#  @EdgeboardPicks Edgeboard Picks Edgeboard Picks posts on X about nba, model, market, daily the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::2003280282108198914/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] -28% - [--] Month [------] +197% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2003280282108198914/posts_active)  ### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2003280282108198914/followers)  - [--] Week [--] +2.70% - [--] Month [--] +65% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2003280282108198914/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [nba](/list/nba) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [ncaa basketball](/list/ncaa-basketball) #1852 [ncaa football](/list/ncaa-football) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [musicians](/list/musicians) [nfl](/list/nfl) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) **Social topic influence** [nba](/topic/nba), [model](/topic/model), [market](/topic/market), [daily](/topic/daily), [summary](/topic/summary) #1023, [feb](/topic/feb), [february](/topic/february), [edges](/topic/edges), [pace](/topic/pace), [fort wayne](/topic/fort-wayne) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@new](/creator/undefined) [@charlotte](/creator/undefined) [@washington](/creator/undefined) [@arkansaslittle](/creator/undefined) [@denver](/creator/undefined) [@orlando](/creator/undefined) [@philadelphia](/creator/undefined) [@boston](/creator/undefined) [@oklahoma](/creator/undefined) [@le](/creator/undefined) [@west](/creator/undefined) [@utah](/creator/undefined) [@miami](/creator/undefined) [@los](/creator/undefined) [@houston](/creator/undefined) [@marylandeastern](/creator/undefined) [@clemson](/creator/undefined) [@duquesne](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "🏀 CBB is back. Model found [--] playable edges today after filtering the board: Oregon St / Santa Clara Under [---] (1.0u) Loyola Marymount +8.5 (0.5u) Seattle +0.5 (0.5u) Full breakdown 👉 #CollegeBasketball #NCAAB #SportsBetting https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2005289875046822336) 2025-12-28T14:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Recap Strong day for NBA. ✅ Nets vs Nuggets Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Lakers vs Grizzlies Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Heat vs Pelicans Under [-----] (0.5u) Record: [--] Units: +1.82u Model read pace and efficiency correctly across all three games. Good balance between high-total fade spots and one clear over. On to tomorrow. #NBA #NBATotals #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008046028210020409 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008046028210020409" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2008046028210020409) 2026-01-05T05:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Last [--] Days Recap Dec [--] Jan [--] Overall Record: [----] Net Units: +3.38u Total Risk: 13.5u ROI: +25.0% Daily Breakdown Dec 29: [--] (+2.73u) Dec 30: [--] (-1.18u) Dec 31: [--] (+0.66u) Jan 1: [---] (+0.90u) Jan 2: [--] (+1.36u) Jan 3: [--] (-0.59u) Jan 4: [--] (-0.50u) Disciplined volume. Transparent tracking. Process stays the same. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #CBBPicks #DataDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008246417240830297 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008246417240830297" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2008246417240830297) 2026-01-05T18:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap for 1/6 Louisville vs Duke Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ GW +3.0 (0.5u) ❌ Nevada vs San Diego State Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary: Record: [--] Net Units: -0.55u Numbers were there on the under. Back to scanning the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #DataDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008879933385220563 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008879933385220563" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2008879933385220563) 2026-01-07T12:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mens CBB Picks Jan [--] Here are todays official Edgeboard CBB plays. Units listed per play. Fort Wayne Mastodons +5.5 (0.25u) Model projects Fort Wayne much closer than the market implies. With points in hand this profiles as a one to two possession game where late variance favors the underdog. Edge is present but not large so stake is smaller. Fordham vs George Mason Over [-----] (0.5u) Model total is significantly higher than the market number. This total can clear with modest efficiency if the game stays competitive and avoids extended scoring droughts. Free throw volume and shot quality both" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2008957807526060531) 2026-01-07T17:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Model Performance Recap Dec [--] [----] Jan [--] [----] Overall Record: [----] Net Units: +1.34u Total Risk: 12.5u ROI: +10.7% Daily Breakdown Dec 30: [--] (+0.41u) Dec 31: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 1: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 2: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 3: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 4: [--] (+1.82u) Jan 5: [--] (-0.05u) Jan 6: [--] (+1.36u) Disciplined volume. Transparent tracking. Process stays the same. #NBA #Basketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #NBAPicks #DataDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009045043001106710 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009045043001106710" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009045043001106710) 2026-01-07T23:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "CBB Recap Jan [--] Results from todays Edgeboard CBB card. ✅ Fort Wayne +5.5 (0.25u) ✅ UAB vs FAU Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Fordham vs George Mason Over [-----] (0.5u) Record: [--] Units: +0.18u Two of three cashed with Fordham the only miss on the slate. Model edges continue to show up on sides and unders. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edges #Edgeboard https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009236637583085683 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009236637583085683" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009236637583085683) 2026-01-08T12:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "NBA Recap Jan [--] Results from todays Edgeboard NBA card. ❌ Celtics vs Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Knicks vs Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Warriors vs Bucks Under [-----] (0.5u) Record: [--] Units: -0.45u Clippers were the lone cover on the slate. Volume stayed controlled and edges remain consistent despite a down night. #NBA #NBABetting #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009237285133332684 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009237285133332684" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009237285133332684) 2026-01-08T12:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "NBA Picks Jan [--] Here are todays official Edgeboard NBA plays. Units listed per play. Top Pick #1 Denver vs Atlanta Over [-----] (1.0u) The model projects a significantly higher scoring environment than the market total. Atlanta games tend to push pace and shot volume while Denvers offensive efficiency and free throw pressure support sustained scoring. If this stays competitive into the fourth the foul game adds meaningful over equity. Top Pick #2 Brooklyn vs LA Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) The market total sits several points below the model projection. This profiles as a steady scoring game" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009646312988307657) 2026-01-09T15:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mens CBB Picks Jan [--] Bradley vs Northern Iowa Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects a significantly higher total than the market suggesting pace and offensive efficiency are being underpriced. Wagner vs Mercyhurst Over [-----] (0.5u) This total sits well below the model projection and even average efficiency with late-game fouling is enough to push it over. Baylor vs Houston Over [-----] (0.5u) The projection implies the market is underestimating scoring in a tight high-profile matchup where late free throws add upside. All plays: 0.5u each Total exposure: 1.5u #CBB #CollegeBasketball" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2010047059588472994) 2026-01-10T17:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mens CBB Recap Jan [--] Bradley vs Northern Iowa Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Wagner vs Mercyhurst Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Baylor vs Houston Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Record: [--] Units: +0.41u Solid card overall with two totals clearing and one miss. Back to work for the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010206342628233539 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010206342628233539" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2010206342628233539) 2026-01-11T04:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Mens CBB Model Picks (Jan 11) Top Pick #1 North Texas +6.5 (0.5u) The model projects North Texas as the stronger team outright making this a clear underdog value spot if the game stays slow and half-court driven. Top Pick #2 Fort Wayne +5.0 (0.5u) Fort Wayne grades closer to a pickem than a 5-point dog and avoiding turnover spikes keeps multiple cover paths live. Top Pick #3 Already started but w as on the website. All plays: 1.0u Data-driven edges only #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven http://edgeboard.app http://edgeboard.app" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2010409011640680516) 2026-01-11T17:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "NBA Picks Jan [--] Nuggets vs Bucks Over [-----] (1.0u) Large model gap driven by efficient half-court scoring on both sides with late-game fouling adding upside in a competitive script. Magic vs Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) Projected pace and scoring efficiency clear the market number with free throws and end-game possessions providing a cushion. Kings vs Rockets Over [-----] (0.5u) Tempo and transition volume push the model well above the total creating upside even if one team controls stretches of the game. All plays: 2.0u total Data-driven edges only. #NBA #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2010410310642086193) 2026-01-11T17:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mens CBB Recap Jan [--] North Texas +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ Fort Wayne +5.0 (0.5u) ✅ Saint Josephs +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ Record: [--] Units: +0.40u Solid underdog spots cash while one pace-control miss keeps it from a sweep. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010714017178829011 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010714017178829011" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2010714017178829011) 2026-01-12T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Jackson St +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ SE LA vs New Orleans Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Coppin St vs SC St Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: +0.41u" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2010916603735560423) 2026-01-13T03:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 Mens CBB Model Picks (Jan 13) Top Pick #1 Georgetown +9.0 (0.5u) The model prices this much closer to a one to two possession game giving Georgetown multiple cover paths if they can defend and avoid extended scoring droughts. Top Pick #2 Indiana +7.0 (0.5u) Rivalry-style matchup compresses margins and the model projects a near one-possession game where points carry extra value. Top Pick #3 Buffalo vs Kent State Under [-----] (0.5u) The projection sits well below the market total and at this number even modest pace control or a cold stretch is enough to keep scoring under. #CBB" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2011203965824778680) 2026-01-13T22:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Model Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Rockets vs Bulls Over [-----] (1.0u) Houstons pace and transition volume push the projection well above market with garbage-time and late fouling keeping scoring afloat even in a lopsided script. Top Pick #2 Lakers vs Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) Atlantas up-tempo profile pairs with the Lakers rim pressure and free-throw generation to raise the scoring floor in a competitive environment. Top Pick #3 Warriors vs Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) Golden States high 3PA rate and Portlands defensive volatility create multiple scoring paths without requiring elite" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2011206401742295223) 2026-01-13T22:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Georgetown +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ Indiana +7.0 (0.5u) ❌ Buffalo vs Kent State Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary: Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u One side gets there two miss. Volume stayed tight edges remain selective. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011436220493009014 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011436220493009014" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2011436220493009014) 2026-01-14T13:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Rockets vs Bulls Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Lakers vs Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Warriors vs Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary: Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.0u Net Units: +0.87u Two totals cash one misses. Profit day. On to the next slate. #NBA #NBABetting #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011437087053029717 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011437087053029717" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2011437087053029717) 2026-01-14T13:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Picks Jan [--] Monmouth vs Drexel Over [-----] (0.5u) NJIT +6.5 vs UMass Lowell (0.5u) Eastern Kentucky +7.5 vs Austin Peay (0.25u) Model continues to highlight value on underdogs in tight projected games with one total where the market is materially underpricing pace and efficiency. Stakes remain disciplined with edge-weighted sizing. On to tip-off. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011884550423445534 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011884550423445534" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2011884550423445534) 2026-01-15T19:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Monmouth vs Drexel Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ UMass Lowell vs NJIT NJIT +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky EKU +7.5 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.25u Net Units: +0.18u Spreads did the work total ran cold. Underdog value showed up again. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #SpreadValue #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012197778655436967 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012197778655436967" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2012197778655436967) 2026-01-16T16:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 16) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] Boise State vs Colorado State Stake: [---] Unit Model projects a materially higher scoring environment than market pricing driven by improved possession flow and shot efficiency. Both teams can generate transition chances and avoid prolonged scoring droughts with late-game fouling adding upside. Top Pick #2 Under [-----] Kent State vs Toledo Stake: [---] Unit This total is priced for an extreme pace and efficiency profile that the model does not support. At this number even moderate shooting regression or a half-court stretch pulls the" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2012200182599815526) 2026-01-16T16:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 16) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] Rockets vs Timberwolves Stake: [--] Unit Model shows a clear scoring edge with both teams capable of sustaining offense through half-court efficiency and secondary possessions. A competitive spread supports late-game fouling and added possessions raising the scoring floor into the mid-220s. Top Pick #2 Over [-----] Raptors vs Clippers Stake: [---] Unit Market pricing underrates baseline pace and scoring efficiency on both sides. Even average tempo with normal shot-making and free-throw volume is enough to push this total past the low-216" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2012200554294911040) 2026-01-16T16:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Boise State vs Colorado State Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Kent State vs Toledo Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Ohio [----] vs Ball State (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u The total cashes as projected sides dont cooperate. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012518384294896042 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012518384294896042" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2012518384294896042) 2026-01-17T13:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Nuggets vs Wizards Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Knicks vs Suns Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Warriors vs Hornets Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 2.0u Net Units: -0.09u Top play cashed smaller edges ran into variance. Process stays the same. On to the next slate. #NBA #NBABetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012876251321565610 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012876251321565610" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2012876251321565610) 2026-01-18T13:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 18) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] San Francisco vs Washington State Stake: [---] Unit Model projects a higher possession count and more efficient scoring than the market implies. Both teams can generate scoring runs and a competitive spread supports full-game offense and late fouling. Top Pick #2 Over [-----] Tulane vs North Texas Stake: [--] Unit Market total sits well below the models baseline. Even average shooting with normal tempo clears this number and a tight spread increases endgame scoring equity. Top Pick #3 Milwaukee +3.0 Fort Wayne vs Milwaukee Stake: [----] Unit" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2012933104990654711) 2026-01-18T17:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] San Francisco vs Washington State Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Tulane vs North Texas Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Milwaukee vs Fort Wayne Milwaukee +3.0 (0.25u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.75u Net Units: -0.80u One total clears the rest fall short. Back to the board for the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013264161849942185 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013264161849942185" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2013264161849942185) 2026-01-19T14:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Nuggets vs Hornets Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Rockets vs Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Bulls vs Nets Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 2.0u Net Units: -1.05u One total gets there but the higher exposure misses. On to the next slate. #NBA #NBABetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013265106155581483 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013265106155581483" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2013265106155581483) 2026-01-19T14:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 19) Top Pick #1 Under [-----] Brown vs Cornell Stake: [---] Unit The model projects a materially slower and less efficient game than the market implies. Ivy matchups often suppress transition opportunities and force half-court execution creating downside risk to scoring unless both teams shoot exceptionally well. Top Pick #2 GW Revolutionaries +3.0 George Mason vs George Washington Stake: [---] Unit The model makes this closer to a coin-flip while the market prices GW as a clear underdog. Taking the points provides value in a game where late-game variance and" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2013266417810878953) 2026-01-19T15:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 19) Top Pick #1 Under [-----] Warriors vs Heat Stake: [--] Unit Miamis slower pace and half-court control suppress possession count while Golden States efficiency drops against disciplined defenses. The model projects a materially lower median outcome than market pricing. Top Pick #2 Over [-----] Knicks vs Mavericks Stake: [---] Unit Shot volume and free-throw creation support an elevated scoring baseline. A wide spread still allows for sustained offensive pressure and late-game scoring. Top Pick #3 Over [-----] Nets vs Suns Stake: [---] Unit Phoenixs half-court" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2013269414028701794) 2026-01-19T15:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Brown vs Cornell Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ George Mason vs GW +3.0 (0.5u) ❌ Siena vs Fairfield +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u The primary total comes through cleanly but both sides fall short. Process stays consistent. