# ![@Enterprise69842 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2015592293554679808.png) @Enterprise69842 Enterprise Alpha

Enterprise Alpha posts on X about $nbis, market, ai, growth the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::2015592293554679808/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015592293554679808/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +194%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2015592293554679808/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015592293554679808/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -14%

### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2015592293554679808/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015592293554679808/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +41%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2015592293554679808/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2015592293554679808/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  [finance](/list/finance)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [financial services](/list/financial-services)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [social networks](/list/social-networks) 

**Social topic influence**
[$nbis](/topic/$nbis), [market](/topic/market), [ai](/topic/ai), [growth](/topic/growth), [$afrm](/topic/$afrm), [money](/topic/money), [$bl](/topic/$bl) #13, [target](/topic/target), [math](/topic/math), [beat](/topic/beat)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@babyfolio](/creator/undefined) [@retailmourinho](/creator/undefined) [@oguzerkan](/creator/undefined) [@mvcinvesting](/creator/undefined) [@yianisz](/creator/undefined) [@retail_mourinho](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (NBIS)](/topic/$nbis) [Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)](/topic/$afrm) [BlackLine, Inc. Common Stock (BL)](/topic/$bl) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO)](/topic/$apo) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [The Official [--] coin (76)](/topic/$76) [Fiserv, Inc. (FI)](/topic/$fi)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$GRPN Long Thesis: The "Hidden Asset" Arbitrage Entry: $16.77 (Deep Value) Target: $28 - $32 The market prices Groupon as a dying retailer ($650M Cap). The Reality: Its a cash-flowing marketplace hiding a $270M liquidatable asset on the balance sheet. We are buying a dollar for [--] cents. 🧵 👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2015605441972027399)  2026-01-26T01:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The "Chicago Model" The legacy business isn't bleeding; its pivoting. N. America Billings: +18% YoY. Strategy: Hyper-local sales allocation is driving 30%+ growth in test markets. We are paying 11x Free Cash Flow for a business that is growing double-digits again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2015606007863378404)  2026-01-26T02:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$NBIS Long Thesis: The "Infrastructure Arbitrage" Entry: $101.81 Target: $200+ Breaking: Nvidia just invested $2B in CoreWeave to build AI factories. The market is chasing CoreWeave. I am buying its undervalued twin: Nebius Group. Same GPU Infrastructure. Better Power Contracts (Missouri). Trading at a fraction of the multiple. The Thesis 🧵👇 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015796356175061400 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015796356175061400"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2015796356175061400)  2026-01-26T14:37Z [--] followers, 12.3K engagements


"Summary: I am buying a "Hardware Utility" at 5x [----] sales while the sector re-rates higher on the Nvidia news. The Trade: Long $NBIS. The Hedge: ClickHouse stake covers the downside. The Catalyst: Missouri power-on in Q2. Disclosure: Long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2015796944774308282)  2026-01-26T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$UNH: The "Lost Year" Thesis. Verdict: Dead Money. Target: $285 (Base Case). The narrative has officially shifted. UnitedHealth is no longer a "Compounder" (21x P/E). It is a "Turnaround Story" (16x P/E). Do not expect a V-shaped recovery. We are entering a 12-month "U-Shaped" grind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2016895887013007672)  2026-01-29T15:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The [----] Roadmap Q1 (The Flush): Re-testing $275 as the market digests the 0.09% rate proposal. Q2-Q3 (The Grind): Headlines will be ugly as they shed 1.5M members. Revenue contracts. Q4 (The Proof): Margins must hit 5.5% or the floor drops out. This is now a "Show Me" story. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016896131213775067 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016896131213775067"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2016896131213775067)  2026-01-29T15:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$AFRM: Quick Update - Entry: $70.21 - Current: $60.30 - View: Still high conviction. To me this is one of the biggest price vs. reality disconnects Ive seen in a while. Over the last [--] days Affirm started to look less like a simple BNPL/lending app and more like a long-term payments/financial infrastructure player. The market is clearly is miss this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2018098768449777993)  2026-02-01T23:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2) Credit quality concerns look overblown A big part of the bear case has been credit is going to blow up. But one thing worth noting: on Jan [--] Morningstar DBRS rated Affirms latest securitization AAA. That doesnt mean zero risk but it does suggest that the this is all subprime junk narrative is exaggerated in my opinion. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018099214916436307 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018099214916436307"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2018099214916436307)  2026-02-01T23:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Bottom line Im not looking at Affirm as a lender trading at $60. Im looking at it as a company building real distribution and partnerships (Fiserv + Expedia) with a path toward better funding economics over time. My rough targets (not financial advice): Short term: $75 if earnings calm the market down Longer term (2027): $150+ if the bank charter and scale story play out Im staying in and will be adding here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018099603774869650 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018099603774869650"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2018099603774869650)  2026-02-01T23:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$AMD: The Thesis is in Intact Price: $201 Target: $350 (End of 2026) Status: Buying the earnings dip. At $260 the price was built on "Hype" (hoping for a miracle Q1). At $201 the price is built on "Floor" (the actual business). The "Reset" is done. Here is why the path to $350 is actually healthier today than it was last week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019097983518638513)  2026-02-04T17:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The AI Roadmap is On Track The fear was a delay in the MI450/Helios cycle. The Reality: Management confirmed the OpenAI MI455 project is on track. We don't need the revenue today; we need it for the 2H [----] ramp. The timeline aligns perfectly with the "Supercycle" thesis. Jeff Pu's note confirms the "Golden Ticket" is safe. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019098215891472578 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019098215891472578"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019098215891472578)  2026-02-04T17:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$NBIS: The Google Signal If you thought the Supermicro earnings was good the Alphabet news is "Rocket Fuel." The Headline: Google just guided $175B - $185B in [----] Capex. This is nearly DOUBLE their [----] spend. Here is why this makes your Nebius shares more valuable tomorrow morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019168347561382006)  2026-02-04T21:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The Growth Acceleration Google Cloud revenue grew +48% (accelerating from 35%). The Inference: If a $70B run-rate giant is growing at 48% a nimble pure-play like Nebius can realistically target 200-300%. The "End User" is paying the bill. The demand is real"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019168586942882266)  2026-02-04T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$AFRM: The Earnings Setup Price: $59.48 (-4.31%) Sentiment: "Disaster" priced in. My Verdict: Relief Rally imminent. The market is selling fear (Jobless Claims). The data suggests a beat. Here are my "No BS" expectations for the 4:05 PM print"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019490476169351585)  2026-02-05T19:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ The Beat is Guaranteed Max Levchin is a conservative guide. Consensus: $1.06B Rev / $7.6B GMV. My Expectation: $1.10B+ Rev / $7.9B GMV. Why: Q4 (Oct-Dec) was a record holiday season. The "Recession" data (Jan Job Cuts) didn't hit these numbers yet. The rearview mirror is spotless. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019490605899083861 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019490605899083861"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019490605899083861)  2026-02-05T19:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Guidance Trap Expect conservative Q3 (Jan-Mar) guidance due to the macro headwinds. BUT: Watch for a Full Year Raise. The Expedia + Intuit revenue layers into the back half of [----]. This will cause the stock to rally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2019491016768930239)  2026-02-05T19:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The Week Ahead: The "Inflation" Test ⚠ Status: Cautious. Focus: CPI & Bond Yields. The "Earnings Euphoria" is over. Now we face the "Macro Reality." With the 10-Year Yield pinning at 4.206% the market is fragile. If CPI comes in hot this week the "Soft Landing" narrative breaks. Here is the Battle Plan for $AFRM $NBIS $AMD. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020581322444673226 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020581322444673226"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020581322444673226)  2026-02-08T19:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ The Macro Boss: CPI All eyes on the Inflation Print (CPI) this week. The Risk: Yields are already pushing the danger zone (4.206%). A hot print sends them to 4.30%+ which triggers an automated sell-off in Software/Fintech ( $AFRM $SQ). The Safe Haven: The Safe Haven: If yields rip capital rotates into "AI Infrastructure" ( $NBIS $NVDA) and flees "Long Duration" Software such as $ORCL. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020582433607794991 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020582433607794991"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020582433607794991)  2026-02-08T19:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ $AFRM: In "Repair Mode" The earnings drop was ugly but necessary. The "Holiday Hangover" guidance reset the bar. The Setup: We are looking for a Double Bottom around $57-$59. Action: Do NOT aggressively buy the open. Let the weak hands finish flushing out Monday morning. We want to see it hold $57 on volume before adding to the [----] thesis. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020582700093255817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020582700093255817"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020582700093255817)  2026-02-08T19:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ $NBIS: The General While Tech bled last week Nebius held firm. Why: The Google/Amazon Capex numbers put a floor under the stock. The "scarcity" of GPU power is now a confirmed fact. Strategy: If the market dips this is the first dip to buy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020582854099431503)  2026-02-08T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Summary: We are in a "Show Me" market. Defensive: Cash is fine while Yields are 4.206%. Aggressive: Watching $AMD $200 and $AFRM $57 for capitulation bounces. Don't be a hero on Monday morning. Let the Bond Market open first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020583067623022915)  2026-02-08T19:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Precisely. This is the core of my 'Lost Year' thesis for $UNH listed below. The 'Scare' was the drop to $275. The 'Wear' is the 12-month grind sideways as the multiple compresses from 21x (Growth) to 16x (Utility). Unless you have the patience for a 'U-Shaped' recovery and don't mind a 3.20% dividend yield this capital is better deployed elsewhere. https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2016895887013007672s=20 https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2016895887013007672s=20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020585273097322608)  2026-02-08T19:47Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Spot on. $UNH was the 'Canary in the Coal Mine. 'Retail treated the drop as a specific earnings miss. Institutions treated it as a Valuation Reset (Growth to Value). Now the rest of the market is waking up to the same math: When uncertainty rises and yields hit 4.206% the multiple on everything has to compress. 'Sitting on your hands' is a valid position. Cash pays you to wait. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020586470231486548 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020586470231486548"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020586470231486548)  2026-02-08T19:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Right chart wrong narrative. The bounce at $82 is valid technicals but the drop wasn't 'culture' it was Credit. The market is repricing $NFLX from a 'Tech Growth' stock (50x P/E) to a 'Media Utility' (25x P/E) because of the massive debt load from the Warner Bros. deal. You are buying the $80 level not because it's 'anti-woke' but because that's where the math hits 25x earnings. Trade the bounce but respect the debt. The Feb [--] tender deadline is the real catalyst. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020898594270966148 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020898594270966148"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020898594270966148)  2026-02-09T16:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@babyfolio Nebius has a $20B+ backlog. They don't need to hype a press release to pump the stock; they just need to turn on the power. I prefer a management team that is too busy deploying GPUs to tweet. Let the Q4 numbers do the talking on Thursday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020974030485061678)  2026-02-09T21:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"I agree Wall Street currently values $NBIS like a Data Center (Real Estate Multiple). Once execution proves the model they will value it like a GPU Cloud (Tech Multiple). That re-rate from 12x to 30x is how you get the multi-bagger return. We don't even need 'Physical AI' to win; we just need the $20B backlog to convert. The rest is bonus such as their stake in Clickhouse. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020974707181265101 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020974707181265101"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2020974707181265101)  2026-02-09T21:34Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"This is the 'Navigation System' for the AI rocket which is Nebius. $NBIS isn't just building concrete boxes anymore. They are building the Full Stack OS for agents. This moves the valuation from a 'Utility' multiple (15x) to a 'Platform' multiple (30x). Therefore if an agent runs on Nebius GPUs + Tavily Search + ClickHouse DB that customer is locked in forever. Paying $275M for 'Search Infrastructure' while Perplexity trades at $9B is absolute theft. Masterclass in capital allocation https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021235288295518710 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021235288295518710"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021235288295518710)  2026-02-10T14:50Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Paying $275M for 'Agentic Search' infrastructure is a steal when Perplexity is trading at $9B. This moves $NBIS from 'Commodity Hardware' (15x P/E) to a 'Full Stack Ecosystem' (30x P/E). They aren't just renting boxes anymore; they are building the OS for Agents. The moat just got wider. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021235815783805312 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021235815783805312"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021235815783805312)  2026-02-10T14:52Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"This is the 'Navigation System' for the AI rocket which is Nebius. $NBIS isn't just building concrete boxes anymore. They are building the Full Stack OS for agents. This moves the valuation from a 'Utility' multiple (15x) to a 'Platform' multiple (30x). Therefore if an agent runs on Nebius GPUs + Tavily Search + ClickHouse DB that customer is locked in forever. Paying $275M for 'Search Infrastructure' while Perplexity trades at $9B is absolute theft. Masterclass in capital allocation https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021236061330903468 