagon would be a strong fit for #BCFC too. Mentioned him in this Substack piece on raising the floor versatile wide / interior profile good age curve contract situation worth noting. 🔗 #BCFC #Championship #Transfers https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/raising-the-floor-what-smart-january Rangers 'set to battle it out with Philippe Clement's Norwich for Ivory Coast star as Gers make enquiry' https://t.co/9g7LixcXmt https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/raising-the-floor-what-smart-january Rangers 'set to battle it out with Philippe Clement's Norwich for Ivory Coast star as Gers"
X Link 2026-01-11T14:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"📈 Also rating highly in the data (no full write-up yet): Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia ACL injury) Theo Corbeanu (Toronto FC) Joseph Paintsil (LA Galaxy) Diego Luna (Real Salt Lake) Plenty of wide profiles in MLS worth monitoring. #BCFC #DataAnalytics"
X Link 2026-01-11T17:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@blues_breakdown Let me know if you remember - it'd be interesting to find out"
X Link 2026-01-12T16:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"🧵 Scout Report: Abdoulie Manneh Regardless of outcome an interesting player. 21-year-old Allsvenskan attacker. Not a winger. Not a [--]. A vertical shot-driving interior attacker built on carries & volume 👇 #BCFC #EFL #Allsvenskan"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Manneh is not a touchline winger or creative hub. His default actions: Carry forward Play vertically Shoot early Hes not asked to recycle or control tempo. Once the ball reaches him the expectation is momentum"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"What he reliably gives you: Territory progression (passes + carries) High shot volume & sustained pressure Duel + defensive buy-in Players who move the game up the pitch usually translate well especially in the Championship"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The trade-off and the unlock is shot selection not shooting appetite. [--] shots [--] goals [---] xG 32% on target The volume is fine. Upside comes from better timing & zones and choice selection"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"🧵 Jhon Sols to Birmingham City is an interesting signing but one that raises real questions about role risk and squad logic. This isnt about talent. Its about fit and sequencing. 👇 #BCFC #Championship"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"First: what Sols actually is. Ball-secure High pass accuracy Strong anticipation defensively Minimal final-third impact He profiles as a stabiliser not a creator. Structure-first low-error"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Usage matters. Across three seasons at Girona: No sustained run of starts Mostly rotation / late-game minutes Data shaped heavily by sub appearances The key issue isnt quality its uncertainty"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"That uncertainty matters in this league. We dont yet know: How he holds up over full 90s How his ball security scales with volume How quickly he adapts to a physical Championship This is a developmental profile not plug-and-play"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Now the context. Birmingham were already well stocked at 6/8 and appear to be moving on from Leonard a proven Championship-level midfielder. Thats where the logic starts to wobble"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Leonard is [--] Championship-tested defensively sound reliable in possession and cost 600k. Sols may cost 7m if an appearance-based obligation is triggered. Thats a big shift from certainty variance"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If Sols is a loan with time and optionality the move makes sense. If minutes are driven by squad scarcity and trigger a permanent deal early the risk profile changes completely"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This feels less like a judgement on Sols and more about priorities. Swapping certainty for potential can work. Doing so in a role where certainty wasnt obviously lacking is where the questions arise. Full breakdown https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/jhon-solis-and-birmingham-city-a https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/jhon-solis-and-birmingham-city-a"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Toms Cuello as a Championship option: Territorial carry-led wide forward Progression intensity & defensive work rate Volume-driven influence not a primary creator 5m market value Full xB scouting report #Championship #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/tomas-cuello-a-territorial-wide-forward https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/tomas-cuello-a-territorial-wide-forward"
X Link 2026-01-17T10:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Ajh1972258480 @LeModFootball Ive got no connection to the club ha just analysing roles usage and risk. Leonard is a known quantity; the new signing has upside but uncertainty. Thats the whole point of the Substack"