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013626246387609892 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013626246387609892" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2013626246387609892) 2026-01-20T14:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 East Carolina +10.0 (0.5u) Model sees North Texas as over-favored projecting a much tighter game than the double-digit line implies. ECUs half-court profile and pace control keep this within reach if they limit turnover runs. Top Pick #2 Florida Gulf Coast +7.5 (0.25u) Lipscombs edge is overstated in this range. FGCUs rebounding and ball security profile supports a competitive script where covering requires only average offensive execution. Top Pick #3 Buffalo vs Massachusetts Under [-----] (1.0u) Model projects a materially lower scoring environment driven" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2014732775052419502) 2026-01-23T16:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Bucks vs Nuggets Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.0u Net Units: -1.00u Number never materialized despite the projection edge. Variance showed up early and pace never fully recovered. Process stays the same. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015068799314079834 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015068799314079834" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015068799314079834) 2026-01-24T14:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] East Carolina +10.0 (0.5u) ✅ Florida Gulf Coast +7.5 (0.25u) ❌ Buffalo vs UMass Under [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.75u Net Units: +1.11u Underdog sides split but the higher-leverage total did the work. Solid rebound after recent variance. Process stays the same. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015069095230664997 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015069095230664997" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015069095230664997) 2026-01-24T14:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 24) Top Pick #1 North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5 vs Virginia Stake: [---] Unit The model shows Virginia overpriced as a near touchdown favorite projecting a much tighter game. Taking the points captures strong cover equity in a matchup that profiles as one to two possessions deep into the second half. Top Pick #2 Under [-----] Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Stake: [---] Unit The projected total sits well below market driven by slower expected pace and inefficient shot quality on both sides. Any regression in finishing or turnover-driven empty possessions keeps this" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015094006632394956) 2026-01-24T16:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] North Carolina +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Lindenwood vs Tennessee St Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Incarnate Word vs Texas A&M-CC Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: +0.41u Sides did their job the total misses. Process holds. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015231691233595781 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015231691233595781" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015231691233595781) 2026-01-25T01:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Chicago State +9.5 vs Mercyhurst (0.5u) Buying points well beyond the model margin in a game projected near a coin flip. The number provides cushion against normal shooting variance and late-game noise. Fort Wayne [----] vs IUPUI (0.5u) Model shows Fort Wayne as the clearly better side despite the market pricing this near even. Laying a short number stays inside a one to two possession outcome. Southern Illinois [----] vs Evansville (0.5u) The Salukis project a few points stronger than the current line with the edge driven by half-court execution and defensive control." [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015455099930190068) 2026-01-25T16:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Minnesota vs Golden State Under [-----] (1u) ✅ Detroit vs Sacramento Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Memphis vs Denver Over [-----] (1u) Postponed Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 2.5u Net Units: +1.41u The make-up game cashes the under and the pace reads held where expected. Solid edge execution with one game pushed off. Process stays steady. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015610104918180314 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015610104918180314" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015610104918180314) 2026-01-26T02:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Oklahoma City Thunder @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u On to the All-star break. Back in a few days on these" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022324200816435363) 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Picks for Today Rockets vs Suns Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects this closer to the high 220s. Even with average pace both offenses have efficient scoring paths through shot quality rim pressure and free throws. Number sits low enough that a competitive game clears without needing an extreme tempo. 76ers vs Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u) Model lands this game around [---] creating a meaningful cushion at the current total. Denvers efficiency plus Philadelphias ability to score in multiple ways supports an Over. If the game stays competitive into the fourth late-game fouling and extended" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2008303937380638834) 2026-01-05T22:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "NBA Picks Jan [--] Here are todays official Edgeboard NBA plays. Units listed per play. Celtics vs Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects scoring in the high 230s suggesting the market is slightly underpricing combined efficiency. Competitive script keeps starters on the floor and late fouling adds tail upside. Knicks vs Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) Projection sits several points above the market total. Both offenses profile well for sustained half-court scoring with free throws and late-game possessions supporting the over. Warriors vs Bucks Under [-----] (0.5u) Model sees a meaningfully lower" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009036061851164713) 2026-01-07T22:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mens CBB Model Picks (Jan 8) Top Pick #1 UL Monroe +7.5 (0.5u) The model sees a meaningful gap between market and projection here. UL Monroe profiles as a live underdog capable of staying within a couple possessions by controlling tempo limiting transition mistakes and avoiding foul trouble. The number also leaves room for a late backdoor if Louisiana stretches the game late. Top Pick #2 Montana +3.5 (0.5u) Short spreads heavily favor the side projected closer to an outright win. Montana grades out stronger than the market implies and if they can keep Idaho out of transition and execute in" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009317054008922362) 2026-01-08T17:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "NBA Pick Jan [--] One play from the Edgeboard model tonight. 🏀 Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Under [-----] (0.5u) The model projects a total in the mid-230s suggesting the market is overpricing scoring. Both teams can force longer possessions and lean into half-court offense which suppresses pace. Any regression in shooting efficiency or reduced transition volume strongly favors the under at this number. Total exposure: 0.5u #NBA #NBABetting #Totals #SportsBetting #Edgeboard https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009393544226550033 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009393544226550033" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009393544226550033) 2026-01-08T22:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mens CBB Recap Jan [--] UL Monroe +7.5 (0.5u) ✅ Montana +3.5 (0.5u) ✅ Utah Tech +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Record: [--] Units: +0.41u #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #ModelPicks #Edgeboard" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2009629291605102821) 2026-01-09T14:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Model Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Clippers vs Wizards Over [-----] (0.5u) Washingtons defensive profile boosts opponent efficiency while the Clippers half-court shot creation and free-throw rate create multiple scoring paths to clear a mid-220s total. Top Pick #2 Mavericks vs Nuggets Over [-----] (1.0u) The model projects a major scoring upgrade driven by elite half-court efficiency on both sides full starter minutes in a near pickem and strong late-game fouling potential. Top Pick #3 Kings vs Knicks Over [-----] (0.5u) Both offenses generate quality looks through spacing and ball movement and" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2011463067121393780) 2026-01-14T15:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 21) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Stake: [---] Unit Model projects a materially higher scoring environment than the market baseline. Pace upside and paint or free throw creation give this total room to clear even without elite shooting efficiency. Top Pick #2 Under [-----] Detroit Mercy vs Fort Wayne Stake: [---] Unit The model points to a slower more halfcourt driven game than the market implies. If shooting regresses toward average and transition opportunities are limited the under has margin. Top Pick #3 Over [-----] Cal Baptist vs Utah" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2014010591388590190) 2026-01-21T16:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Illinois St vs Northern Iowa Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Mercy vs Fort Wayne Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Cal Baptist vs Utah Tech Over [-----] (0.25u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.25u Net Units: -1.25u Rough card across the board. Numbers did not convert to outcomes variance hit all sides. Process stays intact. Regroup and move forward. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #Sides #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014343093466640614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014343093466640614" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2014343093466640614) 2026-01-22T14:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Milwaukee Panthers +5.5 (0.25u) ❌ Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 (0.5u) ✅ Towson Tigers +2.5 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.0u Net Units: +0.43u One side misses both value dogs get there. Edge showed up where expected variance stayed manageable. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014546801248940217 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014546801248940217" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2014546801248940217) 2026-01-23T03:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Chicago St +9.5 (0.5u) ✅ Fort Wayne [----] (0.5u) Postponed Southern Illinois [----] (0.5u) Postponed Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 0.5u Net Units: +0.45u Only game played cashed cleanly. Weather postponements limit volume. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015551469135724722 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015551469135724722" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015551469135724722) 2026-01-25T22:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Plays Celtics vs Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) Rockets vs Grizzlies Over [-----] (0.5u) Hawks vs Pacers Over [-----] (0.5u) All three plays project multi-point cushions versus the close driven by pace shot profile and game-script alignment. Two spots benefit from defensive pressure creating extra possessions while the AtlantaIndiana matchup profiles as a sustained transition environment with late-game foul upside. Balanced exposure across similar total ranges. Let the numbers work. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015823773644226651" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2015823773644226651) 2026-01-26T16:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Celtics vs Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Rockets vs Grizzlies Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Hawks vs Pacers Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u One game plays into the expected pace and clears cleanly the others stall short. The read on AtlantaIndiana was right execution elsewhere didnt follow. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016149580610433325 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016149580610433325" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016149580610433325) 2026-01-27T14:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Buffalo +8.0 (0.5u) ✅ Georgia Tech +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ New Orleans +4.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: +1.35u Clean sweep. Dogs stay inside the number across the board and the edges convert. Solid execution solid results. Process holds. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526568529563775 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526568529563775" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016526568529563775) 2026-01-28T14:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Over [-----] (1.0u) Model edge remains strong with pace and transition driving a higher scoring baseline than the market implies. Top Pick #2 Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) Shot quality and spacing support sustained scoring with late-game foul equity if this stays competitive. Top Pick #3 Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u) Both offenses project above market efficiency and a tight spread favors full-strength fourth-quarter scoring. Process-first card. Totals-only slate with edges concentrated" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016549112624140770) 2026-01-28T16:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Georgetown vs DePaul Over [-----] (0.5u) Model sees pace and efficiency underpriced with late-game fouling upside in a tight Big East script. Top Pick #2 Colgate [-----] vs Holy Cross (0.5u) Projection gap favors the favorite. Colgates half-court execution creates separation if turnovers stay in check. Top Pick #3 Kennesaw St [----] vs Western Kentucky (0.5u) Model expects control on the glass and defensive pressure to generate margin. Cleanest angle is the side. Total Units Risked: 1.5u Process-driven edges across pace matchup and market mispricing. Let the" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016549601864536396) 2026-01-28T16:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Georgetown vs DePaul Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Colgate [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Kennesaw St [----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -1.50u Nothing gets home on this slate. Sides fail to separate and the total never finds pace. Tough night but the framework doesnt change. On to the next one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016880353781191147 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016880353781191147" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016880353781191147) 2026-01-29T14:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Plays Wagner vs Central Connecticut - Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects a much higher scoring environment than the market total. Close-game dynamics and late fouling support the over if pace avoids a grind. Penn State +8.5 (0.25u) Market prices Northwestern as a clear multi-possession favorite but the model sees a much tighter game. Points provide cushion in a matchup-driven Big Ten spot. North Alabama +9.0 (0.25u) Projection gap suggests FGCUs edge is overstated. North Alabama can stay inside the number without elite shooting with backdoor cover potential late." [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016918942455849004) 2026-01-29T16:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Plays Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets Over [-----] (0.5u) Shot volume and spacing favor a higher-scoring script. Dallas half-court efficiency plus Charlottes pace and defensive leakage keep the total reachable if both sides avoid extended droughts. Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Over [-----] (0.5u) Strong possession profile with transition opportunities on both sides. Atlantas early-clock offense and Houstons athleticism support sustained scoring and late-game foul upside if the game stays competitive. Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons Over [-----] (0.5u) Market" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2016918989520208205) 2026-01-29T16:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Georgetown vs DePaul Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Penn State +8.5 (0.25u) ❌ North Alabama +9.0 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.0u Net Units: -0.53u Totals and dogs both struggle early and Penn State never really threatens the number late. North Alabama stays inside the spread and trims the damage. The edge profile doesnt fully convert on this slate. Process stands and we move on to the next CBB card. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017244724701045238 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017244724701045238" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017244724701045238) 2026-01-30T14:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers Over [-----] (0.5u) The model sees this total a meaningful step higher than the market driven by efficient half-court offense and late-game free throws in a competitive spread environment. A modest pace can still produce enough points when shot quality and usage concentration are strong. Top Pick #2 New York Knicks vs Portland Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) The projection leans above the current total with New Yorks offensive efficiency carrying a larger share of the scoring than the pace implies. If Portland does enough" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017291887653392517) 2026-01-30T17:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Charlotte 49ers vs Rice Owls Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects this a few points higher than the market with Charlottes offense likely to keep Rice engaged and late fouls helping push toward the mid 140s. Top Pick #2 Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse Under [-----] (0.5u) Projection sits well below the current number with defensive pressure and longer possessions expected to trim efficiency and overall scoring. Top Pick #3 Manhattan Jaspers vs Rider Broncs Rider +6.5 (0.25u) The matchup profiles closer to a one- to two-possession game so the" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017292931523047867) 2026-01-30T17:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Charlotte 49ers vs Rice Owls Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Detroit Mercy vs Northern Kentucky Norse Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Manhattan Jaspers vs Rider Broncs Rider +6.5 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.25u Net Units: +0.18u Model edges leaned into higher-scoring spots and a live dog that stayed inside the number. Small positive night with the framework holding as we move to the next CBB card. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017441442570874916 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017441442570874916" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017441442570874916) 2026-01-31T03:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks January [--] Top Pick #1 Virginia Tech Hokies vs Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech +12.0 (0.5u) The market makes Duke a heavy favorite but the model expects a single-digit contest. Taking the points provides a substantial cushion in this conference matchup. Top Pick #2 Wyoming Cowboys vs Colorado St Rams Over [-----] (0.5u) Model expects scoring closer to the high 150s (18.5-point edge). Even moderately elevated possessions should clear this number without needing elite shooting. Top Pick #3 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs AR-Little Rock Trojans Tennessee Tech +2.5 (0.5u) Notable" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017646075059048816) 2026-01-31T17:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks January [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Over [-----] (1u) Dallas games can stay offense-driven via high 3PA and efficient halfcourt creation while Houstons pressure can create extra possessions through turnovers and transition chances. Even if pace dips late the models total (233) sits well above the market leaving a big enough cushion to absorb a slower 4th. Top Pick #2 Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) The model expects a more efficient game than the market implies with extra value coming from under-accounted shot quality and" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017701324335337722) 2026-01-31T20:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Virginia Tech +12.0 (0.5u) ❌ Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Tennessee Tech +2.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Model edges leaned into a live dog and a total with room above the number offsetting the miss on VT. Solid positive night with the framework holding as we roll into the next CBB card. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017804952672809147 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017804952672809147" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017804952672809147) 2026-02-01T03:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -1.50u This might actually be an all-time great fade model" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2017810767832052018) 2026-02-01T04:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u). The model projects more efficient halfcourt offense and threepoint volume than a [---] total implies with a competitive game adding late fouls and scoring. Top Pick #2 San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u). Projected pace and scoring efficiency both sit above market and a relatively tight spread keeps starters on the floor supporting an Over in normal game scripts. Top Pick #3 Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets Over [-----] (0.5u). The projection expects more possessions and easier points" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018011039200068074) 2026-02-01T17:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Feb [--] Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ San Antonio Spurs @ Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -1.50u Going to keep this active as a fade model. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018184208380789087 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018184208380789087" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018184208380789087) 2026-02-02T04:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Feb [--] (Keep in mind this model is stupid cold feel free to fade) Top Pick #1 Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers Over [-----] (0.5u). The model projects a scoring environment a bit higher than the [-----] total with two offenses capable of sustaining efficient halfcourt possessions. A competitive game keeps starters on the floor and creates late free throws giving a reasonable path to clearing this number. Top Pick #2 Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Over [-----] (1u). Expected pace and shot volume support a total above [---] with both teams able to create earlyclock looks" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018391920658046977) 2026-02-02T18:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks Under [-----] (0.5u). The model projects total scoring around [---] points making [-----] too high given the likely defensive focus and slower possessions in this matchup. If Texas Tech can grind possessions and Kansas is forced into tougher contested looks the scoring pace should stay below the market number. Top Pick #2 Lamar Cardinals vs SE Louisiana Lions Over [-----] (0.5u). With a relatively low total and a model projection in the low 140s even modest increases in pace or freethrow volume can push this game over" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018392315505840159) 2026-02-02T18:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Feb [--] Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: +0.86u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685059683754248 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685059683754248" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018685059683754248) 2026-02-03T13:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Feb [--] Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Lamar Cardinals vs SE Louisiana Lions Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Alabama A&M Bulldogs +1.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685221441265795 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685221441265795" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018685221441265795) 2026-02-03T13:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Dayton Flyers vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies St. Bonaventure +8.5 (0.5u). The model implies Dayton shouldnt be laying this many points creating value on the underdog. With +8.5 St. Bonaventure can cover through tempo control and limiting highvalue transition looks; if the game stays in the half court the margin the market is asking Dayton to cover becomes tougher to justify. Top Pick #2 TennMartin Skyhawks vs ArkansasLittle Rock Trojans Over [-----] (0.5u). The model projects about [---] points giving a 6+ point edge to the over at this lowtomid 130s number." [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018735146518687829) 2026-02-03T17:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks Feb [--] (Even with the wins yesterday this might still be a fade model) Top Pick #1 Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u). Denvers offense is one of the most efficient shotquality generators in the league and against a weaker defense it can produce steady scoring across four quarters. Detroits variance and transition game can still contribute enough and with starters likely to play deep into a competitive spot the scoring profile supports a total above the current mid/high220s number. Top Pick #2 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u). The main" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018736762458108166) 2026-02-03T17:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Tue Feb [--] St. Bonaventure +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ SIU-Edwardsville +4.5 (0.5u) ✅ Tenn-Martin Skyhawks@Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018917086609703199 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018917086609703199" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018917086609703199) 2026-02-04T05:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Detroit Pistons@Denver Nugget Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Oklahoma City Thunder@Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Golden State Warriors@Philadelphia 76er Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019108632823312884 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019108632823312884" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019108632823312884) 2026-02-04T17:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Over [-----] (0.5u) Model total [-----] vs market [-----] (+12.8). Bostons spacing/3PA volume plus Houstons transition/FTs supports baseline scoring. Competitive spread keeps starters in stabilizing pace late. Top Pick #2 Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) Market [-----] looks light vs model [-----] (+10.5). Both teams generate efficient looks + FT pressure; close game boosts 4Q scoring. Even with half-court slows projection implies enough efficiency to clear. Top Pick #3 San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019137546970890466) 2026-02-04T19:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) Model [-----] vs market [-----] (+16.4). 135-range totals are fragileone fast stretch per half + normal FT rate can get you there. Any tempo push off rebounds/turnovers makes this very reachable. Top Pick #2 Stanford Cardinal vs Clemson Tigers Over [-----] (0.5u) Model [-----] vs market [-----] (+13.6). Clears with average efficiency if they avoid long dead half-court spells. A modest pace/3PT/FT uptick is enough at this number. Top Pick #3 George Mason Patriots vs Duquesne Dukes Over" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019137822070898841) 2026-02-04T19:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Houston Rockets@Boston Celtic Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Milwaukee Bucks@New Orleans Pelican Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ San Antonio Spurs@Oklahoma City Thunder Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507501465751729 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507501465751729" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019507501465751729) 2026-02-05T20:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornet Over [-----] (0.5u) This total is priced as a relatively low-scoring game but the model expects a much higher scoring environment driven by a meaningful efficiency gap and enough possessions to get there. If Houstons offense creates paint pressure and free throws while also generating extra chances (via offensive rebounds/turnovers) points can pile up without needing extreme shooting. Charlottes defense can allow clean looks and put opponents on the line raising expected points per possession. While a lopsided game" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019508120939036806) 2026-02-05T20:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Wagner Seahawks vs Le Moyne Dolphin Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects a total around the mid-150s creating a large edge on over [-----]. If pace is even moderately elevated this number is beatable without requiring elite shooting. Close spreads also increase late-game scoring through fouls and extended possessions. Because totals can be swingy stake is moderate despite the strong edge. Top Pick #2 Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineer Over [-----] (1u) The model projects about [--] more points than the market which is a major discrepancy at a" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019508304297292128) 2026-02-05T20:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Wagner Seahawks@Le Moyne Dolphin Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Cincinnati Bearcats@West Virginia Mountaineer Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Iona Gaels +7.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019598151250813249 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019598151250813249" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019598151250813249) 2026-02-06T02:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Houston Rockets@Charlotte Hornet Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Atlanta Hawks@Utah Jazz Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Pistons@Washington Wizard Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019777299164393847 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019777299164393847" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019777299164393847) 2026-02-06T14:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Fri Feb [--] Boston Celtics@Miami Heat Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Pistons@New York Knick Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Sacramento Kings@Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -1.05u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020181367485599812 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020181367485599812" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020181367485599812) 2026-02-07T17:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rocket Over [-----] (1u) The [-----] market total is low relative to the projected possession count and scoring efficiency creating a very large margin for the Over. OKC tends to play with pace and generates efficient offense via spacing drives and free throws while Houstons athleticism can push transition opportunities that add easy points on both sides. With a tight spread profile late-game fouling and extended scoring possessions are more likely than a full pace collapse. Even accounting for shooting variance the" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020181845883650162) 2026-02-07T17:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devil Under [-----] (0.5u) The primary edge is on the total: the model is 6+ points below the market number implying the current total is inflated. High-profile rivalry games often produce more deliberate half-court possessions and increased defensive focus especially in late-game situations. If either teams perimeter efficiency is merely average (instead of hot) the scoring can fall short of this number. The line also leaves little margin for a brief cold stretch turnovers or extended free-throw droughts to push" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020181990939467862) 2026-02-07T17:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Sat Feb [--] Oklahoma City Thunder@Houston Rocket Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Atlanta Hawks@Charlotte Hornet Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Brooklyn Nets@Washington Wizard Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 3-0 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: +1.82u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020335889189146905 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020335889189146905" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020335889189146905) 2026-02-08T03:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Sat Feb [--] North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devil Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ BYU Cougars @ Houston Cougar BYU +1.5 (0.5u) ❌ Texas A&M Aggies @ Florida Gator Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020501150714245225 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020501150714245225" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020501150714245225) 2026-02-08T14:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Boston Celtics vs New York Knick Over [-----] (1u) The model total (231.3) implies a large 17.7-point edge to the Over versus the [-----] market close suggesting the market is pricing in a slower lower-efficiency game than expected. This matchup can still clear with moderate pace because both teams can generate high-value looks (3s and free throws) that lift points per possession even if possessions are average. With a relatively tight expected game script late-game fouling and extended possessions (timeouts free throws) can add points to the closing" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020506216317747538) 2026-02-08T14:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raider Over [-----] (0.5u) A 9+ point discrepancy is substantial for a college total pointing to an implied scoring environment thats too low. Even if one team is inefficient early [-----] leaves room for a normal foul rate and modest three-point shooting to cash. If either side pushes tempo off misses/turnovers the total benefits quickly given the low bar. The spread edge here is smaller so the cleanest value is on the over. Top Pick #2 Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knight Over [-----] (0.5u) The model anticipates" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020506438808826357) 2026-02-08T14:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Sun Feb [--] West Virginia @ Texas Tech O136.5 (0.5u) ❌ Cincinnati @ UCF O145.5 (0.5u) ✅ Penn State @ USC O155.5 (0.25u) ❌ Record: 1-2 Risked: 1.25u Net: -0.30u" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020649829953904904) 2026-02-09T00:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) A [-----] total requires sustained defensive control but the model expects more scoring via efficiency edges and a higher possession count than the market implies. Milwaukees offense tends to generate rim/FT pressure and high-value shots and Orlandos scoring can rise if its forced into a more up-tempo exchange. If the game remains within striking distance late-game intentional fouling can add several points and protect the Over at this number. The projection edge is strong enough to withstand modest cold" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2020886160193585168) 2026-02-09T15:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Mon Feb [--] Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Brooklyn Nets @ Chicago Bull Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento King Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021071516637524220 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021071516637524220" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2021071516637524220) 2026-02-10T03:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Mon Feb [--] Southern Jaguars @ Alabama St Hornet Alabama St Hornets +7.0 (0.5u) ✅ Murray St Racers @ Northern Iowa Panther Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack NC State Wolfpack +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021195344889909279 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021195344889909279" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2021195344889909279) 2026-02-10T12:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) The market number is priced like a grindy low-efficiency game but the projection expects substantially more scoring from a combination of possession volume and offensive efficiency. Houstons ability to pressure the rim and generate free throws elevates baseline scoring while the Clippers half-court shot-making can punish defensive lapses and keep the total climbing even if pace isnt extreme. If the game remains competitive late-game fouling adds another layer of points that a 210-level total" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2021301779401420900) 2026-02-10T19:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Richmond Spiders vs George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) The model expects a game in the mid-150s well above [-----] indicating an implied pace/efficiency mismatch in the market number. If either team can generate early offense or get to the line at a reasonable clip the over gains traction quickly because the baseline is low. Both teams ability to score in spurts makes it hard to keep the game pinned to the low 140s for [--] minutes. Even a close finish adds free throws that tend to push totals over depressed market numbers. Top Pick #2 Western Illinois" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021301824888647682) 2026-02-10T19:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021562963694354457) 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) The model total (230.2) is [---] points above the market (221.0) indicating a strong Over angle. San Antonios pace tendencies and willingness to run can increase total possessions and Golden States three-point volume creates high-variance scoring spikes. Defensive execution for both sides can be uneven producing more breakdowns that lead to open threes and layups. Even if the Warriors trail their late-game three-point hunting can add quick points and extend the game via fouling. Top Pick #2" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021645698580742290) 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022004327297028144) 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) This total is priced well below the model expectation implying the market is discounting scoring more than warranted. Oklahoma