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021236061330903468"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021236061330903468)  2026-02-10T14:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"It's not a 'what if'; it is highly probable. The $7-9B guidance is a Supply Constraint number (how fast can we plug in GPUs) not a Demand number (how much do customers want). Google's $185B Capex proves demand is infinite while the acquisition of Tavily adds a Software/SaaS revenue layer on top that wasn't in the original model. We are likely looking at a $10B+ run rate by [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021236510155022440 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021236510155022440"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021236510155022440)  2026-02-10T14:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The Credit Engine is Humming A buyout requires $2-3B in debt. Apollo's strong credit results prove that the lending windows are wide open and cheap. If credit markets were frozen the deal would be dead. They aren't. The "Financing Risk" for a $BL take-private is near zero"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021237611692540403)  2026-02-10T14:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ The Private Equity Profile Non-GAAP Operating Margins jumped to 24.7% (vs 18.1%). Free Cash Flow hit $134.9M. Translation: BlackLine is now a "Cash Machine" not a "Growth Rocket." This makes it perfect for Thoma Bravo/Clearlake. They buy cash flow leverage it and strip costs. The financial math for a buyout just got stronger. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430100210663459 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430100210663459"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021430100210663459)  2026-02-11T03:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Activist Ammo Management guided for 9% Growth in [----]. In software 9% is "Zombie Status." The Pitch: Engaged Capital will now go to Vanguard/BlackRock and say: "This Board has no plan for growth. We must sell the company to someone who can fix it."This weak guidance effectively hands the Activists the win for the May vote. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430298802634881 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430298802634881"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021430298802634881)  2026-02-11T03:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The Jobs Report: March is Dead. June is Locked. The Data: 130k Jobs Added + Negative Revisions. The Reaction: [--] year treasury yields to 4.168%. The market wanted a "Crisis Cut" in March. We got a "Soft Landing" delay to June. Here is why this trade-off is actually good for growth stocks like $NBIS and $AFRM https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021656708720799776 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021656708720799776"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021656708720799776)  2026-02-11T18:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2) Portfolio Impact $NBIS (Goldilocks): Perfect. Economy is strong enough to buy chips but not hot enough to spike rates. $AFRM (Frustrating): Needs lower rates for funding costs. The "ceiling" stays on until June"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021657043934097502)  2026-02-11T18:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"I agree The market is punishing the 'Crypto Miss' (-38%) but ignoring the 'Business Evolution.' The Real Story: - Crypto: Down (Cyclical/Volatile). - Options: +41% (Structural Growth). - EPS: $0.66 Beat (Efficiency). The diversification proves $HOOD isn't just a 'Bitcoin Company' anymore. At $76 you are buying a 52% Net Margin business at a discount. The thesis is actually healthier today than it was at $85 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021657992706281706 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021657992706281706"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021657992706281706)  2026-02-11T18:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"You are likely right: The revenue is small ($3M-$8M). But you are applying 'PE Math' to a 'Land Grab' deal. The Real Comp: Databricks bought MosaicML for $1.3B when they had $20M revenue (65x multiple). Why Because Tavily isn't a 'business' yet; it's the Default Driver for [--] Million+ monthly AI downloads. Nebius didn't pay $275M for the revenue. They paid it to own the 'Search Line of Code' inside every agent. In a Gold Rush you overpay for the only map store in town. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021658795919671414 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021658795919671414"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021658795919671414)  2026-02-11T18:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"I agree The market is punishing the 'Crypto Miss' (-38%) but ignoring the 'Business Evolution.' The Real Story: - Crypto: Down (Cyclical/Volatile). - Options: +41% (Structural Growth). - EPS: $0.66 Beat (Efficiency). The diversification proves $HOOD isn't just a 'Bitcoin Company' anymore. At $76 you are buying a 52% Net Margin business at a discount. The thesis is actually healthier today than it was at $85. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021659250569974020 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021659250569974020"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021659250569974020)  2026-02-11T18:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@retail_mourinho I'm unfortunately not. My fintech exposure is in $AFRM however if someone wanted to get in $HOOD now would be a good time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021674157810033146)  2026-02-11T19:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@oguzerkan I agree They Beat ARR ($1.25B). Capacity Sold Out. The market is selling the headline however the smart money is buying the backlog"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021998055365775763)  2026-02-12T17:21Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"$NBIS Q4 Earnings: The "B+" disguised as a "D" The Headlines: Missed Revenue ($227M). Widening Loss. The Reality: Beat ARR ($1.25B). Capacity Sold Out. The markets are selling the headline. The smart money is buying the backlog. Here is why the thesis of holding Nebius is actually stronger today than yesterday. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021998304351953084 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021998304351953084"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021998304351953084)  2026-02-12T17:22Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@mvcinvesting Here are my thoughts on $NBIS Q4 earnings 👇 https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021998304351953084s=20 $NBIS Q4 Earnings: The "B+" disguised as a "D" The Headlines: Missed Revenue ($227M). Widening Loss. The Reality: Beat ARR ($1.25B). Capacity Sold Out. The markets are selling the headline. The smart money is buying the backlog. Here is why the thesis of holding Nebius is https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021998304351953084s=20 $NBIS Q4 Earnings: The "B+" disguised as a "D" The Headlines: Missed Revenue ($227M). Widening Loss. The Reality: Beat ARR ($1.25B). Capacity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021999323731710304)  2026-02-12T17:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@yianisz I agree I gave a breakdown on my thoughts on $NBIS Q4 earnings below 👇 https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021998304351953084s=20 $NBIS Q4 Earnings: The "B+" disguised as a "D" The Headlines: Missed Revenue ($227M). Widening Loss. The Reality: Beat ARR ($1.25B). Capacity Sold Out. The markets are selling the headline. The smart money is buying the backlog. Here is why the thesis of holding Nebius is https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021998304351953084s=20 $NBIS Q4 Earnings: The "B+" disguised as a "D" The Headlines: Missed Revenue ($227M). Widening Loss. The Reality: Beat ARR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021999514887106741)  2026-02-12T17:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$AMD + $TCS (Tata) are partnering to deploy "Helios" across India. The Scale: Up to [---] MW of AI capacity. Until today the Bull Case rested on two legs: US Hyperscalers & Intel Market Share. This news adds the massive third leg: "Sovereign AI." Here is the breakdown of the $5 Billion signal hiding in plain sight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431374720348629)  2026-02-16T16:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ The "200 MW" Math Let's translate power into dollars. Volume: [---] MW [----] Racks (at 100kW density). Price: An AMD Helios rack (Chips + Networking) sells for $2.5M. Total Addressable Market: $5 Billion. This won't happen overnight but it represents a $5B pipeline from one partnership in one country. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431670985011374 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431670985011374"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431670985011374)  2026-02-16T16:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Game Theory Squeeze Apollo called [----] a "Buyer's Market." The Tension: If giants like Apollo/Thoma are aggressively hunting Clearlake (who owns 9.6% of $BL) gets nervous. They cannot afford to let an outsider swoop in and steal "their" asset. Competitive tension drives the premium to $70+ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021237723223224584 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021237723223224584"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Enterprise69842/status/2021237723223224584)  2026-02-10T15:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Sovereign Shield Everyone asks: "What if Amazon stops spending" The Hedge: Nations (India) are distinct buyers from Corporations. India isn't building AI to sell ads; they are building it for National Sovereignty (Govt Services Local LLMs). This demand is sticky. It doesn't get cut because of a bad quarter on Wall Street. This insures your portfolio against a US tech recession. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431781035159680 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431781035159680"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431781035159680)  2026-02-16T16:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$BL Post-Earnings: The Floor is Safe The Ceiling is Delayed The earnings report was a "Double-Edged Sword." Bullish: Margins hit 25% (Cash Machine). Bearish: Growth guided to 9% (Zombie Status). The "Early Sale" is off the table. Here is the new roadmap to the exit $BL Thesis Update: The "Macro Green Light" The Signal: Apollo ( $APO) earnings just confirmed the Buyout Supercycle. While everyone looks at the $BL chart I am looking at the Private Equity balance sheets. Here is why Apollo's $938 Billion matters for your BlackLine trade $BL Thesis Update: The "Macro Green Light" The Signal:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021429731774824742)  2026-02-11T03:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$BL Thesis Update: The "Macro Green Light" The Signal: Apollo ( $APO) earnings just confirmed the Buyout Supercycle. While everyone looks at the $BL chart I am looking at the Private Equity balance sheets. Here is why Apollo's $938 Billion matters for your BlackLine trade tonight https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021237387762823177 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021237387762823177"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021237387762823177)  2026-02-10T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Summary: This solidifies the $350 Target. Remember when Arista's CEO said AMD is grabbing 20-25% of deployments This is exactly what she meant. The market sees "India Partnership." I see Hard Cash and System Validation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023432001437782183)  2026-02-16T16:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"1) The problem with retail trading isnt "lack of alpha." Its lack of logic. I spend my days in Enterprise Tech Sales watching where companies actually spend money. I spend my nights trading that edge. I don't buy hype. I buy the infrastructure businesses need to survive. 2) I am launching this public journal to document the journey to a verified $1M portfolio. No "YOLO" bets. No hindsight screenshots. No courses. Just clean risk-managed execution and raw transparency. 3) The "Business OS" Thesis (My Core 4): I invest in the essential pipes of the economy: The Brain: High-performance Compute"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2015601531907604633)  2026-01-26T01:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$AMD + $TCS (Tata) are partnering to deploy "Helios" across India. The Scale: Up to [---] MW of AI capacity. Until today the Bull Case rested on two legs: US Hyperscalers & Intel Market Share. This news adds the massive third leg: "Sovereign AI." Here is the breakdown of the $5 Billion signal hiding in plain sight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431374720348629)  2026-02-16T16:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Summary: This solidifies the $350 Target. Remember when Arista's CEO said AMD is grabbing 20-25% of deployments This is exactly what she meant. The market sees "India Partnership." I see Hard Cash and System Validation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023432001437782183)  2026-02-16T16:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"4/ The Sales Leverage TCS isn't just a customer; they are a Salesforce. By creating a "Helios Blueprint" TCS can now go to thousands of enterprise clients globally and say: "Here is the pre-packaged AI solution. It uses AMD." AMD just bypassed hiring [----] sales reps. TCS does the selling for them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431878473035843)  2026-02-16T16:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Sovereign Shield Everyone asks: "What if Amazon stops spending" The Hedge: Nations (India) are distinct buyers from Corporations. India isn't building AI to sell ads; they are building it for National Sovereignty (Govt Services Local LLMs). This demand is sticky. It doesn't get cut because of a bad quarter on Wall Street. This insures your portfolio against a US tech recession. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431781035159680 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431781035159680"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431781035159680)  2026-02-16T16:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ The "200 MW" Math Let's translate power into dollars. Volume: [---] MW [----] Racks (at 100kW density). Price: An AMD Helios rack (Chips + Networking) sells for $2.5M. Total Addressable Market: $5 Billion. This won't happen overnight but it represents a $5B pipeline from one partnership in one country. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431670985011374 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023431670985011374"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431670985011374)  2026-02-16T16:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ Helios is Real The most critical word in the press release is "Helios." The Fear: Bears claimed AMD could make a chip (MI300) but not a full "Rack-Scale System" like Nvidia. The Reality: Asia's largest IT services company just selected Helios as the blueprint for Indias national infrastructure. You don't sign a deal for [---] MW on a product that doesn't work. The system is ready for prime time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023431510368432566)  2026-02-16T16:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$NBIS Q4 Earnings: The "B+" disguised as a "D" The Headlines: Missed Revenue ($227M). Widening Loss. The Reality: Beat ARR ($1.25B). Capacity Sold Out. The markets are selling the headline. The smart money is buying the backlog. Here is why the thesis of holding Nebius is actually stronger today than yesterday. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021998304351953084 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021998304351953084"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021998304351953084)  2026-02-12T17:22Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Summary The risk has shifted from "Demand" (Will anyone buy) to "Execution" (Can they build fast enough). Short Term: Dead money in the $75$85 range as momentum traders exit. Long Term: The path to $7B$9B ARR is locked. You are buying a company that is sold out of product and has customers paying for its expansion. Verdict: Buy the Dip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021998880087585159)  2026-02-12T17:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Dilution Killer The biggest bear case was: "They are burning $2B/quarter; they will dilute us to zero." The Bombshell: COO Ofir Naveh confirmed 60% of [----] Capex is funded by customer prepayments. Translation: The customers (likely Microsoft/Meta) are paying for the construction. This dramatically lowers the need for new stock issuance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021998736885657691)  2026-02-12T17:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ The Real Number: $1.25 Billion ARR This is the leading indicator the market missed. Guidance: $0.9B $1.1B. Actual: $1.25B. Beating the high end by 15% proves the sales team is crushing it. Revenue tells you what they billed; ARR tells you