[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @EconBerger Guy Berger Guy Berger posts on X about strike, level, has been, nfp the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/interactions)  - X Week XXXXXX -XXXX% - X Month XXXXXXX +202% - X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX% - X Year XXXXXXXXX -XX% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/posts_active)  - X Week XX -XX% - X Month XXX +40% - X Months XXX +113% - X Year XXX -XXXX% ### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/followers)  - X Week XXXXXX +1.80% - X Month XXXXXX +4.90% - X Months XXXXXX +16% - X Year XXXXXX +34% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) XXXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks) XXX% **Social topic influence** [strike](/topic/strike) 6.9%, [level](/topic/level) 6.9%, [has been](/topic/has-been) 6.9%, [nfp](/topic/nfp) 3.45%, [picked](/topic/picked) 3.45%, [at least](/topic/at-least) 3.45%, [layoffs](/topic/layoffs) 3.45%, [$ba](/topic/$ba) 3.45%, [fed](/topic/fed) 3.45%, [status](/topic/status) XXXX% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@opinion](/creator/undefined) [@dannydayan5](/creator/undefined) [@ernietedeschi](/creator/undefined) [@gmillermortgage](/creator/undefined) [@mattyglesias](/creator/undefined) [@danevandyck](/creator/undefined) [@fmrsyfurrpunk](/creator/undefined) [@chicagofed](/creator/undefined) [@indeed](/creator/undefined) [@biancoresearch](/creator/undefined) [@mill226](/creator/undefined) [@avitillu1](/creator/undefined) [@prestonmui](/creator/undefined) [@benfranklin927](/creator/undefined) [@mblancresearch](/creator/undefined) [@ericwhickman](/creator/undefined) [@savarymathieu](/creator/undefined) [@profplum99](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Boeing Co (BA)](/topic/$ba) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "Thread on point on Powell's assessment that currently published NFP numbers are currently an overcount. 1/ This may be true but we don't have evidence for it yet. It's an extrapolation of QCEW data from March 2024-March 2025 (8-20 months ago)" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998869995565261144) 2025-12-10T21:38Z 19.6K followers, 9992 engagements "Claims: 1/ An extremely low read for initial claims (191K) during the Thanksgiving week. The comparison to 2024 is wonky due to last year's Boeing strike but it's also a lot lower than in 2023" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1996574259356057679) 2025-12-04T13:36Z 19.6K followers, 6302 engagements "Provisional but a back of the envelope calculation is that the increase in layoff announcements is consistent with an increase of about 145K/month to JOLTS layoffs (something like an X% increase on top of prior levels) and 12K/week to initial claims (5% increase)" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1996731647681876164) 2025-12-05T00:01Z 19.6K followers, 3740 engagements "2/ The hiring rate was at XXX% in October. It's a really hard time to find a job. We saw this level of hiring in 2010-11 when unemployment was around 9%. (Right now the UR is around 4.5%.)" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998409717094457397) 2025-12-09T15:09Z 19.6K followers, 1344 engagements "3/ The quit rate was XXX% in October its lowest level since May 2020. Job hugging is intense right now We saw quits at these levels in 2014-2015 when the unemployment rate was around 6.5%" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998410355866001849) 2025-12-09T15:12Z 19.6K followers, 13K engagements "4/ And the layoff rate picked up a little. We've been used to describing layoffs as unusually low but a layoff of XXX% is "normal" at least for an unemployment rate around 4.5%" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998411055236821385) 2025-12-09T15:14Z 19.6K followers, 3705 engagements "1/ Some benchmarks for tmw's claims data. For continuing claims (week ended 11/22) I'd expect something around 1.953M. (We've been running a tad below my benchmark recently.)" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1996387166814085331) 2025-12-04T01:12Z 19.6K followers, 1872 engagements "2/ For initial claims the 2024 comparison is kind of funky due to the Boeing Strike. Based on 2023 I'd expect a number similar to or slightly above last week's 216K" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1996387849177063579) 2025-12-04T01:15Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements "Without looking at the data the decade with the fastest growth in inflation-adjusted median household income was:" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998818335153344718) 2025-12-10T18:13Z 19.6K followers, 2312 engagements "Thursday's claims data: 1/ I expect we'll get payback for last week's very low number which reflected seasonal adjustment misfire. 240K wouldn't surprise me. I don't think 191K was a particularly accurate reflection of reality and 240K (if I'm right) won't reflect it either" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998921008741556534) 2025-12-11T01:01Z 19.6K followers, 2076 engagements "2/ .which means the partial-to-date effect on claims has been swamped by everything else. My back of the envelope calculation for the full impact was 12K in additional initial claims per week based on layoff announcements to date" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1999138002073715082) 2025-12-11T15:23Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements "Interesting that the Fed has no change in their unemployment rate projection for 2026" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998831559814820240) 2025-12-10T19:05Z 19.6K followers, 1926 engagements "2/ Imperfect classification of government workers status because of the survey reference period including both shutdown and non-shutdown days" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998971477241246131) 2025-12-11T04:21Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements "3/ lower than usual response rate (because the data collection period may have run into Thanksgiving week)" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998971747929030946) 2025-12-11T04:22Z 19.6K followers, 1454 engagements "2/ It doesn't matter much for the Fed's mandate. The data that guides that that mandate - ratios in the household survey - won't get revised. We already know what it's doing: the unemployment rate has been going up" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998870482616193161) 2025-12-10T21:40Z 19.6K followers, 1803 engagements "Im curious what Powell meant when he described the November household survey data having technical issues. Here is a thread with some ideas: 1/ Challenging seasonal adjustment in the absence of October data" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998970964521197769) 2025-12-11T04:19Z 19.6K followers, 3129 engagements "1/ This is imho a bad but surprisingly common argument. As long as inflation is anticipated its priced in to debt arrangements. It *is* true that higher-than-expected inflation redistributes from creditors to debtors and this is unfair but" [X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1999665178082947567) 2025-12-13T02:18Z 19.6K followers, 1442 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@EconBerger Guy Berger