X Link 2026-01-17T11:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I mentioned McDonnell earlier. No deep dive but: [--] out of contract this summer arguably League Ones best defensive mid this season. Oxford likely paid a nominal fee. A #BCFC-usable profile U21 so no squad spot. Big value for #OUFC even if they go down. Good signing. Welcome Jamie McDonnell. 👏 We are delighted to announce the signing of Jamie McDonnell on a permanent transfer from Nottingham Forest. Welcome Jamie McDonnell. 👏 We are delighted to announce the signing of Jamie McDonnell on a permanent transfer from Nottingham Forest"
X Link 2026-01-18T18:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"🧵Ibrahim Osman 21-year-old Ghanaian wide forward Right-footed Left-side bias Feyenoord (loan) ➜ Auxerre (loan) ➜ Birmingham City (loan) This thread explains what Osman is how his data should be read and why the move makes sense 👇 #BCFC #EFL"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Osman is not a touchline winger or primary creator. His game is built on: Receiving wide driving inside Attacking central lanes Quick shots or combinations Aggressive pressing Value comes from ball progression + intensity not control"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"📊 Feyenoord (2024/25) context matters. Eredivisie: [--] starts [--] sub apps Champions League: [--] starts [--] sub apps Used mainly as a late-game impact sub in a dominant side. That framing is key when reading the radar"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Shot map supports this: Central box-weighted shots Few speculative efforts Goals broadly in line with xG He wasnt forcing shots he was arriving late into good areas"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"📉 Auxerre (Ligue [--] loan) = harder environment. [--] starts [--] sub apps Less possession More duels Less space Percentiles drop (expected) but the profile shape stays intact"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Key takeaway from Ligue 1: Carrying + defensive work still stand out Attacking efficiency drops [---] xG no goals That points to variance + adaptation not poor instincts or role confusion"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"⚠ Risks & expectations End product still inconsistent Not a guaranteed long-term starter Needs defined responsibilities But the floor is protected by carrying work rate and experience across systems"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Summary: Osman is a progression-first inside forward whose data is heavily shaped by usage context. For #BCFC: Low-risk loan Immediate depth upgrade No need to overstate what he is or must be right now. Full scouting breakdown https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/ibrahim-osman-scouting-report-and https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/ibrahim-osman-scouting-report-and"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Andyjack83 Doubt it. Don't think he's ever played there and his data suggests he not suited to it. Saw rumours we're in for Kendry Paez who plays the [--] / [--] role so looks like the club know we need someone there which is promising"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Role clarity matters. Priske is a penalty-box striker. Hes asked to finish attacks not build them. Central positioning Timing runs between CBs Shot responsibility He ends moves. He doesnt run them. #BCFC"
X Link 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"His scoring trajectory 👇 2023: [--] goals 2024: [--] goals 2025: [--] goals This is his first true breakout season. At [--] thats normal but it raises the key question: Is this repeatable #BCFC"
X Link 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Why the breakout isnt fluke-driven 👇 Priske averages 3+ shots per game mostly from central penalty-area zones. No reliance on long shots. No speculative volume. His chances come from where goals usually come from"
X Link 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is where Birminghams shot geography becomes key 👇 9th for penalty-area shots (7.0) 4th for six-yard box shots (1.6) 6th for shots from distance (5.3) The gap and potential is the penalty area. #BCFC"
X Link 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Most goals arent scored from: ❌ long range ❌ the six-yard box alone They come from sustained pressure inside the penalty area. Thats where Birmingham lag and where the biggest gains are"
X Link 2026-01-20T13:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"What kind of striker is August Priske really A simple breakdown of his game and what he needs to succeed at #BCFC. Full piece 👇 https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/august-priske-scouting-report https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/august-priske-scouting-report"
X Link 2026-01-20T17:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Wrexham being linked with Sikidi Cherif of Angers. Not totally convinced by the profile but Angers are a club worth watching in this market"
X Link 2026-01-22T18:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"For #BCFC the Angers midfielder Id have on a shortlist is Himad Abdelli (26). Algerian international creative 8/10 primary playmaker. Progression ball-carrying and final-third involvement all stand out"
X Link 2026-01-22T18:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Abdelli is attracting serious interest: Marseille and Lyon both keen. OM had an opening 2m+bonuses bid rejected Angers want 4m (6 months left on his deal). #BCFC cant compete at that club level but if theres any chance they should. Class act"