what they signed. The growth engine is accelerating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021998603493835009)  2026-02-12T17:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ The Revenue Miss (Noise) They missed revenue by $15M. Why: In infrastructure revenue is "lumpy." If a data hall finishes [--] weeks late revenue slides from Q4 to Q1. The Proof: Management confirmed Q3 Q4 and Q1 [----] are Sold Out. They aren't missing because of demand; they are missing because of the physics of pouring concrete. Demand Supply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021998434983580086)  2026-02-12T17:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The Jobs Report: March is Dead. June is Locked. The Data: 130k Jobs Added + Negative Revisions. The Reaction: [--] year treasury yields to 4.168%. The market wanted a "Crisis Cut" in March. We got a "Soft Landing" delay to June. Here is why this trade-off is actually good for growth stocks like $NBIS and $AFRM https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021656708720799776 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021656708720799776"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021656708720799776)  2026-02-11T18:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Summary We traded "Immediate Relief" for "Long-Term Safety." If we got the March Cut (because of a crash) your stocks would have dropped -10% on recession fear first. The Play: Stop watching the Fed for [--] weeks. Focus entirely on Earnings Execution. All eyes on $NBIS tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021657159017374130)  2026-02-11T18:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2) Portfolio Impact $NBIS (Goldilocks): Perfect. Economy is strong enough to buy chips but not hot enough to spike rates. $AFRM (Frustrating): Needs lower rates for funding costs. The "ceiling" stays on until June"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021657043934097502)  2026-02-11T18:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"1) Why June is Locked The government quietly revised past months downward. They admitted: "The economy was weaker in late [----] than we told you." The Signal: The Fed sees this. They know the 130k headline is likely overstated too. They will spend the next [--] months pivoting language from "Fighting Inflation" to "Supporting Growth.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021656887024881827)  2026-02-11T18:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$BL Post-Earnings: The Floor is Safe The Ceiling is Delayed The earnings report was a "Double-Edged Sword." Bullish: Margins hit 25% (Cash Machine). Bearish: Growth guided to 9% (Zombie Status). The "Early Sale" is off the table. Here is the new roadmap to the exit $BL Thesis Update: The "Macro Green Light" The Signal: Apollo ( $APO) earnings just confirmed the Buyout Supercycle. While everyone looks at the $BL chart I am looking at the Private Equity balance sheets. Here is why Apollo's $938 Billion matters for your BlackLine trade $BL Thesis Update: The "Macro Green Light" The Signal:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021429731774824742)  2026-02-11T03:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$BL Thesis Update: The "Macro Green Light" The Signal: Apollo ( $APO) earnings just confirmed the Buyout Supercycle. While everyone looks at the $BL chart I am looking at the Private Equity balance sheets. Here is why Apollo's $938 Billion matters for your BlackLine trade tonight https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021237387762823177 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021237387762823177"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021237387762823177)  2026-02-10T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ The Timeline Shift Old View: Early Settlement (March). New View: Proxy War (May). The Schedule: - Feb-Apr: "Dead Money" / Legal insults. - May: The Annual Meeting (The Vote). - June-July: Forced Sale (Post-Activist Win)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021430671026307421)  2026-02-11T03:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ The Activist Ammo Management guided for 9% Growth in [----]. In software 9% is "Zombie Status." The Pitch: Engaged Capital will now go to Vanguard/BlackRock and say: "This Board has no plan for growth. We must sell the company to someone who can fix it."This weak guidance effectively hands the Activists the win for the May vote. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430298802634881 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430298802634881"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021430298802634881)  2026-02-11T03:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ The Private Equity Profile Non-GAAP Operating Margins jumped to 24.7% (vs 18.1%). Free Cash Flow hit $134.9M. Translation: BlackLine is now a "Cash Machine" not a "Growth Rocket." This makes it perfect for Thoma Bravo/Clearlake. They buy cash flow leverage it and strip costs. The financial math for a buyout just got stronger. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430100210663459 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021430100210663459"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021430100210663459)  2026-02-11T03:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ The "Hidden Floor" Ignore the headline. Look at the buyback data. The Board repurchased 0.6M shares last quarter at an average of $56.33. The Signal: If insiders were buying aggressively at $56 they know the stock is a steal at $43. This sets a massive "invisible floor" under your trade. The company is betting on itself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021429942248935559)  2026-02-11T03:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

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