Citys efficiency profile and transition creation tend to lift totals and Milwaukees offense can still contribute enough even if theyre behind. The large spread introduces blowout risk but OKCs depth and willingness to run can keep pace elevated into bench minutes rather than fully collapsing. If the game stays even moderately competitive into the fourth late-game free" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022004936930689045) 2026-02-12T17:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 SIU-Edwardsville Cougars vs SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) The model projects this total materially higher than [-----] implying pace and/or offensive efficiency is undervalued by the market. When the market hangs a mid-130s total and the model sees low-150s it often points to mispriced tempo expectations or matchup-driven shot quality. If both teams can convert at average rates and avoid extended droughts clearing [-----] is very achievable. Even moderate late fouling can push an already close-to-cash Over across the number. The main risk is if" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022005142472544475) 2026-02-12T17:49Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Hampton Pirates vs North Carolina A&T Aggie North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 (0.5u) The model makes North Carolina A&T the favorite so getting +3.0 is a reasonable value position. In a short-spread game taking points with the team projected better is generally profitable over time. The matchup edge likely comes from possession creation (turnovers/second chances) and shot quality. Because the game is relatively close in projection a half-unit is appropriate. Top Pick #2 Niagara Purple Eagles vs Manhattan Jasper Niagara Purple Eagles [----] (0.5u) The" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022360242646810679) 2026-02-13T17:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 22) Top Pick #1 Milwaukee Panthers +5.5 Stake: [----] Unit The model projects this matchup much closer than the market spread. Taking +5.5 provides protection in a game that profiles as competitive deep into the second half. With moderate edge and typical mid-major variance this is sized smaller but still offers value if Milwaukee avoids empty possessions and controls the glass. Top Pick #2 Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 Stake: [---] Unit Sacred Heart is priced as an inflated near double-digit favorite while the model sees a tighter game. Getting +9.5 creates" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2014371750595748018) 2026-01-22T16:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave Tulane +10.0 (0.25u). The model has this much closer to a pickem so catching double digits with Tulane creates value as long as they manage turnovers and avoid extended Memphis runs. Top Pick #2 Mt. St. Marys Mountaineers vs Manhattan Jaspers Over [-----] (0.5u). Both pace and expected efficiency point higher than [-----] and a competitive game increases late free throws and extended possessions which support the Over. Top Pick #3 Merrimack vs Sacred Heart Sacred Heart +6.5 (0.25u). The model expects a tighter game than the" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2018011245018796338) 2026-02-01T17:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Wed Feb [--] South Carolina St Bulldogs@Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawk Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Stanford Cardinal@Clemson Tiger Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ George Mason Patriots@Duquesne Duke Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 0-3 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -1.50u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507806421021066 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507806421021066" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019507806421021066) 2026-02-05T20:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Illinois St Redbirds vs Drake Bulldog Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) Model makes this closer than the line. Higher expected pace adds variance that benefits the dog; +9.5 covers a wide range of outcomes. Top Pick #2 Valparaiso Beacons vs Evansville Purple Ace Evansville Purple Aces +9.5 (0.5u) Model has it close while market implies a blowout. Lategame variance and extra possessions favor the underdog staying within the number. Top Pick #3 St. Johns Red Storm vs UConn Huskie UConn Huskies [----] (0.5u) Model rates UConn higher than the spread suggests. If" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019835394016055366) 2026-02-06T18:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Fri Feb [--] Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Evansville Purple Aces +9.5 (0.5u) ✅ UConn Huskies [----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game" [X Link](https://x.com/EdgeboardPicks/status/2019982562777538922) 2026-02-07T03:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Richmond Spiders @ George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Western Illinois Leathernecks @ Eastern Illinois Panther Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Pittsburgh Panthers @ Duke Blue Devil Pittsburgh +17.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 3-0 Units Risked: 2.50u Net Units: +2.27u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021563020686594051) 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Kent State Golden Flashes vs Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects [-----] compared to [-----] indicating the market is underpricing expected scoring. This can reflect a faster pace expectation better shot quality or weaker defensive resistance than the line implies. Even if Kent State underperforms relative to the spread the total can still go over via Eastern Michigan contributing more than expected. Given the meaningful total edge over is the best expression of value. Top Pick #2 South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota Fighting Hawk" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021645781812539478) 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Kent State Golden Flashes @ Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ South Dakota Coyotes @ North Dakota Fighting Hawk North Dakota Fighting Hawks +1.5 (0.5u) ✅ Central Arkansas Bears @ Bellarmine Knight Bellarmine Knights +7.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022004462928507342) 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Thu Feb [--] SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) ❌ San Francisco Dons @ Oregon St Beaver Oregon St Beavers +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ Wright St Raiders @ Detroit Mercy Titan Detroit Mercy Titans +10.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022324335646540007) 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Feb [--] ✅ North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 ❌ Niagara Purple Eagles [----] ❌ Dartmouth Big Green +9.0 Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u Didnt cash the way we wanted but the process stays the same and we move to the next slate" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022646847836426739) 2026-02-14T12:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) The model makes the game near a one-possession spread so taking +9.2 captures significant value. Texas Techs defensive structure and ability to contest shots can keep them within range even if Arizonas offense is strong. Large numbers are vulnerable to late-game pace reductions and extended half-court sequences which tend to favor the underdog. This bet wins with any competitive game script not requiring an upset. Top Pick #2 Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermaker Over 142.5" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022680462766878817) 2026-02-14T14:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Sat Feb [--] Arizona Wildcats @ Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ Iowa Hawkeyes @ Purdue Boilermaker Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ Tenn-Martin Skyhawk Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Two wins on a three-play slate and the process stayed sharp start to finish. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022866909171982484) 2026-02-15T02:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Sun Feb [--] UAB Blazers @ Tulane Green Wave Tulane Green Wave +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Northern Iowa Panthers @ Drake Bulldog Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Fort Wayne Mastodons @ IUPUI Jaguar IUPUI Jaguars +6.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Discipline and model process stayed consistent and we keep stacking edges. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023191612881358864) 2026-02-16T00:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Iowa State Cyclones vs Houston Cougar Over [-----] (0.5u) The model indicates more scoring than the market expects which can come from either a faster tempo or improved efficiency at the rim/line. With a tight spread both teams should maintain primary lineups longer supporting steadier offense. If either side can generate second-chance points or get to the stripe the over gains a strong buffer. Risk comes from elite defense sequences that suppress transition and force late-clock shots. Top Pick #2 LIU Sharks vs Wagner Seahawk Wagner Seahawks +9.5" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023405592124272787) 2026-02-16T14:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Performance Snapshot Since Last Update (Feb 2Feb 15) Record: [----] Net Units: +1.11u ROI: +4.9% Model to Date (Dec 29Feb 15) Record: [-----] Net Units: +4.56u ROI: +6.1%" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023217281426186523) 2026-02-16T02:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Iowa State Cyclones vs Houston Cougar Over [-----] (0.5u) The model indicates more scoring than the market expects which can come from either a faster tempo or improved efficiency at the rim/line. With a tight spread both teams should maintain primary lineups longer supporting steadier offense. If either side can generate second-chance points or get to the stripe the over gains a strong buffer. Risk comes from elite defense sequences that suppress transition and force late-clock shots. Top Pick #2 LIU Sharks vs Wagner Seahawk Wagner Seahawks +9.5" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023405592124272787) 2026-02-16T14:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Sun Feb [--] UAB Blazers @ Tulane Green Wave Tulane Green Wave +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Northern Iowa Panthers @ Drake Bulldog Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Fort Wayne Mastodons @ IUPUI Jaguar IUPUI Jaguars +6.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Discipline and model process stayed consistent and we keep stacking edges. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023191612881358864) 2026-02-16T00:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Picks (Feb 15) 1) Tulane +6.5 (0.5u) vs UAB 2) Drake +9.5 (0.5u) vs UNI 3) IUPUI +6.0 (0.5u) vs Fort Wayne Model edges only not gut feel. #CBB #NCAAB #sportsbetting" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023044834538422628) 2026-02-15T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Full deep dive/analysis into top picks is at: https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023050207265530173) 2026-02-15T15:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Sat Feb [--] Arizona Wildcats @ Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ Iowa Hawkeyes @ Purdue Boilermaker Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ Tenn-Martin Skyhawk Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Two wins on a three-play slate and the process stayed sharp start to finish. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022866909171982484) 2026-02-15T02:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) The model makes the game near a one-possession spread so taking +9.2 captures significant value. Texas Techs defensive structure and ability to contest shots can keep them within range even if Arizonas offense is strong. Large numbers are vulnerable to late-game pace reductions and extended half-court sequences which tend to favor the underdog. This bet wins with any competitive game script not requiring an upset. Top Pick #2 Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermaker Over 142.5" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022680462766878817) 2026-02-14T14:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Feb [--] ✅ North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 ❌ Niagara Purple Eagles [----] ❌ Dartmouth Big Green +9.0 Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u Didnt cash the way we wanted but the process stays the same and we move to the next slate" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022646847836426739) 2026-02-14T12:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Hampton Pirates vs North Carolina A&T Aggie North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 (0.5u) The model makes North Carolina A&T the favorite so getting +3.0 is a reasonable value position. In a short-spread game taking points with the team projected better is generally profitable over time. The matchup edge likely comes from possession creation (turnovers/second chances) and shot quality. Because the game is relatively close in projection a half-unit is appropriate. Top Pick #2 Niagara Purple Eagles vs Manhattan Jasper Niagara Purple Eagles [----] (0.5u) The" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022360242646810679) 2026-02-13T17:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Thu Feb [--] SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) ❌ San Francisco Dons @ Oregon St Beaver Oregon St Beavers +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ Wright St Raiders @ Detroit Mercy Titan Detroit Mercy Titans +10.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022324335646540007) 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Oklahoma City Thunder @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u On to the All-star break. Back in a few days on these" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022324200816435363) 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 SIU-Edwardsville Cougars vs SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) The model projects this total materially higher than [-----] implying pace and/or offensive efficiency is undervalued by the market. When the market hangs a mid-130s total and the model sees low-150s it often points to mispriced tempo expectations or matchup-driven shot quality. If both teams can convert at average rates and avoid extended droughts clearing [-----] is very achievable. Even moderate late fouling can push an already close-to-cash Over across the number. The main risk is if" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022005142472544475) 2026-02-12T17:49Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) This total is priced well below the model expectation implying the market is discounting scoring more than warranted. Oklahoma Citys efficiency profile and transition creation tend to lift totals and Milwaukees offense can still contribute enough even if theyre behind. The large spread introduces blowout risk but OKCs depth and willingness to run can keep pace elevated into bench minutes rather than fully collapsing. If the game stays even moderately competitive into the fourth late-game free" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022004936930689045) 2026-02-12T17:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Kent State Golden Flashes @ Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ South Dakota Coyotes @ North Dakota Fighting Hawk North Dakota Fighting Hawks +1.5 (0.5u) ✅ Central Arkansas Bears @ Bellarmine Knight Bellarmine Knights +7.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022004462928507342) 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022004327297028144) 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Kent State Golden Flashes vs Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects [-----] compared to [-----] indicating the market is underpricing expected scoring. This can reflect a faster pace expectation better shot quality or weaker defensive resistance than the line implies. Even if Kent State underperforms relative to the spread the total can still go over via Eastern Michigan contributing more than expected. Given the meaningful total edge over is the best expression of value. Top Pick #2 South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota Fighting Hawk" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021645781812539478) 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) The model total (230.2) is [---] points above the market (221.0) indicating a strong Over angle. San Antonios pace tendencies and willingness to run can increase total possessions and Golden States three-point volume creates high-variance scoring spikes. Defensive execution for both sides can be uneven producing more breakdowns that lead to open threes and layups. Even if the Warriors trail their late-game three-point hunting can add quick points and extend the game via fouling. Top Pick #2" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021645698580742290) 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏀 CBB Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Richmond Spiders @ George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Western Illinois Leathernecks @ Eastern Illinois Panther Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Pittsburgh Panthers @ Duke Blue Devil Pittsburgh +17.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 3-0 Units Risked: 2.50u Net Units: +2.27u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021563020686594051) 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 NBA Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021562963694354457) 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Richmond Spiders vs George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) The model expects a game in the mid-150s well above [-----] indicating an implied pace/efficiency mismatch in the market number. If either team can generate early offense or get to the line at a reasonable clip the over gains traction quickly because the baseline is low. Both teams ability to score in spurts makes it hard to keep the game pinned to the low 140s for [--] minutes. Even a close finish adds free throws that tend to push totals over depressed market numbers. Top Pick #2 Western Illinois" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021301824888647682) 2026-02-10T19:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@EdgeboardPicks Edgeboard Picks
Edgeboard Picks posts on X about nba, model, market, daily the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---] #
- [--] Week [-----] -28%
- [--] Month [------] +197%
Mentions: [--] #
Followers: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +2.70%
- [--] Month [--] +65%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence nba travel destinations ncaa basketball #1852 ncaa football celebrities musicians nfl automotive brands
Social topic influence nba, model, market, daily, summary #1023, feb, february, edges, pace, fort wayne
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @new @charlotte @washington @arkansaslittle @denver @orlando @philadelphia @boston @oklahoma @le @west @utah @miami @los @houston @marylandeastern @clemson @duquesne
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"🏀 CBB is back. Model found [--] playable edges today after filtering the board: Oregon St / Santa Clara Under [---] (1.0u) Loyola Marymount +8.5 (0.5u) Seattle +0.5 (0.5u) Full breakdown 👉 #CollegeBasketball #NCAAB #SportsBetting https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks"
X Link 2025-12-28T14:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Recap Strong day for NBA. ✅ Nets vs Nuggets Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Lakers vs Grizzlies Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Heat vs Pelicans Under [-----] (0.5u) Record: [--] Units: +1.82u Model read pace and efficiency correctly across all three games. Good balance between high-total fade spots and one clear over. On to tomorrow. #NBA #NBATotals #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008046028210020409 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008046028210020409"