X Link 2026-01-22T18:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Hearts are top of the league. Marc Leonard wants a World Cup place. Earlier this season I looked at Leonard through two different lenses and both raised the same question. Ability wasnt the issue. Minutes were. #HeartsFC #BCFC 🧵"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"First: the anchor / #6 profile. I built a pure defensive midfield model for the Championship boring structural no glamour. Per [--] Leonard came out #1 in the league for disruption security and control. https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2004926428320858576 I promise this isnt because Im secretly Marc Leonard. But after building a pure CDM / anchor model for the Championship the data says Birmingham City already have the best defensive midfielder in the league (per 90). #BCFC #Championship 🧵 https://x.com/ExpectedBham/status/2004926428320858576 I promise this isnt because Im secretly Marc"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Separately I wrote a longer piece on Leonard as a ball carrier. Championship-wide he also profiled highly for: progressive carries advancing play under pressure linking defence to attack That carrier + anchor crossover is rare"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Tactically that gives Hearts flexibility. Leonard can: sit as a [--] and provide control / defensive stability play as an [--] carrying the ball forward operate as a hybrid 6/8 adapt his role in a double pivot Hes not locked to one position"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A title race is the perfect test. If Leonard can turn strong per-90 data into week-to-week control from the start he stops being an interesting profile and becomes a difference-maker"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Original deep dive here 👇 🔗 #HeartsFC #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/marc-leonard-underused-in-plain-sight https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/marc-leonard-underused-in-plain-sight"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Wycombe vs Peterborough at 3pm. Jamie Mullins vs Jimmy-Jay Morgan two young League One 8/10s solving the same connector role in very different ways. Carry-led vs circulation-led. Piece coming soon. #WycombeWanderers #PUFC #EFL #BCFC"
X Link 2026-01-24T13:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Danny_Moore8 Think you might be right but it just hasn't worked and you can only press so much. Harris WW Stanno Ducksh Dykes Doyle have all kinda played there but none have been very effective imo. Kanya can't even get a game - mainly due to his lack of pressing by look of it"
X Link 2026-01-24T22:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"8/10 The next few months will tell us everything: Does Vicente rotate with Roberts based on game state Or does he become a nailed-on starter in a system built around transitions width and box service One scenario is smart squad building. The other is a tactical revolution"
X Link 2026-01-26T19:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"9/10 I've written a full deep-dive on Vicente: -What the data actually shows -His strengths and massive limitations -Why this signing could define Birmingham's identity -The Patrick Roberts dilemma Full piece here 👇 https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/carlos-vicente-the-wide-man-birmingham https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/carlos-vicente-the-wide-man-birmingham"
X Link 2026-01-26T19:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"He's done it again. Looks a steal at 2m. A few weeks ago I suggested #BCFC go after Ahmed. Jack McGlynn was the other from #MLS. Ali Ahmed goal [--] g/a in his first [--] games for Norwich and gives them the 2-1 lead vs Coventry. His 2nd goal of the season. #CanMNT https://t.co/tJzWolgp2o Ali Ahmed goal [--] g/a in his first [--] games for Norwich and gives them the 2-1 lead vs Coventry. His 2nd goal of the season. #CanMNT https://t.co/tJzWolgp2o"
X Link 2026-01-26T22:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"If #BCFC are looking for a new striker I'd look at these closely: Sam Surridge - Nashville SC Idan Markovich - Charlotte Koki Ogawa - NEC Nijmegen Jess Ferreira - Seattle Sounders Darren Yapi - Colorado Rapids Koen Kostons - Zwolle Nacho Ferri - Westerlo"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:04Z [---] followers, 12.7K engagements
"That wraps up my #MLS wide players deep dive 👇 📌 Full profiles: Ali Ahmed Norwich City Jack McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) Max Arfsten (Columbus Crew) Julin Fernndez (NYCFC) Full reports here: #BCFC #Scouting https://xbirmingham.substack.com/ https://xbirmingham.substack.com/"
X Link 2026-01-11T17:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"1/10 #BCFC look set to sign Carlos Vicente from Deportivo Alavs. On paper it makes no sense they already have Patrick Roberts in his position. But this could be the most telling signing of their season. Here's why 🧵"
X Link 2026-01-26T19:44Z [---] followers, 29.8K engagements