Guy Berger posts on X about strike, level, has been, nfp the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXX -XXXX%
- X Month XXXXXXX +202%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX -XX%
Mentions: XX #
- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX +40%
- X Months XXX +113%
- X Year XXX -XXXX%
Followers: XXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXX +1.80%
- X Month XXXXXX +4.90%
- X Months XXXXXX +16%
- X Year XXXXXX +34%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance XXXXX% stocks XXX%
Social topic influence strike 6.9%, level 6.9%, has been 6.9%, nfp 3.45%, picked 3.45%, at least 3.45%, layoffs 3.45%, $ba 3.45%, fed 3.45%, status XXXX%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @opinion @dannydayan5 @ernietedeschi @gmillermortgage @mattyglesias @danevandyck @fmrsyfurrpunk @chicagofed @indeed @biancoresearch @mill226 @avitillu1 @prestonmui @benfranklin927 @mblancresearch @ericwhickman @savarymathieu @profplum99
Top assets mentioned Boeing Co (BA)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"Thread on point on Powell's assessment that currently published NFP numbers are currently an overcount. 1/ This may be true but we don't have evidence for it yet. It's an extrapolation of QCEW data from March 2024-March 2025 (8-20 months ago)"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:38Z 19.6K followers, 9992 engagements
"Claims: 1/ An extremely low read for initial claims (191K) during the Thanksgiving week. The comparison to 2024 is wonky due to last year's Boeing strike but it's also a lot lower than in 2023"
X Link 2025-12-04T13:36Z 19.6K followers, 6302 engagements
"Provisional but a back of the envelope calculation is that the increase in layoff announcements is consistent with an increase of about 145K/month to JOLTS layoffs (something like an X% increase on top of prior levels) and 12K/week to initial claims (5% increase)"
X Link 2025-12-05T00:01Z 19.6K followers, 3740 engagements
"2/ The hiring rate was at XXX% in October. It's a really hard time to find a job. We saw this level of hiring in 2010-11 when unemployment was around 9%. (Right now the UR is around 4.5%.)"
X Link 2025-12-09T15:09Z 19.6K followers, 1344 engagements
"3/ The quit rate was XXX% in October its lowest level since May 2020. Job hugging is intense right now We saw quits at these levels in 2014-2015 when the unemployment rate was around 6.5%"
X Link 2025-12-09T15:12Z 19.6K followers, 13K engagements
"4/ And the layoff rate picked up a little. We've been used to describing layoffs as unusually low but a layoff of XXX% is "normal" at least for an unemployment rate around 4.5%"
X Link 2025-12-09T15:14Z 19.6K followers, 3705 engagements
"1/ Some benchmarks for tmw's claims data. For continuing claims (week ended 11/22) I'd expect something around 1.953M. (We've been running a tad below my benchmark recently.)"
X Link 2025-12-04T01:12Z 19.6K followers, 1872 engagements
"2/ For initial claims the 2024 comparison is kind of funky due to the Boeing Strike. Based on 2023 I'd expect a number similar to or slightly above last week's 216K"
X Link 2025-12-04T01:15Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements
"Without looking at the data the decade with the fastest growth in inflation-adjusted median household income was:"
X Link 2025-12-10T18:13Z 19.6K followers, 2312 engagements
"Thursday's claims data: 1/ I expect we'll get payback for last week's very low number which reflected seasonal adjustment misfire. 240K wouldn't surprise me. I don't think 191K was a particularly accurate reflection of reality and 240K (if I'm right) won't reflect it either"
X Link 2025-12-11T01:01Z 19.6K followers, 2076 engagements
"2/ .which means the partial-to-date effect on claims has been swamped by everything else. My back of the envelope calculation for the full impact was 12K in additional initial claims per week based on layoff announcements to date"
X Link 2025-12-11T15:23Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements
"Interesting that the Fed has no change in their unemployment rate projection for 2026"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:05Z 19.6K followers, 1926 engagements
"2/ Imperfect classification of government workers status because of the survey reference period including both shutdown and non-shutdown days"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:21Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements
"3/ lower than usual response rate (because the data collection period may have run into Thanksgiving week)"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:22Z 19.6K followers, 1454 engagements
"2/ It doesn't matter much for the Fed's mandate. The data that guides that that mandate - ratios in the household survey - won't get revised. We already know what it's doing: the unemployment rate has been going up"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:40Z 19.6K followers, 1803 engagements
"Im curious what Powell meant when he described the November household survey data having technical issues. Here is a thread with some ideas: 1/ Challenging seasonal adjustment in the absence of October data"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:19Z 19.6K followers, 3129 engagements
"1/ This is imho a bad but surprisingly common argument. As long as inflation is anticipated its priced in to debt arrangements. It is true that higher-than-expected inflation redistributes from creditors to debtors and this is unfair but"
X Link 2025-12-13T02:18Z 19.6K followers, 1442 engagements