X Link 2026-01-05T05:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Last [--] Days Recap Dec [--] Jan [--] Overall Record: [----] Net Units: +3.38u Total Risk: 13.5u ROI: +25.0% Daily Breakdown Dec 29: [--] (+2.73u) Dec 30: [--] (-1.18u) Dec 31: [--] (+0.66u) Jan 1: [---] (+0.90u) Jan 2: [--] (+1.36u) Jan 3: [--] (-0.59u) Jan 4: [--] (-0.50u) Disciplined volume. Transparent tracking. Process stays the same. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #CBBPicks #DataDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008246417240830297 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008246417240830297"
X Link 2026-01-05T18:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap for 1/6 Louisville vs Duke Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ GW +3.0 (0.5u) ❌ Nevada vs San Diego State Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary: Record: [--] Net Units: -0.55u Numbers were there on the under. Back to scanning the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #DataDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008879933385220563 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008879933385220563"
X Link 2026-01-07T12:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mens CBB Picks Jan [--] Here are todays official Edgeboard CBB plays. Units listed per play. Fort Wayne Mastodons +5.5 (0.25u) Model projects Fort Wayne much closer than the market implies. With points in hand this profiles as a one to two possession game where late variance favors the underdog. Edge is present but not large so stake is smaller. Fordham vs George Mason Over [-----] (0.5u) Model total is significantly higher than the market number. This total can clear with modest efficiency if the game stays competitive and avoids extended scoring droughts. Free throw volume and shot quality both"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Model Performance Recap Dec [--] [----] Jan [--] [----] Overall Record: [----] Net Units: +1.34u Total Risk: 12.5u ROI: +10.7% Daily Breakdown Dec 30: [--] (+0.41u) Dec 31: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 1: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 2: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 3: [--] (-0.55u) Jan 4: [--] (+1.82u) Jan 5: [--] (-0.05u) Jan 6: [--] (+1.36u) Disciplined volume. Transparent tracking. Process stays the same. #NBA #Basketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #NBAPicks #DataDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009045043001106710 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009045043001106710"
X Link 2026-01-07T23:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"CBB Recap Jan [--] Results from todays Edgeboard CBB card. ✅ Fort Wayne +5.5 (0.25u) ✅ UAB vs FAU Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Fordham vs George Mason Over [-----] (0.5u) Record: [--] Units: +0.18u Two of three cashed with Fordham the only miss on the slate. Model edges continue to show up on sides and unders. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edges #Edgeboard https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009236637583085683 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009236637583085683"
X Link 2026-01-08T12:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"NBA Recap Jan [--] Results from todays Edgeboard NBA card. ❌ Celtics vs Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Knicks vs Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Warriors vs Bucks Under [-----] (0.5u) Record: [--] Units: -0.45u Clippers were the lone cover on the slate. Volume stayed controlled and edges remain consistent despite a down night. #NBA #NBABetting #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009237285133332684 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009237285133332684"
X Link 2026-01-08T12:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"NBA Picks Jan [--] Here are todays official Edgeboard NBA plays. Units listed per play. Top Pick #1 Denver vs Atlanta Over [-----] (1.0u) The model projects a significantly higher scoring environment than the market total. Atlanta games tend to push pace and shot volume while Denvers offensive efficiency and free throw pressure support sustained scoring. If this stays competitive into the fourth the foul game adds meaningful over equity. Top Pick #2 Brooklyn vs LA Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) The market total sits several points below the model projection. This profiles as a steady scoring game"
X Link 2026-01-09T15:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mens CBB Picks Jan [--] Bradley vs Northern Iowa Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects a significantly higher total than the market suggesting pace and offensive efficiency are being underpriced. Wagner vs Mercyhurst Over [-----] (0.5u) This total sits well below the model projection and even average efficiency with late-game fouling is enough to push it over. Baylor vs Houston Over [-----] (0.5u) The projection implies the market is underestimating scoring in a tight high-profile matchup where late free throws add upside. All plays: 0.5u each Total exposure: 1.5u #CBB #CollegeBasketball"
X Link 2026-01-10T17:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mens CBB Recap Jan [--] Bradley vs Northern Iowa Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Wagner vs Mercyhurst Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Baylor vs Houston Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Record: [--] Units: +0.41u Solid card overall with two totals clearing and one miss. Back to work for the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010206342628233539 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010206342628233539"
X Link 2026-01-11T04:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Mens CBB Model Picks (Jan 11) Top Pick #1 North Texas +6.5 (0.5u) The model projects North Texas as the stronger team outright making this a clear underdog value spot if the game stays slow and half-court driven. Top Pick #2 Fort Wayne +5.0 (0.5u) Fort Wayne grades closer to a pickem than a 5-point dog and avoiding turnover spikes keeps multiple cover paths live. Top Pick #3 Already started but w as on the website. All plays: 1.0u Data-driven edges only #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven http://edgeboard.app http://edgeboard.app"
X Link 2026-01-11T17:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"NBA Picks Jan [--] Nuggets vs Bucks Over [-----] (1.0u) Large model gap driven by efficient half-court scoring on both sides with late-game fouling adding upside in a competitive script. Magic vs Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) Projected pace and scoring efficiency clear the market number with free throws and end-game possessions providing a cushion. Kings vs Rockets Over [-----] (0.5u) Tempo and transition volume push the model well above the total creating upside even if one team controls stretches of the game. All plays: 2.0u total Data-driven edges only. #NBA #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard"
X Link 2026-01-11T17:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mens CBB Recap Jan [--] North Texas +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ Fort Wayne +5.0 (0.5u) ✅ Saint Josephs +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ Record: [--] Units: +0.40u Solid underdog spots cash while one pace-control miss keeps it from a sweep. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010714017178829011 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010714017178829011"
X Link 2026-01-12T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Jackson St +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ SE LA vs New Orleans Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Coppin St vs SC St Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: +0.41u"
X Link 2026-01-13T03:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 Mens CBB Model Picks (Jan 13) Top Pick #1 Georgetown +9.0 (0.5u) The model prices this much closer to a one to two possession game giving Georgetown multiple cover paths if they can defend and avoid extended scoring droughts. Top Pick #2 Indiana +7.0 (0.5u) Rivalry-style matchup compresses margins and the model projects a near one-possession game where points carry extra value. Top Pick #3 Buffalo vs Kent State Under [-----] (0.5u) The projection sits well below the market total and at this number even modest pace control or a cold stretch is enough to keep scoring under. #CBB"
X Link 2026-01-13T22:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Model Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Rockets vs Bulls Over [-----] (1.0u) Houstons pace and transition volume push the projection well above market with garbage-time and late fouling keeping scoring afloat even in a lopsided script. Top Pick #2 Lakers vs Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) Atlantas up-tempo profile pairs with the Lakers rim pressure and free-throw generation to raise the scoring floor in a competitive environment. Top Pick #3 Warriors vs Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) Golden States high 3PA rate and Portlands defensive volatility create multiple scoring paths without requiring elite"
X Link 2026-01-13T22:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Georgetown +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ Indiana +7.0 (0.5u) ❌ Buffalo vs Kent State Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary: Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u One side gets there two miss. Volume stayed tight edges remain selective. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011436220493009014 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011436220493009014"
X Link 2026-01-14T13:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Rockets vs Bulls Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Lakers vs Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Warriors vs Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary: Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.0u Net Units: +0.87u Two totals cash one misses. Profit day. On to the next slate. #NBA #NBABetting #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011437087053029717 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011437087053029717"
X Link 2026-01-14T13:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Picks Jan [--] Monmouth vs Drexel Over [-----] (0.5u) NJIT +6.5 vs UMass Lowell (0.5u) Eastern Kentucky +7.5 vs Austin Peay (0.25u) Model continues to highlight value on underdogs in tight projected games with one total where the market is materially underpricing pace and efficiency. Stakes remain disciplined with edge-weighted sizing. On to tip-off. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011884550423445534 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011884550423445534"
X Link 2026-01-15T19:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Monmouth vs Drexel Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ UMass Lowell vs NJIT NJIT +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky EKU +7.5 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.25u Net Units: +0.18u Spreads did the work total ran cold. Underdog value showed up again. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #SpreadValue #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012197778655436967 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012197778655436967"
X Link 2026-01-16T16:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 16) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] Boise State vs Colorado State Stake: [---] Unit Model projects a materially higher scoring environment than market pricing driven by improved possession flow and shot efficiency. Both teams can generate transition chances and avoid prolonged scoring droughts with late-game fouling adding upside. Top Pick #2 Under [-----] Kent State vs Toledo Stake: [---] Unit This total is priced for an extreme pace and efficiency profile that the model does not support. At this number even moderate shooting regression or a half-court stretch pulls the"
X Link 2026-01-16T16:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 16) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] Rockets vs Timberwolves Stake: [--] Unit Model shows a clear scoring edge with both teams capable of sustaining offense through half-court efficiency and secondary possessions. A competitive spread supports late-game fouling and added possessions raising the scoring floor into the mid-220s. Top Pick #2 Over [-----] Raptors vs Clippers Stake: [---] Unit Market pricing underrates baseline pace and scoring efficiency on both sides. Even average tempo with normal shot-making and free-throw volume is enough to push this total past the low-216"
X Link 2026-01-16T16:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Boise State vs Colorado State Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Kent State vs Toledo Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Ohio [----] vs Ball State (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u The total cashes as projected sides dont cooperate. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012518384294896042 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012518384294896042"
X Link 2026-01-17T13:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Nuggets vs Wizards Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Knicks vs Suns Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Warriors vs Hornets Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 2.0u Net Units: -0.09u Top play cashed smaller edges ran into variance. Process stays the same. On to the next slate. #NBA #NBABetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012876251321565610 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012876251321565610"
X Link 2026-01-18T13:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 18) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] San Francisco vs Washington State Stake: [---] Unit Model projects a higher possession count and more efficient scoring than the market implies. Both teams can generate scoring runs and a competitive spread supports full-game offense and late fouling. Top Pick #2 Over [-----] Tulane vs North Texas Stake: [--] Unit Market total sits well below the models baseline. Even average shooting with normal tempo clears this number and a tight spread increases endgame scoring equity. Top Pick #3 Milwaukee +3.0 Fort Wayne vs Milwaukee Stake: [----] Unit"
X Link 2026-01-18T17:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] San Francisco vs Washington State Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Tulane vs North Texas Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Milwaukee vs Fort Wayne Milwaukee +3.0 (0.25u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.75u Net Units: -0.80u One total clears the rest fall short. Back to the board for the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013264161849942185 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013264161849942185"
X Link 2026-01-19T14:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Nuggets vs Hornets Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Rockets vs Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Bulls vs Nets Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 2.0u Net Units: -1.05u One total gets there but the higher exposure misses. On to the next slate. #NBA #NBABetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013265106155581483 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013265106155581483"
X Link 2026-01-19T14:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 19) Top Pick #1 Under [-----] Brown vs Cornell Stake: [---] Unit The model projects a materially slower and less efficient game than the market implies. Ivy matchups often suppress transition opportunities and force half-court execution creating downside risk to scoring unless both teams shoot exceptionally well. Top Pick #2 GW Revolutionaries +3.0 George Mason vs George Washington Stake: [---] Unit The model makes this closer to a coin-flip while the market prices GW as a clear underdog. Taking the points provides value in a game where late-game variance and"
X Link 2026-01-19T15:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 19) Top Pick #1 Under [-----] Warriors vs Heat Stake: [--] Unit Miamis slower pace and half-court control suppress possession count while Golden States efficiency drops against disciplined defenses. The model projects a materially lower median outcome than market pricing. Top Pick #2 Over [-----] Knicks vs Mavericks Stake: [---] Unit Shot volume and free-throw creation support an elevated scoring baseline. A wide spread still allows for sustained offensive pressure and late-game scoring. Top Pick #3 Over [-----] Nets vs Suns Stake: [---] Unit Phoenixs half-court"
X Link 2026-01-19T15:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Brown vs Cornell Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ George Mason vs GW +3.0 (0.5u) ❌ Siena vs Fairfield +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u The primary total comes through cleanly but both sides fall short. Process stays consistent. On to the next slate. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #Totals #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013626246387609892 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013626246387609892"
X Link 2026-01-20T14:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 East Carolina +10.0 (0.5u) Model sees North Texas as over-favored projecting a much tighter game than the double-digit line implies. ECUs half-court profile and pace control keep this within reach if they limit turnover runs. Top Pick #2 Florida Gulf Coast +7.5 (0.25u) Lipscombs edge is overstated in this range. FGCUs rebounding and ball security profile supports a competitive script where covering requires only average offensive execution. Top Pick #3 Buffalo vs Massachusetts Under [-----] (1.0u) Model projects a materially lower scoring environment driven"
X Link 2026-01-23T16:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Bucks vs Nuggets Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.0u Net Units: -1.00u Number never materialized despite the projection edge. Variance showed up early and pace never fully recovered. Process stays the same. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015068799314079834 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015068799314079834"
X Link 2026-01-24T14:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] East Carolina +10.0 (0.5u) ✅ Florida Gulf Coast +7.5 (0.25u) ❌ Buffalo vs UMass Under [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.75u Net Units: +1.11u Underdog sides split but the higher-leverage total did the work. Solid rebound after recent variance. Process stays the same. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015069095230664997 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015069095230664997"
X Link 2026-01-24T14:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 24) Top Pick #1 North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5 vs Virginia Stake: [---] Unit The model shows Virginia overpriced as a near touchdown favorite projecting a much tighter game. Taking the points captures strong cover equity in a matchup that profiles as one to two possessions deep into the second half. Top Pick #2 Under [-----] Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Stake: [---] Unit The projected total sits well below market driven by slower expected pace and inefficient shot quality on both sides. Any regression in finishing or turnover-driven empty possessions keeps this"
X Link 2026-01-24T16:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] North Carolina +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Lindenwood vs Tennessee St Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Incarnate Word vs Texas A&M-CC Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: +0.41u Sides did their job the total misses. Process holds. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015231691233595781 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015231691233595781"
X Link 2026-01-25T01:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Chicago State +9.5 vs Mercyhurst (0.5u) Buying points well beyond the model margin in a game projected near a coin flip. The number provides cushion against normal shooting variance and late-game noise. Fort Wayne [----] vs IUPUI (0.5u) Model shows Fort Wayne as the clearly better side despite the market pricing this near even. Laying a short number stays inside a one to two possession outcome. Southern Illinois [----] vs Evansville (0.5u) The Salukis project a few points stronger than the current line with the edge driven by half-court execution and defensive control."
X Link 2026-01-25T16:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Minnesota vs Golden State Under [-----] (1u) ✅ Detroit vs Sacramento Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Memphis vs Denver Over [-----] (1u) Postponed Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 2.5u Net Units: +1.41u The make-up game cashes the under and the pace reads held where expected. Solid edge execution with one game pushed off. Process stays steady. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015610104918180314 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015610104918180314"
X Link 2026-01-26T02:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Oklahoma City Thunder @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u On to the All-star break. Back in a few days on these"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Picks for Today Rockets vs Suns Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects this closer to the high 220s. Even with average pace both offenses have efficient scoring paths through shot quality rim pressure and free throws. Number sits low enough that a competitive game clears without needing an extreme tempo. 76ers vs Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u) Model lands this game around [---] creating a meaningful cushion at the current total. Denvers efficiency plus Philadelphias ability to score in multiple ways supports an Over. If the game stays competitive into the fourth late-game fouling and extended"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"NBA Picks Jan [--] Here are todays official Edgeboard NBA plays. Units listed per play. Celtics vs Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects scoring in the high 230s suggesting the market is slightly underpricing combined efficiency. Competitive script keeps starters on the floor and late fouling adds tail upside. Knicks vs Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) Projection sits several points above the market total. Both offenses profile well for sustained half-court scoring with free throws and late-game possessions supporting the over. Warriors vs Bucks Under [-----] (0.5u) Model sees a meaningfully lower"
X Link 2026-01-07T22:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mens CBB Model Picks (Jan 8) Top Pick #1 UL Monroe +7.5 (0.5u) The model sees a meaningful gap between market and projection here. UL Monroe profiles as a live underdog capable of staying within a couple possessions by controlling tempo limiting transition mistakes and avoiding foul trouble. The number also leaves room for a late backdoor if Louisiana stretches the game late. Top Pick #2 Montana +3.5 (0.5u) Short spreads heavily favor the side projected closer to an outright win. Montana grades out stronger than the market implies and if they can keep Idaho out of transition and execute in"
X Link 2026-01-08T17:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"NBA Pick Jan [--] One play from the Edgeboard model tonight. 🏀 Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Under [-----] (0.5u) The model projects a total in the mid-230s suggesting the market is overpricing scoring. Both teams can force longer possessions and lean into half-court offense which suppresses pace. Any regression in shooting efficiency or reduced transition volume strongly favors the under at this number. Total exposure: 0.5u #NBA #NBABetting #Totals #SportsBetting #Edgeboard https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009393544226550033 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009393544226550033"
X Link 2026-01-08T22:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mens CBB Recap Jan [--] UL Monroe +7.5 (0.5u) ✅ Montana +3.5 (0.5u) ✅ Utah Tech +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Record: [--] Units: +0.41u #CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #ModelPicks #Edgeboard"
X Link 2026-01-09T14:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Model Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Clippers vs Wizards Over [-----] (0.5u) Washingtons defensive profile boosts opponent efficiency while the Clippers half-court shot creation and free-throw rate create multiple scoring paths to clear a mid-220s total. Top Pick #2 Mavericks vs Nuggets Over [-----] (1.0u) The model projects a major scoring upgrade driven by elite half-court efficiency on both sides full starter minutes in a near pickem and strong late-game fouling potential. Top Pick #3 Kings vs Knicks Over [-----] (0.5u) Both offenses generate quality looks through spacing and ball movement and"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 21) Top Pick #1 Over [-----] Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Stake: [---] Unit Model projects a materially higher scoring environment than the market baseline. Pace upside and paint or free throw creation give this total room to clear even without elite shooting efficiency. Top Pick #2 Under [-----] Detroit Mercy vs Fort Wayne Stake: [---] Unit The model points to a slower more halfcourt driven game than the market implies. If shooting regresses toward average and transition opportunities are limited the under has margin. Top Pick #3 Over [-----] Cal Baptist vs Utah"
X Link 2026-01-21T16:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Illinois St vs Northern Iowa Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Mercy vs Fort Wayne Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Cal Baptist vs Utah Tech Over [-----] (0.25u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.25u Net Units: -1.25u Rough card across the board. Numbers did not convert to outcomes variance hit all sides. Process stays intact. Regroup and move forward. #CBB #CollegeBasketball #Totals #Sides #Edgeboard #ModelDriven https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014343093466640614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014343093466640614"
X Link 2026-01-22T14:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Milwaukee Panthers +5.5 (0.25u) ❌ Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 (0.5u) ✅ Towson Tigers +2.5 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.0u Net Units: +0.43u One side misses both value dogs get there. Edge showed up where expected variance stayed manageable. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014546801248940217 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014546801248940217"
X Link 2026-01-23T03:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Chicago St +9.5 (0.5u) ✅ Fort Wayne [----] (0.5u) Postponed Southern Illinois [----] (0.5u) Postponed Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 0.5u Net Units: +0.45u Only game played cashed cleanly. Weather postponements limit volume. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015551469135724722 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015551469135724722"
X Link 2026-01-25T22:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Plays Celtics vs Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) Rockets vs Grizzlies Over [-----] (0.5u) Hawks vs Pacers Over [-----] (0.5u) All three plays project multi-point cushions versus the close driven by pace shot profile and game-script alignment. Two spots benefit from defensive pressure creating extra possessions while the AtlantaIndiana matchup profiles as a sustained transition environment with late-game foul upside. Balanced exposure across similar total ranges. Let the numbers work. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015823773644226651"
X Link 2026-01-26T16:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Celtics vs Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Rockets vs Grizzlies Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Hawks vs Pacers Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u One game plays into the expected pace and clears cleanly the others stall short. The read on AtlantaIndiana was right execution elsewhere didnt follow. On to the next slate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016149580610433325 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016149580610433325"
X Link 2026-01-27T14:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Buffalo +8.0 (0.5u) ✅ Georgia Tech +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ New Orleans +4.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: +1.35u Clean sweep. Dogs stay inside the number across the board and the edges convert. Solid execution solid results. Process holds. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526568529563775 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526568529563775"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Over [-----] (1.0u) Model edge remains strong with pace and transition driving a higher scoring baseline than the market implies. Top Pick #2 Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) Shot quality and spacing support sustained scoring with late-game foul equity if this stays competitive. Top Pick #3 Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u) Both offenses project above market efficiency and a tight spread favors full-strength fourth-quarter scoring. Process-first card. Totals-only slate with edges concentrated"
X Link 2026-01-28T16:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Georgetown vs DePaul Over [-----] (0.5u) Model sees pace and efficiency underpriced with late-game fouling upside in a tight Big East script. Top Pick #2 Colgate [-----] vs Holy Cross (0.5u) Projection gap favors the favorite. Colgates half-court execution creates separation if turnovers stay in check. Top Pick #3 Kennesaw St [----] vs Western Kentucky (0.5u) Model expects control on the glass and defensive pressure to generate margin. Cleanest angle is the side. Total Units Risked: 1.5u Process-driven edges across pace matchup and market mispricing. Let the"
X Link 2026-01-28T16:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Georgetown vs DePaul Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Colgate [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Kennesaw St [----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -1.50u Nothing gets home on this slate. Sides fail to separate and the total never finds pace. Tough night but the framework doesnt change. On to the next one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016880353781191147 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016880353781191147"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Plays Wagner vs Central Connecticut - Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects a much higher scoring environment than the market total. Close-game dynamics and late fouling support the over if pace avoids a grind. Penn State +8.5 (0.25u) Market prices Northwestern as a clear multi-possession favorite but the model sees a much tighter game. Points provide cushion in a matchup-driven Big Ten spot. North Alabama +9.0 (0.25u) Projection gap suggests FGCUs edge is overstated. North Alabama can stay inside the number without elite shooting with backdoor cover potential late."
X Link 2026-01-29T16:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Plays Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets Over [-----] (0.5u) Shot volume and spacing favor a higher-scoring script. Dallas half-court efficiency plus Charlottes pace and defensive leakage keep the total reachable if both sides avoid extended droughts. Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Over [-----] (0.5u) Strong possession profile with transition opportunities on both sides. Atlantas early-clock offense and Houstons athleticism support sustained scoring and late-game foul upside if the game stays competitive. Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons Over [-----] (0.5u) Market"
X Link 2026-01-29T16:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Georgetown vs DePaul Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Penn State +8.5 (0.25u) ❌ North Alabama +9.0 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.0u Net Units: -0.53u Totals and dogs both struggle early and Penn State never really threatens the number late. North Alabama stays inside the spread and trims the damage. The edge profile doesnt fully convert on this slate. Process stands and we move on to the next CBB card. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017244724701045238 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017244724701045238"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers Over [-----] (0.5u) The model sees this total a meaningful step higher than the market driven by efficient half-court offense and late-game free throws in a competitive spread environment. A modest pace can still produce enough points when shot quality and usage concentration are strong. Top Pick #2 New York Knicks vs Portland Trail Blazers Over [-----] (0.5u) The projection leans above the current total with New Yorks offensive efficiency carrying a larger share of the scoring than the pace implies. If Portland does enough"
X Link 2026-01-30T17:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Jan [--] Top Pick #1 Charlotte 49ers vs Rice Owls Over [-----] (0.5u) Model projects this a few points higher than the market with Charlottes offense likely to keep Rice engaged and late fouls helping push toward the mid 140s. Top Pick #2 Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse Under [-----] (0.5u) Projection sits well below the current number with defensive pressure and longer possessions expected to trim efficiency and overall scoring. Top Pick #3 Manhattan Jaspers vs Rider Broncs Rider +6.5 (0.25u) The matchup profiles closer to a one- to two-possession game so the"
X Link 2026-01-30T17:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Charlotte 49ers vs Rice Owls Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Detroit Mercy vs Northern Kentucky Norse Under [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Manhattan Jaspers vs Rider Broncs Rider +6.5 (0.25u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.25u Net Units: +0.18u Model edges leaned into higher-scoring spots and a live dog that stayed inside the number. Small positive night with the framework holding as we move to the next CBB card. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017441442570874916 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017441442570874916"
X Link 2026-01-31T03:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks January [--] Top Pick #1 Virginia Tech Hokies vs Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech +12.0 (0.5u) The market makes Duke a heavy favorite but the model expects a single-digit contest. Taking the points provides a substantial cushion in this conference matchup. Top Pick #2 Wyoming Cowboys vs Colorado St Rams Over [-----] (0.5u) Model expects scoring closer to the high 150s (18.5-point edge). Even moderately elevated possessions should clear this number without needing elite shooting. Top Pick #3 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs AR-Little Rock Trojans Tennessee Tech +2.5 (0.5u) Notable"
X Link 2026-01-31T17:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks January [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Over [-----] (1u) Dallas games can stay offense-driven via high 3PA and efficient halfcourt creation while Houstons pressure can create extra possessions through turnovers and transition chances. Even if pace dips late the models total (233) sits well above the market leaving a big enough cushion to absorb a slower 4th. Top Pick #2 Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) The model expects a more efficient game than the market implies with extra value coming from under-accounted shot quality and"
X Link 2026-01-31T20:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Jan [--] Virginia Tech +12.0 (0.5u) ❌ Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Tennessee Tech +2.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Model edges leaned into a live dog and a total with room above the number offsetting the miss on VT. Solid positive night with the framework holding as we roll into the next CBB card. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017804952672809147 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017804952672809147"
X Link 2026-02-01T03:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Jan [--] Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Over [-----] (1.0u) ❌ Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -1.50u This might actually be an all-time great fade model"
X Link 2026-02-01T04:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u). The model projects more efficient halfcourt offense and threepoint volume than a [---] total implies with a competitive game adding late fouls and scoring. Top Pick #2 San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u). Projected pace and scoring efficiency both sit above market and a relatively tight spread keeps starters on the floor supporting an Over in normal game scripts. Top Pick #3 Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets Over [-----] (0.5u). The projection expects more possessions and easier points"
X Link 2026-02-01T17:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Feb [--] Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Clippers Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ San Antonio Spurs @ Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: [--] Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -1.50u Going to keep this active as a fade model. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018184208380789087 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018184208380789087"
X Link 2026-02-02T04:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Feb [--] (Keep in mind this model is stupid cold feel free to fade) Top Pick #1 Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers Over [-----] (0.5u). The model projects a scoring environment a bit higher than the [-----] total with two offenses capable of sustaining efficient halfcourt possessions. A competitive game keeps starters on the floor and creates late free throws giving a reasonable path to clearing this number. Top Pick #2 Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Over [-----] (1u). Expected pace and shot volume support a total above [---] with both teams able to create earlyclock looks"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks Under [-----] (0.5u). The model projects total scoring around [---] points making [-----] too high given the likely defensive focus and slower possessions in this matchup. If Texas Tech can grind possessions and Kansas is forced into tougher contested looks the scoring pace should stay below the market number. Top Pick #2 Lamar Cardinals vs SE Louisiana Lions Over [-----] (0.5u). With a relatively low total and a model projection in the low 140s even modest increases in pace or freethrow volume can push this game over"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Feb [--] Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Over [-----] (1.0u) ✅ Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: +0.86u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685059683754248 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685059683754248"
X Link 2026-02-03T13:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Feb [--] Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Lamar Cardinals vs SE Louisiana Lions Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Alabama A&M Bulldogs +1.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685221441265795 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018685221441265795"
X Link 2026-02-03T13:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Dayton Flyers vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies St. Bonaventure +8.5 (0.5u). The model implies Dayton shouldnt be laying this many points creating value on the underdog. With +8.5 St. Bonaventure can cover through tempo control and limiting highvalue transition looks; if the game stays in the half court the margin the market is asking Dayton to cover becomes tougher to justify. Top Pick #2 TennMartin Skyhawks vs ArkansasLittle Rock Trojans Over [-----] (0.5u). The model projects about [---] points giving a 6+ point edge to the over at this lowtomid 130s number."
X Link 2026-02-03T17:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks Feb [--] (Even with the wins yesterday this might still be a fade model) Top Pick #1 Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Over [-----] (0.5u). Denvers offense is one of the most efficient shotquality generators in the league and against a weaker defense it can produce steady scoring across four quarters. Detroits variance and transition game can still contribute enough and with starters likely to play deep into a competitive spot the scoring profile supports a total above the current mid/high220s number. Top Pick #2 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u). The main"
X Link 2026-02-03T17:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Tue Feb [--] St. Bonaventure +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ SIU-Edwardsville +4.5 (0.5u) ✅ Tenn-Martin Skyhawks@Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018917086609703199 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018917086609703199"
X Link 2026-02-04T05:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Detroit Pistons@Denver Nugget Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Oklahoma City Thunder@Orlando Magic Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Golden State Warriors@Philadelphia 76er Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019108632823312884 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019108632823312884"
X Link 2026-02-04T17:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Over [-----] (0.5u) Model total [-----] vs market [-----] (+12.8). Bostons spacing/3PA volume plus Houstons transition/FTs supports baseline scoring. Competitive spread keeps starters in stabilizing pace late. Top Pick #2 Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Over [-----] (0.5u) Market [-----] looks light vs model [-----] (+10.5). Both teams generate efficient looks + FT pressure; close game boosts 4Q scoring. Even with half-court slows projection implies enough efficiency to clear. Top Pick #3 San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma"
X Link 2026-02-04T19:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks Over [-----] (0.5u) Model [-----] vs market [-----] (+16.4). 135-range totals are fragileone fast stretch per half + normal FT rate can get you there. Any tempo push off rebounds/turnovers makes this very reachable. Top Pick #2 Stanford Cardinal vs Clemson Tigers Over [-----] (0.5u) Model [-----] vs market [-----] (+13.6). Clears with average efficiency if they avoid long dead half-court spells. A modest pace/3PT/FT uptick is enough at this number. Top Pick #3 George Mason Patriots vs Duquesne Dukes Over"
X Link 2026-02-04T19:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Houston Rockets@Boston Celtic Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Milwaukee Bucks@New Orleans Pelican Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ San Antonio Spurs@Oklahoma City Thunder Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507501465751729 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507501465751729"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornet Over [-----] (0.5u) This total is priced as a relatively low-scoring game but the model expects a much higher scoring environment driven by a meaningful efficiency gap and enough possessions to get there. If Houstons offense creates paint pressure and free throws while also generating extra chances (via offensive rebounds/turnovers) points can pile up without needing extreme shooting. Charlottes defense can allow clean looks and put opponents on the line raising expected points per possession. While a lopsided game"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Wagner Seahawks vs Le Moyne Dolphin Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects a total around the mid-150s creating a large edge on over [-----]. If pace is even moderately elevated this number is beatable without requiring elite shooting. Close spreads also increase late-game scoring through fouls and extended possessions. Because totals can be swingy stake is moderate despite the strong edge. Top Pick #2 Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineer Over [-----] (1u) The model projects about [--] more points than the market which is a major discrepancy at a"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Wagner Seahawks@Le Moyne Dolphin Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Cincinnati Bearcats@West Virginia Mountaineer Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Iona Gaels +7.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019598151250813249 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019598151250813249"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Houston Rockets@Charlotte Hornet Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Atlanta Hawks@Utah Jazz Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Pistons@Washington Wizard Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019777299164393847 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019777299164393847"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Fri Feb [--] Boston Celtics@Miami Heat Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Detroit Pistons@New York Knick Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Sacramento Kings@Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -1.05u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020181367485599812 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020181367485599812"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rocket Over [-----] (1u) The [-----] market total is low relative to the projected possession count and scoring efficiency creating a very large margin for the Over. OKC tends to play with pace and generates efficient offense via spacing drives and free throws while Houstons athleticism can push transition opportunities that add easy points on both sides. With a tight spread profile late-game fouling and extended scoring possessions are more likely than a full pace collapse. Even accounting for shooting variance the"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devil Under [-----] (0.5u) The primary edge is on the total: the model is 6+ points below the market number implying the current total is inflated. High-profile rivalry games often produce more deliberate half-court possessions and increased defensive focus especially in late-game situations. If either teams perimeter efficiency is merely average (instead of hot) the scoring can fall short of this number. The line also leaves little margin for a brief cold stretch turnovers or extended free-throw droughts to push"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Sat Feb [--] Oklahoma City Thunder@Houston Rocket Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Atlanta Hawks@Charlotte Hornet Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Brooklyn Nets@Washington Wizard Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 3-0 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: +1.82u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020335889189146905 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020335889189146905"
X Link 2026-02-08T03:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Sat Feb [--] North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devil Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ BYU Cougars @ Houston Cougar BYU +1.5 (0.5u) ❌ Texas A&M Aggies @ Florida Gator Under [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020501150714245225 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020501150714245225"
X Link 2026-02-08T14:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Boston Celtics vs New York Knick Over [-----] (1u) The model total (231.3) implies a large 17.7-point edge to the Over versus the [-----] market close suggesting the market is pricing in a slower lower-efficiency game than expected. This matchup can still clear with moderate pace because both teams can generate high-value looks (3s and free throws) that lift points per possession even if possessions are average. With a relatively tight expected game script late-game fouling and extended possessions (timeouts free throws) can add points to the closing"
X Link 2026-02-08T14:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raider Over [-----] (0.5u) A 9+ point discrepancy is substantial for a college total pointing to an implied scoring environment thats too low. Even if one team is inefficient early [-----] leaves room for a normal foul rate and modest three-point shooting to cash. If either side pushes tempo off misses/turnovers the total benefits quickly given the low bar. The spread edge here is smaller so the cleanest value is on the over. Top Pick #2 Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knight Over [-----] (0.5u) The model anticipates"
X Link 2026-02-08T14:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Sun Feb [--] West Virginia @ Texas Tech O136.5 (0.5u) ❌ Cincinnati @ UCF O145.5 (0.5u) ✅ Penn State @ USC O155.5 (0.25u) ❌ Record: 1-2 Risked: 1.25u Net: -0.30u"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) A [-----] total requires sustained defensive control but the model expects more scoring via efficiency edges and a higher possession count than the market implies. Milwaukees offense tends to generate rim/FT pressure and high-value shots and Orlandos scoring can rise if its forced into a more up-tempo exchange. If the game remains within striking distance late-game intentional fouling can add several points and protect the Over at this number. The projection edge is strong enough to withstand modest cold"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Mon Feb [--] Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Brooklyn Nets @ Chicago Bull Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento King Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021071516637524220 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021071516637524220"
X Link 2026-02-10T03:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Mon Feb [--] Southern Jaguars @ Alabama St Hornet Alabama St Hornets +7.0 (0.5u) ✅ Murray St Racers @ Northern Iowa Panther Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack NC State Wolfpack +6.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021195344889909279 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021195344889909279"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) The market number is priced like a grindy low-efficiency game but the projection expects substantially more scoring from a combination of possession volume and offensive efficiency. Houstons ability to pressure the rim and generate free throws elevates baseline scoring while the Clippers half-court shot-making can punish defensive lapses and keep the total climbing even if pace isnt extreme. If the game remains competitive late-game fouling adds another layer of points that a 210-level total"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Richmond Spiders vs George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) The model expects a game in the mid-150s well above [-----] indicating an implied pace/efficiency mismatch in the market number. If either team can generate early offense or get to the line at a reasonable clip the over gains traction quickly because the baseline is low. Both teams ability to score in spurts makes it hard to keep the game pinned to the low 140s for [--] minutes. Even a close finish adds free throws that tend to push totals over depressed market numbers. Top Pick #2 Western Illinois"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) The model total (230.2) is [---] points above the market (221.0) indicating a strong Over angle. San Antonios pace tendencies and willingness to run can increase total possessions and Golden States three-point volume creates high-variance scoring spikes. Defensive execution for both sides can be uneven producing more breakdowns that lead to open threes and layups. Even if the Warriors trail their late-game three-point hunting can add quick points and extend the game via fouling. Top Pick #2"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) This total is priced well below the model expectation implying the market is discounting scoring more than warranted. Oklahoma Citys efficiency profile and transition creation tend to lift totals and Milwaukees offense can still contribute enough even if theyre behind. The large spread introduces blowout risk but OKCs depth and willingness to run can keep pace elevated into bench minutes rather than fully collapsing. If the game stays even moderately competitive into the fourth late-game free"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 SIU-Edwardsville Cougars vs SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) The model projects this total materially higher than [-----] implying pace and/or offensive efficiency is undervalued by the market. When the market hangs a mid-130s total and the model sees low-150s it often points to mispriced tempo expectations or matchup-driven shot quality. If both teams can convert at average rates and avoid extended droughts clearing [-----] is very achievable. Even moderate late fouling can push an already close-to-cash Over across the number. The main risk is if"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:49Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Hampton Pirates vs North Carolina A&T Aggie North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 (0.5u) The model makes North Carolina A&T the favorite so getting +3.0 is a reasonable value position. In a short-spread game taking points with the team projected better is generally profitable over time. The matchup edge likely comes from possession creation (turnovers/second chances) and shot quality. Because the game is relatively close in projection a half-unit is appropriate. Top Pick #2 Niagara Purple Eagles vs Manhattan Jasper Niagara Purple Eagles [----] (0.5u) The"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Top Plays Todays Card (Jan 22) Top Pick #1 Milwaukee Panthers +5.5 Stake: [----] Unit The model projects this matchup much closer than the market spread. Taking +5.5 provides protection in a game that profiles as competitive deep into the second half. With moderate edge and typical mid-major variance this is sized smaller but still offers value if Milwaukee avoids empty possessions and controls the glass. Top Pick #2 Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 Stake: [---] Unit Sacred Heart is priced as an inflated near double-digit favorite while the model sees a tighter game. Getting +9.5 creates"
X Link 2026-01-22T16:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks Feb [--] Top Pick #1 Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave Tulane +10.0 (0.25u). The model has this much closer to a pickem so catching double digits with Tulane creates value as long as they manage turnovers and avoid extended Memphis runs. Top Pick #2 Mt. St. Marys Mountaineers vs Manhattan Jaspers Over [-----] (0.5u). Both pace and expected efficiency point higher than [-----] and a competitive game increases late free throws and extended possessions which support the Over. Top Pick #3 Merrimack vs Sacred Heart Sacred Heart +6.5 (0.25u). The model expects a tighter game than the"
X Link 2026-02-01T17:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Wed Feb [--] South Carolina St Bulldogs@Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawk Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Stanford Cardinal@Clemson Tiger Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ George Mason Patriots@Duquesne Duke Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 0-3 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -1.50u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507806421021066 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019507806421021066"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Illinois St Redbirds vs Drake Bulldog Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) Model makes this closer than the line. Higher expected pace adds variance that benefits the dog; +9.5 covers a wide range of outcomes. Top Pick #2 Valparaiso Beacons vs Evansville Purple Ace Evansville Purple Aces +9.5 (0.5u) Model has it close while market implies a blowout. Lategame variance and extra possessions favor the underdog staying within the number. Top Pick #3 St. Johns Red Storm vs UConn Huskie UConn Huskies [----] (0.5u) Model rates UConn higher than the spread suggests. If"
X Link 2026-02-06T18:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Fri Feb [--] Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Evansville Purple Aces +9.5 (0.5u) ✅ UConn Huskies [----] (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game"
X Link 2026-02-07T03:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Richmond Spiders @ George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Western Illinois Leathernecks @ Eastern Illinois Panther Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Pittsburgh Panthers @ Duke Blue Devil Pittsburgh +17.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 3-0 Units Risked: 2.50u Net Units: +2.27u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Kent State Golden Flashes vs Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects [-----] compared to [-----] indicating the market is underpricing expected scoring. This can reflect a faster pace expectation better shot quality or weaker defensive resistance than the line implies. Even if Kent State underperforms relative to the spread the total can still go over via Eastern Michigan contributing more than expected. Given the meaningful total edge over is the best expression of value. Top Pick #2 South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota Fighting Hawk"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Kent State Golden Flashes @ Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ South Dakota Coyotes @ North Dakota Fighting Hawk North Dakota Fighting Hawks +1.5 (0.5u) ✅ Central Arkansas Bears @ Bellarmine Knight Bellarmine Knights +7.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Thu Feb [--] SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) ❌ San Francisco Dons @ Oregon St Beaver Oregon St Beavers +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ Wright St Raiders @ Detroit Mercy Titan Detroit Mercy Titans +10.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Feb [--] ✅ North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 ❌ Niagara Purple Eagles [----] ❌ Dartmouth Big Green +9.0 Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u Didnt cash the way we wanted but the process stays the same and we move to the next slate"
X Link 2026-02-14T12:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) The model makes the game near a one-possession spread so taking +9.2 captures significant value. Texas Techs defensive structure and ability to contest shots can keep them within range even if Arizonas offense is strong. Large numbers are vulnerable to late-game pace reductions and extended half-court sequences which tend to favor the underdog. This bet wins with any competitive game script not requiring an upset. Top Pick #2 Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermaker Over 142.5"
X Link 2026-02-14T14:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Sat Feb [--] Arizona Wildcats @ Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ Iowa Hawkeyes @ Purdue Boilermaker Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ Tenn-Martin Skyhawk Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Two wins on a three-play slate and the process stayed sharp start to finish. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484"
X Link 2026-02-15T02:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Sun Feb [--] UAB Blazers @ Tulane Green Wave Tulane Green Wave +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Northern Iowa Panthers @ Drake Bulldog Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Fort Wayne Mastodons @ IUPUI Jaguar IUPUI Jaguars +6.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Discipline and model process stayed consistent and we keep stacking edges. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Iowa State Cyclones vs Houston Cougar Over [-----] (0.5u) The model indicates more scoring than the market expects which can come from either a faster tempo or improved efficiency at the rim/line. With a tight spread both teams should maintain primary lineups longer supporting steadier offense. If either side can generate second-chance points or get to the stripe the over gains a strong buffer. Risk comes from elite defense sequences that suppress transition and force late-clock shots. Top Pick #2 LIU Sharks vs Wagner Seahawk Wagner Seahawks +9.5"
X Link 2026-02-16T14:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Performance Snapshot Since Last Update (Feb 2Feb 15) Record: [----] Net Units: +1.11u ROI: +4.9% Model to Date (Dec 29Feb 15) Record: [-----] Net Units: +4.56u ROI: +6.1%"
X Link 2026-02-16T02:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Iowa State Cyclones vs Houston Cougar Over [-----] (0.5u) The model indicates more scoring than the market expects which can come from either a faster tempo or improved efficiency at the rim/line. With a tight spread both teams should maintain primary lineups longer supporting steadier offense. If either side can generate second-chance points or get to the stripe the over gains a strong buffer. Risk comes from elite defense sequences that suppress transition and force late-clock shots. Top Pick #2 LIU Sharks vs Wagner Seahawk Wagner Seahawks +9.5"
X Link 2026-02-16T14:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Sun Feb [--] UAB Blazers @ Tulane Green Wave Tulane Green Wave +6.5 (0.5u) ✅ Northern Iowa Panthers @ Drake Bulldog Drake Bulldogs +9.5 (0.5u) ❌ Fort Wayne Mastodons @ IUPUI Jaguar IUPUI Jaguars +6.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Discipline and model process stayed consistent and we keep stacking edges. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023191612881358864"
X Link 2026-02-16T00:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Picks (Feb 15) 1) Tulane +6.5 (0.5u) vs UAB 2) Drake +9.5 (0.5u) vs UNI 3) IUPUI +6.0 (0.5u) vs Fort Wayne Model edges only not gut feel. #CBB #NCAAB #sportsbetting"
X Link 2026-02-15T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Full deep dive/analysis into top picks is at: https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks https://www.edgeboard.app/cbb/picks"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Sat Feb [--] Arizona Wildcats @ Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) ✅ Iowa Hawkeyes @ Purdue Boilermaker Over [-----] (0.5u) ❌ SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ Tenn-Martin Skyhawk Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u Two wins on a three-play slate and the process stayed sharp start to finish. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022866909171982484"
X Link 2026-02-15T02:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raider Texas Tech Red Raiders +9.0 (0.5u) The model makes the game near a one-possession spread so taking +9.2 captures significant value. Texas Techs defensive structure and ability to contest shots can keep them within range even if Arizonas offense is strong. Large numbers are vulnerable to late-game pace reductions and extended half-court sequences which tend to favor the underdog. This bet wins with any competitive game script not requiring an upset. Top Pick #2 Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermaker Over 142.5"
X Link 2026-02-14T14:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Feb [--] ✅ North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 ❌ Niagara Purple Eagles [----] ❌ Dartmouth Big Green +9.0 Day Summary Record: 1-2 Units Risked: 1.5u Net Units: -0.55u Didnt cash the way we wanted but the process stays the same and we move to the next slate"
X Link 2026-02-14T12:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Hampton Pirates vs North Carolina A&T Aggie North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.0 (0.5u) The model makes North Carolina A&T the favorite so getting +3.0 is a reasonable value position. In a short-spread game taking points with the team projected better is generally profitable over time. The matchup edge likely comes from possession creation (turnovers/second chances) and shot quality. Because the game is relatively close in projection a half-unit is appropriate. Top Pick #2 Niagara Purple Eagles vs Manhattan Jasper Niagara Purple Eagles [----] (0.5u) The"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Thu Feb [--] SIU-Edwardsville Cougars @ SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) ❌ San Francisco Dons @ Oregon St Beaver Oregon St Beavers +8.5 (0.5u) ✅ Wright St Raiders @ Detroit Mercy Titan Detroit Mercy Titans +10.5 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324335646540007"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Thu Feb [--] Oklahoma City Thunder @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u On to the All-star break. Back in a few days on these"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 SIU-Edwardsville Cougars vs SE Missouri St Redhawk Over [-----] (1u) The model projects this total materially higher than [-----] implying pace and/or offensive efficiency is undervalued by the market. When the market hangs a mid-130s total and the model sees low-150s it often points to mispriced tempo expectations or matchup-driven shot quality. If both teams can convert at average rates and avoid extended droughts clearing [-----] is very achievable. Even moderate late fouling can push an already close-to-cash Over across the number. The main risk is if"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:49Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (1u) This total is priced well below the model expectation implying the market is discounting scoring more than warranted. Oklahoma Citys efficiency profile and transition creation tend to lift totals and Milwaukees offense can still contribute enough even if theyre behind. The large spread introduces blowout risk but OKCs depth and willingness to run can keep pace elevated into bench minutes rather than fully collapsing. If the game stays even moderately competitive into the fourth late-game free"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Kent State Golden Flashes @ Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ South Dakota Coyotes @ North Dakota Fighting Hawk North Dakota Fighting Hawks +1.5 (0.5u) ✅ Central Arkansas Bears @ Bellarmine Knight Bellarmine Knights +7.5 (0.5u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: +0.41u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004462928507342"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Wed Feb [--] Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Buck Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ Day Summary Record: 2-1 Units Risked: 2.00u Net Units: -0.09u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022004327297028144"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Kent State Golden Flashes vs Eastern Michigan Eagle Over [-----] (0.5u) The model projects [-----] compared to [-----] indicating the market is underpricing expected scoring. This can reflect a faster pace expectation better shot quality or weaker defensive resistance than the line implies. Even if Kent State underperforms relative to the spread the total can still go over via Eastern Michigan contributing more than expected. Given the meaningful total edge over is the best expression of value. Top Pick #2 South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota Fighting Hawk"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 NBA Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spur Over [-----] (0.5u) The model total (230.2) is [---] points above the market (221.0) indicating a strong Over angle. San Antonios pace tendencies and willingness to run can increase total possessions and Golden States three-point volume creates high-variance scoring spikes. Defensive execution for both sides can be uneven producing more breakdowns that lead to open threes and layups. Even if the Warriors trail their late-game three-point hunting can add quick points and extend the game via fouling. Top Pick #2"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏀 CBB Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Richmond Spiders @ George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Western Illinois Leathernecks @ Eastern Illinois Panther Over [-----] (1u) ✅ Pittsburgh Panthers @ Duke Blue Devil Pittsburgh +17.0 (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 3-0 Units Risked: 2.50u Net Units: +2.27u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021563020686594051"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 NBA Results Recap Tue Feb [--] Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clipper Over [-----] (1u) ❌ New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacer Over [-----] (0.5u) ✅ Day Summary Record: 1-1 Units Risked: 1.50u Net Units: -0.55u All sizing and edges are driven by the model not conviction in any single game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021562963694354457"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🏀 CBB Daily Picks February [--] Top Pick #1 Richmond Spiders vs George Mason Patriot Over [-----] (1u) The model expects a game in the mid-150s well above [-----] indicating an implied pace/efficiency mismatch in the market number. If either team can generate early offense or get to the line at a reasonable clip the over gains traction quickly because the baseline is low. Both teams ability to score in spurts makes it hard to keep the game pinned to the low 140s for [--] minutes. Even a close finish adds free throws that tend to push totals over depressed market numbers. Top Pick #2 Western Illinois"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
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