"Birmingham NEC 👀 NEC have Kodai Sano a midfielder Im convinced is heading for a Big [--] league soon. Exceptional technician elite game intelligence La Liga / Bundesliga written all over him. Scouting deep dive #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/deep-dive-kodai-sano-full-scouting NEC wil het middenveld versterken met Willum Thr Willumsson. De IJslander die ooit furore maakte bij Go Ahead Eagles moet overkomen van Birmingham City. #necnijmegen https://t.co/LkbP3ztKHO https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/deep-dive-kodai-sano-full-scouting NEC wil het middenveld versterken met Willum Thr"
X Link 2026-01-27T20:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Sampsted Go Ahead Eagles (Breum [--] prob too Kanya) WW NEC (Sano outstanding [--] Big [--] trajectory) Hansson Excelsior (Yegoian exciting box-to-box) If I were #BCFC recruitment Id be watching these closely and keeping those Eredivisie links sweet 👀"
X Link 2026-01-27T20:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The bigger picture Blues are close to a complete squad. Add an 8/10 hybrid and a LCB and we have genuine promotion challengers - if not this season definitely next. The squad is being built"
X Link 2026-01-28T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Full tactical breakdown in the article - including the challenges trade-offs and what we still need in midfield (spoiler: an 8/10 hybrid). #BCFC https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/how-carlos-vicente-changes-birmingham https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/how-carlos-vicente-changes-birmingham"
X Link 2026-01-28T17:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@JPlumby_ According to FotMob - [--] out of last [--] you've played 3-4-3 Either way the point is Currie looks a hell of a LB at Champ level potentially going unnoticed by many"
X Link 2026-01-31T11:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/9 Birmingham also rank 3rd for blocked shots (148). Stansfield alone has [--] (joint 2nd in the league). This suggests rushed decisions poor angles andcriticallya lack of creativity to work better positions through central areas. #BCFC"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"4/9 I analysed 10s across multiple leaguesChampionship Primeira Liga Serie A Eredivisie La Liga MLS. The pattern is universal: genuine 10s (Scienza Nez Fujimoto) show elite attacking output and poor defensive data. It's the position itself. #BCFC"
X Link 2026-02-01T10:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"#BCFC winter window: Quietly excellent 📈 Priske - Box striker to attack crosses Vicente - Elite RW upgrade on Koumas feeds the #9 Osman - Upgrade on Keshi Solis - Solid midfield presence 🏴 Panzo - Left-footed CB depth & balance Addressed real needs"
X Link 2026-02-02T21:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Missing piece Elite #10 or advanced #8. But Kanya has the talent to make that position his own. Really hope he's given and seizes the opportunity. Thoughts 👇"
X Link 2026-02-02T21:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Wright to Dundee on loan 🏴 Perfect scouting opportunity: Luke Graham. LCB/LB left-footed Champ clubs circling. Exactly the profile we need long-term. If Panzo's a short-term solution. Graham could be the permanent answer. Hope we're ahead of the curve on this one 📊 The Club can confirm that Scott Wright has joined Dundee on loan. Everyone at Blues wishes Scott the best for his loan spell at Dens Park. https://t.co/Fsyhw2fYlz The Club can confirm that Scott Wright has joined Dundee on loan. Everyone at Blues wishes Scott the best for his loan spell at Dens Park. https://t.co/Fsyhw2fYlz"
X Link 2026-02-02T21:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MarkBcfc3 @bNinetyUK In terms of his output in Portugal he could be considered elite. Very good overall considering he. wasn't playing for one of the big [--] teams there"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"THREAD 2/10 Quick note: FBRef lost Opta access harder to get data I can model. Working with WhoScored's public statsfocusing on passes key passes connectivity. I wrote about this recently: https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-number-10-paradox-why-birminghams https://xbirmingham.substack.com/p/the-number-10-paradox-why-birminghams"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"THREAD 3/10 ELITE #8s (adv to #10 areas): Louza: [--] passes/g 87% [---] KeyP Hackney: [--] passes/g 86% [---] KP ACTUAL #10s: Nez: [--] passes/g 82% [---] KP Cantwell: [--] p/g 82% [---] KP BLUES: Stanno: [--] passes/g 69% [---] KP Ducksch: [--] passes/g 62% [---] KP Massive gap"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"THREAD 5/10 NOTE: I'd love to show passes RECEIVED data (how often they get the ball in dangerous zones) but FBRef is down. That would likely show Stansfield/Ducksch aren't getting on the ball in the right areas to function as #10s. Follow-up when data's back"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"THREAD 8/10 CRITICAL POINT: Birmingham are 3rd in xG table. This isn't a crisis. It's about OPTIMISATION. Improving central connectivity could transform a good attack into an elite one. Better angles less predictability less reliance on individual wide play brilliance"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"THREAD 9/10 Right now Davies is playing two strikers in that space or using best-fit personnel. Gets results (3rd in xG) but isn't optimised. The data shows the gap: Stansfield/Ducksch make HALF the passes of standard #10s. Central connectivity is fixable"
X Link 2026-02-05T17:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing